14 February 2018 Tokyo, Japan

ICHARM / PWRIInternational Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management
under the auspices of UNESCO,
Public Works Research Institute (PWRI), Japan1

Organization & Budget
Public Works Research Institute(PWRI)
Tsukuba Central Research Institute

President

Civil Engineering ResearchInstitute for Cold Region (CERI)International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management (ICHARM)
officially established March 2006
Deputy Director ofChief Researcher
Director International
WaterHazard
PR & Training)
ICHARM Centre for(forandRisk Management (ICHARM)(Director of Water‐related49

Center for Advanced Engineering
Structural Assessment andResearch (CAESAR)
Innovative Materials andResources Research Center(iMaRRC)

Hazard Research Group) (1)(0)

Chief Researcher(for Risk Management)

(0)

(1)

Director for SpecialResearch(0)(for Water‐related Hazard)

Training & Research
Advisor(1)

Chief Researcher(for Special assignment)

AdvisorSenior Researcher (9)Researcher(1)

Exchange Researcher (1)Research Specialist (11)Chief Researcher(1)

Research Assistant (5)Administrative Staff (4)(1)

Administrative Assistant(12)(million yen)2

Challenge to Localism
Delivering best available knowledge to local practices

TrainingResearch3

Long Term Targets• Analyzing and formulating
policy ideas• Visualizing values ofpreparedness andinvestment efficiency• Improving disaster
literacy• Promoting co-design andco-implementation
among stakeholders

Support inSound Policy-making

Support inCommunity of Practice

Risk Assessment

Risk Change Identification• Developing integrated
disaster risk assessment• Identifying locality andcommonality• Monitoring and predictingchanges in disaster risk
• Identifying locality andcommonality

Data & Statistics
4• Promoting data collection, storage, sharing, and statistics• Integrating local data, satellite observations and model outputs

Long Term Targets• Analyzing and formulating
policy ideas• Visualizing values ofpreparedness andinvestment efficiency• Improving disaster
literacy• Promoting co-design andco-implementation
among stakeholders

Support inSound Policy-making

Support inCommunity of Practice

Risk Assessment

Risk Change Identification• Developing integrated
disaster risk assessment• Identifying locality andcommonality• Monitoring and predictingchanges in disaster risk
• Identifying locality andcommonality

Data & Statistics
5• Promoting data collection, storage, sharing, and statistics• Integrating local data, satellite observations and model outputs

Real‐Time Data Transfer
System in the Kalu River Basin

Data & Statistics

GroundGSMaP_NRT

Error of rainfall area location
Bias of rainfall intensity
Bias corrected
GSMaP

6

Long Term Targets• Analyzing and formulating
policy ideas• Visualizing values ofpreparedness andinvestment efficiency• Improving disaster
literacy• Promoting co-design andco-implementation
among stakeholders

Support inSound Policy-making

Support inCommunity of Practice

Risk Assessment

Risk Change Identification• Developing integrated
disaster risk assessment• Identifying locality andcommonality• Monitoring and predictingchanges in disaster risk
• Identifying locality andcommonality

Data & Statistics
7• Promoting data collection, storage, sharing, and statistics• Integrating local data, satellite observations and model outputs

Risk Assessment

Integrated
Flood Analysis
System(IFAS)

Ensemble
Flood Prediction

Rainfall-RunoffInundation (RRI)
Flood Impact on
Rice Production
Rice Production
Fragility Curve8

Long Term Targets• Analyzing and formulating
policy ideas• Visualizing values ofpreparedness andinvestment efficiency• Improving disasterliteracy• Promoting co-design andco-implementation
among stakeholders

Support inSound Policy-making

Support inCommunity of Practice

Risk Assessment

Risk Change Identification• Developing integrated
disaster risk assessment• Identifying locality andcommonality• Monitoring and predictingchanges in disaster risk
• Identifying locality andcommonality

Data & Statistics
9• Promoting data collection, storage, sharing, and statistics• Integrating local data, satellite observations and model outputs

