TM

19th Annual Conference on
Global Economic Analysis

Photo: © Deborah W. Campos / World Bank

“Analytical Foundations for Cooperation in a Multipolar World"

The World Bank, Washington DC, USA
June 15-17, 2016

Conference Organizers
TM

Conference Sponsors

Program Contents
General Information ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 2
Dates .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 2
Location ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 2
Objective ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 2
Format ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 2
Mobile Conference App and Social Media........................................................................................................................................................................... 2
Conference Organizers ........................................................................................................................................................................................... 3
Conference Sponsors .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 4
Special Recognition ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 5
Co-Chairs ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 5
Program Committee Members ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 5
Abstract Reviewers ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 5
Conference Mentors ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 5
Ken Pearson Scholarship....................................................................................................................................................................................... 6
Thomas Rutherford Scholarship ........................................................................................................................................................................ 7
Transportation and Directions ........................................................................................................................................................................... 8
Airport Transportation ............................................................................................................................................................................................................... 8
Public Transportation ................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 9
Taxi Cabs ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 9
Conference Venue: The World Bank ............................................................................................................................................................... 10
Location .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
World Bank Security ................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 10
Venue Maps ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
WiFi Access.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 11
Tuesday, June 14 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................12
Pre-Conference Seminars ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12
Wednesday, June 15 ..............................................................................................................................................................................................13
Session Overview........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 13
Plenary Session: “Economic Analysis of International Trade” ................................................................................................................................. 14
Presentation Schedule .............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 15
Thursday, June 16 ..................................................................................................................................................................................................25
Session Overview........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 25
Presentation Schedule .............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 26
Friday, June 17 ........................................................................................................................................................................................................39
Session Overview........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 39
Plenary Session: “Pushing the Frontier on Integrated Assessment Modeling” .............................................................................................. 40
Presentation Schedule .............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 41
Saturday, June 18 ...................................................................................................................................................................................................49
Post-Conference Event ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 49
Participant List ........................................................................................................................................................................................................50
Presenter and Session Chair Index .................................................................................................................................................................. 612017 Conference Preview ...................................................................................................................................................................................64
New Online Mini-Course: GTAP Preferential Trade Agreements ......................................................................................................... 65
Journal of Global Economic Analysis .............................................................................................................................................................. 66
Notes ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 67

1

General Information
Dates

June 15-17, 2016

Location

The World Bank
1818 H Street, NW, Washington DC 20433 USA*Main entrance off of H Street.

Objective

The objective of the annual conference on economic analysis is to promote the exchange of ideas among economists conducting quantitative
analysis of global economic issues.

Format

The majority of the conference features specially organized and contributed paper sessions. The organized sessions have been developed bymembers of the GTAP Network to highlight a specific area of research and/or policy analysis. The contributed paper sessions were selected
through a peer review process and subsequently grouped to reflect the varied themes being addressed by members of the GTAP Network.
The conference will also include plenary sessions, each featuring distinguished intellectual leaders in their respective fields whose
presentations are designed to introduce participants to new topics as well as provide fresh insights into familiar ones. The content of thesesessions reflects the overall conference themes:"Analytical Foundations for Cooperation in a Multipolar World"− Perspectives and policies for sustainable, inclusive growth− Poverty and inequality in a rapidly changing world− Sustainable development for the 21st Century− Structural transformation in a changing world− Implications of the internet for the world economy with sub-themes of trade in digital goods and NTMs

Papers from each session may be accessed through the conference homepage on the GTAP website:

http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/ ISSN 2160-2115 (online)

Mobile Conference App and Social Media
Eventbase is a free mobile app containing conference program information and schedule updates. The app canbe downloaded online at: https://free.eventbase.com/download or through your device’s app store (iOS,Android, Blackberry). Once you have installed and launched the app, search for "GTAP" and the conference will
be listed in the results. Eventbase also provides links to GTAP’s social media for communication during theconference.

#2016GTAPConf

2

Conference Organizers

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu

The Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) is a global network of researchers and policy makers conducting quantitative analysis ofinternational policy issues within an economy-wide framework. GTAP is coordinated by the Center for Global Trade Analysis which ishoused in the Department of Agricultural Economics at Purdue University. The Center for Global Trade Analysis’ mission is to provide
leadership in economic policy analysis through better data, fostering collaboration, and research. The centerpiece of Global Trade Analysis
Project is the GTAP Data Base, a fully documented and publicly available, analytical data base for the global economy which contains detailed
country data, linked through bilateral trade, transportation and protection. Accompanying this data base is a set of GTAP-based models usedand developed by network members. The GTAP Data Base and analytical framework are used by thousands of researchers around the world.
Originally, the majority of the research was related to international trade policy issues. Today, GTAP is still the most widely used tool for
trade policy, but its use has expanded into poverty, international migration, foreign investment, climate change, environment, energy, andbiofuel policies. GTAP has become a common "language" for many of those conducting analysis of global policy issues with GTAP-based
results becoming increasingly influential in decision making around the world in trade, climate change, energy and the environment.

The World Bank

http://www.worldbank.org/
Since inception in 1944, the World Bank has expanded from a single institution to a closely associated group of five development
institutions. The World Bank’s mission evolved from the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) as facilitator of
post-war reconstruction and development to the present-day mandate of worldwide poverty alleviation in close coordination with theiraffiliate, the International Development Association, and other members of the World Bank Group, the International Finance Corporation(IFC), the Multilateral Guarantee Agency (MIGA), and the International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID).

Once, the World Bank had a homogeneous staff of engineers and financial analysts, based solely in Washington, D.C. Today, they have amultidisciplinary and diverse staff that includes economists, public policy experts, sector experts and social scientists—and now more than athird of their staff is based in country offices.
Reconstruction remains an important part of their work. However, at today's World Bank, poverty reduction through an inclusive andsustainable globalization remains their overarching goal.

3

Conference Sponsors

United States International Trade Commission
https://www.usitc.gov/

The United States International Trade Commission is an independent, quasijudicial Federal agency with broad investigative responsibilities
on matters of trade. The agency investigates the effects of dumped and subsidized imports on domestic industries and conducts global
safeguard investigations. The Commission also adjudicates cases involving imports that allegedly infringe intellectual property rights.
Through such proceedings, the agency facilitates a rules-based international trading system. The Commission also serves as a Federal
resource where trade data and other trade policy-related information are gathered and analyzed. The information and analysis are provided
to the President, the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), and Congress to facilitate the development of sound andinformed U.S. trade policy. The Commission makes most of its information and analysis available to the public to promote understanding ofinternational trade issues.

The World Bank

http://www.worldbank.org/

4

Special Recognition
Co-Chairs−−

Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, Director, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
Maryla Maliszewska, Senior Economist, The World Bank

Program Committee Members
Philip Adams
S. Amer Ahmed
Joaquim Bento Ferreira-Filho
Paolo Giordano
Thomas Hertel

Abstract Reviewers
Mustafa Acar
Angel Aguiar
S. Amer Ahmed
Shahid Ahmed
A. Emre Akel
Zeynep Akgul
Tariq Ali
Channing Arndt
Misak Avetisyan
Adeline Awantang
Levent Aydin
Christian Bachmann
Uris Lantz Baldos
Edward J. Balistreri
Lacina Balma
Seetha Bandara
Onil Banerjee
Suprabha Baniya
Andre Barbe
Heleen Bartelings
Güzin Bayar
Jayson Beckman
Dileep Birur
Maria Blanco
Bineswaree Bolaky
Ole Boysen
Daniel Brown
Yiyong Cai
Jean Chateau
Lisandra Colley
Erwin Corong
Jared Creason
Hao (David) Cui
Rosana Curzel
Gouranga Das
Surajit Deb
Rob Dellink
Sumali Dissanayake
Edson Domingues
José Elías Durán Lima
Fabio Eboli
Andres Escobar
Mingtai Fan
Emanuele Ferrari

Patrick Jomini
Stephen Karingi
Kenichi Kawasaki
Bob Koopman
Will Martin

Lucas Ferraz
James Fetzer
Anand Ganesh-Kumar
Brad Gilmour
Alla Golub
Jared GreenvilleRoberta GrundlingHoussein Guimbard
Iman Haqiqi
Jorge Hernandez
Yiseok HongMark Horridge
Hans Grinsted Jensen
Silvia Kanadani Campos
Aikaterini Kavallari
Young Gui Kim
Youssouf Kone
Zornitsa KutlinaDimitrova
Massimiliano La Marca
Csilla Lakatos
Huey-Lin Lee
Jing Liu
Hans Lofgren
Sheng Lu
Jonas Luckmann
Aline Magalhaes
Shane Martin
Gabriel Michelena
Fulgence Mishili
Andrew Mold
Kakali Mukhopadhyay
Brian Mureverwi
Badri Narayanan
Masahiro Omura
Brian O'Neill
Diti Oudendag
Silvia Palma Rojas
Hom Pant
Ramiro Parrado
Luis Moises Pena Levano
Denise Penello-Rial
Fernando Perobelli
Schuyler Porche

Gopinath Munisamy
Brian O'Neill
Marinos Tsigas
Terrie Walmsley

Luciana Porfirio
Devender Pratap
Sebastian Rausch
Jeff Reimer
David Roland-Holst
Jose Manuel RuedaCantuche
Amadou Sagnon
Bert Saveyn
Enkhbayar Shagdar
Erin Sherry
Anirudh Shingal
Chandrima Sikdar
Mahinda Siriwardana
Zuzana Smeets Kristkova
Brent Sohngen
Jevgenijs Steinbuks
David Tarr
Natalia Tourdyeva
Komi Tsowou
Wally Tyner
Kirsten Urban
Yasin Uzun
Beatriz Velazquez
Monika Verma
Cristina Vinyes
Mike Webb
Elise Whalan
Sara Wong
Wei Xie
Yingying Xu
Liu YuWusheng Yu
Wen Yuan
Katarzyna Zawalinska

5

Conference Mentors

Philip Adams
Angel Aguiar
S. Amer Ahmed
Zeynep Akgul
Alessandro Antimiani
Jayatilleke Bandara
Mary Burfisher
Maurizio Bussolo
Rajesh Chadha
Martin Cicowiez
Erwin Corong
Amanda M. (Leister)Countryman
Laurent Cretegny
Yvan Decreux
Simeon Ehui
Carmen Estrades
Michael Ferrantino
Emanuele Ferrari
Joaquim Bento
Ferreira-Filho
Alan Fox
Richard Garbaccio
Delfin S Go
Alla Golub
Shih-Hsun Hsu
Elena Ianchovichina
Ken Itakura
María C. Latorre
Hiro Lee
Shantong Li
Will Martin
Simon Mevel
Badri Narayanan
Janine Pelikan
Everett Peterson
Manitra Rakotoarisoa
Sandra A. Rivera
Sherman Robinson
Roberto Roson
Sebnem Sahin
Khalid Siddig
Yontem Sonmez
Anna Strutt

Farzad Taheripour
Karen Thierfelder
Marinos Tsigas
Terrie Walmsley
Niven Winchester
Glyn Wittwer

Ken Pearson Scholarship
Ken Pearson’s early career was as an outstanding mathematician. In the 1970s he became Reader and Chairman in
Mathematics at La Trobe University, Australia. In his teaching role, he investigated the possibility of drawing on
economics rather than physics for relevant examples. In this process he came across the newly emerging field of
applied (or computable) general equilibrium modelling. Long before the economists, Ken recognized the need forsoftware that would not only solve large scale economic models but would also be a vehicle: for organizing data;
for analyzing results; for transferring models between researchers; and for storing models in a computationallyaccessible form which would allow them to be accessed at other times and by other researchers. By the mid-1980s
he had responded to this need by taking up a visiting position at the Impact Research Centre (Melbourne
University) and creating GEMPACK. In 1992, Ken moved to the Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS, then located at
Monash University). At CoPS, he was appointed Professorial Fellow in 1999, and held the position of Deputy
Director from 2000 to 2004. He retired in 2014, with the position of Director, GEMPACK passing to Mark Horridge.
In a recent summary of Ken’s contribution to the GTAP, Tom Hertel wrote, “Those of us who had the privilege ofworking closely with Ken count our collaborations with him as among the most stimulating and rewarding of our careers. Ken's keen intellectand his background in theoretical mathematics allowed him to quickly grasp the essence of whatever modeling challenge we posed.”

Scholarship Details
In recognition of the many contributions made by the late Professor Ken Pearson to the GTAP Network, the Centreof Policy Studies, Victoria University has graciously funded a scholarship in his name aimed to support theparticipation of promising young researchers at the GTAP Conference and encourage their contribution to the use
and further development of analytical software for CGE modelling, following in his tradition. Recipient(s) wereselected based on the following criteria.
− an early career researcher within five years of the start of their research career− active in undertaking applied model-based analyses of real world problems using GEMPACK or
related software− paper accepted into the GTAP Conference

2016 Ken Pearson Scholarship Recipient
The Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University and the Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University are pleased to announce thefollowing recipient of the 2016 Ken Pearson Scholarship.

Dr. Martina Sartori
Post-Doc Researcher, School of International Studies, University of Trento

Estimation of climate change damage functions for 140 regions in the GTAP9 database
by Sartori, Martina and Roberto Roson(Session #19, pg. 23)

Martina Sartori holds a PhD degree in Economics from the University of Milan, Italy. She is currently employed as a
post-doc researcher at the School of International Studies of the University of Trento, Italy, where she is studying
international agricultural trade and virtual water trade. She is also a junior research fellow at the Centre for
Research on Energy and on Environmental Economics and Policy of the Bocconi University, Milan, Italy. She has
been a research consultant for the World Bank (Washington, DC), for the European University Institute of Florence (Italy) and for the EuroMediterranean Centre for Climate Change (Lecce, Italy). Her major publications and research interests are about environmental and natural
resources economics, computable general equilibrium modeling for environmental/climate change impacts and policy assessment. She haspresented research papers at various local and international conferences and serves as referee to various academic journals. She is also
lecturer of Development Economics at the University of Udine (Italy) and her academic experiences as lecturer include teaching
microeconomics, macroeconomics, industrial economics and international economics at the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice.

6

Thomas Rutherford ScholarshipThomas Rutherford received his Ph.D. in operations research from Stanford University in 1987 under thesupervision of Alan Manne. He subsequently undertook a post-doctoral assignment with Herb Scarf at Yale, during
which time, he became fully immersed in general equilibrium analysis. This led to a faculty position at the
University of Western Ontario, where John Whalley was a leading light in CGE modeling and policy analysis. Tomthen moved to Colorado, where he was promoted to full professor in 2003. He also tried his hand at independent
consulting, then held a chair at ETH Zurich, before returning to his hometown of Madison, where he now serves on
the faculty of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Over the past three decades, Rutherford has had a career arc
that has touched the most challenging global policy issues of our times—trade, energy markets, and climatechange. He has combined his keen interest in economic policy making while advancing the frontiers of economic
modeling in spatial, industrial, mathematical and dynamic economics. The third component of Tom’s portfolio isthe development of algorithms and software that has led to major improvements in quantitative tools that facilitate
the ability to undertake policy analysis. The best known of these tools is the Mathematical Programming System for
General Equilibrium (MPSGE), a modeling environment designed to facilitate the development of GE models that is combined with the
General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS). He developed a global model in MPSGE coupled to the GTAP Data Base (known as
GTAPinGAMS) that has been widely disseminated and lowered the entry cost to global economic modeling for GAMS users. Over the years,
many modelers have been able to share in his discoveries and insights as he has made many of his models and related tools, largely
developed in MPSGE and GAMS, available for public use—such as the GTAPinGAMS model, but also overlapping generations models, the useof mixed complementarity such as in the implementation of tariff rate quotas (TRQs), recursive versus intertemporal dynamic models andmany others. Tom’s contributions to policy analysis, economic theory, and quantitative tools over the last three decades are exceptional andthe reason for naming the scholarship in his honor.

