Presidents’ Forum
Palm Beach – September, 24 2011

Ambrogio BOLLINI
President, FEM Product Group Industrial Trucks
FEM工业车辆产品组主席

President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

AGENDA议程• Economic development Europe
欧洲的经济发展

• Industrial truck market Europe
欧洲工业车辆市场• Market surveillance in Europe
欧洲的市场监管
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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

Europe 欧洲
Geographic EU
地理上的欧洲47 countries
47个国家

Political EU (union) 27 members
政治上（欧盟）27个成员
Euro Zone
欧元区

17 members
17个成员

NOTE: Five more Countries applied for EUmembership备注： 另有五个国家申请加入欧盟
Eurozone 欧元区
EU Union 欧盟
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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011
Economic development 经济发展
Growth GDP TOP EU Countries 前几大欧洲国家GDP增长率
Constant prices (% change)
不变价GDP (% 增长)

6,04,02,00,02000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011 E 2012 E 2013 E-2,0-4,0-6,0

•
•欧元区

预测法国

德国Euro area

Forecast

FRANCEGERMANY

ITALY

SPAIN

UK

意大利

西班牙

英国

A moderate and uneven recovery is taking shape across Europe where Germany and France drivestronger GDP growth 欧洲地区正进行着缓慢而不平稳的经济复苏，其中德国、法国拉动着较强的GDP增长
Growth is expected to pick up during 2011-12, but the traditional drivers of the recovery are likely tobe weaker than usual, due to the fiscal imbalance in Eurozone (i.e. Greece, Portugal, Irelandinsolvency issue) 预期经济的增长将于2011、2012开始，但是由于欧元区的财政不平衡，比如希腊、葡萄牙、爱尔兰等国破产因素，传统“经济复苏的驱动力”将比以往更加微弱

Sources: OECD, Econstats

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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

Drivers of recovery 复苏的驱动力GDP and Economic Sentiment Indicator relation 国内生产总值和经济景气指标的联系
GDP and Economic Sentiment Indicator (% change)

GDP和经济景气指标（增长%）1,50120,0

1,00
110,0
0,50
0,00

100,0-0,50
90,0-1,00-1,5080,0-2,00
70,0-2,50-3,00

60,0
Q12000

Q12001

Q12002

Q12003

Q12004

Q12005

Q12006

GDP Growth•••

Q12007

Q12008

Q12009Q12010Q12011

ESIFiscal “policies” and “stimulus” packages in EU have rebuilt ESI confidence index欧洲的财政政策及刺激方案正在重建经济
景气的信心指数The ESI improvement is today almost driven by an higher Consumer confidence while the Industrial, Services,Construction and Retail confidence is subdued经济景气指标的提升绝大部分是因为较高的消费者信心，而不是工业和服务业、建筑业和零售业的信心
Under the present circumstances, considering the Country deficit, Public debts, Bank credit restrictions, Unemployment,etc. it is likely this index will deteriorate然而，从目前的情况看来，考虑到国家财政赤字、公共债务、银行信用限制、失业等不确定因素，这一指标有可能会恶化

Sources: OECD, Eurostat

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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011
Economic development经济发展
年度通货膨胀率
Annual average inflation rate
average consumer prices (% change) 平均消费物价指数 （%）

4,5
4
3,5
3
2,52
1,5
1
0,50
2000
-0,52001

2002

2003

•

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

欧元区

预测法国

德国

Euro area

Forecast

FRANCEGERMANY

ITALY

SPAIN

UK意大利•

2004

西班牙2010

2011 E2012 E2013 E

英国Inflation rose in Euro Area due to of commodity price pressures acceleration but expected todecrease the following years due to the deterioration of the consumer confidence and theunemployment.商品价格的压力加速了欧元区的通货膨胀上升，但预计在接下来的几年由于
消费者信心及失业率的恶化，通货膨胀将下降。
Expected below 2% in the Eurozone 预期欧元区在2%以下

Sources: OECD, Econstats

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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

