᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩᴒᵄផ▚ߦ㑐ߔࠆ⺞ᩏ⎇ⓥ‫ޝ‬ᐔᚑ  ᐕᐲ᧲ᶏ࿾ၞᴒᵄផ▚⺞ᩏߦߟ޿ߡ‫ޞ‬Prediction of ocean waves in Tokai Area offing waveᬺോฬᆔ⸤⠪ᜂᒰ⠪᧲ᶏ࿾ၞᴪጯᴒᵄផ▚ᬺോᆔ⸤㧔㧕㕒ጟ⋵㧘␹ᄹᎹ⋵㧘ᗲ⍮⋵㧘ਃ㊀⋵ਃේᱜ⵨ᷣ⮮↢⌀㧘㧔↰ፉᙗ৻㧕㧘૒⮮৻ᱜ
Spectral method-based wave forecasting and hindcasting and calculation of the probability wave specification
by means of statistic analysis of extremes were conducted on the basis of meteorological disturbances that caused
high ocean waves in the four Tokai Regional Prefectures 㧔Shizuoka, Kanagawa, Aichi and Mie Prefs.㧕 during
the 52 years between 1955 and 2006. In the forecasting and hindcasting calculations, the surface wind isestimated with the wide-area atmospheric boundary model and localized typhoon model separately, and they arelinked with the hybrid model. For prediction, the “third-generation model 㧔Asami model㧕,” which directly
expresses the energy transportation by the nonlinear interactive effect is used, thereby recreating more accurate