Scholarship Details
In recognition of the contributions made by Thomas Rutherford, the GAMS Development Corporation has graciously
funded a scholarship in his name aimed to support the participation of promising young researchers at the GTAP
Conference and encourage their contribution to the use and further development of analytical software for CGE
modelling. Recipient(s) were selected based on being the following criteria.
− an early career researcher within five years of the start of their research career− active in undertaking applied model-based analyses using GAMS or related software− paper accepted into the GTAP Conference

2016 Thomas Rutherford Scholarship Recipient
The GAMS Development Corporation and the Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University are pleased to announce the following
recipient of the 2016 Thomas Rutherford Scholarship.

Dr. Christian Otchia
Postdoctoral Fellow, Nagoya University

How to design the future? An economywide analysis of key industrial policies to boost pro-poor
growth in DRC
by Otchia, Christian(Session #11, pg. 19)

Dr. Otchia is postdoctoral research fellow at Nagoya University, where he studies ways to generate productive jobs
and reduce poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa. He served as a national consultant to UNCTAD where he actively workedon the distributional and poverty effects of agricultural trade liberalization. Prior to his current position, he was alecturer at Aichi Prefectural University and University of Kinshasa. His research interests include labor markets and policy evaluation indeveloping countries, using CGE and microsimulation models. His work includes contributions on pro-poor growth and industrial policy inresource-rich countries. His contribution on mining-based growth was recognized with the 2013 flash session price from the International IO Association. More recently, he has been affiliated with AGRODEP. His work has appeared in Resources Policy, the International Journal of
Economic Policy Studies, and the Journal of Economic Structures, among others. Dr. Otchia earned his Ph.D. from Nagoya University and BA
in mathematical economics with First Class Honors from the University of Kinshasa.
7

Transportation and Directions
Airport Transportation

From Dulles International Airport - Dulles is located approximately 25 miles (40 km) from downtown Washington DC.
−−

Washington Flyer Taxicabs serve Washington Dulles International Airport exclusively with 24-hour service to and from theairport. No reservations are necessary. Simply follow the signs for “Ground Transportation” or “Taxi” to the lower level of theMain Terminal (down the ramp to Door 2 or Door 6) where a customer service representative will be available 24 hours a day.
The trip from the airport to the World Bank will take approximately 45 minutes and cost around $65, plus tip.

Washington Flyer Shared Van Services (operated by Super Shuttle and Supreme Airport Shuttle) offer door-to-door service
to and from the airport. The shared van counters are located on the lower level of the Main Terminal, down the ramps towards
Door 2 and Door 6. The trip from the airport to the World Bank will take approximately 60 minutes (depending on otherpassenger’s destinations). A one-way fare is approximately $30, plus tip.
For further information on transportation from IAD, visit: www.flydulles.com/iad/parking-transportation or call +1-888-9274359.

From Ronald Reagan National Airport – Reagan is located approximately 4 miles (6.5 kilometers) from downtown Washington DC.
−−−

Taxis can be hailed by exiting any baggage claim to the curbside where taxi lines are clearly marked. A direct taxi from theairport to the World Bank will take approximately 15 minutes and cost around $20, plus tip.

Shared van services (operated by Super Shuttle and Supreme Airport Shuttle) offer door-to-door service on demand. To
access shared van services, proceed to the outside curb or the baggage claim of Terminal A, B, or C and visit the counter. The
trip from the airport to the World Bank will take approximately 30 minutes (depending on other passenger’s destinations). A
one-way fare is approximately $15, plus tip.

The Washington DC Metrorail system has an elevated Metrorail station connected to the concourse level of Terminals B andC at Reagan National Airport. The Metro (Blue Line) takes about 15 minutes and costs $2-3 to reach the Foggy Bottom Station
or Farragut West (those closest to the World Bank). For further information on DC’s public transportation, please visit:www.wmata.com.
For further information on transportation from DCA, visit: www.flyreagan.com/dca/parking-transportation.

Dulles International Airport

The World Bank

Ronald Reagan National Airport

8

Transportation and Directions
Public Transportation

In Washington DC, there are two major forms of public transportation, the Metrobus and the Metrorail (the “Metro”). The Metro is theunderground subway system; the Metrobus is the public bus system. The nearest Metro station on the Orange Line is Farragut West (about 2
blocks from the main World Bank building). The nearest station on the Red Line is Farragut North (about 3-4 blocks from the main building).
The Metro system map follows with a black diamond representing The World Bank’s approximate location. For further information on
public transportation, please visit: www.wmata.com.

World Bank

Taxi Cabs

Below is a listing of a few taxi cab companies in Washington DC.
−−−

Yellow Cab Company of DC
DC Taxi
Diamond Cabs

+1-202-544-1212+1-202-398-0500+1-202-387-6200

9

Conference Venue: The World Bank
Location

The World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW, Washington DC 20433 USA (Main entrance off of H Street)World Bank Security

All attendees will be required to present a government-issued photo ID before entering The World Bank. Please plan toarrive early to allow time to pass through security.

Venue Maps
Floor: MC-01
Main Entrance (off of H Street)
Front Lobby - Registration Desk
Preston Auditorium - Plenary Sessions
Atrium – Coffee Breaks, Lunches, Receptions

Floor: MC-C1
C1-100 – Parallel Sessions
C1-200 – Parallel Sessions

Floor: MC-04
4-100 – Parallel Sessions

Floor: MC-05
5-100 – Parallel Sessions

10

Conference Venue: The World Bank
Floor: MC-06
6-100 – Parallel Sessions

Floor: MC-07
7-100 – Parallel Sessions

Floor: MC-08
8-100 – Parallel Sessions

WiFi Access

WiFi Name (SSID):
Password:

GUEST
Will be posted on the walls inside or near each session room.
11

Tuesday, June 14
Pre-Conference Seminars
Time

Event

Location

4:00-5:15pm(16:00-17:15)

Pre-Conference Seminars

The World Bank,
MC 2-800

For those who registered to attend the pre-conference seminars, please make note of the following schedule. The
times listed below are approximate as the seminars will run consecutively.

World Bank Security
All attendees will be required to present a government-issued photo ID before entering The World Bank.
Please plan to arrive early to allow time to pass through security.

4:00–4:30pm(16:00-16:30)

GTAPAgg2
Join Erwin Corong and Mark Horridge for a demonstration of the new GTAP aggregation utility.

4:30-5:15pm(16:30-17:15)

Standard GTAP Model in GAMS
A replicate of the standard GTAP Model has been developed in GAMS and coupled with a graphicaluser interface (GUI) developed by Wolfgang Britz, University of Bonn. Join Wolfgang, Dominique
van der Mensbrugghe, and Erwin Corong for a brief overview of the GAMS-based model anddemonstrations on how to use it and generate simulation diagnostics using the GUI.

12

Wednesday, June 15
Session Overview

Full session details for this day are listed on pages 15-24. You can also access the conference schedule through the Eventbase mobile app. See page 2 for details.
8:00am-5:00pm(8:00-17:00)
9:00-9:30am

PrestonC1-100
Auditorium
Registration (Front Lobby)
Opening
Ceremony13

C1-2004-100*Session #1
The future of trade
cost modelling in
CGE

Session #2
Water Scarcity and
DemandPg. 15

Pg. 16Plenary Session
Economic Analysis
of International
Trade
Pg. 15

11:00-11:30am

Coffee Break (Atrium)

1:00-2:30pm(13:00-14:30)
2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Lunch (Atrium)*Session #8
Student Panel: CGE
Analyses of Current
Economic Issues
Pg. 184:00-4:30pm(16:00-16:30)

Coffee Break (Atrium)

6:30-8:30pm(18:30-20:30)

Reception (Atrium)

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Session #15
Food Prices andSecurityPg. 21*Organized Session

6-100

7-100

8-100

*Session #3
China's medium
and long term
sustainable
development policy
analysisPg. 16

Session #4
Migration

Session #5
Health-related
Modeling

Session #6
Economic Growthand Development:
Middle East

*Session #7
Shared-socio
Economic
Pathways (SSPs)

Pg. 16Pg. 17Pg. 17Pg. 17

Session #10
Labor Market
IssuesSession #11
Economic Analysis
of Poverty*Session #12
Services Trade
Data: Where weare and future
directions
Pg. 19Session #13
Policy Analysis,
Growth, and Crisis:
Asia

Session #14
Dynamic Modelingof Growth andDevelopment in
AfricaPg. 20

Session #19
Climate Impacts*Session #20
Integrated
EconomicEnvironmental
Modelling for
Evidence-Based
Policy and Decision
MakingPg. 23

Pg. 15

9:30-11:00am

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

5-100

Session #9
Bioenergy

Pg. 18*Session #16
Applications ofKrugman and
MelitzInternational
Trade Models
Pg. 21

Pg. 19Session #17
Foreign Direct
Investment: Asia

Pg. 22

Pg. 19Session #18
Bioenergy

Pg. 22

Pg. 23

Pg. 20

Session #21
Trade and theEnvironmentPg. 24

Wednesday, June 15 – 9:30-11:00am
Plenary Session: “Economic Analysis of International Trade”“Trade Policy and Research in an Era of ‘Free Trade’”Pinelopi (Penny) Koujianou Goldberg
Professor of Economics and Editor, American Economic Review
Yale University
http://www.econ.yale.edu/~pg87/
Pinelopi (Penny) Koujianou Goldberg is the William K. Lanman, Jr. Professor of Economics at Yale University and
Editor-in-Chief of the American Economic Review. She is Member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences,
Recipient of the John Simon Guggenheim Memorial Foundation Fellowship in 2010-11 and the Bodossaki Prize inSocial Sciences in 2003, Elected Fellow of the Econometric Society, Research Associate at the National Bureau of
Economic Research (NBER), and Board Member of the Bureau for Research and Economic Analysis of Development(BREAD). She has published numerous articles in the areas of applied microeconomics, international trade, andindustrial organization. Her current research interests include the effects of trade liberalization on growth and the income distribution, theeffects of intellectual property rights enforcement in developing countries, and the determinants of incomplete exchange rate pass-through.
She holds a Diploma in Economics from the University of Freiburg, Germany and a Ph.D in Economics from Stanford University.

“Relaxing parametric assumptions in general equilibrium trade models”
Dave Donaldson
Associate Professor of Economics
Stanford University
https://economics.stanford.edu/people/dave-donaldson
Dave Donaldson (Associate Professor of Economics at Stanford University) holds a PhD in Economics from theLondon School of Economics and a Master’s degree in Physics from Oxford University. At Stanford he teaches andcarries out research on topics at the intersection of International/Intranational Trade, Development Economics
and Economic History. He has studied, among other topics: market integration, the impact of improvements intransportation infrastructure, how trade can mediate the effects of climate change, and how trade affects foodsecurity and famine. He is a past winner of the Sloan Research Fellowship and holds editorial positions at theAmerican Economics Review, the Journal of Economic Literature, the Journal of International Economics, the Review of Economic Studies
and the Quarterly Journal of Economics. Prior to joining Stanford he was the Gary Loveman Career Development Associate Professor of
Economics at MIT and a Visiting Professor at Harvard University.

14Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

8:00am-5:00pm(8:00-17:00)

Onsite Registration

Front Lobby

9:00-9:30am

Opening Ceremony

World Bank Security
All attendees will be required to present a government-issued photo ID before entering The World
Bank. Please plan to arrive early to allow time to pass through security.

−−−
9:30-11:00am

Preston Auditorium

Maryla Maliszewska, Senior Economist, The World Bank

Thomas Hertel, Distinguished Professor and Executive Director, Center for Global Trade Analysis,
Purdue University
Shantayanan Devarajan, Chief Economist, Middle East and North Africa Region, The World Bank

Plenary Session

Preston Auditorium“Economic Analysis of International Trade”
Chair: Sébastien Jean−−

Trade Policy and Research in an Era of ‘Free Trade’
by Goldberg, Pinelopi (Penny) Koujianou

Relaxing parametric assumptions in general equilibrium trade models
by Donaldson, Dave

11:00-11:30am

Coffee Break

Atrium

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Organized Session #1

C1-100“The future of trade cost modelling in CGE”
Organizer/Chair: Lucian Cernat−−−

The economic impact of eliminating domestic preference margins in GPA countries: a‘phantom’ tax modelling assessment (#4888)
by Kutlina-Dimitrova, Zornitsa
Willingness to Pay in CGE Models (#4902)
by Walmsley, Terrie and Peter MinorIs Trade Facilitation a Free Lunch? A General Equilibrium Approach (#5022)
by Fouré, Jean and Lionel Fontagné

15

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Session #2

C1-200“Water Scarcity and Demand”
Chair: Jing Liu−−−

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Simulating the Macroeconomic Impact of Future Water Scarcity (#4909)
by Roson, Roberto and Richard Damania

Water Demand Prospects in Brazil: A Sectoral Evaluation Using an Inter-Regional CGE Model(#4928)by Dos Santos Fachinelli Ferrarini, Angel, Joaquim Bento Ferreira-Filho and Mark Horridge

Organized Session #3

4-100“China's medium and long term sustainable development policy analysis”
Organizer/Chair: Yaxiong Zhang−−−

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Economic Impacts of Water Scarcity under Diverse Water Salinities (#5101)
by Palatnik, Ruslana Rachel, Zvi Baum, Iddo Kan and Mickey Rapaport-Rom

China's Long Term Energy Demand Forecast——An application of a hybrid model of CGE andenergy demand modules (#5024)
by Li, Jifeng and Yaxiong Zhang

Analysis of Paths of China’s Carbon Emission Peaking by 2030-based on SICGE model (#4994)
by Songfeng, Cai, Jifeng Li and Yaxiong Zhang

Firm Heterogeneity and Its Implication on Chinese Climate Policies - A CGE Analysis based on
China’s National IO Table with Firm Heterogeneity Information (#5014)
by Tang, Weiqi, Libo Wu, Haoqi Qian and Kege Sun

Session #4

5-100“Migration”
Chair: Xiujian Peng−−−

A General Equilibrium Model of Migration and Poverty (#4984)
by Bradford, Scott

Economic Growth of Developing Economies with Informal Sector as a Sub-Market (#4982)
by Mondal, Rima and Shubhasankar Chattopadhyay
Refugee immigration and its effects on German markets (#4952)
by Gonzalez–Mellado, Aida, Petra Salamon and Martin Banse

16

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Session #5

6-100“Health-related Modeling”
Chair: Marcus Keogh-Brown−−−
11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Modeling the economic impacts of epidemics in developing countries under alternativeintervention strategies (#4980)
by Geard, Nic, John Madden, Emma McBryde, Rob Moss and Nhi Tran
International Trade and Health: Implications for Developing Countries (#4940)
by Khorana, Sangeeta and Badri Narayanan

Session #6

7-100“Economic Growth and Development: Middle East”
Chair: Khalid Siddig−−

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Application of a fully integrated Macroeconomic-Environmental-Demographic-health (MEDhealth) model framework: The case of palm oil in Thailand. (#5011)
by Jensen, Henning Tarp, Marcus Keogh-Brown, Richard D Smith, Sanjay Basu, Soledad Cuevas,
Alan Dangour, Shabbir H Gheewala, Rosemary Green, Edward Joy, Nalitra Thaiprasert and Bhavani
ShankarConsequences of conflict: the impact of the closure regime on the economy of the West Bank(#4967)by Agbahey, Johanes, Khalid Siddig, Harald Grethe and Ole Boysen

Structural Reform in the Gulf Cooperation Council Region – Case Study (1) Taxation Reform in
Saudi Arabia (#4992)
by Adams, Philip and Louise Roos

Organized Session #7

8-100“Shared-socio Economic Pathways (SSPs)”
Organizer: Dominique van der Mensbrugghe
Chair: John Weyant−−−

