ୡ⏺䛾䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊ၥ㢟ᒣᆅ᠇἞䠄බ㈈䠅ᆅ⌫⎔ቃ⏘ᴗᢏ⾡◊✲ᶵᵓ(RITE)⌮஦䞉◊✲ᡤ㛗ಖ≀䝉䝭䝘䞊䠎䠌䠍䠔䠉ୡ⏺䛾䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䛸䛣䜜䛛䜙䛾ಖ೺≀⌮䠉ಖ≀䝉䝭䝘䞊䠎䠌䠍䠔ᐇ⾜ጤဨ఍䠄ඹദ䠖኱㜰⛉Ꮫᢏ⾡䝉䞁䝍䞊䚸㟁Ꮚ⛉Ꮫ◊✲ᡤ᪥ᮏಖ೺≀⌮Ꮫ఍䚸Ᏻ඲Ᏻᚰ⛉Ꮫ䜰䜹䝕䝭䞊䠅䠎䠌䠍䠔ᖺ䠍䠍᭶䠍䠑᪥䠜኱㜰⛉Ꮫᢏ⾡䝉䞁䝍䞊䠔㝵኱䝩䞊䝹
1WEO2017,IEA

REN21,renewable2017䜶䝛᝟ໃ᠓㈨ᩱ
IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018+RITE䛾㛗ᮇᆅ⌫ᬮ໬ᑐ⟇ホ౯2䠄ⓒ୓▼Ἔ᥮⟬䝖䞁䠅ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊ⓑ᭩2018୍ḟ䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䛾
⣙4๭䛿Ⓨ㟁⏝䛻౑䜟䜜䛶䛔䜛䟿ୡ⏺඲య䛾䝺䝣䜯䝺䞁䝇䜿䞊䝇䛷䛿䚸2030ᖺ䜎䛷䛿኱䛝䛺ኚ໬䛿䛺䛔䜘䛖䛰䛜䞉䞉䞉䚹 3⌧≧䛾㟁※ᵓᡂ䠅䛿ᅜ䛤䛸䛻኱䛝䛺ᕪ䛜䛒䜛䚹
▼Ⅳ୺ຊ䠖୰ᅜ䚸䜲䞁䝗ኳ↛䜺䝇୺ຊ䠖䝻䝅䜰Ỉຊ୺ຊ䠖䜹䝘䝎䚸䝤䝷䝆䝹ཎᏊຊ୺ຊ䠖䝣䝷䞁䝇

IEA䛂WORLD ENERGY BALANCES䠄2017 Edition䠅䛃䜘䜚సᡂ▼Ⅳ▼Ⅳⅆຊ䛿䝅䝘䝸䜸䛷኱䛝䛟ኚ໬WEO2017䛻䛻䛚䛡䜛㟁※ᵓᡂኚ໬ฟᡤ䠖ᑠᐑᒣᾴ୍䚸᪥ᮏཎᏊຊᏛ఍ㄅ䚸pp.29-33, Vol.60, No.8 (2018)

5WEO2017䛻䛻䛚䛡䜛໬▼⇞ᩱ䛾ᒎᮃฟᡤ䠖ᑠᐑᒣᾴ୍䚸᪥ᮏཎᏊຊᏛ఍ㄅ䚸pp.29-33, Vol.60, No.8 (2018)6▼Ἔ䛿㐠㍺㒊㛛䛷䚸▼Ⅳ䛿Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䛷኱䛝䛟ῶᑡ䛾ぢ㎸䜏WEO2017䛻䛻䛚䛡䜛2040ᖺ䛾໬▼⇞ᩱ䛾ῶᑡ㔞䠄᪂ᨻ⟇ ᣢ⥆ྍ⬟䠅ฟᡤ䠖ᑠᐑᒣᾴ୍䚸᪥ᮏཎᏊຊᏛ఍ㄅ䚸pp.29-33, Vol.60, No.8 (2018)7

ேཱྀ < 䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊 << GDP䝺䝣䜯䝺䞁䝇䜿䞊䝇ฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶
8

㏵ୖᅜ䛾㟂せቑOECD䛿ῶᑡ䝺䝣䜯䝺䞁䝇䜿䞊䝇ฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶

9䝺䝣䜯䝺䞁䝇䜿䞊䝇䝺䝣䜯䝺䞁䝇䜿䞊䝇䛷䛿໬▼⇞ᩱ䜒ቑ኱ฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶

10㟁ຊᾘ㈝䛿2050ᖺ䜎䛷䛻ಸቑOECD䛷䜒㟁ຊᾘ㈝䛿ቑຍ䝺䝣䜯䝺䞁䝇䜿䞊䝇ฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶

11ᇙⶶ㔞䛿ᡂ㛗䛩䜛䜛䟿䝺䝣䜯䝺䞁䝇䝅䝘䝸䜸ฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶

12ୡ⏺䛾䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊㟂⤥䛻䛚䛡䜛෌⏕ྍ⬟䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䠄ฟᡤ䠖REN21 2017)෌䜶䝛⇕䠄ศᩓᆺ䠅෌䜶䝛⇞ᩱ䠄㟁ຊ䛿1kWh=860kcal䛷᥮⟬䠅ศᩓᆺ෌䜶䝛Ⓨ㟁13

ᛴ㏿䛻ఙ䜃䛶䛔䜛䛾䛿㢼ຊⓎ㟁䛸ኴ㝧ගⓎ㟁
⣙5൨kW䠄2016ᖺ䠅⣙3൨kW䠄2016ᖺᖺ䠅

14䝺䝣䜯䝺䞁䝇䝅䝘䝸䜸㟁※ᵓᡂ䛿▼Ⅳ䛾ῶᑡ䜢㠀Ỉຊ෌䜶䝛䛜⿵䛖ᵓᅗฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶

15ᢏ⾡㐍ᒎ䜿䞊䝇䛷䛿୍ḟ䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊㟂せ䛿ῶᑡ䛩䜛ฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶

16ᢏ⾡㐍ᒎ䜿䞊䝇䛷䛿໬▼⇞ᩱ䛜ῶ䜚䚸㠀໬▼䛜ఙ䜃䜛䚹㟁ຊ㟂せ䛿䜋䛸䜣䛹ኚ䜟䜙䛺䛔ฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶

17ᢏ⾡㐍ᒎ䜿䞊䝇䛷䛿CO2᤼ฟ䛿ῶ䜛䚹䛷䜒䚸䛣䜜䛷༑ศ䛛䠛ฟᡤ䠖IEEJ䜰䜴䝖䝹䝑䜽2018䚸2017ᖺ10᭶

18ྛ䝅䝘䝸䜸䛾CO2᤼ฟ㔞᥎⛣䠄䡚2300ᖺ䠅

1950
Business as Usual (BaU)(the middle socioeconomic scenario)

CO2 emissionis [GtCO2/yr]

40

Submitted NDCs

30+2Υ stabilization under climatesensitivity of 2.5Υ (Noexceedance of 580 ppm)

20+2Υ stabilization under climate
sensitivity of 3.0Υ (Noexceedance of 500 ppm)
450 ppm CO2eq stabilization

100-10

2050

2010

2060

2100

2300

2110

2160

2210

䛔䜟䜖䜛”well below 2Υ”䛸୍⯡ⓗ䛻⪃䛘䜙䜜䛶䛔䜛┠ᶆ
Submitted NDCs

2260

ฟ඾䠅MAGICC䚸DNE21+䜢⏝䛔䛶RITE䛻䛶ヨ⟬-䛔䛪䜜䛾᤼ฟ⤒㊰䜢䛸䛳䛶䜒䚸㛗ᮇⓗ䠄2100ᖺ௨㝆䠅䛻䛿CO2䝊䝻᤼ฟ䛿ᚲせ୍᪉䚸2050ᖺ㡭䛻䛛䛡䛶䛿䚸2Υ┠ᶆ䛸䛧䛶䜒䚸Ẽೃឤᗘ䛾୙☜ᐇᛶ䛷チᐜ䛥䜜䜛ୡ⏺᤼ฟ㔞䛻䛿኱䛝䛺ᖜ䛜⏕䛨䜛䚹୙☜ᐇᛶ䜢㐺ษ䛻䝬䝛䞊䝆䝯䞁䝖䛧䛺䛜䜙䚸㛗ᮇⓗ䛻ᚲせ䛸䛺䜛ṇ࿡䝊䝻
CO2᤼ฟ䛻㏆䛔せồ䜢‶䛯䛩䜘䛖䛺ᢏ⾡䚸♫఍䛾䜲䝜䝧䞊䝅䝵䞁䜢㐍䜑䜛ᚲせ䛒䜚䚹ฟᡤ䠖ྑୖ䛻㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 䝬䞊䜽䛜䛒䜛䝇䝷䜲䝗䛿඲䛶⛅ඖᆂ࿃䠄䠮䠥䠰䠡䠅సᡂᆅ⌫ᬮ໬ᑐ⟇䛾ᇶᮏᵓ㐀ே㛫䛾ḧồே㛫άືྛ✀ᑐ⟇䛾≉ᚩ䜢㋃䜎䛘䛺䛜䜙䚸⥲ྜⓗ䛺䝸䝇䜽䝬䝛䝆䝯䞁䝖䛜㔜せ♫఍ᵓ㐀䞉䝷䜲䝣䝇䝍䜲䝹ኚ໬䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䞉≀㉁䞉᝟ሗ䠋ே㛫άື䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊ຠ⋡ᨵၿ≀㉁฼⏝ຠ⋡ᨵၿCO2᤼ฟ䠋䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䞉≀㉁䞉᝟ሗ䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䛾పⅣ⣲໬≀㉁⏕⏘䛾పⅣ⣲໬䝋䝃䜶䝔䜱5.0⦆࿴⟇䠄᤼ฟ๐ῶ⟇䠅䠇᝟ሗ⏕⏘䛾పⅣ⣲໬