Risk Change Identification
Flood Risk Change

Drought Risk Change

Pampanga

10Long Term Targets• Analyzing and formulating
policy ideas• Visualizing values ofpreparedness andinvestment efficiency• Improving disaster
literacy• Promoting co-design andco-implementation
among stakeholders

Support inSound Policy-making

Support inCommunity of Practice

Risk Assessment

Risk Change Identification• Developing integrated
disaster risk assessment• Identifying locality andcommonality• Monitoring and predictingchanges in disaster risk
• Identifying locality andcommonality

Data & Statistics
11• Promoting data collection, storage, sharing, and statistics• Integrating local data, satellite observations and model outputs

Support in Sound Policy-making

12Long Term Targets• Analyzing and formulating
policy ideas• Visualizing values ofpreparedness andinvestment efficiency• Improving disasterliteracy• Promoting co-design andco-implementation
among stakeholders

Support inSound Policy-making

Support inCommunity of Practice

Risk Assessment

Risk Change Identification• Developing integrated
disaster risk assessment• Identifying locality andcommonality• Monitoring and predictingchanges in disaster risk
• Identifying locality andcommonality

Data & Statistics• Promoting data collection, storage, sharing, and statistics 13• Integrating local data, satellite observations and model outputs

Resilience of Business Sector in Joso City‐Case study in Joso City after the Kanto‐Tohoku Heavy Rainfall in September 2015‐

No & slow business(MLIT manual)No business(MLIT manual)

Percentageof businesses
100% まで回復した事業所
withfull recoveryの割合(%)

Construction
Manufacturing
Utilities
Telecommunications
Transportation
Wholesale & retailFinanceReal estateTechnical services
Hotels & restaurants
Life‐related services
Other services

Days before resumption

Heavy rainfall in September 2015 hit the Kinu River basin, causing the river to overflow and breach dikes
in Joso City, Ibaraki Prefecture, Japan. Roughly 60% of the businesses in eastern Joso City were affected
due to wide‐area inundation. ICHARM conducted an interview survey for the local businesses affected by
the flood to understand the resilience of the business sector.
Trends of recovery ofRelationshipbetweeninundation
Types of businesses
sales and workplaceheight and business disruption
Sep. 201680(One year)

7060
50403020100Sales
売上額Workplace
職場の環境
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415

Inundation height above first floor (cm)

経過月数（月）No. of months
after Sep. 2015

Actual business disruption was severer
than estimation based on an MLIT
manual. Some businesses experienced
disruption due to suspension of watersupply even with low inundation.

Only half of the businesses achieved
100% sales recovery a year after thedisaster. Local economy is still in themiddle of recovery.

14

Integrated Activity: Flood Information Sharing Support in Sri Lanka
500mm

Implemented by EDITORIA and ICHARM on DIAS

ALOS © JAXA (2016)In‐situ rain gauge
data (6 numbers)Satellite precipitation data（GSMaP）
4 hr latency
data (NRT)

Real time
data (NOW)

Calibration

Ensemble
forecasting
rainfall for the
next 16 days(max)Himawari‐8
cloud images

Inundation
map bysatellite data
(ALOS‐2)

GSMaP
On-line Information provision on
DIAS：In‐situ rainfall, satellite rainfall, calibrated andforecast rainfall, inundation simulations

Inundation
analysis by using
RRI in DIAS
Concept of RRI model

Simulation andforecasting of riverdischarge, water level,
inundation extent
Inundation analysis results

Japan Disaster Relief Expert Team(JDR)

15
Letter-of-Appreciation Conferral Ceremonyby Minister of Foreign Affairs of Japan

Integrated Activity: Flood Information Sharing Support in Sri Lanka
Ensemble Flood Prediction

from 24from 25: (%55,0 RGHODQGLWVPDMRUFRPSRQHQWV
from 24from 25,QXQGDWLRQ5LYHU: DWHU/HYHO

16

Integrated Activity: Flood Mapping in Myanmar (ADB Project)

