WORLD MIGRATIONREPORT 2022

The opinions expressed in the report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the International
Organization for Migration (IOM). The designations employed and the presentation of material throughout the report do
not imply expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of IOM concerning the legal status of any country, territory, cityor area, or of its authorities, or concerning its frontiers or boundaries.
IOM is committed to the principle that humane and orderly migration benefits migrants and society. As an intergovernmentalorganization, IOM acts with its partners in the international community to: assist in meeting the operational challenges of
migration; advance understanding of migration issues; encourage social and economic development through migration; anduphold the human dignity and well-being of migrants.
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Bogota’s Mayoral Office runs this Orientation and Assistance Point in Bogota’s bus station where
humanitarian partners like IOM offer services to Venezuelan migrants and refugees. © IOM 2019/Muse
Mohammed
Protection from coastal erosion Cox’s Bazar. Sampan boats. © IOM 2016/Amanda Nero
Many Venezuelans travelling through the continent do so by foot carrying all their children andpossessions. Caminantes, or walkers, trek along major highways and through difficult terrain. © IOM
2019/Muse Mohammed
McAuliffe, M. and A. Triandafyllidou (eds.), 2021. World Migration Report 2022. International Organization
for Migration (IOM), Geneva.

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WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

This volume is the result of a highly collaborative venture involving a multitude of partners and contributors
under the direction of the World Migration Report Editor. Work on this edition (World Migration Report 2022)
commenced in March 2020 and culminated in the launch of the report in December 2021 by the Director Generalat the 112th session of IOM Council.
The findings, interpretations, conclusions and recommendations expressed herein do not necessarily reflect theviews of IOM or its Member States.
The designations employed and the presentation of material throughout the report do not imply the expressionof any opinion whatsoever on the part of IOM concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area,
or of its authorities, or concerning its frontiers or boundaries.
All reasonable efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the data referred to in this report, including
through data verification. We regret, however, any data errors that may remain. Unless otherwise stated, this report
does not refer to data or events after June 2021.
This edition of the report is dedicated to the late Ambassador William Lacy Swing (1934 – 2021) and our colleague
Tuna Dalkılıç (1980 – 2021), both of whom supported the WMR and gave their time and energy to its production
and dissemination.
The stories behind the photographs can be found on page v.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

iii

Editorial, review and production team
Editors

Marie McAuliffe (IOM) and Anna Triandafyllidou (Ryerson University)

IOM reviewers

Soumyadeep Banerjee, Matteo Busto, Meredith Byron, Elizabeth Collett,Harry Cook, Pablo Escribano, Deepali Fernandes, Claire Galez-Davis,
Jorge Andrés Gallo, Sam Grundy, Lorenzo Guadagno, Caroline Henderson,
Dina Ionesco, Phineas Jasi, Azrah Karim Rajput, Heather Komenda, Luca
Lamorte, Andrea Milan, Juliana Quintero and Anita Wadud

Academic reviewers

Tarik Abou-Chadi, Cecilia Cannon, Michael Clemens, Yogesh Dwivedi,
Gibril Faal, Alan Gamlen, Ahmet İçduygu, Binod Khadria, Susan Martin,
Petra Molnar, Sriprapha Petcharamesree, S. Irudaya Rajan, Eugenia Siapera
and Sallie Yea

Publication production manager

Valerie Hagger

Project administration

Liberty Beriña and Aurelie Ben Gavriel

Copyeditor

Karl Muller

Report layout

Carmelo Torres

Report webpage and interactive

Marie McAuliffe, Adrian Kitimbo, J. Ignacio Martin-Galan, Xaquín Veira
González, Ray Leyesa and J.C. Borlongan

IOM research teamMarie McAuliffe, Céline Bauloz, Adrian Kitimbo, Pablo Rojas Coppari*,
Jenna Blower*, Taehoon Lee*, Josiane Matar*, Ben Brindle*, Adam Sawyer**

Translations

part project

French and Spanish Translation Units, Governing Bodies Division, IOM

Acknowledgements
The editors are particularly grateful to the authors of the thematic chapters and to all of the IOM and academic
reviewers who provided constructive feedback on the draft chapters. We are especially grateful to IOM’s Director
General, António Vitorino, and members of IOM’s senior leadership team, who actively supported this World
Migration Report, including Eugenio Ambrosi, Ugochi Daniels, Amy Pope, Wen Li, Eva Åkerman Börje, Charles
Kwenin, Renate Held, Carmela Godeau, Nenette Motus, Michele Klein Solomon, Diego Beltrand, Marcelo Pisani,
Mohammed Abdiker, Elizabeth Collett, Helga Bras, Vincent Houver, Alejandro Guidi, Aissata Kane, Othman Belbeisi,
Iori Kato, Manfred Profazi and Luca Dall'Oglio.
We also wish to acknowledge the Governments of Australia, Canada and Ireland for their financial support, as
well as Robert Bosch Stiftung, the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Geneva Office, the IOM Migration Resource Allocation
Committee (MIRAC) and many IOM regional and country offices around the world.
Special thanks also to the Harvard Data Science Review (especially Xiao-Li Meng and Rebecca McLeod), USA for
IOM and USA for UNHCR for the May 2021 World Migration and Displacement Symposium.

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Contributors
Chapter 1: Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration andmobility futures
Authors: Marie McAuliffe and Anna Triandafyllidou
Research assistants and other contributors: Céline Bauloz, Taehoon Lee and Adrian Kitimbo. For Appendix B:
Carmela Godeau, Kristina Mejo, Wonesai Sithole, Emmanuel Quarshie, Nenette Motus, Itayi Viriri, Rudolf Maxwald,
Sarah Carl, Susanne Melde, Andrea Ortiz, Ryan Schroeder, Elisa Tsakiri, Amr Taha, Ivona Zakoska-Todorovska,
Chiara Maria Tognetti, Stefanie Allemann, Helene Legoff, Ionela Timofte, Simon Lauranne Van Asch, Alexander
Doggen, Agnes Ebenberger, Abdi Hersi, Ericka Guevara and Ezequiel Texido
Chapter 2: Migration and migrants: A global overview
Main contributors: Marie McAuliffe, Taehoon Lee and Guy Abel
Research assistants and other contributors: Mohammad Rizki, Silvan Lange, Joey Cabana and Virginie Fong
Chapter 3: Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments
Main contributors: Adrian Kitimbo, Jenna Blower, Marie McAuliffe, Guy Abel and Taehoon Lee
Research assistants and other contributors: Pablo Escribano, Rudolf Maxwald, Mark McCarthy, Ezequiel Texido,
Dalila Polack, Christopher Zapp, Emmanuel Quarshi, Abdi Hersi, Justin MacDermott, Tsion Tadesse Abebe, Asma
Saeed, Kristina Mejo, Hind Kinani, Tanja Dedovic, Irene Pasini, Amr Taha, Stefanie Alleman, Peter Broomfield, Ivona
Zakoska-Todorovska, Itayi Viriri, Nari Shim, Damien Jusselme, Hind Aissaoui Bennani, Sarah Carl and Elisa Tsakiri
Chapter 4: Migration research and analysis: Recent United Nations contributions
Main contributors: Pablo Rojas Coppari and Marie McAuliffe
Research assistant: Cristina Schaver
Chapter 5: The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally
Authors: Marie McAuliffe, Luisa Feline Freier, Ronald Skeldon and Jenna Blower
Research Assistants: Ben Brindle and Taehoon Lee
Chapter 6: Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration
Authors: Adrian Kitimbo, Amanda Lucey and Mehari Taddele Maru
Research Assistant: Ben Brindle
Chapter 7: International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?
Authors: Marie McAuliffe, Guy Abel, Linda Oucho and Adam Sawyer
Chapter 8: Disinformation about migration: An age-old issue with new tech dimensions
Authors: Eileen Culloty, Jane Suiter, Itayi Viriri and Sara Creta
Chapter 9: Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action
Authors: Mariam Traore Chazalnoël and Alex Randall
Research Assistants: Iulia Duca and Tran Hieu Hanh Hoang
Chapter 10: Human trafficking in migration pathways: Trends, challenges and new forms of cooperation
Authors: Céline Bauloz, Marika McAdam and Joseph Teye
Research Assistant: Josiane Matar and Jenna Blower

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022v

Chapter 11: Artificial intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practice
Authors: Ana Beduschi and Marie McAuliffe
Research Assistant: Josiane Matar
Chapter 12: Reflections on migrants’ contributions in an era of increasing disruption and disinformation “REPEAT”
Authors: Marie McAuliffe, Adrian Kitimbo and Binod Khadria
Research Assistant: Michelle Nguyen

Photographs
Chapter 1
Fadmou holds her baby girl as she waits in a clinic in Hargeisa, Somalia. © IOM 2020/Muse Mohammed
Part IThe Shahrak Sabz internally displaced person (IDP) settlement in Afghanistan was established in 2018 by IDPs
fleeing drought. Upwards of 30,000 IDPs now live in the area as of February 2021. © IOM 2021/Muse Mohammed
Chapter 2
Many of the more than 300,000 Venezuelan refugees and migrants who cross the border of Ecuador and Colombia
pass through this border point in Ipiales, Colombia. Others embark on trochas, or informal and more dangerous
routes, in rural areas through mountains and across rivers to enter Ecuador. © IOM 2019/Muse Mohammed
Chapter 3
In the context of reintegration activities 355 returning migrants have received vocational training and have beenaccompanied in the creation of microenterprises or in the search for a job or work experience in Burkina Faso.
© IOM 2018/Alexander Bee
Chapter 4
Front-line worker at the IOM Point of Entry health screening point in Chanika, United Republic of Tanzania.
© IOM 2019/Muse Mohammed
Part II
Empty Geneva airport during COVID-19. © IOM 2021/Pegah Guillot
Chapter 5
Jamila is a nurse at one of IOM’s e Centres in Cox’s Bazar. The facility has been converted to an Isolation Centre
for suspected cases of COVID-19. Together with a team of trained doctors, nurses and midwives, Jamila is part of
the front-line responders to COVID-19 in the camp. © IOM 2020/Nate Webb

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Chapter 6
The French photojournalist of Iranian origin Reza Deghati led a three-day photography training workshop in
Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire. The training was aimed at migrants returning to their country after experiencing difficult
journeys abroad. Six young photographers also participated in the training. After learning the technical aspects ofphotography, the participants put their new skills into practice by attending reintegration and recreation activities
organized by IOM for returnees and community members. © IOM 2019/Mohamed Aly Diabate
Chapter 7
Exit from Metro Station, Moscow. More than 90 per cent of all the streets of this city are cleaned by labour migrant
who live in basements. Most of them receive only one third of the salary wages for which they are promised inrelated documents. Street cleaners are the subjects of frequent attacks by nationalists. © IOM 2018/Elyor Nematov
Chapter 8“Loharano” is the project launched by IOM and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Madagascar, in order to engage theMadagascan diaspora in the economic development of Madagascar. This image was taken in one of the classrooms
where volunteers give computer lessons. © IOM 2019/Natalie Oren
Chapter 9
Islanders bid farewell to IOM staff as they leave the Carteret Islands. © IOM 2016/Muse Mohammed
Chapter 10
Minors at the TAS centre in Bossaso are all Ethiopian unaccompanied children. They were tricked by smugglers tocome to Somalia hoping to get to the Gulf but have been abandoned on the road after their money was taken away.
IOM, UNICEF and local partner TAS provide shelter and assistance to them while they await family reunification.
© IOM 2020/Muse Mohammed
Chapter 11
Real feelings. © Coralie Vogelaar 2020
Chapter 12
Robeiro, an ex-combatant from an illegal paramilitary group in Colombia, carries the harvested chili peppers.
Robeiro is one of 300 beneficiaries of an income generation project implemented by IOM Colombia. © IOM 2009/
Diego Samora
Appendices
Daniela who is staying at Albergue Sol de Pastos – a transit centre in Ipiales, Colombia – before she travels onward
to Ecuador. IOM and other agencies provide shelter, medical and psychosocial assistance, food and other services
at this transit centre. © IOM 2019/Angela Wells
References
Nour Abdi Garaad is a Somali returnee in Burco who has now set up his own shop in the centre town selling
garments. © IOM 2020/Muse Mohammed

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Table of contents
Editorial, review and production team.............................................................................................................................................iii
Acknowledgements....................................................................................................................................................................................iii
Contributors..................................................................................................................................................................................................iv
Photographs....................................................................................................................................................................................................v
List of figures and tables.......................................................................................................................................................................viii
List of appendices.......................................................................................................................................................................................xi
Foreword........................................................................................................................................................................................................xii
Chapter 1 – Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations
shaping our migration and mobility futures........................................................................................................1

Part I: Key data and information on migration and migrants................................................................ 18
Chapter 2 – Migration and migrants: A global overview......................................................................................................21
Chapter 3 – Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments..........................................................59
Chapter 4 – Migration research and analysis: Recent United Nations contributions.......................................... 129

Part II: Complex and emerging migration issues.................................................................................... 148
Chapter 5 – The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally......... 151
Chapter 6 – Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration................................ 173
Chapter 7 – International Migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data
actually show?............................................................................................................................................................. 191
Chapter 8 – Disinformation about migration: An age-old issue with new tech dimensions......................... 217
Chapter 9 – Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock andtaking action................................................................................................................................................................ 233
Chapter 10 – Human trafficking in migration pathways: Trends, challenges and new formsof cooperation........................................................................................................................................................... 255
Chapter 11 – Artificial Intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practice................. 281
Chapter 12 – Reflections on migrants’ contributions in an era of increasing disruption anddisinformation............................................................................................................................................................. 301
Appendices................................................................................................................................................................................................ 307
References.................................................................................................................................................................................................. 391

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List of figures and tables
Chapter 1
Table 1.
Table 2.

Key facts and figures on IOM (1951, 2016 and 2021)......................................................................................................9
Key facts and figures from World Migration Reports 2000 and 2022..................................................................10

Chapter 2
Table 1.
Figure 1.
Figure 2.
Figure 3.
Figure 4.
Figure 5.
Figure 6.
Figure 7.

International migrants, 1970–2020.............................................................................................................................................23
International migrants, by major region of residence, 2005–2020 (millions)......................................................24
Top 20 destinations (left) and origins (right) of international migrants in 2020 (millions)...........................25
Top 20 international migration country-to-country corridors, 2020......................................................................27
International migrants, by sex, 2000–2020............................................................................................................................28
Inflows of foreign nationals into OECD countries, permanent migration, 2000–2018 (millions)...........30
Migrant deaths by region, 2014–2020......................................................................................................................................31
COVID-19-related travel controls: International and internal, January 2020–June 2021,
all countries.............................................................................................................................................................................................33
Figure 8. COVID-19-related international travel measures: March 2020–June 2021, all countries............................34
Figure 9. Air passengers carried globally, 1945–2020..........................................................................................................................35
Figure 10. Migrant workers by destination country income level, 2013, 2017 and 2019..................................................36
Table 2. International migrant workers, by sex and income level of destination country, 2019................................37
Figure 11. Geographic distribution of migrant workers by sex (millions), 2019......................................................................38
Figure 12. International remittance flows to low- and middle-income countries (1990–2020) ..................................40
Table 3. Top 10 countries receiving/sending international remittances (2005–2020) (current USD billion)........41
Figure 13. Top 20 recipient countries/territories of international remittances by total in USD billion (left)
and share of GDP (right), 2019–2020.....................................................................................................................................42
Figure 14. Top 20 sending countries/territories of international remittances by total in USD billion (left)
and share of GDP (right), 2019–2020.....................................................................................................................................43
Figure 15. Number of refugees by top five countries of origin, 2005–2020 (millions)........................................................46
Figure 16. Number of refugees by top five host countries as of 2020 (millions) .................................................................46
Figure 17. Number of refugees resettled by major resettlement countries in 2005–2020..............................................47
Table 4. Number of refugees needing resettlement and number of refugees resettled globally, from 2005.....48
Figure 18. Top 20 countries with the largest populations of internally displaced persons
by conflict and violence at the end of 2020 (millions)...................................................................................................51
Figure 19. Conflict displacements (top) and disaster displacements (bottom) in 2020 by location.............................53
Figure 20. New internal displacements due to conflict and disasters, 2010–2020 (millions)...........................................54

Chapter 3
Figure 1. Migrants to, within and from Africa, 1990–2020..............................................................................................................61
Figure 2. Top 20 African migrant countries, 2020.................................................................................................................................62
Figure 3. COVID-19-related travel controls in Africa: International and internal, January 2020 to June 2021......... 63
Figure 4. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Africa: March 2020 to June 2021................................64
Figure 5. Top African international remittance recipient and source countries, 2019 and 2020................................65
Figure 6. Top 10 African countries by total refugees and asylum seekers, 2020.................................................................66
Figure 7. Top 20 African countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020...............................67
Figure 8. Migrants to, within and from Asia, 1990–2020..................................................................................................................74
Figure 9. Top 20 Asian migrant countries/territories, 2020.............................................................................................................75
Figure 10. COVID-19-related travel controls in Asia: International and internal, January 2020 to June 2021.......76

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Figure 11. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Asia: March 2020 to June 2021...................................77
Figure 12. Top Asian international remittance recipient and source countries, 2019 and 2020....................................78
Figure 13. Top 10 Asian countries by total refugees and asylum seekers, 2020....................................................................79
Figure 14. Top 20 Asian countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020...................................80
Figure 15. Migrants to, within and from Europe, 1990–2020............................................................................................................88
Figure 16. Top 20 European migrant countries, 2020...........................................................................................................................89
Figure 17. COVID-19-related travel controls in Europe: International and internal,
January 2020 to June 2021............................................................................................................................................................90
Figure 18. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Europe: March 2020 to June 2021.............................91
Figure 19. Top 20 European international remittance recipient and source countries, 2019 and 2020....................92
Figure 20. Top 10 European countries by total refugees and asylum seekers, 2020............................................................93
Figure 21. Top 20 European countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020..........................94
Figure 22. Migrants to, within and from Latin America and the Caribbean, 1990–2020...................................................99
Figure 23. Top Latin America and Caribbean migrant countries, 2020..................................................................................... 100
Figure 24. COVID-19-related travel controls in Latin America and the Caribbean:International and internal, January 2020 to June 2021................................................................................................ 101
Figure 25. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Latin America and the Caribbean:
March 2020 to June 2021........................................................................................................................................................... 102
Figure 26. Top remittance recipient and source countries in Latin America and the Caribbean,
2019 and 2020................................................................................................................................................................................... 103
Figure 27. Top 10 Latin America and Caribbean countries by total refugees and asylum seekers, 2020.............. 104
Figure 28. Top Latin and Caribbean countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020....... 105
Figure 29. Migrants to, within and from North America, 1990–2020...................................................................................... 109
Figure 30. Main migration countries in Northern America, 2020................................................................................................ 110
Figure 31. COVID-19-related travel controls in Northern America: International and internal,
January 2020 to June 2021......................................................................................................................................................... 111
Figure 32. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Northern America: March 2020 to June 2021.......112
Figure 33. Remittance recipient and source countries in Northern America, 2019 and 2020................................... 113
Figure 34. Number of refugees and asylum seekers in and from Northern American countries, 2020................ 113
Figure 35. Northern American countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020................. 114
Figure 36. Migrants to, within and from Oceania, 1990–2020...................................................................................................... 117
Figure 37. Main migration countries in Oceania, 2020....................................................................................................................... 118
Figure 38. COVID-19-related travel controls in Oceania: International and internal,
January 2020 to June 2021......................................................................................................................................................... 119
Figure 39. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Oceania: March 2020 to June 2021........................ 120
Figure 40. Top international remittance recipient and source countries in Oceania, 2019 and 2020..................... 121
Figure 41. Numbers of refugees and asylum seekers in and from Oceania countries, 2020........................................ 121
Figure 42. Top countries in Oceania by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020............................ 122

Chapter 4
Table 1.
Table 2.
Table 3.

Strengths and weaknesses of academic and non-academic research ................................................................. 130
United Nations Network on Migration members, including Executive Committee members............. 133
Examples of key global material published from 2019 until June 2021............................................................. 142

Chapter 5
Figure 1. COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths by United Nations region after one year.................................... 152
Figure 2. Air transport passengers carried, 1980 to 2018............................................................................................................ 155
Figure 3. Government responses to minimize COVID-19 transmission, by number of countries.......................... 157

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Figure 4. Government responses to minimize COVID-19 transmission in Africa, Asia, Europe
and Latin America and the Caribbean, by number of countries........................................................................... 158
Figure 5. Air passengers carried globally, 1945–2020....................................................................................................................... 160
Table 1. Impacts of COVID-19 throughout the migration cycle.............................................................................................. 161

Chapter 6
Table 1. Global peace, State fragility, human development and displacement (selected countries)....................... 179
Figure 1. Remittances, foreign direct investment (FDI) and official development assistance (ODA)
flows to low- and middle-income countries, 1990–2020.......................................................................................... 186

Chapter 7
Figure 1. International migrants by region 1990 to 2019: Migrants to, migrants within and migrants
from Europe, and Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC).................................................................................... 192
Table 1. Human development, fragility and passport rankings for selected countries.................................................. 195
Figure 2. A model of the mechanisms that produce migration.................................................................................................. 196
Figure 3. Mobility transition............................................................................................................................................................................. 198
Figure 4. Emigration prevalence, 1960 to 2019................................................................................................................................... 199
Table 2. Immigrants by United Nations region, 1995 and 2020............................................................................................... 201
Table 3. Top 20 countries of origin and destination, by number (millions) and proportionof total population........................................................................................................................................................................... 202
Figure 5. Immigrants and emigrants by Human Development Index country category, 2020.................................. 204
Figure 6. Association between Human Development Index scores and immigrant/emigrant stocks, 2005....... 204
Table 4. Number of countries in HDI classifications, 1995 to 2019...................................................................................... 205
Figure 7. Migrants to, between and from each of the four HDI categories(low, medium, high and very high), 1995–2020............................................................................................................... 207
Figure 8. Schengen area member States.................................................................................................................................................. 210
Figure 9. Migration between very high HDI countries..................................................................................................................... 211
Figure 10. ECOWAS member States........................................................................................................................................................... 212
Figure 11. Migration between low HDI countries................................................................................................................................. 213

Chapter 8
Figure 1. The online disinformation process.......................................................................................................................................... 222
Figure 2. Debunking Steps............................................................................................................................................................................... 227

Chapter 10
Figure 1. The three cumulative elements of trafficking in persons as defined in Article 3(a)of the Trafficking Protocol........................................................................................................................................................... 257
Figure 2. Percentage of detected victims by type of trafficking flows and subregions,2018 (or most recently available)............................................................................................................................................ 265
Figure 3. Number of detected trafficking victims, by form of exploitation and region of detection, 2018....... 266
Figure 4. Percentage of identified victims, by exploitation sector and intra-/inter-subregional trafficking........... 267
Figure 5. Criminal justice funnel for trafficking cases and main challenges........................................................................... 271
Figure 6. Main components of the right to an effective remedy for victims of trafficking.......................................... 273

Chapter 11
Figure 1. Artificial Intelligence and the migration cycle.................................................................................................................... 284

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List of appendices
Chapter 1
Appendix A. The International Organization for Migration: 70th anniversary............................................................. 307
Appendix B. Highlighting the work of IOM’s regional offices during the Organization’s
70th anniversary.............................................................................................................................................................. 311

Chapter 2
Appendix A. Abridged extract: Final Report on Conceptual Frameworks and Concepts
and Definitions on International Migration (27 April 2021)...................................................................... 341

Chapter 3
Appendix A. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs: Regions and Subregions.............. 344

Chapter 4
Appendix A. Chart of the United Nations System................................................................................................................... 349
Appendix B. Summary of the United Nations Compacts and Network on Migration process timelines..... 350

Chapter 5
Appendix A. ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 351
Appendix B. ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 352

Chapter 6
Appendix A. Trends and drivers of conflict.................................................................................................................................. 371
Appendix B. UN documents for peacebuilding: Secretary-General’s reports.............................................................. 373

Chapter 7
Appendix A. Opportunity, migration and the Human Development Index.................................................................. 374
Appendix B. How I ended up in a scientific spat about migration figures and what I learned from it ........ 375
Appendix C. ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 378

Chapter 9
Appendix A. Key definitions ................................................................................................................................................................ 379
Appendix B. Additional United Nations policy initiatives related to slow-onset events and migration.......... 380

Chapter 10
Appendix A. Ratification status of international instruments relevant to migration................................................. 382
Appendix B. Forms of exploitation captured in regional instruments............................................................................. 383
Appendix C. Inter-State consultation mechanisms relevant to human trafficking ..................................................... 384

Chapter 11
Appendix A. Definitions of AI.............................................................................................................................................................. 386
Appendix B. AI usage in different sectors..................................................................................................................................... 388

xiiWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

Foreword
Human migration and mobility may well be age-old phenomena touching almost every society around the world.
However, they have changed over time in important ways. Examining these shifts in scale, direction, demography
and frequency can help us understand how migration is evolving, and can inform effective policies, programmes
and operational responses on the ground.
The current United Nations global estimate is that there were around 281 million international migrants in theworld in 2020, which equates to 3.6 per cent of the global population. This is a small minority of the world’s
population, meaning that staying within one’s country of birth remains, overwhelmingly, the norm. The great
majority of people do not migrate across borders; much larger numbers migrate within countries, although wehave seen this slow over the past two years as COVID-19 related immobility has gripped communities everywhere.
The COVID-19 pandemic has also highlighted the interconnections between migration and mobility, with COVID-19
travel restrictions resulting in hundreds of millions of people being unable to travel for months on end, and leaving
many thousands of migrants stranded and in need of assistance.
Migration is a complex issue. As such, it is one that can be exacerbated by misinformation and politicization toalarming degrees. The central aim of the flagship World Migration Report is to set out in clear and accurate terms
the changes occurring in migration and mobility globally so that readers can better situate their own work. As
the United Nations migration agency, IOM has an obligation to demystify the complexity and diversity of humanmobility. The report also acknowledges IOM’s continuing obligation to uphold fundamental rights and its mission
to support those migrants who are most in need. This is particularly relevant in the areas in which IOM works
to provide humanitarian assistance to people who have been displaced, including by weather events, conflict andpersecution, or to those who have become stranded during crises, such as COVID-19.
Likewise, IOM remains committed to supporting Member States as they draw upon various forms of data, research
and analysis during policy formulation and review processes. Indeed, this is reflected in IOM’s Constitution where
the need for migration research is highlighted as an integral part of the Organization’s functions. The World
Migration Report is a flagship component of this important area of work.
That said, we also know that the key features of migration vary across different locations, and that specific audiences(such as policy officials, practitioners, media, researchers, teachers and students) have varying information andanalytical needs when using this report to inform their work. So, in addition to the presentation of key global andregional migration data and trends as well as salient thematic issues, this World Migration Report is supplemented
by a range of digital tools ensuring that the report does not remain on the “virtual shelf”.
I am proud to report that the World Migration Report editorial team won recognition in two categories of theInternational Annual Report Design Awards 2021, in both the online and pdf categories, for the 2020 edition of
the report. Spurred on by this success, IOM has expanded the array of report materials for a digital age. The
new online interactive platform allows users to explore and interact with key data in a highly visual and engaging
way. This is supplemented by the online educators’ toolkit to support teachers around the world as they seek toprovide balanced, accurate and interesting learning materials on the fundamentals of migration and migrants forteenagers and young adults.

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The rise and rise of disinformation about migration has meant that the World Migration Report has become a key
source for fact-checkers around the world, helping to refute false news on migration in a wide variety of places.
To assist fact-checkers, we have developed a simple toolkit to help bust key myths on migration. We are also
working with partners on the development of a digital policy officials’ toolkit to assist them in utilizing its contents
in a wide range of policy-related settings.
We are cognizant that many, including Member States’ officials, need outputs and materials in their own official
language(s). Language translation is a meaningful, practical and cost-effective way of supporting development andtechnical capacity-building for those working in migration around the world. We are pleased that donors agree:
the 2020 edition of the World Migration Report was available for the first time in all six United Nations languages(Arabic, Chinese, English, French, Russian and Spanish), with key chapters also translated into German, Portuguese,
Swahili and Turkish. Our aim, with the support of donors from all sectors, is to increase our linguistic reach evenfurther for this current edition.
Extending the utility and reach of our flagship report is a particularly gratifying aspect of the evolution of theOrganization’s role and contribution to migration discourse globally. On this, our 70th anniversary, it is importantto reflect upon the ongoing need for IOM’s strong operational capabilities to support humanitarian response andleverage migration programmatic expertise. However, what some readers may not realize is that IOM has been
one of the longest standing supporters and producers of migration research and analysis, establishing the firstscientific journal on international migration in 1961, and commencing the World Migration Report more than two
decades ago.
In this era of heightened interest in and activity towards migration and migrants, we hope this 2022 edition of theWorld Migration Report and its related tools become key resources for you. We hope they help you to navigate
this high-profile and dynamic topic during periods of uncertainty, and that the report prompts reflection during
quieter moments. But most importantly, we hope that you learn something new from the report that can informyour own work, be it in studies, research and analysis, policymaking, communication or migration practice.

António Vitorino
Director General

MARIE MCAULIFFE
ANNA TRIANDAFYLLIDOUWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

1

1

REPORT OVERVIEW: TECHNOLOGICAL,GEOPOLITICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL
TRANSFORMATIONS SHAPING OUR MIGRATION
AND MOBILITY FUTURES1

Introduction
The last two years, since the release of the World Migration Report 2020 on 28 November 2019 – around three
weeks before COVID-19 was initially detected – have been unlike anything we could have imagined. It has notbeen business as usual. We therefore cannot make the standard, but nevertheless truthful observations about thetremendous benefits that migration brings to the world, about best practices for safe and well-managed migration,
and about how crises combined with misinformation can risk diverting our attention and lead to migration being
used as a political weapon.2 While these observations remain valid, the most severe pandemic in over a century
has laid bare some other “home truths”. Innovation, ingenuity, skill, compassion, resilience and hope have been
witnessed time and again in responding to this global health crisis. Yet there is a sense that some of the core values
underpinning a well-functioning system of global governance3 were at times reduced to rhetoric or fodder forpolitical “announceables”. Values such as equality, sustainability, cooperation, collaboration, tolerance and inclusion
were, at times, set aside by political and industry leaders under pressure to respond to the pandemic in a hypercompetitive international arena. Unsurprisingly, some of those reflecting on COVID-19 impacts have called for the
return to a holistic understanding of the world and the place that humans occupy in it.4
It is within this context that this World Migration Report focuses on developments in migration over the last twoyear period, with an emphasis on providing analysis that takes into account historical and contemporary factors– historical in recognition that migration and displacement occur within broader long-term social, security, politicaland economic contexts; contemporary in recognition that we are still in many ways grappling with a significant
global upheaval caused by a severe pandemic that has tested even the most resilient systems, countries, communities
and people. While acknowledging that we will continue to experience the systemic effects of COVID-19 for many
years to come, this World Migration Report 2022 offers an initial exploration of current data and other evidence
to answer the key question, “How has COVID-19 altered migration and mobility for people around the world?”
Yet it also answers many other questions beyond a COVID-19 focus, including on important topics such as thelinks between peace and migration, on disinformation on migration, on countering human trafficking in migration
pathways and on climate change impacts.

1
2
3
4

Marie McAuliffe, Head, Migration Research and Publications Division, IOM; Anna Triandafyllidou, Canada Excellence Research Chair in
Migration and Integration, Ryerson University.
See Chapter 1 of the World Migration Report 2020 for discussion of these issues.
See, for example, UN, 2015.
Gardini, 2020.

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Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration and mobility futures

What has happened in migration?
A great deal has happened in migration in the last two years since the release of the last World Migration Reportin late 2019. The COVID-19 global pandemic arrived at a time of heightened uncertainty brought about by
fundamental changes in technology, adding tremendous complexity and anxiety to a world that was alreadyexperiencing significant transformations.5
COVID-19 has radically altered mobility around the world, and while there were initial expectations andhope that the pandemic would be limited to 2020, virus strains, waves of infection and vaccination programming
issues have seen the pandemic continue through 2021. COVID-19 has become a truly seismic global event, testing
the resilience of countries, communities, systems and sectors. By the end of the first year of the pandemic,
116.2 million cases of COVID-19 had been recorded globally, while 2.58 million people had died.6 In mobility terms,
108,000 international COVID-19-related travel restrictions had been imposed globally.7 Air passenger numbers
dropped by 60 per cent in 2020 (1.8 billion) compared with 2019 (4.5 billion), evidence of the massive decline
in mobility globally.8 Chapter 5 of this report provides analysis of COVID-19 impacts on migration, mobility andmigrants during the first year of the pandemic.
The last two years also saw major migration and displacement events; events that have caused great hardshipand trauma, as well as loss of life. Foremost have been the displacements of millions of people due to conflict (suchas within and from the Syrian Arab Republic, Yemen, the Central African Republic, the Democratic Republic of theCongo and South Sudan), or severe economic and political instability (such as that faced by millions of Venezuelans
and Afghans). There have also been large-scale displacements triggered by climate- and weather-related disasters inmany parts of the world in 2020 and 2021, including in China, the Philippines, Bangladesh, India, the United Statesof America and Haiti.9
We have also seen the scale of international migration increase, although at a reduced rate due to
COVID-19. The number of international migrants was estimated to be almost 281 million globally in 2020, withnearly two thirds being labour migrants.10 This figure remains a very small percentage of the world’s population(at 3.6%), meaning that the vast majority of people globally (96.4%) were estimated to be residing in the country
in which they were born. However, the estimated number and proportion of international migrants for 2020 was
lower, by around 2 million, than they otherwise would have been, due to COVID-19.11 It is likely that the longer
international mobility restrictions remain in place in many parts of the world, the weaker the growth will be in thenumber of international migrants in future years.
Long-term data on international migration have taught us that migration is not uniform across the world, but
is shaped by economic, geographic, demographic and other factors, resulting in distinct migration patterns, suchas migration “corridors” being developed over many years (see Chapter 2 of this report for details). The largest
corridors tend to be from developing countries to larger economies, such as those of the United States, theUnited Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Germany; large corridors can also reflect protracted conflict and related
displacement, such as from the Syrian Arab Republic to Turkey (the second largest corridor in the world). While
many long-term corridors are likely to continue to feature in the immediate future, COVID-19 has shed light on
the intensification of digitalization and the potential for greater automation of work around the world that is likely
to affect key labour migration corridors (see discussion below).
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

See Chapter 1 of the World Migration Report 2020 for discussion.
WHO, 2021.
IOM, 2021a (as at 8 March 2021).
ICAO, 2021.
IDMC, 2021.
UN DESA, 2021; ILO, 2021.
UN DESA, 2021.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

3

Key migration data
at a glance
Internationalmigrants(a)281 million

international migrants globallyin 2020, or 3.6 per cent of theworld’s population

272

Up from
million(or 3.5%) in 2019

135 million international female migrants

Up from 130 million(or 3.4%) in 2019

146 million international male migrants

Up from 141 million(or 3.6%) in 2019

Labourmigrants(b)169 million migrant workers globally in2019

Up from 164 million
globally in 2017

Missing
migrants(c)Around 3,900 dead and missing globally in
2020

Down from almost 5,400
in 2019

Females(a)globally in 2020, or 3.5 per cent of the world’s
female population

Males(a)globally in 2020, or 3.7 per cent of the world’s
male population

702 billion

USD

International
remittances(d)Low- andmiddle-income
countries(d)in international remittances
globally in 2020. Althoughinternational remittances
declined due to COVID-19, theactual decline (2.4%) was muchless than initially projected (20%)

USD 540 billion in international
remittances was received by low- and middleincome countries in 2020

Down from719 billion

USD
in 2019

Down from
USD 548 billion
in 2019

4

Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration and mobility futures

Displaced
persons89.4 million

people were living in
displacement globally at theend of 2020 (includes refugees,
asylum seekers, displaced
Venezuelans and IDPs)

Up fromin 201984.8 million

Refugees(e)26.4 million refugees globally in 2020

Up from 26 million
in 2019

Asylumseekers(e)4.1 million asylum seekers globally in 2020

Down from 4.2 million
in 2019

Displaced
Venezuelans(e)3.9 million Venezuelans displaced globallyin 2020 (not including those who were refugees
or asylum seekers)

Up from 3.6 million
in 2019

Internallydisplaced
persons (IDPs)(f)

55 million IDPs globally in 2020: 48 million

Up from 51 million
in 2019due to conflict and violence; 7 million due todisasters

Mobility

Mobility was restricted by COVID-19,
but internal displacement events increased

COVID-19
restrictions(g)108,000 COVID-19 travel restrictions

Global air
passengers(h)1.8 billion air passengers globally in 2020

Major decline from(international and domestic passengers)

4.5 billion in 2019

Internal
displacement
events (disaster)(f)Internal disaster displacement events were
30.7 million globally in 2020

Significantly up fromInternal
displacement
events (conflict)(f)Internal conflict and violence displacement
events were 9.8 million globally in 2020

Up from 8.6 million
in 2019

New restrictions; nil in 2019.

globally in the first year of the pandemic

24.9 million in 2019

Note:
See Chapter 2 for elaboration and discussion.
Sources: (a) UN DESA, 2021; (b) ILO, 2021; (c) IOM, n.d..a; (d) Ratha et al., 2021; (e) UNHCR, 2021; (f) IDMC, 2021; (g) IOM, 2021a;(h) ICAO, 2021.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

5

Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping
migration and mobility
The unprecedented pace of change during recent years in geopolitical, environmental and technological spheres
has led some analysts and commentators to coin or use phrases such as the “age of accelerations”,12 the “fourthindustrial revolution”13 and the “age of change”.14 More recently, COVID-19 has amplified the sense of uncertainty
brought about during momentous change, while also physically grounding much of the world for extended periodsof time. The pandemic has required resilience, while also offering the opportunity to reflect on our collective
futures.
Similar to other international phenomena, migration has historically been affected by seismic geopolitical events,
such as the two world wars, the Cold War, and large terrorist attacks (such as 9/11), which can mark “turning
points” in migration governance, as well as in broader discourse and sentiment.15 The COVID-19 pandemic is thelatest seismic geopolitical event, stemming from a global health emergency and, while by no means over, it has
already had profound impacts on migration and mobility globally. Existing knowledge, evidence and analyses allow
us to place new information on COVID-19 within a frame of reference as new data come to light. Rather thanlooking only at the here and now, we need to be understanding change in terms of longer-term migration patterns
and processes. The significance and implications of COVID-19 can only be sufficiently understood and articulated
when contextualized and rooted in current knowledge of migration.16
It is also important to place migration and mobility within broader systemic change processes that act to determine,shape and impede responses by governments (at different levels) and non-State actors (e.g. civil society, industry,citizens). Key technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations are particularly relevant and help us tounderstand better the strategic issues shaping the context in which people migrate, States formulate and implement
policy, and a wide range of State and non-State actors collaborate and cooperate on migration and mobility
research, policy and practice.

Technological transformations
Technological advances since 2005 resulting in the so-called “fourth industrial revolution” are profoundly changing
how social, political and economic systems operate globally.17 We have been witnessing the rising power of “bigtech”, the increasing production capability for self-publishing of misinformation and disinformation, the race bybusinesses to “digitalize or perish”, the massive increase in data being produced (mainly through user-generated
interactions) resulting in increasing “datafication” of human interactions, and the rapid development and roll-out of
artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities within business and governments sectors.18
Digital technology is becoming increasingly crucial throughout migration. People are able to gather information andadvice in real time during migration journeys, an issue that has raised interest and, at times, concern. The use of apps
to share information and connect geographically dispersed groups has raised valid questions concerning the extent
12
13
14
15
16
17
18

Friedman, 2016.
Schwab, 2016.
Mauldin, 2018.
Faist, 2004; McAuliffe and Goossens, 2018; Newland et al., 2019.
McAuliffe et al., 2020.
Friedman, 2016; Schwab, 2016; Triandafyllidou, 2018.
Desjardins, 2019; Hirsh-Pasek et al., 2018; McAuliffe, 2021; Skog et al., 2018; Zuboff, 2019.

6

Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration and mobility futures

to which digital technology has been used to support irregular migration, as well as to enable migrants to avoid
abusive and exploitative migrant smugglers and human traffickers.19 Migrants have also developed applications to
support better integration in receiving countries, while maintaining social links and financial support to their families
and societies back home, including through the increasing prevalence of “mobile money” apps.20 More recently, we
have seen migrants develop online chatbots using machine-learning technologies to provide psychological support,
as well as to help navigate complex migration policy and visa processing requirements, although digital capture invarious migration systems of an increasing amount of personal information is raising concerns about privacy andother human rights issues (see Chapter 11 of this report).
Other connections between migration and technology are also emerging in migration debates. As artificial intelligence
technologies are progressively taken up in key sectors, their broader consequences for migrant worker demand anddomestic labour markets are areas of intense focus for policymakers and businesses in both origin and receiving
countries.21 Recent discussions have also turned to blockchain technology and its consequences for migration,
especially for international remittances, but also for digital identities and global mobility.22 Social media technology
is also increasingly impacting the politics of migration, with a surge of far-right activism on social media platforms
seeking to influence public debates and ultimately political decisions (see Chapter 8 of this report).
Profound technological change was deepening before COVID-19, but has significantly intensified during the pandemic,
meaning that deep digitalization of an already digitalizing world will be one of the most significant long-term effects
of COVID-19. Shaping migration and mobility systems to reduce the impacts of inequality in a world that is suffering
multiple “digital divides”23 will be particularly important in ensuring implementation of the Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs) and other multilateral agreements.

Geopolitical transformations
Increased competition between States is resulting in heightened geopolitical tension and risking the erosion ofmultilateral cooperation. Economic, political and military power has radically shifted in the last two decades, withpower now more evenly distributed in the international system.24 As a result, there is rising geopolitical competition,
especially among global powers, often played out via proxies. The environment of intensifying competition between
key States – and involving a larger number of States – is undermining international cooperation through multilateralmechanisms, such as those of the United Nations.25 We are living in a period in which the core values underpinning
global governance are being challenged. The values of equity, accountability, impartiality, fairness, justice and probity
are being actively undermined, as some political leaders disregard common interest in preference for personal
interest – even if it corrodes laws, processes and institutions that have, overall, sought to advance whole nations
and peoples, without excluding or expelling some because of their inherent characteristics or beliefs.26 Ongoingand systematic corrosion, as we have witnessed throughout history, can extend to attacks on human rights andultimately on groups of people within societies.27
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

McAuliffe, 2016; Sanchez, 2018.
Kitimbo, 2021.
Hertog, 2019; McAuliffe, 2018.
Latonero et al., 2019; Juskalian, 2018.
“Digital divides” refers to unequal access of digital technology along economic, geographic, demographic and gender lines. See ITU,
2020.
Menon, 2015.
Natalegawa, 2020.
Fotaki, 2014.
Rawnsley, 2018.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

7

In rebalancing the geopolitical debate and arguing for the profound benefits of the multilateral system, many States
and the United Nations have actively progressed a number of key initiatives to deliver improved conditions forcommunities globally, most especially for those most in need. Despite the challenges of a geopolitically charged
competition, some progress has been made towards achieving the SDGs,28 as well as on the specific issues of
migration and displacement via the two Global Compacts for migration and on refugees.29 On the eve of the 2022
International Migration Review Forum – the primary intergovernmental platform on the implementation of the
Global Compact for Migration, including as it relates to the SDGs – preparations are well under way, with a seriesof regional review processes having already been finalized across 2020 and 2021.30 A rallying cry has also been maderecently by the United Nations Secretary-General in his 2021 report Our Common Agenda on bolstering support
for multilateralism in an increasingly complex, competitive and uncertain world.31 Our Common Agenda outlines theUnited Nations’ actions that are designed to strengthen and accelerate multilateral agreements (including the SDGs)
and make a tangible, positive difference in people’s lives around the world.

Environmental transformations
The intensification of ecologically negative human activity is resulting in overconsumption and overproduction linked
to unsustainable economic growth, resource depletion and biodiversity collapse, as well as ongoing climate change.
Broadly grouped under the heading of “human supremacy”, there is growing recognition of the extremely negative
consequences of human activities that are not preserving the planet’s ecological systems. In several key areas,
analysts report that the world is at or nearing “breaking point”, including on climate change, biodiversity collapse
and mass extinction of thousands of species,32 while pollution is at record levels, altering ecosystems globally.33
COVID-19 has dampened human activity in key spheres (e.g. transportation/travel, construction, hospitality) enablinga mini environmental recovery,34 as well as a space to reflect on the ability of humans to achieve extraordinary
things during times of crisis. However, there is a strong sense that this is merely a pause and that human activity
will rebound once the pandemic is over, wiping out the pandemic-related benefits.35 The implications for migrationand displacement are significant, as people increasingly turn to internal and international migration as a means ofadaptation to environmental impacts (see Chapter 9 of the World Migration Report 2020), or face displacementfrom their homes and communities due to slow-onset impacts of climate change (see Chapter 9 of this report) or
experience displacement as a result of acute disaster events (see Chapters 2 and 3 of this report).

28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35

UN, 2021a. This 2021 progress report documents SDG progress, but also highlights how COVID-19 has resulted in major setbacks.
Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration; Global Compact on Refugees.
UNNM, 2021.
UN, 2021b.
UNEP, 2020a.
UNEP, 2020b.
Arora et al., 2020.
Freire-González and Vivanco, 2020.

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Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration and mobility futures

Through the years: IOM marks its 70th anniversary
The year 2021 marks the 70th anniversary of IOM, providing the opportunity to reflect on the Organization and its
work, especially since 2016 when it entered into the United Nations system as a related agency. IOM is the leadingintergovernmental organization promoting (since 1951) humane and orderly migration for the benefit of all, with
174 Member States and a presence in over 100 countries. Initially established as the Provisional Intergovernmental
Committee for the Movement of Migrants from Europe (PICMME) in 1951, its role was carved out of the chaos
and displacement of Western Europe following the Second World War (see text box below on IOM’s early years).

IOM in its early years
Mandated to help European governments to identify resettlement countries for the estimated 11 million
people uprooted by the Second World War, IOM (or PICMME, as it was known then) arranged transport
for nearly a million migrants during the 1950s.
A succession of name changes from PICMME to the Intergovernmental Committee for European Migration(ICEM) in 1952, to the Intergovernmental Committee for Migration (ICM) in 1980 to the International
Organization for Migration (IOM) in 1989, reflects the Organization’s transition over the course of half acentury from logistics agency to migration agency.
While IOM’s history tracks the human-induced and natural disasters of the past half century – Hungary 1956,
Czechoslovakia 1968, Chile 1973, the Vietnamese boat people 1975, Kuwait 1990 and the Asian tsunami
and Pakistan earthquake of 2004/2005 – its credo that humane and orderly migration benefits migrants andsociety has steadily gained international acceptance.
From its roots as an operational logistics agency, it has broadened its scope to become the leadinginternational agency working with governments and civil society to advance the understanding of migration
issues, encourage social and economic development through migration, and uphold the human dignity andwell-being of migrants.
Source: IOM, 2021b.

Over time, IOM’s role and responsibilities have expanded considerably in line with the growing salience of migration
as a key issue in governance at the international, regional, national and subnational levels.36 What started as a focus
on logistics in support of resettling people displaced by conflict has expanded to cover a wide range issues, as
outlined in IOM’s Constitution and as shown in Table 1 below.37 Further information on how IOM has evolved as
an organization, especially since 2016, is in Appendix A.38

36
37
38

Martin, 2014.
IOM, 2020a.
Note that at the time of writing IOM’s Headquarters in Geneva was undergoing a restructure. For information about IOM’sorganizational structure, please visit www.iom.int/.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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Table 1. Key facts and figures on IOM (1951, 2016 and 2021)
1951

2016

2021

Number of Member States

23*

166

174

Number of Observer States

–

6

8

Number of field locations
worldwide

18**

408

450**

Number of staff (excluding
consultants)

352**

10 18416 257**

Number of nationalities
represented in staff

19**

163

172**

Breakdown between female (♀)
and male (♂) staff–

4 764 ♀ and 5 420 ♂
(47% ♀ and 53% ♂)7 640 ♀ and 8 614 ♂**(47% ♀ and 53% ♂)**

Total combined revenue for theyear (i.e. assessed and voluntary
contributions)

USD 26.1 million**

USD 1 615.6 million

USD 2 182.7 million**Note:– means data for that year are not available.
*
This corresponds to the number of participating States prior to the entry into force of the Constitution on 30 April 1954.
**
Figures in the 1951 column marked with a double asterisk are based on the year 1952. Figures in the 2021 column marked
with a double asterisk are as of 31 December 2020.
Sources: Progress Report of the Director General covering the period 1 June 1952 to 31 August 1952, PIC/70, 18 September 1952;
Financial Statements, including report of the external auditors, covering the period 1 February to 31 December 1952, MC/8, 27
March 1953; Financial Report for the Year Ended 31 December 2016, C/108/3, 18 May 2017; IOM Snapshot 2021; ObserverStates, as of April 2021; Financial Report for the Year Ended 31 December 2020, C/112/3, 31 May 2021; and Annual Reportfor 2020, C/112/INF/1, 25 June 2021.

As can be seen from Table 1, IOM’s presence around the world has grown over time, in part a reflection of
the increased focus on migration governance, but also due to the unfortunate reality concerning the growth ininternal displacement and the humanitarian and other support needed by some migrant populations. As outlined
in Chapters 2 and 3 of this report, the long-term trends regarding migration and displacement vary according to arange of factors, including geography. IOM’s regional offices therefore often reflect the regional dynamics associatedwith migration and displacement trends, and events over time. What this means in practice is that while the United
Nations refers to six geographic regions (see Appendix A in Chapter 3 for regional compositions), IOM has ninegeographic regions: East and Horn of Africa; West and Central Africa; Southern Africa; Middle East and North
Africa; Asia and the Pacific; South-Eastern Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia; European Economic Area, theEuropean Union and NATO; South America; Central America, North America and the Caribbean.
The core of the work in all of the regional offices (and Headquarters) reflects IOM’s Strategic Vision,39 adopted in
2019, and its Constitution, with particular reference to the principle that humane and orderly migration benefits
migrants and society. As an intergovernmental organization, IOM acts with its partners in the international
community to: assist in the meeting of operational challenges of migration; advance understanding of migration
issues; encourage social and economic development through migration; and uphold the human dignity and well‑beingof migrants. The precise activities involved in fulfilling its mandate at the regional level does, however, reflect the
specific needs and migration realities on the ground, as highlighted in Appendix B.

39IOM, 2019a.

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Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration and mobility futures

The World Migration Report series
The first world migration report was published 22 years ago, initially as a one-off report designed to increase theunderstanding of migration by policymakers and the general public. It was conceived at a time when the effects
of globalization were being felt in many parts of the world and in a multitude of ways. Indeed, the first world
migration report states that part of its genesis was due to the effects of globalization on migration patterns, andthat the report therefore “looks at the increasingly global economy which has led to an unprecedented influx of
newcomers in many countries…”.40 The report highlighted the fact that, despite being an “age-old phenomenon”,
migration was accelerating as part of broader globalization transformations of economic and trade processes thatwere enabling greater movement of labour, as well as goods and capital.
Table 2 below provides a summary of key statistics reported in the first edition (World Migration Report 2000), as
compared to this current edition. It shows that while some aspects have stayed fairly constant – the proportionof female international migrants, as well as the overall proportion of the world’s population who were migrants –other aspects have changed dramatically. International remittances, for example, have grown from an estimated
USD 128 billion to USD 702 billion, underscoring the salience of international migration as a driver of development.
It is unsurprising then that the International Organization for Migration itself has grown in size, with a significant
increase in membership over the last two decades, up from 76 to its current membership of 174 States. Also ofnote in Table 2 is the rise in international migrants globally (up by about 87%) as well as of refugees (up by about89%) and internally displaced persons (up by about 160%), all the while remaining very small proportions of theworld’s population.

Table 2. Key facts and figures from World Migration Reports 2000 and 2022
2000

2022

173 million

281 million

Estimated proportion of world population who are migrants

2.8%

3.6%

Estimated proportion of female international migrants

49.4%

48.0%

Estimated proportion of international migrants who are children

16.0%

14.6%

Region with the highest proportion of international migrants

Oceania

Oceania

Country with the highest proportion of international migrants

United ArabEmirates

United ArabEmirates–

169 million

Global international remittances (USD)

128 billion

702 billion

Number of refugees

14 million

26.4 million

Number of internally displaced persons

21 million

55 million

Estimated number of international migrants

Number of migrant workers

Sources: See IOM, 2000 and the present edition of the report for sources (Chapter 2).
Notes: The dates of the data estimates in the table may be different to the report publishing date (refer to the reports for moredetail on dates of estimates); refer to Chapter 3 of this report for regional breakdowns. Data for 2000 may differ to thoseoriginally published due to a standard practice of revising historical estimates at the time of each new dataset release. See,for example, UN DESA, 2021. For the purpose of this table, children refers to those aged 19 years or less.
40

IOM, 2000.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

11

The World Migration Report 2000’s contribution to migration policy as well as migration studies was timely, and its
success heralded the World Migration Report series. Since 2000, 11 world migration reports have been produced
by IOM, and the report continues to focus on making a relevant, sound and evidence-based contribution that
increases the understanding of migration by policymakers, practitioners, researchers and the general public. To
support this objective, the series was refined in 2016, moving away from a single theme for each edition to a global
reference report for a wider audience. Each edition now has two parts comprising:••Part I: Key data and information on migration and migrants;
Part II: Balanced, evidence-based analysis of complex and emerging migration issues.

New digital tools through expert collaboration
The World Migration Report series now incorporates a range of digital tools tailored for use in various settings.
The tools have been developed in partnerships with some of the world’s leading experts in migration data analysis,
data visualization, education and the science–policy interface.
The new World Migration Report interactive data visualizations were developed in recognition of the need to deliver
outputs in a wide range of formats for expanded accessibility and utility. Launched in May 2021, the interactive datavisualizations allow users to both read the “headline” summaries on long-term trends, while also interacting withdata points to explore specific time periods, corridors or countries. The new interactive format has become thecentrepiece of the World Migration Report online platform, which was awarded gold for the first time at the 2021
International Annual Report Design Awards.41 Additional tools for people working in migration and learning about
migration, such as the educators’ toolkit and the forthcoming officials’ toolkit, demonstrate the growing salience of
migration as well as the utility of the report.42 IOM partners with an extensive range of experts in developing anddelivering both the report and the related tools in a wide variety of languages to increase local use.43

World Migration Report 2022
This edition builds on the previous two reports (2018 and 2020 editions) by providing updated migration statistics
at the global and regional levels, as well as descriptive analysis of complex migration issues.
Part I, on “key data and information on migration”, includes separate chapters on global migration trends andpatterns; regional dimensions and developments; and a discussion of recent contributions to migration research
and analysis by the United Nations system, including IOM. These three chapters have been produced institutionallyby IOM, drawing primarily on analyses by IOM experts, practitioners and officials around the world, based on datafrom a wide range of relevant organizations. The eight chapters in Part II are authored by applied and academic
researchers working on migration, including IOM researchers. They cover a range of “complex and emerging
migration issues” including:••

COVID-19 impacts on migration, mobility and migrants;
peace and security as drivers of development and safe migration;

41
42
43

IADA, 2021.
See https://worldmigrationreport.iom.int/about.
See the “partners” page on the World Migration Report website (https://worldmigrationreport.iom.int/about), which includes many
academic institutions, as well as leading policy think tanks and education organizations.

12

•
•
•
•
•
•

Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration and mobility futures

migration as a stepladder of opportunity;
disinformation about migration;
migration and slow-onset climate change;
human trafficking in migration pathways;
artificial intelligence and migration; andmigrants’ contributions globally.

While the choice of these topics is necessarily selective and subjective, all the chapters in Part II of this report
are directly relevant to some of the most prominent and important debates about migration in the world today.
Many of these topics lie at the heart of the conundrums that face policymakers as they seek to formulate effective,
proportionate and constructive responses to complex public policy issues related to migration. Accordingly, thechapters aim to inform current and future policy deliberations and discussions by providing a clear identification of
the key issues, a critical overview of relevant research and analysis, and a discussion of the implications for future
research and policymaking. The chapters are not meant to be prescriptive, in the sense of advocating particularpolicy “solutions” – especially as the immediate context is an important determinant of policy settings – but to be
informative and helpful in what can be highly contested debates.

Part I: Key data and information on migration and migrants
Chapter 2 provides an overview of global data and trends on international migrants (stocks) and internationalmigration (flows). It also provides a discussion of particular migrant groups – namely, migrant workers, refugees,
asylum seekers and internally displaced persons – as well as of international remittances. In addition, the chapter
refers to the existing body of IOM programmatic data, particularly on missing migrants, assisted voluntary returns andreintegration, resettlement, and displacement tracking. While these data are generally not global or representative,
they can provide insights into changes that have occurred in relevant IOM programming and operations globally.
Following the global overview, Chapter 3 provides a discussion of key regional dimensions of, and developments
in, migration. The discussion focuses on six world regions as identified by the United Nations: Africa, Asia, Europe,
Latin America and the Caribbean, Northern America, and Oceania. For each of these regions, the analysis includes:(a) an overview and brief discussion of key population-related statistics; and (b) succinct descriptions of “key featuresand developments” in migration in the region, based on a wide range of data, information and analyses, includingfrom international organizations, researchers and analysts. To account for the diversity of migration patterns,
trends and issues within each of the six regions, along with descriptive narratives of “key features and recent
developments”, are presented at the subregional level.
There is a substantial amount of research and analysis on migration that is being undertaken and published bya range of actors such as academics, governments, intergovernmental organizations and think tanks. Chapter 4
provides a broad overview of contributions by the United Nations system, including the United Nations Networkon Migration (UNNM) as part of supporting the ongoing implementation of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly
and Regular Migration, the Global Compact on Refugees and the Sustainable Development Goals.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

13

Part II: Complex and Emerging Migration Issues
Chapter 5 – The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally•

This chapter provides an analysis of the impacts of the pandemic
on migration and mobility, with particular reference to migrants’immobility and vulnerabilities. It focuses on the first year of
COVID-19.

•

For people who had migrated, been displaced and/or were part ofa highly mobile group prior to COVID-19, the likelihood of having
been directly affected by the pandemic is especially high. Aside fromhealth-related impacts, many became trapped in immobility andunemployed, without income support or other social protection.
COVID-19 led to large-scale stranded migrant populations, withsome experiencing destitution, detention and abuse.

•

COVID-19 highlighted that widely accepted norms previously
considered to be cornerstones of international mobility werequickly set aside in the face of the pandemic. The pandemic also
pointed to pervasive inequalities deeply rooted in modern-day
societies around the world, while also demonstrating that migrant
workers and diaspora are frontline workers not only in essential
occupations, but also as agents of global human development asremitters.

Chapter 6 – Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration•

This chapter draws upon existing evidence to explore theinteraction between conflict, instability and insecurity; development;
and migration, showing that instability or conflict feed negatively
on development and hence drive displacement, asylum-seeking andunsafe migration.

•

The chapter also goes beyond these well-documented links toshow how migration can contribute to stability and development
and thus mitigate the conditions that lead to irregular migrationand displacement.

•

It highlights some of the pragmatic peacebuilding initiatives, such ascommunity stabilization, that have proven key within the context
of migration and displacement to building and sustaining peace
at a local level. It also shows how migrants, through a range ofactivities, contribute to peacebuilding. They do this by advocating
for peace, through mediation, building public service institutions,and supporting their families and communities through remittances.

14

Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration and mobility futures

Chapter 7 – International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?
•

This chapter examines the key questions of “who migrates
internationally and where do they go?” It presents analysis of arange of statistical data and draws upon some of the existing bodyof research on migration determinants and decision-making.

•Analysis of international migrant stock and human development
index data show that between 1995 and 2020, migration from lowand medium-development countries increased, but only slightly,
reconfirming existing macroeconomic analyses which show thatinternational migration from low-income countries has historically
been limited.

•

However, contrary to previous understandings of internationalmigration, the analysis indicates that there has been a “polarizing”
effect, with migration activity increasingly being associated withhighly developed countries. This raises the key issue of migration
aspirations held by potential migrants from developing countries
around the world who may wish to realize opportunities throughinternational migration, but are unable to do so as legal pathways
are unavailable to them.

Chapter 8 – Disinformation about migration: An age-old issue with new tech dimensions•

This chapter examines the factors shaping disinformation about
migration in terms of society, politics, media and technology.
It outlines best practices in building public resilience todisinformation and the major insights from current research, withreference to major gaps in our understanding of disinformationand the current barriers to advancing this work.

•

The chapter highlights evidence and practical examples fromaround the world and from a variety of contexts. It also
identifies recommendations and implications for policymakers
and other stakeholders seeking to counteract disinformation
generally and about migration specifically.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

15

Chapter 9 – Migration and slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action•

This chapter focuses on migration in the context of the slow-onset
impacts of climate change, an area where policy and knowledge
gaps remain. It presents some of the key challenges associatedwith understanding and taking action on slow-onset climate
impacts and migration issues, and explores how migration policy
and practice can play a role in responding to some of the mostpressing challenges.

•

Looking ahead at a future in which slow-onset climate events are
expected to worsen, appropriate migration management policies
and practices can and should be part of the solution. Recent
examples of migration policy initiatives that address climate impacts
on migration, including slow-onset dimensions, are outlined in thechapter.

•At the global level, policy discussions have identified some entry
points where migration policymakers could be instrumental inpromoting positive changes, notably in terms of facilitating migrationin the context of slow-onset climate events, and there has been
growing interest among both developed and developing States in
discussing migration linked to climate impacts in policy terms.

Chapter 10 – Human trafficking in migration pathways: Trends, challenges and new forms of cooperation•

This chapter provides an overview of current trafficking trends
and patterns, looking at the available data on migrant victims ofhuman trafficking and traffickers. It explores current challenges andpromising avenues for the prevention of trafficking of migrants,
including prosecuting traffickers, protecting victims and cooperatingin counter-trafficking efforts.

•

There is widespread global consensus on the urgent need toprevent and combat human trafficking in migration pathways,
with few other migration-related issues having attained as muchagreement within the international community. However, thereis less consensus on how to achieve this in practice, and there
remains a shortfall in political will to introduce effective policies
to that end. The chapter offers insights in this area across several
domains.

16

Report overview: Technological, geopolitical and environmental transformations shaping our migration and mobility futures

Chapter 11 – Artificial intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practice•This chapter examines the implications of AI for policy and practicein the context of migration and mobility through the prism of theexisting international human rights framework of rules, standards andprinciples. This is important because of the potential for human rights
to be eroded – or bolstered – as a result of the design, development,
implementation and expansion of AI technologies around the world.

•

The use of AI throughout the “migration cycle” is examined, withreflections on key strategic challenges and opportunities in thisimportant area of new technology, including as it relates to the “futureof work” and long-term migration trends.

•

While AI can certainly bring about a series of advantages for policy
and practice, there are a range of risks to State and non-State actors(including migrants) that need to be carefully managed, especially from
regulatory and human rights perspectives.

Chapter 12 – Reflections on migrants’ contributions in an era of increasing disruption and disinformation – “REPEAT”•

This chapter first appeared in the World Migration Report 2020. The
research for this chapter inspired us to delve deeper into the topic
of disinformation, resulting in Chapter 8 on disinformation about
migration (in this volume).

•

The last two years, however, have shown us that the issue has notabated. In fact, with COVID-19 disinformation, the massive challenges
concerning balanced and accurate accounts of migrants’ contributions
have only become worse. So, here it is again, to remind us of theimportance of the topic and so additional readers can draw upon its
contents.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

17

Overall, this world migration report has been produced to help deepen our collective understanding of the various
manifestations and complexities of migration in the face of systemic and accelerated change. We hope that all
readers are able to learn something new from this edition, as well as to draw on its contents as they undertake
their work, study or other activities.

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WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

PART IKEY DATA AND INFORMATIONON MIGRATION AND MIGRANTSWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

19

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

2

21

MIGRATION AND MIGRANTS: A GLOBALOVERVIEW

Introduction
Describing and analysing how migration around the world is changing from a range of different perspectives,
including those entailing economic, social and security dimensions (and associated legal–policy frameworks), must
start with an understanding of fundamental metrics. Human migration may well be an age-old activity touchingalmost every society around the world; however, it is changing in important ways. Examining the shifts in scale,direction, demography and frequency can illuminate how migration is evolving while also pointing to long-term
trends that have been shaped by historical as well as recent events.
The current global estimate is that there were around 281 million international migrants in the world in 2020,
which equates to 3.6 per cent of the global population.1 A first important point to note is that this is a very small
minority of the world’s population, meaning that staying within one’s country of birth overwhelmingly remains thenorm. The great majority of people do not migrate across borders; much larger numbers migrate within countries.2
That said, these estimates relate to migrant populations, rather than movement events. The COVID-19 pandemic
has highlighted the interconnections between migration and mobility, with COVID-19 travel restrictions resulting in
unprecedented immobility around the world. At the time of writing (July 2021), travel restrictions in many countries
were being (re)imposed or strengthened as virus strains circulate the globe, testing the world’s collective resiliencein the face of a global health crisis unseen in the preceding century.
When mobility regimes are not impeded by global pandemics, the overwhelming majority of people migrateinternationally for reasons related to work, family and study – involving migration processes that largely occur
without fundamentally challenging either migrants or the countries they enter. In contrast, other people leave theirhomes and countries for a range of compelling and sometimes tragic reasons, such as conflict, persecution anddisaster. While those who have been displaced, such as refugees and internally displaced persons (IDPs), comprisea relatively small percentage of all migrants, they are often the most in need of assistance and support.
This chapter, with its focus on key global migration data and trends, as well as new COVID-19 mobility and travelrelated data, seeks to assist migration policymakers, practitioners and researchers in making better sense of thebigger picture of migration, by providing an up-to-date overview of global migration and migrants. The chapter
draws upon current statistical sources compiled by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs(UN DESA), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the International Labour
Organization (ILO), the World Bank, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), the Internal
Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), the International Organization for Migration (IOM) and the University

1
2

UN DESA, 2021a.
The most recent estimate was 740 million internal migrants globally in 2009 (UNDP, 2009).

22

Migration and migrants: A global overview

of Oxford.3 The chapter provides an overview of global data and trends on international migrants (stocks) andinternational migration (flows). It also provides a discussion of particular migrant groups – namely, migrant workers,
refugees, asylum seekers, IDPs and missing migrants – as well as of international remittances and COVID-19-related
mobility restrictions.
The chapter also refers to the body of programmatic IOM data, particularly on assisted voluntary returns andreintegration, resettlement and displacement tracking.4 While these data are generally not global or representative,
they can provide insights into changes that have occurred in relevant programming and operations globally. As
the United Nations migration agency, with activities relevant to all the themes discussed in this chapter, IOM data
have the capacity to provide further insights on migration and its various dynamics, including the diverse needs of
migrants.

Defining migration, migrant and other key terms
Outside of general definitions of migration and migrant, such as those found in dictionaries, there exist
various specific definitions of key migration-related terms, including in legal, administrative, research andstatistical spheres.a While there is no universally agreed definition of migration or migrant, several definitions
are widely accepted and have been developed in different settings, such as those set out in UN DESA’s
1998 Recommendations on Statistics of International Migration.b Work has recently been completed by theUnited Nations Statistical Division and a task force of the United Nations Expert Group on Migration
Statistics on a revised conceptual framework on statistics on international migration and mobility to guidethe process under way in updating the 1998 Recommendations.c The conceptual framework was endorsedby the United Nations Statistical Commission at its 52nd session in March 2021, paving the way for revised
recommendations on international migrant and mobility that are better able to account for different aspectsof mobility, including migration.d The conceptual framework is summarized in Appendix A.
Technical definitions, concepts and categories of migrants and migration are necessarily informed bygeographic, legal, political, methodological, temporal and other factors. For example, there are numerous
ways in which migration events can be defined, including in relation to place of birth, citizenship, place ofresidence and duration of stay.e This is important when it comes to quantifying and analysing the effects of
migration and migrants, however defined. We encourage readers to refer to primary sources cited in thechapter for information on specific definitions and categorizations underlying the data. Readers may alsofind the IOM Glossary on Migration (2019 edition) to be a useful reference. The Glossary is available at theIOM Publications Platform: https://publications.iom.int/books/international-migration-law-ndeg34-glossarymigration.
a See, for example, Poulain and Perrin, 2001.

b UN DESA, 1998.
c United Nations Statistics Division, 2021.
d United Nations Statistical Commission, 2021.
e See, for example, de Beer et al., 2010.

3
4

To keep within the scope of this report, statistics utilized in this chapter were current as at 30 June 2021, unless otherwise stated.
IOM data on victims of human trafficking are presented in Chapter 10 of this report.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

23

International migrants: numbers and trends
UN DESA produces estimates of the number of international migrants globally. The following discussion draws on its
estimates, which are based on data provided by States.5 The current United Nations Recommendations on Statistics
of International Migration defines an “international migrant” as any person who has changed his or her country ofusual residence, distinguishing between “short-term migrants” (those who have changed their countries of usual
residence for at least three months, but less than one year) and “long-term migrants” (those who have done so forat least one year). However, not all countries use this definition in practice.6 Some countries use different criteria
to identify international migrants, for example by applying different minimum durations of residence. Differences inconcepts and definitions, as well as data collection methodologies between countries, hinder full comparability ofnational statistics on international migrants. A review of the United Nations recommendations is currently underway, as discussed in the text box above.
The estimated number of international migrants has increased over the past 50 years. In 2020, almost 281 million
people lived in a country other than their country of birth, or about 128 million more than 30 years earlier, in1990 (153 million), and over three times the estimated number in 1970 (84 million). The proportion of internationalmigrants as a share of the total global population has also increased, but only incrementally. The vast majorityof people live in the country in which they were born. The impact of COVID-19 on the global population ofinternational migrants is somewhat difficult to assess, one reason for this being that the latest available data are asat mid-2020,7 fairly early in the pandemic. That said, it is estimated that COVID-19 may have reduced the growthin the stock of international migrants by around two million. In other words, had there not been COVID-19, thenumber of international migrants in 2020 would have likely been around 283 million.8

Table 1. International migrants, 1970–2020
Year

Number of international migrants

Migrants as a % of the world’s population

1970

84 460 125

2.3

1975

90 368 010

2.2

1980

101 983 149

2.3

1985

113 206 691

2.3

1990

152 986 157

2.9

1995

161 289 976

2.8

2000

173 230 585

2.8

2005

191 446 828

2.9

2010

220 983 187

3.2

2015

247 958 644

3.4

2020

280 598 105

3.6

Source: UN DESA, 2008; UN DESA, 2021a.
Note:
The number of entities (such as States, territories and administrative regions) for which data were madeavailable in the UN DESA International Migrant Stock 2020 was 232. In 1970, the number of entities was 135.
5
6
7
8Data are also provided to UN DESA by territories and administrative units. For a summary on UN DESA stock data sources,
methodology and caveats, please see UN DESA, 2021b.
UN DESA, 1998.
UN DESA, 2021b.
UN DESA, 2021c.

24

Migration and migrants: A global overview

When international migrant populations are examined by United Nations region, Europe is currently the largest
destination for international migrants, with 87 million migrants (30.9% of the international migrant population),
followed closely by the 86 million international migrants living in Asia (30.5%).9 Northern America is the destinationfor 59 million international migrants (20.9%), followed by Africa with 25 million migrants (9%). Over the past 15
years, the number of international migrants in Latin America and the Caribbean has more than doubled fromaround 7 million to 15 million, making it the region with the highest growth rate of international migrants and thedestination for 5.3 per cent of all international migrants. Around 9 million international migrants live in Oceania,
or about 3.3 per cent of all migrants. The growth of international migrants living in each region between 2005 and2020 is shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1. International migrants, by major region of residence, 2005–2020 (millions)
0

20

40

60

80

100

AfricaAsia

EuropeLatin America and the Caribbean

North America

Oceania

2005

2010

2015

2020

Source: UN DESA, 2021a.

Oceania has the largest share of international migrants as a proportion of the total population, with 22 per cent of
the population having been born in another country. Northern America has the second largest share of internationalmigrants at 15.9 per cent, followed by Europe at 11.6 per cent. Latin America and the Caribbean, Africa, and Asia
have international migrant shares of 2.3, 1.9, and 1.8 per cent respectively.
As has been the case for the past 50 years, the United States of America remains the primary destination for
migrants, at over 51 million international migrants. Germany has become the second most prominent destination,with nearly 16 million international migrants, while Saudi Arabia is the third largest destination country forinternational migrants, at 13 million. The Russian Federation and the United Kingdom round out the top fivedestination countries, with about 12 million and 9 million international migrants respectively. A list of the top 20
destination countries for migrants can be found in the left panel of Figure 2.
9

UN DESA, 2021a.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

25

With nearly 18 million people living abroad, India has the largest emigrant population in the world, making it
the top origin country globally. Mexico is the second most significant origin country at around 11 million. The
Russian Federation is the third largest origin country, followed closely by China (around 10.8 million and 10 million
respectively). The fifth most significant origin country is the Syrian Arab Republic, with over 8 million people living
abroad, mainly as refugees due to large-scale displacement over the last decade (see discussion in the refugee
section below). The panel on the right in Figure 2 features the top 20 origins of migrants in 2020.

Figure 2. Top 20 destinations (left) and origins (right) of international migrants in 2020 (millions)
0

20

40

0

60

United States of America

India

Germany

MexicoSaudi Arabia

Russian Federation

Russian Federation

China

United Kingdom

Syrian Arab Republic

United Arab Emirates

Bangladesh

FrancePakistan

CanadaUkraineAustralia

Philippines

Spain

Afghanistan

Italy

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)TurkeyPolandUkraineUnited Kingdom

India

Indonesia

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

Thailand

Palestinian Territories

Malaysia

Romania

JordanGermany

Pakistan

Myanmar

KuwaitEgypt

Source: UN DESA, 2021a.

5

10

15

20

26

Migration and migrants: A global overview

World Migration Report Data Visualization Platform
In May 2021, IOM launched a new World Migration Report web portal that integrates fact-based migration
narratives with interactive data visualizations on the most up-to-date global migration data and trends.a

This digital format offers an intuitive representation of the data by displaying interactive visualizations ofglobal migration trends. Building on the analysis developed in the report, the site provides country-levelmigration statistics and maps, interactive visualizations of migration corridors, and the leading remittancerecipient and source nations since 1995, in addition to global and regional data. New interactive components
on COVID-19 restrictions were added from this current report.
By creating a visual context for the information, data visualization favors a more accessible comprehension of
the magnitudes of the numbers and the trends at play, supplementing the extensive analysis presented in thereport. The interactive platform is available in English, French and Spanish.
a IOM, 2020a.

The available international migrant data include estimates of origin and destination links between two countries,
allowing for the estimation of bilateral migration “corridors” globally. The size of a migration corridor from country
A to country B is measured as the number of people born in country A who were residing in country B in 2020.
Migration corridors represent an accumulation of migratory movements over time and provide a snapshot of how
migration patterns have evolved into significant foreign-born populations in specific destination countries.
As can be seen in Figure 3, the Mexico to United States corridor is the largest in the world at nearly 11 million
people. The second is from the Syrian Arab Republic to Turkey, comprising mainly refugees displaced by the Syrian
Arab Republic’s decade-long civil war. On the other hand, the third largest corridor in the world, India to theUnited Arab Emirates (over 3 million), comprises mainly labour migrants. The bilateral corridor between the RussianFederation and Ukraine take up spots four and five among the largest corridors in the world. About 3 million
people born in the Russian Federation now live in Ukraine, while nearly the same number of people have moved
from Ukraine to the Russian Federation.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

27

Figure 3. Top 20 international migration country-to-country corridors, 2020
Mexico – United States of America
Syrian Arab Republic – Turkey
India – United Arab Emirates
Russian Federation – Ukraine
Ukraine – Russian Federation
India – United States of America
Afghanistan – Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Kazakhstan – Russian Federation
India – Saudi Arabia
Bangladesh – India
Russian Federation – Kazakhstan
China – United States of America
Poland – Germany
Philippines – United States of America
Myanmar – Thailand
Turkey – Germany
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) – Colombia
Indonesia – Saudi Arabia
Algeria – France
Afghanistan – Pakistan
0

4

8

12

Migrants (millions)
Source: UN DESA, 2021a.
Note:
The corridors present the number of international migrants (millions) born in the first-mentioned country
and residing in the second. Corridors represent an accumulation of migratory movements over time andprovide a snapshot of how migration patterns have evolved into significant foreign-born populations in specificdestination countries.

Most international migrants (around 78%) were of working age (between 15 and 64 years of age). Since 1990,
the share of international migrants age 19 and younger has dropped from 18.9 per cent to 14.6 per cent, whileinternational migrants older than 64 have remained steady at around 12.2 per cent.
There is currently a larger number of male than female international migrants worldwide, and the gap has increased
over the past 20 years. In 2000, the male to female split was 50.6 to 49.4 per cent (or 88 million male migrants
and 86 million female migrants). In 2020 the split is 51.9 to 48.1 per cent, with 146 million male migrants and
135 million female migrants. The share of female migrants has been decreasing since 2000, while the share of malemigrants has increased by 1.3 percentage points. See Figure 4 for further breakdowns by sex.

28

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Figure 4. International migrants, by sex, 2000–2020
160
140

51.9%
48.1%
51.7%

120

48.3%

51.6%

48.4%

millions

100
51.0%
80

50.6%

49.0%

49.4%

60
40
20
0
2000

2005

2010

male

2015

2020

femaleSource: UN DESA, 2021a.

Conflating “migration” and “migrant”
In a general sense, migration is the process of moving from one place to another. To migrate is to move,whether from a rural area to a city, from one district or province in a given country to another in that same
country, or from one country to a new country. It involves action.
In contrast, a migrant is a person described as such for one or more reasons, depending on the context (seethe text box on “Defining migration, migrant and other key terms” above). While in many cases “migrants”
do undertake some form of migration, this is not always the case.
In some situations, people who have never undertaken migration may be referred to as migrants –childrenof people born overseas, for example, are commonly called second- or third-generation migrants.a This may
even extend to situations involving statelessness, whereby whole groups of people are not able to accesscitizenship despite being born and raised in a country. Such people may even be referred to as irregularmigrants by authorities.b
a See, for example, Neto, 1995; Fertig and Schmidt, 2001.
b Kyaw, 2017.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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International migration flows
While data on migrant stocks are widely available, data on global migration movements (flows) are much more
limited. Available UN DESA estimates on global migrant stocks are extensive and global in scope; however, thedatabase of migration flows only encompasses 45 countries.10 Capturing data on migration flows is extremely
challenging for several reasons. First, while international migration flows are generally accepted as covering inflows
and outflows into and from countries, there has been a greater focus on recording inflows. For example, while
countries such as Australia and the United States record cross-border movements, many others only count entries
and not departures.11 Additionally, migration flow data in some countries are derived from administrative events
related to immigration status (for example, issuance/renewal/withdrawal of a residence permit), which are thenused as a proxy for migration flows. Furthermore, migratory movements are often hard to separate from nonmigratory travel, such as tourism or business.12 Tracking migratory movements also requires considerable resources,
infrastructure and ICT/knowledge systems. This poses particular challenges for developing countries, where theability to collect, administer, analyse and report data on mobility, migration and other areas is often limited. Finally,
many countries’ physical geographies pose tremendous challenges for collecting data on migration flows. Entry andborder management, for example, is particularly challenging in some regions because of archipelagic and isolated
borders, and is further complicated by traditions of informal migration for work.13
There are currently two main data sets on international migration flows, both of which are derived from national
statistics: UN DESA’s International Migration Flows data set and OECD’s International Migration Database. Since
2005, UN DESA has compiled data on the flows of international migrants to and from selected countries, basedon nationally available statistics. At the time of writing (July 2021), there had been no update to the UN DESA
flows data set, with the most current being the 2015 version. The 2015 migration flows data set comprises datafrom 45 countries, up from 29 countries in 2008 and 15 countries in 2005.14
The OECD has been collecting international migration flow data since 2000, allowing for trend analysis to be
conducted over a subset of major destination countries, depicted in Figure 5 (though data are not standardized,
as explained in the note under the figure). The latest available data indicate that in 2018, a 10 per cent increase inpermanent migration inflows was recorded from the previous year of 2017. The United States, one of the main
destination countries, recorded around 1.1 million new entries in 2018, a 2.7 per cent decrease compared withthe previous year. Another country that recorded a notable change was Chile, with 64 per cent growth. With
regard to the European countries in OECD, total migration increased by around 136,000 in 2018 (3.2% more than2017). Within Europe, the United Kingdom and Italy recorded 6.5 and 5.2 per cent declines in permanent flows,
respectively. The growth in Europe was instead led by Spain (+23%, or an increase of around 106,000) and Portugal(+52%, or an increase of around 32,000).

10
11
12
13
14

UN DESA, 2015.
Koser, 2010; McAuliffe and Koser, 2017.
Skeldon, 2018.
Gallagher and McAuliffe, 2016.
For UN DESA migration flow data, as well as for the specific countries included, please see UN DESA, 2015.

30

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Figure 5. Inflows of foreign nationals into OECD countries, permanent migration,
2000–2018 (millions)
8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Source: OECD, n.d.a.
Note:
Data are not standardized and therefore differ from statistics on permanent migration inflows into selected countries
contained in OECD’s International Migration Outlook series. The 35 countries typically included in OECD statistics are
the following: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece,
Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Latvia, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland,
Portugal, Republic of Korea, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the UnitedStates. In some years, data for particular countries are not available: data were made available for 31 countries in 2000.
Notably, data for Greece have not been reported between 2000 and 2004, and data for Turkey were reported only for
2010, 2016, 2017 and 2018.

The impacts of COVID-19 on mobility globally are discussed below in this chapter and also in Chapter 5 of thisreport.

Unsafe migration flows
Some migration corridors pose many more challenges than others, for migrants as well as for authorities. Migrants’journeys can sometimes be characterized by unsafe and even deadly outcomes, often related to a range of social,political, economic, environmental and policy factors that can profoundly impact the way in which people undertake
migration.15 In the wake of the tragic events of October 2013, in which more than 360 people died in the sinking of
two boats near the Italian island of Lampedusa, IOM began collecting and compiling information on migrants who
perish or go missing on migratory routes worldwide as part of its Missing Migrants Project.16 Data sources include
official records of coastguards and medical examiners, media stories, reports from non-governmental organizations
and United Nations agencies, and interviews with migrants.17

15 McAuliffe et al., 2017.
16 See https://missingmigrants.iom.int/.
17 IOM, n.d.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

31

Across six years of data collection, 2020 recorded the lowest total (around 3,900), compared with the previous
almost 5,400 recorded in 2019 (see Figure 6). The decrease in deaths between 2019 and 2020 reflects, in part,the mobility restrictions imposed because of the COVID-19 pandemic. It is likely that 2021 will also record a
reduced number of deaths overall, with travel restrictions continuing globally. In total, between 2014 and 2020, theMediterranean Sea has seen the highest number of deaths, claiming the lives of over 21,200 people. In 2020, theMediterranean continued to be the place with the highest known number of deaths during migration, recording
over 1,460 fatalities. Following the trend observed over the previous six years, there was a higher proportion ofdeaths on the “Central Mediterranean route”.18

Figure 6. Migrant deaths by region, 2014–2020
2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014
0

1 000

2 000

3 000

AfricaAmericas

4 000
Asia

Europe

5 000

6 000

Mediterranean

7 000

8 000

9 000

Middle East

Source: IOM, n.d. (accessed 20 September 2021).
Note:
Data include recorded deaths as well as those reported as missing. See the Missing Migrants Project webpage for detailsof methodology and geographic regions (https://missingmigrants.iom.int/).

The Missing Migrants Project faces notable challenges in its data collection. For instance, most recorded deaths areof people travelling via clandestine routes, which are often at sea or in remote areas (to evade detection), meaning
remains are often not found. Few official sources collect and make data on migrant deaths publicly available. Relying
on testimonies of fellow migrants and media sources can be problematic due to inaccuracies and incomplete
coverage. Nevertheless, the project sheds light on a previously under-researched and neglected topic, highlighting
the need to address this ongoing tragic issue, including in the context of the implementation of the Global Compact
for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration.

18 Ibid.

32

Migration and migrants: A global overview

COVID-19 impacts on mobility
COVID-19 has been the most severe pandemic in a century, with its combination of high transmission, virus strains
and the severity of the disease forcing policymakers into previously uncharted territory. While the main focus has
necessarily been on responding to the global health crisis (e.g. virus testing, disease treatment, and vaccination
development and programming), part of the response has involved drastic changes to freedom of movement ofpeople all around the world, which in turn has massively impacted human mobility globally. COVID-19-related
immobility has become the “great disrupter” of migration.19
Governments around the world implemented various measures to limit the spread of the virus, and a range ofrestrictions was introduced from early 2020, evolving over time. New data sets emerged to track policy responses
globally, such as the University of Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker,20 which has recorded a wide
range of government responses globally, such as “stay-at-home” measures, workplace closures, school closures,
restrictions on gatherings, restrictions on internal movements within a country, and international travel control
measures. In addition, IOM began tracking travel restrictions globally early in the pandemic, drawing upon a rangeof data and reporting results via its COVID-19 Mobility Impacts dashboard.21 See additional data, research andanalysis in the thematic Chapter 5 on COVID-19 impacts in this report.
Some countries, such as El Salvador, Israel, New Zealand, Nigeria, Qatar and Singapore, quickly imposed significant
international travel restrictions (by early March 2020), while others took action weeks or months later.22 Somecountries stopped all entry of foreign citizens, some banned citizens of specific countries, while even further, somecountries completely closed borders to stop departure and entry of all people, including their own citizens.23
Quarantine measures were also introduced by some countries, requiring passengers entering a country to bequarantined in isolation for a minimum period (typically 10 to 14 days) immediately upon arrival.
Overall, COVID-19 travel restriction measures – both internal and international – were quickly put in place by
the vast majority of countries around the world, with the peak occurring in late March to early April 2020 (seeFigure 7). While international travel restrictions were more likely to have been enacted early in the pandemic,
there was a greater variety of control measures during the initial weeks (including screening early on), probably
due to governments needing to assess the severity of the crisis during a period of extraordinary uncertainty. As
the severity of COVID-19 became clear, the number of both international and internal travel restrictions rose
drastically.

19
20
21
22
23

McAuliffe, 2020.
Hale et al., 2021.
See https://migration.iom.int/.
Hale et al., 2021.
IOM, 2020b; Al Jazeera, 2020.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

33

Figure 7. COVID-19-related travel controls: international and internal,
January 2020–June 2021, all countries
International travel controls

Countries

150

No restrictions
Screening arrivals
Quarantine arrivals from some or
all regions

100

Ban arrivals from some regions
Ban on all regions or total borderclosure50

No data

1

21

02

20
Ju
n

Ju
l2

1

21

02

20

ay
M

21

Ap
r2

21

20

20

Fe

M

b

ar

21
20

Jan

D
ec

20

20

20

20

20
ov

N

O

ct

20

20

0

20
p

Se

0

02

Au
g2

20

02

20
Ju
n

Ju
l2

0

20

02

20

ay
M

20

Ap
r2

20

20

20

ar
M

Fe

Jan

b

20

20

0

Restrictions on internal movement
between cities/regions

150

Countries

No measures
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - targeted
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - general
Internal movement restrictions inplace - targetedInternal movement restrictions inplace - general

100

50

No data

1
02
l2

Ju

Ju

n

20

21

21

1
02

20

ay
M

21

r2
Ap

ar

20

21
20
b

Fe

M

21
20

Jan

D

ec

20

20

20

20

20
ov

N

O

ct

20

20

0

20
p

Se

0

02
g2

Au

02
l2

Ju

Ju

n

20

20

20

0
02

20

ay
M

Ap

r2

20

20

20

20

ar
M

b
Fe

Jan

20

20

0

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: Categories used are those of the Oxford Government Response Tracker; categories included in the data set are for COVID19-related restrictions only and do not reflect other travel restrictions that may also be in place, such as those related tovisa restrictions, entry bans based on citizenship, departure/exit restrictions and internal movement restrictions.

The differences in the evolution of the restrictions can be seen in Figure 7, which shows that COVID-19-related
international travel restrictions of some sort remained in place in all countries globally one year after the World
Health Organization’s (WHO) declaration of the pandemic on 10 March 2020.24 In contrast, internal restrictions
declined over time. That said, there are three key points to highlight from these data:•

While there are international travel restrictions of some sort in all countries, there is a mix of screening,quarantine and bans (total/specific);•More than half of all countries had travel bans in place (total or specific) one year after the pandemic commenced;
and•More than a third of all countries had internal travel restrictions in place one year after the pandemic commenced.

24 WHO, 2020.

34

Migration and migrants: A global overview

When international COVID-19-related travel restrictions are examined over time, we can see that travel/border
restrictions and health-related measures have changed as the technology and logistical capacity supporting healthrelated measures has been developed and rolled out. Pre-travel testing, quarantine and vaccination-certificatedentry being rolled out by different countries saw the travel restrictions being overtaken by health-related measuresin October 2020.

Figure 8. COVID-19-related international travel measures: March 2020–June 2021, all countries

Country to Country Corridors

80%

60%

40%

20%

Restriction Type

Health related Measure

1
02
l2

21

20

20
n
Ju

Ju

21

1
ay

21

02
M

r2
Ap

20

21

ar

20
b
Fe

M

21
20
Jan

20
ec
D

N

ov

20

20

20

20
20
ct
O

20

20

0
p
Se

0

02
g2
Au

02
l2

20
20
n
Ju

20
ay

Ju

20

0
02
M

r2
Ap

M

ar

20

20

0%

Travel Restriction

Source: IOM, 2021a.
Notes: Only countries (not territories) are included in this analysis. Health-related measures include health screening and monitoring,
testing/medical certificates, and quarantine measures. Travel restrictions include passenger restrictions based on nationality or
arrival from a geographic location. See the DTM mobility restrictions page for more information on the methodology.

The impact of the COVID-19-related travel restrictions becomes very clear when air passenger data are examined.
We can see from long-term air passenger figures that COVID-19 travel restrictions had a major impact on bothinternational and domestic air travel in 2020. Total air passengers carried dropped by 60 per cent from around
4.5 billion in 2019 to 1.8 billion in 2020 (Figure 9).

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

35

Figure 9. Air passengers carried globally, 1945–2020
5,000

Numberr of Passengers Carried(million)

4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020

-

Total passengers

Domestic passengers

International passengers

Source: ICAO, 2021.

Overall, we can see that COVID-19 has had a major impact on travel, and therefore on migration, with therestrictions remaining in place longer than many had anticipated, caused in part by the challenges posed by emerging
virus strains and rolling “waves” of infections. The long-term impacts are yet to be fully understood, but the analysis
outlined in Chapter 5 points to the transformation of migration and mobility in several keys areas.

COVID-19 and stranded migrants
The mobility restrictions put in place during COVID-19 resulted in major problems for some migrants andexacerbated existing vulnerabilities. The border closures stranded thousands of migrants, including seasonal
workers, temporary residence holders, international students, migrants travelling for medical treatment,
beneficiaries of assisted voluntary return and reintegration, seafarers and others.
By mid-2020, the pandemic-related restrictions had stranded nearly 3 million people outside of their homecountries, most of whom were frequent travellers such as migrant workers, students and tourists. Many ofthese travellers were left without consular services, including help with their legal status in the country, andsome were without enough money to provide food and shelter. The majority were in the Middle East andNorth Africa (around 1.3 million), followed by Asia and the Pacific (around 977,000).
The specific issues faced by these migrants differed substantially, as did their situations, but in general, challenges
fell into two categories. First were movement-related issues. These related to immobility that resulted fromthe emergency restrictions on transportation and movements. Other significant challenges were the costs
and logistics involved in returning home. Moreover, the lack of collaboration between countries of origin,destination and transit further exacerbated movement issues.
Second were the vulnerabilities connected with the migratory status of migrants. Status can preclude thepossibility of government support, which exposed people to, or placed them at risk of, extreme poverty. Other
vulnerabilities included xenophobia and stigmatization, the stranding of people at sea, and increased health risks
for those living in overcrowded shelters and/or those unable to access COVID-19 vaccination programmes.
Sources: IOM, 2020c; Benton et al., 2021.

36

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Migrant workers
The latest available estimates indicate that there were roughly 169 million migrant workers around the world in
2019, accounting for nearly two thirds (62%) of the (then) 272 million global stock of international migrants.25 It is
worth noting that these estimates predate COVID-19, which has affected international labour migration in many
ways, although it provides a benchmark against which COVID-19 impacts can be assessed in the future.26 When
compared with the global population of international migrants of working age – regarded as 15 years of age orolder (245.6 million) – migrant workers account for 68.8 per cent.
In 2019, 67 per cent of migrant workers were residing in high-income countries – an estimated 113.9 million
people. An additional 49 million migrant workers (29%) were living in middle-income countries, and 6.1 million(3.6%) were in low-income countries. While we are unable to compare the numbers of migrant workers over time,
it is useful to examine changes in proportional distribution. The concentration of international migrant workers
in upper-middle- and high-income countries has remained stable at 86.4 per cent in 2013, 86.5 per cent in 2017and 86.9 per cent in 2019. However, there was a noticeable change within these two categories over time; thatis, from 2013 to 2019, high-income countries experienced a 7.3 percentage point drop in migrant workers (from74.7% to 67.4%), while upper-middle-income countries observed a 7.8 percentage point increase (from 11.7% to19.5%) (see Figure 10). This apparent shift may be influenced by economic growth in middle-income countries
and/or changes to labour immigration regulations in high-income countries. The share of migrant workers in the
total workforce across country income groups was quite small in low- (2.3%) and in lower- and upper-middleincome countries (1.4% and 2.2%, respectively), but much greater for high-income countries (18.2%).

Figure 10. Migrant workers by destination country income level, 2013, 2017 and 2019
80
70
60

Percentage

50
40
30
20
10
0
Low income

Lower-middle income
2013

Upper-middle income
2017High income

2019

Source: ILO, 2018; ILO, 2021.
25 The content in this subsection is based on and drawn from ILO, 2021. Please refer to this document for explanatory notes, deeper
analysis, limitations and caveats associated with the numbers and trends presented. More generally, information on foreign-born
employment in OECD countries is available from OECD, n.d.b.
26 See, for example, ILO, 2021.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

37

Male migrant workers outnumbered female migrant workers by 28.8 million in 2019, with 98.9 million males (58.5%)
and 70.1 million females (41.5%), in a context where males comprised a higher number of international migrants
of working age (128 million or 52.1%, compared with 117.6 million or 47.9% females). This represents a slight shiftsince 2013, towards an even more gendered migrant worker population, when the share of male migrant workers
constituted 55.7 per cent and females 44.3 per cent. See Table 2 for further breakdowns by income level and sex.

Table 2. International migrant workers, by sex and income level of destination country, 2019
Migrant workers (millions)

Proportion of all migrant workers (%)

M

F

Total

M

F

Total

Low-income

3.7

2.4

6.1

2.2

1.4

3.6

Lower-middle-income

10.5

5.6

16.0

6.2

3.3

9.5

Upper-middle-income

19.5

13.5

33.0

11.5

8.0

19.5

High-income

65.3

48.5

113.9

38.6

28.7

67.4

Global Total

98.9

70.1

169.0

58.5

41.5

100.0

Source: ILO, 2021.

As evident from the data, the international migrant worker population is currently gendered as well as geographicallyconcentrated. There is a much larger number of male than female migrant workers worldwide (see Table 2), with agender composition that sees much higher numbers of men in low- and lower-middle-income countries comparedwith women, and in contrast to the gender splits for high-income countries.
In terms of geography, and as seen in Figure 11 below, 102.4 million or almost 61 per cent of all migrant workers
resided in three subregions: Northern America; the Arab States; and Northern, Southern and Western Europe.27
Notably, there is a striking gender imbalance of migrant workers in two regions: Southern Asia (5.7 million males
compared with 1.4 million females) and the Arab States (19.9 million males compared with 4.2 million females).
The Arab States region is one of the top destinations for migrant workers, where they comprise 41.4 per cent of
the entire working population, often dominating in key sectors.

27 The ILO category of “Arab States” includes the following countries and territories: Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar,
Saudi Arabia, Syrian Arab Republic, United Arab Emirates, Yemen and the Palestinian Territories.

38

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Figure 11. Geographic distribution of migrant workers by sex (millions), 2019
Arab States
Central and Western Asia
Eastern Asia
Eastern Europe
Latin America and the Caribbean
Northern Africa
Northern America
Northern, Southern and Western Europe
South-Eastern Asia and the PacificSouthern Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

millions
male

femaleSource: ILO, 2021.
Note:
The figure reflects ILO geographic regions and subregions, and does not imply official endorsement or acceptance by
IOM. Please see annex A of ILO, 2021 for more information on regional breakdowns. Please note that the rest of thischapter refers to the UN DESA geographical regions.

IOM’s assisted voluntary return and reintegration programmes
IOM has implemented assisted voluntary return and reintegration (AVRR) programmes since 1979. IOM’s
AVRR support to migrants comprises a range of activities and typically includes: the provision of predeparture counselling, the purchase of flight tickets, administrative and travel assistance and, where possible,
the provision of reintegration assistance.
On average, from 2005 to 2014, IOM assisted 34,000 migrants per year with AVRR. In line with the rise in
the volume of migration in recent years, the number of returns has also increased (up until COVID-19). In
2019, AVRR support was provided to 64,958 migrants returning from 136 host or transit countries to 164
countries or territories of origin. However, this declined dramatically in 2020 due to COVID-19. Throughout
2020, AVRR support was provided to 42,181 (15,149 in Q1, 2,588 in Q2, 10,521 in Q3 and 13,923 in Q4)
migrants returning from 139 (88 in Q1, 41 in Q2, 84 in Q3 and 122 in Q4) host or transit countries or
territories to 150 (136 in Q1, 70 in Q2, 110 in Q3 and 132 in Q4) countries or territories of origin.
Sources: IOM, 2020d; IOM, 2020e; IOM, 2002f.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

39

International remittances
Remittances are financial or in-kind transfers made by migrants directly to families or communities in their countriesof origin. The World Bank compiles global data on international remittances, notwithstanding the myriad data gaps,
definitional differences and methodological challenges in compiling accurate statistics.28 Its data, however, do not
capture unrecorded flows through formal or informal channels, and the actual magnitudes of global remittances
are therefore likely to be larger than available estimates.29 This issue has come to the fore during the pandemic,
following a much more positive outcome in 2020 for international remittance flows, contrary to initial direprojections; this was due in part to a shift from informal channels to formal channels in response to COVID-19
immobility restrictions, among other reasons (see text box below).30 Despite these issues, available data reflect
a long-term increasing trend in international remittances in recent years, rising from USD 128 billion in 2000 to
USD 702 billion in 2020.
Despite the initially projected 20 per cent decline in international remittances globally for 2020 (made in Aprilof that year),31 the annual data show that there was only a slight dip in remittances globally (2.4% decrease) in
2020, amounting to USD 702 billion, down from USD 719 billion in 2019. However, the three consecutive years
prior to 2020 all witnessed an increase: from 2016 to 2019, global (inward) flows of remittances increased byan estimated 7.2 per cent, from USD 597 billion in 2016 to USD 640 billion in 2017, and by 8.4 per cent and3.6 per cent from 2017 to 2018 (from USD 640 billion to USD 694 billion) and from 2018 to 2019 (from USD
694 billion to USD 719 billion), respectively. Consistent with this trend, remittances to low- and middle-income
countries (which account for the majority of the global total) decreased in 2020 (from USD 548 billion in 2019 to
USD 540 billion) after the positive trend from 2016 to 2018 (from USD 441 billion in 2016 to USD 478 billion in2017 and USD 524 billion in 2018). Since the mid-1990s, international remittances have greatly surpassed official
development assistance levels defined as government aid designed to promote the economic development andwelfare of developing countries (see Figure 12 below).32

28 The content of much of this subsection, unless otherwise noted, is based on and drawn from the World Bank’s data in relation
to migration and remittances (World Bank, n.d.). In particular, the World Bank’s annual remittances data sets (ibid.), Migration andDevelopment Brief 34 (Ratha et al., 2021), and its 12 May press release (World Bank, 2021a) are key sources of information. Pleaserefer to these sources as well as the World Bank’s Factbooks on Migration and Development, including its latest, published in 2016, for
explanatory notes, deeper analysis, caveats, limitations and methodologies associated with the numbers and trends presented.
29 World Bank, 2016.
30 IMF, 2020; IOM, 2020g; IOM, 2020h; IOM, 2020i; IOM, 2021b.
31 Ratha et al., 2020a.
32 See, for example, OECD, n.d.c, which also contains data on official development assistance. There is a growing body of work exploring
the developmental, economic and social impacts of this trend.

40

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Figure 12. International remittance flows to low- and middle-income countries (1990–2020)
800
700
600

Billions

500
400
300
200
100
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Remittances

Official Development Assistance (ODA)

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

Source: World Bank, n.d. (accessed June 2021).
Note:
All numbers are in current (nominal) USD billion.

In 2020, India, China, Mexico, the Philippines and Egypt were (in descending order) the top five remittance recipient
countries, although India and China were well above the rest, with total inward remittances exceeding USD 59
billion for each country (see Table 3). G7 countries France and Germany remained in the top 10 of receiving
countries globally in 2020, just as they have done since 2005 (see Table 3). It should be noted, however, thatthe majority of inflows are not household transfers, but relate to salaries of cross-border workers who work in
Switzerland while residing in France or Germany.33

33 Eurostat, 2020.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

41

Table 3. Top 10 countries receiving/sending international remittances (2005–2020)(current USD billion)
Top countries receiving remittances
2005

2010

2015

2020

China

23.63

India

53.48

India

68.91

India

83.15

Mexico

22.74

China

52.46

China

63.94

China

59.51

India

22.13

Mexico22.08

Philippines

29.80

Mexico42.88

Nigeria

14.64

Philippines

21.56

Mexico26.23

Philippines

34.91

France

14.21

France19.90

France

24.07

Egypt

29.60

Philippines

13.73

Nigeria

19.74

Nigeria

20.63

Pakistan

26.11

Belgium

6.88

Germany

12.79

Pakistan

19.31

France

24.48

Germany

6.86

Egypt

12.45

Egypt

18.33

Bangladesh

21.75

Spain

6.66

Belgium

10.99

Germany

15.58

Germany

17.90

Poland6.47

Bangladesh

10.85

Bangladesh

15.30

Nigeria

17.21

Top countries sending remittances
2005

2010

2015

2020

United States

47.75

United States

50.53

United States

60.72

United States

68.00

Saudi Arabia

14.30

Saudi Arabia

27.07

United ArabEmirates

40.70

United ArabEmirates

43.24

Germany

12.71

RussianFederation

21.45

Saudi Arabia

38.79

Saudi Arabia

34.60

Switzerland

10.86

Switzerland

18.51

Switzerland

26.03

Switzerland

27.96

UnitedKingdom

9.64

Germany

14.68

RussianFederation

19.69

Germany

22.02

France

9.47

Italy

12.88

Germany

18.25

China

18.12

Republic of
Korea

6.90

France12.03

Kuwait15.20

RussianFederation

16.89

RussianFederation

6.83

Kuwait11.86

France12.79

France15.04

Luxembourg

6.74

Luxembourg

10.66

Qatar

12.19

Luxembourg

14.20

Malaysia

5.68

United ArabEmirates

10.57

Luxembourg

11.19

Netherlands

13.92

Source: World Bank, n.d. (accessed June 2021).
Note:
All numbers are in current (nominal) USD billion.

42

Migration and migrants: A global overview

There is no consensus on how “overreliance” on international remittances can be defined, but dependency on
remittances is mostly measured as the ratio of remittances to gross domestic product (GDP). There are currently
29 countries (out of 177 countries reported) that have a remittance-to-GDP ratio above 10 per cent. The top five
remittance-receiving countries by share of GDP in 2020 were Tonga (37.7%), followed by Somalia (35.3%), Lebanon(32.9%), South Sudan (29.5%) and Kyrgyzstan (29.4%). While many countries maintained similar levels in 2020 asin 2019, the share of GDP in Lebanon tripled as its GDP plummeted in 2020. By contrast, the Haitian remittanceeconomy as a share of GDP halved in value due to limited access to local currencies and the possible rise in transfer
costs. Heavy reliance on remittances can cultivate a culture of dependency in the receiving country, potentiallylowering labour force participation and slowing economic growth.34 Too much dependence on remittances also
makes the economy more vulnerable to sudden changes in remittance receipts.35

Figure 13. Top 20 recipient countries/territories of international remittancesby total in USD billion (left) and share of GDP (right), 2019–2020
India

Tonga

China

Somalia

MexicoLebanonPhilippines

South Sudan

Egypt

Kyrgyzstan

PakistanTajikistan

FranceEl Salvador

Bangladesh

Honduras

Germany

Nepal

Nigeria

Haiti

Viet Nam

JamaicaUkraineLesotho

Belgium

Samoa

Guatemala

Palestinian Territories

Russian Federation

Republic of Moldova

Italy

GambiaIndonesia

Nicaragua

Spain

GuatemalaDominican Republic

Cabo Verde

Nepal

Georgia
0

20

40
2019

60
2020

80

100

0%

10%

20%
2019

30%

40%

2020

Source: World Bank, n.d. (accessed June 2021).
Note:
All numbers are in current (nominal) USD billion. Yemen is not included as the remittances data have not been
updated.

34 Amuedo-Dorantes, 2014.
35 Ghosh, 2006.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

43

High-income countries are almost always the main source of international remittances. For decades, the UnitedStates has consistently been the top remittance-sending country in the world, with a total outflow of USD 68
billion in 2020, followed by the United Arab Emirates (USD 43.24 billion), Saudi Arabia (USD 34.60 billion) and
Switzerland (USD 27.96 billion). The fifth highest remittance-sending country in both 2019 and 2020 was Germany(with total outflows of USD 23.94 billion and 22.02 billion, respectively). In addition to its role as a top recipient,
China (classified as an upper-middle-income country by the World Bank) has also been a significant source ofinternational remittances, with USD 15.14 billion in 2019 and USD 18.12 billion reported in 2020.

Figure 14. Top 20 sending countries/territories of international remittancesby total in USD billion (left) and share of GDP (right), 2019–2020
United States of America

Timor-Leste

United Arab Emirates

Luxembourg

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Switzerland

Qatar

Germany

Tonga

China

Saudi Arabia

Russian Federation

Solomon Islands

FranceSeychelles

Luxembourg

Aruba

Netherlands

Switzerland

Qatar

Cyprus

Italy

Malta

United Kingdom

Malaysia

Republic of Korea

Armenia

Malaysia

BhutanJapan

Cabo VerdeThailandMontenegro

India

Republic of Moldova

PolandAzerbaijan

CanadaThailand
0

20

40
2019

60
2020

Source: World Bank, n.d. (accessed June 2021)
Note:
All numbers are in current (nominal) USD billion.

