Research for a World in Transition:
IIASA’s Strategy for the Next Decade

Detlof von Winterfeldt
Director, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Centennial Professor of Operational Research,London School of Economics

RITE-IIASA International Symposium
February 8, 2010

Schloss Laxenburg, Austria

Home of IIASA since 1972

IIASA: A Global Research InstituteInternational
Independent
Interdisciplinary
Integrated___________________
Systems Analysis

IIASA Statistics
 150 Researchers (100 FTEs)
 100 other staff members
 EUR 16.4 million budget
 50/50 membership fees and external funds
 17 national members
 50% of world population

Vision
IIASA will be the world leader insystems analysis to find solutions to
global problems for the benefit ofhumankind

IIASA’s Strategy for the Next DecadeFocus on a few global problems
Emphasis on policy relevanceInnovation in systems analysis
Increased capacity buildingGlobal Challenges
1.02 billion people areundernourishedworldwide in 2009(FAO)

25,000 children dieeach day due topoverty (UNICEF)

1.1 billion people haveinadequate accessto water (UNHDP)

80% of humanity lives
on less than $10 aday (World Bank)

1.6 billion people arewithout access toelectricity

Average temperatures
predicted to increaseby 1.1 to 6.4°C by
2100 (IPCC)

Research for a Changing World
Food andWater

Energyand
ClimateChangePovertyandEquity

Research for a Changing World
Food andWater
Energyand
ClimateChangePovertyandEquity

Undernourished People inDeveloping Countries, 1969 – 2007

Source: FAO

Countries Vulnerable to Food
Insecurity

Source: IIASA

Water Shortages

Source: International Water Management InstituteClimate Change, Food, and Water

Research for a Changing World
Food andWater

Energyand
ClimateChangePovertyandEquityPoverty and Equity

1,000 Billionaires
10,000,000 Millionaires
1,000,000,000 live on less than $1/day

Key to Development: Education

Source: IIASA

Research for a Changing World
Food andWater
EnergyandClimate
ChangePovertyandEquity

Glo bal Carbo n Em is s io n s
Bas e lin e -Ran ge & Lo w S t abiliz at io n S c e n ario sGlo bal Prim ary En e rgy
4 5 0 ppm CO 2 -e qu . o r 2 o C
800

Primary Energy (EJ)

700
600
500

Other renewables
NuclearGasOil
Coal
Biomass

400
300
200
10001850

1900

1950

2000

2050

Cu rre n t gre e h o u s e gas
e m is s io n t re n ds
Co s t s o f c u rre n t an d fu t u regre e n h o u s e gas re du c t io n s
Co m paris o n s u s in gdiffe re n t m e t ric s

Research for a Changing World

Food andWater

Energyand
ClimateChangePovertyandEquityFuture Population

Source: IIASATe c h n o lo gy

Carbo n S e qu e s t rat io n

Wat e r De s alin at io n

S afe an ds u s t ain ablen u c le ar po we r

Ge n e t ic e n gin e e rin g

Globalization Race

Source: Goldman Sachs

Extreme EventsResearch for a Changing World

Food andWater

EnergyandClimate
ChangePovertyandEquity

Systems Analysis at IIASA
Problem driven and solution
orientedIntegrated: Systems linkages anddynamic interactions
International and interdisciplinary
Science based

Problem Driven and Solution Oriented:
Energy and Food Land Conflicts

Integrated: Systems Linkages

Interdisciplinary and International 40+ countries
 150 scientists
 50 YSSP annually 15 Postdocs

Science BasedResearch for a Changing World

Food andWaterEnergyandClimate
ChangePovertyandEquity

Increasing Policy RelevanceEstablishing policy dialogues andrelationships
Linking global research to national policyagendas
Collaborating with local policy andscientific institutions

Capacity BuildingJapanese YSSPers and Postdoctoral Researchers

Relevance of IIASA Research for Japan

Japanese Partners of IIASA RITE NIES DPRI TCRDL Tokyo Gas Co.
 Kyoto University

 CRIEPI ADORC TEPCO Tokyo Res. Labs

 Toyota
 JAIST
 Japan Foundation

Publications 2008-2009
Three edited books
33 journal articles
Three other publications_________________________________
Including Japanese authors or co-authors

In 2020…..
..…policy makers all over the world will
first turn to IIASA for help, when facedwith a global problems.

Thank You

More information about
IIASA at: www.iiasa.ac.at