_______________________________________________________________________

Alliance of Industrial Truck Organizations
世界工业车辆组织联盟
Presidents’ Forum主席论坛
Chengdu, China

中国成都
Mr. Brett Wood
ITA Chairman of the Board of Directors (Toyota – North America)
ITA董事会主席（丰田北美）
September 26, 2017______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 20171

Global Economic Outlook 全球经济概况_______________________________________________________________________
欧洲

北美亚洲

南美
中东/非洲
高速增长
匀速增长
增长缓慢全球GDP增长______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 20172

US Economic Overview 美国经济概况_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 2017

3

US Gross Domestic Product (GDP)美国GDP_______________________________________________________________________
季度实际GDP增长

2.6%

美国经济部分析局

季节调整后的年利率______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 20174

US Personal Consumption 美国个人消费_______________________________________________________________________
个人消费支出与上季度的变化

2Q: +2.8%

来源：美国商务部经济分析局______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 20175

US Unemployment Data 美国失业数据_______________________________________________________________________• 231,000 Jobs Added in June
6月增加23.1万职位• 209,000 Jobs Added in July
7月增加20.9万职位
• 16,000 Manufacturing Jobs in July
7月有1.6万制造业职位• 3,800 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Jobs in July
7月有3800运输设备制造业职位______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 2017

6US Unemployment Data 美国失业数据_______________________________________________________________________
United States Employment
Monthly change, seasonally adjusted

10%600美国就业状况月度变化109.5400

200

8.5
80
7.5
-200

76.5

-400

Percent Unemployment

Net change in employment per month (1000s of jobs)

月度工作变化数（1000份工作）

96-600

5.5

5-800
4.5
-1000

4.3%

42009

2010

2011

2012

增加或失去的工作数
Source: U.S. Department of Labor Bureau ofLabor Statistics

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Axis Title

美国失业率

Jobs Created or Lost

US Unemployment Rate______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 20177

US Unemployment Data 美国失业数据_______________________________________________________________________

Unemployment Rate

失业率12%
10%

10%

8%

6%

4.3%
4%
2%
0%
Oct-102010年10月

Jul-172017年7月______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 20178Monetary Policy 货币政策_______________________________________________________________________

百分比有效联邦基金利率美国联邦储备系统理事会______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 20179

Durable Goods Orders 耐用品订单
_______________________________________________________________________
耐用品订单在7月下跌

2017年7月耐用品订单减少6.8%，这是过去三年最大的下跌

美国人口调查局

______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Tokyo, Japan 2016

10Transportation Equipment 运输设备_______________________________________________________________________• New orders for transportation equipment decreased 19% during July to $74.3 billion
7月运输设备新订单743亿美金，下跌19%______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201711US Import/Export美国进出口_______________________________________________________________________
美国商品和服务的国际贸易 （十亿美元，季节调整）进口平衡出口2017年6月
贸易差额-436亿美金

2015年6月

Source: US Department of Commerce

2016年6月

2017年6月

美国商务部_______________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201712

Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
采购经理人指数（PMI）_______________________________________________________________________>50 表示扩张
来源：ISM全美供应管理协会______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201713

US Automotive Market 美国汽车市场_______________________________________________________________________

季节调整后年度换算值 （百万）北美轻型车辆销量

1.669千万台
季节调整后年度换算值

美国轻型车辆销量

季节调整后年度换算值

Source: Ward’s Automotive Research 来源：Ward’s汽车研究______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201714

US Housing Market 美国房市_______________________________________________________________________
美国独栋房屋开工率处于十年最好水平独栋房屋开工数，1000

US Housing Starts

美国人口普查局

______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201715

North American Lift Truck Industry
北美叉车市场
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Historic Retail Orders零售订单历史
250
215
201

231

2015

2016

214
197

193

200

226

179

千Thousands

166

158

150

136

98

100

50

0
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Note: Includes U.S., Canada, Mexico and Government含美国、加拿大、墨西哥和政府__________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201716

North American Lift Truck Industry
北美叉车市场
_______________________________________________________________________YEAR

ELECTRIC RIDER 电动乘驾(Classes 1 & 2)第1-2类

MOTORIZED HAND 电动步行式(Class 3) 第3类

INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINE(Classes 4 & 5)内燃发动机，第4-5类