80

0%

5%

10%
2019

15%
2020

20%

25%

44

Migration and migrants: A global overview

COVID-19, international remittances and digitalization
During 2020, many analysts around the world were closely following the latest information and analysis tounderstand the migration and mobility implications of COVID-19 on international remittances.a Throughout
2020, remittances data from several countries defied World Bank projections of major declines globally inremittances, with some countries posting record monthly inflows after mid-2020.
According to World Bank’s May 2021 report,b remittance flows have proved to be resilient during the
COVID-19 crisis. In 2020, officially recorded remittance flows reached USD 702 billion, only 2.4 per centbelow the USD 719 billion seen in 2019, which is in complete contrast to the previous estimates (USD 572
billion in April 2020c and USD 666 billion in October 2020d).
Along with policy responses to support remittances and better economic conditions, a move from informal
channels (e.g. carrying cash across borders) towards more formal channels through an increased digitalizationof financial transfers appears to be one of the most important factors in explaining the slower-than-expected
decline in remittance flows. Therefore, official data are likely to capture more remittances even if the true sizeof total international remittances (formal and informal) may have fallen. For example, in Mexico, remittanceflows shifted from informal to formal as border crossings were constrained during 2020 and electronic wiretransfers became the only option to remit.e
Several countries have taken measures to encourage the use of digital services during the pandemic, andmobile money platforms have made the transfer of remittances cheaper and faster than the traditional cash
and bank transfers. Through mobile money, remittances have become more traceable, making this methodsafer than informal channels.f
However, the costs of sending remittances home, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, still remain high despite
global efforts to reduce the cost of international remittances since the late 2000s. As of March 2021, sending
remittances globally costs an average of 6.38 per cent of the amount sent (UN SDG target to reduce to lessthan 3%) and 26 per cent of country-to-country corridors are above a total cost of 5 per cent (UN SDG
target to reach zero such corridors).g
COVID-19 may provide the extra push to harness technology to further expand remittance channels anddrive down costs.
a
b
c
d
e
f
g

IOM, 2020g; IOM, 2020h; IOM, 2020i, IOM, 2021b.
Ratha et al., 2021.
Ratha et al., 2020a.
Ratha et al., 2020b.
Dinarte et al., 2021.
Aron and Muellbauer, 2019.
World Bank, 2021b.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

45

Refugees and asylum seekers
By the end of 2020, there was a total of 26.4 million refugees globally, with 20.7 million under UNHCR’s mandate
and 5.7 million refugees registered by the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA)
in the Near East.36 The total number of refugees is the highest on record, although the annual rate of growth has
slowed since 2012.
There were also approximately 4.1 million people seeking international protection and awaiting determinationof their refugee status, referred to as asylum seekers. In 2020, the global number of first-instance asylum claims
lodged was 1.1 million. This 45 per cent drop from the previous year’s 2 million represents the largest single-year
decrease since 2000, when asylum requests began being aggregated globally by UNHCR, and was a direct resultof COVID-19 mobility restrictions. The top recipient remained the United States with around 250,800 claims, a
14 per cent decrease from the previous year (301,000). Second placed was Germany, with 102,600 new claims, anotable decrease from 2019 (142,500), and the lowest recorded in almost 10 years.
At the end of 2020, those under 18 years of age constituted around 38 per cent of the refugee population(8 million of the 20.7 million refugees under UNHCR’s mandate). Unaccompanied and separated children (UASC)
lodged an estimated 21,000 individual asylum applications in 2020, a decrease from the previous year’s 25,000.
As outlined in previous reports, unresolved or renewed conflict dynamics in key countries contributed significantly
to current figures and trends. Of the refugees under UNHCR’s mandate at the end of 2020, the top 10 countriesof origin – the Syrian Arab Republic, Afghanistan, South Sudan, Myanmar, the Democratic Republic of the Congo,
Somalia, the Sudan, the Central African Republic, Eritrea and Burundi – accounted for more than 80 per cent of
the total refugee population. Many of these countries have been among the top origins of refugees for at least
seven years.
The ongoing, decade-long conflict in the Syrian Arab Republic saw the number of refugees from that country
reach approximately 6.7 million. This was an approximately 100,000 increase from the previous year and reaching
the seventh year in a row as the main origin country of refugees. The instability and violence that has madeAfghanistan a major source of refugees for over 30 years has continued, with the country being the second largest
origin country in the world, with 2.6 million refugees in 2020; this is a decrease from 2019 figures (2.7 million).
South Sudan remained the third largest origin country of refugees since large-scale violence erupted in the middleof 2016, with 2.2 million at the end of 2020. Refugees from the Syrian Arab Republic, Afghanistan, South Sudan,
Myanmar and the Democratic Republic of the Congo comprised over half of the world’s refugee population. Figure
15 shows the trends in refugee numbers for the top five countries of origin from 2005 to 2020. The impact of the
Syrian conflict is clearly illustrated; in 2010, the Syrian Arab Republic was an origin country for fewer than 30,000
refugees and asylum seekers, whereas it was the third largest host country in the world, with more than 1 million
refugees mainly originating from Iraq.37

36 The content in this subsection is based on and drawn from UNHCR, 2021a. Please refer to this documents for explanatory notes,
deeper analysis, caveats, limitations and methodologies associated with the numbers and trends presented. UNHCR’s previous Global
Trends reports, as well as its Population Statistics database (UNHCR, n.d.a) are other key sources of information.
37 UNHCR, 2011.

46

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Figure 15. Number of refugees by top five countries of origin, 2005–2020 (millions)
7
6

millions

5
4
3
2
1
0
2005

2006

2007

2008

Syrian Arab Republic

2009

2010

2011

Afghanistan

2012

2013

South Sudan

2014

2015

Myanmar

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Source: UNHCR, n.d.a (accessed 23 June 2021).
Note:
South Sudan became a country in 2011.

Consistent with the previous years, more than half of all refugees resided in 10 countries. In 2020, for the fifth
consecutive year, Turkey was the largest host country in the world, with over 3.6 million refugees, mainly Syrians.
Reflecting the significant share of Syrians in the global refugee population, the bordering country of Lebanon also
featured among the top 10. Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iran were also among the top 10 refugee-hosting
countries, as the two principal hosts of refugees from Afghanistan, the second largest origin country. Uganda,
Germany, the Sudan, Bangladesh and Ethiopia comprised the rest. The vast majority (73%) of refugees were hosted
in neighbouring countries. According to UNHCR, the least developed countries – such as Bangladesh, Chad, theDemocratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Rwanda, South Sudan, the Sudan, the United Republic of Tanzania,
Uganda and Yemen – hosted 27 per cent of the global total (6.7 million refugees).

Figure 16. Number of refugees by top five host countries as of 2020 (millions)
4
3.5
3

millions

2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

TurkeySource: UNHCR, n.d.a (accessed 23 June 2021).

2011
Pakistan

2012

2013
Uganda2014

2015
Germany

2016

2017

Sudan

2018

2019

2020

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

47

In 2020, over 250,000 refugees returned to their countries of origin, 21 per cent less than in the previous year
(317,000). Almost half (122,000) of the returns were to South Sudan, the majority of these being from Uganda(74,000). In 2020, South Sudan surpassed the Syrian Arab Republic for the most refugee returns.
While there are many challenges to measuring those benefiting from local integration, UNHCR estimates that in2020, 28 countries reported at least one naturalized refugee (compared with 25 countries in 2019), with a totalof almost 34,000 naturalized refugees for the year – a notable decrease from the nearly 55,000 newly naturalized
refugees in 2019, but still an increase when compared with the 23,000 reported in 2016. In 2020, 85 per cent of
naturalizations occurred in Europe, the majority of which (approximately 25,700 refugees) were in the Netherlands.
Second and third placed were Canada (approximately 5,000) and France (approximately 2,500).
In 2020, approximately 34,400 refugees were admitted for resettlement globally, representing a huge decrease from2019, when over 107,700 were resettled. The key resettlement countries were the United States and Canada, witharound 9,600 and 9,200 refugees respectively, and an extremely sharp decrease from the previous year of 27,500(United States) and 30,100 (Canada). The European Union resettled a total of 11,600 refugees. Syrians were thekey beneficiaries, accounting for one third of resettled refugees, followed by Congolese (12%).
The sharp fall in refugee resettlement can be partially explained by the effect of the pandemic, which severely
limited international movements worldwide. An additional cause of the decline in the number of refugees resettled
in the United States was due to a substantial lowering of the refugee admission ceiling (the number of refugees
admitted for resettlement each fiscal year) and enhanced security screening for refugees from “high-risk” countries,
which has had the effect of decreasing the number of refugee admissions from these countries. Figure 17 provides
an overview of resettlement statistics for key countries from 2005 to 2020.

Figure 17. Number of refugees resettled by major resettlement countries in 2005–2020
United States of America

CanadaAustralia

United Kingdom

NorwaySweden0

1020

Source: UNHCR, n.d.b (accessed 23 June 2021).

30

40
thousands

2020

2015

50
2010

2005

60

70

80

48

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Over the last 10 years, the number of refugees in need of resettlement has dramatically increased, almost doublingin size. UNHCR estimated that in 2011 there were approximately 805,000 refugees in need of resettlement, which
has increased to 1.4 million for 2021.38
The number of resettled refugees has fluctuated over the years. In 2005, almost 81,000 refugees were resettled,compared with around 34,000 in 2020. However, in 2019 the number resettled was almost 108,000. Overall,resettlement has not kept up with the significant increase in need (see Table 4).

Table 4. Number of refugees needing resettlement and number of refugees
resettled globally, from 2005
Total projected resettlement needs(including multi-year planning), persons

Resettlement
arrivals

2005–

80 7342006–

71 6602007–

75 271

2008–

88 772

2009–

112 455

2010–

98 7192011

805 535

79 7272012

781 299

88 9182013859 305

98 3592014

690 915105 1482015

958 429

106 9972016

1 153 296

172 7972017

1 190 519

102 7092018

1 195 349

92 3482019

1 428 011

107 7292020

1 440 408

34 3832021

1 445 383–

Source: UNHCR, n.d.b (accessed 23 June 2021).
Note:
Projected Global Resettlement Needs Report by UNHCR is available from 2011.

38 UNHCR, 2021b.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

IOM’s role in resettlement
IOM plays a key role in global resettlement. Providing essential support to States in resettling refugees andother humanitarian entrants is a fundamental purpose and is among its largest ongoing activities. Beyond
traditional refugee resettlement and humanitarian admission programmes, more States are interested in orare currently carrying out other forms of admission, such as private sponsorships, academic scholarships andlabour mobility schemes. IOM’s movement data for resettlement assistance refer to the overall number ofrefugees and other persons of concern travelling under IOM auspices from various countries of departure todestinations around the world during a given period.
In 2019, around 107,000 persons travelled under IOM’s auspices through resettlement programmes, withsignificant operations out of Afghanistan, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iraq, Jordan, Kenya, Lebanon, Turkey, Uganda,
Ukraine and the United Republic of Tanzania.a Of the above-mentioned figure, around 30,000 persons inneed of international protection were resettled to 18 different European countries, representing 30 per centof the global resettlement and humanitarian admission caseload assisted by IOM.
In 2020, IOM supported over 27 States in conducting resettlement, humanitarian admissions and relocation
for a total of 40,536 refugees and other persons in situations of vulnerability, with significant operations outof Afghanistan, Greece, Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey. The top three resettlement countries were the UnitedStates, Canada and Sweden. Of the above-mentioned total, 3,063 beneficiaries in need of international
protection were relocated from Greece, Italy and Malta to 14 destination countries in the European
Economic Area, the majority of whom were moved via charter flights.
IOM supports its Member States in implementing a variety of resettlement, relocation and other humanitarian
admission schemes, many of which are well-established programmes, while others are ad hoc responses tospecific forced migration crises.
Given the high needs and lack of available places for resettlement, IOM continues to engage with actors on
increasing accessibility to safe and legal pathways. Under cooperative agreements, IOM provides stakeholders
with necessary information and shares data with key partners, such as UNHCR, resettlement countries andsettlement agencies. IOM works in close collaboration with UNHCR on a regular basis to verify and betteralign aggregate data related to resettlement, specifically around figures for departures. For more information
on IOM’s resettlement activities, see www.iom.int/resettlement-assistance.
a IOM, 2020j.

49

50

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Internally displaced persons
The Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC) compiles data on two types of internal displacement: newdisplacements during a given period, and the total stock of internally displaced persons (IDPs) at a given point intime. This statistical information is categorized by two broad displacement causes: (a) disasters, and (b) conflictand violence. However, IDMC acknowledges the challenges associated with distinguishing between disasters andconflict as the immediate cause of displacement, and highlights the growing need to identify better ways to reporton displacement in the context of multiple drivers.39 Measures to curb the spread of COVID-19 have impeded thecollection of displacement data.40
At an estimated 48 million, the total global stock of people internally displaced by conflict and violence in 59
countries and territories as of 31 December 2020 was the highest on record since IDMC began monitoring in 1998,
and represents an increase from the 45.9 million reported in 2019. As with trends for refugees (discussed in theprevious section), intractable and new conflicts have meant that the total number of persons internally displacedby conflict and violence has almost doubled since 2000 and has risen sharply since 2010.
Figure 18 shows the world’s top 20 countries with the largest number of IDPs displaced due to conflict and violence(stock) at the end of 2020. Most countries were either in the Middle East or sub-Saharan Africa. The Syrian Arab
Republic had the highest number of people displaced due to conflict (6.6 million) by the end of 2020, followedby the Democratic Republic of the Congo (5.3 million). Colombia had the third largest number with 4.9 million,
followed by Yemen (3.6 million) and Afghanistan (3.5 million). Over 35 million (nearly 74%) of the global total of
48 million people displaced lived in just 10 countries.41
In terms of proportion of national population, the Syrian Arab Republic, whose conflict has dragged on forover a decade, had over 35 per cent of its population displaced due to conflict and violence. Somalia had thesecond highest proportion (19%), followed by the Central African Republic, South Sudan and Yemen (with over12%). It is important to note, however, that especially for protracted displacement cases, such as in Colombia, somepeople who have returned to their places of origin and to their homes may still be counted as internally displaced.
This is because, in some cases, a durable solution has not been achieved.42 Organizations such as IDMC follow theInter-Agency Standing Committee’s Durable Solutions for Internally Displaced Persons framework, which stipulates
eight criteria that constitute a durable solution in determining when people should no longer be consideredinternally displaced.43

39 IDMC highlights the challenges in collecting data on displacements due to development projects, criminal violence or slow-onset
disasters, as well as their efforts to overcome these difficulties. See IDMC, 2019:72–73.
40 IDMC, 2020:4.
41 The 10 countries comprise the Syrian Arab Republic, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Colombia, Yemen, Afghanistan, Somalia,
Nigeria, the Sudan, Ethiopia and South Sudan.
42 A durable solution is achieved “when IDPs no longer have specific assistance and protection needs that are linked to their displacement
and such persons can enjoy their human rights without discrimination resulting from their displacement.” See, for example, Brookings
Institution and University of Bern, 2010.
43 The criteria include: safety and security; adequate standard of living; access to livelihoods; restoration of housing, land and property;
access to documentation; family reunification; participation in public affairs; and access to effective remedies and justice. See, forexample, Brookings Institution and University of Bern, 2010; IDMC, 2019.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

51

Figure 18. Top 20 countries with the largest populations of internally displaced persons
by conflict and violence at the end of 2020 (millions)
IDPs millions
8

6

4

2

0

Syrian Arab Republic
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Colombia
Yemen
Afghanistan
Somalia
Nigeria
Sudan
Ethiopia
South Sudan
Iraq
TurkeyBurkina Faso
Cameroon
Azerbaijan
UkraineCentral African Republic
Mozambique
Myanmar
India
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Per cent (%)

Source: IDMC, 2021.
Notes: IDP populations refer to the accumulated number of people displaced over time. The
population size used to calculate the percentage of conflict IDPs is based on the total
resident population of the country per UN DESA population estimates (2021a).

In 2020, the global total number of persons displaced by disasters was around 7 million persons across 104
countries and territories. These people were reported to be still living in displacement at the end of 2020 due todisasters that occurred in 2020. As noted by IDMC, this figure is a “highly conservative estimate”, as it does not
capture those living in displacement because of disasters that took place before 2020.

52

Migration and migrants: A global overview

IDP statistics: recommendations
New recommendationsa were published in January 2021 by the Expert Group on Refugee and IDP Statistics(EGRIS), which was established in 2016 to facilitate the compilation of official statistics on refugees, asylum
seekers and internally displaced persons. The recommendations have updated the 2018 technical report,b the
first globally recognized standards for official statistics on forced displacement, providing recommendations
on the production and dissemination of statistics on internal displacement. The Expert Group’s reportcomprises six chapters (excluding introduction and endnotes):• Legal and policy frameworks and definitions: international and regional standards for protecting IDPs,
and commonly used non-statistical definitions for IDPs;• Statistical framework for internal displacement: specification of population groups in the scope of therecommendations, and statistical definitions of IDP inflows, stocks and outflows;• Durable solutions and key displacement-related vulnerabilities: analysis of IDP vulnerabilities andassessment of progress towards durable solutions;• Outline of key variables and indicators: recommended variables including age and sex, and tabulations
for the different categories of persons that fall within the internal displacement statistical framework;• Data sources for collecting statistics on IDPs: data sources, including censuses and surveys, available toproduce IDP statistics, and their respective challenges and advantages; and• Principles and mechanisms for the coordination of IDP statistics: quality standards and the role ofcoordination over operational data and strengthening statistical systems on forced displacement.
The recommendations will be continually promoted by a group of countries with technical support fromEGRIS members to build data systems and statistical capacity.
a EGRIS, 2020.
b EGRIS, 2018.

New displacements in 2020
By the end of 2020, there had been a total of 40.5 million new internal displacements across 42 countries andterritories due to conflict and violence, and 144 countries and territories due to disasters. Seventy-six per cent(30.7 million) of these new displacements were triggered by disasters and 24 per cent (9.8 million) were causedby conflict and violence.44
In 2020, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (2.2 million) and Syrian Arab Republic (1.8 million) topped thelist with the highest numbers of new displacements caused by conflict and violence, considerably influencing global
numbers as a result. They are followed by Ethiopia (1.7 million), Mozambique (0.6 million) and Burkina Faso
(0.5 million). The Philippines experienced the highest absolute numbers of new disaster displacements in 2020
(approximately 5.1 million).45
44 The content in this subsection is based on and drawn from IDMC, 2020 and IDMC, 2021. Please refer to these documents for
explanatory notes, deeper analysis, caveats, limitations and methodologies associated with the numbers and trends presented. IDMC’s
previous Global Estimates reports (available at www.internal-displacement.org/global-report/), as well as its Global Internal Displacement
Database (IDMC, n.d.), are other key sources of information.
45 IDMC highlights possible reasons for these changes, including stabilization of front lines of conflicts, ceasefires, restrictions on freedomof movement and changes in methodology for data collection.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

53

In any given year, many more people are newly displaced by disasters than those newly displaced by conflict andviolence, and many more countries are affected by disaster displacement. This is apparent when examining thenumber of countries and territories in which new displacements occurred in 2020: 144 for disasters, comparedwith 42 for conflict and violence (see Figure 19). As in previous years, weather-related disasters triggered the vast
majority (30 million) of all new displacements, with storms accounting for 14.6 million displacements and floods
for 14.1 million.

Figure 19. Conflict displacements (top) and disaster displacements (bottom) in 2020 by location

Source: IDMC, 2021.
Note:
This map is for illustration purposes only. The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not
imply official endorsement or acceptance by the International Organization for Migration.

54

Migration and migrants: A global overview

As shown in Figure 20, in previous years, annual new disaster displacements outnumbered new displacements
associated with conflict and violence. IDMC notes, however, that a significant portion of the global total of new
displacements by disasters is usually associated with short-term evacuations in a relatively safe and orderly manner.

Figure 20. New internal displacements due to conflict and disasters, 2010–2020 (millions)
45
40
35

millions

30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New internal displacements by conflict

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

New internal displacements by disasters

Source: IDMC, n.d. (accessed May 2021).
Notes: The term “new displacements” refers to the number of displacement movements that occurred in a given year,
not the total accumulated stock of IDPs resulting from displacement over time. New displacement figures include
individuals who have been displaced more than once, and do not correspond to the number of people displaced
during a given year.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix
IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) programme gathers and analyses data to disseminate
critical multilayered information on displacement and population mobility. DTM’s data collection andanalysis enables decision makers and responders to provide these populations with better contextspecific and evidence-based assistance. Data are shared in the form of maps, infographics, reports,
interactive web-based visualizations, and raw or customized data exports. Based on a given context,
the DTM gathers information on populations, locations, conditions, needs and vulnerabilities, using
one or more of the following methodological tools:•

Tracking mobility and multisectoral needs at area and location level to monitor needs and target
assistance;•

Monitoring movement (“flow”) trends and the overall situation at origin, transit and destination
points;•Registering displaced individuals and households for beneficiary selection and vulnerability
targeting and programming;•

Conducting surveys, to gather specific in-depth information from populations of interest.

In 2020, operating in more than 80 countries, the DTM tracked over 30 million IDPs, 26 million
returnees and 5 million migrants. IOM’s DTM database is one of the largest sources for global annual
estimates on internal displacement compiled by IDMC. For more information on IOM’s DTM, see
http://dtm.iom.int.

55

56

Migration and migrants: A global overview

Conclusions
It is important to understand migration and displacement, and how they are changing globally, given their relevanceto States, local communities and individuals. Human migration and mobility may be age-old phenomena that stretch
back to the earliest periods of history, but their manifestations and impacts have changed over time as the world
has become more globalized.46 This has been highlighted in stark terms as COVID-19 continues to significantly
disrupt international migration and mobility (and many other facets of modern society), more than 18 months
since it was first declared a pandemic by the WHO.47 Ongoing mobility restrictions remain a key feature in manysocieties around the world as virus strains see confirmed cases rise again and while vaccine roll-outs continue, albeit
in a highly uneven way globally. Restrictions to mobility – international and internal – emerged as one of the key
pillars of COVID-19 response and, while evolving and fluctuating, have persisted ever since. The thematic chapter
on COVID-19 impacts (Chapter 5 of this report) explores these issues in much greater detail, with a focus on thefirst 12 months of the pandemic and its longer-term implications.
Now, more than at any other time in history, we have more data and information on migration and displacement
globally at our disposal; yet the very nature of migration in an interconnected world means that its dynamics canbe difficult to capture in statistical terms. That said, we have seen entirely new data sets emerge very quickly
during the pandemic, including from IOM (Figure 8) and other United Nations agencies, as well as from academic
institutions.48 Further, some of the large technology companies, including Facebook and Google, began releasing
anonymized mobility data early in the pandemic that was based on users’ mobility records, providing an indicationof the vast amounts of unit record data collected, while also underscoring existing concerns regarding the humanrights implications (including privacy) of such data reserves and their usage.49 We are also seeing how the increasing
digitalization of migration and mobility – the lifeblood of which is data – is being increasingly utilized as part ofongoing efforts to develop and implement artificial intelligence technology in migration systems (see Chapter 11 of
this report). Reducing global inequality is also supported by data collection and analysis. The Global Compact for
Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration emphasizes a commitment to improving international cooperation on migration,
as well as collecting migration data and undertaking research and analysis so that we may better understandtrends and evolving patterns and processes, to support the development of evidence-based responses. Recent
developments in this area are described in Chapter 4, with particular reference to work being undertaken by theUnited Nations Network on Migration.
In the context of ongoing globalization, as well as expanding data collection and related digitalization processes, it
is increasingly relevant to stay abreast of long-term trends and evolving patterns in migration and displacement. In
this chapter, we have provided a global overview of migration and migrants, based on the current data available.
Notwithstanding data gaps and lags, several high-level conclusions can be drawn. At the global level, for example,
we can see that, over time, migrants have taken up residence in some regions (such as Asia and Europe) at amuch greater rate than others (such as Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean); and that this trend is likely
to continue over the longer term, notwithstanding the acute impacts of the pandemic in recent months. Likewise,
statistics show that migrant workers continue to gravitate toward regions with greater opportunities, as economies
46 McAuliffe and Goossens, 2018; Triandafyllidou, 2018.
47 WHO, 2020.
48 See, for example, the University of Oxford’s Government Response Tracker (used in this chapter) and the Johns Hopkins University
COVID-19 data set (referred to in Chapter 5 of this report).
49 Toh, 2020; Zuboff, 2021.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

57

grow and labour markets evolve, and that some migrant worker populations are heavily gendered (see Figure 11).
That said, additional analysis in this report (Chapter 7) indicates that there have been changes in the composition of
migration corridors, along with indications that higher mobility has been occurring from highly developed countries
in recent years.
The global data also show that displacement caused by conflict, generalized violence and other factors remains at arecord high, notwithstanding the additional difficulties in collecting data during the pandemic. Intractable, unresolved
and recurring conflicts and violence have led to an increase in the number of refugees around the world. While a
handful of countries continue to provide solutions for refugees, overall, these have been profoundly and persistently
insufficient in addressing global needs. In addition, there were estimated to be more people displaced internallyat the end of 2020 than ever before. Recent tragic events in Afghanistan indicate that we are likely to see global
displacement numbers rise even higher in the immediate future as people are displaced within and from thatcountry during the remainder of 2021 and into 2022.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

3

59

MIGRATION AND MIGRANTS:REGIONAL DIMENSIONS AND DEVELOPMENTS

The previous chapter provides an overview of migration globally, with specific reference to international migrants andmigration flows, and to the impacts of COVID-19 on mobility globally. Particular migrant groups – including migrant
workers, refugees, asylum seekers and internally displaced persons (IDPs) – as well as international remittances,were also discussed. This chapter focuses primarily on the regional level in order to provide a more detailed pictureof migration, which sets out a different, but complementary, perspective of migrants and movements in different
parts of the world.1
Our starting point is geographic, rather than thematic, given that geography is one of the fundamentals underpinningmigration today, just as it has been in the past. Notwithstanding increasing globalization, geography remains oneof the most significant factors shaping patterns of migration and displacement. Many people who migrate acrossborders do so within their immediate regions – to countries that are close by, countries to which it may be easierto travel, that may be more familiar, and from which it may also be easier to return. For people who are displaced,finding safety quickly is paramount. People therefore tend to be displaced to safer locations nearby, whether thatis within their own countries or across international borders.
This chapter seeks to assist migration policymakers, practitioners, researchers and students to make better senseof international migration globally by using a geographic perspective to present regional migration overviews. The
analysis in this chapter focuses on six world regions as defined by the United Nations, and used by the United
Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) and other organizations:
•
•
•
•
•
•

Africa;Asia;
Europe;Latin America and the Caribbean;
Northern America;
Oceania.

For each of these regions, the analysis includes: (a) an overview and brief discussion of key migration statistics
based on data compiled and reported by UN DESA, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees(UNHCR), the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), the University of Oxford COVID-19 Government
Response Tracker and IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM); and (b) succinct descriptions of “key featuresand developments” in migration in the region, based on a wide range of data, information and analyses frominternational organizations, researchers and analysts.
To account for the diversity of migration patterns, trends and issues within each of the six regions, the descriptive
narratives of “key features and recent developments” are presented at the subregional level. For Asia, for example,
this cascade approach allows for the presentation of insights from statistical data on Asia as a whole, followed bysummary information on subregions, including Eastern Asia, Southern Asia, South-East Asia, the Middle East andCentral Asia. A breakdown of the regions and subregions is provided in Appendix A. These subregional overviews

60

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

provide information on migration patterns from, within and to the subregions.2 Beyond this, attention has been
paid to particular features that exist in a subregion, such as labour migration and international remittances, irregularmigration, human trafficking and displacement (both internal and international). The subregional overviews are notintended to be exhaustive, but are designed to be illustrative of key trends and recent changes in migration overthe previous two years.
It is important to note that this chapter builds on the previous regional chapters of the World Migration Reports of2018 and 2020 by providing an update on statistics and current issues, including in relation to COVID-19 impacts.
Significant changes over the two years since the last edition of the World Migration Report have been reflectedin this chapter, which incorporates data and information up until the end of June 2021. Recent global events are
discussed, such as those related to the impacts of COVID-19 on migration and mobility across various subregions,along with recent conflict and disaster displacement events. The chapter draws on the existing evidence base andsources are provided in endnotes and the references section. We encourage readers to refer to sources citedin this chapter to learn more about topics of interest. Thematic chapters in this volume may also be of interest,
including those on COVID-19 (Chapter 5), peace and security and migration (Chapter 6), climate change (Chapter
9) and human trafficking (Chapter 10).

Africa3
Migration in Africa involves large numbers of international migrants moving both within and from the region. As
shown in Figure 1, in 2020 around 21 million Africans were living in another African country, a significant increase
from 2015, when around 18 million Africans were estimated to be living within the region. The number of Africans
living in different regions also grew during the same period, from around 17 million in 2015 to over 19.5 million
in 2020.
Figure 1 shows that since 2000, international migration within the African region has increased significantly. Since
1990, the number of African migrants living outside of the region has more than doubled, with the growth inEurope most pronounced. In 2020, most African-born migrants living outside the region were residing in Europe(11 million), Asia (nearly 5 million) and Northern America (around 3 million).
One of the most striking aspects to note about international migrants in Africa, as shown in Figure 1, is the small
number of migrants who were born outside of the region and have since moved there. From 2015 to 2020, thenumber of migrants born outside the region remained virtually unchanged (around 2 million), most of whom werefrom Asia and Europe.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

61

Figure 1. Migrants to, within and from Africa, 1990–2020
Migrants to Africa

Migrants within Africa

Migrants from Africa

20

Migrant Stock (millions)

15

10

5

0
1990

2000

2010

2020 1990

2000

2010

2020

1990

2000

2010

2020

Year
RegionAfricaEuropeNorthern America

Asia

Latin America andthe Caribbean

Oceania

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note:“Migrants to Africa” refers to migrants residing in the region (i.e. Africa) who were born in one of the otherregions (e.g. Europe or Asia). “Migrants within Africa” refers to migrants born in the region (i.e. Africa) and
residing outside their country of birth, but still within the African region. “Migrants from Africa” refers topeople born in Africa who were residing outside the region (e.g. in Europe or Northern America).

62

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

The African countries with the largest number of emigrants tend to be in the north of the region. These areshown on the left-hand side of Figure 2, where countries are ranked by their overall numbers of migrants (thecombination of immigrants in the country and emigrants from the country). In 2020, Egypt had the largest numberof people living abroad, followed by Morocco, South Sudan, the Sudan, Somalia and Algeria. In terms of the numberof immigrants, South Africa remains the most significant destination country in Africa, with around 2.9 million
international migrants residing in the country; however, this is a drop of more than 9 per cent since 2015, when
the country had over 3.2 million international migrants. Other countries with high immigrant populations as aproportion of their total populations, but not among the top 20, include Gabon (19%), Equatorial Guinea (16%),
Seychelles (13%) and Libya (12%).

Figure 2. Top 20 African migrant countries, 2020
Migrants(millions)

Percentage of
population

Egypt
South Africa
Côte d'Ivoire
Sudan
South Sudan
MoroccoNigeria
Democratic Republicof the Congo
UgandaBurkina Faso

Immigrant

Algeria

Emigrant

Somalia
Ethiopia
Mali
Zimbabwe
Kenya
Ghana
AngolaBenin
Cameroon
2

0

2

20

10

0

10

20

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note 1: The population size used to calculate the percentage of immigrants and emigrants is based on the UN DESA total
resident population of the country, which includes foreign-born populations.
Note 2: “Immigrant” refers to foreign-born migrants residing in the country. “Emigrant” refers to people born in the country
who were residing outside their country of birth in 2021.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

63

Most African countries enacted a range of COVID-19-related travel restrictions, both international and internal,
starting in early 2020. Notably, international travel controls were imposed several weeks before restrictions on
internal movements came into force (Figure 3). International control measures such as screening arrivals were
put in place earliest and remained in place for nearly all countries in the region. Other international restrictions,however, which peaked between March and June 2020, began to decline in July, with controls such as the ban on
arrivals from some regions and total border closures falling sharply and being abandoned by most countries in theregion by mid-2021.
Slightly fewer countries in Africa issued restrictions on internal movement when compared with international travel
controls. These restrictions, which were at the highest between March and April 2020, began to decline mid-year,with slight upticks during “new waves” of infections.

Figure 3. COVID-19-related travel controls in Africa: International and internal,
January 2020 to June 2021
50

International travel controls
No restrictions

Countries

40

Screening arrivals

30

Quarantine arrivals from some or
all regions
Ban arrivals from some regions

20

Ban on all regions or total borderclosure10

No data

21

21

20

20
Jun

Jul

1

1

02
M

ay
2

r2

02

21

M

Ap

21

20

ar

21

Jan

Fe
b

20

20

20

ec
D

N

20

02

0

20
ct

O

Se

ov
2

20

20

20
p

20

20

20

Au
g

20

Jun

Jul

20

20

0

0
02
M

ay
2

r2
Ap

02

20

20

20
ar

20
M

Jan

Fe
b

20

20

0

Date
50

Restrictions on internal movement
between cities/regions

Countries

40

No measures
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities − targeted
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities − general
Internal movement restrictions inplace − targetedInternal movement restrictions inplace − general

30

20

10

No data

21
20
Jul

Jun

20

21

1

1
02

02

M
ay
2

21

r2
Ap

20

21
M

ar

20

Fe
b

20

21

20
Jan

D

ec

20

02

0

20

ov
2
N

O

ct

20

20

20

20
p
Se

20

20

Au
g

20

20
Jul

0

20
Jun

0
02

02
ay
2

M

0

r2
Ap

20

02
ar
2

M

20

20
Jan

Fe
b

20

0

Date

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: Categories used are those of the Oxford Government Response Tracker; categories included in the data set are for COVID19-related restrictions only and do not reflect other travel restrictions that may also be in place, such as those related to visa
restrictions, entry bans based on citizenship, departure/exit restrictions and internal movement restrictions.

64

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

In the early months of the pandemic, there was a sharp increase in COVID-19-related travel restrictions imposed
both on countries within Africa (represented by the solid blue line) and those outside region (dotted blue line)(Figure 4). At their peak, around 80 per cent of corridors (intraregional and global) had travel restrictions. These
measures levelled off around mid-2020 and soon began to decline, with intra-African travel restrictions fallingmuch more sharply. By late 2020, health-related measures such as quarantine requirements and requiring negative
COVID-19 test results had surpassed intra-African travel restrictions. Strikingly, however, unlike travel restrictions– which remained relatively high for countries outside of Africa compared with those within the continent – there
were significantly more intra-African health measures when compared with similar controls imposed on countries
outside the continent. As shown in the figure below, more than 80 per cent of country-to-country corridors (within
the region) had implemented health-related measures as of 30 June 2021.

Figure 4. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Africa: March 2020 to June 2021

Country-to-country Corridors

80%

60%

40%

20%

Destination
Within Region

21

21

20
Jul

20
Jun

M

ay
2

02

1

1
02
r2

21

Ap

20

21

ar

20
M

Fe
b

20

21

0
02

ec
2
D

Travel Restriction

Jan

02

0

20

ov
2
N

20
ct

O

20

20

20
20

Restriction Type
Health-related Measure

Se
p

02

0

Au
g

20
20

Jul
2

0
02

ay
2

Jun

0
02
M

r2
Ap

M

ar

20

20

0%

GlobalSource: IOM, 2021a.
Notes: Health-related measures include health screening and monitoring, testing/medical certificates and quarantine measures.
Travel restrictions include passenger restrictions based on nationality or arrival from a geographic location. See the
DTM Mobility restrictions page for more information on the methodology.

In 2020, Egypt, Nigeria, Morocco, Ghana and Kenya were the top five international remittance recipient countries inAfrica (see Figure 5). Inflows to Egypt and Nigeria alone exceeded USD 15 billion for each country and accounted
for 56 per cent of total remittance flows to the region. As a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), however,
the top five remittance-receiving countries in 2020 were Somalia (35%), followed by South Sudan (30%), Lesotho(21%), the Gambia (16%) and Cabo Verde (14%). Overall remittances to Africa decreased by around 3 per cent inWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

65

2020 compared with 2019, largely due to a 28 per cent decline in remittance flows to Nigeria, the second largest
remittance-receiving country in the region. Excluding Nigeria, however, remittances to the region grew by nearly
6 per cent in 2020 despite the COVID-19 pandemic, driven by unexpectedly strong flows to Egypt and Morocco.
Meanwhile, as shown in Figure 5, South Africa and Angola were the leading remittance source countries in theregion, with outflows from the two countries amounting to around USD 921 million and USD 576 million,
respectively, in 2020. While remittance outflows from South Africa declined in 2020 compared with 2019, thosefrom Angola, Mozambique and Namibia, the second, third and fifth largest remittance source countries, increased.

Figure 5. Top African international remittance recipient and source countries, 2019 and 2020
Total in USD billion (inflows)
Egypt

Total in USD billion (outflows)
SomaliaSouth Africa

Nigeria
MoroccoSouth Sudan
LesothoAngola

Ghana
Kenya

GambiaCabo Verde

Mozambique

SenegalTunisia
Democratic Republicof the Congo
Somalia

Comoros
Liberia

MoroccoSenegalGuinea-Bissau

Namibia

Algeria
Zimbabwe

Egypt
MoroccoNigeriaSouth Sudan
UgandaTogo
Zimbabwe

ZambiaMali
South Africa

Mali
Tunisia

Seychelles

Ethiopia
Sudan

Ghana
Nigeria
Democratic Republicof the Congo
Kenya

Cabo VerdeBurkina Faso
Togo

Eswatini

Lesotho0102019

Source: World Bank, 2021.

20

30
2020

40

Share (%) of GDP (inflows)Eswatini
0

0.5

1

2019

2020

1.5

0

10
2019

20

30
2020

40

66

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Displacement within and from Africa is a major feature of the region, as shown in Figure 6. Most refugees andasylum seekers on the continent were hosted in neighbouring countries within the region. The top 10 countries inAfrica, ranked by the combined total of refugees and asylum seekers both hosted by and originating from a given
country, are shown in Figure 6. South Sudan was the origin of the largest number of refugees in Africa in 2020
(2 million) and ranked fourth in the world after the Syrian Arab Republic, the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela andAfghanistan, with most being hosted in neighbouring countries such as Uganda. With protracted conflicts in bothcountries, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Somalia were the origin of the second and third highest
number of refugees in the region. Most of these refugees are also hosted in neighbouring countries. Other large
refugee populations have originated from the Sudan and the Central African Republic. Uganda remained the largest
host country of refugees in the region and the fourth largest in the world after Turkey, Colombia and Pakistan,with around 1.4 million living in the country; most were from South Sudan and the Democratic Republic of theCongo. Other large refugee hosting countries in 2020 were the Sudan and Ethiopia.

Figure 6. Top 10 African countries by total refugees and asylum seekers, 2020
South Sudan

Sudan

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Location

UgandaHostedAbroadEthiopia
Status:Somalia

Refugees

Central African Republic

Asylum seekers

Eritrea

Cameroon

Kenya
2

1.5

1
0.5
0
Persons (millions)

0.5

1

1.5

Source: UNHCR, n.d.a.
Note:“Hosted” refers to those refugees and asylum seekers from other countries who are residing in
the receiving country (right-hand side of the figure); “abroad” refers to refugees and asylum seekers
originating from that country who are outside of their origin country. The top 10 countries are basedon 2020 data and are calculated by combining refugees and asylum seekers in and from countries.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

67

The largest new internal displacements in Africa in 2020 took place in sub-Saharan Africa, with the majority causedby conflict (see Figure 7). The Democratic Republic of the Congo and Ethiopia experienced the largest conflict
displacements in the region. By the end of 2020, there were a little over 2 million new conflict displacements inthe Democratic Republic of the Congo and more than 1.6 million in Ethiopia. While the scale of displacements
due to conflict is not as acute in terms of absolute numbers in the Central African Republic, the country had thelargest displacements as a proportion of national population (around 7%).
Somalia and Ethiopia had the largest and second largest disaster displacements, respectively. In Somalia, heavy
rains and subsequent flooding drove many of the displacements. Across sub-Saharan Africa, disaster-related events
further exacerbated crises, particularly in countries already in conflict, triggering new and secondary movements.

Figure 7. Top 20 African countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020
Percentage of population

Millions
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Ethiopia
SomaliaSouth Sudan
Mozambique
Burkina Faso
Sudan
Nigeria
Niger
Kenya
Central African Republic
Mali
Cameroon
Chad
United Republic of Tanzania
BurundiUgandaLibya
MalawiMadagascar
1.5

Disaster
Conflict

1.0

0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

Source: IDMC, n.d.; UN DESA, 2021.
Notes: The term “new displacements” refers to the number of displacement movements that occurred in 2020, not the total
accumulated stock of IDPs resulting from displacement over time. New displacement figures include individuals who have been
displaced more than once and do not correspond to the number of people displaced during the year.
The population size used to calculate the percentage of new disaster and conflict displacements is based on the total resident
population of the country per 2021 UN DESA population estimates, and the percentage is for relative illustrative purposes only.

68

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Key features and developments in Africa4
West and Central Africa
The COVID-19 pandemic and related containment measures have had wide-ranging impacts on migrationand mobility in West and Central Africa, disrupting intraregional movement and resulting in stranded
migrants. Most international migrants from West and Central Africa move within the subregion. Many migrate
for economic reasons, including to work in both the informal and formal sectors.5 However, in the early monthsof the pandemic, travel and movement restrictions such as border closures resulted in the suspension of freemovement arrangements, such as those of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), which
had long facilitated greater mobility within the subregion.6 Between March and April 2020, up to 12 countries in thesubregion closed their borders.7 Consequently, intraregional migration flows in West and Central Africa dropped bynearly 50 per cent between January and April 2020 at key transit points.8 Border closures also led to thousandsof migrants being stranded, including seasonal workers, students and herders such as those who traditionally movealong the transhumance corridor between Mauritania and Chad. By mid-2020, an estimated 50,000 migrants had
been stranded in quarantine and transit centres and at international borders in West and Central Africa.9 Travel
restrictions also had devastating impacts on trade and on the livelihoods of border communities, including migrants,
many of whom are engaged in the informal sector, which employs most people in both West and Central Africa.10
Further, with formal recruitment channels suspended and borders closed, some migrants in West Africa resorted
to using irregular migration channels and there were reports of smugglers charging higher fees to facilitate travel
between countries. However, due to tighter border controls and the general decrease in population movements,
migrant smuggling from the subregion decreased in the early months of the crisis, with irregular migration flows
to Europe, for example, also temporarily falling.11 While many countries have reopened their borders, various
health and travel restrictions remain and continue to have impacts on migration and mobility in the subregion.
The pandemic has also complicated political priorities, including those related to migration governance; however,as some analysis suggests, this is also an opportunity to strengthen migration governance and cooperation in thesubregion and there is impetus to this end in some countries.12
The crisis in Central Sahel, characterized by the recent upsurge in conflict and violence, has resulted
in one of the worst humanitarian disasters in Africa. The Central Sahel area, which encompasses Burkina
Faso, the Niger and Mali, has experienced an increase in violence in recent years, driven by a combination offactors, including competition over natural resources, underdevelopment and poverty. The violence over accessto natural resources has especially been exploited by non-State armed groups in rural areas, as State authorities
have increasingly withdrawn into cities. Moreover, intercommunal violence in rural areas, including conflict between
farmers and herders around transhumance, has also exacerbated an already difficult humanitarian situation, while
the effects of climate change, such as unpredictable weather patterns and record hot periods, have worsened
communal tensions and violence. Across the three States, an estimated 1.9 million people were internally displacedby the end of 2020, while thousands died due to violence during the same year.13
Climate change and extreme weather events are significant triggers of displacement, while also continuing
to affect the livelihoods of millions of people and increasing competition over natural resources. AcrossCentral and West Africa, climate change has contributed to prolonged droughts and unpredictable rainfall, impacting
on the land use patterns of farmers and herders.14 Severe droughts, which have become more frequent, are not
only disrupting livelihoods, but are also forcing many pastoralists into displacement.15 Storm surges and flooding

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

69

have also become more common, and in 2020 alone, they affected more than 2 million people across 18 countries
in the subregion, resulting in the destruction of livestock, land and goods, and contributing to the ongoing foodinsecurity.16 In the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Cameroon, for example, heavy rain and flooding led
to around 279,000 and 116,000 new displacements, respectively.17 Further, climate change has worsened existingtensions in communities over reduced access to water and grazing land, leading to increased violence over thesenatural resources. Of note is Nigeria’s Middle Belt region and the border between Burkina Faso and Mali; thissituation has been exploited by extremist groups, which capitalize on current tensions to further their causes.18
Displacement due to violent extremism continues to be a defining feature in West and Central Africa,
with millions of people uprooted from their homes. In the Lake Chad basin, including Nigeria, Chad, the Niger
and Cameroon, extremist groups such as Boko Haram have increased their attacks and kidnapping of civilians,
while also continuing to recruit children into fighting.19 New extremist groups have also emerged in recent years,
while some have expanded by establishing ties with regional or international groups.20 In addition to Boko Haram,
there are several other active groups that have not only caused displacement, but have also led to deaths and set
back years of development gains in the Lake Chad basin and the Sahel.21 Their expansion across West Africa has
been aided, in part, by smugglers and trafficking networks, as well as porous borders in the subregion.22 Extremistgroups continue to take advantage of underlying ethnic animosities, poverty and the absence of State control insome rural areas to draw in recruits and advance their agendas.23 Meanwhile, new coalitions of armed groups inCentral Africa have devastated the lives of many people. In the Central African Republic, for example, one in fourof the country’s population was either a refugee or an IDP, and in the first six months of 2020, nearly as many
people had been displaced within the country as had been displaced across the entire year of 2019.24
Women and girls comprise a significant number of migrants in West and Central Africa, with many
experiencing a range of gender-based risks. Women in the subregion migrate for various reasons, including insearch of economic opportunities, to reunite with their families and to further their education.25 In West Africa,
nearly half of all migrants within and from the subregion are female.26 The growing number of women migrants
in the subregion is also evident in the number of migrant returns, which are increasingly comprised of women.27
Economic factors remain the primary driver of migration and while women migrants are engaged in both formal
and informal employment activities, the majority continue to be employed in the informal economy, including inareas such as trade and domestic work.28 Female migrants from and within the subregion face several challenges
and risks, both during migration and following arrival in destination countries. Sexual exploitation and violence
during migration journeys, precarious employment conditions in destination countries and low wages are some of
the challenges that many experience.29

Eastern and Southern Africa
The COVID-19 pandemic has taken a devastating toll on millions of migrants, including refugees, inboth Eastern and Southern Africa. In the early weeks and months of the pandemic, several countries in thesubregion completely closed their borders and restricted movement, resulting in a significant decline in migrationand mobility within the subregion.30 In addition to closing borders, some countries suspended the reception of
new asylum seekers and refugees, leaving many people – at least temporarily – without protection.31 Uganda, forexample, host to one of the largest refugee populations in the world, effectively ceased its “open door” policy torefugees and asylum seekers in early 2020. Further, refugees living in crowded camps and those in remote areas
far from government health facilities have faced a range of challenges, including poor or no access to testing andtreatment, while at the same time experiencing difficulty adhering to physical and social distancing, making them
particularly vulnerable to contracting COVID-19.32 As countries went into lockdown, leaving many migrants without

70

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

work and the means to return home, thousands were left stranded in the subregion.33 The pandemic also had an
impact on irregular migration from the region. In the first few months of the pandemic, there was a decline inirregular migrant arrivals from the region to Europe, although by mid-2020, these numbers had risen again.34 The
drop in the number of migrants from the Horn of Africa going to Gulf countries through Yemen, however, wasmuch more sustained, declining by 73 per cent in 2020.35 In the same year, thousands of Horn of African migrants
also returned from Yemen, often aided by smugglers, as many lost their sources of income due to the disruptions
caused by the pandemic, while also experiencing increased human rights abuses.36 The closure of the Yemen–Saudi
Arabia border in 2020 also meant that many migrants headed to Saudi Arabia were no longer able to reach theirintended destination.37 The pandemic’s impacts have extended to disrupting peace processes and operations acrossthe world, including in Eastern Africa, and thus prolonging conflicts, which continue to drive displacement in thesubregion.38 Meanwhile, in parts of Southern Africa, the pandemic has been used to instrumentalize xenophobia
and to scapegoat migrants.39 Undocumented migrants and asylum seekers, among other migrants, have been hard
hit by lockdown measures, which have worsened their already difficult socioeconomic conditions, with many unable
to access pandemic-related support services.40 While some countries in the subregion included migrants such as
refugees and asylum seekers in their COVID-19-related health measures, including vaccinations, some continued to
exclude them, with irregular migrants in particular being left out.41
Labour migration is a key feature in Eastern and Southern Africa, with a significant number of migrant
workers within and from the subregion. Intraregional migration in Eastern and Southern Africa has increased
over the years, driven in part by the growth of migrant workers in the subregion.42 In Eastern Africa, integration
efforts such as the East African Common Market Protocol, while still facing major implementation challenges, have
gradually made it easier for people to work across borders.43 Recent arrangements, such as the Free Movement
and Transhumance Protocol endorsed in June 2021, could also further accelerate intraregional migration once
ratified and implemented by the Member States of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD).44
Other regional economic communities, such as the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA),
have also developed programmes to further facilitate regular labour migration among Member States.45 Intraregional
irregular migration, including for economic reasons, is also prevalent.46 Similar to Eastern Africa, the number ofinternational migrant workers within the Southern African Development Community (SADC) has also increased,
comprised of labour migrants from within and outside Southern Africa.47 An increasingly large number of people
also migrate outside the subregion. Traditionally, Northern America and Europe have been the major destinations
for emigrants from East African countries such as Kenya. In 2020, the largest Kenyan diaspora resided in the
United States (nearly 157,000) and the United Kingdom (around 139,000).48 Gulf States have also become a major
destination for a growing number of Ugandan, Kenyan and Ethiopian migrant workers.49 Large diaspora communities
from the subregion have resulted in significant international remittance inflows in recent years. Kenya, for example,
the third largest remittance recipient in sub-Saharan Africa after Nigeria and Ghana, received over USD 3 billion in
2020, a 9 per cent increase from 2019.50 This growth in remittance flows to Kenya was largely driven by increased
flows from the United States.51 Other countries in the subregion with significant numbers of their populations living
abroad, such as Somalia and Uganda, also rank among the top 10 remittance-receiving countries in sub-SaharanAfrica.52 South Africa is also a major destination for many migrants from the subregion and is the largest sourceof remittances in Africa.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

71

The surge in terrorist attacks, in addition to persistent conflicts in parts of Southern and Eastern Africa,
remain significant drivers of displacement. In northern Mozambique, the intensification of violent attacks by
Ahlu Sunna wal Jama has resulted in a sharp increase in displacement. These extremely violent attacks have plunged
the country’s northern provinces such as Cabo Delgado, which are still dealing with the devastating effects of
Cyclone Kenneth, further into crisis.53 By end of 2020, conflict and violence had resulted in over half a million
displacements in Mozambique, the fourth largest number of new conflict displacements in the world in 2020.54 In
Eastern Africa, several countries also continue to experience sporadic violence and intermittent conflict. Al Shabab
attacks in Somalia, as well as State and regional armed operations against the militant group, continue to drive
people from their homes, while in South Sudan, despite a peace accord that has restored a degree of stability,
conflict between community militias continued in 2020.55 One of the largest drivers of displacement in the Horn ofAfrica and that has an effect on Eastern Africa is the ongoing conflict in Tigray, Ethiopia; clashes have cost thousandsof lives, and resulted in both internal and cross-border displacement in Tigray and neighbouring Afar and Amhara.56
An estimated 1.7 million people had been displaced by conflict and violence in Ethiopia at the end of 2020, thethird largest such figure in the world after the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Syrian Arab Republic.57
Thousands also fled the country due to the violence, many hosted in neighbouring Sudan.58
Eastern Africa continues to simultaneously host as well as be the origin of some of the largest refugee
populations in the world. In 2020, South Sudan was origin of the fourth largest number of refugees globally (over2 million).59 Somalia, another country in the subregion affected by years of conflict and violence, was the origin ofover 800,000 refugees.60 East and Horn of Africa and the Great Lakes continue to be the origin of most African
refugees, with more than 5 million from countries in the region in 2020.61 The region also hosted a significant
number of refugees (around 4.5 million) in 2020.62 Uganda, with more than 1.4 million refugees, was the fourthlargest host country of refugees in the world, most from South Sudan.63 Several countries in the subregion, suchas Uganda, have maintained their open-door policies, while also increasingly adopting progressive national refugee
frameworks, partly inspired by the Global Compact on Refugees.64
Extreme weather events, including floods, droughts and storms are affecting livelihoods in the subregion,
often resulting in large displacements. Several countries in Eastern Africa, already beleaguered by conflict andviolence, have experienced devastating disasters over the last two years. Kenya, Ethiopia, Somalia and South Sudan,
for example, were affected by some of the worst floods in decades, which created the conditions for a catastrophic
locust outbreak that damaged livelihoods across the region in 2020.65 In South Sudan, disasters, especially floods,
were responsible for over 440,000 new disaster displacements in 2020.66 In the same year, around 664,000 new
disaster displacements were recorded in Ethiopia.67 Several countries in Southern Africa were also affected byslow- and rapid-onset disasters. In Mozambique, for example, a country still reeling from the devastating effectsof Cyclones Idai and Kenneth, Cyclone Eloise, which made landfall in January 2021, left hundreds of thousands ofpeople in need of humanitarian assistance.68 In countries such as the United Republic of Tanzania, recent flooding
has also been linked to warming sea surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean, which contributes to La Niña-like
conditions, and in parts of the country, severe droughts have resulted in the reduction of water levels in water
bodies such as Lake Tanganyika.69 These climate effects impact on already existing migration drivers, including thoserelated to economic factors, with communities that depend on rain-fed agriculture being most affected.

72

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

North Africa
The effects of COVID-19 and related movement restrictions on migrants and migration in North
Africa resulted in changes to irregular migration patterns, involuntary immobility, forced returns anddiscrimination. While North Africa remains a major area of transit for migrants from other parts of Africa
trying to make their way to Europe, border closures in the subregion led to a decline in the overall number of
migrants departing to Europe via the Mediterranean Sea in 2020.70 However, there was wide variation across thedifferent routes from North Africa, with the number of people using the Central Mediterranean route, for example,
increasing in 2020 compared with 2019.71 The pandemic and related measures to contain it also had adverse andunique impacts on migrants, including those held in detention in countries with major protection challenges such as
Libya, where overcrowding, poor sanitation and the lack of safe water have made them vulnerable to contracting
COVID-19.72 Other migrants in the subregion have found themselves stranded because of border closures ordue to the suspension of voluntary return programmes.73 In some cases, migrants have been forcibly returned byauthorities, leaving them stranded in the desert.74 The forced return of migrants from North Africa and otherparts of world prompted the United Nations Network on Migration (UNNM) to issue a statement calling for thesuspension of these measures during the pandemic.75 However, some countries in North Africa, such as Algeria– in agreement with origin countries including Mali – did temporarily lift travel restrictions and allowed IOM,
for example, to facilitate the safe return of stranded migrants.76 The pandemic also inflicted a significant financial
toll on a large number of migrants in the subregion, as many lost their sources of income. Migrants have also
experienced discrimination and stigmatization, compounded with being excluded from vital services such as healthcare, although some countries, such as Egypt, have included migrants in their health-care responses and vaccinationplans.77 Furthermore, women migrants have been disproportionately affected by COVID-19, and in countries such
as Tunisia, women have not only reported more frequent losses in income than men, but there has also been an
increase in the risk of sexual exploitation.78
North Africa receives some of the largest international remittances globally, driven by the subregion’s
significant emigrant population. Emigration, particularly from Maghreb countries such as Algeria, Morocco andTunisia, has long been a feature in North Africa.79 Other countries in the subregion, including Egypt, also havelarge emigrant populations. Europe and Asia are the two major destinations for migrants from North Africa. In
2020, there was a combined total of more than 5 million migrants in Europe from Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia.80
While Europe is the primary destination for migrants from these three countries, Asian countries, particularly
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) States, are the main destination for migrants from Egypt.81 Nearly one million
Egyptian migrants, for example, were living in Saudi Arabia in 2020, while around 900,000 were in the United ArabEmirates and over 400,000 in Kuwait.82 Given its large diaspora, the subregion has over the years become one of
the largest recipients of international remittances in the world. In 2020, international remittance inflows to Egypt
reached a record USD 30 billion, making it the fifth largest recipient globally.83 Despite the COVID-19 pandemic,
remittances to Egypt increased by around 11 per cent, while in Morocco they rose by 6.5 per cent.84 Remittances
to Morocco and Tunisia account for more than 5 per cent of GDP, while in Egypt this figure is at over 8 per cent.85
International remittance flows to the subregion could potentially grow further, as the European Union (EU) seeks
to enhance legal migration pathways to the region through instruments such as the EU Talent Pool and TalentPartnerships, part of the New EU Pact on Migration and Asylum; North Africa is one of the subregions that would
benefit from these new schemes.86
North Africa continues to be the origin and destination of a large number of refugees and IDPs, withconflict and violence playing major roles in driving displacement within and from the subregion. For
a decade, countries such as Libya have been embroiled in conflict and political instability, forcing hundreds ofthousands of people from their homes and severely limiting access to basic services.87 Humanitarian assistancedelivery has also often been hampered, while services such as water, health and education infrastructure are

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

73

regularly targeted.88 In 2020, there were more than 278,000 IDPs in Libya, many displaced by conflict and violence.89
While a ceasefire signed in October 2020 has resulted in a reduction in hostilities, over a million people continue tobe in need of humanitarian assistance.90 The Sudan also continues to experience a complex political, humanitarianand political situation. Violent conflict in areas such as Kordofan and Darfur have displaced many, while the country
continues to host one of the largest refugee populations in the world, most from South Sudan.91 Other refugees
in the Sudan include those from neighbouring countries such as Ethiopia and Eritrea, as well as those from moredistant countries in conflict, including Yemen and the Syrian Arab Republic.92 By the end of 2020, the Sudan hosted
around 1 million refugees and over 2.3 million IDPs.93
Many migrants across the subregion continue to endure a multitude of protection challenges, with womenand girls particularly vulnerable to abuse. In addition to verbal and physical attacks, migrants have encounteredexploitation, as well as poor living conditions.94 These realities are further compounded in countries with weak ruleof law and where militias or smugglers and traffickers act with impunity. In Libya, migrants have regularly been taken
and held in “official” detention centres, where they have faced a multitude of abuses.95 Other migrants have ended
up in warehouses or unofficial detention centres and left at the mercy of smugglers and traffickers.96 Internationalorganizations are often denied access to these centres, leaving many in appalling conditions.97 However, these
realities are not limited only to detained migrants; many in urban settings are confronted with barriers to accessing
basic needs and services and are exposed to difficult, impoverished living conditions.98 Women and girls haveparticularly been subjected to abuse such as rape, including during their journeys to and through the subregion.99
North Africa remains a major transit hub and point of departure for migrants from the subregion andthose from sub-Saharan Africa trying to make their way to Europe and beyond. Tens of thousands of
migrants attempt to reach Europe from North Africa using two major routes, the Central Mediterranean routes(mainly from Libya and Tunisia to Italy) and the Western Mediterranean routes (largely from Morocco and Algeria
to Spain).100 Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, there was an increase in arrivals on both the Central and Western
Mediterranean routes in 2020. Arrivals in Europe on both routes saw an 86 per cent increase, from more than
41,000 to nearly 77,000.101 Along the Central Mediterranean routes to Italy, Tunisians comprised the largest numberof arrivals.102 The harrowing journeys across both routes result many deaths, and in 2020 alone, more than 1,500
migrants from West and North Africa heading to Spain, Malta and Italy were reported as dead or missing at sea.103
Many migrants rely on the services of smugglers to get them to and through North Africa to Europe; those trying
to get to Libya from countries in sub-Saharan Africa, for example, are mainly smuggled along two routes, including
the Western route (used by West Africans through the Niger, Mali and Algeria), and the Eastern route (used largely
by migrants from East Africa through the Sudan and Chad). Migrants often endure abuse during these journeys,
with some becoming victims of trafficking, including being in situations where they are unable to pay smugglers
upon arrival at their destination.104

Asia105
Asia – home to around 4.6 billion people – was the origin of over 40 per cent of the world’s international migrants
in 2020 (around 115 million). In the same year, more than half (69 million) were residing in other countries in
Asia, a significant increase from 2015, when around 61 million were estimated to be living within the continent. As
shown in the middle panel of Figure 8, intraregional migration in Asia has increased significantly over time, risingfrom 35 million in 1990. Considerable growth has also occurred in Asian-born migrant populations in Northern
America and Europe over the last two decades. In 2020, migration from Asia to Northern America reached17.5 million, rising slightly from 17.3 million in 2015, whereas in Europe, migration from Asia stood at 23 million

74

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

in 2020, increasing from almost 20 million in 2015. Migration from Asia to Northern America and Europe drove
much of the increase in the number of Asian migrants outside the region, reaching a total of more than 46 million
extraregional migrants in 2020.
The number of non-Asian-born migrants in Asia has remained at relatively low levels since 1990. Europeanscomprise the largest group of migrants from outside Asia in the region. These numbers include migrants fromthe European part of the former Soviet Union now living in Central Asia. During the same period, the number ofAfricans – the other sizable group of migrants in Asia – has grown.

Figure 8. Migrants to, within and from Asia, 1990–2020
Migrants to Asia

Migrants within Asia

Migrants from Asia

Migrant Stock (millions)

60

40

20

0
1990

2000

2010

2020 1990

2000

2010

2020 1990

2000

2010

2020

Year
RegionAfricaEuropeNorthern America

Asia

Latin America andthe Caribbean

Oceania

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note:“Migrants to Asia” refers to migrants residing in the region (i.e. Asia) who were born in one of the other regions(e.g. Europe or Africa). “Migrants within Asia” refers to migrants born in the region (i.e. Asia) and residing outside
their country of birth, but still within the Asian region. “Migrants from Asia” refers to people born in Asia who
were residing outside the region (e.g. in Europe or Northern America).

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

75

The two Asian “population giants”, India and China, have the largest absolute numbers of migrants living abroad(Figure 9). It is important to add that these large absolute numbers of emigrants constitute small shares of thetotal populations of India and China. Migrants from China made up the fourth largest population of foreign-born
migrants in the world after India, Mexico and the Russian Federation. Just over 2 million Chinese-born emigrants
resided in the United States, which was also home to other large Asian migrant groups from India, the Philippines
and Viet Nam. Other countries with large numbers of migrants residing abroad include Bangladesh and the Syrian
Arab Republic.
In GCC countries, migrants make up high proportions of the total national populations (Figure 9). For example, in
2020, migrants accounted for 88 per cent of the population in the United Arab Emirates; almost 73 per cent in
Kuwait; 77 per cent in Qatar; and 55 per cent in Bahrain. Many migrants came from Africa, South Asia (e.g. India,
Pakistan, Bangladesh and Nepal), and South-East Asia (e.g. Indonesia and the Philippines).
It is also important to note that current data on foreign-born migrants also partly reflect significant historicalevents, such as the 1947 Partition, resulting in the mass displacement of people from and to India and Pakistan.
This is evident in 2020 data, which show that nearly 5 million and over 3 million foreign-born migrants, respectively,
resided in the two countries.

Figure 9. Top 20 Asian migrant countries/territories, 2020
Migrants(millions)

Percentage of
population

India
Saudi Arabia
China
Pakistan
Bangladesh
TurkeySyrian Arab Republic
United Arab Emirates
Kazakhstan
Philippines
Afghanistan

Immigrant
Emigrant

Malaysia
Indonesia
Thailand
Palestinian Territories
JordanIran (Islamic Republic of)China, Hong Kong SAR
Republic of Korea
Myanmar
10
0
10
50
0
50
Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note 1: The population size used to calculate the percentage of immigrants and emigrants is based on the UN DESA total resident
population of the country, which includes foreign-born populations.
Note 2: “Immigrant” refers to foreign-born migrants residing in the country. “Emigrant” refers to people born in the country who wereresiding outside their country of birth in 2021.

76

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Asian countries issued some of the very earliest COVID-19-related international and internal movement restrictions
to contain the spread of the virus. As in regions such as Africa, international travel controls came into effect earlier
than internal restrictions, with measures such as screening arrivals put in place as early as January 2020 (Figure10). These were quickly followed by quarantine measures and the banning of arrivals from some regions, with total
border closures only put in place from around March 2020, by which time virtually all countries in the region had
some form of international travel control.
Markedly, nearly all countries in Asia maintained international travel restrictions such as screening arrivals throughout
2020, and by mid-June 2021 this measure was still in place for most countries. Quarantine measures dropped only
slightly, while international controls, including bans on arrivals and total border closures, fell over time, with thelatter declining much more sharply.
Internal movement restrictions, typically imposed some time after international controls, saw a significant increase
from around mid-March 2020, before beginning to decline in mid-May. This decline was not uniform across allmeasures, however, with restrictions such as recommendations not to travel between regions or cities – both
specific and general – falling much more gradually than the rest of the measures. However, all internal controls didsee slight increases at various points, including during the first quarter of 2021.

Figure 10. COVID-19-related travel controls in Asia: International and internal,
January 2020 to June 2021
50

International travel controls

Countries

40

No restrictions
Screening arrivals

30

Quarantine arrivals from some or
all regions
20

Ban arrivals from some regions
Ban on all regions or total borderclosure10

No data

1

21

02

20

l2

n

M

Ju

Ju

1

21

02

20

ay

21

r2
Ap

21

20

20
b

M

Fe

Jan

D

ar

20

21

20

0
ec

20

20

02

20

ov
2

ct
O

N

0

20

02

20
p

Se

0

Au
g2

20

02
l2

20
n

M

Ju

Ju

20

20

ay

20

20

20

Ap
r

20

20

ar

20
M

Jan

Fe
b

20

20

0

Date
50

Restrictions on internal movement
between cities/regions

40

Countries

No measures
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - targeted
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - general
Internal movement restrictions inplace - targetedInternal movement restrictions inplace - general

30

20

10

No data

1
02
l2

Ju

Ju
n

20

21

21

1
02

20

ay
M

21

r2
Ap

ar

20

21
20
b

Fe

M

20

21
20

Jan

20
ec

D

N

ov

20

20

20

O

ct

20

20

0

0

02

20
p

Se

g2

Au

02

20
20

Ju
n

Ju
l2

0

20
20

ay
M

20

02
r2

Ap

20

20

ar
M

20

20

Fe

Jan

b

20

0

Date

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: Categories used are those of the Oxford Government Response Tracker; categories included in the data set are for
COVID‑19-related restrictions only and do not reflect other travel restrictions that may also be in place, such as thoserelated to visa restrictions, entry bans based on citizenship, departure/exit restrictions and internal movement restrictions.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

77

There was a very quick rise in the number of travel restrictions in Asia (intraregional and global) in the early monthsof 2020. These restrictions began to decline gradually around the middle of that year. However, unlike regions such
as Africa, which saw a sharper decline in travel restrictions within the region compared with other global regions,this dynamic is flipped in Asia, with greater intraregional travel controls throughout 2020 and the first half of 2021
(see Figure 11). Health measures increased over time and by late 2020, those imposed on countries outside of
Asia had surpassed extraregional travel controls. However, health measures (within the region) began to decline
around October 2020, with less than 40 per cent of country-to-country corridors maintaining these measures asof 30 June 2021.

Figure 11. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Asia: March 2020 to June 2021

Country-to-country Corridors

80%

60%

40%

20%

1
02
l2

21

20

20
n
Ju

Ju

21

1
02

21
20

r2

ay
M

Ap

21

ar

21

20
M

b
Fe

20
Jan

D

ec

20

20

20

20

20

ov
N

ct

20

20
O

20

02

0
p
Se

0
02

g2
Au

l2

20
20
n
Ju

Ju

20

0

20

02

ay
M

r2
Ap

M

ar

20

20

0%

Restriction Type
Destination
Health-related Measure
Travel Restriction
Within Region
GlobalSource: IOM, 2021a.
Notes: Health-related measures include health screening and monitoring, testing/medical certificates and quarantine measures.
Travel restrictions include passenger restrictions based on nationality or arrival from a geographic location. See the
DTM Mobility restrictions page for more information on the methodology.

In 2020, India and China received the largest amounts of international remittances in Asia, with a combined totalof more than USD 140 billion. Other major remittance recipients included the Philippines, Pakistan and Bangladesh(see Figure 12). As a percentage of GDP, some of the most significant recipients in 2020 were Lebanon (33%),
Kyrgyzstan (29%), Tajikistan (27%) and Nepal (24%). Compared with 2019, inward remittance flows to Asia
decreased modestly by around 2 per cent in 2020. In India, the region’s largest recipient country, remittances fell
by just 0.2 per cent, reaching USD 83 billion. In Pakistan, however, remittances rose by over 17 per cent to arecord high of USD 26 billion.
In terms of remittance outflows, two GCC countries – the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia – were thelargest and second largest source countries of remittances in Asia. Remittances sent from the United Arab Emirates
reached USD 43 billion in 2020, although this was a decline from 2019, when outflows amounted to nearly

78

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

USD 45 billion. Remittances from Saudi Arabia, however, increased in the same period, rising from USD 31 billion
in 2019 to USD 34 billion in 2020. Other countries, such as China, Qatar and the Republic of Korea were also
the source of significant remittance outflows.

Figure 12. Top Asian international remittance recipient and source countries, 2019 and 2020
Total in USD billion (inflows)
India

Total in USD billion (outflows)

LebanonUnited Arab Emirates

China

Kyrgyzstan

Saudi Arabia

Philippines
Pakistan
Bangladesh
Viet Nam

Tajikistan

China

Nepal

Qatar

Georgia
Uzbekistan

Republic of Korea

Indonesia

Share (%) of GDP (inflows)

Armenia

Nepal

Malaysia

PakistanThailandJapan

Philippines

Republic of Korea

JordanThailandSri Lanka

Sri Lanka

Uzbekistan

India

Timor-Leste

LebanonIsraelBangladesh

IsraelViet Nam

Indonesia

Japan

Cambodia

JordanKazakhstan

Mongolia

MyanmarTurkeyAfghanistan

Kyrgyzstan

BhutanCyprusTajikistanAzerbaijan

Azerbaijan

Georgia
0

50
2019

100
2020

India
0

20

40

2019

2020

60

0

10
2019

20

30

40

2020

Source: World Bank, 2021.

International displacement within and from Asia is a major feature of the region, as shown in Figure 13. The Syrian
Arab Republic and Afghanistan were the top origin countries of refugees in the world in 2020. The impact of
the Syrian conflict on displacement can clearly be seen in Figure 13, with refugees and asylum seekers from the
Syrian Arab Republic dwarfing numbers from the rest of the subregion. In 2020, the vast majority of refugees
from Asian countries lived in neighbouring countries. Refugees from the Syrian Arab Republic, for example, werepredominantly hosted in Turkey (more than 3.6 million), Lebanon (around 0.9 million) and Jordan (nearly 0.7 million),while refugees from Afghanistan, whose numbers declined slightly from 2.7 million in 2019 to 2.6 million in 2020,
were largely hosted in Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iran. However, events in Afghanistan in mid-2021 related
to the withdrawal of allied troops and the speedy resurgence of the Taliban will undoubtedly see the number ofrefugees from Afghanistan increase for 2021. Due to violence against and persecution of the Rohingya, Myanmar
was the country of origin of the third largest refugee population in the region and the fifth largest number ofpeople displaced across borders globally in 2020, with most of these refugees hosted in Bangladesh. As shown in
Figure 13, it is also important to note that origin countries such as Iraq, Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iranare also themselves hosting refugees.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

79

Figure 13. Top 10 Asian countries by total refugees and asylum seekers, 2020
Syrian Arab RepublicTurkeyAfghanistan
Location:

Pakistan

HostedAbroadMyanmarStatus:Iran (Islamic Republic of)

Refugees
Bangladesh
Asylum seekers
Lebanon
Iraq
Jordan6420Persons (millions)2

4

Source: UNHCR, n.d.b.
Note:“Hosted” refers to those refugees and asylum seekers from other countries who are residing in the receiving country(right-hand side of the figure); “abroad” refers to refugees and asylum seekers originating from that country who
are outside of their origin country. The top 10 countries are based on 2020 data and are calculated by combining
refugees and asylum seekers in and from countries.

The largest new internal displacements in Asia resulted from disasters (Figure 14). China had approximately 5 million
new disaster displacements at the end of 2020. Notably, the Philippines recorded nearly as many new disasterdisplacements as China, with over 4 million new disaster displacements. Moreover, disasters such as flooding
caused by monsoons, landslides and intense cyclones triggered large-scale displacements in 2020 in Bangladesh(more than 4 million), India (nearly 4 million) and Viet Nam (around 1 million). Conflicts also contributed to newinternal displacements in Asia, with the Syrian Arab Republic recording the largest number (almost 2 million). Other
countries that experienced large conflict displacements include Afghanistan (404,000) and Yemen (143,000). The
humanitarian crisis in Yemen is one of the most severe globally; two intense rainy seasons between February and
September, which displaced over 200,000 people in 2020, exacerbated an already existing humanitarian crisis in
the country.

80

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Figure 14. Top 20 Asian countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020
Percentage of population

Millions
China
Philippines
Bangladesh
India
Syrian Arab Republic
Viet Nam
PakistanIndonesia
Afghanistan
Yemen
Japan
MyanmarAzerbaijan
Uzbekistan
Iraq
Cambodia
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Nepal
TurkeyKazakhstan

Disaster
Conflict

6

4

2

0

2

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Source: IDMC, n.d.; UN DESA, 2021.
Notes: New displacements refers to the number of displacement movements that occurred in 2020, not the total accumulated stockof IDPs resulting from displacement over time. New displacement figures include individuals who have been displaced more thanonce and do not correspond to the number of people displaced during the year.
The population size used to calculate the percentage of new disaster and conflict displacements is based on the total resident
population of the country per 2021 UN DESA population estimates, and the percentage is for relative illustrative purposes only.

Key features and developments in Asia106
Middle East
Migrants in the subregion experienced significant challenges posed by COVID-19 and related traveland movement restrictions, which exacerbated existing health vulnerabilities, worsened their economic
conditions, left many stranded and forced thousands to return to their home countries. In several GCC
countries, for example, migrants have been at increased risk of contracting COVID-19 due to overcrowded living
conditions and the nature of their work, as well as inadequate access to health care.107 Moreover, as countries locked
down and companies were forced to close their operations, many migrants also lost their jobs or experienced
payment delays, affecting their ability to meet basic needs or pay off debts.108 Many were forced to return to theircountries of origin.109 The Kafala system, which ties migrant workers to their employers, exacerbated the poor
working and living conditions for many migrant workers in the Gulf. These conditions were particularly difficult fordomestic workers, who, due to lockdowns, were sometimes stuck with abusive employers.110 Irregular migrants
in detention centres in countries such as Saudi Arabia and Yemen were a source of concern, with fears that theircramped and unhygienic living conditions made them extremely vulnerable to getting COVID-19.111 The closure

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

81

of borders also left many migrants in the Gulf and elsewhere in the subregion stranded. In Yemen, thousandsof migrants trying to cross to Saudi Arabia were left stuck, often with no food, shelter or water.112 IDPs andrefugees in the Middle East were also affected by the pandemic. Their crowded living conditions in countries
such as Lebanon meant that many refugees were at increased risk of exposure to COVID-19.113 However, several
countries in the region including Lebanon have over time included migrants in their health-care responses, suchas the ongoing vaccination campaigns.114 Others such as Morocco and Jordan are also including migrants in theirnational COVID-19 vaccination programmes.115
While there has been progress in terms of conflict resolution and peacebuilding in several countries,
conflict and violence remain the biggest drivers of displacement in the subregion. Ceasefire agreements
in countries such as Iraq resulted in a decline of displacements, but new government offensives in the Syrian
Arab Republic and Yemen were responsible for driving large numbers of people out of their homes.116 The 2020
Syrian Government offensive in Idlib Governorate resulted in the single largest displacement event since the war
started.117 Meanwhile, fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh in September 2020, following months of tension between
Armenia and Azerbaijan, led to many deaths and many thousands displaced during the two months of conflict.118
This was the biggest escalation of conflict between the two countries since the 1994 truce.119 While a ceasefire
between Azerbaijan, Armenia and the Russian Federation, signed in November 2020, led to a de-escalation of
hostilities,120 many people remain displaced, and by end of 2020, tens of thousands were still in need of humanitarianassistance.121
Some countries in the region have suffered significant disasters in recent years, and there is ongoing
concern that displacement due to climate change could sharply increase. Several countries in the Middle
East are vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and weather-related disasters, and for some already inconflict, disasters have aggravated ongoing humanitarian crises. In 2020, floods displaced more people in Yemen
than conflict and violence, with nearly a quarter of a million new displacements.122 Yemen’s recent twin challenges– large‑scale disaster and conflict displacements – underscore the complexity of the country’s humanitarian crisis.
Other countries such as Jordan, Lebanon and the Syrian Arab Republic have also experienced recurrent floods
in recent years, exacerbating the conditions of refugees and IDPs living in camps.123 Further, while identifying
displacement driven by slow-onset hazards such as desertification is difficult, there is evidence to suggest that incountries such as the Syrian Arab Republic the extended drought that devastated livelihoods prior to the start tothe conflict may have played a role in the complex set of factors that triggered the country’s civil war.124
The region continues to host and is the origin of some of the largest number of refugees and asylum
seekers globally. With nearly seven million refugees from the country in 2020, the Syrian Arab Republic remains
the largest origin of refugees in the world.125 Other countries in the subregion such as Iraq also had a significant
number of their populations displaced across borders. In addition, the Middle East continues to be one of thelargest destinations for refugees, most from countries within the subregion.126 Lebanon and Jordan, for example,
rank among the top five hosts of refugees globally (as a share of national population).127 One in eight people in
Lebanon and one in 15 people in Jordan is a refugee, many of whom are from the Syrian Arab Republic or thePalestinian Territories.128 Around 5.7 million refugees from the Palestinian Territories, under the mandate of United
Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), are hosted within thesubregion, making the Middle East one of the largest host subregions for refugees in the world.129

82

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Central Asia
Heavily reliant on international remittances, Central Asia suffered a significant decline in remittanceinflows in 2020 due to the pandemic. Because of lockdowns and movement restrictions in key destination
countries such as the Russian Federation, many migrant workers from the subregion lost their jobs, incurredsignificant salary cuts, or were forced to take unpaid leave.130 The loss of income had large economic impacts,
especially on countries such as Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan that rely heavily on international remittances. In 2020,
for example, remittances made up 29 per cent and 27 per cent of GDP in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, respectively.
Remittance flows to Europe and Central Asia declined by nearly 10 per cent in 2020, while those from the RussianFederation to countries such as Tajikistan and the Kyrgyzstan fell by 37 per cent and 17 per cent, respectively – aresult of COVID-19 impacts in the Russian Federation.131 Remittance flows into Central Asian countries largely
reflect migration patterns within and from the subregion, which are closely linked to work and income generation.
The Russian Federation, the largest destination for migrants from the subregion, remains the biggest source countryof remittances to Central Asian countries.132 Outward migration, which has long featured in Central Asia, all but
came to a halt as destination countries closed their borders, leaving many potential migrant workers stuck andunable to leave their country.133 Meanwhile, border closures also stranded thousands of migrants trying to returnto their countries of origin, including while transiting through Kazakhstan, which grants transit permission for those
returning by land to Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan.134
Central Asia has experienced significant disaster events in recent years, resulting in the displacement oftens of thousands of people. With the subregion experiencing increasingly warmer temperatures, some recent
sudden-onset disasters have been linked to the growing impacts of climate change. In 2020 alone, heavy rains
and severe flooding in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan led to 70,000 and 32,000 new displacements, respectively.135
Environmental changes are projected to increase the occurrence and intensity of these types of disasters andcould result in further displacement in the subregion. People living in grasslands face even greater risks than thoseliving in drylands and are more exposed to the damage wrought by torrential rains and floods.136 These disasters
are a threat to people’s livelihoods; as severe storms, droughts, wildfires, floods and mudflows intensify, there are
increasing risks to agricultural production, causing food insecurity on a large scale in the region.137
Most international migrants in Central Asia moved to other regions, mainly toward the Russian Federation,
by far the most important destination for migrants from the subregion. Nearly 5 million migrants fromCentral Asia were living in the Russian Federation by end of 2020.138 Most of these, over 2.5 million, were bornin Kazakhstan.139 Migrants born in Uzbekistan comprised the second largest group (over 1 million).140 Around40 per cent of the Russian Federation’s international migrants in 2020 were from Central Asia.141 A significant
number of these are migrant workers, who leave their countries due to high levels of unemployment and in searchof better remuneration and working conditions in the Russian Federation. Kazakhstan, with its growing economy
driven by natural resources such as oil, has also become a destination for migrants from the subregion.142
While migration from Central Asia is overwhelmingly male dominated, women from the subregion are
also increasingly moving to countries such as the Russian Federation as migrant workers. While men havetraditionally comprised most migrant workers from the subregion, there has also been a growing number of womenlabour migrants working in the Russian Federation in recent years.143 Many women labour migrants in Central Asia
are from Kyrgyzstan; around 51 per cent of Kyrgyz migrants in the Russian Federation, for example, are women.144
Most work in the services sector, including catering and as domestic workers.145 To a lesser degree, there is also a
growing number of women migrants from other countries in the subregion, such as Tajikistan. Women compriseWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

83

around 41 per cent of all Tajik migrants in the Russian Federation (42% of Tajik migrants worldwide).146 The lackof economic opportunities or the search for higher wages and better working conditions explain most emigrationfrom Central Asia. Other factors, however, such as forced, early and servile marriage, also play a role. In Kyrgyzstan,
the practice known as “bride kidnapping” has been shown to contribute to emigration, with some women using
migration to escape forced and early marriage.147 While labour migration has helped some of these countries toreduce unemployment by exporting excess workforce and thus benefiting from remittance inflows, it has also put
strain on many households and contributed to family breakdown.148

Eastern Asia
The pandemic increased incidents of xenophobia and discrimination against migrants within and fromthe subregion, while border restrictions had widespread impacts on migration and mobility. Cases of
discrimination and xenophobia against Chinese migrants and their descendants in other parts of the world were
widely reported.149 In some instances, people perceived to be of Chinese descent were physically attacked, as they
were increasingly and incorrectly associated with COVID-19 transmission.150 On the other hand, there was reportingof discriminatory practices toward migrants during early pandemic responses within the subregion in relation to awide range of measures, such as quarantine requirements, mask rationing, and access to social benefits and local
government subsidies, being based on nationality alone.151 Moreover, lockdown measures and travel restrictions leftmany migrants unable to return to their countries of employment. In early 2020, for example, Japan prohibitedthe entry of non-Japanese nationals or permanent residents, as well as people who held work permits, but had
temporarily left the country for holiday or work.152 These restrictions also disrupted recent efforts, including by
countries such as Japan, to fill labour shortages by further increasing the number of migrant workers in the country.
Similarly, the Republic of Korea also experienced declines in the arrival of migrant workers.153
With millions of its population living abroad, China has one of the largest transnational communities in
the world and remains among the top recipients of international remittances. There were an estimated
10 million Chinese international migrants in 2020, with large numbers living in Canada, Italy, Australia, the Republicof Korea, Japan, the United States and Singapore.154 China’s large diaspora population means that the country
receives a significant share (nearly 9%) of the world’s global remittances (USD 702 billion). In 2020, inflows ofinternational remittances to China came second only to India, with the country receiving nearly USD 60 billion.155
In addition to ranking as one of the largest remittance recipients, China was the third largest sender of remittancesin Asia (more than USD 18 billion) after the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, a reflection of the growing
number of international migrants in the country.156
In addition to being the origin of some of the largest numbers of international students globally, Eastern
Asia has increasingly become a key destination for students from other subregions. China is the largest
origin country of international students in the world, with most residing in Northern America.157 There were an
estimated 372,000 Chinese students in the United States during the 2019–2020 academic year, with graduate
students driving most of the recent growth.158 Other countries in the subregion with significant numbers studying
abroad are the Republic of Korea and Japan.159 Eastern Asia has also increasingly become a major destination
for international students. Some countries, such as China, have long implemented policies and plans to attract
international students and within the last few years, the country had become the largest destination in Asia, withnearly half a million international students.160 Most of these students came from other countries in Asia and fromAfrica.161 Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Republic of Korea and Japan also saw their international student

84

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

numbers rise. By April 2020, the Republic of Korea had more than 153,000 international students enrolled in
Korean colleges and universities, although this was a decline from the previous year (around 160,000) due to the
COVID-19 pandemic.162 Like China, most students in the Republic of Korea were from other countries in Asia.
The subregion has experienced some large disaster displacements in recent years, most occurring in
China. In 2020, there were more than 5 million new disaster displacements in China, the worst in nearly five
years.163 These were also the largest disaster displacement events anywhere in the world.164 Most displacements
took place during the flooding season, and in addition to driving people from their homes, they resulted in hundreds
of deaths and billions of U.S. dollars in economic losses.165 While factors such as land use and construction on
floodplains have contributed to the recent displacements, climate change and climate variability also play a role.166
Natural disasters have become unpredictable and highly destructive in recent years, as heatwaves and severe rains
have intensified in China.167 Indeed, recent floods in China have been caused by extreme precipitation, with theaverage intensity, as well as the quantity and duration of precipitation in the south of the country, for example,
among the highest in decades.168 Other countries in the subregion, such as Japan, have also experienced large
displacements in recent years. Around 186,000 new disaster displacements were recorded in Japan in 2020.169

Southern Asia
The pandemic prompted the mass return of millions of migrant workers to the subregion, while also
driving large movements from urban centres to rural areas. As lockdowns and travel restrictions took shapein 2020, millions of migrants from the subregion lost jobs or were subjected to pay cuts, with some left without
shelter.170 Many of these migrants were also unable to return to their countries of origin in the early weeks andmonths of the pandemic due to cancelled flights or because of the lack of readiness by their governments to accept
a large number of returnees.171 However, several countries did eventually begin to repatriate their nationals. India,
for example, embarked on a mass evacuation and repatriation of its nationals, starting in May 2020.172 The Vande
Bharat mission, as it was officially called, initially helped over half a million stranded migrants from more than 137
countries to return home.173 By the end of 2020, more than 3 million Indian migrants had been repatriated.174 Other
countries in the subregion, such as Nepal, also saw a significant return of their stranded citizens back home. The
pandemic also reversed migration patterns within countries. This was particularly evident in India, where millionsof migrant workers in cities returned to rural areas, contributing to a new wave of COVID-19 cases in rural
India.175 Travel restrictions also heavily impeded the deployment of migrant workers from the subregion, especiallyduring the first months of the pandemic. Large origin countries of migrant workers, including India and Bangladesh,experienced sharp declines in outflows.176
Both rapid- and slow-onset disasters are important features in Southern Asia, often resulting in millions
of displacements. Southern Asia was among the most affected subregions by disasters in 2020. With 9.3 million
new disaster displacements, the subregion accounted for nearly a third of all new global displacements driven
by disasters.177 Southern Asia’s average temperatures have been increasing over the last several decades and thesubregion is now among the most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, including rising temperatures; thesubregion is affected by extreme and frequent weather events, torrential rains and rising sea levels.178 Heavy rains inthe subregion, which impact countries in Southern Asia every year, as well as powerful storms and cyclones, havebeen exacerbated by climate change. Cyclone Amphan, the largest disaster event in the world in 2020, resulted in
the evacuation of millions of people in countries such as Bangladesh and India.179 Some analysis suggests that theWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

85

subregion has the highest flood displacement risk,180 and that many people in the subregion are also vulnerable toincreasingly high temperatures.181
Labour migration from Southern Asia is a key feature, resulting in some of the largest inflows ofinternational remittances in the world. Unemployment and low wages contribute to large numbers of South
Asians leaving the subregion to work in destinations such as the GCC countries. A large number of internationalmigrants in Gulf countries, many of whom are temporary labour migrants, come from India and Bangladesh. An
estimated 3.5 million Indians and more than 1 million Bangladeshis were living in the United Arab Emirates in 2020.
Saudi Arabia was also the destination of over 2.5 million migrants from India and over 1 million from Bangladesh.182
With the largest number of international emigrants in the world, India continues to be the biggest recipient ofinternational remittances globally.183 In 2020, the country recorded USD 83 billion in international remittances.
This figure was only a small drop (0.2%) from the previous year, despite the COVID-19 pandemic.184 Pakistan and
Bangladesh also rank among the world’s top 10 remittance recipients, receiving USD 26 billion and USD 22 billion
in 2020, respectively.185 Both Pakistan and Bangladesh defied projections and saw significant increases in remittancesin 2020. Overall remittances to the subregion increased by 5 per cent in 2020.186
As conflicts and violence have become protracted in some countries within the subregion, Southern
Asia remains the origin and destination of large numbers of refugees. Countries such as Afghanistan haveexperienced more than 20 years of conflict, resulting in 2.6 million Afghan refugees at the end of 2020, the thirdlargest origin country in the world of populations displaced across borders.187 Most, over 85 per cent, are hosted
in Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iran.188 Conflict and violence in the country have also led to a large numberof IDPs. Around 3.5 million Afghans were living in internal displacement due to conflict and violence at end of
2020, and the country ranked among the top 10 with largest number of new conflict displacements the same year,
despite ongoing negotiations and ceasefires.189 Indeed, while conflict had abated in the months prior to the peaceagreement between the United States and the Afghan Taliban in February 2020, violence has picked up pace since.190
There has been a surge in terrorist attacks, many deliberately targeting civilians.191 Some of these have included
brutal attacks on children. Notably, the May 2021 bombing outside an Afghan Hazara school left 85 people dead,most of them female students.192 Several countries in the subregion, such as Pakistan, the Islamic Republic of Iranand Bangladesh continued to host large numbers of refugees at the end of 2020, with all three countries placing
among the top 10 host countries in the world.193 Combined, the three countries hosted 13 per cent of the global
total of people displaced across borders.194

South-East Asia
Migration and mobility in South-East Asia have been heavily disrupted by the pandemic, with the measures
imposed to control the spread of COVID-19 disproportionately affecting migrants. By early June 2021, thesubregion had recorded nearly 35 million confirmed cases of COVID-19.195 The Philippines, with over 1.4 million
cases, was the most impacted.196 All countries in the subregion instituted a range of travel restrictions, including
quarantine measures, testing and border closures. Several countries also imposed measures on domestic traveland movement, such suspending public transport and restricting domestic flights. Further, many migrant workers,
particularly those in low-skilled sectors, were forced to quarantine in crowded dormitories, making them more
vulnerable to contracting COVID-19.197 Women migrant workers were disproportionately impacted by lockdowns
and travel restrictions.198 In 2020, as countries such as Thailand began to close their borders, thousands of jobless86

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

migrant workers from Cambodia, Myanmar and the Lao People’s Democratic Republic rushed to return home while
they could still do so.199 Travel restrictions also resulted in unprecedented immobility. In the Philippines, hundredsof nurses with pending contracts in countries such as Germany, Singapore, Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom
were prevented from leaving the country due to restrictions on travel.200 Meanwhile, several countries, such as
Viet Nam and the Philippines, put in place systems to support their migrant workers affected by the pandemic,
helping those who had been stranded to return home.201
Some of the largest internal and cross-border displacements in the subregion in recent years have been
driven by religious and ethnic tensions, fuelling conflict and violence. The Rohingya comprise the largest
displaced stateless population in the world.202 Most are hosted in Bangladesh, where they fled after a sharp increasein violence against them in Myanmar, especially in Rakhine State in 2017. Further displacements were recorded in
the months following Myanmar’s election in November 2020.203 The Myanmar military takeover of Government in
February 2021 resulted in widespread protests and violent military crackdowns, reigniting conflict with non-State
armed groups in several states and putting at risk the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) signed in 2015.204
At the end of 2020, Bangladesh hosted more than 860,000 refugees, the majority of whom were Rohingya.205 In
2020, more than half of Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh were children.206 Other countries in the subregion, such as
Malaysia, also host significant numbers of refugees, many of them Rohingya. In 2021, however, there was widespread
alarm, including from United Nations experts, on the decision by Malaysian authorities to deport to Myanmar over
1,000 migrants, some of whom were unaccompanied children and other vulnerable persons.207
Many people in South-East Asia are particularly vulnerable to environmental disasters, which drive large
displacements every year. The subregion recorded significant disaster displacement events in 2020, with countries
including the Philippines, Viet Nam and Indonesia most affected.208 The Philippines alone recorded 4.4 million disasterdisplacements in 2020, while Viet Nam and Indonesia had 1.3 million and over 700,000 disaster displacements,
respectively.209 Several disaster events, including the typhoon season, the eruption of Mount Taal, cyclones, storms
and flooding were responsible for pushing people out of their homes in several countries in the subregion. A
significant number of displacements in the Philippines were also due to pre-emptive evacuations.210 Combined, thePhilippines, Viet Nam and Indonesia experienced more than 6 million displacements in 2020 and all three countries
ranked among the top 10 with the largest number of disaster displacements in the world.211
Labour migration within and from the subregion remains a key aspect of migration. With a large numberof migrant workers in various parts of the world, the Philippines continues to be among the largest recipientsof international remittances in the world. In 2020, international remittance inflows to the country amounted to
USD 35 billion (almost 10% of GDP), the fourth largest in the world after India, China and Mexico.212 Remittances
to the Philippines proved resilient in 2020 despite the COVID-19 pandemic, declining by less than 1 per cent,largely owing to growth in inflows from the United States, by far the biggest source of remittances to the country(almost than 40%).213 Other key sources of remittances to the country include Japan, Singapore and Saudi Arabia,
reflecting some of the major destinations for Filipino migrant workers. Viet Nam also placed among the top 10
recipients globally in 2020, recording USD 17 billion.214 While remittances are important for several countries inSouth-East Asia, many labour migrants from the subregion are exposed to a multitude of abuses, particularly thosein informal sectors, who are more vulnerable to exploitation, including forced labour.215

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

87

Irregular migration to, within and from South-East Asia is prevalent and is often facilitated by smuggling
networks. Countries across the region are origin, transit and destinations for irregular migrants. Irregular migration
occurs alongside migration that is regular, and the motivations driving both similar, as reflected in the major
migration routes taken by migrants.216 Within the subregion, migrant smuggling occurs along two key routes:
Malaysia is the major destination for migrants from the Philippines, Bangladesh and Indonesia, while migrants from
Myanmar, Cambodia and the Lao People’s Democratic Republic largely go to Thailand.217 Trafficking of migrants is
also not uncommon, with the more affluent countries, including Thailand and Malaysia, often the destinations.218
Other countries outside the subregion, are also key destinations for trafficked migrants from South-East Asia.
Within Asia, 75 per cent of victims of trafficking are from South-East Asia.219 A significant number of victims aretrafficked for labour and sexual exploitation.220

Europe221
Nearly 87 million international migrants lived in Europe in 2020, an increase of nearly 16 per cent since 2015, whenaround 75 million international migrants resided in the region. A little over half of these (44 million) were born in
Europe, but were living elsewhere in the region; this number has increased since 2015, rising from 38 million. In
2020, the population of non-European migrants in Europe reached over 40 million.
In 1990, there were roughly equal numbers of Europeans living outside Europe as non-Europeans living in Europe.
However, unlike the growth in migration to Europe, the number of Europeans living outside Europe mostly declined
over the last 30 years, and only returned to 1990 levels in recent years. In 2020, around 19 million Europeans
were residing outside the continent and were based primarily in Asia and Northern America (see Figure 15). As
shown in the figure below, there was also some gradual increase in the number of European migrants in Asia andOceania from 2010 to 2020.

88

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Figure 15. Migrants to, within and from Europe, 1990–2020
Migrants to Europe

Migrants within Europe

Migrants from Europe

40

Migrant Stock (millions)

30

20

10

0
1990

2000

2010

2020

1990

2000

2010

2020

1990

2000

2010

2020

Year
RegionAfricaAsia

EuropeLatin America andthe Caribbean

Northern America
Oceania

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note:“Migrants to Europe” refers to migrants residing in the region (i.e. Europe) who were born in one of the otherregions (e.g. Africa or Asia). “Migrants within Europe” refers to migrants born in the region (i.e. Europe) and residing
outside their country of birth, but still within the European region. “Migrants from Europe” refers to people bornin Europe who were residing outside the region (e.g. in Latin America and the Caribbean or Northern America).

Many countries in the east of Europe – such as the Russian Federation, Ukraine, Poland and Romania – havesome of the largest emigrant populations within the region (Figure 16). At nearly 11 million emigrants in 2020, theRussian Federation had the largest population in Europe living abroad. After the Russian Federation and Ukraine(around 6 million), Poland and the United Kingdom had the third and fourth largest European emigrant populations(4.8 million and 4.7 million, respectively). Bosnia and Herzegovina had the largest share of emigrants as a share of
its population in 2020, many of whom left during the break-up of the former Yugoslavia. Portugal, Bulgaria andRomania, countries that have long histories of emigration, also had high shares of their populations living abroad.
With almost 16 million migrants in 2020, Germany had the largest foreign-born population of any country in Europe.
The number of immigrants in Germany increased by over 5 million between 2015 and 2020. The largest groups
came from Poland, Turkey, the Russian Federation, Kazakhstan and the Syrian Arab Republic. The populations of

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

89

the United Kingdom and France included 9.4 million and 8.5 million foreign-born people, respectively, in 2020.
Migrants born in North African countries made up some of the largest foreign-born populations in France. In the
United Kingdom, some of the largest migrant populations were from India, Poland and Pakistan. With foreign-born
populations of around 6.8 million and 6.4 million, Spain and Italy were respectively the fifth and sixth most popularmigrant destinations in Europe in 2020; both countries experienced increases in the number of foreign-born
migrants since 2015. Many of the foreign-born populations in Spain and Italy came from elsewhere in Europe – fromcountries such as Romania and Albania – or from North African and Latin American countries such as Morocco,
Colombia and Ecuador. The migration of people from countries of the former Soviet Union – such as Ukraine,
Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan – accounted for some of the largest European migrant corridors. As illustrated in Figure
16, of the top 20 migration countries in the region, Switzerland had the largest share of migrants in its population(29%), followed by Sweden (20%), Austria (19%) and Germany (19%).

Figure 16. Top 20 European migrant countries, 2020
Migrants(millions)

Percentage of
population

Russian Federation
Germany
United Kingdom
UkraineFranceItaly
Spain
PolandRomania
Netherlands

Immigrant

Switzerland

Emigrant

Portugal
Belgium
Belarus
GreeceAustria
SwedenBulgaria
SerbiaBosnia and Herzegovina
15

10

5

0

5

10

15

40

20

0

20

40

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note 1: The population size used to calculate the percentage of immigrants and emigrants is based on the UN DESA total resident
population of the country, which includes foreign-born populations.
Note 2: “Immigrant” refers to foreign-born migrants residing in the country. “Emigrant” refers to people born in the country who wereresiding outside their country of birth in 2021.

90

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Europe’s international and internal travel controls in response to the COVID-19 pandemic came into effect in early
2020, peaking between March and May 2020. While international travel controls such as screening arrivals andquarantine mandates for arrivals remained relatively high, others, such as the ban on all regions or total borderclosures, declined sharply, and by June 2021, virtually all countries had dropped these measures.
As illustrated in Figure 17 below, restrictions on internal movement, which were at their highest around Marchand April 2020, started to fall around May. They picked up again in November as the number of COVID-19 cases
across the world surged, although they never returned to the same level as in early 2020. There is a noticeable
decline, across all internal movement measures, from May 2021. By mid-2020, for example, targeted and internal
movement restrictions had all but been dropped by nearly all countries in the region.

Figure 17. COVID-19-related travel controls in Europe: International and internal,
January 2020 to June 2021
40

International travel controls
No restrictions

Countries

30

Screening arrivals
Quarantine arrivals from some or
all regions

20

Ban arrivals from some regions
Ban on all regions or total borderclosure10

No data

1
02

21

l2

20
n

M

Ju

Ju

1

21

02

20

r2

ay

21

M

Ap

21

20

ar

21

20
b

20

Fe

D

Jan

ec

20

20

20

20

20
ov

N

Se

O

ct

20

20

0

20
p

0

02

02

Au

g2

20

l2

20
n

M

Ju

Ju

0

20

02

20

r2

ay

20

M

Ap

20

20

ar

20

Fe

Jan

b

20

20

0

Date
Restrictions on internal movement
between cities/regions

40

No measures

Countries

30

Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - targeted
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - general
Internal movement restrictions inplace - targetedInternal movement restrictions inplace - general

20

10

No data

1
02
l2

Ju

Ju
n

20

21

21

1
02

20

ay
M

21

r2
Ap

21

20

ar
M

21

Fe

b

20

0

20

Jan

02

20
D

ec
2

20

20
ov

N

O

ct

20

20

0

20

Se

p

02

0
02

g2

Au

l2
Ju

Ju

n

20

20

20

0
02

20

ay
M

20

r2
Ap

20

20
M

ar

20

20
Jan

Fe
b

20

0

Date

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: Categories used are those of the Oxford Government Response Tracker; categories included in the data set are for COVID19-related restrictions only and do not reflect other travel restrictions that may also be in place, such as those related to visa
restrictions, entry bans based on citizenship, departure/exit restrictions and internal movement restrictions.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

91

Travel restrictions in Europe grew rapidly in the first months of 2020, with those targeting countries outside
the region exceeding intraregional travel controls for most of that year (Figure 18). There was a decline in theserestrictions over time, however, and by 30 June 2021, only around 40 per cent of corridors between European
countries and those involving countries outside of Europe maintained travel controls. Health-related measures, on
the other hand, which increased much more gradually in the early months of the pandemic, went on to surpass
travel restrictions towards the end of 2020, with those involving countries outside the region increasing the most.
By June 2021, more than 50 per cent of corridors (both global and within the region), had health-related measures.

Figure 18. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Europe: March 2020 to June 2021

Country-to-country Corridors

80%

60%

40%

20%

1
02
l2

21
20
n

Ju

Ju

21

1

20

02

ay
M

r2

21

Ap

20

21

ar

20
M

b

20

21

Fe

Jan

D

ec

20

20

20

20

20

ov
N

ct

20

20
O

20

02

0
p
Se

0
02

g2
Au

l2

20
20
n

Ju

Ju

20

0
ay

20

02
M

r2
Ap

M

ar

20

20

0%

Restriction Type
Destination
Health-related Measure
Travel Restriction
Within Region
GlobalSource: IOM, 2021a.
Notes: Health-related measures include health screening and monitoring, testing/medical certificates and quarantine measures.
Travel restrictions include passenger restrictions based on nationality or arrival from a geographic location. See the
DTM Mobility restrictions page for more information on the methodology.

92

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

In 2020, some of the largest economies in the world were the biggest recipients of international remittances in theregion (Figure 19). France, for example, received the largest share of international remittances in Europe, followedby Germany. It is important to note that most inflows to these two countries are not household transfers, but
relate to salary transfers of cross-border workers who work in Switzerland and reside in France and Germany. Asa percentage of GDP, some of the top recipients in 2020 included the Republic of Moldova (16%), Montenegro(13%) and Ukraine (10%). Remittance flows to Europe dropped by 6 per cent in 2020 from the previous year,with eight countries that are among top 10 remittance recipients in the region experiencing declines. France, theregion’s largest recipient of remittances, received around USD 25 billion in 2020, 9 per cent less than in 2019.
Switzerland was the source of nearly USD 28 billion in remittances in 2020, making it the largest sender in Europe
in 2020. It was followed by Germany, the Russian Federation, France and Luxembourg. With the exception of
Luxembourg, the top five remittance-sending countries experienced declines in outflows in 2020 when comparedwith 2019.

Figure 19. Top 20 European international remittance recipient and source countries, 2019 and 2020
Total in USD billion (inflows)FranceGermany

Total in USD billion (outflows)
Share (%) of GDP (inflows)
Switzerland
Republic of Moldova
GermanyMontenegro

UkraineRussian Federation

Belgium

FranceAlbania

Russian Federation

Luxembourg

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Ukraine

Italy

Netherlands

Serbia

Spain

Italy

Croatia

Romania

United Kingdom

North Macedonia

PolandPolandLatviaPortugal

Belgium

Romania

Czechia

Austria

Luxembourg

Croatia

Denmark

Belgium

SerbiaCzechia

Hungary

Hungary

GreeceMalta

United Kingdom

SwedenPortugal

SwedenHungary

Slovakia

Austria

UkraineCzechia

Switzerland

Croatia

BelarusNetherlands

Romania

Estonia

Luxembourg

Malta

Lithuania

0

10

20

2019

2020

Source: World Bank, 2021.

30

0

10

20

2019

2020

30

0

10

20

2019

2020

30

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

93

In 2020, Germany continued to host the largest population of refugees and asylum seekers in Europe (Figure20). Germany also ranked fifth in the world among the largest refugee host countries in the world. Most, around50 per cent, came from the Syrian Arab Republic. France and Sweden were the second and third largest hosts ofrefugees in Europe, with over 436,000 and more than 248,000, respectively. The Russian Federation was the largest
origin country of refugees in Europe at the end of 2020, at around 53,000. Other significant origin countries in
Europe, but not included in the figure below, include Ukraine (around 35,000) and Croatia (around 23,000).

Figure 20. Top 10 European countries by total refugees and asylum seekers, 2020
Germany

FranceSwedenUnited Kingdom

Location:
HostedSpain

AbroadStatus:Italy

Refugees

GreeceAsylum seekers

Austria

Switzerland

Russian Federation
0

0.5

Persons (millions)1

1.5

Source: UNHCR, n.d.b.
Note:“Hosted” refers to those refugees and asylum seekers from other countries who are residing in the receiving
country (right-hand side of the figure); “abroad” refers to refugees and asylum seekers originating from thatcountry who are outside of their origin country. The top 10 countries are based on 2020 data and are
calculated by combining refugees and asylum seekers in and from countries.

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Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Most new internal displacements in 2020 in Europe were the result of disasters, not conflict (Figure 21). Croatia
had the largest number of disaster-related displacements (42,000). At the onset of the global pandemic in March
2020, a 5.4 magnitude earthquake hit Zagreb, triggering 1,600 new displacements. Following this event, the country
experienced its most powerful earthquake ever recorded, a 6.4 magnitude event just nine months later. The
earthquake struck about 50 kilometres south-east of Zagreb, leaving over 10,000 homes uninhabitable and prompting
long-term displacement among 40,000 people.222 Other countries impacted by disaster-related displacements in2020 included Greece (13,000), France (10,000) and Spain (nearly 8,000), largely due to storms and intense flooding.