AGENDA议程• Economic development Europe
欧洲的经济发展

• Industrial truck market Europe
欧洲工业车辆市场• Market surveillance in Europe
欧洲的市场监管
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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

Geographic Europe地理上的欧洲

The European Market
380’000

by product family欧洲市场-按照产品家族分245’000

2002

Source: WITS

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

WH's MAT

CB's MAT

仓储叉车平衡重叉车

8/19

2008

2009

EU Total

欧洲合计2010

2011

MarNov

JulMarNov

JulGiuNov

JulMarNov

JulMarNov

JulMarNov

JulMarNov

JunFebOct

MayJanAug/Sep

Apr

Dec

166’000

President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

Geographic Europe地理上的欧洲
WITS Classification 2010 WITS 2010年分类

West Europe西欧
Main WEST EU
AUSTRIABELGIUM
DENMARKGERMANYFRANCEGREAT BRITAIN
ITALY
NETHERLAND
PORTUGALSPAIN
SWEDENSWITZERLAND

From January 2011

East Europe东欧

Other WEST EUANDORRAFAROE ISL
FINLANDGIBRALTAR
GREECEHOLY SEE (VATICAN)ICELANDIRELAND
LIECHTENSTEINLUXEMBOURG
MALTAMONACONORWAYSAN MARINOSVLBRD/JAN MAYEN

ALBANIAARMENIAAZERBAIJANBELARUSBOSNIA-HZ
BULGARIA
CROATIACZECH REP.
ESTONIAGEORGIAHUNGARYKAZAKHSTANKYRGYZSTANLATVIA
LITHUANIATURKEY 土耳其CYPRUS 塞浦路斯

EAST EU
MACEDONIA
MOLDOVIAPOLANDROMANIARUSSIAN FEDSLOVAKIASLOVENIATAJIKISTANTURKMENISTANUKRAINEUZBEKISTANSERBIA & MONTENEGROKAZAKHSTAN 卡萨克斯坦KYRGYZSTAN 吉尔吉斯坦塔吉克斯坦
TAJIKISTANTURKMENISTAN土库曼斯坦

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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011
FEM & WITS - CB Market comparison FEM和WITS平衡重市场比较

West Europe detail 西欧详情
WEST EUWITS - WH

250.000

2002

2003

2005

2006

WITS month

Source: WITS

2010

2002

2011

2003

2004

2005

2006

WITS month

WITS

10/19

2007

2008

2009

WITS

Aug

Oct

2010

MarMay-Jul-Dec

Aug

Oct

Mar

MayJul

2009

Dec

Feb

Apr

2008

Sep

Jun

2007

Nov

Jan

Aug

Oct

Mar

May

Jul

2004

Dec

Feb

Apr

Sep

Jun

Nov

Jan-Feb

50.000

Apr

5.000

Sep

50.000

Jun

5.000

Nov

100.000

Jan10.000

Aug100.000Oct

10.000

Mar150.000

May

15.000

Jul150.000

Dec

15.000Feb

200.000

Apr

20.000Sep

200.000

Jun

20.000Nov

25.000

Jan250.000

WEST EUWITS - CB

25.0002011-President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011
FEM & WITS - CB Market comparison 平衡重市场比较

East Europe detail东欧详情EAST EU
WITS - WH

2003

2006

WITS month

Source: WITS

2009

2010

2011

2002

WITS

2003

2004

2005

2006

WITS month

11/19

2007

2008

2009

WITS

2010

Aug

Oct

Mar

May

Jul-Dec

AugOctMarMay

Jul

Dec

Feb

Apr2008

Sep

Jun

2007

Nov

Jan

Aug

Oct

2005

MarMayJul2004

Dec

Feb

Apr

Sep

Jun

NovJan

2002

-

Feb

50.000

Apr

5.000

Sep

50.000Jun5.000Nov

100.000-250.000

Jan10.000

Aug

100.000

Oct

10.000

Mar150.000

May15.000

Jul

150.000

Dec

15.000Feb

200.000

Apr20.000

Sep

200.000

Jun20.000

Nov

25.000Jan

250.000

EAST EUWITS - CB

25.0002011-

President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

The today EU scenario欧盟的现状•The recovery has solidified, thanks to higher consumer spending and substantial
fiscal policies but unemployment remains high which might “hold back” the general
consumer confidence归功于较高的消费性支出以及坚固的财政政策，目前的经济复苏业已稳固。但失业率的高居不下，有可能会阻碍消费者信心的恢复进度。

