Low Carbon Asia
Strategy
1. If we cannot go to LCS,…
2. LCS offers higher QOL withless energy demand andlower-carbon energy supply
3. LCS needs good design,
early action, and innovations
Designed by Hajime Sakai

Junichi FUJINONIES (National Institute for Environmental Studies), Japan

UNFCCC COP20/CMP10 side event
Peru, Dec 11, 2014

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80

方策１【都市内交通】による削減
Reduction due to Action 1

70

方策２【地域間交通】による削減
Reduction due to Action 2(urban transport)(interregional transport)

方策３【資源利用】による削減
Reduction due to Action 360(resources & materials)

方策４【建築物】による削減
Reduction due to Action 4(buildings)
方策５【バイオマス】による削減
Reduction due to Action 5(biomass)
Reduction due to Action 6
方策６【エネルギーシステム】による削減(energy system)
Reduction due to Action 7
方策７【農業・畜産】による削減(agriculture & livestock)
Reduction due to Action 8
方策８【森林・土地利用】による削減(forestry & land use)
Other reduction
方策以外の削減

50403020

10Emission in Asia (LCS)
アジアの排出量（低炭素社会）

02050

2045

2040

2035

2030

2025

2020

2015

2010

Global Emission (LCS)
世界の排出量（低炭素社会）

2005

GHG排出量[GtCO2eq/年]
GHG
emissions [GtCO2eq/yr]

GHG Emissions in Low Carbon Asia

Global Emission (BaU)
世界の排出量（なりゆき社会）

By Dr. S. Fujimori (NIES)

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What is AIM?
- Asia-Pacific Integrated Model • Area
• Base year
• Target year
• Covered sectors• Actors/Players• LCS target• Demography• Lifestyle
Qualification of Socio• Economy
economic Vision• Transport• Building- Technology Quantification
Bottom-upof Socio- • modelResource
economicVisions
andQuantifications of more than 400 efficiency
including
options
GHG emission
parameters:• Energy strategy• Population• Power supply• Final demand
Try and error to keep
- Economic• Transport parameters Top-downconsistency and unity model
among SocioEnergy service
Evaluation of Scenarios /Economicpolicies and impact
to •evaluate
economic
demand generation
measures:
LCD targets

Setting framework

AIM is Simulation Model

AIM is Human Network- Start international collaboration
since 1994 and we have the 20th
annual int.ws in Jan 2015, Tsukuba- Researchers and policy-makers• Energy device share• Transportation system
in China, India, Korea, Thailand,• Power supply•
EnergyservicedemandAnalysis of Alternative
assumptions
generation for- Detailed
sector-wise
Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam,LCD scenarios and model• Energy device sharemeasures• Power supply options
population, residential,
transport,Nepal, Cambodia, Bangladesh,• Renewable energy•etc
Carbon sink
Industry, energy
Taiwan, Australia, NZ, USA, EU,
Design LCDsupply,
Actions• etc.
and Roadmaps frometc and Japan.
the analysis
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Examples of Brochures introducing Asian Low Carbon Scenarios
Communication and feedbacks of LCS study to real world

Malaysia
Putrajaya
Japan

Cyberjaya

Kyoto
Shiga

IskandarMalaysia

China
India

Guan Zhou

BhopalDalianAhmedabadThailand
Vietnam

RatchaburiBangladesh

KhonKaen

Indonesia

S. Korea

Cambodia

Kyonggi-do

http://2050.noes.go.jp/4Research: AIM model apply to Iskandar Malaysia Region
to identify Potential Mitigation Options
Mitigation Options
Green Economy
Action 1 Integrated Green Transportation
Action 2 Green Industry
GreenEconomy 59%
Action 3 Low Carbon Urban Governance**
Action 4 Green Building and Construction
GreenCommunity 21% Action 5 Green Energy System and Renewable Energy
GreenGreen Community
Environment 20%

Action 6 Low Carbon Lifestyle
Action 7 Community Engagement and Consensus
Building**Green Environment
Action 8 Walkable, Safe and Livable City Design
Action 9 Smart Urban Growth
Action 10 Green and Blue Infrastructure and Rural
Resources
Action 11 Sustainable Waste Management
Action 12 Clean Air Environment**Total

“Development of Low Carbon Society Scenarios for Asian Regions”
In the case of “Iskandar Malaysia”

Japanese experience on
Low Carbon Scenarios & Roadmaps+Malaysian challenge on
Implementation of Low Carbon Visions

Premier of Malaysia provided
permission in the 13th IRDA
Steering Committee to start
the Iskandar Low Carbon
Society planning（December 11th, 2012）
SATREPS

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Scientific plan/roadmap + City challenge/policies
Science(R &D)

PoliciesActions(LCS)(LP or SP, NPP)

Economy(High incomenation)

SocialEnvironment(Inclusiveness)(Sustainable)

Climate changeProblems

Co benefits ofLCS policies

Quantification from LCS modeling assist better understanding on impact of proposed
actions, sub actions and programs.
Good baseline study, consensus building & Low carbon blueprint plan will help todevelop an integrated climate resilient , Low carbon framework for a rapid urbanised
city or region.
Inclined to focus on co- benefits of LCS policies

International Forum on the “FutureCity” Initiativeby Regional Revitalization Office, Cabinet Secretariat, Government of JapanThe First Forum, Feb 21, 2012@Tokyo
10 名の海外招聘者をはじめ、JICA 主催の研修プログラムで参加されたアジア諸国等のオピニオンリー
ダー43 名の他、国内参加者を含め、合計約600 名の参加。

The Second Forum, Feb 16, 2013
@Shimokawa, Hokkaido
坂本内閣府副大臣を始め、９名の海外招へい者、JICA 主催の研修プログラムに参加したアジア諸国等のオピニオンリーダー39 名、その他、国内参加者を含め、合計27 か国、約300 名の方々が参加。
2月17日に森林サイドイベントを実施、藤野が鼎談のモデレーターを担当

The Third Forum, Oct 19, 2013
@Kitakyushu
関口内閣府副大臣を始め、11名の海外招へい者、JICA主催の研修プログラムに参加したアジア諸国等のオピニオンリーダー51名、その他、国内参加者を含め、合計43の国と地域から、約400名の参加。藤野がポスターセッション担当。

Prof. Ho and Mr. Boyd joined
as experts of JICA FCI courses.
Then 2-3 experts joincontiuously.
Dato’ Ismail joined “econmy”
panel discussion
Dr. Zaleha (JPBD) joined“evaluation” panel discussion.
The mayor of MBJB joined at
Asia Mayor Summit.
The fourth forum will be heldin Higashi-matsushima, Japan
in 6th Dec 2014. Cabinet
office organize the first form
outside Japan in 8-9th Feb
2015 in JB, Malaysia.

https://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/tiiki/kankyo/en/event/index.html

The 6th High Level Seminar on Environmentally Sustainable Cities
will be held in Johor Bahru on 9th and 10th Feb 2015
(mainly sponsored by Ministry of the Environment Japan (MOEJ))

http://www.hls-esc.org/

Sustainable
Low-Carbon Asia
comes fromdesign,
imagination
andco-working…

Let’s work together!
fuji@nies.go.jp

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