Figure 21. Top 20 European countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020
Percentage of population

Thousands
Croatia
GreeceFranceSpain
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Ukraine
Italy
NorwayDisasterBosnia and Herzegovina
SerbiaConflict

Iceland
PolandRomania
Russian Federation
Slovakia
IrelandCzechia
Portugal
Hungary
50

40

30

20

10

0

10

1.2

1.0

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.0

0.2

Source: IDMC, n.d.; UN DESA, 2021.
Notes: New displacements refers to the number of displacement movements that occurred in 2020, not the total
accumulated stock of IDPs resulting from displacement over time. New displacement figures include individuals who
have been displaced more than once and do not correspond to the number of people displaced during the year.
The population size used to calculate the percentage of new disaster and conflict displacements is based on the
total resident population of the country per 2021 UN DESA population estimates, and the percentage is for relative,
illustrative purposes only.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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Key features and developments in Europe223
South-Eastern and Eastern Europe
The COVID-19 impacts on migration in the subregion included further hardening of immigration policies
in several countries, while also resulting in the return of large numbers of migrant workers to theircountries of origin. In response to the pandemic, some countries, such as Hungary, passed restrictive measuresthat were widely viewed as potentially exposing asylum seekers to the risk of refoulement.224 The new act adopted
by Hungary in 2020 requires asylum seekers arriving at the border to be sent back and directed to declaresuch intent at a Hungarian embassy.225 As countries and territories started to vaccinate their populations against
COVID-19 in the first half of 2021, some migrants in the subregion, particularly those who are undocumented, wereleft out from vaccination programmes, further making them vulnerable to contracting COVID-19.226 However, somecountries in the subregion, such as Serbia, have included all migrants in their national vaccination strategies.227 The
impact of the pandemic on migrant workers in various parts of Europe has also led to significant return migration
to the subregion. Migration dynamics in South-Eastern and Eastern Europe have historically been characterized byemigration, rather than immigration, but the effects of the pandemic in 2020 largely halted and even reversed thesepatterns. Many migrants from the subregion, including from countries such as Bulgaria and Serbia, chose to return
home, driven by unemployment, lack of social protection or the desire to be with their families.228 Between Marchand May 2020, for example, more than half a million Bulgarians are estimated to have returned home.229 Thesesame trends were also visible in Romania, where around one million nationals returned in 2020.230
In addition to being a major origin country of international migrants, the Russian Federation continues
to also be an important destination for international migrants globally. In 2020, the Russian Federation
ranked among both the top 10 origin and destination countries for international migrants worldwide.231 With nearly
11 million people in the diaspora, the country had the third largest number of its population living abroad, afterIndia and Mexico.232 Most resided in the Commonwealth of Independent States Free Trade Area (CISFTA) Member
States, including Kazakhstan, Belarus, Ukraine and Uzbekistan, and in destinations such as the United States andGermany. Around 12 million international migrants lived in the Russian Federation, making it the fourth largest
destination globally after the United States, Germany and Saudi Arabia.233 International migrants in the RussianFederation are largely from Ukraine (more than 3 million), Kazakhstan (over 2.5 million) and Uzbekistan (around1 million).234 Because of the large number of international migrants in the country, the Russian Federation continues
to be one of the largest sources of international remittances in the world, ranking among the top 10 source
countries globally.235 At the same time, it was also among the top recipients of remittances in Europe in 2020.236
Driven by both conflict and disasters, both cross-border and internal displacement are key features inthe subregion. Thousands of people in the Russian Federation, for example, were driven from their homes due
to floods and wildfires in 2019.237 Cities such as Irkutsk bore most of the brunt of the floods, leaving thousandsof homes unfit for occupation.238 The largest humanitarian situation in the subregion continues to be in Eastern
Ukraine, where an estimated 3.4 million people are in need of humanitarian assistance in 2021.239 Across the country,
more than 1.4 million people remain in internal displacement, with many having lived under these conditions sincehostilities escalated in 2014.240 While a ceasefire was agreed in 2020 and has reduced fighting, violations persist,with continued insecurity and damage to people’s property and livelihoods on both sides of the contact line thatruns through the Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts. The conflict has also forced thousands of Ukrainians to leave thecountry and there were around 35,000 refugees from Ukraine in 2020.241

96

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Several countries in the Western Balkans are key transit zones, characterized by mixed migration flows
of migrants from Asia and Africa. In recent years, tens of thousands of migrants trying to reach Northernor Western Europe have arrived in countries such as Bosnia and Herzegovina via the Western Balkans route.242
While some of them are trying to escape harsh economic conditions, many are also fleeing conflict, insecurity orpersecution and include migrants from countries such as Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, the Islamic Republic of Iran and
the Syrian Arab Republic.243 Most migrants arriving in Bosnia and Herzegovina have been single men, although theyalso include unaccompanied and separated children, and families with children.244 Other countries in the subregion,such as Albania and North Macedonia, have also increasingly become major transit zones for migrants, who often
embark on risky journeys through these countries with the aid of smugglers.245 In early 2021, for example, dozens
of Syrians, in an attempt to reach Italy, were stranded for hours in the Adriatic Sea before being rescued andreturned to land by Albanian authorities.246 The increase in the number of irregular migrants in the Western Balkans
has raised tensions in some communities, while also being used as a political tool.247

Northern, Western and Southern Europe
COVID-19 had significant ramifications for migration and mobility in the subregion, shifting public
attitudes to migration in some countries and affecting labour mobility, while also impacting the humanrights of migrants. Migrants’ contributions to essential sectors of many economies during the pandemic seemed
to have changed public attitudes, particularly in countries where anti-immigrant sentiments had been on the rise.248
A 2020 poll in the United Kingdom, for example, revealed that a significant majority of the public (62%) werein favor of granting automatic citizenship to care workers who helped respond to COVID-19, while 50 per centbacked offering citizenship to other essential workers, including supermarket and agricultural workers.249 This isa significant shift from less than five years ago, when nearly half of the British public preferred a lower numberof low-skilled immigrants.250 In other countries such as Switzerland, respondents demonstrated positive attitudes
toward foreigners, and a poll suggested that immigrants have felt supported during the pandemic.251 As in otherregions, lockdowns and travel restrictions impacted labour mobility, with widespread economic repercussions forthe subregion. To address labour shortages, however, particularly in essential sectors such as agriculture, healthand social care, and transportation, several countries implemented measures that facilitated access to their labour
markets by third-country nationals already in the subregion.252 Meanwhile, measures to contain the virus, including
movement restrictions, also adversely affected migrants’ rights.253 In some instances, family reunifications for migrants
were halted and some countries temporarily suspended the registration and lodging of asylum applications.254
Further, some countries temporarily closed their ports and required irregular migrants, including those crossing theMediterranean, to be quarantined at sea.255 However, several countries in the region also implemented measures
aimed at assisting migrants during the pandemic, including by temporarily regularizing those who are undocumented
and including them in health-care responses, such as vaccination programmes.256
Irregular migration remains a significant feature in the subregion, and for some countries the issue
continues to dominate policy and political discourses. As of June 2021, the European Union was still in
negotiations on a new EU Pact on Migration and Asylum which, among other areas, seeks to address the challengeof irregular migration through the strengthening of partnerships with countries of origin and transit, improving themanagement of the bloc’s external borders, and promoting balanced distributions of responsibilities.257 Front-line
countries, such as Spain, Italy, Malta and Greece continue to call for more “solidarity” in the new pact in orderto ease the irregular migration pressures they face.258 While migratory routes including the Eastern Mediterraneanroute saw decreases in arrivals in 2020, routes across the Western Mediterranean and Western African Atlantic
to Spain experienced large increases.259 These challenges, and the human suffering involved, came to the forefront

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

97

again in early 2021 when thousands of people, mainly from Morocco, reached the Spanish enclave of Ceuta.260
In response, Spanish authorities deployed the military to the city; thousands of migrants were also returned to
Morocco.261
Recent proposals and changes to asylum policies in several countries have proven controversial, raisingconcerns about the impact they could have on those seeking protection. Amendments to Denmark’s
Aliens Act, for example, which could lead to the forcible transfer of asylum seekers to different countries forprocessing, have been viewed as a neglect of responsibility under international law and a failure to protect the mostvulnerable.262 The new law would externalize asylum and international protection to “partner countries” outside
Europe, a measure that threatens to further complicate negotiations on the EU Pact on Migration and Asylum,
which seeks, among a range of provisions, to advance solidarity among EU Member States in responding to refugees
and asylum seekers.263 The law is also seen as contravening the spirit of the 1951 Refugee Convention as well as
the Global Compact on Refugees.264 Other countries in the subregion such as the United Kingdom also put forward
new immigration plans in 2021 that could severely restrict asylum, including by outsourcing the processing of claims
in “safe countries”.265 Some United Nations agencies have warned that such measures, if implemented, would
undermine the international protection system.266 Similar measures have been witnessed in Greece, which sought
to return hundreds of migrants to Turkey in early 2021.267 The country has also taken extraordinary measures todeter migrants from Turkey from entering the European Union, including by using high-tech “sound cannons”.268
While low-income countries are the most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, various rapidonset disasters, some linked to climate change, have also displaced thousands of people in the subregion.
In 2020, wildfires resulted in 23,000 new displacements in Greece, Spain and France.269 The year 2020 was Europe’s
hottest on record, with temperatures rising across all seasons. During the same year, Storm Gloria led to thousandsof displacements in France and Spain, as huge waves tore through homes and rivers burst their banks.270 In Spain,
several people lost their lives.271 Other weather events, such as Storm Dennis, were responsible for more than
1,000 displacements in the United Kingdom and toward the end of the year, flooding in parts of France resulted innearly 5,000 displacements.272 The two countries suffered further displacements as the year came to a close when
Storm Bella struck, leading to more than 3,000 displacements.273 In early 2021, the European Commission adopted
a new Climate Adaptation Strategy, which “sets out how the European Union can adapt to the unavoidable impactsof climate change and become climate resilient by 2050.”274 By mid-2021, it was clear that similar displacement
patterns across Europe were playing out over the summer, due mostly to extreme wildfires, storms and flooding.
Women and girls comprise a significant share of irregular migrant arrivals in Northern, Westernand Southern Europe, while women migrant workers in the subregion face persistent labour market
challenges. Between 2018 and 2020, women made up 20 per cent of the almost 77,000 people who arrived
in Europe by sea and land across Eastern, Central and Western Mediterranean routes as well as the Western
African Atlantic route.275 The majority of these women and girls reached Europe (most to Greece) via the Eastern
Mediterranean route (70%), while 21 per cent arrived in Spain through the Western Mediterranean and Western
African Atlantic routes and around 9 per cent in Italy and Malta via the Central Mediterranean route.276 In 2020,
however, the number of women irregular migrants entering Europe fell significantly compared with previous years;
this was also in line with overall declines in arrivals, largely due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Women accounted
for less than one in 10 detections along the European Union’s external borders in 2020, while a year prior they
made up one in four.277 Women migrant workers in the subregion, meanwhile, continue to experience the so-called“double disadvantage”, based on being a migrant and a woman.278 In several countries, migrant women have higher
unemployment rates than migrant men and these differences are especially large in Southern European countries

98

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

such as Italy, Greece and Portugal.279 Compared with native-born women, migrant women not only have higher
unemployment rates, but also tend to be relegated to low-skilled employment, such as household services.280 In
the subregion and in many parts of the world, the COVID-19 pandemic has amplified these dynamics, while leaving
many migrant women, often employed in culturally devalued tasks, more vulnerable to contracting the virus.281

Latin America and the Caribbean282
Migration to Northern America is a key feature in the Latin America and Caribbean region. In 2020, over 25 million
migrants had made the journey north and were residing in Northern America (Figure 22). As shown in the figure,the Latin American and Caribbean population living in Northern America has increased considerably over time,from an estimated 10 million in 1990. Another 5 million migrants from the region were in Europe in 2020. While
this number has only slightly increased since 2015, the number of migrants from Latin America and the Caribbean
living in Europe has more than quadrupled since 1990. Other regions, such as Asia and Oceania, were home to avery small number of migrants from Latin America and the Caribbean in 2020 (over 400,000 and 200,000 migrants,
respectively).
The total number of migrants from other regions living in Latin America and the Caribbean has remained relatively
stable, at around 3 million over the last 30 years. These were comprised mostly of Europeans (whose numbers havedeclined slightly over the period) and Northern Americans, whose numbers have increased. In 2020, the numbersof Europeans and Northern Americans living in Latin America and the Caribbean stood at around 1.4 million and1.3 million, respectively. Meanwhile, around 11 million migrants in Latin America and the Caribbean originated fromother countries in the region.
The ongoing Venezuelan situation has had a significant impact on migration flows in the region and remains oneof the largest displacement and migration crises worldwide.283 Approximately 5.6 million Venezuelans had left thecountry as of June 2021,284 and roughly 85 per cent (approximately 4.6 million) have moved to another countryin Latin America and the Caribbean.285 The vast majority have left within the past five years.286 Colombia, Peru,
Chile, Ecuador and Brazil are some of the main destination countries of Venezuelan refugees and migrants within
the region.287

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

99

Figure 22. Migrants to, within and from Latin America and the Caribbean, 1990–2020
Migrants to Latin America andthe Caribbean

Migrants within Latin America
and the Caribbean

Migrants from Latin America
and the Caribbean

Migrant Stock (millions)

30

20

10

0
1990

2000

2010

2020

1990

2000

2010

2020

1990

2000

2010

2020

Year

RegionAfricaEuropeNorthern America

Asia

Latin America andthe Caribbean

Oceania

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note:“Migrants to Latin America and the Caribbean” refers to migrants residing in the region (i.e. Latin America andthe Caribbean) who were born in one of the other regions (e.g. in Europe or Asia). “Migrants within Latin
America and the Caribbean” refers to migrants born in the region (i.e. Latin America and the Caribbean) and
residing outside their country of birth, but still within the Latin America and the Caribbean region. “Migrants
from Latin America and the Caribbean” refers to people born in Latin America and the Caribbean who wereresiding outside the region (e.g. in Europe or Northern America).

Emigration remains a significant feature in Latin America and the Caribbean. With around 11 million people living
abroad in 2020, Mexico continues to be the country in the region with the most emigrants (Figure 23). Mexico
also only comes second to India among countries with the largest diasporas in the world, with most living in
the United States. Mexico is followed by the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and Colombia, with over 5 million
and more than 3 million emigrants, respectively. As a percentage of population, Jamaica has the largest emigrant
population, followed by El Salvador and the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela. In 2020, Argentina was home to thelargest foreign-born population in the region (with over 2 million migrants), mainly from neighbouring countries

100

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

such as Paraguay and the Plurinational State of Bolivia. Colombia had the second largest number of immigrants,
followed by Chile. Among the top migrant countries, Costa Rica had the largest immigrant share of its population(10%), closely followed by Chile.

Figure 23. Top Latin America and Caribbean migrant countries, 2020
Migrants(millions)

Percentage of
population

MexicoBolivarian Republic of Venezuela
Colombia
Argentina
BrazilPeru
Chile
Dominican Republic
EcuadorImmigrant

Haiti

Emigrant

Cuba
El Salvador
GuatemalaJamaica
Plurinational State of Bolivia
Paraguay
Honduras
Nicaragua
Costa Rica
10

5

0

5

10

50

0

50

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note 1: The population size used to calculate the percentage of immigrants and emigrants is based on the UN DESA total
resident population of the country, which includes foreign-born populations.
Note 2: “Immigrant” refers to foreign-born migrants residing in the country. “Emigrant” refers to people born in the country
who were residing outside their country of birth in 2021.

Similar to other regions, almost all countries in Latin America and the Caribbean enacted travel and movement
restrictions, both internal and international, in the first months of 2020. Most international travel controls, put inplace several weeks before internal controls came into force, peaked between March and June 2020. Unlike therest of the international travel controls, which began to decline mid-2020, quarantine mandates were maintainedby virtually all countries in the region. As countries in the region experienced new waves of infections in late 2020and early 2021, several countries that had dropped some of the international travel restrictions reimposed them.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

101

Of the various international travel controls, total border closures declined the most over time, with only a handfulof countries maintaining them as of mid-June 2021 (see Figure 24).
Meanwhile, internal movement restrictions also gradually declined from their peak (with nearly 30 countries issuing
some form of restriction) at the beginning of the pandemic. By mid-2021, a significant number of countries had
dropped these measures, with internal movement restrictions (general) declining the most.

Figure 24. COVID-19-related travel controls in Latin America and the Caribbean:International and internal, January 2020 to June 2021
30

International travel controls

25

No restrictions
Countries

20

Screening arrivals

15

Quarantine arrivals from some or
all regions

10

Ban arrivals from some regions

5

Ban on all regions or total borderclosureNo data

1

21

02

20

l2

n
Ju

Ju

1

21

M

ay

20

21

02
r2

Ap

21

20

20

ar

b
Fe

M

21

Jan

ec
D

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

ov

ct
O

Se

N

0

20
p

20

0

02

20

02

g2
Au

l2

20
n
Ju

Ju

0

20

02
M

ay

r2
Ap

M

20

20

20

20
ar

20
b

Fe

Jan

20

20

0

Date
30

Restrictions on internal movement
between cities/regions

25

No measures
Countries

20

Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - targeted
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - general
Internal movement restrictions inplace - targetedInternal movement restrictions inplace - general

15
10
5

No data

1
02
l2
Ju

21
20
n

Ju

1

20
21

M
ay

02

Ap
r2

20
21

M
ar

20
21

Fe

b

21
20

Jan

20
20

0
D

ec

02

N

ov
2

20
20

O

ct

20
20

Se

p

20
20

Au
g

l2
02
0
Ju

20
20
n

Ju

0
02

20
20

M
ay

20

Ap
r2

20

20

M
ar

20
b

Fe

Jan

20
20

0

Date

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: Categories used are those of the Oxford Government Response Tracker; categories included in the data set are for COVID19-related restrictions only and do not reflect other travel restrictions that may also be in place, such as those related to visa
restrictions, entry bans based on citizenship, departure/exit restrictions and internal movement restrictions.

During the first half of 2020, more than 80 per cent of country-to-country corridors within Latin America andthe Caribbean had some form of COVID-19-related travel restriction. In the same period, more than 70 per centof corridors involving countries outside the region (global) also had travel controls. As in regions such as Europe,
these travel restrictions declined over time, with intraregional controls declining the most; only around 30 per centof corridors (within the region) maintained these restrictions by 30 June 2021. Health-related measures, which

102

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

increased gradually in the early months of the pandemic, had exceeded intraregional travel restrictions by September
2020. As Figure 25 shows, health-related measures in Latin America and the Caribbean remained in place foraround 70 per cent of corridors within the region.

Figure 25. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Latin America and the Caribbean:
March 2020 to June 2021

Country-to-country Corridors

80%

60%

40%

20%

1

21

02
l2
Ju

20
n
Ju

20

21

1
02

ay
M

r2

21

Ap

20

21

ar

20
M

b

21

Fe

20
Jan

D

ec

20

20

20

20

20

ov
N

O

ct

20

20

0
02

20
p
Se

0
02

g2
Au

l2

20
20
n

Ju

Ju

20

0

20

02

ay
M

r2
Ap

M

ar

20

20

0%

Date
Restriction Type
Destination
Health-related Measure
Travel Restriction
Within Region
GlobalSource: IOM, 2021a.
Notes: Health-related measures include health screening and monitoring, testing/medical certificates and quarantine measures.
Travel restrictions include passenger restrictions based on nationality or arrival from a geographic location. See the DTM
Mobility restrictions page for more information on the methodology.

In 2020, Mexico was the world’s third largest remittance-receiving country after India and China and by far thelargest recipient in the region (USD 43 billion) (see Figure 26). Guatemala, the Dominican Republic, Colombia andEl Salvador were among the top five remittance recipient countries in Latin America and the Caribbean, although
their inflows were much smaller than Mexico’s. As a percentage of GDP, however, the top five remittance-receiving
countries in the region in 2020 were El Salvador (at 24%), followed by Honduras (24%), Haiti (22%), Jamaica (21%)
and Nicaragua (15%). Remittance flows to Latin America and the Caribbean reached almost USD 104 billion in
2020, the highest recorded to date and an increase of 6.5 per cent from 2019, having remained more resilient thanany other region in the world. The 10 largest recipients in the region, except Haiti, experienced an increase ofnearly 8 per cent on average compared to 2019. Several factors contributed to this increase, including the shift frominformal to formal remittance-sending channels, the economic stimulus packages in the United States in responseto the pandemic, and the continued employment of migrants in essential sectors in destinations.288

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

103

Brazil was the largest source of remittances in Latin America and the Caribbean, followed by Mexico and Chile.
Around USD 1.6 billion in remittances was sent from Brazil alone in 2020, although this was a significant dropfrom the more than USD 2 billion sent in 2019. With the exception of Chile, remittance outflows from the restof the top-sending countries declined in 2020 when compared with 2019.

Figure 26. Top remittance recipient and source countries in Latin America and the Caribbean,
2019 and 2020
Total in USD billion (inflows)

Total in USD billion (outflows)

MexicoShare (%) of GDP (inflows)
El Salvador

BrazilGuatemalaDominican Republic

Honduras
Haiti

MexicoColombia
El Salvador

Jamaica
Nicaragua

Chile

Honduras
BrazilGuatemalaDominican Republic

Dominican Republic

Ecuador
Haiti

Dominica
GuyanaArgentina

Jamaica
Peru

BelizeSaint Vincent and the Grenadines

EcuadorNicaragua
Plurinational State of Bolivia

GrenadaMexicoColombia

Argentina
Paraguay

EcuadorSaint Kitts and Nevis

Plurinational
State of Bolivia

Costa Rica
PanamaPlurinational State of Bolivia
Colombia

El Salvador

GuyanaBolivarian Republic of Venezuela

Barbados
Saint Lucia

Uruguay

Trinidad and Tobago
0

10

20

2019

30

40

2020

50

Antigua and Barbuda
0

0.5

1

2019

1.5

2

2020

2.5

0

10

2019

20

30

40

2020

Source: World Bank, 2021.

In 2020, Venezuelans constituted the second largest population of people displaced across borders in the world,
following Syrians. The United Nations Refugee Agency identifies “Venezuelans displaced abroad” as a separate
category to reflect the ongoing displacement crisis; this category does not include Venezuelan asylum seekers andrefugees. By the end of 2020, there were approximately 171,000 registered refugees from the Bolivarian Republicof Venezuela and nearly 4 million Venezuelans displaced without formal refugee status. Approximately 73 per centof refugees and migrants seek refuge in neighbouring countries. Colombia continues to host the majority ofVenezuelan refugees and migrants (more than 1.7 million).

104

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

At the end of 2020, around 450,000 people from El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras were seeking asylum inother countries (Figure 27). More information on refugees and asylum seekers can be found in the “Key featuresand developments in Latin America and the Caribbean” section below.

Figure 27. Top 10 Latin America and Caribbean countries by total refugees
and asylum seekers, 2020
Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela
Peru
Colombia

Location
BrazilHostedAbroadMexicoStatus:El Salvador

Refugees

Honduras

Asylum seekers

GuatemalaEcuador
Haiti
1

0.5

Persons (millions)00.5

Source: UNHCR, n.d.b.
Note:“Hosted” refers to those refugees and asylum seekers from other countries who are residing in the receiving country (righthand side of the figure); “abroad” refers to refugees and asylum seekers originating from that country who are outside of their
origin country. The top 10 countries are based on 2020 data and are calculated by combining refugees and asylum seekers inand from countries.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

105

Most new internal displacements in Latin America and the Caribbean in 2020 were due to disasters, not violence
and conflict (Figure 28). Honduras recorded the largest number of internal displacements triggered by disasters(937,000), followed by Cuba (639,000), Brazil (358,000) and Guatemala (339,000). Weather-related events including
Hurricane Laura (in August 2020) and Hurricanes Eta and Iota (in November 2020) triggered these large-scale
displacements. Colombia and El Salvador recorded the highest number of new internal displacements related toviolence and/or conflict in 2020 – 106,000 in Colombia and 114,000 in El Salvador.

Figure 28. Top Latin and Caribbean countries by new internal displacements(disaster and conflict), 2020
Percentage of population

Millions

Honduras
Cuba
BrazilGuatemalaNicaragua
Colombia
El Salvador
Disaster

MexicoDominican Republic
Haiti

Conflict

Plurinational State of Bolivia
Peru
BelizeCosta Rica
PanamaArgentina
Chile
Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela
Ecuador
1.0

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.0

0.2

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

1

2

Source: IDMC, n.d.; UN DESA, 2021.
Notes: New displacements refers to the number of displacement movements that occurred in 2020, not the total accumulated stockof IDPs resulting from displacement over time. New displacement figures include individuals who have been displaced more thanonce and do not correspond to the number of people displaced during the year.
The population size used to calculate the percentage of new disaster and conflict displacements is based on the total resident
population of the country per 2021 UN DESA population estimates, and the percentage is for relative, illustrative purposes
only.

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Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Key features and developments in Latin America and the Caribbean289
Central America and the Caribbean
The COVID-19 pandemic has deeply impacted migration and mobility in Central America and the
Caribbean, while also exacerbating existing vulnerabilities among migrants, including those in transit.
Border closures and other movement restrictions due to COVID-19 resulted in the decline in the number of
migrants from the subregion heading north in the early weeks and months following the onset of the pandemic.290
Many migrants either postponed their journeys or were left stuck in transit.291 The pandemic and related restrictions
also forced some migrants to take even more dangerous journeys, including through the Darién Gap, considered
one of the most perilous migration routes globally.292 Further, despite restrictions on mobility due to the pandemic,
recent reports have shown that the use of smugglers continued in the subregion.293 In addition to disrupting asylum
processes and other resettlement programmes across several countries in the subregion, mobility restrictions
forced many migrants to stay in makeshift camps in inadequate hygiene conditions, with limited supply of foodand water.294 For example, in Panama’s Darién province, many irregular migrants, including those from within andoutside the subregion such as Africans, Cubans and Haitians, were left stranded as several countries closed theirborders.295 Several countries in the subregion, however, provided some assistance to migrants, such as facilitating
the return and repatriation of those who had been stranded abroad and including them in vaccination campaigns.296
The pandemic also had wide-ranging impacts on key sectors, such as tourism, on which several countries in thesubregion, including those in the Caribbean, rely heavily.
Migration northward remains a significant trend, with mixed migration from the northern region ofCentral America, in particular, proving to be challenging and dynamic due to rising immigration controls.
Migration from and through Central America is driven by a complex set of factors, including economic insecurity,
violence, crime and the effects of climate change, with many individuals moving northward in pursuit of financial andhuman security.297 At the end of 2020, nearly 900,000 people from Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador had been
forcibly displaced (both within and across borders).298 Of these, more than half a million had been displaced acrossborders, with the vast majority (79%) hosted in the United States.299 Migrant caravans, a term used to describe
the cross-border movement of large groups of people by land, have increased in number and frequency since
2018 and have often included families with children.300 There has been a rise in the number of children journeying
through the Darién Gap.301 Of the 226,000 migrants from Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador arriving at theUnited States border in the first half of fiscal year 2021, approximately 34,000 were unaccompanied minors.302
In response, the Mexican and United States Governments have bolstered immigration enforcement, including byimplementing measures aimed at preventing the transit of migrants, a surge in active-duty military officers at theUnited States–Mexico border, an increase in migrants being detained and deported, and reports of migrants being
met with excessive force by security officials.303 In January 2020, a migrant caravan leaving Honduras was denied
permission to transit through Mexico to the United States at the border between Guatemala and Mexico.304 As
a result, an estimated 2,000 migrants were returned to Honduras by the Guatemalan and Mexican authorities.305
Moreover, the number of detentions in Mexico increased from approximately 8,500 in January 2019 to 13,500
migrants in January 2020.306
Migration dynamics in the Caribbean remain largely characterized by emigration, although the recent arrivalof Venezuelan refugees and migrants has added to the complexities in the subregion. Most internationalmigrants from the Caribbean are extraregional migrants, with Northern America (largely the United States) andEurope the two key destination regions. Some of the largest corridors are between Cuba and the United States

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

107

as well as the Dominican Republic and the United States.307 While intraregional migration remains relatively low,
it has also increased steadily over time, and by mid-2020 there were almost 860,000 international migrants fromwithin the subregion, nearly doubling since 1990.308 Regional intergovernmental organizations and initiatives, suchas the Organisation of Eastern Caribbean States (OECS) and the Caribbean Single Market and Economy (CSME)
of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) that are committed to enhancing free movement, have contributed tothe increase in migration within the subregion. There has also been a significant increase in immigration to some
Caribbean countries in recent years, driven in large part by the arrival of Venezuelan migrants and refugees. Around
100,000 Venezuelans lived in the Caribbean in September 2019, but by the end of 2021 the number of Venezuelans
is expected to grow to more than 220,000.309 Some of the main destinations for Venezuelans include the Dominican
Republic, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana and Curaçao.310 By August 2020, more than 100,000 Venezuelans resided
in the Dominican Republic, representing over 1 per cent of the total population.311 In places such as Aruba andCuraçao, Venezuelan migrants make up a significant share of the population (more than 10%).312 In response to thegrowing presence of Venezuelans in the Caribbean, regularization programmes are being adopted by, for example,
Trinidad and Tobago, the Dominican Republic and Curaçao to provide legal status to applicable Venezuelans.313
Environmental change and disasters are influencing human movement and displacement in the subregion.314
Intense weather-related events – including tropical storms and hurricanes – directly and indirectly impact migrationin the subregion. Hurricane Laura, for example, triggered more than a million displacements across the Dominican
Republic, Haiti, Cuba and the United States in 2020, while Hurricanes Eta and Iota resulted in around 1.7 million
displacements in several countries in the subregion.315 In Central America, environmental shocks in pre-mountainzones range from floods and storms, mudslides and landslides, while arid areas are mostly affected by droughts.316 In
Guatemala, for instance, it is common for people to migrate due to the droughts and floods that damage crops andconsequently cause food insecurity and poverty.317 To further address the challenge of climate change and migration,
several countries in Central America and the Caribbean are incorporating migration and mobility into their climate
strategies. For example, Guatemala’s climate strategy includes a focus on human mobility,318 while Mexico’s new
Nationally Determined Contribution calls for enhanced attention to climate migration.319

South America
The global pandemic disrupted migration in South America, impacting return migration and displacement.
The first confirmed COVID-19 case in South America was in Brazil in February 2020, and by late July the subregion
had the highest number of confirmed cases globally.320 By April 2020, 92 per cent of the Americas had closed theirborders to curb the spread of the COVID-19 virus.321 Several countries also implemented periods of lockdown
and quarantine measures. Countries such as the Plurinational State of Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru put inplace some of the longest and strictest lockdown measures worldwide.322 These public health measures hindered
migration and mobility, leading to precarious conditions for many migrants. Some migrants residing in countries
with deteriorating socioeconomic conditions, and who lost work as a result of the pandemic, made the difficult
decision to return to their countries of origin.323 Those returning home included Bolivian and Peruvian migrants
from Chile and Paraguayan migrants from Brazil.324 Mass returns, often taking place by foot, in conjunction withmobility restrictions, led to many migrants being stranded in border cities in poor sanitary conditions.325 Returning
migrants also faced socioeconomic and legal challenges, such as finding employment, obtaining legal status and facing
xenophobic backlashes.326 With many people remaining on the move, countries like Guyana, Ecuador and Peru areprioritizing displaced people in their COVID-19 vaccination strategies.327

108

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Regularizing displaced Venezuelans remains a challenge for countries in South America as the region
confronts one of the largest humanitarian crises in its recent history.328 Since 2015, over five million people
have left the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela due to the ongoing economic and political instability in the country.329
More than four million Venezuelans have moved to other South American countries.330 Colombia hosts the largest
number of Venezuelans, with more than 1.7 million entering the country by July 2021.331 As of July 2021, theremaining top South American countries hosting Venezuelans following Colombia were Peru (more than 1 million),
Chile (nearly 460,000) and Ecuador (more than 360,000).332 Mass regularization initiatives have been implemented
to support Venezuelans, as more than half lack regular status.333 In February 2021, Colombia implemented a policy
providing displaced Venezuelans with temporary protection status for the next 10 years.334 Regularization will havelasting positive impacts, as it fosters social inclusion and economic contributions via labour market integration andaccess to health care, housing, education and other necessary protections.335 Since many countries have neverexperienced migrant inflows at this scale, issuing visas and granting asylum has been challenging. An August 2020
study revealed that countries such as Brazil and Peru granted humanitarian visas to a substantial proportion of
Venezuelans.336 While several countries have issued residency permits to a significant number of Venezuelans, many
continue to have an irregular status.337
Intraregional migration has grown at a fast rate in South America, with women migrants contributing tothis increase.338 Approximately 80 per cent of migrants in South America are intraregional migrants.339 Since 2010,
the number of intraregional migrants in South America has grown to almost equal the number of South Americans
living outside of the subregion.340 This growth is the result of several factors, including the decline in immigration toEurope,341 the hardening of immigration policies abroad,342 positive developments in migration policies at a regionaland national level, greater employment opportunities within South America,343 increases in communication means
and lower transportation costs,344 and the cross-border displacement from the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela.345
Significantly, in the largest destination countries of Argentina and Chile, women make up the larger share of SouthAmerican migrants. Immigrant women predominately take up domestic and caring roles due to ageing populations
and increased labour force participation among middle-class women.346
Violence, conflict and disasters are significant drivers of internal displacement in the subregion. Violence
triggered by political and security crises continues to contribute to large-scale internal displacement. Violence inColombia, driven partly by territorial control exercised by paramilitary groups, resulted in more than 100,000 new
displacements in 2020.347 Displacement in Colombia due to conflict and violence continued to intensify in 2021,
with more than 27,000 people displaced in the first quarter, an increase of 177 per cent compared with the same
period in 2020.348 The subregion is also severely affected by natural disasters, triggering mobility and displacement;
both rapid- and slow-onset disasters, such as floods, landslides and droughts have had widespread impacts on thesubregion.349 For example, the extreme rainy season in Brazil, between January to March, resulted in approximately
three quarters of the country’s 358,000 disaster displacements in 2020.350

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

109

Northern America351
Migration in Northern America is dominated by migration into the region, primarily to the United States. As shownin Figure 29, nearly 59 million migrants were residing in Northern America from a variety of regions in 2020. This
number has increased by around 3 million since 2015, when around 56 million migrants were living in the region.
As of 2020, most of these migrants were from Latin America and the Caribbean (around 26 million), followed by
Asia (18 million) and Europe (around 7 million). During the last 30 years, the number of migrants in Northern
America has more than doubled in size, driven by emigration from Latin America and the Caribbean and Asia,
as well as by economic growth and political stability in Northern America. The number of Northern American
migrants living within the region or elsewhere was very small compared with the foreign-born population in theregion. In contrast to regions such as Asia and Africa where intraregional migration is significant, more Northern
American-born migrants lived outside the region (around 3 million) than had moved elsewhere within the region(a little more than 1 million) in 2020.

Figure 29. Migrants to, within and from North America, 1990–2020
Migrants within Northern
America

Migrant Stock (millions)Migrants to Northern America

Migrants from Northern
America

40

20

0
1990

2000

2010

2020 1990

RegionAfrica
Asia

2000
2010
Year

EuropeLatin America andthe Caribbean2020 1990

2000

2010

2020

Northern America
Oceania

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note:“Migrants to Northern America” refers to migrants residing in the region (i.e. Northern America) who were born in one of theother regions (e.g. Europe or Asia). “Migrants within Northern America” refers to migrants born in the region (i.e. Northern
America) and residing outside their country of birth, but still within the Northern American region. “Migrants from Northern
America” refers to people born in Northern America who were residing outside the region (e.g. in Europe or Africa).

110

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

In 2020, the United States had the largest foreign-born population in the world (Figure 30). Over 86 per cent of
the foreign-born population in Northern America lived in the United States. However, as shown in Figure 30, theshare of Canada’s total population that was foreign-born (at over 21%) was considerably higher than that of theUnited States in 2020 (15%). Canada also had a larger share of its population who had emigrated compared with
the United States.

Figure 30. Main migration countries in Northern America, 2020
Migrants(millions)

Percentage of
population

United States ofAmerica

Immigrant
Emigrant

Canada
40

20

0

20

40

20

10

0

10

20

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note 1: The population size used to calculate the percentage of immigrants and emigrants is based on the UN DESA total
resident population of the country, which includes foreign-born populations.
Note 2: “Immigrant” refers to foreign-born migrants residing in the country. “Emigrant” refers to people born in the country
who were residing outside their country of birth in 2021.

All countries in Northern America quickly put in place international and internal travel controls at the start of
the COVID-19 pandemic. Similar to the rest of the regions, restrictions on international travel started weeks
earlier than internal controls. Restrictions such as screening arrivals and quarantine measures were maintained
throughout 2020 and remained in place for all countries in the region as of mid-June 2021 (Figure 31). However,other international travel controls, such as the ban on arrivals from some regions and total border closures declined
from mid-2020, only rising again toward the end of the year as several countries experienced an increase in or
new waves of COVID-19 infections.
In the early weeks of the pandemic, all countries in the region imposed some form of internal movement restrictions.
However, by around September 2020, about half had dropped all of these measures. The internal restrictions thatremained for some countries included targeted and general recommendations not to travel between regions or
cities. Interestingly and unlike other regions, nearly all countries in Northern America never imposed generalinternal movement restrictions.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

111

Figure 31. COVID-19-related travel controls in Northern America: International and internal,
January 2020 to June 2021
4International travel controls
No restrictions

3

Countries

Screening arrivals
Quarantine arrivals from some or
all regions

2

Ban arrivals from some regions
Ban on all regions or total borderclosure1

No data

21

21

Ju
l

20
Ju
n

M

20

21

1
ay

20

21

r2
Ap

M

02

21

20

20

ar

21

Fe
b

20
Jan

D
ec

20

20

20

20

20

ov

ct

N

Se

O

p

20

20

0
02

20

20

Au

g2

20

Ju
l

20
Ju
n

M

20

20

0
ay

20

02

20

Ap

r2

20

20
20

ar
M

Jan

Fe
b

20

20

0

Date
4

Restrictions on internal movement
between cities/regions

Countries

3

No measures
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - targeted
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - general
Internal movement restrictions inplace - targetedInternal movement restrictions inplace - general2

1

No data

1

21

02
l2

20
n
Ju

Ju

21

1

20
ay

M

21

02
r2

Ap

20

21
20

ar
M

21

b
Fe

20

20
Jan

20

ec
D

N

ov

ct
O

20

20

20
20

20

0
02

20
p
Se

0

g2
Au

20

02
l2
Ju

20
n
Ju

20

20

0
02

ay
M

20
20

r2
Ap

20
20

ar
M

b
Fe

Jan

20

20

0

Date

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: Categories used are those of the Oxford Government Response Tracker; categories included in the data set are for COVID19-related restrictions only and do not reflect other travel restrictions that may also be in place, such as those related to visa
restrictions, entry bans based on citizenship, departure/exit restrictions and internal movement restrictions. This graph only
includes four countries, which affects the output and appearance of the area chart.

112

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Travel restrictions and health-related measures in Northern America have evolved over time since the start of the
COVID-19 pandemic. As Figure 32 shows, there were more travel restrictions than health-related measures in theearly months of the pandemic. Over time, however, health-related measures overtook travel restrictions. Of note,however, by end of June 2021 there were more intraregional health-related measures than those involving countries
outside Northern America (global). This is in contrast to earlier on in the pandemic and throughout 2020, when
there were more global health-related measures than intraregional ones.

Figure 32. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Northern America:
March 2020 to June 2021

Country-to-country Corridors

80%

60%

40%

20%

Destination
Within Region

1

21

02
l2
Ju

20
n
Ju

M

ay

20

21

1
02

21

r2
Ap

20

21

ar

20
M

b

21

Fe

20

20

Travel Restriction

Jan

ec
D

N

ov

20

20

20

20
20
ct

O

20

20

0
p

02

Restriction Type
Health-related Measure

Se

0

20

02

g2
Au

l2
Ju

20
n
Ju

20

20

0
02
r2

ay
M

Ap

M

ar

20

20

0%

GlobalSource: IOM, 2021a.
Notes: Health-related measures include health screening and monitoring, testing/medical certificates and quarantine measures.
Travel restrictions include passenger restrictions based on nationality or arrival from a geographic location. See the
DTM Mobility restrictions page for more information on the methodology. This graph only includes four countries,
which affects the appearance of the area chart.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

113

The United States, the world’s largest economy, has traditionally been one of the largest sources of remittances
globally. In 2020, around USD 68 billion was sent from the country, making it the largest sender in the Northern
America and the world (Figure 33). However, remittance outflows from the country declined in 2020, droppingfrom more than USD 71 billion in 2019.

Figure 33. Remittance recipient and source countries in Northern America, 2019 and 2020
Total in USD billion (inflows)

Total in USD billion (outflows)

Share (%) of GDP (inflows)

United Statesof America

United Statesof America

CanadaCanadaCanadaUnited Statesof America

0

2

4
2019

6

0

8

20

2020

2019

40

60

0

80

2020

0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1
2019

2020

Source: World Bank, 2021.

The United States hosted nearly 341,000 refugees in 2020. In the same year, and as shown in Figure 34, the country
was home to close to one million asylum seekers. Most asylum seekers in the United States came from Latin
American countries such as the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Mexico and from countries in Northern Central
America including Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras where a complex mix of socioeconomic and politicalfactors have forced a significant number of people to leave. Canada, meanwhile, hosted nearly 110,000 refugees
and more than 85,000 asylum seekers in 2020. A significant number of refugees in Canada came from countries
such as Nigeria, Turkey and Pakistan.

Figure 34. Number of refugees and asylum seekers in and from Northern American countries, 2020
Location
HostedUnited States of America

AbroadStatus:Refugees

Canada

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Asylum seekers

Persons (millions)
Source: UNHCR, n.d.a.
Note:“Hosted” refers to those refugees and asylum seekers from other countries who are residing in the receiving country(right-hand side of the figure); “abroad” refers to refugees and asylum seekers originating from that country who are
outside of their origin country.

114

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

All new internal displacements in Northern America in 2020 were due to disasters (Figure 35).352 The United Statesrecorded the largest number, with more than 1.7 million new displacements due to flooding and wildfires. Globally,
wildfires accounted for 1.2 million new displacements in 2020, with more than one million new displacements taking
place in the United States, primarily in the western states of California, Colorado, Utah, Oregon and Washington.
Wildfire season in Canada also triggered new displacements, however, the scale of these displacements was much
lower compared with the United States. Overall, Canada recorded 26,000 new displacements in 2020, with the
major fire in Red Lake, Ontario accounting for 3,800 new displacements. The United States consistently ranks firstamong the countries of the Americas and the Caribbean in terms of new disaster displacements annually.

Figure 35. Northern American countries by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020
Percentage of population

Millions

United Statesof America

Disaster
Conflict

Canada

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.0

Source: IDMC, n.d.; UN DESA, 2021.
Notes: New displacements refers to the number of displacement movements that occurred in 2020, not the total
accumulated stock of IDPs resulting from displacement over time. New displacement figures include individuals who
have been displaced more than once and do not correspond to the number of people displaced during the year.
The population size used to calculate the percentage of new disaster and conflict displacements is based on the
total resident population of the country per 2021 UN DESA population estimates, and the percentage is for relative,
illustrative purposes only.

Key features and developments in Northern America353
Despite the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on migration and mobility in Northern America,
migrants in the region have played key roles in the socioeconomic response. Travel restrictions, consular andborder closures, and visa processing and immigration court hearing delays, among other factors, have contributed
to the notable decrease in registered arrivals of migrants to Canada and the United States since the start of thepandemic.354 In Canada, for example, the number of new applications and extensions approved for temporary
residents decreased by 48 per cent (from 2.4 million to 1.3 million) between 2019 and 2020, while authorizationsand visas issued for permanent residents decreased by 50 per cent (from 341,000 in 2019 to 172,000 in 2020).355
The total number of immigrant and non-immigrant visas issued for the United States was just over 4 million
for fiscal year 2020, a decrease of 54 per cent compared with the 9.2 million visas issued in fiscal year 2019.356
However, while COVID-19 travel and movement restrictions diminished opportunities for many migrants to enterNorthern America, both the United States and Canada maintained certain channels, particularly for temporary
foreign workers in essential front-line sectors.357 Further, migrants have been key to the subregion’s economy andWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

115

its overall COVID-19 response. For example, many migrants are employed as health-care workers or in criticalsectors such as food and agriculture.358 However, because migrants are overrepresented in front-line industries, in
combination with other socioeconomic factors related to poverty, housing, access to social and health services, lackof documentation and more, they are disproportionately affected by the socioeconomic impacts of the pandemic
and are potentially at greater risk of infection.359 An estimated 6 million foreign-born workers in the United States
are employed in front-line industries, with an additional 6 million migrants in industries negatively impacted by the
pandemic, such as hotels and restaurants and personal services (e.g. nail and hair salons).360 The same pattern isreflected in Canada, as 34 per cent of front-line workers self-identify as visible minorities and are more likely towork in industries negatively affected by the pandemic, compounding health and economic challenges.361 Moreover,the global pandemic has significantly also disrupted refugee resettlement schemes, as discussed above in the regional
overview.362 However, there have been initiatives to support refugees and migrants in the subregion. The UnitedStates, for example, committed to making free vaccines available regardless of immigration status.363 In Canada,
the Federal Government was granting permanent residency to asylum seekers working in the health-care sector
during the pandemic.364
The United States and Canada remain significant migrant destinations, with increasingly diverse origin
countries. In 2020, around 51 million international migrants resided in the United States, by far the largest such
population in the world. In the same year, more than 8 million international migrants lived in Canada; while thisis a much smaller figure compared with the United States, Canada was the eighth largest migrant destination in
the world in 2020, with most coming from India, China and the Philippines. Migrants to the United States havetraditionally come from Latin America and the Caribbean and Asia, including from countries such as Mexico,
India and China. Over the years, however, there has been a diversification in origin countries. For example, while
Mexican-born migrants continue to comprise the largest number of international migrants in the United States,
their numbers have been falling over time.365 The numbers of migrants from countries such as the Dominican
Republic, the Philippines and El Salvador in the United States, on the other hand, have been increasing.366 There
has also been a notable increase in migrants from the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Afghanistan and Nigeria,
which have experienced some of the fastest growth over the last decade.367
With an ageing population, Canada continues to increase immigration targets. Canada’s 2021–2023
Immigration Plan will target levels of immigration not seen since 1913.368 The plan sets out to welcome 401,000
immigrants in 2021, 411,000 in 2022 and 421,000 in 2023.369 The goal reflects the changing demographics in Canada,
where immigration currently drives 82 per cent of the country’s population growth.370 Canada’s fertility rate averages
around 1.5, falling well below the replacement rate of 2.1.371 The country’s labour force is also rapidly changing. By
2036, the worker-to-retiree ratio will be 3:1 and by 2040 over 23 per cent of the population is projected to beover the age of 65.372 The imperative to sustain and grow Canada’s labour market is reflected in the 2021–2023
Immigration Plan, which aims to admit 60 per cent of all immigrants under economic class programmes.373 At the
local level, strategies to support the Canadian economy uniquely target immigrant entrepreneurs, as many small
and medium-size business owners plan to retire in the coming years.374 Additionally, there are programmes aimed atachieving a more equitable distribution of immigrants in response to the long-standing challenges to regionalization,a process that aims to promote immigration to smaller provinces and cities across Canada.375
While immigration policies in the United States have hardened in recent years, new policy changes
are reshaping the immigration system. The country’s 2020 decennial census revealed a near-record decline
in population growth, showing a 7.4 per cent growth between 2010 and 2020, the second lowest rate since1790.376 Partly in response to these demographic changes, there are efforts to expand immigration to the country
to help maintain population growth and the current labour force.377 Meanwhile, over the last few years several

116

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments“interlocking measures” implemented by the United States Government made it increasingly difficult for migrants
and asylum seekers to gain entry into the United States.378 Immigration was framed as a threat to the national
economy, with restrictive policies and legislation aimed to dissuade migration.379 Since early 2021, however, the
new United States administration enacted rapid changes to the immigration system, including the rescission of theUnited States travel ban on primarily Muslim-majority and African countries,380 the restoration of the Deferred
Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) programme, the suspension of wall construction at the southern border,
and a proposal that would instate an eight-year path to citizenship for all unauthorized immigrants.381 Moreover, inthe early months of 2021, the United States Government suspended three Asylum Cooperative Agreements withEl Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, which required asylum seekers from the subregion to first seek protectionin these countries and allowed for the removal and transfer of some migrants from the United States to the three
countries.382 In March 2021, Venezuelans residing in the United States were granted Temporary Protection Status(TPS), allowing them to live and work legally in the country.383 Further, in May 2021, the United States Government
revised the refugee admission cap from 15,000 up to 62,500 in 2021; it is set to increase even further to 125,000
in 2022.384 There were also ongoing efforts to reunite migrant families that had been separated in previous years.385
The number of irregular migrants continues to decline in the United States, in part due to return
migration to Mexico.386 The total population of irregular migrants in the United States as of 2018 was estimatedto be between 11 and 11.4 million.387 A recent publication from the Center for Migration Studies estimated thatby 2019 the irregular migrant population in the United States had decreased by 12 per cent since 2010, driven
in large part by the return of an estimated 1.9 million irregular migrants to Mexico during this period.388 Mexican
nationals are now estimated to account for less than half of the irregular migrant population in the United States.389
However, there is growing diversity in the countries of origin of irregular migrants living in the United States. In
recent years, there has been an increase in undocumented populations from Central America and Asia, primarily
from El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and India.390

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

117

Oceania391
In 2020, almost 8.3 million international migrants from outside Oceania were living in the region. As shown in
Figure 36, the foreign-born migrant population was primarily composed of people from Asia and Europe. During
the last 30 years, the number of migrants in Oceania born in Asia has grown, while the number of those from
Europe has remained steady. Out of all of the six global regions, Oceania had the lowest number of migrants
outside its region in 2020, partly a reflection of its smaller population size compared with other regions. Migrants
from Oceania living outside the region mainly resided in Europe and Northern America.

Figure 36. Migrants to, within and from Oceania, 1990–2020
Migrants to Oceania

Migrants within Oceania

Migrants from Oceania

8

Migrant Stock (millions)

6

4

2

0
1990

2000

2010

2020

1990

2000

2010

2020

1990

2000

2010

2020

Year

RegionAfricaEuropeNorthern America

Asia

Latin America andthe Caribbean

Oceania

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note:“Migrants to Oceania” refers to migrants residing in the region (i.e. Oceania) who were born in one of the other regions (e.g.
Europe or Asia). “Migrants within Oceania” refers to migrants born in the region (i.e. Oceania) and residing outside their countryof birth, but still within the Oceania region. “Migrants from Oceania” refers to people born in Oceania who were residing
outside the region (e.g. in Europe or Northern America).

118

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

The vast majority of international migrants in Oceania were living in either Australia or New Zealand (Figure 37).
Most countries in the region have skewed migration profiles, being either large net origin or net destination
countries. For example, Samoa and Fiji have high counts of emigrants in comparison with their native population,and very low shares of foreign-born populations. Their emigrants were located primarily in New Zealand andAustralia. Australia and New Zealand have high shares of foreign-born populations as a portion of their total
population, comprising around 30 per cent and 29 per cent, respectively.

Figure 37. Main migration countries in Oceania, 2020
Migrants(millions)

Percentage of
population

Australia
New Zealand

Immigrant

Fiji

Emigrant

Samoa

50

5

500

50

Source: UN DESA, 2021.
Note 1: The population size used to calculate the percentage of immigrants and emigrants is based on the UN DESA total resident
population of the country, which includes foreign-born populations.
Note 2: “Immigrant” refers to foreign-born migrants residing in the country. “Emigrant” refers to people born in the country who wereresiding outside their country of birth in 2021.

Several countries in Oceania put in place international travel controls in the very early weeks of the COVID-19
pandemic. Internal movement restrictions followed a few weeks later. By around April 2020, virtually all countries in
the region had imposed some form of international travel control (Figure 38). As of mid-June 2020, measures suchas screening arrivals and quarantine mandates were still in place for nearly all countries. While other restrictions
declined slightly, such as banning arrivals from some regions and total border closures, they too remained in place
for several countries in the region. This contrasts with regions such as Africa, Asia and Europe, which saw mostcountries drop controls such as total border closures. Internal movement restrictions, meanwhile, which peakedin the early months of the pandemic, declined over time, but remain in place for some countries in the region.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

119

Figure 38. COVID-19-related travel controls in Oceania: International and internal,
January 2020 to June 2021
International travel controls

8

No restrictions

Countries

6

Screening arrivals
Quarantine arrivals from some or
all regions

4

Ban arrivals from some regions
Ban on all regions or total borderclosure2

No data

21

21

Ju
l

20
Ju
n

M

20

21

1
ay

20

21

r2
Ap

M

02

21

20

20

ar

21

Fe
b

20
Jan

D
ec

20

20

20

20

20

ov

ct

N

Se

O

p

20

20

0
02

20

20

Au

g2

20

Ju
l

20
Ju
n

M

20

20

0
ay

20

02

20

Ap

r2

20

20
20

ar
M

Jan

Fe
b

20

20

0

Date

Restrictions on internal movement
between cities/regions

8

No measures
Countries

6

Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - targeted
Recommend not to travel between
regions/cities - general
Internal movement restrictions inplace - targetedInternal movement restrictions inplace - general

42

No data

1

21

02
l2

20
n
Ju

Ju

21

1

20
ay

M

21

02
r2

Ap

20

21
20

ar
M

21

b
Fe

20

20
Jan

20

ec
D

N

ov

ct
O

20

20

20
20

20

0
02

20
p
Se

0

g2
Au

20

02
l2
Ju

20
n
Ju

20

20

0
02

ay
M

20
20

r2
Ap

20
20

ar
M

b
Fe

Jan

20

20

0

Date

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: Categories used are those of the Oxford Government Response Tracker; categories included in the data set are for COVID19-related restrictions only and do not reflect other travel restrictions that may also be in place, such as those related to visa
restrictions, entry bans based on citizenship, departure/exit restrictions and internal movement restrictions.

The majority of countries in Oceania quickly enacted travel restrictions, with health-related measures increasing
much more gradually in the early months of the pandemic (see Figure 39). By mid-2020, as the figure below shows,around 80 per cent of corridors in Oceania had some form of travel restriction (global). These dynamics began tochange over time, as health-related measures, particularly those involving countries outside the region, increased
and even surpassed travel restrictions during some periods. Notably, unlike other regions (except Asia), intraregional
health-related measures remained relatively low (under 30% of corridors) by June 2021. Moreover, Oceania andAsia are also the only regions where, overall, travel restrictions within the region (both internal and global) weregreater than health-related measures by mid-2021.

120

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Figure 39. COVID-19-related international travel measures in Oceania: March 2020 to June 2021

Country-to-country Corridors

80%

60%

40%

20%

1
02
l2

21
20
n

Ju

Ju

21

1

20

02

ay
M

r2

21

Ap

20

21

ar

20
M

b

21

Fe

20
Jan

D

ec

20

20

20

20

20

ov
N

O

ct

20

20

0
02

20
p
Se

0
02

g2
Au

l2

20
20
n

Ju

Ju

20

0

20

02

ay
M

r2
Ap

M

ar

20

20

0%

Restriction Type
Destination
Health-related Measure
Travel Restriction
Within Region
GlobalSource: IOM, 2021a.
Notes: Health-related measures include health screening and monitoring, testing/medical certificates and quarantine measures.
Travel restrictions include passenger restrictions based on nationality or arrival from a geographic location. See the
DTM Mobility restrictions page for more information on the methodology.

Australia received the largest international remittances in the region in 2020, followed by New Zealand and Fiji.
Overall remittance flows to Oceania dropped by around 15 per cent in 2020, with the region’s largest economies,
Australia and New Zealand, experiencing 32 per cent and 20 per cent declines, respectively. The top recipients, as ashare of GDP in 2020, include several smaller economies such as Tonga, Samoa and the Marshall Islands. In addition
to being the largest recipient of international remittances in the region, Australia was also the largest source ofremittances in Oceania in both 2019 and 2020. Remittance outflows from Australia surpassed USD 4 billion in
2020, although this was a decline from more than USD 7 billion in 2019.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

121

Figure 40. Top international remittance recipient and source countries in Oceania, 2019 and 2020
Total in USD billion (inflows)

Total in USD billion (outflows)

Share (%) of GDP (inflows)

Australia

Tonga
Australia

New Zealand

Samoa

Fiji

Marshall Islands

Tonga

Kiribati
New Zealand

Samoa

Vanuatu

VanuatuFiji

Marshall Islands

Micronesia(Federated States of)Solomon Islands

Solomon Islands

Solomon Islands
Micronesia(Federated States of)Palau

Kiribati

New ZealandAustralia

Tonga

Palau

Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea
0

0.5

1

2019

1.5

2

0

2020

2

4

2019

6

8

0

2020

10

20

2019

30

40

2020

Source: World Bank, 2021.

In 2020, Oceania hosted over 150,000 refugees and asylum seekers. Australia was the largest host country in theregion, followed by Papua New Guinea and New Zealand (Figure 41). Refugees originated from a range of countries
including Afghanistan, Indonesia, the Islamic Republic of Iran and Iraq.

Figure 41. Numbers of refugees and asylum seekers in and from Oceania countries, 2020
Location

Australia

HostedAbroadPapua New Guinea
Status:RefugeesFiji

Asylum seekers

New Zealand
0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

Persons (millions)

Source: UNHCR, n.d.a.
Note:“Hosted” refers to those refugees and asylum seekers from other countries who are residing in the receiving country (righthand side of the figure); “abroad” refers to refugees and asylum seekers originating from that country who are outside of their
origin country. The figures are based on 2020 data and are calculated by combining refugees and asylum seekers in and fromcountries.

122

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

Most internal displacements in Oceania in 2020 resulted from disasters, not conflict. Vanuatu recorded the highest
number of disaster displacements (80,000), largely triggered by Cyclone Harold (Figure 42). This category five storm
in 2020 impacted nearly one quarter of the population in the country. Other large-scale internal displacements
triggered by disasters were recorded in Australia (51,000), Fiji (37,000) and New Zealand (almost 5,000). In
Australia, the new displacements were largely pre-emptive evacuations due to the intense bushfire season between
July 2019 and February 2020. The fires destroyed more than 3,000 homes and approximately 17 million hectaresof land, heavily impacting the south-eastern states of Victoria and New South Wales.392

Figure 42. Top countries in Oceania by new internal displacements (disaster and conflict), 2020
Percentage of population

Thousands

VanuatuAustralia
Fiji
Disaster

New Zealand
Papua New Guinea

Conflict

Tonga
TuvaluSolomon Islands
Samoa
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10

0

10

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

5

Source: IDMC, n.d.; UN DESA, 2021.
Notes: New displacements refers to the number of displacement movements that occurred in 2020, not the total
accumulated stock of IDPs resulting from displacement over time. New displacement figures include individuals who
have been displaced more than once and do not correspond to the number of people displaced during the year.
The population size used to calculate the percentage of new disaster and conflict displacements is based on the
total resident population of the country per 2021 UN DESA population estimates, and the percentage is for relative,
illustrative purposes only.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

123

Key features and developments in Oceania393
The Covid-19 pandemic has led to economic hardship in the Oceania region due to labour immobility
and major disruptions to key sectors such as tourism, hospitality and trade. Governments in the Oceania
region implemented a range of public health safety measures to curb the transmission of COVID-19 and havemanaged to minimize the number of cases. However, these pre-emptive actions, which included travel restrictions,border closures, the suspension of flights and quarantine measures, have negatively impacted migrants working in
key industries. In particular, labour migrants within the region have faced major challenges. For instance, migrants
from the Pacific Islands participating in seasonal worker programmes in Australia and New Zealand were in limbo,
as some migrants in Tonga, Fiji, Tuvalu and Vanuatu were unable to depart for their preassigned employment andthose already employed abroad had to negotiate continued work with their existing employers or find employment
with an alternative employer.394 Others in the seasonal worker programme faced challenges returning home andsecuring employment beyond their initial contract.395 Another sector devastated by the pandemic was tourism
and hospitality, which is a major source of revenue for the Pacific Islands. For example, in Fiji, tourism is the mostimportant sector, and the downturn is expected to impact the overall GDP by approximately 38 per cent.396 Dueto the economic hardship, the flow of remittances is a cause for concern for Pacific island countries that rely
strongly on these transfers. While lockdown measures resulted in reduced access to cash-based services, central
banks reported significant shifts to the use of digital platforms;397 for example, the Bank of Fiji reported an overall
increase of 68 per cent from FJD 2.75 million in March 2020 to FJD 4.62 million in April 2020.398
Seasonal labour migration regimes continue to facilitate emigration from Pacific island countries toAustralia and New Zealand. Labour migration programmes such as the Seasonal Workers Programme and PacificLabour Scheme in Australia and the Recognized Seasonal Employer (RSE) scheme in New Zealand recruit migrants
primarily from the Pacific and South-East Asia to occupy jobs in agriculture and accommodation (in Australia)
and horticulture and viticulture (in New Zealand).399 The emigration from Pacific island countries to Australia
and New Zealand is significant due to the relatively small population sizes and the pace at which participationin these programmes has grown, particularly in Australia, where there is no cap.400 The majority of migrantsthat participate in these seasonal migrant worker programmes are from Vanuatu and Tonga. For example, it isestimated that in 2018, 13 per cent of the Tongan population aged 20–45 emigrated to work in Australia and New
Zealand.401 An evaluation of the seasonal worker programmes demonstrates that while the economic opportunity
for migrants from the surrounding Pacific island countries drives participation, the departure of migrants canimpact population growth and traditional social systems, and pose opportunity costs to local production in theseregions.402 Additionally, it is recorded that the vast majority of workers are male.403 In Australia for example, only
14.6 per cent of participants in the 2017–2018 cohort were women.404 With regard to gender equality, this is a
cause for concern as women have to carry out unpaid work in their households in the absence of men and may
miss the opportunity for work experience and financial gain.405
Environmental change and natural hazards play a significant role in mobility and displacement in theregion. The Pacific region is disaster prone with high vulnerability to earthquakes, floods, forest fires and droughts.
The intensity and frequency of such events are of concern, marked recently by the devastating bushfires in Australia
that blazed from July 2019 until February 2020, burning 17 million hectares of land.406 This historic event triggered
65,000 new displacements, mostly from pre-emptive evacuations.407 Natural hazards and displacement can be moreacute relative to population size, such as the volcano eruptions in Papua New Guinea in June 2019, which triggered
an estimated 20,000 displacements,408 and Cyclone Harold, which hit Vanuatu in April 2020 displacing around80,000 individuals, approximately a quarter of the population.409 Environmental change and natural hazards lead

124

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

to a spectrum of mobility decisions among individuals and communities.410 Coping and adaptation strategies, alongwith resources and social networks may inform decisions to stay in high-risk environments.411 People’s migration
decisions as they relate to environmental change will continue to influence demographic change in the region.
Asylum seekers and refugees are a prominent feature of the region. The top three countries hosting asylum
seekers and refugees are Australia (138,000), Papua New Guinea (11,000) and New Zealand (2,500).412 In the last
decade, approximately 11 per cent of all resettled refugees were welcomed in Australia.413 The number of places
under Australia’s Humanitarian Programme rose to 18,762 in 2018/2019.414 In 2019/2020, Australia provided 13,170
Humanitarian Programme places out of the total 18,750 allocated for the reporting year.415 The programme was not
fully delivered in 2019/2020 due to the temporary suspension of granting of all offshore humanitarian visas in March
2020 because of COVID-19 travel restrictions.416 In its annual Budget for 2020/2021, the Australian Government
reduced its humanitarian places by 5,000, returning to the pre-2017 level of 13,750 places per annum.417 COVID-19
travel restrictions have meant that by July 2021, it is estimated that around 10,000 people granted humanitarianvisas overseas will remain offshore and be unable to enter Australia due to continuing significant international
travel restrictions.418 The subsequent federal budget (2021/2022) confirmed that programme places would remain
at 13,750 for several years to come.419 By May 2021, there were just over 230 people remaining offshore (around
100 on Nauru and 130 in Papua New Guinea), many having been transferred from Australia more than sevenyears prior.420 Overall, it is estimated that Australia allocated around AUD 8.3 billion toward offshore processingof around 4,000 asylum seekers between 2012 and 2020.421

Endnotes
1

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

All reasonable efforts have been made to ensure theaccuracy of the data referred to in this chapter, including
through data verification. We regret, however, any data
errors that may remain.
Please note that subregions relate largely to migration
dynamics and so may differ from those of UN DESA.
Details are provided in Appendix A.
See Appendix A for details on the composition of Africa.
See Appendix A for details on the composition of Africa.
IOM, n.d.a; IOM, 2021b; Eyebiyi, 2020.
Teye, 2020.
Hamadou, 2020.
IOM, 2020a.
Schöfberger and Rango, 2020.
African Union, 2020a; Eyebiyi, 2020.
Litzkow, 2020; Schöfberger and Rango, 2020.
Le Coz and Hooper, 2021; IOM, 2021c.
IOM, 2021d; ICRC, 2020.
Muggah, 2021.
IDMC, 2021.
OCHA, 2020.
IDMC, 2021.
Muggah, 2021.
UN, 2020.
Frimpong, 2020.
Ibid.
Blake, 2020.
ICG, 2020.
ICRC, 2021; IDMC, 2020.
Bisong, 2019; IOM, 2020b.
ILO, 2020.
IOM, 2020b.

28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59

ILO, 2020.
Tyszler, 2019; ILO, 2020.
IOM, 2021e.
Okiror, 2020.
UNHCR, 2020a; Guadagno, 2020.
IOM, 2021e; Schöfberger and Rango, 2020.
Abebe and Maunganidze, 2021.
IOM, 2021f.
Abebe and Daghar, 2021.
Ibid.
McAuliffe et al., 2020.
Zanker and Moyo, 2020.
Mukumbang et al., 2020.
Walker et al., 2021a, 2021b.
African Union, 2020a, 2020b.
Okunade, 2021.
IGAD, 2021.
COMESA, 2019.
IOM, 2020c; Black, 2020.
African Union, 2020c.
UN DESA, 2021.
ILO, n.d.
World Bank, 2021.
Ibid.
Ibid.
Kleinfeld, 2020.
IDMC, 2021.
UNHCR, 2020b; Mednick, 2021.
IOM, 2021g; UNHCR, 2021a; Mednick, 2021.
IDMC, 2021.
OCHA, 2021a.
UNHCR, 2021a.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

60 Ibid.
61 Ibid.
62 Ibid.
63 Ibid.
64 UNHCR, 2021a.
65 IDMC, 2021.
66 Ibid.
67 Ibid.
68 ACAPS, 2021a.
69 Blocher and Kileli, 2020.
70 UNHCR, 2021b.
71 Ibid.
72 OCHA, 2021b; McAuliffe and Bauloz, 2020.
73 Schöfberger and Rango, 2020.
74 Fargues et al., 2020.
75 UNNM, 2020.
76 IOM, 2020d.
77 MMC, 2020a; UNHCR, 2021c.
78 MMC, 2021.
79 Idemudia and Boehnke, 2020.
80 UN DESA, 2021.
81 Ibid.
82 Ibid.
83 World Bank, 2021.
84 Ibid.
85 Ibid.
86 Dempster and Clemens, 2020; Hein, 2021.
87 IOM, 2021h.
88 ACAPS, 2021b.
89 IDMC, 2021.
90 OCHA, 2021c.
91 UNHCR, 2021a.
92 Ibid.
93 UNHCR, 2021a; IDMC, 2021.
94 Knoll and Teevan, 2020.
95 UNHCR, 2020c.
96 Ibid.
97 Ibid.
98 European Commission, 2021a.
99 UNHCR, 2020c.
100 Black, 2020; MMC, 2020b.
101 MMC, 2020b.
102 Ibid.
103 UNHCR, 2021b.
104 Ibid.
105 See Appendix A for details on the composition of Asia.
106 See Appendix A for details on the composition of Asia.
107 Smith and Zimmer, 2020; Babar, 2020; Hennebry and KC,
2020.
108 Cornwell et al., 2020.
109 Slater et al., 2020.
110 Ibid.
111 OHCHR, 2020.
112 IOM, 2021i.
113 UN, n.d.; McAuliffe and Bauloz, 2020.
114 World Bank, 2021.
115 UNHCR, 2021h.
116 IDMC, 2021.
117 Ibid.
118 ACAPS, 2020.
119 Ibid.
120 Ibid.
121 IOM, 2020e; UNHCR, 2021e.
122 IDMC, 2021.
123 Ibid.

125

124 Ibid.
125 UNHCR, 2021a.
126 Ibid.
127 Ibid.
128 Ibid.
129 Ibid.
130 UNDP, 2020.
131 World Bank, 2021.
132 Ibid.
133 OECD, 2020a.
134 Ibid.
135 IDMC, 2021.
136 CAREC, 2020.
137 Ibid.; IFRC, 2020.
138 UN DESA, 2021.
139 Ibid.
140 Ibid.
141 Ibid.
142 Madiyev, 2021.
143 King and Dudina, 2019.
144 UN DESA, 2021.
145 Ibid.
146 UN DESA, 2021.
147 Hofmann and Chi, 2021.
148 Lemon, 2019.
149 Wang et al., 2021.
150 Ibid.
151 ERD Net, 2020; Jin, 2021; Lee et al., 2021; Li, 2020.
152 Shakuto and Baldari, 2020.
153 ADBI et al., 2021.
154 UN DESA, 2021.
155 World Bank, 2021.
156 Ibid.; UN DESA, 2021.
157 IIE, 2020.
158 Ibid.
159 Republic of Korea, Ministry of Education, n.d.; JASSO, n.d.
160 Qi, 2021.
161 Cai, 2020.
162 Yonhap, 2020; Republic of Korea, Ministry of Education, n.d.
163 IDMC, 2021.
164 Ibid.
165 Ibid.
166 Ibid.
167 Zhao, 2020.
168 Guo et al., 2020.
169 IDMC, 2021.
170 ILO, 2021.
171 ADBI et al., 2021.
172 İçduygu, 2020.
173 ABDI et al., 2021.
174 Ibid.
175 Ghoshal and Jadhav, 2020.
176 ADBI et al., 2021.
177 IDMC, 2021.
178 NUS, 2020.
179 IDMC, 2021.
180 Ibid.
181 Karim, 2021.
182 UN DESA, 2021.
183 World Bank, 2021.
184 Ibid.
185 Ibid.
186 Ibid.
187 UNHCR, 2021a.
188 Ibid.

126

189 IDMC, 2021.
190 ICG, 2021.
191 UN, 2021a.
192 Hossaini and Latifi, 2021.
193 UNHCR, 2021a.
194 Ibid.
195 WHO, 2021b.
196 Ibid.
197 Vandergeest et al., 2021.
198 IOM, 2021j.
199 IOM, 2020f.
200 Ortiga, 2020; Lema and Baldwin, 2020.
201 ADBI et al., 2021.
202 UNHCR, 2021a.
203 UN, 2021b.
204 IDMC, 2021.
205 UNHCR, 2021a.
206 Ibid.
207 OHCHR, 2021.
208 IDMC, 2021.
209 Ibid.
210 Ibid.
211 Ibid.
212 World Bank, 2021.
213 Ibid.
214 Ibid.
215 ESCAP, 2020.
216 Ibid.
217 Ibid.
218 Ibid.
219 IOM, n.d.b.
220 Ibid.
221 See Appendix A for details of the composition of Europe.
222 IDMC, 2021.
223 See Appendix A for details on the composition of Europe.
224 UNHCR, 2020d.
225 Ibid.
226 Vallianatou et al., 2021.
227 Šantić and Antić, 2020; WHO, 2021a; WHO, 2021b.
228 Georgiev, 2020; Oruc et al., 2020.
229 Georgiev, 2020.
230 The Economist, 2021.
231 UN DESA, 2021.
232 Ibid.
233 Ibid.
234 Ibid.
235 World Bank, 2021.
236 Ibid.
237 IDMC, 2020.
238 Ibid.
239 OCHA, 2021d.
240 IOM, 2020g.
241 UNHCR, 2021a.
242 Prtorić, 2020; Oruc et al., 2020.
243 IOM, 2021k.
244 Ibid.
245 Marusic, 2020.
246 Al Jazeera, 2021a.
247 IOM, 2020h.
248 IOM, 2020i.
249 Carter, 2020.
250 Kaur-Ballagan and Mortimore, 2017.
251 Wanner and Wisniak, 2020.
252 European Commission, 2021b.

Migration and migrants: Regional dimensions and developments

253 Chetail, 2020.
254 European Council on Refugees and Exiles, 2020.
255 Petroni, 2020.
256 Fanjul and Dempster, 2020; European Commission, 2021c;
Sköld, 2021.
257 Kirişci et al., 2020.
258 Tagaris, 2021.
259 Frontex, 2021; IOM, 2021l.
260 BBC News, 2021a.
261 BBC News, 2021b.
262 UNHCR, 2021f.
263 Skydsgaard, 2021.
264 UNHCR, 2021f.
265 UNHCR, n.d.b.
266 UNHCR, 2021g.
267 Reuters, 2021.
268 Farzan, 2021.
269 IDMC, 2021.
270 Ibid.
271 Reuters, 2020.
272 IDMC, 2021.
273 Ibid.
274 European Commission, 2021d.
275 IOM, 2021m.
276 Ibid.
277 Frontex, 2021.
278 OECD, 2020b.
279 Ibid.
280 Ibid.
281 Foley and Piper, 2020.
282 See Appendix A for details of the composition of Latin
America and the Caribbean.
283 UNICEF, 2020.
284 R4V, 2021a.
285 ILO and UNDP, 2021; R4V, 2021a.
286 R4V, 2021a.
287 Ibid.
288 World Bank, 2021.
289 See Appendix A for details on the composition of Latin
America and the Caribbean.
290 Ernst, 2020.
291 Ibid.
292 MSF, 2021; McAuliffe et al., 2017.
293 IOM, 2020j.
294 Manzi, n.d.; Bojorquez et al., 2021; UNHCR, 2021a.
295 Teran, 2020.
296 ECLAC, 2020; Escobar, 2021.
297 Angelo, 2021; IDMC, 2020; Call, 2021.
298 UNHCR, 2021a.
299 Ibid.
300 Astles, n.d.; Menchu and Palencia, 2021.
301 MMC, 2020c; Meyer, 2021.
302 Meyer, 2021.
303 MMC, 2020c; Astles, n.d.
304 Astles, n.d.
305 Ibid.
306 MMC, 2020c.
307 UN DESA, 2021.
308 Ibid.
309 R4V, 2021a.
310 Ibid.
311 Amaral, 2021.
312 Ibid.
313 Ibid.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

314 IDMC, 2021.
315 Ibid.
316 Abeldano Zuñiga and Garrido, 2020.
317 Watkins and Garcia Salinas, 2020.
318 Escribano, 2020; Gobierno de la Republica de Guatemala,2018.
319 Government of Mexico, Ministry of Environment andNatural Resources, 2020.
320 Gideon, 2020.
321 IOM, 2020k.
322 Taylor, 2020.
323 IOM, 2020k.
324 Espinoza et al., 2020.
325 Ibid.
326 Freier and Espinoza, 2021.
327 Diaz et al., 2021.
328 R4V, 2020.
329 IOM, 2020l.
330 Chaves-González and Echeverría-Estrada, 2020.
331 R4V, 2020.
332 Ibid.
333 R4V, 2021a.
334 Ibid.
335 Ibid.
336 UN DESA, 2021.
337 R4V, 2021b; Chaves-González and Echeverría-Estrada,
2020.
338 Cerrutti, 2020.
339 IOM, 2020m.
340 Ibid.
341 Ibid.
342 Cerrutti, 2020.
343 Ibid.
344 IOM, 2021n.
345 IOM, 2020m; Cerrutti, 2020.
346 Cerrutti, 2020.
347 IDMC, 2021.
348 Al Jazeera, 2021b.
349 IDMC, 2020.
350 IDMC, 2021.
351 See Appendix A for details on the composition of Northern
America.
352 IDMC, 2021.
353 See Appendix A for details on the composition of Northern
America.
354 Loweree et al., 2020.
355 IRCC, n.d.
356 United States Department of State, 2021.
357 Triandafyllidou and Nalbandian, 2020. Workers deemed“essential” were exempted from travel restrictions to both
Canada (McCarthy Tetrault, 2021) and the United States(United States Department of Homeland Security, 2020).
358 OECD, 2020c; Gelatt, 2020.
359 OECD, 2020c.
360 Gelatt, 2020.
361 Statistics Canada, 2020.
362 Monin et al., 2021.
363 United States Department of Homeland Security, 2020.
364 Government of Canada, 2020.
365 Batalova et al., 2021.

127

366 Ibid.
367 Ibid.
368 El-Assal and Thevenot, 2020.
369 Government of Canada, 2020.
370 Thevenot, 2020.
371 Conference Board of Canada, 2021.
372 Ibid.
373 El-Assal and Thevenot, 2020.
374 El-Assal and Taylor, 2019.
375 El-Assal, 2019.
376 Chishti and Capps, 2021.
377 Ibid.
378 Chishti and Bolter, 2020.
379 Chishti and Pierce, 2021.
380 Executive Order 13769 placed stringent restrictions on
travel to the United States for citizens of Iran, Iraq, Libya,
Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen. See Chishti et al., 2018.
381 Chishti and Pierce, 2021.
382 Rodriguez, 2021.
383 United States Citizenship and Immigration Services, 2021.
384 White House, 2021.
385 Jordan, 2021.
386 Warren, 2021.
387 Baker, 2021; MPI, n.d.; Lopez et al., 2021.
388 Warren, 2021.
389 Passel and Cohn, 2019.
390 Ibid.
391 See Appendix A for details on the composition of Oceania.
392 IDMC, 2021.
393 See Appendix A for details on the composition of Oceania.
394 IOM, 2020n.
395 Ibid.
396 KPMG, 2020.
397 IOM, 2020n.
398 Ibid.
399 ESCAP, 2020.
400 Ibid.
401 Howes and Orton, 2020.
402 IOM, 2017.
403 Ibid.
404 ESCAP, 2020.
405 IOM, 2017.
406 IDMC, 2021.
407 Ibid.
408 IDMC, 2020.
409 IDMC, 2021.
410 Farbotko, 2020.
411 Ibid.
412 UNHCR, 2020e.
413 Ibid.
414 Australian Government, Department of Social Services,
2019.
415 Australian Government, Department of Home Affairs,
2020.
416 Ibid.
417 Love and Spinks, 2020.
418 Refugee Council of Australia, 2021.
419 Ibid.
420 Karlsen, 2016; Refugee Council of Australia, 2021.
421 Refugee Council of Australia, 2020.

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MIGRATION RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS:RECENT UNITED NATIONS CONTRIBUTIONSIntroduction
Previous editions of the World Migration Report have pointed to a dramatic increase in research and analysis
on migration, referring to an “era of information overload”.1 Few issues have been as prominent and enduringin political and public discourse as migration. Its political salience remains very high, including amid the
COVID-19 pandemic. The rapid expansion of disinformation on migration and migrants witnessed in realtime in recent years has influenced the public discourse as never before (see Chapter 8 of this report). Media
reports on migration are often unduly negative, and key issues in migration have too often been hijacked bythose who peddle misinformation and disinformation on migrants and migration.2 As a result, it has become
more important than ever to ensure that policymakers have access to, and recognize the value of, rigorous
analysis and research. Among the actors carrying out such analysis and research on migration today are manyorganizations in the United Nations system, producing different types of migration-related data, research andknowledge.
As the nature of publishing itself changes, these organizations have adapted and are increasingly using adiverse range of supports, such as data visualization, portals, blog and journal articles, webinars, videos andpodcasts to reach wider audiences. Previous editions of the World Migration Report have highlighted thefundamental differences in the publishing processes of academic research (referred to as “white” literature)and non-academic research (referred to as “grey literature”) published by a variety of actors, includingintergovernmental organizations, such as those in the United Nations system.3 Both types of research outputs
have strengths and weaknesses, as summarized in the table below.

12
3

IOM, 2017.
McAuliffe et al., 2019.
IOM, 2017; IOM, 2019a.

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Table 1. Strengths and weaknesses of academic and non-academic research
Academic research (white literature)

Strengths•••

High-quality research usually ensured throughpeer review by experts;
Must refer to and build upon existingscientific evidence;
Built on networks of expertise.

Non-academic research (grey literature)
•

•
•
•

Weaknesses

•
•

•

•

Not freely accessible, as often behind
paywalls managed by commercial publishers;
Long publishing timelines due to peer review
processes, not meeting policymakers’ needs
for rapid research and analysis, and at times
using out-of-date data;
Not easily accessible to a non-expert
audience as highly technical and/or
theoretical, with academic terminology used;
Lengthy written outputs, particularly in thecase of monographs and handbooks.

•

•

•

Accessible to wide audiences, as usually
freely available online and with lesstechnical terminology used;
Rapid publishing processes enabling
timely updates for policy deliberations;
Usually of a shorter format;
Ability to draw on expertise in academic
and policy spheres.
Varying quality due to lack of quality
assurance mechanisms of certain
outputs;
Possible to ignore the existing evidence
base, thereby diminishing overall quality
and relevance;
Certain outputs may be more focusedon advocacy and policy change or driven
by a political agenda.

Sources: Banks, 2012; Pappas and Williams, 2011; IOM, 2017; IOM, 2019a.

Most published academic research outputs are behind paywalls (i.e. are not freely accessible) and are often managed
by commercial publishers. The dissemination of academic research has, to date, rested on getting works publishedby commercial publishers, with some forms of publication (such as specific academic journals) having much greater
credibility and weight than others. A key strength of academic publications is that they have usually been peerreviewed by experts in the field, which typically enhances the robustness and credibility of the research, including
by ensuring that existing evidence is adequately incorporated and built upon. The downside is that this results inlong lead times, impacting on the usefulness for policymakers, who often need material more quickly than academic
research methodologies and publishing regimes can accommodate. Academic researchers are increasingly being
encouraged to disseminate their work beyond academic spheres; in particular, researchers analysing policy-relevant
issues are often keen to engage with policymakers to impart knowledge that can inform policy deliberations andhelp shape policymaking. This is especially the case in migration. Effective research contributions for policy audiences
tend to take the form of short papers, podcasts and blog articles, as well as policy workshops and interactive
expert meetings.
Some of the advantages of grey literature, in turn, relate to its accessibility and faster publishing processes, enabling
research to respond to issues as they emerge. Contributions from grey literature (such as research reports, working
papers and government/official documents) are usually freely available. Other merits of this literature include shorterproduction times, greater access to unpublished research and data sets, and the ability to draw on expertise inacademic and policy spheres.4 However, recent developments are increasingly blurring the distinction between
4

Pappas and Williams, 2011.

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the two types of research. On the one hand, academics are increasingly evaluated on the policy relevance of
their research for extension of their contracts and/or tenure. They increasingly disseminate their research beyond
academic spheres to impart knowledge that can inform policy deliberations and help shape policymaking, this again
being especially the case in migration. Yet, some disincentives persist for academics to engage in policy research, suchas insufficient professional reward, difficulties in securing funding, and navigating an often complicated, bureaucratic
and politicized field. On the other hand, while grey literature has sometimes been criticized for inconsistent quality
and review standards,5 efforts have been made in some quarters to increase rigour by improving quality assurance
mechanisms.6 Some contributions, such as those made by several international organizations, are seen as a key
source of evidence in policymaking, at times on par with the quality of academic literature.
In a context of a rapidly changing publishing environment, organizations in the United Nations system are also
adapting by increasingly using a diverse range of knowledge tools and platforms to reach wider audiences. This
chapter aims to provide an overview of recent research and analysis on migration, focusing on the contributions oforganizations in the United Nations system. Two key events have marked the production of research and analysis
within the system over the last five years: the adoption of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular
Migration in December 2018, which led to multiple implementation efforts at national and regional levels; andthe onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, officially declared in March 2020,7 which brought along widespread borderclosures and mobility restrictions, impacting on global migration patterns.
This chapter is structured around two main sections: the first looks at the role of the United Nations system asa producer of migration knowledge, while the second features selected recent contributions from relevant United
Nations organizations.

The United Nations system and the production of knowledge
Although definitions of intergovernmental organizations may vary, the term refers to “formal, continuous structures
founded by an authoritative instrument of agreement between members (including two or more sovereign States)or an existing international organization through which members pursue their common interest”.8 Since the firsthalf of the twentieth century, the number, diversity and influence of intergovernmental organizations have grown.9
The United Nations system comprises, in addition to the United Nations itself, many funds, programmes, specialized
and related agencies, all of which have their own missions and areas of work, as well as their own leadershipand budget. The programmes and funds are financed through voluntary, rather than assessed contributions. The
specialized agencies are international organizations funded by voluntary, assessed and private donor contributions,and are focused more on the technical work of the United Nations; they report to the Economic and Social
Council (ECOSOC), but do not report to the Fifth Committee of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA)
on administrative and budgetary matters. Related organizations have cooperation agreements with the United
Nations, with many points in common with those of specialized agencies; but unlike them, they are not brought
into relationship by means of Article 57 of the United Nations Charter, and agreements are not established with
ECOSOC on the basis of Article 63 of the same charter. They are, nonetheless, members of the Chief Executives

5
6
7
8
9

Banks, 2012; Pappas and Williams, 2011.
This report, for example, is peer reviewed by academic and IOM experts and is subjected to an extensive data-checking process.
WHO, 2020a.
Davies and Woodward, 2014:13.
Davies and Woodward, 2014.

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Board for Coordination, a 31-member body that provides strategic guidance and coordination to the United
Nations system (see Appendix A).
Organizations in the United Nations system are uniquely placed to gather data, owing among other factors totheir presence in the field, as well as their relationship with governmental bodies. While there has been an
increased focus in streamlining data collection and the production of research and knowledge to support theimplementation of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, capacity issues remain. Scholarly publications
note that intergovernmental organizations are now among the main producers of information on migration, areflection of a broader growing interest in the topic itself.10 As publishers and institutional authors and research
partners with academia, the organizations in the United Nations system make a wide variety of contributions to
the knowledge base on migration and migrants. In some circumstances, such organizations may be the only sourceof information, and multiple references to publications by them are therefore often found in academic and policy
literature. Over the years, the United Nations has engaged with the academic world and research institutions in thefield of migration, including through three of its research institutes: the United Nations Research Institutes for Social
Development, the United Nations Institute for Training and Research, and the United Nations University (UNU).
The last hosts a network on migration, which includes all UNU institutes working on the topic of migration, withthe view of sharing knowledge and research practices and informing policy development.
The United Nations system also acts as a bridge between the research community and policymakers. Much has
been written about the tensions between the policy and research worlds.11 Through the advocacy work carriedout within the United Nations system, its organizations have been able to “plug in” evidence-based research inpolicymaking spaces,12 thereby informing policy processes and allowing for cross-fertilization between these twoworlds. A key global network designed to support such cross-fertilization is the Academic Council on the United
Nations System (ACUNS). Founded in 1987, ACUNS is is an independent non-profit association of scholars,
practitioners, institutions, and individuals active in the work and study of the United Nations. ACUNS stimulates
and supports dialogue and research about issues of global concern and international cooperation.13

Collaboration in the United Nations system on migration research
Since the turn of the millennium, attempts have been made to streamline inter-agency collaboration on migration
issues in the United Nations system. In December 2003, the Global Commission on International Migration (GCIM)
was officially launched by the United Nations Secretary-General and several governments. It constituted the firstever global panel addressing international migration. In its final report,14 the GCIM recommended the establishmentof a global migration facility “that should ensure greater co-ordination, efficiency and policy consistency among all
relevant global bodies, and also allow the sharing and pooling of institutional expertise.”
As a response to this recommendation, the Global Migration Group was established in early 2006 by building on
an existing inter-agency group, the Geneva Migration Group. At the time of its cessation, following the creation of
the United Nations Network on Migration (UNNM), the Global Migration Group brought together 22 agencies in
the United Nations system to encourage the adoption of more coherent, comprehensive and better-coordinatedapproaches to the issue of international migration. Part of its work focused on sharing information, research findings
10
11
12
13
14

See, for example, Mason, 1999; Pécoud, 2015.
Nutley et al., 2003.
UNDG, 2017.
ACUNS, 2021.
UNGA, 2005; GCIM, 2005.

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and statistical data on migration, as well as developing a joint research network on migration and development,with particular emphasis on building research capacity in developing countries.
In December 2018, the United Nations General Assembly formally endorsed the Global Compact for Safe,
Orderly and Regular Migration, the culmination of 18 months of wide-reaching informal consultations, followed
by intergovernmental negotiations. In parallel with the Global Compact for Migration process, the UNNM wasestablished by the United Nations’ Secretary-General to ensure effective, timely and coordinated system-wide
support to Member States in their implementation of the Global Compact for Migration (see Appendix B). In
support of the Global Compact for Migration development process, the Migration Research Leaders’ Syndicate wasestablished to help build bridges between policy and research (see discussion in the next section).
The UNNM consists of those members of the United Nations system that wish to be a part of it and for whom
migration is of relevance to their mandates. The IOM is the coordinator of the UNNM and houses its secretariat.
Within the network, an executive committee comprises nine entities with clear mandates, technical expertise andcapacity in migration-related fields. According to its terms of reference, the Network sets itself the objective ofacting as a source of ideas, tools, reliable data and information, analysis and policy guidance on migration issues.

Table 2. United Nations Network on Migration members, including Executive Committee members
UN Secretariat Bodies

Chief Executives Board Secretariat (CEB)
Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA)*
Department of Public Information (DPI)Inter-Agency Standing Committee Secretariat (IASC)
Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)
Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR)*
Peacebuilding Support Office (PBSO)
United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC)
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)*

Special Funds andProgrammes, under theUnited Nations General
Assembly

Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS)
United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)*
United Nations Conference for Trade and Development (UNCTAD)
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)*
Multi-Partner Trust Fund Office (MPTFO)
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-Habitat)
United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)
United Nations Sustainable Development Group (UNSDG) Secretariat
World Food Programme (WFP)134

Migration research and analysis: Recent United Nations contributions

Specialized agencies,
coordinated by the Economic
and Social Council

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)
International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD)
International Labour Organization (ILO)*
International Maritime Organization (IMO)
United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)
United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)
Universal Postal Union (UPU)
World BankWorld Health Organization (WHO)*

Regional Commissions, under
the Secretariat, coordinatedby the Economic and Social
Council

United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific(UNESCAP)
United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia
(UNESCWA)
United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA)
United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE)
United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean(UNECLAC)

Related organization toUnited Nations, under the
General AssemblyInternational Organization for Migration (IOM)* †Training and researchorganizations, coordinatedby the Economic and Social
Council

United Nations Institute for Training and Research (UNITAR)
United Nations University (UNU)

Other entities under
the General Assembly,
coordinated by the Economic
and Social Council

United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women(UN-Women)
United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)** Member of the Executive Committee.
†
Coordinator of the Network.

The mandates, missions, or competencies of some of the organizations (such as IOM and UNHCR) are focusedon specific forms of migration and displacement, while others have responsibilities relevant to particular aspects
or groups of people: UN DESA for data; the ILO for migrant workers; OHCHR for migrants’ rights; UNICEF for
migrant children; UNODC for transnational criminal aspects, such as human trafficking and migrant smuggling; andUNDP for development aspects. Their various mandates enable these intergovernmental organizations to collectsignificant quantities of data and/or access data from States. Many of these organizations also convene and reporton dialogues and conferences related to migration and mobility, in addition to generating and publishing background,technical, operational, state-of-the-art and agenda-setting research and analysis, including on global statistical data.

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The importance of collaborative research on migration had already been highlighted in the report of the United
Nations Joint Inspection Unit (JIU), Strengthening Policy Research Uptake in the Context of the 2030 Agenda for
Sustainable Development, published in 2018. Featuring a case study on migration research, and pre-empting the
adoption of the Global Compact for Migration, it made two pertinent recommendations for interdisciplinary andcollaborative research on migration, while also noting “the presence of IOM as a specialized partner in most of
the collaborations identified”.15 First, through inter-agency collaboration, it encouraged organizations in the United
Nations system to take the necessary measures to establish a global knowledge platform, as stipulated in the Global
Compact for Migration. Second, it recommended that United Nations system members of the future Networkon Migration should assess the option of inter-agency collaboration with regard to decision-making on migrationrelated research priorities.

The United Nations system: data collection and capacity-building
The demands for migration data arising from the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development have prompted theinternational statistical community to review the use of traditional sources for migration data, such as populationand housing censuses, household surveys and administrative records. Furthermore, through the adoption of the
Global Compact for Migration, United Nations Member States recognized the “…need for international efforts tostrengthen our knowledge and analysis of migration”16 and the importance of collecting and disseminating clear,evidence-based information on migration. Central to this commitment is Objective 1: to collect and utilize accurate
and disaggregated data as a basis for evidence-based policies. Beyond building much-needed capacity to collectcomparable migration data, this commitment aims to strengthen partnerships, enhance collaboration and create
the conditions needed to develop research and studies on the interlinkage between migration and sustainable
development.
There is an increased interest in looking for alternative sources to enhance the collection and analysis of migration
data. The better use and understanding of existing data sources are essential to improve migration management
and policy. Information about migration comes from a variety of data sources that have different strengths andlimitations and can be used to produce different migration statistics. In order to facilitate access to and understandingof the different data sets collected by the different organizations in the United Nations system, IOM launched
the Migration Data Portal in December 2017. It aims to serve as a unique access point to timely, comprehensive
migration statistics and reliable information about migration data globally. The site is designed to help policymakers,
national statistics officers, journalists and the general public interested in the field of migration to navigate theincreasingly complex landscape of international migration data, currently scattered across different organizations
and agencies.

15
16

JIU, 2018:40.
UNGA, 2018a.

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Migration Data Portal

This map is for illustration purposes only. The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply
official endorsement or acceptance by IOM.

The Migration Data Portal was launched in December 2017 and is managed and developed by IOM’s Global
Migration Data Analysis Centre (GMDAC).a It aims to facilitate the understanding of migration data bymaking them more accessible, more visible and easier to understand. The Portal is currently available in
English, French, Spanish and German. Based on user feedback, the Portal’s new dashboard was launched inJune 2021. The interactive dashboard integrates the Portal’s map with two comparative sections that enableeasier analysis of international data, as well as a national data pilot section. The latter brings together national
data from different sources, including government data, visualized in one place. As of June 2021, the national
data section had nearly 40 national data indicators from government sources of four pilot countries andWorldPop estimates. The international data section provides access to nearly 80 migration data indicatorsfrom over 20 international sources. All indicators are updated as new data sets become available.
True to its objective of making migration data easier to understand, the Portal offers a variety of tools andadditional resources, including written reports, blogs, handbooks and interviews with data experts, in viewof offering contextual information. It provides access to over 45 thematic pages divided under five pillars, inwhich concepts and definitions are discussed, the strengths and limitations of available data are explained,
and useful infographics and data visualizations can be accessed.
The portal also provides a dedicated section on migration governance, which includes country profiles. Thissection tracks, through data, progress made by United Nations Member States in achieving migration-relevant
Sustainable Development Goals and in their implementation of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly andRegular Migration.
a Available at https://migrationdataportal.org/.

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Aligned to the JIU recommendation previously mentioned, the Global Compact for Migration, in paragraph 43,
calls for the establishment of a capacity-building mechanism (CBM) in the United Nations, building upon existing
initiatives, that supports efforts of Member States in its implementation. The CBM was intended to comprise ofa start-up fund (Migration MPTF), the Connection Hub and the Global Knowledge Platform. It emphasizes theneed to draw on the technical, financial and human resources, on a voluntary basis, of Member States, the United
Nations system, and all stakeholders in order to strengthen capacities and foster multi-partner cooperation. The
Migration MPTF contributes to the financing of migration research by providing funding for projects on datacollection under its first thematic cluster. The Migration Network Hub,17 combining both the Global Knowledge
Platform and the Connection Hub, was launched in March 2021 and is a vital element of the Global Compact for
Migration to ensure that relevant knowledge, experience, and expertise can be drawn upon in developing tailormade solutions in response to Member State requests.
The Network is committed to developing the components of the Migration Network Hub as building blocks forthe other workstreams, ensuring that the “state of knowledge” is constantly refined and provides support for
the working groups, by collating migration evidence, migration policies and practices from existing expertise. At
the same time, each workstream will inform the Hub on a continuous basis, emphasizing national and regional
experiences.

The United Nations Migration Network Hub
The Migration Network Hub was launched on 18 March 2021 and represents the first knowledge platform
and connection hub to support United Nations Member States in the implementation, follow-up and reviewof the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration. It is a virtual meeting space that aims tocreate a community of practice, where users can share knowledge on migration and identify good practices
and initiatives related to the Global Compact for Migration. Information is curated and peer reviewed toensure high quality; users are able to access resources, participate in webinars, discover Global Compact for
Migration-related publications and take part in online discussions on relevant topics. Moving forward, theplatform will also feature a practice repository and allow governments to access services and support.
The Hub is part of the capacity-building mechanism envisaged by paragraph 43 of the Global Compact
for Migration, which together with the Multi-Partner Trust Fund aims to bring cohesion to the work of allactors involved in the UNNM. Content available can be filtered by choosing any of the 23 Global Compact
for Migration objectives, one of 10 cross-cutting themes, or by geographic scope. Users can also consult
information made available by the different UNNM working groups, access all documents related to theregional review process of the Global Compact for Migration, including inputs by Member States and otherstakeholders, and take part in moderated discussions through the online discussion space.
Another key feature of the Hub is the Experts Database, which provides access to a range of migration
experts from around the world, including academics, researchers and practitioners. The database can be
consulted by geographic location, area of expertise and type of organization.

17

Accessible at https://migrationnetwork.un.org/hub.

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Collaboration between the United Nations system and the scientificcommunity on migration research
Different organizations in the United Nations system support the publication of academic journals. Notable examples
are WHO, the ILO and UNESCO, each of which publishes a number of academic journals in their specific fields ofexpertise. In the area of migration, IOM has been publishing the journal International Migration for the past 60 years.
It is a refereed scientific journal on migration issues as analysed by social scientists from all parts of the world. It
covers the entire field of policy relevance in international migration, giving attention to topics reflective of policy
concerns, but also offering coverage of all regions of the world. Geographic diversity and contributions based on
multidisciplinary research are priorities of the journal. Both UNHCR and IOM also offer ad hoc contributions, aswell as funding, to the journal Forced Migration Review, a widely read publication on forced migration published by
the Refugee Studies Centre, University of Oxford.

International Migration: 60th Anniversary
In 2021, the journal International Migration turned 60. As early as 1961, IOM’s leadership recognized thecentral role of scientific research on migration, arguing the need for technical research on migration to
supplement the political dimensions that migration raises. Initially focusing on Europe, the scope of thejournal was broadened to a global focus in 1963, over time becoming the editorially independent scientificjournal we know today.
Prior to the establishment of the journal, advice was sought from leading academics and practitioners on
the need and nature of research functions as part of organizational contributions to the field of migration
research. In a 1959 memo, a strong case was made for scientific scholarship on migration:
There are plenty of descriptive accounts of migratory movements, but no serious study explaining thedirection and the magnitude of the flows in the post-war period… [I]n scientific inquiries it has been
accepted that governments cannot be granted any monopoly of truth...[W]hen research is undertaken
on migration problems, as on any other problems of international bearing, the purely political problem
has, so to speak, to be de-emphasised…[I]t is necessary and considerably advantageous to tackle themigration problems separately and in technical terms.
The arguments put forward in 1959 are just as relevant today, but perhaps not in the way it was thenimagined. We have seen massive changes in migration patterns, from rapid urbanization to increased roles
that digital technologies play in our lives. As we witness the rapid expansion of disinformation on migrationand its impacts on migrants, it is both important and timely to reflect on the contributions of social scientists
worldwide working on international migration in order to better understand its many dimensions andmanifestations. As recently articulated by IOM’s Director General, António Vitorino:
The need for accurate, rigorous and authoritative accounts of migration is more important than everbefore as fake news proliferates, risking the systemic erosion of societal values that are based ontruth, science and law, including in relation to migrants’ rights…In reaffirming IOM’s active support ofInternational Migration, now in its sixtieth year, we believe the need for the journal’s contribution has
never been greater.aa Vitorino, 2021.

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It is important to note that organizations in the United Nations system contribute funding to academic journals
in order to support peer-refereed, policy-oriented academic publishing. This does not result in interference ineditorial discretion over the content of the journals, which, in recognition of scholarly independence, remains the
responsibility of the editors.
In 2017, IOM convened the Migration Research Leaders’ Syndicate to better support and facilitate knowledge andexpertise on migration during the development of the Global Compact for Migration. The Syndicate comprised
migration experts from around the world with deep knowledge of a wide variety of aspects of migration. Its 36
members were academic and applied researchers from a range of disciplines, supported by nine advisers withvast experience in policy setting and in bridging policy and research, which enabled leading migration experts to
inform the Global Compact for Migration process with the latest thinking in academic and applied research on key
migration issues, such as human trafficking, irregular migration, migration narratives, migrants’ rights, and returnand reintegration.18
The Global Compact on Refugees, also adopted in December 2018, proposed that “a global academic networkon refugee, other forced displacement, and statelessness issues will be established, involving universities, academic
alliances, and research institutions, together with UNHCR and other relevant stakeholders.”19 In 2019, during thefirst Global Refugee Forum, the Global Academic Interdisciplinary Network (GAIN) was launched to advancedeliverables in three areas: producing research to support the objectives of the Global Compact on Refugees;
facilitating teaching, training and knowledge-sharing on refugee, forced displacement and statelessness issues; andpromoting solidarity with forcibly displaced scholars within the academic community and providing concrete support
for them, such as scholarships.
It has also been noted that the scientific community can play a critical role in the implementation of the Global
Compact for Migration and the Global Compact on Refugees through the production of policy-relevant research,by facilitating academic exchange and through the education of students on the importance of both compacts.20
In particular, it has been suggested to build on initiatives that took place during the Global Compact for Migration
negotiations, which created collaborative spaces between academia and civil society actors, enhancing theeffectiveness and influence of their participation.21

United Nations as a global disseminator of facts and knowledge during the
COVID-19 pandemic
In recent years, there has been an increase in interest on research in misinformation and disinformation.
Academic researchers from a range of disciplines have focused on aspects such as fact checking, the role of online
technology in the spread of misinformation and disinformation, and ways to minimize its impact.22 With the onsetof the COVID-19 pandemic, the spread of false information has increased exponentially.23 An overabundance of
information – some accurate and some not – has made it hard for people to find trustworthy sources and reliableguidance when they need it. This phenomenon has prompted UNESCO and WHO to coin new terms, such as

18
19
20
21
22
23

IOM, 2017.
UNGA, 2018b.
Appleby, 2020.
Gottardo and Rego, 2021.
Fernandez and Alani, 2018; McAuliffe et al., 2019; Pasquetto et al., 2020; Walter et al., 2020.
WHO, 2020b.

140

Migration research and analysis: Recent United Nations contributions“misinfodemic”24 and “infodemic”,25 to describe “a parallel misinformation pandemic directly impacting lives andlivelihoods around the world”.26
The rise of misinformation has also impacted on how the academic field has been responding to the COVID-19
pandemic. Several scientific publishers made COVID-19 research accessible online free of charge, while others are
fast-tracking the publication of COVID-19 articles. While much of the research conducted remains in the medical
field, there have been calls made to increase the volume of much-needed social science research and to ensurethat these findings are not overlooked when informing effective responses.27 Despite this, researchers have also
expressed concern that this rush to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic may compromise research integrity,
by pushing researchers to take shortcuts in the research process, impacting on quality and limiting the ability todevelop interdisciplinary collaboration.28 Many academics are concerned about the possible consequences of this“covidization”29 of research, including in terms of availability of funding to develop other research areas in the social
sciences.
The United Nations system has sought to minimize the spread of misinformation during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The United Nations Department of Global Communications launched a new COVID-19 Communications Response
Initiative based on science, solutions and solidarity to fight misinformation. A rapid-response team was formed
to help share facts and science to overcome this surge, which included producing and disseminating facts andaccurate information, partnering and working together with businesses, media and journalists, mobilizing civil society
organizations and being vocal about the rights of those affected by misinformation. As part of its response, theUnited Nations launched Verified, an initiative to increase the volume and reach of trusted information, and Pledge
to Pause, a campaign encouraging people to pause and take care before they share online information.
How migrants are perceived is linked to and shaped by social, economic and political events, and the COVID-19
pandemic is no exception. The spread of disinformation has had a more severe impact on groups considered to
be in a vulnerable situation, including migrants. They have at times been accused of bringing the virus to a certain
country, or of causing the increase in cases, despite limited evidence to support these assertions.30
In response to increased misinformation and the rise in xenophobic attitudes, IOM, in partnership with the Global
Forum on Migration and Development, has launched It Takes a Community, a digital communications campaign
sharing inclusive stories about social cohesion and the positive impact that migration can have on communities
as a means to counteract negative public narratives and disinformation about migration and promote a morebalanced conversation. The campaign relies on engagement from IOM, national governments, cities, businesses andcivil society.
Combating the spread of hate speech and deliberate distortions of truth on media is increasingly recognized as
an international priority.31 Media play a critical role in how the public thinks about migration and how policies areshaped, hence IOM has launched the Global Migration and Media Academy to support the media’s role in bringing
to light the different dimensions of this expansive topic, including coverage of underreported areas such as migrants’contributions to global development.

24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31

Posetti and Bontcheva, 2020.
PAHO and WHO, 2020; WHO, 2020c.
UNESCO, 2020.
Middlemass, 2020; UN, 2020.
Bramstedt, 2020.
Pai, 2020.
Chugh, 2020.
UN, 2019.

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Global Migration and Media Academy
On 18 December 2020, the International Organization for Migration and Irish Aid, the Irish Government’s
programme for overseas development, launched the Global Migration and Media Academy, a worldwide
academy for journalists and communications students to tackle the spread of misinformation and xenophobia
in the media.
The project will be coordinated by the National University Ireland, Galway and anchored in universities
in Mexico, Morocco, the Philippines and Serbia. The Academy will partner with media organizations andjournalism faculties to equip students of journalism and media worldwide with the online tools, contextual
knowledge and ethical standards they will need to report fully on migration in this fast-evolving informationage.
The Academy will provide insight into trends, data, and global and regional developments, covering topics
ranging from environmental migration to gender-inclusive reporting. Anyone will be able to access thecourses via the website. Taught modules will be introduced in undergraduate media studies and journalism
programmes in the four pilot countries.
The Academy supports Objective 17 of the Global Compact for Migration, “Eliminate all forms of
discrimination and promote evidence-based public discourse to shape perceptions of migration” and its
objectives are in line with the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.

Recent contributions from the United Nations system: 2019 and 2020 infocus
The contributions of the organizations in the United Nations system reflect how their specific mandates intersectwith international migration, including how they respond to key emerging issues, such as COVID-19 or the
implementation of the Global Compact for Migration. As previously outlined, both topics have dominated the
production of research and knowledge on migration during 2019 and 2020. As evidenced in the table below,
compared with previous years, less material on migration was published by organizations in the United Nations
system over the period covered by this report. This is particularly the case for those organizations whose coremandate is not directly linked to the topic. Due to mobility restrictions and health measures in place, the ability tocarry out field research has been greatly impacted. This has been reflected in the type and volume of publications,with shorter pieces and policy positions and briefs being preferred. These obstacles have also resulted in multiple
project extensions and delays in the publication of many final reports and other outputs.
Just as in academia, organizations in the United Nations system rushed to address multiple aspects associated with
the COVID-19 pandemic and to position their responses in accordance with their mandates. This is also reflectedin their publications, which have focused on the topic since the beginning of the pandemic. Table 3 below provides
some examples of key migration-related publications produced by organizations in the United Nations system,
selected from an expansive volume of material published by the United Nations between 2019 and June 2021.

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Migration research and analysis: Recent United Nations contributions

Table 3. Examples of key global material published from 2019 until June 2021

IOM

UN DESA

UNHCR
ILO
UNODC

2020

Contributions and Counting: Guidance on Measuring the Economic Impact of yourDiaspora beyond Remittances

2020

World Migration Report 20202019

Migration Governance Indicators: A Global Perspective

2019

Reintegration Handbook - Practical guidance on the design, implementation andmonitoring of reintegration assistance2019

International Migration Highlights 2020

2021

International Migration Highlights 20192019

International Migration Report 20192019

International Migrant Stock

Ongoing

International Migration Flows

Ongoing

United Nations Global Migration Database

Ongoing

Dataset on International Migration Flows

OngoingGlobal Trends: Forced Displacement in 20192020

Global Trends: Forced Displacement in 20182019

Population Statistics Database

Ongoing

ILOSTAT

OngoingGlobal Report on Trafficking in Persons 2020

2021

Smuggling of Migrants Knowledge Portal

Ongoing

Human Mobility, Shared Opportunities: A Review of the 2009 Human The
Development Report and the Way Ahead

2020

Migrant Union: Navigating the Great Migration

2019

Promoting Development Approaches to Migration and Displacement

2019

Private Sectors & Refugees: Pathways to Scale

a

2019

Migration and Jobs: Issues for the 21st Century

2019

Migration and Remittances Data

Ongoing

ESCAP – Asia-Pacific Migration Report 2020: Assessing Implementation of the
Global Compact for Migration

2020

ESCWA-IOM: Situation Report on International Migration 2019: The Global
Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration in the Context of the Arab
Region2020

UNECE – Guidance on Data Integration for Measuring Migration

2019

CEPAL – Demographic Observatory of Latin America 2018: International
Migration

2019

UNHCR andWorld BankThe Global Cost of Inclusive Refugee Education

2021

OECD, ILO, IOM
and UNHCR

G20 International Migration and Displacement Trends Report 2020b

2020

G20 International Migration and Displacement Trends Report 2019

2019

UNDP

World Bank

Economic and Social Commissions

Inter-agency
Collaboration

Advancing a Common Understanding of Migration Governance Across Regionsb

Note: This table does not include all outputs, such as working papers; only key material is included.
aProduced by The Bridgespan Group and the International Finance Corporation, World Bank Group.
b
Led by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), jointly published with the ILO, IOM and UNHCR.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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IOM publishes, in its own right, over 100 publications on migration every year through its publications platform,
including those emanating from research projects undertaken in various locations throughout the world. In recent
years, the IOM online publications platform has been upgraded and improved. As of the end of 2020, the platform
contained 2,247 electronic publications in 34 different languages, most of which could be accessed free of charge.
IOM published a wide range of research and analysis materials in 2019 and 2020, most notably in the formof standalone studies and reports, many of which stemmed directly from specific projects produced both at
Headquarters and locally by IOM missions. For example, the report Migration Governance Indicators: A Global
Perspective constitutes a first global overview of the state of national migration governance across the world. It
analyses migration governance indicators (MGI) data to show and discuss policy trends in a number of policy areasthat relate to migration (health, education, security and economics, among others). It results from the roll-out of
the MGI process in 50 countries.32
The World Migration Report is IOM’s flagship publication, and the 10th edition of this biennial publication was
published in 2019. It draws on a vast amount of data and research from around the world and is a highlycollaborative venture involving IOM experts globally, as well as migration researchers and United Nations colleagues(see text box below). IOM also continues to support migration journals – International Migration and Migration Policy
Practice – providing an important contribution to migration research. The publication of the Migration Research
Series has also continued. It showcases policy-relevant research and analysis on diverse and complex migration
issues. Calls for abstracts that circulated in 2019 and 2020 addressed topics such as the links between migrationand technology; youth and migration; migration, mobility and innovation; and under-represented geographies.
UN DESA coordinates the assembly of data, including in relation to international migration – a process thathas highlighted limitations in the capabilities of national statistics offices. Its biennial publication International
Migration Report was last published in 2019 and highlights levels and trends in international migration for major
geographic areas, regions and countries of the world. It also provides the ratification status of migration-related legal
instruments. The Population Division maintains the United Nations Global Migration Database, a comprehensive
collection of empirical data on the number of international migrants by country of birth and citizenship, sex andage as enumerated by population censuses, population registers, nationally representative surveys and other official
statistical sources from 232 countries and territories in the world. It produces two data sets, International Migrants
Stock, last updated in January 2021, and International Migrant Flows, a smaller data set covering 45 countries,
measuring the number of migrants entering and leaving a country or territory in a given period of time. It was last
revised in 2015. See Chapter 2 of this report for discussion of the two datasets.

32

IOM, 2019b.

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Award-winning World Migration Report 2020
The World Migration Report is the most rigorous and trusted resource on global migration data, research andanalysis. In an era that saw disinformation spread at an alarming rate around the world, objective, balanced
research and analysis on human migration and mobility is essential. Increasingly used as a fact-checking tool
to counter disinformation, since its last edition the World Migration Report has scaled up its disseminationand digital presence. Available in all six United Nations languages and with selected chapters translated into
German, Portuguese, Swahili and Turkish, it is the most accessible flagship publication of any United Nations
agency.

WELTMIGRATIONSBERICHT
2020

RIPOTI YA UHAMIAJI
DUNIANI 2020

RELATÓRIO MUNDIAL
SOBRE MIGRAÇÃO 2020

2020 DÜNYA GÖÇ RAPORU

联 合 国 移 民 署

ДОКЛАД О МИГРАЦИИВ МИРЕ 2020

WORLD MIGRATIONREPORT 2020

世界移民报告2020‫ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺮ اﻟﻬﺠﺮة ﻓﻲ اﻟﻌﺎﻟﻢ‬2020 ‫ﻟﻌﺎم‬ÉTAT DE LA MIGRATIONDANS LE MONDE 2020

INFORME SOBRE LASMIGRACIONES EN
EL MUNDO 2020

In May 2021, IOM launched a new World Migration Report web portal that integrates fact-based migration
narratives with interactive data visualizations on the most up-to-date global migration data and trends.a In
mid 2021, the World Migration Report 2020 received two awards in the 2021 International Annual Report
Design Awards for its online platform and report design.b

A digital toolkit for educators was also finalized in late 2021,c and a digital toolkit for policy officers to informmigration policy deliberations and multilateral discussions is forthcoming in collaboration with the Global
Migration Centre at the Graduate Institute for International Development Studies, supported by the Geneva
Science Policy Interface.dabcdAvailable at https://worldmigrationreport.iom.int/wmr-2020-interactive//.
IADA, 2021.
Available at https://worldmigrationreport.iom.int/toolkits.
Available at https://gspi.ch/activities/announcing-icp-2021-selected-projects/.