waves field in greater detail.
In addition, design waves data found from offing wave specification obtained above and the existing design
waves were compared in order to examine the validity of the new offing wave specification.
Key words: wave forecasting and hindcasting, extremal statistics, spectral method, hybrid model, third-generation
model, design wave㧝㧚⺞ᩏߩ⋡⊛᧲ᶏ࿾ၞ㧠⋵㧔㕒ጟ⋵㧘␹ᄹᎹ⋵㧘ᗲ⍮⋵㧘ਃ㊀⋵㧕ߩ᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩ⸘↹࡮⸳⸘╬ߦ↪޿ࠆᵄᶉ⻉రߪ㧘ᤘ๺  ᐕᐲߦᬌ⸛࡮⸳ቯߐࠇߚ߽ߩߢ޽ߞߚ㧚ߘߩᓟ㧘⃻࿷ߦ⥋ࠆ߹ߢߩ㑆㧘ᐔᚑદ൓ḧ㛁ᴡḧ㆙Ꮊἥ ᐕ㧔 ᐕ㧕ߩบ㘑 ภ㧘ᐔᚑ  ᐕ㧔 ᐕ㧕ߩบ㘑  ภ㧘ᐔᚑ  ᐕ㧔⋧ᮨḧᵿฬḓਃᴡḧ
ᾢ㊁ἥᐕ㧕ߩบ㘑  ภ㧘ᐔᚑ ᐕ㧔 ᐕ㧕ߩบ㘑  ภ㧘ᐔᚑ  ᐕ㧔 ᐕ㧕ߩบ㘑 ภ㧘 ภ߅ࠃ߮ ภ㧘࿑ ⺞ᩏኻ⽎ᶏၞᐔᚑ  ᐕ㧔 ᐕ㧕ߩบ㘑  ภߥߤߩ᧪ⷅߦࠃߞߡ᧲ᶏ࿾ၞߩߺߥࠄߕో࿖⊛ߥⵍኂ߇ႎ๔ߐࠇߚ㧚߹ߚ㧘ో࿖᷼ḧᶏᵗᵄᶉ᷹ⷰ✂㧔࠽࠙ࡈࠔࠬ㧕ߦࠃࠆߣ㧘ᐔᚑ  ᐕߦߪో  ᷹ⷰ࿾ὐߩ߁ߜ  ᷹ⷰ࿾ὐߢᣢᓔᦨᄢᵄ㜞߇ᦝᣂߐࠇ㧘᧲ᶏ࿾ၞᴪጯߦ૏⟎ߔࠆ᷹ⷰ୯ὐߢ߽㧘ㆊ෰  ᐕ㑆ߢᣢᓔᦨᄢᵄ㜞߇ᦝᣂߐࠇࠆߥߤ㧘⇣Ᏹᵄᶉߩ಴⃻߇Ⴧടߒߡ޿ࠆߎߣ߇23᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩᴒᵄផ▚ߦ㑐ߔࠆ⺞ᩏ⎇ⓥ⏕⹺ߐࠇߡ޿ࠆ㧚ᧄ⺞ᩏߪ㧘⇣Ᏹᵄᶉߩ಴⃻߇Ⴧട߅ࠃ߮ߎࠇࠄ⃻⽎ߦ઻޿㧘Ṫ᷼ᣉ⸳ߩⵍኂ߽Ⴧടߒߡ޿ࠆߎߣߦ㐓ߺ㧘᧲ᶏ࿾ၞᴪጯߦ߅޿ߡ߽㧘ㄭᐕߩ᳇⽎㨯ᶏ⽎․ᕈࠍ〯߹߃ߚ⸳⸘ᴒᵄߩ⷗⋥ߒࠍᬌ⸛ߔࠆᔅⷐᕈ߇㜞߹ߞߚߎߣ߆ࠄ㧘ห࿾ၞߩ㧠⋵౒หߦࠃࠆ᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩ⸘↹࡮⸳⸘╬ߦ↪޿ࠆᵄᶉ⻉రߩផ▚㧔⸳⸘ᴒᵄߩ▚ቯ㧕ࠍታᣉߔࠆߎߣࠍ⋡⊛ߣߒߚ߽ߩߢ޽ࠆ㧚㧞㧚⺞ᩏߩౝኈߣᣇᴺᧄ⺞ᩏߩౝኈߪ㧘ԘṪ᷼࡮Ṫ႐╬ߦ㑐ߔࠆᣉ⸳ߩ⸘↹࡮⸳⸘߅ࠃ߮੐ᬺផㅴߦㆡ↪ߔࠆߚ߼ߩᴒᵄផ▚㧘ԙᣥ⸳⸘ᵄߣߩᲧセᬌ⸽ߢ޽ࠆ㧚ߎߎߢߪਥߦ㧘ᴒᵄផ▚ߩౝኈߣផ▚ᚻᴺߦߟ޿ߡ⸃⺑ߔࠆ㧚 ၮ␆࠺࡯࠲ߩ෼㓸ᢛℂၮ␆࠺࡯࠲ߣߒߡߪ㧘ᤘ๺  ᐕ㧔 ᐕ㧕߆ࠄᐔᚑ  ᐕ㧔 ᐕ㧕߹ߢߩ  ᐕ㑆ߢ᧲ᶏᴪጯߦ߅ߌࠆએਅ
ߩ࠺࡯࠲ࠍኻ⽎ߣߒߚ㧚࡮Ṫ᷼╬ߩ㜞ᵄἴኂ⾗ᢱ          ࡮࿾਄ᄤ᳇࿑࡮㘑᷹ⷰ⾗ᢱ㧔᳇⽎ᐡ㧕          ࡮ᵄᶉ᷹ⷰ⾗ᢱ㧔0192*#5㧕࡮ߘߩઁ㧔ᣢᓔߩᵄᶉផ▚㑐ଥ⾗ᢱ㧕 ᵄᶉផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬߩㆬቯᵄᶉផ▚ߩኻ⽎ߣߔࠆ᳇⽎ᡓੂߩㆬቯߪ㧘෼㓸ᢛℂߒߚ਄⸥ߩၮ␆࠺࡯࠲ࠃࠅኻ⽎ᶏၞߩᶏ⽎․ᕈ㧘ߥࠄ߮ߦἴኂᤨߩ᳇⽎ࡄ࠲࡯ࡦࠍ〯߹߃ߡ㧘એਅߩᚻ㗅ߢⴕߞߚ㧚1) Ṫ᷼࡮ᶏጯ଻ోᣉ⸳╬ߦἴኂࠍ߽ߚࠄߒߚ᳇⽎ᡓੂߪోߡផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬߣߒߡㆬቯߔࠆ㧚2) ห᭽ߦ೨࿁⺞ᩏߩផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬ㧔 ࠤ࡯ࠬ㧕ߦߟ޿ߡ߽㧘ోߡផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬߣߒߡㆬቯߔࠆ㧚3) ߐࠄߦ㧘ᵄᶉ᷹ⷰ࠺࡯࠲㧔࠽࠙ࡈࠔࠬ㧕ࠍ෼㓸ߒߚᦼ㑆㧔 ᐕ߆ࠄ  ᐕ㧕ߦߟ޿ߡߪ㧘᭎ߨᐕ㑆ߩ਄૏  ૏⒟ᐲ߹ߢߩ㜞ᵄ߇᷹ⷰߐࠇߚᦼ㑆ࠍផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬߩ୥⵬ߣߒߡㆬᛯߔࠆ㧚ߥ߅㧘ᐕᦨᄢᵄ㜞ࠍ᷹ⷰߒߚ᳇⽎ᡓੂߦߟ޿ߡߪ㧘ోߡផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬߣߒߡㆬቯߔࠆ㧚4) ߚߛߒ㧘 ᐕ߆ࠄ  ᐕ߹ߢߪ㧘࠽࠙ࡈࠔࠬߣߒߡߩᵄᶉ᷹ⷰ࠺࡯࠲߇ሽ࿷ߒߥ޿ߎߣ㧔㨪 ᐕ㧕㧘޽ࠆ޿ߪ᷹ⷰᚲᢙ߇ዋߥ޿਄ߦ㧘ᰳ᷹߇Ყセ⊛ᄙ޿ߎߣ㧔㨪 ᐕ㧕߆ࠄ㧘ᐕᦨᄢࠢ࡜ࠬߩ᳇⽎ᡓੂࠍ⷗⪭ߣߔෂ㒾ᕈ߇޽ࠆ㧚ߎߩߚ߼㧘㘑᷹ⷰ࠺࡯࠲ߥࠄ߮ߦ೨࿁⺞ᩏߩ⾗ᢱ㧔 ᐕએ೨㧕߆ࠄ㧘ᐕᦨᄢ⋧ᒰߩ㜞ᵄ߇⊒↢ߔࠆߣផኤߐࠇࠆᡓੂࠍផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬߩ୥⵬ߣߒߡㆬᛯߔࠆ㧚5)  ᐕ߆ࠄ  ᐕߦߟ޿ߡߪ㧘࠽࠙ࡈࠔࠬߣߒߡߩᵄᶉ᷹ⷰ࠺࡯࠲߇ሽ࿷ߒߥ޿ߎߣ㧘߹ߚ㧘᳇⽎ᐡ⋙ୃ㧔ౣ⛔⸘୯㧕ߩ㘑᷹ⷰ࠺࡯࠲ߩኻ⽎ᦼ㑆߆ࠄᄖࠇࠆߎߣ߆ࠄ㧘೨࿁⺞ᩏߩ⾗ᢱࠍၮᧄߣߒߡ㧘ᶏ⽎․ᕈ߅ࠃ߮ἴኂᤨߩ᳇⽎ࡄ࠲࡯ࡦࠍ〯߹߃ߡᄤ᳇࿑ࠍ♖ᩏߒ㧘ᐕᦨᄢ⋧ᒰߩ㜞ᵄ߇⊒↢ߔࠆߣផኤߐࠇࠆᡓੂࠍផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬߩ୥⵬ߣߒߡㆬᛯߔࠆ㧚એ਄ߩᚻᴺߢផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬ୥⵬ࠍㆬᛯߔࠆߣ㧘߅߅ࠃߘᐕ㑆  ࠤ࡯ࠬߩ୥⵬߇᛽಴ߐࠇߚ㧚ߎࠇࠄߩផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬ୥⵬߆ࠄ㧘ᐕ਄૏  ᵄ㜞⒟ᐲߩ㜞ᵄ߇⊒↢ߔࠆߣផኤߐࠇࠆ᳇⽎ᡓੂࠍ  ᐕ㑆ߢ  ࠤ࡯ࠬࠍ⋡቟ߣߒߡᦨ⚳⊛ߦኻ⽎ᦼ㑆  ᐕ㨪 ᐕ㧔 ᐕ㑆㧕ߢว⸘  ࠤ࡯ࠬࠍㆬቯߒߚ㧚24᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩᴒᵄផ▚ߦ㑐ߔࠆ⺞ᩏ⎇ⓥ

⴫ ᵄᶉផ▚ࠤ࡯ࠬߩ଀㧔 ᐕ㧕 0Q೨࿁⺞ᩏࠤ࡯ࠬᬌ⸽↪
ࠤ࡯ࠬἴኂ⁁ᴫ␹ᄹᎹ㕒ጟᗲ⍮ਃ㊀٤٤٤٤٤٤٤٤٤٤٤ᦼ㑆
㨪㨪㨪㨪㨪㨪㨪㨪㨪ᡓੂ࠲ࠗࡊ





.P
6྾
6྾
6਻
6਻
6਻
6᧲
6྾
.U

