終了時評価調査結果要約表（英文）Summary of Terminal Evaluation
I. Outline of the ProjectCountry： Kyrgyz Republic

Project title： The Project for Promotion of Exportable
Vegetable
Seed Production

Issue/Sector： Agriculture

Cooperation scheme： Technical Cooperation Projects

Division in charge： Rural Development Total cost： 489 million Yen
Department
Period ofFrom June 2, 2013 toPartner Country’s Implementing Organization：

Cooperation June 1, 2018 (5 years) (Implementation Agency):
Ministry of Agriculture, Food Industry and Melioration (MAFIM)(Related Organizations):
Seed Association of Kyrgyzstan (SAK)
KOSS Agriculture Cooperative (KOSS)
Supporting Organization in Japan：
Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
National Center for Seeds and Seedlings
Japan Seed Trade Association
Related cooperation project:
1. Background of the Project
Agriculture sector is one of the basic industries of the Kyrgyz Republic, which accounts for 22% of
GDP (2011) and employs more than 30% of its population. Kyrgyzstan used to be one of the main seedproducers during Soviet Union time thanks to favorable environment for seed production, owing to arid
climate condition and affluence of snowmelt water resources in the mountainous region. However after
the Soviet Union dissolution, seed export also have fallen almost to one hundredth at present, and now
the domestic market of seed is relying on import.
The government of the Kyrgyz Republic puts the first place on export promotion of agriculture goods
and agriculture processing products under “New Strategy for Agriculture Development” during theperiod of 2011 -2015. However, it has not yet achieved sufficient level of volume for production andexports of vegetable seeds due to lack of human resources and underdevelopment of system and seedproduction technologies for the producers, lack of business know-hows in private companies responsible
for exportation and lack of inspection technologies necessary with vegetable seed production.
Under such circumstance, the government of the Kyrgyz Republic submitted the official request to theGovernment of Japan for the technical cooperation project in order to establish and strengthen the
structure to train farmers and companies which will be able to produce vegetable seed with exportable
quality. The Project for Promotion of Exportable Vegetable Seed Production in the Kyrgyz Republic has
started since June 2013 as 5-year project, and the four (4) Japanese experts, namely Chief Advisor,
Vegetable Seed Production (2 persons) and Coordinator/Training Planning, have been dispatched at theix

time of the terminal evaluation and they have engaged in their respective activities.
2. Project Overview(1) Overall Goal
Export of vegetable seed in the target area starts.
(2) Project Purpose
Vegetable seed with exportable quality is produced in the target oblasts.
(3) Outputs
1) Implementation system for seed industrial development is strengthened.
2) Vegetable seed production skill is disseminated through training at the training farm and Farmer Field
School (FFS).
3) Testing skills for vegetable seed are improved.
4) Establishment of vegetable seed production organization is promoted.
(4) Inputs (at the terminal evaluation)
Japanese side： Expert: 16 persons in total (9 long-term and 7 short-term), Trainings in Japan and
Thailand: 41 persons in total, Provision of equipment: about 1.1 million Yen, Local cost expenditure:
about 0.7 million Yen.
Kyrgyz side： Counterpart 6 persons (at the terminal evaluation), Local Cost: expenses for electricity
and water (amount of expenses is not obtained), Provision of land and facility: office spaces for Japaneseexperts, training hall and lands for experimental cultivation and other facilities
II. Evaluation Team
Members of(1) Japanese side

Evaluation

1)

Leader: Mr. Kazuya SUZUKI, Deputy Director General, Rural Development
Department, Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)

Team
2)

Seed Production and Export: Dr. Yuji UDAGAWA, Advisor, Tako Flower & NurseriesCo., Ltd

3)

Cooperation Planning 1: Ms. Tomoko TANAKA, Deputy Director, Team 2,
Agricultural and Rural Development Group 1, Rural Development Department, JICA

4)

Cooperation Planning 2: Mr. Keigo NAKAMURA, Staff, Team 2, Agricultural and
Rural Development Group 1, Rural Development Department, JICA

5)

Evaluation Analysis: Mr. Isao DOJUN, Consultant, Chuo Kaihatsu Corporation(2) Kyrgyz side1)

Leader: Mr. Nurbaev Adyl, Head of Division of Phytosanitary Control, Department ofPlant Quarantine, Ministry of Agriculture, Food Industry and Melioration (MAFIM)

2)

Member: Ms. Taranova Elena, Specialist, Agrarian Policy Division, Ministry ofAgriculture, Food Industry and Melioration (MAFIM)xPeriod of Evaluation

From November 26, 2017 to December 14, 2017

Type of Evaluation：Terminal

III. Results of Evaluation
1. Project Performance
Output 1: Implementation system for seed industrial development is strengthened.
Achievement: Regarding the degree of achievement of Indicator 1):

Policy recommendation related tovegetable seed production is submitted to MOAM, SAK under the Project submitted document on Conceptof Development of the Seed Sector (draft) of the Kyrgyz Republic to MAFIM. Moreover, regarding thedegree of achievement of Indicator 2):

Necessary information related to the vegetable seed export iscollected and provided to producers and potential buyers, a representative of SAK, a member of KVS
Cooperative and a Japanese expert participated in the congress of APSA and there are good informationdelivering occasions because the general meeting and the meeting of management office are holdfrequently. From the viewpoints above, objective of Output 1 are achieved mostly.
Output 2: Vegetable seed production skill is disseminated through training at the training farm andFarmer Field School (FFS).
Achievement: Regarding the degree of achievement of Indicator 1):
to conduct and supervise FFS trainings:

16 persons,

The number of trainers who are able

16 persons who have conducted FFS training are

regarded that they have capacity to implement and supervise FFS training as trainer at the time of terminal
evaluation and objective of indicator about number of trainers for FFS training is achieved.
However, Indicator 2):
3):

The number of seed producers who participated in FFS: 190 persons, Indicator

The number of seed producers who carry out training techniques: 40 persons, and Indicator 4):

Theaverage number of vegetable seed production per ha will be 350kg/ha, the degree of each indicator is
not achieved yet. Therefore, objective of Output 2 is not achieved yet.
Output 3: Testing skills for vegetable seed are improved.
Achievement: Regarding the degree of achievement of Indicator 1):

Enable to inspect in accordancewith ISTA standard, the Central Laboratory of DACE obtained ISTA certificate in January 2015 and has
passed ISTA’s skill tests which are carried out 3 times a year. The Central Laboratory of DACE in Bishkek
has capacity that seed inspection can carry out appropriately in accordance with the standards of ISTA.
Therefore, the objective of Output 3 is achieved in general.
Output 4: Establishment of vegetable seed production organization is promoted.
Achievement: Regarding the degree of achievement of Indicator 1):

More than 1 organization that is

capable of contracting with foreign seed company is established, KVS Cooperative which is possible to
make contract for vegetable seed production contract was established under the project. Therefore, it canbe said that objective of Output 4 is achieved.However, further capacity enhancement is necessary forbecoming an organization that can produce and export vegetable seed. In summary, the objective of
Output 4 is achieved. However, capacity building of the KVS Cooperative is necessary.

xiProject Purpose: Vegetable seed with exportable quality is produced in the target oblasts.
Achievement: One of the indicators for the Project Purpose will be achieved soon (about export ofvegetable seed). However, the target about production volume of exportable vegetable seeds will not be
achieved by the end of the project period (June 2018). Therefore, it can be said that the degree ofachievement of the Project Purpose is not at satisfactory level.
2. Summary of Evaluation Results(1) Relevance
The Project is considered to promote exportable vegetable seed production in the Kyrgyz Republic
and is consistent with the development potential and needs of farmers of the project target areas.
Moreover, this project is consistent with Japan’s official development aid (ODA) policy for Kyrgyz
Republic. Therefore, it seems that these approaches of the Project are appropriate for promoting vegetableseeds production and export.
(2) EffectivenessAs mentioned above, one of the indicators for the Project Purpose will be achieved soon (about exportof vegetable seed). However, it is difficult that degree of achievement of the Project Purpose will becomeat satisfactory level by the end of the project period, therefore, the overall effectiveness of the Project isconsidered to be moderate.
(3) Efficiency
In general, inputs by Japanese side were appropriate. Whereas participation to the project activities by
Kyrgyzstan counterparts was limited, The Kyrgyzstan side has facilitated the project office for Japaneseexperts and project staff and various facilities such as lands for seed cultivation and greenhouses. TOT
participants continually have practiced vegetable seed cultivation and have conducted FFS training forother farmers. It seems that project management has been conducted appropriately and it promoted
effective progress of project activities. These viewpoints indicate that the efficiency of the Project isconsidered to be moderate.
(4) Impact
Whereas several positive impacts are observed,,any negative impacts are not observed. In order toattain the Overall Goal sufficiently in future, organization that can conduct vegetable seed production andseed business stably and continuously is important. On the whole, impact of the Project is considered tobe moderate.
1) Prospect of achieving the Overall Goal “Export of vegetable seed in the target area starts.”
Vegetable seed export with trial contract production will be carried out soon, therefore, it can be said
that objective of the Overall Goal will be achieved soon. However, requirements of foreign seed
companies are availability of stable volume and high quality exportable vegetable seeds from Kyrgyz. For

