For Participating Experts Only

Roundtable Seminar on "Climate Change and Fragility
Implications on International Security"
Thursday, January 19, 2017
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

List of Conference Materials­

Programme

page 2 - 4­

Speakers’ profiles and abstracts of presentations

page 5 - 15­

List of participants

page 16 - 19­

Layout of Assembly Hall, the venue of the closed session)
page 20­

Grouping for the roundtable sessions (Session 2 and 3)
page 21 – 22

Please note that the participating experts will be guided to the venue of the closed
session after the open session ends at 11:50. Lunch will be provided at the Assembly
Hall.

1

For Participating Experts Only

Roundtable Seminar on "Climate Change and Fragility
Implications on International Security"
Thursday, January 19, 2017
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan◆ PROGRAMME ◆Plenary MC: Ms. Yuri Noguchi
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

10:00-10:50 Opening Session
Opening remarks (5 mins)
Mr. Motome Takisawa
Parliamentary Vice-Minister for Foreign Affairs of Japan G7 Working Group Chair update (10 mins)
Building on the achievements of G7 Working Group: Commitment by G7 Foreign Ministers andoutlining of progress made by G7 working Group
Mr.Tomoaki Ishigaki
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan
Chair of the G7 Working Group Keynote Speech (20 mins)
Climate change and fragility implications for international policy and security
Prof. Kiichi Fujiwara
The University of Tokyo Scene setting (15 mins)
Research on climate-fragility risks in G7 countries: Issues to be explored
Mr. Alexander Carius
adelphi

10:50-11:50 Session 1 (Plenary)[Moderator] Dr. Rajib Shaw, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies
First presentation (15 mins)

Climate Change and Fragility Implications for National Security
Ms. Shiloh Fetzek
The Center for Climate and Security
 Second presentation (15 mins)
The UN Security Council and the integration of climate security risks
Dr Malin Mobjörk
Stockholm International Peace Research InstituteOpen Discussion (20 mins)◇ Visit our website and Follow us on Twitter! ◇http://www.mofa.go.jp/policy/environment/warm/cop/index.html
JP http://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/gaiko/kankyo/kiko/index.html
T https://twitter.com/ccmofa_japan
Climate Change Division, International Affairs Bureau, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of JapanEN

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For Participating Experts Only

11:50-13:00

Lunch

13:00-14:00 Session 2: Addressing conflicts including those for resources[Moderator] Mr. Naoyuki Yamagishi, WWF Japan


Presentations
1. The nexus of climate change and migration (10 mins)
Ms. Mio SatoInternational Organization for Migration (IOM)
2.

Climate Change and Infectious Diseases (10 mins)
Prof. Taro Yamamoto
Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University

3.

Climate Change & Security (from the Maritime Security View Point) (10 mins)
Commander Takahiro Ishihara
Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force Command and Staff College

Group discussion (30 mins)

14:00-15:00 Session 3: Impacts on agriculture and disasters with implications for peaceand security[Moderator] Dr. Daisuke Sano, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies
Presentations
1.

Impacts on agriculture and disasters with implications for peace and security (10 mins)
Prof. Taikan Oki
United Nations University

2.

Climate and Fragility Risks in Japanese Development Cooperation ―Implications of
Adaptation and Peacebuilding Experiences― (10 mins)
Dr. Mikio Ishiwatari
Japan International Cooperation Agency

3.

Impacts by climate change are only risks? (10 mins)
Ms. Mari Yoshitaka
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan StanleyGroup discussion (30 mins)

15:00-15:30 (30 mins)

Break◇ Visit our website and Follow us on Twitter! ◇http://www.mofa.go.jp/policy/environment/warm/cop/index.html
JP http://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/gaiko/kankyo/kiko/index.html
T https://twitter.com/ccmofa_japan
Climate Change Division, International Affairs Bureau, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of JapanEN

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For Participating Experts Only

15:30-16:20 Plenary Panel[Moderator] Dr. Rajib Shaw, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies
Reporting from Session 2 and Session 3 (10 mins)

Reports from session moderators on some of the salient points raised in the presentations anddiscussions
Responses from panelists[Panelist 1: UN agency] (5 mins)
How the UN is addressing or planning to address climate change implications for migrationand development and its related programming
Ms. Kaoru Nemoto
United Nation Information Centre[Panelist 2: Developmental organization] (5 mins)
How development assistance agencies can integrate these concerns into their development
assistance to generate positive outcomes for donor and recipient countries
Mr. Patrick Safran
Asian Development Bank
[Panelist 3: Research and science community] (5 mins)
What roles science and research organizations can play in addressing climate-fragility risks,
including raising public awareness and providing guidance to public and private responses
Dr. Yasuko Kameyama
National Institute for Environmental Studies[Panelist 4: Governmental organization] (5 mins)
Representing government on how to consider strengthening risk governance in policy
Mr. Tomoaki Ishigaki
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan
Chair of the G7 Working Group Open discussion (20 mins)

16:20-16:30 Closing Remarks
Mr. Tomoaki Ishigaki
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan
Chair of the G7 Working Group