ᵈ .Pᣣᧄᶏૐ᳇࿶‫ޔ‬.Uධጯૐ᳇࿶‫ޔ‬.UPੑߟ₹ૐ᳇࿶‫ޔ‬.ψ౻ૐ᳇࿶ㅢㆊᓟ౻ဳ‫ޔ‬౻౻ဳ‫ޓޓ‬6㑐㑐᧲ߦ਄㒽ߒߚบ㘑‫ޔ‬6᧲᧲ᶏ‫ޔ‬6♿♿દ‫ޔ‬6྾྾࿖‫ޔ‬6਻㧦਻Ꮊ‫ޔ‬65ᣣᧄධᶏ਄ࠍㅢㆊ

 ផ▚ᚻᴺ߅ࠃ߮᧦ઙ⸳ቯ ផ▚ᚻᴺᶏ਄㘑ߩផ▚ߪ㧘ૐ᳇࿶߅ࠃ߮㜞᳇࿶߇౒ሽߔࠆᐢ᳇࿶࠺࡯࠲บ㘑࠺࡯࠲ၞ⊛ߥ㘑ߦ㑐ߒߡߪ‫ޡ‬Ⴚ⇇ጀࡕ࠺࡞‫ޢ‬㧘บ㘑ၞౝߩዪᚲቴⷰ⸃ᨆ࠺࡯࠲ ࡌࠬ࠻࠻࡜࠶ࠢ࠺࡯࠲ Ⴚ⇇ጀࡕ࠺࡞บ㘑ࡕ࠺࡞ᐢၞ⊛ߥᶏ਄㘑บ㘑ၞౝߩᶏ਄㘑⊛ߥ㘑ߦ㑐ߒߡߪ‫ޡ‬บ㘑ࡕ࠺࡞‫ߡ޿↪ࠍޢ‬୘೎ߦ⸘▚ߒ㧘ߐࠄߦ‫ߡߒ↪૶ࠍޢ࡞࠺ࡕ࠼࠶࡝ࡉࠗࡂޡ‬㧘บ㘑ߩਛᔃ߆ࠄߩ〒㔌ߦᔕߓߡਔ⠪ߩផ▚⚿ᨐࠍṖࠄ߆ߦធ⛯ߐߖߚ㧚߹ߚ㧘ᵄᶉផ▚ߦߪ㧘ᵄᶉࠬࡍࠢ࠻࡞ߩᤨ࡮ⓨ㑆ᄌേࠍᢙ୯⊛ߦ⸃ߊࠬࡍࠢ࠻࡞ᴺߦၮߠߊᵄᶉផ▚ᚻᴺࠍណ↪ߔࠆߎߣߣߒ㧘㕖✢ᒻ⋧੕૞↪ߦࠃࠆࠛࡀ࡞ࠡࡂࠗࡉ࡝࠶࠼ࡕ࠺࡞࡯ャㅍ㗄߇⋥ធ⊛ߦ⴫⃻ߐࠇߡ޿ࠆ‫╙ޡ‬㧟਎ઍߩᵄᶉផ▚ࡕ࠺࡞㧔ᵻᶏࡕ࠺࡞㧕‫ߚߒ↪૶ࠍޢ‬㧚ᶏ ਄ 㘑 ⸘▚᧦ઙᵄᶉផ▚᧦ઙࠍ⴫㧘⸘▚㗔ၞ㧔⁜㗔ၞ㧕ࠍ࿑ ߦ╙  ਎ઍᵄᶉផ▚ࡕ࠺࡞␜ߔ㧚᳇⽎ᄖജ࠺࡯࠲ߪ㧘ᣣᧄ㧘☨࿖㧘᰷Ꮊߩ᳇⽎㑐ଥฦᯏ㑐߆ࠄ౉ᚻߢ߈ࠆቴⷰ⸃ᨆ࠺࡯࠲㧔᳇⽎ࡕ࠺࡞ࠍ↪

ᵄ ᶉ ႐ࠍ૶↪ߒߚ㧚޿ߡㆊ෰ߩ᳇⽎ࠍౣ⃻ߒߚᩰሶὐ࠺࡯࠲㧕࿑ ᵄᶉផ▚ࡈࡠ࡯ቴⷰ⸃ᨆ࠺࡯࠲ߩ࠺࡯࠲࠮࠶࠻ߦߪ㧘ᶏ㕙᳇࿶એᄖߦᶏ਄㘑ߥߤߩ࠺࡯࠲߽฽߹ࠇߡ޿ࠆ㧚ቴⷰ⸃ᨆ࠺࡯࠲ߩᶏ਄㘑ߪ㧘ⓨ㑆⸃௝ᐲ߇ૐߊ㒽਄࿾ᒻߩᓇ㗀߇⠨ᘦߐࠇߡ޿ࠆߚ߼㧘ᴪጯㇱߩᶏ਄㘑߇ㆊዊ⹏ଔߩ௑ะߦ޽ࠅ㧘ᵄᶉផ▚ߦ↪޿ࠆᄖജ࠺࡯࠲ߣߒߡߪㆡߐߥ޿㕙߇޽ࠆ㧚ߘߎߢ㧘ᧄᬌ⸛ߢߪቴⷰ⸃ᨆ࠺࡯࠲ߩᶏ㕙᳇࿶࠺࡯࠲ࠍ↪޿᳇࿶௑ᐲ߆ࠄᶏ਄㘑ࠍផ▚ߔࠆߎߣߣߒߚ㧚߹ߚ㧘ቴⷰ⸃ᨆ࠺࡯࠲ߪ  ᤨ㑆Ფߩ࠺࡯࠲࠮࠶࠻ߢ޽ࠅ㧘ⓨ㑆⸃௝ᐲ߽౉ᚻవߦࠃߞߡ⇣ߥࠅᔅߕߒ߽⸃௝ᐲ߇㜞޿ߣߪ⸒߃ߥ޿㧚ߎߩߚ߼㧘ᶏ㕙᳇࿶࠺࡯࠲߆ࠄᶏ਄㘑ࠍផ▚ߔࠆߦ޽ߚߞߡߪ㧘ᐔ㕙ࠬࡊ࡜ࠗࡦ⵬㑆ߦࠃߞߡⓨ㑆⸃௝ᐲࠍ㜞߼  ᤨ㑆Ფߩᶏ਄㘑ࠍផ▚ߒߚᓟߦ㧘ᤨ㑆ゲߦኻߒߡ߽ࠬࡊ࡜ࠗࡦ⵬㑆ࠍᣉߒ  ᤨ㑆Ფߩᶏ਄㘑࠺࡯࠲ࠍ૞ᚑߒߚ㧚25᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩᴒᵄផ▚ߦ㑐ߔࠆ⺞ᩏ⎇ⓥ

