A Low Carbon Society Scenario Study
for Khon-Kaen Province, Thailand
The 17th AIM International Workshop

Savitri Garivait, Awassada Phongphiphat, Agapol Junpen,
Komsilp Wang-Yao, and Sirintorthep Towprayoon
16 February, 2012

First Experience: LCS Ratchaburi

First Experience: LCS Ratchaburi

GHG emission/removal (kt-CO2eq)

12,00010,000Rehabilitation

8,000

GAP
10,7286,000

Energy efficiency improvement
9,571

4,000
2,000

3,825

Envieonmental transport
YearRemoval

0-2,000-4,000

Yr 2005-648

Clean energy

2030 BAU-1,578

2030 CM-1,599

GHG Emission

Motivation to Develop LCSS for KhonKaen• Khon Kaen has developed a roadmap of Khon
Kaen towards Low Carbon City since 2009 tosupport Khon Kaen’s Declaration on Climate
Change Adaptation and Mitigation 2020
• Khon Kaen’s vision of LCS : To become the Low
Carbon City of Greater Mekong Sub-region• Khon Kaen’s Socio-economic Development Plan :To become the 3H = Happiness Community,
Healthy City, and Hub of GMS

Khon Kaen’s Vision

Khon-Kaen’s Climate Policy
VisionKhon Kaen should be the Model of theGMS in Global Warming Reduction
Through Participation of All Stakeholders
Strategies
1. Reduce GHG Emissions
2. Raise Public and All Stakeholders
Awareness to Implement Mitigation
Actions
3. Develop Efficient System ofEnvironmental Management
4. Increase Capacity in Getting Prepared toFace and Prevent Climate Change

Khon KaenKhon-Kaen

Location

Latitudes 15º21’5” N
Longitudes 101º44’45” E
Total Land 10,885.99

km2

Climate Tropical climate under SW monsoon with dryzones
Annual Temperature 13.5 – 41.2ºC (Average = 27.8ºC)

Average Annual Precipitation 1,230 mm (131 days)
Population (2010) 1,767,601 inhabitants (876,252 males
and 891,349 females)

Population Density (2010) 162.4 inhabitants/km2 (Top 22ndof Thailand)

Khon KaenKhon-Kaen
Administration Structure

Loei

Nongbualamphu

Udonthani

26 Districts (Amphor)
198 Sub-districts (Tambon)

KalasinSocio-Economics Structure
Khon
Kaen

2nd largest economy of theNortheastern region
GPP (2009) 143,806 Million Baht

Chaiyaphum

Mahasarakam

GPP/cap (2009) 76,385 Baht
NakhonRachasrima

BuriramKhon-Kaen

In 2009

Agriculture
Agriculture
Agriculture, Hunting and Forestry
Agricultural land = about 1.12 Mha Fishing
Non-Agriculture(or about 60.8% of Konkaen area).
Mining and Quarrying
Main crop products : rice,Manufacturing
sugarcane, cassava, soil bean.
Electricity, Gas and Water Supply
Livestock : cattle, swine, andConstruction
poultry
Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor
Industry
Vehicles, Motorcycles and Personal andHousehold Goods
Total = 1,368 factories including
non-ferrous industry (208 factories), Hotels and Restaurants
Transport, Storage and Communications
metal industry (202 factories),
Financial Intermediationtransportation industry (179Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities
factories), food manufacturing (131 Public Administration and Defence; Compulsoryfactories), agricultural industry (111 Social Security
factories), machinery manufacturing Education(114 factories), saw mill and wood
Health and Social Workproduct (56 factories), and other
Other Community, Social and Personal Services
Activities(137 factories)
Private Households with Employed Persons
Gross Provincial Product (GPP)

InMillion
Baht
18,50517,753753
125,301
1,442
54,5652,667
6,300
20,470
2,187
4,469
4,460
2,791
6,871
14,580
3,760
593
146
143,806

Khon-Kaen
Energy Consumption
Khon Kaen’s final energy
consumption in 2008 wasabout 696.44 ktoe including
68.6% of oil, 13.7% ofrenewable energy and 17.7%of electricity. Considering thefinal energy consumption
classified by sector, 57.2% of
the total or 398.6 ktoe werefrom transportation sector,
followed by industry,residential, commercial, andother sectors.