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their extension and use in impact,
adaptation and vulnerability studies (#5113)
by O'Neill, Brian

How are the SSP storylines being implemented in the Integrated Assessment Models—with afocus on land-use changes (#5114)
by Calvin, Katherine
What are some of the emerging key findings from the SSPs? (#5115)
by Van Vuuren, Detlef
17

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

1:00-2:30pm(13:00-14:30)

Lunch

Atrium

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Organized Session #8

C1-100“Student Panel: CGE Analyses of Current Economic Issues”
Organizers/Chairs: Mary Burfisher and Zeynep Akgul

Presentations in this session are allotted 15 minutes - 10 for presentation, immediately followed by 5 fordiscussion.
−
−
−
−

−

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Climate change and Canada in 2030: A computable general equilibrium analysis (#4927)
by Jacobs, HenryThe effect of easing traffic congestion in the Philippines using a CGE model (#5128)
by Folsom, Brennan
Alternatives to Illegal mining in Peru: Madre de Dios as a case study (#4926)
by Pineiro, Valeria, Jenny Thomas and Pablo ElverdinInternal Migration, Redistributive Policies and Income Distribution in Turkey: An
Intertemporal CGE Analysis (#5061)
by Yakut, Aykut Mert

Ecological Balance Determined by Human Choice: How does forestland change with
consumer preferences for GM soybeans? (#5079)
by Yang, Anton

Session #9

C1-200“Bioenergy”
Chair: Jared Creason−−

Modelling the Bioeconomy: Linkages between Agricultural, Wood and Energy Markets(#5033)by Banse, Martin, Niels Janzen, Franziska Junker, Peter Kreins, Frank Offermann, Petra Salamon andHolger Weimar
Assessing Sustainability of Biofuels Production in China (#5081)
by Birur, Dileep, Ashok Chapagain, Stephen Devadoss and Paudel Krishna

18

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Session #10

4-100“Labor Market Issues”
Chair: Terrie Walmsley−−−

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Solving a partial equilibrium model in a CGE framework: the case of a BMS model (#4996)
by Zhang, Xiao-Guang
Modelling Involuntary Unemployment in Applied GE Models (#5091)
by Pant, Hom

Session #11

5-100“Economic Analysis of Poverty”
Chair: Delfin S Go−

How to design the future? An economywide analysis of key industrial policies to boost propoor growth in DRC (#4931)
by *Otchia, Christian*Thomas Rutherford Scholarship Recipient−

Evaluating Impacts of Investments in the Tourism Sector as a Poverty Reduction Strategy in
Rwanda (#5037)
by Ochuodho, Thomas, Onil Banerjee, Janaki Alavalapati, Michel Masozera and Pankaj Lal−

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Are we there yet? Adjustment paths in response to Tariff shocks: a CGE Analysis. (#5076)
by Wiskich, Tony and Cedric Hodges

Modeling Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks: Increasing female participationand formal employment in Turkey (#5062)
by Osorio Rodarte, Israel

Organized Session #12

6-100“Services Trade Data: Where we are and future directions”
Organizer: Angel Aguiar
Chair: Laurent Cretegny−−−

Trade in Services by Modes of Supply (#4948)
by Rueda-Cantuche, Jose Manuel, Riina Kerner, Zornitsa Kutlina-Dimitrova and Lucian Cernat
A global matrix of trade in services (#4958)
by Fortanier, Fabienne, Antonella Liberatore, Andreas Maurer and Laura Thomson
Services trade data in the Global trade analysis project (#5105)
by McDougall, Robert, Joseph Francois and Angel Aguiar

19

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Session #13

7-100“Policy Analysis, Growth, and Crisis: Asia”
Chair: Badri Narayanan−−−
2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Key factors affecting Chinas changing demand for liquefied natural gas (#5040)
by Liu, Jin, Xiujian Peng and Philip Adams

Analysis of the impact of the decline in crude oil imports on the Japanese economy (#4930)
by Higashi, Akiko

Session #14

8-100“Dynamic Modeling of Growth and Development in Africa”
Chair: Simeon Ehui−−

4:00-4:30pm(16:00-16:30)

Extensive and Intensive Margins of India’s Manufactured Exports: Comparison with China(#4981)
by A, Lakshmi

Agricultural Policy, Productivity and Long Term Economic Growth in Senegal : An Analysis
using Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (#5104)
by Sy, Hamat

The Doha agenda: What’s in it for Africa, and what next for secured development outcomes
and fast integration imperatives? (#5047)
by Coulibaly, Adama Ekberg, Krishna Chikhuri, Medhat El Helepi and Tariq Ali

Coffee Break

Atrium20

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Session #15

C1-100“Food Prices and Security”
Chair: Kirsten Urban
−

−
−

−
4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Organic agriculture in Bhutan - a two-edged sword? The trade-off between environmental
sustainability and rice self-sufficiency (#4874)
by Feuerbacher, Arndt, Ole Boysen, Jonas Luckmann and Harald Grethe
Impact of Increasing Agricultural Domestic Support on Food Price Transmission (#5103)
by Yang, Fan, Kirsten Urban, Martina Brockmeier, Eddy Bekkers and Joseph Francois

A Balanced Global Food Demand and Supply in 2050: How can we meet the challenge? (#4904)
by Brockmeier, Martina, Søren Elkjær Frandsen, Mira Frommknecht, Vladimir Korovin, Ryan
Gorman and Kirsten Urban
Implications of Slowing Growth for Hunger and Poverty (#5098)
by Laborde, David and Will Martin

Organized Session #16

C1-200“Applications of Krugman and Melitz International Trade Models”
Organizer/Chair: David Tarr
−

−

−

−

Comparison of Welfare Results from Trade Liberalization in the Armington, Krugman and
Melitz Models: Impacts with features of real economies (#5054)
by Balistreri, Edward J. and David Tarr
The Impact of WTO Accession and Complementary Structural Reforms on the Economy ofBelarus: A Quantitative Evaluation (#4921)
by Balistreri, Edward J., Zoryana Olekseyuk and David Tarr

Poverty and Shared Prosperity Implications of Deep Integration in Eastern and Southern
Africa (#4894)
by Balistreri, Edward J., Maryla Maliszewska, Israel Osorio-Rodarte, David Tarr and Hidemichi
Yonezawa
Non-tariff barriers and trade integration in the EAEU (#4989)
by Knobel, Alexander, Andrei Lipin, Andrey Malokostov and Natalia Tourdyeva

21

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Session #17

4-100“Foreign Direct Investment: Asia”
Chair: María C. Latorre−−−
4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Charting directions for sustainable development in Myanmar: A computable generalequilibrium (CGE) approach (#4935)
by Ko, Shwe Zin, Zhaoyong Zhang, Pierre Horwitz and Hadrian Djajadikerta

Foreign Direct Investment, Productivity and Crowding-out: Dynamic Panel Evidence on
Vietnamese Firms (#4925)
by Pham, Hanh Thi My
The Effect of Reducing Investment Barriers in China’s Services Sectors (#5041)
by Yuan, Wen

Session #18

5-100“Bioenergy”
Chair: Farzad Taheripour
−

−
−

−

Economic impacts of the new reality of the Brazilian pre-salt exploration. Is there a threat toethanol? (#4938)
by Bistafa, Rafael, Angelo Gurgel and Sergey Paltsev
China and India Biofuel Policy, Food versus Fuel? (#4911)
by Beckman, Jayson

Macro-economic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (#4963)
by van Meijl, Hans, Yannis Tsiropoulos, Heleen Bartelings, Ric Hoefnagels, Edward Smeets, Andrzej
Tabeau and Andre Faaij

How to Reach 40% Reduction in Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Road Transport by 2030:
Propulsion Options and their Impacts on the Economy (#4897)
by Nylund, Nils-Olof, Saara Tamminen, Kai Sipilä, Juhani Laurikko, Esa Sipilä, Kari Mäkelä, Ilkka
Hannula and Juha Honkatukia

22

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Session #19

6-100“Climate Impacts”
Chair: Philip Adams
−
−

−
−

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Climate change damage and negotiations (#5015)
by Antimiani, Alessandro, Valeria Costantini, Giorgia Sforna, Anil Markandya and Elena Paglialunga
Estimation of climate change damage functions for 140 regions in the GTAP9 database(#4910)by *Sartori, Martina and Roberto Roson*Ken Pearson Scholarship Recipient
The economic consequences of air pollution (#4957)
by Lanzi, Elisa, Rob Dellink and Jean Chateau

Analyzing the coordinated impacts of climate policies for financing adaptation anddevelopment actions (#4986)
by Delpiazzo, Elisa and Ramiro Parrado

Organized Session #20

7-100“Integrated Economic-Environmental Modelling for Evidence-Based Policy and Decision Making”
Organizer/Chair: Onil Banerjee−−−

From almond shaming to water trading: CGE insights into managing California’s drought(#4872)
by Wittwer, Glyn
Using the SEEA Experimental Ecosystem Accounting framework to advance I-O and CGE
integrated environmental-economic modelling (#4979)
by Obst, Carl and Mark Eigenraam
The SEEA-Based Integrated Economic-Environmental Modelling Framework (#5075)
by Banerjee, Onil, Martin Cicowiez, Renato Vargas and Mark Horridge

23

Wednesday, June 15
Presentation Schedule
Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Session #21

8-100“Trade and the Environment”
Chair: Richard Garbaccio−−−−

6:30-8:30pm(18:30-20:30)

Reconsidering Carbon Equivalence (#5072)
by Batistich, Mary Kate

How green is organic? Indirect effects of making EU agriculture greener (#5003)
by Bellora, Cecilia and Christophe Bureau
An examination of the International Trade Impacts of Climate Change (#4900)
by Chateau, Jean, Rob Dellink, Hyunjeong Hwang and Elisa Lanzi
Optimal Economic Sanctions (#5116)
by Boehringer, Christoph, Michael Ferris and Thomas Rutherford

Reception

24

AtriumThursday, June 16
Session Overview

Full session details for this day are listed on pages 26-38. You can also access the conference schedule through the Eventbase mobile app. See page 2 for details.
C1-100

8:30am-5:00pm(8:30-17:00)

9:00-10:30am

10:30-11:00am
11:00am-1:00pm
25(11:00-13:00)

1:00-2:30pm(13:00-14:30)

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

4:00-4:30pm(16:00-16:30)

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)(18:30-20:30)*Organized Session

4-100

Registration (Front Lobby)*Session #22
Session #23
Uncertainty inAgricultural
Modeling Future
Policies: Asia
Global Economic& Environmental
OutcomesPg. 26
Pg. 26
Coffee Break (Atrium)
Session #29
Energy ModelingPg. 28Lunch (Atrium)*Session #30
Advances in labor
modeling: Generalequilibrium andmicro perspectives

Pg. 29*Session #24
European Union
Scenarios

Pg. 26
Session #31
Food Prices andSecurityPg. 29

6-100

7-100

Session #25
Trade in Services

Session #26
Climate Policy andImpacts

Session #27
Economic Growthand Crisis: SouthAmericaPg. 27
Session #32
Trade and theEnvironmentPg. 30

Session #37
Dynamic ModelingPg. 32

Pg. 32

Pg. 33

Pg. 33*Session #44
Transport, Tourism,& CGE

Session #45
Dynamic Modelingand Poverty
Analysis: Africa
Pg. 36*Session #46
Global Value Chains
Analyses

Coffee Break (Atrium)
Session #43
Land Use andWater

Reception (Atrium)

Pg. 35

Session #38
Trade Restrictions

5-100*Session #36
The update of the
EU28 Input
Output Tables

Pg. 35
6:30-8:30pm

C1-200

Session #39
Regional Labor
Market Issues

Pg. 36

8-100

Pg. 27Pg. 27*Session #33
Multidimensional
trade related
challenges in Africa
and Arab regions
under regional andmultilateral trade
agreements
Pg. 30

Session #34
Climate Change
Policy: Oceania andSouth America*Session #40
Modeling the
Economy-Wide
Costs and Benefitsof Air Quality
Improvements
Pg. 33Session #41
Regional
Agricultural
Policies

Session #47
Trade Theory andModeling

Session #48
Demographics

Pg. 37

Pg. 31

Session #28
Baseline
Development

Pg. 28*Session #35
TPP studies: data
development andimpact analysis

Pg. 31

Session #42
Trade Policies andAnalysis: Middle
East and Africa
Pg. 34

Pg. 37

Pg. 34

Session #49
Trade: East Asia
Pg. 38

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

8:30am-5:00pm(8:30-17:00)

Onsite Registration

Front Lobby

9:00-10:30am

Organized Session #22

C1-100“Uncertainty in Modeling Future Global Economic and Environmental Outcomes”
Organizer: Thomas Hertel
Chair: Dominique van der Mensbrugghe−−−
9:00-10:30am

Predicting Long Term Food Demand, Cropland Use and Prices (#4950)
by Hertel, Thomas, Uris Lantz Baldos and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison (#4954)
by Gillingham, Kenneth, William Nordhaus, David Anthoff, Geoffrey Blanford, Valentina Bosetti,Peter Christensen, Haewon McJeon, John Reilly and Paul Sztorc
Uncertainty in Forecasts of Long-Run Productivity Growth (#5074)
by Christensen, Peter, Kenneth Gillingham and William Nordhaus

Session #23

C1-200“Agricultural Policies: Asia”
Chair: Erwin Corong−−−

9:00-10:30am

The effect of regulatory quality on Indian forest products imports (#4988)
by Das, Joy, Shaun M. Tanger, Richard Vlosky and P. Lynn Kennedy

Regional Economic Consequences of the Chinese Agricultural Support Policies (#4942)
by Wang, Can (Tsan), Mahinda Siriwardana and Sam Meng

An Economy-wide Analysis of Trade Liberalization Impacts on Rural Household Income in
Taiwan (#4972)
by Hsu, Shih-Hsun, Ching-Cheng Chang, Hsing-Chun Lin, Ruey-Wan Liou, Sheng-Ming Hsu, De-Yan
Hsieh and Kuo-Jung Lin

Organized Session #24

4-100“European Union Scenarios”
Organizer/Chair: Marinos Tsigas−−

An innovative CGE assessment of the impact of the TTIP including multinationals and Foreign
Direct Investment (#5034)
by Latorre, María C. and Hidemichi Yonezawa
Quantifying the impact on EU trade and investment following China's integration strategies:
should the EUs FTA policy with ASEAN be pushed? (#5060)
by Velazquez, Beatriz and Alessandro Antimiani
26

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
9:00-10:30am

Event

Location

Session #25

5-100“Trade in Services”
Chair: Maryla Maliszewska−−−

9:00-10:30am

Data Localisation: should we be concerned? (#5030)
by Flaig, Dorothee, Javier Lopez Gonzalez, James Messent and Marie-Agnès Jouanjean

Convergence of Asian Regulatory Schemes in the Investment Management Industry (#4943)
by Cretegny, Laurent
Employment effects of trade reform in the Vietnamese banking sector (#5099)
by Dinh, Huong

Session #26

6-100“Climate Policy and Impacts”
Chair: Dileep Birur−−−

9:00-10:30am

The Paris Pledges: Global Implications for Energy Systems and Economic Impact (#4933)
by Vandyck, Toon, Bert Saveyn, Kimon Keramidas, Alban Kitous and Zoi Vrontisi

The implications of irrigation as a planned adaptation measure on an economy wide context(#4906)
by Parrado, Ramiro and Anna Dellarole
Agricultural R&D policy under climate and economic uncertainty (#4969)
by Cai, Yongyang, Alla Golub, Thomas Hertel and Kenneth Judd

Session #27

7-100“Economic Growth and Crisis: South America”
Chair: Angel Aguiar−−−

Spillover effects of rural credit: a CGE application for Brazilian regions (#5026)
by Zanetti De Lima, Cicero, Talita Pinto, Angelo Gurgel and Erly Teixeira

Stock-Flow Consistent models for developing countries: The case of Colombia (#5102)
by Escobar, Andres
Effects of an external shock on the economy of Bogota, Colombia (#5067)
by Arguello, Ricardo and Martin Cicowiez

27Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
9:00-10:30am

Event

Location

Session #28

8-100“Baseline Development”
Chair: Israel Osorio Rodarte−−−Augmenting GTAP database with data on institutional transactions (#5012)
by Sonmez, Yontem and Scott McDonald

Extended Supply-Use Tables in Basic Prices with Firm Heterogeneity: A Proof of Concept for
the United States (#4907)
by Fetzer, James, Thomas F. Howells III, Lin Jones, Erich Strassner and Zhi Wang
Direction and Quality of Differentiated-Goods Exports (#5094)
by Cinquetti, Carlos and Rosane Nunes De Faria

10:30-11:00am

Coffee Break

Atrium

11:00am-1:00pm(11:00-13:00)

Session #29

C1-100“Energy Modeling”
Chair: Alla Golub
−

−

−

−

GTAP-E-Power: An electricity-detailed extension of the GTAP-E model (#4891)
by Peters, Jeffrey C.

