Fourth Distinguished Ogura Lecture in 2024
日本気象学会第四回小倉特別講義

Regional climate change andthe role of internal variability andatmospheric dynamics
Dr. Clara DeserSenior Scientist
Climate and Global Dynamics Division
National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

Date:

15 November (Fri), 2024, 9:30 – 11:00 JST(Fourth day of the 2024 MSJ Fall meeting)Place: Leo Esaki Main Convention Hall,Tsukuba International Congress Center
Lecturer profile:

Please see page #2

Remarks: The lecture will be given in English (free for attendance). Pleaseconsider joining an associated MSJ session on ‘Dynamical
understanding of climate system variability and change’ in theafternoon of the same day (please see page #3 for details).

Dr. Clara Deser
Dr. Clara Deser is a climate scientist at the National Center for
Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Her research area encompasses
internal climate variability and anthropogenically forced climatechange. Through observational and modeling studies, she has
investigated interactions among atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice,and their roles in modes of climate variability from interannual tomultidecadal time scales. She pioneered the use of a large
ensemble of climate model simulations for advancingunderstanding of the combined influence of natural andanthropogenic contributions on climate variability and change.
Nowadays, the large ensemble simulation datasets are used as
fundamental resources for attributions of climate change and extreme weather, assessments ofclimate change risks, and information for adaptation and mitigation efforts.
Dr. Deser earned her B.S. from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1982) and Ph.D. in
Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington (1989) under the supervision of Prof. John
Michael Wallace. After serving as a Research Associate at the Cooperative Institute for Research in
Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, she joined NCAR in 1997. Since 2011, she has beenleading the Climate Analysis Section of NCAR.
Dr. Deser is a member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences and a fellow of the American
Geophysical Union and the American Meteorological Society. She obtained the Charney Award fromthe American Meteorological Society in 2020 and the Roger Revelle Medal from the American
Geophysical Union in 2022. In WCRP CLIVAR, she served as a member of the Pacific Implementation
Panel, Scientific Steering Committee, Working Groups on Decadal Prediction and Arctic-Midlatitude
Weather Linkages, and Research Focus Group on Marine Heat Waves. She co-chaired the US CLIVAR
Working Group on Large “initial-condition” Ensembles and the WCRP CMIP6 “Polar Amplification
Model Intercomparison Project”. Throughout her academic career, she has published more than 200
peer-reviewed papers, with total citations of ~44,000 and an h-index of 99 (Google Scholar).

The Ogura Lecture Associated Session
日本気象学会小倉特別講義連携セッション

Dynamical understanding of climate system variability and change

Date:

15 November (Fri), 2024, 13:30 - 15:55 JST(Fourth day of the 2024 MSJ Fall meeting)Place: Leo Esaki Main Convention Hall,Tsukuba International Congress Center

Program
13:30 - 13:35

Introduction

13:35 - 14:00 Satoru Okajima (The University of Tokyo)
Seasonality of the North Pacific storm track activity and its change under thechanging climate
14:00 - 14:25 Masato Mori (Kyusyu University)
Selective enhancement of teleconnection pattern by extratropical atmosphereocean coupling
14:25 - 14:50 Yoko Yamagami (JAMSTEC)
Impacts of oceanic mesoscale structures and western boundary currents onlarge-scale climate variability revealed by climate model simulations
14:50 - 15:15 Youichi Kamae (University of Tsukuba)
Forced response and internal variability of mid-latitude climate extremes
15:15 - 15:40 Yukiko Imada (The University of Tokyo)
Potential seasonal predictability of the risk of regional rainfall extremes andthe role of global-scale interannual variability
15:40 - 15:55

Discussions and Concluding remarks