•Despite the positive outlook there are still risks for the near future related to thesovereign risk of certain countries in Euro Area and the development policy to support
them, high debt rate, the insufficient progress on banking system repair, the incrementin oil price and political and social problems除了积极正面的展望，一些欧元国家仍存在
着主权危机以及经济支持政策、高负债率、银行系统修复进展不足、原油价格上涨、政治及社会问题等方面的风险。

•The GDP growth rate in Q1 2011 was of 0,84% and the latest data seems confirm
same growth in Q2. In Q3 the growth rate pace might slow-down due to a number ofstill open uncertainties 第一季度的GDP增长率为0.84%，而且最新的数据似乎验证了第二季度拥有同样的GDP增长率。由于许多还不确定的因素，第三季度的增长率将放缓。

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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

EU Material Handling - Market expectations欧盟的物料搬运市场预期•Global economy has definitely turned the corner from the great recession after
implementing structural policies and reforms in the most important economies在最主要经济体实施结构化政策和改革后，全球经济已经从大衰败中走出来。

•The today market recovery, largely driven by Germany and few other countries, islikely to continue but a “W shape” is to be foreseen目前主要由德国和其他几个国家所推动的市场的复苏将会持续，但可以预见将以W曲线进行；•Back to 2006/7 level by 2014? 2014年是否将回到2006年水平？
The Europe WITS Market

40.000?
units/month

30.00020.0002002

Source: WITS

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

13/19

2010

2012

2014

O

M

J

2013

DFS

A

J
2011

N

J

A

O

2009

M

M

JDFS

A

J

N

J

A

M

AO

N

M

J

D-J

10.000President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

AGENDA议程• Economic development Europe
欧洲的经济发展

• Industrial truck market Europe
欧洲工业车辆市场• Market surveillance in Europe
欧洲的市场监管
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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011Market surveillance市场监管

•The system of Market surveillance in Europe shall ensure the Compliance ofproducts to Safety, Environmental and Exhaust emission legislation controlled
by the “Market surveillance authorities” 欧洲市场监管体系是用于确保产品符合由“市场监管机构”管理的安全、环境及排放法规的要求。

•

As all other regions of the world, Europe has legislation in place also
applicable to industrial trucks.与世界上其他地区相似，欧洲已制定的某些法律
同样也适用于工业叉车行业。

•

The system is very liberal, all manufacturers can confirm their compliance tothe applicable legislation by their own, no third party certification is required.这
一体系是非常开放的，所有生产商都可自行确认其产品是否符合适用法规，而
不需要第三方认证。

•But, on the other hand, authorities are obliged to perform product checks
regarding the fulfillment of the applicable legislation.但是，从另一方面来说，机构有责任进行检验，以查看该产品是否满足了适用法规中的要求。

•

That process is called “Market surveillance”该步骤就称为市场监管
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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011Market surveillance in Europe欧洲的市场监管

•As announced in AITO-Meeting 2010 in Istanbul, European MarketSurveillance Authorities will act more proactive如同在2010年伊斯坦布尔的联盟会议上提到的，市场监管机构的行动将更加积极
–Market surveillance authorities will be supported by industry市场监管机构将得到行业

的协助–

•

FEM IT supports market surveillance authorities by „A brief guide foridentification of non-compliant industrial trucks“ FEM IT提供”关于鉴别不符合法规的工业车辆的简明指导”，为市场监管机构提供支持––––•Major aim is to prevent accidents with noncompliant/unsafe industrial trucks which isin the interest of authorities, manufacturers and users主要的目的是为了避免不符规定
/不安全的工业车辆发生事故，以保护政府、制造商及用户的利益