Energy Pricing Policy Reform and Environmental Quality in Nigeria: A CGE Approach (#4945)
by Akinyemi, Opeyemi, Philip Alege, Oluseyi Ajayi and Henry Okodua

Development of PakistanTIMES Energy Model for Least Cost Power Generation Options(#4893)by Das, Gordhan, Uqaili Muhammad Aslam, Memon Hafeez-ur-Rahman, Samo Saleem Raza, Harijan
Khanji and Mirjat Nayyar Hussain
Estimating summary functions for energy-technologies choice models (#5073)
by Lugovoy, Oleg and Vladimir Potashnikov

28

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
11:00am-1:00pm(11:00-13:00)

Event

Organized Session #30

C1-200“Advances in labor modeling: General equilibrium and micro perspectives”
Organizer: Hans Lofgren
Chair: Will Martin
−

−

−

−

11:00am-1:00pm(11:00-13:00)

LocationLabor Specification and Systematic Calibration Biases in Trade Policy Analyses (#4976)
by McDonald, Scott, Karen Thierfelder and Terrie Walmsley
A New Approach to Labor Mobility in CGE Models with Application to a Sub-SaharanArchetype Country (#5088)
by Lofgren, Hans and Martin Cicowiez
Simulations of Labor Policies in Tunisia with a Structural Job-Search Model (#5082)
by Robalino, David and Michael Weber
Labor Market Effects of Skill-Biased Technological Change in Malaysia (#4959)
by Nilsson, Björn and Mohamed Ali Marouani

Session #31

4-100“Food Prices and Security”
Chair: Uris Lantz Baldos−−−

Productivity and Trade Policy Changes: Food Security Impacts in Selected African Countries(#5090)by Nelgen, Signe and Anna Strutt
Imported chicken meat in Ghana: A threat for domestic producers and a blessing for
consumers? (#4999)
by Weible, Daniela and Janine Pelikan

Can a cereal export ban affect a net food-importing economy? The case of Ethiopia (#5004)
by Aragie, Emerta Asaminew, Jean Balié, Emiliano Magrini and Cristian Morales Opazo

29

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
11:00am-1:00pm(11:00-13:00)

Event

Session #32

5-100“Trade and the Environment”
Chair: Alan Fox
−

−

−

−

11:00am-1:00pm(11:00-13:00)

Location

An effective response to China’s emission policy for ASEAN (#4873)
by Siritorn, Komwit

Emissions Leakage, Environmental Policy and Trade Frictions (#4885)
by Holladay, J. Scott, Mohammed Mohsin and Shreekar Pradhan
China’s Choice and its implication: Import meat or soybean (#5005)
by Li, Shantong and Jianwu He
The Effects of Restricting Coal Consumption (#4924)
by Barbe, Andre

Organized Session #33

6-100“Multidimensional trade related challenges in Africa and Arab regions under regional (CFTA, GAFTA,..)and multilateral trade agreements”
Organizers: African Trade Policy Centre, UNECA, and the WTO Chairs Programme
Chair: Nassim Oulmane
Discussant: Mustapha Sadni Jallab
−

−

−

−

Firms, Trade and Employment in Tunisia (#5124)
by Baghdadi, Leila and Hassen Arouri

Impact of Food and Fuel Prices on Poverty in Food Import Dependent and Oil Exporting
Economies: The Case of Sultanate of Oman (#5125)
by Kotagama, Hemesiri, Houcine Boughanmi, H. A. I. Alfarsi and N. S. M. S. Al Hamedi

Trade Potential among Morocco and His African Partners Evaluation using an Extended
Gravity Model (#5126)
by Raouf, Radouane and Azzedine GhoufraneTrade Policies, Smuggling, and the Informal Job Market in Francophone Africa. The Case ofPharmaceuticals, Used Cars and Petroleum Products (#5127)
by Mbaye, Ahmadou Aly and Fatou Guèye

30

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
11:00am-1:00pm(11:00-13:00)

Event

Session #34

−

−

−

Do light vehicle emissions standards promote environmental goals in Australia? (#4916)
by Wang, Jiayu

Residential land use, transport and congestion in a computable general equilibrium model(#4990)by Lennox, James and Philip Adams

Temporal and spatial distribution of global mitigation costs: INDC role and generation equity(#4892)by Liu, Jing-Yu, Shinichiro Fujimori and Toshihiko Masui
Reductions in land use change and agriculture GHG emissions in Brazil: the Brazilian
commitment to COP21 (#4971)
by Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento and Mark Horridge

Organized Session #35

8-100“TPP studies: data development and impact analysis”
Organizer/Chair: Kenichi Kawasaki
−

−

−

−

1:00-2:30pm(13:00-14:30)

7-100“Climate Change Policy: Oceania and South America”
Chair: Niven Winchester−

11:00am-1:00pm(11:00-13:00)

Location

Lunch

Structure and tariff impact of the TPP agreement (#5031)
by Mimouni, Mondher, Xavier Pichot, Dzmitry Kniahin and Laetitia Rinderknecht

Non-tariff measures and trade restrictiveness: Evidence from a new database (#5108)
by Bown, Chad, Hiau Looi Kee and Alessandro Nicita
Economic Impact of the TPP as Negotiated (#4965)
by Chen, Shenjie and Catherine Milot

Potential Effects of the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement on the United States Economy(#5095)by Powers, William, Jose Signoret, Marinos Tsigas and Bennet Voorhees
Atrium31

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Event

Organized Session #36

C1-100“The update of the EU28 Input Output Tables”
Organizer/Chair: Bert Saveyn−−−

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Location

The EU28 GTAP Input-Output Tables (#4936)
by Rueda-Cantuche, Jose Manuel, Tamas Revesz, Antonio F. Amores, Marian Mraz, Emanuele Ferrari,
Alfredo Mainar, Letizia Montinari and Bert Saveyn
Decomposition of the ESA2010 Eurostat net tax matrices and the transformation to GTAP
format (#4964)
by Revesz, Tamas, Jose Manuel Rueda-Cantuche, Bert Saveyn, Antonio F. Amores and Marian Mraz

Analysis of structural patterns in highly disaggregated bio-based sectors on EU member statelevel with IO multipliers (#4932)
by Ferrari, Emanuele, Alfredo Mainar, Robert M'barek, George Philippidis and Ana Isabel Sanjuan
Lopez

Session #37

C1-200“Dynamic Modeling”
Chair: Ken Itakura−−−

Informing ex-ante event studies with macro-econometric evidence on the structural andpolicy impacts of terrorism (#4941)
by Nassios, Jason and James Giesecke
Financial Vulnerability and Export Dynamics (#5017)
by Kiendrebeogo, Youssouf, Melise Jaud and Marie-Ange Veganzones-Varoudakis

From recursive-dynamic to forward-looking: The importance of allowing for intertemporal
investment and net trade adjustments (#5065)
by Weitzel, Matthias, Edward J. Balistreri and Xiaolin Ren

32Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Event

Session #38−−

Trade costs and borders in the world of global value chains (#4922)
by Muradov, Kirill

Value Added Trade Restrictiveness Indexes. Measuring Protection with Global Value Chains.
(#5001)by Antimiani, Alessandro, Ilaria Fusacchia and Luca Salvatici
The role of export restrictions in agricultural trade (#5064)
by Estrades, Carmen, Manuel Flores and Guillermo Lezama

Session #39

5-100“Regional Labor Market Issues”
Chair: Yontem Sonmez−−

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

4-100“Trade Restrictions”
Chair: Janine Pelikan−

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Location

Time use for home activities, market activities and leisure in Ethiopia: economy-wide effects
of improved efficiency (#4961)
by Mosa, Abdulaziz, Khalid Siddig and Harald Grethe
Labor market consequences of trade openness and competition in foreign markets (#5025)
by Chiquiar, Daniel, Enrique Covarrubias and Alejandrina Salcedo

Organized Session #40

6-100“Modeling the Economy-Wide Costs and Benefits of Air Quality Improvements”
Organizer/Chair: Alex Marten−−−

Key Issues and Challenges in Representing Non-Price Environmental Policies in an Applied
General Equilibrium Framework (#5018)
by Garbaccio, Richard, Alex Marten, Ann Wolverton and et al.

Modeling the Economy-Wide Costs of Non-Price Based Environmental Policies in an Applied
General Equilibrium Framework (#4970)
by Garbaccio, Richard, Alex Marten, Ann Wolverton and et al.
Modeling the Economy-Wide Benefits of Improvements in Air Quality: Human Capital,
Willingness to Pay, and the Role of Spatial Resolution (#5050)
by Marten, Alex
33

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Event

Session #41−−

A COOL Repeal: Potential Outcomes of U.S. Mandatory Country of Origin Labeling
Requirements on Dairy and Beef Sectors (#5096)
by (Leister) Countryman, Amanda M., Alessandro Bonanno and Joleen Hadrich

Assessing Potential EU Trade Competitiveness from Abolition of the EU dairy quota (#4899)
by Waschik, Robert and George Philippidis
Argentina’s Agricultural Reforms: Impacts on Agricultural Growth and Trade (#5106)
by Valdes, Constanza, Marinos Tsigas and Ariel Nicolás Jorge

Session #42

8-100“Trade Policies and Analysis: Middle East and Africa”
Chair: Csilla Lakatos−−−

4:00-4:30pm(16:00-16:30)

7-100“Regional Agricultural Policies”
Chair: Hom Pant−

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Location

The Lifting of Economic Sanctions on Iran: Global Effects and Strategic Responses (#4939)
by Ianchovichina, Elena, Shanta Devarajan and Csilla Lakatos

Emergence of mega-regional trade agreements and the imperative for African economies tostrategically enhance trade-related South-South Cooperation (#4886)
by Mevel, Simon and Morgane Mathieu
Productivity, Exports Performance and Investment Climate: Evidence from Firm Level-Data(#4912)by Zaki, Chahir

Coffee Break

Atrium34

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Event

Session #43

C1-100“Land Use and Water”
Chair: Sherman Robinson
−

−

−

−

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Location

Land use and economy-wide impacts of improving water use efficiency in South Asia (#5052)
by Taheripour, Farzad, Thomas Hertel and Sebnem Sahin
Decomposing Land Use Changes in GTAP-BIO-W Model (#5039)
by Haqiqi, ImanThe Impact of Water Scarcity on Food, Deforestation and Bioenergy (#4985)
by Winchester, Niven, Kirby Ledvina, Kenneth Strzepek and John Reilly
Volume preserving CES and CET formulations (#5070)
by van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique and Jeffrey C. Peters

Organized Session #44

C1-200“Transport, Tourism, & CGE”
Organizer/Chair: Shane Martin
−

−

−

−

An Integrative Economic-Transport Model Framework for Global Maritime Commodity Flow(#4951)by Ong, Ghim Ping and Weng Sut Sou
Enhancing GTAP with Tourism Flows and Domestic Transportation Margins (#5048)
by Martin, Shane and Everett Peterson

A More Complete Characterization of Transportation Margins in the USAGE Model (#5046)
by Brown, Daniel, Katherine Harback, Shane Martin, Peter Dixon, James Lennox and Maureen
RimmerEffects of Transportation Infrastructure Reforms on the Export Participation andComposition (#5042)
by Baniya, Suprabha, Zeynep Akgul and Thomas Hertel

35

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Event

Session #45

4-100“Dynamic Modeling and Poverty Analysis: Africa”
Chair: Simon Mevel
−

−

−

−

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Location

Welfare Decomposition of the Continental Free Trade Area (#4978)
by Mureverwi, Brian and Trudi Hartzenberg

China’s Slowdown and Rebalancing: Potential Growth and Poverty Impacts on Sub-SaharanAfrica (#4974)
by Lakatos, Csilla, Maryla Maliszewska, Israel Osorio Rodarte and Delfin S Go

Can fuel subsidy reforms in Egypt reduce budget deficit without harming the poor? (#5057)
by Fathy, Ahmed, Khalid Siddig, Naglaa El-sodany, Asmaa Samieh, Amani Shahin and Noura
Abdelwahab
Investments in agricultural productivity vs rural commercialization: which way to rapid
poverty reduction in Ethiopia? (#4998)
by Aragie, Emerta Asaminew, Scott McDonald, Emanuele Ferrari and Hasan Dudu

Organized Session #46

5-100“Global Value Chains Analyses”
Organizer: Angel Aguiar
Chair: Caitlyn Carrico
−

−

−

−

The Similarities and Differences among Three Major Inter-Country Input-Output Databases
and their Implications for Trade in Value-Added Estimates (#4919)
by Jones, Lin, Zhi Wang, Christophe Degain and Xin Li

Improving Global Value Chain Analysis: Introducing Tariff Revenues into a GTAP-Based MRIO
Framework (#5089)
by Carrico, Caitlyn
Characterizing Global Value Chains (#5117)
by Wang, Zhi, Shang-Jin Wei, Xinding Yu and Kunfu Zhu

Trade Facilitation, Global Value Chains and Income Inequality (#5013)
by Ferraz, Lucas, Leopoldo Gutierre and Carolina Lemos

36Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Event

Session #47

6-100“Trade Theory and Modeling”
Chair: Brad McDonald
−

−

−

−

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Location

Exchange Rates, Trade Integration and Growth: Re-Evaluation of Undervaluation (#5080)
by Sokolova, Maria V.
Exchange Rates, Numéraires and Real Exchange Rates in Global Computable General
Equilibrium Models (#5053)
by McDonald, Scott
When does specification or aggregation matter for model simulation outcomes? Aninvestigation into demand systems (#4995)
by Boysen, Ole

Incorporating Modern Trade Theory into CGE Models: Modelling and Estimation (#5093)
by Bekkers, Eddy and Joseph Francois

Session #48

7-100“Demographics”
Chair: Marcio Cruz−−−

Global Migration Revisited: Short-term Pains, Long-term Gains, and the Potential for SouthSouth Migration (#4929)
by Ahmed, S. Amer, Delfin S Go and Dirk Willenbockel
Estimating World Demand for Calories (#4955)
by Gouel, Christophe and Houssein Guimbard

Changing Diets in a Changing World: The Impact of Urbanisation on Agriculture (#4920)
by Shutes, Lindsay, Monika Verma and Marijke Kuiper

37

Thursday, June 16
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

4:30-6:30pm(16:30-18:30)

Event

Session #49

8-100“Trade: East Asia”
Chair: Shantong Li
−

−

−

−

6:30-8:30pm(18:30-20:30)

Location

Trade and Growth Impact of One Belt, One Road on Asia and the World (#5086)
by Villafuerte, James, Erwin Corong and Juzhong Zhuang
China’s cotton policy and its domestic and world market implications (#5002)
by Yu, Wusheng and Hans Grinsted Jensen

