The Global Forum of Japan (GFJ)

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グローバル・フォーラム 「世界との対話」

ユーラシア2025：ポスト・パワーシフトの地政学
2018年2月28日／28 February 2018
ホテルオークラ東京／ Hotel Okura Tokyo, Japan
主催／Sponsored by
グローバル・フォーラム／The Global Forum of Japan (GFJ)
共催／Co-sponsored by
公益財団法人日本国際フォーラム／The Japan Forum on International Relations (JFIR)
仏国際関係戦略研究所／The French Institute for International and Strategic Affairs (IRIS)
2018年2月28日（水）／Wednesday, 28 February 2018
ホテルオークラ東京「メイプルルーム」／"Maple Room," Hotel Okura Tokyo
オープニング・セッション ／ Opening Session

14:00-14:50
開会挨拶 （5分間）

渡辺

Opening Remark (5min.)WATANABE Mayu, President, GFJ / Senior Executive Director, JFIR

繭グローバル・フォーラム執行世話人／日本国際フォーラム専務理事

基調講演 （20分間）

パスカル・ボニファス 仏国際関係戦略研究所所長（フランス）

Keynote Speech (20min.)Pascal BONIFACE, Director, The French Institute for International and Strategic Affairs (IRIS) (France)

基調講演 （20分間）

渡邊 啓貴

Keynote Speech (20min.)WATANABE Hirotaka, Professor, Tokyo University of Foreign Studies / Academic Member, GFJ / Superior Research Fellow, JFIR

東京外国語大学教授／グローバル・フォーラム有識者メンバー／日本国際フォーラム上席研究員

セッション１／ Session I

いまユーラシアで何が起こっているか
What is Happening in Eurasia?

15:00-16:20
モデレーター （5分間）

高畑 洋平

Moderator (5 min.)

TAKAHATA Yohei, Vice President, GFJ / Senior Research Fellow, JFIR

グローバル・フォーラム常任世話人／日本国際フォーラム主任研究員

報告A （10分間）

廣瀬 陽子

Lead Discussant A (10 min.)HIROSE Yoko, Professor, Keio University / Academic Member, GFJ

慶応義塾大学教授／グローバル・フォーラム有識者メンバー

報告B （10分間）

ダニヤル・コスナザロフ

Lead Discussant B (10 min.)Daniyar KOSNAZAROV, Head, Strategic Analysis Department of Narxoz University (Khazakstan)

ナルホズ大学研究員（カザフスタン）

報告C （10分間）

三船 恵美

Lead Discussant C (10 min.)MIFUNE Emi, Professor, Komazawa University / Academic Member, GFJ

駒澤大学教授／グローバル・フォーラム有識者メンバー

リード・コメント （5分間）

パスカル・ボニファス 仏国際関係戦略研究所所長（フランス）

Lead Comment (5 min.)Pascal BONIFACE, Director, The French Institute for International and Strategic Affairs (IRIS) (France)

自由討議 （40分間）

出席者全員

Free Discussions (40 min.)All Participants

16:20-16:30

休憩 / Breakセッション２／ Session II

変容するユーラシアは国際社会に何をもたらすか
Eurasia in Transition: from a Global Perspective

16:30-17:50
モデレーター （5分間）

矢野 卓也

Moderator (5 min.)YANO Takuya, Research Coordinator, JFIR

日本国際フォーラム研究センター長

報告A （10分間）

宇山 智彦

Lead Discussant A (10 min.)UYAMA Tomohiko, Professor, Hokkaido University / Academic Member, GFJ

北海道大学教授／グローバル・フォーラム有識者メンバー

報告B （10分間）

スコット・シーマン

Lead Discussant B (10 min.)Scott SEAMAN, Director, Asia, Eurasia Group (U.S.A.)

ユーラシア・グループ・アジア担当部長（米国）報告C （10分間）

鈴木 美勝

Lead Discussant C (10 min.)SUZUKI Yoshikatsu, Journalist / former Editor in Chief, "Diplomacy"

ジャーナリスト／専門誌『外交』前編集長

リード・コメント （5分間）

河合Lead Comment (5 min.)KAWAI Masahiro, Specially Appointed Professor, The University of Tokyo / Academic Member, GFJ / Superior Research Fellow, JFIR

正弘 東京大学特任教授／グローバル・フォーラム有識者メンバー／日本国際フォーラム上席研究員

自由討議 （40分間）

出席者全員

Free Discussions (40 min.)All Participants

閉幕セッション ／ Closing Session

17:50-18:00
総括 （10分間）

渡邊 啓貴

Wrap-up (10 min.)WATANABE Hirotaka, Professor, Tokyo University of Foreign Studies / Academic Member, GFJ / Superior Research Fellow, JFIR

東京外国語大学教授／グローバル・フォーラム有識者メンバー／日本国際フォーラム上席研究員[NOTE]日本語・英語同時通訳付き／ English-Japanese simultaneous interpretation will be provided

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WATANABE Mayu

President, the Global Forum of Japan

Graduated from Chiba University. Received M.A. in Education from the Graduate School of the University of Tokyo in
1997. Joined the Japan Forum on International Relations (JFIR) in 2000 and appointed to Senior Research Fellow in 2007,
during which period she specialized in global human resource development and public diplomacy. Appointed to Executive
Director in 2011 and assumed the current position since 2017. Concurrently serving as Senior Executive Director of theJFIR, and Acting Vice-President of the Council on East Asian Community (CEAC).