1994

36,747

34,12765,027

1995

44,08737,746

72,685

1996

42,26335,37560,287

1997

42,67538,53864,946

1998

48,92340,42880,554

1999

49,84341,89974,994

2000

56,09049,121

85,993

2001

45,98037,21061,507

2002

39,23536,44555,928

2003

40,46336,65963,365

2004

46,88644,30874,228

2005

50,604

46,206

83,725

2006

53,80650,95085,0382007

50,26048,61576,664

2008

45,361

43,716

62,104

2009

28,40928,63528,7402010

31,75936, 637

36,8962011

44,72042,21358,483

2012

49,12647,33956,618

2013

52,83452,766

66,473

2014

57,54352,39675,0402015

65,04257,32976,075

2016

70,24265,764

71,455

Source:Industrial Truck Association, US Factory Shipments
来源：美国工业车辆协会，美国工厂订单________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201717

North American Lift Truck Industry
北美叉车行业
_______________________________________________________________________
Factory Orders By Engine Type – Class 4 & 5 Combined
工厂订单 - 第4&5类
100.0%

LPG

90.0%
89.0%

89.5%

82.6%

85.0%

86.5%

88.0%

20.0%

14.3%

12.0%

12.3%

11.0%

10.5%

10.2%

10.0%

3.1%

1.3%

1.0%

0.5%

0.3%

80.0%
70.0%
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%

3.0%

0.0%
2012

2013

2014
Gasoline

2015
Diesel2016

Diesel 柴油
Gas 汽油2017 - July YTD

LPG

Note: Includes U.S., Canada, Mexico and Government含美国、加拿大、墨西哥和政府__________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201718

North American Lift Truck Industry
北美叉车行业_______________________________________________________________________IC vs. Electric Trend内燃和电动趋势66%

70%
52%

50%
40%

48%

42%

30%

0%

电动34%

IC
内燃

Recession

10%

34%

Recession

20%

Electric电动

萧条期

58%

萧条期60%

66%

EL
内燃

IC

__________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201719North American Lift Truck Industry
北美叉车行业_______________________________________________________________________
Warehouse vs. Counterbalance Trend仓储和平衡重趋势

64%
59%

萧条60%
50%
40%

20%
10%
0%

36%

仓储54%

54%

CB 平衡重

46%

46%

WH 仓储

Recession萧条

30%

41%

Recession

70%

WH
内燃CB

__________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201720

North American Lift Truck Industry
北美叉车行业_______________________________________________________________________

Retail Orders Monthly vs. Prior Year月度零售订单 及 去年同期
(thousands) 千
21.1
20.4

19.7

2017

23.1

20.6

19.5
18.4

17.1

2016

19.2

16.8

18.6

16.5
22.6

22.3

21
19.3

17.7

17

16.6

JanFebMar

AprMayJunJul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Note: Includes U.S., Canada, Mexico and Government含美国、加拿大、墨西哥和政府__________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck AssociationChengdu, China 201721

North American Lift Truck Industry
北美叉车行业
_______________________________________________________________________
Guesstimate
预测Retail Orders Forecast零售订单预测
250
215
201

231

2015

2016

237

214
197

193

200

226

179
166

Thousands千158
150

136

98

100

50

0
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2017F

Note: Includes U.S., Canada, Mexico and Government含美国、加拿大、墨西哥和政府__________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201722

ITA Priorities协会重点工作_______________________________________________________________________• International cooperation on:• standards development• statistical information• free/fair trade开展标准的发展、统计信息、自由/公平贸易等方面的国际合作• Engineering practices: advance development of engineering practices that promote safety of the products ofmembers 工程实践：以推进成员的产品安全为目标发展的工程实践
• Statistical information: collection and dissemination of statistical information relating to the industrial truck
marketplace 统计信息：搜集和发布关于工业车辆市场的相关统计信息• Industry communications & networking 行业关系及联络• OSHA Compliance Officer Training职业安全与健康标准协调人员培训______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Chengdu, China 201723

National Forklift Safety Day
全国叉车安全日_______________________________________________________________________•Spotlight the safe use of powered industrial trucks聚焦工业车辆的安全使用•

Educate customers, policy makers, administration, etc. on forklift best safety practices
客户培训、政策制定、行政管理，如叉车安全操作最佳范例•National Forklift Safety Day – June 13, 2017
全国叉车安全日 2017年6月13日

24National Forklift Safety Day 20172017年全国叉车安全日_____________________________________________________________________

25

National Forklift Safety Day 20172017年全国叉车安全日_____________________________________________________________________

26

Media Results = +57 Million媒体报道结果=超过57,000,000_____________________________________________________________________

27

Powered Industrial Truck Industry Profile机动工业车辆行业概况_____________________________________________________________________

Industry Profile Content
行业概况内容• High level summary overview of the current state of the industry
高水平总结行业现状• Direct, indirect & induced contributions to national GDP
对GDP的直接、间接影响• Employment figures就业数据2829_____________________________________________________________________30

_____________________________________________________________________THANK YOU______________________________________________________________________
Industrial Truck Association

Tokyo, Japan 201631