IEA HPT TCP National Workshop Programme –Heat pumps in Norway - May 10, OsloIEA HPT TCP National Workshop
Heat pumps in Norway
0930 - 0935 Welcome to Oslo
Rolf Iver Mytting Hagemoen, Secretary General, Norwegian Heat Pump Association,
0935- 0950 A short introduction to the Technology Collaboration Programme on Heat Pumping Technologies by IEA (HPT TCP)
Stephan Renz, chairman HPT TCP
0950 - 1010 The heat pump market in Norway
Rolf Iver Mytting Hagemoen, Secretary General, Norwegian Heat Pump Association,
1010 - 1030 Potential for energy efficiency and heat pumps in Norwegian buildings
Synne Krekling Lien, researcher, SINTEF Community
1030 – 1050 Analysing energy upgrading projects of single-family houses towards a Norwegian nZEB level
Laurent Georges, Associate Professor at NTNU
1050 - 1110 Coffee breakIEA HPT TCP National Workshop
Heat pumps in Norway
1110 - 1200 High-Temperature Heat Pumps (Annex 58)
Michael Bantle, senior researcher (PhD), SINTEF Energy Research
Why High Temperature Heat Pump?
Michael Bantle
Annex 58: High-Temperature Heat Pumps - State of the art, demonstration cases and development perspectives
Ole Marius Moen
SkaleUp: Industrial high temperature heat pump for simultaneous process cooling and heating
Christian Schlemminger
DryFiciency closed loop heat pumps: Operation experience and outlook
Michael Bantle
Outlook/Discussion: Steam producing heat pumps for electrification of process heat of up to 180degC
1200 - 1300 Lunch

IEA HPT TCP National Workshop
Heat pumps in Norway
1300 – 1400 Geothermal heat pumps in Norway (Annex 52)
Kirsti Midttømme, Chief Scientist, NORCEHigh Temperature borehole Thermal Energy Storage (HT-BTES) – Fjell School (Annex 52)
Randi Kalskin Ramstad, Dr. ing, Consultant Asplan Viak, associate professor II NTNUInternet of Things for Heat Pumps (Annex 56)
Veronika Wilk, Senior Research Engineer, AIT Austrian Institute of Technology
Ellika Taveres-Cachat, SINTEF Community
1400 – 1415 Short breakIEA HPT TCP National Workshop
Heat pumps in Norway
1415 – 1505 Field studies and monitoring of commercial heat pump systems, what should have been improved? (Annex 52)
Jørn Stene, Dr. ing. Specialist heat pump and cooling systems at COWI AS
1505 – 1515 Short break
1515 – 1545 Heat pumps in district heating to utilize heat from a big data centreTrond Berntsen, project manager Fortum Oslo Varme AS

1545 – 1600 What to do in Oslo and sights
Rolf Iver Mytting Hagemoen, Secretary General, Norwegian Heat Pump Association,

The heat pump market in Norway

Facts about Norway• Norway is a country of mountain ranges, huge forests, vast empty expanses and only about 3%
arable land.
• The population is approximately 5.3 million, around 1.2 million of whom live in and around thecapital city, Oslo.
• Form of government: Constitutional monarchy• Parliament• EU membership: NoThe Norwegian economy
The biggest source of national income is the extraction and export of offshore oiland gas. Other significant industries include fishing, steel, shipping and tourism.
Per capita GDP: €45,700 (2020)

Electricity production in Norway
1690 hydropower plants
88 % of Norwegian production capacity

53 wind farms
10 % of Norwegian production capacity
The total renewable share in Norway is 50.4 per cent, compared with 46.7 per cent in 2010

Norwegian EV market

In 2021: 64.5 percent of all new cars sold were fully electric.

Electric ferries
At the beginning of 2021, there were 31 car
ferries in electric operation in Norway.
A year later - at the beginning of 2022, there
were 48 in operation.
Since the turn of the year, four more car ferries
have been put into electric operation, so that
there are now 53.
Another 20 ferries will be put into electric
operation during the year.

