The 25th AIM International Workshop
National Institute for Environmental Studies
November 18-19, 2019

DAY 1: November 18, 2019
8:45

Bus will leave Okura Frontier Hotel Tsukuba.

9:00-9:30

Registration

9:30-10:40

Session 1: Opening
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)

9:30-9:35

Welcome Address
Prof. Yuichi Moriguchi (NIES, Japan)

9:35-9:50

Overall activities in FY 2018-2019
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)

9:50-10:10

Keynote Speech (1): IPCC sixth assessment cycle: Key findings from the Special Reports andprogress towards AR6 WGIII Mitigation Report
Prof. P. R. Shukla (Ahmedabad Univ., India)

10:10-10:30 Keynote Speech (2): Global energy transitions for the 1.5 degree target
Dr. Jae Edmonds (PNNL, USA)
10:30-10:45 Discussion
10:45-11:00

Coffee Break

11:00-12:40

Session 2: Climate Mitigation in Asia
Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (IGES, Japan)

11:00-11:15 Roadmap of coal phasing out in the 2C/1.5C scenarios for China
Prof. Xiulian Hu and Prof. Kejun Jiang (ERI, China)
11:15-11:30 tbd
Prof. Dong Kun Lee (SNU, Korea), Prof. Tae Yong Jung (Yonsei Univ., Korea) andProf. Chan Park (Univ. of Seoul, Korea)
11:30-11:45 Climate change mitigation and AIM in Thailand
Prof. Bundit Limmeechokchai (SIIT-TU, Thailand)
11:45-12:00 The case of Malaysian cities
Prof. Ho Chin Siong (UTM, Malaysia)
12:00-12:15 Prospects for reduction of energy use and GHG mitigation in four South Asian countries
Prof. Ram Shrestha (AITM, Nepal)
12:15-12:40 Discussion

12:40-12:50

Photo session

12:50-14:00

Lunch Break

14:00-14:50

Session 3: Global Sustainability
Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)

14:00-14:15 Tackling food consumption inequality to fight hunger without pressuring the environment
Dr. Tomoko Hasegawa (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan)
14:15-14:30 Global Economics and Food Demand
Dr. Ron Sands (USDA, USA)
14:30-14:45 Global bioenergy potential under environmental protection targets
Dr. Wu Wenchao (NIES, Japan)
14:45-15:00 Asian sustainable development pathways
Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori (Kyoto Univ., Japan)
15:00-15:20 Discussion
15:20-15:40

Coffee Break

15:40-17:00

Session 4: Nation-scale Impact and Adaptation Research
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)

15:40-15:55 Climate change under uncertainty
Prof. Kwansoo Kim (SNU, Korea)
15:55-16:10 Developing decision supporting systems for local adaptation planning in Korea
Ms. Hyun Jung Hee (SNU, Korea), Dr. Huicheul Jung (KEI, Korea), andProf. Lee Dong Kun (SNU, Korea)
16:10-16:25 Assessing future heatwave risk change considering climate change scenarios
Dr. Chae Yeon Park and Prof. Lee Dong Kun (SNU, Korea)
16:25-16:40 Assessing climate sensitivity of hourly electricity demand in Japan
Dr. Yuki Hiruta (NIES, Japan)
16:40-16:55 Collaboration with local governments in Japan towards science-based adaptation strategies
Dr. Yoshifumi Masago, Dr. Tomohiro Fujita, Dr. Kazutaka Oka, andDr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
16:55-17:10 Discussion
17:10-17:30

Coffee Break17:30-20:00

Session 5: Poster Session with Reception(1) Research on the synergic strategies of economic growth and energy-environmental-climate constraints inGuangzhou
Dr. Yunsheng Xie, Dr. Songyan Ren, Prof. Peng Wang and Prof. Daiqing Zhao (GIEC, China)(2) Analysis of Energy transformation scenarios for GuangDong-HongKong-Macao Greater Bay Area until
2035
Prof. Peng Wang, Dr. Songyan Ren, Dr. Yaojun Luo and Prof. Daiqing Zhao (GIEC, China)(3) Co-benefits of decarbonizing China’s transport sector in air pollution improvement under 1.5- and 2-degree
targets
Prof. Hancheng Dai (Pekin Univ., China)(4) Ambient particulate air pollution and hospitalization expenditures in China
Prof. Yang Xie (Beihang Univ., China)(5) Cost evaluation of multi-sector adaptation pathways: A case for nature-based adaptation strategies
Ms. Jung Hee Hyun (SNU, Korea)(6) Systematic conservation planning for conserving amphibians considering bioenergy potential and climatechangeProf. Yongwon Mo (Yeungnam Univ.), Dr. Haruka Ohashi (FFPRI, Japan),
Dr. Whenchao Wu (NIES, Japan), Dr. Tomoko Hasegawa (Ritsumeikan Univ.),
Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan), Prof. Dong Kun Lee (SNU, Korea),Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan) and Dr. Tetsuya Matsui (FFPRI, Japan)(7) A classification method to assess uncertainty on climate change impacts and capacity to climate adaptation at
the local government level: The case of 226 local entities in Korea
Mr. Jongwoo Moon, Ms. Jaewan Kim, Prof. Tae Yong Jung, Ms. Dahyun Kang and
Mr. Hyo Chan Oh (Yonsei Univ., Korea)(8) The role of hydrogen power generation in the low-carbon electricity grid
Dr. Hiroto Shiraki (Shiga Pref. Univ., Japan)(9) Impacts of rising temperatures on energy demands in local industries: A case in the Saitama Prefecture of Japan
Dr. Keita Honjo (Center for Env. Science in Saitama, Japan)(10) The role of electric vehicle penetration in urban decarbonization scenarios: An integrated land use-transportenergy model
Prof. Runsen Zhang (Hiroshima Univ., Japan)(11) Analysis on GHG emission compositions and national reduction targets in Asian Countries
Mr. Tomoki Hirayama (MHIR, Japan)(12) Research proposal: the role of biomassion greenhouse gas mitigation in Laos
Mr. BounEua Khamphilavanh (Tokyotech, Japan)(13) Interconnection of water, food, bio-energy, ecosystem and land investigated with MIROC-INTEG: a global
bio-geophysical land surface model with human components
Dr. Tokuta Yokohata (NIES, Japan)(14) Improvement of the renewable energy penetration in power sector of Japan by willingness to pay
Dr. Lu Gao (NIES, Japan)(15) A method to assess the impact of the region specific factors on hourly electricity consumption.
Dr. Yuki Hiruta (NIES, Japan)(16) Future distribution and environmental impact of iron and steel industry in China