The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement: Implications for the Fishery Sector in Taiwan(#5019)by Chen, Yi-Chieh, Ching-Cheng Chang and Yu-Chieh Chang

The Implications of the Trans-Pacific Partnership for Japan: Agricultural Policy Reforms andProductivity Gains (#5049)
by Lee, Hiro and Ken Itakura

Reception

AtriumConference Award Ceremony− Partnering Organization Recognition− Sponsor Recognition− Conference Scholarship Recipient Recognition− 2016 Alan A. Powell Award− 2016-2019 GTAP Research Fellows

38

Friday, June 17
Session Overview

Full session details for this day are listed on pages 41-48. You can also access the conference schedule through the Eventbase mobile app. See page 2 for details.
PrestonAuditorium

9:00-11:00am

11:00-11:30am
11:30am-1:00pm
39(13:00-14:30)

2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

4:00-4:30pm(16:00-16:30)*Organized Session

C1-2004-100*Session #50
Harnessing
GlobalDemographic
Change forDevelopment:
Impacts andPolicies
Pg. 41

Session #51
Climate Impacts
on Food andAgriculture

Session #52
Climate Change
Policy: European
Union

Pg. 41

Pg. 42

Pg. 42*Session #57
Economic effectsof cross-bordermigration

Session #58
Trade
Agreements and
Negotiations

Session #59
Climate Impacts
and WaterPg. 44Pg. 45

Pg. 45*Session #60
Looking at
Regional Trade
Agreements
through the
Firm
Heterogeneity
Lens
Pg. 46

Coffee Break (Atrium)(11:30-13:00)

1:00-2:30pm

C1-100Lunch (Atrium)

Plenary
SessionPushing the
Frontier on
Integrated
Assessment
Modeling
Pg. 48
Closing
CeremonyPg. 48

5-100

Session #53
Economic
Growth andDynamic
Modeling:
Europe andOceania

6-100

7-100

*Session #54
Integrated
Modeling of theFood-energywater Nexus

Session #55
Trade
Arrangements
and Model
Validation:
Europe and theAmericasPg. 43Session #61
Agricultural
Policies: Africa

Pg. 46

Pg. 43Session #62
Land UsePg. 47

8-100

Session #56
Labor Market
Issues: Africa

Pg. 44

Session #63
Foreign Direct
Investment

Pg. 47

Friday, June 17 – 2:30-4:00pm
Plenary Session: “Pushing the Frontier on Integrated Assessment Modeling”“The Need for Broader Multi-Disciplinary Information in Integrated Assessment”
Michael Toman
Research Manager, Environment and Energy Research Program, Development Research Group
The World Bank
http://www.worldbank.org/en/about/people/michael-toman
Michael Toman (Mike) is Lead Economist on Climate Change in the Development Research Group and Manager ofthe Energy and Environment Team. His current research interests include alternative energy resources, policies
for responding to risks of climate change catastrophes, timing of investments for greenhouse gas reduction, andmechanisms for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions through reduced deforestation. During his career Mike hasdone extensive research on climate change economics and policy, energy markets and policy, environmental policy
instruments, and approaches to achieving sustainable development. Prior to joining the World Bank in fall 2008,
he held senior analytical and management positions at RAND Corporation, Inter-American Development Bank, and Resources for the Future.
His teaching experience includes adjunct positions at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies and the School of theEnvironment, University of California at Santa Barbara. Mike has a B.A. from Indiana University, a M.Sc. in applied mathematics from Brown
University, and M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in economics from the University of Rochester.

“Data and Modeling Challenges for the Next Generation of Integrated Assessment Research”
James (Jae) Edmonds
Chief Scientist and Battelle Fellow, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research InstituteAdjunct Professor of Public Policy, University of Maryland at College Park
http://www.pnl.gov/science/staff/staff_info.asp?staff_num=5689
Jae Edmonds is a Chief Scientist and Battelle Fellow at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory's (PNNL) Joint
Global Change Research Institute, and Adjunct Professor of Public Policy at the University of Maryland at College
Park. Dr. Edmonds is the principal investigator for the Global Energy Technology Strategy Program to Address
Climate Change, an international, public-private research collaboration. His research in the areas of long-term,
global, energy, economy, and climate change spans three decades, during which time he published several books,
numerous scientific papers and made countless presentations. His most recent book, Global Energy Technology
Strategy, Addressing Climate Change, distills more than a decade of research on the role of technology in addressing climate change. Dr.
Edmonds has served in the capacity of Lead Author on every major IPCC assessment to date and presently serves on the IPCC Steering
Committee on "New Integrated Scenarios," He serves on numerous panels and advisory boards related to energy, technology, the economy
and climate change.

40

Friday, June 17
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time

Event

Location

9:00-11:00am

Organized Session #50

C1-100“Harnessing Global Demographic Change for Development: Impacts and Policies”
Organizer/Chair: S. Amer Ahmed
−

−

−

−

9:00-11:00am

On the impact of Demographic Change on Growth, Poverty and Shared Prosperity (#5068)
by Cruz, Marcio and S. Amer Ahmed
Cashing in the demographic dividend (#5085)
by Maliszewska, Maryla, S. Amer Ahmed, Marcio Cruz and Alan Winters
Making the Most of Demographic Change in Southern Africa (#5087)
by Ahmed, S. Amer and Marcio Cruz
Capitalizing on the Demographic Dividend in Asia-Pacific (#4966)
by Mirza, Tasneem, Thangavel Palanivel and Andrew Mason

Session #51

C1-200“Climate Impacts on Food and Agriculture”
Chair: Everett Peterson
−

−

−

−

Welfare Changes from Climate Change Impacts on the Agricultural Sector: New Damage
Functions from Over 1000 Yield Studies (#5056)
by Moore, Frances, Uris Lantz Baldos, Thomas Hertel and Delavane Diaz

Global food and environmental impacts under climate change: An application of gridded
agricultural economic modelling (#5063)
by Baldos, Uris Lantz

The health co-benefits of a global greenhouse-gas tax on food (#5038)
by Springmann, Marco, Daniel Mason-D'Croz, Sherman Robinson, Keith Wiebe and Peter
ScarboroughCrop Yields, Food Security, and GHG Emissions: An Analysis of Global Mitigation Options for
Rice Cultivation (#5045)
by Creason, Jared, Robert Beach, Zekarias Hussein, Shaun Ragnauth, Sara Ohrel, Changsheng Li andWilliam Salas

41

Friday, June 17
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
9:00-11:00am

Event

Location

Session #52

4-100“Climate Change Policy: European Union”
Chair: Alessandro Antimiani
−

−

−

−

9:00-11:00am

Combining Price and Quantity Controls under Partitioned Environmental Regulation (#4869)
by Abrell, Jan and Sebastian Rausch
Minimum Prices in the European Emissions Trading System (#4898)
by Abrell, Jan, Sebastian Rausch and Hidemichi Yonezawa

Identifying the main uncertainty drivers of energy security in a low-carbon world: The case ofEurope (#5112)
by Guivarch, Celine and Stéphanie Monjon
Environmental targets, economic effects and social impacts– How sustainable is the German
way from a fossil to a renewable energy supply system? (#4956)
by Rothe, Andrea and Scott McDonald

Session #53

5-100“Economic Growth and Dynamic Modeling: Europe and Oceania”
Chair: Maureen Rimmer
−

−

−

−

An Economic Analysis of The Circular Economy (#4937)
by Tuladhar, Sugandha, Mei Yuan and W. David Montgomery

Growth, Expectations and Structural Change - The Dixon – Wilcoxen – Malakellis -Model ReVisited (#5000)
by Honkatukia, Juha
Options for Reforming Australia's Goods and Services Tax (#4944)
by Verikios, George, Jodie Patron, Mohammad Reza Gharibnavaz and Ashley Winston

A financial CGE assessment of the impact of a rise in commercial bank capital adequacy ratios(#4977)by Giesecke, James, Peter Dixon and Maureen Rimmer

42

Friday, June 17
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
9:00-11:00am

Event

Location

Organized Session #54

6-100“Integrated Modeling of the Food-energy-water Nexus”
Organizer/Chair: Jing Liu
−

−

−

−

9:00-11:00am

An integrated assessment of water scarcity effects on energy and land use decisions andmitigation policies (#5107)
by Edmonds, James and Katherine Calvin

The IMPACT Model: A Global Simulation Modelling System for Analysis of Water-Economy
Links in Climate Change Scenarios (#5020)
by Robinson, Sherman, Daniel Mason-D'Croz and Tingju Zhu

Achieving Sustainable Irrigation Water Withdrawals: Global Impacts on Food Production andLand Use (#4915)
by Liu, Jing, Thomas Hertel, Richard Lammers, Alexander Prusevich, Uris Lantz Baldos, Danielle
Grogan and Steve Frolking
Combining the best of two worlds - An integrative water modelling approach (#5023)
by Luckmann, Jonas, Ami Reznik, Eli Feinerman, Israel Finkelshtain, Harald Grethe and Iddo Kan

Session #55

7-100“Trade Arrangements and Model Validation: Europe and the Americas”
Chair: Carmen Estrades
−

−

−

−

Ukraine’s unconsidered losses from the annexation of Crimea: What should we account for in
the DCFTA forecasts? (#4949)
by Olekseyuk, Zoryana and Hannah Schuerenberg-Frosch
Analyzing the trade effects of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership between
the EU and the US: Do we need to care about agricultural domestic support? (#5007)
by Urban, Kirsten, Ole Boysen, Martina Brockmeier, Tanja Engelbert, Hans Grinsted Jensen and
Badri Narayanan
Quantitative trade models and the economic assessment of TTIP (#5043)
by Bekkers, Eddy and Hugo Rojas-Romagosa

Impacts of expenditures on research and development on the Brazilian economy: A CGE
approach (#5010)
by Pio, João, Fernando Perobelli and Alexandre Gomes

43

Friday, June 17
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
9:00-11:00am

Event

Location

Session #56

8-100“Labor Market Issues: Africa”
Chair: Terrie Walmsley
−

−

−

−

Public policies promoting the informal economy: effects on incomes, employment and growth
in Burkina Faso (#4914)
by Traore, Abel and Idrissa Ouedraogo
Welfare and Employment Effects of Services Trade Liberalization: The Case of the ACP- EU
Agreement (#5021)
by Rakotoarisoa, Manitra A.

Employment impacts of technological innovations in sub-Saharan Africa: Firm-level evidence.
(#4947)by Avenyo, Elvis
Incorporating vocational training systems in CGE models (#5029)
by Mohammed, Zuhal, Khalid Siddig and Harald Grethe

11:00-11:30am

Coffee Break

Atrium

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Organized Session #57

C1-100“Economic effects of cross-border migration”
Organizer/Chair: Angel Aguiar−−−

The economics of the Syrian refugee crisis: The case of Lebanon (#5032)
by David, Anda, Mohamed Ali Marouani, Charbel Nahas and Björn Nilsson

Regional and Global Impacts of Skill Mobility within the ASEAN Economic Community (#5066)
by Corong, Erwin and Angel Aguiar

Migration Response to Oil Price Volatility: A Dynamic Simulation of Migration from South andSoutheast Asia to the GCC (#5059)
by Aguiar, Angel, Caitlyn Carrico and S. Amer Ahmed

44

Friday, June 17
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Event

Session #58

C1-200“Trade Agreements and Negotiations”
Chair: Russell Hillberry−−−

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Location

Analyzing the Infrastructure Impacts of Free Trade Agreements (#4962)
by Bachmann, Christian
Border Crossing for Trucks Twenty Years after NAFTA (#5069)
by Fox, Alan and Pilar Londono-Kent

What Has Been Left to Multilateralism to Negotiate On? (#5016)
by Bureau, Christophe, Houssein Guimbard and Sébastien Jean

Session #59

4-100“Climate Impacts and Water”
Chair: Glyn Wittwer−−−

Climate Change, Food Production, and Welfare (#5071)
by Haqiqi, Iman, Farzad Taheripour and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

Consequences of global climate change on future hydropower generation (#4987)
by Zhou, Qian, Naota Hanasaki, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yoshimitsu Masaki and Yasuaki Hijioka

The potential of water markets to allocate water between industry, agriculture, and public
water utilities as an adaptation mechanism to climate change (#4968)
by Levin-Koopman, Jason, Onno Kuik, Richard Tol and Roy Brouwer

45

Friday, June 17
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Event

Organized Session #60

5-100“Looking at Regional Trade Agreements through the Firm Heterogeneity Lens”
Organizer: Zeynep Akgul
Chair: Roberto Roson−−−

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Location

Heterogeneous Firms, Non-tariff Measures, and US Beef Trade (#5083)
by Akgul, Zeynep, Thomas Hertel and Nelson Villoria
Converting an Armington model into a Melitz model (#5077)
by Dixon, Peter, Michael Jerie and Maureen Rimmer

Trade Response of Armington-Krugman-Melitz Encompassing Module in a CGE Model: Case of
the Trans- Pacific Partnership Agreement (#5097)
by Itakura, Ken and Kazuhiko Oyamada

Session #61

6-100“Agricultural Policies: Africa”
Chair: Amanda M. (Leister) Countryman−−

Developing Effective and Growth-Sustaining Agribusiness Markets in Sub-Saharan Africa(#5084)by Ehui, Simeon, Marinos Tsigas and Chakib Jenane

Are investments in agricultural infrastructure really boosting farmers’ market access in Sub
Saharan Africa? (#5009)
by Balié, Jean, Signe Nelgen, Badri Narayanan and Anna Strutt

46

Friday, June 17
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Event

Session #62−−

Estimating the impact of fertilizer support policies: A CGE approach (#4901)
by Bartelings, Heleen, Aikaterini Kavallari, Hans van Meijl and Martin Von Lampe

Using a CGE Model for analyzing the Macroeconomic impact of the Grand Paris Express
project on the Ile-de-France Region (#4875)
by Hadj Salem, Haykel, Aboulkacem El-Mehdi, Hubert Jayet, Quentin David, Hakim Hammadou andMoez Kilani
Linking Natural Resources to the CGE framework: the case of Land Use Changes in the EPPA
Model (#4934)
by Gurgel, Angelo, Y.-H. Henry Chen, Sergey Paltsev and John Reilly

Session #63

8-100“Foreign Direct Investment”
Chair: Michael Ferrantino−−−

1:00-2:30pm(13:00-14:30)

7-100“Land Use”
Chair: Christophe Gouel−

11:30am-1:00pm(11:30-13:00)

Location

Lunch

Expanding Multinationals - Conglomerate M&A and Activity-Basket Proximity (#4917)
by Ray, Anna

Production Patterns of Multinational Enterprises: The Knowledge-Capital Model Revisited(#4876)by Oyamada, KazuhikoCorporate Income Tax Reform in the EU (#4918)
by Álvarez-Martínez, María Teresa, Salvador Barrios, Maria Gesualdo, Dimitrios Pontikakis and Jon
Pycroft
Atrium47

Friday, June 17
Presentation Schedule

Presenters (in bold) should arrive 10 minutes prior to the start of their session with their presentation on a USB drive in both PowerPoint
and PDF formats. Unless otherwise noted, all parallel and organized session presentations are allotted 30 minutes - 20 for presentation,
immediately followed by 10 for discussion.
Looking for a paper? Search by ID# at: http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/conferences/2016/

Time
2:30-4:00pm(14:30-16:00)

Event

Plenary Session

Preston Auditorium“Pushing the Frontier on Integrated Assessment Modeling”
Chair: Richard Garbaccio−−
4:00-4:30pm(16:00-16:30)

Location

The Need for Broader Multi-Disciplinary Information in Integrated Assessmentby Toman, Michael

Data and Modeling Challenges for the Next Generation of Integrated Assessment Researchby Edmonds, James

Closing Ceremony−−

Preston Auditorium

Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, Director and Research Professor, Center for Global Trade
Analysis, Purdue University
2017 Conference Preview
by van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique

48

Saturday, June 18
Post-Conference Event
Potomac River Cruise to Mount Vernon
A visit to the home of George Washington is a great Americanadventure everyone should experience, especially when you cando it by boat! Enjoy a leisurely narrated cruise while taking in thebeautiful scenery along the Potomac River during the cruise to theMount Vernon estate.