⴫ ᵄᶉផ▚᧦ઙ ⸘▚▸࿐ ᩰሶᢙᩰሶ㑆㓒⸘▚ᤨ㑆㑆㓒๟ᵄᢙಽഀᢙᣇะಽഀᢙᐢ㗔ၞਛ㗔ၞ⁜㗔ၞౝḧၞ

0㩩㨪㩩'㩩㨪㩩0㩩㨪㩩'㩩㨪㩩0㩩㨪㩩'㩩㨪㩩0㩩㨪㩩'㩩㨪㩩

㩩 ⚂MO

㩩 ⚂MO㩩 ⚂MO㩩 ⚂MOᤨ㑆ᚑಽ‫\* ޓ‬㨪*\⚂U㨪Uᚑಽ߹ߚ㧘࿾ᒻ߅ࠃ߮᳓ᷓ࠺࡯࠲ߪ㧘ᶏ਄଻቟ᐡ᳓〝ㇱ߆ࠄ౉ᚻߢ߈ࠆᶏᐩ࿾ᒻ࿑㧔ᴪጯᶏߩၮᧄ࿑㧕ࠍ߽ߣߦ૞ᚑߒ㧘⸘▚㗔ၞߦߟ޿ߡߪ㧘ᄖᵗ߆ࠄߩ߁ߨࠅࠍౣ⃻ߢ߈㧘߆ߟౝḧ㧔દ൓ḧ㨯ਃᴡḧ㧕ߢߩᵄᶉߩ⊒㆐߿વ᠞߽⴫⃻ߢ߈ࠆࠃ߁ߦ㧘ᐢ㗔ၞ㧘ਛ㗔ၞ㧘⁜㗔ၞ߅ࠃ߮ౝḧၞ߆ࠄ᭴ᚑߐࠇࠆ  ߟߩ㗔ၞࠍ⸳ቯߒߚ㧚࿑ ᵄᶉផ▚ߩ⸘▚㗔ၞ㧔⁜㗔ၞ㧧ᩰሶ㑆㓒  㩩⚂ MO㧕̪࿑ਛߩ‫ߪغ‬㧘ౝḧၞߩ⸘▚▸࿐ࠍ␜ߔ㧚 ᤨ ᵄᶉផ▚࿾ὐᵄᶉផ▚࿾ὐߪ㧘೨࿁ߩᵄᶉផ▚࿾ὐߣห╬ߩ૏⟎ߦട߃㧘ฦ▤ℂ⠪ߣߩද⼏ߦࠃࠅ㧘੹ᓟߩផ▚ၮ⋚ᢛ஻ߦ᦭ലߣ್ᢿߐࠇࠆⶄᢙߩ⵬ഥὐߦߟ޿ߡ▚಴ߒߚ㧚߹ߚ㧘ផ▚࿾ὐߩਛߦߪᵻᶏၞ㧔ᴒᵄᵄ㐳ߩ  એᵻ㧕ߦ⸳ቯߐࠇߚ࿾ὐ߽฽߹ࠇࠆߚ߼㧘ฦ࿾ὐߦߪ⁜㗔ၞ㧘ౝḧၞߩ඙ಽߩ߶߆㧘⏕₸ᵄ㜞ߩ૏⟎ߠߌߣߒߡ‫ޟ‬ᷓᶏᵄ‫ޠ‬‫ޟ‬ᵻᶏᵄ‫ޟ߮ࠃ߅ޠ‬㘑ㅦߩߺ‫⸳߇ޠ‬ቯߐࠇߡ޿ࠆ࿾ὐߦಽߌࠄࠇߡ߅ࠅ㧘㨬ᵻᶏၞ㨭ߩផ▚࿾ὐߦߪᒰ⹥࿾ὐߩ᳓ᷓᖱႎ߇ਈ߃ࠄࠇߡ޿ࠆ㧚 ᤨ26᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩᴒᵄផ▚ߦ㑐ߔࠆ⺞ᩏ⎇ⓥ ⸳⸘ᵄߩᬌ⸽ߎࠇࠄߩផ▚ߦࠃࠅ᳞߼ࠄࠇߚᴒᵄ⻉రߣᣥᴒᵄ⻉రߩᲧセ߅ࠃ߮છᗧߩṪ᷼ᣉ⸳ࠍ᛽಴ߒߚ਄ߢ㧘᭴ㅧ‛ߦኻߔࠆᣂᣥ⸳⸘ᵄߩᏅ⇣ࠍᬌ⸽ߒߚ㧚ߥ߅㧘⸳⸘ᵄߩ▚಴ߪ‫ޟ‬Ṫ᷼࡮Ṫ႐ߩᣉ⸳ߩ⸳⸘ߩᚻᒁ߈‫ޠ‬㧔 ᐕ 㧕ߦḰ᜚ߒߚᚻᴺߦࠃߞߡ޿ࠆ㧚㧟㧚ਥߥ⺞ᩏ⚿ᨐ ᴒᵄផ▚ ᶏ਄㘑ߩផ▚⚿ᨐో࿖ߩⶄᢙߩᵄᶉ᷹ⷰᚲߢᣢᓔᦨᄢᵄ㜞ࠍᦝᣂߒ㧘᧲ᶏ࿾ၞߦ߅޿ߡ߽ᄙᢙߩἴኂࠍ߽ߚࠄߒߚ ᐕߩบ㘑  ภߦߟ޿ߡ㧘ᶏ਄㘑ߩផ▚଀ࠍ࿑ ߦ␜ߔ㧚࿑ ᶏ਄㘑ߩផ▚⚿ᨐ଀㧔 ᐕ  ᦬  ᣣ㧕 ᵄᶉផ▚ߩ⚿ᨐᚢᓟᦨᄢߩบ㘑ߣ⸒ࠊࠇࠆદ൓ḧบ㘑㧔 