END◇ Visit our website and Follow us on Twitter! ◇http://www.mofa.go.jp/policy/environment/warm/cop/index.html
JP http://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/gaiko/kankyo/kiko/index.html
T https://twitter.com/ccmofa_japan
Climate Change Division, International Affairs Bureau, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan
EN

4

Opening Session : Keynote Speaker

Kiichi Fujiwara
Professor, Graduate Schools for Law and Politics, Policy
Alternative Research Institute, The University of Tokyo

Biography
Kiichi Fujiwara is Director of the Security Studies Unit, Policy Alternatives Research Center,
and Professor of International Politics at the University of Tokyo. A graduate of the University ofTokyo, Professor Fujiwara studied as a Fulbright student at Yale University before he returned toJapan at the Institute of Social Science (ISS). He has held positions at the University of thePhilippines, the Johns Hopkins University, the University of Bristol, and was selected as a fellow of
the Woodrow Wilson International Center at Washington D.C. Prof. Fujiwara’s works include
Remembering the War, 2001; A Democratic Empire, 2002; Is There Really a Just War? 2003;
Peace for Realists, 2004 (winner of the Ishibashi Tanzan award, 2005; revised edition published in2010); America in Film, 2006; International Politics, 2007; War Unleashed, 2007; That’s a Movie!
2012, Conditions of War, 2013.

Opening Session : Speaker (Scene Setting)Alexander Carius
Co-founder and Director, adelphi

Biography
Alexander Carius is co-founder and director of adelphi, a leading independent think tank andpublic policy consultancy on climate, environment and development. He is an experienced
facilitator of national and international stakeholder dialogues and consultation processes and has
written on a broad range of sustainability issues, from hydro-diplomacy, the geopolitics of climatechange and urban transformation. Alexander Carius has been instrumental in advancing the global
agenda on the geopolitics of climate change advising government agencies and internationalorganizations and helped to develop respective policy programmes and processes, most recently
on new climate for peace for the G7 foreign ministries.

5For Participating Expoerts Only

Session 1 / Plenary Panel : Moderator

Rajib Shaw
Senior Fellow
Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES)

Biography
Prof. Shaw is the Executive Director of the Integrated Research on Disaster Risk (IRDR) programmeof International Council of Science, and also the Senior Fellow of Institute for Global Environmental
Strategies (IGES). He is also the chairperson of SEEDS Asia, a Japanese NGO. Previously, he was aProfessor in the Graduate School of Global Environmental Studies of Kyoto University, Japan. His expertise
includes community-based disaster risk management, climate change adaptation, urban risk management,
and disaster and environmental education. He is the editor of a book series on disaster risk reduction,
published by Springer, and is the Co-chair of UN ISDR’s Asia Science Technology Academic Advisory
Group (ASTAAG). Prof. Shaw has published extensively in scientific journals and books.

Session 2 : Moderator

Naoyuki Yamagishi
Leader, Climate and Energy Group, WWF Japan

Biography
Naoyuki Yamagishi is Leader of Climate and Energy Group at WWF Japan. Since he joined WWF in
2003, he has mainly worked on policy advocacy in both Japanese domestic and international (UNFCCC)
contexts. Domestically, his work includes emissions trading scheme proposals in 2007 and 2010 and along-term energy scenario in 2011. He also attends every COP since COP9 and now leads international
policy advocacy on mitigation in the context of UNFCCC negotiations at both WWF and CAN (Climate
Action Network) International.

Session 3 : Moderator

Daisuke Sano
Deputy Programme Managing Director, Programme Management Office, Institute for
Global Environmental Strategies (IGES)

Biography
He is currently serving as Deputy Programme Managing Director at the Institute for Global
Environmental Strategies (IGES) Programme Management Office to plan and coordinate institute-wide
strategic research and operations. He has over 20 years of experience in the agricultural/environmental
issues since he started his career at the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan. He wasengaged in various activities related to agricultural policies in Japan as well as the citrus and sugar
industries in the United States and Mexico. He joined IGES in 2005 and was engaged in various projects
such as the impacts of future trade liberalization in the agricultural sector in Asia, sustainable agriculture,biofuels, and JICA’s Indonesia Climate Change Program Loan (ICCPL) monitoring and evaluation for the
agricultural sector. During 2011-2014 he served as Director of IGES Regional Centre in Bangkok, Thailand
and was responsible of the operations of the Asia Pacific Adaptation Network (APAN, UNEP’s regional
climate change adaptation knowledge network), Asian Environmental Compliance and Enforcement
Network (AECEN), Network for Integrated Planning and Sustainable Development Strategies in Asia-PacificRegion (SDplanNet-AP) and implementation of the knowledge management component of the USAID’s
Adapt Asia-Pacific project (regional climate change adaptation project preparation facility). He holds a
doctorate degree in Food and Resource Economics from the University of Florida, USA.