For those individuals who registered and paid to participate in thisevent, please make note of the following schedule.

Time

Details

8:15amBoarding time (Spirit Cruises, Pier 4, Water Street SW, Washington DC)
Participants are responsible for making their own transportation arrangements to the dock.

8:30-10:00am

Potomac River Cruise to Mount Vernon

10:00am - 1:00pm(10:00-13:00)

Exploring Mount Vernon
Participants can take a guided tour or explore the estate grounds on their own. Participants are responsible forpurchasing their own lunch at Mount Vernon.

1:00pm(13:00)Boarding time

1:30-3:00pm(13:30-15:00)

Potomac River Cruise returns to DC
Participants are responsible for making their own transportation arrangements from the dock.

WeatherTemperatures in June can range from lows near 65°F (18 C) to 86°F (30 C). Rain is also always a possibility.

What to Bring
Much of the tour will be outdoors; therefore, participants should wear comfortable clothing. While food is not allowed in the historic area orin the Mount Vernon Museum and Education Center, water bottles are encouraged. Water fountains are also located around the historic area
for refills. Strollers are welcomed, but are not allowed on the Mansion tour. Photography is encouraged in all areas except the Mansion
interior and the Museum. Cash and/or credit card (Visa, MasterCard) are accepted for dining.

49

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

EmailA, Lakshmi

Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR)

India

lakshmia@igidr.ac.in

Abu-Goodman, Maryam

Eastern Mediterranean University

Turkeysumpts777@gmail.com

Abu, Godwin

Adams, Philip

Adebusuyi, Adebisi (Bisi)
Adebusuyi, Adebowale
Aeroe, Anders

Agbahey, Johanes
Aguiar, Angel

Ahmed, Raj Farouq
50

Ahmed, S. Amer
Akel, A. Emre

Akgul, Zeynep

Akinyemi, Opeyemi

Alexandre, Jean-Wilner
Alshamrani, Abdulaziz
Antimiani, Alessandro

Aragie, Emerta Asaminew
Arguello, Ricardo
Avenyo, Elvis

Bachmann, Christian (Chris)
Baghdadi, Leila

Baldos, Uris Lantz
Balié, Jean

Balistreri, Edward J.
Banerjee, Onil

Baniya, Suprabha
Banse, Martin
Barbe, Andre

University of agriculture
Victoria University

Kingston University

Kingston University, London

International Trade Centre (ITC)
Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
MENDEL UNIVERSITY IN BRNO
The World Bank

The Ministry of Economy

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University / USITC
Covenant University

Essex County College
King Saud University

Università degli Studi Roma Tre

Food And Agricultural Organization (FAO)
Universidad del Rosario

Maastricht University/ UNU-MERIT
University of Waterloo

Tunis Business School, University of Tunis

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Colorado School of MinesInter-American Development Bank
Purdue University

Thünen Institute of Market Analysis (TI)
International Trade Commission

Nigeria
Australia

United Kingdom
United Kingdom
Switzerland
Germany

United States

Czech Republic
United States
TurkeyUnited States
Nigeria

United States
Saudi Arabia
Italy
Italy

Colombia

The Netherlands
CanadaTunisia

United States
FranceUnited States
United States
United States
Germany

United States

goddy_master@yahoo.co.uk
philip.adams@vu.edu.au
adebisiedun@gmail.com

adebowaleadebusuyi@gmail.com
aeroe@intracen.org

johanes.agbahey@hu-berlin.deaaguiar@purdue.edu

farouqrajahmed@gmail.com
sahmed20@worldbank.org
emreakel@gmail.com
zakgul@purdue.edu

opeoluwatosin@gmail.com
jalexan5@essex.edu

alshamrani@gwu.edu

alessandro.antimiani@crea.gov.it
emertas@yahoo.com

arguello.ricardo@gmail.com
avenyo@merit.unu.edu

chris.bachmann@uwaterloo.ca
leila.baghdadi@tbs.rnu.tn
ubaldos@purdue.edu
jean.balie@fao.org

ebalistr@mines.edu
onilb@iadb.org

sbaniya@purdue.edu

martin.banse@ti.bund.deandre.barbe@usitc.gov

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

Email

Bartelings, Heleen

LEI

The Netherlands

heleen.bartelings@wur.nl

Batta, Ginger

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University

United States

gbatta@purdue.edu

Batistich, Mary Kate
Bchir, Mohamed Hedi
Beckman, Jayson
Bekkers, Eddy

Bellora, Cecilia
Birur, Dileep

Bistafa, Rafael

Boughanmi, Houcine
51

Boysen, Ole

Bradford, Scott

Brockmeier, Martina
Brown, Daniel

Burfisher, Mary

Bussieck, Michael

Calvin, Katherine (Kate)
Carrico, Caitlyn
Cernat, Lucian

Chambers, Arthur

Charles, Alexandra
Chateau, Jean
Chen, Shenjie

Chen, Yichieh

Christensen, Peter
Cicowiez, Martin
Cinquetti, Carlos
Corong, Erwin

Coulibaly, Adama Ekberg

Purdue University

UN Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (UNESCWA)
USDA/ERS

University of Bern

INRA - UMR Economie Publique
McKinsey and Company
Rosenberg Associados

Sultan Qaboos University
University of Hohenheim

Brigham Young University
University of Hohenheim
Mitre Corporation

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
GAMS Development Corporation

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
European Commission - DG Trade

US International Trade Commission

UNIVERSITE NOTRE DAME D'HAITIOECD Environment Directorate
DFAIT

Center for Water Resources Management and Policy Research
Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois
CEDLAS-Universidad Nacional de La Plata
UNESP

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
UNECA

United States
LebanonUnited States
Switzerland
FranceUnited States
BrazilOman

Germany

United States
Germany

United States
United States
United States
United States
United States
Belgium

United States
Haiti

FranceCanadaTaiwan (ROC)
United States
Argentina
BrazilUnited States
Ethiopiambatisti@purdue.edu

hedi.bchir@gmail.com

JBeckman@ers.usda.gov

eddybekkers@gmail.com
cecilia.bellora@cepii.fr
dbirur@gmail.com

rafaelbistafa@gmail.com
boughanh@squ.edu.omo.boysen@uni-hohenheim.de
bradford@byu.edu

martina.brockmeier@uni-hohenheim.de
dtbrown@mitre.org

burfisher@gmail.com

mbussieck@gams.com

katherine.calvin@pnnl.gov
carrico@purdue.edu

lucian.cernat@ec.europa.eu
arthur.chambers@usitc.gov

alexandracharles09@yahoo.fr
jean.chateau@oecd.org

shenjie.chen@international.gc.ca
olikeblueo@gmail.com
pchrist@illinois.edu

martin@depeco.econo.unlp.edu.arcinquett@fclar.unesp.br
ecorong@purdue.edu

acoulibaly@uneca.org

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

EmailCountryman, Amanda M. (Leister)

Colorado State University

United States

amanda.leister@colostate.edu

Creason, Jared

US EPA

United Statescreason.jared@epa.gov

Covarrubias, EnriqueCretegny, Laurent
Cruz, Marcio

Das, GordhanDas, JoyDavid, Andade la Chesnaye, Francisco
Delpiazzo, Elisa
52

Deng, Mengzhi

Devarajan, Shanta
Dinh, Huong

Dirkse, Steven
Dixon, Peter

Donaldson, DaveDos Santos Fachinelli Ferrarini, Angel
Edmonds, James (Jae)

Eghan, Jonathan Ronald Muller
Ehui, Simeon

Elshennawy, Abeer
Escobar, Andres

Estrades, Carmen
Evans, David

Federici, Daniel

Ferrantino, Michael
Ferrari, Emanuele
Ferraz, Lucas

Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento

Banco de Mexico
KPMG Australia

The World Bank

Department of Mechanical Engineering,

Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness
AFD

Electric Power Research InstituteEuro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change Fundation
Henan Agricultural University
World Bank, African Region

Research School of Economics, Australian National University
GAMS Development Corporation
Victoria University

Stanford University

Universidade de São Paulo

Pacific Northwest Nat’l Lab, Joint Global Change Research InstituteMendel University
The World Bank

The American University in Cairo

Universidad de Cartagena, Campus Piedra de Bolívar

Department of Economics, Universidad de la Republica
USEPA

University of North Carolina at Charlotte

US International Trade Commission (USITC)
European Commission - JRC -IPTS

São Paulo School of Economics - Getulio Vargas Foundation
Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz

MexicoAustralia

United States
Pakistan

United States
FranceUnited States
Italy

China

United States
Australia

United States
Australia

United States
BrazilUnited States

Czech Republic
United States
Egypt

Colombia
Uruguay

United States
United States
United States
Spain

BrazilBrazilenriquecovarr@gmail.com
lcretegny@kpmg.com.au

mvargasdacruz@worldbank.org
valasai@gmail.com
jdas2@lsu.edu
davida@afd.fr

fdelachesnaye@epri.com
elisa.delpiazzo@feem.it
dengmz@163.com

sdevarajan@worldbank.org
huong.dinh@anu.edu.au
sdirkse@gams.com

peter.dixon@vu.edu.au
ddonald@stanford.edu

angel.fachinelli@gmail.com
jae@pnnl.gov

ronmull020@gmail.com
sehui@worldbank.org

ashenawy@aucegypt.edu

aescobare@unicartagena.edu.co
carmen.estrades@gmail.com
evans.davida@epa.gov
dfederic@uncc.edu

mferrantino@worldbank.org

emanuele.ferrari@ec.europa.eu
lucas.ferraz@fgv.br
jbsferre@usp.br

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

Email

Fetzer, James (Jim)

Bureau of Economic Analysis

United States

James.Fetzer@bea.gov

Flaig, Dorothee

OECD

Francedorothee.FLAIG@oecd.org

Feuerbacher, Arndt
Folsom, Brennan
Fouré, Jean
Fox, Alan

Fusacchia, Ilaria

Garbaccio, Richard
Gehlhar, Mark

Gesualdo, Maria
53

Ghoufrane, Azzedine
Giesecke, James

Gillingham, Kenneth
Go, Delfin S

Goldberg, Pinelopi (Penny) Koujianou
Golub, Alla

Gomes, Alexandre
Gorman, Ryan

Gouel, Christophe
Gurgel, Angelo

Hadj Salem, Haykel
Han, Sang-Hee
Haqiqi, Iman

Harback, Katherine
He, Jianwu

Hertel, Thomas
Higashi, Akiko

Hillberry, Russell
Hodges, Cedric

University of Hohenheim
Econometrica, Inc.
CEPII

US International Trade Commission (USITC)
University of Roma Tre

US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)

Dept of the Interior, Ofc of Surface Mining Reclamation & Enforcement

IPTS-JRC, European Commission

Mohammed V University in Rabat
Centre of Policy Studies
Yale University

The World Bank

Yale University, Department of Economics

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
Federal University of São Carlos
Hohenheim University
INRA

Fundacao Getulio Vargas - FGV
lille university
KPMG

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
The MITRE corporation

Development Reseach Center of State Council, P.R.China
Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc.

The World Bank, Development Research Group
Deloitte Access Economics

Germany

United States
FranceUnited States
Italy

United States
United States
Spain

MoroccoAustralia

United States
United States

United States
United States
BrazilGermany
FranceBrazilFranceAustralia

United States
United States
China

United States
Japan

United States
Australia

a.feuerbacher@uni-hohenheim.de
bfolsom41@gmail.com
jean.foure@cepii.fr

Alan.Fox@usitc.gov

ilaria.fusacchia@uniroma3.it
garbaccio.richard@epa.gov
mgehlhar@osmre.gov

Maria.GESUALDO@ec.europa.eu
a.ghoufrane@um5s.net.majames.giesecke@vu.edu.aukenneth.gillingham@yale.edu
delfins.go@gmail.com

penny.goldberg@yale.edu
golub@purdue.edu

alelogomes@gmail.com

ryangorman1@gmail.com

christophe.gouel@grignon.inra.fr
angelo_gurgel@yahoo.com.br

haykel.hadj-salem@univ-lille1.fr
sangheehan1@kpmg.com
ihaqiqi@purdue.edu

kharback@mitre.org
jianwu@drc.gov.cn

hertel@purdue.edu
akiko@mri.co.jp

rhillberry@worldbank.org

cehodges@deloitte.com.au

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

EmailHonkatukia, JuhaVTT Technical Research Centre of Finland

Finlandjuha.honkatukia@vtt.fi

Hosoe, Nobuhiro

National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

Japannhosoe@grips.ac.jp

Horridge, Mark
Hsu, Shih-Hsun

Ianchovichina, Elena
Ishinabe, Nagisa
Itakura, Ken

Jacobs, Henry (Hank)
Jean, Sébastien

Jensen, Henning Tarp
54

Jerie, MichaelJin, Hongtao
Jones, Lin

Jorge, Ariel Nicolás
Kabir, Kayenat

Karingi, Stephen
Kato, Nozomi

Kavallari, Aikaterini

Kawasaki, Kenichi (Ken)Kee, Hiau Looi

Keogh-Brown, Marcus
Khachaturian, Tamar
Khalil, Sana

Khorana, Sangeeta

Kiendrebeogo, Youssouf
Ko, Shwe Zin

Korovin, Vladimir

Kotagama, Hemesiri

Kutlina-Dimitrova, Zornitsa

Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University
National Taiwan University
The World Bank

Purdue University

Nagoya City University
University of Toronto

Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Information Internationales
University of Copenhagen
GEMPACK

Henan Agricultural University

U.S. International Trade Commission
INAI Foundation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University
United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA)
Economic Research Center, Fujitsu Research Institute
FAO, Agricultural Development Economics Division

National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS)World Bank

London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
United States International Trade Commission
University of Massachusetts Amherst
Bournemouth University
World bank

Edith Cowan University

University of Hohenheim

Sultan Qaboos University

European Commission, Directorate-General for TRADE

Australia
Taiwan (ROC)
United States
United States
Japan

CanadaFranceDenmark
Australia
China

United States
Argentina

United States
Ethiopia
Japan
Italy

Japan

United States

United Kingdom
United States
United States

United Kingdom
United States
Australia

Germany
Oman

Belgium

mark.horridge@gmail.com
m577@ntu.edu.tw

eianchovichina@worldbank.org
nishinab@purdue.edu

itakura@econ.nagoya-cu.ac.jp
henry.bjacobs@gmail.com

sebastien.jean@grignon.inra.fr
htj@ifro.ku.dk

michael.jerie@vu.edu.au
jhtzz@163.com

lin.jones@usitc.gov

nicolasjorge@gmail.com
kkabir@purdue.edu

Skaringi@uneca.org

nozomi_ok@hotmail.com

aikaterini.kavallari@fao.org
k-kawasaki@grips.ac.jp
hlkee@worldbank.org

marcus.keogh-brown@lshtm.ac.uk
tamar.khachaturian@usitc.gov
sanakhalil@umass.edu

skhorana@bournemouth.ac.uk

ykiendrebeogo@worldbank.org
szko@our.ecu.edu.au

v_korovin@uni-hohenheim.de
hemkot@squ.edu.om

zornitsa.kutlina-dimitrova@ec.europa.eu

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

EmailKuzmenko, Marina

Russian Foreign Trade Academy

Russiamg.kuzmenko@mail.ru

Lakatos, Csilla

The World Bank (DECPG)

United States

clakatos1@worldbank.org

Kwasi Asante, George
Lanzi, Elisa

Laryea, Bonaparte
Latorre, María C.
Lee, Hiro

Lemus, Billy

Lennox, James

Levin-Koopman, Jason
55

Li, Jifeng

Li, Shantong
Liu, Jing

Liu, Jing-Yu

Lkhanaajav, Esmedekh
Lofgren, Hans
Long, Xueting

Luckmann, Jonas
Lugovoy, Oleg
Madden, John

Maliszewska, Maryla

Marrero-Sanchez, Angelica
Marten, Alex

Martha, Jr., Geraldo
Martin, Shane
Martin, Will

Maurer, Andreas

Mbaye, Ahmadou Aly
McDonald, Brad

Mendel University

OECD Environment Directorate
Mendel University

Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Dept de Economia Aplicada
Osaka University

Lewis-Clark State College
Centre of Policy Studies

LEI, Wageningen University and Research Centre
State Information Center of China
Development Research Center

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan
Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University
The World Bank

University of Colorado Boulders
Humboldt University

Environmental Defense FundCentre for Policy Studies, Victoria University
The World BankUS Department of Agriculture/Food Safety and Inspection Service
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Embrapa Labex-USA
MITRE Corp.