Yangon2007 Flood

100year Flood

Nargis (2008) Nargis+100year Flood17

Integrated Activity: Flood Mapping in Myanmar (ADB Project)

H.E. U Phyo Min Thein (ChiefMinister of Yangon Region)(17 Aug. 2016)

Develop RRI Simulation Model for Cyclone Komen (2015)

Capacity Building Program
A. Basic Training Programs on
RRI model and Storm Surge
B. Training Programs forTrainer Candidates
C. RRI Model Training
organized by the Trainers

H.E. U Maung Maung Soe(Mayor of YCDC)18(19 Aug. 2016)18

Integrated Activity: Sediment Disaster Simulation in Northern Kyushu

Before the flood

Immediately after the flood

Channel change in the middle reach of Akadani

Debris flow deposition in the upstream of Akadani basin19

Integrated Activity: Sediment Disaster Simulation in Northern Kyushu

20

Challenge to Localism
Delivering best available knowledge to local practices

Training

Research
Number of peer reviewed paper (from April to March)

FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017561141216920182244 20(30)*FY2017: 20 by January 2018, (30) by March 2018)21

Capacity Building
Ph.D.

More than 1,500 individuals
from 57 countries

2007

10

1. Master’s degree course (1 year)

2008

72009122010

121201119120121222013123

2. Doctor’s degree course (3 years):201413-•

2015

13(2)

2016

8(2)

2017

(14)

(1)

total118

7•
•
•

•
•

In cooperate with the National Graduate
Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS)
and Japan International Cooperation Agency(JICA)
Since October 2007

In cooperate with the Graduate
Research Institute for Policy Studies(GRIPS)ICHARM has offered a program,”
Disaster Management Ph.D. Program”
Since October 2010

Master’s22

3. Short-term training Programs and Workshops (a few days toa month)••

In cooperation with JICA, UN/ISDR, UNESCO and the University of Tokyo
ex. Hazard maps, IFAS and local preparedness (2004-2017, JICA),Tsunami (2008, ISDR), CC adaptation (2010, JICA), Pakistan Flood WSs(2011-12, 2015-17, UNESCO), Summer Program (2015-16, UoT)

4. Follow-up activities:••

ICHARM hold seminars for former participants in its training courses tofollow up their subsequent activities and understand issues the face in theirhome counties
Kuala Lumpur 2007, Guangzhow 2008, Manila 2009, Hanoi 2010, Bangkok
2012, Dhaka 2013, Kuala Lumpur 2014, Jakarta 2015, Tokyo 2016, Manila
2017, Yangon 2017

5. Workshops on IFAS and RRI model (a few days to a month):•ICHARM holds workshops and lectures on the principal hydrologicalmodels, the Integrated Flood Analysis System and the Rainfall-RunoffInundation model, during the training in Japan or overseas

6. Internship for researchers and students from Japan andabroad•

Number: 2 (`09), 3(`11), 3(`12), 3(`13), 5(`14), 2(`15), 10(`16), 7(`17)

23

2016‐2017 Master’s Course
Mr. Mikosz Lucas, Brazil• A Brazilian student was from the National Departmentof Civil Protection and Defense. While studying atICHARM, he worked on research aiming to apply theseven Global Targets, defined in the Sendai Framework,
to disaster management in Brazil, proposing how to use
these targets for achieving local disaster risk reduction.
Indicator
B(Flood)

Indicator
B(Drought)

Relationshipbetween SF
indicator B(No. ofaffected people
per 100,000
population) and
expected changeof basin average
precipitation
under RCP8.5
scenario24

2016‐2017 Master’s Course
Mr. GAMA Samuel Joseph, Malawi• Working at a national disaster management
organization back home, he already had hadbasic knowledge and experience on socioeconomic analysis and trans-boundary rivermanagement when he started the program. At
GRIPS and ICHARM, he improved his socioeconomic understanding, and began to learn amethodology for assessing climate change
impact on floods.