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As a United Nations agency with a mandate to pursue protection, assistance and solutions for refugees, UNHCR
produces a wealth of publications and has a dedicated research repository – Refworld. Released annually in June,
Global Trends is UNHCR’s flagship publication. It presents and analyses annual trends worldwide in relation to
refugee and other populations of concern to UNHCR. UNHCR is also the key source of global statistics on
refugees and other populations of concern, as reported in its online Population Statistics Database.
The International Labour Organization (ILO) is a standards-setting body responsible for coordinating the development
and supervising the implementation of international labour standards. In the context of its efforts to improve thecollection and production of labour migration statistics, ILO Global Estimates on International Migrant Workers
provides estimates of the proportion of migrant workers among the total number of migrants worldwide. It waslast revised in June 2021. The ILO also maintains ILOSTAT, a database that in addition to labour migration datacontains diverse statistics related to the labour market, which are also relevant to labour migration.
In December 2018, UNICEF published A Right to Be Heard: Listening to children and young people on the move. It
highlights the results of a survey conducted via a social messaging tool that reached over 4,000 migrant respondents
between the age of 14 and 24. This non-representative survey offers an insight into their experiences, often hiddenfrom public view.
Within its mandate to assist States in addressing international crimes, UNODC undertakes efforts to combat
transnational organized crime, including human trafficking and migrant smuggling, and produces a variety of
publications on these themes. The fifth Global Report on Trafficking in Persons, published in March 2021, provides
an overview of patterns and flows of trafficking in persons and is based primarily on trafficking cases detected
between 2017 and 2019. UNODC also maintains a Smuggling of Migrants Knowledge Portal on information to
support the implementation of the 2000 Protocol against the Smuggling of Migrants by Land, Sea and Air (i.e. caselaw, annotated bibliography and legislation).
As the United Nations global development agency, UNDP’s commitment towards the Sustainable Development Goals
translates into a broad range of programmes, including initiatives for building long-term development responses tomigration and displacement. UNDP regularly publishes reports on the intersection of migration and development,
including 2020’s Human Mobility, Shared Opportunities: A Review of the 2009 Human Development Report and the
Way Ahead, which looks at new patterns of human mobility, reviews progress made on recommendations in the2009 report, analyses emerging challenges and sets out next steps in the context of the two Global Compacts
and the 2030 Agenda.
The Economic and Social Council established five Regional Commissions: in Europe, Asia and the Pacific, Latin
America, Africa and Western Asia. They are the regional outposts of the United Nations in their respective
regions. They promote multilateral dialogue, knowledge-sharing and networking at the regional level, and work
together to promote intraregional and interregional cooperation, both among themselves and through collaboration
with other regional organizations. They also work to promote the implementation of internationally agreed
development goals, and in the case of migration, they have specific competence over the implementation of the
Global Compact for Migration and its review at a regional level, taking place over the 2020–2021 period, which isalso reflected in their publications over the past years.

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Migration research and analysis: Recent United Nations contributions

The World Bank Group is a family of five international organizations, most notably the International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development and the International Development Association, jointly referred as the World
Bank. The agencies of the Group are part of the United Nations system, but maintain their own governancestructure. They publish a variety of books, reports and working papers on the interlinkage of migration andeconomic growth, and monitor data on migration and remittances through their own data set covering inflows andoutflows. They regularly collaborate with agencies in the United Nations system, as is the case for The Global Costof Inclusive Refugee Education, a joint publication with UNHCR interrogating “what would it take” to ensure accessto education for all refugee students in developing countries, where 85 per cent of the world’s refugees live. The
World Bank also implements the Global Knowledge Partnership on Migration and Development (KNOMAD), which
is a multidisciplinary knowledge partnership that draws upon migration experts to create and synthesize knowledge
for use by policymakers in countries of origin and destination. Established in 2013, its second phase runs from 2018
until 2023, and its activities are organized around 11 thematic working groups.33

Conclusions
This chapter has provided an overview of how organizations in the United Nations system contribute to migration
research and analysis and to our collective understanding of migration. We found that migration continues to bea prominent topic in public discourse and public policy, and that despite a significant increase in the interest in
migration as a topic over time, including by some of the major producers of research and analysis, it remains acontested and polarizing subject. This has been aggravated by the increase in misinformation, originating from avariety of sources and spreading rapidly through the Internet and social media platforms. While this phenomenon
predates the COVID-19 pandemic, it has grown exponentially through it. The COVID-19 pandemic has also
affected resource allocations in the field of research, with many research priorities being shifted to address theconsequences of the global pandemic. The United Nations system, as a key producer of knowledge and analysis,
has been both impacted by and responsive to these trends.
This chapter has shown how the United Nations system contributes to the processes of knowledge production
and dissemination on migration. Its organizations are key producers of grey literature, which, as the chapter has
shown, offers greater accessibility when compared with academic peer-reviewed research. Its shorter production
time and the ability to draw on expertise in academic and policy spheres lends itself to contribute to evidencebased policymaking.
Throughout the chapter, different examples of the migration-related data, research and knowledge produced in
the United Nations system have been provided. These include data collection, statistics and statistical analyses;
knowledge platforms; country and regional reports; comparative studies; and testimonials, among others. In fact,
the increased emphasis placed on research and analysis informing policies and programmatic responses in migration
offers the opportunity for a greater role to be played by United Nations organizations in the field of migration
research, through the leveraging of its networks in governmental, academic and policy circles.
The stigmatization of migrants and instances of discrimination against them, resulting directly or indirectly from the
spread of misinformation and the politicization of migration, also make it timely to reflect on how organizationsin the United Nations system can provide critical and evidence-based analysis based on scientific data. It is equallyimportant to reflect on how they can act more effectively to dispel incorrect, and often dangerous, misinformation.
33

See www.knomad.org.

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Today, more than ever, we encourage policymakers, practitioners, researchers and others to explore and exploit thewealth of written material on migration with a critical eye. We continue to underscore the importance of activities
and initiatives that bridge the gap between the research and policy spheres by bringing together migration scholars,
researchers, practitioners and policymakers, including through workshops, conferences, briefing sessions and related
consultations. Here, too, there is a critical role for organizations in the United Nations system. The opportunity
to listen and share knowledge on migration can support new lines of thinking, dispel myths and untruths, and help
craft more effective policy responses that are based on evidence and rigour.

PART IICOMPLEX AND EMERGING MIGRATION ISSUESMARIE MCAULIFFE
LUISA FELINE FREIERRONALD SKELDONJENNA BLOWER

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5

151

THE GREAT DISRUPTER: COVID-19’S IMPACTON MIGRATION, MOBILITY AND MIGRANTSGLOBALLY1

Introduction
The year 2020 will go down in history as the “Year of COVID-19”, when a new coronavirus emerged and spread
across the world in a series of waves that by 2021 had impacted the lives of almost every person on the planet.
New words emerged in common discourse that just a year prior would have had different or little meaning:“zoom”, “lockdown”, “social distancing”, “PPE”, “face mask” or “contact tracing”. Two other words have particularimplications for migration: “border closure” and “quarantine”.
Over the course of the first year of the pandemic, more than 108,000 COVID-related international travel restrictions
were put in place by countries, territories or areas, in addition to the rolling implementation of internal movement
restrictions within countries.2 Consequently, the global travel industry has been decimated by the pandemic. The
initial race to implement restrictions had a significant and immediate impact on air travel around the world. By earlyMay 2020, for example, the number of international flights had decreased by around 80 per cent globally.3 As aresult, tourism – one of the largest industries in the world – faced a similar decline in 2020, with losses of about
USD 2 trillion or 2 per cent of global GDP.4 Further, COVID-19 acted as a brake on international migration, with
the United Nations estimating that the pandemic had slowed the growth in the stock of international migrants byaround two million by mid-2020, or 27 per cent less than the growth expected.5
Although the COVID-19 pandemic is first and foremost a health crisis, it is also an economic crisis, with businesses
forced to close and workers laid off or furloughed. Economies went into recession with a 5.2 per cent decline
globally for 2020, the deepest recession since the end of the Second World War.6 In the initial phase of thepandemic, priorities shifted as low-paid (often undocumented) workers emerged as providers of “essential services”,
harvesting crops, processing, packing and delivering food, serving in supermarkets and caring for the vulnerable inresidential and care homes. Nurses and doctors became heroes, and many other professionals began to work from
home, transforming the nature of work.

1
2
3
4
5
6

Marie McAuliffe, Head, Migration Research and Publications Division, IOM; Luisa Feline Freier, Professor in the Department of Socialand Political Sciences at the Universidad del Pacífico; Ronald Skeldon, Emeritus Professor in the Department of Geography at the
University of Sussex; Jenna Blower, Research Consultant in Migration Research and Publications Division, IOM.
IOM, 2021a (as at 8 March 2021).
Santos, 2020.
UNWTO, 2021.
UN DESA, 2021a.
World Bank, 2020a.

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The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally

By the end of the first year,7 around 116.2 million cases of COVID-19 had been recorded globally and 2.58 million
people had died.8 Much remains unknown about the disease, but what is clear are the variations across the worldin terms of its spread and impact: variations by age, sex, class, ethnicity and country. An important contributor
to this variation has been the type and effectiveness of government policy around the world, which has varied
from effective response through complacency to denial. As a new disease with no available vaccine, COVID-19
had already killed far more people in 2020 than the annual expected number of deaths from influenza in any year,
which ranges between 290,000 and 650,000.9 It was also far deadlier than malaria, which caused some 409,000
deaths in 2019.10 Further, “excess mortality” estimates indicate that the total number of global deaths attributable
to COVID-19 in 2020 is at least 3 million, representing 1.2 million more deaths than officially reported.11

Figure 1. COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths by United Nations region after one year

Top 10 countries with the highest confirmed COVID-19 cases
Total cases

Source: WHO, 2021a.
Notes: As at 11 March 2021. Regions are United
Nations regions; see Chapter 3 (AppendixA) for detail on regional compositions.

United States of America
India
BrazilRussian Federation
United Kingdom
FranceSpain
Italy
TurkeyGermany

Per million people
28 879 927
11 285 561
11 122 429
4 351 553
4 229 002
3 865 011
3 164 983
3 101 093
2 807 387
2 518 591

AndorraMontenegro
Czechia
San Marino
Slovenia
Luxembourg
IsraelUnited States of America
PanamaPortugal

144 013
128 456
127 076
117 176
94 34394 07692 52487 13780 61579 340

While the focus of this chapter is on migration and mobility, the pandemic has had significant impacts on a wide
range of social, economic and environmental issues globally, as summarized in Appendix A.
7
8
9
10
11

The virus was first reported on 21 December 2019; WHO declared COVID-19 a global public health crisis on 30 January 2020 anddeclared a pandemic on 11 March 2020 (WHO, 2020a).
WHO, 2021a; Johns Hopkins CRC, 2021.
Steenhuysen, 2017.
WHO, 2021b.
WHO, 2021c. “Excess mortality” is defined by WHO as “the difference in the total number of deaths in a crisis compared to those
expected under normal conditions.” In relation to COVID-19, excess mortality accounts for both the total number of deaths directly
attributed to the virus as well as the indirect impact, such as disruption to essential health services or travel disruptions. See WHO,2021c for further information.

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This chapter provides an analysis of the impacts of the pandemic on migration and mobility, with particular reference
to migrants’ immobility and vulnerabilities. It provides examples of country responses in policy and practice andconsiders the longer-term consequences of the pandemic on migration and migrants. In doing so, it is important tonote that the aim of this chapter is to provide an analytical overview of the main impacts and implications of thepandemic in its first year.12 Given the volume of material produced on COVID-19 and the ongoing production of
new findings and knowledge, the chapter does not attempt to capture all aspects or explore every nuance related
to COVID-19 and human mobility. Rather, it includes new statistics, such as data on COVID-19 confirmed cases,
deaths and travel restrictions, but does so in the context of existing, long-term statistics and other information
on migration. Understanding COVID-19 impacts requires a big-picture analysis of a seismic global event within thecontext of long-term trends,13 all the while recognizing that the precise consequences of the pandemic will continue
to unfold over years to come.

Unpacking “migration” and “mobility” through a COVID-19 lensAccording to current estimates of international migrants, there were some 281 million migrants in the world in
mid-2020.14 Estimates of the number of internal migrants are more problematic, but more than 10 years ago theestimate was 740 million, or over three times the number of international migrants at the time.15 These estimatesof both internal and international migrants are crude; based on stock data to measure migration from one large
geographical unit to another, they are of limited use in tracking human movement related to the spread and impactof a disease such as COVID-19.
In the context of a global pandemic, policymakers need information on movements over both short and long
distances, particularly on local interactions and on short-term movements, precisely the kinds of movementsthat are excluded from the international migrant estimates referred to above. Hence, the focus needs to be on“mobility”, a term that covers short-term movements such as international business and tourist movements, as wellas commuting, cross-border workers and other forms of short-distance interaction, as well as longer-term migrationand displacement. The need to rethink conceptualizations of “migration” and “mobility” has been recognized bymany experts, as highlighted in the last edition of the World Migration Report as well as by the expert task force
on conceptual frameworks as part of the United Nations’ review of the 1998 Recommendations on Statistics onInternational Migration.16 Migration-related policy settings extend well beyond immigration and asylum, and are
principally related to public health, internal movement and international travel, which significantly impact uponplanning. COVID-19 has intensified the tensions between migration and mobility by drawing further attention to
how mobility underpins and enables different forms of migration, as well as the fact that immobility can act as amajor disrupter to migrants throughout the “migration cycle”, as shown in the next section.

12
13
14
15
16

The first year is defined as 11 March 2020 (when WHO declared the pandemic) to 10 March 2021.
McAuliffe et al., 2020.
UN DESA, 2021b. See the IOM World Migration Report 2020, Chapter 2 for discussion and definitions.
UNDP, 2009.
IOM, 2019:5; Skeldon, 2018; United Nations Statistical Commission, 2021. An extract of the expert task force’s final paper can befound in Appendix A of Chapter 2 of this report.

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The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally

One of the key aspects of the response to COVID-19 has been the various attempts to curtail, if not stop
completely, the movement of people as hosts of the virus. From a biological perspective, the virus does notdiscriminate or show a preference for particular human hosts. The virus is oblivious to citizenship, ethnicity, sex,age, creed and migration status. Whoever is in proximity of the virus is susceptible to becoming infected. For thisreason, and consistent with previous pandemics, migrants have not been the main priority in pandemic response:

Evidence and experience resulting from practically all significant events…has demonstrated
that while international and domestic travel are important factors involved in the spreadof infection, migration (in terms of both traditional regular immigration and irregularmigration) has not been a large risk factor.17
In fact, people have been largely unable to undertake migration during the pandemic, as is discussed in the next
section. However, the degree to which people are in proximity to the virus does relate to systemic inequalities
and socioeconomic factors, such that international migrants already in destination countries, particularly the lowerskilled/lower-paid, are more likely to be working in jobs that place them at risk of coming into contact with thevirus.18 Migrants have often erroneously become targets for xenophobic racism during this and previous crises– especially those of Asian descent during COVID-19 – regardless of facts and evidence.19

COVID-19 in context
COVID-19 has been the most acute pandemic in over a century and since the 1919 (so-called “Spanish”) flu
pandemic. It resulted in 10,185,374 confirmed cases and 503,863 deaths in the first six months after the virus
was detected.20 This far exceeds other recent coronavirus pandemics, such as SARS (2003) and MERS (2012),
and has seen much larger initial infection numbers compared with previous severe pandemics, such as thoseexperienced in 1957 (so-called “Asian flu”) and 1968 (so-called “Hong Kong flu”). Evidence from previous modernday pandemics indicates that a key response has been on preventing the movement of people (as transmittersof the virus) internationally and within countries.21 This has become much more challenging as globalization has
deepened transnational connectivity, with global reliance on international transportation surging in recent years(see Figure 2).22

17
18
19
20
21
22

Greenaway and Gushulak, 2017:322.
IOM, 2020a.
IOM, 2020b; Hennebry and KC, 2020; Majidi et al., 2019.
WHO, 2020b.
Greenaway and Gushulak, 2017.
McAuliffe et al., 2017.

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Figure 2. Air transport passengers carried, 1980 to 2018
5.0
4.5

Passengers carried (billion)

4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018Year

Source: ICAO, 2021.

The increase in international air travel and the heightened risks of zoonotic coronaviruses due to an increase in
human–animal interactions led public health experts to warn over several years of the impending “big one”.23 In
a 2014 book on globalization, the authors warned of the major looming risks caused by intensifying globalization,
including the risk of an extreme global pandemic:

It is almost inevitable that as we connect more, as more and more people live in
big cities close to airports, which are not only the super-spreaders of the “goods” ofglobalization, but also the “bads”, that contagion would cascade around the world.24
Despite warnings of a global pandemic and the urgent need to strengthen preparedness, the earliest stage ofthe pandemic placed extreme pressure on governments, the World Health Organization (WHO) and non-State
actors to respond urgently to COVID-19.25 A combination of high rates of transmission and severity forced many
policymakers worldwide into uncharted territory. As a result, governments implemented a range of measures tolimit the spread of the virus, including restrictions on movements (international and internal) as well as on assemblyfor public events. Businesses and schools were forced to close, public and private transport systems were shut
down, and social activities were severely discouraged or prohibited.26 Some countries, such as El Salvador, Israel
and Qatar, quickly imposed significant international restrictions on movement in early to mid-March, while others
took similar action weeks later. Some countries banned the entry of citizens of specific (high-risk) countries, others
banned entry of all foreign nationals, or completely closed borders to departures and entries of all people, including
their own citizens.27 That said, there were exceptions to closures for a range of different reasons, as discussed in
the text box below.
23
24
25
26
27

Hoffower, 2020. Warnings have been issued by many, including Bill Gates, Vaclav Smil, Michael Osterholm and Robert G. Webster.
Goldin and Mariathasan, 2014.
Goldin, 2014; Greenaway and Gushulak, 2017; McAuliffe et al., 2020.
In addition, public health measures such as mandatory quarantine have been implemented.
McAuliffe, 2020.

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The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally

Exceptions for society’s essentials workers
International travel was banned in many countries early in the pandemic, although selective exemptions
emerged.a Even where lockdowns were rigorously imposed, certain mobilities persisted to ensure thecontinued provision of essential goods (e.g. food, medicines, medical products) and services (e.g. hospital/
health, food retail/delivery, sanitation, postal, security). The lowly paid, in positions often filled by migrant
workers, were in the “front line” with greater exposure to the virus, while more highly paid professionals
had the ability to restrict their mobility. Some of the most low-paid and precariously employed migrant
workers, such as seasonal agricultural workers, were recognized as essential to the functioning of societies
and exempted from travel restrictions, thereby highlighting the long-standing tension between the criticalrole some play in the day-to-day functioning of societies, despite their low status.ba EC, n.d.
b ILO, 2020a.

Analysis of international travel restrictions over the first 12 months of the crisis pointed to three different phases of(im)mobility, as summarized below in the extract of the Migration Policy Institute and IOM report of April 2021.28

COVID-19 and the State of Global Mobility in 2020
Cross-border mobility in 2020 can be divided into three phases:
1. Mobility lockdowns: January to May 2020. In this early phase, countries introduced a raft of travel
restrictions and health requirements to respond to the fast-evolving public health situation. In the first threemonths of the year, many completely closed most points of entry and/or banned travel from affected regions.
The scale of border closures was unprecedented – even countries in Europe’s border-free Schengen Area
reimposed makeshift borders with their neighbours – and many closures occurred with limited planningand coordination. By the end of March, governments and authorities in subnational regions had issued or
extended 43,300 travel measures, and every country, territory and area worldwide was subject to at least 70
travel bans. Movements of all kinds were dramatically curtailed from March to May as populations shelteredunder national lockdowns.
2. Phased reopening: June to September 2020. The next phase of the crisis response brought the staggered
reopening of some points of entry, especially of airports but also, to a lesser extent, land and maritime ports.
Bans on travellers from or crossing through particular areas were increasingly replaced during this periodby health measures, including certificates of pre-departure COVID-19 tests, quarantine measures or healthdeclaration forms. In many areas, air travel was the first to open back up because of the greater capacity to
implement new health measures and/or regional arrangements, such as “travel bubbles”.

28

Benton et al., 2021.

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3. Responses to new outbreaks and virus mutations: October to December 2020. The remainderof the year was a mixed picture, as countries sought to both build their capacity to operationalize healthmeasures in place of travel restrictions, while battling a second (and in some cases, third) wave of infections
and grappling with the emergence of new variants of the virus. Some countries, including Chile, Mexico andthe United Arab Emirates, opened even to tourists. Health certificates became the most common healthrelated travel measure, while quarantine requirements and screenings became less widespread over time(perhaps because quarantine had been shown to be costly and screenings to be ineffectual). In December,governments implemented route restrictions against the United Kingdom and, to a lesser extent, South
Africa in response to the B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 variants of the virus identified in those countries.
Source: Abridged extract from Benton et al., 2021:1–2.

Travel restrictions were only one type of measure, but one of the most significant. This was especially the casefor international travel restrictions, which were implemented quickly and largely remained in place over the courseof the first year. Nevertheless, when the broader suite of government responses to minimizing the transmissionof COVID-19 is examined globally, we can see different patterns emerge following the initial rapid impositionof a wide range of measures between March and May 2020. The University of Oxford’s Government Response
Tracker data (Figure 3) show that international travel controls related to COVID-19 consistently remained thehighest throughout the period January 2020 to March 2021.29 Other measures, such as school closures andinternal movement restrictions, have gradually declined over time, while key measures involving workplace closures,
restrictions on gatherings and “stay-at-home” requirements all declined in mid-2020, only to creep back up as
transmission rates increased and new variants were detected.

Figure 3. Government responses to minimize COVID-19 transmission, by number of countries

Jan-2020 Feb-2020 Mar-2020 Apr-2020 May-2020 Jun-2020 Jul-2020 Aug-2020 Sep-2020 Oct-2020 Nov-2020 Dec-2020 Jan-2021 Feb-2021 Mar-2021

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: As at 10 March 2021. The term “‘international travel controls” is used by Oxford, and includes screening arrivals, quarantining arrivals,
banning arrivals or total border closure. It is also important to note that categories are COVID-19-related only and do not reflect
other travel restrictions that may have already been in place, such as those related to visa restrictions, entry bans based on specificcitizens, and departure/exit restrictions.

29

The term “international travel controls” is used by Oxford – see notes under Figures 3 and 4 for details. Also note that the passingof restrictions did not necessarily lead to effective implementation. The complexity of types of movement across borders at times
resulted in confused messaging and uneven application of legislation.

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In constantly adjusting policy on measures to reduce virus transmission, governments have had to grapple with
rapidly evolving epidemiological situations, the need to mitigate the negative economic impacts, and reduce or
counter negative social and educational impacts, while ensuring that the health impacts remain the foremost
concern. The need for trade-offs in juggling the implementation of complex multitudes of measures and theirimpacts is connected to broader governance and political considerations, of which human mobility is a key part:All countries therefore face a difficult task in balancing the uncertain and unequal
impacts of public health and social measures on health, income, liberty, education andother goods. In making such decisions, there is reason to believe that the degree oftrust in government and consensus on public measures substantially influence which
policies are feasible and the balance of benefits and burdens of those policies.30
We can see signs of this interplay when we disaggregate government measures by region (Figure 4). Feasibility as
well as public consensus were key considerations in some parts of the world, for example, as the very different
patterns by region show. Asia maintained the highest level of all restriction measures throughout the first 12
months of the pandemic, whereas Africa experienced gradual declines in all measures except international travel
restrictions. The patterns in Europe differ markedly from the other regions. Europe was the only region that saw
a dip in international travel restrictions while also seeing large declines (with subsequent reimposition) in internal
movement and “stay-at-home” measures. The European summer holiday period placed economic pressure on
authorities to open up tourism, as well as meet the expectations of customers for holiday-related travel access.
These market-related pressures appear to have resulted in policy trade-offs facilitating greater international travel
over summer.31 This was despite predictions from some health experts that European summer holiday travel would
result in winter lockdowns.32

Figure 4. Government responses to minimize COVID-19 transmission in Africa, Asia,
Europe and Latin America and the Caribbean, by number of countries
Africa30
31
32

Norheim et al., 2020.
Dole and Whalan, 2020; Grech et al., 2020.
Sridhar, 2020.

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Asia

EuropeLatin America and the Caribbean

Source: Hale et al., 2021.
Notes: As at 10 March 2021. The term “international travel controls” is used by Oxford, and includes screening arrivals, quarantining
arrivals, banning arrivals or total border closure. It is also important to note that categories are COVID-19-related only anddo not reflect other travel restrictions that may have already been in place, such as those related to visa restrictions, entrybans based on specific citizens, and departure/exit restrictions.

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The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally

The large-scale impact of the COVID-19-related travel restrictions becomes very clear when air passenger data are
examined. We can see from long-term air passenger figures that COVID-19 travel restrictions had a major impact
on both international and domestic air travel in 2020. Total air passengers carried dropped by 60 per cent fromaround 4.5 billion in 2019 to 1.8 billion in 2020 (Figure 5).

Figure 5. Air passengers carried globally, 1945–2020
5,000

Numberr of Passengers Carried(million)

4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020

-

Total passengers

Domestic passengers

International passengers

Source: ICAO, 2021.

More on COVID-19 mobility restrictions
Further analysis of COVID-19-related international and internal travel restrictions, as well as the evolutionof international travel restrictions by border and health aspects, are provided in Chapters 2 and 3 of thisreport. Chapter 2 provides global data and analysis, while Chapter 3 provides analysis at the United Nations
regional level.

Impacts and implications of COVID-19 on forced immobility and migrantvulnerability
COVID-19 has proved to be a great disrupter, negatively impacting migrants throughout the international migration
cycle, starting with departure from countries of origin, entry into transit and destination countries, stay in transit
and destination countries, and the return to countries of origin.33 COVID-19 forced immobility, emphasizing certain
types of mobility, or by pushing mobility into informal channels. However, the form, effectiveness and relative impactof these measures has varied depending upon context. This section will briefly examine the types of measures
33

Gmelch, 1983; McAuliffe and Koser, 2017; IOM, 2020c.

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and variations of origin and destination countries, following the trajectory of migration through transit countries.
It will then discuss forced immobility and the increased vulnerability of migrants in more detail. In all contexts, atension has emerged between migrations brought about through the loss of opportunity (essentially jobs, but also
education) and the policies implemented to stop movement because of the pandemic, a tension that has brought
hardship for many migrants. In this section, the emphasis is on international migration and migrants, rather than on
short-term mobility or internal movements. Table 1 presents a summary of these disruption impacts.

Table 1. Impacts of COVID-19 throughout the migration cycle
Setting

Impacts

Departure fromcountries of origin

Migrants have been unable to depart on planned migration journeys, such as for work,
study or family reunion.
People needing to seek asylum or otherwise depart unstable countries have been
prevented from leaving, exposing them to the risk of violence, abuse, persecution
and/or death.

Entry into transit
or destination
countries

Migrants (including refugees and asylum seekers) have been increasingly unable to entertransit and destination countries, as restrictions have been progressively implemented
and/or strengthened.
Impacts have been felt acutely in specific sectors, such as agriculture during harvest
seasons, and global food supply chains have been disrupted.

Stay in transit
and destination
countries

Impacts on migrants have been profound, especially for the most vulnerable in societies,
who are without access to social protection and health care, and have also faced job loss,
xenophobic racism and the risk of immigration detention, while being unable to returnhome. Further, refugees and internally displaced persons in camps and camp-like settings
are subject to cramped and poor living conditions that are not conducive to physicaldistancing and other COVID infection-control measures.

Return to countriesof origin

Border-closure announcements in some countries caused mass return to origin for fearof being stranded without income or access to social protection. The inability to return
has resulted in large numbers of migrants being stranded around the world. Some States
implemented mass repatriation operations, but many others have been unable to affordor organize repatriations, leaving migrants at risk.

Source: McAuliffe, 2020.

Issues arising from COVID-19 often reflect historical and contemporary emigration, immigration and displacement
dynamics and policies within country and regional settings. While this chapter is not able to cover the breadth of
impacts around the world, the short case studies in Appendix B help to show the diversity of issues and impacts
being felt by different countries. These studies cover one country per United Nations region:
•
•
•
•
•
•

Kenya (Africa) – mobility hub of East Africa;
Bangladesh (Asia) – international remittances;
Germany (Europe) – recognition of migrant/refugee skills in COVID-19 response;
Colombia (Latin America and the Caribbean) – displaced populations;
United States of America (Northern America) – hardening immigration policy and practice;Fiji (Oceania) – reliance on tourism.

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The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally

From the case studies, we can see that the pandemic’s impacts and implications can differ by country. In Fiji, forexample, the travel restrictions have devastated the tourism industry, from which the country has historicallygenerated 40 per cent of its GDP, with major economic consequences. In Bangladesh, the restrictions to movement
and closures of public services like banks, along with experiences of unemployment among its diaspora community,
have meant unpredictability in the flow of remittances, the country’s second largest source of foreign income.
In Germany, immobility disrupted long-standing migration patterns and processes, causing significant labour
shortages in key sectors such as the agriculture and horticulture. As a regional transit hub for both passengers andcargo, Kenya has been impacted significantly by major threats to the aviation industry and key export industries,
exacerbating health concerns at busy border points and impacting the food security of individuals across the region.
In Colombia, the pandemic has heightened political tensions and the conditions of precarity among its growing
displaced population, prompting a mass regularization initiative and the need for greater humanitarian assistance.
Further details are in Appendix B.

Forced immobility
Aspiring migrants were severely affected by COVID-19-related border closures and travel restrictions. As discussed
above, virtually all countries introduced some form of restrictions on entry early in the pandemic. Four majorinterrelated measures acted to slow, or even stop, migration: (a) border restrictions/closures; (b) visa programme
disruptions; (c) quarantine measures; and (d) no/limited flights. Integral to the achievement of halting mobility was
the closure of borders to all but essential travellers. People were prevented from leaving their home countries
due to border closures and exit restrictions imposed by their own governments, but especially by the entry
restrictions of destination countries. Countries introduced such restrictions despite WHO’s recommendations not
to implement travel restrictions, following the International Health Regulations (IHR) agreed by WHO Member
States.34 The IHR state a preference for borders remaining open and for controls being put in place in only
very limited circumstances,35 which include not only public health issues, but also national security or emergency
situations.36
The IHR are consistent with existing human rights law, which provides for the right to leave any country and returnto one’s own country.37 The implementation of departure restrictions preventing States’ own citizens from leaving
are of special historic significance, given that in the post-Cold War era such restrictions were limited to a few
authoritarian countries prior to COVID-19.38 The right to leave one’s own country under international law does
not come with a corresponding right to enter another country, and the decision to let in most migrants (usually
exercised in the form of entry visas) is made at the State level, on the basis of bilateral relations in the context ofpolitical, economic and other considerations.39 Based on the principle of non-refoulement, this should not apply to
refugees. Nevertheless, during the pandemic countries even excluded asylum seekers from entry at land borders
and pushed them back into countries of transit. It is worth noting that while exceptions to travel restrictions
were commonplace for essential workers based on economic considerations (e.g. agricultural workers), few suchexceptions were made on the basis of human rights considerations.40
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

Ferhani and Rushton, 2020. The current IHR, as agreed by Member States of WHO, were revised after SARS. The IHR institutionalize
the concept of “global health security”, stressing that the security of individual States is dependent on the security of all.
Ibid.; Greenaway and Gushulak, 2017.
Chetail, 2020; Ponta, 2020.
As per the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UNGA, 1948) and the Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (UNGA, 1966).
Czaika et al., 2018.
Stringer, 2004.
Chetail, 2020; Crawley, 2020; Gonzalez Morales, 2021.

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Indeed, asylum seekers, refugees and other displaced people were disproportionally affected by travel restrictions.
Asylum seekers were routinely blocked from making claims at borders in the context of the pandemic. For
example, in April 2020, hundreds of Rohingya were left stranded in the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea after
their boats were turned away by Malaysia, citing fears over the virus.41 Similarly, along Europe’s Mediterranean
coastline people were increasingly pushed back, with analysts noting that while such practices occurred prior to
COVID-19, the pandemic was used as a means to further legitimize these operations.42 In some countries, travel
restrictions resulted in the reduction of irregular migration and asylum claims.43 In other countries, governments
voiced COVID-related concerns not only for border closures, but also for the militarization of borders, which led
to an increase in irregular migration and migrant smuggling.44 Migrants’ vulnerability increased, especially when notsupported by measures aimed at the protection of vulnerable populations in the context of ongoing humanitariandisplacement.45 Restrictions also limited the access to basic public goods, including health care, for migrants witha structural dependence on neighbouring countries’ public services through cross-border migration, such as in thecase of Venezuelans’ dependence on Colombia’s public health-care system.46
Migrants around the world became stranded in transit and destination countries for reasons that go beyond
international travel restrictions. Loss of jobs and income, lack of employment, lack of flights, loss of residence
permits and lack of resources to return home are among the factors that have affected mobility.47 Many migrant
workers were held in crowded workers’ accommodation in environments ripe for the rapid spread of disease,as they were held in limbo waiting for their destination countries to reopen,48 or faced harsh restrictions on
movement while living in migrant worker dormitories with little or no possibility of return.49 In West and Central
Africa, 25,000 migrants became stranded in detention centres with no option but to wait for borders to reopen.50
In North African countries such as Libya, and Gulf countries such as Saudi Arabia and Yemen, detained migrant
workers faced ill treatment and unhygienic living conditions.51 In parallel, COVID-19 outbreaks were detected incamps or migrant reception centres in the United States,52 Greece, Malta, Germany and the Netherlands.53 In somecountries, such as Portugal, people in immigration detention were released due to public health concerns related
to higher risks of transmission within facilities.

Return and quarantine
Border closures also trapped thousands of migrants, who lost their jobs or were in fear of losing their jobs,
preventing them from returning home. In developing countries, returning populations included migrant workers who
had established themselves in destination countries that were within the vicinity of their countries of origin, suchas was witnessed in South-East Asia when thousands of migrant workers departed Thailand to the Lao People’s
Democratic Republic, Cambodia and Myanmar early in the pandemic.54 Migrants tried to escape from the virus
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54

IOM, 2020d; BBC News, 2020.
Al Jazeera, 2020a; Crawley, 2020.
OECD, 2020.
Freier et al., 2021.
Ibid.; MMC, 2021; UNODC, 2020.
Freier, 2020.
IOM, 2020l.
ABDI et al., 2021.
McDonald, 2021.
IOM, 2020l.
OHCHR, 2020a.
Center for Migration Studies of New York, 2020.
ECDC, 2020.
Thepgumpanat, 2020.

164

The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globallyitself, as well as economic hardship, given that the lack of social protection for many migrant workers would meanthat not returning to their home countries (and suffering job loss in destination countries) would risk starvationand homelessness.55 The pandemic created such despair that migrants decided to return home to countries they
had fled due to socioeconomic hardship. However, not all migrants could successfully return, either independentlyor through repatriation schemes sponsored by their governments. For example, thousands of Nepalese workers
were left stranded at different points of the 1,700 km border with India after complete lockdown was imposed inthat country.56 Tensions also emerged between destination countries and origin countries that were unwilling or
unable to provide repatriation flights.57 In some cases, such as the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, governmentseven refused to grant their own citizens unlimited access to their territory.58
Rather than impose blanket limitations on mobility and migration, some countries moved towards a more targeted
and indirect form of control: quarantine. Many States imposed 7- to 14-day periods of isolation on people arrivingfrom locations seen to have a prevalence of the pandemic and who might pose a risk to the home population.
Quarantine regimes allowed for residents to return home, for example, but often at substantial financial cost,which some analysts argued was designed as a disincentive to return.59 Some quarantine regimes applied to entire
countries, causing resentment among those coming from parts of those countries little affected by the virus, whileother regimes were implemented at subnational levels.
In some countries, returning migrants were criminalized. In the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, the Government
initially criminalized returnees as “bioterrorists” guilty of the transmission of the virus,60 and proceeded to jail its
own returning citizens who tried to bypass official border crossings. Also, upon return, the mandatory quarantines
were often carried out in unhealthy conditions, in some cases without access to running water and health-careservices; returnees were often locked in government facilities without certainty about the timing of their release.
These situations resembled arbitrary detention rather than protection measures.61

Return from the Gulf ­– but now what?
On 7 May, Kerala waited with bated breath for the first Vande Bharat repatriation flight from Abu Dhabi toland at the Cochin International Airport. At 10:57 p.m., Air India touched down on the runway with 177
Malayalis. Television cameras zoomed into the arrival terminal exit to catch a glimpse of the first passenger
to step out of those glass doors. What was his or her story? Terminated from his company or expiry of job
visa? Pre-existing medical conditions or a wife who is pregnant? COVID-positive or not? Whatever be thereason, the expat has got to be relieved to return, for sure.
That was two months ago.
Today, his sense of relief has been replaced by something more sinister. The compulsory quarantine period
is over; the voluntary self-isolation week is also complete. It’s not the likelihood of mortality that’s worrying
him now. He’s faced with a deeper, disturbing fear – what next?

55
56
57
58
59
60
61

IOM, 2020l.
Al Jazeera, 2020b.
Information in this paragraph is from Cole, 2020.
OAS, 2020.
Taylor and Mills, 2020.
La Vanguardia, 2020.
Grattan, 2020; HRW, 2020a; OAS, 2020.

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“We knew things were turning for the worse when my salary payment started to get delayed from February
itself,” says Shelton Das, 36, who was working in the sales section of a prominent real estate company inDoha. “My wife, who is a nurse, also had February’s salary pending. Once COVID-19 struck, her clinic cut
down her hours and days of work. It was an excuse to reduce her salary. My company terminated five of us
within a week after that. We were stuck with two kids aged 4.5 and 1.5 years, my mother-in-law was also
staying with us. We had already booked our tickets home for the summer in April. But that got cancelled
without refund. The second time, friends and family back home wired the money to us. Even the vehicle I
owned in Doha there was no time to sell, so I transferred the ownership to a friend of mine.”
Shelton is now living with his parents, older brother, his family and an unmarried younger brother, all in thesame house. “Where can I go?” he asks. His wife’s family supported him during the quarantine phase by giving
them a house to stay in. “But I can’t depend on either of our folks to support my family. I have to go back or
re-migrate to some other country. I have no options here.”
According to Irudaya Rajan, professor, Centre for Development Studies, Trivandrum, it is not the first timethat Malayali NRIs [non-resident Indians] in the Gulf are being forced to return. “We had the Iraq–Kuwait
invasion in the 1990s, the enforcement of the Nitaqat law in Saudi Arabia and the recessions in Dubai – all ofwhich caused scores of Malayalis to return. Also, the concept of ‘return’ is a certainty for all Gulf Malayalis.
Unlike in the West, these countries do not offer permanent resident status. So even if he has worked therefor 30 to 40 years, he still has to return.”
Source: Abridged extract from George, 2020.

Increased vulnerability
Migrant workers who stayed in their destination countries, and particularly low-paid workers employed in theinformal economy and/or in economic sectors that were highly affected during lockdowns, often faced significant
economic hardship. This has been especially true for migrants from developing countries caught in destination
countries without social welfare systems, as is typically the case in the Gulf region and parts of South-East Asia.62
Loss of income impacted the quality of life of the migrant population in diverse aspects, such as access to andquality of housing, but also affecting the possibility of sending remittances to their families. Additionally, migrants (inparticular, irregular migrants) were often excluded from public benefits, including health insurance or unemployment
insurance,63 and irregular migrants were especially excluded from health services or feared approaching hospitals or
health institutions for fear of being detained or deported.64
Additionally, xenophobia and especially anti-Asian racism rose worldwide, with some mass media, public figures andpolitical groups erroneously linking migrants to the spread of the virus.65 Hate and discrimination against migrants inmany countries globally was exacerbated due to misinformation and fears associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.
Since the beginning of the pandemic, numerous xenophobic incidents, on the basis of real or perceived national
origin, have been reported.66 In May 2020, the Secretary-General of the United Nations referred to COVID-19related incidents as “a tsunami of hate and xenophobia”.67
62
63
64
65
66
67

ADB Institute et al., 2021.
Martin and Bergmann, 2020.
Zambrano-Barragán et al., 2021.
HRW, 2020b.
OHCHR, 2020b.
UN SG, 2020.

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The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally

All of these issues negatively affected the mental health of migrants worldwide. As mentioned above, migrant
populations tend to have less access to health care, including services related to mental health, while there are
specific stressors affecting this population.68 Some migrants are on the front line, working in essential sectors. This
includes both high-skilled migrants (particularly in the health-care sector) and low-skilled migrants (for example
care workers, hospital cleaners, security guards and workers in agriculture or in retailing, particularly supermarkets).
More vulnerable migrants have lost their jobs and are homeless or forced to live in overcrowded conditions.
Also, being in irregular situations, lacking social support networks from family and friends, and not understanding
the language of the destination country are factors that worsen the emotional situation of migrants worldwide.
International students, who were often left stranded in destinations after their institutions moved to off-campus
learning, also faced financial and emotional hardship. In countries where student housing closed down due tolockdown, many international students had to find and pay for a place to live on their own, without strong support
networks in their destination countries.69

Longer-term migration and mobility implications of COVID-19
As highlighted in the preceding section, some of the most disturbing impacts of the pandemic on migrants are
related to forced immobility and resultant vulnerabilities arising from radical shifts in the imposition of emergency
powers,70 thereby creating a high degree of uncertainty and instability persisting well beyond the initial phaseof COVID-19. Some commentators have questioned whether the so-called “age of migration” may be coming
to an end, brought about by the pandemic intensifying some important longer-term trends, such as the growth
in autocratic tendencies that restrict diversity in populations and fuel anti-immigrant sentiment.71 The growth inmisinformation and disinformation (e.g. false news) related to COVID-19 – the so-called “misinfodemic”72 – hasalso underscored the emergence of tech-enabled tribalism used to deliberately undermine and obscure the many
benefits of migration in the modern era,73 making the environment for post-pandemic migration and mobility
recovery more challenging.
We have also witnessed the initial impacts of the pandemic being highly variable, depending upon location within the
global system. Variations in demographic structures include situations where older populations have higher mortality
rates than youthful populations; varying seasonal, climatic and air-quality conditions; and the uneven effectivenessof policies and government responses. In terms of control of migration and mobility, all of these factors have been
important. The recessions in some developed destination countries, and the related restructuring of economies,
may well result in a decline in international migrant numbers, with profound implications for countries of origin.
While economic impacts have been uneven globally, there is no doubt that COVID-19 has reduced migration. The
most recent international migrant stock estimates indicate that migration has been sharply disrupted, with migrant
stock lower by around 2 million globally compared with (pre-pandemic) long-term trends.74 With this in mind, two
aspects are likely to have significant long-term implications for what migration and mobility will look like in years
to come: socioeconomic impacts and deepening digitalization.

68
69
70
71
72
73
74

IOM, 2020e.
Beckstein, 2020.
Chetail, 2020; Ponta, 2020.
Gamlen, 2020; Castles and Miller, 1993; de Haas et al., 2020.
“Misinfodemic” combines the concepts of misinformation and pandemic. See WHO et al., 2020.
Gyenes and Mina, 2018; McAuliffe et al., 2019.
UN DESA, 2021a.

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Socioeconomic impacts
The long-term socioeconomic impacts of COVID-19 are potentially as great as the acute public health issues,
with response measures designed to cushion the socioeconomic impact ranking high on international and national
agendas. It is estimated that around 49 million people worldwide could be pushed into extreme poverty in2020 because of COVID-19.75 The pandemic has already revealed and exacerbated pre-existing socioeconomic
inequalities, including those of migrants, and will also affect their countries and communities of origin.76 Despite
migrants’ contributions to the pandemic response worldwide,77 migrants risk being particularly vulnerable as labour
markets contract and job opportunities tighten significantly.
Despite the initially projected 20 per cent decline in international remittances globally for 2020 (made in April 2020
by the World Bank),78 the annual data show that there was only a slight dip in remittances globally (2.4% decrease)in 2020, down from USD 719 billion in 2019.79 International remittances displayed resilience, with some corridors
posting record highs. Four key factors appear to have affected international remittances:
(a)

(b)
(c)

(d)

the move from informal channels to formal channels, as COVID-19 has seriously impacted or closed off
informal remittance channels, such as carrying cash across borders and increased digitalization of remittanceflows;80
the fact that migrants remit more in times of crisis to home countries and communities, when they are able;81
the “maturity” of key migration corridors, as more established diaspora were able to maintain more stableeconomic conditions and managed to continue sending money, unlike some newer corridors with migrants inmore precarious economic and immigration status situations, less able to build reserves;82 andthe fact that essential workers in affected countries often have high shares of migrants, which softens overall
increases in unemployment rates of migrant worker populations.83

The revision of the global projections indicates that informal remittances, not included in official statistics, werelikely to have been higher than previously imagined.84 This is supported by household survey results in somecountries that indicate an overall decline in remittances received during COVID-19 (households not distinguishing
between formal and informal), despite formal remittance channels remaining high.85 This is also supported by somecountries (e.g. Mexico, Bangladesh, Pakistan) posting record high inflows by the end of 2020 due to formal channel
uptake.86 Impacts on inflows, however, have not been not uniform, with countries hardest hit over the short tomedium term including those that have very high reliance on international remittances as a share of GDP (such as
in Central Asia). Further, countries with concentrations of migrant workers located in deeply affected sectors, suchas travel and tourism, are also facing negative impacts to a greater degree than other countries. However, it is also
important to note that we are witnessing some remittance corridors (such as those from the United States andthe United Kingdom to Pakistan) shift out of necessity from informal remittances (such as cash being brought back
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86

Mahler et al., 2020.
Crawley, 2020.
IOM, 2020f.
Ratha et al., 2020.
World Bank, 2021.
Bradbury et al., 2021; Dinarte et al., 2021; Jawaid, 2020.
Kalantaryan and McMahon, 2020.
The Kenyan diaspora in North America, for example, sent far larger amounts in remittances compared with the amounts sent from
Kenyan migrants in other regions (Oucho, 2021). See also IFAD, 2021; Mandelman and Vilán, 2020.
Foresti, 2020; Oxford Business Group, 2020.
World Bank, 2021.
Avdiu and Meyer, 2021.
IOM, 2021b.

168

The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globallyhome on return trips) to the use of formal remittance channels via money transfer operators and banks.87 This isjust one example of COVID-19’s digitalization multiplier effect.
Long-term trend analysis of international remittances, including recent COVID-19 impacts, is included in Chapter 2(global) and Chapter 3 (regional) of this report.

Complex digitalization of migration, including via artificial intelligence
Alongside other key domains, international migration as a growing phenomenon in recent years and decades
is increasingly affected by digitalization processes and related technological advances. Migration scholarship has
resulted a rich body of knowledge on the impacts of technology throughout history.88
In migration policy and practice, there has been significant investment by States in digitalization and automation overrecent years (and in some cases, decades), to realize efficiencies and manage significant increases in volume, among
other applications. Digitalization has impacted all aspects of migration management, such as information collection/dissemination, visa application and processing systems, border management systems, identity management (e.g.
biometrics) and identity documents, integration support and related programming, integrity checking, complianceand fraud prevention, and refugee resettlement. Profound technological change was deepening before COVID-19,
but has significantly intensified during the pandemic, as States, industries and communities have needed to adapt
quickly.
At the same time, we are witnessing the intensification of the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in migration. While
AI has increasingly being deployed in migration management settings since at least the 1990s, initially in visa entry
and border processing systems, but increasingly throughout the entire migration cycle (see Chapter 11 of thisreport), the pandemic has intensified the race for AI solutions to the rolling COVID-19 crisis. This has been mostevident in the public health context and its intersection with mobility. Contact tracing, population surveillanceand quarantine tracking have been quickly developed as digital tools, albeit with remarkably different efficiencies
in terms of policy implementation, building on recent developments in machine learning such as those related tofacial recognition and biometric analysis. The implications for privacy during and after the pandemic is a topic ofintense scholarly and policy interest.89
Migrants themselves are using the new technologies in innovative ways and a recent focus has been on the realmof information and communications, and how migrants, potential migrants and their families and networks engage
with migration through ICT (including mobile money transfers).90 The focus on ICT and migrants was heightened
during the 2015–16 mass migration to and through Europe, when online apps were heavily relied upon by migrants
during their journeys.91
The intensification of reliance on digital solutions brought on by the pandemic, as States, industry, communities andthe migrants themselves needed to adapt quickly to physical isolation and immobility, has presented challenges, butalso demonstrable opportunities and efficiencies. On the one hand, greater digitalization offers improved access
87
88
89
90
91

Dinarte et al., 2021; Iqbal, 2020; IOM, 2020g; IOM, 2021b.
The industrial revolution, for example, spawned Ravenstein’s “laws of migration” in late nineteenth century United Kingdom (Ravenstein,1885).
Humer and Taylor, 2020; Privacy International, 2020.
Metykova, 2010; Nedelcu, 2013.
McAuliffe, 2016; Sanchez, 2018; Zijlstra and van Liempt, 2017.

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to virtual platforms for work, study and socialization, as well as for information dissemination in real time. Digitalplatforms enable a great diversity of inputs and experiences to be communicated through practical inclusion;
examples include United Nations and other multilateral engagements on COVID responses, the proliferation of
COVID online information platforms, COVID webinars, online conferences and virtual workshops, as well as theincrease in day-to-day virtual meetings and initiatives transcending geographic divides. On the other hand, challenges
such as the rise in surveillance tech capabilities by States, the inequality of access to digital solutions and initiatives(the so-called digital divide), as well as the increasing need for people to demonstrate “digital literacy” in navigating
everyday life, pose difficulties for many migrant groups, including those who have been displaced. Further, indications
are that States and industry are increasingly turning to automation and AI for key sectors, such as agriculture andsocial care, in order to minimize risk and reduce labour costs in a post-COVID-19 world (and in anticipation of
the next “big one”).

Strategic migration futures and COVID-19: is it too early to predict?
COVID-19 came at a time of tremendous global change, when decades-old systems, standards andassumptions about security, politics and economics were already being challenged.a In assessing what
migration and mobility systems might look like in the future, it is important to situate them within the
broader systemic change that is acting to shape, facilitate and impede responses by both government andnon-State actors. While it is too early to determine the key features of migration in future decades, andthe extent to which these systems have been reshaped by COVID-19, three significant geopolitical andtechnological transformations remain central in strategic analysis of migration futures (see Chapter 1 of thisreport for discussion):
(a)
(b)
(c)

Technological advances since 2005 resulting in the so-called “fourth industrial revolution” are profoundlychanging how social, political and economic systems operate globally;b
Increased competition between States is resulting in heightened geopolitical tension and erosion ofmultilateral cooperation;cIntensification of ecologically negative human activity: overconsumption, unsustainable economic
growth, resource depletion and biodiversity collapse, climate change.d

Profound technological change was deepening before COVID-19, but has significantly intensified during
the pandemic, including in relation to migration and mobility. The environment of intensifying competition
between key States (and involving a larger number of States) is rendering international cooperation via
multilateral mechanisms more difficult;e however, the finalization and implementation of the Global Compact
for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration demonstrates the importance of migration to the vast majority ofStates.f While COVID-19 has dampened human activity in key spheres (e.g. transportation/travel), enabling a
mini environmental recovery,g it may just be a pause. Intense human activity may rebound once the pandemic
is over, wiping out the pandemic-related environmental benefits.
a
b
c
d
e
f
g

Muggah and Goldin, 2019.
Friedman, 2016; Schwab, 2016.
Menon, 2015.
UNEP, 2019.
Natalegawa, 2020.
Newland et al., 2019.
Arora et al., 2020.

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The Great Disrupter: COVID-19’s impact on migration, mobility and migrants globally

Conclusion
Taking stock of the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic one year after the WHO declaration in mid-March 2020highlights just how much migration and mobility have been disrupted, and how sustained the disruptions have been.
COVID-19 has not only taken millions of lives globally; it has changed our daily lives. No community has been left
untouched by the pandemic, but for people who had migrated, been displaced and/or were part of a highly mobile
group of workers/travellers prior to COVID-19, the likelihood of having been directly affected by the pandemic is
especially high. Aside from health-related impacts, many became trapped in immobility and unemployment, without
income support or other social protection. COVID-19 has led to large-scale stranding of migrant populations, withsome experiencing destitution, detention and abuse.
International travel is no longer taken for granted by those who had previously experienced easy access to mostof the world.92 Those with “strong” passports enabling visa-free travel to large sections of the globe have been
unable to travel, with many States being on “high-risk country” lists and their citizens banned from entering othercountries. The inability to travel, the loss of income and the high degree of uncertainty experienced by many inhigh-income countries provides an insight into the daily lives of many of the world’s poor before the pandemic.93
That some of the most marginalized in our communities were also the most essential during a time of crisis should
further underscore the systemic and increasing inequality brought about by unbalanced economic, fiscal and social
systems.94 Whether these experiences will enable empathy to inform responses designed to “build back better”
remains to be seen. Ultimately our pattern of increased consumption of travel may prove to be unsustainable.
The manifestations of COVID-19-related impacts and implications will, without any shred of doubt, vary significantly
across different locations. This has been highlighted in the country-level case studies that cover each of the six
United Nations regions (see Appendix B). The country case studies show that during its first year, COVID-19 posed
very significant challenges to migration systems (especially the regulation of mobility) and had highly variable impacts
on migrants, including displaced populations, that related to underlying pre-pandemic socioeconomic, geographic
and political contexts and histories. The pandemic is by no means over, with new challenges emerging regarding
vaccination roll-outs, virulent new variants, and public fatigue and impatience at ongoing COVID-19 measures. And
yet, the first year has shown us that COVID-19 massively disrupted migration and migrants around the world, while
also placing high demands on how such impacts were being measured, so as to inform responses to what was (is)a rapidly evolving global health emergency.
In terms of disruptions to migration and mobility systems, and migrant populations globally, analysis of the firstyear has highlighted that:•

The imposition of emergency powers resulted in major disruptions right the way through the migration cycle,
as the previously widely accepted norms considered to be cornerstones of international mobility wereset aside by countries very early in the pandemic. The right to leave one’s country (including for protection
reasons), as well as the right to return to one’s country, were both upended; the principle of non-refoulement
as a cornerstone of human rights globally was severely tested or set aside, including by some of the initialarchitects of the international protection system.95 On the one hand, the desire to return to the pre-pandemic

92
93
94
95

See, for example, the Henley Passport Index (Henley & Partners, 2019).
McAuliffe and Bauloz, 2020; McAuliffe et al., 2017.
Crawley, 2020; Hickel, 2020.
At the time of writing, for example, the United States continued to maintain Title 42, allowing for expulsion of non-citizens at borders
on the basis of health emergency grounds.

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“normal” with more predictable travel, visa, border and migration systems is clearly evident in many parts of
the world, especially those that rely heavily on high mobility, such as destinations for international tourism.
Reopening migration-related services and offices and the dismantling of total or strict travel bans is being
carefully considered in the context of new variants and vaccination programming. On the other hand, deepening
digitalization and the rapid development of technologies to support greater automation suggest that for somemigrant workers there will be no return to normal, as industry and governments seek to expand digitalizationfor efficiency, responsiveness and risk mitigation, thereby reducing reliance on migrant workers.
•

Previously held assumptions concerning high mobility within migration systems, including the supply of essential
goods and services, point to longer-term globalization as well as pervasive inequalities that are deeply
rooted in modern-day societies around the world. Structural settings and barriers shaping migration
patterns, as well as exploitation of migrant workers over recent years and decades, were laid bare during theearly stages of the pandemic, in which many industrialized economies needed to ensure that travel exemptions
were provided for some of the most marginalized international labour (e.g. seasonal migrant workers). For origin
countries, the extent of the consular assistance needs of citizens working and living overseas highlighted how
quickly migrant workers can find themselves in situations of vulnerability, especially in countries that provide
little or no social protection to non-citizens. This placed additional strain on countries battling to contain thevirus at home, while also responding to citizens overseas. Contrary to predictions, some origin countries posted
record high international remittances, as migrants and diaspora turned to formal digital channels to help support
families back home during the crisis – further highlighting the extent to which international labour flows andremittances are shaping societies and economies.

•

The pandemic further exposed harsh realities in relation to forced migration, displacement andhumanitarian response. While travel exemptions for essential workers became key features in many domestic
policy settings, similar exemptions were not routine for people seeking protection. Borders remained closed
and, in some countries, expulsions were enabled by the use of emergency powers based on health concerns. In
other countries, however, measures such as mass regularization programmes, release of people from immigration
detention and wide access to health care regardless of immigration status demonstrated the primacy of publichealth for entire populations.

ADRIAN KITIMBO
AMANDA LUCEY
MEHARI TADDELE MARUWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

6

173

PEACE AND SECURITY AS DRIVERS OF STABILITY,
DEVELOPMENT AND SAFE MIGRATION1Introduction
In early 2020, as COVID-19 was beginning to spread globally, United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres
appealed for a global ceasefire, calling on all warring parties to “silence guns” and focus on fighting a pandemic that
had left no country untouched.2 The Secretary-General’s words recognized that despite an ongoing global healthcrisis, insecurity, violence and conflict continued to ravage many countries across the world, with catastrophic
implications for millions of people.
In addition to the terrible loss of lives, injuries and destruction of property that result from conflicts, many people
who live in these settings are also often compelled to leave their homes, communities and even countries in searchof safety and security. In 2020 alone, there were 26.4 million refugees and 4.1 million asylum seekers globally.3
Additionally, in the same year, an estimated 48 million people were living in internal displacement due to conflict andviolence,4 the highest figure on record. This is by no means a new phenomenon. In the last decade, the number ofpeople displaced due to armed conflict, violence and various forms of persecution has increased by more than 100
per cent,5 while global peacefulness has deteriorated in the same period.6 Conflicts are now responsible for mosthumanitarian needs globally, and by 2030, an estimated two thirds of the world’s poorest people could potentially
live in societies that are highly insecure, conflict-ridden or violent.7 Currently, almost nearly 86 per cent of theworld’s refugees are hosted in developing countries.8
Conflicts have also undermined the ability of many countries to make progress on development, to the point oferoding previous gains. These realities have placed the need to address the underlying causes and dynamics ofconflict and to foster more peaceful societies high on the global agenda. This is most clearly reflected in several
global processes and outcomes, notably the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), with SDG 16, for example,
committing States to promoting “peace, justice and strong institutions”.9
While conflicts have undoubtedly proliferated in recent years, some countries remain much less affected byinstability, conflict and violence and have greater levels of peace and security. These countries and the people wholive in them enjoy overall higher levels of human development, including economic prosperity, and are much less
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

Adrian Kitimbo, Research Officer, IOM; Amanda Lucey, Senior Project Leader, Institute for Justice and Reconciliation; Mehari Taddele
Maru, Professor, Migration Policy Centre at the European University Institute.
UN, 2020.
UNHCR, 2021.
IDMC, 2021.
Ibid.
IEP, 2020.
World Bank, 2020.
UNHCR, 2021.
See goal 16 of the SDGs, UN DESA, n.d.

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Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration

likely to experience unsafe forms of migration or displacement caused by conflict. For example, people from stable
and wealthier countries are highly mobile and mostly do not have to make the agonizing decision as to whether toembark on irregular migration journeys under life-threatening conditions, as do many people from fragile and lessdeveloped countries. This is not an accident. People from developed and peaceful societies have a wider variety ofoptions for safe migration and mobility, unlike those from more fragile contexts, whose options are much more
limited. To some degree, access to regular migration channels depends not just on a country’s economic standingor status and how it interacts with the broader international community, but also on how safe, prosperous andstable it is.10 The “lottery of birth” means that people from less peaceful and underdeveloped countries are at agreater disadvantage when it comes to access to safe migration and mobility options (see Chapter 7 of this reportfor a trend analysis of migration patterns in terms of the Human Development Index).11
Recent international agreements, such as the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration and the
Global Compact on Refugees, have been developed in response to these realities and challenges. In addition tocommitting States to reducing negative and structural drivers of migration, such as conflict, violence and climatechange, the Global Compact for Migration stresses the need to support legal migration pathways, which areespecially needed by people living in countries affected by conflict and underdevelopment, and who are often theones compelled to undertake irregular and unsafe journeys.12 The Global Compact on Refugees, meanwhile, also
complements other efforts by the United Nations in areas such as migration, peace and security, conflict prevention
and peacebuilding.13 Further, in recognition of the ever-growing number of refugees and asylum seekers globally,
the Global Compact on Refugees seeks to foster “more cooperation in distributing the responsibility of hostingand supporting the world’s refugees”.14
This is the context within which this chapter discusses the links between peace, security, development andmigration. Using existing evidence and research, it explores the interaction between conflict, instability andinsecurity; development; and migration, showing that instability or conflict feed negatively on development andhence drive displacement, asylum-seeking and unsafe migration. The chapter seeks also to go beyond these obvious
and well-documented links to show how migration can contribute to stability and development and thus mitigate
the conditions that lead to irregular migration and displacement.
The next section provides a brief overview of the context and key concepts relevant for this chapter. This isfollowed by analysis of the links between peace, security, migration and development, using recent data andinformation from key indices, including the Global Peace Index (GPI), the Human Development Index (HDI) andthe Fragile States Index (FSI). The chapter also discusses current initiatives, responses and challenges to fostering
peace and security, before providing conclusions.

The relationship between peace, security and development
Peace, security and development are complex concepts that need to be unpacked before they can be operationalized
and the links between them explored. Conventionally, peace has been defined as the absence of war, conflict orviolence within or between countries.15 However, this conceptualization (negative peace) has long been challenged
10
11
12
13
14
15

McAuliffe et al., 2017.
Ibid.
UN, 2019.
UNHCR, 2018.
Newland et al., 2019.
See Galtung, 1969; Höglund and Kovacs, 2010.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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as insufficient to understand fully what peace entails. There is a broad consensus that peace also encompasses a
range of factors that entrench it (positive peace), such as justice, human rights and accountability, among otherfactors.16 The meaning of “security” has also evolved over time from its traditional focus on the national security of
the State. The emergence of concepts such as “human security” was an attempt to bring together and link aspects
of development, human rights and national security.17
The three concepts – peace, security and development – have not always been seen as interlinked. Prior to theend of the Cold War, they were viewed as distinct in both policy and academic spheres.18 However, this changed
with the end of the Cold War and in light of a new political context in the 1990s.19 Since then, there has been
wide recognition that countries in which conflicts and violence are widespread also tend to underperform on
various dimensions of socioeconomic development.20 The link is also apparent in the opposite direction: low levelsof socioeconomic development are associated with high levels of insecurity and conflict. Further, it has become
increasingly clear that fostering peace and security enables development, and that development also seems toenhance stability.21
Indeed, the links between peace, security and development are broadly accepted in international development,with the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, for example, clearly reflecting this wide consensus: “there
can be no sustainable development without peace and no peace without sustainable development.” The Sustaining
Peace approach,22 which is informed by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), also stresses the significanceof inclusive and sustainable development in preventing risks of violent conflict.23 Meanwhile, the emergence of the“triple nexus” concept – the humanitarian, development and peace nexus (HDPN) – is also an effort to capture
the interlinkages between the three areas and to ensure more coherence in meeting people’s various needs andreducing vulnerabilities, while enhancing peace.24 The concept also recognizes that sustaining peace is fundamental
to meeting all the SDGs.25
While peace and security are evidently not the only factors that underpin economic growth and development,26
there is wide consensus that they are important elements in creating environments that allow countries to prosper.
Recent work by the Institute for Economics and Peace, for example, demonstrates that less peaceful countries not
only experience more economic volatility, but are also associated with poor macroeconomic performance.27 In fact,over the last six decades, per capita GDP growth in highly peaceful countries has been almost three times higher
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

27

Diehl, 2016.
See Igbuzor, 2011; Hussein et al., 2014.
Hussein et al., 2014.
Ibid.
See, for example, Collier et al., 2003.
Martínez-Solimán, 2017; Stewart et al., 2011; Geneva Declaration, 2010.
The Sustaining Peace approach is based on twin groundbreaking resolutions passed in 2016, whose aim is to help sustain peace “at allstages of conflict and in all its dimensions”, while also preventing “the outbreak, escalation, continuation and recurrence of conflict”(Ponzio, 2018).
UN, 2018.
Caparini and Reagan, 2019.
ECOSOC, n.d.
This chapter uses the term “development” to refer to both economic growth and human development, while cognizant of the fact thateven though economic growth does not always go hand in hand (or is positively correlated) with various dimensions of development
such as education and increase in per capita incomes, it is still an important element in contributing to economic prosperity, as
acknowledged by SDG 8 in that “sustained and inclusive economic growth can drive progress, create decent jobs for all and improveliving standards.”
IEP, 2020.

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Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration

than in those that are less peaceful.28 Other empirical studies on the links between prosperity and peace have foundthat peace does not just provide a “suitable environment” for economic prosperity, but that it has a “mechanical”
impact on countries’ economic prosperity, with a clear positive link between peace and economic prosperity.29
More recent research and analysis seeking to establish the relationships between the 17 SDGs finds that there is astrong positive correlation between SDG 16 (peace, justice and strong institutions) and SDG 8 (decent work andeconomic growth).30 These links extend beyond growth and are apparent in other dimensions of development; interms of poverty reduction, countries that have higher levels of peace and stability have historically outpaced thosein conflict. Conflict-affected countries have seen their poverty levels rise over the years.31 Peace, justice and strong
institutions have also been strongly linked to other key dimensions of development, such as “quality education”.32
Moreover, countries that are able to create resilient societies through inclusive and sustainable development arealso less likely to descend into crises, such as conflict, underscoring the mutually reinforcing links between peace,security and development.33 It is worth mentioning that some analysis has questioned these links, suggesting thatthe evidence showing the correlations between insecurity and underdevelopment is stronger than those between
peace and development,34 as there are several peaceful countries with low levels of development.

Conflict, displacement and irregular migration
While significant research exists on how conflict and violence can lead to irregular migration when no protection
pathways are available, we know less about how peace and security are linked to migration. We need to understandbetter the positive equation: how peace and security are related to international migration. There is a relative
dearth of literature on how peace and security not only minimize displacement and irregular migration, but also
on how they enable migration that is more regular, safe and predictable. It is unsurprising, however, that available
research and analysis overwhelmingly focuses on conflict-induced migration and displacement, given the proliferationof conflicts and violence in recent years,35 which have wrought devastation among millions of people. Indeed,
notwithstanding the fact that conflict and violence are not the only factors that contribute to displacement andirregular migration, they remain some of the biggest drivers.
Considerable research and other evidence shows how wars, conflict and violence generate threats to people’s lives,
forcing many to leave or flee their homes.36 In 2020 alone, millions of people were living in internal displacement
driven by conflict and violence in nearly 60 countries and territories, most of these low- and middle-income
countries (LMICs).37 In recent years, research has shown that a combination of factors, including conflict, politicalinstability and economic insecurity, are behind the significant increase in the number of people attempting to enter
Europe via irregular means, including during the so-called “2015 European migration crisis”.38 It is important to add,
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38

IEP, 2018.
Ho and Dinov, 2013.
Fonseca et al., 2020.
Hong, 2015.
Fonseca et al., 2020.
World Bank, 2018a.
Denney, 2013.
See Appendix A on trends and drivers of conflict.
See for example Schmeidl, 1997; Castles, 2006; Hayes et al., 2016; Adhikari, 2013.
IDMC, 2021.
Cummings et al., 2015.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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however, that many who entered Europe via irregular channels were subsequently recognized as refugees. Research
explains how conflict and persecution were the main reasons given for embarking on irregular migration journeys
by the majority of people from Afghanistan, Eritrea, Iraq, Somalia, the Sudan and the Syrian Arab Republic whoentered Europe irregularly in 2015 and 2016.39 These dynamics are not limited to people resorting to irregularentry to Europe. The recent increase in irregular arrivals in the United States of America from Northern Triangle
countries — including El Salvador, Honduras and Guatemala – has also largely been attributed to high levels ofinsecurity and unprecedented levels of violence orchestrated by gangs and other criminal organizations.40 However,
it is important to stress that conflict and violence are only part of the story; irregular migration is a complex
process that often involves a range of factors, including socioeconomic and political dimensions.41 The limited natureof regular migration channels for people in low-income and fragile contexts, for example, is another important
determinant of irregular migration.42

Key Definitions
Irregular migration
Movement of persons that takes place outside the laws, regulations or international agreements governing the entry intoor exit from the State of origin, transit or destination.
Regular migration
Migration that occurs in compliance with the laws of the country of origin, transit and destination.
Displacement
The movement of persons who have been forced or obliged to flee or to leave their homes or places of habitual residence,in particular as a result of or in order to avoid the effects of armed conflict, situations of generalized violence, violations ofhuman rights or natural or human-made disasters.
Source: IOM, 2019a.

A tale of two different migration experiences
Access to regular migration channels remains highly unequal, with citizens of certain countries enjoying muchgreater migration and mobility options than those from other countries. This gap – in terms of who can and cannot
access regular migration channels – is related to several factors, including socioeconomic, political and security
reasons. Unlike nationals from low-income and politically unstable countries, citizens of more privileged countries
that are both politically stable and economically prosperous are often able to travel visa-free or, where visas are
required, are more likely to be granted visas and entry permits.43 As some analysis points out, those who do notneed visas tend to be considered low risk and “desirable”, while people from more fragile contexts are perceived
as posing a greater risk – often linked to overstaying or security – and are regarded as “undesirable”, and thus aremostly required to apply for visas prior to entry.44
39
40
41
42
43
44

Aksoy and Poutvaara, 2019.
Carlson and Gallagher, 2018; Clemens, 2017; MSF, 2017.
McAuliffe and Koser, 2017; de Haas, 2011; Jayasuriya, 2014.
McAuliffe et al., 2017; Triandafyllidou et al., 2019.
McAuliffe et al., 2017; Neumayer, 2005.
Neumayer, 2005.

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Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration

Early research on visa restrictions, analysing how these controls perpetuate uneven access to foreign countries,
concludes that “for passport holders from OECD [Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development]
countries the world appears in easy reach with relatively few restrictions imposed. But for passport holders frompoor, authoritarian countries with a history of violent political conflict, travel remains severely restricted.”45 A
separate study on visa waiver programmes finds that while these schemes have greatly increased since the late1960s, they have not benefited everyone.46 Non-OECD countries, especially fragile and underdeveloped countries
in Africa, have not only been excluded from the expansion of waiver programmes, but saw their mobility rights
decline in 2010 when compared to 1969.47 The 2020 Henley Passport Index and Global Mobility Report bear thisout, showing that while there has been a significant increase over time in the number of countries an individual
can visit without needing a visa beforehand, this trend has largely been driven by high-income countries, with lowincome countries remaining static.48 Additionally, States in conflict have seen their scores substantially deteriorate
over the last 10 years, with countries such as Yemen and the Syrian Arab Republic ranking toward the bottom of
the passport index.49
Other recent analysis examining who gets a United States B visa further underlines these dynamics, showingthat nationals of poorer countries were less likely to be granted short-term travel visas than those of wealthiernations.50 As the gross domestic product (GDP) of a potential migrant’s country of origin increased, the rate ofvisa denial decreased. The costs of applying for visas reveal broadly similar patterns, with large disparities in visa
prices across the world.51 Citizens of politically unstable and poorer countries are subjected to much higher visa
prices compared with those from wealthier and more stable countries. This, some argue, further deters citizens
from certain countries from accessing regular migration channels to wealthier destinations.52
The Global Compact for Migration, the most comprehensive framework for cooperation on international migration,is partly a response to the lack of avenues for regular migration and the increased concerns over unsafe andirregular migration. Addressing irregular migration is a key component of achieving the Global Compact’s overall
goal of safe, orderly and regular migration; among its shared responsibilities, for example, the Global Compact
aims “to facilitate safe, orderly and regular migration while reducing the incidence and negative effects of irregularmigration through international cooperation…”53 Several Global Compact commitments have a direct bearing on
irregular migration, such as “ensuring that desperation and deteriorating environments do not compel them to seeka livelihood elsewhere through irregular migration” (objective 2). The Global Compact further aims at “ensuring
security for States, communities and migrants, and facilitating safe and regular cross-border movements while
preventing irregular migration” (objective 11).54 Most notably, objective 5 of the Global Compact commits States
to enhancing the “availability and flexibility of pathways for regular migration”.55

45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55

Ibid.
Mau et al., 2015.
Ibid.
Henley & Partners, 2020.
Ibid.
Zhou, 2020.
Recchi et al., 2020.
Ibid.
UN, 2019.
Ibid.
Ibid.

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Understanding the links between peace, fragility, migration and development
International migration by citizens of peaceful and economically prosperous countries is largely safe, orderly andregular. By contrast, migration by many citizens of low-income and insecure settings is more likely to be unsafe
and irregular, often propelled by crises.56 Almost half of all international migrants from low-income countries were
asylum seekers or refugees.57 Further, mass movement and displacement events in low-income, fragile contexts havecharacterized some of the most significant inflows to several high-income countries in recent years. For example,
the 2015/16 mass migration to Europe or the recent large movements from the Northern Triangle countries ofCentral America to the United States comprised citizens from politically unstable and developing countries, manyof whom embarked on irregular journeys to reach their destinations.
Table 1 illustrates some of these dynamics, showing how peace and fragility are correlated to development anddisplacement.

Table 1: Global peace, State fragility, human development and displacement (selected countries)
Global Peace
Index (GPI),
2021 Rank

Fragile States
Index (FSI),
2021 Rank

Human
Development
Index (HDI),
2019 Rank

Iceland

1

177

4

10

New Zealand

2

176

14

67

Austria

6

166

18

33

Canada

10

171

16

192

Singapore

11

165

11

116

Japan

12

161

19

162

Norway

14

178

1

21

Sweden

15

172

7

41

Australia

16

170

8

40

Germany

17

167

6

242

Bhutan

22

96

129

7,219

United Kingdom

33

150

13

259

Costa Rica

39

149

62

1,033

Botswana

41

122

100

344

Sierra Leone

46

45

182

14,151

Uruguay

47

158

55

455

Chile

49

144

43

2,792

France

55

159

26

222

Country (in GPI
rank order)

56
57

UN DESA, 2021.
Ibid.

Refugees andasylum seekers(country oforigin), 2020

Number of
IDPs (conflictand violence),
2020

5,500

180

Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration

Country (in GPI
rank order)

Global Peace
Index (GPI),
2021 Rank

Fragile States
Index (FSI),
2021 Rank

Human
Development
Index (HDI),
2019 Rank

Refugees andasylum seekers(country oforigin), 2020

Number of
IDPs (conflictand violence),
2020

Republic of Korea

57

159

23

854

Dominican Republic

82

107

88

4,806

Bangladesh

91

39

133

83,583

China

100

95

85

283,451

Côte d'Ivoire

103

28

162

71,815

Bolivia (Plurinational
State of)

105

73

107

1,923

Guatemala

111

59

127

170,668

242,000

Thailand

113

87

79

3,918

41,000Uganda

114

24

159

19,136

1,000

Myanmar

131

23

147

1,096,724

505,000

Ethiopia

139

11

173

276,3932,060,000

Mexico

140

90

74

127,137

357,000

Colombia

144

61

83

152,008

4,922,000

Nigeria

146

12

161

426,0132,730,000

Mali

148

19

184

175,730

326,000

Russian Federation

154

74

52

97,133

1,100

Libya

156

17

105

Somalia*

158

2

Iraq

159

20

South Sudan

160

Syrian Arab
Republic

161

Yemen
Afghanistan

427,000
308,000

23,034

278,000

868,351

2,968,000

123

574,121

1,224,000

4185

2,193,685

1,436,000

3

151

6,782,383

6,568,000

162

1

179

54,904

3,635,000

163

9

169

2,833,569

3,547,000

A number 1 ranking
means

Very highpeacefulness

Most fragile
country

Very highhumandevelopment

A low ranking
means

Very low
peacefulness

Least fragile
country

Low humandevelopment

Sources: Global Peace Index 2020 (IEP, 2020); Fragile States Index 2020 (Fund for Peace, 2021); Human Development Index 2019 (UNDP,
2020); Refugees and asylum seekers (UNHCR, 2021); IDPs (IDMC, 2021).
Note:
Somalia is not ranked on the HDI.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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Several key aspects are evident from Table 1. First, countries that rank highly on the Global Peace Index (GPI) tend
to perform well on the Human Development Index (HDI), a composite measure of countries’ performance acrossseveral dimensions, including health, education and a decent standard of living. While there are some exceptions,with countries such as Sierra Leone, Bhutan and Botswana ranking relatively highly on the GPI, but exhibiting low
human development, the general trend seems to suggest that higher human development goes hand-in-hand withhigh levels of peace.
Second, countries that rank towards the bottom of the Fragile States Index (FSI), thus being more stable, seemto have high levels of human development, with those that are highly fragile – in almost all cases – associatedwith low HDI. Also clear, however, is that not all countries that are stable or with low fragility have high humandevelopment. In other words, stability does sometimes coexist with low HDI, suggesting perhaps that stability is anecessary, but not a sufficient factor for development.
Third, countries that score high on the peace index also produce fewer refugees and asylum seekers, and havea lower number or are completely without conflict-induced internally displaced persons (IDPs). The number ofrefugees and asylum seekers that originated from countries such as Singapore, Sweden, Chile or the Republic ofKorea in 2019 starkly contrasts with the number of those from less peaceful countries such as Myanmar, Ethiopia,
Yemen and South Sudan. This reality is especially acute in countries such as the Syrian Arab Republic, whose
protracted conflict means that more than half of its population is still forcibly displaced.58 A closer look at wheremost refugees and asylum seekers are hosted mirrors this trend; while refugees and asylum seekers comprised only
about 3 per cent of all international migrants in high-income countries, this number was as high as 50 per centin low-income countries,59 partly a reflection of the fact that several low-income countries are in proximity withcountries in conflict and continue to bear most of the burden of hosting the vast majority of refugees. These glaring
differences – between high-income, peaceful countries and more fragile and less developed countries – are also
visible in the number of conflict-induced IDPs. Less peaceful countries, perhaps unsurprisingly, have a much larger
number of conflict-induced IDPs, with countries such as South Sudan, Afghanistan and Somalia having millions of
IDPs in 2020, while more stable countries, such as Uruguay, Japan and Botswana recorded zero conflict-induced
IDPs in the same year.60 These observations further underpin how peace and security not only help to foster
development, but also contribute to less volatile population movements.
While the number of migrant workers is not reflected in Table 1, their distribution across various regions andincome groups further illustrates how peaceful and economically prosperous countries foster migration by choice,which is regular and more predictable. For example, while the number of international migrants from both lowincome and high-income countries has increased over the last 20 years, in the former, this growth has largely
been driven by displacement. In high-income countries, however, migrant workers have significantly contributed
to much of this increase in international mobility.61 This is especially the case in the European Union (EU), where
people are highly mobile, often motivated by work-related factors such as employment and higher wages.62 Highincome countries remain the major destinations for migrant workers and in 2019, of the 169 million migrant
workers globally, 67.7 per cent were employed in these countries, while only 3.6 per cent were employed in lowincome countries.63 Migrant workers in high-income countries were largely concentrated in Northern, Southernand Western Europe (almost 24%) and Northern America (around 22%).64
58
59
60
61
62
63
64

UNHCR, 2021.
UN DESA, 2021.
IDMC, 2021.
UN DESA, 2021; Strey et al., 2018.
Ibid.
ILO, 2021.
Ibid.

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Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration

Community stabilization and the prevention of displacement
As conflicts have increased in recent years,65 efforts to foster peace and stability have taken on heightened importance.
Through various peacebuilding initiatives and approaches, there has been a particular focus by internationalorganizations on addressing the drivers of conflict and violence, and seeking to prevent countries previously in
conflict from falling back into crisis. The adoption of ideas such as the HDPN across various organizations reflects
these efforts, as the nexus seeks “to better address both the immediate needs of people affected by conflict as wellas the underlying causes of protracted crises.”66 Organizations such as IOM regularly work alongside other United
Nations agencies to contribute to various system-wide peacebuilding efforts on the mobility dimensions of crises
and sustaining peace.67 This has encompassed key areas such as displaced persons and host community relations;elections support to governments in expanding migrants’ access to electoral processes in their countries of origin;preventing violent extremism (PVE), covering aspects such as supporting at-risk youth and providing psychosocial
prevention and recovery services; and, importantly, community stabilization.68
Community stabilization, a non-coercive approach to restoring stability at a community or local level in contexts
affected by crises, has particularly emerged as central to peacebuilding efforts. Community stabilization is increasingly
seen as key to helping communities to transition away from crisis, while laying the foundations for achieving durable
solutions.69 This approach seems to have emanated from the broader concept of “stabilization”. While stabilization
has no universal definition, some conflict analysts have defined it as “efforts to end social, economic and political
upheaval, and reconstruction, which includes efforts to develop or redevelop institutions that foster self-governance,social and economic development, and security, are critical to securing political objectives before, during, or after
conflict.”70 Other researchers stress that despite lacking a unifying definition, what is clear is that the application of
the concept is increasingly limited to several realistic and pragmatic activities and objectives instead of promoting
democracy or building liberal States.71 Some analysts contend that stabilization is rooted in the nexus between
insecurity, underdevelopment and fragility, and explain that it “problematises instability in terms of weak governanceand poverty, and therefore responds to instability accordingly.”72
Community stabilization, in the context of migration and displacement, aims to both lessen “the likelihood of (re)emergent crises and further displacement” and build “resilience at community levels towards destabilizing influencesin future”.73 Through community stabilization organizations such as IOM seek “to provide assistance to governments,
States and communities undergoing significant socioeconomic and political changes during and following a crisis,
in order to (re)establish stability and security, prevent further forced migration, restore trust among community
members, vulnerable populations and local authorities and lay the foundations for durable solutions, lasting peaceand sustainable development.”74
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74

See Appendix A on trends and drivers of conflict.
Interpeace, n.d.
IOM, 2020.
IOM, n.d.a.
Grundy and Zingg, 2020; IOM, 2020. A durable solution is achieved “when IDPs no longer have specific assistance and protectionneeds that are linked to their displacement and such persons can enjoy their human rights without discrimination resulting from theirdisplacement.” See for example IASC, 2010.
Bensahel et al., 2009.
Pedersen et al., 2019.
Carter, 2013.
Grundy and Zingg, 2020.
IOM, 2016.

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The community stabilization approach to peacebuilding cuts across multiple sectors and employs various initiatives
in responding to the drivers of insecurity and instability. These include supporting local governance capacity,
improving access and provision of essential services such as education, water and health, and resolving grievances,among others. Importantly, to ensure its success and sustainability, community stabilization is community-owned
and driven, with communities and vulnerable populations such as refugees and IDPs empowered to play key rolesat all stages of project design, implementation and monitoring.75 Community stabilization has proven especiallyeffective as a peacebuilding approach, not only because it involves affected local communities and populations inefforts to restore peace and stability, but also because it is adaptable, with initiatives designed to respond to thespecific and evolving needs and challenges of fragile and crisis contexts.76 Community stabilization programmes
have been implemented in several States undergoing conflict-related crises, most recently in countries such as
Chad,77 Iraq78 and Somalia.79 Further, these initiatives can and have also been applied not just in communities, butalso in migrants’ transit routes and areas of settlement. It is worth pointing out, however, that while community
stabilization has become increasingly important in peacebuilding efforts, targeting or implementing this approach
can be difficult in some contexts, particularly those highly impacted by or at risk of large-scale irregular outward
migration. Moreover, while community stabilization is fit for purpose at a microlevel, given that it is a localized
approach, other interventions are required at a macrolevel, since many of today’s conflicts and insecurity issues
that drive irregular migration and displacement are macro in nature. In other words, both global/regional and local
interventions are needed.

Lebanon: Building relationships between refugees and host communities throughcommunity stabilization activities
In various parts of the globe, IOM’s work focuses on building relationships between groups, particularly
displaced populations and host communities, in order to ease tensions and prevent violent incidents fuelled
by, among others, perceived differences and relative deprivation. An example of this work is conducted in
Lebanon, where many displaced persons from the Syrian Arab Republic are hosted.
Over the years, basic services have been insufficient to cover local communities and the displaced population.
Integrating refugee youth has been particularly difficult in northern Lebanon, where refugee communities
have been blamed by host communities for the rise in crime and increased environmental degradation.
IOM implemented a project funded by the Government of Canada from 2017 to 2019 in Lebanon to reduce
tensions by promoting a culture of constructive collaboration through activities such as road rehabilitationand clean-up campaigns, among others. The project also reinforced local government’s and civil society’s
capacity to respond to and mitigate tensions. Beneficiaries reported that the activities enabled communities
to broaden their networks and create new relationships with members of different communities. It wasnoted that the relationships that were built led to changes in perceptions about other groups, contributing
to a reduction in tensions.
Source: Abridged excerpt from Lukunka and Grundy, 2020.

75
76
77
78
79

IOM, n.d.b.
IOM, 2016.
IOM, 2020.
IOM, 2019b.
Grundy and Zingg, 2020.

184

Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration

Migrants as active players in peace and security
The discourse on diaspora engagement in peacebuilding has often focused on migrants’ negative roles in peace andsecurity, such as fuelling conflict, exacerbating tensions and even representing security threats to their countriesof origin.80 Such discourses, however, fail to adequately acknowledge the wide-ranging nature of diaspora, or are
limited by their focus on small elements within these communities.81 This has been changing over time, and thediasporas are increasingly seen as key to various peacebuilding efforts in conflict-affected countries. In particular,
their knowledge of local customs and traditions, as well as their in-depth understanding of ongoing conflicts,
are a comparative advantage to non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and aid agencies.82 The diasporas’ vasttransnational networks, as well as their ability to pull together significant financial resources, also enable them tomake positive impacts on their countries of origin.83
There is growing research and analysis on the various ways that migrants have contributed to peace.84 One avenue
has been through activism, with the diasporas, for example, campaigning against ongoing conflict and speaking out,
raising awareness and drawing attention to issues in their countries of origin. The Irish diaspora activities in the
United States during the 1980s and 1990s have often been cited as an example of successful campaigning andlobbying for political involvement of their countries of destination and residence to help speed up peace processes
in their country of origin or heritage.85 Efforts by various other diaspora groups, such as the political activism ofZimbabwean migrants in the United Kingdom to bring about socioeconomic and political changes in their countryof origin, have also been well documented.86

Refugee-led South Sudanese NGOs and peacebuilding in Ugandan refugee settlements
Uganda is home to nearly 900,000 refugees from South Sudan, who fled the civil war that broke out in 2013.
Prior to the creation of a unity government in 2020, delays in the implementation of peace agreements signed
in 2015 and 2018 had troubled prospects for the return of refugees to South Sudan, but they also fuelledrefugee-led grassroots advocacy, education and peace work in refugee settlements. Refusing to rely solely onpolitical leaders and international institutions, civil society actors strategically focused most of their efforts on
the grassroots, proactively attempting to build “the South Sudan we want”, starting in Ugandan settlements.
Sensitizing refugee populations on political processes surrounding the 2018 peace agreement is a key priority
for South Sudanese civil society in Uganda. Through information sessions and workshops in settlements, where
access to information and the Internet is often limited, refugee-led organizations shed light on the details of
the agreement and provide a space for participants to openly express their views on the implementation
process, including their doubts and frustrations. When possible, organizers relay this information to decision

80
81
82
83
84
85
86

Nordien, 2017; Toivanen and Baser, 2019.
Féron and Lefort, 2019.
Nordien, 2017.
Osman, 2008.
Freitas, 2012; Turner, 2008; Leung et al., 2017.
Vanore et al., 2015.
Kuhlmann, 2010.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

185

makers. Yet the work of South Sudanese groups in Uganda does not stop at high-level negotiations and peaceagreements, or at sensitizing refugee populations about their content. With international funding, grassroots
peacebuilding initiatives aim to impart non-violent conflict resolution skills and to lessen ethnic stereotypes
through cross-cultural dialogues and performances, as well as through projects aimed at mitigating hatespeech.
Abridged excerpt of Gatkuoth and Leter, 2020.

In addition to activism and raising awareness, migrants have also facilitated peace processes – either as negotiators
or as active participants in talks – in which they act as bridge-builders and foster constructive dialogue. Theircontextual knowledge can help mediators locate various parties engaged in conflict, while sometimes also being
able to urge these groups to take part in peace negotiations.87 Their insights, as research has shown, play a
big role in inspiring confidence and trust among both those involved in conflict, as well as mediators.88 The
Afghan diaspora, for example, continues to be very active in its home country’s peace processes, including byorganizing and participating in peace talks.89 Migrants from several countries, such as Somalia and the Sudan, arealso making significant contributions to peace processes and negotiations in their countries of origin.90 These efforts
have also extended to areas such as transitional justice, where they can and have bolstered processes of truth
and reconciliation.91 Migrants’ contributions to peacebuilding have also encompassed restoring and creating key
institutions, such as diaspora agencies,92 which may not have existed or may have been undermined during conflict.93
In addition to engaging in discussions and in drafting key political documents and legislation that may determine acountry’s political future,94 migrants have also returned to run community and social cohesion programmes, been
appointed to key roles in government or run for political office, as was notably the case in countries such as Latvia
and Benin.95
Perhaps migrants’ most documented peacebuilding contributions are those directed toward post-conflictreconstruction and development. As this chapter has already suggested, just as peace is fundamental to driving
development, so is development fundamental to sustaining peace. Migrants’ contributions to development, including
to countries transitioning from conflict, are longstanding and have been studied over several decades. International
remittances, for example, have been widely researched and shown as fundamental not only to supporting families
and local communities, but also as important economic assets at a macrolevel, making up large shares of GDP
in some countries.96 As shown in Figure 1 below in low- and middle-income countries, remittances exceed bothofficial development assistance and foreign direct investment97 – see Chapter 2 of this report for trend analysis ofinternational remittances globally.
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97

Vanore et al., 2015.
Ibid.
Schlein, 2019.
Brinkerhoff, 2011.
Haider, 2014; Wiebelhaus-Brahm, 2016.
Schöfberger, 2020.
Vanore et al., 2015.
Ibid.
BBC News, 2019.
McAuliffe et al., 2019.
World Bank, 2021a.

186

Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration

Figure 1. Remittances, foreign direct investment (FDI) and official development
assistance (ODA) flows to low- and middle-income countries, 1990–2020(USD billion)
800

FDI
600

400

Remittances

200

ODA
2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

0

Source: World Bank, 2021a.

Further, there is evidence showing that for people in some settings, particularly those in economic distress or incrisis and at risk of conflict, an increase in remittances can reduce the risk of conflict.98 Remittances, it is argued,
can diminish incentives for civil war in times of economic distress by helping to address the welfare needs of citizens
when States are unable to do so.99 In line with these findings, some researchers have shown that by reducing poverty
and shoring up both average incomes and human capital, remittances discourage and disincentivize violence andthereby lessen violent social and civil strife.100 In other words, with improving economic prospects, individuals areless likely to engage in violence.101 Even where countries are already in conflict, remittances seem to play a positiverole, contributing to a de-escalation of hostilities. Relatively recent work on whether remittances can “buy peace”
demonstrates a negative causal effect on both the incidence and continuation of conflict, as remittances diminish orchange the incentives for engaging in civil war.102 It is important also to acknowledge, however, that remittances are
not always associated with activities that foster peace or reduce conflict. Some research has, for example, linked
these contributions to supporting armed groups or rebel movements.103 Some have also noted the negative effect ofremittances on the quality of a country’s governance, lowering civic engagement in some contexts and, as a result,diminishing the quality of institutions.104 Beyond remittances, migrants’ other contributions to development, such as
through investment in diaspora bonds, innovation and entrepreneurship, human capital stocks (including returningwith new and specialist knowledge, skills and expertise) and helping to fill labour shortages also remain hugely
important to peacebuilding.105 Additionally, migrants’ “social remittances” or the ideas, values and practices that theybring with them106 can also “contribute to local attitudes that are more receptive to peacebuilding processes”.107
98 Regan and Frank, 2014.
99 Ibid.
100 Hassan and Faria, 2015.
101 Ibid.
102 Batu, 2019.
103 Brinkerhoff, 2011.
104 Abdih et al., 2008.
105 McAuliffe et al., 2019.
106 Levitt, 1998.
107 Vanore et al., 2015.

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Conclusion
There have been substantial international efforts in recent years to foster migration that is safe, orderly and regular.
The Global Compact for Migration, adopted by most United Nations Member States in 2018, is a culmination ofand a significant step forward in such efforts. Migration by choice that is safe and more predictable, as this chapter
has demonstrated, is in fact the norm for citizens in many countries that enjoy high levels of peace and stability.
This is what we have sought to explore and underscore: to provide a better understanding of the connections
between peace, security, development and migration and to engage a perspective that is often missing in discussions
on population movements.
This chapter does not overlook or ignore some of the negative determinants of migration, notably conflict andviolence. It would be impossible to explore how peace and security enhance more predictable population movements
without discussing how the absence of peace and security undercuts and even impedes the kind of migration weall seek to see. Rather, in addition to demonstrating how conflict and underdevelopment result in displacement andirregular migration, our aim and key contribution lies in showing how peace and security underpin and are indeed
a prerequisite for migration that is safe, orderly and regular.
Irregular migration and displacement remain key areas of concern for governments across the world. The devastating
stories and images of migrants suffering abuses and even death during irregular migration journeys, coupled withthe significant increase in displacement due to conflict and violence, continue to dominate international headlines.
Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, many people have continued to embark on dangerous journeys across theMediterranean and the Red Sea, for example, with hundreds dying or going missing along the way. As the worldcontinues to grapple with such humanitarian disasters, and as various actors, including policymakers, consider how
to respond and prevent such tragedies from happening in the first place, it is important to reflect on how andwhy citizens of some countries are less affected by such events and are much more able to remain internationallymobile without undergoing the same harrowing experiences.
This chapter answers these questions by demonstrating that peace and security are key to understanding these
dynamics and differences in migration experiences. Peace and security, where they are present, not only enable
population movements that are more predictable and less defined by displacement, but also play a major role indriving economic growth and development which, in turn, also reduces irregular migration and lessens the possibilityof countries falling into conflict. As the evidence suggests, conflict-induced displacement and irregular migration are
simply much less present in highly peaceful and economically prosperous countries. What is also clear is that citizensof these countries, unlike those in unstable and fragile States, enjoy much more access to regular migration channels.
Addressing the underlying factors that drive conflict and violence is vital to building and maintaining peaceful andstable societies, which in turn foster migration that is safe. This chapter has highlighted some of the pragmatic
peacebuilding initiatives, such as community stabilization, that have proven key within the context of migration anddisplacement to building and sustaining peace at a local level. We have also demonstrated how migrants, througha range of activities, contribute to peacebuilding. They do this by advocating for peace, through mediation, building
public service institutions, and supporting their families and communities through remittances. Examples includedin this chapter illustrate some of these key contributions.

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Peace and security as drivers of stability, development and safe migration

Looking ahead, it will remain important for all relevant actors – including governments and internationalorganizations – to further acknowledge as well as harness the many positive and unique contributions that migrants
can and continue to make towards peace, stability and development. Further, it is critical for all key stakeholders tocontinue working towards the implementation of both the Global Compact for Migration and the Global Compact
on Refugees, as central to both Compacts is a commitment to fostering peace by reducing and preventing negative
drivers of migration, such as conflict and violence. The Global Compact for Migration’s call for broader legal andregular migration pathways, moreover, has also never been more urgent, and its implementation will help narrow
the gap in terms of who can and who cannot legally and safely access travel abroad or migrate to foreign countries.

Page left intentionally blank

MARIE MCAULIFFE
GUY ABEL
LINDA OUCHOADAM SAWYERWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

7

191

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION AS A STEPLADDER
OF OPPORTUNITY: WHAT DO THE GLOBAL DATAACTUALLY SHOW?1Introduction
International migration is strongly associated with opportunity for positive advancement, most typically in economic
terms. A long-standing, influential international migration narrative is deeply intertwined with the notion of
betterment, whether this relates to individual attainment, household income or community resilience and coping
strategies.2 People migrate for better lives. This has long been a cornerstone of international migration research,
analysis and policy:

Like many birds, but unlike most other animals, humans are a migratory species.
Indeed, migration is as old as humanity itself. … A careful examination of virtually any
historical era reveals a consistent propensity towards geographic mobility among men
and women, who are driven to wander by diverse motives, but nearly always withsome idea of material improvement.3
There are many stories of the migrant who arrived in a new country with little and managed to build a successful
business, become a respected civic leader, fund the education of an entire generation of extended family members
back home or personally achieve the highest levels of academic attainment through sustained hard work. Likewise,
we have also read complaints from some critics about people moving to access welfare regimes or certain jobs,
mostly in negative and sometimes politicized terms. While these somewhat superficial narrative examples might
be quite different in framing and perspective, they are both strongly associated with attainment and the factthat migration offers the person(s) migrating some positive and tangible benefit. In other words, it is difficult tocontemplate someone actively migrating into a worse situation. To have moved internationally and to be worse off
is more likely to be associated with “forced migration” (otherwise referred to as displacement) and can be due towar, persecution, disaster or other reasons. Unsurprisingly, displacement is strongly related to unanticipated andprofound loss.4
Beyond narratives of migration, international emigration has been a policy pursued by some national governments overmany decades as part of broader economic agendas.5 Emigration has supported the development of international
trade, diplomacy and peace, and helped to forge cultural ties as well as provide a source of foreign income. In
other countries, international immigration has been a significant policy lever in the journey of “nation building”
1
2
3
4
5

Marie McAuliffe, Head, Migration Research and Publications Division, IOM; Guy Abel, Professor at the Asian Demographic ResearchInstitute, Shanghai University; Linda Oucho, Director of the Research and Data Hub, African Migration and Development Policy Centre;
and Adam Sawyer, Independent Researcher.
Castles et al., 2014; Massey et al., 2005.
Massey et al., 2005:2.
Ayeb-Karlsson, 2020; Ibáñez and Vélez, 2008; Turton, 2003.
Lee, 2016; Premi and Mathur, 1995; Xiang, 2016.

192

International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

during a period in which international competition between States has intensified and the search for “global talent”
amplified.6
In numerical terms, the number of international migrants has grown from around 84 million globally in 1970 to
281 million in 2020, although when global population growth is factored in, the proportion of international migrants
has only inched up from 2.3 to 3.6 per cent of the world’s population.7 However, the change in the number andproportion of international migrants has not been uniform, with significant variation in migration rates around theworld. Distinct regional patterns have emerged over time (see Figure 1), often underpinned by large, historicalmigration corridors linked to geographic proximity as much as geoeconomic disparity.

Figure 1. International migrants by region 1990 to 2019: Migrants to, migrants within
and migrants from Europe, and Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC)
Migrants to, within and from Europe 		Migrants to Europe

Migrants within Europe

Migrants to, within and from Latin America and the Caribbean

Migrants from Europe

Migrants to La�n America and the Caribbean

40

Migrants within La�n America and the Caribbean

Migrants from La�n America and the Caribbean

Migrant Stock (millions)Migrant Stock (millions)

30

30

20

20

10

10

0

0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20191990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019

Year

Year

RegionAfricaEuropeNorthern America

Source: UN DESA, 2019.
Note:“Migrants to Europe” refers to migrants residing in theregion (i.e. Europe) who were born in one of the otherregions (e.g. Africa or Asia). “Migrants within Europe” refers
to migrants born in the region (i.e. Europe) and residing
outside their country of birth, but still within the European
region. “Migrants from Europe” refers to people born in
Europe who were residing outside the region (e.g. in Latin
America and the Caribbean or Northern America).

6
7

Asia

La�n America and the Caribbean

Note:

Oceania“Migrants to Latin America and the Caribbean” refers
to migrants residing in the region (i.e. Latin America
and the Caribbean) who were born in one of the otherregions (e.g. in Europe or Asia). “Migrants within Latin
America and the Caribbean” refers to migrants born in
the region (i.e. Latin America and the Caribbean) and
residing outside their country of birth, but still within
the Latin America and the Caribbean region. “Migrants
from Latin America and the Caribbean” refers topeople born in Latin America and the Caribbean who
were residing outside the region (e.g. in Europe orNorthern America).

Alarcón, 2011; Bhuyan et al., 2015; Fargues, 2011; Moran, 2011.
UN DESA, 2021. See Chapter 2 for a discussion of definitions. While internal migration (especially urbanization) has also played asignificant role in the provision of opportunities via mobility, this chapter focuses on international migration.

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We can see from Figure 1 that very distinct trends have emerged at the regional level over the last 30 years, suchas the strong preference of people from Latin America and the Caribbean to migrate to Northern America, andthe almost doubling of migration to Europe from other regions. Within these regional pictures, additional variability
is apparent at the country level, with some countries accounting for a greater share of international migrants
over time (e.g. the proportion of migrants in the United Arab Emirates has risen from 71% in 1990 to 88% in2019), while other countries face increasing emigration and declining fertility such that “depopulation” challenges
are looming (Latvia, Lithuania and Bosnia and Herzegovina all experienced more than 10% declines in population
since 2009).8
In this chapter, we examine the key questions of “who migrates internationally and where do they go?” We
analyse a range of statistical data at the country and regional levels and draw upon some of the existing body ofresearch on migration determinants and decision-making. The next section summarizes some of the key debates ininternational migration, including those in the development context. The following section presents an analysis of
migration between 1995 and 2020,9 with reference to human development, before discussion in the third section
on policy levers. The chapter then concludes by outlining some of the key policy and programmatic implications
and challenges ahead.

Concepts and context
There has been considerable research and enquiry over many decades into the reasons underpinning migration,
both internal and international, stretching back in the modern era as far as the 1880s.10 Ongoing examination of
migration drivers and factors principally involves attempts to explain migration patterns as well as the structures andprocesses that influence and shape the movement of people from one country to another. As a result, there is a
substantial body of research and analysis on the determinants of international migration that has identified multiple
factors underpinning migration patterns and processes, including those related to economics and trade, social andcultural links, demography and demographic change, and safety and protection, as well as geography and proximity.11
There has been a considerable focus on agency and structure, and how people contemplating migration navigate
through a range of “intervening obstacles”, with the number and nature of those obstacles being related to humancapability in the context of development.12 While the populist view remains that so-called “economic migrants”
are active in their pursuit of migration and exercise a considerable degree of agency, this is too simplistic. Whileacknowledging long-term evidence reflected in academic outputs on the political economy of migration, research
and analysis in more recent decades has, for example, found wide variation in the ability of labour migrants to makechoices, depending on the policy constraints and options they face; these constraints include conditions of bonded
labour, as well as labour migration that involves people trading off their rights in pressurized environments.13 For
example, the extent to which labour migrants are able to exercise self-agency and choose aspects of their migration
8
9
10
11
12
13

See the World Migration Report 2020, Chapter 3, for discussion.
The chapter draws upon international migrant stock data for 2020 (UN DESA, 2021) and human development index data for 2019
(UNDP, 2020), these being the latest data available at the time of drafting.
Ravenstein, 1885; Ravenstein, 1889.
See for example writings on cumulative causation (Massey, 1990), neoclassical economics (Todaro, 1989), world system theory (Portes
and Walton, 1981), social capital theory (Massey et al., 1987), new economics of labour migration (Stark and Bloom, 1985) and social
network theory (Boyd, 1989).
Lee, 1966; Sen, 1999.
Ruhs, 2013.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

can be heavily circumscribed, although in most circumstances some choice remains, including as to whether tomigrate, where to migrate, how to migrate, and whether or when to return home.14 Nevertheless, the ability of(potential) migrants to exercise choice in international migration can be extremely limited, depending on where
they were born and the circumstances in which they live.

Migration and the lottery of birth
Examining the overall quality of life by country, and the ability to migrate in terms of visa access, reveals thatavailability of migration options is partly related to the lottery of birth and in particular the national passport ofthe potential migrant. For instance, some nationality groups appear to be much less likely to have access to visas
and visa-free arrangements.15 Table 1 below summarizes global indices of human development (see Appendix A
for a discussion of the Human Development Index), fragility and visa access for selected countries.16 The Passport
Index, a global ranking of countries according to the entry freedom of their citizens,17 reveals for example that anindividual’s ability to enter a country with relative ease is in many respects determined by nationality. Entry accessalso broadly reflects a country’s status and relations within the international community and indicates how stable,
safe and prosperous it is in relation to other countries. The data also show two other aspects: that there aresome significant differences between highly ranked human development countries and others; and that mid-ranked
development countries can be significant source, transit and destination countries simultaneously. Nationals fromcountries with very high levels of human development can travel visa free to most other countries worldwide.18
These countries are also significant and preferred destination countries.19 Toward the bottom of the table, however,
the entry restrictions in place for these countries indicate that regular migration pathways are problematic for
citizens. Irregular pathways are likely to be the most realistic (if not the only) option open to potential migrants
from these countries. It is also important to note that low HDI countries are also much more likely to have large
populations of internally displaced persons and/or to be origin countries of large numbers of refugees.20

14 Khalaf and Alkobaisi, 1999; Ullah, 2011.
15 We note here that different types of visas involve different levels of processing and scrutiny; however, the Henley index provides a useful
synthesis of access to regular migration at the global level by country.
16 The Human Development Index is a composite index measuring average achievement in three basic dimensions of human development:
life expectancy, education and a decent standard of living. The Passport Index measures visa restrictions in place in 227 countries,
territories and areas and indicates the capacity of individuals to travel to other international destinations with relative ease. The higher
the rank, the more countries an individual with that passport can enter visa free. The Fragile States Index, produced by the Fund forPeace, is an annual ranking of 178 nations based on their levels of stability and the pressures they face. The index includes social,economic, political and military indicators.
17 Henley & Partners, 2021.
18 Ibid.
19 Esipova et al., 2018; Keogh, 2013; McAuliffe and Jayasuriya, 2016; UN DESA, 2021.
20 IDMC, 2020; UNHCR, 2020.

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Table 1. Human development, fragility and passport rankings for selected countries

Low Human
Development

Medium Human
Development

High Human Development

Very High Human
Development

Country (in HDI rank order)

Note:

Passport
Index 2021

Fragile States
Index 2020

Rank

Rank

Rank

Norway18177Germany

63

166

Australia

8

9

169

Singapore

11

2

162

Canada16

9171

United States

17

7

149

France

26

6

160

Italy

29

4

143

Malaysia

62

12

120

Sri Lanka

72

99

52

Mexico74

23

98

Thailand

79

65

82

Tunisia

95

72

95

Lebanon

92

100

40

Libya

105

101

20

Indonesia

107

72

96

Egypt

116

90

35

Kyrgyzstan

120

79

73

Iraq

123

109

17

Morocco

121

78

80

India

131

84

68

Bangladesh

133

100

39

Cambodia

144

88

55

Kenya

143

72

29

Pakistan

154

107

25

Uganda

159

75

24

Sudan

170

100

8

Haiti

170

92

13

Afghanistan

169

110

9

Ethiopia

173

96

21

Yemen

179

106

1

Eritrea

Sources:

Human Development
Index 2019

180

98

18

A number 1 ranking means:

Very high humandevelopment

Most mobile passport
citizenship

Most fragile country

The lowest ranking means:

Low human development

Least mobile passport
citizenship

Least fragile country

UNDP, Human Development Index 2019 (Human Development Report 2020); Henley & Partners, Passport Index 2021 (TheHenley Passport Index 2021, Q2); The Fund for Peace Fragile States Index 2020.
Data were the latest available at the time of writing.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

We also know, however, that nationality alone does not account for evolving migration patterns, as visa and mobility
policy settings are one (albeit important) factor in explaining who migrates and where people migrate over time.
Within the context of the broader discussions on migration drivers and the development of discernible migration
patterns over recent years and decades, models to explain migration, as shown in Figure 2, seek to account for
both structural aspects and migrants’ agency.

Figure 2. A model of the mechanisms that produce migrationLifeaspirations
Conditions
Prospects

Migration
infrastructure

Desire forchangeMigration
aspirations

Other
responses

Migration
outcomes
Failedmigration
attempts
Involuntary
immobility

Source: Carling, 2017.

Importantly, this model recognizes that a desire for change does not necessarily result in a desire to migrate, andthat where it does exist, a desire to migrate does not necessarily result in migration – the existence of migration
infrastructure21 (or lack thereof) is an important factor in migration outcomes, with migration infrastructure defined
as diverse human and non-human elements that enable and shape migration (e.g. migration “agents” operating
commercially, including smugglers; regulatory regimes and policy frameworks; technological aspects such as ICT andtransport; and transnational social networks).22
As part of this migration infrastructure, the (in)ability to access a visa can be profoundly important, not least
because it is the one element that has not radically expanded over time, unlike the marked growth in “agents”,
ICT, transport and connected networks.23 On the contrary, recent analysis shows that visa access has resulted in abifurcation of mobility, with citizens of wealthy countries much more able to access regulated mobility regimes thanthose from poor countries.24 This is important because, wherever possible, migrants will opt to migrate throughregular pathways on visas.25 There are stark differences between travelling on a visa and travelling unauthorized
without a visa. From a migrant’s perspective, the experience can be profoundly different in a number of importantways that can impact on the migrant as well as his/her family, including those who may remain in the origin country.
First, visas denote authority to enter a country and so offer a form of legitimacy when arriving in and travelling
21
22
23
24
25

Xiang and Lindquist, 2014.
Carling, 2017.
Lahav, 1999; McAuliffe., 2017a; Triandafyllidou and McAuliffe, 2018.
Mau et al., 2015.
Jayasuriya et al., 2016; Koser and Kuschminder, 2015; Maroufof, 2017; McAuliffe et al., 2017. Please note that while “regular” migration
does not necessarily require visas, the discussion refers to visas because these are often a requirement, most especially for migrants
from developing countries. In addition, the term “visa” is much more widely understood than “regular” by migrants and the generalpublic.

