ࣼͱΖɼͳͺ-*6ஏ൭޽ָճ ೦քౖ੶ླྀๅࠄճͶͱ౨ീҰਫ਼գ‫ڊ‬͵ͧ͞͞Ͷͺঘஊ͗͵͏͹͖ʃౖ࠯౦‫ؼ‬͹࠹஦Ͳ͍ͮͪʃͶ‫ݳ‬ஏ΃ଠ͹൅නͳ॑෵͢͵͏఼ͫ͜फ़΄Ζ͞͞΃ં๊ۛ͗͞͞շ͖͖ͮ͢ͱ͏ΖౖΝࡀखͤΖͳɼϫʖϞ͹Γ͑͵‫ͣ״‬ɽʹ͖͞Ν۹ࡡͪ͢൅ਫ਼ౖͲ͍Θ͑ɽ֨୉੟ౖ୉͘͵ϪΫʃαϱέϨʖφฤʃɼϪϱΪฤΔ͘͢΍͹͗ࢆΔͻΖɽߑଆ෼͹մରͳ۹ࡡͶ൒͑൅ਫ਼ౖ͖ɽஏࢃ͍

൅ࡄ౲ೖ1+.Ͳ๎ӫ͠Ηͪਭ͹฀ड़ͺɼഃշ͠Ηͪਭಕ؇͖Δ͹฀ड़ͳࢧΚΗΖਭಕ؇࢔ଚ෨ࣾ໚͹৏๏Ͷ͍Ζਭ‫ݱ‬ஏ‫ݱ‬ಆ෨͹৏๏Ͷ΍ஏࢃ͹࿒ಆ͍Ε҈ࢃ‫آ‬͹ஏҮͲ͍Ζɽ೦ਭร੔͢ͱηϟέν΢φ‫ͳܧ‬ΩΨϨψ΢φ‫ܧ‬͹೬ౖԿɼೊओ೬ౖࣾ໚৏͹੟ౖͲ͍ͮͪɽ૴ͺ͵͙ౙ͠Ηͱ͏͵͏ɽడͺͪΉͮͱ͏͵͏ɽ͞͞΃৏ླྀ͖Δਭ͗ਃ೘ͪ͢Γ͑Ͷͺ‫ݡ‬͓͵͏ɽ‫ݱ‬ಆ෨͹৏๏Ͷ΍ஏࢃ͹࿒ಆ͍Ε҈ࢃ‫آ‬͹ஏҮͲ͍Ζɽ೦ਭร੔͢ͱηϟέν΢φ‫ͳܧ‬ΩΨϨψ΢φ‫ܧ‬͹೬ౖԿɼೊओ೬ౖࣾ໚৏͹੟ౖͲ͍ͮͪɽ૴ͺ͵͙ౙ͠Ηͱ͏͵͏ɽడͺͪΉͮͱ͏͵͏ɽ͞͞΃৏ླྀ͖Δਭ͗ਃ೘ͪ͢Γ͑Ͷͺ‫ݡ‬͓͵͏ɽࠪ‫؝‬ଈͶྣંͤΖୖͳಕ࿑͖Δ͹නླྀਭਃ೘ͺໃ͏ͳ൓இͲ͘Ζɽཀྵ༟ͺ࣏͹ࣺਇʁಕ࿑ͳ๊շࣾ໚৏๏ࣾ໚ͳ͹ؔͶͺɼ߶Ί͍͗ͮͱਭ͗ӿ͓ΔΗ͵͏Ҳ͖ॶͫ͜ξϱϕΩʖ਒೘࿑ͳࢧ͘͢ঘ͠͵઀ԗ͢ʙஏ‫ܙ‬րร͍͗Ζɽ͖͞͞Δಕ࿑නླྀਭ͗ࣾ໚΃৷೘ͪ͢͹͖ʃࣺਇࠪ͹ಕ࿑Ͷ޴͖ͮͱླྀΗΖ๏͗ɼਭͶͳͮͱ༲ҝͲ͍Ζɽ๊շ‫ߑؽ‬͹֕೨ਦྪࣇྭ ೧݆ೖ ਄㡗‫ݒ‬અഉ‫ؼ‬෼ʤౖʥ͹ࣼͱ৖๊͗շ๊շ2ೖ઴ӏ‫Ͳغ‬ͺ͵͏ຬཱིธ

