Thailand long-term low GHG emission development strategy (LT LEDS)
Impact of LT-LEDS for actions taken by stakeholders
National Convention Center ວຽງຈັນ ສປປ.ລາວ
Bundit Limmeechokchai
Thammasat Design School (TDS-TU)
Thammasat University, THAILAND
22/08/2023

Human influence warms the climate at unprecedented rate
1980

Source: AR6 (IPCC-WGI, 2021)

1

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR6
IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), 2015-2023

SRCCL
2019
SR152018

Source: IPCC (Jun 2023)

WG I

WG II

WG IIISROCC2019

2

Global temperature increases as a function of cumulative emissions

Historical human-induced
cumulative CO2 emissions= 2500 GtCO2 (1850-2020)

500 Gt1.2The remaining
carbon budget
from 2020 forlimiting 1.5°C is500 GtCO2.

2500
Note: 1 Gt = 1000 Mt
Source: AR6 (IPCC-WGI, 2021)

3

Global net GHG emissions continue increasing
59±6 Gt

Note: 1 Gt = 1000 Mt
Source: AR6 (IPCC-WGIII, 2022)

4

Climate Emergency

Time left tolimit to 1.5⁰C(year)=Carbon budget (Gt)
Emissions per year (Gt/y)5

Climate Emergency

67% chance of reaching 1.5°C by 2027 (WMO, 2023)
Source: climateclock.world (2023)

6

Extreme Weather

Source: WMO (2022)

7

Climate Change Impacts

8

Climate Change Impacts

9

Climate Change Impacts

10

Climate Change Impacts

11

From Climate Risk to Climate Resilient Development (CRD)

12

Climate Resilient Development (CRD)

Adaptation

Mitigation

13

Many options available now to offer net emissions

Source: AR6 (IPCC-WGIII, 2022)

14

Many options available now to offer net emissions

Source: AR6 (IPCC-WGIII, 2022)15

Higher ambition to achieve NZE

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Slow Onset Event

Climate Tipping Point

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“The era of global warming has ended”

July is set to be the hottest month on record, and likely in 120,000 years
Source: UN (July 2023)

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Thailand LT LEDS: Formulated by AIM Models

Source: Thailand LT-LEDS (UNFCCC, 2022)

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Thailand LT LEDS: The AIM Modeling

Timeline to Net Zero Emissions ➔Timeline to Net Zero Emissions ➔Timeline to Net Zero Emissions ➔Timeline to Net Zero Emissions ➔Source: Thailand LT-LEDS (UNFCCC, 2022)

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Thailand LT LEDS: The AIM ModelingThailand’s net zero GHG emissions 2065

Source: Thailand LT-LEDS (UNFCCC, 2022)

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Thailand LT LEDS: The AIM ModelingThailand’s net zero CO2 2050

Source: Thailand LT-LEDS (UNFCCC, 2022)

22

Thailand LT LEDS: Actions Taken by Stakeholders

ROYAL DECREE on 17 Aug 2023
Department of Climate Change and Environment

Source: Thailand Royal Decree (17 Aug 2023)

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Climate Actions and Collaboration between Thailand and Japan24

Thailand LT LEDS: Actions Taken by Stakeholders
Climate Action Initiator= 488
Climate Leading Organization = 19
Climate Action Innovator=4Thailand Carbon Neutral Network

Source: Thailand Carbon Neutral Network (2023)

25

Thailand LT LEDS: Actions Taken by Stakeholders
Thai Renewable Energy (RE100) Association

Source: re100th.org (2023)

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Thailand LT LEDS: Actions Taken by Stakeholders

Source: Siam Cement Company (SCG, 2023)

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Increasing DJSI Business in Thailand

26

2014

2015

Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand (2023)

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

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From Net Zero Emissions to Sustainability

Source: UN

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Thank you ຂອບໃຈ ขอบคุณ

ありがとうございます