IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

JICA- ENERGY POLICY-2018
INDIAAmmi Ruhama Toppo
DirectorCentral Electricity Authority

DATA TAKEN FROM CENTRAL ELECTRICITY AUTHORITY’S WEBSITE AND NATIONAL ELECTRCITY PLAN 2018

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

KEY OBJECTIVE OF ENERGY POLICY• Access at affordable prices• Improved security and Independence• Greater Sustainability• Economic Growth.

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Energy Resource Map• Hydro potential in NERand upper part of NR• Coal reserves mainly inER

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WIND AND SOLAR ENERGY RESOURCE MAP OF INDIA(Source CWET, Chennai)

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

INSTALLED CAPACITY
Fuel-wise Total All India Installed Capacity (MW) As on 31.05.2018
Diesel, 838 , 0.2%

Nuclear, 6780, 2%
Gas, 24897 , 7.2%

Hydro, 45403 ,13.2%

R.E.S, 69022 20.1%
Coal, 196958 57.3%

Diesel

Hydro

Coal

R.E.S

Gas

TOTAL: 343898 MW

NuclearIEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

GENERATION(2017-18)
Hydro , 126133.79, 10%

Bhutan import ,4856.01, 0%

RES, 101839.48, 8%

Nuclear , 38247.05, 3%

Thermal, 1036684.09,
79%

ThermalNuclear

Hydro

Bhutan importRES

TOTAL 1307760.4 GWh

ALL FIGURES IN GWhIEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

CAPACITY ADDITION FROM CONVENTIONAL SOURCES
120,000
99209
100,000

88,537MW

80,00062,37454,96460,00040,00020,00040,245
19,11941,11021,1800
1997-2002

2002-07

TARGET

2007-12ACHIEVED

2012-17

1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90
1990-91
1991-92
1992-93
1993-94
1994-95
1995-96
1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-2000
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-072007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-122012-13
2013-142014-152015-16
2016-17

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

CAPACITY MIX (SINCE MARCH,1981)

100%

90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

Coal+Lignite
Gas+Diesel
Hydro
NuclearRESIEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

GENERATION MIX (SINCE MARCH,2007)
100%
90%
80%
70%60%
50%
40%
30%
20%10%0%
2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
Thermal

Hydro

NuclearRESIEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

Nepal

440MW, 200MU(2016-17)
14 Links [11kV (4), 33kV (5),132kV(5)] EXPORT

Cross Border Trade of Electricity

Bhutan

1500MW, 1000MU (2016-17)
6 Links [132kV(1), 220kV(2),400kV(3)] IMPORT

Total Export & Import(2016-17) (2021-22)
Export 1100MW 2260MW
Import 1500MW 5100MW
Net
400MW 2840MW
Transmission links havebeen established between
border states in Indian
territory(Bihar,UP,Uttarakhand,Tripura,Manipur, West Bengal, andAssam) with neighbouring
countries(synchronous/asynchronous/radial links).

Myanmar<1MW, 0.35 MU(2016-17)
One Link [11kV] EXPORT

Bangladesh

660MW, 400MU(2016-17) 2 Links [400kV with HVDC
back to back, 132kV] EXPORTIEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

Power Supply Position in the country
Power Supply Postion in terms of Energy

Power Supply Position in terms of Peak

1400000

200

16180

14160121200000

1012140

1000000

120

10100

880

68800000
6600000

60

440

420

200400000
2200000

00
2001-02

Peak Demand (GW)Peak Demand Met(GW)

Demand Not Met (%)

2006-072011-12

Energy Requiremnet (MU)

2012-132013-142014-15

Energy Availability (MU)

2015-16

2016-172017-18

Energy Not Met (%)

1. At present, demand supply gap at an all time low of less than 1%. This gap is on account of factors other than nonavailability of power.
2. Adequate power available in the country.

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

ALL INDIA THERMAL PLF

73.6

76.8

78.6

77.2 77.48

75.07 73.32

T&D AND AT&C LOSSES

69.93
65.55 64.46

62.28

60.01 60.67

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

2017-18
2016-17

Coal based capacity under reserved shut down during thecurrent year is 15000- 25000 MW.

403530252015
105034.78 34.33
32.53 31.25

33.02
30.4230.62 29.45
28.65

27.2

27.37 26.58 26.15

2725.38

22.58
25.47 25.39

T&D losses (Source: PDM CEA)

23.97 23.65 23.04

24.62

21.46 22.77

AT&C Losses (Source: PFC)IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

ALL INDIA ANNUAL PER CAPITACONSUMPTION OF ELECTRICITY (KWH)

1075
883.64 914.41

592

612.5

631.5

671.9

717.1 733.54

2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09

16.3 in DEC,1947

778.63956.64

1122

1149

1010

818.8

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

PROJECTIONS OF ELECTRICITY DEMAND-19TH ELECTRIC POWERSURVEYENERGY REQUIREMENT BU

3,000

2,531

2,000
1,500

1,000

400

2,047

2,500

1,566

226448370

2995003002001005000

PEAK DEMAND GW

3,049

3,50002021-222026-27
PEAK DEMAND

2031-32

YEAR

2036-37

ENERGY REQUIREMENT

Growth Rate (%)
2016-17 to
2021-22
CAGR of Electrical Energy
6.18
Requirement
CAGR of Peak Electricity
6.88
Demand2021-22 to
2026-27
5.51

