IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Knowledge Co-Creation Program
Energy Policy
Country report: Uganda
Name: Wamala Julius Namusanga
Ministry of Energy and MineralDevelopment
1

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Presentation Outline• Country profile• Economic indicators• Energy reserves• Current Energy Policy and Measures• Past Energy demand and supply• Demand and supply (Purchases and sales)• Energy Prices (Us Cents/kwh)• Outlook of energy demand and supply (2021)• Energy- related investment for domestic andoverseas• Major difficulties and bottlenecks• Subjects of interest2IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Country profile

3

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Country profile c’tnd• Country size: 241,038 sq km.
• Land: 197,100 sq km• Water: 43,938 sq km• Capital city: Kampala• National currency: Uganda Shilling• National language: English• Electricity Access: National – 20%
Urban – 55%
Rural – 9%4

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Economic indicators• GDP - 26.37 billion USD (2015)• Population – 38.3 Millions• No. of Households – 7.8Million
5

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Energy reserves• Crude oil proven reserves - 6.5 billionbarrels• 2.5 billion of which is recoverable• Natural gas - 14.16 billion cum• Hydro potential along River Nile over 2GW• Renewable energy such as small hydros,biomass, solar, wind and geothermal
sources.
6Current Energy Policy andMeasures

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Power sub-sector•Electricity Act 1999 (under review)•Energy policy 2002 (under review)•Renewable Energy Policy 2007
•National Development Plan
•Grid code (under review)•Vision 2040
•Sustainable Energy for all 2030_UNDP_EU•Atomic Energy Act 2008

Petroleum sub-sector•National Oil and Gas policy 2008

7

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

MeasuresPower sub-sector•Establishment of an Energy Investment Fund to provide financing for generation projects.
•Restructuring of the sector Ministry to address current challenges.
•Amendment of the Electricity Act 1999 to address sector challenges like power theft andvandalism.
•Review of the Energy policy ongoingPetroleum sub-sector•Establishment of petroleum fund•Establishment of Petroleum Authority of Uganda, National Oil Company of Uganda,
Refinery Holding Company
8

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Past Energy demand and supply• Current On Grid Domestic Peak Time Demand– 541.39MW(April’17) (544.93MW in Feb’17)• Current On Grid System Peak Time Demand– 564.14MW(April’17) (596.07MW in Feb’17)• Installed Generation Capacity ~ 886.3 MW• Firm Generation Capacity- 650 MW• Annual average load growth – 5% (energy), 4.64% (power)• Load factor – 72%• Annual Purchases (Sales) – 3,535.39 GWh , (3,399.98GWh)(2016)• Network Losses: Transmission - 3.83% (2016),Distribution916%

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Energy demand by sector (kwh)
YearDomestic2016 146,958,673.178
2015 142,554,002.860
2014 135,216,314.584
2013 119,031,487.099
2012 117,363,100.250
2011 99,353,750.000
2010 104,464,797.500
2009 90,913,080.000
2008 81,860,015.000

Commercial

Medium Industries

80,819,968.424 106,338,013.296
77,451,643.129 101,529,738.978
70,929,578.026 97,504,895.292
63,851,768.295 94,584,445.176
54,009,150.200 85,426,609.000
53,395,500.000 65,053,500.000
59,968,714.750 64,043,053.250
52,136,500.000 58,099,250.000
44,183,633.000 55,726,689.250

Large Industries

305,015,892.890
292,422,671.120
265,015,536.953
245,036,095.819
227,185,130.000
214,836,000.000
177,816,585.750
148,535,035.000
137,368,196.250

Street Lights

409,402.500
389,674.250
469,634.750
452,305.250
337,387.632
355,250.000
590,789.250
545,845.000
480,718.250
10IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Demand and supply (Purchasesand sales)

11

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Energy Prices (Us Cents/kwh)
Year

Domestic Commercial Large Industrial
2016
17.89
16.18
10.05
2015
16.21
14.75
9.48
2014
14.61
12.93
8.69
2013
14.77
13.74
8.81
2012
14.77
13.74
8.81
2011
10.86
10.10
5.21
2010
10.86
10.10
5.21
2009
12.00
11.23
5.27
2008
12.00
11.23
5.27
2007
12.00
11.23
5.27
2006
8.73
8.32
3.56
2005
5.70
5.48
1.94
2004
4.83
4.64
1.70

1 USD = 3550UShs

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Outlook of energy demand andsupply (2021)

13

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Demand Forecast• Demand forecast –business as usual• Demand forecast –Medium (Industrial Loads
as per UMEME’s Large Customer’s list as atNovember, 2016)14

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Energy- related investment fordomestic and overseas

Power sub-sector
Grid development plan
•Power Evacuation projects•System re-investment projects•System expansion project•Regional Interconnection Projects

15

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Grid Investment Requirements

16

Grid investment requirements 20172031

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ201717

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Other investment areas
Petroleum sub-sector• Refinery• Uganda-Tanzania Crude Pipeline

18

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Major difficulties and bottlenecks currently
faced in formulating energy policies• Existing land laws don’t favour some of Government policies• Private sector, own interests• Government revenue agencies• Inadequate financing- policies tagged to financial implication• Lack of data
• Lack of adequate capacity• Political inference – policies have to be politically aligned• Influence from Development partners.
• Petroleum is a new sector with a lot of expectations withdifferent interests
19

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Subjects of interest• Electricity Generation fromWaste• Geothermal generation

20

IEEJ：July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Thanks21
Contact :report@tky.ieej.or.jp