CO2⃰ᗘ䠋CO2᤼ฟ᳜ᯘ䚸┤᥋✵Ẽᅇ཰䠄DAC䠅

ேⅭ㉳※CO2௨እ
䛾GHG᤼ฟ

Ẽ

CO2ᅇ཰䞉㈓␃

ୖ᪼䠋GHG⃰ᗘẼೃไᚚ䠄ኴ㝧ᨺᑕ⟶⌮➼䠅Ẽೃኚືᙳ㡪⿕ᐖ䠋Ẽ ୖ᪼ྛ✀Ẽೃኚື䜈䛾㐺ᛂẼೃᕤᏛⓗᡭἲ䠄䡸䢚䡱䡰䢙䡸䢚䢂䡭䢔䢙䡴䢚䠅㐺ᛂ⟇ṧవ䛾Ẽೃኚືᙳ㡪⿕ᐖ
20ฟᡤ㸸ᒣᆅ᠇἞㸦2006㸧ࠕ࢚ࢿࣝࢠ࣮࣭⎔ቃ࣭⤒῭ࢩࢫࢸ࣒ㄽࠖᒾἼ᭩ᗑ࡟ຍ➹ᑗ᮶♫఍⤒῭䝅䝘䝸䜸䠄SSP䠅䛸䠎Υ┠ᶆ䛾㛵ಀᛶ
21

SSP: Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

SSP䝧䞊䝇䝷䜲䞁2Υ┠ᶆ 䠄>66%䚸>50%䠅

- 䝧䞊䝇䝷䜲䞁䠄♫఍⤒῭䛾ືྥ䠅䛾᪉䛜ᅽಽⓗ䛻኱䛝䛺୙☜ᐇᛶ䛒䜚䚹- 䝧䞊䝇䝷䜲䞁䠄Ⅳ⣲౯᱁䝊䝻௨ୗ䠅䜢䛔䛛䛻ప䛔᤼ฟ㔞䛻ᑟ䛡䜛䛛䠄䛭䜜䛻ᐤ୚䛩䜛ᢏ⾡䠅䛿኱ኚ㔜せ䚹ฟᡤ䠖⛅ඖᆂ࿃䚸ᮍ᮶♫఍䜢ᨭ䛘䜛 ᬮ໬ᑐ⟇ᢏ⾡䝅䞁䝫䝆䜴䝮 in 㛵す㻌 20018ᖺ9᭶26᪥㻌 䠄䛭䛾௚䝬䞊䜽䛾䛒䜛䝇䝷䜲䝗䛿⛅ඖ䛜సᡂ䠅ୡ⏺඲య䛾GHG᤼ฟ䛚䜘䜃๐ῶ䠄2050ᖺ䠅22㒊㛛ู᤼ฟ๐ῶ

100

90GHG᤼ฟ㔞䛚䜘䜃๐ῶ㔞 [GtCO2eq/yr]