9.1%

50 Years Return Period

In response to hispresentation, UNDP
has provided
financial support
amounting to US$ 16
million for my office
to improve on theEWS through the“*Scaling-up the Useof Modernized
Climate Informationand Early Warning
Systems Project (MCLIMES)”* under the
Global Climate Fund.

25

Challenge to Localism
Delivering best available knowledge to local practices

TrainingResearch26

International Symposium on Integrated Actions for
Global Water and Environmental Sustainability -Inline with the Commemoration of the 70th
Anniversary of UNESCO, October 2015, Medan
Second UN Special Thematic Session on Waterand Disasters, 2015, The UN Headquarters, NewYork
Asia Water Cycle Symposium (AWCS2016),March 2016, Tokyo

IFI Side Event at the UNESCO IHP IC on New
Strategy for International Flood Initiative (IFI), June
2016, Paris
Third UN Special Thematic Session on Water andDisasters, 2017, The UN Headquarters, New York

Platform on Water and Disasters (PWD)
Community ofPractice

Policy-making

High-Level Policy-Maker

Transdisciplinary

3. Societal
BenefitCreationInterdisciplinary

2. ModelDevelopment

present
Societal Change(land use , population)

past

Monitoring
Identification

Integrated Risk Assessment
1. DataArchiving

DamageHazardSocioEconomic

International Cooperation

High-Level Practitioner

Prediction

Climate Change

Capacity Building

future28

Activities in Asia-Pacific Region• Pakistan‐‐‐

Platform on Water and Disasters
Activity: Meeting among related stakeholders in April and December, 2017
Initial Target(s): Indus River• Myanmar‐‐‐

Platform on Water and Disasters
Activity: Meeting among related stakeholders in May and November, 2017
Initial Target(s): Bago River & Sittaung River• Philippines‐‐‐

Platform on Water‐related Disasters (PLATFORM)
Activity: Meeting among related stakeholders in March and June, 2017
Initial Target(s): Pampanga River & Davao River• Sri Lanka‐‐‐

Platform on Water and Disasters
Activity: Meeting among related stakeholders in August, 2017
Initial Target(s): Kalu River, Kelani River, Malvathu River29

30

Session at the 3rd Asia-Pacific Water Summit
Title: Water and disaster in the context of climate change– From the mountain to the islands Time & Date: December 11, 2017
Co-Organizers: ICHARM, ICIMOD, SPC, HELP
Session Framework:
Part 1: Keynote Speeches by High-Level Leaders (3 leaders)Part 2: Country Presentations (10 presenters from 7 countries)
Part 3: Panel Discussion (5 panelists) holistic, concerted and regionally collaborative approachfrom the mountains to the islands

Keynote Speechｅｓ by H. E. Dr. Jose Ramos-Horta, Senior
Minister of the Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste (left)and H.E. Keiichi Ishi, Minister of Land Infrastructure,
Transport and Tourism of Japan (right)

Prof. Koike, Director, ICHARM,
addresses a speech at the31
Leaders Statement of the Plenary

Public Relations
ICHARM
10thanniversary
publication

ICHARM Open dayAwards
Dr. Ohara, et.al. Institute of Social Safety Science
2015 Best Paper Award
Dr. Nagumo, et.al. Institute of Social Safety Science
2015 Best Presentation Award
Dr. Yorozuya, et.al. Hokkaido Regional
Development Bureau Director’s Award
Dr. Yorozuya, et.al. 2016 Hydroscience andHydraulic Engineering Paper Encouragement Award
Dr. Kikumori Common MP Contribution Award
ICHARM The 19th Infrastructure Technology
Development Award
Dr. Mohamed Rasmy Abdul Wahid Letter ofappreciation from the President of JICA and theMinister for Foreign Affairs

Newsletters
Number of subscriber of ICHARM
Newsletter6,000
4,000
2,0000ICHARM R&D Seminars

Dr. Srikantha Herath at 58th
ICHARM R&D Seminar
ICHARMRasmy32

Thank you very much for your attention!
33