6

Session 1 : Presenter

Shiloh Fetzek
Senior Fellow for International Affairs
The Center for Climate and Security

Biography
Shiloh Fetzek is Senior Fellow for International Affairs at the Center for Climate and Security.
She is a security analyst focusing on climate change and environment, based at international affairs
and security think tanks since 2007. Ms. Fetzek led climate security research projects at theInternational Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and as Head of the Climate Change and Security
Programme at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) in London. As Senior Research Associate
for Environment, Climate Change and Security at International Alert, she supported the New
Climate for Peace project commissioned by the G7 Foreign Ministers. Ms. Fetzek’s researchinterests include the social and political repercussions of environmental change and their interplay
with other drivers of insecurity, including demographic dynamics.

Abstract
Title: Climate Change and Fragility Implications for National Security
This presentation will cover some of the key intersections between climate change andsecurity risks, with a special focus on why the US government, particularly the security community,
has taken the issue seriously over the past 15 years. In describing the climate security nexus, it will
highlight recent examples and potential future scenarios in the Asia-Pacific region related to sea
level rise, disasters, migration, food security and geopolitics/geoeconomics, focusing on how thesemight scale up into foreign policy and defence concerns. This will support the assertion that climatechange should be dealt with as a high-probability, high-impact strategic and security issue by all
governments, including Japan, other G7 countries and countries in Asia-Pacific. The presentation
will also address how the incoming US administration might approach climate action generally, andhow this might affect the US’s Asia-Pacific rebalance and the climate-resilience component of US
Pacific Command’s activities in the region (e.g. supporting HADR capacity building). It will suggest
a minimum set of responses that all countries’ security communities and foreign affairs ministries
should have in place to manage climate security risks.
The proposed structure is:
1.
Opening statement/intro
2.
Quotes indicating US Department of Defense/Pacific Command’s seriousness on climate
3.
How climate change poses security risks – observed crises, potential future scenarios
4.
Climate change as a high-probability, high-impact strategic and security issue
5.
Indications of the incoming US administration’s approach
6.
How Japan and other countries should minimize climate security risks

7Session 1 : Presenter

Malin Mobjörk
Senior researcher, Climate change and security
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Biography
Malin Mobjörk is a Senior Researcher at Stockholm International Peace Research Institute,
SIPRI. The nexus of climate change, security and development is a major focus of her work. She
has conducted studies on climate-related violent conflicts, climate-induced migration, and risk
analysis of complex risks. Two additional areas of expertise relate to scenario analyses and interand transdisciplinary research. She joined SIPRI in February 2016 and worked previously as a
Deputy Research Director at Swedish Defence Research Agency, FOI. She received her PhD in
2004 from the Department of Environmental Studies, Linköping University, Sweden.

Abstract
Title: The UN Security Council and the integration of climate security risks
Climate change is widely recognised as one of the major forces shaping the future. It affects
the basic physical processes of the world, with far-reaching, and in worst case, potentiallydisastrous consequences for human societies. Climate risks can be characterised as being
multifaceted (involving different consequences), multidimensional (ranging from local to global),and having short- medium- and long-term implications. Because of the compound character ofclimate risks, different policy- and issue-areas are affected simultaneously. There is broad
agreement that successful, and sustained, responses demand an integrated approach; anapproach that was explored in a recently launched report funded by the Swedish Ministry for
Foreign Affairs. The presentation focuses on how the UN Security Council can adopt a more proactive role aiming towards reducing risks posed by climate change. Critical mechanisms for thischange are: a) the formation of an institutional location within the UN-system for coordinating thework on climate-related security risks, b) a systematic change in how risk assessment are madeand reported to the UN Security Council. I will highlight some key aspects for integrating climate
risks in the risk assessment and risk management, which provides the ability to strengthen the UN
Security Council’s work on conflict resolution and peacebuilding.

8For Participating Experts Only

Session 2 : Presenter

Mio Sato
Chief of Mission
International Organization for Migration (IOM)Tokyo-Country Office

Biography
Working at the International Organization for Migration (IOM) since 2001, Mio Sato iscurrently Chief of Mission for Japan since October 2016. She was previously Senior Programme
Officer for IOM Mission in Afghanistan, providing programme support to various activity areas
including disaster risk reduction, community stabilization, return and reintegration and capacity
building in migration management. She also worked at IOM offices in Nairobi, Brussels, Banda
Aceh, and Iraq (Jordan). Prior to joining IOM, she worked at the Japan Institute of International
Affairs (JIIA) as a research assistant focusing on the Asia Pacific region. In 2011, Mio Sato took a
special assignment of Programme Advisor at the PKO Secretariat of the Cabinet Office of theJapanese Government.
Mio Sato holds MA in Public Administration from the International Christian University inJapan.

Abstract
Title: The nexus of climate change and migration
This presentation will examine the nexus of climate change, environmental degradation andmigration and how this affects human mobility and exacerbates human trafficking, using examples
from countries like Afghanistan.
Firstly, it will provide an overview of the context, describing the relationship between climatechange and migration. It will examine how climate change, including sudden and slow onset events,
impact livelihoods and how this, in turn, influences migration patterns. It will then discuss theimplications of climate migration, including on resource conflicts that may arise in areas ofdestination and tensions with the local community. The presentation will share evidence fromresearch conducted by IOM wherever possible.
It will then look specifically at the health implications of climate migration. Climate change
through its impact on natural resources and livelihoods amplifies health risks related to malnutrition,
exposure to infectious disease, lack of safe drinking water and poor sanitation which may leadpeople to move to seek better access to health services. Simultaneously, increased migration may
effect health, including the spread of communicable diseases. Thirdly, it will examine how climatechange contributes to human trafficking. As a driver of poverty, potential conflict and instability
climate change can increase high risk behaviours among affected populations, such as resorting
to migrant smugglers, which increase vulnerability to trafficking in persons and associated forms of
exploitation and abuse.
The presentation will conclude with identified challenges on how the implications of climate
migration on health and human trafficking can be addressed.