802050ᢏ⾡ᅛᐃ䜿䞊䝇GHG᤼ฟ㔞ᮏ᮶᤼ฟ๐ῶ㈉⊩䛿䚸ᢏ⾡ᅛᐃ䜿䞊䝇эᡂ䜚⾜䛝䜿䞊䝇䛻䛚䛔䛶䜒Ꮡᅾ䛧䛶䛔䜛䚹

MAC 190 $/tCO2⛬ᗘ㻌 㻌 770 $/tCO2⛬ᗘ

2050ᡂ䜚⾜䛝䜿䞊䝇
GHG᤼ฟ㔞

㠀CO2 GHGᅵᆅ฼⏝㉳※CO2㠀䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊㉳※CO2Ẹ⏕㒊㛛䛭䛾௚㐠㍺㒊㛛(ᅜ㝿)䛭䛾௚㐠㍺㒊㛛(ᅜෆ)
㐨㊰஺㏻㒊㛛

70䛭䛾௚⏘ᴗ㒊㛛໬Ꮫ㒊㛛⣬䝟䝹䝥㒊㛛

60

50

䝉䝯䞁䝖㒊㛛㕲㗰㒊㛛2010 GHG᤼ฟ㔞䛭䛾௚䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊㌿᥮㒊㛛Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖Ỉ⣲Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇40Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖ኴ㝧⇕Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖ኴ㝧ගⓎ㟁㒊㛛䠖ὒୖ㢼ຊ30Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖㝣ୖ㢼ຊⓎ㟁㒊㛛䠖Ỉຊ䞉ᆅ⇕

20Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖ཎᏊຊⓎ㟁㒊㛛䠖CCSGHG᤼ฟ㔞(2010ẚ䕦40)

10Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖໬▼⇞ᩱ㛫㌿᥮GHG᤼ฟ㔞(2010ẚ䕦70)Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖ⅆຊⓎ㟁㧗ຠ⋡໬

02010ᖺ᤼ฟ㔞䝧䞊䝇䝷䜲䞁᤼ฟ㔞ୡ⏺䠖䕦40%ୡ⏺䠖䕦70%2050ᖺ᤼ฟ㔞᪥ᮏ䕦80%=8൨䝖䞁⛬ᗘ๐ῶ㻌 䠘䠘㻌 ୡ⏺䕦40%=500䡚700൨䝖䞁๐ῶ䛜ᚲせ㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 ୡ⏺䕦70%=650䡚850൨䝖䞁๐ῶ䛜ᚲせୡ⏺඲యࡢ୍ḟ࢚ࢿࣝࢠ࣮౪⤥㔞࠾ࡼࡧ᭱⤊࢚ࢿࣝࢠ࣮ᾘ㈝㔞 (2050ᖺ)
25000

23

୍ḟ䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊౪⤥㔞ኴ㝧⇕ኴ㝧ග

୍ḟ䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊౪⤥ [Mtoe/yr]

20000

㢼ຊཎᏊຊỈຊ䞉ᆅ⇕15000

䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇 CCS䛒䜚BECCS䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇 CCS䛺䛧
10000

䜺䝇 CCS䛒䜚䜺䝇 CCS䛺䛧▼Ἔ CCS䛒䜚5000▼Ἔ CCS䛺䛧▼Ⅳ CCS䛒䜚᭱⤊䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊ᾘ㈝㔞

02010ᖺᐇ⦼

䝧䞊䝇䝷䜲䞁ୡ⏺඲య䕦40%ୡ⏺඲య䕦70%▼Ⅳ CCS䛺䛧
20000

㟁ຊ
18000

᪥ᮏ䕦65%䛾ሙྜ⇕䠖CGS䞉≉䛻䕦70%䛻䛚䛔䛶䛿┦ᙜ䛾BECCS౫Ꮡ䞉䕦70%䛻䛚䛔䛶䛿䚸᭱⤊䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊✀䛸䛧䛶䛿䚸▼Ἔ䚸䜺䝇䛾኱ᖜ䛺పୗ䚹㟁໬⋡䛾ྥୖ䛜ᚲせ䠄㈝⏝ᑐຠᯝୖ䠅᭱⤊䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊ᾘ㈝ [Mtoe/yr]

16000
14000

Ẽయ⇞ᩱ䠖Ỉ⣲12000
Ẽయ⇞ᩱ䠖ኳ↛䜺䝇10000ᾮయ⇞ᩱ䠖䝞䜲䜸⇞ᩱ

8000
6000

ᾮయ⇞ᩱ䠖▼Ἔ⣔4000ᅛయ⇞ᩱ䠖䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇

20000ᅛయ⇞ᩱ䠖▼Ⅳ2010ᖺᐇ⦼䝧䞊䝇䝷䜲䞁ୡ⏺䕦40%

ୡ⏺䕦70%

ୡ⏺඲యࡢⓎ㟁㟁ຊ㔞 (2050ᖺ)
60000

24Ỉ⣲ΰ↝Ỉ⣲ᑓ↝ኴ㝧⇕50000

ኴ㝧ගⓎ㟁㟁ຊ㔞 [TWh/yr]

㢼ຊ
ཎᏊຊ

40000

Ỉຊ࣭ᆅ⇕ࣂ࢖࣐࢜ࢫΰ↝ CCS࠶ࡾࣂ࢖࣐࢜ࢫᑓ↝ CCS࠶ࡾ

30000ࣂ࢖࣐࢜ࢫΰ↝ CCS࡞ࡋࣂ࢖࣐࢜ࢫᑓ↝ CCS࡞ࡋ
20000

࢞ࢫⅆຊ CCS࠶ࡾ࢞ࢫCGS࢞ࢫⅆຊ CCS࡞ࡋ

10000▼Ἔⅆຊ CCS࠶ࡾ▼Ἔⅆຊ CCS࡞ࡋ▼Ⅳⅆຊ CCS࠶ࡾ

02010ᖺᐇ⦼

࣮࣋ࢫࣛ࢖ࣥୡ⏺඲య‫ڸ‬40%ୡ⏺඲య‫ڸ‬70%▼Ⅳⅆຊ CCS࡞ࡋὀ㻝䠖䛂䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇ΰ↝䛃䛿䚸▼Ⅳⅆຊ䛸䛾ΰ↝䜢᝿ᐃ䚹Ⓨ㟁㟁ຊ㔞䛿ධຊ⇕㔞䛾ẚ⋡䛷▼Ⅳ䛸䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇䛻ᣨศ䛧䚸ᅗ୰䛻⾲♧䛧䛶䛔䜛䜒䛾䛿䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇ศ䚹㻌 ᪥ᮏ䕦65%䛾ሙྜ㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌㻌▼Ⅳศ䛿▼Ⅳⅆຊ䛻ྵ䜑䛶䛔䜛䚹㻌ὀ㻞䠖䛂Ỉ⣲ΰ↝䛃䛿䚸䜺䝇ⅆຊ䛸䛾ΰ↝䜢᝿ᐃ䚹Ⓨ㟁㟁ຊ㔞䛿ධຊ⇕㔞䛾ẚ⋡䛷䜺䝇䛸Ỉ⣲䛻ᣨศ䛧䚸ᅗ୰䛻⾲♧䛧䛶䛔䜛䜒䛾䛿Ỉ⣲ศ䚹䜺䝇ศ䛿䜺䝇ⅆຊ䛻ྵ䜑䛶䛔䜛䚹㻌䞉 䕦40%䛷䜒┦ᙜ㔞䛾CCSᑟධ䚹䕦70%䛷䛿▼Ⅳ+CCS䛛䜙䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇+CCS䠄BECCS䠅䛻䞉䕦70%䛷䛿ୡ⏺඲య䛷䜒┦ᙜ䛾෌䜶䝛䠄≉䛻PV䠅䠇Ỉ⣲฼⏝䜾䝻䞊䝞䝹䞉䝞䝸䝳䞊䝏䜵䞊䞁䛻䛚䛡䜛᪥ᮏ䛾᤼ฟ๐ῶຠᯝ䠄2050ᖺ
ᖺ䠅
252000GHG᤼ฟ䞉๐ῶ㔞 [MtCO2/yr]

1000ୡ⏺䛷䛾㒊㛛ู᤼ฟ๐ῶ㈉⊩2050ᡂ䜚⾜䛝䜿䞊䝇᤼ฟ㔞ᅜෆ๐ῶศ㠀CO2 GHG㠀䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊㉳※CO2᤼ฟ㔞Ẹ⏕㒊㛛0䛭䛾௚㐠㍺㒊㛛
㐨㊰஺㏻㒊㛛

-1000䛭䛾௚⏘ᴗ㒊㛛໬Ꮫ㒊㛛⣬䝟䝹䝥㒊㛛-2000

䝉䝯䞁䝖㒊㛛㕲㗰㒊㛛ᾏእ㈉⊩ศ-3000䛭䛾௚䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊㌿᥮㒊㛛Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖Ỉ⣲-4000Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖ኴ㝧⇕-5000Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖ኴ㝧ගⓎ㟁㒊㛛䠖ὒୖ㢼ຊ