Pascal BONIFACE

Director, the French Institute for International and Strategic Affairs

Concurrently serves as Professor of International Relations at the “Institut d’Etudes européennes (Institute for EuropeanStudies),” the University of Paris VIII. Previously published or edited more than sixty books that deal with International
Relations, European security, French international policy, and also the conflict in the Middle-East and its impact in France.
His recent publication includes “La géopolitique” and “50 idées reçues sur l’état du monde”.’

WATANAEBE Hirotaka

Professor, Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

Graduated from Tokyo University of Foreign Studies in 1978. Received M. A. from Tokyo University of Foreign Studies
in 1980. Completed his doctoral studies in international relations at the Universite de Paris I Pantheon-Sorbonne in 1986.
Occupied such positions as Assistant Professor, and then Professor of Tokyo University of Foreign Studies. Also served asa Minister, Public Diplomacy at Japanese Embassy in France (2008-2010) and Editor in Chief, ʺGaiko(Diplomacy)ʺ and“Cahier du Japon” (2002-2012). Concurrently serves as Director, Institute of International Relations at Tokyo Universityof Foreign Studies, Editor in chief, French edition of “nippon.com.”

TAKAHATA Yohei

Vice President, the Global Forum of Japan

Graduated from Hosei University in 2007. Received M.A. in International Relations from the Graduate School of Waseda
University in 2009 and joined the Japan Forum on International Relations (JFIR) and the Global Forum of Japan (GFJ).
Appointed to Executive Secretary, GFJ in 2015 and assumed the current position since 2018. Concurrently serving as
Senior Research Fellow, JFIR, e-Forum Chief Editor and Academic Member, GFJ. The field of his expertise includes IR andthe politics of Antarctica.

HIROSE Yoko

Professor, Keio UniversityGraduated in Policy Management from Keio University, received M.A. in Laws from the University of Tokyo and obtained
Ph.D. in Media and Governance from Keio University. Occupied such positions as Special Researcher at Slavic ResearchCenter of Hokkaido University and Visiting Scholar at Harriman Institute, Columbia University (2013-2014). Currently
serves as Visiting Reseacher at the Aleksanteri Institute, University of Helsinki in Finland.

Daniyar KOSNAZAROV

Head, Strategic Analysis Department of Narxoz University (Khazakstan)

Graduated in International Relations from Selcuk University in Turkey, received M.A. in International Relations andRegional Studies from the Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Tsukuba University. Occupied suchpositions as Deputy Director at Eurasian Research Institute (2013-2014) and Senior Research Fellow at InternationalTurkic Academy (2015-2016). His articles were published at the Financial Times, the Diplomat, Carnegie Endowment forInternational Peace, RUSI.

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MIFUNE Emi

Professor, Komazawa University

Graduated from Waseda University, received M.A. in International Relations from the Graduate School of Boston
University and completed Ph.D. in Politics at Gakushuin University. The field of her expertise are contemporary Chinese
diplomacy international relations studies.

YANO Takuya

Research Coordinator, the Japan Forum on International Relations

Graduated from Keio University, obtained Master of Law from the Graduate School of Law at Keio University, where healso completed Ph.D. coursework in Political Science. Joined JFIR in 2007 and served as Research Assistant, ResearchFellow, Senior Research Fellow in 2009 before assuming the current position since 2015. Co-authored “Intersections of theHistory of Political Though and Intellectual History in Europe” (Keio University Press, 2008) and “East Asian
Community White Paper 2010” (Tachibana Shuppan, 2010), etc.

UYAMA Tomohiko

Professor, Hokkaido University

Graduated from the University of Tokyo, from which he also received M.A and Ph.D in Area Studies. Previously occupied
such positions as Attaché at the Embassy of Japan in the Republic of Kazakhstan (1994-1995) and Visiting Scholar at theInstitute of Oriental Studies, the National Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Kazakhstan (1995-1996). He specializes
in Central Eurasian history and politics, with research interests ranging from Russian imperial history and national
movements to contemporary authoritarian regimes and international relations.

Scott SEAMAN

Director, Asia, Eurasia Group (U.S.A.)

Received B.A. in Government from the University of Virginia and M.A. and Ph.D. in political science from Duke
University. Previously worked at MetLife as Assistant Vice President with responsibilities for government relations inAsian markets. Also served in the US Commerce Department’s International Trade Administration. Scott focuses atEurasia Group on the economic, trade, and foreign policies of Japan, South Korea, and North Korea.