9For Participating Experts Only

Session 2 : Presenter

Taro Yamamoto
Professor, Institute of Tropical Medicine
Nagasaki University

Biography
Prof. Yamamoto graduated from Nagasaki Medical School in 1990 and went on to post
graduate school, gaining two PhD degrees on Virology and International Health from Nagasaki
University and the University of Tokyo, respectively. He then worked mainly as academic staff atuniversities including Nagasaki University, Kyoto University as well as Cornell University. He is now
professor and chairman of the Department of International Health, Institute of Tropical Medicine,
Nagasaki University. Before taking up his current position, he spent three years as a senior advisor
on International Health Policy at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. His long-term overseas experience
was in Zimbabwe (1999-2000), US (2003-2004) and Haiti (2004-2005). He carried out emergency
relief in Haiti (2010), Great East Japan Earthquake (2011) and in Nepal (2015)

Abstract
Title: Climate Change and Infectious Diseases
This presentation focuses on climate change and health, especially on infectious diseases
such as dengue fever and so on, which are transmitted via mosquito. It is not only a matter ofhuman migration but also the migration of small and tiny insects from south to north due to global
warming which has resulted in the habitat of those insects expanding. This dramatically increases
the risk of infection of diseases transmitted by them and causes epidemics to an extent never seen
before.
We experienced a dengue fever outbreak in 2014 in Japan, the first in almost 70 years. The
last outbreak of dengue fever was in 1942. It is said that mass human migration between
southwestern Pacific islands and mainland of Japan caused that earlier epidemic, which infected
about 200,000 people. It was one of the worst outbreaks on record ever seen in Japan. However,
the outbreak was limited to the south-western part of Japan at that time. The latest outbreak was
70 years later, but this time, it was in the eastern part of the country, which is usually cooler.
Dengue fever was brought from south-east Asia by travelers and spread far north this time due tothe expanded habitat of mosquitos. This habitat has actually been expanding year by year, reaching
the far northern part of Japan even though it was restricted to western areas before the 1950s.
What lessons can we learn from this outbreak? What policy on climate change can alleviate thistype of outbreak? What are the limits of incorporating climate-related consideration in addressingthese issues?

10For Participating Experts Only

Session 2 : Presenter

Takahiro Ishihara
Commander, Strategic Studies Department,
National Security & Strategic Studies Office,Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force Commandand Staff College

Biography
Commander㸦CDR㸧Ishihara work at JMSDF (Japan Navy) Command and Staff College as a Senior
Fellow (Strategic Studies) and College Review Editor.
He is a 1981 graduate of the National Defense Academy, the U.S. Naval War College 1994, andearned Master of International Politics from Aoyamagakuin University 2008.
He has more than 10 years of contributing experience for Climate Change, ; Japan Association forInternational Security, “Climate Change and Security (2010, Yokohama,Japan); ” The 11th Canada-Japan
Symposium on Peace and Security Cooperation (2013, Ottawa, Canada) ; Russian Academy of Sciences
Far East Branch,” International round-table meeting of Asia Pacific countries to the Arctic.(2014, Vladivostok,
Russia)”, Program for Greenland promotional campaign in Japan, “The Seminar on the Arctic,” by Danish
Embassy, (2015, Tokyo,Japan) ; 12th International Session for Asia / Middle-East, “Security challenges ofclimate change in Asia and the Middle East”, the Institute of High Studies for National Defense (2016, Paris,
France).

Abstract
Title: Climate Change & Security (from the Maritime Security View Point)
Climate change is a 'threat multiplier' because it has the potential to exacerbate many of thechallenges we already confront today. The influence of climate change and its related threats are different
in each region.
In the Arctic Region, rising global temperatures are melting Arctic ice, so many countries are rushing
to expand their activities there, not only countries bordering on the Arctic Ocean but also countries fromoutside the region. Russia is modernizing its military capabilities in the Northern Territories andstrengthening its economic presence in the region as the country prepares to drill for oil and gas, and toprotect the Northern Sea Route. Canada is also engaging in military activity to protect its sovereignty.
Denmark claimed ownership of the continental shelf in the Arctic Ocean in 2014. Russian government also
claimed it in 2015, and Canada is now preparing its own claim. International Institutions such as the Arctic
Council are functioning as the center of the negotiations in the Arctic Region.
In the Indo-Pacific region, rising sea levels are a clear and immediate threat to some low-lying small
island states, such as Tuvalu and Vanuatu. Coastal countries are making efforts to secure their interests
relating to food security in the South and East China Seas. Reclamation works in the South China Sea are
related to securing national interests. On the other hand, cooperative relationships between countries arealso being developed. A good example of cooperation between two countries on shared natural resources
is the plan by the Indian and Bangladesh governments for joint action to protect the Sundarbans in Bengal
Bay.
Different threats exist in each region. It is clear that no country can avoid the impacts from climatechange, and no country can solve this challenge alone. The G7 should support cooperation on climatechange within these regions, and also between regions.