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through a country. A valid visa provides a greater chance of being safeguarded against exploitation. Conversely,
travelling without a visa puts people at much greater risk of being detained and deported by authorities, or
exploited and abused by those offering illicit migration services, such as smugglers or traffickers, and having tooperate largely outside of regulated systems.26 Second, travelling on visas is undoubtedly much easier logistically, as
the availability of travel options is far greater. In some cases, it can mean the difference between a journey being
feasible or not. Third, visas provide a greater level of certainty and confidence in the journey, which is much more
likely to take place as planned, including in relation to costs.27
Unsurprisingly, there is thus often a strong preference for travelling on a visa. Access to visas within decision-making
contexts, therefore, features heavily in the minds of potential migrants and has been shown to be a key factor when
the possibilities of migrating are explored while in the country of origin.28 In recent research on online job search
and migration intentions, for example, the availability of visas was found to be a determining factor in how people
conducted online job searches.29 Similarly, changes in visa settings have been found to have an impact on potential
migrants’ perceptions of opportunities afforded by migration, as well as their eventual migration.30
The intentions of (potential) migrants as part of individual and collective migrant decision-making processes has
been a significant focus of migration research and analysis for many years, and remains of particular interest to
scholars and policymakers alike.31 As highlighted in Figure 2 above, intentions do not always result in migration
outcomes, and much of the research has adopted a tiered approach to contemplations of migration that involve
different stages (such as “desire”, “exploration/planning”, ”preparation” and “down/actual payment”), finding overallthat as the process progresses over time, fewer and fewer people are able to maintain their desire and realize theirmigration intention, and those in the final “payment” category are typically very small in number and proportion.32
Intentions to migrate – even if carefully refined and nuanced – can only take us so far in understanding migration.33

Migration and development: mobility transitions and “hump migration”
The significant limitations or obstacles facing people (especially in countries with low levels of human development)in accessing visa regimes to pursue international migration is also reflected in macroeconomic analysis of migration.
One line of research on the links between “maturity” of migration and human development, for example, showsthat low-income countries have low emigration rates, an explanation being that low income levels are an obstaclein accumulating the funds needed to undertake migration, acknowledging that other factors (e.g. demography) also
play a role.34 Resource consideration is related to the concept of “involuntary immobility”, in which people who
would like to migrate internationally are unable to do so for a number of reasons, including costs.35
Further, analysis of the relationship between country income and international migration shows that emigration
increases with higher income levels, and that at a certain point, higher incomes enabling increased emigration canthen become a stabilizing influence and reduce outward migration. In other words, as GDP per capita increases,
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35

McAuliffe, 2017a.
McAuliffe et al., 2017.
Jayasuriya, 2014; Manik, 2014.
Sinclair and Mamertino, 2016.
Czaika and de Haas, 2016; Gaibazzi, 2014; Jayasuriya et al., 2016; Manik, 2014; McAuliffe and Jayasuriya, 2016.
Clemens and Mendola, 2020; Lee, 1966; McAuliffe, 2017b; Neumayer, 2010; Van Hear et al., 2012.
McAuliffe and Jayasuriya, 2016.
Tjaden et al. (2018) examined the links between intentions and migration flows, however, this is limited to a narrow and specific geography.
Clemens, 2014; Dao et al., 2018; Zelinsky, 1971.
Carling, 2002.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

emigration initially increases and then decreases. This phenomenon, depicted in Figure 3,36 has been referred to bysome analysts as the “mobility transition”.37

Figure 3. Mobility transition

Emigrant stock / population

0.15

0.1
2000
1990
1980
1970

0.05

0

1960

500

5,000

50,000GDP/capita (2005 PP USD), log scale
Source:Notes:

Adapted from Clemens, 2014:7–8.
Clemens found that overall higher economic development (higher income) is associated with
reduced emigration. Refer to Clemens (2014) for further discussion of data analysis.

As shown in Figure 3, Clemens’s analysis estimates that emigration rates start to decrease if countries rise above
GDP per capita income levels of USD 7,000–8,000, which at the time of the analysis (using 2005 GDP data)
included countries such as Ecuador, Egypt, Fiji and North Macedonia.38 Further, as income levels rise, emigration
rates decline, as illustrated by the so-called “migration hump”.39
The interaction of economic development and international migration – or “mobility transitions” – has been of
intense interest to researchers and policymakers globally, as it calls into question the commonly held notion thatoverseas development assistance will act to “stabilize” populations and dampen emigration rates from low-income
countries by providing greater opportunities at home.40 Analysts have found that economic development of lowincome countries is positively correlated with emigration: “economic growth has historically raised emigrationin almost all developing countries”.41 However, more recent analysis has found that when shorter time periods
36 Clemens, 2014.
37 Akerman, 1976; Clemens, 2014; Dao et al., 2018; de Haas, 2010; Gould, 1979.
38 See, for example, the interactive World Bank dashboard on GDP per capita (PPP) at: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.
PCAP.PP.CD.
39 Zelinsky, 1971. See discussion in de Haas (2010) of the difference between “mobility transition” and “migration hump”, which has
become confused/conflated over time.
40 Clemens, 2020; de Haas, 2010, 2020.
41 Clemens and Postel, 2018.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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are examined, the relationship between country income levels and emigration is less clear, with the finding that
economic growth in poor countries coincides with less emigration.42 This finding, however, has been hotly contested
with the discussion focusing on technical errors in modelling (please see Appendix B for further background).43
Importantly, much of the research and analysis on mobility transitions focuses on emigration from low-income
countries, almost certainly due to the preoccupation in policy and academic spheres with (irregular) migration tovery high HDI countries.44
As can be seen from Figure 3, as country income levels rise, emigration decreases, forming a so-called “hump”
pattern. However, rather than a migrant “hump” involving a trailing off of emigration rates as incomes rise, a socalled “plateau” has previously been identified by scholars who call into question the notion that emigration rates
decline as countries develop over time.45 Others have questioned the time periods applied to theorizing underlying
migration dynamics related to “humps” or “mobility transitions”.46 However, as the overall quantity and qualityof data related to migrants, human development (including economic indicators), mobility and migration policy
improves over time, it is possible that a divergent picture is emerging. One perspective shows that emigration
to and from wealthy countries is a key feature of recent migration patterns, while migration from developing
countries remains much more limited. This is highlighted in recent analyses, with particular reference to the very
wide confidence bands evident in Figure 4, meaning that we cannot be certain that emigration declines withhigher incomes; however, emigration prevalence is non-linear (meaning that there is not a straightforward positive
relationship between emigration rates and country income levels).

Figure 4. Emigration prevalence, 1960 to 2019(b) All developing countries of origin,rich destination countries only(c) Large origin countries,
rich destination countries only

0.14

0.14

0.12

0.12

0.12

0.10

0.10

0.10

0.08
0.06
0.04

Emigrant stock/population

0.14

Emigrant stock/population

Emigrant stock/population(a) All developing countries of origin,
all destination countries

0.08
0.06
0.04

0.08
0.06
0.04

0.02

0.02

0.02

0

0

0

1,000

10,00060,000GDP per capita (2011 PPP$)

Nonparametric regression

1,000

10,00060,000GDP per capita (2011 PPP$)

95% confidence interval

1,000

10,00060,000GDP per capita (2011 PPP$)

Linear regression

Source: Clemens, 2020.

42 Benček and Schneiderheinze, 2020.
43 Vermeulen, 2020.
44 See, for example, Carling et al., 2020; Czaika and Hobolth, 2016; de Haas, 2020; and Tjaden et al., 2018, which do not address
emigration from highly developed countries.
45 Martin and Taylor, 1996.
46 See, for example, discussion in de Haas, 2010; and Clemens, 2020.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

Who migrates internationally and where do they go? International migration
globally between 1995 to 2020
In seeking to answer this question, it is important to acknowledge that the ability to offer a perspective at the global
level – as part of this World Migration Report – is challenging. As widely acknowledged over many years, statistics
to support our collective understanding of international migration patterns and trends are not as well developed as
those available in other domains. However, there has been renewed interest in and action on migration statistics,
with several major initiatives launched or under way in recent years.47
While migration flow statistics are limited to specific, narrow geographies (see Chapter 2 for discussion),48 a global
picture on international migration patterns and trends can be drawn from international “foreign-born” migrant
population data.49 Analysis of long-term migrant stock trends allows for insights into where people migrate to, andwhich countries they emigrate from.50 The UN DESA statistical estimates are widely acknowledged as the main
data source on international migrants globally, with separate databases compiled on various categories of migrants(such as migrant workers, missing migrants, internally displaced persons, refugees and asylum seekers).51
Since this chapter re-examines international migration from the perspective of opportunity (or lack thereof), thecircumstances of forced displacement are set to one side, in recognition of the lack of choice and the related losses
associated with being forcibly displaced. Data on international displacement (refugees and asylum seekers) have,therefore, been subtracted from the international migrant statistics collected by UN DESA in order to produce
an estimated total of international migrant stock minus forcibly displaced.52 For a full description of the methods,
see Appendix C.
For this analysis, we have also used HDI, which allows for a complementary perspective to that provided bymacroeconomic analysis based on country income data. Such macroeconomic contributions to our understandingof global migration have analysed migration-related data against economic indicators, such as gross domestic productor the average income of a household. The outcome of this research has been fruitful, but there is a substantial
body of literature suggesting that migration is motivated by income considerations as well as a range of otherfactors.53 Just as development is more than economic, opportunity to improve well-being beyond economic aspects
affects migration trends worldwide. Our analysis, therefore, draws upon the broad set of indicators represented in
the HDI (see discussion of the HDI in Appendix A). More specifically, our analysis utilizes HDI and migrant stock
data from 1995 to 2020. Beginning the analysis in 1995 allows for the inclusion of more countries that did nothave reportable data when the HDI was first published; it also allows for geopolitical changes in Eastern Europe
following the dissolution of the former Soviet Union. At the time of writing, the most current migrant stock data
available are from 2020. However, the effects of COVID-19 on migrants and migration are likely to be significant
and may have important impacts on migration patterns well into the future (see Chapter 5 for further discussion).
47 See, for example, the International Forum on Migration Statistics (co-led by IOM, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation andDevelopment OECD, and UN DESA), the Global Migration Data Analysis Centre and the UN Expert Group on Migration Statistics.
48 Migration flow estimates are published by UN DESA for 47 countries (see UN DESA, 2021) and annually by the OECD for its 30+
member States.
49 See UN DESA, 2021.
50 Abel and Sander, 2014; IOM, 2017; IOM, 2019.
51 See Chapter 2 of this report for analysis and data sources.
52 We note that this may not include disaster and other displacement outside of the categories of refugees and asylum seekers; however,this type of displacement is not consolidated in any existing data set.
53 See discussion earlier in this chapter.

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Who has migrated?
As noted above, while the global number of international migrants has increased substantially over the past 25 years,
rising from approximately 161 million migrants in 1995 to 281 migrants in 2020, the proportion of internationalmigrants has only slightly increased, rising from 2.8 to 3.6 per cent of the global population over the intervening
years. Table 2 shows the difference between 1995 and 2020, disaggregated by United Nations region.54 Whileabsolute numbers of immigrants have increased by tens of millions across all regions, the share of internationalmigrants as a proportion of each region’s population has only marginally increased in Africa, Asia, and Latin America
and the Caribbean, while Europe, Northern America and Oceania have seen the proportion of internationalmigrants rise by around 4 percentage points or more in each.

Table 2. Immigrants by United Nations region, 1995 and 2020
RegionAfricaAsia

EuropeLatin America and the Caribbean

Northern America

OceaniaYear

Immigrant stock(millions)Immigrant share of
population (%)

1995

10.1

1.4

2020

15.8

1.2

1995

39.2

1.1

2020

71.1

1.5

1995

50.8

7.0

2020

81.7

10.9

1995

6.2

1.3

2020

13.3

2.0

1995

30.7

10.4

2020

53.3

14.5

1995

4.9

16.8

2020

9.0

21.2

Source: UN DESA, 2021.

Table 3 shows both emigrants (origin) and immigrants (destination) further disaggregated at the country level, withthe top 20 countries for each category listed in descending order. Countries in Europe and Asia feature as bothorigin and destination countries for tens of millions of migrants.

54 A breakdown of UN regions can be found in Appendix A of Chapter 3 of this report.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

Table 3. Top 20 countries of origin and destination,
by number (millions) and proportion of total population
Origin
1995

Destination
2020

Country

Emigrants(%)

RussianFederation

11.38

India

Country

1995

Emigrants(%)

Immigrants

7.1 India

17.79

1.3

UnitedStates ofAmerica

24.60

7.15

0.7 Mexico

11.07

7.9

RussianFederation

Mexico

6.95

7.0

10.65

6.8

Ukraine

5.60

9.9 China

9.80

Bangladesh

5.37

4.5 Bangladesh

China

4.70

UnitedKingdom

2020
Immigrants(%)

United
9.3 States ofAmerica

43.43

13.1

11.91

8.0 Germany

14.22

17.0

Germany

7.28

9.0 Saudi Arabia

13.00

37.3

0.7

India

6.69

0.7

RussianFederation

11.58

7.9

7.34

4.3

France5.96

10.3

UnitedKingdom

8.92

13.1

0.4 Pakistan

6.14

2.7

Ukraine

5.77

11.3

United ArabEmirates

8.43

85.3

3.61

5.9 Ukraine

6.05

12.2

Saudi Arabia

4.94

26.5 France

8.09

12.4

Pakistan

3.33

2.6 Philippines

6.01

5.2

Canada4.69

16.1 Canada

7.81

20.7

Kazakhstan

3.30

17.2 Poland

4.82

11.3

Australia

4.11

22.9 Australia

7.41

29.1

Italy

3.20

5.3

UnitedKingdom

4.62

6.4

UnitedKingdom

3.99

6.9 Spain

6.63

14.2

Germany

3.04

3.6 Indonesia

4.58

1.6

Kazakhstan

2.89

18.3 Italy

6.13

10.1

Turkey2.73

Venezuela,
4.5 Bolivarian
Republic of

4.49

13.6

Pakistan

2.46

2.0 Ukraine

4.57

10.4

Philippines

2.43

3.4 Kazakhstan

4.20

18.3

China, Hong
Kong SAR

2.09

34.4 India

4.48

0.3

Indonesia

1.93

1.0 Romania

3.98

17.1

Côte
d'Ivoire

2.02

14.2 Thailand

3.53

5.1

Portugal

1.91

15.9 Germany

3.85

4.4

United ArabEmirates

1.78

73.6 Kazakhstan

3.39

18.1

Morocco1.88

6.5 Egypt

3.57

3.4

Italy

1.70

3.0 Malaysia

3.08

9.5

Poland

1.76

4.4 Turkey

3.28

3.7

Israel

1.55

29.5 Kuwait

2.98

69.8

2.85

38.1

RussianFederation

Country(%)

Country

Belarus1.74

14.7 Morocco

3.25

8.1

Jordan1.53

China, Hong
33.4
Kong SAR

Republic of
Korea

1.68

3.6 Italy

3.25

5.1

Argentina

1.51

4.3 Jordan

2.69

26.4

Afghanistan

1.67

8.5 Viet Nam

3.07

3.1

Uzbekistan

1.43

6.3 Japan

2.49

2.0

HDI:
Low
Sources:
Note:

MediumHigh

Very High

UNDP, 2020; UN DESA, 2021.
Uzbekistan did not receive an HDI score until 2000. At that time, the HDI classified Uzbekistan as a medium HDI country.
As per UN DESA definitions, emigrants are “foreign born” such that major political changes (e.g. 1947 Partition, dissolutionof the Soviet Union) can be reflected in data (further discussion of definitions can be found in Chapter 2). Some categories
of international migrant are not included (see methods in Appendix C).

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Between 1995 and 2020, only a few countries changed from being among the top 20 migrant origin countries(with Portugal, Belarus, the Republic of Korea and Afghanistan included among the top 20 in 1995, but replaced by
2020 by the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Romania, Egypt and Viet Nam). We can see, however, that there arefar fewer medium HDI countries of origin by 2020 and no low HDI countries; however, this relates in part to thedevelopment progress by countries and their recategorization (discussed further below). The prevalence of high andvery high HDI countries as origin countries is quite stark by 2020, accounting for 16 of the 20 top origin countries.
In terms of destination countries as at 1995 and 2020, compared with the top 20 origin countries, there wasgreater change evident, with five countries dropping out of the list (Pakistan, Côte d’Ivoire, Argentina, Israel andUzbekistan), being replaced by Spain, Thailand, Malaysia, Kuwait and Japan. With the exception of the RussianFederation, Kazakhstan, India, Jordan and Ukraine, all of the destination countries in both the 1995 and 2020 top
20 lists experienced increases in numbers and proportions of immigrants over this period. Further, Table 3 shows
the substantial increase in numbers of immigrants experienced in many destination countries, most notably in
the United States of America, Saudi Arabia, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United Arab Emirates. Thishighlights that while it may be useful to discuss international migrants at the global and regional levels, there are
distinct long-term country-to-country corridors that account for large proportions of international migration,
potentially masking the extent to which migration remains highly uneven globally.55

Migration trends through the prism of human development
Current data indicate that most international migrants (79.6% or 190 million) reside in very high HDI countries.
We can see, for example, that all of the top 10 countries of destination in Table 3 are very high HDI countries,
and the majority of the remaining top destination countries in Table 3 are also very high HDI (with the rest being
high HDI countries). This is consistent with long-term trends and existing knowledge that shows that internationalmigration has developed over time as a means for households, families and communities to realize opportunities,
including substantial increases in household income via international remittances.56
The current data also highlight that most of the top 20 origin countries are very high (8) or high (8) HDI countries.
By 2020, the remaining four origin countries were medium HDI countries.
This is also shown in Figure 5 below, which clearly highlights that international migrants are concentrated in very
high and high HDI countries, being most pronounced for immigrants, but also showing significant prevalence among
emigrants. In other words, there is a lot more migration occurring in the more developed countries in the world,with lower numbers and proportions in medium and low HDI categories. Interestingly, and contrary to the mobility
transitions analysis discussed above (see Figure 3), the very high HDI countries combined have produced a highproportion of emigrants relative to the aggregate population (4.6%), which is higher than high, medium and low
HDI categories. Further, in numerical terms, very high HDI countries produced 76 million migrants, second only
to high HDI countries (86 million).

55 Migration corridors are discussed in detail and graphically present in the World Migration Report 2020, Chapter 3 (IOM, 2019).
56 Clemens and Pritchett, 2008; de Haas, 2005; Ratha, 2013.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

Figure 5. Immigrants and emigrants by Human Development Index country category, 2020
12%

Percentage of population

10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%

Low

MediumHigh

Very High

Human Development Index
Emigrants
Sources:
Note:

Immigrants

UN DESA, 2021; UNDP, 2020.
Some categories of international migrant are not included (see methods in Appendix C).

This snapshot in Figure 5 shows that many more emigrants were born in wealthier countries and seem to have
moved to other wealthier countries. Other earlier analysis, however, seems to show very different patterns to
Figure 6 below, in which 2005 HDI data are used.57

Figure 6. Association between Human Development Index scoresand immigrant/emigrant stocks, 2005
16

Percentage of population

14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

Very Low

Low

MiddleHigh

Human Development Index
Emigrants
Source:Note:

Immigrants

de Haas, 2010:4, reproduced in de Haas, 2020.
Categorization by author (not UNDP’s HDI 4 categories).

57 de Haas, 2010; de Haas, 2020.

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In Figure 6, the association between HDI and international migrants is represented, although an author-createdfifth category of “very low HDI” based on HDI scores is used (not among UNDP’s four categories), and “average
migration values” are applied rather than aggregated migrant stock and population data by category.58 Figure 5
shows that emigrants as a percentage of population are lower from high and very high HDI categories comparedwith medium HDI, which appears consistent with the “mobility transitions” analysis (Figure 3), but different to thecurrent empirical evidence in Figure 6 above.
Lower levels of emigration from low HDI countries is apparent in both figures; however, the two sets of bivariate
analyses highlight different rates of emigration from wealthier countries. To explore the difference between theemigration data for high HDI categories represented in Figures 5 and 6, we first looked at changes since 1995.
Overall, there appear to be two important but distinct change processes occurring:••Significant changes in HDI classification; andIntensifying migration to, as well as from, highly developed countries.

These are now discussed in turn.

Human development index changes since 1995: the up and up
The HDI was developed by economist Mahbub ul Haq and first used by UNDP in 1990 as the centrepiece of its
1990 Human Development Report in an effort to better encompass human aspects in the analysis of development,
previously dominated by economic indicators.59 Initially, the HDI covered 130 countries, increasing to 163 in 1995
and progressively reaching a total of 189 countries (see Table 4). All countries that have been reclassified over time
have moved into a higher classification in accordance with HDI methods, with the exception of the Syrian Arab
Republic (dropping from medium to low in 2015).60 By 2019, 66 countries (or 34%) were classified as very highHDI, and a further 53 (or 27%) were high HDI.61

Table 4. Number of countries in HDI classifications, 1995 to 2019
Classification

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2019

Very High

23

31

43

48

62

66

High

27

36

45

57

54

53

Medium

59

62

54

46

46

37

Low

54

60

59

52

41

33

No data

49

23

11

9

9

6

Source: UNDP, 2020.

58
59
60
61

de Haas, 2010.
Stanton, 2007.
See discussion on methods in Stanton, 2007 and UNDP, 2020.
Refer to Wolff et al., 2011, for criticism of HDI methods and UNDP, 2011, for the UNDP’s response.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

So, in part, we can see that reclassification of countries helps explain different migration patterns at different points
in time. However, when keeping the 1995 HDI classifications constant (i.e. not adjusting outputs for reclassifications
over time), we can also see that there are specific underlying migration dynamics occurring beyond reclassification
issues.
Figure 7 below shows the “stepladder” phenomenon over time, even when 2019 classifications are applied acrossall years (represented by the black dotted lines), so that:•

There is a marked increase in “migration to” by HDI category (graphs on the left of the series), so that very
few people migrate to a low HDI country, more migrate to a medium HDI country, more again to a high HDI
and the largest number to a very high HDI country (even when applying 2019 categories).

•

There is a distinct pattern across Figure 7, which shows that “migration from” one HDI classified country
to another category (graphs on the right) also follows the “stepladder” principle of moving up. However,reclassifications have clearly impacted on this pattern over time, resulting in a more pronounced emphasis on
the very high HDI category.

•Of particular interest is the “migration within” data (middle graphs), which show significant differences by HDI
classification: higher levels of migration to a country with the same HDI classification occur for low to low
HDI countries and very high to very high HD countries. We can also see the impact of reclassification, mostpointedly for very high HDI countries. Nevertheless, emigration both to and from very high HDI countries is
a distinct and clear feature in current migration trends.

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Figure 7. Migrants to, between and from each of the four HDI categories(low, medium, high and very high), 1995–2020– Overall total based on 2020 HDI classifications
Sources:
Notes:

UNDP, 2020; UN DESA, 2021.
“Migration to” plots refer to migration to that HDI category from the other HDI category countries; “Migration from” plots
refer to migration from that HDI category to the other HDI categories. The data points at the five-year intervals in the colour
bands reflect the HDI categorization at that time; the black dotted lines use 2020 HDI classifications across all data points(i.e. 1995 through to 2020). Some categories of international migrant are not included (see methods in Appendix C).

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

Two important conclusions can be drawn from these data:
1. It is clear that migration from high and very high human development countries to other high and very highcountries is pronounced and has increased significantly since 1995 (even accounting for recategorization ofcountries).
2. A question arises as to whether the degree of shift relevant to the migration “hump” model is as relevant
today as it previously has been – the bivariate data analysis shows correlations that would benefit from deeper
examination.
Of particular relevance is the important factor of policy, and how countries’ visa and mobility policies have evolved
over time. As highlighted in the discussion above (and modelled in Figure 2), such policies can enable migration
options to be transformed from “impossible dreams” into concrete options, and recent research has pointed to
growing mobility inequality.62 To explore this further we examine mobility agreements at the regional level (e.g. theSchengen agreement and the ECOWAS free movement protocol).

Why is understanding migration patterns important for policy development
processes?
Migration policies are developed and administered predominantly at national level and are often influenced by
the geopolitical relations between countries at the bilateral level (i.e. between two entities) and can result in
visa-free arrangements agreed between two (or more) countries. Examples of bilateral agreements include theTrans-Tasman Travel Arrangement between Australia and New Zealand,63 the Agreement on Mutual Abolition of
Visa Requirements between the Russian Federation and the Republic of Korea,64 and the Agreement between theEuropean Community and Barbados on the short-stay visa waiver,65 although many hundreds of similar bilateralarrangements currently exist.66
Policies help countries to create systems that respond to changes within a country (e.g. skills shortages), as well as
outside a country (e.g bilateral relationships), and determine who can access a country. Data are therefore important
to determine trends and flows from, to and within a region in order to inform policy processes. Countries withthe available resources, knowledge and expertise are able to capture, analyse and present data for policy responses,
especially with regard to regular migration. On the other hand, data on irregular migration occurring outside of,or in contravention of, regulated systems are based on estimations and predictions of available small-scale data
sets that can be used to inform the policy development process. However, for States to develop migration policy
processes, such as bilateral visa agreements or bilateral labour migration agreements, they require systematic
procedures to consider relevant data and trends in origin and destination countries guided by a comprehensive
analytical framework.67 To a large extent, the focus is necessarily on migration dynamics, trends and data at thecountry level, as the main focus is on bilateral negotiations and agreement-making.

62
63
64
65
66
67

Mau et al., 2015; Triandafyllidou et al., 2019.
Australian Productivity Commission and New Zealand Productivity Commission, 2012.
Government of the Russian Federation and Government of the Republic of Korea, 2020.
European Community and Barbados, 2009.
European Union, 2021.
de Haas, 2011.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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Importantly, visa policies are designed as control measures for mobility, allowing each individual country to exercise
its exterritorial control over potential entrants (e.g. business travellers, tourists, students and migrant workers).68
Given the volume and complexity of country-specific policies on the entry and stay of non-nationals, most analysis
undertaken around the world is conducted at the country level (i.e focusing on a single country). The DEMIG
project,69 however, analysed the evolution of migration policies since the 1850s with the aim of evaluating theirimpact on international migration patterns and trends. Researchers found that visa policies had evolved between
1995 and 2019, resulting in border control, entry and exit policies that were more restrictive over time.70 Other
analysis points to destination countries formulating agreements that grant free visa access to their allies, while
imposing restrictions on poorer countries or those they deem unfriendly.71 This may create more opportunities
for citizens in high HDI countries to migrate, in comparison with those in developing countries, who face more
restrictions. On a long-term basis, this could lead to systemic inequality between countries and further deepen
mobility inequality between countries and regions, while placing greater migration “pressures” that could significantly
increase human trafficking and migrant smuggling.
Strictly enforced laws and requirements may dissuade some migrants from selecting one destination over another,72
while countries with weaker regulatory regimes may unwittingly create an environment in which irregular migration
thrives due to a lack of effective regulation and adequate resources. Ensuring a safe environment for regularmigration to take place is important to reduce the risks faced by migrants who would otherwise have little choice
but to move irregularly. Free movement of persons, goods and services and a labour environment based on amutual understanding between member States can reduce some migration-related risks within regional blocs.

Regional agreements facilitating mobility
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the Schengen area have illustrated how mobility
agreements achieved through multilateral approaches, which build upon bilateral arrangements, can open up further
mobility opportunities and support development and greater equality, while reducing pressures (including thoserelated to trafficking and smuggling). They have, however, evolved differently through time, with clear contrasts inthe way free movement is implemented.
The European Union Schengen agreement has seen gradual progress since 1985, with the process of removing
internal border checks between member States taking place at the same time that the external border has beenstrengthened around the Schengen area. Notwithstanding events (such as the large-scale movement of people into
and through the Schengen area in 2015–16 and the COVID-19 pandemic) that exerted considerable pressure on
aspects of European Union border, entry and asylum/refugee policies, the Schengen agreement has remained intact,providing mobility opportunities for 400 million European citizens.73

68 Mau et al., 2015.
69 Determinants of International Migration: A Theoretical and Empirical Assessment of Policy, Origin and Destination Effects (DEMIG) was
conducted in 45 countries in Western Europe, North America, Latin America, Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, Africa and the Middle
East, Australia and New Zealand. See EC, 2016 and de Haas et al., 2016.
70 de Haas et al., 2019.
71 Czaika and Neumayer, 2017.
72 Helbling and Leblang, 2018.
73 European Commission, 2020.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

Figure 8. Schengen area member States

Source:Note:

ArchaeoGLOBE Project, 2018.
This map is for illustration purposes only. The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not
imply official endorsement or acceptance by the International Organization for Migration.

The significance of the Schengen mobility agreement can be seen in Figure 9. Though Schengen countries madeup only 39 per cent of countries classified as very high HDI in 2020 globally (26 out of 66), and a fraction of thetotal population of the aggregated total populations in very high HDI countries, the proportional growth in very
high HDI country migration was much higher for Schengen countries than non-Schengen countries between 1995
and 2020.

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Figure 9. Migration between very high HDI countries

Migrant Stock (millions)

60

40

20

0
1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

Schengen origin or destination

Schengen corridor

2020

Year
Non Schengen

Sources:
Notes:

UNDP, 2020; UN DESA, 2021.
The data points at the five-year intervals in the colour bands reflect whether the migration corridor (i) did not feature
Schengen countries; (ii) featured a Schengen country either at origin or destination; or (iii) featured Schengen countries
at both origin and destination. Designation as a Schengen country coincides with implementation of Schengen area
policies (see Schengen Visa Info, 2020). All Schengen countries are very high HDI countries.

In ECOWAS, the process of achieving free movement in the region has been an ongoing process since 1979. In theinitial years, free movement of goods, services, people and labour occurred with limited restrictions. However, as
countries in the region began to develop and as conflict arose in some member States, cross-border movements
became more restrictive as countries responded with national laws that undermined the notion of free movement.
The conflict in Liberia over competition for resources and the rise of irregular migration between member States
has weakened some of the implementation strategies adopted, as security was prioritized over the benefits oftrade.74 ECOWAS also lacked an established and efficient mechanism that could monitor trafficking of persons,weapons and drugs, among other issues. The approach to reduce irregular migration from West African States,
however, has not been to restrict mobility, but to generate greater awareness of the risks of irregular migration, as
well as to enhance the opportunities available within the region and facilitated by mobility, especially for the youth.

74 Opanike and Aduloju, 2015.

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International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

Figure 10. ECOWAS member States

Sources:
Notes:

ArchaeoGLOBE Project, 2018.
This map is for illustration purposes only. The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do
not imply official endorsement or acceptance by IOM.

Figure 11 illustrates how migration involving ECOWAS countries is almost completely made up of migration
between regional member States of the economic organization. The scale of migration is smaller compared with the
Schengen zone, and the majority of countries in ECOWAS are classified as low HDI, but despite these differences,
the same dynamics manifest in similar proportions. Out of the 10 million international migrants moving to or fromECOWAS countries in 2020, more than 6 million moved within ECOWAS. When people have the ability to movein order to obtain access to a greater range of opportunities, many will do so.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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Figure 11. Migration between low HDI countries

Migrant Stock (millions)

7.5

5.0

2.5

0
1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

Non ECOWASECOWAS origin or destination

ECOWAS corridor

Year

2020

Sources: UNDP, 2020; UN DESA, 2021.
Notes:The data points at the five-year intervals in the colour bands reflect instances in which the migration corridor (i) did
not feature an ECOWAS country; (ii) featured an ECOWAS country at either origin or destination; or (iii) featured
an ECOWAS country at both origin and destination. With one exception, membership in ECOWAS has been
consistent throughout the timeframe examined here (ECOWAS, 2021). ECOWAS includes Ghana (medium HDI);
non-ECOWAS does not include India and Pakistan.

Conclusions
The long-term narrative of migration has been based on the notion of opportunity, that people who migrateinternationally do so in order to forge better lives. Migration has become strongly associated with attainment,with social and economic progress of individuals, of families, of communities and of nations. While this may
have reflected a long-term reality stretching back well before the modern era, there may be reason to conclude
that international migration no longer affords opportunity to the degree it has historically. Current data suggestthat instead of serving as a stepladder of opportunity, international migration pathways for millions of people indeveloping countries have further narrowed.
Our analysis of global international migrant stock and HDI data show that between 1995 and 2020, migrationfrom low and medium HDI countries increased, but only slightly. The combination of migration aspirations andmigration infrastructure (or lack thereof) did not result in high growth rates of international migration from low
and medium HDI countries, even when accounting for recategorization of HDI ratings over time. This is consistent
with existing macroeconomic analyses, which show that international migration from low-income countries has
historically been very limited.

214International migration as a stepladder of opportunity: What do the global data actually show?

On the other hand, the analysis in this chapter shows that contrary to previous understandings on the migration ofpeople from high income countries – namely, that as country income levels increase above a threshold, internationalmigration rates decline – the scale and proportion of outward migration from high and very high HDI countries
has increased significantly. In fact, this bivariate analysis of migration stock across the last quarter century indicatesthat there has been a “polarizing” effect, with migration activity increasingly being associated with highly developed
countries. This correlation raises the key issue of visa access and related migration policies, especially in thecontext of migration aspirations (Figure 2) held by potential migrants around the world who may wish to realize
opportunities through international migration, but are unable to do so. New research shows that citizens of wealthy
countries are much more able to access regulated mobility regimes than those from poor countries.75
The need to reassess migration as a stepladder of opportunity has implications for the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) and the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration.76 In an environment
in which restrictive migration-related policies, such as border management, entry requirements and stay limitations,have become more prominent across the globe, it appears that there are systemic risks to the full realization of
the SDGs and gains in human development (as flagged in the Human Development Report 2019). The situation has
been further complicated by the COVID-19 pandemic, which is temporarily stalling migration and mobility acrossthe globe and forcing all countries to re-evaluate their migration and border policies for the new post-pandemic
world.

75 Mau et al., 2015.
76 The Global Compact for Migration guides source, transit and destination countries by providing strategies that will create an enabling
environment in which safe and orderly migration can take place in a more regular manner.

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EILEEN CULLOTY
JANE SUITERITAYI VIRIRISARA CRETAWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

8

217

DISINFORMATION ABOUT MIGRATION:
AN AGE-OLD ISSUE WITH NEW TECH DIMENSIONS1Introduction
Many spheres of life have become subject to disinformation. Across the world, it is implicated in the resurgence ofvaccine-preventable diseases, the disruption of politics and the amplification of social divisions. Disinformation may
be an age-old phenomenon, but it thrives in a digital environment. Digital technologies have been revolutionary
in expanding access to information and opportunities for expression, but they have also created a world in which
it is relatively easy to manipulate information and to coordinate harmful campaigns against individuals and groups,
including migrants, as well as organizations and even countries.
Regulation has not kept pace with these changes. Roughly half of the global population and almost 70 per centof 15–24-year-olds access the Internet.2 Much of this online activity is dominated by a few tech companies.
Facebook, the world’s largest social media platform, has 2.85 billion users and it owns WhatsApp, which has one
billion users.3 Across these and other platforms, disinformation travels at speed and scale. To take one example, aconspiracy-theory video about COVID-19 was viewed more than eight million times within a week of its release.4
Platforms struggled to block the video as users across the world uploaded new versions and translated it into
multiple languages.
Platforms have long struggled to contain disinformation about migration and the extremists who propagate it.
However, anti-migrant disinformation cannot be blamed on technology alone. Far-right actors mobilize online
and offline, while news media and politicians stand accused of distorting migration issues and leaving the public
misinformed.5 Against this background, the COVID-19 pandemic intensified disinformation about migrants, whowere variously attacked for introducing the virus or causing an increase in cases.6 Health crises have historically been
exploited to advance xenophobic agendas,7 but the pandemic coincided with a resurgence of far-right and extremist
ideologies in many countries. At the same time, disinformation has direct impacts on migrants and potential
migrants. Many lack reliable information to inform their migration choices8 and must negotiate the rumours andfalse claims that circulate in their networks.

1

2
3
4
5
6
7
8

Eileen Culloty, Assistant Professor in the School of Communications at Dublin City University; Jane Suiter, Professor in the School ofCommunications and Director of the Institute for Future Media, Democracy and Society at Dublin City University; Itayi Viriri, Senior
Regional Media and Communications Officer at IOM’s Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific; and Sara Creta, doctoral candidate in
the School of Communications at Dublin City University.
ITU, 2020.
Tankovska, 2021.
Morrish, 2020.
Ekman, 2019; McAuliffe et al., 2019.
Maniatis and Zard, 2020.
Fidler, 2019.
Crawley and Hagen-Zanker, 2019; Vammen et al., 2021.

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Disinformation about migration: an age-old issue with new tech dimensions

Developing effective countermeasures for online disinformation is clearly an urgent goal. It is also a challenging
one. The issues are complex and difficult to disentangle, while scientific research is in its infancy and tends tobe concentrated in rich, well-resourced countries. Current countermeasures may be grouped into three broad
areas: technological approaches that aim to automate the evaluation of online content and behaviour; audience
approaches that aim to upskill the public and build resilience to manipulation; and regulatory and policy approaches
that aim to increase transparency and accountability in the digital environment.9 Activities in these areas are being
advanced by a wide range of stakeholders, including tech companies, policymakers, researchers, NGOs, journalists
and entrepreneurs. Given the complexity of the problem, it seems clear that no single approach will be sufficient.
These issues are examined in this chapter. Although some examples of anti-migrant disinformation are cited,
we aim to avoid the unnecessary and unethical amplification of hateful content. Instead, the aim is to provide acomprehensive understanding of the structural features of the information environment that enable anti-migrant
disinformation, as well as an overview of proposed countermeasures. The Concepts section outlines the key
definitions for understanding disinformation and presents a transmission model of the online disinformation process.
The Context section examines the factors shaping disinformation about migration in terms of society, politics,
media and technology. It then outlines best practices in building public resilience to disinformation and the major
insights from current research. The Issues and Challenges section focuses on major gaps in our understanding of
disinformation and the current barriers to advancing this work. Finally, the Conclusion identifies broad suggestions
and implications for policymakers and other stakeholders seeking to counteract disinformation generally and about
migration specifically.

Concepts
This section introduces key definitions and presents a model of the online disinformation process. Here, we focus
on the definitions necessary for a broad understanding of the topic. The lexicon of terms and concepts describing
online disinformation is ever evolving as new practices emerge in response to countermeasures and technologicaltrends. For a regularly updated overview of manipulation tactics and related resources, see the Media Manipulation
Casebook.10
Although definitions vary, disinformation is typically defined by its nefarious intent.11 Disinformation is false
information that is created or disseminated with the intention to deceive the public for financial, political or social
gain. In contrast, misinformation is false information that is shared without an intention to deceive. For example,
a journalist might misprint a financial sum, but such unintentional mistakes will be acknowledged and corrected.
In practice, disinformation and misinformation often overlap. For example, disinformation actors may promote a
false story about migrants and members of the public may believe and share the story on the assumption that itis true. Audience research in Kenya and Nigeria, for example, found that people have a strong desire to keep up
with the latest news and this enables the dissemination of disinformation, even when those sharing it have goodintentions about verifying information.12

9
10
11
12

Culloty and Suiter, 2021.
https://mediamanipulation.org/.
Wardle and Derakhshan, 2017.
Chakrabarti et al., 2018.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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Key Definitions
Disinformation:false information that is deliberately created and disseminated.

Misinformation:false information that is created or disseminated by mistake.

Information void:a salient topic about which there is a lack of reliable information.

Illusory truth effect:

the tendency to believe false information after repeated exposure.

Bad actors:

people who intentionally create and propagate disinformation.

Coordinated campaign:

a bad actor network that cooperates to manipulate opinion.

Amplifiers:

influential people who spread disinformation among their networks.

Hyperpartisan media:

media outlets with a strong ideological position.

Fabricated content:

content that is entirely false.

Manipulated content:

genuine content that has been distorted.

Decontextualized content:

genuine content that is removed from its original context.

Disinformation harms:

the negative impacts of disinformation on individuals, groups and societies.

Hate speech:

pejorative or discriminatory language with reference to a person or a groupon the basis of who they are.a

Xenophobia:

when individuals are denied equal rights on account of the real or perceived
geographic origins of the said individuals or groups.b

a UN, 2019.
b UNHRC, 2017.

An information void occurs when there is high demand for information about a topic, but a lack of reliable
information.13 In the early months of COVID-19 there was high demand for information about the virus, but
the supply of reliable scientific information was low. This deficit created a vacuum in which disinformation andrumours could circulate. Over time, repeated exposure to disinformation can create an illusory truth effect. Thisphenomenon is linked to memory, as familiar information is more easily recalled and appears more reliable as aresult.14 On this basis, best practice in correcting disinformation recommends avoiding any unnecessary repetitionof false claims.15

13 Shane and Noel, 2020.
14 De Keersmaecker et al., 2020; Hasher et al., 1977.
15 Wardle, 2018.

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Disinformation about migration: an age-old issue with new tech dimensions

Bad actors is a generic term for those who intentionally create and propagate disinformation. They may be States,
corporations, social movements or individuals and their motivations span a spectrum of political, ideological andfinancial interests. They also vary considerably in terms of the audiences they target and the levels of coordination
involved. Amplifiers are the media pundits, politicians, celebrities and online influencers who help popularize
disinformation – whether intentionally or not – by spreading it among their large networks. Finally, hyperpartisan
media are ideological outlets that frequently amplify disinformation. In the United States of America, for example,
hyperpartisan media regularly give credence to disinformation stories and thereby push disinformation agendas on
topics from economics to international relations.16 Disinformation campaigns against migrants are heavily aligned toright-wing political and media actors, including the resurgence of far-right, nationalist and xenophobic ideologies.17
Fabricated content includes content that is entirely invented. This includes fake news stories, such as the false story
about Pope Francis endorsing Donald Trump’s 2016 election campaign,18 or “deep fake” videos that are generated
entirely from computer technology. Manipulated content includes genuine content that has been distorted, such as
selectively edited video clips. For example, an online video from 2019 deceptively combined quotes from a talk byBill Gates to create the impression that he supports sterilization and population control. The video resurfaced in
2021 across multiple social media platforms.19 Decontextualized content is genuine content that has been removed
from its original context, such as old photographs that are accompanied with false captions linking them to presentday events. An analysis of almost one million tweets during the United States–Mexico border crisis found that
decontextualized images were the most prominent type of disinformation.20 This visual disinformation was also
more likely to be shared and amplified by high-profile individuals.
To date, much of the popular discussion on disinformation has focused on content. However, focusing on content
alone can obscure the operation of coordinated disinformation campaigns whereby a network of bad actors
cooperates to manipulate public opinion. Across its platform, Facebook uses the concept of “coordinated inauthentic
behaviour” to describe networks of pages and accounts that “work together to mislead others about who they
are or what they are doing”.21 In reality, coordinated campaigns extend across multiple platforms and the power ofthese campaigns lies in the cumulative effect of endlessly repeating negative stories about migrants and minorities.
In addition, less attention has been given to understanding and measuring disinformation harms. A harm-based
approach requires considering the impact on those targeted and affected by disinformation campaigns, as well as wider
impacts on society.22 In the case of migration, disinformation harms are associated with hate speech and xenophobia,
which promote hostility and discrimination towards migrants, which in turn can help legitimize anti-migrant policy
approaches.23 At the same time, disinformation and the absence of reliable information can cause harm to migrants
by negatively influencing their decisions and awareness of rights.24

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

Vargo et al., 2018.
McAuliffe et al., 2019.
Evon, 2016.
Reuters, 2021.
McAweeney, 2018.
Gleicher, 2018.
Pasquetto, 2020.
Mossou and Lane, 2018.
Carlson et al., 2018.

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Coordinated campaigns by the far rightFar-right disinformation attacks have increased by 250 per cent since 2014; this trend is expected tocontinue, as the extended economic downturn caused by COVID-19 is likely to create political instability.a
Online, there is considerable evidence of increased cooperation among far-right actors. A study of almost 7.5
million tweets during the refugee crisis of 2015–2016 identified a surge in far-right activity whereby refugees
were framed in xenophobic terms and presented as a threat to Europe’s security, economy and culture.b
Subsequent studies have identified coordinated campaigns ahead of national elections,c and in opposition
to the 2018 Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration.d Proponents of this campaign were
responsible for almost half of the most popular YouTube videos about the Global Compact and promoted afalse claim about a requirement for States to outlaw criticism of migration.e As much of this activity coalesces
around the issue of Muslim migration, Islamophobia appears to be a uniting factor for different far-rightgroups.fa Institute for Economics and Peace, 2020.
b Siapera et al., 2018.
c Avaaz, 2019; Davey and Ebner, 2017.
d McAuliffe, 2018.
e ISD, 2019.
f Froio and Ganesh, 2018.

The online disinformation process: reduced to its basic constituents, online disinformation, when it is successful, is aprocess that involves different actors and consecutive stages. In essence, bad actors create and push disinformation
using online platforms as a means of distribution and promotion, while audiences give disinformation meaning
and impact through their willingness to engage with it (see Figure 1). Of course, any given scenario of online
disinformation is more complex than this simple transmission model suggests. Nevertheless, it provides a means ofidentifying how various countermeasures attempt to intervene and disrupt this process.
As noted, bad actors may be defined collectively by their common intention to deceive or manipulate the public.
Much of what is known about bad actors comes from researchers and investigative journalism, rather than data
supplied by technology platforms. The aim of this work is to identify the extent of disinformation and the natureof manipulation techniques. For their part, platforms have taken steps to remove fake accounts, while independent
technology developers have developed many publicly available tools to identify manipulated content and deceptive
activity.
Platforms enable disinformation by facilitating no-cost or low-cost and targeted distribution. Engagement metrics,
recommendation algorithms and the online advertising industry also incentivize low-quality and sensational content.
On this basis, platforms are the focus of policy and civil society efforts to reduce incentives for bad actors and toincrease transparency and accountability. For example, under the European Union’s self-regulatory Code of Practiceof Disinformation,25 platforms provide greater transparency about online advertising; although the European Union’s
own evaluation of the Code identified serious shortcomings with it.26

25 European Commission, 2018.
26 ERGA, 2020.

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Disinformation about migration: an age-old issue with new tech dimensions

Figure 1. The online disinformation process
Bad Actors

Platforms

Audiences

create and push online
disinformation

facilitate targeted,no/low-cost distribution

respond to cognitive andemotional triggers

Increase capabilities for
detecting activity

Increase transparency andreduce incentives

Increase supports forevaluating content

Source: Authors’ own work.

Finally, audiences are arguably the most important component of the process. After all, disinformation only becomesa problem when it finds a receptive audience willing to support or share it. Many factors influence audience
receptivity to disinformation, including prior knowledge and bias, repeated exposure to false claims, and willingness
or capacity to critically examine new information. Disinformation content often appeals to the existing biases oftarget audiences and is highly emotive in attempting to provoke outrage.27 A core focus of interventions in this area
is on educational and empowering initiatives that help audiences evaluate the credibility of content.
However, while highlighting the central role of technology, it is also important to recognize that technology does
not operate in isolation from other social forces. A recent comparative analysis of 18 countries examined national
levels of resilience to online disinformation.28 It identified the following factors as likely predictors of vulnerability: apolitical environment characterized by populism and social polarization; and a media environment characterized by
low trust in news, weak public service media, large advertising markets and high use of social media. As such, allthese factors need to be considered and addressed for a comprehensive response to disinformation.

Contexts
This section examines how factors relating to society and politics, media and technology influence disinformation
about migrants and migration. It then outlines current thinking about best-practice approaches to increasing societal
resilience to disinformation.
There is a long global history of disinformation campaigns against migrants and minorities. One illustrative example
is the The Protocols of the Elders of Zion, which emerged in Russia in 1903. It foreshadows the fake stories, fabricatedevidence and high-profile amplifiers that animate contemporary disinformation. A fake document was presented
as a leaked plot for Jewish domination. This conspiracy theory gained traction and spread internationally throughthe press and pamphlets and through the endorsement of major public figures including the American industrialist
Henry Ford. Two important lessons can be drawn from this case: successful disinformation amplifies existing
prejudices and relies on structures of communication power and influence.29 In other words, specific instances of
27 Bakir and McStay, 2018; Paschen, 2019.
28 Humprecht et al., 2020.
29 Culloty and Suiter, 2021.

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disinformation need to be contextualized against wider historical patterns of prejudice, inequalities and access topower.
Society and politics: In many countries, high-profile political actors have normalized disinformation about migration
and rely on sympathetic media to do so.30 Often, these arguments centre on economics. Public anxieties about
economic implications and social change are channelled against migrants, even though unemployment rates andwage deflation are the result of State economic policies and not migration.31 In South Africa, for example, studies
consistently find that migration is a net economic benefit for the country, but migrants are scapegoated as acause of high unemployment.32 In the United States, Donald Trump’s 2016 election campaign generated fears
about Mexicans “swarming” over the southern border and promised to “build a wall” to protect the integrity of
the State. Although Trump’s rhetoric was largely directed at Mexicans, hyperpartisan media outlets extended thefearmongering to include Muslims.33 In the United Kingdom, pro-Brexit rhetoric focused heavily on migration from
Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Legal European Union migration was frequently confused with asylum-seeking
as the Vote Leave campaign stoked up fears of an imminent arrival of millions of Turks34 and the right-wing press
amplified these views.35
At the same time, bad actors actively promote distrust in elites and institutions. In many respects, the so-called“post-truth crisis” is a crisis of trust. Over the past year, the COVID-19 pandemic has contributed to further
declines in trust. The 2021 Edelman Trust Barometer found that a majority of respondents across 27 countries
believe that government leaders (57%), business leaders (56%) and journalists (59%) are purposely trying to mislead
the public.36 However, while these figures provoke alarm in Western countries, Eurocentric ideas about audience
trust in government and traditional media are not easily translated to any country where there has been a historicallack of media freedom.37 Across North Africa, for example, social media have presented new opportunities for
freedom of expression in counterpoint to State-aligned media.38 At the same time, social media give migrants andpeople on the move opportunities for self-expression and the ability to raise human rights concerns.39
Media: Journalists are frequently criticized for providing negative coverage of migration. In some outlets, the use offear as a framing device results in a perpetual flow of “bad news” about migrant crime, public unrest and violence.40
As such, news media provide bad actors with stories that can be repurposed and decontextualized to promote
their own agenda.41 During the so-called refugee crisis of 2015–2016, European news media played a central role inframing the arriving refugees and migrants as a crisis for Europe, while affording little attention to migrants and theirexperience.42 This narrative also prevails in North Africa, where media coverage often accentuates discrimination
and racism.43 Stereotyped and negative images of migrants perpetuate a discourse of migration as an “invasion” or

30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43

Crandall et al., 2018.
Hogan and Haltinner, 2015.
McKaiser, 2019.
Benkler et al., 2018.
Ker-Lindsay, 2018.
Morrison, 2019.
Edelman, 2021.
Schiffrin, 2018.
Deane et al., 2020.
Creta, 2021.
Philo et al., 2013.
Ekman, 2019.
Georgiou and Zaborowski, 2017.
ICMPD, 2017; Pace et al., 2020.

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a “burden”, which exacerbates prejudice and hostile attitudes. These views have been linked to the rise in antiimmigrant political parties and the intensification of anti-immigrant rhetoric in politics.44
Of course, there are also examples of news media exposing injustices in the way that migrants are treated, butinvestigative journalism is under pressure. Contemporary newsrooms are under-resourced and journalists often
lack the time and money to provide in-depth, contextual coverage. Journalists may also lack adequate training toachieve this, while some newsrooms are subject to capture and control by political and financial interests, resulting
in a culture of self-censorship.45 Consequently, much media coverage of migration lacks the necessary context andis superficial, simplistic and ill-informed, if not also politically biased. Even in countries with high levels of media
freedom, news coverage tends to reflect the priorities and concerns of governments.46

Encouraging better media practices
Several organizations – including IOM, the International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD)
and the OPEN Media Hub –­ launched the Migration Media Award in 2017.a This initiative aims to reward
journalists for providing high-quality reporting about migration in the Euro-Mediterranean region. Similarly, in2017 IOM launched the South American Migration Journalism Award to recognize the work of journalists who
adopt a human rights approach to migration coverage. This includes highlighting the positive contributions of
migrants, challenging the negative perception of migrants and contributing to the prevention of xenophobia,
racism and discrimination.b Announced in 2020, the Global Migration Media Academy will provide afree platform for journalists and students to learn best practices in reporting migration and countering
disinformation.c Encouraging fair, evidence-based reporting, in line with standard requirements of ethicaljournalism, may in turn create a space for evidence-based debates about migration policy.
Migrants and potential migrants also need reliable information about transit and their destination countries.
Digital technologies provide a means of supporting migrants in their decision-making.d The online platform
InfoMigrants was developed by a consortium of European media outlets and agencies.e Co-financed by theEuropean Union, it aims to counter rumours and disinformation by providing objective and balanced news
about the countries migrants have left, the countries they travel through and the countries in which they
hope to settle. The news service is provided in five languages: French, Arabic, English, Dari and Pashto.
a
b
c
d
e

See details at www.migration-media-award.eu.
IOM, 2017.
IOM, 2021.
McAuliffe, 2016.
See details at www.infomigrants.net/en/.

Technology: While the advent of the Internet promised a new frontier for freedom of expression and access to
information, the online world is dominated by a small group of companies. These have grown far beyond their
original focus – online shopping, web search, social networking – to become vast infrastructures upon which entire
sectors of social and economic life are dependent. The business model is relatively simple: they offer users free

44 Allen et al., 2017.
45 Schiffrin, 2018.
46 Allen at al., 2017.

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access to content and services, while accumulating data that generate revenue through personalized advertisingand other data-based services.47
As these platforms are designed to maximize engagement, rather than information exchange or civil debate, they
provide multiple opportunities for disinformation to flourish. Engagement metrics – views, likes, shares, fans andfollowers – incentivize attention-grabbing content, including disinformation,48 while opaque algorithms influence
the content that people see and can sometimes push them into “rabbit holes” of extremist and conspiratorial
discourse.49 As advertising businesses, Google and Facebook are implicated in financing disinformation. For example,
Google provides three quarters of the advertising revenue earned by disinformation websites.50 In this context,
some argue that social media platforms have given rise to a culture of digital hate.51 Nativist, racist and xenophobic
narratives that were previously marginalized on fringe websites – where people had to actively seek them out –now reach a wider audience on popular social media platforms.52
While technology platforms have amassed an unprecedented influence on daily life, they have not developed– or been required to develop – commensurate structures of governance and accountability. To counteract
disinformation, technology platforms partner with fact-checkers and media outlets and experiment with audienceinterventions. To varying degrees, they rely on human moderators to evaluate content. However, technological or
automated approaches to content moderation form the core of the platforms’ responses.53 The chief advantage
of a technological approach is the promise of moderating content at speed and scale, but there are also major
shortcomings in terms of accuracy, reliability and oversight. Moreover, human oversight for content moderation isoften outsourced to poorly resourced contractors.54 In 2018, the United Nations accused Facebook of playing a“determining role” in the incitement of genocidal violence against Myanmar’s Rohingya population. An investigation
by Reuters revealed that Facebook’s human moderators and its algorithmic moderation system were unable tocomprehend the regions’ languages.55

Disinformation as a catalyst for harmful views
A recent study investigated how disinformation drives hostility towards Rohingya refugees on Facebook.
Over a nine-month period beginning in January 2020, the study analysed posts and comments on Facebook
pages in Bangladesh and Malaysia. The vast majority of posts in both Bangladesh (80%) and Malaysia (77%)
were either positive or neutral in their sentiment towards Rohingya refugees. However, the majority ofcomments generated by these posts were negative: 58 per cent in Bangladesh and 70 per cent in Malaysia. A
prevalent theme within these negative comments alleged that refugees benefit from preferential treatment– from NGOs, governments and the international community – while placing a strain on the resources of
the host countries. These and related claims intensified throughout the period, resulting in a social media
persecution of Rohingya occurring in parallel to their offline persecution.
Source: Urquhart, 2021.

47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55

Wu, 2017.
Shao et al., 2018.
Hussein et al., 2020.
GDI, 2020.
Ganesh, 2018.
Ekman, 2019; Farkas et al., 2017.
See Alaphilippe et al., 2019; Bontcheva et al., 2020.
Roberts, 2019.
Stecklow, 2018.

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Disinformation about migration: an age-old issue with new tech dimensions

As noted, the post-truth crisis is in some ways a crisis of trust. The rapid evolution of digital communication has
occurred without adequate development of norms to guide people in their decisions about whom or what totrust online. As a result, many researchers and entrepreneurs have developed new tools to detect disinformationand provide guidance to users. For example, InVid56 is a free verification platform that evaluates the credibility of
online videos, while Logically57 combines artificial and human intelligence to evaluate the credibility of online sources
and stories. More recently, major tech companies and media – including Microsoft, Twitter, BBC and Adobe –have formed the Content Authenticity Initiative to set standards for trustworthy online content.58 While theseand many similar innovations are locked in an “arms race” with bad actors, who will inevitably seek new ways toevade detection, the lasting significance may be the development of norms and standards for the production andreception of information online.

Building societal resilience to disinformation
Certain traits are associated with susceptibility to disinformation, including low cognitive ability, low topic knowledge,
motivated reasoning and weak levels of media literacy. For example, some studies find that older people and thosewith strong partisan bias are more likely to believe disinformation.59 In many countries, disinformation about
migration is subject to low levels of public knowledge60 and a resurgence of nationalist sentiment, which is linked tohostility towards migrants.61 These factors contribute to anti-immigrant disinformation. However, other researchers
argue that situational factors (e.g. pausing to consider accuracy) and cognitive factors (e.g. the ability to evaluate
information) are more important than prior knowledge or partisan bias.62 This is important, because it suggeststhat audience-focused countermeasures may have a significant impact.
Information corrections and pre-bunking: There is growing evidence that succinct and repeated corrections can
reduce misperceptions. A study of misperceptions about migration found that providing correct information
reduced negative attitudes towards migrants, while also increasing factual knowledge.63 However, the content andformat of a correction matter. Content matters, because simply stating that information is wrong may do little todislodge misperceptions. In contrast, providing an explanation is more effective, because it helps the audience toupdate their knowledge. Format matters, because audiences might only skim the content. If the correction fails toprioritize correct information or puts undue emphasis on false claims, then the important facts may be lost. To
avoid these scenarios, best practice recommends a “truth sandwich” approach, whereby the correction begins withcorrect information before explaining the nature of the disinformation and why it is incorrect. In the final step, thecorrect information is reinforced again.

56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63

www.invid-project.eu/.
www.logically.ai/about.
https://contentauthenticity.org/.
Guess et al., 2020.
Alesina et al., 2018; Grigorieff et al., 2020.
Hiers et al., 2017; Feinstein and Bonikowski, 2021, McAuliffe et al., 2019.
Pennycook and Rand, 2019.
Grigorieff et al., 2020.

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Figure 2. Debunking StepsFACTWARN ABOUT
THE MYTH
EXPLAINFALLACYFACTLead with the fact if it’s clear, pithy, and sticky– make it simple, concrete, and plausible. It
must “fit” with the story.
Warn beforehand that a myth is coming...
mention it once only.

Explain how the myth misleads.

Finish by reinforcing the fact – multiple times
if possible. Make sure it provides an alternative
causal explanation.

Source: Lewandowsky et al., 2020.

Corrections are a defensive strategy that responds to disinformation after it has been disseminated. There are
obvious limitations, given the volume of disinformation in circulation and the challenge of reaching all those whohave been exposed to it.
Alternatively, pre-bunking is an offensive strategy that anticipates disinformation and forewarns the public about
manipulation tactics.64 This approach is sometimes compared with an inoculation. The core idea is that once people
have learned to recognize manipulation tactics and are already armed with correct information, they will be able
to reject disinformation when they encounter it. The advantage of pre-bunking is scale, as the technique can beembedded in media literacy materials and disseminated through online games and other engaging materials. In 2018,
Dutch researchers developed the Bad News game in collaboration with the media platform DROG.65 In this free
online game, players use misleading tactics to build their own fake news empire. A large-scale evaluation with 15,000
participants found that people’s ability to identify and resist disinformation improved after game play, irrespective of
their education, age, political ideology and cognitive style.66 A more recent version of the game, Harmony Square,67
was developed to focus on manipulation tactics during election campaigns.

64
65
66
67

Cook et al., 2017; Roozenbeek et al., 2020.
www.getbadnews.com.
Roozenbeek et al., 2020.
https://harmonysquare.game/en.

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Disinformation about migration: an age-old issue with new tech dimensions

Stopping the spread of disinformation: Within popular discussions of disinformation, there is an unfortunate
tendency to assume that disinformation-sharing metrics are an indicator of public belief levels. In contrast, audiencestudies from Africa, Asia and Europe indicate that people share disinformation for a variety of reasons, including
self-expression, entertainment and a desire to warn others about potential danger.68 The last motivation is notable,
because disinformation often plays on people’s emotions by generating fear about threats to the safety of loved
ones and communities. In these circumstances, the civic desire to inform others and the social desire to be thefirst to share new information contribute to the spread of disinformation.69 The challenge then is to find ways toharness people’s sense of civic duty to encourage positive practices.
A promising strand of research in this area finds that simply prompting people to pause and think about theaccuracy of a message greatly improves their ability to reject disinformation, while also reducing the intention toshare disinformation.70 Most platforms have explored a limited version of this approach by attaching information
labels to content, while Twitter additionally prompts people to open a news link before retweeting it. Moregenerally, many media literacy campaigns endorse a “stop and think” message. During the COVID-19 pandemic,
the United Nations Pause campaign71 encouraged people to reflect before sharing information online. The campaign
consists of videos, graphics and colourful animations that emphasize the importance of only sharing trusted andaccurate science-based social media content.
Trusted and accessible information sources: Disinformation corrections typically rely on expert sources, which are
generally considered to be more credible than peers.72 However, credibility concerns perceptions of trustworthinessin addition to expertise,73 and in some scenarios, trustworthiness may matter more than expertise.74 Efforts toprovide accurate information about the risks of migration must contend with the fact that potential migrants
have a general distrust of official information campaigns and authorities, including governments and internationalorganizations.75 Similarly, relying on news media or governments to correct false information may be ineffective incases where people already distrust these institutions.
In this context, trusted peers play an important role in promoting reliable information. To counteract COVID-19
disinformation, the United Nations’ Verified initiative relied on a novel approach to engaging citizens as trusted
community messengers.76 The initiative invited people to become information volunteers who receive a daily feed ofreliable information that is optimized for social sharing. While COVID-19 served as a catalyst for the advancementof peer-led campaigns, they have been employed previously in the context of migration. For example, the Mistakesby Word of Mouth campaign in Costa Rica relies on participatory principles and trusted peers to counteract
rumours about migration regularization.77

68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77

Banaji and Bhat, 2019; Chadwick and Vaccari, 2019; Chakrabarti et al., 2018.
Chakrabarti et al., 2018.
Pennycook et al., 2020.
www.takecarebeforeyoushare.org/.
Vraga and Bode, 2017.
Swire-Thompson and Ecker, 2018.
Benegal and Scruggs, 2018.
European Commission, 2018; Vammen et al., 2021.
https://shareverified.com/en/.
https://somoscolmena.info/en/cr.

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KANERE migrant-led news: Kakuma in northwestern Kenya is the site of one of the world’s largest
camps for displaced people. It is also home to
KANERE,a the world’s first fully independent refugeecamp news outlet. The name KANERE is short for
Kakuma News Reflector. Founding editor Qaabata Boru is a refugee himself. He now lives in Vancouver,
Canada where he edits KANERE remotely and oversees a multinational team of 17 reporters. KANERE
began in 2008 with a mission “to create a more open society in refugee camps and to develop a platform forfair public debate on refugee affairs.” It has focused on issues that matter to refugees, including the COVID-19
pandemic, the legal rights of refugees and the alarming suicide rate among female residents. Boru explained,“We are the first contact with the community. Through this, we’re able to build trust.” As a trusted news
source, KANERE has been on the front line of countering false information and ensuring that refugees haveaccess to reliable information. During COVID-19, KANERE monitored and debunked the myths and rumours
about COVID-19 circulating in the camp. These rumours undermined public health care and, in some cases,
stigmatized certain groups. To counteract the false information, KANERE published reports online andreached out to different parts of the camp using a loudspeaker to broadcast credible information.
a https://kanere.org/.

Finally, reliable information needs to be accessible for target audiences. By tailoring information to audiences’
preferred formats and channels, the message is more likely to be received and shared. For many people, visual
information is more engaging and accessible than text. Providing accessible information requires effort – not least
because accurate information may be more complicated than rumours. Studies indicate that information corrections
are more likely to gain attention when they are visual.78

Issues and challenges
This section outlines the key challenges for countering disinformation about migration. As online disinformation is arelatively new phenomenon, these challenges primarily concern gaps in knowledge and associated issues with data
access and the unequal distribution of platform and research resources.
Knowledge gaps: There are significant knowledge gaps concerning the impact of disinformation and the long-term
effectiveness of countermeasures. Regarding impact, big-data studies reveal the scale or volume of false information
about migration. However, evidence of disinformation campaigns does not necessarily translate into an impact onsociety or democracy. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms through which disinformation has
influence. This is important to ensure that attention and resources are focused on disinformation that is likely tohave an impact. Regarding countermeasures, although the emerging consensus holds that information corrections
are effective in terms of reducing false beliefs, there is much that is not well understood. In particular, longitudinalstudies are needed to understand whether the effects are long-lasting. Current research indicates that corrections
are less effective when the disinformation was originally attributed to a credible source; when people have been
78 McAweeney, 2018.

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exposed to the disinformation multiple times prior to correction; and when there is a time delay between theinitial exposure and the correction.79 Other studies indicate that corrections may reduce false perceptions, but dolittle to challenge underlying attitudes.80
A related issue concerns the lack of diversity in research. Much of the funding and resources is concentrated
in wealthy nations and there is a considerable lack of quantitative and qualitative research from other regions.
In addition, the various platforms have largely declined to share relevant data with independent researchers,
which greatly impedes efforts to assess the scale and nature of the problem and to evaluate the effectivenessof interventions. Moreover, platform interventions are highly selective and tend to be concentrated in Westerncountries, where they face intense scrutiny from policymakers. For example, the major platforms intervened tocounteract disinformation during the 2020 presidential election in the United States, but did not provide the same
supports for contemporaneous elections in Sri Lanka and Nigeria.
Platform regulation: The persistence of major knowledge gaps surrounding disinformation on technology platforms
is indicative of the failure of self-regulation. In response to concerns about disinformation and related issues,
the platforms have engaged in transparency initiatives. Aside from the fact that these initiatives have been foundwanting,81 transparency without accountability achieves very little. Accountability implies independent oversight or
audits by experts who have the capacity and remit to evaluate the situation with the interests of the public and theprotection of fundamental rights in mind. Stronger regulation could also compel platforms to cooperate with vetted
disinformation researchers and investigators to identify disinformation threats and to evaluate the effectiveness ofcountermeasures.
Definitional ambiguities: There is a risk that the term “disinformation” will be extended to all kinds of content that isdeemed problematic or distasteful. Some countries have already introduced new laws against disinformation,82 whichhave been criticized for their potentially chilling impact on freedom of expression. There are ongoing debates about
how to balance fundamental rights with the need to mitigate public harms.83 The definitional ambiguity surrounding
disinformation presents a challenge in this process and has wider implications.
In many cases, the boundaries between false information, opinions and interpretations of evidence are unclear. In
contrast with scientific issues about which there is an established consensus, such as climate, issues of a social andpolitical nature pose particular difficulty, because the facts are often not absolute. Regarding migration, for example,
there are ongoing academic debates about how to assess statistics on migration and crime,84 a topic that animatessensational media coverage and activism by anti-immigrant actors.
In other cases, the types of content produced by bad actors are inherently not factual. For example, campaigns
targeting migrants exhibit a “malevolent creativity” in their use of sarcasm, in-jokes and memes.85 Such culturalcontent is problematic,86 but often falls outside the remit of factual claims, and its ambiguous nature can create
difficulties in establishing intention. Thus, there is much work to be done across conceptual, practical and policy
levels.

79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86

Walter and Tukachinsky, 2020.
Nyhan and Reifler, 2015.
ERGA, 2020.
Funke and Flamini, 2020.
Bontcheva et al., 2020; Ponsetti and Bontcheva, 2020.
Ousey and Kubrin, 2018.
de Saint Laurent et al., 2020.
Marwick and Lewis, 2017.

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Conclusion
This chapter has examined the factors shaping disinformation about migration and a range of countermeasures that
seek to improve the information environment. In many respects, current efforts to counteract online disinformation
appear to be piecemeal and uncoordinated. However, disinformation, including disinformation about migration,
is a multifaceted problem. Building resilience to disinformation is a long-term project that needs to address
overlapping societal issues, including declining levels of trust and increasing polarization. In the immediate term,
greater cooperation is required across sectors and across borders to detect and counter disinformation campaigns.
This is especially true in the context of migration, where migrants need access to reliable information as they
cross borders and where coordinated disinformation campaigns are already transnational. One positive outcomeof the COVID-19 crisis has been the consolidation of international collaborations such as the CoronaVirusFacts
Alliance.87 Launched in January 2020, it united more than 100 fact-checkers from 70 countries who benefit fromshared resources and pooled expertise.
Consolidating the issues discussed in the chapter, we highlight the following as a non-exhaustive set of broadsuggestions for policymakers, technology platforms, NGOs, media and researchers:
Policymakers:• Require greater accountability from digital platforms;• Develop mechanisms for co-regulatory oversight of digital platforms;• Protect media freedom and freedom of expression;• Engage with stakeholders to ensure that responses are appropriate and in line with evidence-based best practices;• Invest in initiatives to monitor, assess and counter disinformation.
Platforms:• Provide sufficient data access for research and oversight;• Roll out interventions in all regions at risk of harmful disinformation campaigns, particularly during elections;• Work with vetted stakeholders to identify threats in good time;• Develop and embed best-practice norms for labelling online information.
NGOs, journalists and other media stakeholders:• Ensure that migrants have access to reliable and accessible information;• Provide training and resources for journalists to report responsibly on migration and disinformation about
migration;• Provide repeated corrections in accessible formats to counter false claims;• Educate the public about media literacy and disinformation.
Researchers:• Conduct studies on the effectiveness of countermeasures;• Cooperate with researchers from poorly resourced countries to reduce geographical knowledge gaps.

87 www.poynter.org/coronavirusfactsalliance/.

MARIAM TRAORE CHAZALNOËL
ALEX RANDALL

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MIGRATION AND THE SLOW-ONSET IMPACTS
OF CLIMATE CHANGE: TAKING STOCK AND
TAKING ACTION1Introduction
The relationship between climate change and migration has clearly gained increasing visibility on the policy agenda
over the last decade and there is now much more awareness of the need to address this complex topic.2 This
growing political interest is evidenced by the development of global principles, such as those articulated under
the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration3 and in the Recommendations developed under theUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)4 through its Task Force on Displacement.5
In parallel with global discussions, regional policy dialogues – both on climate change and migration – are also
exploring how to develop solutions that can support States to manage migration in a changing climate in ways that
benefit affected populations.6
We now find ourselves at a crossroads – policy principles need to be translated into actionable activities on
the ground, especially at national and local levels. Some countries have already developed national policies andframeworks that seek to address the challenges linked to the adverse impacts of climate change on migration,7 evenif such efforts remain relatively limited. One major difficulty in developing policies on climate and migration is thecomplex nature of the issues involved. Migration in the context of adverse climate impacts is mostly multicausal,
as the decision to migrate is often shaped by a combination of different factors, including climate drivers. At thesame time, a wide range of environmental and climate factors can influence the decision or necessity to migrate,from sudden-onset disasters such as typhoons and floods, to slow-onset processes like sea-level rise and landdegradation.8
Another intricacy relates to the many forms that migration can take in the context of environmental change, withpeople moving near or far, internally or across borders, for a limited period of time or permanently. The 2010
Cancun Adaptation Framework, the first major climate policy document to include migration issues, refers to
the notion of climate change-induced displacement, migration and planned relocation to outline the continuum
from forced forms to voluntary forms of migration.9 In addition, the impacts of climate change on immobile and
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

Mariam Traore Chazalnoël, Senior Policy Officer, IOM; Alex Randall, Programme Manager, Climate and Migration Coalition.
Traore Chazalnoël and Ionesco, 2018a.
UNGA, 2018.
UNFCCC, 2019.
The Task Force on Displacement comprises 14 members, including IOM, from both within and outside the UNFCCC, chosen for theircomplementarity of expertise. See https://unfccc.int/ for more information on the Task Force.
Traore Chazalnoël and Ionesco, 2018b.
IOM, 2018a.
Ionesco et al., 2017.
UNFCCC, 2010.

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action“trapped” populations left behind, which do not have the means to migrate out of degraded areas, should also be
further researched and considered in relevant policies.10
In the last decade, a vast amount of knowledge has been produced on the climate change and migration nexus. A
recent meta-analysis of available literature concludes that “slow-onset climatic changes, in particular extremely hightemperatures and drying conditions (i.e. extreme precipitation decrease or droughts), are more likely to increase
migration than sudden-onset events.”11 Migrants moving to adapt to slow-onset impacts might have more time togather the resources needed to migrate, while sudden-onset events reduce the ability to move by rapidly depleting
resources.12

Migrants’ testimony: the multicausal nature of climate migration“And since there was the war, we
did not receive any support from thegovernment. Therefore, there are
combined factors that made us suffer:droughts and war. If war did not exist,
then we might have been able to stay, but
now that the land is looted, there is noway for us to claim it.”Climate-related events most frequently create patterns ofinternal mobility, however when the changes are combinedwith other factors such as armed conflict more complex
patterns of mobility can result. In this testimony we can see
someone crossing an international border as a result of acomplex combination of altered rainfall, armed conflict and a
failure of government institutions and support.
Context:
This testimony was collected by researchers working for
UNHCR and the United Nations University as part of aninvestigation into the experiences of refugee and internallydisplaced persons in East Africa.

Sources: Afifi et al., 2012; Brzoska and Fröhlich, 2016.

This chapter focuses on migration in the context of the slow-onset impacts of climate change, an area where policy
and knowledge gaps remain.13 It presents some of the key challenges associated with understanding and taking
action on slow-onset climate impacts and migration issues, and will explore how migration policy and practice canplay a role in responding to some of the most pressing challenges. Throughout the chapter, migrants’ testimonies
vividly illustrate how people are impacted on the ground and what the realities are that policymakers need toconsider when translating principles into practices.

10
11
12
13

Heslin et al., 2019.
Šedová et al., 2021:3.
Ibid.
IDMC, 2019.

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Links between environmental change, ecosystems and human mobility

Ecosystems are increasingly endangered by slow-onset environmental events and processes. For instance,heat waves might lead to loss of agricultural land and decrease in productivity, while Sea-level rise andsaltwater intrusion might threaten freshwater resources. The depletion of ecosystem services due to slowonset processes might impact human security directly, for example through the reduction of essential
resources such as food and water; and indirectly, such as when conflicts erupt over scarce natural resources.
Threats to human security might in turn drive people to migrate in search of alternative income and ways tomeet their basic needs.
Adapted from IOM, 2015a.

235

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action

Slow-onset climate-change impacts and migration: key concepts and current
state of knowledge
This chapter uses the word “migration” as an umbrella term to refer to forced and voluntary forms of movementthat can occur in the context of climate and environmental change. This terminology is aligned with the ongoing
contribution of IOM, which has developed comprehensive working definitions of key terms relevant to the migrationand climate-change nexus (see Appendix A). These definitions are not normative, nor are they internationally agreed
upon – they seek to provide a broad framing of the topic for working purposes. This is particularly useful when
discussing migration in the context of slow-onset climate impacts, as such migration can take many forms and belinked to multiple drivers.

Migrants’ testimony: migration in the context of slow-onset events can take different forms…

“My grandfather, father and I have worked
these lands. But times have changed …
“The rain is coming later now, so that we
produce less. The only solution is to go
away, at least for a while. Each year I’mworking for 3 to 5 months in Wyoming.
That’s my main source of income. But
leaving my village forever? No. I wasraised here and here I will stay.”

When people move as a way of coping the livelihood
consequences of altered rainfall, they often engage in apattern of circular or seasonal migration, moving repeatedly
between different locations rather than making one
permanent move. The goal of this pattern of migration isto replace lost income during periods of rainfall irregularity,
but to maintain connections with family and community who
have stayed behind.
Context:
This testimony was collected by the EACH-FOR research
programme. The interviewee is describing the situation inrural Mexico and his migration to the United States.

Sources: Afifi et al., 2012; Brzoska and Fröhlich, 2016.

…and result in different outcomes:“I moved to a nearby market town to sell
products. The town was five hours away
[walking].. I also worked as a carpenter inthe town. When the rain came, I would
return to farm... But because of my absence,
my wife wasn’t able to sustain the farming
work by herself. So at one point, when it
hadn’t rained for a long time, the wholefamily decided to move to the market town.”

Sources: Afifi et al., 2012; Brzoska and Fröhlich, 2016.

When people move in order to cope with lost income theyrarely cross international borders. People often move theshortest distance possible to find alternative work.
In this case we can see that the family did not initially move
together. One family member moved first, but as the situation
deteriorated the whole family moved to the new location.
Context:
This testimony was recorded as part of the research project
carried out by UNHCR and the United Nations University.
Researchers spoke to refugees and IDPs living in camps
across East Africa about the causes of their displacement.

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237

Very closely linked with the question of how to define people migrating in the context of climate impacts is thequestion of data. Defining what climate migration is shapes what kinds of data are collected and analysed. In
the absence of a universally agreed-upon definition, no single set of data is fully applicable to climate migration
as defined by IOM. However, different data sources enable the creation of a general picture of how slow-onset
events currently influence migration patterns and of what emerging future key trends are. Three types of data areespecially useful in this context: existing data on people moving in the context of adverse climate and environmental
impacts; projections related to the number of people potentially migrating in the future; and data on populations at
risk. Taken together, these different sources can help policymakers to make changes that can shape future trends,
particularly at the national level.

Data on current migration linked to climate and environmental impacts
In recent years, the production of knowledge and evidence on the linkages between migration, the environmentand climate change has increased substantially,14 allowing for a better understanding of how environmental impacts– including slow-onset events and disasters – influence migration patterns globally, regionally, nationally and locally.
Drought and desertification, both slow-onset events, are the most-studied hazards in the case studies related
to climate migration collected in the CliMig Database.15 Significant knowledge gaps nevertheless remain, suchas the lack of long-term longitudinal data on migration that would better accommodate the slow timescales ofenvironmental change,16 and the absence of harmonized data sets and of disaggregated data.17
One of the most-cited and widely recognized data sources is the annual report of the Internal Displacement
Monitoring Centre (IDMC) on disaster displacement, which compiles information on displacement related todisasters at the country level.18 In 2020, 30.7 million new displacements were triggered by disasters in 145 countries
and territories.19 Important to note is that these numbers mostly focus on new displacements in reaction to asudden-onset disaster and within their own countries – the data regarding slow-onset events and disasters, and dataon cross-border movements remain incomplete. IDMC also releases limited data related to slow-onset disasters,with an estimated 46,000 new displacements due to extreme temperatures, and 32,000 new displacements due todroughts in 2020.20 Over the period 2008–2020, over 2.4 million new displacements were caused by droughts andover 1.1 million by extreme temperatures.21 However, these data only paint a partial picture, as small-scale events
that lead to displacement occur more frequently than larger-scale disasters, but are usually underreported and not
all countries report displacement triggered by slow-onset events.22
However, such data are useful when discussing slow-onset impacts and migration, notably to identify “hotspots”
where repeated disaster displacement occurs. Slow-onset events can contribute to sudden-onset disasters; forinstance, sea-level rise can trigger flooding and rising temperatures may result in heat waves.23 People who live in
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23

For instance, the CliMig Database on Migration, Climate Change and the Environment, produced by the Université de Neuchâtel,records a sharp increase in the number of yearly publications from 2008 onwards (Université de Neuchâtel, 2018). See also Ionesco
et al., 2017.
Piguet et al., 2018.
Flavell et al., 2020.
Some of the key gaps related to displacement and slow-onset data are identified in IDMC, 2018a.
IDMC, 2021.
Ibid.
IDMC, 2020.
IDMC, 2021.
IDMC, 2019.
IDMC, 2018a.

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action

areas with high levels of disaster displacement might progressively become unable to cope with the impacts ofslow-onset events on environmentally based livelihoods, such as fishing or agriculture.24 In such contexts, like thecoastal areas of West Africa, a combination of slow-onset processes and sudden-onset hazards might influence
the decision to migrate.25
Other types of data also help inform policy responses, such as IOM operational data providing a snapshot of
current trends in specific countries. In Madagascar, for example, monitoring of drought impacts revealed that the
prolonged drought experienced in the south of the country since 2013 resulted in increasing migration movementsfrom the south to other regions of the country, with some villages experiencing a 30 per cent decrease in their
populations.26 In Mongolia, operational data clearly reveal that Dzuds (a cyclical, slow-onset phenomenon specificto Mongolia characterized by a summer drought followed by harsh winter weather and deterioration of pastureand shortages of water in spring) were linked to the migration of hundreds of thousands of people from rural
areas within the same provinces, towards the cities, including the capital Ulaanbaatar.27 In Somalia in 2019, datacollected in displacement sites revealed that 67 per cent of the almost 700,000 internally displaced persons had
moved because of drought.28
Data collected during the implementation of specific projects can also be useful, such as the information collectedby the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) in Morocco, which highlighted how
environmental changes intertwined with other migration drivers shaped the decision to migrate. In this specificsurvey, most respondents indicated that lack of employment was their primary reason to migrate. However,
respondents also highlighted that environmental changes, such as drought and declining agricultural productivity,
played a major or partial role in their decision to migrate.29
Operational data can provide a valuable resource for national policymakers, who need a broad understanding of
how and where current climate impacts affect migration at the national level. However, this kind of data onlyoffers a partial snapshot: information related to slow-onset hazards other than drought is very limited and thead hoc nature of operational data, collected within the framework of time-bound projects that generally havea restricted geographical coverage, does not necessarily result in a long-term understanding of the patterns ofrecorded movements.

Future projections
Another type of data that is often in the spotlight relates to future projections of the number of climate migrants.
Projections can bring attention to the potential scale of future issues and instill a sense of urgency in policymakers.
However, it is important to be careful when presenting projections, especially on a polarized topic such as
migration.30 Simplistic analyses of big numbers can trigger a fearmongering narrative that could negatively influence
public perceptions and policymaking choices. Projections often highlight what could happen if nothing or too little
is done by policymakers and other actors to mitigate climate impacts.

24
25
26
27
28
29
30

IDMC, 2018b.
IOM, 2020a.
IOM, 2017a.
IOM, 2020b.
Ibid.
IOM and UNCCD, 2019.
Gemenne, 2011.

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239

In terms of global projections, one seminal 2018 report from the World Bank31 estimated that 143 million people
could be moving within their own countries by 2050 because of adverse climate impacts in three regions of theworld (sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia and Latin America) in the absence of urgent global and national climate
action. The report highlights that the poorest people might be forced to migrate due to slow-onset climate-change
impacts, such as decreasing crop productivity, shortages of water and rising sea levels. Further, a UNCCD study
indicates that the number of migrants in the context of droughts could increase by approximately 22 million in
Africa, 12 million in South America and 10 million in Asia by 2059 when compared with the 2000–2015 period,
with large distinctions between climate models and high uncertainty.32 Modelling of migration patterns at thenational level also points towards an increase in migration linked to sea-level rise in the United States33 andBangladesh34 by 2100, while some researchers highlight that an increase in temperatures could lead to growing
asylum applications to the European Union.35
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) expresses “low confidence in quantitative projectionsof changes in mobility, due to its complex, multi-causal nature”.36 It does, however, note that there is medium
confidence, but high agreement that “climate change over the 21st century is projected to increase displacementof people.”37 Importantly, the IPCC highlights that changes in migration patterns can occur in response to slowonset impacts such as longer-term climate variability and change, and indicates that migration can be an effective
adaptation strategy in these contexts.38 However, the IPCC also highlights that there is only “medium evidence
and low agreement as to whether migration is adaptive, in relation to cost effectiveness and scalability concerns”.39
Indeed, some researchers posit that migration is sometimes used as an adaptation strategy in response to governancevoids, such as when communities rely on migrants’ remittances to finance climate resilience efforts.40 At the timeof finalizing this chapter, the IPCC had just released its latest output, as discussed in the text box below.

IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report (as at August 2021)
The latest output by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) signals “a code red for humanity”,
according to UN Secretary-General António Guterres.
The IPCC released the first part of the Sixth Assessment Report, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science
Basis (Working Group I’s contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report) on 9 August 2021. This part,
prepared by 234 scientists from 66 countries, highlights that human influence has warmed the climate
at a unprecedented rate and emphasizes the urgency of the action needed on climate change, which is
widespread, rapid, intensifying and even irreversible.

31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

Rigaud et al., 2018.
Laurent-Lucchetti et al., 2019.
Robinson et al., 2020.
Bell et al., 2021.
Missirian and Schlenker, 2017.
IPCC, 2014:20.
Ibid.
Ibid.
IPCC, 2018.
Vinke et al., 2020.

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action

Along with the first part, the Sixth Assessment Report (to be finalized later in 2022) will include the threemost recent IPCC Special Reports – Global Warming of 1.5°C, Climate Change and Land, and The Ocean
and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, as well as the contribution of other two Working Groups: Impacts,
Adaptation and Vulnerability, and Mitigation of Climate Change. The report will provide policymakers withthe most up-to-date scientific information related to climate change impacts.
Source: IPCC, 2021.

People at risk
Other critical sources of information focus on people residing in climate-vulnerable areas where adverse impacts
of slow-onset events are expected to worsen. Data on people at risk are available for many parts of the world.41
Rising temperatures are a growing concern as exposure to high heat threatens habitability and can lead to lossof labour productivity. For instance, a 2017 report estimates that with a 1.5°C global temperature rise, 30 to 60
million people will live in hot areas where the average heat in the hottest month is likely to be too high for ahuman body to function well.42 A warmer world will put millions of people at threat of sea-level rise,43 and a world
warmer by 1°C could directly expose 2.2 per cent of the world’s population to rising seas.44
As with reporting the data on future projections, special care should be taken to present the caveats inherent tosuch numbers. While it is possible that many individuals and families will migrate to cope with climate impacts, it isalso clear that not all people living in at-risk areas will want or have the opportunity to migrate. Scenarios arisingwhere such projections become realities – leading to people at risk migrating out of affected areas – will only occur
if appropriate and evidence-based policymaking decisions are not taken. It is therefore critical to remember that
there is a window of opportunity to ensure that the worst predictions do not come to pass, and that policymakers
need support to analyse existing knowledge, make appropriate connections and take decisions that address boththe mobility and immobility dimensions of climate change.
The lack of comprehensive data on migration linked to slow-onset climate events remains a barrier in developing
evidence-based policymaking. In many cases, it is difficult to isolate climate factors from other social, economic,
political and security drivers that motivate the decision to migrate. This is especially true in relation to slow-onset
events, as they do not usually lead to immediate large-scale movements. Therefore, it is possible for instance thatmany migrants who are understood to be migrating for economic reasons, also migrate in part because of climate
impacts on their livelihoods.45 Another example relates to conflict and security. When political, economic and social
factors of instability intersect, population movements might exacerbate State fragility and contribute to increasing
conflict. The Syrian civil war, where exceptional drought contributed to population movements towards urban areasthat were not addressed by the political regime, is often cited as an illustration of these linkages.46 However, existing
evidence does not allow the firm conclusion that there exists a direct link between migration, climate change andconflict.47 In terms of policymaking, it is however important to consider that climate change often acts as a threat
multiplier in fragile contexts.

41
42
43
44
45
46
47

Ionesco et al., 2017.
IOM, 2017b.
McMichael et al., 2020.
Marzeion and Levermann, 2014.
Bendandi, 2020.
Maertens and Baillat, 2017.
Ionesco et al., 2017.

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241

Even if this multicausal nature makes it impossible to offer a global overview of hard numbers of people migratingin the context of slow-onset climate impacts, there is enough information available to understand the scale of theissue. In this respect, researchers can best support policymakers by providing context-specific analyses of converging
sources. However, policymakers will need to accept that there is no clear-cut way to obtain hard numbers and thatpolicymaking decisions need to acknowledge this complexity. As described in the next section, multilateral United
Nations policy dialogues are increasingly discussing policy stakes related to climate migration, including slow-onset
dimensions. These global policy discussions are already impacting national- and regional-level policymaking, withseveral countries developing national policy frameworks that align with global discussions. However, better data andanalysis would help operationalize national responses to migration linked to slow-onset climate impacts.

Slow-onset climate impacts in global policy developments:
where do we stand?
Global developments in climate policy and migration policy
The topic of migration and climate change has increasingly been included in global policy discussions conductedunder United Nations frameworks and beyond.48 Especially significant is the progress made in including migration
dimensions within the climate change negotiations agenda and the implementation of the Paris Agreement by State
parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).49 In 2015, the Paris Climate
Change Agreement mandated the creation of the UNFCCC Task Force on Displacement within the Warsaw
International Mechanism for Loss and Damage (WIM),50 an expert body comprising members with complementary
expertise. Through a consultative process,51 the Task Force developed recommendations on how to address
displacement in the context of climate change.52 These recommendations are addressed to UNFCCC State parties,
the United Nations system and other relevant stakeholders. These recommendations are applicable in the context
of slow-onset events, as they seek to address all forms of human mobility linked to the adverse impacts of climatechange, including slow-onset events.
Salient points formulated in these recommendations include: inviting States to formulate laws, policies and strategies
that address all forms of migration linked to climate impacts, while taking into account States’ human rights obligations;strengthening research and analysis on the topic; inviting States to facilitate orderly, safe and regular migration in thecontext of adverse climate impacts; and creating synergies with the work conducted under the Global Compact for
Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration. State parties to the UNFCCC endorsed these recommendations in 2018 andrenewed the mandate of the Task Force on Displacement until 2021, a sign of political interest to keep migration
discussions on the agenda of the climate negotiations. Furthermore, members of the Task Force on Displacement
have been producing dedicated knowledge products53 that seek to raise awareness on what forms of migration
occur in the context of slow-onset events and to map current United Nations mandates to address displacement
linked to climate impacts, including slow-onset processes.54 This policy work is starting to influence policymaking
at the national level. For instance, the Governments of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan are reviewing the extent to which
48
49
50
51
52
53
54

IOM, 2018b.
Traore Chazalnoël and Ionesco, 2016.
See UNFCCC, n.d.e, Task Force on Displacement.
IOM, 2018c.
UNFCCC, 2021.
IOM, 2018b.
PDD, 2018.

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action

their national policy frameworks are aligned with the recommendations of the Task Force on Displacement, with aview to identifying relevant mechanisms and gaps, and formulating specific recommendations to address migrationand climate-change issues nationally.55
It is important to note that the migration-related policy work conducted under the UNFCCC is connected
institutionally to other strategic workstreams under the climate negotiations that are of great relevance to migrationin the context of slow-onset events and processes. The human mobility strategic workstream is situated under theoverall work programme on loss and damage,56 alongside strategic workstreams dedicated to slow-onset events andnon-economic losses.57 Clearly, these dimensions are of great relevance when discussing migration in the context ofslow-onset environmental degradation, as affected populations, including migrants, can suffer both economic losses
such as loss of income, infrastructure and property,58 and non-economic losses such as loss of cultural heritage59
and traditional knowledge.60 There is an increasing recognition that stronger connections between these work
programmes need to be established.
Discussions on migration under the UNFCCC were originally related to the adaptation workstream,61 before being
moved to the loss and damage workstream. This shift opened the possibility of an alternative framing of climate
migration: migration can be a way to adapt to climate impacts and reduce loss and damage, but it can also be asource of loss and damage for the migrants and their host communities.62 Depending on the context, forms ofmobility such as voluntary migration and planned relocation63 can be both a form of loss and damage as well as
an adaptation measure.64 There is, however, the risk that an excessive focus on migration as a source of loss ordamage, in particular for host communities, could be negatively politicized and lead to policies that seek to limit all
migration, including when it can be a form of adaptation.65
Looking forward, a better understanding of how loss and damage issues relate to migration may be critical in
guiding the development of migration policies and practices that consider slow-onset climate impacts. However, it isimportant to acknowledge that this step could trigger politically difficult discussions, as questions of loss and damage
are very much linked to issues of compensation, a sensitive topic for both developed and developing countries.66
Indeed, at the request of a developed country,67 the decision of the 2015 Paris Agreement that created the Task
Force on Displacement under the loss and damage workstream explicitly stated that this exercise did not provide
a basis for any liability or compensation.68

55
56
57

58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68

IOM, 2021a; IOM, 2021b.
For more details, see UNFCCC, n.d.b.
Non-economic losses are additional to the loss of property, assets, infrastructure, agricultural production and/or revenue that can
result from the adverse effects of climate change. It covers loss and damage that is not easily quantifiable in economic terms, suchas loss of life, degraded health and losses induced by human mobility, as well as loss or degradation of territory, cultural heritage,indigenous knowledge, societal/cultural identity, biodiversity and ecosystem services. For more details, see UNFCCC, n.d.c.
UNFCCC, 2020.
Heslin, 2019.
UNFCCC, 2013.
Mayer, 2016.
Ibid.
Hirsch, 2019.
UNFCCC, 2013.
Mayer, 2016. Also note that some researchers argue that the framing of climate migrants as potential security threats can lead to
exclusionary and containment policies (Telford, 2018).
Hirsch, 2019.
Verchick, 2018.
UNFCCC, 2015.

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243

In 2019, at the 24th Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC (COP24), a WIM review exercise offered State
parties to the UNFCCC the opportunity to share their views on the work of the WIM to date, including thework of the Task Force on Displacement, and provide recommendations for future orientations.69 There was wide
acknowledgement that the Task Force on Displacement had not only successfully delivered on its mandate todevelop recommendations, but had also achieved other positive impacts, such as offering a space to discuss “difficultand sensitive issues related to loss and damage”.70 It was also highlighted that the involvement of external operational
actors was instrumental to the success of the Task Force.71 As an outcome of the WIM review exercise, the LeastDeveloped Countries Group recommended the establishment of a displacement facility to support countries
to address internal and cross-border displacement and migration related to climate-change impacts, and greater
involvement of operational actors to build capacities at the national level to better exploit knowledge related toloss and damage.72 These recommendations are in line with the strong calls from developing countries to facilitate
availability of and access to financing mechanisms and enhance the operationalization of the WIM at the national
level.73 On the other hand, European Union countries, for example, highlighted that the current structure of the
WIM was adequate, and had enabled it to deliver its core functions.74 It is too soon to determine precisely how
the various State interests at stake will shape the future of migration-related work under the UNFCCC. However,the slow pace of the discussions conducted under the UNFCCC makes it unlikely that further operationalization of
the WIM can occur rapidly. In terms of addressing slow-onset impacts on migration, one of the most effective ways
forward may be to empower external operational actors to support the implementation of the recommendationsof the Task Force on Displacement at the national level.
Global migration policy discussions have increasingly acted in parallel to integrate climate and environmental
dimensions, building upon the work conducted under the UNFCCC. In this respect, critical milestones were theadoption by United Nations Member States of the 2016 New York Declaration for Refugees and Migrants (NewYork Declaration),75 followed by the 2018 adoption by States of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular
Migration. The Global Compact for Migration includes several actions that States can implement to: (a) addressenvironmental and climate drivers of migration, including slow-onset drivers (objective 2); and (b) to enhance theavailability and flexibility of regular migration pathways, such as visa options for those affected by climate impacts,
including slow-onset events (objective 5).
However, it is important to recall that the Global Compact for Migration is only concerned with internationalmigration, while much migration in the context of slow-onset degradation takes place internally, from rural to urban
areas for instance. From an implementation perspective, the focus on international migration gives a leading role
to ministries of foreign affairs and/or home affairs, and it may prove difficult to ensure the coherent participationof governmental actors that are not traditionally involved with migration, yet are in charge of climate or disasterrisk-reduction issues. Nonetheless, a sound implementation of the Global Compact for Migration’s objectives,
especially those related to addressing drivers of migration and promoting adaptation and resilience in countriesof origin, can have positive effects on both internal and international migration. The Migration Multi-Partner TrustFund, established to support the implementation of the Global Compact for Migration, has started funding joint
programmes related to climate migration.76 While being too soon to evaluate operational results, it is encouraging
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76

UNFCCC, n.d.d.
Government of Finland and EC, 2019.
Ibid; Government of Bhutan, 2019.
Ibid.
Government of Guatemala, 2019; Government of the Philippines, 2019; AOSIS, 2019.
Government of Finland and EC, 2019.
Martin and Weerasinghe, 2017.
MPTF, 2020.

244

Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking actionthat States have supported the funding of migration programmes. The International Migration Review Forum,77
scheduled to take place in 2022 to review the status of implementation of the Global Compact for Migration, willoffer important indicators on States’ willingness, including through action, to implement the Compact’s objectives
related to climate migration.
The objectives outlined under the Global Compact for Migration are aligned with the UNFCCC Task Force on
Displacement Recommendations and echo many of its points, such as the need for better data and knowledge
and the necessity to support populations to develop resilience strategies, including those for slow-onset eventsand processes. Both documents spell out global policy principles that could be instrumental in guiding policy
development at the national level. Some countries such as Peru are already developing national plans that build
upon the principles outlined in these global policy documents,78 a sign that they can play a catalytic role in national
policy development.
Other ongoing initiatives are relevant in supporting the development of policy on migration in the context of slowonset events (see a summary of other relevant initiatives in the United Nations system in Appendix B). Slow-onset
dimensions are therefore relatively well integrated into the main relevant global policy discussions, even if data andknowledge on this specific topic need to be strengthened. The various recommendations and principles articulated
at the global level highlight the complex nature of migration linked to slow-onset climate impacts and the need forpolicymakers from different areas to work together to develop comprehensive solutions. In this respect, migration
policymakers have a leading role to play in translating global principles into national- and regional-level policies thatprovide assistance and protection to affected migrants and communities. The following section will focus on how
migration policy can be reshaped to respond to some of the identified issues, in line with global principles.

Migrants’ testimony: the multicausal nature of climate migration“Rains recently have been very intense –very intense. Without comparison, likenothing seen before. Years ago the rainyseason lasted two months, November
and December, and water levels reached
20 to 30 centimetres. Now, in the last
six to seven months, they’ve reachedover two metres. We’ve never seen thisbefore. We don’t want to leave our land:
here are our past, our memories, ourancestors. We don’t want to move toother parts, we don’t know what to do
there.”

Even in the face of extremely difficult consequence ofenvironmental change, many people wish to remain in theircurrent location, rather than migrating to find alternative
work. As we can see from this testimony, historic andcultural connections to locations are important to many andform a key part of someone’s decision to stay or leave.
Context:
This testimony was recorded by NGO Refugees International.
The interviewee is speaking as part of its video series
reporting on the consequences of flooding in Colombia in
2012.

Sources: Adams, 2016; Refugees International, 2012.

77
78

UNNM, n.d.
Peru is in the process of preparing a specific Plan of Action on Climate Migration, as requested by the Climate Change law of 2018
and its 2019 Regulation Law. See Parliament of Peru, 2019 and Government of Peru, 2019.

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Migration in the context of slow-onset climate impacts: moving fromframeworks to migration policy action
Due to the multicausal nature of climate migration,79 policymakers from different areas can help address various
sides of the nexus. Climate and disaster risk-reduction specialists play a leading role in addressing adverse driversof internal climate migration. For instance, migration issues have been included in national climate and disasterrisk-reduction policies in several countries, such as Colombia and Togo.80 This section focuses on examining
how migration policymaking can help address some of the key challenges linked to climate migration. Migration
policymakers seeking to adapt existing frameworks or develop new ones to respond to migration in the context
of slow-onset events face a difficult task. They have to take into account a number of complex points that can
influence how national and regional policy frameworks are developed. One key point outlined in global principles
is the recognition that in some cases, it will not be possible for people to remain in areas devastated by slowonset events, or to return to these areas; and that in such contexts, facilitating regular migration is a needed policy
response. This dimension is one of the key areas of work in which migration policymakers can play an importantrole, for instance by negotiating bilateral labour migration agreements that can potentially offer regular migration
options.
The notion that migration can be one of the available ways for individuals to adapt to climate impacts has beenthoroughly discussed over the last decade, with diverging views.81 On the one hand, the “migration as adaptation”
framing allows policymakers to consider how voluntary migration could help reduce exposure and vulnerability tophysical risks associated with climate impacts, and boost the resilience both of migrants and the households left
behind, through livelihood diversification and remittances, for instance.82 On the other hand, it has been argued
that this framing could dilute the responsibility of political forces by shifting the focus to individual resilienceand opportunities to move, weakening considerations linked to issues of inequality, injustice and reparations.83
Whether migration results in mostly positive consequences will be context-specific, with additional factors such as
gender dimensions84 and age85 influencing outcomes. Available literature usually emphasizes that migration linked toclimate impacts takes place along a voluntary to forced continuum;86 and in most cases, even so-called “voluntary”
movements will be motivated by external pressures that shape and limit individuals’ migration options.87 Likewise,
there is increasing recognition that even in situations of “forced” migration, individuals and households can exert
some agency in migration decisions, such as deciding when, where and how to move to a new location.88
Beyond the debate on whether migration constitutes a reasonable and desirable adaptation option and whether
migration is mostly forced or voluntary, it is important to acknowledge that movements are already taking place
and will continue to occur and probably grow. What is at stake therefore is how to develop realistic policy
approaches that acknowledge the fact that migration might be inevitable in certain contexts and that help reduce
migrants’ vulnerabilities and enhance the positive impacts of migration for migrants and communities. Looking
ahead, developing new safe and legal migration pathways to cope with adverse impacts of climate might be animmense but probably necessary challenge, likely to prompt difficult political discussions on the perils of offering
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88

United Kingdom Government Office for Science, 2011.
IOM, 2018a.
Oakes et al., 2020.
IOM, 2015b; IOM, 2017c.
Bettini et al., 2017.
Gioli and Milan, 2018.
Ionesco and Pawliczko, 2014.
Flavell et al., 2020.
McAuliffe et al., 2017.
Akesson and Coupland, 2018; Oakes et al., 2020.

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action

more migration pathways. Migration policymakers continue to assess how existing current approaches to migration
management could be adjusted or expanded to address the specific challenges of people moving in connection
with climate impacts.89 Reviewing and expanding existing policies and practices has potential to lead to relatively
fast positive changes for migrants, increasing their protection when moving in response to extreme climate impacts
and providing alternative choices to those unable to remain in or return to areas devastated by slow-onset
environmental impacts.
In terms of cross-border migration, one obvious response is to develop more visa options available to those
who cannot remain in, or return to, areas of origin due to slow-onset impacts of climate change, as outlined
under Global Compact for Migration objective 5h. Such visas could for instance be granted on humanitarian andcompassionate grounds to those fleeing extreme environmental degradation, on the model of humanitarian visas
offered by Brazil to Haitian migrants after the 2010 earthquake or temporary visas in Peru granted for humanitarianreasons.90 Other migration management options could be applied to migrants who are already abroad, but are facing
difficulties in returning due to slow-onset climate impacts, such as implementing broad regularization programmes,
adjusting immigration enforcement activities or granting individuals residency permits. Existing practices can also beenhanced, such as using bilateral agreements on education, training or labour to offer alternative options to thosemost vulnerable to climate impacts,91 and using provisions under regional free-movement agreements to admit
migrants affected by climate impacts.92 The specific challenges linked to voluntary return and reintegration policies
and programmes are also of critical importance in cases where return is possible, but where areas of return areenvironmentally fragile. This includes providing options for returning migrants to work in the green or blue economy
and in environmentally sustainable occupations.93
In terms of facilitating internal migration, ensuring that migration policies consider urbanization issues is particularly
important. Many regions of the world experience migration from rural areas – which might be affected by slowonset events – towards urban centres,94 where migrants might seek diverse livelihood opportunities or better accessto essential services. However, cities can become hotspots of risks,95 as many densely populated urban centres
are exposed to slow-onset events and processes such as heat waves, coastal erosion, droughts and sea-level rise.
Migration management policies therefore need to take these dimensions into account, such as in the Bangladesh-led
initiative that encourages internal migrants not to move to major cities, but to instead move to secondary cities
that are more climate-resilient and migrant-friendly.96
Planned relocation policies could also be critical in facilitating safe and orderly migration. Planned relocations ofentire communities living in areas that are irreversibly damaged due to slow-onset degradation, such as sea-levelrise, are already taking place in over 60 countries and territories across all continents.97 It is likely that more planned
relocations will need to be managed in the future, even if they are usually considered to be a last-resort option.
However, very few countries have developed domestic laws and policies focused solely on planned relocation.98
Policies on planned relocation need to consider several complex factors to avoid worsening the vulnerabilities
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98

IOM’s definition of migration management reads as follows: “planned approaches to the implementation and operationalization ofpolicy, legislative and administrative frameworks, developed by the institutions in charge of migration” (IOM, 2019:248).
Nansen Initiative, 2015b.
For example, Spain and New Zealand have expanded the use of pre-existing temporary work quotas to target migrants originatingfrom areas affected by climate impacts. For more details, see Nansen Initiative, 2015b.
Foreigners affected by slow-onset disasters and environmental stress have relied on free-movement agreements between Nepal andIndia. See Nansen Initiative, 2015b.
IOM, 2020c.
FAO et al., 2018.
Schreiber et al., 2016.
Alam et al., 2018.
Bower and Weerasinghe, 2021.
Ibid.

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of those relocated, such as the physical impacts of relocation on the landscape of receiving places, employment
opportunities, access to essential services, and social cohesion between relocated communities and communitiesof destination.99 Even if it is anticipated that most planned relocations will take place within countries, for instancein small island developing States threatened by sea-level rise, such relocations could potentially take place acrossborders. This could in turn trigger extremely complex international legal challenges. From the perspective of a loss
and damage framing of climate migration, such policy choices can be a double-edged sword. Facilitating migrationand planned relocation can potentially reduce loss and damage by reducing exposure to adverse climate impacts,
but can also incur loss and damage for the migrants and/or the host communities.100
Migration management policy and practice should strive to support in parallel migrants’ efforts to mitigate andto adapt to slow-onset events, both in their areas of origin and destination. Such policy options could include
reducing the cost of transferring remittances towards areas that experience serious environmental degradation,and incentivizing the skills and financial investments of migrants towards climate action in areas of origin. These
policies would also contribute to addressing climate drivers of migration by reducing vulnerabilities in areas of origin.
Furthermore, migrants’ inputs could be actively sought and integrated within national- and local-level policy planning,
to ensure that specific challenges experienced by mobile populations are reflected.
Countries could find it useful to undertake comprehensive review exercises to analyse how their existing migration
management policies can be applied or modified to respond to new environmental challenges. Such reviews could
also evaluate whether there is a need to develop new migration management tools to support populations moving
in the context of slow-onset climate impacts.

Maximizing migrants’ contributions to climate action
Financial remittances are often a lifeline for the poorest households, allowing them to meet their basic
needs. Financial remittances are mostly used for poverty reduction as opposed to investment in longerterm adaptation.a However, remittances have the potential in some contexts to constitute an alternative
source of climate finance in developing countries, such as in Pacific small island developing States.b Financial
remittances can contribute to building resilience at both the individual and community level, for instancewhen migrants are able to build climate-resilient houses or invest in climate-proof community infrastructure.
Social remittances might also play a key role in building resilience to climate shocks when migrants acquire
new skills and education.c In Tajikistan, for instance, a study highlights that migrants’ remittances are
increasingly used for business creation and community-based farming, creating opportunities for a moreclimate-resilient future.d However, incentives need to be provided to encourage migrants’ investments innational and community resilience to climate change, as migrants might not have the necessary informationor the technical know-how to channel remittances into climate action.e Examples of policy measures that
support migrants’ investments include the 3×1 Program for Migrants in Mexico, through which national
authorities provide three dollars for every one dollar of remittances invested in community projects; or loans
offered by the Senegalese Government to diasporas.f
a
b
c
d
e
f

IOM, 2017c:81; Musah-Surugu et al., 2018.
Samuwai and Maxwell Hills, 2018.
IOM, 2017c.
Babagaliyeva et al., 2017.
Bendandi and Pauw, 2016.
Ibid; Villegas Rivera, 2014.