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realizing stable and continuous export of vegetable seeds, organization that can provide instructions onvegetable seed cultivation techniques to farmers appropriately and can conduct vegetable seed businesswith foreign seed companies properly is required.
2) Positive Impacts Observeda) TOT participants have utilized learned seed cultivation techniques for regular vegetable cultivationand they harvested better yield of vegetable.
b) Utilization of training method, which is used under the Project, for the seminars organized by KOSS
farmc) Provision of trainings to the World Food Programme (WFP) supported projectd) Increase on vegetable seeds by general farmers as results of dissemination of project activities(5) Sustainability
Sustainability of the Project in term of policy aspect is high. In order to ensure organizational,
financial and technical sustainability of the Project, adequate measures are needed to be taken as
described below. On the whole, it can be said that sustainability of the Project is likely to be moderate.
1) Policy aspect
Increase of production and exports of the agricultural products is regarded as priority issue in
Governmental strategy and plan. MAFIM is recognizing more about importance of seed sector andstrengthening regulatory measures (through provision of loans and subsidy). Therefore, policy
sustainability of the Project is secured.
2) Organizational aspect
MAFIM has prepared various policies and draft regulations related to agricultural development andseed sector development. Therefore, MAFIM has proper organizational structure for preparing policies
and regulations that promote seed sector development. As for DACE of MAFIM, DACE has a central
laboratory with staff in charge of seed inspection in Bishkek and also laboratories in regions. Therefore,
organizational sustainability of MAFIM in term for promotion of seed sector is secured.
As for the KVS Cooperative which was established in December 2016, the organizational structure isregulated in the constitution of the Cooperative. There are several management bodies in the
Cooperative and members of management bodies were elected by member of the Cooperative.
General meeting and meeting of management board have been hold frequently. Therefore, theCooperative has appropriate organizational structure and it has certain operational capacity.
However, further enhancement of organizational capacity is required for practicing vegetable seedbusiness.
3) Financial aspect
The budget of MAFIM is on a downward trend and the budget of the Central Laboratory of DACE ison a downward trend as well. It is said that the budget for consumables for seed inspection is not
sufficient well. There is no major problem for maintenance of equipment provided by the Project,however, there is concern that the Central Laboratory of DACE can repair and purchase spare partsxiii

when necessary. In addition, the renewal of ISTA certificate, which the Central Laboratory of DACE
has, is necessary every 4 years and renewal should be done in 2018. Cost for the renewal of ISTA
Certificate is not within the budget of MAFIM, therefore, there is also concern about renewal of thecertificate.
In order that the KVS Cooperative conduct vegetable seed export business, various expenditures are
required for seed production and processing, and operation and management of the Cooperative. In
addition, the Cooperative should strengthen its ability on increase of vegetable seed production and seedbusiness in order to obtain necessary income for carrying out seed business, because the Cooperative does
not have income from vegetable seed export.
4) Technical aspecta) Seed inspection: It is judged that two laboratory staff of the Central Laboratory of DACE has
necessary technical skills as results of participations in the training in Japan and the seminar which was
conducted by a short-term expert in Kyrgyz.
b) FFS training for farmers: Among TOT participants, 16 persons have acquired capacity to conduct
FFS training appropriately. As for FFS training participants, they have learned vegetable seed cultivationin one cropping season or two cropping seasons. In order to acquire sufficient knowledge and skills, they
have to practice several seed growing cycles, because sufficient practical experiences are indispensable
for vegetable seed cultivation.
c) The KVS Cooperative: General meeting and Management board meeting have been hold frequently
and this is a good point on management of the Cooperative. Capacities of the Cooperative should be
strengthen further in terms of seed production, seed processing after harvest, creating relationship withforeign seed companies, negotiation ability for obtaining contract seed cultivation, trade practice on seed,
and operation and management of the Cooperative.
3. Factors that promoted realization of effects(1) Factors concerning to planningNone(2) Factors concerning to the implementation process
None
4. Factors that impeded realization of effects(1) Factors concerning to planningNone(2) Factors concerning to the implementation process
Delay of dispatch of first Japanese coordinator made certain negative effects on timely procurement ofequipment and administrative works. There was not negative effect for capacity improvement for seed
inspection staff members of MAFIM. However, restructuring of organization of MAFIM affected start ofactivity for capacity improvement of them.

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5. Conclusion
Through the Terminal Evaluation, it was confirmed that a part of Project Purpose and Outputs are almost
achieved. However, in order to realize sustainable vegetable seed production and export, more seedproducers who can carry out trainings to farmers, farmers who have sufficient knowledge, skills andexperiences on vegetable seed cultivation, capable organization that can conduct vegetable seed businesswith foreign seed companies is necessary. The remaining project period is about half year, and it is notpossible to attain these issues sufficiently. Therefore, it is assessed that extension of the project period isnecessary for securing cultivation period for 2 cropping seasons.
In terms of five evaluation criteria, relevance is evaluated as high whereas efficiency, sustainability,
effectiveness and impact are evaluated as fair. It is difficult that the degree of vegetable seed production
become at satisfactory level by the end of the project period, therefore, the overall effectiveness of the
Project is considered to be moderate. When it comes to the efficiency, participation to the project
activities by Kyrgyzstan counterparts was limited, therefore, the efficiency of the Project is considered tobe moderate. Regarding Impact of the Project, there are several extra positive impacts.
However, in order to attain the Overall Goal sufficiently in future, enhancement of organization that canconduct vegetable seed production and seed business stably and continuously should be important. On thewhole, impact of the Project is considered to be moderate. Adequate measures are required to be taken to
ensure the organizational, financial and technical sustainability of the Project, therefore, it can be said thatsustainability of the Project is likely to be moderate.
6. Recommendations
6-1. Recommendation to the project(1) Project Cooperation Period
It is difficult that degree of achievement of the Project Purpose will become at satisfactory level by theend of the project period, and it is assessed that another 2 cropping seasons is required to achieve theProject Purpose. Thus, it is recommended to extend the project cooperation period for 20 months.
(2) Revision of the PDM
Through the evaluation of the Project, the Team found that some objectively verifiable indicators need to
be set and modified to monitor project activities, outputs, and outcomes in an appropriate manner.
6-2. Recommendations to MAFIM(3) Assignment of the Counterpart Personnel
Throughout the project, participations to the activities from Kyrgyzstan sides have been limited.
Accordingly, it is required that necessary counterpart personnel are assigned to the project toimplement the project activities continuously.
(4) Agreement for Elita farm
“Agreement to the Memorandum of Understanding on installation, utilization and management of seedxv

processing equipment between Elita, JICA and KVS for Promotion of Exportable Vegetable Seed
Production and Export in the Kyrgyz Republic” has not been agreed yet due to inspection under the
MAFIM. Therefore, it is recommended to make necessary arrangements among the concerned
departments to sign the agreement as soon as possible.
(5) Update of ISTA Certification
The update of ISTA certificate is necessary every 4 years and current certificate will be expired in June15, 2018, however the budget for its update has not been secured by MAFIM at the timing of theevaluation. Therefore, it is recommended to MAFIM to make necessary arrangements and efforts tosecure the budget before ISTA certificate has been expired.
6-3. Recommendation for to the Project Team(6) Installation and Utilization of the Seed Processing Equipment
Due to the delay of renovation work of the facility in Elita farm, the seed processing equipment have notbeen installed yet. Hence, it is recommended to install the seed processing equipment and to utilize themeffectively as soon as possible.
(7) Strategical Enhancement of FFS Training
Due to the insufficient amount of seed production, KVS Cooperative has not operated autonomous
business management yet. Therefore, it is recommended to grow vegetable seed producing farmers inmore effective manner through the strategical enhancement of FFS training to ensure the KVS
Cooperative management and business.
7. Lessons Learned
Consideration of required period for building trust relationship with foreign seed companies andnecessary cropping seasons at project formulation stage
Two (2) to 3 years are necessary for farmers in order to produce vegetable seeds which satisfy withquality requirements in general. In the case of Japanese seed companies, they start request of seedproduction with trial seed production, and it is repeated for 2 or 3 years. When quality of vegetable seeds
produced by farmers satisfies with requirement of Japanese seed companies continuously, Japanese seed
companies will shift to formal contract. Therefore, it is necessary to consider these processes for projectplanning.
Moreover, based on cultivation period, vegetable seed is categorized into one cropping seasonal seed or
two cropping seasonal seed. These seeds require different growing cycles, respectively, and lead theimportance of seed selection to implement the project effectively. Hence, for agriculture project, which
include the improvement of cultivation skill, it is important to set the project period considering cropping
seasons and timing in the planning stage of the project.

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