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
WTO

University Cheikh Anta Diop WTO Program
IMF

ghana

FranceCzech Republic
Spain

Japan

United States
Australia

The Netherlands
China
China

United States
Japan

Australia

United States
United States
Germany

United States
Australia

United States
United States
United States
United States
United States
United States
Switzerland
SenegalUnited Statesasanteb48@gmail.com
elisa.lanzi@oecd.org

bonaparteodoi@yahoo.com
cmlatorre@estad.ucm.es

hlee@osipp.osaka-u.ac.jpb.lemus00@gmail.com

james.lennox@vu.edu.aujason.levin-koopman@wur.nl
lijf@mx.cei.gov.cn

shantong@drc.gov.cn
liu207@purdue.edu

ljyhm88@gmail.com

esmedekh@gmail.com

hlofgren@worldbank.org

longxueting1@gmail.com

luckmann@uni-hohenheim.deolugovoy@hotmail.com

john.madden@vu.edu.au

mmaliszewska@worldbank.org

angelica.marrero@fsis.usda.gov
marten.alex@epa.gov

geraldo.martha@embrapa.br
slmartin@mitre.org

w.martin@cgiar.org

andreas.maurer@wto.org
aly_mbaye@hotmail.com
bmcdonald@imf.org

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

Email

McDonald, Scott

University of Hohenheim

Germany

jrs.mcdonald@gmail.com

McFarland, James (Jim)

U.S, EPA

United States

mcfarland.james@epa.gov

McDougall, Robert

Mecklenbrauck, Verena
Meeraus, Alex

Mensah, Stephen
Mevel, Simon

Milot, Catherine

Mimouni, Mondher
Mirza, Tasneem
56

Mohammed, Zuhal
Mondal, Rima

Monjon, Stéphanie

Moore, Frances (Fran)

Morales Opazo, CristianMosa, Abdulaziz
Muradov, Kirill

Mureverwi, BrianMusengele, Benedict
Narayanan, Badri
Nassios, Jason
Nelgen, Signe

Nelissen, Franz
Nilsson, Björn

Njika, Morris Chinenye
Obst, Carl

Ochuodho, Thomas

Olekseyuk, Zoryana
O'Neill, BrianCenter for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
Purdue University

GAMS Development Corporation
Mendel University

United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
DFAIT

International Trade Centre

United Nations Development Programme
Agricultural and Food Policy (420a)

Indian Institute of Management Indore

University Paris Dauphine LEDa-CGEMP, CEPII and CIRED
University of California Berkeley
FAO

Hohenheim University

National Research University Higher School of Economics
Africa Region

COMESA Secretariat

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
Centre of Policy Studies

Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO)
GAMS Development Corporation
Université Paris-Dauphine

Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge

Inst for the Development of Environmental-Economic Accounting
Auburn University
The World Bank

National Center for Atmospheric Research

United States
United States
United States

Czech Republic
Ethiopia
CanadaSwitzerland

United States
Germany
India

FranceUnited States
Italy

Germany
RussiaZimbabwe
ZambiaUnited States
Australia
Italy

Germany
FranceUnited Kingdom
Australia

United States
United States
United States

rmcdougall@purdue.edu
vmeckle@purdue.edu
ameeraus@gams.com

pasties2009@yahoo.com
smevel@uneca.org

catherine.milot@international.gc.ca
mimouni@intracen.org

tasneem.mirza@undp.org

z.mohammed@uni-hohenheim.de
f12rimam@iimidr.ac.in

stephanie.monjon@dauphine.fr
fmoore@post.harvard.edu

cristian.moralesopazo@fao.org

Abdulaziz.Mosa@uni-hohenheim.dekmuradov@mail.ru

brianmureverwi@gmail.com
bmusengele@comesa.int
badri@purdue.edu

jason.nassios@vu.edu.ausigne.nelgen@gmail.com
fnelissen@gams.com
nilsson@dial.prd.fr

morris_cnjika@hotmail.com
carl.obst@ideeagroup.com
ochuodho@auburn.edu

zolekseyuk@worldbank.org
boneill@ucar.edu

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

EmailOng, Ghim Ping

National University of Singapore

Singaporeceeongr@nus.edu.sg

Osei, Francis

UNIVERSITY OF GHANA

Ghana

fosei29@gmail.com

Ortiz Valverde, Gabriela
Osorio, Israel

Otchia, Christian

Oulmane, Nassim

Oyamada, Kazuhiko

Palatnik, Ruslana RachelPant, Hom

Parrado, Ramiro
57

Pasli, Devlet (Selim)
Pelikan, Janine
Peng, XiujianPeters, Jeffrey C.

Peterson, Everett

Pham, Hanh Thi My
Pineiro, Valeria

Potashnikov, VladimirPowers, William

Pradhan, Shreekar

Rakotoarisoa, Manitra A. (Manou)
Rausch, SebastianRay, Anna

Readhead, William
Revesz, Tamas

Rimmer, Maureen
Rivera, Sandra A.

Robinson, Sherman

Rojas-Romagosa, Hugo

Universidad Complutense de Madrid
The World Bank

Nagoya University

UNECA, North Africa OfficeInst of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization
ACADEMIC COLLEGE OF EMEK YEZREEL
Arndt-Corden Department of Economics

FEEM and Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici
Prime Ministry Undersecretariat For Foreign Trade
Thünen Institute of Market Analysis

Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University
Purdue University
Virginia Tech

University of Greenwich

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)RANEPA

U.S. International Trade Commission
The University of TennesseeFAO

ETH Zurich

Sciences Po Paris, PSE, U. Paris 1

University of North Carolina at Charlotte
Corvinus University of Budapest
Centre of Policy Studies

US International Trade Commission (USITC)

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB)

Spain

United States
Japan

MoroccoJapan

IsraelAustralia
Italy

TurkeyGermany
Australia

United States
United States

United Kingdom
United States
RussiaUnited States
United States
Italy

Switzerland
FranceUnited States
Hungary

Australia

United States
United States

The Netherlands

gabriela.ortiz.valverde@una.cr
iosoriorodarte@worldbank.org
bensamen@yahoo.fr
oulmane@un.org

kazuhiko_oyamada@ide.go.jp
rachelpa@yvc.ac.il

hom.pant@anu.edu.auramiro.parrado@feem.it
paslis@dtm.gov.tr

janine.pelikan@ti.bund.dexiujian.peng@vu.edu.au
jffptrs@gmail.com
petrsone@vt.edu
pt23@gre.ac.uk

v.pineiro@cgiar.org

potashnikov.vu@gmail.com
william.powers@usitc.gov
spradhan@vols.utk.edu

manitra.rakotoarisoa@fao.org
srausch@ethz.ch

anna.ray01@gmail.com
wreadhea@uncc.edu

tamas.revesz@uni-corvinus.hu
maureen.bleazby@vu.edu.ausandra.rivera@usitc.gov
S.Robinson@cgiar.org

romagosa17@gmail.com

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

EmailRoson, Roberto

Ca' Foscari University

Italyroson@unive.it

Rutherford, Thomas

University of Wisconsin Madison

United Statesrutherford@aae.wisc.edu

Rothe, Andrea

Sadni Jallab, Mustapha
Sahin, Sebnem

Salamon, PetraSalvatici, Luca

Sartori, Martina
Saveyn, Bert

Schiffmann, Florian58

Schuerenberg-Frosch, Hannah
Serome, Sendie

Shutes, Lindsay
Siddig, Khalid
Signoret, Jose

Singson Dinglasan, Rosalie
Siritorn, Komwit

Sokolova, Maria V.
Songfeng, Cai

Sonmez, Yontem
Soroka, Natalie

Springmann, Marco
Strutt, Anna
Sy, Hamat

Tafti, Alissa

Taheripour, Farzad
Tamminen, Saara
Tang, Weiqi
Tarr, David

Thunen Institute of Market Analysis
WTO Geneva

The World Bank

Thuenen Institute

Università Roma Tre

School of International Studies, University of Trento
European Commission - DG JRC (IPTS)
Victoria University

University Duisburg-Essen

UNIVERSITE NOTRE DAME D''HAITI
LEI

Humboldt University of Berlin

U.S. International Trade Commission
The World Bank

Songkhla Rajabhat University

Georgetown University, Grad Inst of Int’l and Development Studies
State Information Center

Manchester Metropolitan University
International Trade Administration
University of Oxford

University of Waikato

Department of Forecasting and Economic Studies
USITC

Purdue University

VATT Institute of Economic Research, Finland

Center for Energy Economics and Strategy Study
The World Bank

Germany

Switzerland

United States
Germany
Italy
Italy

Spain

Australia

Germany
Haiti

The Netherlands
Germany

United States
United States
Thailand

United States
China

United Kingdom
United States

United Kingdom
New Zealand
SenegalUnited States
United States
Finland
China

United States

andrea.rothe@thuenen.demustapha.sadnijallab@wto.org
ssahin@worldbank.org

Petra.salamon@thuenen.deluca.salvatici@uniroma3.it

martina.sartori@lett.unitn.it
bert.saveyn@ec.europa.eu

florian.schiffmann@vu.edu.au

hannah.schuerenberg-frosch@uni-due.dersoki2321@yahoo.fr

lindsay.shutes@wur.nl

khalidhasiddig@yahoo.com
jose.signoret@usitc.gov

rsingson@worldbank.org

komwit.siritorn@gmail.com

maria.sokolova@graduateinstitute.chcaisongfeng@126.com
y.sonmez@mmu.ac.uk

natalie.soroka@trade.gov

marco.springmann@dph.ox.ac.uk
astrutt@waikato.ac.nz
hamatsy1@yahoo.fr

alissa.tafti@usitc.gov
tfarzad@purdue.edu

saara.tamminen@vatt.fi
tangwq@fudan.edu.cn
dgtarr@gmail.com

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

EmailThierfelder, Karen

USNA-ECONOMICS DEPT

United States

thier@usna.edu

Toman, Michael

The World Bank

United States

mtoman@worldbank.org

Thomas, Jenny

Tourdyeva, Natalia
Traore, Abel

Tsigas, Marinos

Tuladhar, Sugandha
Urban, Kirsten

Valdes, Constanza

van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
59

van Meijl, Hans

van Tongeren, Frank
Van Vuuren, Detlef
Vargas, Renato

Velazquez, Beatriz
Verikios, George

Villafuerte, James
Walmsley, Terrie

Wang, Can (Tsan)
Wang, Jiayu
Wang, Zhi

Waschik, RobertWeber, Michael

Weitzel, Matthias
Weng, Yuyan

Weyant, John

Winchester, Niven
Wittwer, Glyn

Wolverton, Ann

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
CEFIR

University Ouaga II

US International Trade Commission (USITC)
NERA

University of Hohenheim

USDA Economic Research Service (ERS)

Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI)

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
IADB Consultant

European Commission (EC)
KPMG

Asian Development Bank
ImpactECON

University of New England, Australia
The University of Queensland

University of International Business and Econonomics
Centre of Policy Studies
World Bank
NCAR

Tsinghua University
Stanford University

Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Centre of Policy Studies
EPA, NCEE

United States
RussiaBurkina Faso

United States
United States
Germany

United States
United States

The Netherlands
FranceThe Netherlands
GuatemalaBelgium

Australia
Australia

United States
Australia
Australia
China

Australia

United States

United States
China

United States
United States
Australia

United States

thomas.jenny@epa.gov
ntourdyeva@cefir.ru

traorejeanabel@yahoo.fr

marinos.tsigas@usitc.gov

sugandha.tuladhar@nera.com

kirsten.urban@uni-hohenheim.decvaldes@ers.usda.gov

vandermd@purdue.edu
hans.vanmeijl@wur.nl

frank.vantongeren@oecd.org
detlef.vanvuuren@pbl.nl
renovargas@gmail.com

beatriz.velazquez@ec.europa.eu
gverikios@kpmg.com.aujamesvillafuerte@adb.org

twalmsley@ImpactECON.com
cwang30@une.edu.au
479802769@qq.com

wangzhi@UIBE.edu.cn

robert.waschik@vu.edu.au
mweber1@worldbank.org
weitzel@ucar.edu

wengyy12@mails.tsinghua.edu.cn
weyant@stanford.edu
niven@mit.edu

glyn.wittwer@vu.edu.au
wolverton.ann@epa.gov

Participant List
Name

Organization

Country

EmailWright, Kedric

University of North Carolina at Charlotte

United States

kwrigh66@uncc.edu

Xiao, Jingliang (Charles)

Infinite-Sum Modeling Inc. / Ciuriak Consulting Inc.

China

charles.jl.xiao@gmail.com

Wu, Libo

Xu, Susan

Xu, Yingying

Yakut, Aykut Mert
Yang, Anton
Yao, Guolin
Yao, Shunli

Yonezawa, Hidemichi
60

Yoshioka, Shinji
Yu, WushengYuan, Wen

Zaki, Chahir

Zanetti De Lima, Cicero
Zhang, Xiao-Guang
Zhang, Yaxiong
Zhou, Qian

Fudan University

Department of Commerce International Trade Administration
International Trade Administration
Middle East Technical University

United States International Trade Commission
Purdue University

Institute for Applied International TradeETH Zurich

Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office

Dept of Food and Resource Economics, University of Copenhagen
U.S. International Trade Commission
Cairo University and ERF

Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Productivity Commission
State Information Center

National Institute of Environmental Studies

China

United States
United States
TurkeyUnited States
United States
China

Switzerland
Japan

Denmark

United States
Egypt

United States
Australia
China
Japan

ercfd@163.com

susan.xu@trade.gov

yyxuprivate@gmail.com
mertyakut@gmail.com
Anton.Yang@usitc.gov
gyao@purdue.edu

shunliyao@yahoo.com
hyonezaw@ethz.chshinji.yoshioka@cao.go.jp
wusheng@ifro.ku.dk
wen.yuan@usitc.gov

chahir_zaki@yahoo.com
czlima@gmail.com
xzhang@pc.gov.au

zhangyx@mx.cei.gov.cn

goodcomeon@gmail.com

Presenter and Session Chair Index

Presenters and session chairs should locate their name in the list below to determine the page(s) and sessions in which they are scheduled.