About Norway and briefly about 2021/2022− Highest electricity prices ever− Fossil oil heating is prohibited for most buildings since 2020
− Fossil energy is prohibited in new buildings since 2015
− Gas heating is only available in a few places− Fossil energy is still used in industry, but this will be phased out− Electric heating is most common in Norway− Many houses also have wood stoves− High electricity prices increase the demand for heat pumps− There is district heating in the cities and some smaller towns, yet less than in the other Nordic
countries− CO2 price on fossil fuel and refrigerants

Pros and cons for heat pumps
Pros:

Cons:

Electricity prices low compared to fossil energy

Direct electric heating is common

CO2-taxes on fossil energy
Fossil energy banned in new buildings

Building regulations does not give initiatives forheat pumps

Fossil oil banned in most buildings

NZEB not implemented in building regulations

Energy labelling of buildings, BREEAM,
FutureBuild etc promotes heat pumps
Ambitious building owners choose heat pumps

Many competent companies, installers andplanners
Subsidies for some heat pumps

Many incompetent companies, installers andplanners
No national strategy for energy efficiency inbuildings

Total market heat pumps 1995 - 2021
140 000

120 000

100 000

80 00060 00040 000

20 00001995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Reversible HP - air / air

Heating only HP - air / water

Heating only HP - brine / water

Exhaust air HP - air / water

Reversible HP - VRF

Tap water

2021 vs 2020
• Total sales of heat pumps:• Fourth quarter 2021 compared to fourth quarter 2020

• 2019105 124• Air-to-air + 60,70 %• 202091 894• Air-to-water + 33,70 %• 2021125 049• Brine-to-water + 29,90 %• Exhaust air 156,2%• An increase of 36% compared to 2020
• 2021 compared to 2020
• Air-to-air + 38,00 %• Air-to-water + 2,5 %• Brine-to-water + 8,0 %• Exhaust air 29,9%Distribution of heat pumps in Norway− In the period 1987 - 2020, almost 1.4 million heat pumps were sold in Norway− Air-to-air: approx. 1.25 million− Air-to-water: over 50,000− Brine-to-water: over 55,000− Ventilation heat pumps: over 20,000− More than 1.1 million heat pumps are in operation - more than 10 TWh of ambient heat.

Trend projection for heat pump sales
Number of heat pumps sold by type,
Antall solgte varmepumper etter type,
trend projection
trendframskriving

Numberof heatpumps soldAntall solgte
varmepumper
pr. perår year
120 000

120 000

5 000

100 000

100 000

4 000

80 00080 0003 000

60 0002 000

40 0006 000

60 00040 000

1 000

20 000

20 0000

Luft-til-vann
Air-to-waterVæske-til-vannBrine-to-water

Ventilasjonsluft
Exhaust air

Luft-til-luft(høyreAir-to-air(rightakse)
axis)

-

2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

0

Air-to-airNyinstallasjonAir-to-water Brine-to-water
ErstatningssalgExhaustIair
alt

How many heat pumps are in operation?

2 500 000

Heat pumps in operation in homes vs. the housing
Varmepumper i drift i boliger vs. boligmassen
stock (detached houses, terraced houses and(eneboliger, småhus og fritidsboliger), 2020holiday homes), 2020

Number ofheatvarmepumper
pumps in operation,
2020- estimate
Antalli drift, 2020
- estimat
1 200 000
1 055 746

2 108 139

1 000 000

2 000 000
800 000
1 500 000

600 000

1081 671
1 000 000

400 000
500 000

200 000
45 731053 860

15 04202020
Bygningsmasse
Building mass

Varmepumper
i drift i alt
Heat pumps
in operation in total

Luft-til-luft
Air-to-air Luft-til-vann
Air-to-water Væske-til-vannBrine-to-waterVentilasjonsluft
Exhaust air(høyre akse)