Project Design Matrix (PDM),
MYANMAR
Reduction the hydro-meteorological disasters and assessment of the potential
effects of climate change on the water resources

MYO TUN OO
Deputy Superintendent
Department of Meteorology and Hydrology

Tokyo, Japan

25-27 Nov 2013

Contents
1. Area Wise Natural Hazards in Myanmar
2. Introduction to PDM
3. Overall goal
4. Project purpose
5. Outputs
6. Activities and Key leader

Area Wise Natural Hazards
Cyclone - Rakhine, Ayeyarwady , Yangon, Mon and
Tanintharyi Regions
TsunamiMon and- Rakhine, Ayeyarwady , Yangon,
Tanintharyi Regions

Flood- Along the Ayeyarwady, Chindwin, Sittoungand Thanlwin Rivers

Fire- Across the Country, especially in Dry zone
and Densely populated areas

Drought - Mandalay, Magway and Sagaing Regions
Landslide - Kachin, Chin and Shan States andTanintharyi Region
Earthquake - All round the country except
Tanintharyi

Major river system in Myanmar
Annual Normal Rainfall in Myanmar

Introduction Ayeyarwaddy and Chindwin basin is the most important river basinsin Myanmar which receives very high rainfalls at upper part of basin andhas higher discharges.
 The lower plain suffers from frequent floods and it affects socioeconomic profile greatly.
The dry zone, central area of Myanmar is the area of vulnerable todroughts as compare to other parts of the country.
 Floods and droughts are generated by the random coincidence ofseveral meteorological factors.
 Stream flow records are reflective of both climatic variations over ariver basin as well as change in land use and land cover, and stream
characteristics.

Overall Goal
Reduction the hydro-meteorological disasters and assessment of
the potential effects of climate change on the water resources

Projectpurpose To demonstrate flood and drought early warning capability
 To analyze the recent experience in climate variability andextreme hydrological events

To establish the fully operational water resources information

system that will serve as an effective decision-making tool for thesustainable management of water resources of Myanmar riverbasins

To identify the impact Climate Change on the river flow in

Ayeyarwaddy and Chindwin Rivers,
To improve observational, modeling and application capacity.

Outputs
 Develop hydrological models for flood and drought early warning Improve the real time data management, modeling and information
dissemination systems
 Develop the current status of climate change and variability inprecipitation and hydrological events of Ayeyarwaddy and Chindwin
Basins.
 Develop the water resources information system for the sustainable
management as effective decision making tool
 Select Global Climate Models which can perform the regional climate
properly Implement bias correlation and downscaling (statistical and dynamic)of the selected GCMs

Outputs(Contd.,)
 Develop SWAT model in order to assess the impact of theuncertainties in future climate models
 Improve the data for the generation of climate and socioeconomic
scenarios Compare of changes of frequency and intensity of flood anddrought and water resources Develop training models of satellite remote sensing, modeling, andbias correlation and downscaling, make design of training courses on
integrated observations, early warning and climate change assessment.

Activities and Key Leaders
Lead Organization


Department of Meteorology and Hydrology

In addition to the Lead Organization’s capacity which has beendeveloped, we will take following actions in collaboration with theinternational organization .

Activities
The main activities to be conducted include: Installation

theautomatichydrologicalandmeteorologicalequipments such as automation water level gauge, automatic weather
observation systems
 Developing distributed physically-based hydrological models
 Developing real time integration system for satellite data bias
correlation,hydrologicalmodeling

includingassimilation

andinformation dissemination.
 Developing the current status of climate change and variability inprecipitation and hydrological events of Ayeyarwaddy and Chindwin
Basins.

Activities
 Promote the public awareness activities for general public,
water agencies and decision makers on hydrological forecasting
and warning services.
 Assessment of the current institutional capacities and the needsof the collaborating international institutions and recommend, as
appropriate,any

institutional

linkagesandcooperative

mechanisms required for effective operation of a regional water
resources information system.
 Installation of equipments such as River Surveyor fordischarge measurement.
 TrainingofpersonalofNational

HydrologicalandMeteorological Services.
 Developing the Hydrological model for water resourcesmanagement.

Activities
Selection Global Climate Models which can perform the regional climate
properly.
Upgrade computer hardware through the procurement of equipment
and software for National Hydrological Services and provision of technicalsupport and trainingImplementation bias correction and downscaling (statistical- anddynamic-) of the selected GCMs
Developing SWAT model in order to assess the impact of theuncertainties in future climate models
Improvement the data for the generation of climate and socioeconomic
scenariosComparing changes of frequency and intensity of flood and drought, andwater resources

Developing training modules of satellite remote sensing, modeling, bias
correction and downscaling, make design of training courses on integrated
observations, early warningThank you for your kind attention!