Early Warnings for All
Chinatsu Endo
16th AOGEO Symposium
3 September 2024, Tokyo Japan© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Sendai Framework
Target G.

Increase the availability andaccess to multi-hazard early
warning systems© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Early Warning
as a Proven Adaptation Measure
It saves lives.
It provides more than a tenfold return on
investment*.

*Adapt now: a global call for leadership on climate
resilience, Global Commission on Adaptation (2019)​© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Disaster-related mortality per 100,000 population
4.05

Limited to moderate
MHEWS coverage

0.71

Substantial tocomprehensive MHEWS
coverage

Disaster affected people per 100,000
3,132

Limited to moderate
MHEWS coverage

688© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Substantial tocomprehensive MHEWS
coverage

Source: Global Status of Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems 2023, UNDRR

But we are not quite there yet.
Only half of the world is covered by multihazard early warning systems (MHEWS).
Extreme weather events continue to cost
the countries billions of dollars in economiclosses.
Significant gap in least developed countries(LDCs) and small island developing states(SIDS).

© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction• Launched at the COP27 in 2022, by the UN SecretaryGeneral.

• Calls to addressing immediate gaps and establishingsustainable muti-hazard early warning systems- makeevery person on Earth protected by MHEWS by 2027.
• The initiative promotes every country to elevate the efforts
to achieve the goal.

© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Four Elements ofend-to-end multi-hazard EWS© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Growing number of countries with multi-hazard early warning systems▪

108 countries (55% of the world) reported having Multi Hazar Early Warning System [G-1],
compared to 52 in 2015 (over 2x improvement).

▪

98 countries reported on Pillar 3: warning dissemination and communication [G-3]; In
comparison, 53 countries reported on Pillar 1: disaster risk knowledge.
Number of countries reporting coverage of MHEWS
103

10890

Number of countries reporting by EW4ALL Pillars
1009890807073505274604066

533020100
Pillar 1: Disaster risk knowledge [G-5]
Pillar 2: Detection, observations, monitoring, analysis and forecasting [G-2]2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Pillar 3: Warning dissemination and communication [G-3]

Pillar 4: Preparedness to respond [G-4]

Source: Global Status of Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems 2023, UNDRRInvestment required
to support LDCs andSIDS where thecoverage is low.

Source: Global Status of Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems 2023, UNDRR© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Countries formulating EW4ALL national roadmap▪

Bangladesh▪

Cambodia▪

Lao PDR▪

Nepal▪

Maldives▪

Fiji▪

Kiribati

▪

Samoa

▪

Solomon Islands

▪

Tonga

© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Maldives

Lao PDR

Earth Intelligence in
EW4ALL
Cambodia and Lao PDR© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction▪

From “what weather will be” to “what itwill do”▪

Impact-based flood forecasting system
in Lao PDR and Cambodia, currently
under development▪

Hydrological & hydraulic modelinginteracts with socio-economic
vulnerability information▪

Enables targeted response for the mostvulnerable population and protecting
critical economic assets.

Thank you.
Chinatsu Endochinatsu.endo@un.org© UNDRR – United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction