Situation of COVID-19 in Japan

1st Wave

Current status and changes of infection caused by COVID-19 in Japan by prefecture at 2020-07-30

0Deaths : 1,000
PCR tested : 657,520

2040

1.5

Emergency declaration
to all prefectures
Tokyo

Hokkaido

Confirmed Total per 100,000 people
Tokyo
Osaka
Fukuoka
Saitama
Ishikawa
Hokkaido
Kanagawa
Kyoto
Chiba
Toyama
Hyogo
Fukui
Aichi
Nara
Okinawa
Kagoshima
Wakayama
Gihu
Shiga
Yamanashi

Cancel emergency declaration of39 prefectures

Emergency declaration
to 7 prefectures

Basic Information
Population : 126,500,000
Confirmed cases : 31,975
Recovered : 23,256

2nd Wave

80

Population : 5,249,066
Confirmed cases : 1,396
Area with the earliest spread of infection

TokyoOsakaIshikawa
1.0

Confirmed daily per 100,000

0.5

April

Kinki/Chubu Metropolitan Area
Population : 12th/38th in the world
Gross Product : 7th/22nd in the world
2nd/3rd central region of Japan

MayJunJuly

00

Tokyo Metropolitan Area
Population : 1st in the world
Gross Product : 1st in the world
Central region of Japan

0.5

Confirmed per 100,000 people by age

Confirmed per 100,000
lowhighAverage
80~70~79
60~6950~5940~4930~3920~29
10~190~9020

Deaths per 100,000 :1.0

Recovered daily per 100,000

52Cancel emergency declaration
except Tokyo and Hokkaido
Cancel emergency declaration ofall prefectures

1.5

Global Infection Distribution

Global Situation of COVID-19
Current status and changes of global infection caused by COVID-19 at 2020-07-30

Basic Information
Population : 7,700,000,000
Confirmed cases : 17,039,160
Recovered : 9,964,678

Deaths : 667,084
Confirmed cases per 100,000 people : 219

Deaths Total per 100,000 people
1,000

2,000

3,000

400,683highlow

Number of Confirmed Cases (Log scale)

Infection and Related Factors

Country :GLM estimate (Poisson distribution, log link, Statistically significant for all 4 variables) :4,426,982
2,552,265
408,449

Confirmed Total

3210200,000

Irreligion

50,000 030
Irreligion (%)

Confirmed per 100

0

Confirmed per 100

San Marino
Belgium
UK
Andorra
Spain
Peru
Italy
SwedenChile
USAFranceBrazilIreland
MexicoNetherlands
EcuadorPanamaMoldova
Bolivia
Japan60

3

Urban Population

21050
Urban population (%)

100

Urban Population (%)
Mortality Rate under-5 (%)
Christian Population (%)
Population Growth (annual %)Life Expectancy at Birth (years)

Negative Correlation (fewer patiants)
Coefficient
large
small

Coefficient
large
small

Positive Correlation

Cost to Export, Border Compliance (US$)
Birth Rate, Crude (%)
Education Expenditure (% of GNI)
Asia & Australasia (0 or 1)
Authoritarian Government (0 or 1)

10Birth Rate

502040Birth rate (per 1,000 people)

Deaths per 10,000

Statistically Significant Variables for the Number of Confirmed Cases (p value < .05)

Deaths per 10,000

Regression Analysis of Infection
10Democracy Index

505
Democracy index

10References
Source of data and analysis code

Data SourceThis document is based on the data available on the following websites.
Press Information on COVID-19 release by Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, Japan
https://www.mhlw.go.jp/stf/seisakunitsuite/bunya/0000121431_00086.html
2019 Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) Data Repository by Johns Hopkins CSSE
https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19
Special Website for News about COVID-19, NHK, Japan
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/special/coronavirus/chronology/
Population Estimation, e-Stat. Japan
https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search?page=1&toukei=00200524
World statistics 2020, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications Statistics Bureau, Japan
https://www.stat.go.jp/data/sekai/0116.html
World Bank Open Data
https://data.worldbank.org/UNdata, A world of information
https://data.un.org/Default.aspx
Democracy Index 2019https://www.eiu.com/topic/democracy-index
Global Metro Monitor
https://www.brookings.edu/research/global-metro-monitor/

Analysis Code SourceThis document was created using some of the source code or data published below.
Copyright (c) 2020 TOYO KEIZAI ONLINE
Released under the MIT license
https://github.com/kaz-ogiwara/covid19/blob/master/LICENSE
Copyright (c) 2020 Tarun Kumar
Released under the MIT license
https://github.com/tarunk04/COVID-19-CaseStudy-and-Predictions/blob/master/LICENSE

Rein Nukui
Master's Course
Housing and Urban Analysis Lab.
Applied Computer Science course, Graduate School of Interdisciplinary Information Studies, The University of Tokyo
7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8656, Japan
E-mail: reinnukui@g.ecc.u-tokyo.ac.jp