-6000Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖㝣ୖ㢼ຊⓎ㟁㒊㛛䠖Ỉຊ䞉ᆅ⇕Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖ཎᏊຊୡ⏺䠖䕦40%᪥ᮏ䠖䕦80%᪥ᮏ䠖䕦65%᪥ᮏ䠖䕦50%᪥ᮏ䠖䕦80%᪥ᮏ䠖䕦65%᪥ᮏ䠖䕦50%ὀ䠅䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊ⓑ᭩2018䛻䜒ᥖ㍕

2015

2013

2005

-7000

Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖CCSⓎ㟁㒊㛛䠖໬▼⇞ᩱ㛫㌿᥮Ⓨ㟁㒊㛛䠖ⅆຊⓎ㟁㧗ຠ⋡໬ୡ⏺䠖䕦70%䞉㻌 ᪥ᮏ䛜ཝ䛧䛔᤼ฟ๐ῶ䛻ྲྀ䜚⤌䜐䕦80%䛾ሙྜ䚸ᅜෆ〇㐀ᴗ䛾⥔ᣢ䛜㞴䛧䛟䛺䜛䛯䜑䚸䕦50%䛻ẚ䜉䛶ᾏእ㈉⊩ศ䛿኱䛝䛟ῶᑡ䚹ᅜෆ๐ῶศ䛿ቑຍ䛩䜛䛜䚸ୡ⏺඲య䜈䛾᤼ฟ๐ῶ㈉⊩㔞䛿ᑠ䛥䛟䛺䜛䚹䠄౛䛘䜀䚸ୡ⏺䛷䕦70%᫬䛻䚸᪥ᮏᅜෆ䕦80%䠄⣙8൨䝖䞁๐ῶ䠅䛸䛩䜛䛸䚸ୡ⏺๐ῶ㈉⊩䛿⣙25൨䝖䞁䚸୍᪉᪥ᮏᅜෆ䕦50%䠄⣙5൨䝖䞁๐ῶ䠅䛸䛩䜛䛸䚸ୡ⏺๐ῶ㈉⊩䛿⣙59൨䝖䞁䠅ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊᝟ໃ᠓ㄯ఍ᥦゝ㛵㐃㈨ᩱ䚸2018ᖺ4᭶10᪥

26ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊᝟ໃ᠓ㄯ఍ᥦゝ㛵㐃㈨ᩱ䚸2018ᖺ4᭶10᪥
27ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊᝟ໃ᠓ㄯ఍ᥦゝ㛵㐃㈨ᩱ䚸2018ᖺ4᭶10᪥28ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊᝟ໃ᠓ㄯ఍ᥦゝ㛵㐃㈨ᩱ䚸2018ᖺ4᭶10᪥ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊᝟ໃ᠓ㄯ఍ᥦゝ㛵㐃㈨ᩱ䚸2018ᖺ4᭶10᪥

2930ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊᝟ໃ᠓ㄯ఍ᥦゝ㛵㐃㈨ᩱ䚸2018ᖺ4᭶10᪥ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊᝟ໃ᠓ㄯ఍ᥦゝ㛵㐃㈨ᩱ䚸2018ᖺ4᭶10᪥

3132ฟᡤ䠖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊᝟ໃ᠓ㄯ఍ᥦゝ㛵㐃㈨ᩱ䚸2018ᖺ4᭶10᪥