99 IOM et al., 2017; Brookings Institution et al., 2015.
100 Mayer, 2016.

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action

Examples of existing practices
Relevant national and regional policy responses have been developed in recent years to address migration linked toclimate impacts and environmental change.101 This development in policymaking at the national and regional levels
could be partially linked to the greater visibility given to the topic in global agendas. It also indicates that there isincreasing awareness of climate migration, as well as political will to address it. Existing policies do not generally
distinguish between migration linked to slow-onset events and movements linked to sudden disasters. These policies
can be stand-alone frameworks that specifically seek to address issues linked to climate change and migration.
Other frameworks highlight climate and migration dimensions in other areas, such as migration and human mobility
policies, climate adaptation and mitigation policies, and disaster risk-reduction policies. The scope of these policies
also differs: some seek to address internal migration movements, while others look at how to manage migration
flows originating from other countries.
The section below presents some recent examples of migration policy initiatives that address climate impacts on
migration, including slow-onset dimensions. Further examples can be found in the Migration, Environment andClimate Change: Policy Brief Series.102
Vanuatu National Policy on Climate Change and Disaster-Induced Displacement (2018)
Vanuatu developed a policy targeting all causes of displacement in the country, including movements linked toslow-onset impacts, such as coastal erosion, environmental degradation, sea-level rise and drought.103 This policy
seeks to facilitate a whole-of-government approach to minimize drivers of displacement; ensure that facilitatedmigration, such as planned relocation, takes place with dignity and in full respect of human rights; and develop
durable solutions for populations on the move. This national policy also highlights that well-managed and safeinternal migration can be an adaptation strategy to climate impacts. This national policy clearly aligns with global
policy frameworks such as the Recommendations of the Task Force on Displacement and regional policy efforts
ongoing in the Pacific.
Selected key measures:• Strengthen institutional governance to address mobility linked to climate impacts;• Develop evidence-based approaches through better data collection and monitoring measures, such as thecreation of a displacement-tracking mechanism;• Develop guidelines and standard operational procedures to ensure common standards for protection of all
people affected by displacement;• Incorporate displacement and migration considerations into land management, housing and environmental
planning.

South America: non-binding regional instrument on the protection of people displaced across borders and on
migrants in countries affected by disasters linked to natural hazards (2019)
Member countries of the South American Conference on Migration, a regional consultative process on migration,
developed and adopted non-binding guidelines to protect persons displaced across borders due to disasters.104 The
guidelines mostly focus on sudden-onset events, but could potentially be applicable to movements connected to

101 IOM, 2018a; UNHCR, 2018.
102 See https://environmentalmigration.iom.int/policy-briefs.
103 Government of Vanuatu, 2018.
104 CSM, 2018.

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slow-onset disasters and processes. The guidelines build on existing practices that promote the use of regular andexceptional immigration law on humanitarian grounds. Even if non-binding, the guidelines represent an innovative
policymaking example of how countries can cooperate at the regional level to minimize environmental drivers of
migration and manage the admission and stay of affected people. These regional guidelines can also guide national
policymaking efforts and contribute to the development of solid national frameworks across the region.
Selected key measures:• Enhance institutional coordination and develop procedures in each country to anticipate and respond to
movements linked to natural disasters;• Identify protection needs of persons displaced across international borders and unable to return to theircountry of origin;• Facilitate immigration procedures for regular entry, including the issuing of humanitarian visas and temporary
agreements.

Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD): Protocol on Free Movement of Persons in the IGAD Region(2020)
Regional free-movement policies can also be leveraged to address the specific concerns of people moving within aregion in response to climate impacts, including slow-onset processes. A recent regional free-movement protocol
adopted in East Africa exemplifies how this type of agreements can contribute to protecting those moving acrossborders because of environmental impacts.105 IGAD, representing seven East African countries, in 2020 adopted
a Protocol on Free Movement of Persons in the IGAD Region. The protocol uses a broad definition of disasters,
including both sudden events and slow-onset environmental damage. It highlights States’ responsibility to facilitate
entry, registration and stay of citizens of other Member States affected by disasters.
Key measures:• Facilitate entry and registration of citizens of other Member States moving in anticipation of, during, or in theaftermath of disasters;• Facilitate the extension of stay for these citizens.
Pacific climate change-related displacement and migration: a New Zealand action plan (2018)
This action plan was developed by the Office of the Minister of Foreign Affairs and adopted by the New Zealandcabinet in 2018.106 An update was provided in 2019.107 The action plan recognizes that climate impacts in Pacificisland countries have implications for New Zealand, including issues of migration. The plan acknowledges the wish
expressed by Pacific island countries to focus first and foremost on addressing climate drivers of migration, sothat people can remain and lead productive lives in their own countries. As a result, the plan emphasizes that
New Zealand should provide financial support to these countries to advance effective climate action, as one way
to anticipate and prepare for cross-border climate migration. In a long-term perspective, the plan recommends
considering options for regular migration pathways, such as expanding labour mobility schemes and the use ofhumanitarian visas, once a clearer picture of Pacific needs and priorities emerges.

105 IGAD, 2020.
106 Government of New Zealand, 2018.
107 Government of New Zealand, 2019.

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action

Selected key measures:• Using Official Development Assistance to support Pacific communities to avert climate-related displacement andprepare for climate migration, through investments in climate resilience and adaption measures;• Promoting regional dialogue and exploring potential regional approaches that outline a collective Pacific response
to internal and cross-border climate migration;• Strengthening international frameworks through multilateral action, including the UNFCCC Task Force on
Displacement and the Global Compact for Migration;• Commission robust research and analysis of hazards and vulnerabilities to prepare for climate migration.
These selected policymaking examples present characteristics that are of wider relevance to States seeking tostrengthen their migration policy frameworks to address international and cross-border climate migration.108
These examples all align with the recommendations and practices adopted at the global level, while developing
contextualized responses to address their specific needs. They demonstrate in different ways how global frameworks
can be actioned at both regional and national levels. At the national level, policies mostly seek to address internal
climate drivers of migration and manage internal movements. However, a successful implementation of these typesof policies would not only support internal migrants, but would probably also reduce the environmental drivers
that contribute to international migration. Developed countries increasingly seek to understand how climate change
in developing countries could impact migration flows towards their territories.109 For instance, the 2021 UnitedStates Executive Order on Rebuilding and Enhancing Programs to Resettle Refugees and Planning for the Impactof Climate Change on Migration requests the Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs to workwith the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, the Secretary of Homeland Security, the Administratorof the United States Agency for International Development and the Director of National Intelligence to prepare
and submit to the President a report on climate change and its impact on migration, including forced migration,internal displacement and planned relocation.110 The report is to identify security implications of climate-related
movements and options to protect and resettle individuals displaced directly or indirectly by climate impacts. The
report will also articulate proposals on how the use of foreign assistance from the United States can reduce thenegative impacts of climate change. The production of this report, involving high-level national stakeholders acrossthe policy spectrum, demonstrates a willingness to address the national implications of a major contemporary issue
by working in close collaboration at both global and local levels with other countries, international and regional
agencies, and non-governmental organizations.
Policies originating from developed countries could potentially help enhance investments in national climate action
and development measures in countries vulnerable to climate impacts, with a view to minimizing drivers of crossborder migration. Regional policy examples highlight that States can make use of regular and exceptional migration
measures to manage mobility linked to disasters. These developments are promising. However, we do not yet
have enough hindsight to evaluate the results of these policy efforts, especially as they mostly remain non-binding
and/or have not yet been widely implemented.

108 Other examples of policy developments can be found in Submission on Slow-Onset Internal Displacement (for more details, see IOM,
2020d) and Agenda for the Protection of Cross-Border Displaced Persons in the Context of Disasters and Climate Change, Volume II (for moredetails, see Nansen Initiative, 2015b.)
109 IOM, 2017d.
110 United States White House Executive Order, 2021.

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Key findings on migration in the context of slow-onset events relevant to policymaking
•

•
•
•
•
•

•

•
•
•

Slow-onset events and processes may result in diverse migration outcomes: a continuum of voluntary to
involuntary migration; short-term, circular, longer-term and permanent movements; internally or acrossborders; over short or long distances; migration of individuals, whole households and entire communities(planned relocation); and immobility of trapped populations.
The choice to migrate in the context of slow-onset events and processes often involves complex decisionmaking and is shaped by multiple socioeconomic and environmental factors.
Slow-onset processes affect more directly the lives and livelihoods of those who depend on local natural
resources for their livelihoods and security (e.g. farmers, herders, fishers and indigenous peoples).
Migration in the context of slow-onset impacts can be difficult to distinguish from other types of
movements (e.g. labour migration, shorter-term circulation).
Communities of origin, migrants’ families left behind and trapped populations are also concerned with
migration in the context of slow-onset events.
Migration in the context of slow-onset processes often results in differentiated impacts for women, boys
and girls, and the elderly, linked to a number of factors such as family separation, disempowerment andincreased dependency on other household members.
Slow-onset events and processes occur in some contexts with situations of intercommunal tensions andconflict. Their combined impacts can lead to population movements, which in turn further exacerbate
environmental degradation and conflicts.
Urban areas are often the main destinations for people moving in the context of slow-onset events.
However, these urban areas can become hotspots of risk related to the impacts of environmental change.
Data on migration in the context of slow-onset events are limited, but provide a broad picture of theissues at stakes and the scale of the phenomenon.
Migrants can act as agents of change and contribute positively to climate action.

Note: This summary is drawn from IOM institutional submissions, available on the IOM Environmental Migration Portal at https://environmentalmigration.iom.int/.

Conclusion
Looking ahead at a future in which slow-onset climate events are expected to worsen, appropriate migration
management policies and practices can and should be part of the solution. Global policy discussions have identified
some entry points where migration policymakers could be instrumental in promoting positive changes, notably interms of facilitating migration in the context of slow-onset climate events. Attempting to develop legal pathways toenhance the protection of people migrating in the climate context might prove difficult in some countries where a
growing hostility emerges towards hosting more migrants. Yet, at the same time, there has clearly been a growing
political interest among both developed and developing States in discussing migration linked to climate impacts– and this growing awareness is already influencing how policies are developing at national and regional levels.

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Migration and the slow-onset impacts of climate change: Taking stock and taking action

Therefore, there may not be a better time to intensify and expand initiatives designed to translate global frameworks
into action and support the unique role that migration policymakers could play to address slow-onset drivers of
migration. Looking ahead, some points that will need to be carefully considered include:
•

•
•
•
•

Ensuring that knowledge providers better collect and analyse evidence specifically related to slow-onset eventsand processes, promoting an understanding of the uniqueness and complexity of the nexus, and making thesedata available to migration policymakers to support evidence-based policymaking.
Facilitating effective regional policy dialogue to support the development and implementation of regional
responses.
Understanding how developed countries can best support countries most vulnerable to climate change andpromote win–win policy solutions related to migration and slow-onset impacts.
Ensuring that migration policy developments are complementary to other policy developments at the national
level, notably policies related to climate-change adaptation and mitigation and disaster risk reduction.
Setting up monitoring and evaluation systems to assess the impact of existing policies and analyse lessons
learned.

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255

HUMAN TRAFFICKING IN MIGRATION PATHWAYS:
TRENDS, CHALLENGES AND NEW FORMS OF
COOPERATION1Introduction
Trafficking of migrants has made horrific headlines in recent years, with migrants sold at slave markets, tortured
for ransom and exploited across a range of industries. Organized crime groups traffic migrants in virtually every
country today.
The global scope of this crime reflects broader challenges. Victims are often from disadvantaged socioeconomic
backgrounds and/or lower-income countries and are usually trafficked to richer countries where traffickers
obtain the highest financial returns on their exploitation. Human trafficking is therefore explicitly recognized as adevelopment challenge in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, which refers to the eradication of forced
labour, modern slavery and human trafficking in its Target 8.7.2 Sustainable development and counter-trafficking
are interrelated; eradicating trafficking requires poverty eradication (goal 1), gender equality (goal 5), increased
opportunities for decent work (goal 8) and access to justice (goal 16). The interlinkages between human trafficking
and development are complex, as trafficking finds its roots to a certain extent in inequality and constitutes, by thesame token, an obstacle to the development and well-being of societies in terms of the denial of people’s humandignity.3
Human trafficking challenges migration governance at global, regional and national levels, as trafficking risks for
migrants are greater when migration is unsafe, disorderly and/or irregular. Irregular migration can be unsafe, withlower access to protection and support networks and greater risks of trafficking.4 To “prevent, combat and eradicate
trafficking in persons in the context of international migration” is thus central to the Global Compact for Safe,
Orderly and Regular Migration as set out in Objective 10, in addition to other Global Compact objectives that are
relevant to counter-trafficking.5 Target 10.7 of the Sustainable Development Goals, which seeks to achieve safe,
orderly, regular and responsible migration, also recognizes that realizing the benefits and full potential of migration
while addressing human trafficking risks requires well-managed and well-governed approaches to migration andhuman mobility.
Although there are no systematic and complete data on the proportion of migrants who are trafficked, existing
evidence suggests that trafficked migrants represent a small share of the 281 million international migrants in 2020,6
but the practice has serious consequences for its victims, their families and communities in origin and destination
countries. Human trafficking has negative economic and social impacts, long-term mental and physical health
1
2
3
4
5
6

Céline Bauloz, Senior Research Officer, IOM; Marika McAdam, Independent Researcher; Joseph Teye, Professor and Director of theCentre for Migration Studies, University of Ghana.
See https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal8.
Kotiswaran, 2019; Danailova-Trainor and Laczko, 2010.
Triandafyllidou and McAuliffe, 2018.
UNGA, 2018.
UN DESA, 2020.

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Human trafficking in migration pathways: Trends, challenges and new forms of cooperation

repercussions, and human rights implications. Trafficking is highly gendered; women and girls are more susceptible
to trafficking for the purpose of sexual exploitation, forced marriage and domestic servitude, while men and boys
are more commonly victims of trafficking in the fishing and mining industries.
The complex nature of the crime is a major obstacle in disrupting traffickers.7 Where migrants are trafficked
transnationally, another layer of complexity is added to criminal justice response efforts and victim protection.
Human trafficking networks span multiple countries, often intersecting with the commission of other criminal
activities, such as migrant smuggling. Organized criminals are adept at leveraging the latest digital technologies,
including social media, the darknet and cryptocurrencies, to commit crimes and conceal their profits.
This chapter explores some of the current and emerging challenges of confronting human trafficking in migration
pathways. While aiming to provide a balanced picture of the geographic reach of migrants’ trafficking worldwide,
examples used in this chapter are not representative of the prevalence of the crime, nor the challenges it presents
in some countries and regions that remain under-researched. Moreover, while this chapter focuses on internationalmigration, trafficking within countries is also prevalent, sometimes as a result of internal displacement triggered bycrises.
The first section of this chapter introduces the legal definition of human trafficking, differentiating it from thedistinct but related crime of smuggling of migrants. The second section then provides an overview of current
trafficking trends and patterns, looking at the available data on migrant victims of human trafficking and traffickers.
The third section explores current challenges and promising avenues for the prevention of trafficking of migrants,
including prosecuting traffickers, protecting victims and cooperating for counter-trafficking efforts. Finally, buildingon the findings of earlier sections, the conclusion outlines policy and programmatic implications and offers
recommendations for further research.

Defining migrant trafficking
The concept of human trafficking emerged from centuries’ worth of international law, on issues including the
suppression of trading in white women and girls for sexual exploitation, trafficking in women and children, andslavery and practices similar to it, as well as trafficking and exploitation involving the prostitution of others.8 Yet it
was not until 2000, with the Protocol to Prevent, Suppress and Punish Trafficking in Persons, Especially Womenand Children (Trafficking Protocol) supplementing the United Nations Convention against Transnational Organized
Crime, that an international definition to criminalize “trafficking in persons” was agreed upon and accepted.9
The definition of human trafficking, as deconstructed in Figure 1 below, comprises three elements: an “act”, a“means” by which the act is done, and a “purpose” of the action and means, being exploitation. One of each of
the three elements is required, except where the victim is a child (any person under age 18), where only an “act”
and an exploitative “purpose” need to be established.10

7
8
9
10

Gallagher, 2010.
LoN, 1904, 1921, 1926, 1933; UN, 1949; UN, 1956; McAdam, 2019.
UN, 2000a.
Ibid., Articles 3(c) and (d).

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Figure 1. The three cumulative elements of trafficking in persons
as defined in Article 3(a) of the Trafficking Protocol
TRAFFICKING IN PERSONS

1ACT (what is done)• Recruitment;• Transportation;2• Transfer;• Harbouring or receipt of persons.

MEANS (how it is done)
Only if victim is an adult:• Threat or use of force;• Coercion;• Abduction;• Fraud;3• Deception;• Abuse of power or of a position of vulnerability;• Giving or receiving of payments or benefits to achieve theconsent of a person having control over another person.

PURPOSE (why it is done)
EXPLOITATION including, at a minimum:• Exploitation of the prostitution of others or other forms of sexual exploitation;• Forced labour or services;• Slavery or practices similar to slavery;• Servitude or the removal of organs.

Note:

As set out in Articles 3(c) and (d) of the Trafficking Protocol, the second
element referring to the means of trafficking does not apply to children.
For children, an act and the purpose of exploitation are thus sufficient fora crime to be considered as trafficking in persons.

Trafficking “acts” can occur within a country (domestic trafficking) or involve the crossing of international borders(transnational trafficking). In the international migration context, migrants not only become victims of transnationaltrafficking, but also of domestic trafficking, when for instance they are recruited for the purpose of exploitation
once in the destination country.
These acts are performed through diverse “means” that vitiate the victim’s consent, rendering it irrelevant. For
instance, a victim’s consent is irrelevant where it has been achieved by force, where a person has been deceived, or
where their vulnerable position has been abused. This element is not required for children, who lack legal capacity
to consent to such acts for the purposes of exploitation.11 As a definitional element of trafficking in adults, the“abuse of a position of vulnerability” does not refer specifically to a person’s vulnerability to human trafficking, but
in the criminal justice context requires credible evidence to prove that a trafficker has intentionally abused or taken
advantage of a victim’s position of vulnerability for the purpose of exploiting him or her.12

11 UNODC, 2014.
12 UNODC, 2011; UNODC, 2013; UNODC, 2018a.

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Vulnerability to trafficking generally refers to factors such as age, gender or socioeconomic conditions that may
render a person at risk of being trafficked. For migrants, additional factors of vulnerability may include, but are
not limited to:13•••

Drivers of migration, especially when adverse, that may lead migrants to be deceived in exploitative
recruitment abroad.
Migration routes that may lead migrants into the hands of organized trafficking networks, exploitative
employment or situations of extortion.14 Refugees and other migrants escaping conflict and violence may beparticularly vulnerable, as evidenced by the trafficking of Syrians in the Syrian Arabic Republic’s neighbouring
countries and along the Balkan route.15
Migration status, especially when irregularity exposes migrants to possible negative legal consequences,from fines to detention or deportation. Moreover, irregularity often leads migrants to work in sectors prone
to exploitation, such as in the fishing industry in South-East Asia,16 the agricultural sector in Europe,17 andconstruction jobs in Northern America.18

The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbating and creating vulnerabilities to human trafficking
Increased insecurity, poverty and marginalization induced by the virus outbreak can be drivers of humantrafficking.a The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is difficult to quantify precisely, but, as noted by
UNODC, it will probably have the most dramatic implications in countries with the highest and fastest
increase in unemployment rates, and for individuals with the lowest salaries, as is the case for some migrants.b
Substantial rises in human trafficking in different locations have already been reported, such as in the UnitedStates of America, where a human rights organization has estimated a 185 per cent increase in humantrafficking cases compared to the previous year.c Closed borders may also increase the market for irregularchannels to circumvent them, provided by organized criminal smugglers and traffickers.
The dire economic situation may curb the livelihood options of the many migrants who work in industries
most affected by the crisis, creating incentives to turn to more precarious and dangerous earning solutions,increasing the risk of falling prey to exploitative trafficking networks. Many migrants search for opportunities
online and risk being deceived by traffickers.d In other cases, people remain in jobs, but conditions worsen.
Those working in domestic settings whose employers have shifted to work-from-home arrangements often
face increased demands, accompanied by decreased pay, liberty and ability to leave.e Migrant workers wholack access to health, social, legal and other services also quickly become vulnerable not only to the pandemic
itself, but also to falling victim to traffickers and other criminals, as, in the absence of official and reliable safety
nets, traffickers increasingly appear to be the only “last resort solution” available.

13
14
15
16
17
18

For migrants’ factors of vulnerability to human trafficking, see IOM, 2019a.
UNODC, 2013.
See respectively ICMPD, 2015 and Brunovskis and Surtees, 2019.
Marschke and Vandergeest, 2016; ILO, 2013.
Monzini, 2015.
Buckley et al., 2016.

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The plight of the more than 5 million Venezuelan migrants who have left their country since 2014 is
illustrative of how such external factors can exacerbate pre-existing vulnerabilities.f Some of these migrants
lacked regular status and access to social protection, and were reliant on the informal labour markets prior
to the pandemic. Since 2014, many have lost their jobs, been evicted from their accommodation and foundthemselves living on the streets.g In this context of increased vulnerability, estimates show that the first fourmonths of 2020 accounted for a 20 per cent increase in the number of victims of trafficking in Colombia
when compared with the entire year 2019, the majority being Venezuelan migrants.h The decision of theColombian Government in February 2021 to regularize Venezuelan migrants who were irregularly in the
country with a 10-year temporary protection status constitutes a major step forward in improving theirprotection and safety, and decreasing their vulnerability to human trafficking.i
The pandemic has not only increased the risk of trafficking for migrants and others in vulnerable situations,but has also curtailed efforts to identify victims, due to measures of confinement and shifting priorities oflaw enforcement towards implementing measures to curb the spread of the pandemic. The closure of social
services has also diminished identification of and support to victims.j
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
i
j

UNODC, 2021; Polaris, 2020a; Worsnop, 2019.
UNODC, 2021.
Blake et al., 2020.
Europol, 2020.
UNHRC, 2020; Giammarinaro, 2020; McAdam, 2020.
UNODC, 2021; R4V, 2020.
For survey data in Peru and Colombia, see Equilibrium CenDE, 2020a, 2020b. See also Freier et al., 2020.
Observatorio del Proyecto Migración Venezuela, 2020.
See UNHCR and IOM, 2021.
UNODC, 2020a; CoE GRETA, 2020; Teixeira, 2020.

The third and most central element of the definition of trafficking is the exploitative purpose. While the Trafficking
Protocol does not define exploitation, it does offer a non-exhaustive list of examples, some of which are definedin international law (e.g. slavery, practices similar to slavery, and forced labour) while others are not defined ininternational law (e.g. sexual exploitation).19 States take various approaches in their domestic law, whether by
including the same list of exploitation examples from the Trafficking Protocol, or by omitting some examples while
adding others.20 The exploitation must be of significant gravity to reach the threshold of trafficking as a serious
crime, but in practice it may be difficult to differentiate between a migrant enduring exploitative labour conditions
and a migrant who has been trafficked into forced labour, particularly when the exploitation is yet to take place.
Challenges in understanding the definition and how its components interact in migration dynamics impact onwhether victims are identified, which cases are investigated and prosecuted, and what sentences are imposed.
Expansive understandings can cast the net too broadly, capturing as situations that may not be trafficking, while
overly narrow understandings deny protection and justice to victims who are not recognized as such.21
19 See respectively, LoN, 1926; UN, 1956; ILO, 1930.
20 States have added forms of exploitation including forced begging, illegal adoption, commercial surrogacy, exploitation in criminal
activities, and removal of body parts and fluids, as well as major organs.
21 The analysis of the trafficking definition in this section extensively draws on a series of issue papers authored by A. Gallagher and M.
McAdam and commissioned by the Working Group of States Parties to the Trafficking in Persons Protocol. See UNODC, 2018a.

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Another challenge in the migration context is the differentiation between trafficking in persons and the smugglingof migrants, with the two concepts often being confused by the media and other stakeholders. Migrant smuggling is
captured in a distinct legal instrument – the 2000 Protocol against the Smuggling of Migrants by Land, Sea and Air –as “the procurement, in order to obtain, directly or indirectly, a financial or other material benefit, of the illegal
entry of a person into a State Party of which the person is not a national or permanent resident.”22 In other words,
while the criminal purpose of trafficking is exploitation, for smuggling it is achieving a “financial or other material
benefit” by facilitating another person’s irregular border crossing.23 Smuggling typically occurs in the context ofirregular international migration, while trafficking may occur in the course of regular migration or internal migration.
The two types of crime may intersect, as organized crime groups interact across irregular migration routes, passing
migrants between each other or controlling or taxing sections of a route.24 While relying on smugglers’ services
to cross international borders, smuggled migrants may fall victim to trafficking and other crimes in the course ofbeing smuggled or as a consequence of it. This could occur, for instance, when smuggling fees result in debt thatcan be leveraged for exploitation. In extreme cases they can end up suffering from coercion, extortion, violenceand even torture, as evident in the movement of Rohingya refugees in the Andaman Sea.25

Conflation of smuggling and trafficking along irregular migration routes: a migrant’s testimony
My name is Deborah, I’m 20 years old and I’m from Nigeria. I went through Libya to Malta. This is my story.
Life in Nigeria was very hard. … A friend of mine introduced me to someone, a man who said he’d take me
to Europe. The agreement was that when I’d reach Europe I’d work as a fashion designer so I could pay them.
…
The … first day we reached Libya, he sold me to a woman. I told them I wasn’t going to work, this wasn’t
where they promised to bring me. The woman said no, here is where I was headed. I told them to take meback. … They said that was impossible.
The first women I was sold to was Abigail. She took me to her place and told me to start working. I asked
her, what work? … She said I’d work as a prostitute. I told her I wouldn’t because that wasn’t the work I wastold I’d be doing here. She said this wasn’t Europe, this was Libya and you must work. … I refused.
…
I didn’t want to work because in Libya people have a lot of diseases. I am still young, and I don’t have children
yet. Then, they would pour cold water from the fridge on my body, beat me and say I must work.
After all the beating I decided to [work] and pay them their money. So that was it. I was surprised I ended
up in Libya using my body to work, that wasn’t what we had agreed.

22
23
24
25

Article 3(a), Smuggling Protocol, UN, 2000b.
McAdam, 2021.
Sanchez and Achilli, 2019, 2020; Triandafyllidou and McAuliffe, 2018.
Kontinentalist, 2020; McAuliffe, 2016.

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When I had finished paying them, I still had to pay money to a woman called Fatima. I gave her money totake me to Tripoli. She took me from Murzuq to Sabha. Then she took me to Sabratha, but she didn’t pay
the smugglers. Even in Sabratha, they still wanted to sell me because I still owed money. It was there that
I met my husband. My husband paid the money and rescued me from there. I went to stay with him. We
left Sabratha to Sorman and still faced other challenges. We went from one smuggler to another, but didn’t
succeed. It was only on the sixth attempt that we reached Malta. …
Listen to the full story from Deborah on the Telling the Real Story website, available at www.tellingtherealstory.
org/en/stories/video/deborahs-story/.

Notwithstanding its complexities, the Trafficking Protocol has achieved almost universal ratification, unlike mostmigration-related instruments; as of 30 June 2021, 178 States had become party to it (see Appendix A). The factthat States aspire to a common understanding of trafficking is evident in the transposition of the international
definition into regional instruments. As detailed in Appendix B, these transpositions have, however, taken different
forms, with some regional instruments replicating the protocol definition verbatim (e.g. the Council of Europe andAssociation of Southeast Asian Nations conventions on human trafficking), with others more or less following it andadding some forms of exploitation (e.g. the European Union Directive). The South Asian Association for Regional
Cooperation (SAARC) Convention diverts significantly from the protocol, limiting trafficking to “selling or buying
of women and children for prostitution”, excluding male victims and most other forms of exploitation. Where thedefinition of trafficking is not effectively transposed into the local context, there is a risk that it will be understood
too expansively, thereby diluting the serious nature of trafficking; or, conversely, too narrowly, leaving some victims
unidentified and unprotected, as they are not recognized as trafficked victims.
Conceptual confusions and definitional divergences aside, the adoption of regional instruments is testament to awidespread commitment to counter-trafficking and endorsement of the Trafficking Protocol as the appropriate
framework for response. There has been significant progress in the 21 years since the protocol was adopted. What
was once understood as a crime that victimized females for sexual forms of exploitation is now widely understoodas a crime that can affect anyone across a wide range of exploitative purposes.

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The scope of human trafficking
Despite the commitment to address human trafficking worldwide, human trafficking remains a growing and lucrative
criminal activity. The latest estimates from the International Labour Organization (ILO) indicate that forced labour
alone generates some USD 150 billion in illegal profits per year.26 This figure remains a conservative estimate, as
the profits generated by human trafficking go beyond forced labour and often evade financial monitoring, throughmoney-laundering, the use of cryptocurrencies and other new payment methods.27 As highlighted by the United
Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), there is scarce information on traffickers’ profits.28 Review oftrafficking court cases indicate, however, that their financial gains also depend on their structure and scale, withlarger profits deriving from large criminal organizations and networks trafficking a higher number of victims. These
profits are also often blurred with gains generated by other transnational criminal activities. Human traffickers areoften involved in other organized transnational criminal activities to mitigate risks, reduce operational costs andincrease profit margins, as for instance in the case of drug cartels in Mexico.29
More generally, the clandestine nature of human trafficking constitutes one of the main impediments to collecting
accurate data on gains generated and the scope of trafficking worldwide. Broadly, two main sources of data
can be identified: administrative (or operational) data, and data collected for research purposes.30 Data collected
for research purposes mainly focus on qualitative data, through surveys and interviews with victims and key
informants. These data provide useful insights into human trafficking, complementing administrative or operational
data collected within the mandates of diverse organizations. However, these types of data remain difficult toobtain, due to obstacles in reaching out to victims through traditional sampling methods, especially for victimsof sexual exploitation and child victims. These obstacles include resource constraints, security issues and ethicalconsiderations regarding the sensitivity of certain questions.
Administrative or operational data are collected by a range of different actors, including law enforcement andjudicial authorities, as well as governmental and non-governmental organizations providing protection and assistanceto victims. While today’s trend towards datafication – or quantification – entails the risk of focusing on measuring
the prevalence of trafficking worldwide, to the detriment of examining other important qualitative dimensions oftrafficking,31 these data constitute the main window into this criminal activity, as they provide detailed insights into
the profiles and experiences of the victims, the forms of human trafficking and information on perpetrators.
UNODC provides a valuable overview of human trafficking worldwide in its Global Report on Trafficking in
Persons, relying on official national statistics, together with qualitative information from investigative files.32 UNODC
surveys governments on trafficking victims identified in their respective countries, using a common questionnairewith a standard set of indicators, and then aggregates the results. Another data collection endeavour is the Counter
Trafficking Data Collaborative (CTDC), the first inter-agency global data hub on human trafficking, led by theInternational Organization for Migration (IOM). CTDC releases harmonized data with the assistance of countertrafficking organizations, including IOM, which has been assisting victims of trafficking since the mid-1990s withapproximately 8,000 victims assisted each year globally.33

26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

ILO, 2014.
Europol, 2017.
UNODC, 2021.
Rabasa et al., 2017.
Grant et al., 2018.
Yea, 2017.
UNODC, 2021.
CTDC, 2020.

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Such data are highly sensitive and pertain to individuals, raising a range of privacy concerns when it comes tocollecting, managing and sharing them. Victims of trafficking are a particularly sensitive population, in that the risk ofidentification of a single victim in a data set can be high and the consequences severe. Data privacy, confidentiality
and victim protection are important considerations in ensuring that publicly available data sets do not identify
individual trafficked victims, as set out in the text box below, but they may also limit the scope of available data.
Data are also to be approached cautiously, as they can be manipulated to promote political goals, biased byfocusing on quantitative aspects of trafficking to the detriment of qualitative ones, and/or distorted, for instancefrom the use of “modern slavery” framings in efforts to quantify exploitative practices that may entail or overlap
with trafficking in persons.34

The Counter Trafficking Data Collaborative: data-sharing, de-identification and anonymization
IOM first launched the Counter Trafficking Data Collaborative (CTDC) in 2017 as the first global repository ofprimary data on human trafficking contributed by multiple organizations. CTDC was launched in partnershipwith Polaris and Liberty Shared. It combined the three biggest victim case data sets in the world, resulting
in one centralized data set with information on over 108,000 trafficking cases, comprising 164 nationalities
exploited in 175 countries across the five regions, namely Africa, the Americas, Asia, Europe and Oceania.
Because data on human trafficking are not publicly available most of the time due to confidentiality, dataprotection and content sensitivity, the goal of CTDC is to break down information-sharing barriers andprovide counter-trafficking actors with up-to-date information to support effective counter-trafficking
strategies. The publicly available data set is de-identified via k-anonymization, a data anonymization techniquethat redacts cases falling into sets with fewer than k − 1 members, where each set is defined by a unique
combination of values of the different variables in a data set. Based on research and testing, CTDC data havebeen set at k = 11, so that queries cannot return fewer than 10 results. The full, non-anonymized data set isalso available through the detailed visualizations and maps available on the site.
However, more work is needed throughout the counter-trafficking community to agree on common standards
and methods of data sharing. For instance, IOM is working with UNODC to establish the first set ofinternational data standards on human trafficking administrative data, so that governments and organizations
around the world can collect data that are comparable and of high quality, and can be safely shared and used
to develop the evidence base. Since 2019, IOM has also been working with Microsoft Research to develop
a new approach to the de-identification of human trafficking administrative data that could be used bygovernments and other stakeholders. The solution will allow organizations to publish an unredacted data set
while preserving the confidentiality of victims, by modelling a synthetic data set based on the original data set.
The resulting synthetic data set no longer contains “real” data on “real” individuals, but retains the statisticalproperties of the original data set, allowing users to continue to perform meaningful analyses. This deidentification solution has been made available online,a together with an article detailing the algorithm used.b
See the CTDC at www.ctdatacollaborative.org/.
a See https://github.com/microsoft/synthetic-data-showcase.
b See https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.05688.

34 Kenway, 2021; Gallagher, 2017; Harkins, 2017.

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The availability of administrative data on identified victims of trafficking depends on a range of factors, such aswhether counter-trafficking organizations are operational or able to consistently collect or share data in any given
country/location. As UNODC points out, the existence of rigorous data also depends on States’ data-collection
capacities, which are low in some regions, such as in sub-Saharan Africa and East Asia.35 It follows that the existenceof large quantities of human trafficking data may not necessarily indicate higher prevalence. In addition, identified
cases should be understood as a sample of the unidentified population of victims, not as attempts to measure theprevalence of human trafficking. If some types of trafficking cases are more likely to be identified than others, thissample could be biased. The extent of this bias is rarely known, since the unidentified population is, by definition,
unknown.
Beyond the question of the value and effectiveness of measuring the prevalence of trafficking for informing countertrafficking policies and programmes,36 estimations of such prevalence are being carried out using new methodologies
based on administrative data. For instance, UNODC is supporting countries in using a multiple systems estimation(MSE) methodology to generate estimates of the number of trafficked victims who have not been identified, basedon solid national data.37 When implemented in the Netherlands, the MSE methodology revealed that non-identified
trafficked victims may be four to five times more numerous than detected ones. Surveys can also be used toestimate prevalence, as done for example for the related crimes of forced labour and forced marriage in the Global
Estimates of Modern Slavery by the ILO, Walk Free Foundation and IOM.38
In its latest Global Report, UNODC indicates that the number of detected victims of trafficking reported bycountries per year increased from fewer than 20,000 in 2003 to about 49,000 in 2018, the most recent figure
available.39 The number of trafficking convictions has also increased globally. However, these data do not necessarily
entail an increase in human trafficking worldwide, as they also reflect the greater capacity of some States to identify
trafficking and collect data.
Although victims of trafficking were historically stereotyped as vulnerable women and children trafficked for sexual
exploitation, the gender profile of victims has changed over time. Females still make up the largest share of identified
victims (around 65% in total, with 46% women and 19% girls), yet males are also victims of trafficking (20% men
and 15% boys), especially for forced labour, in which they constitute nearly 60 per cent of detected victims.40
Victims’ gender and age vary among regions; more children than adults are detected in sub-Saharan Africa, while
adult females make the greatest share of identified victims in Europe, North America and Asia, and adult malevictims are more frequently detected in North Africa and the Middle East.41
According to the latest data collected by UNODC, 45 per cent of all identified victims were trafficked acrossborders.42 However, migrants can also be among the victims reported as domestic trafficking when they aretrafficked once in the country of destination. While no data exist on the number of identified victims of trafficking
who are migrants, the citizenship of detected trafficked victims often correlates with that of regular migrants.43 Thissuggests that trafficking flows show similarities in patterns when compared with migration flows, usually heading
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43

UNODC, 2018b.
For different opinions, see for instance, David, 2017; Feingold, 2017; Robinson et al., 2017; and Dottridge, 2017.
UNODC, 2016a.
ILO, 2017.
UNODC, 2018b:21; UNODC, 2021:25. As set out by UNODC, while 2018 is the reference year, “most recent” data from 2019, 2017or 2016 were used for countries for which 2018 data were not available.
UNODC, 2021:31–36. Similar rates are reported by CTDC, with women and girls making up about 70 per cent of victims in the data
set: CTDC, n.d.a.
Ibid.
UNODC, 2021:55.
UNODC, 2016b:9, 58.

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towards richer countries where exploitation is more profitable due to higher demand and prices.44 Like migration
flows, transnational trafficking flows are first and foremost intra(sub)regional: among the identified victims reported
to UNODC, 12 per cent were subject to trafficking within the same subregion, 8 per cent within the same region
and 15 per cent interregionally.45 The largest share of victims being trafficked clearly appears as intraregional in
Figure 2 below, although it should be noted here that available statistics on victims of intra-subregional trafficking
captured in this figure also include victims of domestic trafficking. Data on repatriation of victims to their countryof origin nevertheless confirm the prevalence of intra-subregional and intraregional trafficking over interregionalflows.46 With regards to interregional trafficking, nearly all regions report a large number of victims identified as
being from East Asia and sub-Saharan Africa.47

Figure 2. Percentage of detected victims by type of trafficking flows and subregions,2018 (or most recently available)
100

Percentage of identified victims

90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
North Africa andthe Middle East

sub-SaharanAfricaAfrica and the Middle East

Central America
and the Caribbean

North America

South America

Americas

Intra-subregional (including victims of domestic trafficking)Eastern Europe
and Central Asia

Central and SouthWestern andEastern Europe
Southern Europe

East Asia andthe Pacific

Europe and Central Asia

Inter-subregional

South Asia

South Asia, East Asiaand the PacificInterregional

Source: UNODC, 2021.
Note:
Categorization based on UNODC geographic regions as used in its report and detailed in ibid.:26.

According to CTDC, transnational trafficking may in large part use official border control points, with nearly 80
per cent of journeys (especially those of women) crossing official border control points, such as airports and landborder control points.48 Children are more likely than adults not to be trafficked through official border control
points, with an estimated 44 per cent having used routes without any official border control point during theirtrafficking journeys. CTDC indicates a difference in the means of trafficking depending on the type of migrationroute: trafficking is mostly achieved through debt bondage, threats, and restrictions on freedom of movement when
victims are trafficked through official border control points, whereas confiscation and destruction of documents
44
45
46
47

Ibid.:58.
UNODC, 2021. The highest share of detected victims (65%) were victims of domestic trafficking.
Ibid.:60.
According to the classification of (sub)regions used by UNODC, East Asia includes Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Indonesia,
Japan, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, the Philippines, the Republic of Korea, Singapore, Thailand and Timor-Leste. See ibid.: 26.
48 CTDC, n.d.b.

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is more likely to occur where trafficking journeys do not involve crossing through official border control points.
In fact, the same data indicate that most victims (about two thirds) are exploited at some point during theirjourneys, regardless of whether they are trafficked through an official border control point or not. In both cases,
migrants’ trafficking may be facilitated by officials corrupted by traffickers.49 Following the outbreak of COVID-19,
in December 2020 the Prime Minister of Thailand ordered a crackdown on corrupt officials who may have assisted
traffickers, following a reported inflow of migrants from Myanmar smuggled and trafficked to work in shrimp
markets.50
The predominant type of trafficking is for forced labour irrespective of the type of border crossings (83% throughofficial border control points and 64% through non-official ones), followed by trafficking for sexual exploitation(15% and 22% respectively) and other forms (2% and 13% respectively).51 Interestingly, these shares diverge from
more general findings on the main exploitation types when domestic and transnational trafficking are considered
together, where sexual exploitation ranks in first position (around 54%), followed by forced labour (around 42%)and other forms of exploitation (including slavery and similar practices at 0.56%, forced marriage at 0.45%, organ
removal at 0.03%, forced military service at 0.01% and other forms at 10.46%).52 This could mean that, more thanfor other forms of exploitation, trafficking for sexual exploitation not only occurs in transnational instances oftrafficking, but is also prevalent in domestic cases.
As noted by UNODC, there are disparities in the forms of exploitation among regions: while trafficking for sexual
exploitation is predominant in most regions, the most prevalent form of exploitation in Africa and the Middle Eastis forced labour (at least among identified victims; see Figure 3 and text box below).53

Figure 3. Number of detected trafficking victims,
by form of exploitation and region of detection, 2018
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Europe and Central
Asia
Sexual exploitation

South Asia, East Asiaand the PacificForced labour

The Americas

Africa and the Middle
East

Other forms of exploitation

Source: UNODC, 2021.
49
50
51
52

UNODC, 2011; Bali Process and UNODC, 2021.
Zsombor, 2020.
CTDC, n.d.b.
CTDC, n.d.c. These forms of exploitation can be cumulative, hence the total percentage surpasses 100 per cent. Similar shares arereported by UNODC, with 50 per cent of detected victims being trafficked for sexual exploitation, 38 per cent for forced labour and
12 per cent for other purposes: UNODC, 2021:34.
53 UNODC, 2021.

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The main sectors of trafficking for forced labour are domestic work (30% of identified victims), construction (16%),
agriculture (10%), manufacturing (9%) and hospitality (8%).54 As for other forms of exploitation, trafficking in these
sectors tends to be highly intraregional, and even intra-subregional. However, as apparent in Figure 4 below, among
identified victims in the CTDC data set, exploitation in the hospitality sector and, to a lesser extent, in domestic
work, are more likely to span beyond the victims’ subregions of origin, with 54 per cent and 43 per cent of victims
respectively identified outside their subregions. Victims trafficked in the hospitality sector predominantly come from
Eastern Europe (43%) and South-East Asia (26%) and are exploited in North America (19%) and Eastern Europe(19%).55 Victims of trafficking in domestic work are mainly from South-East Asia (66%) and Eastern Europe (9%)
and are exploited in South-East Asia (37%), Western Asia (20%) and North America (16%).56

Figure 4. Percentage of identified victims, by exploitation sector
and intra-/inter-subregional trafficking
100
90

Percentage of identified victims

80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Domestic work

Construction

Intra-subregional trafficking

Agriculture

Manufacturing

Hospitality

Inter-subregional trafficking

Source: CTDC, n.d.d–n.d.h.
Note:Intra-subregional trafficking also covers domestic trafficking.

Trafficking for forced labour can also take the form of forced begging, peddling and the commission of illicit activities
as detailed in the text box below in the African context, though these forms are not prevalent.
Compared with other forms of exploitation, trafficking for organ removal remains limited. This may be at least
partially owing to the fact that it is often addressed outside of the trafficking framework and so may not be counted
as a trafficking-driven phenomenon.57 UNODC notes traffickers’ increased ability to operate across borders and tocollude with medical professionals abroad.58
54
55
56
57
58

CTDC, n.d.c.
CTDC, n.d.d.
CTDC, n.d.e.
UNODC, 2015.
UNODC, 2018b:30–31.

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Trafficking for other purposes may include forced, arranged and sham marriages, as victims often face violence,
abuse, exploitation and restrictions on movement.59 This type of trafficking is highly gendered, with victims being
mainly women and girls from disadvantaged backgrounds, although some cases of LGBTI persons forced into
heterosexual marriages by their families have been reported.60 These “marriages” tend to be organized for bride
price by family members and/or brokers who are motivated by financial and material gain. However, there are also
cases where brides have been deceived or kidnapped. Migrants may also enter into sham marriages to enter acountry regularly, or to regularize their migration status when already in the destination country, rendering themvulnerable to subsequent exploitation. Cases are also reported of Eastern European women who are promised
well-paid employment by brokers in Western Europe and who, upon arrival, end up being trafficked into forced
marriages with irregular migrants who seek to regularize their stay by obtaining a European Union passport throughmarriage.61 There are also cases in the Middle East of women and girls being entered into “tourist” or “temporary”
forms of marriage, for the purposes of being sexually exploited.62

Trafficking of migrants from and within Africa
African victims are predominantly trafficked within their region of origin. According to CTDC data,
75 per cent of African victims are trafficked within Africa, with 13 per cent trafficked to Europe, 7 per centto Asia, and 5 per cent to the Americas.a
Trafficking in Africa has two main particularities compared with other regions of the world. First, rather
than sexual exploitation, trafficking in Africa is for forced labour, especially for begging (more than 25%) anddomestic work (over 40%).b Second, the majority of victims are children, accounting for over 50 per centof victims detected in the continent.c Trafficking of African children is particularly detected in West Africancountries,d such as in Ghana, Benin, Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire, Nigeria, Sierra Leone and Togo. In rural
areas, children are mainly trafficked for farming and fishing. In urban areas, children are trafficked for forced
begging, peddling and the commission of illicit activities.e An operation coordinated by Interpol in Benin and
Nigeria in 2019 rescued some 220 trafficking victims, mostly children from West African countries, whowere forced to work in markets all day or as housemaids, or who were sexually exploited.f
Trafficking patterns differ in other African subregions. Forced labour remains the prime form of trafficking
in Southern Africa, which nonetheless also features a comparatively high rate of forced marriages.g In East
Africa, trafficking mostly concerns adults trafficked for domestic work.h In North Africa (especially Libya),
sexual exploitation, forced labour, slavery and forced marriage are all prevalent.ia CTDC, n.d.i.
b Ibid.
c CTDC data show that 55 per cent of victims detected in Africa were children, while UNODC estimates of trafficking victims
in sub-Saharan Africa report that 59 per cent were children.
d UNODC, 2021:165.
e Sawadogo, 2012.
f Interpol, 2019.
g UNODC and SADC, 2017.
h IOM, 2008.
i Van Reisen and Estefanos, 2017.

59
60
61
62

UNODC, 2020b.
Ibid.
BBC News, 2017.
UNODC, 2020b.

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Challenges and responses to the trafficking of migrants
The Trafficking Protocol primarily takes a criminal justice approach to human trafficking, advocating for its
criminalization, investigation and prosecution, and calling for trafficked persons to be protected and assisted as
victims of serious crime.63 This approach is often referred to as the “3P approach”, entailing prosecution, protection
and prevention. A fourth “P” of partnership emphasizes the need to strengthen criminal justice cooperation
between States.
A social justice approach that ensures that counter-trafficking measures are human rights-based, victim-oriented
and gender-sensitive is also essential.64 The primacy of the rule of law is not only central in order to avoid victims
becoming collateral damage of anti-trafficking efforts,65 but also to ensure that criminal justice measures are notcounterproductive and detrimental to the fight against human trafficking and, more broadly, the governance of
migration.

Preventing trafficking of migrants
In addition to proactive investigation and disruption of transnational organized crime, other measures are key inaddressing the trafficking of migrants. Among these are most notably the following complementary measures:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Address individual, household, community and structural vulnerability factors;
Raise awareness about risks;
Enhance availability of regular migration pathways;
Curb demand for goods and services entailing exploitation;
Secure labour rights and working conditions.66

These measures are complementary and require migrants’ involvement in their development to be appropriately
targeted and tailored to migrants at risk of trafficking.67
Reliable and accurate information about trafficking risks, among other issues, is essential for migrants to makeinformed decisions about their migration journeys. Yet the effectiveness of awareness-raising campaigns is increasingly
questioned, especially when implemented with the objective of deterring irregular migration, or of deflecting
scrutiny from migration policy for its role in the exploitation of migrants. The intention to migrate irregularly is
not outweighed by risks when no regular migration alternative exists.68 Awareness campaigns may also have theunintended consequence of stigmatizing trafficking victims returning to their country of origin, especially when they
have been sexually exploited.69
While the impact of awareness campaigns remains unclear, as few of such campaigns have been evaluated, they
seem to be more effective when targeting specific populations, adapting to local contexts and directly involving
63
64
65
66
67
68
69

ICAT, 2012.
ECOSOC, 2002.
GAATW, 2007.
Adapted from UNGA (2010).
Ibid.
Tjaden, 2020; McAuliffe et al., 2017.
Kiss and Zimermann, 2019; UNGA, 2010: para. 45.

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migrants, since prospective migrants consider migrants to be the most trusted source of information.70 Hence,
information crowdsourcing is used in some technology-based initiatives through which migrants share experiencesof their migration journeys.71
Concerning trafficking for forced labour, consumer moves towards ethical consumption through increased attention
to the environmental, human rights and socioeconomic conditions in which goods are produced has improved
trafficking prevention by enhancing the focus on accountability of the private sector. If States’ implementationof national legislation in accordance with ILO instruments constitutes a first step, global initiatives have followed
to better regulate activities of public and private recruitment agencies and avoid deceptive recruitment practices
leading to trafficking. In addition to the ILO’s Fair Recruitment Initiative,72 private recruitment agencies can obtaina certificate when meeting the standards set by the International Recruitment Integrity System (IRIS).73 Similar
licencing schemes have been implemented at the national level, such as in the Philippines, where certificates aresupported by a mobile app for prospective migrant workers to check whether a specific recruitment agency isallowed to recruit Filipinos abroad.74 Corporate responsibility also concerns (migrant) workers’ working conditions.75
A growing number of companies now consider social sustainability as a key marketing feature and strive for supply
chain transparency and traceability through blockchain technology to ensure that their products do not involve
exploitative practices, including trafficking.76 This provides an opportunity to build on the impetus for transparency
and achieve corporate accountability for failures to report and for infractions identified.
However, these recent developments have not undermined the importance of more traditional measures that are
essential and still effective in preventing trafficking, nor should they detract from State responsibility to introduce
measures to prevent trafficking and amend the migration and labour policies that fuel it. The historic step taken by
Qatar in August 2020 to abolish its sponsorship system tying migrant workers to their employers, and to adopt
non-discriminatory minimum wages, is emblematic of the increased momentum towards protecting labour rights
and working conditions in the context of labour migration.77 Another fundamental measure is to ensure the rights
to unionize and bargain collectively, which empower workers, including migrant workers; these rights recognize
their agency and constitute an important safety net in avoiding exploitation in workplaces. For instance, in countries
where prostitution is legal, sex workers’ organizations are recognized as playing a crucial role in ensuring decent
and safe working conditions, including preventing abuse, exploitation and trafficking.78 However, challenges remain
despite increased trade union activism, as migrant workers may still be prohibited from joining trade unions in somecountries, based on their foreign nationality.79
Countries of origin of migrant workers also have a critical role to play in protecting their citizens from being
trafficked abroad, including the provision of pre-departure information, the removal of migrant-paid recruitment
agency fees and other costs in favour of employer-pays models, and the regulation of recruitment agencies toreduce the vulnerability of their nationals to exploitation and trafficking abroad.80

70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80

Bryant and Landman, 2020; Tjaden, 2020; Koser and McAuliffe, 2013.
OSCE and Tech Against Trafficking, 2020; McAuliffe et al., 2017.
ILO, 2015.
See the IRIS website at https://iris.iom.int/. Concerning migrant domestic workers more specifically, see IOM, 2020.
See https://poea-mobile.soft112.com/.
See for instance IHRB, 2012; ILO, n.d.
ILO et al., 2019; Bateman and Bonanni, 2019; Feasley, 2015. However, also see Taylor, 2020.
ILO, 2020a.
Lepp and Gerasimov, 2019.
Marks and Olsen, 2015.
See for instance ILO, 2020b, 2021a. See also the Dhaka Principles for Migration with Dignity in IHRB, 2012.

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Prosecuting traffickers
The criminal justice approach to counter-trafficking is essential for the dismantling of trafficking networks, preventing
trafficking and protecting its victims. Victims have the right to access justice.
The great majority of countries have criminalized trafficking in persons,81 and while the trend of trafficking convictions
has increased since 2007, absolute numbers remain low.82 This reality reflects what is referred to as a criminal justice“funnel”.83 As set out in Figure 5 below, each of the different phases of this funnel entails its share of challenges,
progressively reducing the number of cases resulting in successful convictions.

Figure 5. Criminal justice funnel for trafficking cases and main challenges
Criminal justice phases

Main challenges••
1. Identification andinvestigations•••

2. Prosecution•••

3. Conviction

Victims not identified, where they do not see themselves as victims
and/or reluctant to report to authorities for fear of traffickers’ reprisals,
prosecution for offences committed during their trafficking, and/or
detention and deportation if irregularly in the State.
Cases not recognized as human trafficking and wrongly investigated as
smuggling or as minor offences involving labour and immigration violations.
Insufficient inter-agency and international cooperation impedes evidencecollection in transnational cases.
Non-cooperative victims do not trust authorities, and/or are traumatizedand give inconsistent or otherwise damaging testimonies.
Overreliance on victim testimony to the detriment or in the absence ofother evidence (e.g. documentary and “real” evidence).
Charging suspect(s) for multiple and/or “lesser” crimes due to prosecutors’
insufficient understanding of the crime of trafficking.
Conviction for other crime(s) or acquittal due to judges’ insufficientunderstanding of the crime of trafficking.
Sentences that are not effective, dissuasive and proportionate to thegravity and seriousness of the offence.
Sources: UNODC, 2008a; UNODC, 2016b; UNODC, 2017; Farrell et al., 2012; Farrell
et al., 2014; and Broad and Muraszkiewicz, 2020.

81 According to UNODC, “[a]s of August 2020, 169 countries among the 181 assessed have legislation in place that criminalizes trafficking
in persons broadly in line with the [Trafficking Protocol]”: UNODC, 2021:61.
82 UNODC, 2018b:23.
83 UNODC, 2016b:51.

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The majority of challenges identified above relate to the capacity of criminal justice practitioners to grapple withthe complexity of the crime of human trafficking. Capacity-building thus traditionally constitutes one of the main
measures taken to strengthen the criminal justice response to human trafficking.84
Beyond capacity-building, cooperation among different stakeholders is essential in improving the prosecutionof traffickers. Recent initiatives highlight the importance for law enforcement and prosecution authorities ofcollaborating with financial institutions to identify potential instances of human trafficking and to gather evidence intrafficking cases. Among these, the Finance Against Slavery (FAST) initiative, a public–private partnership previously
known as the Liechtenstein Initiative, aims to strengthen the financial sector’s compliance with antislavery andhuman trafficking laws, including through improved enforcement of anti-money-laundering laws.85 This entails due
diligence and risk assessment by financial institutions and the reporting of suspicious activities to law enforcement
authorities, in line with data privacy and confidentiality requirements.
Strengthening the involvement of the finance sector is a promising avenue for improving the identification of
trafficking cases. Accordingly, providing clear guidance to financial institutions on reporting suspicions of slavery
and human trafficking risks has at times resulted in an increase of up to 1,000 per cent of reported suspectedcases.86 Collaboration between law enforcement and financial institutions is also enhanced through technologicalinnovations. The online Human Trafficking Fusion Center developed by Collective Liberty creates an online expert
community of practice through which interagency collaboration can be enhanced; it also supports law enforcement
investigations using artificial intelligence that identifies individuals potentially involved in human trafficking, moneylaundering, wage theft or tax evasion.87
Evidence gathered from the finance sector is also crucial in avoiding overreliance on victims’ testimony duringprosecutions.88 Overreliance on victim testimony as the main or only source of evidence can hamper theirprotection, as victims are treated as mere “witnesses” without due regard for their human rights.89 Victims may
be revictimized when their protection is made contingent on their participation in criminal proceedings, or when
their return and reintegration is delayed by these procedures and they are made to remain in destination countries,
sometimes in closed shelters. These outcomes may also be detrimental to criminal proceedings, as victims are
disincentivized to report trafficking cases and cooperate during the investigation and prosecution phases.90 The
quality of their testimony may also deteriorate over time as they lose trust in authorities.

Protecting migrant victims of trafficking
Identification of victims of trafficking is fundamental not only for criminal proceedings against traffickers, but also,
in the first place, for the protection of victims. The diversity of actors who may be in contact with potential
victims requires referral mechanisms to be in place so that victims can quickly benefit from services to which
they are entitled.91 Hotlines have been set up in some countries. The independent non-profit organization Polaris
is for instance operating the National Human Trafficking Hotline in the United States, which victims can contact
via phone, text, online chat or email before being redirected to relevant support services. Polaris has since helped
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91

Police Executive Research Forum, 2020.
Liechtenstein Initiative, 2019.
Ibid.
Police Executive Research Forum, 2020. See https://htfusion.org/#ab_our_mission.
Liechtenstein Initiative, 2019.
Broad and Muraszkiewicz, 2020.
UNODC, 2008b.
Liu, 2017.

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some 15 countries to set up similar hotlines, including Kuwait, Mexico, Oman, Qatar, South Africa, Thailand andthe United Arab Emirates.92
Referral to appropriate services constitutes the first step to protect victims from their traffickers and fulfil their
human right to an effective remedy. In addition to procedural rights, such as the right for victims to be informed,
this right entails four main components, as illustrated in Figure 6 below.

Figure 6. Main components of the right to an effective remedy for victims of trafficking••

Medical and psychological care
Legal and social services (e.g. shelter, counselling, health care andlinguistic support)

Restitution

•
•
•
•
•

Release from detention
Return of property and personal belongings
Safe and voluntary repatriation
Temporary or permanent residence permit or refugee status
Integration/reintegration support

Compensation•••

Unpaid or insufficiently remunerated labour
Cost of physical and psychological medical treatment
Recognition of moral and physical harm inflicted

Satisfaction and guarantees
of non-repetition•••

Cessation of violations of victims’ rights
Verification of the facts and public disclosure of the truth
Prosecution of traffickers

Recovery

Source: UNGA, 2011; UNHRC, 2014.
Note:
The list of measures under each component only serves illustrative purposes.

While there is consensus on the principle of non-punishment of victims for offences they have committed as aconsequence of their trafficking,93 victims too often continue to be detained and prosecuted. This is especially thecase for victims of sexual exploitation in countries where sex work is prohibited, but also for criminal offences they
may be forced to commit, such as drug trafficking. A 2016 study by the National Survivor Network in the UnitedStates highlighted that, out of 130 trafficking victims surveyed, about 91 per cent had been arrested, and over halfconsidered that their arrest concerned offences committed as part of their trafficking.94 According to these victims,
the stigma attached to their incarceration had long-term impacts, with difficulties accessing employment, housing,
92 See https://humantraffickinghotline.org/national-hotline-overview and https://polarisproject.org/global-hotline-consulting/.
93 OHCHR, 2020; ICAT, 2020.
94 National Survivor Network, 2016.

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Human trafficking in migration pathways: Trends, challenges and new forms of cooperationcredit or educational loans. Among their recommendations to the authorities, victims called for non-punishmentof their trafficking offences and the cleansing of their criminal history:“Our criminal history should be wiped clean as we deserve a fresh start. We may not
only have prostitution charges as we are also used to facilitate drug trafficking and that
leads to various other charges all related. My theft charges were for food or clothing
during times I ran from my pimp in order to survive but went to jail.”95
As this study also illustrated, release from detention, access to recovery support measures and withholding
deportation with the granting of temporary residence permits are too often made contingent on victims’ cooperationin criminal proceedings.96 Pressure exerted on victims to testify against their traffickers fails to recognize them asrights-holders, and does not give them the possibility to make an informed decision about their collaboration withauthorities and on their potential return to their country of origin.97 Adopting a victim-centred approach, somecountries are granting reflection periods with temporary residence permits during which victims can benefit fromthe necessary support measures to start recovering and (re)gain trust in the authorities, increasing the likelihood of
their cooperation in criminal proceedings. That being said, reflection periods are usually for 30 days only, althoughsome States extend it to 60 days (Croatia, Czechia and Lesotho), 90 days (Maldives and Montenegro) and evensix months in Finland.98
While migrant victims of trafficking are ideally safely and voluntarily repatriated to their country of origin, victims
may not be able to return when they face threats from traffickers or will be at high risk of being retrafficked. They
also may not want to be repatriated, because they may be stigmatized in their communities of origin; experience
difficulties in reintegrating, particularly in countries that do not support reintegration; or simply want to stay toobtain better life opportunities offered in the destination country.99 Some destination countries provide the optionof applying for long-term residence permits, although these are usually not automatically granted and remain at theauthorities’ discretion. When victims face serious risks of being retrafficked or suffering retaliation from traffickers
in their country of origin, they are eligible for international protection and can be granted refugee status.100

Partnering to counter human trafficking in migration pathways
In the criminal justice context, partnership refers to cooperation among States in exchanging information ontransnational trafficking networks and practical law enforcement collaboration, such as those operations carried out
by multiple States under the auspices of Interpol.101 Given States’ widespread commitment, cooperation on countertrafficking is also common in policy dialogues on migration at the global and (inter)regional levels.102 As detailed inAppendix C, a wide range of inter-State consultation mechanisms on migration address human trafficking, given its

95
96
97
98

Ibid.
UNGA, 2020; Brunovskis and Skilbrei, 2016.
UNHRC, 2014: para. 21.
See respectively Government of Croatia, 2013; EU, n.d.; Government of Lesotho, 2011; Government of Maldives, 2013; Governmentof Montenegro, 2018; Government of Finland, 2004.
99 Pandey et al., 2018.
100 UNHCR, 2006.
101 For illustrations of recent antitrafficking operations led by Interpol with multiple countries, see for instance Interpol (2020) concerning
an operation in South-East Asia; and Interpol (2018) for an operation in Latin America and the Caribbean.
102 Bauloz, 2017.

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relationship with migration. Among these, the Bali Process is the only interregional forum on migration explicitly
focused on human trafficking (see text box below). Other initiatives have stemmed from interregional dialogues,
such as the African Union Commission Initiative against Trafficking in Human Beings (AU COMMIT), launched with
IOM under the auspices of the Africa–EU Partnership to raise awareness and improve the implementation of the
Ouagadougou Action Plan to Combat Trafficking in Human Beings, Especially Women and Children in Africa.103

The Bali Process on People Smuggling, Trafficking in Persons and Related Transnational Crime
Launched in 2002, the Bali Process is a non-binding policy dialogue forum for members to exchange
information and best practices, strengthen cooperation and build capacity, including addressing trafficking
in persons in the context of irregular migration. The Bali Process is co-chaired by Australia and Indonesia
and gathers 45 member States and four United Nations agencies (IOM, the ILO, UNHCR and UNODC) in
addition to observer countries and international organizations. The Bali Process regional support office wasestablished in 2012 to provide technical support to the Bali Process and take practical initiatives on theseissues.
Two Bali Process working groups specifically concern human trafficking, these being the Working Group on
Trafficking in Persons established in 2013 and the Working Group on Disruption of People Smuggling andTrafficking in Persons Networks, established in 2014. Further, the Government and Business Forum waslaunched in 2017 in recognition of the need to strengthen cooperation with the private sector.
The 2016 Bali Declaration on People Smuggling, Trafficking in Persons and Related Transnational Crime,
endorsed at the Sixth Bali Process Ministerial Conference, points to the interlinkage between the abuse andexploitation of migrants and refugees at the hands of smugglers and traffickers and the overlap between
these distinct types of crime. In that Declaration, ministers and representatives of member States andorganizations, while recognizing “the sovereign rights and legitimate interests of states to safeguard theirborders and determine their migration policies, consistent with international law” also “emphasized the needfor a comprehensive regional approach, based on the principles of burden sharing and collective responsibility”
and “underlined the need to translate political commitments into concrete actions.”aThose commitments were reaffirmed in the 2018 Declaration,b yet questions have been asked as to whether
the Bali Process has effectively championed its fulfilment, including in the context of the movement of
Rohingya in the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea in 2015, 2020 and 2021.c The 2022 Ministerial Conference
will offer Bali Process members an opportunity to reflect on whether Bali Process mechanisms serve thepurposes for which they were established and promote constructive dialogue on issues the Bali Process wascreated 20 years ago to address, including the trafficking of migrants.
More information on the Bali Process is available at www.baliprocess.net/.
a Bali Process, 2016.
b Bali Process, 2018.
c McAuliffe, 2016; UNHCR, IOM and UNODC, 2020.

103 African Union, n.d.; African Union and EU, 2006.

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The understanding of the partnership has evolved since the adoption of the Trafficking Protocol to include amultiplicity of actors beyond States. Diverse cooperation initiatives at the global level are testament to these
forms of partnerships not explicitly recognized in the protocol. The Inter-Agency Coordination Group against
Trafficking in Persons is for instance mandated by the United Nations General Assembly to enhance collaborationand coordination between the various United Nations agencies and other intergovernmental organizations working
on human trafficking.104
The role of civil society organizations has long been recognized and new forms of cooperation have also emerged
among non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to foster coordination, such as the Swedish Platform Civil Society
against Human Trafficking.105 However, research underlines that NGOs tend to primarily focus on trafficking forsexual exploitation, especially of children, and are underrepresented in certain regions, such as in Central and SouthAmerica, the Middle East and North Africa, as well as sub-Saharan Africa.106 Yet exceptions are also emerging, withstakeholders like the Labour Protection Network in Thailand, which works at the local level to protect migrantlabourers against trafficking by advocating against discrimination and inequality.107
The most significant development, however, relates to State cooperation with the private sector. In line withbroader efforts to strengthen accountability of businesses in the field of human rights,108 emphasis is now placed– with varying success – on the responsibility of private sector actors in countering human trafficking, inter alia
in the area of goods and services production throughout their supply chains. In addition to certification schemes
for recruitment agencies, the involvement of businesses has materialized in other global initiatives more broadly
concerning social corporate responsibility and sustainability. The United Nations Global Compact, the largest
corporate sustainability initiative, supports some 12,000 companies in their social and supply chain sustainability
strategies, for instance by sharing diverse resources, tools and best practices concerning social sustainability.109
Other initiatives tackle human trafficking more specifically, such as the Responsible and Ethical Private Sector
Coalition against Trafficking (RESPECT) led by the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime, whichseeks to enhance public–private partnerships.110
Partnership with financial actors has also recently attracted increased attention in recognition of their role inidentifying financial flows, including money-laundering connected to human trafficking networks. For instance, inJanuary 2020, the non-profit organization Polaris started a new partnership with Paypal, the global digital payment
platform, to create a financial intelligence unit to team up with law enforcement to devise new ways of identifying
transactions linked to human trafficking.111 The role played by the financial sector is also broadening, not only
to support prosecution efforts, but also to prevent trafficking and ensure the protection of victims. The FAST
initiative mentioned earlier in this chapter aims not only to support criminal investigations, but also to prevent
human trafficking by investing in digital finance that supports people who may be vulnerable to trafficking.112
Through its survivor inclusion initiative, FAST also participates in victim protection through the provision of basic
104 See https://icat.un.org/.
105 See https://manniskohandel.se/english/. See also Erikson and Larsson, 2020.
106 Limoncelli, 2016.
107 See www.lpnfoundation.org/about.
108 See for instance the United Nations Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights in OHCHR, 2011.
109 See UN Global Compact, n.d. See also IOM Corporate Responsibility in Eliminating Slavery and Trafficking (CREST), available at https://crest.iom.int/.
110 See https://globalinitiative.net/initiatives/respect/.
111 Polaris, 2020b; Lavietes, 2020.
112 Liechtenstein Initiative, 2019.

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banking services, especially when the financial identities and/or banking accounts of the victims have been hijacked
by traffickers.113
Cooperation is also increasingly fostered with tech companies to design innovative solutions for countering humantrafficking by leveraging new technological developments, such as artificial intelligence or mobile technology.
Coalitions of technology companies are emerging, such as Tech Against Trafficking launched in 2018 by technology
companies, civil society and intergovernmental organizations to identify new technological developments to preventand disrupt human trafficking and support its victims.114 While acknowledging the extent to which technology isused today by traffickers, together with the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), thecoalition identified some 305 technology tools and initiatives existing in 2019 to fight human trafficking.115
The main partnership trend over the last decade has hinged on the establishment of global coalitions of diverse
stakeholders. There is, however, a lack of research evaluating the impact and effectiveness of these global coalitions
on antitrafficking efforts in general, and victim protection in particular. In the migration context too, considerationmust be given as to whether efforts effectively prevent trafficking, instead of simply impeding migration. Scantresearch exists on partnerships at the local level, despite the importance of urban and local community spaces
for implementing antitrafficking activities and offering assistance to victims.116 While it is commonly agreed thatpartnerships must be comprised of multisector stakeholders, research appears to predominantly focus on the
traditional State-to-State notion of partnerships, particularly with respect to the prosecution of traffickers.

Conclusion
There is widespread national, regional and global consensus on the urgent need to prevent and combat humantrafficking in migration pathways. Indeed, few other migration-related issues have attained as much agreement within
the international community. However, there is less consensus on how to achieve this in practice, and there remains
a shortfall in political will to introduce effective policies to that end.
Confronting the trafficking of migrants specifically brings unique challenges. This chapter has endeavoured to highlightsome of these challenges and showcase promising avenues, new trends and developments in addressing them. Threemain lessons can be drawn, with implications for future research, as well as policy and programmatic responses:•

Strengthening the understanding of migrants’ trafficking: Trafficking of migrants is still too often confusedwith other crimes, especially migrant smuggling. This conflation is made by a variety of actors, from media
outlets that use trafficking and smuggling interchangeably, to State authorities that misappropriate the discourseof trafficking in their “fight” against irregular migration. Whether through lack of understanding on the issue orby design, the implications of this conflation are far from semantic: migrant victims may not be identified, which
in turn impacts the investigation and prosecution of traffickers, the disruption of organized crime networks and,more importantly, the protection to which migrant victims are entitled. Moreover, there is a risk that countertrafficking is leveraged as political currency to confront irregular migration, or that responsibility to address it

113 See www.fastinitiative.org/implementation/survivor-inclusion/#1590953818950-c3e528d7-fe15.
114 See Darnton and Nestor, 2019.
115 OSCE and Tech Against Trafficking, 2020.
116 Winterdyk, 2018; Kim et al., 2018.

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is deflected from States onto the private sector and other non-State actors. Improving the understanding andevidence base of migrant trafficking calls for capacity-building efforts not only of State authorities, but also ofother relevant stakeholders, including the media. Capacity-building, from this perspective, is to be understoodbroadly, beyond the technical legal definition of human trafficking to cover also the dynamics behind thetrafficking of migrants, including the impact of migration policies in countries of origin, transit and destinationthat may drive trafficking and exploitation of migrants. Research, data collection and analysis will continue
to be essential, especially for under-researched subregions and countries. Evidence-based analysis provides
useful insights into the changing dynamics of migrant trafficking, in order to further enhance antitrafficking
policies and programmatic responses. More regular and rigorous monitoring and evaluations of the outcomesof antitrafficking programmes are vital to contribute to the evidence base.
•

Adopting tailor-made protection responses for migrant victims of trafficking: Every victim of trafficking
is a unique individual with specific protection and assistance needs. There are factors that make individualmigrants vulnerable to trafficking and that shape their experience of being trafficked. Those outside theircountry of origin have protection needs that are specific to their migration situation, in addition to moregeneral protection and assistance needs as victims of serious crime. For instance, migrant victims in irregularsituations may be reluctant to report to the authorities for fear of deportation or punishment for their irregular
status or irregular migration. Overlooking the specific situations in which migrant victims find themselves isdetrimental to antitrafficking efforts; migrants may avoid cooperating with authorities in criminal proceedings
against traffickers, and re-enter into cycles of retrafficking. Likewise, human trafficking and its implications arehighly gendered, calling for gender-sensitive responses throughout the 4P approach. Recognizing these realities,some countries have adopted not only victim-centred approaches, but also migrant-specific victim-centred
responses, for instance, by granting reflection periods and residence permits. While the granting of such permits
remains the decision of each sovereign State, international migration governance forums offer a potential avenue
for some States to highlight this approach as best practice to be emulated and for others to learn from.
Similarly, concerning the return of migrant victims to their country of origin, the reintegration process needs
to be tailored to their specific protection needs, taking due account of their age, gender, vulnerabilities andpotential stigmatization upon return.

•Transforming cooperation into effective and impactful collaboration: Cross-border cooperation among
States is essential for countering transnational trafficking of migrants. Since the adoption of the Trafficking
Protocol in 2000, the understanding of cooperation has dramatically evolved. Cooperation is now multistakeholder, whole-of-government, whole-of-society and cross-sectoral. The recent involvement of the financial
and technology sectors is a major development, as it mirrors traffickers’ modes of operating through multiple
types of criminality, including money-laundering and leveraging of new technologies. Overall, however, theimpact and effectiveness of cooperation initiatives is unclear. More research is needed to better understandthe extent to which cooperation has translated into concrete, meaningful and measurable actions to effectively
counter human trafficking in migration pathways, without hampering migration itself and the development thatis advanced by it.

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281

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, MIGRATION
AND MOBILITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICYAND PRACTICE1Introduction
Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies underpin everyday activities in more ways than many people imagine. Just as
personalized newsfeeds utilize AI to service many millions of people worldwide, every Google search relies on AI
algorithms to produce search results in mere milliseconds. AI-driven “smart” phones, “smart” appliances, “smart”
houses and “smart” digital voice assistants (e.g. Alexa and Siri) are becoming increasingly commonplace in societies,
enabling people to better manage their time, information and energy consumption. However, the development ofAI capabilities has also triggered dire warnings from some futurists, including Stephen Hawking, Steve Wosniak andElon Musk, who express concern over the long-term AI implications for humanity.2 Perhaps the most significant
aspect relates to AI weapons development, but the broader difficulties in aligning AI with human values underpin
many concerns.3
Alongside growth in other sectors, AI has been increasingly used in the context of migration and mobility. The
deployment of such technologies is not new, although there has been a recent surge in interest in AI utilizationin migration as part of the broader raised profile of AI and related concerns about its development.4 For many
years, migration-related State authorities have used a variety of technologies, including AI systems, to support
administrative processing and decision-making in matters related to migration. AI is increasingly used throughout
the migration cycle, for example to facilitate pre-departure identity checks, support visa application lodgement andprocessing, enhance border procedures, produce data analytics on lodgement, applications and compliance withvisa conditions (amongst other aspects), as well as to forecast migration trends. There can be benefits in applying
AI technologies that are able to increase efficiency of systems and reduce processing times for clients, as well as
better manage the increasing demand for migration-related services.
However, AI poses a variety of issues for policymakers, practitioners and migrants, including concerns about
technology-enabled surveillance of individuals, the potential for systemic bias in AI decision-making in the areas ofmigration and mobility, the increased interactions between public and private sectors and their competing interests,
and the negative impact of AI technologies on the protection of migrants’ human rights.
Data-driven AI technologies also occupy a central role in the fight against COVID-19. Many governments aroundthe world have implemented measures to monitor public health, such as mobile phone applications for contact
tracing and digital health passports.5 Such measures may disproportionately affect vulnerable groups, including
migrant communities, thus impacting the protection of their human rights.
1
2
3
4
5

Ana Beduschi, Associate Professor of Law, University of Exeter; Marie McAuliffe, Head, Migration Research and Publications Division,
IOM.
Mack, 2015.
Wolchover, 2015.
Tegmark, 2016.
McAuliffe and Blower, 2021.

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Artificial intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practiceThis chapter examines implications of AI for policy and practice in the context of migration and mobility throughthe prism of the existing international human rights framework of rules, standards and principles.6 This is importantbecause of the potential for human rights to be eroded – or bolstered – as a result of the design, development,
implementation and expansion of AI technologies around the world.7 The next section outlines key concepts anddefinitions, which is then followed by a brief precis of the current AI context. The use of AI across the migration
cycle is then examined, with reflections on key strategic challenges and opportunities in this important area of newtechnology, including as it relates to the “future of work” and long-term migration trends.

Key concepts and definitions
There is no single, universally agreed definition of AI, although in a broad sense it can be thought of as “theprogramming of computers to do tasks that would normally require human intelligence”.8
With its roots in computer science of the 1950s, AI was originally conceived to convey the aspirational developmentof a computer that would deliver the high-level or cognitive capability of humans to reason and to think – otherwise
referred to as “general AI”.9 More than six decades later, however, high-level reasoning and thought remain elusive,and most of what is referred to as AI in non-technical discourse is a significant step down from this and is often
more akin to a particular branch of AI called “machine learning”.10 This lower-order AI is referred to as “narrow
AI”, as it relates to the performance of narrow tasks, such as matching facial features in images or calculating therelevance of written material to specific search terms, rather than broader, more general “thinking”.11
From its historical emergence in computer science, AI has developed over time to encapsulate different streams
that utilize machine capabilities for such work as natural language processing, speech processing, machine learning,visual recognition, neural networks and robotics.12 In reality, AI is not a single thing, but is a group of related
technologies designed to match or replace human intelligence.13 An overview of different definitions of AI offeredby organizations and leading scholars can be found in Appendix A.
AI-based systems can be purely software based, acting in the virtual world (e.g. voice assistants, image analysis
software, search engines, and speech and face recognition systems) or AI can be embedded in hardware devices(e.g. advanced robots, autonomous cars, drones and Internet of Things applications).14 It is also useful in thecontext of this chapter on migration and mobility to offer definitions of commonly used terms that relate to AI
technologies, such as:•

Algorithms: These are sets of machine instructions used to process and solve problems. AI algorithms cananalyse data, find patterns, make inferences and predict behaviour at a level and speed greatly surpassing humancapabilities.15

6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

E.g. UN, 1966; UNHRC, 2011; UNHRC, 2008.
UN SG, 2020; Pizzi et al., 2020.
Mehr, 2017.
Jordan, 2019; Tegmark, 2016.
Jordan, 2019.
Tegmark, 2016.
McLaughlin and Quan, 2019.
Duan et al., 2019; Walsh et al., 2019.
European Commission, 2018: para. 1; Accenture, 2018.
LeCun et al., 2015.

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Machine learning: Machine learning is one of the techniques by which machines are trained to perform tasks
that are generally associated with human intelligence, such as natural language processing.16 Machines learn fromvast amounts of data, including big data sets, using algorithms.

•

Deep learning: A subset of machine learning, deep learning imitates the functioning of the human brain and isincreasingly being relied upon for image and face recognition.17 Deep learning applications structure algorithms
into layers to create an artificial neural network, enabling machines to learn and make decisions on their own.18
This makes it difficult or even impossible to explain how the machines reach specific decisions.19•

Big data: Big data can be defined as the “large volumes of high velocity, complex and variable data that require
advanced techniques and technologies to enable the capture, storage, distribution, management, and analysisof the information.”20•

Digital identity: A digital identity refers to a set of attributes available in digital format and relating to a personor entity.21 These attributes include biometric data (e.g. fingerprint, eye scan, 3D face map), and demographic data
(e.g. date and place of birth). They can also be combined with evidence of government-issued ID (e.g. passport,
driver’s licence) and digital activities on social media, including search history online and geotagging data. Existing
digital identity platforms use AI as well as blockchain-related technologies to verify the identity of individuals byenabling “digital identity wallets” to run via online platforms and mobile phone devices.22•

Chatbot: A computer programme designed to converse with humans, especially over the Internet.23

How are digitalization and AI related?
AI technologies rely on underlying data capture and digital capabilities in order to be applied. “Digitalization”
of aspects of migration systems is, therefore, a necessary condition for the application of AI technologies.
However, digitalization does not necessarily result in AI technologies being developed and implemented.
Compared with digitalization, AI in migration and mobility is currently much more limited.

AI is routinely used in a variety of sectors, including agriculture, finance and banking, education and health care, assummarized in Appendix B.

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23

Flach, 2012; Nilsson, 1982; Ertel, 2017.
LeCun et al., 2015.
Ibid.
Rudin, 2019; Angelov and Soares, 2020; Watson and Floridi, 2020.
TechAmerica Foundation, 2012.
ISO, 2019.
E.g. Sovrin, available at https://sovrin.org and Digital Identity Alliance, available at https://id2020.org.
Cambridge Dictionary definition available at https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/chatbot (accessed 14 January 2021).

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Artificial intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practice

AI technologies throughout the migration cycle
Notwithstanding a recent surge in interest, AI technologies have actually been used in the fields of migration andmobility for many years.24 For instance, AI and related technologies have been used in Australia, the United Statesof America, Japan, many European countries and the European Union to manage increasing numbers of crossborder movements.25
This section situates the analysis within the historical context of uses of AI technologies in migration and mobility.
It describes the key uses of AI throughout the migration cycle,26 providing examples of AI capability and deployment
at the different stages: pre-departure, entry, stay, and return, noting that more examples can be found in relation
to entry and stay. This section also describes the application of AI technologies in migration forecasting, throughfor example the use of predictive analytics. A summary of AI technologies throughout the migration cycle isprovided in Figure 1. The next section then provides an analysis of the key issues and challenges, as well as themain benefits, that result from the increasing use of AI technologies in migration and mobility processes, especiallyin the context of human rights.

Figure 1. Artificial Intelligence and the migration cycle

Return• Returning migrant worker “smart card” in origin countries;• Community detection for forced return;• Return decision-making utilizing
machine learning.

Stay• Immigration information
chatbots;• Visa application lodgement
e-platforms;• Migration application decisionmaking, including asylum claims;• Chatbot legal advice for refugees;• Refugee settlement placements;• Job-matching;• Facial recognition technology in mass
surveillance to identify undocumented migrants;• Chatbot psychological support;• Distribution of humanitarian aid
supported by digital identity systems.

Pre-departure• Government visa information chatbots;• Visa application lodgement e-platforms;• Automated profile and security checks;• Private sector visa service chatbots;• Visa application decision-making.

Entry• Chatbot information at arrival in
humanitarian contexts;• Automated identity verification atborders utilizing bio data;• Automated security checks at borders
utilizing biodata;• AI drone monitoring of borders;• Behavioural analysis identifying hostile
intent;• Risk profiling.

Source: McAuliffe et al., 2021.

24
25
26

ANAO, 2008.
ANAO, 2012.
Gmlech, 1983; McAuliffe and Koser, 2017.

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AI technologies have been developed and deployed over many years to support pre-departure aspects of migrationand mobility management. Several government authorities have for example harnessed emerging technologies in theareas of visa application lodgement e-platforms and pre-departure checking, including the use of biometric data.27
In anticipation of the 2000 Olympics in Sydney, the Australian Government introduced a system of pre-departurechecking of bio-data linked to passenger boarding, so that airlines could not board passengers and crew onto an
aircraft unless they had been cleared to do so.28 Referred to as advanced passenger processing, this system wasdesigned to draw on new technology and enhanced connectivity supporting real-time checking through bordersecurity systems. The more generic versions of these types of systems, known as advanced passenger information(API) systems, have subsequently been regulated by international guidelines covering their development and use
globally.29 API systems are seen as a way to overcome a range of problems in managing the movements of peopleinternationally, most especially related to the significant growth in global travel and projected further growth,
but also in relation to security threats, including terrorism and drug smuggling; significant carrier penalty regimes;
and efficiency gains for border agencies through greater automation.30 API requires automation of cross-checking
processes involving multiple systems by utilizing AI capability to conduct searches and match biodata and othervariables stored in different domains.
Alongside the growing use of AI technologies in border systems, online visa application platforms and thedevelopment of “e-visas”, processing systems have also allowed automated systems utilizing the analytical capabilityof machine learning to process routine visa applications and refer more complex applications to case officers.31
Again, one of the first automated systems was developed by Australia in 1996 in anticipation of the surge of visitors
attending the Olympics, which then led to further developments over subsequent years and reductions in staffing
levels overseas previously needed to process routine visa applications.32 One of the early online visa application
systems resulted in between 15 and 20 basic application checks being automated, thereby significantly reducing
processing time and staffing costs.33 In the first online system, human visa officers were still required to make thefinal decision on the application. However, these online platforms have been further developed over time so thatthey can provide automated decisions for low-risk applications, including the use of profiling techniques that do not
require a human visa officer to be involved.34 More complex cases or applications that do not “fit” the processing
algorithms are then referred to visa officers for assessment and final determination.
More recently, there have been increased efforts to develop chatbots for information service functions provided bygovernment authorities, as well as for private sector service providers such as commercial migration agents or visa
application centres, to assist potential clients exploring opportunities to migrate for work or family reasons, study
overseas or work temporarily in other countries.35 Chatbots have also been developed by migrants who themselves
had struggled to navigate the vast amount of information (and misinformation) on visa and immigration regulations.36

27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

ANAO, 2008; DIAC, 2008; Shelfer and Verner, 2003.
DIAC, 2008; Franzi, n.d.; WCO, IATA and ICAO, 2010.
WCO, IATA and ICAO, 2010.
Ibid.
Aggarwal, 2018; PwC, 2011; Molnar, 2018.
PwC, 2011.
Rizvi, 2004.
Ibid.
E.g. https://hellotars.com/chatbot-templates/travel/H1mUrB/immigration-services-chatbot.
Hemmadi, 2017.

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Entry
In a similar vein to changes in pre-departure processes, the management of entry-related processes, especiallythose directly focused on borders, has seen automation and enhanced analytical capability being increasingly utilized
to improve efficiency and manage increasing passenger numbers. Automated border gates using biometric andbiographical data for identity and security-related checking require substantial investments in data collection, IT
systems and AI capabilities such as machine learning.37 As a result, many countries are unable to roll out such
sophisticated systems, leaving them to rely on manual systems and traditional border guard assessment protocols
to detect potential integrity issues.38 In addition, there can be challenges in initial implementation and questions
regarding sustainability. In South Africa, for example, the introduction of biometric technology (fingerprint and facialrecognition technology) as part of the government’s modernization programme, initially at O.R. Tambo International
Airport, caused delays due to the time required to collect passenger biometrics.39 As a result, only non-nationals’
details were collected, which goes to the broader issue of digital capabilities underlying the implementation of AI
functionality. The broader issue of asymmetrical power between States in relation to AI migration technologies isdiscussed in the text box below.
Other areas that have seen a rapid rise in AI technologies have been in border detection systems, such as AIbacked drone technology,40 as well as behavioural analysis in public locations, including airports and other masstransit facilities.41 This AI-driven behavioural analysis utilizes machine learning to read biometric data such as facial(micro)expressions, gait and other physical movements to identify those intent on causing potential harm to others,
although such approaches have been highly contested for reasons related to (in)accuracy, intrusiveness and privacy.42
Other highly contested initiatives include the so-called “virtual border wall” between the United States and Mexico,
currently being developed by United States Customs and Border Protection (CBP) in partnership with leading
tech firms as part of CBP’s innovation programme.43 If this goes ahead, the “virtual border wall” will involve mass
surveillance via drones and towers deploying capabilities similar to Google’s Vision AI product, which can rapidly
detect and categorize people and objects in an image or video file.44

Deepening asymmetries between States
The deployment of AI technologies can deepen such asymmetries in two main ways. First, it can amplify
the so-called digital divide between States with more advanced technological capabilities and those lacking
such technologies.a AI enthusiasts’ main claim is that it can be used to cut costs and increase efficiency.b AI
technologies would, therefore, be advantageous for migration and asylum procedures, which are normallylengthy, primarily manual, and largely based on migrants’ and asylum-seekers’ claims.
Accordingly, AI technologies could cement the leading position of those AI-capable States, which would
be placed at the forefront of the global efforts to manage migration in the years to come. Such a situation
would create an AI divide. In this new paradigm, States with less advanced technological means could be

37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44

Thales Group, n.d.; WCO, 2019.
Heath, 2019; IOM, 2016.
Darch et al., 2020.
Campbell, 2019; Koslowski, 2005.
Al Hamar et al., 2018; Rawlings, 2019.
Al Hamar et al., 2018; Huszti-Orbán and Ní Aoláin, 2020; Jupe and Keatley, 2019.
Fang and Biddle, 2020.
Ibid.; Google Cloud, 2020.

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further isolated. … Besides, the AI divide could either reinforce or, conversely, represent a shift from theNorth–South paradigm.c If those AI capabilities concentrate in the global North, the AI divide would rather
reinforce the existing North–South paradigm. However, if States in the global South take the opportunity todevelop their AI capabilities, this could give them an additional means to exert influence in matters related tomigration management as fully fledged AI-capable States. … Accordingly, the AI divide could simultaneously
contribute to deepening the already asymmetrical relationships between North–South States, while shifting
the focus slightly towards what could come to be the “AI-capable States and the others” split in internationalmigration management.
Source: Abridged extract from Beduschi, 2020a.
a Norris, 2001.
b Chui et al., 2018.
c Chetail, 2008.

Stay
Chatbots are increasingly featuring in the provision of information and advisory services to migrants in destination
countries, and have been developed by government authorities, such as Finland’s immigration robot assistant, called
Kamu,45 as well as by civil society organizations supporting migrants. For example, a chatbot called Mona, designed
to provide refugees with basic legal advice, has been developed by the United States-based startup Marhub inan effort to provide accurate information in real time.46 We have also seen the development of chatbots thatprovide psychological support to refugees and internally displaced persons, who are often extremely vulnerable andunable to access mental health services. One such initiative by United States-based tech company X2AI involved
partnering with a non-governmental organization in Lebanon to provide Arabic-language support via a chatbot
called Karim, which delivers personalized text messages to Syrian refugees, using natural language processing andcognitive behavioural therapy capabilities.47 Karim is an offshoot of an initial mental health chatbot called Tess, which
delivers services to more than 19 million people worldwide.48
Application e-platforms and visa-related decision-making are similar to the pre-departure processes discussed above;
however, after people have entered a country they may have ongoing interactions with immigration authorities,
such as to renew visas, apply for a new visa type, or demonstrate compliance with visa conditions through staged
processing. The use of AI has been found to reduce the need for manual processing and in-person appointments,
such as has been achieved in Hong Kong SAR, China, where the immigration department’s eBrain system reduced
processing times and community costs, as described in the text box below.49

45
46
47
48
49

Miessner, 2019.
Peters, 2019.
Solon, 2016; Sengupta, 2019.
See www.x2ai.com.
Wong and Chun, 2006.

288

Artificial intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practiceHong Kong SAR, China immigration department’s eBrain system
In early 2006, the Hong Kong SAR, China immigration department introduced a new eBrain system using AI
capability to improve case processing. A visual representation of eBrain’s overall AI architecture demonstrates
the complexity of the overall scheme and the way in which machine-learning aspects feature within its
architecture.
NewapplicationeBrain Rule Engines
approve/refuse
legal references

Rule
Core

self-learned result

Assessment

recommendations

Procedures

follow-up actions

Workflow

Rule
Admin

SchemaAdmin
New self-learned rules
Rule-base
SchemasCase-baseLearning
Core

Dtree

Dtree Learning

workflow routing
related cases

CBR
Core

Knowledge Base
Case learning
eBrain Case-based
Reasoning Engine

Case
Admin

Dtree
Admin
eBrain Self-learning
EngineClosedapplication

In addition to e-lodgement of applications, the eBrain system is used for case management and decisionmaking. After lodgement, the eBrain schema-based reasoning engine generates a set of suggested actions,such as requesting additional documentation, to get the application to a state that can be assessed. Machinelearning is used to build procedural knowledge of typical steps taken for different kinds of cases.
Source: Wong and Chun, 2006.

Machine learning incorporating algorithmic data analysis has also been tested and used to support better refugee
resettlement placement in Switzerland, which had previously been performed by human case officers, resulting in
improved outcomes for refugee integration.50 Other similar initiatives – such as the global Matching and Outcome
Optimization for Refugee Empowerment (MOORE) initiative – utilize machine learning, integer optimization and

50

Bansak et al., 2018.

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matching theory to determine the best matches between refugees and local communities.51 Refugee resettlement
optimization applications using AI technologies are fairly limited and specialized, although it is not clear whether
similar systems are already in place for other migration programmes in destination countries, such as those forskilled workers.
One deployment of AI technologies that existed well before COVID-19, but which came under the spotlightduring the pandemic, was related to the use of AI surveillance technology to track and monitor groups of interest,
including migrants.52 In the United States, for example, AI facial recognition technology has been used by immigration
authorities to conduct mass monitoring of people in traffic flows to detect undocumented migrants.53 Similarcapabilities relying on facial recognition software have been implemented in many other countries, as outlined in
the text box below.

Global expansion of AI surveillance
AI surveillance technology is spreading at a faster rate to a wider range of countries than experts havecommonly understood. At least 75 out of 176 countries globally are actively using AI technologies forsurveillance purposes. This includes: smart city/safe city platforms (56 countries), facial recognition systems(64 countries), and smart policing (52 countries).
Liberal democracies are major users of AI surveillance. The index shows that 51 percent of advanced
democracies deploy AI surveillance systems. In contrast, 37 percent of closed autocratic states, 41 percent
of electoral autocratic/competitive autocratic states, and 41 percent of electoral democracies/illiberal
democracies deploy AI surveillance technology. Governments in full democracies are deploying a range ofsurveillance technology, from safe city platforms to facial recognition cameras.
Governments in autocratic and semi-autocratic countries are more prone to abuse AI surveillance thangovernments in liberal democracies. Some autocratic governments are exploiting AI technology for mass
surveillance purposes. Other governments with dismal human rights records are exploiting AI surveillance inmore limited ways to reinforce repression. Yet all political contexts run the risk of unlawfully exploiting AI
surveillance technology to obtain certain political objectives.
Source: Abridged extract from Feldstein, 2019.

ReturnIn the context of return migration, there appears to be much less utilization of AI technologies. Insofar as return
relates to programme integrity, such as the return of failed asylum seekers, visa overstayers or unlawful non-citizens,
AI technology does appear to be utilized to facilitate return processes; however, its implementation appears to
be more related to mass population surveillance initiatives to detect potential undocumented migrants for forced
return.54 There are also indications in court documents from the United States showing that private sector data
51
52
53
54

Trapp et al., 2018.
IOM, 2020.
Matyus, 2020.
Majidi et al., 2021.

290

Artificial intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practicebrokers, which use AI algorithms to pull together a wide range of data on individuals to create “data dossiers”,
are being utilized to identify potential deportees.55 In this sense, both physical surveillance and virtual surveillancetechniques that utilize AI technologies are being drawn upon to identify potential returnees.
The consequences of relying on AI technologies in forced return can be very significant, especially if there isoverreliance on such systems without other forms of human assessment or verification. In 2016, the United
Kingdom revoked the visas of around 34,000 international students on the basis of a contracted language services
company’s AI human voice recognition analysis indicating that the students had used proxies in English language
tests needed to secure visas. However, subsequent human analysis found that around 7,000 (or 20%) of thesestudents had been falsely accused of cheating, with the United Kingdom immigration appeals tribunal finding thatthe evidence used by the Home Office to deport the students had “multiple frailties and shortcomings”.56
The use of AI technologies in the return of migrant workers back to their origin countries has had some traction,
but appears to suffer sustainability and implementation obstacles. In Bangladesh, for example, the introduction of“smart cards” in 2010 to support smoother departure processes of migrant workers has been useful for borderprocessing and data collection purposes, but calls to utilize these cards also for returning migration workers
have not eventuated.57 Multipurpose smart cards would assist in further movement away from a paper-based
migration management system to a digital system, enabling better data collection and related analysis for policy
and programming purposes.58

AI as a tool to predict movements, while also shaping long-term trends
Forecasting migration and mobility has been undertaken for many years and has typically relied on statisticalmodelling, as well as expert insights. With the expansion of data sets, especially in humanitarian displacement
contexts (such as IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix), there is an increasing focus on the use of AI technologies
to leverage these data.59 Unsurprisingly, predictive analytics is increasingly being used in the context of humanitariansettings; recent research has highlighted the growth in AI technologies to predict humanitarian crises, including
displacement impacts due to conflict and violence, food insecurity, disease outbreaks and disaster.60 Of 49 initiatives
utilizing AI technologies, such as machine learning, big data and statistical modelling, the researchers found thatthe focus was on where humanitarian crises will occur (71% of initiatives) and who will be affected (40%).61 Lessemphasis was placed on what such predicted crises will involve and when crises are likely to occur.
While we see a trend relating to the scaling-up of predictive analytics technologies and forecasting applications, theanalysis of how AI technologies are likely to impact international migration patterns over time is of more significancein strategic terms. This is because more and more occupations are being automated or otherwise replaced bycomputers, which in turn has the potential to affect migration dynamics worldwide. AI and the future of work is a
strategic topic of keen interest to many, with some arguing that it is the traditional white-collar jobs that are mostat risk.62 This highly topical issue is summarized in the text box below.
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62

Currier, 2019; Molnar 2019; Rivlin-Nadler, 2019.
Baynes, 2019.
Bhuyan, 2018; Rashid and Ashraf, 2018.
Rashid and Ashraf, 2018.
Bither and Ziebarth, 2020.
Hernandez and Roberts, 2020.
Ibid.
Hanke, 2017.

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How will AI impact long-term migration patterns?
While it is unclear exactly how migration patterns will be affected, analysis points to significant shifts overtime as countries seek to invest in AI in an increasingly diverse range of sectors, from health and social
care, to agriculture, education and finance (see Appendix B). As part of the broader considerations of the
future of work, automatization utilizing AI is expected to affect the economics that underpin migration,
reducing the demand for migrant workers over the long term. These changes are likely to affect many labour
markets globally, with significant destination regions for migrants workers not immune. In a report focusing
on Bahrain, Egypt, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, for example, researchers findthat the automation of routine work is particularly relevant to migrant workers in these countries, as the
majority are low skilled. In the United Arab Emirates, for example, more than 93 per cent of automation
potential affects jobs held by migrant workers.
Sources: aus dem Moore et al., 2018; Ernst et al., 2018; Hanke, 2017; Hertog, 2019.

AI technologies in migration and mobility: key issues, challenges andopportunities
As AI systems become increasingly common throughout the migration cycle, they give rise to a variety of issues
and pose significant challenges for the protection of migrants’ human rights.
This section analyses these issues through the prism of the human rights law framework, identifying challenges,
but also possible available opportunities. It elaborates on the descriptive analysis presented in the previous section
by focusing on critical areas in which AI has a significant impact: visa and asylum processing and decision-making;border security and migration management; support to migration management; and migration and mobility in aninterconnected world.

Visa and asylum processing and decision-making
AI technologies are frequently used for visa and asylum processing and decision-making. A key advantage of using
AI systems is that they can speed up visa and asylum application processing while screening for security threats
and reducing irregular migration. However, AI technologies make it possible to automate, often in untransparent
ways, large-volume processing involving risk profiling, with limited transparency and often without the possibilityof recourse.63
The lack of transparency and the presence of biases in AI algorithms is a widespread concern, extending wellbeyond migration. While humans also display biases in their decision-making independently of the use of AI, AI
systems can amplify existing human biases, not just encode them. AI thus has the potential to institutionalize andsystematize human bias. This can ultimately lead to discrimination and exclusion of people based on protected

63

McCarroll, 2020; Molnar and Gill, 2018.

292

Artificial intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practicecharacteristics, including race and ethnicity.64 Bias is a common issue that permeates AI systems in a variety of
sectors.65

Typology of biases in algorithms
1. Historical bias arises when there is a misalignment between the world as it is and the values orobjectives to be encoded and propagated in a model. It is a normative concern with the state of theworld, and exists even given perfect sampling and feature selection.
2. Representation bias arises while defining and sampling a development population. It occurs when thedevelopment population under-represents, and subsequently fails to generalise well, for some part of theuse population.
3. Measurement bias arises when choosing and measuring features and labels to use; these are often
proxies for the desired quantities. The chosen set of features and labels may leave out important factors
or introduce group or input-dependent noise that leads to differential performance.
4. Aggregation bias arises during model construction, when distinct populations are inappropriately
combined. In many applications, the population of interest is heterogeneous and a single model is unlikely
to suit all subgroups.
5. Evaluation bias occurs during model iteration and evaluation. It can arise when the testing or externalbenchmark populations do not equally represent the various parts of the use population. Evaluation bias
can also arise from the use of performance metrics that are not appropriate for the way in which themodel will be used.
6. Deployment bias occurs after model deployment, when a system is used or interpreted in inappropriate
ways.
Source: Abridged extract from Suresh and Guttag, 2020.

In the context of migration and mobility, the consequences of biased AI algorithms can be life-changing. For
example, there is potential for visa applications to be rejected because the AI algorithms used for the initial triage
do not correctly recognize darker skin complexions and misidentify applicants. Such a scenario is not far fromreality. Facial recognition technologies are considerably less accurate when used to recognize darker-skinned female
faces when compared with white male faces.66 Commercially available facial recognition AI systems were also provento be more prone to misidentifying black people’s faces and matching them with faces of people who had previously
been arrested by the police, in an investigation in the United States.67

64
65
66
67

Eubanks, 2018; Ferguson, 2017; Noble, 2018; Zuboff, 2019.
Creemers et al., 2015; Zou and Schiebinger, 2018.
Buolamwini and Gebru, 2018.
Snow, 2018.

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These inaccuracies in identifying darker-skinned people’s faces may be caused by a representation bias, due, forexample, to a lack of diversity in the data sets used to train the AI algorithms. This effect may also be the resultof a historical bias, reflecting decades of preconceptions and stereotypes in society. Technology is indeed shaped bylong-standing cultural and context-based perceptions about race, ethnicity, gender and other inequalities prevalent
in society.68
These illustrations are an important reminder that technology is not a neutral tool and that it can also makemistakes. Decision makers should be aware of this. They should also take into consideration the propensity ofhuman beings to favour the suggestions presented by AI systems, even if there are indications that these are
mistaken, a phenomenon known as automation bias.69 Further, biometric matching involving algorithmic capabilities
can be very difficult for humans to refute, especially where technology is able to extract information not able to be
detected by the human eye (e.g. gait patterns, facial recognition and iris matching).70 Therefore, procedures should
be in place to allow individuals to obtain redress in case mistakes in the AI systems lead to erroneous decisions
or even to violations of their human rights. Individuals should be able to challenge decisions made by or with theassistance of AI systems before an independent and impartial tribunal or authority, including through administrative
procedures.71 To enable procedural fairness, State authorities need to be transparent about how they use AI in visa
and asylum processing and decision-making.
Despite recent progress, there are still many technical hurdles preventing AI systems from being fully explainableby humans, notably the more complex AI models, such as deep neural networks.72 These are systems designed tolearn by themselves through “thought processes” that are not fully explicable. Increasing reliance on AI technologies
for visa and asylum processing, given this inherent unpredictability and opacity, risks compromising fairness andequity of processes.

Border security and migration management
As discussed above, AI systems are also present in the field of border security and migration management. They
are used, for example, to automate identity verification at borders, to automate security checks and monitor hostile
intention at borders, or even to monitor borders remotely using sensors and AI-powered drones.
There are advantages in using AI in the context of border security and migration management. AI systems cananalyse vast amounts of data, including big data, to identify patterns and predict behaviour.73 They do so at
speeds vastly surpassing human capability. AI algorithms can thus increase efficiency by streamlining repetitive
tasks that depend on the review of large amounts of data.74 Depending on how they are designed, developed,
and deployed, AI systems can fast-track identity verification at border crossing points. They can also contributeto better identification of individuals posing potential threats to national security, public safety and immigration
programme integrity.

68
69
70
71
72
73
74

See UNGA, 2011; UNHRC, 2020a.
Huszti-Orbán and Ní Aoláin, 2020; Wickens et al., 2015.
Israel, 2020.
This is according to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) (UN, 1966: art. 14) and UN HRCttee (2007).
Graves and Clancy, 2019; Pasquale, 2015; Watson and Floridi, 2020; Vilone and Longo, 2020.
Burrell, 2016.
Chui et al., 2018.

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However, AI systems also bring many risks for the protection and respect of migrants’ human rights in the context
of border security and migration management. First, there are significant concerns about the respect for individuals’
right to privacy. Under international human rights law, everyone has the right to respect for their private lifeand correspondence, which includes personal information in digital formats.75 Measures restricting the right toprivacy must only be taken to safeguard a legitimate interest, which includes national security and public safety.
They must also satisfy the cumulative tests of legality, necessity and proportionality.76 The legality test requiresthat measures adopted by States have a legal basis in domestic law and are compatible with the rule of law. They
must be accessible and foreseeable and afford adequate legal protection against arbitrariness.77 The necessity test
demands that the measures adopted address a pressing social need.78 The proportionality test requires that themeasures taken by public authorities are proportionate to their legitimate aims and represent the least-restrictive
viable solution.79
Second, there are concerns about the collection and use of sensitive personal information, such as biometricdata. In particular, a central problem relates to the modalities of storage, processing and access to the data bydifferent public authorities and services. These concerns are heightened by the establishment of interoperable
information technology (IT) systems. Interoperability allows data to be available and easily shared between different
IT systems, including those used for the management of border security and migration. In the European Union,
a dedicated agency called eu-LISA oversees the implementation of interoperable IT systems concerning asylum,
border management and migration.80
There is no doubt that, on the one hand, interoperability can improve AI systems, enhance security and provide
for better identity management.81 For example, if data sets lack interoperability because they are only available
in incompatible or different proprietary software, AI systems that are heavily data-driven will not reach their fullpotential. However, on the other hand, interoperability may also allow for mistakes in one data base to be cascaded
forward if they are not quickly identified and corrected. For example, a person could be erroneously identified asa security threat with this information being recorded in one data base. If this mistake is not promptly corrected,
border authorities that might access information in that data base could refuse entry and unfairly place this person
in detention. The person in this scenario may not even be aware of the mistake in the data base. The lack oftransparency could make it more difficult to rectify the error and allow the individual to obtain redress for theviolation of his or her right to liberty.82 Accordingly, interoperable IT systems should be developed in line withthe basic principles of data protection. These involve lawfulness, fairness and transparency, purpose limitation, data
minimization, accuracy, storage limitation, integrity, confidentiality and accountability.83
Third, there is a growing risk that the technologization of borders, using AI technologies such as AI-powered drones
and/or AI-driven behavioural analysis of biometric data, may lead to excessive technology-enabled surveillance ofindividuals.84 While surveillance may be necessary to meet national security and public safety interests, measuresthat disproportionately interfere with people’s privacy are not tolerated in a democratic society.85
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85

Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UNGA, 1948: art. 12). See also ICCPR (UN, 1966: art. 17); European Convention on Human
Rights (CoE, 1950: art. 8); American Convention on Human Rights (OAS, 1969: art. 11); UNGA, 2014; UN HRCttee, 1988.
UNGA, 2014: para. 23.
UNGA, 2014: para. 23; UN HRCttee, 1988; ECtHR, 2008: para. 95.
UNGA, 2014: para. 24; ECtHR, 2008: para. 101.
Ibid.
Available at www.eulisa.europa.eu.
European Commission, 2017.
ICCPR (UN, 1966: art. 9).
EU, 2016: art. 5.
E.g. UNHRC, 2020b.
UNGA, 2014: para. 24; Molnar, 2020.

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AI supporting migration management
AI systems are also used to facilitate access to services and the integration of migrants and refugees throughout
the migration cycle. For example, chatbots can now provide legal advice and psychological support to migrants
and refugees, AI-powered applications can assist with refugee settlement placements, and digital applications canbe used to support migrant integration in the host country. Chatbots have also been developed by migrants as aresult of their own experiences in navigating vast amount of (mis)information on visa regulations and processes, as
highlighted in the text box below.

Botler: the A.I. chatbot developed by a migrantAmir Moravej’s body may have been in Tehran, but his mind was in Montreal. The engineer had spent a half
decade in Canada, but an expiring work permit forced him to leave the country and return to his native Iran.
Back home, Moravej scoured immigration forums and joined group chats where applicants shared advice andinformation about their cases. “It was impossible for me to read all of it,” he recalls. “So I wrote a bot to go
and read all the forum posts, and find the ones that were most relevant to my own case.”
A little over a year ago, Moravej landed in Montreal once more, this time as a permanent resident. His
creation has become Botler, an immigration tool powered by artificial intelligence…The first scheme Botler
is being applied to: the Programme de l’expérience québécoise (PEQ), for foreign workers and students
residing in Quebec. “Imagine you don’t have any information about the [program] but you want to apply,”
instructs Moravej. “You can use this bot for the whole process, from the very beginning to the very end.”
Users start by answering questions about their qualifications and circumstances, which allows Botler todetermine if they’re eligible for the program. Would-be applicants who meet the criteria then upload their
documents, which the tool reviews. “If everything is fine, the bot will create an application package” that canbe submitted to the immigration ministry, explains Moravej. Users who miss the mark get to see what gaps
remain in their application, and what conditions they must meet to become eligible.
Botler’s machine learning engine uses the guidelines published by Quebec’s immigration department, and wastrained on anonymized data from real cases. Lawyers at Montreal firm Campbell Cohen, which is partneringwith the startup, conducted the product’s quality assurance testing.
Source: Abridged extract from Hemmadi, 2017.

At the same time, this trend has also raised concerns about the limits of “techno-solutionism”, or the attempt touse technology to fix all sorts of problems.86 Migration is indeed a complex phenomenon that cannot be easily
managed.87 In this sense, it cannot be easily “fixed” by technology either.
Technology may indeed enable capabilities and function as an equalizer of societal disparity.88 For example, digital
identity initiatives may provide excluded individuals, such as migrants and refugees who cannot prove legal identity,
with the means to open a bank account and access a variety of services in a host country.89 AI technologies can
86
87
88
89

Latonero and Kift, 2018; Morozov, 2014.
Castles, 2004.
Haenssgen and Ariana, 2017; Beduschi, 2019.
See, for example, Digital Identity Alliance, available at https://id2020.org and The Rohingya Project, available at https://rohingyaproject.
com.

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Artificial intelligence, migration and mobility: Implications for policy and practicealso reduce processing times and eliminate or reduce the inconvenience and time required for in-person interviews
with immigration case officers, which often need to be booked weeks in advance (see text box below). However,their implementation is not without risks, as discussed in the next section.