5.77

Year

EnergyRequirement(BU)

PeakRequirement(GW)

2021-22206

92026-27273

12IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018Renewable Installed Capacity Targetby 2022
Small hydro3%Projected Growth of RES Installed
Generating Capacity (MW)
190,000

174,998
147,541Solar
57% 140,000

120,772
80,899 SOLAR

95,31990,000MW

Biomass
6%TOTAL

71,768100,000

61,69357,26043,03540,000Wind
34%

32,28033,57825,47552,25839,078

WIND 60,000

45,3052021-222020-21YEAR

2019-20

2018-192017-18

2016-17

12,289-10,000

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

Estimated Electricity Generation from RES in years 2021-22 and 2026-27

Year

Installed
capacity ofRES

Expected Generation in (BU)

SolarWindBiomassSHP

Total

162
243

112
188

37631524326518(GW)2021-222026-27

175
275

PROJECTED ELECTRICITY GENERATIONFROM RES BY 2021-22

Wind34%Solar
50%

Biomass
SHP 11%
5%

Contributio
Total Energy
n of RES toRequiremen
Total Energyt (BU)
Demand(%)
1,566
20.8%
2,047
25.3%

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

BASE CASE(2017-22) ASSUMPTIONSCapacity addition considered
Committed Capacity(MW)

Coal based Capacity underconstruction (MW)Years

2017-22

Hydro

Nuclear

Gas

6,823

3,300

406

47,855RES Capacity
Retirement of Coalby March,
Based Plants
2022(2017-22) (MW)(MW)
175,000

22,716

BASE CASE(2017-22) RESULT
Additional Coal based capacity
Requirement during 2017-22 (MW)*Coal Based Generation (Gross) (GWh)

Expected PLF% during 2021-22
During 2017-22*

6445

1072

56.5%

*Actual coal based capacity addition required during 2017-22 is 6,445 as per study even though 47,855 MW are expected to comebetween 2017-22. However, this addition of 47,855 MW of coal based capacity during 2017-22 would bring down the PLF as indicated in

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

PROJECTED INSTALLED CAPACITY (MARCH, 2022)Coal+Lignite
217,302
45%

Renewables
175,000
37%

Hydro
155,742.0
9.16%

Coal+Lignite
1,071,801.0
63.05%

RES
327,000.0
19.24%

Nuclear10,0802%

Hydro
51,301
11%

Nuclear62,643.0
3.69%

Gas
25,736
5%

Gas+Diesel
82,626.0
4.86%

TOTAL 4,79,419 MW
ALL FIGURES IN MW

TOTAL 16,99,812 GWh
ALL FIGURES IN GWhIEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

BASE CASE(2022-27) ASSUMPTIONSCapacity addition considered
Committed Capacity
(MW)
Hydro

Nuclear

Gas

Coal based Capacity underconstruction
during 2017-22 (MW)

12,0006,800047,855

Years2022-27

RES Capacity
by March,2027(MW)

Retirement of Coal
Based Plants(2022-27) (MW)275,000

25,572

BASE CASE(2022-27) RESULT
Additional Coal based capacity
Requirement during 2022-27 (MW)Coal Based Generation (Gross) (GWh)

Expected PLF% during 2026-27

46,420

1259

60.5%

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

PROJECTED INSTALLED CAPACITY (MARCH, 2027)
Hydro
268,859.0
12.10%

Coal+Lignite
238,150
39%

Renewables
275,000
44%

Coal+Lignite
1,238,906.0
55.74%

RES
518,000.0
23.31%
Nuclear16,8803%

Hydro
63,30110%

Gas
25,7354%

TOTAL 6,19,066 MW
ALL FIGURES IN MW

Nuclear110,696.0
4.98%
Gas+Diesel
86,182.0
3.88%

TOTAL 22,22,643 GWh
ALL FIGURES IN GWhIEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

India’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)
40 % cumulative power installed capacity from non-fossil fuels by 2030
Year

Likely IC(GW)

Likely IC ofFossil Fuel (GW)

Likely IC of
Non-Fossil
Fuel (GW)% of Non-Fossil
Fuel in IC

March
2022

479.4

243.0

236.4

49.31%

March
2027

619.0

263.8

355.2

57.37%* Generation from RES also included.

IEEJ：August 2018 © IEEJ2018

PROJECTED CO2 EMISSIONS FROM GRID CONNECTED POWER STATIONSYEARProjected Total
Carbon Emissions from Coaland Gas Based Plants(Million Tones)

Emission Rate*(KgCO2/kWh)2015-16

859

0.732

2021-22

1026

0.604

2026-27

1173

0.524

* Generation from RES also included.

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