11For Participating Experts Only

Session 3 : Presenter

Taikan Oki
Senior Vice-Rector
United Nations University

Biography
Prof. Oki is the Senior Vice-Rector of United Nations University since October 2016. He also
serves as a professor at Institute of Industrial Science and a Special Adviser to the President at
The University of Tokyo. Prof. Taikan Oki received his Ph.D in Civil Engineering at The Universityof Tokyo in 1993. His research interests are the fields of global hydrology and world water
resources including the virtual water trade and water footprint. He was one of the coordinating leadauthors for the chapter “Freshwater Resources” of the IPCC WGII AR5. He got many awards suchas the Biwako Prize for Ecology in 2011, and the Japan Academy Medal in 2008. He is the firstJapanese AGU Fellow in its Hydrology Section.

Abstract
Title: Impacts on agriculture and disasters with implications for peace and security
It is not the absolute value of temperature or amount of precipitation but the degree of thechanges that matter for human society in terms of the climate change, particularly the changes in
the frequency of extreme events, such as floods, droughts, and heat waves, since people havebeen adapted to the current climate. A new research by Lesk et al. (2016) prevailed drought andextreme heat significantly decreased the cereal production by 9-10 % in the past, anticipatedhuman-induced climate change is projected to increase the frequency of such extreme events insome regions, and food insecurity is concerned under warmer climate. It is estimated that the crop
yield of maize, wheat and rice will decrease both in tropical and temperate regions under thecondition of higher temperature, however, adaptation can potentially alleviate the adverse impacts
and possibly reverse into the positive impacts for wheat in temperate regions and rice.
World population doubled in 40 years from 1961 through 2001, but the crop production
increased by 2.4 times during the period. The world population will further increase by only 1.5
times in coming 80 years, and human society shall be able to produce enough food to feed the
population on average, with adequate implementation of adaptation measures to climate change,such as innovating and introducing new crop varieties, efficient irrigation, water-saving
technologies, conservation agriculture, food storage and preservation facilities, and early warning
systems on extreme weather.
Since a first step towards adaptation to future climate change is reducing vulnerability andexposure to present climate variability, adaptation should have significant co-benefits andsynergies with implementing and achieving SDGs.

Different threats are exists in each region.
G7 should support cooperation in the region, and trans-regional cooperation.
It’s clear that no country can avoid the impacts of climate change, and no country can meetthis challenge alone.

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For Participating Experts Only

Session 3 : Presenter

Mikio Ishiwatari
Senior Advisor, Disaster management and water resource
management, Japan International Cooperation Agency(JICA)

Biography
Dr. Ishiwatari works at JICA as a Senior Advisor (disaster management and water resource
management).
He worked at the World Bank as Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist and as the
focal point for the “Learning from Mega-disaster: Lessons from the Great East Japan Earthquake”
project in Tokyo. He led formulation of the Japanese assistance approaches of climate change
adaptation and community-based disaster management and led the preparation and supervisionof various JICA projects. He was instrumental in producing several project reviews and papers in
the field of disaster risk reduction. Earlier, he worked at various positions of water resourcesmanagement at the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport, Japan for 17 years. He worked
as Urban Development Specialist at the Asian Development Bank.

Abstract
Title: Climate and Fragility Risks in Japanese Development Cooperation ̿Implications of
Adaptation and Peacebuilding Experiences̿
Human security will be progressively threatened by climate change, consequently
development cooperation agencies such as JICA need to adopt approaches to strengthen
resilience to cli-mate-fragility risks. Currently, JICA’s approaches to climate change adaptation andpeacebuilding are not connected enough.
JICA is predicting the impacts of climate change using scientific and engineering approaches,for example to forecast the availability of water resources or flood damage. However, the agency
does not focus on the security risks caused by these water shortage or floods in conflict-affectedareas, such as livelihood insecurity or other economic impacts.
Activities in peacebuilding are generally not related to managing climate risks. Backgrounds
and root causes of conflicts are analyzed in peacebuilding programs from political, governance,
security, economic and social perspectives. However, these analyses rarely cover fragility risks
posed by climate change.
There is a need for integrating assessments of climate risk and peacebuilding impacts aswell as science, engineering and socio-economic approaches. The different assessment
methodologies used in climate change adaptation and peacebuilding should be integrated toformulate and implement projects for managing climate-fragility risks. By integrating theseassessments, climate vulnerability assessments would be broadened to include political, social andeconomic risks that are currently often not included. Peacebuilding needs and impact assessments
would benefit from including scientific predictions of the impacts of climate change and the climatefragility risks that these impacts might exacerbate. Climate impact predictions based on scientificand engineering knowledge would be especially relevant for formulating the socio-economic
activities of peacebuilding projects. To address climate-fragility risks more broadly, Japan can build
on its long history and extensive experience, for example in the water sector and disaster risk
reduction.