๊շཎೖYin, Y., et al. (2016) Mechanism of the December 2015 Catastrophic Landslide at the Shenzhen Landfill andControlling Geotechnical Risks of Urbanization, Engineering 2: 230-249.
ϓΡϨϒϱɼ΢ϱχϋεΠ͵ʹͲਫ਼‫׈‬ഉ‫ؼ‬෼ͯΉΕਫ਼͟Ίॴ෾৖๊͗շͪ͢ࣆྭ͍͗Ζɽྪࣇྭ ೧݆ೖ ਄㡗‫ݒ‬અഉ‫ؼ‬෼ʤౖʥ͹ࣼͱ৖๊͗շຬཱིธ๊շͪ͢‫ݒ‬અഉ‫ؼ‬෼ʂຌ࣯దͶౖͲ͍Ζɽ๊շ2ೖ઴ӏ‫Ͳغ‬ͺ͵͏๊շཎೖYin, Y., et al. (2016) Mechanism of the December 2015 Catastrophic Landslide at the Shenzhen Landfill andControlling Geotechnical Risks of Urbanization, Engineering 2: 230-249.
ϓΡϨϒϱɼ΢ϱχϋεΠ͵ʹͲਫ਼‫׈‬ഉ‫ؼ‬෼ͯΉΕਫ਼͟Ίॴ෾৖๊͗շͪ͢ࣆྭ͍͗Ζɽ

Max. 3-day rainfallof the year (mm/3 days)ೖؔ߳ਭྖ͗୉͖ͮͪ͘ͳ͏͑͗ɼಋͣϪϗϩ͹߳ӏͺգ‫ڊ‬೧ؔͶౕ͍ͮͪɽ
500
40020210703 Atami 3-day rain.qpc

1961 Jun 26-28 1983 Aug 15-172021 July 1-3

2003 Aug 14-16

3002001000

JMA Ajiro near Atami

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Yearຌ೧͹സസࠞ΍߻ΚͦɼͨΗͩΗࢀೖؔ͹߳Ε๏ͺʃ
20210703 Atami 3 day records.qpc
Jul 1-3 2021 Ajiro
Jul 1-3 2021 Hakone
Aug 14-16 2003 Ajiro
JMAAug 15-17 1983 Ajiro
Jun 26-28 1961Ajiro

Hourly rainfall (mm/h)

60
50
40
30
20
10001224
36
48
60
Elapsed hours in 3-day records

72චͥ͢΍೧͹߳Ε๏͗͘;͢͏ͳͺ‫͏͵͓ݶ‬ɽ‫ݳ‬ஏմੵӏྖͺʃࢴ‫ݡ‬• ൞ਕૠ͢ͺ͢͵͏ɽͲ͘͵͏ɽ• ޮӻऀ஄๑ਕͳ͢ͱɼऀճ͹໲ୌͶͺ‫ؖ‬༫ͤΖ͞ͳ͗ແΌͲ͍Ζɽ• ऀճ͹ʹ͗͞ྒྷ͚͵͏͹͖ʃଠ͹ޮదૌ৭Ώ຿ؔ‫ۂة‬Ͷͺɼ͞͹Γ͑͵ࢨఢͺߨ͏Ͷ͚͏ɽͨΗͺޮӻऀ஄๑ਕ͹ༀׄͲ͍Ζɽ• ੴͺՁͲ΍ͨ͹วͶࣼͱΖ͞ͳͲਫ਼‫͗׈‬੔Εཱིͮͱ͏ͪɽ
• ͖͢͢‫ݳ‬େͲͺɼਫ਼‫͟׈‬Ίɼง೚ɼഋ‫ـ‬Ϊηɼ޽৖ഋਭ͵ʹɼΊ͵͕ۜΝ࢘ͮͱॴ෾͢͵͏ͳ͏͜͵͚͵ͮͱͪ͘ɼͨΗ͗ช໎͹ླྀΗͲ͍Ζɽ• ࢔ౖɼ൅ਫ਼ౖͫ͗͜҈͏ۜͲ౦‫ͱ͏ͱ͢ؼ‬Γ͏Κ͗͜͵͏ɽ• ྼ࢛దླྀΗΝߡ͓͵͏ͳɼۜ͗ໃ͏Ξ͖ͫΔɼ୒ஏ͹Γ͑͵҈સ͵੟ౖ͵ΞͩͺଆΗ͵͏ΞͫΓɼͳஎ͖ͮͪ΁ΕΝͤΖқ‫͗ݡ‬චͥड़Ζɽ΍͹ΝࣼͱΖਕྪ͹ྼ࢛• ਫ਼‫׈‬ഉ‫ؼ‬෼͹౦‫ؼ‬֍௫ʤ඾ઔྼ࢛‫ؙ‬ʥྖ͗ঙ͵͏͞ͳɼࣙષͨ͹΍͹Ͳ͍Ζ͞ͳ͖Δɼ‫ڧ؂‬Ώ҈સͶ໲ୌ͵͢ɽ΍͹ΝࣼͱΖਕྪ͹ྼ࢛• ਫ਼‫׈‬ഉ‫ؼ‬෼͹౦‫ؼ‬• ง೚ ϦʖϫρϏΏ஦ࠅ͹୉౐ࢤͶͺɼ‫ݫ‬པഋᔖ෼͹ॴཀྵର‫͚͵͗ܧ‬ɼਪΗླྀ͢Ͳ͍ͮͪɽˢఽઝබ͹෷‫ݱ‬඄Ώ͢Ͷ࢘͑͵Δͳ΍͖͚ɼ͞Ξ͵΍͹͹ॴཀྵͶࣁۜΝ౦ͣΖ൅૟͗͵͖ͮͪɽ• ͯ͏Ͷ൅૟͗รΚΕɼޮඇΝ౦ͣͱ੊‫ن‬͹ϏϨͶۛେదԾਭಕΝ੖ඍɽ΍͹ΝࣼͱΖਕྪ͹ྼ࢛• ਫ਼‫׈‬ഉ‫ؼ‬෼͹౦‫ؼ‬• ง೚• ۛେ͹ਫ਼‫׈‬ഉ‫ؼ‬෼ ʰͨΞ͵΍͹͹ॴཀྵͶ͕͖ۜ͜ͱΔΗ͵͏ΓʄʱՊ͹ཬͶ౦‫ؼ‬ɼͲͺࡃΉ͵͚͵ΕɼβϝॴཀྵεητϞͶඇ༽Ν͖͜ΖΓ͑Ͷ͵ͮͪɽ΍͹ΝࣼͱΖਕྪ͹ྼ࢛• ਫ਼‫׈‬ഉ‫ؼ‬෼͹౦‫ؼ‬• ง೚• ۛେ͹ਫ਼‫׈‬ഉ‫ؼ‬෼• ୉‫ـ‬Ԝઝ ޽৖͹‫ܨ‬Өͺ୉ร͵ΞͫɼԐ͹ॴཀྵ͵Ξ͖ΏͮͱͪΔ‫ܨ‬Ө͗੔Εཱིͪ͵͏Γnʄ ˢ ࠕͲͺٝແ• ഋਭॴཀྵ ͏ͬ͏ͬͨΞ͵͞ͳΏͮͱͪΔʞˢ ࠕͲͺٝແɽ• &2ഋड़ ͬΒͮͳ͛Δ͏୉৐෋ͫΓʄ ˢ ࠕͲͺଲԢ͗৙ࣟɽ• ࢔ౖɼ൅ਫ਼ౖ͹ॴཀྵ ୱՃ͗҈͏Ξ͖ͫΔɼ༶ปͳ͖ਭ͹ॴཀྵ͵Ξ͖ΏΗ͵͏ΞͫΓʄˢ য়‫ڱ‬Νร͓Ζ࣎‫͗ؽ‬౺པ͖ʃ• ৿‫و‬͹࢔ౖॴ෾Ͷ΍ඇ༽Ν͖͜Ζචགྷ͗೟ࣟ͠ΗͪɽͨΗͳಋ࣎Ͷॴ෾ࡠ‫͗ۂ‬న઀ͶߨΚΗͱ͏Ζ͞ͳΝ֮೟͢͵͜Ηͻ͵Δ͵͏ɽࢬ޽؇ཀྵʁஏ൭඾࣯൓ఈ࢞ʄ‫ޫـ‬รಊ͹Ӫ‫͵ڻ‬͹͖ɼॄ஦߿ӏ͹‫ଁ͗ݧث‬Յ͢ͱ͏Ζɽ߿ӏࡄ֒ΝӀًͪ߳͘͢͞ӏ͹‫ౕک‬ʤ࣎ؔӏྖΠϟξηસࠅ̏Ғ‫ى‬࿧ʥ