SUZUKI Yoshikatsu

Journalist / former Editor in Chief, ʺDiplomacyʺ

Graduated from Waseda University. He is one of the leading journalists in Japan, who had long held a position at PoliticalDivision of Jiji Press serving as both Senior Correspondent of the Washington Bureau and Head of the New York Bureau,branches of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and The Prime Minister’s Official Residence. Now he serves as Senior Research
Fellow of Foreign Service Training Institute. His recent publication includes “Japan’s Strategic Diplomacy (日本の戦略外交).”KAWAI Masahiro

Specially Appointed Professor, The University of Tokyo

Graduated in Economics from the University of Tokyo and received M.S. in Statistics and Ph.D in Economics fromStanford University. Previously served as: Associate Professor of Economics at The Johns Hopkins University; Professorof Economics at the University of Tokyo; Chief Economist of the World Bankʹs East Asia and Pacific Region; Deputy Vice
Minister of Finance for International Affairs of Japanʹs Finance Ministry; and Dean of Asian Development Bank Institute.
Now he concurrently serves as Superior Research Fellow of JFIR and Academic Member of GFJ.

（In order of appearance in the program）

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(1) The Global Forum of Japan (GFJ)
GFJ is a private, non-profit, non-partisan, and independent membership organization in Japan. Business
Member, Political Member, and Academic Member support its activities as Governors and Members. The
Secretariat is housed in The Japan Forum on International Relations. GFJ is currently headed by ITO Kenichi
as Chairman, WATANABE Mayu as President, and TAKAHATA Yohei as Vice President. The activities ofGFJ are (1) e-forum “Giron-Hyakushutsu (Hundred Views in Full Perspective)”, (2) Monthly held meetings“Foreign Policy Luncheon” and “Diplomatic Roundtable,” (3) PR and Enlightenment, (4) “InternationalDialogues” convened 3 to 4 times a year.
■■Contact■■
Address: 2-17-12-1301, Akasaka, Minato-ku, Tokyo, 107-0052, Japan
TEL: +81-3-3584-2193 FAX: +81-3-3505-4406 E-mail: gfj@gfj.jp
URL: http://www.gfj.jp/j/(2) The Japan Forum on International Relations (JFIR)
JFIR is a membership organization with four categories of membership: namely, (1) corporate, (2) associate
corporate, and (3) individual. As for the organizational structure of JFIR, the “Board of Trustees” is thehighest decision-making body, which is in charge of electing the “Directors” and of supervising overall
activities of JFIR, etc., while the “Board of Directors” is an executive body, which is in charge of themanagement of day-to-day operations of JFIR. There are, in addition, four “Committees,” which function
either under the direction or at the request of the Board of Directors for the implementation of the activitiesof JFIR. “Advisors” serve “Chairman,” while “Counselors” serve “President” both as their consultants.
The activities of JFIR are categorized into the following seven pillars: (1) Policy Recommendations, (2) Online Public Forum (e-Forum “Hyakka-Seiho”), (3) Research Programs, (4) International Dialogues &Exchanges, (5) Participation in International Frameworks, (6) Intelligence Gathering, and (7) PR &Enlightenment.
■■Contact■■
Address: 2-17-12-1301, Akasaka, Minato-ku, Tokyo, 107-0052, Japan
TEL: +81-3-3584-2190 FAX: +81-3-3589-5120 E-mail: jfir@jfir.or.jp
URL: http://www.jfir.or.jp/j/(3) The French Institute for International and Strategic Affairs (IRIS)
IRIS is one of the main independent European Think Tanks on geopolitical and strategic issues. IRIS
contributes to the research and the debates around strategic and international issues by offering a different
and original analysis of national and international issues. IRIS also creates a very independent way of offeringa strategic expertise. Lastly, IRIS creating a space for dialogue and reflection in which all the members of thestrategic community, that is specialists from different professional and philosophical backgrounds could
share their views. IRIS activities can be divided into four fields: (1) Research, (2) Organization of Events andMeetings, (3) Publishing, and (4) Training.
■■Contact■■
Address: 2 bis rue Mercoeur ,75011 Paris, France
TEL: + 33 (0)1 53 27 60 60 FAX: + 33 (0)1 53 27 60 70 E-mail: contact@iris-france.org
URL: http://www.iris-france.org/

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Appendix1: Map of Eurasia（from Google Map）

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Appendix2: Upsidedown Map of Eurasia (from Google Earth)6

Appendix3: The World viewed from Japan (from Boniface et Vedrene, the Japanese edition of Atlas du Monde global, 2015, p.122 )7

The Global Forum of Japan (GFJ)
17-12-1301, Akasaka 2-chome Minato-ku, Tokyo, 107-0052, Japan[Tel] +81-3-3584-2193[Fax] +81-3-3505-4406[E-mail] gfj@gfj.jp [URL] http://www.gfj.jp/