<figure><img src="image_1.png" /></figure>

HAL
open science

# PROGRESS: Fusion of forecasts from the Sun to the Earth

Robertus Erdelyi, Richard Boynton, Simon Walker, Tony Arber, Keith

Bennett, Natalia Ganushkina, Stepan Dubyagin, Peter Wintoft, Magnus Wik,

Michael Liemohn, et al.

► To cite this version:

Robertus Erdelyi, Richard Boynton, Simon Walker, Tony Arber, Keith Bennett, et al. PROGRESS: Fusion of forecasts from the Sun to the Earth. 20th EGU General Assembly, Apr 2018, Vienne, Austria. pp.11374. insu-03566329

HAL Id: insu-03566329

https://insu.hal.science/insu-03566329

Submitted on 11 Feb 2022

HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access
archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci-
entific research documents, whether they are pub-
lished or not. The documents may come from
teaching and research institutions in France or
abroad, or from public or private research centers.

L'archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est
destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents
scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non,
émanant des établissements d'enseignement et de
recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires
publics ou privés.

<figure><img src="image_2.png" /></figure>

Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
<figure><img src="image_3.png" /></figure>

PROGRESS: Fusion of forecasts from the Sun to the Earth

Robertus Erdelyi (1), Richard Boynton (1), Simon Walker (1), Tony Arber (2), Keith Bennett (2), Natalia Ganushkina (3), Stepan Dubyagin (3), Peter Wintoft (4), Magnus Wik (4), Michael Liemohn (5), Bart van der Holst (5), Yuri Shprits (6), Angelica Tibocha (6), and Volodya Krasnoselskikh (7)

(1) University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom (simon.walker@sheffield.ac.uk), (2) University of Warwick, Coventry, UK, (3) FMI, Helsinki, Finland, (4) IRF-Lund, Sweden, (5) University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA, (6) GFZ, Potsdam, Germany, (7) LPC2E, Orleans, France

PROGRESS, PRediction Of Geospace Radiation Environment and Solar wind parameterS, is an Horizon 2020 funded project that aims to provide accurate and reliable forecasts of the geospace environment and its response to space weather events. PROGRESS focuses on three broad topics, 1) the forecast of the state of the solar wind at L1 based on GONG magnetograms, 2) the evolution of geomagnetic activity as expressed by the geomagnetic indices Kp, Dst, and AE, and 3) the characterisation of the electron environment of the radiation belts.

This presentation provides an overview of the tools and models developed and shows examples for the forecasts generated.