AI visa e-platforms and client service processing improvements
Paper-based manual visa application lodgement and processing systems require hard copies of application
forms to be submitted by the applicant, together with copies of relevant documents. Case officers
knowledgeable about the relevant laws, regulations and guidelines then review applications and often request
additional supplementary documents from the applicant. When all the supporting documents have been
submitted, and an interview (if needed) conducted, the case officer will then make an assessment, which
may require endorsement by a more senior colleague. The entire process may require several visits by theapplicant; total processing times can be from several days to several months, depending on the visa type andcomplexity of the case.
Through the use of AI technologies, visa application lodgement processes can become much faster andeliminate the need for visits to immigration offices. Straightforward, low-risk applications can be submitted
online, paid for and processed within minutes, reducing the inconvenience of in-person visits and allowing
much faster decisions. These capabilities also allow for the more complex and/or higher-risk cases to behandled by human immigration officers. Such systems, as highlighted above, have been in place in somecountries for more than two decades; however, they require significant information and communication
technology (ICT) investment and they can only work effectively where the ICT accessibility for clients
is high. In some regions and countries, the lack of ICT risks undermining service delivery and can resultin inability to access online e-platforms. For example, there exists a digital divide between developed
and developing countries, with 81 per cent of individuals using the Internet in developed countries,
compared with 40 per cent in developing countries and only 15.6 per cent in the least developed
countries. Further, there is also a digital gender gap, with higher Internet access rates for men than for
women in all regions of the world; globally, men’s access rate is 51 per cent and women’s is 44.9 per cent.
Sources: Aggarwal, 2018; IOM, 2016; ITU, 2019; Rizvi, 2004; Wong and Chun, 2006.

Migration and mobility in an interconnected world
As the world becomes increasingly interconnected, technology gives people the means to access more andmore sources of information. This profoundly influences and impacts people’s strategies and decisions to move.90
For example, mobile phone technology enables migrants to stay in touch with family, friends and humanitarianorganizations, but it is also exploited by smugglers and a variety of criminal networks, including via social media
applications.91 GPS and geolocation technologies embedded in mobile phones allow people to find and compare
routes while on the move. Search engines are frequently used to gather information about transit and destination

90
91

McAuliffe and Goossens, 2018.
McAuliffe, 2016.

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countries. While using these technologies, people leave behind significant digital footprints that can be exploitedand analysed. Data-driven AI systems build on such varieties of available data.
Two main sets of challenges are particularly relevant for data-driven AI systems used in migration and mobility. First,
the growing “datafication” of migration management, whereby different types of data including biometric, satellite
and big data are increasingly collected, stored and used for migration management, can lead to critical issues.92 Poor
practices in the collection, including storage and analysis of data from vulnerable groups such as some migrants andrefugees, can have significant consequences. Cybersecurity flaws and poor storage practices could expose sensitive
information about migrants and refugees.93 This can have dangerous consequences for their safety if the data fall
into the hands of malicious actors or persecuting agents. Further, mistakes in data sets used to train AI algorithms
can be cascaded forward if they go undetected. If these are proprietary algorithms or “black boxes”, they can beeven more difficult to audit, making it harder to identify any errors.94 Such mistakes can have devastating effects.
For instance, people may be denied access to essential services if they are misidentified due to an error in thesoftware used to collect biometric data or to recognize people’s faces. If these are humanitarian services provided
within the context of a situation of conflict, the consequences for the affected people can be even more ravaging.95
Second, such concerns about the “datafication” of migration and mobility are further exacerbated by the increasingly
common interactions between the public and private sectors. The private sector plays a central role in designingand developing the technologies that will later be deployed by States and international organizations at all stagesof the migration cycle. Technology companies have been positioning themselves in the humanitarian and migration
arena for many years.96 Such public–private interactions raise concerns for data protection. For instance, datasharing practices and access to sensitive data by private corporations should only occur when there are sufficientmeasures in place to safeguard the basic principles of data protection.97
More broadly, States, international organizations and the private sector are often motivated by potentially conflicting
interests. For example, private companies may logically follow their commitment towards profit-making and thesafeguarding of the interests of their shareholders; whereas States defend the public interest, while internationalorganizations need to act within the limits of their mandate to protect the interests of their beneficiaries. These
different motivations are subsequently reflected in the design and development of AI systems. Some argue thatprofit-making interests frequently prevail.98 Conversely, migrants’ interests and the protection of their rights areoften unaccounted for in the design, development and deployment of these technologies. For example, activists
and experts have raised the alarm about private sector access and control over migrants’ data, often without
any meaningful consent.99 There are also reservations about international organizations’ practices in the field,
which create additional bureaucracies and may hinder the protection of migrants and refugees.100 Scholars havealso pointed out the challenges concerning the monetization of the insights gathered from migrants’ data and the
incentives in maintaining a crisis narrative.101
92
93
94
95

Broeders and Dijstelbloem, 2016:242–260; Beduschi, 2019.
Parker, 2020a; Parker, 2020b.
Pasquale, 2015.
See International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement, Humanitarian Crises Digital Dilemmas, available at https://digital-dilemmas.
com.
96 Molnar, 2019; Parker, 2019; Kinstler, 2019.
97 Kuner and Marelli, 2020.
98 Madianou, 2019; Zuboff, 2019.
99 See, for example, Molnar, 2019 and Madianou, 2019. See also UNGA, 2019; UNHRC, 2020a; UNHCR, 2020b.
100 Duffield, 2016; Read et al., 2016; Latonero, 2019.
101 Taylor and Meissner, 2019.

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A human rights-based approach is, therefore, needed to address these issues and rebalance the power structures atplay. International human rights treaties and the United Nations Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights
offer a comprehensive framework for algorithmic accountability.102 Similarly, States, international organizations andtechnology companies should adhere to the humanitarian “do no harm” imperative when designing, developing
and deploying AI systems throughout the migration cycle.103 This ensures that once deployed, such AI systems
do not damage the populations they are intended to serve. Moreover, States and international organizations canrequire that providers of AI technologies, including private sector suppliers, abide by human rights standards andbasic principles of data protection. They can use public procurement processes for this purpose.104 These can
include specific clauses in public procurement notices requiring that suppliers implement technical and organizational
measures to integrate data protection principles into AI systems by design and by default.105 They can also requestthat AI technology providers assess the impact of their products against human rights standards before thedeployment of these AI systems.106 Such practices can increase algorithmic fairness and accountability and prevent
situations in which these technologies are tested on vulnerable populations, such as some migrant groups, without
the prior assessment of risks.

Conclusion
AI in migration and mobility is not a new phenomenon. However, the increase in computational power, advancesin technologies and the availability of large amounts of data have provided fertile ground for the contemporary
development and expansion of AI in this area.
This chapter framed the analysis of the uses of AI within each stage of the migration cycle, demonstrating thatsuch technologies have already influenced pre-departure, entry, stay and return policies and practices. Additionally,
it acknowledged how the expansion of AI in labour markets is expected to impact long-term migration patterns,
as technologies and automation increasingly affect the future of work around the world.
AI certainly brings about a series of advantages for policy and practice. For example, AI systems can increase theefficiency of migration management by streamlining repetitive tasks that depend on the review of large amounts ofdata. Depending on how they are designed, developed and deployed, AI systems can fast-track identity verification
at border crossing points. They can also contribute to better identification of individuals posing potential threats
to security. In this regard, good practices include machine-learning tools incorporating algorithmic data analysis tosupport refugee resettlement placement through chatbots providing information and advisory services to migrants
in destination countries. There is also a growing focus on the use of AI to predict the likelihood of displacement
events and populations at risk of displacement, ostensibly in order to support and avoid such events.
Such predictions could help authorities to prepare more efficiently for large influxes of people. This could contributetowards fulfilling their human rights obligations.107 For example, State authorities could act swiftly and better
prepare their reception facilities, based on migration and movement forecasts. However, these predictions could
102 McGregor et al., 2019.
103 Sandvik et al., 2017.
104 Martin-Ortega and O’Brien, 2019; Beduschi, 2020b.
105 Kuner and Marelli, 2020.
106 Danish Institute for Human Rights, 2020.
107 UN HRCttee, 2004.

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also be used to reinforce non-entrée policies, understood as measures aimed at obviating access by migrants andasylum seekers to a State’s territory.108 These include unlawful non-refoulement practices, as forbidden by Article 33of the Refugee Convention and human rights treaties.109 Therefore, it is important to acknowledge that AI systems
also present many risks for the protection and respect of migrants’ human rights in the context of migration andmobility.
Three main implications for policy and practice can be drawn from this chapter:•AI systems can amplify existing human biases, not just encode them. This can ultimately lead to discriminationand exclusion of people based on protected characteristics, including race and ethnicity. Bias is a common issue
that permeates AI systems in a variety of sectors. Therefore, AI systems need to be developed in a way that
deliberately and systematically seeks to remove or reduce bias throughout the process, from data collection
and analysis to the reporting and assessment stages. Further, there is much greater awareness that overrelianceon AI systems can result in incorrect and biased decisions, requiring policymakers and systems architects toensure that regular monitoring and recalibration of systems, as well as human verification protocols, are in place.

•

The increasing datafication of migration and mobility can create and magnify vulnerabilities. Datafication refers
to the different types of data, including biometric, satellite and big data, which are increasingly collected, stored
and used for migration management. Poor data storage practices and cybersecurity flaws can expose migrants’sensitive information. This can have dramatic consequences for migrants if the information falls into the handsof malicious actors. Such concerns are further exacerbated by the interactions between the public and private
sectors. Technology companies have been positioning themselves in the humanitarian and migration arena formany years, raising concerns about data protection. Therefore, data-sharing practices and access to sensitive
data by private corporations should only occur when there are sufficient measures in place to safeguard thebasic principles of data protection.

•

One of the key aspects currently underpinning analysis in this salient and strategic area of migration policy andpractice is the extent to which a lack of transparency dominates. To some extent, this is likely to be fuelled by
the risk of malicious acts of cybersecurity to undermine or control AI systems.110 However, this in itself creates
different risks, especially as they relate to the erosion of human rights.

Accordingly, a human rights-based approach is needed to address these issues and rebalance the power structuresat play. For instance, human rights impact assessment tools could be used before the deployment of AI systems.
This would increase algorithmic fairness and accountability and prevent situations in which AI technologies aretested on vulnerable populations, such as migrants and refugees, without prior assessment of the risks. Adherence
to the “do no harm” imperative during the design, development and deployment of AI systems could help tomitigate some of the risks brought about by these technologies throughout the migration cycle.

108 Hathaway, 2005; Gammeltoft-Hansen and Hathaway, 2014.
109 UN, 1951. See also ICCPR (UN, 1966: art. 7), as interpreted in UN HRCttee, 1992.
110 Lohn, 2020.

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MARIE MCAULIFFEADRIAN KITIMBO
BINOD KHADRIA

Reflections on migrants’ contributions in an era of increasing disruption and disinformation

Editor’s Note: This chapter first appeared in the World Migration
Report 2020. The research for this chapter inspired us to delve
deeper into the topic of disinformation, resulting in Chapter 8
on disinformation about migration (in this volume). The last two
years, however, have shown us that the issue has not abated.
In fact, with COVID-19 disinformation, the massive challenges
concerning balanced and accurate accounts of migrants’contributions have only become worse. So, here it is again,
repeated in this volume, to remind us of the importance of the
topic and so additional readers can draw upon its contents.

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301

REFLECTIONS ON MIGRANTS’ CONTRIBUTIONSIN AN ERA OF INCREASING DISRUPTION AND
DISINFORMATION1Introduction
A glance through previous World Migration Reports, and other policy and scientific publications on internationalmigration, shows that at least two observations have been prevalent over time: i) recognition that migration,
particularly immigration, has emerged as a prominent international and national policy issue; and ii) that the public
discourse on migration has increasingly become polarized with the space for balanced, rigorous, and evidence-based
analyses having diminished over time.2 While the nature of the public discourse has changed over time, there is
widespread recognition that the “toxicity” of the migration debate has further intensified over the last few years,
with the politics of fear and division increasingly framing discussions.3 Disruption and disinformation are increasingly
being deployed as part of tactical pursuits of power, with negative impacts on public, political and social media
discourse, on societal values, and on public policy issues such as migration, displacement and migrants (including
refugees).4
In the face of often negatively skewed discussions on migration and migrants, one can lose sight of the fact thathuman endeavours to improve peace and prosperity in modern times that are underpinned by migration havebeen on the whole successful, and in specific key areas very successful (such as the eradication or control of
specific, deadly diseases and the dramatic decline in infant mortality following the efforts of Nations under the
2000–2015 Millennium Development Goals).5 Migrants provide a source of dynamism globally, and areoverrepresented in innovation and patents, arts and sciences awards, start-ups and successful companies. Suchhistorical and contemporary contributions have become increasingly overlooked or ignored in recent discussions
on international migration, with many contributions being “normalized” over time but nevertheless evident (at times
conspicuously so).
It is also easy to lose sight of the fact that international migration remains a relatively uncommon phenomenon,
with a mere 3.5 per cent of the world’s population being international migrants (see Chapter 2 of this report for
details). Notwithstanding this small proportion, the total number of international migrants has increased in recent
decades to reach as high as 272 million, or close to the national population of Indonesia (269 million).6 What wecurrently know is that mobility, as opposed to migration, is becoming much more prevalent, making some argue
that now is the time to rethink how we conceptualize and discuss these issues.7

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Marie McAuliffe, Head, Migration Policy Research Division, IOM; Adrian Kitimbo, Research Officer, Migration Policy Research Division,
IOM and Binod Khadria, Professor, Jawaharlal Nehru University.
GCIM, 2005; Martin, Larkin and Nathanson, 2000; McAuliffe and Ruhs, 2017.
Fisher, 2017; Kaufmann, 2017; Zappettini and Krzyzanowski, 2019.
Morgan, 2018.
Mathers et al., 2018.
UN DESA, 2019.
Deutschmann and Recchi, 2019; Skeldon, 2018. See also the discussion on mobility in Chapter 1.

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Reflections on migrants’ contributions in an era of increasing disruption and disinformation

In this context, revisiting the many ways in which migrants have contributed – at the transnational, national andlocal levels – is important in presenting a balanced discussion on migration. This is not to suggest that internationalmigration and displacement do not pose challenges for communities in origin, transit and destination countries(as well as migrants) – many other chapters in this report are focused on such challenges. However, in writing
this chapter, we acknowledge that the many ways in which migrants contribute to societies are currently being
overlooked, downplayed or taken for granted, and it is the purpose of this chapter to bring these contributionsof migrants to the forefront.
The next section describes key concepts related to contributions, providing an analytical framework for this chapter
in the context of a rich body of academic and policy work on the topic. We then go on to describe and analyse
migrants’ contributions globally, with reference to sociocultural, civic–political and economic aspects. The chapter
then discusses emerging impediments to the recognition of migrants’ contributions globally, before outlining theimplications for policy deliberations and for further research.

What are “contributions”?
To contribute means to give something – money, time, ideas, labour, material goods – in order to achieve somethingwith other people.8 Outside of personal relationships, such as those with family and friends, and in the context ofsociology and social change theory, “contributions” are part of broader interactions and engagement with individuals,
groups and institutions in society. In other words, contributions occur as part of broader structural settings andsocial processes that support and shape societies. They can be broadly categorized as being in sociocultural, civic–
political or economic domains (see text box for definitions).

Sociocultural relates to different groups of people in society and their habits, traditions and beliefs.
Civic–political relates to participation in civic duties in the context of accepted authority of the State.
Economic relates to aspects concerned with trade, industry or money.
Sources: Cambridge Dictionary, 2019; Almond and Verba, 1963.

As the salience of migration has risen in public policy and research spheres, there has been a new and greater focus
on migrants per se – as distinct subpopulations within larger national populations, with reference to the structural
settings they encounter, especially in the destination countries.9 The way in which people enter, stay and settle ina new country occupies the time of an increasing number of researchers, policymakers and those in the media:10
the first focusing on understanding the demographic, geographic, economic, legal/policy and other factors;11 the

8
9
10
11

Cambridge Dictionary, 2019.
Dennison and Drazanova, 2018.
Chapter 4 quantifies the increase in research output; Chapter 11 discusses global migration governance.
See, for example, writings on cumulative causation (Massey, 1990), neoclassical economics (Todaro, 1989), world system theory(Wallerstein, 1974; Portes and Walton, 1981), new economics of labour migration (Stark and Bloom, 1985) and social network theory(Boyd, 1989).

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second on how best to meet policy objectives (however defined); and the third scrutinizing and commenting on
both. Research continues to explore the dynamic relationships that exist between migrants (including potential
migrants) and migration processes and related factors. We know from existing evidence and analysis, for example,
that the contributions migrants are able to make in destination as well as origin settings do partly depend on legal–
policy frameworks, such as those impacting the ability of both regular and irregular migrants to stay, participate
in civic activities, work lawfully and send remittances, as well as to return home (see Chapter 6 of this report).12
Contributions are also related to demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, with those who choose tomigrate having higher skills, education and opportunity, ultimately also reflecting a greater likelihood of contributing
in origin and destination countries in a variety of ways.13
Consistent with migration research more generally (see Chapter 4 of this report), there is recognition that muchof the analysis on migrants has been undertaken from a destination country perspective,14 with some arguing thatthe most significant immigration country in the world – the United States – has disproportionately influenced thestudy of migrants globally.15 With this in mind, this chapter attempts to reflect broader experiences of internationalmigrants’ contributions by incorporating recent research and analysis focusing on destination and origin.16 In scoping
and presenting the chapter in this way, we acknowledge that we are not seeking to summarize all existing literature,
nor are we suggesting that the findings highlighted in the chapter are representative. What we do recognize,
however, is the importance of encapsulating a reasonable geographic and thematic diversity of research and analysis
on the topic in what, after all, would make a migration report truly a World Migration Report.
Importantly, this chapter does not assess the overall impacts of migration in these settings. Studies on the impactsof migration are numerous and well documented (see examples in the text box below);17 they provide important
insights and analyses. This body of work is focused mainly on economic impacts rather than sociocultural or civic–
political impacts, including because economic variables are to a greater extent standardized, thereby supporting
comparative analysis. Some examples of recent publications on the economic impacts of migration, including some
empirical estimates, are included in the text box below.

12
13
14
15
16
17

Baldwin-Edwards, 2008; Kanko and Teller, 2014; Shah, 2009.
Goldin, 2018; Hunt, 2010.
Carling, 2015; Castles, 2010; McAuliffe and Laczko, 2016; Morawska, 2008.
FitzGerald, 2014.
While this chapter focuses on international migration, we acknowledge that it may also be relevant to internal migration in somecountries. See Weiner (1978) for examples of disruptions and disinformation leading to conflict and discrimination faced by inter-Statemigrants within India.
See also the World Migration Report 2005 (IOM, 2005).

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Reflections on migrants’ contributions in an era of increasing disruption and disinformation

Assessing the economic impacts of migration
Estimating overall economic impacts of migration is a topic of intense debate in political and policy circles.
Some recent publications on the topic include:• Exceptional People: How Migration Shaped Our World and Will Define Our Future, by Goldin, Cameronand Balarajan, shows that there is broad consensus among economists that, for destination countries,
immigration is a catalyst for economic growth at an aggregate level and produces net economic benefits.
However, the authors also acknowledge that there are ongoing debates on how to measure these effects.a• The McKinsey Global Institute’s report, People on the Move: Global Migration’s Impact and Opportunity,
echoes these findings, showing that migrants contributed over 9 per cent, or USD 6.7 trillion, to global
gross domestic product (GDP) in 2015.b• International Migration: Recent Trends, Economic Impacts, and Policy Implications, by the International Monetary
Fund, concludes that the economic impacts of migration vary across countries, and that, while migration
brings challenges, it also confers benefits to origin and destination countries.c• Migration and the Economy: Economic Realities, Social Impacts and Political Choices, by Goldin et al., affirmsthat immigration impacts positively on economic growth, and that this happens in a number of ways: many
migrants are comparatively younger than local populations and thus have a significant positive impact on
both GDP per capita and overall (aggregate) GDP; migration enhances output per worker by increasing
human capital; and migration bolsters total factor productivity as well as innovation. The report finds that,
had immigration to the United Kingdom and Germany ceased in 1990, both countries’ real GDP in 2014
would have been lower by GBP 175 billion and GBP 155 billion, respectively.d• The impacts on labour markets, including on wages, vary widely, are often negligible and are largely driven
by how complementary migrants’ skills are to those of local workers;e these may be reversible in the longer
run, as economies adjust to immigration, as Ruhs argues in The Price of Rights: Regulating International Labor
Migration.f• The Economic and Fiscal Effects of Granting Refugees Formal Labor Market Access, by Clemens, Huang andGraham, suggests that most evidence shows that the average effect of refugee inflows is on labour markets
for both developed and developing countries is small or null.g
a
b
c
d
e
f
g

Goldin, Cameron and Balarajan, 2011.
McKinsey Global Institute, 2016.
IMF, 2015.
Goldin et al., 2018.
Ibid.
Ruhs, 2013.
Clemens, Huang and Graham, 2018.

Please click on this link to access the full chapter andreferences: https://publications.iom.int/books/worldmigration-report-2020-chapter-5.

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Appendices
Chapter 1
Appendix A. The International Organization for Migration: 70th anniversary
The year 2021 marks the 70th anniversary of IOM, which was established as a committee to work on resettling
people displaced by the Second World War. After more than 65 years of operations, in 2016 IOM formally enteredinto the United Nations system as a related organization.
KEY DATES IN IOM’S HISTORY

I C M

C I M

1980

2016

2021

ICEM becomes theIntergovernmental Committee
for Migration (ICM) during the
Indochinese refugee crisis

IOM joins the United Nations
as a Related Organization

ICM becomes the International
Organization for Migration
as the signs of globalization
become apparent

IOM and its Director Generalbecome the coordinator of
the United Nations Networkon Migration following the
adoption of the Global
Compact for Safe, Orderly andRegular Migration

CIME

ICEM

PICMME becomes theIntergovernmental Committee
for European Migration (ICEM)

ICEM

1951

Founded as the Provisional
Intergovernmental Commitee for
the Movement of Migrants from
Europe (PICMME) following theSecond World War

CIME

1952

1989

2018

IOM turns 70

Since 2016, IOM has further confirmed its status as the leading agency on migration globally, a status it has
progressively earned over its 70 years of existence. The different names of the Organization since its inception are
a testament to its ability to respond to major geopolitical events and disasters, and to the recognition of migration
as a global issue. Upholding the principle that humane and orderly migration benefits migrants and societies, IOM’s
activities in supporting migrants, communities and diverse stakeholders now extend throughout the migration cycle
and to central cross-cutting issues, such as sustainable development, health, and environment and climate change.
As IOM’s work and role has grown, so too has the number of its Member States, as shown in the figure below.

+10 admissions since 1961
Cyprus, Dominican Republic,
El Salvador, Honduras, Malta,aNicaragua, Peru, Portugal,
Uruguay, Venezuela (Bolivarian
Republic of)b

+8 admissions since 1954
Bolivia (Plurinational State of),
Ecuador, New Zealand,a Panama,
Rhodesia and Nyasaland,aSouth Africa,a Spain,aUnited Kingdoma

Afghanistan, Antigua andBarbuda, Bahamas, Belarus,
Bosnia and Herzegovina,
Botswana, Brazil,b Burundi,
Cambodia, Cameroon,
Central African Republic,
Chad, China, Comoros,
Cook Islands, Cuba, Djibouti,
Dominica, Eritrea, Estonia,
Eswatini, Ethiopia, Fiji, Gabon,
Ghana, Grenada, Guyana, Holy
See, Iceland, India, Ireland,
Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Kiribati,
Lao People’s Democratic
Republic, Lesotho, Libya, Malawi,
Maldives, Malta,b Marshall Islands,
Mauritania, Mauritius, Mexico,
Micronesia (Federated States of),Mongolia, Montenegro,
Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia,
Nauru, Nepal, New Zealand,bNiger, Nigeria, North Macedonia,
Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Republic of Moldova,
Russian Federation, Rwanda,
Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia,
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines,
Sao Tome and Principe, Samoa,
Seychelles, Solomon Islands,
Somalia, South Sudan, Spain,bSuriname, Timor-Leste, Togo,
Tonga, Trinidad and Tobago,
Turkey, Turkmenistan, Tuvalu,
Uzbekistan, Vanuatu, Viet Nam,
Zimbabwe+83 admissions since 2001

Member States

174

70th anniversary in 2021

This map is for illustration purposes only. The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the International
Organization for Migration.

*

Refers to States that signed the Resolution adopted on 5 December 1951 that created the Provisional Intergovernmental Committee for the Movement of Migrants from Europe (PICMME),
namely: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Plurinational State of Bolivia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Switzerland, Turkey and the United States ofAmerica. The membership process formally started after the prolongation of PICMME’s mandate as the Intergovernmental Committee for European Migration (ICEM) in 1952.
** Refers to States that initially adhered to the Organization prior to the entry into force of ICEM’s Constitution on 30 April 1954. While Uruguay was initially considered as a member, it only
formally became so upon ratification of the Organization’s Constitution in 1965.
a States that subsequently withdrew from the Organization.
b States that were readmitted as members of the Organization.

Notes: The figure uses the official names of countries as at 16 September 2021, with the exception of the Federation of Rhodesia and Nyasaland, which was ended in 1963.

Argentina, Australia,a Austria,
Belgium, Brazil,a Canada,a Chile,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Denmark,France,a Germany, Greece, Israel,
Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands,
Norway, Paraguay, Sweden,aSwitzerland, United States ofAmerica, Uruguay, Venezuela(Bolivarian Republic of)a

24 Member States in 1954**

Albania, Algeria, Angola,
Armenia, Australia,b Azerbaijan,
Bangladesh, Belize, Benin,
Bulgaria, Burkina Faso,
Cabo Verde, Canada,b Congo,
Côte d’Ivoire, Croatia, Czechia,
Democratic Republic of theCongo, Egypt, Finland, France,bGambia, Georgia,
Guatemala, Guinea,
Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Hungary,
Iran (Islamic Republic of), Japan,
Jordan, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia,
Liberia, Lithuania, Madagascar,
Mali, Morocco, Pakistan,Philippines, Poland,
Republic of Korea, Romania,
Senegal, Serbia, Sierra Leone,
Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa,b
Sri Lanka, Sudan, Sweden,bTajikistan, Thailand, Tunisia,
Uganda, Ukraine,
United Kingdom,bUnited Republic of Tanzania,
Yemen, Zambia+62 admissions since 1981

Member States

91

30
Member States

29
Member States

50th anniversary in 2001

30th anniversary in 1981

16

10th anniversary in 1961

Founding States*

inception in 1951

The Organization’s membership at its...
308
AppendicesWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

309

Since 2016, four major developments have consolidated IOM as the leading global organization on migration.
2018 – IOM and its Director General become the coordinator of the United Nations Network on Migration
After supporting States throughout the development process of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular
Migration, IOM was appointed as the coordinator of the United Nations Network on Migration (UNNM) establishedin 2018 to assist States in implementing the Global Compact for Migration.1 IOM’s Director General serves inthis capacity, which entails the primary responsibility for fostering collaborations among UNNM members on thefunctioning of the network and action priorities; ensuring the smooth functioning of the network, including by
maintaining an effective secretariat hosted in IOM; facilitating regular interactions between the executive committee’s
principals; briefing the United Nations system and other stakeholders on new developments and achievements; andfundraising for UNNM with the support of the executive committee.2
2019 – IOM adopts its Strategic Vision 2019–2023
IOM Strategic Vision was adopted in recognition that IOM’s status as the global leader on migration and ongoing
emerging challenges in the field of migration requires a strategic approach and planning for the Organization.3 The
Strategic Vision represents IOM’s reflection on its needs and priorities, based on landscape assessment of what thenext decade will bring. It also sets the direction for the development of the Organization during a five-year period,
based on three main pillars and a series of strategic priorities.
2020 onwards – IOM supports communities in responding to the COVID-19 pandemic
IOM quickly demonstrated its agility in response to the spread of COVID-19. In February 2020, IOM launched its
Strategic Preparedness and Response Plan COVID-19, subsequently updated to reflect the changing operational
realities and needs and appealing for a total of USD 618.9 million targeting 140 countries.4
In 2021, IOM adopted a new Strategic Response and Recovery Plan COVID-19 for the year 2021, initially appealing
for USD 822,868,000 targeting 141 countries.5 While building on the 2020 plan, the 2021 plan focuses on recovery
based on four strategic objectives:
1.
2.
3.
4.

Ensure continuation of services, mitigate risks and protect people;
Scale up public health measures and strengthen mobility-sensitive health systems;
Mitigate socioeconomic impacts of COVID-19, restart human mobility and empower societies; andInform response and recovery efforts and strengthen evidence-based decision-making.

1
2
3
4
5

See www.iom.int/gcm-development-process and https://migrationnetwork.un.org/.
See https://migrationnetwork.un.org/coordinator.
See www.iom.int/strategy.
IOM, 2020b.
IOM, 2021c.

310

Appendices

IOM’s responses to the COVID-19 pandemic: 2020 highlights
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

Over 37 million beneficiaries reached for risk communication and community engagement efforts
relating to COVID-19;
Over 107,000 individuals receiving some return-related assistance, with over 2,600 stranded migrants
receiving direct support for safe and dignified return;Over 21.8 million non-food item supplies procured and distributed globally;
More than 19 million people reached with critical water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) supplies globally,
including +5 million in camps and/or camp-like settings;
More than 2 million people in camps and camp-like settings benefiting from COVID-19-related site
upgrades;Over 109,000 COVID-19 tests provided by IOM globally; andAround 239,000 individuals provided with livelihood support globally.

See IOM’s COVID-19 Preparedness and Response: Achievements Report 2020 (IOM, 2020c).

2021 – IOM appoints two new Deputy Directors General

António Vitorino
Director General

Ugochi Florence Daniels
Deputy Director General for Operations

Amy E. Pope
Deputy Director General for Management
and Reform

The appointment of two new Deputy Directors General, selected by Director General António Vitorino on 31 May
2021, constituted a major breakthrough in IOM’s senior management history. Since its inception in 1951, IOM has
been managed by one Director General supported by one Deputy Director General, with a total, over the years,of nine Deputy Directors General. As proposed by the IOM Director General, IOM Member States agreed it wastime to strengthen IOM’s senior leadership structure through the establishment of two Deputy Director General
positions, one focusing on operations and the other on management and reform.6
The appointments of Ms Ugochi Florence Daniels as Deputy Director General for Operations and of Ms Amy
E. Pope as Deputy Director General for Management and Reform have set a new strategic direction for theOrganization, starting with IOM’s Headquarters, which is currently being restructured.767

See https://governingbodies.iom.int/system/files/en/council/4h_Special/C-Sp-4-RES-1385%20-%20Strengthening%20the%20senior%20
leadership%20structure%20of%20the%20Organization.pdf.
See www.iom.int/news/iom-announces-appointment-new-deputy-directors-general.

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311

Appendix B. Highlighting the work of IOM’s regional offices during the Organization’s 70th
anniversary8
AFRICA9
Regional Office for East and Horn of Africa
IOM has been operational in the East and Horn of Africa (EHoA) region since 1985 and its Kenya office was
the first in Africa. The IOM Regional Office in Nairobi coordinates IOM activities in 10 countries in the region.10
IOM’s Ethiopia Office doubles as a Special Liaison Office to the African Union and the United Nations Economic
Commission for Africa, while IOM’s African Capacity-Building Centre is located in the United Republic of Tanzania.
IOM works closely with the East African Community (EAC) and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development(IGAD). It has Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs) with both institutions that facilitate the Regional Office’s
liaison and coordination role to enhance regional cooperation and dialogue on migration. This relationship hasenabled IOM to translate political decisions into practical programmatic and policy responses at the regional andnational levels. The region hosts several Inter-State Consultation Mechanisms on migration (ISCMs),11 to which IOM
has an observer status and either provides or supports the secretariats.
Key facts and figures for EHoA Regional Office Nairobi, 2020

8
9
10
11

12

Number of migrants
assisted

1 479 370

Number of IOM projects

246 active IOM projects by management location and 545 projects byimplementation location

Number of Member Statesin the region

10

Number of offices

101

Number of staff

5 68612

Number of nationalities
represented among staff

28

Please refer to regional office websites (as provided) for further details, including on regional projects, regional publications and regional
data. Please note that data provided in this appendix were from regional offices and subject to their verification processes, not thoseof the report research team.
IOM regions do not reflect United Nations geographic regions and subregions. See Chapter 3, Appendix A for United Nations regional
compositions.
Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea (pending opening), Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda and the United Republic of
Tanzania.
Migration Dialogue for IGAD Region (MID-IGAD); African Union–Horn of Africa Initiative on Human Trafficking and Migrant
Smuggling (AU–HoAI); the African, Caribbean and Pacific Group of States–European Union Dialogue on Migration (ACP–EU MD);
the Pan-African Forum on Migration (PAFOM); and the Regional Ministerial Forum on Migration for East and Horn of Africa (RMFM),
the Migration Dialogue for COMESA (MIDCOM), the Arab Regional Consultative Process on Migration, MID-IGAD, MIDCOM and
PAFOM.
Please note that this includes staff, consultants, interns, United Nations Volunteers, etc.

312

Appendices

Key areas of work

Emergency and humanitarian responses, refugee resettlement and healthassessments; migration, environment and climate change; immigration and bordermanagement; migration and health; labour migration; migration and development;
diaspora engagement; migrant protection and assistance; counter-trafficking;return and reintegration; and migration governance, policy, data and research.

Key publications

•
•
•
•

•

A Region on the Move report series illustrates the main humanitarian situations
and mixed migration flows along the major migration corridors.13
Eastern Route Research series investigates migration drivers, the decisionmaking process and migration experiences.14
Gendered Patterns of Women and Girls’ Migration Along the Eastern Corridor(December 2020).15
Impact Study: Methodological Report. The Methodological Report to Evaluate the
Impact of the EU–IOM Joint Initiative for Migrant Protection and Reintegration in
the Horn of Africa Region.16
Life Amidst a Pandemic: Hunger, Migration and Displacement in the East and Hornof Africa (June 2021) is a joint IOM and World Food Programme publication
analysing how COVID-19 has affected food security, displacement, migrationand protection outcomes in the region.17

Regional webpage

https://ronairobi.iom.int/

Regional Strategy

East and Horn of Africa Regional Strategy 2020–2024.18

Key developments in EHoA region since IOM joined the United Nations system
Regional integration: IOM is working with Member States and Regional Economic Communities (RECs) to facilitate
mobility and support regional integration, including through programmatic technical guidance.
(a) Crises increasingly protracted, creating fragility and potential ruptures: In the past 12 months the
progress towards peace has been challenged. Most countries in the region continue to be affected by disasters
induced by natural hazards, climate change and environmental degradation, as well as desert locust invasion
that has affected food security. Accordingly, the East and Horn of Africa region hosted an estimated 6.5 million
internally displaced persons (IDPs) and 3.6 million refugees and asylum seekers at the end of 2020.
(b) Transnational organized crime increasingly entrenched: The greater Horn of Africa is an easy target fororganized transnational criminal networks involved in human smuggling, trafficking, illicit money transfers andviolent extremism, among other activities. In response to this, IOM is actively supporting Member States in thecoordination of real-time information exchanges and intelligence sharing through the promotion and supportof the Migration Information and Data Analysis System (MIDAS), an entry and exit system that captures,cross-checks, verifies and stores traveller data, and which contributes to addressing both human trafficking andmigrant smuggling in the East and Horn of Africa.
13
14
15
16
17
18

IOM, 2021d.
IOM, 2020d.
IOM, 2020e.
IOM, 2020f.
IOM, 2021e.
IOM, 2020g.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

(c) Persistent vulnerability of migrants in irregularsituations: Cross-regional socioeconomic inequalities
motivate people to migrate irregularly out of
the region, mainly looking for better economic
opportunities. In response to this, IOM provides
vital assistance to vulnerable and stranded migrants
through protection services and lifesaving assistancealong the migration routes in the Horn of Africa,
with particular attention to victims of trafficking,minors and other migrants in vulnerable situations. In
its programming, IOM uses a route‑based approach,involving relevant governments and partnerorganizations in the design and implementation ofactivities.
(d) The continuous re-emergence of outbreaks,
epidemics, pandemics, zoonotic diseases
and other public health threats: The region ischaracterized by countries with fragile and inadequate
health systems, including the human mobility aspectsof the public health agenda. The COVID-19 pandemic
has further exposed these challenges, leading to the
exclusion of migrants from national response plans,leaving them stranded and unable to access testingand essential medical care, or being forcibly returned.
In response to this, IOM provides direct assistanceto migrants and other vulnerable groups on themove and works closely with other United Nations
agencies to strengthen Member States’ capacities toaddress human mobility during outbreaks.

313

Highlights: IOM’s response to COVID-19
in EHoA Regional Office Nairobi, 2020
9 countries where IOM implemented COVID19-related operations.
USD 21.2 million spent on COVID-19
activities.
7,023,392 beneficiaries reached for risk
communication and community engagement
efforts related to COVID-19.
6,917 individuals received some return-related
assistance.
472,367 people reached with critical water,
sanitation and hygiene (WASH) supplies.
53,067 COVID-19 tests supported.
8,189 provided with livelihood support.
Over 1.1 million individuals in camps or camplike settings benefited from COVID-19-relatedsite upgrades.
3 countries, Ethiopia, Kenya and Djibouti, wereassisted with quarantine management.

In December 2020, IOM EHoA together with ministers of all Member States of the region and the heads of theIntergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and the East African Community (EAC) launched its regional
strategy 2020–2024.
In April 2020, IOM EHoA launched its 2020 COVID-19 regional strategic response appeal with a funding need of
USD 73.9 million, of which it managed to secure nearly 70 per cent.
Labor migration: The Regional Ministerial Forum on Migration for East and Horn of Africa (RMFM) on “Harmonizing
Labour Migration Policies in East and Horn of Africa – A United Approach on Safe, Regular and Humane Labour
Migration” was launched during a high-level ministerial conference in Nairobi in January 2021. The RMFM brought
together 11 EHoA countries.19•

Migration, Environment and Climate Change (MECC): The creation and growth of the Regional MECC Division
was achieved through the appointment of a regional thematic specialist in 2018. The MECC portfolio hassince grown significantly, with expanded regional and national networks (governments, United Nations and19

Kenya, Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Somalia, South Sudan, the Sudan, Rwanda, Uganda and the United Republic of Tanzania.

314

Appendicesothers), State-level projects and a regional, multi-agency joint Multi-Partner Trust Fund (MPTF) Migration funded
programme.
•

Regional Data Hub (RDH) for East and Horn of Africa: Established in early 2018, the RDH supports evidencebased, strategic and policy-level discussion on migration through a combination of initiatives. RDH’s publishedpapers have contributed significantly to IOM’s capacity to produce knowledge drawn from its rich operational
experience.

•

Implementation of the EU–IOM Joint Initiative for Migrant Protection and Reintegration in the Khartoum
Process Countries in the Horn of Africa: This flagship Assisted Voluntary Return and Reintegration (AVRR)
and capacity-building programme is funded by the European Union Trust Fund. Under the programme, IOM’s
Integrated Approach to Reintegration was rolled out in the Horn of Africa, providing not only economic, butalso social and psychosocial reintegration assistance to over 8,500 returnees,20 as well as host community
members, in close coordination with government counterparts and 67 local State and non-State reintegration
partners.

•

Border management: IOM has undertaken various interventions focused on supporting the East and Hornof Africa region’s integration within the domain of digitized border management information systems. This
specifically refers to the Migration Information Data Analysis System (MIDAS) for border and data management
and through partnership with Interpol with the I-24/7 alert system, which addresses the reduction of themobility of known and suspected terrorists.

•

Health programming has been primarily geared towards responding to emergencies and protracted crises, thus
positioning IOM among the front-line health agencies running primary health-care facilities in different settings
with outreach interventions, risk communication and community engagement, as well as assisting Member Statesin enhancing their International Health Regulations capacity at points of entry. The Migration Health Division(MHD) is currently working to move from emergency services to health system development, with a vision to
include migrants within national health plans, including preparedness, response and universal health coverage.

Regional Office for West and Central Africa
The IOM Regional Office for West and Central Africa (WCA) was established in 1998 in Dakar, Senegal, andcovers 23 countries.21 Since its establishment, the Regional Office for WCA has been working with governments
and other stakeholders in the West and Central Africa region in the field of migration to address the challenges andopportunities presented by dynamic migratory patterns and trends. IOM’s activities have been focused on building
links between migration and development; counter-trafficking activities; assisted voluntary return and reintegration
support for migrants returning to the region; pursuing robust collective outcomes across the humanitarian–development–peace nexus; building community resilience; improving access to critical health services; supporting
the management of communicable diseases; and strengthening capacities in labour migration management andmigration policy development.

20
21

The total as of 31 December 2020.
Benin, Burkina Faso, Cabo Verde, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, the Congo, Côte d’Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, theGambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Mauritania, the Niger, Nigeria, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone andTogo.

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315

Key facts and figures for the Regional Office for West and Central Africa, 2020
Number of migrants
assisted

Reintegration cases in 2020: 22 210

Number of IOM projects

139

Number of Member Statesin the region

22 (from 23 countries covered)

Number of offices

19 country offices and 44 sub-offices

Number of staff

2 004

Number of nationalities
represented among staff

74 (among a total of 2 018 staff)

Key areas of work

Migrant assistance and protection; policy support; border management;
emergencies; labour migration and human development; migration and health; andmigration, environment and climate change.

Key publications

•
•

•
•
•

22
23
24
25
26
27

West And Central Africa – A Region on the Move: Mobility Trends in West andCentral Africa ( January – December 2020).22
An Exploratory Study on Labour Recruitment and Migrant Worker Protection
Mechanisms in West Africa: The Case of Côte d’Ivoire, the Gambia, Ghana, Nigeria
and Senegal.23
Promoting Safe Migration in 2020 West and Central Africa.24
Smuggling of Migrants on the Central Mediterranean Route: Issues, challenges andperspectives.25
Intégration du Lien entre Migration, Environnement et Changement Climatiquedans la Planification Locale: Cas des communes de Mané et de Bokin dans lesrégions du Centre-Nord et du Nord du Burkina Faso.26

Regional webpage

https://rodakar.iom.int

Regional Strategy

West and Central Africa Regional Strategy 2020–2024.27

IOM, 2021f.
IOM, 2020h.
IOM, n.d.b.
IOM, 2021g.
IOM, 2020i.
IOM, 2020j.

316

Appendices

Key developments in the IOM West and Central Africa region since IOM joined the United Nations system
The West and Central Africa region exhibits varied migration patterns and flows driven by a multitude ofinterconnected drivers. Intraregional migration is a predominant characteristic across the region, while irregularmigration remains prevalent, and instability and conflict continue to precipitate mass displacements within countries
and across borders. At the same time, rapid population growth, environmental change, natural resource depletion
and an increase in the frequency and intensity of disasters, aggravated by climate change, are accelerating urbanizationand spurring migration. The COVID-19 pandemic has provided further evidence of the urgency to enhance crossborder cooperation. Considering this, IOM Regional Office for WCA and the 19 country offices in the region
have supported migrants, governments and other stakeholders to work through several programmes towards a
migration framework that benefits all.
Knowing that migration and mobility are an importantfactor in the spread or control of diseases and pandemics,
IOM has been actively engaged in preparedness
and response to epidemic-prone diseases, including
COVID-19, by using its expertise from the strong
response to the 2014–2016 Ebola virus disease outbreakin West Africa. During crises, IOM has the lead in the
WHO epidemic response pillar that focuses on pointsof entry. Further, the Regional Office raised awarenesson COVID-19. From March 2020 to March 2021, IOM
helped with COVID-19 prevention efforts in the region
by conducting 5,133 on-the-ground activities and engaging
862,460 people in more than 1,728 communities. In
addition, through 751 television airings and 7,452 radio
broadcasts, IOM reached a potential audience of morethan 19 million people with information on COVID-19.

Highlights: IOM’s response to COVID-19
in West and Central Africa, 202012 countries where IOM implemented
COVID-19-related operations.
USD 14.27 million spent on COVID-19
activities.
862,460 beneficiaries reached for risk
communication and community engagement
efforts relating to COVID-19.
3,364 individuals receiving some returnrelated assistance.
23,535 people reached with critical WASH
supplies, including masks.

COVID-19 preventive measures have also highlighted
the importance of border management. Porous borders,
insecurity and governance deficits within several countries continue to present challenges in ensuring safe and orderly
migration. IOM has been engaging strongly in single- and multi-country responses to strengthen the presence andcapacities of States in border management, especially through the integrated border management approach, toensure cohesive and rights-based migration governance and management. The Immigration and Border Management
portfolio has expanded during the last five years to an overall budget of USD 70 million covering 18 countries inWest and Central Africa.
As the protracted crises in the Lake Chad Basin and in the Central African Republic persist and new crises emerge
in the Sahel, impacting regional stability in West and Central Africa, IOM has amplified its capacity to respond tothe humanitarian needs of the increasing numbers of internally displaced persons, while augmenting its work on
prevention, recovery and peacebuilding to support Member States as they cope with the impact of conflict on theircommunities. In line with its commitment during the World Humanitarian Forum in 2016, IOM’s Emergencies andOperations portfolio in West and Central Africa spans the humanitarian–development–peace nexus to include over
135 projects totalling over USD 325.5 million ongoing simultaneously (as of mid-July 2021) to address root causes
and effects of conflict throughout the region. IOM’s emergency and post-crisis efforts in WCA include sectoral

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317

interventions, such as shelter and non-food Items (NFI); camp management and camp coordination (CCCM); water,
sanitation and hygiene (WASH) provision; mental health and psychosocial support (MHPSS); data collection throughits well-established Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM), which includes tools contributing to the creation of anevidence base on displacement figures; IDP needs; sudden emergency event tracking; early warning systems forconflict prevention, including issues related to transhumance mobility and stability in contexts poised for recovery;
and prevention, community stabilization, peacebuilding and post-crisis recovery for durable solutions.
An important achievement for the governance and management of migration was the adoption of the Global
Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration, urging for comprehensive legislative and administrative frameworks
covering migration. IOM has been supporting Member States in West and Central Africa in adopting comprehensive
migration policies, such as Guinea, Senegal, Sierra Leone, the Gambia and Côte d’Ivoire, and in mainstreaming
migration in other relevant policy sectors (development, environment, urban policies, etc.) to reduce adverse
effects and maximize positive impacts. This is also visible with regard to international environmental migration.
While the predominance of internal environmental human mobility should not be overlooked, the major step of
having agreed to a set of principles and objectives in the Global Compact for Migration stimulated knowledge
production and policy dialogue initiatives on human mobility in the context of climate change and environmental
degradation, especially in West Africa. The activation of the thematic working group of the Migration Dialogue
for West Africa (MIDWA) on the effects of climate change, land degradation, desertification and environment on
migration represents one such promising initiative.
The need to promote safe and informed migration and to protect and assist migrants en route or stranded ismore important than ever, as the rates of deaths, exploitation and abuse recorded on the Central Mediterranean
migration route are at an all-time high. To improve migrant protection and voluntary return and reintegration along
the Central Mediterranean route in Africa, the European Union – through the Emergency Trust Fund for Africa(EUTF) and with contributions from Germany (EUR 48 million) and Italy (EUR 22 million) – in 2016 launched with
IOM the Joint Initiative (JI) for Migrant Protection and Reintegration in Africa to strengthen migration governanceand respond to the urgent need to protect and save the lives of migrants along the Central Mediterranean
migration route. In Central and West Africa, the JI is implemented in 13 countries (Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Chad,
Côte d’Ivoire, the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Mauritania, the Niger, Nigeria and Senegal) through14 specific actions. It aims to ensure that the migration process is safer, more informed and better governed forboth migrants and their home communities and is mobilizing media, public and political support for migrants in theregion to promote their protection and assistance.
Last but not least, the Regional Office has contributed to rewrite the narrative on migration in the region throughits communications and visibility activities, enhancing public understanding and knowledge of the current migration
situation. Highlights include the Migrants as Messengers campaign, working with returnee migrants on peer-to-peer
communication;28 WAKA Well (IOM X West Africa), which applies a communication for development (C4D)
approach to empower young people in making informed migration-related decisions;29 and CinemArena’s mobile
cinema touring across the region.

28
29

IOM, n.d.c.
WAKA Well, n.d.

318

Appendices

Regional Office for Southern Africa
The IOM Regional Office for Southern Africa, based in Pretoria, covers 15 countries in the Southern African
region. IOM operates through 5,865 staff members located in 24 offices across the region. The Regional Officeprovides technical backstopping and programme support to IOM country offices in the Southern African region.
The strategic location of the Regional Office in one of the largest diplomatic capitals in the world gives it access toa wide number of partners. All countries in the Southern African region are also IOM Member States. This provides
a unique opportunity in terms of applying a comprehensive and systematic approach based on a holistic and timely
engagement with national governments that feeds into a solid regional partnership on migration. As the preferredpartner of States on migration-related issues, IOM has played an important role over the years by contributing tomigration governance and management efforts in the region. Key areas of focus include: (a) advancing migrants’ rights;(b) establishment of a regional policy dialogue on migration; (c) development of migrant-friendly policies; (d) facilitationof South–South labour mobility; (e) trade facilitation, human mobility and border management; (f) capacity-buildingof government and non-governmental actors on migration management; (g) prevention, preparedness response andrecovery in migration crises, as well as cross-border and internal humanitarian emergencies; and (h) reduction ofHIV, tuberculosis and other communicable diseases in migration-affected communities.
IOM has provided leadership on migration issues by coordinating efforts of various partners at the nationaland regional levels. As recognized in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and promoted in the IOM
Institutional Strategy on Migration and Sustainable Development, human mobility is inextricably linked with sustainable
development. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) – and their commitment to “leave no one behind” and to“reach the furthest behind” – will not be achieved without due consideration of migration. This includes considering
the impacts of income inequalities on human mobility dynamics and the ways in which migration and migrants
themselves can contribute to reducing inequalities.
Southern Africa is a region historically characterized by dynamic human mobility that contributes to the economies
of countries and the livelihoods of communities. Even today, the interwoven solidarity and common vision among
Southern African States continues to be the driving force towards regional integration and overall socioeconomic
development. In the coming four years, IOM will invest more strategically in the design and implementation of new,innovative and responsive policies and programmes to support Southern African governments in building capacities
for effective and rights-based management of migration that contributes to sustainable development outcomes andprotects the fundamental rights of migrants.
In addition to the well-established labour migration patterns within the region, major migration routes comeinto Southern Africa, predominantly constituted by mixed migration flows originating from the Horn of Africa
and the Great Lakes region. Addressing these complex movements, which cut across several countries andmultiple subregions, requires strong cross-regional partnerships, which IOM will strive to support through existing
frameworks for cooperation, including the various State-led consultative processes convened within the region
and with neighbouring regions. Some of the world’s most hazard-prone countries are situated in the region, withvulnerabilities to a range of hazards, such as droughts, floods, storms, epidemics, landslides, volcanic activity andwildfires, as well as conflict.

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Key facts and figures for the Regional Office for Southern Africa, 2020
Number of migrants
assisted

1 899 (1 469 under the AVRR project)

Number of IOM projects

1. Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights (SRHR) and HIV Knows No Borders30
2. Africa Regional Migration Programme (ARMP)31
3. Southern Africa Migration Management (SAMM) project

Number of Member Statesin the region

15

Number of offices

24

Number of staff

969

Number of nationalities
represented among staff

61

Regional webpage

https://ropretoria.iom.int/

Regional Strategy

Southern Africa Regional Strategy 2020–2024.32

Key developments in Regional Office Pretoria since IOM joined the United Nations system
Since the establishment of the United Nations Network on Migration (UNNM), regional and national structures
have been rolled out under the leadership of IOM. As a member of the United Nations Sustainable Development
Group (UNSDG), IOM has a clear responsibility to articulate its activities and mandate in relation to the 2030
Agenda, to report on its activities to support Member States in achieving the commitments therein and to contributeto regional discussions on migration and sustainable development. The Regional Office in Pretoria therefore
recognizes the need to leverage existing structures of the Regional United Nations Sustainable Development Group(R-UNSDG) to strengthen interagency cooperation on migration for more consolidated support to Member Statesin the subregion to ensure implementation of the Global Compact for Migration. The cross-regional dimensionof migration trends and patterns in Eastern and Southern Africa requires a holistic approach that looks at themost adequate support that the United Nations could provide to countries of origin, transit and destination in
the subregion within the framework of the 2030 Agenda and the Global Compact for Migration. It is with thisunderstanding that the Regional Network for Eastern and Southern Africa has been established as a common
platform, bringing together the IOM Regional Office for Southern Africa (Pretoria), the IOM Regional Office for
Eastern and Horn of Africa (Nairobi) and other United Nations agencies to support the implementation, follow-up
and review of the Global Compact for Migration in a holistic manner. As part of the United Nations system-wide
reprofiling exercise towards enhanced inter-agency collaboration, the Regional Network will serve as a forum tochampion migration as a key transboundary issue under the framework of the Regional Collaborative Platform
led by the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA). IOM will support the Member States in
the region in line with national and regional priorities, leveraging the potential of migration through a whole-ofgovernment approach to achieve sustainable development outcomes for all. It is a direct contribution to the Decadeof Action to fast-track progress towards the SDGs, bringing greater coherence and developmental impact to theOrganization’s activities and allowing for a connected approach in the way it designs and delivers its operations.
30
31
32

IOM, 2021h.
IOM, 2021i.
IOM, 2020k.

320

AppendicesInsecurity, lack of economic livelihood, drought and crop failure are some of the push factors that motivate migrants
to choose risky migratory routes in search of better opportunities in Southern Africa. Labour mobility remains
one of the dominant forms of migration in this region, despite sporadic incidents of xenophobia, discriminationand violence against migrants. As is the case in other parts of the world, the profound impact of migration on
the societies and institutions of receiving countries in Southern Africa cannot be overstated. The nexus between
population mobility and health remains a challenge for migrants, as well as for the communities in which they live.
The negative narrative about migration and migrants fuels adverse public perceptions of foreigners and, in turn,affects social cohesion. It is therefore important that migration governance policies and programmes consider thesensitivities around the issue to address them effectively. Additionally, the Southern African and Western Indian
Ocean regions are vulnerable to a range of hazards, as they are increasingly affected by climate change thatcauses more extreme weather events and increased frequency and intensity of disasters, leading to both chronicand sudden displacements of populations (including floods, disease outbreaks, storms and droughts, as well as
earthquakes, wildfires, landslides, extreme weather, volcanic activity and insect infestations), making the region ahost to over 6 million internally displaced persons.
IOM’s objectives in Southern Africa are to:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

Promote tapping into the mutually reinforcing links between migration and development for the benefit ofcountries of origin and destination, as well as migrants themselves (in line with SDGs 1, 10, 11 and 16).
Ensure that vulnerable migrants benefit from increased protection provided by State and non-State actors, while
supporting governments in addressing irregular migration (in line with SDGs 5, 8, 16 and 17).
Provide assisted voluntary return and reintegration services to migrants returning from various countries ofdestination, including those in Southern Africa (in line with SDGs 10 and 17).
Work towards well-managed labour migration that benefits migrant workers and employers, as well as thesustainable development of countries of origin and destination (in line with SDGs 1, 4, 5, 8 and 10).
Protect vulnerable migrants and communities at risk and ensure they are more resilient throughout all phasesof human-induced and natural crises (in line with SDGs 1, 2, 6, 9, 11, 13, 15, 16 and 17).
Build the capacity of vulnerable communities to demonstrate enhanced coping mechanisms and resilience toenvironment-related and climate-induced change (in line with SDGs 10, 11, 13 and 17).
Improve standards of physical, mental and social health and well-being of migrants and migration-affected
populations (in line with SDGs 1, 3, 5, 8, 10, 11, 16 and 17).
Strengthen migration management at borders across the region to facilitate safe, orderly and regular crossborder mobility (in line with SDGs 8, 9, 10 and 16).
Facilitate intraregional and interregional cooperation and coordination in migration governance among Member
States and RECs (in line with SDGs 10, 16 and 17).
Continue working on resettlement assistance to refugees as a positive element of the migration continuum
made possible through international solidarity and burden-sharing (in line with SDGs 1, 2, 3, 4 and 8).

The strategic priorities are:••••Resilience;Strengthening of early-warning systems;
Supporting durable and safe solutions for return and/or resettlement; andUnderstanding the drivers of migration.

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Regional Office for Middle East and North Africa
IOM started its operations in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region in 1991 in the aftermath of thefirst Gulf War. The first Mission with Regional Functions was established in Cairo in 1998 and since then it has
greatly evolved.
The Regional Office in Cairo provides support to IOM offices in the Middle East and North Africa throughtechnical advice, training and the formulation of strategies, processes, projects and programmes; it also promotes
and facilitates international dialogue, partnerships and coordinated migration policy development and programming
between States, international organizations, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and civil society.
Migration has long shaped the Middle East and North Africa, with many countries in the region simultaneously
representing points of origin, transit and destination. The number of international migrants (including registeredrefugees) residing in the MENA region reached 40.8 million in 2020. The region hosts over a quarter of all peopleinternally displaced by conflict and violence in the Syrian Arab Republic, Yemen and Iraq. In 2020, there were morethan 22.2 million new internal displacements. The MENA region is the world’s largest source region of refugees.
The region has been further impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic since early 2020. While the short-term impacts
are already being felt most acutely by vulnerable groups, the longer-term and socioeconomic, development-related
and humanitarian consequences are yet to be fully determined.
The region is host to several inter-State consultation mechanisms on migration (ISCMs), to which IOM is anobserver and either supports or provides the secretariats. These include the Arab Regional Consultative Process
on Migration and Refugees Affairs (ARCP); the Horn of Africa Initiative on Human Trafficking and Migrant Smuggling(Khartoum Process); the Euro–African Dialogue on Migration and Development (Rabat Process); and the Abu Dhabi
Dialogue, a Ministerial Consultation on Overseas Employment and Contractual Labour for Countries of Origin and
Destination in Asia.
The region features five Migration Resource and Response Mechanisms (MRRMs) in Libya, specifically in Bani
Walid, Qatroun, Sebha, Tripoli and Zwara. The main functions of the MRRMs are to offer a wide range of IOM
services and needs-based assistance to vulnerable migrants, including health and psychosocial support and needed
humanitarian items. In the Sudan, a Migrant Resource Centre (MRC) in Gedaref addresses migrants’ immediate
protection and assistance needs, as well as assisting them with access to information, while a Migration Resource
and Response Centre (MRRC) in Khartoum provides migrants with medical assistance, counselling and informationon the risks of irregular migration, and has established a programme for assisted voluntary return and reintegration
to countries of origin.
In addition, IOM operates seven Migration Health Assessment Centres (MHACs) in six countries, namely Egypt(Cairo), Iraq (Baghdad, Erbil), Jordan (Amman), Lebanon (Beirut), Libya (Tripoli) and Yemen (Sana’a). Their mainfunctions are to offer full health assessments to all applicants, including immunization and pre-departure medical
screening with presumptive treatment, based on the respective receiving countries’ relevant guidelines. MHACs area one-stop-shop for all activities related to health screening, including registration, counselling, nursing operations,
physical examinations, phlebotomy and laboratory services, radiology and vaccination.

322

Appendices

Key facts and figures for Regional Office Cairo, 2020
Number of migrants
assisted

813 837

Number of IOM projects

436

Number of Member Statesin the region

8 Member States: Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, the Sudan, Tunisia andYemen
4 Observer States: Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Qatar

Number of offices

There are offices in 13 countries: Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait,
Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Qatar, the Sudan, Tunisia and Yemen, in addition to
the Regional Office for the Middle East and North Africa based in Cairo and an
operational presence in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

Number of staff

1 850 (excluding consultants, subcontractors and hourly staff)

Number of nationalities
represented among staff

95

Key areas of work

The Regional Office and country offices are working hand-in-hand to implement
the Organization’s full programmatic spectrum, including movement andresettlement; emergency preparedness and response; post-crisis transition andrecovery; migration health; labour migration and migration and development;
counter-trafficking; migrant return and reintegration assistance; immigration andborder management; and migration policy and research.

Key publications

•
•
•
•
•
•

33
34
35
36
37
38

Situation Report on International Migration in the Arab Region.
Women Migrant Domestic Workers in Lebanon: A Gender Perspective.33
Promoting Fair and Ethical Recruitment in a Digital World: Lessons and policy
options.34
Assessing the Socio-Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Migrants and Displaced
Populations in the MENA Region.35
IOM Regional COVID-19 Situational Report: Stories from the Field Compilation.36
Diaspora Engagement in Health in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: A desk
review of experiences.37

Regional webpage

https://rocairo.iom.int/

Regional Strategy

Middle East and North Africa Regional Strategy 2020–2024.38

IOM, 2021l.
IOM, 2020l.
IOM, 2021m.
IOM, n.d.e.
IOM, 2021n.
IOM, 2020m.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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Key developments in Regional Office Cairo since IOM joined the United Nations system
Regional Office Cairo is a member of the Regional Collaborative Platform under the United Nations Reform atregional level. It provides specific technical support and coordination to country missions and (co)leads national
United Nations Networks on Migration in respective countries in the region. This furthermore entails dedicatedtraining to support the coordination of the local/national Network and positioning IOM in the United Nations
Reform roll-out towards mainstreaming migration in key United Nations Country Team documents, such as theCommon Country Assessment (CCA), the United Nations Sustainable Development Cooperation Framework(UNSDCF) and the Annual Joint Workplan.
The Regional Office supports regional dialogue processes, such as the Abu Dhabi Dialogue and the Arab Regional
Consultative Process on Migration and Refugee Affairs; maintains liaison and partnerships with regional organizations,in particular the League of Arab States and the Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia – with which
IOM co-convenes the Issue-Based Coalition on Migration in the Arab Region under the Regional Collaborative
Platform – and regional networks, such as the Regional UNNM, for the implementation and review of the Global
Compact for Migration. It contributes also to the work of the Regional UNNM for Africa and the Opportunity/
Issue-Based Coalitions (O/IBCs) on Migration under the Africa Continental Regional Collaborative Platform.
Some of the most important developments in the MENA region since IOM joined the United Nations system
in 2016 are reflected in the major steps taken to enhance the protection of migrant workers; develop strategies
addressing irregular migration and trafficking in persons; open pathways for regular migration for the purposeof labour; and offer education and protection for refugees, among many other new developments in migration
governance.
The adoption of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly,
and Regular Migration in 2018 in Marrakech, Morocco,
embodies a resolutely people-centred approach for
migration to benefit all – migrants, as well as hostcommunities in origin and destination countries. The
overwhelming adoption of the Global Compact for
Migration in the region marked a historic turning point inmigration governance showcasing the pressing need forwell-managed and evidence-based policies on migration.
Anchored in human rights, the Global Compact for
Migration presents an international framework forenhancing cooperation between relevant actors to
improve the protection of migrants and maximize theircontributions to sustainable development. At the sametime, the “no one size fits all” nature of the Global
Compact enshrines countries’ national sovereignty
and their rights to determine their migration policies
in accordance with their national priorities, needs andcapacities.

Highlights: IOM’s response to COVID-19
in Regional Office Cairo, 202016 countries where IOM implemented
COVID-19-related operations.
USD 70.75 million spent on COVID-19
activities.
USD 7.8 million to beneficiaries tasked
with risk communication and community
engagement efforts related to COVID-19.
7,160 individuals received some returnrelated assistance.
878,000 people reached with critical WASH
supplies.
109,191 COVID-19 tests provided.

324

Appendices

The combination of precarious situations in countries of origin and reduced access to regular migration pathways
often leads to migrants being in an irregular situation when they enter, stay or work in a country without required
documents or authorization. Countries in the region have taken significant steps to tackle irregular migration
through regularization campaigns, granting migrants in irregular situations the possibility of regulating their status orleaving the country. In addition, countries have deployed efforts to ensure that migrants in irregular situations are
not returned to conflict countries, nor are forcibly or collectively returned without due process and considerationof their individual circumstances.
To encourage the engagement of the countries of the region in the Global Compact for Migration implementation,
review and follow-up, Regional Office Cairo, in partnership with the League of Arab States (LAS), the United
Nations Economic Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) in collaboration with the then Working Group on
International Migration in the Arab Region, later the Regional Network on Migration for the Arab States, provided
a platform for Member States in the region to discuss progress and challenges in implementing the Global Compact
for Migration. This series of open and inclusive events represented the whole-of-government and whole-of-society
approach promoted by the Global Compact. It entailed various dialogues and consultations in preparation for the
first Global Compact for Migration Regional Review Conference for the Arab States, which took place on 24 and25 February 2021, and the Multi-stakeholder Consultations on 23 February 2021. Two capacity-building workshops
were held in June and August 2020 to introduce guiding templates for countries’ Global Compact for Migration
voluntary national reports and to consult representatives of Member States on the modalities and format of the
Global Compact Regional Review process. In the build-up of the Global Compact review conference, additional
stakeholders’ dialogues took place in the region, notably with inter-State consultation mechanisms, parliamentarians,
civil society, the private sector and academia, among others. All meetings were held online due to COVID-19
restrictions, with simultaneous interpretation in English, French and Arabic.
Economic and political instabilities shape mobility (including displacement) and demographic changes in countries in
the MENA region. As a consequence, countries of the North African and the Mashreq subregion are confronted
with protection challenges associated with irregular movements, as well as job nationalization policies in Gulf
Cooperation Council countries that may impact access to their labour markets. As countries are experiencing
economic challenges and mitigating or recovering from prolonged conflicts, IOM seeks to enhance its response incoordination with countries of origin and receiving countries alike. In the same light, Regional Office MENA has
sought to support missions to capture the impacts of COVID-19 through tools established from socioeconomic
impact assessments.
The 2020–2024 IOM MENA Regional Strategy foresees engagement in evidence-based policy and programmingwith a focus on three main pillars of resilience, mobility and governance, with specific regional priorities under
each. In addition to building on the outlined policy engagement and knowledge management of migration in theregion, IOM MENA aims to create closer interlinkages between data collection and migration policy design throughutilizing the Global Compact for Migration knowledge platform and the United Nations Network on Migration’s
Knowledge Platform and Connection Hub. For example, the IOM Sudan Data Unit has established, and co-leads
with United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), the Data and Evidence Working Group under
the Durable Solutions Working Group.
Regional Office Cairo has enhanced partnerships with governments, other United Nations agencies, media, NGOs
and local communities and leads conversations on migration (including displacement), building on its credibility
and positioning. By expanding partnerships with national, regional and international stakeholders, it continues tosupport the region in achieving adequate policy reforms that consider migration as a positive engine for achieving
sustainable development.

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325

ASIA and OCEANIA
Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific
IOM in Asia and the Pacific has ongoing activities in 40 countries, including 34 Member States and two ObserverStates. The Asia and Pacific Region is divided into five subregions: the Pacific, South-East Asia, East Asia, South
Asia and South-West Asia.
A wide range of migration issues and priorities is present across the region. Some of the destination countries
remain focused on policies restricting migration. There is also limited investment in integration, and returns are seen
as a positive policy option in a limited number of countries (e.g. Australia). Notably, several countries in the region
are not signatories to the Refugee Conventions, which creates a challenge in addressing complex mixed migration
flows. Internal migration is very significant, but has only slowly emerged in the last few years as an interest linked
to urbanization.
Regional cooperation and migration dialogue has been increasing in recent years at both bilateral and regional
levels. This has resulted in arrangements to facilitate mobility and combat trafficking, notably in the Association ofSoutheast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Most positively, migration is now integrated in national development plans insome countries such as the Philippines and Bangladesh, but needs wider acceptance. However, there is support
by several countries through the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration for a “whole-of-society/government approach”. Several countries also recognize that insufficient attention is paid to migration statistics andevidence-based policy formulation.
Key facts and figures for Regional Office Asia and the Pacific, 2020
Number of migrants assisted
Number of IOM projects
Number of Member States in
the region
Number of offices
Number of staff
Number of nationalities
represented among staff
Key areas of work

Key publications

Regional webpage
Regional Strategy

39
40
41
42
43

IOM, 2020n.
IOM, 2021o.
IOM, 2021p.
IOM, 2021q.
IOM, 2020n.

7 036 (AVRR); 793 (counter-trafficking), plus COVID-related figures below
365
34 (2 Observer States)
Present in 30 countries and ongoing activities in 40 countries
Total in region: 4 275 (total in the Regional Office: 52)
50
Emergency and post-crisis; migrant protection and assistance; immigration
and border management; migration health; labour migration and humandevelopment; and migration, environment and climate change.
• Asia and the Pacific – Regional Strategy 2020–2024.39• IOM Asia–Pacific Regional Data Hub: Regional Secondary Data Review March 2021.40• Asia–Pacific Migration Data Report 2020.41• IOM Asia–Pacific Remittance Inflows 2021.42
www.iom.int/asia-and-pacificAsia and the Pacific Regional Strategy 2020–2024.43

326

Appendices

Key developments in the Regional Office Asia and the Pacific since IOM joined the United Nations system
Since 2016, IOM in the Asia and the Pacific region has worked to achieve the following outcomes:
•
•
•
•

•
•

•

•

Enhanced protection of and assistance tomigrants in need;
Reduced health vulnerability among migrants
and migration-affected communities;
Strengthened systems and tailored solutions
that harness the benefits of migration;
Access for migrants and other vulnerable
populations affected by crises to essential
humanitarian services;Strengthened capacity to manage migration
crises across the region;
Empowerment and strengthening of migrants’and affected communities’ resilience to natural
disasters and adaptation to climate change;
Ensuring that policies and programmes are
based on evidence and systematic monitoring
and analysis of migration dynamics;
Enhancing partnerships and dialogues in theregion to address migration challenges andopportunities.

Highlights: IOM’s response to COVID-19
in Asia and the Pacific, 202028 countries where IOM implemented COVID-19related operations.
USD 71.5 million spent on COVID-19 activities.
9,769,184 beneficiaries reached for risk communicationand community engagement efforts related to COVID-19.
188,544 individuals receiving some return-related
assistance.
703,889 people reached with critical WASH supplies.
24,759 COVID-19 tests provided.
445,346 most vulnerable individuals provided withlivelihood support.
More details in the IOM Asia and the Pacific COVID-19
Achievements Report 2020.44

EUROPE
Regional Office for South-Eastern Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia
IOM has been active in the South-Eastern Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia (SEEECA) region from theearly 1990s. During that time, many countries in the region were experiencing a complex mix of migration anddisplacement challenges resulting from huge geopolitical changes. Three decades later, IOM continues to provide
comprehensive support to governments in refining their policies, frameworks and practical mechanisms for migration
management and governance at national and multilateral levels. IOM brings extensive migration management andgovernance expertise closer to all its beneficiaries and the Member States it serves.
The IOM Regional Office, established in Vienna in 2011, supports further improvement in quality and diversificationof programmatic activities at the country level, promotes regional initiatives and facilitates better support to interState dialogue and cooperation. Regional Office Vienna is responsible for project review and endorsement, policy
development and the formulation of regional migration strategies. This is done in partnership with governments,
development partners and civil society organizations within the region. The Regional Office employs technicalexperts in project development and thematic fields of migration management, including migrant protection
and assistance, labour mobility and human development, immigration and border management, operations andemergencies, migration, environment and climate change, and migration health, complemented by policy and liaison,
as well as support from migration data and research experts. It also deals with various cross-cutting issues and
44

IOM, 2021r.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

327

provides support in the field of resource management, media and communications, and programme development,
as well as monitoring and evaluation.
Key facts and figures for Regional Office Vienna, 2020
Number of migrants
assisted

15 000 (migrant protection and assistance) Migration Health Division, labour
mobility, human development and others

Number of Member Statesin the region

19

Number of offices

19, plus additional sub-offices

Number of staff

1 714

Key areas of work

Project development and thematic fields of migration management, including
migrant protection and assistance; labour mobility and human development;
immigration and border management; operations and emergencies; migration,
environment and climate change; and migration health.

Key publications•••

Regional webpage

https://rovienna.iom.int/

Regional Strategy

South-Eastern Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia Regional Strategy
2020–2024.48

Displacement Tracking Matrix Reports.45
GCM Regional Review for the UNECE Region Summary Report.46
Gender, SOGIESC and Migration in the 2030 Agenda and Global Compact for
Migration.47

Key developments in Regional Office Vienna since IOM joined the United Nations system
IOM has coordination roles in a number of humanitarian crises in the region. These include leading the United
Nations response clusters along the Eastern Mediterranean route, as well as in protracted conflicts such as thatin eastern Ukraine.
In the region, COVID-19 prevention, mitigation and response measures implemented by IOM and its partners werecrucial. In 2020, IOM was part of 15 United Nations coordination groups in the region on the COVID-19 response,
reaching over 1.4 million people with risk communication or community engagement efforts, supporting nearly 200
points of entry in preparing for and responding to COVID-19, procuring and distributing over 4.5 million itemsof personal protective equipment and other non-food items in the response, and adapting sites that hosted over
60,000 migrants throughout the year with COVID-19-related upgrades.
Covering a region with some of the largest and most complex migration corridors in the world, IOM continued
to focus on identifying opportunities to leverage migration to support development efforts, but also on mitigating
risks related to labour migrant protection and social tensions, contributing directly to the achievement of a
45
46
47
48

IOM, n.d.f.
UN, 2020.
IOM, n.d.g.
IOM, 2021s.

328

Appendicesnumber of SDG targets. In addition to its long- and newly established programmes targeted at facilitating labour
mobility between the Russian Federation and Central, Eastern Partnership countries and the European Union,
IOM initiated innovative collaborations with social psychologists to evaluate and improve the impact of its social
cohesion programming (Turkey, Kosovo49), thus institutionalizing the intergroup contact theory approach both for
the Regional Office Vienna region and beyond. During the COVID-19 pandemic, IOM also began cooperation withbehavioural scientists and economists to develop interventions that trigger behaviour change towards greater useof digital remittance services and increase remittance use towards savings for predictive livelihood development.
Furthermore, IOM made far-reaching changes to classical approaches to diaspora engagement by introducing andapplying big data, including Google Analytics and onomastic analysis for diaspora mapping (Armenia, Azerbaijan,
Georgia, Republic of Moldova); by developing guides for diaspora strategies (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina); andimplementing concrete diaspora investment interventions (Georgia, Republic of Moldova, Ukraine). Regional Office
Vienna also initiated a Migration Data Platform for Evidence-based Regional Development (M-Powered),50 designed
to help decision makers to leverage migration in support of the advancement of the Global Compact for Migrationand the SDGs. The tool is being further developed for migration forecasting and modelling to enhance its impact
on sustainable development (Germany, Republic of Moldova, Portugal). Regional Office Vienna also developed aGender and Migration in the Global Compact for Migration and the 2030 Agenda project,51 to support anyone
working in migration programming and policy with mainstreaming, gender equality and gender sensitivity issues in
the implementation of the Global Compact and SDGs.
Co-chaired by IOM, United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and United Nations High Commissioner for
Refugees (UNHCR), the Issue-Based Coalition (IBC) on Large Movements of People, Displacement and Resilience(LMPDR) serves as a platform to exchange information on public policy dialogues and legislative changes affecting
persons of concern to the IBC. It also aims to provide coherent United Nations support at the country leveltowards nationalization of the SDGs, inclusive of key issues related to large movements of persons. The IBC
bolsters over 100 members from 15 United Nations agencies and regional and country offices throughout the
18 United Nations programme countries in the Europe and Central Asia region. IOM’s Regional Office in Vienna
is also an active member of the Issue-Based Coalitions52 on Gender Equality,53 Health,54 Youth and Adolescents,55
and Environment and Climate Change,56 as well as in the United Nations Regional Coordination Group on Dataand Statistics. Regional Office Vienna, together with the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) and UNHCR
co-produces biannual Inter-Agency Factsheets on refugee and migrant children arriving in Europe.
Without prejudice to the mandates and roles of the participating agencies, the IBC also assumed the functions of a
Regional UNNM, with the aim of capitalizing on the synergies between the global level UNNM and the IBC, while
recognizing the programme of action and follow-up mechanisms of the Global Compact for Migration.

49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56

References to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of United Nations Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999).
IOM, n.d.h.
IOM, n.d.g.
UNECE, n.d.a.
UNECE, n.d.b.
UNECE, n.d.c.
UNECE, n.d.d.
UNECE, n.d.e.

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To date, a total of 14 Country Networks have been established in the 18 United Nations Programme Countriesof the Eastern Europe and Central Asia (ECA) region, all of which are co-chaired by IOM and the United Nations
Resident Coordinator (except in the Republic of Moldova, where it is co-chaired by IOM and UNDP).
Moreover, IOM’s Regional Office in Vienna – in support of an initiative led by the Regional Collaborative Platform
for Europe and Central Asia, which was chaired by the Deputy Secretary-General and with the United Nations
Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) Executive Secretary and the UNDP Regional Director as co-vicechairs, and of which of IOM is a permanent member – is contributing to the establishment of an informationand knowledge management website that aims to improve the capacity of the United Nations system in Europe
and Central Asia to support resident coordinators, United Nations country teams and governments in theimplementation of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.
Additionally, five years into the implementation of the2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals,
the United Nations Department of Economic andSocial Affairs (UN DESA) invited governments, United
Nations entities and stakeholders from all sectors toshare inspiring breakthroughs and success stories thatare showing results and impacts, and which can also be
replicated and scaled up. In response, IOM submitted
several projects, of which 10 were selected andrecognized as inspiring accelerators to the 2030 Agenda,
four of which are from the SEEECA region.57
More broadly, we can confidently say that migrationis reflected in the all the United Nations Common
Country Analyses, as well as the the United Nations
Sustainable Development Cooperation Frameworks(UNSDCFs). Additionally, at the request of the United
Nations Resident Coordinators (UNRCs) in the 18
programme countries in the ECA region, Regional Office
Vienna coordinated the roll-out of the “Stronger UN
system for GCM implementation” training. The training
was delivered to the United Nations Country Teams(UNCTs) in Armenia, Georgia and Ukraine in July 2021
and Bosnia and Herzegovina in November by IOM and
UNDP as the lead on the Network’s Core Working
Group 2.1.58

Highlights: IOM’s response to COVID-19
in Regional Office Vienna, 202019 countries and Kosovoa where IOM
implemented COVID-19-related operations.
USD 5.8 million spent on COVID-19
activities.
1,411,253 beneficiaries reached for risk
communication and community engagement
efforts related to COVID-19.b
6,638 migrants that were stranded due to
COVID-19 and received return support.b
1,950,481 people reached with critical WASH
supplies (including hygiene items) and services
to support the adoption of COVID-19
prevention measures.b2,384 COVID-19 tests provided by IOM.b
2,134 individuals provided with livelihood
support.
Notes: (a) references to Kosovo shall be understood to
be in the context of United Nations Security Council
Resolution 1244 (1999); (b) figures from the global survey
conducted by Headquarters, totals for the SEEECA region.

Since advocacy for the inclusion of migrants in COVID-19
vaccination plans is a global priority this year, Regional
Office Vienna, with the support of Regional Office Cairo, produced a short video designed to assist missions intheir advocacy efforts.59
57
58
59

Pre-Employment Support Programme for Syrians Under Temporary Protection and Host Communities in Turkey (Turkey); SME
Strengthening and Support Programme (Let’s Grow this Business) (Turkey); Armenian diaspora supports to COVID-19 response(Armenia); National Strategy on Migration and Action Plan 2019–2022 (Albania).
Ibid.
Video available at www.youtube.com/watch?v=42x2iBqlJFM.

330

Appendices

Regional Office for the European Economic Area, the European Union and NATOThe IOM Regional Office for the European Union (EU), the European Economic Area (EEA) and NATO, Regional
Office Brussels, was established in September 2011 at a time when the Treaty of Lisbon (2009), European Union
enlargement and deeper cooperation had reinforced the centrality of migration and asylum policy. Europe was also
dealing with uneven recovery from the global economic and financial crisis – with unemployment rates in somecountries remaining stubbornly high – and multiple crises in North Africa and the Middle East, which increased
concerns about migration pressures. The combined internal and external challenges contributed to a deteriorationof public perception towards certain categories of migrants, increasing xenophobia. At the same time, facilitating
highly skilled immigration, migrant integration and refugee resettlement were highlighted as part of the EU’s “global
approach” to migration.
In this context, the new Regional Office in Brussels set out to advance IOM’s global objectives through strategic
partnerships with the European Union institutions, EU Member States and other countries in the region topromote a migrant-centred, rights-based migration management approach and to work with States to respondto migration issues, including complex crises, emergencies, socioeconomic challenges and mixed flow movements.
Regional Office Brussels was tasked to strengthen and ensure the quality and coherence of policy, programming,
project development and implementation in the region, and globally for EU-funded programming. IOM established(July 2012) and expanded (February 2016) a Strategic Cooperation Framework with the European Commission
Directorates General for Migration and Home Affairs (HOME), International Partnerships (INTPA), Civil Protectionand Humanitarian Aid Operations (ECHO), Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations (NEAR) and theEuropean External Action Service (EEAS).
Key facts and figures for Regional Office Brussels, 2020
Number of migrants
assisted

Under humanitarian programming in the Region: 50 534
Within European Economic Area (EEA) resettlement (RST), relocation (REL)
and humanitarian assistance programme (HAP) programming: 14 329 (11 266
resettlements and humanitarian admissions, 3 063 relocations)Migrants assisted under assistance to vulnerable migrants (AVM): 2 259
Migrants assisted under assisted voluntary return and reintegration (AVRR): 16 449

Number of IOM projects

Within EEA RST/REL/HAP programming: 30
Humanitarian programming in the region: 6
Active projects under counter-trafficking: 29
Active projects under AVRR/RST: 41
Global programme support for projects implemented outside the region: 105
Migration health: 7
Labour mobility and human development: 54 active projects in 2020

Number of Member
States in the region

32

Number of offices

28 country offices

Number of staff

2 853

Number of nationalities
represented among staff

103

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

331

Key areas of work

Migrant protection and assistance (assistance to vulnerable migrants, assisted
voluntary return and reintegration, counter-trafficking in human beings, protectionof children in migration, resettlement, complementary pathways and relocation);Transition and recovery from crises (recovery, durable solutions and disaster risk
reduction, transition and stabilization, election support);
Humanitarian aid and civil protection (fundraising for humanitarian projects, policy
and strategy on humanitarian aid);
Immigration and border management (including the EU Readmission CapacityBuilding Facility [EURCAP], migrant inclusion and social cohesion, labour mobility
and ethical recruitment, migration and development);
Migration health (health policy and legal frameworks, migrant-sensitive healthsystems, migrant health monitoring);
IOM–EU cooperation around the world (Africa, Asia and the Pacific, Latin America
and the Caribbean, Middle East, South-Eastern and Eastern Europe); andCommunications and policy outreach.

Key publications

•

•
•
•
•

Mainstreaming Migration into International Cooperation and Development(MMICD) toolkit for development partners on “Integrating Migration into
COVID-19 Socio-economic Response”.60
Driving Migrant Inclusion Through Social Innovation: Lessons for Cities in a Pandemic(joint publication with MPI Europe, produced under the ADMin4ALL project).61
Principles and Approaches to Guide the Relocation and Integration of UAC from
Greece to Other EU Member States.62
IOM’s Recommendations to the German Presidency of the Council of the EU as wellas to the Croatian Presidency.63
IOM Views on the Roadmap for the EU’s New Pact on Migration and Asylum.64

Regional webpage

https://eea.iom.int/

Regional Strategy

European Economic Area, Switzerland and the United Kingdom Regional Strategy
2020–2024.65

Key developments in Regional Office Brussels since IOM joined the United Nations system
Migration management, European Union coordination and cooperation remained atop the political agenda in theregion following the arrival of over one million migrants and refugees to Europe in 2015–2016. By 2016, the EU
had extended the mandate of Frontex and it officially became the European Border and Coast Guard Agency. The
EU–Turkey Statement of March 2016 and other factors contributed to reducing the number of sea crossings andirregular arrivals to the EU in the following years. With tens of thousands of migrants and refugees in Greece, IOM
scaled up to support the Government through several EU-funded programmes, including site management support,
protection of vulnerable groups and refugee integration. Between 2016 and 2018, IOM supported the relocation of
60
61
62
63
64
65

IOM, 2020o.
MPI and IOM, 2020.
IOM, 2020p.
IOM, 2020q.
IOM, 2020r.
IOM, 2020s.

332

Appendicessome 35,000 asylum seekers from Greece and Italy to other EU States under the scheme. Today, IOM continues
to assist through separate projects initiated by Greece, Italy and Malta with the relocation of vulnerable refugees
and asylum seekers to other European countries.
The number of asylum applications lodged in the EU remained higher between 2016 and 2020 than the number ofirregular arrivals at the sea and land borders; and while sea arrivals on the Eastern Mediterranean and the Central
Mediterranean Routes declined significantly after 2016, the Western Mediterranean and the Western Africa–Atlanticroute to the Canary Islands saw a sharp increase in activity between 2018 and 2021. The arrival of more than
23,000 people in the Canary Islands by sea in 2020 strained the islands’ reception capacity, while COVID-19 further
complicated the response. In February 2021, IOM began supporting Spain with EU funding through an Emergency
Reception Facility on Tenerife to provide shelter, protection services, medical, legal and other types of assistanceto the migrants. Despite reduced overall migrant arrivals, migrant deaths in the Mediterranean remained alarmingly
high, while impasses over search and rescue and the disembarkation of rescued migrants made headlines as NGO
rescue operations became a source of controversy. IOM and UNHCR in June 2018 responded with a joint proposal
to the EU on a regional arrangement to ensure predictable disembarkation of persons rescued at sea.
The EU and its Member States extended further cooperation with IOM in the framework of the EU Trust Fundfor Africa (EUTF) and the African Union–European Union–United Nations Tripartite Taskforce on the Situation ofStranded Migrant and Refugees in Libya. In December 2016, the EU, the Governments of Germany and Italy, andIOM launched the EU–IOM Joint Initiative for Migrant Protection and Reintegration through the EUTF to support
African countries in strengthening migration governance and to save lives and protect and assist migrants along key
migration routes in Africa. Through its policy and programming, IOM in the region is working with States and EU
institutions in the interest of harmonizing the management of irregular migration and borders with the facilitationof labour migration and skills mobility to address demographic trends and labour market requirements. The
Organization has expanded programmes promoting the mainstreaming of migration into development cooperationand is strongly engaged on migration and climate-change policy through the European Green Deal. IOM has also
contributed its recommendations on the European Commission proposals for a new European Pact on Migration
and Asylum, which was tabled in September 2020.
Regional Office Brussels in February 2021 published its strategic priorities for the EEA, Switzerland and the United
Kingdom for 2020–2024, integrating key elements of the overall IOM Strategic Vision to respond to emerging
needs within the region. Reflecting on migration realities and policy trends in each country in the region, the overall
strategic goal is to pursue safe, orderly and regular migration to enhance the well-being of migrants and societies
through a rights-based and whole-of-government approach to the governance of migration and mobility to, fromand within the region that is coherent, holistic and balanced. The strategy also outlines how IOM in the region willseek to address current and future regional and cross-regional migration and displacement trends, challenges andopportunities, including through collaboration with United Nations agencies and other partners.
The COVID-19 pandemic engendered a mobility crisis with unprecedented economic, social and humanitarian
impacts in the region, as border closures and in-country travel restrictions changed patterns in mobility throughthe shutdown of airline services, altered border and migration management systems, and growing distrust of crossborder movements and non-residents. Migrants, including seasonal workers, refugees and asylum seekers, became
stranded after sudden and uncoordinated border closures, unable to move from temporary locations. At the sametime, many countries in the region experienced an acute shortage of agricultural and other key workers due thedisruption in seasonal and circular migration. Pandemic restrictions in neighbouring countries and regions led toWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

333

a marked reduction of irregular arrivals by sea and land across all routes to the EU in late 2020, but irregularmovements re-emerged in early 2021 on the West Africa/Atlantic and Central Mediterranean routes.
IOM’s response to the pandemic in the region in 2021 was guided by a robust Strategic Response and Recovery
Plan (SRRP), which built on the 2020 Plan, encompassing life-saving assistance and response to humanitarian needs,
initiatives to mitigate the impact of COVID-19 on migrants and societies, and support for recovery and resilience,
integrated with longer-term sustainable development planning. Regional Office Brussels and the offices in theregion also adapted work modalities, services and assistance to migrants by negotiating with the EU and Member
States for more flexibility in programming and by transferring services online, moving to remote programming
modalities and digital communications, while direct assistance for stranded migrants was provided in the frameworkof its protection activities whenever feasible. Assisted voluntary return and reintegration (AVRR), resettlement andrelocation movements were temporarily halted, but were resumed as soon as possible. Registration modalities,
virtual counselling and referrals were also tested in the framework of AVRR. Information on COVID-19 measures
was provided.

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN AND NORTHERN AMERICA
Regional Office for South America
IOM offices were established in Argentina in 1953 to develop technical cooperation programmes between countries
in the region. In 2011, the country office for Argentina was created to carry out projects addressing specific needs
at the local level, and the Southern Cone Office then became the Regional Office with coordination functions andsupport for IOM activities in the region. Currently, the Regional Office covers 10 countries in South America (seeFigure 1) and works in close coordination with the Office of the Special Envoy for the Venezuela Situation (OSE)created in 2018 and based in Panama.
The IOM Regional Office in Buenos Aires functions as the technical secretariat for the South American Conferenceon Migration (SACM) and works closely with the South American Common Market and its different bodies,more importantly with the Specialized Forum on Migration (FEM-MERCOSUR, for its acronym in Spanish). It also
works closely with the Interamerican Network on Migration (RIAM, for its acronym in Spanish). With the former
Argentine Presidency Pro Tempore of the SACM, IOM coordinated the establishment of six working groups on key
thematic areas in 2020, on gender and migration; migration, environment and climate change; labour integration;
border management; trafficking in persons; and migrant children and adolescents. The Regional Office facilitated ameeting in September 2021 between the SACM and the Regional Conference on Migration66 (CRM for its acronym
in Spanish) to define a joint workplan on migration, which marked a milestone in collaboration on migration
management across Latin America and the Caribbean.

66

The Regional Conference on Migration is a regional consultative process, known as the Puebla Process, including Member States from
North and Central America.

334

Appendices

Key facts and figures for Regional Office Buenos Aires and country offices in the region, 2020
Number of migrants
assisted

2 722 524 migrants assisted through COVID-19 operations in 2020

Number of IOM projects

86 (as of June 2021)

Number of Member Statesin the region

10

Number of offices

10 country offices, 1 Office of the Special Envoy for the Venezuela situation, 1
Regional Office, 59 sub-offices (as of September 2021)

Number of staff

1 004 (as of September 2021)

Number of nationalities
represented among staff

29 (as of September 2021)

Key areas of work

Protection and assistance to vulnerable migrants; migration and development;labour migration; migration, environment and climate change; emergencies andrisk management; migration and health; policies and liaison; data and information
management; migration research; knowledge management; communication andpress; migration and cities; and integrated border management.

Key publications

•
•
•
•
•

67
68
69
70
71
72

Review of the Normative Frameworks of Argentina, the Plurinational State of
Bolivia, Chile, Peru and Uruguay.67
Diagnosis of the Situation and Incidence of Human Trafficking in Humanitarian
Contexts in South America.68
Contributions from Colombia to the International Initiative for Reparations toVictims of Sexual Violence in the Framework of the Armed Conflict.69
Migrants in the Argentine Republic: Integration into the labour market.70
Evaluating the Evidence: Climate change and migration in Peru.71

Regional webpage

www.robuenosaires.iom.int

Regional Strategy

South America Regional Strategy 2020–2024.72

Veiga, 2021.
Ferreira, 2020.
IOM, 2020t.
Rubinstein and Lieutier, 2020.
Bergmann et al., 2021.
IOM, 2020u.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

335

Figure 1. IOM in South America (offices and sub-offices)
BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC OF VENEZUELASUB-OFFICES SAN CRSISTOBALPANAMAVENEZUELA’S RESPONSE DG’S OSE
COLOMBIA
SUB-OFFICES: ANTIOQUIA, CAUCA, CHOCÓ, LA GUAJIRA, NARIÑO,NORTE DE SANTANDER, VALLE DEL CAUCA, BOLIVAR, CAQUETAECUADOR
SUB-OFFICES: TULCAN, HUAQUILLAS, LAGO AGRIOBRAZIL
SUB-OFFICES: BOA VISTA, MANAUS,
PARACAIMA, SAO PAOLO

PERU
SUB-OFFICES: TACNA, TUMBESREGIONAL OFFICECOUNTRY OFFICES: 12
ARGENTINA

SUB-OFFICES: 19
OFFICE OF THE DG’S SPECIALENVOY FOR THE REGIONALRESPONSE TO THE VENEZUELANSITUATION

Note:

CHILE

URUGUAY
ARGENTINA - BUENOS AIRESThis map is for illustration purposes only. The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not
imply official endorsement or acceptance by the International Organization for Migration.

Key developments in Regional Office Buenos Aires since IOM joined the United Nations system
The structural socioeconomic inequality that characterizes the region, exacerbated by the impacts of the COVID-19
pandemic, along with processes of political instability, violence and episodes of disaster, have increased and diversified
migratory processes in the region in recent years. In a pandemic context and with unprecedented related borderclosures, new migration patterns emerged, including irregular movements.
As of mid-2020, about 10.9 million international migrants live in South America, coming from different countries in
the region and the world.73 Eighty per cent of them are intraregional migrants, with Venezuelan migration being themost important in quantitative terms (over 4.6 million Venezuelan nationals were estimated to have left the country
as of 30 June 2021).74 The internal conflict in Colombia has caused substantial movement and displacement bothinternally and outwards, particularly to neighbouring countries (mainly Chile, Ecuador and the Bolivarian Republicof Venezuela).75
Over the past decade, the region has experienced growing movements of Caribbean migrants (specifically Haitians
and Cubans) and extraregional migrants from Africa and Asia. Irregular extraregional migration has been registeredin both South America (beginning in some cases in Chile) and Central America, in particular in 2021; however, these
movements are most noticeable in the Darien Gap, located on both sides of the Colombia–Panama border. Many
73
74
75

UN DESA, 2021.
R4V, 2021.
UN DESA, 2021.

336

Appendices

Caribbean migrants transiting across the region previously resided legally in countries such as Brazil and Chile, withchildren born there having acquired those citizenships, and then moved on due to several push and pull factors.76
The Regional Office for South America guides its actions within the framework of IOM’s Strategic Vision, among
other global frameworks, operationalized through the Regional Strategy 2020–2024 that defines priorities for action
in South America and aligns with five key regional operational priorities, which comprise: (a) humanitarian andemergency assistance; (b) regularization; (c) integration; (d) combating xenophobia; and (e) migration, environmentand climate change.
Programmatic Highlights
Regional response to Venezuelan mixed migration
flows. The Office of the Special Envoy for the Regional
Response to the Venezuela Situation works closelywith UNHCR and with the Joint Special Representativefor IOM–UNHCR. Following the nomination of bothorganizations as co-leaders of the regional response,
IOM and UNHCR have set up a Regional Inter-agency
Coordination Platform (called R4V, Response for
Venezuela) that covers 17 countries and is comprisedof around 200 organizations, including United Nations
agencies and NGOs.

Highlights: IOM’s response to COVID-19
in Regional Office Buenos Aires, 202010 countries where IOM implemented COVID19-related operations.
USD 17.3 million spent on COVID-19
activities (as of June 2021).
2,373,389 beneficiaries reached for risk
communication and community engagement
efforts relating to COVID-19.

8,426 individuals receiving some return-related
Strengthening IOM’s role as coordinator of theassistance.
UNNM in South America. Regional Office Buenos
Aires has participated actively in the establishment of the255,418 people reached with critical WASH
Issue-Based Coalition on Human Mobility of the United
supplies.
Nations, which functions as the regional UNNM, and
1,000 COVID-19 tests provided.
in particular of its Working Group 1: Regional United
Nations Network for the implementation, follow-up,
84,291 individuals provided with livelihood
and review of the Global Compact for Migration in
support.
Latin America and the Caribbean (UNNM-LAC). As of
September 2021, seven UNNMs have been established;
six countries have approved the terms of reference for their Network; and two countries have started developing
their workplans.
In the area of humanitarian and emergency assistance, specifically as part of COVID-19 response and recovery,
the Regional Office publishes monthly COVID-19 situation reports and, in coordination with Regional Office San
José, recently published the Strategic Response and Recovery Plan for COVID-19 in Latin America and the Caribbean.77
Further, to address the health needs of migrants and to improve the access to and availability of health services,
particularly in the COVID-19 pandemic context, the Regional Office also coordinates and supports the delivery ofcomprehensive health programmes in South America, including direct health assistance through communitybased interventions and disease surveillance, health promotion and education, preventive care and screening, andcurative care to migrants and mobile populations. Furthermore, IOM works in the area of protection of migrants
in vulnerable situations with assistance and support.
76
77

Yates, 2021.
IOM, 2021t.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

337

Furthermore, the Regional Office is strengthening its knowledge management activities within IOM and its partners
by developing a regional hub and a regional knowledge management strategy to foster a culture of sharing, learningand using existing experiences and good practices, including on regularization. This approach is particularly relevantin the context of the middle-income countries of the region with high levels of institutionalization.
Two regional projects on human mobility and border management are under way for (a) a pilot feasibility study ofan electronic personal health record for migrants in Colombia and Ecuador to ensure continuity of treatment for
migrants and mobile populations; and (b) a digital COVID-19 platform that features current mobility restrictions
by country.78
Among others, a study in Chile and Paraguay with the Office of the Special Envoy for the Venezuela Response(OSE) and the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) (forthcoming)
looks into opportunities for migrants to support the economic recovery in the region after COVID-19, which
will result in a methodological guide for conducting such studies. In addition, a toolkit for governments in SouthAmerica will be developed to provide stakeholders with good practices and tools on socioeconomic integration
and reintegration.
To combat xenophobia, the Regional Office developed a training programme for journalists in coordination with
the Gabo Foundation, as well as an award ceremony and learning workshop organized with key journalists fromthe region to raise awareness on the positive contribution migration has on sustainable development.
To raise policy awareness and enhance interventions on migration, environment and climate change, the Regional
Office organized a workshop with SACM Member States to advance the regional guidelines on cross-borderdisplacement and assistance to migrants in disaster contexts.
Finally, in relation to migration and development, IOM is supporting governments in the region to empower theirrespective diasporas, among other issues. A groundbreaking diagnostic assessment was implemented in 2021 incountries across the region and in Europe that also analyses trends, challenges and opportunities offered by therecognition that diasporas often organize themselves in broader regional groupings and associations.

Regional Office for Central America, North America and the Caribbean
As part of organizational reform efforts and in response to the increasing complexity and scope of migration in
the region, IOM established the Regional Office in San José in 2011. It oversees and coordinates IOM activities
implemented by country offices and sub-offices in close collaboration with Member States, regional organizations,processes and initiatives, United Nations agencies, civil society and other relevant stakeholders. The region is also
home to the Country Office with Resource Mobilization Functions in Washington, D.C., the country office withcoordinating functions for the Caribbean in Guyana, the Office of the Director General’s Special Envoy for the
Regional Response to the Venezuelan Situation based in Panama, the Panama (Global) Administrative Centre andthe Special Liaison Office in New York.

78

Suramérica Abierta, n.d.

338

Appendices

Key facts and figures for Regional Office San José, 2020
Number of migrants
assisted79

Countering-trafficking and addressing migrants’ vulnerabilities to violence,
exploitation and abuse: 14 165
Progress towards durable solutions: 148 042
Transition, recovery and stabilization: 36 257

Number of IOM projects

104

Number of Member Statesin the region

25

Number of offices

country offices: 20; sub-offices: 41

Number of staff

1 017

Number of nationalities
represented among staff

72

Key areas of work

Supporting the implementation, follow-up and review of the Global Compact
for Migration; reducing disaster risks, preventing displacement and assisting
displaced populations; migration, environment and climate change; migrant
protection and assistance to returnees and migrants in situations of vulnerability,
including extraregional migrants; counter-trafficking; combating xenophobia anddiscrimination; border management; promoting regular pathways and regularization,
including labour migration schemes; supporting countries with migration data forevidence-based policymaking; and engaging diaspora for sustainable development.

Key publications

•
•
•
•
•
•

79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86

La Movilidad Humana Derivada de Desastres y el Cambio Climático enCentroamérica.80
Mecanismos Sobre Migración Laboral en Mesoamérica.81
Informe Anual Programa de Retorno Voluntario Asistido (RVA). México y países delnorte de América Central.82
El Tráfico Ilícito de Migrantes en América Central y México en el Contexto de la
COVID-19.83
Migración Extraregional en Sudamérica y Mesoamérica: Perfiles, experiencias ynecesidades.84
DTM: Countries Impacted by Hurricanes Eta and Iota in Latin America and the
Caribbean.85

Regional webpage

https://rosanjose.iom.int/en

Regional Strategy

Central America, North America and the Caribbean Regional Strategy 2020–2024.86

Showing totals of migrants assisted on more representative topics and/or those with more data available. Numbers drawn from IQ
2020 Country reports.
IOM, 2021u.
Chaves and Aragón, 2021.
IOM, 2021v.
IOM, 2020v.
IOM, 2019b.
IOM, 2020w.
IOM, 2020x.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

339

Key developments in Regional Office San José since IOM joined the United Nations system
Central America, North America and the Caribbean is a highly diverse region comprising 25 countries andnumerous territories with a total population of 589.03 million in 2020. Large income disparities exist not only
among countries, but also within them. Most countries in Central America and the Caribbean face elevated risks
resulting from exposure to hazards, both natural and human-induced, and specific vulnerabilities such as poverty andinequality, as well as a lack of coping capacity. Lack of employment opportunities, low incomes, poor or informal
working conditions, violence (including gender-based violence), organized crime, persecution, insecurity combinedwith poverty, and droughts and floods exacerbated by a lack of access to effective social services, alongside theproximity to the United States of America, sets the stage for a region highly prone to migration.
To ensure a coherent and comprehensive strategic approach in line with IOM’s Strategic Vision, the Regional Officein San José has developed a Regional Strategy for Central America, North America and the Caribbean for 2020–2024. It identifies key migration challenges, opportunities and priorities centred around three pillars: (a) resilience:
addressing the adverse drivers of migration; (b) mobility: facilitating safe, regular and orderly forms of migration;and (c) governance: serving as a trusted and effective leader and partner in relevant bilateral, regional and global
initiatives and processes.
Programmatic approaches include several topics:
In response to multiple sudden and slow-onset natural hazards, IOM has helped governments advance public policy
to reduce disaster risks, prevent displacement and assist displaced populations. IOM has also undertaken post-crisis
transition and recovery programming, particularly in the Caribbean.
In 2020, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) and IOM signed an agreement to improve the health of
75 million migrants in the Americas by scaling up coordinated interventions and strengthening advocacy to include
the specific needs of migrants in health. IOM’s COVID-19 response focuses on prevention, access of affected people
to basic services and mitigation of the socioeconomic impact of the pandemic.
As for migrant protection and assistance, IOM supports returnees in El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti and Honduras
and by providing humanitarian assistance, food, transportation, medical and psychosocial services. Along the border
between Haiti and the Dominican Republic, Border Resource Centres established with IOM’s help orient vulnerable
returnees. IOM also helps governments with the reception of returnees and their sustainable reintegration beyond
the initial assistance.
IOM and UNHCR co-lead the regional response to the situation of refugees and migrants from the Bolivarian
Republic of Venezuela seeking access to basic rights, services and protection, as well as self-reliance andsocioeconomic integration. Working with other United Nations agencies, IOM helps address the challenges ofextraregional migrants entering Panama, including data collection through the Displacement Tracking Matrix andsupport to migrant reception centres.
An inter-agency collaboration has helped Regional Consultations on Migration (RCM) Member States develop childprotection guidelines. In Nicaragua, IOM has trained officials in attending to unaccompanied children and adolescentmigrants, complemented by communication campaigns on the topic using the methodology of Communication for
Development (C4D).
IOM´s counter-trafficking efforts have produced standard operating procedures, training, research to partners, andcontinued support to National Coalitions against Human Trafficking and the Regional Coalition against Trafficking
and Smuggling. Providing urgent, short- to medium-term assistance to victims of trafficking, including basic needs,
medical services and legal assistance, remains a top priority for IOM.

340

Appendices

IOM programmatic support to RCM on gender and women in the context of mobility includes the developmentof guidelines on assistance and protection and the organization of three annual meetings.
Throughout the region, IOM has promoted regular migration paths and regularization with best practices that
resulted in up to 14,400 visas facilitated every year through the Brazil Visa Application Centre (BVAC) in Haiti;
a registration plan for more than 16,000 Venezuelan migrants in Trinidad and Tobago; and C4D campaigns andworkshops to prevent irregular migration.
IOM has assessed border management systems and biometric data initiatives. In Haiti, IOM is helping to equip theofficial points of entry with the Migration Information and Data Analysis System (MIDAS) to register and identify
travellers. With IOM support, the RCM developed a multiannual workplan on counter-smuggling to implement in
11 countries of the region.
IOM has helped governments review and develop labour migration policies in line with international standards, which
resulted in legislation, studies, technical advice and capacity-building. IOM Costa Rica supported the establishmentof a Labour Migration Traceability System to track migrants’ health conditions and movements, which allowed thecircular flow of 15,000 labour migrants in 2020 and 2021.
IOM in the region has implemented targeted actions to engage diaspora, through mapping initiatives that identify
available skills and interests in supporting countries of origin and destination, developing diaspora investment
toolkits in Jamaica and strengthening Venezuelan diaspora organizations in Panama.
IOM has supported Central American and Caribbean
governments to enhance their capacity to collect, analyseand use migration data to advance in developing nationalmigration policies and strategies.
As the Coordinator of the UNNM, IOM has madesignificant progress in building support capacity at thecountry and regional level. There are seven national
Networks on Migration and/or equivalent working groups
in Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras,
Mexico and Panama. Canada, El Salvador, Honduras and
Mexico are part of the Champion Country initiative.
IOM co-leads with ECLAC, UNHCR and UNICEF theIssue-Based Coalition on Human Mobility (IBC-HM). As
a working group of the IBC, the Regional UNNM, co‑led
by IOM and ECLAC, successfully undertook the first
Global Compact for Migration Regional Review.

Highlights: IOM’s response to COVID-19
in Regional Office San José, 202015 countries where IOM implemented COVID19-related operations.a
USD 19 million spent on COVID-19
activities.b
7.5 million people reached for risk
communication and community engagement
efforts relating to COVID-19.a
460 individuals receiving some return-related
assistance.a292,300 people reached with critical WASH
supplies.a
15,558 COVID-19 tests provided.b

IOM has incorporated migration in Common Country
Analyses (CCA) and the United Nations Sustainable
Development Cooperation Frameworks (UNSDCFs).
In Cuba, IOM for the first time joined the UNSDCF
2020–2024.

9,185 individuals provided with livelihood
support.aa Bahamas, Belize, Costa Rica, Dominica, the Dominican
Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti,
Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, andTrinidad and Tobago.
b COVID-19 Funding Tracker. July 2021.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

341

Chapter 2
Appendix A. Abridged extract: Final Report on Conceptual Frameworks and Concepts and Definitions
on International Migration (27 April 2021)
Full report available at https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/migration-expert-group/task-forces/TF2ConceptualFramework-Final.pdf.

Introduction and Background1.

The United Nations Statistics Division, under the guidance of the United Nations Expert Group on Migration
Statistics, has initiated revisions of the 1998 Recommendations on Statistics of International Migration (referred
to as the 1998 Recommendations hereafter). Up until now, the definition of international migrant as stipulated in
the 1998 Recommendations has supported to a certain degree comparability across countries. However, morethan 20 years have passed since the 1998 Recommendations were published. Up until the COVID-19 pandemic in
2020, the obstacles of international migration were reduced. In particular, modern communication technologies
and the increased convenience of travel lessened the psychological burden of living in other countries as migrants
were able to remain in frequent contact with their families and friends in their origin countries. This includes
both temporary and permanent moves associated with education or job opportunities and those due to politicalor environmental circumstances. Regional agreements have also been made that allow free movements amongst
certain countries, raising new measurement challenges even for countries with relatively developed statisticalsystems.

2.

Increases in the levels and changing patterns of international migration, including asylum seekers and refugees,
have raised the demand for accurate and timely data. Calls for better data from a number of initiatives havestressed the need to collect and use migration statistics to develop evidence-based migration policies and guidethe integration of migrants into national development planning. These data are also needed for estimating
populations and understanding demographic change. With increasing life expectancy and declining fertility
across most countries in the world, migration has become an increasingly important component of both
demographic and social change.

3.

Quality and timely data on international migration are needed for many reasons. They are increasingly related
to population growth or decline, economic development and environmental concerns. For example, local
actors need timely counts of persons who use local services (e.g. housing, health and social services, schools),
while national stakeholders may be more interested in the size, characteristics and dispersion of migrants
across the national territory to assess the effects on population change and domestic labour markets, forinstance. As international mobility involves movements of persons from one country to another, there isa need for sharing data on these movements and ensuring they are comparable over time. Without suchdata, it is not possible to estimate the size of countries’ diasporas abroad or to benchmark the size andcharacteristics of international migration stocks and flows. Nor is it possible to meet the data requirementsof the United Nations’ Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration and Sustainable Development
Goals. As many countries struggle to collect statistics on population movements, having a mechanism forbuilding capacity in the development and improvement of migration statistics could prove very valuable.