Dr. Zhaoling Li (NIES, Japan)(17) Macroeconomic impacts of climate change on four priority sectors of adaptation in Indonesia
Dr. Ambiyah Abdullah (NIES, Japan)(18) Measuring the potential impact of migration policies in Indonesia: the early finding
Dr. Marissa Malahayati (NIES, Japan)(19) Dynamics of energy transition in rural and urban household in India
Dr. Yawale Satish Kumar (NIES, Japan)(20) Response of global forest distribution to climate change
Dr. Akiko Hirata (NIES, Japan), Dr. Yuji Kominami, Dr. Haruka Ohashi,
Dr. Tetsuya Matsui (FFPRI, Japan) and Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)(21) Enhancement of a state-of-the-art global hydrological model to simulate the bioenergy crop yield
Dr. Zhipin Ai (NIES, Japan)(22) High-resolution climate scenario in Japan for impact studies
Dr. Noriko N. Ishizaki (NIES, Japan)(23) Projecting future changes in Southeast Asia's aboveground forest carbon stockDr. Ronald C. Estoque (NIES, Japan)(24) Impact of major dams on global flood simulations
Dr. Boulange Julien Eric Stanislas (NIES, Japan)(25) Climate change, air quality and health co-benefits in South Korea
Dr. Satbyul Estella Kim (NIES, Japan)(26) Regional and sectoral attributions of recent climate change
Dr. Xuanming Su (JAMSTEC, Japan)
Reception starts at Chu-Kaigi-Shitsu (Middle Meeting Room), NIES at 18:00.
20:00

Bus will leave NIES.

DAY 2: November 19, 2019
8:45

Bus will leave Okura Frontier Hotel Tsukuba.

9:30-11:10

Session 6: Climate Mitigation in Asia and Africa
Chairperson: Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)

9:30-9:45

Indonesia NDC roadmap on AFOLU and energy sector
Prof. Rizaldi Boer (IPB, Indonesia) and Prof. Retno Gumilang Dewi (ITB, Indonesia)

9:45-10:00

Role of ‘Swachh Bharat’ (Clean India) Mission in GHG mitigation: A case of Indore, India
Prof. Manmohan Kapshe (MANIT, India)

10:00-10:15 tbd
Dr. Tung Lam Nguyen (ISPONRE, Indonesia)
10:15-10:30 The importance of producer price markups for carbon tax evaluations: Evidence from Taiwan
Dr. Yi-Hua Wu (ITRI, Taiwan)
10:30-10:45 How choosing a Carbon Tax revenue recycling scheme can & cannot contribute to decarbonizing aneconomy: An analysis with IMACLIM South Africa
Dr. Jules Schers (Univ. of Cape Town, South Africa)
10:45-11:10 Discussion
11:10-11:30

Coffee Break

11:30-12:30

Session 7: Research on Climate Mitigation at NIES
Chairperson: Mr. Tomoki Ehara (E-konzal, Japan)

11:30-11:40 Toward decarbonization and depollution pathways in Asian regions
Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)
11:40-11:50 tbd
Dr. Shuichi Ashina (NIES, Japan)
11:50-12:00 Localized scenario technique considering societal dimension of SDGs
Dr. Kei Gomi (NIES, Japan)
12:00-12:10 Estimation of food loss related with consumption behavior in Japan
Dr. Yuko Kanamori (NIES, Japan)
12:10-12:20 Assessment of climate mitigation goals with AIM/CGE
Dr. Diego Silva Herran (NIES, Japan)
12:20-12:30 Discussion
12:30-13:30

Lunch Break13:30-15:00

Session 8: Discussion on Low Carbon Development Strategy and Stakeholder Dialogue
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)

13:30-15:00 Discussion 1- Questions: Long-term strategy of AIM- Meaning of research and stakeholder dialogue- Introduction of recent activities: Dr. Junichi Fujino and Tomoko Ishikawa (IGES, Japan)- How will AIM contribute to decision making on climate change issues?
15:00-15:20

Coffee Break

15:20-16:50

Session 9: Discussion on research collaboration among Asian countries
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)

15:20-16:50 Discussion 2- Background- Introduction of topics: Prof. Hancheng Dai (Peking Univ.), Dr. Diego Silva Herran (NIES, Japan)
and Prof. Bundit Limmeechokchai (SIIT-TU, Thailand)- Global research by Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)- Impact and adaptation research by Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)- How to proceed research- Future works
16:50-17:00

Session 10: Closing
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)

16:50-17:00 Closing Remarks
Dr. Mikiko Kainuma (NIES and IGES, Japan)
17:30

Bus will leave NIES.

18:00-20:00

Dinner at Wine Dining Bar Paccio on the 3rd floor of BiVi Tsukuba