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For Participating Experts Only

Session 3 : Presenter

Mari Yoshitaka
Special Advisor, Bureau of Environment
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley

Biography
After working for an IT company and a US investment bank, Mari graduated from thedepartment of Natural Resources and Environment at the University of Michigan, Graduate Schoolof Environmental Policy. Within the IFC she worked on social impact studies for environmental
projects in developing nations. She joined Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities in August
2000 for Clean Energy Finance Committee start-up. Since then she has been working on climatechange policy especially climate finance and mitigation projects including Clean Development
Mechanism and Joint Crediting Mechanism and pursuing modalities of enhancing financial
incentives to reduce greenhouse gases emissions as well as adaptation and to generate multiple
environmental socioeconomic benefits including human well-being improvement..

Abstract
Title: Impacts by climate change are only risks?
There a number of perceived indirect, direct and reputational risks associated with climatechange affecting the private sector. The climate change impede their business to grow, at the sametime, adaptation could reduce its global security issues caused by climate change and offer
business opportunities and benefits, such as a reduction of costs incurred from disasters, enhanced
liability management, employee protection, through new technologies and services, and access to
new financing streams. UNEP estimates the cost of adapting to a 2 degree Celsius warmer worldis in the range of $140 to $300 billion annually between 2025 and 2030 and $280 to $500 billion
annually between 2030 and 2050. The figures suggest the potential global adaptation market size.
In summary, the private sector is standing at a turning point right now and it can recognize climatechange as a business opportunity and appeal to investors, shareholders and clients by building
appropriate strategy on its response to adaptation. What are the challenges to promote the private
sector's involvement in the activities?

14

Plenary Panel : Panelist

Kaoru Nemoto
Director
United Nations Information Centre, Tokyo

Biography
Ms. Nemoto has joined the United Nations Information Centre in Tokyo as its Director in August 2013,
with more than 26 years of experience in journalism, communication and public relations. Her work with theUnited Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) from 1996 to 2011 encompasses various
capacities and duty stations, covering humanitarian relief work and human rights protection both in the field
and its headquarters. Between UNHCR assignments, Ms. Nemoto worked as a Public Information Officer
for the World Food Programme in Japan and as the Executive Director of the Japan Association for UNHCR.
Earlier in her career, she worked as an announcer and reporter for TV Asahi. Ms. Nemoto earned a master’s
degree in International Affairs from the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs, anda bachelor’s degree from the University of Tokyo, Faculty of Law.

Plenary Panel : Panelist

Patrick SafranPrincipal Operations Coordination Specialist (Fragile Situations), Pacific Department,
Asian Development Bank (ADB)

Biography
As a Focal Point for fragile and conflict-affected countries, Dr. Safran supports ADB operations in thiscontext. Previously, he helped developing ADB’s strategic and results-oriented approach to fragile
situations; focal point for disaster and emergency assistance; ICT coordinator; and project specialist andfocal point for coastal and aquatic resources management. Prior to joining ADB, Dr. Safran was regional
manager for Asia-Pacific and Latin America at French agricultural research agency CIRAD. He has PhDs
in Agriculture from Tohoku University in Japan and in Natural Sciences from Lille University in France.

Plenary Panel : Panelist

Yasuko Kameyama
Deputy Director, Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research
National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES)

Biography
Dr. Kameyama joined NIES in 1992. Her major field of study is international negotiation on climatechange, from the aspect of international relations and political science. She spent a year during 1999-2000
as a visiting researcher at Department of Government and Politics, University of Maryland. She was avisiting professor at Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, University of Tokyo from 2006 to 2015. Her latest
single-authored book “Climate Change Policy in Japan: From the 1980s to 2015” has been published from
Routledge in January 2017.

15

The Roundtable Seminar on“Climate Change and Fragility Implications on International Security”
19 January, 2017 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

List of ParticipantsName (First Last)

No.

Speakers and Moderators

Affiliationin order of presenting

1

Mr. Motome Takisawa

Parliamentary Vice-Minister for Foreign
Affairs of Japan

Opening remarks

2

Mr. Tomoaki Ishigaki

Director, Climate Change Division,
International Cooperation Bureau,
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

Chair of the G7 Working Group

3

Prof. Kiichi Fujiwara

Professor, Graduate Schools for Law and
Politics, Policy Alternative ResearchInstitute, The University of Tokyo

Keynote speaker

4

Mr. Alexander Carius

Funding Director, adelphi

Opening presenter (Bringing
into Focus)

5

Dr. Rajib Shaw

Senior Fellow, Institute for Global
Environmental Strategies (IGES)

Session 1 and Plenary Pannel
Moderator

6

Ms. Shiloh Fetzek

Senior Fellow for International Affairs,
The Center for Climate and Security

Session 1, First presenter

7

Dr. Malin Mobjörk

Senior researcher, Climate change andsecurity, Stockholm International Peace
Research Institute (SIPRI)