24-hour rainfall (mm)

1200

Maximum values ofdaily/24-hour rainfall upondisasters only (JMA)

Rainfall No1 upon disaster.qpc

1000
800

৏ֆ஍ͺଁ͓କ͜ͱ͏Ζɽӏ͹‫ڶ‬Ҙͺଁ͢ͱ͏Ζɽ600
400
20001940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020Year‫ع‬અ͹ഉ‫ؼ‬෼੟ౖΝʹ͑ͤΖ͹͖ʃ••••••••Morakot
typhoonin TaiwanखΕঈ͚ʁϓΡϨϒϱ͹ϏϢνη͹ࣆྭɽึ‫ͤک‬ΖʁҐ৏ɼ୯͗ඇ༽Ν෹͑͹͖ʃϠωνϨϱήɽ߿ӏͺɼ੔૜‫ݏ‬͹ྮ͓ͪ਄໹Ͷً͞Ζ͞ͳ͗ଡ͚ɼ੟ౖͺ਼࣎ؔͲ๊շͶࢺΖɽ߿ӏ͹஦ɼ‫ݡ‬௪͢͹ཤ͖͵͏਄໹͹ࡳӪɼժ଀մੵͺࠖೋɽΑ͓Ͷ࿁Ճ͵घ๑ͲรҒ؏଎ɼܱๅ൅ྫΝࢩԋɽ͖͢͢ɼ਄໹Ͷӏ͹஦ΝඈೋͤΖ͞ͳͺ‫ث‬‫ݧ‬ɼͳ͏͑໲ୌ͗࢔Ζɽ79Ͳ‫ݶ‬ΚΗͱ͏Ζɼ್֌͹֓ͳൕଲଈ͹෨Բ΃ඈೋΝɼͳ͏͑ঁ‫ݶ‬ͺɼ୉‫و‬ໝౖ੶ླྀͶଲ͢ͱͺ෈ॉ෾ɽҐ৏