Year

Energy consumption(ktoe)
600.77635.60675.43743.63699.79690.39955.78696.44

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008

TransportationIndustry
ResidentialServices
2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Agriculture Others

Khon-Kaen
Transportation - Number and share of register vehicle in 2007
and 2008
TypeYr 2007

Yr 2008

Share (%)

VehicleShare (%)

VehicleSmall passenger (< 7person)

10.40

56,765

11.02

61,737

Passenger (> 7 vehicle)

0.90

4,872

0.90

5,042

Small truck

20.40

111,670

21.01

117,704

Motorcycle

64.30

351,705

63.06

353,281

Bus

0.60

3,120

0.56

3,137

Large truck

3.50

19,3233.45

19,328Small vehicle

0.01

55

0.01

56

100.00547,401

100.00560,286

Total

Khon-Kaen – Fuel Consumption
Fuelconsumption

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Gasohol E85 (L)------

176,000

Gasohol E20 (L)---389,000

2,213,000

4,022,000

6,574,000

Ulg91 (L)108,485,950

101,211,200

93,499,460

67,499,000

59,590,000

62,448,000

62,403,000

Ulg95 (L)19,190,990

9,431,800

5,524,740

931,000

98,00060,00016,000

Ado b2 (L)365,906,620

344,252,670

333,732,540

290,371,000

227,618,000

251,056,000

391,792,000

Ado base (L)

-

-

-

283,000-

3,542,000-

Ado b5 (L)-397,430

13,000,470

59,837,000

155,303,000

126,290,000

15,250,000

25,803,160

29,700,640

40,415,290

50,385,000

51,528,000

71,090,000

76,219,000

Gasohol91 (L)--5,627,280

21,724,000

36,935,000

40,308,000.00

48,633,000

Gasohol95 (L)9,827,150

17,892,770

21,482,120

31,416,000

43,428,000

39,188,000.00

30,463,000

LPG(kg)Source of data: Khon-Kaen Energy OfficeEmission of CO2 – Transportation

Emission CO2 (tons CO2)

1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000

LPG

800,000

Gasoline

600,000

Gas/Diesel Oil

400,000

Total

200,000-Year

Khon-Kaen – LULUCF, Forest area
Source of data:

Land Development Department and Satellite Data

Removal of CO2-Forestry
Annual increase in biomass stocks due to biomass growth
Annual increase in biomass
YearForest Area (ha)Annual increase in biomass

stocks due to biomass growth stocks due to biomass growth(tons C/year)( tons CO2/year)2009

128,736

604,091

2,215,001

2008

128,736

604,091

2,215,001

2007

96,698453,754

1,663,764

2006

123,110577,692

2,118,202

2005

123,110577,692

2,118,202

2004

123,110577,692

2,118,202

2003

125,380

588,343

2,157,258

2002

125,380

588,343

2,157,258

2001

118,234

554,8132,034,313

2000

125,380

588,343

2,157,258
Source of data:

Land Development Department and Satellite Data

Emission of non-CO2 – Forest fires
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

1,152

248

670

1,270

529

758

412

385

174

9.4

8.8

3.9

144.0 134.68

60.8

Forest fire area (ha)
1,197

825

Emission from forest fire (tons)
CH4

27.35

18.85

26.32

5.6

15.3

29.01

12.09

17.3

CO

418.28

288.2

402.5

86.9

234.1

443.6

184.9

265.0

N2O

0.80

0.55

0.77

0.1

0.4

0.8

0.3

0.5

0.2

0.26

0.1

NOX

6.4

4.43

6.1

1.3

3.6

6.8

2.8

4.0

2.2

2.0

0.9

877.0 604.05844.0

183.5

491.6

930.7

389.6

556.6

303.4

283.2

128.7

CO2-e

Khon-Kaen – LULUCF, Agriculture area

Source of data:

Land Development Department and Satellite Data

Emission non-CO2 – Rice cultivation
Year

Rainfed Rice Area (ha)Emission CH4 (tons)

Emission CO2-e (tons)

2009423,351.84

59,877.61

1,377,185.12

2008

393,153.28

55,606.42

1,278,947.67

2007

404,431.84

57,201.62

1,315,637.40

2006

435,289.92

61,566.10

1,416,020.3

2005

433,217.6

61,272.99

1,409,278.94

2004

433,642.24

61,333.05

1,410,660.32

2003

434,420

61,443.06

1,413,190.41

2002

436,025.44

61,670.13

1,418,412.99

2001

438,067.2

61,958.91

1,425,054.94

2000

437,062.4

61,816.79

1,421,786.27

Source of data:

Land Development Department and Satellite Data

Emission of non-CO2 – Agriculture burnings
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

- Sugarcane

35,52039,44034,24035,04042,640- Rice216,821

216,608

217,644202,215

196,576

Burned Area (ha)Emission from biomass burning (tons)
CH4

7,176

7,272

7,167

6,742

6,778

CO

244,519

247,784

244,194

229,743

230,937

N2O186189186

175

176

NOX

6,645

6,733

6,636

6,243

6,275

222,725

225,699

222,429

209,266

210,354

CO2-e

Khon-Kaen – Solid WasteNext Steps Forward• To perform emissions projections for BAU andCM scenarios using ExSS and IPCC GLs• Evaluate the effectiveness of CM set based on
Khon Kaen’s Development Plan
• Use findings and lessons learnt to support
Bangkok Metropolitan Administration indeveloping the BMA Master Plan on Climate
Change Adaptation and Mitigation 2013-2023

funded by JICA

Finally…
Live Coolly with Strategy(LCS)ขอบคุณค่ะKhob Khun Khaสวัสดีค่ะ
22
Sawasdee Kha