33➨5ᮇ⛉Ꮫᢏ⾡ᇶᮏィ⏬䛷♧䛥䜜䛯䝋䝃䜶䝔䜱5.0䛾ᴫᛕ➨2❶❶ ᮍ᮶䛾⏘ᴗ๰㐀䛸♫఍ኚ㠉䛻ྥ䛡䛯᪂䛯䛺౯್๰ฟ䛾ྲྀ⤌䜏䠄䠎䠅ୡ⏺䛻ඛ㥑䛡䛯䛂㉸䝇䝬䞊䝖♫఍䛃䛾ᐇ⌧䠄Society 5.0䠅
䞉IoT䛾ά⏝䜢䜒䛾䛵䛟䜚䛰䛡䛷䛿䛺䛟䚸ᵝ䚻䛺ศ㔝䛻ᗈ䛢䚸⤒῭ᡂ㛗䜔೺ᗣ㛗ᑑ♫఍䛾ᙧᡂ䚸䛥䜙䛻䛿♫఍ኚ㠉䛻䛴䛺䛢䛶䛔䛟䚹䞉䝃䝃䜲䝞䞊✵㛫䛸䝣䜱䝆䜹䝹✵㛫䛜㧗ᗘ䛻⼥ྜ䛧䛯䛂㉸䝇䝬䞊䝖♫఍䛃䜢ᮍ᮶䛾ጼ䛸䛧䛶ඹ᭷䛧䚸䛭䛾ྲྀ⤌䜏䜢䛂Society 5.0䛃䛸䛧䛶᥎㐍䚹䞉䝃䞊䝡䝇䜔஦ᴗ䛾䝅䝇䝔䝮໬䚸」ᩘ䛾䝅䝇䝔䝮㛫䛾㐃ᦠ༠ㄪ䛜ᚲせ䛷䛒䜚䚸㉸䝇䝬䞊䝖♫఍䝃䞊䝡䝇䝥䝷䝑䝖䝣䜷䞊䝮䜢ᵓ⠏䚹㧗ᗘ㐨㊰஺㏻䝅䝇䝔䝮䚸䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䝞䝸䝳䞊䝏䜵䞊䞁᭱㐺໬䚸䜲䞁䝣䝷⥔ᣢ⟶⌮䚸㜵⅏䚸ᆅᇦໟᣓ䜿䜰䝅䝇䝔䝮䛺䛹11䛾䝅䝇䝔䝮㛤Ⓨ䜢ඛ⾜ⓗ䛻㐍䜑䜛䚹䝻䝪䝑䝖䚸䝉䞁䝃䚸䜰䜽䝏䝳䜶䞊䝍䚸䝞䜲䜸䚸䝠䝳䞊䝬䞁䜲䞁䝍䞊䝣䜵䞊䝇䠄⬻⛉Ꮫ䚸ឤᛶᕤᏛ➼䠅䚸⣲ᮦ䞉䝘䝜䚸ග䞉㔞Ꮚ䛺䛹䛾ᇶ┙ᢏ⾡䛾ᙉ໬䜢ᅗ䜛䚹

34㉸䝇䝬䞊䝖♫఍䛸䛿䠖ᚲせ䛺䝰䝜䞉䝃䞊䝡䝇䜢䚸ᚲせ䛺ே䛻䚸ᚲせ䛺᫬䛻䚸ᚲせ䛺䛰䛡ᥦ౪䛧䚸♫఍䛾䝙䞊䝈䛻䛝䜑⣽䛛䛟ᑐᛂ䛷䛝䚸䛒䜙䜖䜛ே䛜㉁䛾㧗䛔䝃䞊䝡䝇䜢ཷ䛡䜙䜜䚸ᖺ㱋䚸ᛶู䚸ᆅᇦ䚸ゝㄒ䛸䛔䛳䛯ᵝ䚻䛺㐪䛔䜢஌䜚㉺䛘䚸ά䛝ά䛝䛸ᛌ㐺䛻ᬽ䜙䛩䛣䛸䛜䛷䛝䜛♫఍䚹