ᐕߩบ㘑  ภ㧕ࠍขࠅ޽ߍ㧘ߘߩᤨߩᦨᄢ᦭⟵ᵄ㜞ߩಽᏓ࿑ࠍ࿑ ߦ␜ߔ㧚 ‫⁜ޣ‬㗔ၞߩᦨᄢ᦭⟵ᵄ㜞ಽᏓ‫ޤ‬OOౝḧၞOOOOO࿑ દ൓ḧบ㘑ᤨ㧔 ᐕ  ᦬  ᣣ㨪 ᣣ㧕ߩᦨᄢ᦭⟵ᵄ㜞ಽᏓ࿑ᵄ 㜞OOOOO̪࿑ਛߩ‫ߪغ‬㧘ౝḧၞߩ⸘▚▸࿐ࠍ␜ߔ㧚 ផ▚⚿ᨐߩᬌ⸽ోࠤ࡯ࠬߩᵄᶉផ▚ߦవ┙ߜ㧘ᵻᶏၞ㧘ౝḧၞ߽฽߼ߡᵄᶉ᷹ⷰ⸥㍳߇ᢛߞߡ޿ࠆ  ᐕ㨪 ᐕߩᦼ㑆ߩ ࠤ࡯ࠬߦߟ޿ߡᵄᶉផ▚ߩ♖ᐲࠍᬌ⸽ߒߚ⚿ᨐ㧘࿑ ߦ␜ߔࠃ߁ߦታ᷹୯ߣផ▚୯ߩᭂ୯Ყセߪᵄ㜞㧘๟ᦼߣ߽ߦ⋧㑐߇ᭂ߼ߡ㜞ߊ㧘૶↪ߔࠆᵄᶉផ▚ࡕ࠺࡞ߩ♖ᐲߪ⦟ᅢߢ޽ࠆߣ್ᢿߐࠇߚ㧚27᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩᴒᵄផ▚ߦ㑐ߔࠆ⺞ᩏ⎇ⓥᵄᶋᓮ೨ፒ᦭⟵ᵄ㜞ᐔႦદ൓ḧਅ↰ầጧᷡ᳓ᵄᶋᓮ೨ፒ᦭⟵ᵄ๟ᦼᐔႦદ൓ḧਅ↰ầጧᷡ᳓ផ▚୯ Uផ▚୯ O

[:4

[:4

ታ᷹୯ O

ታ᷹୯ U࿑ ታ᷹୯ߣផ▚୯ߩᲧセ࿑㧔ᭂ୯㧕 ᵄᶉផ▚ߩታᣉ߅ࠃ߮⏕₸ᵄ⻉రߩ▚ቯផ▚♖ᐲ߇ᬌ⸽ߐࠇߚᵄᶉផ▚ࡕ࠺࡞ࠍ↪޿ߡ  ᐕ㑆ో  ࠤ࡯ࠬߩᵄᶉផ▚ࠍታᣉߒ㧘ߘߩᵄᶉផ▚⚿ᨐߦၮߠ߈ᭂ୯⛔⸘⸃ᨆࠍⴕ޿㧘 ᣇ૏೎ߩ⏕₸ᵄ⻉రࠍ▚ቯߒߚ㧚ᭂ୯⛔⸘⸃ᨆߦߪว↰ߩᣇᴺࠍ↪޿ߚ㧚 ᣥ⸳⸘ᵄߣߩᲧセᬌ⸽ ᴒᵄ⻉రߩᲧセ೨࿁⺞ᩏߩ▚಴ὐߦ߅ߌࠆ⏕₸ᵄ⻉రߩᲧセࠃࠅ㧘ㄭᐕߩ㜞ᵄߩჇᄢߩᓇ㗀ߦࠃࠅ㧘ਥߥ᧪ⷅᣇะߦߟ޿ߡߪᧄ⺞ᩏߩᵄ㜞߇㜞ߊߥࠆ௑ะߦ޽ࠆߎߣ㧘ㅒߦ㧘ਥߥᣇะ߆ࠄᄖࠇࠆᵄะߦ߅޿ߡ㧘ផ▚ߦ૶↪ߒߚ࿾ᒻߩ♖ᐲ߇ะ਄ߒߚߚ߼ᧄ⺞ᩏߩ୯߇ዊߐߊߥࠆ࿾ὐ߇⷗ࠄࠇࠆ╬ߩ௑ะ߇⏕⹺ߐࠇߚ㧚 ⸳⸘ᵄߩᲧセᧄ⺞ᩏߢ▚ቯߒߚ⏕₸ᵄࠍ↪޿ߡ㧘ฦ⋵ߩઍ⴫⊛ߥṪ᷼ᣉ⸳ᢙ଀ߦߟ޿ߡኻ⽎ᣉ⸳ߩ⸳⸘ᵄࠍ▚ቯߒ㧘Ყセᬌ⸽ࠍⴕߞߚ⚿ᨐ㧘⃻ⴕߩ⸳⸘ᵄߦᲧߴᵄ㜞߇ዊߐߊ▚ቯߐࠇࠆ႐ว߽޽ࠆ߇㧘Ṫ᷼ᣉ⸳ߪᲧセ⊛⸳⟎᳓ᷓ߇ᵻ޿႐ว߇ᄙ޿ߎߣ߆ࠄ㧘๟ᦼ߇㐳ߊߥߞߡ޿ࠆಽ㧘⸳⸘ᄖജߣߒߡߪᄢ߈ߊߥࠆ௑ะ߇⏕⹺ߐࠇߚ㧚ᵄ㜞୯ߪ㧘ᧄ⺞ᩏߩ․㐳ߢ޽ࠆ‫ޟ‬ᵻᶏࡕ࠺࡞ࠍ↪޿ߡṪ᷼೨㕙ߩᲧセ⊛᳓ᷓߩᵻ޿࿾ὐߢ⏕₸ᵄ㜞㧔ᴒᵄ⻉ర㧕ࠍ▚ቯߒߡ޿ࠆߎߣ‫߇ޠ‬ᓇ㗀ߒߡ޿ࠆߣ⠨߃ࠄࠇࠆ߇㧘ࠃࠅ⃻ታ⊛ߥ୯ߣߥߞߡ޿ࠆ߽ߩߣ್ᢿߐࠇࠆ㧚㧠㧚߹ߣ߼ᧄ⺞ᩏߩ․㐳ߣߒߡ㧘Ԙផ▚ߩኻ⽎ᦼ㑆߇㐳ߊᡓੂᢙ߽ᄙ޿ߎߣ߆ࠄ㧘ᓧࠄࠇߚ⏕₸ᵄ⻉రߪ㧘⛔⸘⊛ߦା㗬ᕈ߇㜞޿ߎߣ㧘ԙᵻᶏࡕ࠺࡞ߩណ↪ߣ⹦⚦ߥ࿾ᒻౣ⃻ߦࠃࠅ㧘Ṫ᷼ߩᢙ MO ೨㕙ߩᵻᶏၞߦ߅޿ߡ⸳⸘ᴒᵄࠍ▚ቯߒߚߎߣ㧘Ԛᓥ᧪㧘⏕₸㘑ㅦ߆ࠄ㧿㧹㧮ᴺ╬ߦࠃࠅ㘑ᵄߩߺߩᴒᵄࠍផ▚ߒߡ޿ߚౝḧၞߦ߅޿ߡ㧘ḧᄖ߆ࠄଚ౉ߔࠆᵄᶉ߽⠨ᘦߒߚᣇะ೎ߩᴒᵄ⻉రࠍ▚ቯߒߚߎߣ╬߇޽ߍࠄࠇࠆ㧚ផ▚ߐࠇߚᴒᵄ⻉రߪ㧘ㄭᐕߩ㜞ᵄᶉ⊒↢ࠍ෻ᤋߒߡ㧘ᣉ⸳⸳⸘╬ߦᄢ߈ߊᓇ㗀ߔࠆਥᣇะߦ߅޿ߡ㧘೨࿁ߩᴒᵄ⻉రࠃࠅ߽ᄢ߈ߊߥࠆ௑ะࠍ␜ߒߡ߅ࠅ㧘ታ᷹୯ߣߩᲧセߦࠃࠅౣ⃻ᕈ߽⏕⹺ߐࠇߚ㧚ߒߚ߇ߞߡ㧘੹࿁ផ▚ߐࠇߚᴒᵄ⻉రߪ㧘੹ᓟ㧘᧲ᶏ࿾ၞߩ᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩ⸘↹࡮⸳⸘╬ߦㆡ↪ߔࠆᴒᵄ⻉రߣߒߡㆡಾߢ޽ࠆߣ್ᢿߐࠇߚ㧚28᳓↥ၮ⋚ᣉ⸳ߩᴒᵄផ▚ߦ㑐ߔࠆ⺞ᩏ⎇ⓥ㧡㧚ᚑᨐߩᵴ↪ᧄ⺞ᩏߢ⸳ቯߐࠇߚᣂߒ޿ᴒᵄ⻉రߪ㧘੹ᓟߩ᧲ᶏ࿾ၞߩ᳓↥ၮ⋚ᢛ஻㑐ㅪᬺോ╬ߦᐢߊㆡ↪ߐࠇࠆߎߣߣߥࠆ߇㧘⸘↹࡮⸳⸘╬ߩታോߦ߅޿ߡ߽㧘ផ▚ᚻᴺߩะ਄ߦࠃࠅ㜞♖ᐲߢ޽ࠆߎߣߦട߃㧘ઍ⴫ផ▚࿾ὐએᄖߦᄙߊߩ⵬ഥផ▚࿾ὐ߿Ṫ᷼ߦㄭ޿ᴪጯㇱߩផ▚࿾ὐࠍ⸳ߌߚߎߣ߆ࠄ㧘Ԙᐢ▸࿐ߥᵄะ߈߇ᬌ⸛น⢻ߣߥࠆ㧘ԙᵄᶉᄌᒻ⸘▚ߩᐢ㗔ၞ㧔╙㧝Ბ㓏㧕߇⋭⇛น⢻ߣߥࠆ㧘Ԛౝḧၞߢ㘑߆ࠄߩḧౝ⊒↢ᵄߩផ▚߇ၮᧄ⊛ߦᔅⷐߥߊߥࠆ㧘ԛḧౝ⊒↢ᵄߣᄖᵗᵄߩวᚑ߇ᔅⷐߥߊߥࠆߥߤ㧘૞ᬺߩല₸ൻ࡮ᦨㆡൻ߇ᦼᓙߐࠇࠆ㧚߹ߚ㧘ᒰ⺞ᩏߦࠃࠅታᣉߒߚផ▚ᚻᴺߪ㧘㜞♖ᐲߣᐢ޿ㆡ↪ᕈ߇┙⸽ߐࠇ㧘ห⒳⺞ᩏ߳ߩណ↪㧘੹ᓟߩᛛⴚ⊛⊒ዷߦᄢ߈ߊነਈߔࠆ߽ߩߣᦼᓙߐࠇࠆ㧚ෳ⠨ᢥ₂㧕㧔⽷㧕Ṫ᷼Ṫ᧛ᑪ⸳ᛛⴚ⎇ⓥᚲ㧦᧲ᶏ࿾ၞᴒᵄផ▚⺞ᩏႎ๔ᦠ㧘5㧕㧔␠㧕ో࿖Ṫ᷼Ṫ႐දળ㧦Ṫ᷼࡮Ṫ႐ߩᣉ⸳ߩᚻᒁ߈ ᐕ 㧘⾗ᢱ  㘑ߩផ▚ᣇᴺߩ᭎ⷐߣㆡ↪ᴺ㧚㧕㧔␠㧕࿯ᧁቇળ㧦ᣂߒ޿ᵄᶉ▚ቯᴺߣߎࠇ߆ࠄߩᶏၞᣉ⸳ߩ⸳⸘ᴺ㧘࿯ᧁቇળᶏጯᎿቇᆔຬળ⎇ⓥ⃻ᴫ࡟ࡆࡘ࡯ዊᆔຬળ㧘R㧕ว↰⦟ኪ㧦⠴ᵄᎿቇ̆᷼ḧ࡮ᶏጯ᭴ㅧ‛ߩ⠴ᵄ⸳⸘Υᭂ୯⛔⸘⸃ᨆ㧘㣮ፉ಴ ળ㧚29