Session 1, Second presenter

8

Ms. Kaoru Nemoto

Director, United Nations Information
Centre (UNIC), Tokyo

Plenary Panel, Panelist 1

9

Dr. Patrick SafranPrincipal Operations Coordination
Specialist (Fragile Situations), Pacific
Department, Asian Development Bank(ADB)Plenary Panel, Panelist 2

10

Dr. Yasuko Kameyama

Deputy Director, Center for Social andEnvironmental Systems Research,
National Institute for Environmental
Studies (NIES)

Plenary Panel, Panelist 3

Participating Experts in alphabetical order of last name
11

Mr. Takao Aiba

Project General Manager, Environmental Affairs Division, Toyota Motor
Corporation

12

Prof. Jun Arima

Professor, Graduate School of Public Policy, The University of Tokyo

13

Ms. Mie Asaoka

President, Kiko Network

14

Dr. Michiko Banba

Associate Professor, Education Center for Disaster Reduction, Institute forGeneral Education, University of Hyogo

15

Dr. Mark Elder

Senior Coordinator, Principal Policy reseacher, Programme Management Office,Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES)

16

The Roundtable Seminar on“Climate Change and Fragility Implications on International Security”
19 January, 2017 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

List of ParticipantsNo.

Name (First Last)

Affiliation

16

Dr. Kumiko Fujita

Researcher, Research Section of River disaster Prevention Systems,
Research Center for Fluvial and Coastal Disaster, Disaster Prevention
Research Institute, Kyoto University

17

Ms. Ayumi Fukakusa

Climate Change and Energy department, Friends of the Earth (FoE) Japan18

Mr. Jun Furuya

Project Leader, Development Research Division, Japan International ResearchCenter for Agricultural Sciences (JIRCAS)

19

Ms. Kimiko Hirata

Chair, Climate Action Network Japan (CAN-Japan) / International Director,
Kiko Network

20

Mr. Yasukiyo Horiuchi

Co-Director, International Cooperation Bureau, Keidanren (Japan Business
Federation)

21

Commander Takahiro Ishihara

Commander, Strategic Studies Department, National Security & Strategic
Studies Office, Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force Command and Staff College

22

Mr. Hiroaki Ishii

Executive Director, Japan Association for Refugees

23

Dr. Mikio Ishiwatari

Senior Advisor, Disaster management and water resource management, Japan
International Cooperation Agency (JICA)

24

Prof. Masayoshi Iyoda

Researcher, Kiko Network

25

Mr. Takeshi Komino

General Secretary, Japan CSO Coalition for DRR (JCC-DRR), CWS Japan26

Ms. Masako Konishi

Deputy Director, Conservation Department, World Wildlife Fund (WWF) Japan

27

Mr. Jonathan Berkshire Miller

Senior Fellow, EastWest Institute28

Prof. Taikan Oki

Senior Vice-Rector, United Nations University

29

Ms. Atsuko Nishikawa

Senior Manager, Global and Regional Policy, Conservation International Japan

30

Mr. Lukas Ruttinger

Senior Project Manager, adelphi

31

Ms. Yuri Onodera

Friends of the Earth (FoE), Japan

32

Dr. Daisuke Sano

Deputy Programme Managing Director, Programme Management Office,Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES)33

Ms. Mio Sato

Chief of Mission, International Organization for Migration (IOM) TokyoCountry Office

34

Dr. Gen Sakurai

Researcher, Statistical Modeling Unit, Division of Informatics and Inventory,
Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, National Agriculture and Food
Research Organization (NARO)

17

The Roundtable Seminar on“Climate Change and Fragility Implications on International Security”
19 January, 2017 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

List of ParticipantsNo.

Name (First Last)

Affiliation

35

Mr. Satoshi Shigiya

Senior Director, Office for Climate Change, Japan International Coorperation
Agency (JICA)

36

Mr. Kunihiko Shimada

Chief Executive Officer (CEO), KS International Strategies, Inc.

37

Mr. Takejiro Sueyoshi

United Nations Environemnt Programme Finance Initiative, (UNEP-FI)

38

Mr. Akihiko Sunami

Senior Director for City Diplomacy, Office of the Governor for Policy Planning,
Tokyo Metropolitan Government

39

Mr. Yoshiharu Tachibana

Visiting researcher, Graduate School of Public Policy, The University of Tokyo

40

Prof. Yukari Takamura

Professor (International Law), Graduate School of Environmental Studies,
Nagoya University

41

Mr. Kazuhiko Takemoto

Director, Institute for the Advanced Study of Sustainability (UNU-IAS), United
Nations University

42

Ms. Sumiko Takeuchi

Visiting Professor, University of Tsukuba, The 21st Century Public Policy
Institute

43

Dr. Hideo Tomikawa

Senior Researcher, National Institute for Defense Studies, Japan (NIDS)

44

Mr. Naoyuki Yamagishi

Leader, Climate and Energy Group, World Wildlife Fund (WWF) Japan

45

Prof. Taro Yamamoto

Professor, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University

46

Ms. Mari Yoshitaka

Special Advisor, Bureau of Environment, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley47

Dr. Eric Zusman

Area leader, Principal Policy Researcher, Integrated Policies for Sustainable
Societies, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES)

18

The Roundtable Seminar on“Climate Change and Fragility Implications on International Security”
19 January, 2017 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

List of ParticipantsNo.