35䝅䜵䜰䝸䞁䜾䜶䝁䝜䝭䞊䚸䝃䞊䜻䝳䝷䞊䜶䝁䝜䝭䞊ฟᡤ䠖⤒῭⏘ᴗ┬䚸䛂Connected Industries䛃 ᮾி䜲䝙䝅䜰䝔䜱䝤2017㻌 2017ᖺ10᭶36䝰䝕䝹䛻䜘䛳䛶㏻ᖖ♧䛥䜜䜛኱ᖜ᤼ฟ๐ῶ䝅䝘䝸䜸䛸⌧ᐇ♫఍䛷䜘䜚䛒䜚ᚓ䜛኱ᖜ᤼ฟ๐ῶ䝅䝘䝸䜸37䝰䝕䝹ศᯒ䛻䜘䜛඾ᆺⓗ䝅䝘䝸䜸:⌧ᐇ♫఍䛷せồ䛥䜜䜛ୡ⏺:㏻ᖖ䛾ᢏ⾡㐍ᒎ䛾᝿ᐃᢏ⾡㠉᪂䛜䜘䜚኱䛝䛟ㄏⓎ䚸ᐇ⌧䛥䜜䜛ᚲせ䛒䜚Ⅳ⣲౯᱁Ⅳ⣲౯᱁䠄㝈⏺๐ῶ㈝⏝䠅Ⅳ⣲౯᱁䝧䞊䝇䝷䜲䞁䝅䝘䝸䜸ᬯ♧ⓗ䜒䛧䛟䛿᫂♧ⓗⅣ⣲౯᱁/㝈⏺๐ῶ㈝⏝䝧䞊䝇䝷䜲䞁䝅䝘䝸䜸CO2᤼ฟ㔞CO2᤼ฟ㔞ᢏ⾡䚸♫఍䛾ᗈ⠊䛺䜲䝜䝧䞊䝅䝵䞁䛻䜘䜚Ẽೃኚືᨻ⟇䝅䝘䝸䜸Ẽೃኚືᨻ⟇䝅䝘䝸䜸⌧ᐇୡ⏺䛻䛚䛔䛶䛿䚸 㧗䛔᫂♧ⓗ䛺Ⅳ⣲౯᱁䠄౛䛘䜀100$/tCO2䜢㉸䛘䜛䜘䛖䛺䠅䜢⥅⥆ⓗ䛻䛴䛡䜛䜘䛖䛺䛣䛸䛿㠀⌧ᐇⓗ䚹㧗䛟䛺䛔䠄ᬯ♧ⓗ䜒䛧䛟䛿᫂♧ⓗ䛺䠅Ⅳ⣲౯᱁䛷䛒䛳䛶䜒䠄䠎ḟ䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊౯᱁䛾ୡ⏺ⓗ䛺༠ㄪ䜢ྵ䜑䠅⤖ᯝ䛸䛧䛶䚸᤼ฟ䛜኱ᖜ䛻ῶ䜛䜘䛖䛻ㄏⓎ䛩䜛䜘䛖䛺ᢏ⾡䚸♫఍䛾኱ᖜ䛺䜲䝜䝧䞊䝅䝵䞁䛜㉳䛣䜙䛺䛡䜜䜀䚸⌧ᐇୡ⏺䛷䛿኱ᖜ䛺᤼ฟ๐ῶ䛿୙ྍ⬟䛸⪃䛘䜙䜜䜛䚹

CO2ṇ࿡䝊䝻᤼᤼ฟ䛻ྥ䛛䛖䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䝅䝇䝔䝮䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊䛸᝟᝟ሗ䛾⤫ྜ㉸䝇䝬䞊䝖♫఍ (Society 5.0)
IoT, AI, Big Data, Blockchain, Smart Sensor, …

♫఍䝅䝇䝔䝮ኚ㠉: 〇ရ〇㐀 䝃䞊䝡䝇ᥦ౪, etc.
㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 〇ရ䛾฼⏝⋡ྥୖ䞉ᑑ࿨ᘏఙ, 䝸䝃䜲䜽䝹, etc.㻌

㟂せഃ㈨※䛾ືဨDR, V2G, VPP, etc.

≀㉁㟂せῶᑡ, ⾜ືኚ໬, etc.

㟁໬䛸䝕䝆䝍䝹໬䛻䜘䜛㠉࿨ⓗ䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊⠇⣙┬䜶䝛(xEV, PHEV, FCV, 䝠䞊䝖䝫䞁䝥, 䝟䝽䜶䝺…..)

䜹䞊䝪䞁䝣䝸䞊㟁※:෌⏕ྍ⬟䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊, ཎᏊຊ,CCS௜䛝ⅆຊⓎ㟁䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊㈓ⶶ
⵳㟁ụ, PtX…
䜽䝸䞊䞁䛷ຠ⋡ⓗ䛺2ḟ䜶䝛䝹䜼䞊㻌 (㟁Ẽ, Ỉ⣲, etc.)

Global Net Zero Emission Scenarios䛷䛿㟁Ẽ䛻䛿䝬䜲䝘䝇᤼ฟᢏ⾡䛜ᚲせ:BECCS(Bioenergy+CCS)䠇᳜ᯘ䜔኱Ẽ୰CO2྾཰㻌 (DAC), ேᕤගྜᡂ.

+ᬮ໬䛻㐺ᛂ䜒䜹䞊䝪䞁䝣䝸䞊⇞ᩱ:䝞䜲䜸䝬䝇, CCS௜䛝໬▼⇞ᩱ, etc.
䜹䞊䝪䞁䝣䝸䞊⇕※:ኴ㝧⇕, ᆅ⇕, etc.

SDGsᣢ⥆ྍ⬟䛺㛤Ⓨ┠ᶆ䜢䝞䝷䞁䝇䜘䛟ᐇ⌧

Keep Options as Many as Possible!

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