AIM 2050 Net-Zero Scenario Developmentfor Hai Phong.

Kyoko TAKE and Kohei HIBINO (IGES, Japan)

22/08/2023

Summary of AIM Analysis for Hai Phong city, Viet Nam◼Period 1 (FY2014-2016):

Workshop inHai PhongSep 2016

AIM team support to create a Low Carbon City (LCC)
scenario which achieved 14% emission reduction basedon the national target: “Reduce the GHG emissions fromenergy-related activities 10 – 20% of BaU (Decision1393/QĐ-TTg - 9/2012)”◼Period 2 (FY2018-2021):
AIM team support to create a LCC scenario whichachieved 45% emission reduction based on the nationaltarget: “Reduce 45% of BaU (Decision 2068/QĐ-TTg 11/2015)”

High level
Workshop inHai Phong
December 2017

◼Period 3 (FY2021-2022):
AIM team support to create a net-zero carbon scenario(2021-2022) based on the Vietnam’s commitment to bea net-zero carbon in 2050 in COP26 (11/2021)

Workshop AIM 2050
Net Zero Scenario
Development in Hai
Phong Feb 2023
(together withKitakyushu team)1

Summary of AIM Analysis for Hai Phong city, Viet Nam◼ FY2021: AIM supported
developed a low carbon cityfor Hai Phong (CO2 emissionscan be reduced 45% in 2050
compared to BaU scenario)◼ FY2022: AIM team and Kitakyushu collaborated with Hai Phong to develop a netzero carbon scenario in 2050 for Hai Phong• 6.2022: Meeting among DOFA, DONRE (Hai Phong) and IGES, Kitakyushu aboutdeveloping of a net-zero scenario for Hai Phong• 7.2022: Visited Hai Phong for data collection and discussing about methodology• 2.2023: Workshop AIM 2050 Net Zero Scenario Development in Hai Phong CityAction

Project code
1-01
1-02

Green Industry
1-03
1-04
2-01
2-02
2-03
2-04
2-05
Green Building

2-06
2-07
2-082-09
2-10
2-11

Project nameSector

Energy savings in factory
Industry
Installation high energy efficiency
facilities (such as compressors Industryand motors)
Regional energy supply system Industry
Improvement of kiln and furnace
Industry
technology
Installation of insulated glasses toCommercial
commetcial buildings
Installation of insulated glasses to
Residential
households
Introduction of insulating material
Residential
to houses
Introduction of incentive to low
Commercial
energy buildings
Energy efficiency technology
Commercial
applied to buildings
High efficiency lighting in public
CommerciallightingHigh efficiency lighting inCommercialcommercial buildings
High efficiency lighting inResidential
households
High efficiency air conditioners
Commercial
in commercial buildings
High efficiency air conditioners in
Residential
households
Promotion of energy-efficient
Residential
appliances in households

Five actions (29 projects) towards a 2050 Net Zero Emissionin Hai Phong

Emission reduction(ktCO2eq)
7,894.2
3,867.2

Action10,396.5

Project code

1,930.9

3-01
830.6

3-02

382.0

Clean Energy

68.7
3-03
702.6

3-04

959.4

568.9

4-01

Project nameSector

Introduction of solar water
Commercial
heater to commercial buildings
Introduction of solar water
Residential
heater to households
Introduction of photovoltaic
power generation to commercial Commercial
buildings

Emission reduction(ktCO2eq)414.8
1,575.0

522.7

Introduction of photovoltaic
Residential
power generation to households

1,841.7

Promotion of eco-driving withdigital tachographs

Transport

6,750.7

Smart trafic management

Transport

110.1

Transport

866.0

291.9

4-02
93.0

4-03
Clean Transport 528.7
4-04
57.2
4-05
183.0

Development of Bus Rapid
Transit (BRT)
Introduction of EV buses
Introduction of electricmotorbikes

Transport

576.1Transport

1,876.3

4-06

Introduction of EV car

Transport

1,088.1

4-07

EV truckTransport
Solid waste disposal transfer toWaste
biogasSolid waste compose transfer toWaste
biogas9,419.8

Waste to energy

192.5

5-01
Green Solid Waste
5-02Management
5-03

Waste

253.5
73.4

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AIM’s Contribution to Actual Implementation◼ Decision No. 3337/QĐ-UBND promulgated implementation plan ofDecision No. 2053/QD-TTg (6/28/2016) of the Prime Minister on
implementation of Paris Agreement about Climate Change in Hai Phong,approved on 6th December 2017. In page 6 of the Decision, theymentioned about collaboration with JICA and Kitakyshu on planning ofdeveloping green growth for Hai Phong (2015) and collaboration with
AIM team on developing a low carbon city scenario which achieved 14%emission (2016)◼ Decision No. 565/QĐ-UBND on approval of updating action plan torespond to climate change in Hai Phong in period 2021-2030, a vision to2050, approved on 5th March 2020. In page 3, they mentioned Hai
Phong should implement low carbon actions which proposed in Hai
Phong low carbon scenario 2030 which developed by AIM team.
◼ Hai Phong city has a mission to update its Climate Change Action Plan(CCAP) in 2025 (once in 5 years, the last version in 2020 - Decision
565/QD-UBND), DONRE needs to advise/consult the Hai Phong People’sCommittee in 2024. DONRE expected to use our net-zero scenario (asexpected to complete by this year 2023) as fundamental to advise thePeople’s Committee to update its CCAP 2025.

3

Researchers’ Roles to Bridge AIM with Stakeholders Concerned▪ Develop and update the AIM scenario based on the feedback from Hai Phongstakeholders’ opinions▪ Simulation of climate policies and actions using AIM model▪ Work with Hai Phong’s DOFA, DONRE, other line-Departments and stakeholders
to organize technical meetings, workshops to convey the results of the AIM
model to policy makers in Hai Phong▪ Work with relevant stakeholders in Hai Phong and Japanese technology
providers to demonstrate the introduction of some candidate technologies
applied in the scenario

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