THE IMPACT OF THE EUROPEAN GATESCONCEPT ON EN-ROUTE CONGESTION

Hitham Fakih
 University of Žilina / EUROCONTROL Supervisor: Antonin Kazda
 EIWAC 2010 - Tokyo, 11th Nov. 2010
1 2010EIWAC

PRESENTATION OUTLINE
1.

RESEARCH PROBLEM

2.

RESEARCH FOCUS

3.

RESEARCH FINDINGS

4.

CONTRIBUTION

5.

CONCLUSION

2/23

RESEARCH PROBLEM

 Aircraft
Instruments
 2x Traffic;
based onpredicted
growth3/23

Mega hubs

 CFMU Data

En-routeCongestion ICAO Data

European Gates

High Speed
Train
Prediction for2020

Prediction for2030

RESEARCH PROBLEM
While aircraft instruments andnavigation systems in aviation
has been driven by research,
the need for a mega structure
has been neglected.

 Aircraft
Instruments
 2x Traffic;
based onpredicted
growth for
2030

4/23

Mega hubs

 CFMU Data

En-routeCongestion ICAO Data

European Gates

 HST 2020

To limit En-route congestion we
can either limit the daily flightfrequencies or by building abigger hub which will quantify thegrowth constraining impact on
En-route sector capacity limits.
Based on the CFMU and ICAO
data analyses we were able toestimate the number of flights
which will be abandoned when
the HST will be running in 2020.

RESEARCH FOCUS
 Reduce en-route and airport congestion
 Increase runway capacity
 Reduce travel time for PAXs
 Reduced negative impact of transport on environment
 More balanced PAX modal split in Europe
 More slots dedicated for long-haul flights
 Increase airports catchment area More travel choice for PAXs
 Higher PAX throughput at airports
But… practice is different than theory
5/23

No moreEn-routeCongestionTRAVEL TIME AIR VS. RAIL
Air Travel Time
50 min60 min???

20 min50 min

180 min + ???

Transport to Airport
Time spent at the Airport (check-in, boarding)
Flight time
Awaiting for the baggage + customs
Transport from the Airport

Rail Travel Time

30 min30 min???

90 min + ???

6/23

30 minTransport to Station
Time spent at the Station
Travel time
Transport from the Station

RESEARCH FOCUS

European Gates??
7/23

RESEARCH FOCUS-

Current Hub and Spoke System in Europe

8/23

RESEARCH FOCUS-

Current and Future Hub and Spoke System in Europe 66% of airport derived ATFM delays caused by only 8 European airports These 8 airports handle only 19% of European traffic
 Levels of congestion expected for the year 2020 will reach beyond our limits

9/23

RESEARCH FINDINGS-Filtering the CFMU Data

The filtering of the CFMU data
for July 2004 to investigate thehorizontal extension of flights(Extra NM)
10/22

RESEARCH FINDINGS AND RESULTS-Constraining Points – Constrained Flights

Top constraining points
Constrained flights
200.00 to 500.00
500.00 to 700.00
700.00 to 900.00
900.00 to 1100.00
1100.00 to 1200.00

11/23

The most constraining waypoints inEurope1) Current Scaled2) More Regional
Jets3) Future Types

12

The most constraining NAVAIDS inEurope

1) Current Scaled2) More Regional
Jets3) Future Types

13

High Speed Railroad MapEurope 2008

1) Current Scaled2) More Regional
Jets3) Future Types

14

Map of the HST for Europein 202015

Merging of the HST map and the constraining points tofind the optimum location of the European Gates

16

Map of Europe showing the possible
locations of the European Gates

17/25

CFMU Data Filtration
Inbound International Flights into Europe for a period ofone week 18-24 July 2005

18/23

The European Gates and the possible number offlights that can be removed between city pairs

19/23

CONCLUSIONS
1.

After filtering and analysing the CFMU data in more depth
the constraining WAYPOINTS and NAVAIDS wereplotted on a map and compared to the HST network in order
to find the optimum location of the European Gates.

2.

Analyses of the time difference between short-haul flights
and High Speed Train proved that HST can attract
passengers to take the train rather than to fly in the rang offour hours trip.

3.

The estimated percentage of abandoned flights can fluctuatedepending on how effective and reliable would the HST be.

20/23

CONCLUSIONS
4.

5.

21/23

Facts about the distance, time and Carbon Dioxideemissions between High Speed Train, short-haul flights andowned vehicles can help in convincing the passengers tochoose the transport with the least CO2 emissions.
The European Gate Concept with a HST station will help in
reducing en-route congestion and that by reducing thenumber of the intra-European traffic.

“We apologise to passengers for the severe delays. Rest assured ourengineers are working hard to trace the computer fault…”
22/23

QUESTIONS

23/23