JIIA-Stanford Symposium: The Past, Present, and Future International Order in East Asia
Bechtel Conference Center, Encina Hall, Stanford University
Friday 10 May 2019

Interstate relations in East Asia are at a critical juncture. The post-World War II regional
order, shaped by the San Francisco Treaty of 1951, is under stress. It is unclear if this system will bemaintained, and if not, what will replace it. The lineage of the San Francisco System itself reaches
back to the post-World War I Versailles-Washington System. An examination of the success andshortcomings of each of these systems can offer insights on the rise and fall of international systems
in an Asian context.
In this symposium co-hosted by the Japan Institute for International Affairs (JIIA) andWalter H. Shorenstein Asia Pacific Research Center (APARC) of the Freeman Spogli Institute ofInternational Studies (FSI) at Stanford University, we explored the circumstances that shaped theestablishment and evolution of the East Asian political, economic, and security architectures frompost-WWI to present; discussed the forces that built and undermined the past and existingarchitecture; and debated possible regional futures.
Panel 1: Comparing “the Versailles-Washington System” and “San Francisco System”: Lessons fromthe Rise and Fall of International Orders in East Asia

During this session, panelists identified the factors that led to the establishment of “theVersailles-Washington System” and “San Francisco System”, their characteristics, their sources ofstability and instability, and relevant lessons for policymakers today.
Panel 2: Japanese, U.S. and Chinese Interests and Security Strategies
During this session, panelists discussed the national security objectives of Japan, US, andPRC, and these three states’ respective strategies for achieving these objectives. Panelists also
addressed how bilateral and trilateral relations among these three states impact peace and stability
in East Asia.
Panel 3: Alternative Future East Asia Systems
During this session, panelists discussed possible alternative future “East Asia Systems” focusing on
how interrelationships between Japan, US, and PRC might influence the establishment and stabilityof different models. Participants also refered to the lessons of “the Versailles-Washington System”
and “San Francisco System” if relevant.

<Program>

JIIA-Stanford Symposium:“The Past, Present, and Future International Order in East Asia”
Shorenstein Asia Pacific Research Center (APARC), Stanford University&Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA)
Friday, May 10, 20199:15 am-9:30 am - Welcome Remarks
Gi-Wook Shin, Director, APARC, Stanford University
Kenichiro Sasae, President, JIIA
Takeo Hoshi, Director, Japan Program, APARC, Stanford University

9:45 am-11:30 am - Panel 1: Comparing “the Versailles-Washington System” and “SanFrancisco System”: Lessons from the Rise and Fall of International Orders in East
AsiaChair:

Daniel Sneider, FSI, Stanford University

Panelists:

Shin Kawashima, University of Tokyo
Masaya Inoue, Seikei University
Lin Hsiao-ting, Hoover Institution, Stanford University
David Kennedy, FSI, Stanford University

Rapporteur:Thomas Wilkins, Senior Visiting Fellow, JIIA

1:15 pm-3:00 pm - Panel 2: Japanese, U.S. and Chinese Interests and Security
Strategies
Chair:

Kenichiro Sasae, President, JIIA

Panelists:

Ken Jimbo, Keio University
Tetsuo Kotani, JIIA
Mike Lampton, APARC, Stanford University
Jim Schoff, CEIP

Rapporteur:

Jonathan Berkshire Miller, Senior Visiting Fellow, JIIA

3:30pm-5:15pm - Panel 3: Alternative Future East Asia Systems

Chair:

Phillip Lipscy, APARC, Stanford University

Panelists:

Jim Fearon, FSI, Stanford University
Ryo Sahashi, University of Tokyo
Kenichiro Sasae, President, JIIATom Christensen, Columbia University

Rapporteur:Thomas Wilkins, Senior Visiting Fellow, JIIA

5:15 pm-5:35 pm - Rapporteurs’ review of symposium discussions
5:35 pm-5:45 pm - Closing Remarks
Karl Eikenberry, US-Asia Security Initiative, APARC, Stanford University
Kenichiro Sasae, JIIA