Name (First Last)

G7 Representativfes

Affiliationin alphabetical order of country

CanadaMr. Ian Small

Global Affairs, Canada

Mrs. Benedicte Contamin

Policy advisor, Global Affairs Direction / Directorate for Sustainable
Development, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, France

Mr. Peter Fisher

Deputy Director General, Energy and Climate Policy, Federal Foreign Office,Germany

Mr. Jan-Axel Voss

Deputy Head of Division, Climate and Environmental Foreign Policy, Federal
Foreign Office, Germany

Prof. Grammenos Mastrojeni

Coordinator for the Environment and Head of the Science-Policy Interface,
Development Cooperation, Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Ms. Tosca Barucco

Coordinator for Environment and Climate Change, Directorate General for
Global Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation

Mr. Tomoaki Ishigaki

Director, Climate Change Division, International Cooperation Bureau, Ministryof Foreign Affairs of JapanMr. Seiichi Urauchi

Deputy Director, Climate Change Division, International Cooperation Bureau,
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of JapanMr. Yudai Maeda

Deputy Director, Climate Change Division, International Cooperation Bureau,
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

FranceGermany

Italy

Japan

United Kingdom
Mr. Malcolm Ridout

Official, Department for International Development

United States
Mr. Andrew Robert Rakestraw

Foreign Affairs Officer, U.S. Department of State

Ms. Swathi Veeravalli

Climate and Environmental Security Advisor, US Agency for International
Development.

Dr. Pascal Jean Delisle

Adviser on Climate Change, Economic and Global Issues Division, European
External Action ServiceEU19

Layout of Assembly Hall

Stage
Table 5● ● ● Table 2
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● ● ●

●

●

● Table 1

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●

●

●

Table

● Table 4●●

Screen
●
●

●

●
●

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● Table 3●●(Panel session only)●●●● Table 6

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20

●

●
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Seats forobservers●●

Entrance●Session 2 and 3
Grouping for each roundtable* : Table facilitators

Table 1
* Dr. Patrick Safran
Ms. Mio SatoMs. Tosca Barucco
Mr. Hiroaki Ishii
Ms. Atsuko Nishikawa
Dr. Rajib Shaw
Mr. Kazuhiko Takemoto
Mr. Seiichi Urauchi

ADB
IOM / Session speaker
Italy
JAR
CI Japan
IGES
UNU-IASMOFA
8 experts

Table 2
* Mr. Lukas Ruttinger
Prof. Taro Yamamoto
Dr. Pascal Jean Delisle
Mr. Jonathan Berkshire Miller
Dr. Malin Mobjörk
Ms. Kaoru Nemoto
Mr. Andrew Robert Rakestraw
Mr. Satoshi Shigiya
Mr. Naoyuki Yamagishi

adelphiNagasaki Univ. / Session speaker
European Union
EastWest Institute
SIPRI
UNIC
United States
JICAWWF
9 experts

Table 3* Mr. Takeshi KominoCommander Takahiro Ishihara
Mr. Takao Aiba
Prof. Jun Arima
Ms. Mie Asaoka
Ms. Shiloh Fetzek
Mr. Peter Fisher
Mr. Jun Furuya
Mr. Tomoaki Ishigaki

CWS Japan
JMSDF / Session speaker
Toyota Motor Corp.
The University of Tokyo
Kiko Network
CCS
Germany
JIRCASMOFA
9 experts

Please have a seat on the table you are allocated,no seating order on each table.
21

Session 2 and 3
Grouping for each roundtable
Table 4
* Dr. Michiko Banba
Prof. Taikan Oki
Mr. Alexander Carius
Mrs. Benedicte Contamin
Prof. Masayoshi Iyoda
Ms. Masako Konishi
Dr. Daisuke Sano
Mr. Ian Small
Dr. Hideo Tomikawa

Univ of Hyogo
UNU / Session speakeradelphiFranceKiko Network
WWF
IGES
CanadaNIDS
9 experts

Table 5
* Dr. Mark ElderDr. Mikio Ishiwatari
Dr. Kumiko Fujita
Ms. Ayumi Fukakusa
Mr. Malcolm Ridout
Dr. Gen Sakurai
Mr. Akihiko Sunami
Mr. Yoshiharu Tachibana
Mr. Jan-Axel Voss

IGES
JICA / Session speaker
Kyoto Univ.
FoE
United Kingdom
NARO
Tokyo Gov.
The University of Tokyo
Germany
9 experts

Table 6
* Dr. Eric Zusman
Ms. Mari Yoshitaka
Ms. Kimiko Hirata
Dr. Yasuko Kameyama
Prof. Grammenos Mastrojeni
Mr. Yuri Onodera
Mr. Kunihiko Shimada
Prof. Yukari Takamura
Ms. Swathi Veeravalli

IGES
Mitsubishi UFJ MS / Session speaker
CAN-Japan
NIES
Italy
EoE
KS International Strategies
Nagoya Univ.
United States
9 experts

Please have a seat on the table you are allocated,no seating order on each table.
22