Coulibaly, Adama Ekberg ............................................................ 20Countryman, Amanda M. (Leister)...................................34, 46
Covarrubias, Enrique .................................................................... 33
Creason, Jared............................................................................18, 41
Cretegny, Laurent ....................................................................19, 27
Cruz, Marcio ...............................................................................37, 41

A
A, Lakshmi .......................................................................................... 20
Adams, Philip ............................................................................ 17, 23
Agbahey, Johanes ............................................................................ 17
Aguiar, Angel .............................................................. 19, 27, 36, 44
Ahmed, S. Amer ................................................................................ 41
Akgul, Zeynep ........................................................................... 18, 46
Akinyemi, Opeyemi ........................................................................ 28
Antimiani, Alessandro........................................................... 23, 42
Aragie, Emerta Asaminew ........................................................... 36
Arguello, Ricardo ............................................................................. 27
Avenyo, Elvis ..................................................................................... 44DDas, Gordhan ..................................................................................... 28
Das, Joy ................................................................................................ 26
David, Anda........................................................................................ 44
Delpiazzo, Elisa ................................................................................ 23
Devarajan, Shantayanan .............................................................. 15
Dinh, Huong ....................................................................................... 27
Dixon, Peter ....................................................................................... 46
Donaldson, Dave .............................................................................. 15
Dos Santos Fachinelli Ferrarini, Angel .................................. 16

B

Bachmann, Christian ..................................................................... 45
Baghdadi, Leila ................................................................................. 30
Baldos, Uris Lantz ................................................................... 29, 41
Balié, Jean ........................................................................................... 46
Balistreri, Edward J. ....................................................................... 21
Banerjee, Onil.................................................................................... 23
Baniya, Suprabha ............................................................................ 35
Banse, Martin .................................................................................... 18
Barbe, Andre ..................................................................................... 30
Bartelings, Heleen ........................................................................... 47
Batistich, Mary Kate ....................................................................... 24
Beckman, Jayson .............................................................................. 22
Bekkers, Eddy ................................................................................... 37
Bellora, Cecilia .................................................................................. 24
Birur, Dileep .............................................................................. 18, 27
Bistafa, Rafael ................................................................................... 22
Boughanmi, Houcine ..................................................................... 30
Boysen, Ole......................................................................................... 37
Bradford, Scott ................................................................................. 16
Brockmeier, Martina...................................................................... 21
Burfisher, Mary ................................................................................ 18

E

Edmonds, James .......................................................................43, 48
Ehui, Simeon ..............................................................................20, 46
Escobar, Andres ............................................................................... 27
Estrades, Carmen .....................................................................33, 43
F

Ferrantino, Michael ........................................................................ 47
Ferrari, Emanuele ........................................................................... 32
Ferraz, Lucas ..................................................................................... 36
Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento .................................................. 31
Fetzer, James ..................................................................................... 28
Feuerbacher, Arndt ........................................................................ 21
Flaig, Dorothee ................................................................................. 27
Folsom, Brennan ............................................................................. 18
Fouré, Jean ......................................................................................... 15
Fox, Alan.......................................................................................30, 45
Fusacchia, Ilaria ............................................................................... 33

C

Calvin, Katherine ............................................................................. 17
Carrico, Caitlyn ................................................................................. 36
Cernat, Lucian ........................................................................... 15, 19
Chateau, Jean ..................................................................................... 24
Chen, Shenjie ..................................................................................... 31
Chen, Yi-Chieh................................................................................... 38
Christensen, Peter........................................................................... 26
Cinquetti, Carlos .............................................................................. 28
Corong, Erwin ........................................................................... 26, 44

G

61

Garbaccio, Richard .......................................................... 24, 33, 48
Gesualdo, Maria ............................................................................... 47
Ghoufrane, Azzedine ..................................................................... 30
Giesecke, James ................................................................................ 42
Gillingham, Kenneth ...................................................................... 26
Go, Delfin S ..................................................................................19, 37
Goldberg, Pinelopi (Penny) Koujianou.................................. 15
Golub, Alla ...................................................................................27, 28

Lugovoy, Oleg ................................................................................... 28

Gomes, Alexandre ........................................................................... 43
Gouel, Christophe .................................................................... 37, 47
Gurgel, Angelo .................................................................................. 47

M

Madden, John .................................................................................... 17
Maliszewska, Maryla ...................................................... 15, 27, 41
Marten, Alex ...................................................................................... 33
Martin, Shane .................................................................................... 35
Martin, Will .................................................................................21, 29
Maurer, Andreas .............................................................................. 19
Mbaye, Ahmadou Aly .................................................................... 30
McDonald, Brad ............................................................................... 37
McDonald, Scott ............................................................................... 37
McDougall, Robert .......................................................................... 19
Mevel, Simon ..............................................................................34, 36
Mimouni, Mondher......................................................................... 31
Mirza, Tasneem................................................................................ 41
Mohammed, Zuhal .......................................................................... 44
Mondal, Rima .................................................................................... 16
Monjon, Stéphanie .......................................................................... 42
Moore, Frances................................................................................. 41
Morales Opazo, Cristian ............................................................... 29
Mosa, Abdulaziz ............................................................................... 33
Muradov, Kirill ................................................................................. 33
Mureverwi, Brian ............................................................................ 36

H

Hadj Salem, Haykel ......................................................................... 47
Haqiqi, Iman ...................................................................................... 35
Harback, Katherine ........................................................................ 35
He, Jianwu........................................................................................... 30
Hertel, Thomas ......................................................................... 15, 26
Higashi, Akiko ................................................................................... 20
Hillberry, Russell ............................................................................. 45
Hodges, Cedric .................................................................................. 19
Honkatukia, Juha ............................................................................. 42
Hsu, Shih-Hsun ................................................................................. 26
I

Ianchovichina, Elena ...................................................................... 34
Itakura, Ken ............................................................................... 32, 46
J

Jacobs, Henry .................................................................................... 18
Jean, Sébastien .......................................................................... 15, 45Jensen, Henning Tarp .................................................................... 17
Jones, Lin ............................................................................................. 36

N

Narayanan, Badri ............................................................................ 20
Nassios, Jason ................................................................................... 32
Nilsson, Björn ................................................................................... 29

K

Kawasaki, Kenichi ........................................................................... 31
Kee, Hiau Looi ................................................................................... 31
Keogh-Brown, Marcus .................................................................. 17
Khorana, Sangeeta .......................................................................... 17
Kiendrebeogo, Youssouf .............................................................. 32
Ko, Shwe Zin ...................................................................................... 22
Korovin, Vladimir ............................................................................ 21
Kutlina-Dimitrova, Zornitsa ....................................................... 15

O

Obst, Carl ............................................................................................ 23
Ochuodho, Thomas ........................................................................ 19
Olekseyuk, Zoryana ........................................................................ 21
O'Neill, Brian ..................................................................................... 17
Ong, Ghim Ping ................................................................................. 35
Osorio Rodarte, Israel ............................................................19, 28
Otchia, Christian .............................................................................. 19
Oulmane, Nassim ............................................................................ 30
Oyamada, Kazuhiko ....................................................................... 47

L

Lakatos, Csilla ........................................................................... 34, 36
Lanzi, Elisa ......................................................................................... 23
Latorre, María C. ...................................................................... 22, 26
Lee, Hiro .............................................................................................. 38
Lennox, James ................................................................................... 31
Levin-Koopman, Jason .................................................................. 45
Li, Jifeng ............................................................................................... 16
Li, Shantong ....................................................................................... 38
Liu, Jing ........................................................................................ 16, 43
Liu, Jing-Yu ......................................................................................... 31
Lofgren, Hans .................................................................................... 29
Luckmann, Jonas ............................................................................. 43

P

62

Palatnik, Ruslana Rachel.............................................................. 16
Pant, Hom ....................................................................................19, 34
Parrado, Ramiro .............................................................................. 27
Pelikan, Janine ...........................................................................29, 33
Peng, Xiujian ...............................................................................16, 20
Peters, Jeffrey C. ............................................................................... 28
Peterson, Everett......................................................................35, 41

Pham, Hanh Thi My ........................................................................ 22
Pradhan, Shreekar .......................................................................... 30

Tsigas, Marinos ................................................................................ 26
Tuladhar, Sugandha ....................................................................... 42

Rakotoarisoa, Manitra A. ............................................................. 44
Rausch, Sebastian............................................................................ 42
Ray, Anna ............................................................................................ 47
Revesz, Tamas .................................................................................. 32
Rimmer, Maureen ........................................................................... 42
Robinson, Sherman ................................................................ 35, 43
Rojas-Romagosa, Hugo ................................................................. 43
Roson, Roberto ......................................................................... 16, 46
Rothe, Andrea ................................................................................... 42
Rutherford, Thomas....................................................................... 24

Urban, Kirsten ...........................................................................21, 43

R

U

V

Valdes, Constanza ........................................................................... 34
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique ....................17, 26, 35, 48
van Meijl, Hans ................................................................................. 22
Van Vuuren, Detlef ......................................................................... 17
Velazquez, Beatriz .......................................................................... 26
Verikios, George .............................................................................. 42
Villafuerte, James ............................................................................ 38S

W

Sadni Jallab, Mustapha .................................................................. 30
Sahin, Sebnem .................................................................................. 35
Salamon, Petra.................................................................................. 16
Sartori, Martina ................................................................................ 23
Saveyn, Bert ............................................................................... 27, 32
Schuerenberg-Frosch, Hannah.................................................. 43
Shutes, Lindsay ................................................................................ 37
Siddig, Khalid ............................................................................ 17, 36
Signoret, Jose..................................................................................... 31
Siritorn, Komwit .............................................................................. 30
Sokolova, Maria V............................................................................ 37
Songfeng, Cai ..................................................................................... 16
Sonmez, Yontem ...................................................................... 28, 33
Springmann, Marco ........................................................................ 41
Strutt, Anna ........................................................................................ 29
Sy, Hamat ............................................................................................ 20

Walmsley, Terrie .............................................................. 15, 19, 44
Wang, Can (Tsan) ............................................................................ 26
Wang, Jiayu ........................................................................................ 31
Wang, Zhi ............................................................................................ 36
Waschik, Robert .............................................................................. 34
Weber, Michael ................................................................................ 29
Weitzel, Matthias ............................................................................ 32
Weyant, John ..................................................................................... 17
Winchester, Niven ...................................................................31, 35
Wittwer, Glyn .............................................................................23, 45
Wolverton, Ann ................................................................................ 33
Y

Yakut, Aykut Mert ........................................................................... 18
Yang, Anton ....................................................................................... 18
Yonezawa, Hidemichi .................................................................... 42
Yu, Wusheng...................................................................................... 38
Yuan, Wen .......................................................................................... 22

T

Taheripour, Farzad................................................................. 22, 45
Tamminen, Saara ............................................................................ 22
Tang, Weiqi ........................................................................................ 16
Tarr, David ......................................................................................... 21
Thierfelder, Karen .......................................................................... 29
Thomas, Jenny .................................................................................. 18
Toman, Michael ................................................................................ 48
Tourdyeva, Natalia ......................................................................... 21
Traore, Abel ....................................................................................... 44Z

Zaki, Chahir ........................................................................................ 34
Zanetti De Lima, Cicero ................................................................ 27
Zhang, Xiao-Guang .......................................................................... 19
Zhang, Yaxiong ................................................................................. 16
Zhou, Qian .......................................................................................... 45

63

2017 Conference Preview
20th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis“Global Economic Analysis in the 21st Century: Challenges and Opportunities”

Purdue University
West Lafayette, IN USA | June 7-9, 2017

Objective

The objective of the annual conference on economic analysis is to promote the exchange of ideas among economists conducting quantitative
analysis of global economic issues. Particular emphasis will be placed on applied general equilibrium methods, data, and application. Related
theoretical and applied work is also welcome. This conference will focus around:
−
−
−
−
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Sustainable Development
Climate change policies and adaptation
Whither regionalism in the absence of a global trade agreement?
Agricultural innovation, growth and transformation
Capital and inequality in the 21st century

Abstract / Session Proposal Submission

Abstracts and organized session proposals will be accepted on the GTAP website from early November 2016 through January 15, 2017. All
submissions will go through a peer review process. Accepted presenters will be notified in early March 2017 with papers due April 15, 2017.
Please address questions on this conference to:Ginger Batta (gbatta@purdue.edu)
Senior Program Manager
Center for Global Trade Analysis
Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University

64New Online Mini-Course: GTAP Preferential Trade Agreements
2016 GTAP Preferential Trade Agreements (PTA) Mini-Course“Applied Policy Analysis: Mini-course on Preferential Trade Agreements”
General Information
Date:

October 24 - November 20, 2016

Offered by:Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University

Location:
Cost:

Coursework based on:
Introduction to Computable
General Equilibrium Models
by Mary E. Burfisher

This course is delivered fully online.

$850 – Professionals residing in a developed country$500 – All students, professionals residing in a developing country$100 – Limited scholarships available for professionals and students
currently residing in a developing country

Apply by July 31!

www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/GTAPPTA/2016/

Objective

GTAP PTA is a three-week, fully-online mini-course that is designed to provide professionals and students with hands-on, applied training in
the analysis of preferential trade agreements (PTAs) using the GTAP computable general equilibrium model. The objectives of the GTAP PTA
course are to provide students with an underpinning in the economic theory of tariffs and customs unions and regulatory policy analysis,
and to help them develop their applied skills in database development, design of PTA experiments and analysis of model results. The
curriculum emphasizes an intuitive and graphical treatment of economic theory, provides structured experiences in manipulating andrunning the standard GTAP model within the RunGTAP software environment, and culminates in team-based research projects. At the end of
the course, participants will have developed skills in the analysis of tariff and non-tariff liberalizations in a PTA. Pre-requisites arecompletion of GTAP 101 or the GTAP Short Course, or a working competency in the RunGTAP modeling software.
During the online course, participants will:− review economic theories of tariffs, customs unions and regulatory policy;− observe how these theories are operationalized in a CGE model;− learn about approaches to measuring the trade-distorting effects of non-tariff measures;− define model experiments that represent liberalization of tariffs and non-tariff measures in a PTA; and− select and interpret general equilibrium model results that are derived from a theoretical framework.

Structure

The course is delivered fully online and all course materials are provided to participants and included in the cost of tuition. Learning takes
place through active discussions among the participants and instructor, which are carried out as asynchronous, threaded conversations on aclassroom bulletin board, and through virtual team work on collaborative projects.
Please address questions on this course to:Ginger Batta (gbatta@purdue.edu)
Senior Program Manager
Center for Global Trade Analysis
Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University

65

Journal of Global Economic Analysis“Advancing Applied General Equilibrium Modeling”
Journal of Global Economic Analysis:
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−
−

−

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Provides an open access, peer-reviewed platform for
publication and dissemination of innovations in applied
general equilibrium (AGE) modeling
Publishes developments in theory, data, statisticalanalysis, methods, and teaching−

Enhances the credibility of AGE modeling by requiring
replication of results during the peer-review process and,
when possible, publication of new model code and dataon the journal’s website

Edited by:− Thomas Hertel, Purdue University− Niven Winchester, MIT

Guided by an Editorial Advisory Board comprised of
distinguished scholars and practitioners in AGE modelingand related disciplines
For more information and submission details, visit:www.jgea.org

Builds on and extends the high-impact, peer-reviewed
GTAP Technical Paper Series

ISSN: 2377-2999

Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Volume 1, Issue 1
Advances in Methods and Theory−

Modern Trade Theory for CGE Modelling: The Armington, Krugman and Melitz Models
Peter B. Dixon, Michael Jerie and Maureen T. Rimmer−

GTAP-HET: Introducing Firm Heterogeneity into the GTAP Model
Zeynep Akgul, Nelson B. Villoria, Thomas W. Hertel

Advances in Data and Parameters−

The Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) Data Base version 9: Overview
Angel Aguiar, Badri Narayanan and Robert McDougall−

The GTAP-Power Database: Disaggregating the Electricity Sector in the GTAP Database
Jeffrey C. Peters

Advances in Software−

Using R to Extract Data from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators
Dominique van der Mensbrugghe66

Notes67

TM

Center for Global Trade Analysis
Purdue University
403 West State Street
West Lafayette, IN 47907-2056 USA

http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu

The World Bank
1818 H Street, NW
Washington DC 20433 USA
http://www.worldbank.org