Machinery directive机械指令
Outdoor Noise directive室外噪音指令
Non-Road mobile machinery directive非道路行驶机械设备指令
http://www.fem-eur.com/index.php/Market%20Surveillance/en/

A significant number of non-compliant equipment was seen onIMHX/Birmingham show as well as during auctions in various EU countries (nopunishment for exhibitors)在英国伯明翰举办的国际搬运及物流展中出现了相当多的不符法规设备（没有惩罚参展商）
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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011Market surveillance at CeMAT 2011
2011 CeMAT期间的市场监管行动
• German National Committee of FEM (VDMA) conducted inspection on first day of the show regarding
obvious violations on industrial trucks 德国机械设备制造业联合会在展会的第一天就有明显违规的工业车辆进行了检查•“More than 50 exhibits from the industrial trucks segment did not meet the requirements of the Europeandirectives regarding machine safety, exhaust emissions and noise emissions.”* “工业车辆环节有超过50个展品没有符合欧洲在设备安全、废气排放以及噪音污染方面的指令要求”*•“The information collected during the inspection was turned over to the Trade Supervisory Office inHannover. The Trade Supervisory Officials, in their function as market surveillance authorities, confirmed
the violations found by the VDMA.”* 在检查中搜集的信息被移交给汉诺威的贸易监督机构做进一步调查。官员们代表市场监管的执法机关核对VDMA发现的违规事项。
•“Sealed, tamperproof signs had to be affixed to some exhibits informing visitors that the products were notin conformance with European directives regulations (the signs were intended to at least protect potential
buyers from becoming involved in the illegal operation of such products in Europe)“为了告知参观者该产品并不符合欧洲的指令规定，有些展品不得不被贴上密封且不能篡改的标签。贴标签是为了至少保护潜在买家不卷入在欧洲违规操作该产品的可能。

•The Trade Supervisory Office has affirmed that it will investigate and follow up on all information it
receives after the trade fair as well.”*贸易监督机构已声明将在展会后检查并跟进搜集的所有信息”** Quotation from VDMA press release

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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

Outlook展望•Follow up on market surveillance authorities actions against violations foundon CeMAT 2011跟进市场监管机构在2011年CeMAT展中发现的违规事宜•

Several press releases or articles regarding legal consequences for
operators of non-compliant industrial trucks were or will be published 发布或者即将发布关于使用不符工业车辆的法律后果的若干新闻稿或文章•

4th chapter for „A brief guide for identification of non-compliant
industrial trucks“ regarding technical details in preparation Æ “TOP TEN
obvious violations” 关于技术细节的第四篇“关于鉴别不符合法规的工业车辆
的简明指导”正准备中Æ“十个明显违规”•

Other product groups of FEM join the initiative of FEM IT and will publish“brief guides…” FEM的其他产品组加入FEM IT的行动并且将发布“。。。
。。。简明指导”•24th November 2011: EU conference on market surveillance 2011年11月24日：关于市场监管的欧盟会议
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President Forum - Palm Beach - September, 24 2011

Appeal to all industrial truck manufacturers
呼吁所有工业车辆制造商
An increase of unsafe trucks in operation will result in more accidents使用
的不安全叉车的越多，事故也会越多。
This is detrimental for any manufacturer of industrial trucks这对任何工业叉车生产商都是不利的。
We request all AITO-members to appeal to their members to use the world
wide agreed standard ISO 3691 regarding safety and obey national
legislation regarding exhaust and outdoor noise emissions我们要求所有联
盟成员呼吁其成员采用被全世界范围内认同的ISO 3691安全标准，并遵守有关排放和室外噪声发射的国家法规。
Otherwise governments might get in favor of third party certification否则，
政府有可能采用第三方认证的方式。
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