342

Appendices

Reconceptualising International Migration and Mobility
17. In this section, we outline the key conceptual framework for international mobility and migration. International
mobility includes all movements that cross international borders within a given year. International migration
is defined more narrowly as a change in the country of residence and is considered a subset of international
mobility. These flows are integral for understanding resident population change, which is the main population
used for international comparison. In our conceptual framework, we split populations and their corresponding
international mobility into two distinct groups: (i) resident population and international migration and(ii) temporary (non-resident) population and international temporary mobility. International temporary mobility
includes all international border crossings (events) except those related to changes in the resident population.
18. We define residence in line with the UN Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing
Censuses (Revision 3, par. 2.50). That is, it is recommended that countries apply a threshold of 12 months
when considering place of residence according to one of the following two criteria:
a. The place at which the person has lived continuously for most of the last 12 months (that is, for at least
6 months and one day), not including temporary absences for holidays or work assignments, or intends
to live for at least 6 months and one day;b. The place at which the person has lived continuously for at least the last 12 months, not including
temporary absences for holidays or work assignments, or intends to live for at least 12 months.
…
27. In Figure 2, we present a conceptual framework that links international arrivals to the present population,
which includes all persons present in the country at a particular time, excluding residents temporarily abroad.
The key distinguishing factor between international migration and other international population movements
is duration of stay in the country or abroad. The criterion for defining a migrant, therefore, should be theduration required in order to be considered part of the resident population. In practice, this would imply
a duration either 6 months or 12 months (see paragraph 18) so that flows of migration coincide withannual resident population change. The same situation occurs for departures: persons need to be away andstay in another country long enough based on minimum residence requirement to be considered part ofanother country’s resident population. Persons who stayed temporarily in more than one country for lessthan minimum duration criteria cannot establish a new residence, therefore are still part of the resident
population of their country of origin. In the framework, we include individuals who never become part of theresident population. We also include changing status from temporary population to resident population for
persons who stay more than the minimum duration criteria while they are still present in the country. Persons
who stayed longer than minimum duration criteria and do not possess a valid visa or other immigration
documentation should be considered part of the resident population.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

343

Figure 2. Conceptual framework on intersection between duration of stayand international mobility
Durationof stay

Type of stay

Present
Population

Duration / typeof stay abroad

Residents returningfrom temparory
stay abroad
Minimum of
resident
requirement(ideally 6–12
months)International
arrivals

New residents(immigrants)

Resident
Population

if stay more thanminimum duration

Less thanminimum of
resident
requirement(including daily
border crossing)

Previous residents(emigrants)
Minimum of resident
requirement (ideally
6–12 months)

Residents
temporarily
abroadTemporary(non‐resident)
mobilityLess than minimumof resident requirement(including daily bordercrossing)

Temporary
Population

International
departures344

Appendices

Chapter 3
Appendix A. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs: Regions and Subregions
Please note that this table reflects the UN DESA geographic regions and subregions and does not imply official
endorsement or acceptance by IOM.
AfricaEastern AfricaaMiddle AfricabNorthern Africac

Southern Africad

Western Africae

BurundiAngolaAlgeria

Botswana

Benin

Comoros

Cameroon

Egypt

Eswatini

Burkina Faso

Djibouti

Central African
Republic

Libya

LesothoCabo Verde

Eritrea

Chad

MoroccoNamibia

Côte d’Ivoire

Ethiopia

Congo (the)Sudan (the)South Africa

Gambia (the)Kenya

Democratic Republicof the Congo

Tunisia

Madagascar

Equatorial Guinea

GuineaMalawi

Gabon

Guinea-Bissau

Mauritius

Sao Tome and Principe

Liberia

Ghana

MayotteMali

Mozambique

Mauritania

RéunionNiger

RwandaNigeria

Seychelles

Saint Helena

Somalia

SenegalSouth Sudan

Sierra Leone

UgandaTogo

United Republic of
Tanzania
ZambiaZimbabwea Eastern Africa has been combined with the Southern Africa subregion in this chapter, although the countries/territories/areas
remain the same.
b This subregion has been renamed “Central Africa” in this chapter and combined with Western Africa.
c This subregion has been renamed “North Africa”.
d This subregion has been combined with Eastern Africa.
e This subregion has been renamed “West Africa” and combined with Central Africa (UN DESA Middle Africa) in this chapter.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

345

Asia
Central Asia

Eastern Asia

South-Eastern Asiaf

Southern Asia

Western Asiag

Kazakhstan

China

Brunei Darussalam

Afghanistan

Armenia

Kyrgyzstan

China, Hong Kong
Special Administrative
RegionCambodia

Bangladesh

Azerbaijan

Tajikistan

China, Macao Special
Administrative Region

Indonesia

BhutanBahrainTurkmenistan

Democratic People’s
Republic of Korea

Lao People’s
Democratic Republic

India

CyprusUzbekistan

Japan

Malaysia

Iran (Islamic
Republic of)Georgia

Mongolia

MyanmarMaldives

Iraq

Republic of Korea

Philippines (the)NepalIsraelSingapore

Pakistan

JordanThailandSri Lanka

KuwaitTimor-Leste

LebanonViet Nam

Oman
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Syrian Arab
Republic
TurkeyUnited ArabEmiratesYemen

f This region has been renamed “South-East Asia”.
g This subregion has been renamed “Middle East”.

346

Appendices

EuropehEastern Europei

Northern Europe

Southern Europe

Western Europe

Belarus

Channel Islands

Albania

Austria

Bulgaria

Denmark

AndorraBelgium

Czechia

Estonia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

FranceHungary

Faroe Islands

Croatia

Germany

PolandFinlandGibraltar

Liechtenstein

Republic of Moldova

Iceland

GreeceLuxembourg

Romania

Ireland

Holy See

MonacoRussian Federation

Isle of Man

Italy

Netherlands (the)Slovakia

LatviaMalta

Switzerland

UkraineLithuania

Montenegro

NorwayNorth Macedonia

SwedenPortugal

United Kingdom of GreatBritain and Northern Ireland

San Marino
SerbiaSlovenia
Spainh Some countries in this subregion, particularly members of the European Union, may have been included both in the discussion of SouthEastern and Eastern Europe, as well as the subregional discussion on Northern, Western and Southern Europe within the chapter.
i Northern, Western and Southern Europe are combined in the chapter, excluding the following countries in Southern Europe: Albania,
Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro, Serbia and North Macedonia, which have been included in South-East Europe in thechapter, under the subregion South-Eastern and Eastern Europe.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

347

Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean

South America

Central Americaj

Anguilla

BelizeArgentina

Antigua and Barbuda

Costa Rica

Bolivia (Plurinational State of)

Aruba

El Salvador

BrazilBahamasGuatemala

Chile

Barbados

Honduras

Colombia

Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba

MexicoEcuadorBritish Virgin Islands

Nicaragua

Falkland Islands (Malvinas)

Cayman Islands

PanamaFrench Guiana

Cuba

GuyanaCuraçaoParaguay

Dominica

Peru

Dominican Republic

Suriname

GrenadaUruguay

Guadeloupe

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

Haiti
Jamaica
MartiniqueMontserrat
Puerto Rico
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Saint Lucia
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Sint Maarten (Dutch part)
Trinidad and Tobago
Turks and Caicos Islands
United States Virgin IslandsjThe subregion “Central America” has been combined with Mexico and the Caribbean in this chapter.

348

AppendicesNorthern America
BermudaCanadaGreenlandSaint Pierre and Miquelon
United States of America

Oceania
Australia and New
ZealandMelanesia

Micronesia

Polynesia

Australia

Fiji

Guam

American Samoa

New Zealand

New Caledonia

Kiribati

Cook Islands

Papua New Guinea

Marshall Islands

French Polynesia

Solomon Islands

Micronesia (Federated
States of)

Niue

Vanuatu

Nauru

Samoa

Northern Mariana Islands

Tokelau

Palau

Tonga
TuvaluWallis and Futuna Islands

Legend:RegionSubregioni
Country/territory/areaii,iii
Note: For methodology as well as explanatory notes, see International Migrant Stock 2020: Documentation, available at www.un.org/
development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/undesa_pd_2020_international_migrant_stock_documentation.
pdf.
i Subregions utilized within the chapter may differ from those utilized by UN DESA’s Statistical Division either by name, or by countries/
territories/areas included within.
ii “The names of countries or areas refer to their short form used in day-to-day operations of the United Nations and not necessarily totheir official name as used in formal documents. These names are based on the United Nations Terminology Database (UNTERM), which
can be found at https://unterm.un.org/UNTERM/portal/welcome. The designations employed and the presentation of material at thissite do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations [or the International
Organization for Migration (IOM)] concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning
the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.” For further information, see https://unstats.un.org/unsd/methodology/m49/.
iii The entities included in this table, which the previous chapter draws upon, comprise countries, as well as territories, areas and special
administrative regions. Please note that this table is not intended to be fully comprehensive.

© 2019 United Nations. All rights reserved worldwide

TRUSTEESHIPCOUNCIL 6

INTERNATIONAL
COURT OF JUSTICESECRETARIATECONOMIC AND
SOCIAL COUNCIL

SECURITYCOUNCIL

GENERALASSEMBLYUN PRINCIPAL
ORGANS
1

Research and Training

UNODC1 United Nations Office on Drugs
and Crime

19-00073 — July 2019

SRSG/VAC Office of the Special
Representative of the SecretaryGeneral on Violence Against Children

UNOV United Nations Office at Vienna

UNOP 2 United Nations Office for Partnerships

UNON United Nations Office at Nairobi

UN-OHRLLS Office of the High Representative
for the Least Developed Countries,
Landlocked Developing Countries and Small
Island Developing States

UNOG United Nations Office at Geneva

UNDRR United Nations Office for Disaster
Risk Reduction

UNICRI United Nations Interregional Crime andJustice Research Institute
UNRISD United Nations Research Institute forSocial Development

Research and Training

UNAIDS Joint United Nations Programme on
HIV/AIDS
UNGEGN United Nations Group of Experts on
Geographical Names
UNGGIM Committee of Experts on Global
Geospatial Information Management• Committee for Development Policy• Committee of Experts on Public
Administration• Committee on Non-Governmental
Organizations• Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues

Other Bodies10• Peacekeeping operations and political missions• Sanctions committees (ad hoc)
• Standing committees and ad hoc bodies

UN-WOMEN 1 United Nations Entity for Gender
Equality and the Empowerment of WomenUNRWA1 United Nations Relief and Works
Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East

UNOPS1 United Nations Office for Project
Services

UNHCR 1 Office of the United Nations
High Commissioner for Refugees

UNCTAD1,8 United Nations Conference on
Trade and Development

ITC International Trade Centre (UN/WTO)

Other Entities

High-level Political
Forum on Sustainable
Development

HLPF

This Chart is a reflection of the functional organization of the United Nations
System and for informational purposes only. It does not include all offices orentities of the United Nations System.

Notes:
1 Members of the United Nations System Chief Executives Board for
Coordination (CEB).
2 UN Office for Partnerships (UNOP) is the UN’s focal point vis-a-vis the United
Nations Foundation, Inc.
3 IAEA and OPCW report to the Security Council and the General Assembly (GA).
4 WTO has no reporting obligation to the GA, but contributes on an ad hoc basis
to GA and Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) work on, inter alia, financeand development issues.
5 Specialized agencies are autonomous organizations whose work iscoordinated through ECOSOC (intergovernmental level) and CEB (intersecretariat level).
6 The Trusteeship Council suspended operation on 1 November 1994, as
on 1 October 1994 Palau, the last United Nations Trust Territory, became
independent.
7 International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) andMultilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) are not specialized
agencies in accordance with Articles 57 and 63 of the Charter, but are part of
the World Bank Group.
8 The secretariats of these organs are part of the UN Secretariat.
9 The Secretariat also includes the following offices: The Ethics Office, United
Nations Ombudsman and Mediation Services, and the Office of Administrationof Justice.
10 For a complete list of ECOSOC Subsidiary Bodies see un.org/ecosoc.

FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
ICAO International Civil Aviation Organization
IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development
ILO International Labour Organization
IMF International Monetary FundIMO International Maritime Organization
ITU International Telecommunication Union
UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural
Organization
UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization
UNWTO World Tourism Organization
UPU Universal Postal Union
WHO World Health Organization
WIPO World Intellectual Property Organization
WMO World Meteorological Organization
WORLD BANK GROUP7• IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction andDevelopment• IDA International Development Association• IFC International Finance Corporation

Specialized Agencies1, 5

Peacebuilding
Commission

WTO1, 4 World Trade Organization

OPCW 3 Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical
Weapons

ITLOS International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea

ISA International Seabed Authority

IOM 1 International Organization for Migration

ICC International Criminal Court

UNU United Nations University

IAEA1, 3 International Atomic Energy Agency

UNSSC United Nations System Staff College

SRSG/CAAC Office of the Special
Representative of the SecretaryGeneral for Children and Armed
Conflict
SRSG/SVC Office of the Special
Representative of the SecretaryGeneral on Sexual Violence inConflict

Related Organizations
CTBTO PREPARATORY COMMISSION
Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization

UNITAR United Nations Institute forTraining and Research

UNIDIR United Nations Institute for
Disarmament Research

OSAA Office of the Special Adviser
on Africa

OLA Office of Legal Affairs

OIOS Office of Internal Oversight
Services

OHCHR Office of the United Nations
High Commissioner for Human
RightsODA Office for Disarmament Affairs

OCT Office of Counter-Terrorism

ESCWA Economic and Social
Commission for Western Asia

ESCAP Economic and Social
Commission
for Asia and the Pacific

ECLAC Economic Commission for
Latin America and the Caribbean

ECE Economic Commission for Europe

ECA Economic Commission for Africa

Regional Commissions 8• International Residual Mechanism
for Criminal Tribunals• Military Staff Committee

WFP World Food Programme (UN/FAO)

UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund

UN-HABITAT8 United Nations Human
Settlements Programme

UNFPA United Nations Population Fund

UNEP8 United Nations Environment
Programme• UNV United Nations Volunteers

Development Fund

• UNCDF United Nations Capital

UNDP United Nations Development
Programme

Funds and Programmes

Published by the United Nations Department of Global Communications

OCHA Office for the Coordination of
Humanitarian Affairs

DSS Department of Safety and Security

DPPA Department of Political andPeacebuilding Affairs

DPO Department of Peace Operations

DOS Department of Operational Support

DMSPC Department of Management
Strategy, Policy and Compliance

DGC Department of Global
Communications

DGACM Department for General
Assembly and ConferenceManagement

DESA Department of Economic andSocial Affairs

DCO Development Coordination Office

EOSG Executive Office of theSecretary-General

Departments and Offices 9• Crime Prevention and Criminal
Justice• Narcotic Drugs• Population and Development• Science and Technology for
Development• Social Development• Statistics• Status of Women• United Nations Forum on Forests

Functional Commissions• Counter-Terrorism Committee

Subsidiary Organs• Standing committees andad hoc bodies• Main Committees• Joint Inspection Unit (JIU)• International Law Commission• Human Rights Council• Disarmament Commission

Subsidiary Organs

The United Nations System

Appendix A. Chart of the United Nations System

Chapter 4WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022
349

350

Appendices

Appendix B. Summary of the United Nations Compacts and Network on Migration process
timelines
United Nations General Assembly, September 2016
- New York Declaration for Refugees and Migrants- IOM becomes a United Nations-related organization
Global Compact on Refugees

Global Compact for Migration

United Nations Network on Migration

Jan. 2017 –Dec. 2017

Thematic
consultations

Apr. 2017

United Nations resolution on
the modalities of the Compact
processJun. 2017

NGO consultations

Apr. 2017 –Nov. 2017

Informal consultation phase; 6
thematic sessions

Dec. 2017 –Jan. 2018

Stocktaking
consultations

Dec. 2017 –Jan. 2018

Stocktaking phase

Dec. 2017

Secretary-General initiates
internal United Nations
consultations

Feb. 2018 –Jul. 2018

Formalconsultations

Dec. 2017

Secretary-General's report(Making migration work for all)published

May 2018

Executive Office of SecretaryGeneral decision on proposed
model

Feb. 2018 –Jul. 2018

Intergovernmental negotiation
phase

Jun. 2018

Deputy Secretary-General
briefs Member States on United
Nations Network

Jul. 2018

Final Global Compact for
Migration text welcomes
Secretary-General decision toestablish the Network

Oct. 2018

United Nations framing meetingon the Network

Nov. 2018

Network Terms of Reference
adoptedDec. 2018

Secretary-General launches
Network at international
conference

Jan. 2019

United Nations Network inplace; successor to the United
Nations Global Migration Group

Dec. 2018

General Assembly
adoption of the
Global Compact on
Refugees

Sep. 2016 – Dec. 2018
Application of CRRF
Source: Newland et al., 2019.

Dec. 2018

International conference toadopt the Global Compact for
Migration and then General
Assembly endorsement of the
Global Compact for MigrationTropical deforestation
increased in Africa, Latin
America and Asia–Pacificfollowing the imposition of
lockdowns, particularly inareas where legal enforcement
plays a key role in reducing
forest loss.d
The restrictions of economic
activity caused by lockdowns
led to improvements in
air quality, with a decline
in nitrogen dioxide
concentration levels acrossthe world.e
Sightings of wildlife, including
whales and turtles, increased
at Ecuadorian beaches
following a reduction in noiselevels.f

By disrupting services andincreasing stress and isolation,
public health measures suchas lockdowns are likely tonegatively impact the mental
health status of people withsevere mental illness.dMarie Stopes International
estimates that the closureof their reproductive healthservices across 37 countries
has led to 1.5 million additional
unsafe abortions and 3,100
pregnancy-related deaths.e

Under pessimistic scenarios,
COVID-19-related disruption tomalaria control in Africa could
almost double malaria mortality
in 2020, with potentially greater
increases in subsequent years.f

Healtha UNAIDS, 2020a.
b UNAIDS, 2020b.
c Brodeur et al., 2020.
d Centre for Evidence-Based
Medicine, 2020.
e Marie Stopes International, 2020.
f Weiss et al., 2020.

SocialSociala UN-Women, 2020.
b Sandin and Topa, 2020.
c UN DESA, 2020.
d Kang, 2020.
e Cooperman, 2020.

Of the adults from the UnitedStates of America who reported
watching religious services online in
July 2020, over half of them – 18%of all adults – only began doing sosince the onset of the pandemic.e

The Republic of Korea saw a 30%
increase in mobile game downloads
in the first quarter of 2020
following the imposition of mobility
restrictions.d

Several studies have found thatthe gender care gap has narrowed
during COVID-19 lockdowns;
however, this is largely dependent
on changes in men’s employment
status out of paid work.c

In El Salvador, gangs announced
mandatory curfews in areas where
government presence is weak, with
reports of “violent punishings”
of individuals who disobey publichealth measures.b

While violence against womenand girls has intensified since theonset of COVID-19, lockdowns
have made it difficult to request
help, with fewer requests made inareas where movement has been
restricted.aEnvironmenta Love and Rieland, 2020.
b Adyel, 2020.
c International Energy Agency, 2021.
d Brancalion et al., 2020.
e Narain, 2020.
f Ormaza-González and CastroRodas, 2020.

Across all major regions,the power mix has shifted
towards renewable energy
following lockdowns, due todepressed electricity demandand lower operating costs.c

Vehicular collisions in the
United States are estimated tohave fallen by 50% following the
introduction of lockdowns.c

Sources:

Environmental
The pandemic has led to a
proliferation in the use of
single-use plastics – including
an estimated monthly usage of
129 billion face masks – which
is driving the accumulation ofwaste.a,b

Health (non-virus)

A significant decrease in HIV
testing services was reported
in nearly all countries withavailable data between Januaryand July 2020.a However, inmany cases the disruption
to HIV treatment had been
reversed by July 2020.b

Appendix A

Chapter 5

Economic

Economic
a ILO, 2020a.
b Lakner et al., 2020.
c IOM, 2020h.
d Barrero et al., 2020.
e Zoom, 2020.

A huge rise in the use of videoconferencing platforms has beenrecorded. For example, daily
meeting participants on theZoom platform increased by 300
million in the first half of 2020.e

Commuting time in the UnitedStates of America is estimatedto have fallen by 62 million hours
per day, with 35% of workers
using this time to work on theirprimary job and 30% on leisureactivities.d

Despite predictions thatinternational remittances would
decline by 20% globally in 2020,
remittances to some countries
have increased during COVID19.c

According to World Bank
predictions, between 88 and 115
million people will be pushed
into poverty – defined as livingon less than USD 1.90 per day –due to the pandemic.b

The ILO estimates that global
working time declined in
the second quarter of 2020
(compared with the final quarterof 2019) by 17.3%, equivalent to
495 million full-time jobs.a

Education

Educationa UNESCO, 2021.
b UNSDG, 2020.
c Drayton and Waltmann, 2020.
d Jack et al., 2021.
e Haeck and Lefebvre, 2020.

A Canadian study has
estimated that school
closures induced by
COVID-19 could widen thesocioeconomic score gap
by up to 30%.eUsing overhead cameras,
medical students at aTokyo university are able
to livestream surgeries withreal-time communication
between the surgeon andstudents.d

It has been predicted that
the United Kingdom’s
university sector could
incur long-run losses of
up to GBP 19 billion, withinstitutions that have alarge share of international
students most affected.c

While distance learning
reaches around 80% of
learners in high-income
countries, this reach drops
to less than 50% in lowincome countries.b

According to UNESCO, in
April 2020 75% of enrolledlearners (over 1.32 billion
learners) were affected byschool closures, with 139
nationwide closures.aWORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022
351

352

Appendices

Appendix B
Country case study (Africa): Kenya
Key statistics
Total population (2020) a

53.77 million

Human Development Index category
GDP (2020)

Mediumb

USD 98.84 billionc

GDP per capita (2020)

USD 1 838c

Immigrants (2020) d
Millions

1.05

Percentage of population
Emigrants abroad (2020)

1.95%
d

Millions

0.53

Percentage of population
Refugees and asylum seekers hosted (2020)

1.00%
505 000e

Internally displaced persons (as at end 2020)

394 000f

COVID-19 confirmed cases (as of 11 March 2021)

g

Total

109 643

Per million

2 039

COVID-19 deaths (as of 11 March 2021) g
Total

1 886

Per million
Air passengers (2019)35
h6.42 million

Sources: a) UN DESA, 2019; b) UNDP, 2020b; c) World Bank, n.d.; d) UN DESA, 2021b; e) UNHCR, n.d.;f) IDMC, 2021; g) WHO, n.d.; h) ICAO, n.d.

COVID-19 and Kenya as a mobility hub
Major impacts on populations
For over a decade, the Government of Kenya has been seeking to make the country a regional transit hub for bothpassengers and cargo. As part of its Kenya Vision 2030 programme, the Government modernized and expanded its
aviation facilities, and the number of passengers carried in the country reached 6.4 million in 2019, an increase of morethan 120 per cent compared with 2008, when the programme was launched.87 Vision 2030 also led to an increasein the capacity of the Port of Mombasa, the African point of entry for billions of dollars’ worth of goods that aresubsequently transported by road to inland countries across East and Central Africa.88
87
88

Government of Kenya, 2008; World Bank, 2020b.
Kenya Ports Authority, 2020; IOM, 2020i.

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This trend towards increased mobility was dramatically reversed following the onset of COVID-19. On 15 March
2020, travel was suspended for almost all persons entering Kenya from a country with reported COVID-19 cases,
with only Kenyan citizens and those with valid residence permits allowed to enter.89 Further, by 29 March 2020 thecountry’s borders with Ethiopia, South Sudan and Uganda had been closed, while the borders with Somalia and theUnited Republic of Tanzania were closed on 16 May 2020.90 One year later in March 2021, new waves of the virus
had again impaired mobility, as no road, rail or air transport was permitted in Nairobi, Kajiado, Kiambu, Machakos
and Nakuru.91 Additionally, international travel was allowed, but subject to proof of a negative COVID-19 test, alongwith curfew measures reflecting the increasing COVID-19 positivity rate and hospital admissions in Kenya.92 Sucha turbulent year therefore created significant mobility challenges across all modes of transport, and in turn for the
Kenyan economy and the food security of individuals across the region.
Key challenges for authorities and practitioners
Passenger aviation fell sharply following the imposition of mobility restrictions, with international visitor arrivals
72 per cent lower between January and October 2020 than in the same period a year earlier.93 This decline in air
traffic had a major economic impact on airlines, including Kenya Airways, which reported a decrease in total revenue
by 48 per cent in the six months to June 2020.94 Yet this collapse also impacted the wider Kenyan economy: thecut flowers industry – which in 2018 was the second most exported good or service in Kenya – experienced asharp decline in exports between March and May 2020 due to the suspension of international flights.95 As European
markets began to open after lockdowns in July 2020, the flower industry in Kenya slowly began to recover, with somecompanies reporting that demand rose back up to 85 per cent.96 To sustain growth, the Kenyan Government worked
with multiple stakeholders to ensure operations, which contributed to an increase in demand for four months from
November 2020, despite new waves of the virus and subsequent lockdowns.97
While the Port of Mombasa was largely unaffected by mobility restrictions, the closure of borders created difficulties
for the transportation of cargo via road.98 Despite being exempt from Kenya’s border closures, truck drivers wereidentified as a high-risk group for the spread of COVID-19. As a result, they were required to either show a negative
test taken in the previous 14 days or to take a test before being permitted to cross the border.99 This led to queues
at one-stop border points of up to 60 kilometres, in some cases taking drivers between five and 10 days to clear.100
This disruption had severe implications in light of the largest locust outbreak seen in some East African countries for
decades in 2019.101 Indeed, the United Nations World Food Programme warned that bottlenecks at borders were
putting the delivery of vital food supplies at risk, including food destined for refugee camps.102 Concerns were also
89 Kenyan Ministry of Health, 2020.
90 KTN News, 2020; Malak, 2020; Tubei, 2020.
91 Africanews and AFP, 2021.
92 Ibid.
93 Kenyan Tourism Research Institute, 2020.
94 Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange, 2020.
95 Mold and Mveyange, 2020; Banga et al., 2020.
96 Mohammed, 2020.
97 Kantaria, 2021.
98 Hellenic Shipping News, 2020.
99 Ratner, 2020.
100 Ibid.
101 FAO, 2020.
102 Biryabarema and Obulutsa, 2020.

354

Appendicesraised that these queues were facilitating the spread of COVID-19, as drivers were required to sleep in unsanitaryconditions and, because they had no food or water, to interact with the local communities near the border.103 Food
security in the region was further threatened by the inability to engage in agriculture and informal activities amid therestrictions to mobility and the precarity of remittances.104
Good practices
Although passenger flights endured acute disruption due to the pandemic, cargo flights continued at higher levels. The
airline Astral Aviation increased its air traffic within Africa, operating cargo freighters between its Nairobi hub and13 destinations on the continent, while Kenya Airways converted some of its passenger aircraft into cargo flights.105
This not only bolstered the airlines themselves, but also increased exports, such as for the cut-flowers industry.106 The
Government also moved to nationalize Kenya Airways in an attempt to financially support the airline, although thisstalled in September 2020 following the rejection of a key bill by the Kenyan Lawyers Lobby, which cited “significant
legal issues”.107
Further, in order to strengthen Kenya’s COVID-19 testing capacity at two of its busiest border points, the East
African Community (EAC) provided the Kenyan Government with two mobile laboratories in May 2020, which werebuilt using funding from the German Federal Government.108 IOM also helped clear the queues of trucks throughthe deployment of medical staff, which enabled the testing of 400 samples per day.109 However, a more permanent
solution emerged in September 2020 when the EAC launched the Regional Electronic Cargo and Driver Tracking
System, a mobile contact-tracing application that issued drivers with a digital health declaration recognized by all
EAC members.110 This minimized the need for multiple COVID-19 tests on a single trip and reduced bottlenecks atborders.111
Lessons learned after 12 months of COVID-19
Following their pivot towards cargo flights, towards the end of 2020 Kenyan airlines moved to play a role in thevaccination phase of the pandemic: in preparation for the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccines, Kenya Airways invested in a
pharmaceutical facility located at the Jomo Kenyatta International Airport in Nairobi, while Astral Aviation announced
that it would offer an on-demand charter service for vaccines to Africa.112 By March 2021, Kenya received the firstbatch of COVID-19 vaccines and launched a national campaign prioritizing front-line health workers and essential
staff.113
Meanwhile, in light of the disruption to the transportation of cargo caused by the virus, the Kenyan Government sought
to enhance the efficiency and coordination of the transport sector through the creation of the Kenya Transport andLogistics Network (KTLN) in August 2020. Upon its formation, the Government declared that the KTLN would help
achieve Kenya’s strategic agenda of becoming a regional logistics hub by allowing the centralization of operations andthe lowering of transportation costs.114
103 Mold and Mveyange, 2020; Muhumuza and Odula, 2020; Kazibwe, 2020.
104 Nechifor et al., 2021.
105 Gledhill, 2020; IOM, 2020i.
106 Banga et al., 2020.
107 Ombok, 2020.
108 EAC, 2020a; EAC, 2020b.
109 IOM, 2020i.
110 EAC, 2020a.
111 Ibid.
112 Brett, 2020; Astral Aviation, 2020.
113 WHO, 2021d.
114 Kenyan Digest, 2020

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Country case study (Asia): Bangladesh
Key statistics
Total population (2020)
Human Development Index category
GDP (2020)
GDP per capita (2020)

164.69 million
MediumUSD 324.24 billion
USD 1 968

Immigrants (2020)
Millions

2.11

Percentage of population

1.28%

Emigrants abroad (2020)
Millions
Percentage of population

7.40
4.49%

Refugees and asylum seekers hosted (2020)

866 000

Internally displaced persons (as at end 2020)

772 000

COVID-19 confirmed cases (as of 11 March 2021)
Total

553 105

Per million

3 358

COVID-19 deaths (as of 11 March 2021)
Total

8 496

Per million

52

Air passengers (2019)5.96 million

Sources: Please refer to the (Africa) Kenya country case study table for sources.

COVID-19 and remittances in Bangladesh
Major impacts on populations
Despite living beyond the country’s borders, Bangladesh’s diaspora plays a key role in its development. The WorldBank estimates that the emigrant population together sent home over USD 18 billion in 2019, with 73 per centcoming from Bangladeshi labourers working in predominantly “low-skilled” jobs in the Gulf Cooperation Council(GCC) countries.115 These remittances, which account for over 6 per cent of GDP and represent the country’s second
largest source of foreign income, are a lifeline for many Bangladeshis. Remittances account for 85 per cent of daily
expenditures for the families of overseas migrants, with 60 per cent of these families totally dependent on remittances
for their daily expenses.116

115 World Bank, 2020c; Sorkar, 2020.
116 Sorkar, 2020; Fitch Ratings, 2020.

356

Appendices

Disruptions induced by the COVID-19 pandemic posed a serious threat to the financial security of dependants backhome. The World Bank initially projected a 20 per cent decline in total remittances to Bangladesh, and in the monthsof March, April and May 2020 these projections were confirmed.117 Yet in contrast with pessimistic predictions,international remittances to Bangladesh rose overall between January and October 2020; for example, they were
17 per cent higher than over the same period a year earlier, and a record figure of USD 2.6 billion was remitted inJuly 2020.118 This was in contrast to the wider South Asia region, where remittances were forecast by the WorldBank to fall by 4 per cent in 2020 and around 11 per cent in 2021.119 Since the surge in May and June 2020, theremittances flow accumulated above USD 2 billion monthly for the remainder of 2020.120 As recently as March 2021,
the Bangladeshi diaspora were reported to have sent USD 1.91 billion, up 50.16 per cent from the same month
the previous year, owing to government and central bank initiatives to boost remittances, as well as Bangladeshi
expatriates sending more money to relatives who have lost their sources of income.121
The long border between Bangladesh and India posed challenges for containing the highly infectious Delta variant,with Bangladesh regions bordering India being the first to report major surges in infections due to cross-border
movement.122 Further, and despite internal travel restrictions, the rapid rise in infections caused thousands of internalmigrants living in the capital Dhaka to return to their villages, prompting further concerns of transmission.123
Key challenges for authorities and practitioners
The surge in international remittances was unexpected and made it difficult for the Government and financial
institutions to determine the correct policy response. Although the headline figure was positive, it was suggested that
this was caused in part by a diversion of remittances from informal to formal channels, due to difficulties carrying
money by hand under COVID-19 travel restrictions and a narrowing in the discrepancy in exchange rates of U.S.
dollars between the two channels.124
More significant, however, was the suggestion that remittance growth was due to migrant workers repatriating
their savings before returning home, implying not only a longer-term decline in remittances, but also signalling an
intensification of unemployment in Bangladesh: before borders closed in Bangladesh in March 2020, approximately
400,000 workers returned, mostly due to the pandemic.125 Among migrant workers who had returned from abroad
since the onset of the pandemic, a July 2020 report found that 70 per cent were unemployed.126 Unemployment within
Bangladesh and abroad is reflected in the disruption to migrant outflows, where the number of emigrants between
January to May 2020 was only 181,200 compared with 302,400 for the same period in 2019.127 The challenge tosecure employment among Bangladeshi migrant workers continues as the second and third waves of the coronavirus
pandemic disrupt cross-country travel.128 This is particularly true for South Asian migrant workers in GCC countries,
where there has been a steep decline in the demand for migrant workers in sectors such as food service, hospitality
117 Chowdhury and Chakraborty, 2021, using data from Bangladesh Bank.
118 Fitch Ratings, 2020; Bangladesh Bank, 2020.
119 World Bank, 2020c.
120 Chowdhury and Chakraborty, 2021.
121 Dhaka Tribune, 2021.
122 Alam, 2021.
123 DW, 2021.
124 World Bank, 2020a; Mahmud and Uddin, 2020.
125 UNDP, 2020b.
126 Fitch Ratings, 2020; IOM, 2020j.
127 Chowdhury and Chakraborty, 2021.
128 Ibid.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

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and manufacturing.129 The prolonged lockdowns and consequential unemployment will impact migrant workers’
incomes and their ability to send remittances, making families in Bangladesh vulnerable and potentially unable to meet
immediate needs such as food, clothing and education.130
Good practices
While the growth may have been due (in part) to shifts between remittance channels, it was also the result ofactions by policymakers to encourage and facilitate the sending of remittances. The Central Bank more than tripled
the ceiling on its 2019 cash incentive scheme – whereby remittance beneficiaries receive a two per cent bonus
on transfers made using formal systems – up to USD 5,000, while some commercial banks provided an additional
one per cent incentive to further increase the attractiveness of sending remittances.131 A partnership between mobile
financial service providers and commercial banks also facilitated the sending of remittances via online-to-walletmoney-transfer companies, increasing the daily average amount sent by 150 per cent in April 2020.132 Meanwhile,
the Ministry of Expatriates’ Welfare and Overseas Employment (MoEWOE) sought to address the potential forworsening unemployment announcing loans of up to USD 8,260 for returning migrant workers to pursue incomegenerating activities, particularly related to agriculture.133
However, the most significant driver of international remittance growth was the agency of migrants themselves. Whileinterest rates on deposits in the United States and European countries fell to around zero, the 5 per cent rates offeredby Bangladeshi banks became more appealing, as did Bangladeshi land.134 Expatriates also sent money to support
relatives who had suffered a loss in their income due to the pandemic or had been impacted by the severe floods that
followed Cyclone Amphan in May 2020, inundating a quarter of Bangladesh’s landmass.135
Lessons learned after 12 months of COVID-19
The pandemic has led to a push for the development of a formal and widely accepted skills recognition system toimprove the perceived economic value of migrant workers. Anticipating large arrivals of expatriates following theresumption of international travel, the MoEWOE looked to strengthen its Recognition of Prior Learning system,
which, according to the International Labour Organization, enables returning migrants to reintegrate themselves
within the domestic job market more easily.136 Similarly, the Embassy of Bangladesh in Saudi Arabia initiated a dialogue
with two agencies responsible for the Skills Verification Programme in the country, with the intention of boosting theearnings and facilitating the career progression of Bangladeshi migrant workers and, in turn, increasing the value ofremittances sent in the longer term.137
Moreover, the Government of Bangladesh is working to diversify work opportunities for migrant workers specificallyin the agricultural and health-care sectors in Africa and Europe, given the disruption to traditional labour markets
in the GCC countries and South-East Asia.138 Amid the challenges to mobility and migrant workers, Bangladesh isin dialogue with Malaysia to regularize the estimated 200,000 undocumented Bangladeshi migrant workers in the
country.139
129 Ibid.
130 Ibid.
131 HSBC, 2020; Aneja and Islam, 2020.
132 Aneja and Islam, 2020.
133 Karim et al., 2020.
134 Mahmud and Uddin, 2020.
135 BRAC, 2020.
136 ILO, 2020b.
137 Ibid.
138 UNDP, 2020b.
139 Ibid.

358

AppendicesCountry case study (Europe): Germany
Key statistics
Total population (2020)

83.78 million

Human Development Index category

Very highGDP (2020)

USD 3 806 billion

GDP per capita (2020)

USD 45 723

Immigrants (2020)
Millions

15.76

Percentage of population

18.81%

Emigrants abroad (2020)
Millions

3.85

Percentage of population

4.60%

Refugees and asylum seekers hosted (2020)

1 453 700Internally displaced persons (as at end 2020)–

COVID-19 confirmed cases (as of 11 March 2021)
Total

2 518 591

Per million

30 061COVID-19 deaths (as of 11 March 2021)
Total
Per million
Air passengers (2019)

72 489865
109.63 million

Sources: Please refer to the (Africa) Kenya country case study table for sources.

COVID-19 and the recognition of migrants’ skills in Germany
Major impacts on populations
With 1.2 million unfilled vacancies in 2018 and a net loss of 300,000 employees per year, labour shortages pose asignificant risk for the German economy.140 Attracting migrant workers is viewed as central to responding to theseshortages, with 73 per cent of the German population believing that migrants “help to fill jobs for which it’s hard
to find workers in Germany”.141 However, it has been argued that many of the shortages that migrants currently
attenuate are in industries that are characterized by low wages and poor working conditions, while administrative
hurdles have prevented the hiring of migrants in occupations classed by the German Government as “high skilled”.142

140 ODI, 2020.
141 EC, 2018.
142 Duell and Vetter, 2020.

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With 35 per cent of migrants classed as key workers, compared with under 30 per cent of German-born workers,
they are also overrepresented in “key worker sectors” – such as teaching, health care and agriculture – which cameto the forefront following the onset of COVID-19.143 As a result, the German Government was required to go tounprecedented lengths to keep key sectors running, addressing both obstacles to migrant employment induced bylockdowns, as well as longer-term obstacles that hindered migrant labour market integration prior to the pandemic.
Key challenges for authorities and practitioners
Lockdown-induced immobility represented the biggest driver of labour shortages in key sectors. In the agriculture
and horticulture sector, for example, the imposition of travel restrictions in March 2020 prevented the arrival of
the 286,000 seasonal migrant workers from Eastern Europe on which the sector relies.144 The agriculture ministrysought to mitigate this disruption to the sector by launching an online platform to match German volunteers with
farmers, but the number of volunteers registered fell far short of what the sector required.145 Similar difficulties wereexperienced in the care sector, which is dependent on live-in carers from Poland who work 2- to 12-week shifts
before returning home over the border, often on minibuses organized by care agencies. The reinstatement of bordercontrols, and the requirement to undergo a 14-day quarantine upon arrival, made these working patterns unfeasible,
and led many live-in carers to return home.146
Another key driver of labour shortages was a lack of qualified professionals in the face of increased demand, which
was exacerbated by the design of recent labour migration policies. For example, would-be migrant workers withvocational skills have struggled to gain recognition for their qualifications when applying for certain categories ofvisa, while asylum seekers living in Germany whose applications have previously been refused cannot apply for newly
created visa categories unless they travel to the German embassy in their home country.147 The effect of theseadministrative obstacles became more acute during the COVID-19 pandemic: in the health-care sector, for example,
existing staff were required to increase their working hours as their colleagues entered quarantine.148
Good practices
In March 2020, state governments sought the help of migrant doctors whose accreditation to practice medicine
was pending. The Saxon State Medical Association used social media to appeal for support, which was followed bya similar appeal from the Bavarian State Medical Association and the expediting of applications to recognize foreign
qualifications by the administration of North Rhine-Westphalia.149 More drastic efforts were taken to address theshortage of labour in the agricultural sector. Following intense pressure from the German Farmers Union and regional
farmers associations, the German Government reopened its border for 40,000 seasonal workers across April andMay 2020, with one of the reasons cited for this decision being that German-born workers were slower than migrant
workers and often quit after a short period.150 The maximum period for which foreign workers were allowed towork in Germany without needing to contribute to the German social security system was also raised, which enabled
143 Fasani and Mazza, 2020.
144 Hooper and Le Coz, 2020.
145 Buck et al., 2020.
146 Safuta and Noack, 2020.
147 Grüll, 2020.
148 Kramer et al., 2021.
149 Goßner, 2020.
150 U.S. Foreign Agricultural Service, 2020.

360

Appendicesseasonal workers already in Germany to remain there for longer.151 As the 2021 season begins, seasonal migrant
workers will have to show proof of a negative COVID-19 test upon arrival and receive a test again on the farm.152
Lessons learned after 12 months of COVID-19
By highlighting the crucial role that migrants play in key sectors, the pandemic has led to calls for more accurate data
to be collected so that Germany’s true dependence on migrant workers can be gauged and safe legal mechanisms
developed to facilitate their arrival.153 Yet it has also opened up a wider discussion about the conditions under which
migrants work: in May 2020, the German Government announced a series of reforms of the meat industry following
outbreaks of COVID-19 – in part due to poor working and living conditions for migrant workers – while changes tothe wage structure in the care sector were also discussed.154

151 Ibid.
152 Kinkartz, 2021.
153 Popp, 2020.
154 Young, 2020; Bruzelius and Ratzmann, 2020.

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Country case study (Latin America): Colombia
Key statistics
Total population (2020)

50.88 million

Human Development Index category
GDP (2020)
GDP per capita (2020)High
USD 271.35 billion
USD 5 332

Immigrants (2020)
Millions

1.90

Percentage of population

3.74%

Emigrants abroad (2019)
Millions

3.02

Percentage of population

5.94%

Refugees and asylum seekers hosted (2020)*

1 750 000Internally displaced persons (as at end 2020)

4.94 million

COVID-19 confirmed cases (as of 11 March 2021)
Total

2 282 372

Per million

44 855COVID-19 deaths (as of 11 March 2021)
Total

60 676Per million
Air passengers (2019)

1 192
37.03 million

Sources: Please refer to the (Africa) Kenya country case study table for sources.
* Includes displaced Venezuelans

COVID-19 and vulnerable and displaced populations in Colombia
Major impacts on populations
Over five million people have left the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela since 2015, when the country entered aperiod characterized by violence, persecution, and economic and political instability.155 Colombia has been the
major destination for the displaced, with almost 1.8 million Venezuelans entering the country by the end of January
2021.156 Despite going to great lengths to accommodate these arrivals – including the creation of mass regularization
initiatives – 56 per cent of Venezuelans lack regular status.157 On regularization, Colombia implemented a policy in
February 2021 that provides Venezuelan migrants and refugees with a 10-year temporary protection status, giving
them access to essential services like national health care.158
155 IOM and UNHCR, 2021.
156 Ibid.
157 Migración Colombia, 2021.
158 UNHCR, 2021a.

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AppendicesAmong challenges to obtain legal status, other barriers, including limited access to finance and discrimination in hiring,
have meant that many face difficulties accessing education, employment and health care.159 The pandemic has madethe situation of displaced Venezuelans in Colombia even more precarious. In an attempt to slow the spread of thevirus and reduce the significant pressure that had been placed on the already-strained health system, in March 2020
Colombia’s national Government imposed restrictions on mobility and economic activity.160 This added an economic
dimension to the health crisis and deepened the support required by these vulnerable groups.
Key challenges for authorities and practitioners
First and foremost, the pandemic presented a threat to displaced Venezuelans’ health, with migrants tending to face agreater risk of exposure to COVID-19 than Colombian-born individuals – many live in overcrowded households, withan average occupancy of five to nine people depending upon the city, while others live in informal settlements withlittle access to drinking water, bathrooms and other basic needs.161 Moreover, despite being eligible for some healthservices – regardless of status – displaced Venezuelans also have limited access to health care, particularly in borderregions where they are most populous, as in many of these regions the level of demand for health services exceeds
the capacity.162
The health risks of the virus are compounded by the economic impacts. Venezuelans are observed to be 36 per centmore likely to be financially impacted by the global pandemic than Colombians.163 Venezuelan migrants are more likely
to work in Colombia’s informal sector, which overlaps significantly with those sectors that were more highly impacted
by the country’s economic lockdown.164 Indeed, 64 per cent of Venezuelans were working in highly impacted sectors
prior to the pandemic, with this figure rising to 78 per cent among Venezuelan women.165 The impact of the lockdown
could be seen in an August 2020 assessment by IOM and the United Nations World Food Programme: 72 per centof Venezuelan migrants and refugees living in Colombia, Ecuador or Peru reported concerns about food security,
a 10 percentage point rise compared with the pre-pandemic period.166 Mass evictions also occurred following the
lockdown as migrants were unable to pay rent, leading to protests in the capital city of Bogotá.167
As a result, some migrants opted to return to the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela in spite of the acute risk thejourney entailed, with the suspension of public transport and closure of border crossings leaving returnees vulnerable
to armed groups and human traffickers.168 By the end of October 2020, over 120,000 Venezuelans had made thejourney.169 By May 2021, the border crossings between the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and Colombia had
become increasingly dangerous as gangs incited violence for control over illicit pathways and the spread of COVID-19
became more rampant amid the outbreak of new variants.170

159 Graham et al., 2020; UNHCR, 2020b.
160 Graham and Guerrero Ble, 2020.
161 IOM and UNHCR, 2021; Rotunno, 2019.
162 Quintero and Hodgson, 2020; Panayotatos and Schmidtke, 2020.
163 Center for Global Development, 2020.
164 Graham and Guerrero Ble, 2020.
165 Ibid.
166 IOM and WFP, 2020.
167 Panayotatos and Schmidtke, 2020.
168 UNHCR, 2020a.
169 IOM and WFP, 2020; Luzes and Freier, 2020.
170 McColl, 2021.

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Good practices
Apart from its large-scale regularization policy, Colombia’s national Government took several measures in the early
weeks of the pandemic. In light of the decision to close migration services offices, on 26 March 2020 it was announced
that expiration terms and processing deadlines for migrant permits and documents would be suspended, reducing therisk of detention or deportation of Venezuelans without valid documentation.171 In early April a six-point plan wasannounced, which detailed how Venezuelans would be integrated into the national COVID-19 response. The plansought to guarantee health-care access for all migrants, regardless of their documentation status, while regular migrants
were included in food distribution and economic support initiatives, such as the “solidarity income programme”, which
provided assistance to those working in the informal sector (and so were ineligible for other support programmes).172
A moratorium on evictions was also announced in April 2020, with government officials fining those who subsequently
evicted vulnerable populations, although evictions continued to be reported after its introduction.173
Humanitarian organizations also played a key role in supporting vulnerable Venezuelans. For example, as of June
2020 IOM had provided over 85,000 Venezuelans with non-food items, including hygiene kits and personal protective
equipment, while UNHCR helped migrants through the regularization process via 59 helplines, and other aid
organizations distributed cash assistance through debit cards.174 A web platform titled “Response for Venezuelans”
also exists to strengthen data management and coordination efforts among organizations and agencies aiming to assist
and protect refugees and migrants from the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela.175 Access to vaccination programminghas also been critical.
Lessons learned after 12 months of COVID-19
The disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on displaced Venezuelans in Colombia has underscored the vulnerabilityof those facing barriers to social and economic inclusion, leading some to call for these barriers to be eliminated.176
Yet the pandemic has also drawn attention to the Colombian Government’s lack of resources to meet the needsof these vulnerable groups, and the need for international organizations and national governments from aroundthe world to help meet the shortfall.177 As of April 2021, UNHCR and IOM jointly lead the coordination of 73
international organizations and agencies, currently working across 14 states in Colombia in alignment with existing
national humanitarian efforts.178

171 Migración Colombia, 2020.
172 Van Praag and Arnson, 2020; Fradique-Mendez and Rodriguez, 2020.
173 Van Praag and Arnson, 2020.
174 IOM, 2020k; UNHCR, 2020a; USAID, 2020.
175 IOM and UNHCR, 2021.
176 Graham et al., 2020.
177 Ibid.
178 Frydenlund et al., 2021.

364

AppendicesCountry case study (Northern America): United States of America
Key statistics
Total population (2020)
Human Development Index category
GDP (2020)
GDP per capita (2020)

331.00 million
Very high
USD 20 937 billion
USD 63 543

Immigrants (2020)
Millions

50.66

Percentage of population

15.30%

Emigrants abroad (2020)
Millions

2.99

Percentage of population

0.91%

Refugees and asylum seekers hosted (2020)

1 338 800

Internally displaced persons (as at end 2020)

126 000

COVID-19 confirmed cases (as of 11 March 2021)
Total
Per million

28 879 927
87 250COVID-19 deaths (as of 11 March 2021)
Total
Per million
Air passengers (2019)523 986
1 583
926.74 million

Sources: Please refer to the (Africa) Kenya country case study table for sources.

COVID-19 and the hardening immigration policy and practice in the United States
Major impacts on populations
Following the outbreak of COVID-19 in early 2020, the United States enacted a range of far-reaching policy changes
relating to migrants and migration. While many of these policies had been replicated in other nation States – suchas travel bans on countries with high incidences of COVID-19, for example – others were viewed as doing more toadvance the then administration’s long-standing migration goals than to halt the spread of the virus.179
These policy changes – which were both rapid and widespread – can be grouped into one of two broad policy areas.
The first relates to the tightening of entry to the United States, encapsulated by the suspension of routine visa services
and closure of the United States–Mexico border for “non-essential travel” in March 2020, as well as the subsequenthalting of the issuance of visas, including for permanent immigration categories in April 2020 and for temporary work

179 Pierce and Bolter, 2020.

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visas in June 2020.180 These changes were enacted with the stated aim of preserving employment opportunities forUnited States citizens affected by the economic impact of the pandemic.181 In March 2020, the practice of expellingindividuals who arrived at the Mexican or Canadian borders also began following an order issued by the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), otherwise known as “Title 42”, which cited a danger to public health, withthose expelled being returned predominantly to Central American countries.182
The second area concerns the interior enforcement of migration rules, and notably the restricted access for migrants
to COVID-19 economic support programmes, such as the USD 2.3 trillion CARES Act. For example, under the Act,
economic impact payments were restricted to those in households where all individuals filed federal taxes using asocial security number.183 This therefore excluded not only migrants who entered the United States through irregularpathways or were residing on temporary visas, but also their United States-born household members.184 Further,
despite calls to release people from immigration detention due to concerns of transmission in facilities, immigration
detention policies were maintained, with people continuing to be detained (albeit at reduced rates).185 In addition,
despite borders being largely closed or severely contained, deportations continued during the pandemic, including tohigh-risk COVID-19 locations.186
With the change of administration in January 2021, a number of immigration policies were reversed, including therecission of the travel ban, the suspension of construction at the southern border, and the restoration of the Deferred
Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) programme.187 However, there was also an influx at the southern border,
posing challenges to the reformation of the immigration system and the implementation of public health safetymeasures concerning the monitoring of outbreaks and testing individuals at the border.188
Key challenges for authorities and practitioners
Aspects of federal policy introduced during the pandemic were criticized for hindering the ability of the United States
to respond effectively. In March 2020, for example, a coalition of agriculture trade groups wrote to the Secretary ofState to warn that the decision to suspend routine visa services would “undoubtedly cause a significant disruption to
the US food supply”, while in July 2020 the American Medical Association called upon the Secretary of State to reopenvisa processes for physicians seeking to join residency programmes, in order to avoid significantly compromising thehealth of the country’s “most vulnerable patients”.189 Concerns over visa issuances continued under the subsequentadministration, where the Department of State faces new lawsuits for refusing to issue visas in countries where there
are high COVID-19 incidences.190 The refusal of visa issuances is argued as not advancing the protection of publichealth, as individuals who acquire a visa must show proof of a negative COVID-19 test before arriving in the UnitedStates and can quarantine.191

180 Ibid.
181 Loweree et al., 2020; McAuliffe, 2020.
182 Pierce and Bolter, 2020; AIC, 2021.
183 U.S. Congress Joint Economic Committee, 2020.
184 IRS, 2021.
185 Loweree et al., 2020.
186 Blitzer, 2020; Loweree et al., 2020.
187 Chishti and Pierce, 2021.
188 Banco and Rodriguez, 2021.
189 Agriculture Workforce Coalition, 2020; American Medical Association, 2020.
190 Anderson, 2021.
191 Waldron and Ali, 2021.

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A further subset of policies was considered to inhibit the spread of the virus. For example, there was concern thatthe decision to exclude migrants from social support was interacting with the Public Charge Rule – which enabledmigrants who were deemed “more likely than not” to use public benefits at any point in the future to be denied
permanent residence – to discourage migrants from accessing health care and, in turn, “impeding efforts to stop the
spread” of COVID-19.192
Other policies were perceived not as exacerbating the response to the pandemic, but instead to be eroding
humanitarian protections. Among those expelled under the CDC’s March 2020 order were unaccompanied migrantchildren, with UNICEF warning that those who were returned to their countries of origin were a protection risk, asthey faced violence and discrimination upon their return.193 The New York City Bar raised similar concerns, arguingthat safety protocols could have been implemented at the border that would have protected public health while
simultaneously preserving the rights of asylum seekers.194
Good practices
The United States outlined a number of exceptions to border restrictions with the aim of supporting essential
services. Shortly following the decision to suspend routine visa services, the Department of State acknowledged
H-2 visa holders as essential to the United States economy and food security, and announced that the visa interview
requirement would be waived for a range of applicants, including some agricultural workers, while emergency visa
services were restarted for medical professionals.195 The United States also continued to permit “essential travel”
across the United States–Mexico border, which included the movement of agricultural workers, individuals engaged
in cross-border trade, and those travelling for emergency response and public health purposes.196 In August 2020,
exceptions were announced following the suspension of certain types of temporary work visa, including public healthor health-care professionals and researchers whose work would “help alleviate the effects of the pandemic”.197
A number of state governments introduced policies to support migrants. In California, for example, one-time cash
payments of USD 500 were distributed to those who were ineligible for support under the CARES Act because of
their immigration status, while migrant and refugee communities in Chicago were able to access the city’s COVID-19
Housing Assistance Grant programme.198 Meanwhile, other policies were suspended at the federal level. The Public
Charge Rule was temporarily halted after a federal judge in New York issued a nationwide injunction in July 2020,
although this was subsequently overturned in September 2020 by the United States Court of Appeal for the Second
Circuit.199 Further, in November 2020 the expulsion of unaccompanied migrant children was blocked by a federal judge
on the grounds that the minors could be subject to sexual abuse, torture or death upon returning to their countryof origin.200 The vaccine roll-out has also included migrants and refugees, ensuring that every individual, regardless of
their immigration status, can access a vaccine.201 As of 10 March 2021, close to 10 per cent of the population was
fully vaccinated,202 and by April 2021, the CDC reported that 40.9 per cent of the population had received at least
one dose.203
192 U.S. Congress Joint Economic Committee, 2020; City of New York, 2020.
193 UNICEF, 2020.
194 New York City Bar, 2020.
195 U.S. Department of State, 2020a; U.S. Department of State, 2020b.
196 U.S. Customs and Border Protection, 2020.
197 U.S. Department of State, 2020a.
198 California Department of Social Services, 2021; City of Chicago, 2020.
199 U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, 2020.
200 Hesson and Rosenburg, 2020.
201 U.S. Department of Homeland Security, 2021.
202 AJMC, 2021.
203 CDC, 2021.

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Lessons learned after 12 months of COVID-19
Changes to United States migration policy settings – as well as the Federal Government’s broader COVID-19
response – largely reflected the change in administration in January 2021. Extensive criticisms of the previous
administration’s handing of the pandemic, predominantly around public health, but also including migration aspects,
were voiced from early in the pandemic when its response measures were inadequate, delayed and/or fragmented.204
The strong focus on the United States’ domestic economic considerations within the context of a global public healthemergency were compounded by what some experts considered to be discriminatory and ineffective measures thatlocked out migrants across the country from economic relief available to others.205 While the immigration system
has seen some important changes under the new administration (such as rescinding the so-called “Muslim ban” andincreasing the refugee resettlement programme cap), changes related to COVID-19 aspects have also come about
through the expiry of previous orders (such as those related to COVID-19 travel bans or restrictions).206 At the timeof writing, other COVID-19 measures, such as Title 42 allowing for the expulsion of people at United States borders,remained in place, despite calls for their removal as the United States incrementally improves its COVID-19 situation
and response.207 The need to reduce COVID-19 barriers has been offset by concerns over the increased arrivals at
the southern border, where nearly 180,000 people arrived between January and March 2021.208

204 Altman, 2020; Lipton et al., 2021.
205 Goodwin and Chemerinsky, 2021; Loweree et al., 2020.
206 Montoya-Galvez, 2021.
207 UNHCR, 2021b.
208 Zakaria, 2021.

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AppendicesCountry case study (Oceania): Fiji
Key statistics
Total population (2020)
Human Development Index category
GDP (2020)
GDP per capita (2020)

0.9 millionHigh
USD 4.38 billion
USD 4 882

Immigrants (2019)
Millions

0.01

Percentage of population

1.57%

Emigrants abroad (2020)
Millions

0.23

Percentage of population

26.09%

Refugees and asylum seekers hosted (2020)

19

Internally displaced persons (as at end 2020)

14 000COVID-19 confirmed cases (as of 11 March 2021)
Total

66

Per million

74

COVID-19 deaths (as of 11 March 2021)
Total
Per million
Air passengers (2019)2
2
1.70 million

Sources: Please refer to the (Africa) Kenya country case study table for sources.

COVID-19 and tourism in Fiji
Major impacts on populations
When COVID-19 reached the Pacific island State of Fiji, the country moved swiftly to halt the spread of the virus. On
25 March 2020, six days after the country announced its first confirmed case, the main airport was closed, while acurfew was enacted and quarantine measures for returning nationals were introduced.209 As a result, Fiji was spared theworst of the health crisis, and on 4 November 2020 marked 200 days without any transmission in the community,210
recording 66 cases and two deaths as of 11 March 2021, one year after the onset of the global pandemic.211
However, these actions simultaneously shut down the tourism sector on which the economy relies: the sector directly
or indirectly employs approximately 140,000 people and contributes to 40 per cent of its GDP.212 Tourism revenue
209 Chanel, 2020; WHO, 2020c.
210 WHO, 2020c.
211 Worldometer, 2021.
212 United Nations Pacific, 2020.

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was 99.4 per cent lower in June 2020 than a year earlier and, according to a July 2020 report, micro, small and medium
enterprises (MSMEs) involved in the sector had lost seven times more income than MSMEs in non-tourism sectors,
while large tourism businesses lost twice as much as non-tourism businesses.213 The restrictions on mobility therefore
had significant ramifications for the tourism sector and those reliant upon it.
Key challenges for authorities and practitioners
The shutdown created immediate difficulties for those working in the sector: about 45 per cent of the labour force
in Fiji works in the tourism industry,214 with only 21 per cent of those employed prior to the pandemic still working
full time in July 2020, while 52 per cent were either on leave without pay or working reducing reduced hours.215
This aligned with a survey of tourism-dependent communities in the Pacific, which found that almost 90 per centof respondents lived in households that had seen a significant reduction of their usual income, with 85 per cent of
those who owned tourism-related businesses losing over three-quarters of their usual income.216 This decline inincome was particularly significant for women and vulnerable groups, who the UNDP notes typically lack accessto social protection and safety nets. Indeed, they predicted that the severe downturn of the tourism sector would
push marginal groups below the poverty line, exacerbate the income gap between high- and low-income earners andreinforce pre-existing gender inequalities by increasing the burden of domestic and care work for women.217 The Fiji
Ministry of Women reported a significant increase in assaults against women, observing a tenfold increase between
March and April 2020, with cases correlated with COVID-19, the strain on families and mobility restrictions.218
Between April and June 2020, Fiji garnered around FJD 4.2 million from tourist activities, compared with FJD 528.8
million earned in the previous year. Remaining stagnant, Fiji welcomed just over 1,000 tourists in the month of
September 2020, compared with around 81,000 in the previous year.219 It is clear that the pandemic poses a longterm threat to the tourism sector, with a July 2020 survey finding that 60 per cent of tourism businesses anticipatedeither closure or moving away from the sector if international travel did not resume in the subsequent six months.220
This was in large part due to financial pressures, with 29 per cent of those surveyed expecting bankruptcy in this timeframe, driven by a sharp decline in occupancy rates and forward bookings.221
Good practices
In their immediate COVID-19 response, the Government worked with the Fiji National Provident Fund (FNPF)– which collects compulsory contributions towards the retirement savings of Fijian workers and provides preretirement
benefits – to reduce employers’ and employees’ mandatory contributions to the FNPF, with both schemes used byaround 30 per cent of businesses. However, tourism businesses that operated informally were ineligible for this
support.222 Other initiatives were also introduced to support MSMEs, including short-term loans and loan repayment
holidays, although take-up was initially low for these schemes, in part due to a lack of awareness among businesses.223
213 Pacific Community Statistics for Development Division, 2020; IFC, 2020.
214 Connell, 2021.
215 IFC, 2020.
216 Scheyvens et al., 2020.
217 UNDP, 2020a.
218 Connell, 2021.
219 Ibid.
220 IFC, 2020.
221 Ibid.
222 Ibid.
223 Ibid.

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Support was also provided for workers, with impacted tourism employees eligible to access monetary support
through the FNPF, although again informal workers did not qualify for the initiative.224 As a result, many Fijians turned
to traditional skills. Over half of respondents to the survey of tourism-dependent communities reported growing foodfor their household to adapt to the pressures of the pandemic, while many had begun fishing. In the absence of cash,
35 per cent also reported trading or bartering goods, with a Facebook page titled “Barter for a Better Fiji” amassing
over 100,000 members in the weeks following the closure of the tourism sector.225 Support from NGOs such as theFoundation for Rural Integrated Enterprises and Development (FRIEND) supplied staple food packages for food banks
in Fiji.226
The Fijian Government also sought a reopening of the sector. After stalled negotiations to open a “Bula Bubble”– whereby travel between Fiji, New Zealand and Australia could restart without the requirement to undergo
quarantine – they instead allowed limited levels of “VIP tourism”. In September 2020 a “Blue Lane” for superyachts
was announced, where crew were permitted to arrive on the island if they had made no contact with people outsideof their yacht for 14 days prior to arrival, while a luxury island resort opened for private hire – including chartered
flights – in November 2020, so long as guests passed rigorous screening procedures beforehand.227
Lessons learned after 12 months of COVID-19
By highlighting the overreliance of the Fijian economy on tourism, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a push for its
diversification. The UNDP, for example, proposed the upscaling of Fiji’s agricultural response package, positing that
this would not only create employment opportunities, but also reduce dependence on imports and improve foodsecurity.228 It has also drawn attention to the vulnerability of informal workers, with the Fiji Trades Union Congresscalling for an extension of formal legal rights and protections to address gender imbalances in the labour market andalleviate poverty.229

224 Ibid.
225 Scheyvens et al., 2020; Tora, 2020.
226 Connell, 2021.
227 Rosen, 2020; Carruthers, 2020.
228 UNDP, 2020a.
229 ILO, 2020c.

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Chapter 6
Appendix A. Trends and drivers of conflict
During the last decade, conflicts have proliferated globally, reversing the trend set in the years following the end of
the Cold War when the world was becoming more peaceful as the number and intensity of most types of conflicts
declined over the subsequent decade (see Figure 1).230 Today, more than 40 per cent of those who are poor live
in countries affected by fragility, conflict and violence.231 Conflicts across the world have become more fragmented,
complex and protracted.232 While the number of inter-State conflicts (conflicts between States) has significantly
declined, intra-State conflicts (those within States) have escalated. Increasingly, however, internal conflicts are fueledby external actors in the form of proxy wars.233 The decline in direct conflict between States has been attributed
to a combination of factors, including the emergence of international norms that have increasingly been embraced
globally, the rise of more effective international organizations to enforce these norms, and the fact that previous
key drivers of conflicts between States, such as the seizure and annexation of land, have become less appealing
and less rewarding in a globalized economy.234

Figure 1: Armed conflict by region, 1946–2019

Source: UCDP, n.d.

In addition to being largely characterized by civil wars, contemporary conflicts have taken on new forms, comprising
not just armies of States, but also non-State armed groups, terrorists and even criminal gangs. They have also
become internationalized, often spilling across borders and aided by regional and global links, underscoring howtransnational various groups engaged in conflict have become.235 While it is all too common to try and reduce
various conflicts to a single cause or driver, conflict and violence are in fact often influenced by an interplay of
230 World Bank, 2018b.
231 World Bank, 2021b.
232 UN, n.d.a.
233 Dupuy and Rustad, 2018; Collier et al., 2003.
234 Szayna et al., 2017.
235 Avis, 2019.

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Appendicesfactors and processes and are often underpinned by socioeconomic and political dimensions. The causes of conflicthave been analysed through a range of drivers, those related to poverty, inequality and exclusion and those basedon material interests, such as natural resources.236 Much attention in recent years has focused on inequality andsocial exclusion, linking many of today’s conflicts to these drivers. Inequalities and exclusion do not in themselves
directly lead to conflict, but create conditions needed for grievances to fester.237 These drivers do not exist ina vacuum and are often steeped in a set of underlying conditions, including historical and development patterns,
such as colonial era and post-colonial development strategies, the institutional capacity of States, and international
policies.238

Advancing peace: The UN and regional bodies
Various actors, including the United Nations, have long worked to advance peace and security globally byboth resolving and preventing conflicts. The creation of the United Nations in 1945 in the aftermath of
the Second World War was driven by the single objective to maintain international peace and security;aand today, the United Nations Security Council has the primary responsibility for international peace andsecurity.b The Organization has pursued global peace and security through a range of mechanisms, suchas preventive diplomacy and mediation, peacekeeping, peacebuilding, counter-terrorism and disarmament.c
The United Nations has also promoted the rule of law at both national and international levels, as this isseen as key to lasting peace and to “the effective protection of human rights, and to sustained economic
progress and development”.d Further, the Organization has facilitated the adoption of resolutions as well as
global norms and values that have played a major role in managing conflict-related challenges. Recently, forexample, the United Nations General Assembly and Security Council adopted twin resolutions on sustaining
peace, which set out an ambitious and comprehensive agenda for peacebuilding.e, f The Global Compact on
Refugees, adopted in 2018, is an effort to foster international cooperation on “more predictable and equitable
responsibility-sharing”, given the sharp increase in the number of refugees and asylum seekers globally, andalso commits States to preventing and addressing the root causes of large-scale refugee movements andprotracted refugee situations, including bolstering their international efforts to prevent and resolve conflict.g
The Global Compact also aims to pursue a multi-stakeholder and partnership approach, including leveraging
the United Nations system to ensure on-the-ground cooperation that aligns with the United Nations
Secretary-General’s reform agenda in the areas of peace, security and development.h Regional organizations,
including regional economic communities, have stepped up their peace efforts and play an increasingly vitalrole in resolving and preventing conflict within their regions. Organizations such as the Intergovernmental
Authority on Development (IGAD) and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), forexample, are heavily involved in peacekeeping and peacebuilding efforts within their regions.i
a
b
c
d
e
f

UN, n.d.b.
Ibid.
Ibid.
UN, 2007.
Ibid.
The United Nations’ long focus on peace and security is also reflected in the several Secretary-General reports that have been
published over the years (see Appendix B).
g UNHCR, 2018.
h Ibid.
i Obi, 2009; Nathan, 2010.

236 Collier and Hoeffler, 2005; Kett and Rowson, 2007; World Bank, 2018b.
237 World Bank, 2018b.
238 Goodhand, 2001.

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Appendix B. UN documents for peacebuilding: Secretary-General’s reports
30 July 2020, S/2020/773
30 May 2019, S/2019/448

18 January 2018, S/2018/43
23 September 2014, S/2014/694
6 January 2014, S/2014/5
8 October 2012, S/2012/746
18 February 2011, S/2011/85
7 September 2010, S/2010/466
16 July 2010, S/2010/386
11 June 2009, S/2009/304
4 August 2008, S/2008/522
28 November 2006, S/2006/922
23 October 2006, S/2006/838
29 August 2006, S/2006/695
14 August 2006, S/2006/429/
Add.1
21 June 2006, S/2006/429
21 August 2000, S/2000/809
11 February 2000, S/2000/101

25 January 1995, S/1995/1
17 June 1992, S/24111

Report on peacebuilding and sustaining peace, submitted in connection with the2020 review of the United Nations peacebuilding architecture.
Secretary-General's report on peacebuilding and sustaining peace, submitted
pursuant to General Assembly resolution 72/276 and Security Council resolution
2413.
Secretary-General's implementation report on peacebuilding and sustaining peace.
Report on peacebuilding in the aftermath of conflict.
Secretary-General's report on civilian capacity in the aftermath of conflict.
Secretary-General’s report on peacebuilding in the aftermath of conflict.
Secretary-General transmitting the report of the independent review on civilian
capacity in the aftermath of conflict.
Report on women and peacebuilding.
Progress report of the Secretary-General on peacebuilding in the immediate
aftermath of conflict.
Report of the Secretary-General on peacebuilding in the immediate aftermath of
conflict.
Report of the Secretary-General on the Peacebuilding Fund.
Third report of the Secretary-General on the United Nations Integrated Office inSierra Leone.
Report of the Secretary-General on the situation in Somalia.
Second report of the Secretary-General on the United Nations Integrated Officein Sierra Leone.
Addendum to the seventh report of the Secretary-General on the United Nations
Integrated Office in Burundi (BINUB), providing specifics on the mandate andstructure of the integrated office in Burundi.
Seventh report of the Secretary-General on the United Nations Operation in
Burundi (ONUB), proposing the establishment of a UN integrated office.
Report of the Panel on the United Nations Peace Operations (also known as theBrahimi Report).
Report on the role of the United Nations in disarmament, demobilization andreintegration (DDR) that included small arms and light weaponry among the
primary targets of DDR operations, and highlighted the importance of tracing
small arms and combating the illicit trade in small arms.
Position paper of the Secretary-General, Supplement to An Agenda for Peace, on
the occasion of the fiftieth anniversary of the United Nations.
Report An Agenda for Peace in which Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali noted thatpeacebuilding after civil or international strife must address the serious problem oflandmines.

Source: United Nations Security Council Report, 2021.

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Appendices

Chapter 7
Appendix A. Opportunity, migration and the Human Development Index
The Human Development Index (HDI), as published annually in the UNDP’s Human Development Report, ispremised on the view that people are not generally driven by a singular desire to gain increased income, butinstead puts forward the idea that people seek the “capabilities to exercise their freedoms to be and do what they
aspire to in life”.239 Grounded in the work of Amartya Sen and developed by Mahbub ul Haq, the HDI takes a “apeople-centred view” by incorporating three streams of data, each representing some of the basic opportunities
conducive to expanding human capabilities.240 First, the education of a country or a subnational jurisdiction ismeasured, mostly in terms of years of schooling for children. Second, health is measured by the life expectancy
of a child at birth. Third, the HDI utilizes an economic indicator, represented by the average income measured in
the context of the local currency (purchasing power parity or PPP). By integrating these three categories into asingle index, the HDI seeks to obtain a more nuanced perspective of the qualities that contribute to individual andcollective well-being in a society.
The HDI’s limitations are well known. Reducing the index to health and education, and then quantifying thesecategories based on a limited series of variables, can risk oversimplification. The classification system – the numerical
cut-offs for determining country’s level of development – can be perceived as arbitrary. Most pointedly, the HDI
can be politicized, as some countries make concerted pushes to receive superior scores on one or more of theindicators.241 However, economic indices are prone to worse sorts of manipulation, as most recently evidenced by
the suspension and review of the World Bank’s Doing Business Report, an annual overview that features an index
of business regulations and economic factors, but which has been criticized for methodological irregularities andfor neglecting the role of social protection systems in human development.242
The use of the HDI in this chapter recognizes, first, that the introduction of numerous variables does not inevitably
lead to a more accurate representation of development. The simplicity of the HDI is one of its virtues. Second,
regarding the classification systems, while these can sometimes be found to be arbitrary, they do help the humanmind to conceptualize patterns in development.243 Finally, while the politicization of the HDI is inevitable, it remains
an index of record for journalists, scholars and policymakers alike to provide an accurate measure for understanding
the opportunities available to people around the world.244
The 2009 edition of the Human Development Report featured a thematic focus on migration, remarking, “better
policies towards human mobility can enhance human development”.245 From an HDI perspective, the decision to
migrate does not rest solely on the realization of greater incomes, or as an investment for future potential earnings.
Migration, instead, is a strategy engaged to secure access to some of the basic goods – health and education – thatlead to increased opportunities for oneself and one’s children. Notwithstanding the attempt at quantifying global
internal migration, a fraught exercise given the definitional vagaries and the paucity of reliable migration event data,
the Human Development Report 2009 demonstrated that migration can be analysed in the context of a wider setof variables and that doing so can result in robust evidence for migration with policy implications.
239 UNDP, 2019.
240 Ibid.; Sen, 1985; Stanton, 2007.
241 Wolff et al., 2011.
242 Davis and Kruse, 2007; World Bank, 2020.
243 Davis et al., 2012.
244 Stanton, 2007.
245 UNDP, 2009.

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Appendix B. How I ended up in a scientific spat about migration figures and what I learned from it
By Maite Vermeulen
Note: This is an abridged extract of the original article published in the now defunct publication The Correspondent.
The full text can still be accessed here: https://thecorrespondent.com/747/how-i-ended-up-in-a-scientific-spat-aboutmigration-figures-and-what-i-learned-from-it/98789433039-1dadd2ed.
I have to tell you how the debunking of an important theory about migration was itself debunked. You probably
had to read that sentence twice, and I get that…I learned a lot from this experience. About how science works,
and how we as journalists contend with that. About what expertise actually is, and why it is so limited. And aboutcertainty, doubt and being right. So buckle in and brace yourself for a story about that time I said I was wrong– and turned out to be mistaken.

How it all started: the migration hump
It all started a few months ago when I read a new study about the migration hump. I was immediately interested,since “the hump” is a well-known, very influential theory about the relationship between migration and development.
Basically, the theory states that as poor countries become richer, outward migration increases rather than decreases.
This may seem counter-intuitive: we might expect that when countries get richer, reasons to leave will diminish
because life there is better now, right? But the migration hump shows that this is only the case above a certain
income level, starting from about USD 7,000 to USD 10,000 per person per year.
Many poor countries are a long way away from that, which means that economic development in those countries
will lead to more migration, not less. That’s because migration costs money, and when people who were previously
very poor have some, they are more likely to leave. Come up with a graph comparing income and emigration, andyou’ll see a more or less hill-shaped curve showing the lowest rate of emigration in poor countries, the highest
rates in middle-income countries, and falling rates for rich countries: the migration hump.
I frequently reference the migration hump in my articles, especially to criticize European migration policy. And
there’s a reason for that: the European Union is spending more and more money on development aid to reduce
migration. But the migration hump shows that this policy is based on a misconception: if more aid leads to moredevelopment in poor countries, that funding will cause net migration to increase, not decrease. And then that new
study came across my desk, released under the MEDAM research project. The researchers were quite blunt: theiranalysis of migration data showed that the migration hump was an oversimplification. In actual fact, their models
produced opposite results. They calculated that when a poor country becomes richer, emigration to rich countries
goes down. Their explanation was that their method was different: instead of comparing emigration in poor andrich countries, they compared countries with themselves, over time. Why? Because a comparison between poorand rich countries overlooks the differences between those countries: differences that can affect income as well
as migration.
I had colleagues and migration experts with more knowledge of econometrics take a look at the new paper; I spoke
to the researchers, and then decided to write an update. The research looked convincing, and I wanted to holdmyself accountable, because a theory I had often cited in my pieces did not seem to hold up. I thought that was
the end of my hump saga. But then I was tagged in a Twitter thread by Michael Clemens, a leading development
economist at the Center for Global Development. The new research, he tweeted, was based on a statistical error.

376

Appendices

Clemens and his calculations
There was nothing wrong with my article as such, Clemens told me in a private message. “The problem is withthe research itself.” All very friendly, of course. But I wasn’t so sure. Could I have seen this coming? Should I havedone something differently? What could I learn from this?
I took another in-depth look at the paper, and delved into Clemens’s criticism. I looked at his charts, tables,
formulas. The only slight problem was I didn’t understand any of it. This wasn’t really all that strange, because
Clemens’s criticism targets researchers’ statistical methods. If you don’t have a degree in econometrics, the analysis
is almost impossible to follow. In fact, it’s almost impossible for people who have studied advanced statistics. My
colleague Sanne Blauw – with a PhD in econometrics – called me after spending three hours analysing both papers:“I think I more or less understand Clemens’s criticism.”
I asked more experts for assistance: professors and PhD students who could explain the statistics to me, who had
experience with time series and cross-sectional panel data, who knew more about spurious regressions and nonstationary variables. I had long phone calls with Michael Clemens and Claas Schneiderheinze, one of the researchers
who authored the original MEDAM paper. I can’t say I’ve completely mastered the maths. But here’s what I now
understand of the discussion.

What I learned from this
Whether or not this paper is based on a statistical error (this discussion will probably be settled in academic
journals in the next few months), all this commotion makes me wonder about my relationship with science as ajournalist: what it is – or what it should be. Every single person – including a journalist – has a limited frameworkthat shapes their ability to understand something. I went to university, but I never took advanced statistics. Nor
do I understand topics like the nitrogen cycle, Japanese grammar or the mathematics behind climate models. Thereis simply so much more that we don’t know than what we do.
Sometimes that doesn’t matter. I don’t have to understand Newton to say something meaningful about poverty
alleviation. But often it does matter, even if we don’t realize it. As journalists, when our own knowledge and skills fallshort, we rely on experts to fill in the gaps. But even for those experts, what they don’t know extends far beyond
what they do know. Especially when it comes to statistics. Many biologists, medical professionals, psychologists,
economists or social scientists hire specialized colleagues to run their statistical analyses. And those specialists
design models that are so complicated that only a handful of people can really understand them, or provide criticalcommentary. The mathematical calculations behind the models are so far removed from reality that results pop
out like a rabbit out of a top hat: we have no idea how it works, but the outcome is self-evident.
Who knows how the statistical stage magic actually works? We can draw an obvious parallel with the epidemiologicalmodels being used to predict the course of the coronavirus pandemic: who has any idea exactly how those models
work?
And that’s how a journalist – or policymaker – can end up in a tricky situation when two experts are making
contradictory claims. Can you place two non-stationary variables on one side of a panel data regression without
losing the long-term trend? Yes you can; no you can’t! How on earth can a journalist possibly figure out who isright? The only solution seems to be cumulative knowledge: asking all the smart people you can find to give it theirbest shot too. At its very best, that’s how science should work.

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And when that happens, it often turns out not to be about what’s true or false. Instead, it’s about which question
we want to answer. The MEDAM paper answers an interesting question – just not the question of whether or
not the migration hump holds true. And maybe the researchers subconsciously fell into a pitfall that science hascreated for itself: contentious studies that debunk something major are considered more prestigious than studies
that confirm the prevailing assumptions. Just think about it: this was a study that I (a journalist) decided to focus
attention on. I probably wouldn’t have taken such a close look if their model had once again supported the famous
migration hump.
This discussion shows that the best thing we can do is to keep being critical: constantly doubting, questioning andadmitting that what we know – and what experts know – is limited. Had I dug deeper I might have been able toraise some questions about the data set used in the MEDAM paper. But then again: there is no such thing as an
unproblematic data set when it involves something as complicated as migration figures. And the concept that two
non-stationary variables cannot be regressed if you are controlling for a cointegrated third variable – that’s not aquestion I could even have imagined asking in the context of this paper. And neither have many, many scientists,
because the MEDAM paper has been read and widely acclaimed by lots of other smart people.
Actually, I’ve started thinking that journalists, scientists and policymakers are all in the same boat here: we would
love for the world to be simpler than it can be. We want to be able to capture it in a nice, neat model, and thenwrap it all up in a nice, neat article. But reality is so much more capricious and complex than any model can capture.
Seeing more shades of grey is also a way to understand the world better – but it’s not quite as simple to put intoa pithy headline. It’s easier to just say: I was right after all.

378

Appendices

Appendix C
For the purposes of this chapter, in order to determine an estimated number of migrants who inhabit a jurisdiction
due to factors not related to forced migration, we utilized the forced migration data base produced by UNHCR
along with international migrant stock numbers produced by UN DESA.246 Since these United Nations agencies
collect data and make estimations based on disparate methods, sources and time frames, it is worth mentioning a
few details about the computations featured in this chapter.
For each country in each year, the stock of forced migrants – made up of those legally designated as refugees by
UNHCR plus UNHCR’s estimate of asylum seekers – is subtracted from the overall migrant stock. In cases wherea country’s number of forced migrants (from UNHCR) exceeds the total migrant stock of an origin or destination
country, the number of “non-forced-migrants” is reduced to zero to avoid a nonsensical “negative” stock.
To calculate migrant stock as a proportion of population, different computations are required in the case of
emigration (the movement of people away from an origin country) than in situations of immigration – the movementof people to a destination country. In both cases, we used migrant stock data and population data, published mostrecently by UN DESA in 2020.
In cases of immigration, calculating the migrant stock for an HDI classification follows the equation:

Proportionimmigrant =sum of migrant stocks living in destination countries
sum of total populations

For cases of emigration, diaspora populations have to be included in the denominator of the formula to ensure
correct proportionality. Thus, the equation for each HDI classification is:

Proportionemigrant =sum of migrant stocks from origin countries
sum of migrant stocks from origin countries + sum of total populations

Since the accurate, anonymous and consistent collection of migration flow data remains difficult, the use of migrant
stock has become a standard, if indirect way to assess migration flows.247 As with previous studies using bilateralmigrant stock data, we are bound by the same limitations, most prominent of which is an assumption that migrants
are leaving their country of birth or citizenship, which might not always be the case.248 By measuring migrant stocks
in discrete intervals over time, one has a broad sense of movements of people between places, at least in the formof snapshots over time. As noted by Clemens, measuring migrant stock in this way does not account for migrant
deaths, one of the other pillars of demographic change. A more precise term for the calculations completed in thischapter would be to call this the “incidence” of migration. To avoid technical jargon for a broader readership, we
have chosen to avoid this discussion in the main text, while recognizing the conceptual distinctions here.

246 UNDP, 2019; UN DESA, 2021; UNHCR, 2020.
247 Clemens, 2020.
248 Abel, 2016.

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Chapter 9
Appendix A. Key definitions
Environmental migration is the movement of persons or groups of persons who, predominantly for reasons ofsudden or progressive changes in the environment that adversely affect their lives or living conditions, are forced
to leave their places of habitual residence, or choose to do so, either temporarily or permanently, and who move
within or outside their country of origin or habitual residence.
Climate migration is a subcategory of environmental migration; it defines a singular type of environmental
migration, where the change in the environment is due to climate change. Migration in this context can beassociated with greater vulnerability of affected people, particularly if it is forced. However, migration can also be aform of adaptation to environmental stressors, helping to build resilience of affected individuals and communities.
Trapped populations do not migrate, yet are situated in areas under threat … at risk of becoming “trapped” orhaving to stay behind, where they will be more vulnerable to environmental shocks and impoverishment.
Planned relocation in the context of disasters or environmental degradation, including when due to the effects
of climate change, is a planned process in which persons or groups of persons move or are assisted to move awayfrom their homes or place of temporary residence, are settled in a new location and provided with the conditions
for rebuilding their lives.
All definitions above are from the International Organization for Migration Glossary on Migration (IOM, 2019).
Slow-onset events: The impacts of climate change include slow-onset events and extreme weather events, both ofwhich may result in loss and damage. Slow-onset events, as initially introduced by the Cancun Agreement (COP16),
refer to the risks and impacts associated with increasing temperatures; desertification; loss of biodiversity; land
and forest degradation; glacial retreat and related impacts; ocean acidification; sea-level rise; and salinization. See:
https://unfccc.int/process/bodies/constituted-bodies/executive-committee-of-the-warsaw-international-mechanismfor-loss-and-damage-wim-excom/areas-of-work/slow-onset-events.
Adaptation: Adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or theireffects, which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities. See: https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/
the-convention/glossary-of-climate-change-acronyms-and-terms#a.
Mitigation: In the context of climate change, this is a human intervention to reduce the sources or enhance thesinks of greenhouse gases. Examples include using fossil fuels more efficiently for industrial processes or electricity
generation, switching to solar energy or wind power, improving the insulation of buildings, and expanding forestsand other “sinks” to remove greater amounts of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. See: https://unfccc.int/
process-and-meetings/the-convention/glossary-of-climate-change-acronyms-and-terms#m.

380

Appendices

Appendix B. Additional United Nations policy initiatives related to slow-onset events andmigration
Ongoing initiatives are especially relevant to support the development of policy on migration in the context of slowonset events. The summary below briefly outlines selected recent significant developments that could influence
policymaking at national and regional levels.
Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) are increasingly discussing actions
to be taken to address migration linked to specific slow-onset events: desertification, land degradation and drought(DLDD).249 Parties to the Convention committed to reduce forced migration linked to DLDD250 and adopted
decisions in 2017251 and 2019252 on the topic. These decisions outline specific solutions, such as promoting therestoration of degraded land to provide alternative opportunities to populations and supporting the Initiative on
Sustainability, Stability and Security in Africa (3S Initiative),253 which seeks to create green jobs for vulnerable groups,
including youth in high outmigration areas, migrants, migrants in transit and returning migrants.
In July 2020, the United Nations General Assembly released a thematic report on internal displacement in thecontext of the slow-onset adverse effects of climate change produced by the Special Rapporteur on the humanrights of internally displaced persons, Cecilia Jimenez-Damary.254 The report analyses how slow-onset impacts ofclimate change affect the enjoyment of human rights by internally displaced persons, including specific groups. The
report provides recommendations to States, the international community, businesses and national human rights
institutions to address internal displacement in the context of slow-onset events. These recommendations arealigned with the recommendations of the UNFCCC Task Force on Displacement and the commitments madeunder the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration. They highlight among other issues the need tointegrate climate-related displacement in laws, policies and programmes on human mobility and to enhance climate
mitigation efforts in order to reduce drivers of displacement linked to climate impacts.
In January 2020, a landmark decision from the United Nations Human Rights Committee255 recognized that Statesshall refrain from sending people back to situations where the impacts of climate change in the country of origin
pose a risk to their life with dignity (principle of non-refoulement). This decision also highlights that the affectedStates need the support of the international community to address the immense challenges posed by climatechange, including slow-onset events. The Committee’s conclusions underscore the urgency for States to open new
regular migration pathways and provide temporary and longer-term forms of protection to people who would
face life-threatening climate risks, including those linked to slow-onset events, if they returned to their country oforigin.256

249 IOM and UNCCD, 2019.
250 UNCCD, 2017a.
251 UNCCD, 2017b.
252 UNCCD, 2019.
253 For details, see 3S Initiative, n.d.
254 UNGA, 2020.
255 United Nations Human Rights Committee, 2020.
256 IOM, 2020e.

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In March 2015, the United Nations Member States signed the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
2015–2030 (SFDRR)257 to prevent and reduce disaster risk, including risks linked to slow-onset disasters. The
Sendai Framework highlights the need to include migrants in disaster risk-reduction and management action andacknowledges that migrants should contribute to resilience building.258 The 2015 Nansen Initiative259 takes into
consideration how slow-onset disasters and environmental degradation, including the effects of climate change,
impact human mobility. The Nansen Agenda highlights existing practices applied by States worldwide to provide
protection and assistance to people displaced by disasters.260
Other policy discussions focusing on slow-onset events and migration are taking place, for instance under theInternational Law Commission,261 the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights,262 the Global Knowledge
Partnership on Migration and Development (KNOMAD) thematic working group on environmental change andmigration,263 and the International Labour Organization.264

257 UNDRR, 2015.
258 Guadagno, 2016.
259 Nansen Initiative, 2015a.
260 Nansen Initiative, 2015b. The implementation of the Nansen Agenda is spearheaded by a follow-up initiative, the Platform on Disaster
Displacement (PDD).
261 Aurescu et al., 2018.
262 OHCHR, 2018.
263 KNOMAD, n.d.
264 ILO, n.d.

382

Appendices

Chapter 10
Appendix A. Ratification status of international instruments relevant to migration
Instrument

No. of State
parties as at
30 June 2021

United Nations Convention against Transnational Organized Crime, 2000

190

Protocol to Prevent, Suppress and Punish Trafficking in Persons, Especially Women andChildren, supplementing the United Nations Convention against Transnational Organized
Crime, 2000

178

Protocol against the Smuggling of Migrants by Land, Sea and Air, supplementing the United
Nations Convention against Transnational Organized Crime, 2000

150

Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees, 1951

146

Protocol Relating to the Status of Refugees, 1967

147

International Convention of the Rights of All Migrant Workers and their Families, 1990

56

United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, 1982

168

International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea, 1974 as amended

165

International Convention on Maritime Search and Rescue, 1979, as amended

113

International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, 1966

173

International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, 1966

171

Convention on the Rights of the Child, 1989

196

Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women, 1979

189

Slavery Convention, 1926

99

Protocol amending the Slavery Convention, 1953

61

Supplementary Convention on the Abolition of Slavery, the Slave Trade and Institutions andPractices Similar to Slavery, 1956

124

ILO Convention No. 97 concerning Migration for Employment (Revised, 1949)

51

ILO Convention No. 143 concerning Migrations in Abusive Conditions and the Promotion of
Equality of Opportunity and Treatment of Migrant Workers, 1975

26

Fundamental ILO Conventions
Freedom of Association and the Protection of the Rights to Organize Convention, 1948 (No. 87)

157

Right to Organize and Collective Bargaining Convention, 1949 (No. 98)

168

Forced Labour Convention, 1930 (No. 29)

179

Protocol to the Forced Labour Convention, 2014

53

Abolition of Forced Labour Convention, 1957 (No. 105)

176

Minimum Age Convention, 1973 (No. 138)

173

Worst Forms of Child Labour Convention, 1999 (No. 182)

187

Equal Remuneration Convention, 1951 (No. 100)173

Discrimination (Employment and Occupation) Convention, 1958 (No. 111)

175

Sources: ILO, 2021b; IMO, 2021; UNTC, 2021.

No

Yes

SAARC Convention on
Preventing and Combating
Trafficking in Women andChildren for Prostitution(2002)

Council of Europe
Convention on Action
against Trafficking in
Human Beings (2005)

ASEAN Convention
against Trafficking in
Persons, Especially Womenand Children (2015)
Yes

Yes

Yes

ECOWAS Declaration on
the Fight against Trafficking
in persons (2001)

European Council
Directive 2011/36/EU(2011)No

Prostitution,
sexualexploitation

Inter-American Convention
on International Traffic ofMinors (1994)

Yes

Yes

Yes

No

Yes

Forced labouror services

Exploitation of
the prostitutionof others orother forms
of sexual
exploitation

Trafficking in Persons
Protocol supplementing
the United Nations
Convention against
Transnational Organized
Crime (2000)

Yes

Yes

Yes

No

Yes

Servitude only

Slavery orpracticessimilar toslavery andservitude

Appendix B. Forms of exploitation captured in regional instruments

Yes

Yes

Yes

No

Yes

No

Removal oforgans

Yes

Yes

Yes. Adds forced
begging, exploitationin criminal activities,
illegal adoption,
forced marriage.
Yes – “at aminimum”.

Yes

No. Only
women orchildren.

Yes

No. Minors
only.

All potential
victims

Yes – “at aminimum”.

Only includes
buying or selling forprostitution.

Yes. Adopts theinternational
Protocol definition.

Any other unlawful
purpose.

Other forms

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384

Appendices

Appendix C. Inter-State consultation mechanisms relevant to human trafficking
Inter-State consultation mechanisms on migration (ISCMs) are “State-led, ongoing information-sharing and policy
dialogues on the regional, interregional or global level for States with an interest in promoting cooperation in thefield of migration.”265 While ISCMs may be focused on specific aspects of migration, they usually tackle humantrafficking, given its close relationship with migration.

Regional consultative processes on migration (RCPs)

The table below provides an illustrative list of ISCMs that are relevant to human trafficking and is structured along
the three main types of ISCMs, namely, regional consultative processes on migration (RCPs), interregional forums on
migration (IRFs) and global processes on migration.266 Each ISCM’s name is hyperlinked to the relevant website/page.

AfricaAfrican Union – Horn of Africa Initiative on Human Trafficking and Migrant Smuggling(AU-HoAI)
Arab Regional Consultative Process on Migration and Refugee Affairs
Intergovernmental Authority on Development Regional Consultative Process on
Migration (IGAD-RCP)
Migration Dialogue from the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa
Member States (MIDCOM)
Migration Dialogue for Southern Africa (MIDSA)
Migration Dialogue for West Africa (MIDWA)

Americas

Caribbean Migration Consultations (CMC)
Central American Commission of Migration Directors (OCAM)
Regional Conference on Migration (RCM or Puebla Process)South American Conference on Migration (SACM)

Asia and Pacific

EuropeMiddle East

Coordinated Mekong Ministerial Initiative against Trafficking
Pacific Immigration Development Community (PIDC)
Regional Consultative Process on Overseas Employment and Contractual Labour for
Countries of Origin in Asia (Colombo Process)Almaty Process on Refugee Protection and International Migration
Prague Process
Arab Regional Consultative Process on Migration and Refugee Affairs (ARCP)

265 IOM, 2019b.
266 For more information on ISCMs, see www.iom.int/inter-state-consultation-mechanisms-migration.

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

Interregional forums on migration (IRFs)

Africa–Europe

Americas–Europe
Asia–Europe

5+5 Dialogue on Migration in the Western Mediterranean
EU-Horn of Africa Migration Route Initiative (Khartoum Process)Euro-African Dialogue on Migration and Development (Rabat Process)Ibero-American Forum on Migration and Development (FIBEMYD)
Ibero-American Network of Migration Authorities (RIAM)
Budapest Process

Asia–Middle East

Abu Dhabi Dialogue among the Asian Labor Sending and Receiving Countries

Europe–Asia–
AmericasInter-Governmental Consultations on Migration, Asylum and Refugees (IGC)

Europe–Asia–
Americas–Middle
East

Bali Process on People Smuggling, Trafficking in Persons and Related Transnational
Crime

Intra-African
Global processes on migration

385

State-led

Facilitated by anintergovernmentalorganization(IOM)

Pan-African Forum on Migration
Global Forum on Migration and Development (GFMD)International Dialogue on Migration (IDM)

386

Appendices

Chapter 11
Appendix A. Definitions of AI
There is no universal definition of artificial intelligence (AI), which is a generic term with wide applicability to many
contexts. Some useful definitions that assist in explaining the term include:
SourceDefinition

The Canadian Information
and Communications
Technology Council267

A multidisciplinary subject, involving methodologies and techniques from various
fundamental disciplines such as mathematics, engineering, natural science,computer science and linguistics, to name a few. Over the last few decades,
AI has evolved into a number of technological areas such as planning, natural
language processing, speech processing, machine learning, vision recognition,neural networks and robotics, among others.

International
Telecommunication Union(ITU) AI for Good Global
Summit 2017268

A set of associated technologies and techniques that can be used to complement
traditional approaches, human intelligence and analytics and/or other techniques.

High-Level Expert Groupon Artificial Intelligence
set up by the European
Commission269

AI refers to systems that display intelligent behaviour by analysing theirenvironment and taking actions – with some degree of autonomy – to achieve
specific goals.

World Intellectual Property
Organization (WIPO)270

AI is generally considered to be a discipline of computer science that is aimed atdeveloping machines and systems that can carry out tasks considered to require
human intelligence. Machine learning and deep learning are two subsets of AI.
In recent years, with the development of new neural network techniques andhardware, AI is usually perceived as a synonym for “deep supervised machinelearning”.

Organisation for Economic
Co-operation andDevelopment (OECD)271

An AI system is a machine-based system that can, for a given set of humandefined objectives, make predictions, recommendations, or decisions influencing
real or virtual environments. AI systems are designed to operate with varying
levels of autonomy.

267 McLaughlin and Quan, 2019.
268 ITU and XPrize, 2017.
269 European Commission, 2019.
270 WIPO, n.d.
271 OECD, 2019.

AI-based systems can be purely software-based, acting in the virtual world(e.g. voice assistants, image analysis software, search engines, speech and facerecognition systems) or AI can be embedded in hardware devices (e.g. advanced
robots, autonomous cars, drones or Internet of Things applications).

WORLD MIGRATION REPORT 2022

United Kingdom
Government Digital Service
and Office for Artificial
Intelligence272

387

At its core, AI is a research field spanning philosophy, logic, statistics, computerscience, mathematics, neuroscience, linguistics, cognitive psychology andeconomics.
AI can be defined as the use of digital technology to create systems capable ofperforming tasks commonly thought to require intelligence.
AI is constantly evolving, but generally it:••

involves machines using statistics to find patterns in large amountsof data;
is the ability to perform repetitive tasks with data without the needfor constant human guidance.

Nils J. Nilsson273

AI is that activity devoted to making machines intelligent, and intelligence is that
quality that enables an entity to function appropriately and with foresight in its
environment.

Hila Mehr274

AI is the programming of computers to do tasks that would normally require
human intelligence. This includes the ability to understand and monitor visual/spatial and auditory information, reason and make predictions, interact withhumans and machines, and continuously learn and improve.

John McCarthy275

It is the science and engineering of making intelligent machines, especiallyintelligent computer programmes. It is related to the similar task of using
computers to understand human intelligence, but AI does not have to confine
itself to methods that are biologically observable.

Dario Gil et al.276

AI is a field of computer science that studies how machines can be made toact intelligently. AI has many functions, including, but not limited to: learning,understanding, reasoning and interacting.

Ronald Ashri277

AI refers to the effort to create machines that are able to tackle any problem
by applying their skills. Just like humans, they can examine a situation and makebest use of the resources at hand to achieve their objectives.

Jerry Kaplan278

The essence of AI is the ability to make appropriate generalizations in a timely
fashion based on limited data. The broader the domain of application, thequicker conclusions are drawn with minimal information, the more intelligent
the behaviour.

272 United Kingdom Government Digital Service and Office for Artificial Intelligence, 2019.
273 Nilsson, 2010.
274 Mehr, 2017.
275 McCarthy, 2007.
276 Gil et al., 2020.
277 Ashri, 2020.
278 Kaplan, 2016.

388

Appendices

Appendix B. AI usage in different sectors
Agriculture: AI is largely present in the farming and agriculture industry, especially with the increase in the use of
intelligent tractors and plucking machines during harvest days. In addition, the agricultural sector relies on harvesting
robots handling essential agricultural tasks such as planting seeds and monitoring crop and soil health. Flying andfloating drones with AI capabilities are also being used to detect the quality of soil and water in order to improve
the quality and quantity of crop yield.279
Business and finance: AI applications and usage have become essential for companies to save costs while improving
outreach and quality of services. Computer algorithms and data-mining interfaces are allowing companies to improve
the quality of their services by ensuring these better match customers’ expectations and needs. For instance, Netflix
and Amazon recommendation lists provide a more personalized experience by capturing their engagement patterns
through data mining. Human agents are also being replaced by intelligent software robots such as chatbots thatcan provide customers with instant answers to their queries,280 while reducing the cost of hiring human assistants.
Education: AI applications in education include adaptive learning technology,281 which tailors content to students
based on their abilities. AI is also used for plagiarism checking (e.g. Turnitin) and automated grading, as well as
autocorrect and grammar checking (e.g. Grammarly).
Environment: AI has been integrated in ecological policy plans and has played a vital role in search and rescue
missions in the responses to natural and human-made disasters. Examples include robots with AI capabilities thatcan sort recyclable material from waste, as well as using AI on satellite data to map and predict the progressionof wildfires and find missing persons.282
Governance and security: Governments are using AI to improve security apparatuses. AI systems and autonomous
flying machines such as drones are being used for surveillance to help automate the detection of, and response to,threats and patterns of criminal behaviour.283
Science and health care: Investment in the field of AI in science and health care has witnessed a significant uptake,especially after the emergence of COVID-19.284 Using AI in science has proved to be indispensable, as it allows
for cheaper experimentation, enables faster scientific discoveries and improves the effectiveness and efficiency ofthe health-care system. AI technologies are now able to monitor patients’ health, provide automated diagnostic
support systems in hospitals and complement the work of physicians in the operation room. They are also being
widely used in scientific research and experimentation, especially in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) segmentationand statistics.
Transportation: The transportation industry is one of the sectors benefiting most from the surge of AI, throughresearch and investment in autonomous vehicles with virtual driver systems by car companies such as Tesla.285 The
sector has also been leveraging AI algorithms to optimize public transport for scheduling, routing and traffic light
management.286
279 Walch, 2019.
280 Nguyen, 2020
281 Haoyang Li, 2020.
282 Chui et al., 2018.
283 OECD, 2019.
284 Sivasubramanian, 2020.
285 Niestadt et al., 2019.
286 Takyar, 2020.

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2020d

Eastern Route Research, Briefing Paper 2: Comparative Route Analysis. Nairobi. Available at https://ronairobi.iom.int/publications/eastern-route-research-briefing-paper-2-comparative-route-analysis.

2020e

Gendered Patterns of Women and Girls’ Migration Along the Eastern Corridor. Nairobi. Available
athttps://ronairobi.iom.int/sites/ronairobi/files/document/publications/Briefing%20Paper%201_
RDH_%20Eastern%20Route%20Research_Gendered%20Patterns%20of%20Migration_0.pdf.

2020f

Methodological Report: IMPACT – Impact Evaluation of the EU–IOM Joint Initiative for MigrantProtection and Reintegration in the Horn of Africa Region. n.p. Available at https://ronairobi.iom.int/
sites/ronairobi/files/document/publications/IOM_Methodological_Report_FINAL_20102020.pdf.

2020g

East and Horn of Africa Regional Strategy 2020–2024. Nairobi. Available at https://publications.iom.
int/books/east-and-horn-africa-regional-strategy-2020-2024.

2020h

An Exploratory Study on Labour Recruitment and Migrant Worker Protection Mechanisms in West
Africa: The Case of Côte d’Ivoire, the Gambia, Ghana, Nigeria and Senegal. Geneva. Available athttps://publications.iom.int/books/exploratory-study-labour-recruitment-and-migrant-workerprotection-mechanisms-west-africa.

2020i

Intégration du Lien entre Migration, Environnement et Changement Climatique dans la Planification
Locale: Cas des communes de Mané et de Bokin dans les régions du Centre-Nord et du Nord du Burkina
Faso. Ouagadougou. Available at https://environmentalmigration.iom.int/int%C3%A9gration-dulien-entre-migration-environnement-et-changement-climatique-dans-la-planification.

2020j

West and Central Africa Regional Strategy 2020–2024. Dakar. Available at https://publications.iom.
int/books/west-and-central-africa-regional-strategy-2020-2024.

2020k

Southern Africa Regional Strategy 2020–2024. Pretoria. Available at https://publications.iom.int/
books/southern-africa-regional-strategy-2020-2024.

2020l

Promoting Fair and Ethical Recruitment in a Digital World: Lessons and Policy Options. In association
with the International Labour Organization. Geneva. Available at https://rocairo.iom.int/sites/
rocairo/files/publication/Report_Promoting-Fair-Ethical-Recruitment-Final_forupload.pdf.

2020m

Middle East and North Africa Regional Strategy 2020–2024. Cairo. Available at https://publications.
iom.int/books/middle-east-and-north-africa-regional-strategy-2020-2024.

2020n

Asia and the Pacific Regional Strategy 2020–2024. Bangkok. Available at https://publications.iom.
int/books/asia-and-pacific-regional-strategy-2020-2024.

2020oToolkit for Development Partners: Integrating Migration into COVID-19 Socio-economic Response.
Brussels. Available at https://eea.iom.int/publications/toolkit-development-partners-integratingmigration-COVID-19-socio-economic-response.

2020p

Principles and Approaches to Guide the Relocation and Integration of UAC from Greece to Other EU
Member States. Brussels. Available at https://eea.iom.int/publications/principles-and-approachesguide-relocation-and-integration-uac-greece-other-eu-member.

2020q

IOM’s Recommendations to the German Presidency of the Council of the EU. Brussels. Available athttps://eea.iom.int/publications/iom-recommendations-german-presidency-council-eu.

2020r

IOM Views on the Roadmap for the EU’s New Pact on Migration and Asylum. Brussels. Available
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2020s

European Economic Area, Switzerland and the United Kingdom – Regional Strategy 2020–2024.
Geneva. Available at https://publications.iom.int/books/european-economic-area-switzerland-andunited-kingdom-regional-strategy-2020-2024.

2020t

Aportes desde Colombia a la Iniciativa Internacional de Reparaciones a Víctimas de Violencia
Sexual en el Marco del Conflicto Armado. Bogotá. Available at https://repositoryoim.org/
handle/20.500.11788/2305.

2020u

South America – Regional Strategy 2020–2024. Buenos Aires. Available at https://publications.iom.
int/books/south-america-regional-strategy-2020-2024.

2020v

El Tráfico Ilícito de Migrantes en América Central y México en el Contexto de la COVID-19. San José.
Available at https://kmhub.iom.int/sites/default/files/publicaciones/informe_tim_abr.pdf.

2020w

DTM: Countries Impacted by Hurricanes Eta and Iota in Latin America and the Caribbean. San
José. Available at https://kmhub.iom.int/sites/default/files/publicaciones/iom_dtm_-_regional_
overview_-_impacts_of_hurricanes_eta_and_iota_latin_america_and_the_caribbean_.pdf.

2020xCentral America, North America and the Caribbean – Regional Strategy 2020–2024. IOM. San José.
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2021a

Global Mobility Restriction Overview. Special Edition: Marking One Year of COVID-19 Travel
Restrictions. Geneva. Available at https://reliefweb.int/report/world/dtm-covid-19-global-mobilityrestriction-overview-15-march-2021.

2021b

IOM History. Geneva. Available at www.iom.int/iom-history.

2021c

IOM Global Strategic Preparedness and Response Plan COVID-19. Geneva. Available at https://crisisresponse.iom.int/sites/default/files/appeal/documents/IOM%20COVID-19%20Strategic%20
Response%20and%20Recovery%20Plan%20COVID-19_2.pdf.

2021d2020 Mobility Overview in the East and Horn of Africa and the Arabian Peninsula. Nairobi. Available
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2021e

Life Amidst a Pandemic: Hunger, Migration and Displacement in the East and Horn of Africa. Nairobi.
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Joint%20Report_East%20and%20Horn%20of%20Africa_June%202021_0.pdf.

2021f

West And Central Africa — A Region On The Move: Mobility Trends In West And Central Africa( January — December 2020). Dakar. Available at https://displacement.iom.int/reports/westand-central-africa-%E2%80%94-region-move-mobility-trends-west-and-central-africa-january%E2%80%94?close=true.

2021g

Smuggling of Migrants on the Central Mediterranean Route: Issues, Challenges and Perspectives. Bamako.
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report_Migrant%20Smuggling%20on%20the%20Central%20Mediterranean%20Route_2020.pdf.

2021h

Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights (SRHR) and HIV Knows No Borders! 2021–2026. Pretoria.
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2021i

The African Regional Migration Program (ARMP). Pretoria. Available at https://ropretoria.iom.int/
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2021j

Bilateral Labour Migration Agreements in Two SADC Corridors. Pretoria. Available at https://publications.iom.int/books/bilateral-labour-migration-agreements-two-sadc-corridors.

2021k

Tool for the Assessment of Bilateral Labour Migration Agreements Pilot-tested in the African Region.
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2021l

Women Migrant Domestic Workers in Lebanon: A Gender Perspective. Cairo. Available at https://rocairo.iom.int/sites/rocairo/files/publication/Migrant%20Workers%27%20Rights%20are%20
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2021m

Assessing the Socio-Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Migrants and Displaced Populations in the
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2021n

Diaspora Engagement in Health in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: A desk review of experiences.
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2021o

IOM Asia–Pacific Regional Data Hub: Regional Secondary Data Review – March 2021. Bangkok.
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2021p

Asia–Pacific Migration Data Report 2020. Bangkok. Available at https://publications.iom.int/books/
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2021q

Remittance Inflows: Trends Snapshots. Bangkok. Available at www.iom.int/sites/g/files/tmzbdl486/
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2021r

Covid-19 Preparedness and Response Achievements Report 2020. Bangkok. Available at www.iom.
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2021s

Regional Strategy – IOM South-Eastern Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Vienna. Available
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2021t

IOM Strategic Response and Recovery Plan for COVID-19 in Latin America and the Caribbean
2021. San José. Available at https://crisisresponse.iom.int/sites/default/files/appeal/documents/
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2021u

La Movilidad Humana Derivada de Desastres y el Cambio Climático en Centroamérica. Geneva.
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2021v

Informe Anual Programa de Retorno Voluntario Asistido (RVA). México y países del norte de América
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2020f

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