## Ecart pour chaque Agence entre valeur constatée et estimée pour chaque matériau

<figure><img src="image_72.png" /></figure>

### Estimation

Comme pour les périodes de pose, après calage et validation des modèles, les données sont extrapolées pour l'ensemble des communes. Le seuil de 10% d'inconnues est conservé pour décider si la répartition est basée sur les données collectées ou sur le modèle.

Les résultats des extrapolations sont présentés dans le Tableau 19, puis comparés à l'échantillon collecté dans le Tableau 20 et la Figure 40.
<table><caption>Tableau 19 : Répartition des linéaires par matériau et par agence en km</caption><thead><tr><th></th><th>AEAG</th><th>AELB</th><th>AESN</th><th>AEAP</th><th>AERM</th><th>AERMC</th><th>FRANCE</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th>DIVERS</th><td>5 271</td><td>10 804</td><td>11 539</td><td>3 324</td><td>866</td><td>10 483</td><td>42 287</td></tr><tr><th>A</th><td>6 919</td><td>6 657</td><td>4 826</td><td>2 030</td><td>907</td><td>4 214</td><td>25 553</td></tr><tr><th>FD</th><td>17 719</td><td>29 953</td><td>31 171</td><td>9 769</td><td>13 743</td><td>62 214</td><td>164 568</td></tr><tr><th>FI</th><td>20 218</td><td>16 859</td><td>13 383</td><td>2 421</td><td>4 084</td><td>26 527</td><td>83 492</td></tr><tr><th>FG</th><td>17 125</td><td>17 274</td><td>26 770</td><td>6 831</td><td>10 567</td><td>26 611</td><td>105 179</td></tr><tr><th>AC</th><td>6 530</td><td>10 021</td><td>5 315</td><td>9 168</td><td>146</td><td>4 590</td><td>35 770</td></tr><tr><th>PVCR</th><td>29 413</td><td>62 252</td><td>8 333</td><td>2 659</td><td>3 510</td><td>10 033</td><td>116 200</td></tr><tr><th>PVCI</th><td>39 835</td><td>48 737</td><td>14 055</td><td>1 298</td><td>964</td><td>12 716</td><td>117 605</td></tr><tr><th>PVCV</th><td>52 206</td><td>86 122</td><td>26 916</td><td>2 010</td><td>3 520</td><td>13 534</td><td>184 307</td></tr><tr><th>Total</th><td>195 236</td><td>288 679</td><td>142 307</td><td>39 512</td><td>38 308</td><td>170 922</td><td>874 963</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><caption>Tableau 20 : Répartition des types de matériau constatés et prédits par le modèle (par agence en pourcentage)</caption><thead><tr><th rowspan="2"></th><th colspan="2">AEAG</th><th colspan="2">AELB</th><th colspan="2">AESN</th><th colspan="2">AEAP</th><th colspan="2">AERM</th><th colspan="2">AERMC</th><th colspan="2">FRANCE</th></tr><tr><th>Const</th><th>Préd</th><th>Const</th><th>Préd</th><th>Const</th><th>Préd</th><th>Const</th><th>Préd</th><th>Const</th><th>Préd</th><th>Const</th><th>Préd</th><th>Const</th><th>Préd</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th>DIVERS</th><td>3,1</td><td>2,7</td><td>3,8</td><td>3,7</td><td>8,2</td><td>8,1</td><td>7,9</td><td>8,4</td><td>2,3</td><td>2,3</td><td>6,7</td><td>6,1</td><td>4,7</td><td>4,8</td></tr><tr><th>A</th><td>3,6</td><td>3,5</td><td>2,3</td><td>2,3</td><td>3,5</td><td>3,4</td><td>5,2</td><td>5,1</td><td>2,3</td><td>2,4</td><td>3,2</td><td>2,5</td><td>3,1</td><td>2,9</td></tr><tr><th>FD</th><td>9,6</td><td>9,1</td><td>11,5</td><td>10,4</td><td>24,6</td><td>21,9</td><td>29,0</td><td>24,7</td><td>37,8</td><td>35,9</td><td>38,1</td><td>36,4</td><td>18,3</td><td>18,8</td></tr><tr><th>FI</th><td>10,4</td><td>10,4</td><td>5,6</td><td>5,8</td><td>9,2</td><td>9,4</td><td>6,4</td><td>6,1</td><td>8,1</td><td>10,7</td><td>14,1</td><td>15,5</td><td>8,7</td><td>9,5</td></tr><tr><th>FG</th><td>8,9</td><td>8,8</td><td>6,3</td><td>6,0</td><td>23,3</td><td>18,8</td><td>18,9</td><td>17,3</td><td>29,5</td><td>27,6</td><td>15,3</td><td>15,6</td><td>11,6</td><td>12,0</td></tr><tr><th>AC</th><td>3,1</td><td>3,3</td><td>3,4</td><td>3,5</td><td>3,8</td><td>3,7</td><td>21,6</td><td>23,2</td><td>0,4</td><td>0,4</td><td>2,8</td><td>2,7</td><td>4,2</td><td>4,1</td></tr><tr><th>PVCR</th><td>12,7</td><td>15,1</td><td>22,9</td><td>21,6</td><td>4,5</td><td>5,9</td><td>5,0</td><td>6,7</td><td>9,7</td><td>9,2</td><td>5,1</td><td>5,9</td><td>14,0</td><td>13,3</td></tr><tr><th>PVCI</th><td>22,8</td><td>20,4</td><td>16,1</td><td>16,9</td><td>8,5</td><td>9,9</td><td>2,8</td><td>3,3</td><td>2,0</td><td>2,5</td><td>8,1</td><td>7,4</td><td>14,7</td><td>13,4</td></tr><tr><th>PVCV</th><td>25,8</td><td>26,7</td><td>28,1</td><td>29,8</td><td>14,3</td><td>18,9</td><td>3,2</td><td>5,1</td><td>7,9</td><td>9,2</td><td>6,6</td><td>7,9</td><td>20,7</td><td>21,1</td></tr><tr><th>Inconnues</th><td>7,5</td><td></td><td>4,7</td><td></td><td>8,9</td><td></td><td>2,0</td><td></td><td>2,4</td><td></td><td>7,6</td><td></td><td>6,2</td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>
<figure><img src="image_73.png" /><figcaption>Figure 40 : Répartition du linéaire par matériau constaté sur l'échantillon et prédit par le modèle (Const = Constaté, Pred = Prédit)</figcaption></figure>
## 20. Annexe 10 : Modèles Matériau sans FI et PVCI

Estimation de la classe de matériau F (fonte)

Coefficients du modèle

<table><thead><tr><th>Fonte</th><th></th><th>AEAG</th><th>AEAP</th><th>AELB</th><th>AERM</th><th>AERMC</th><th>AESN</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>R<sup>2</sup></td><td>0,9136</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Intercept</td><td>847,313</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>DBN</td><td></td><td>-22,322</td><td>-1,400</td><td>2,106</td><td>3,327</td><td>-8,303</td><td>7,355</td></tr><tr><td>HPBC3</td><td></td><td>745,630</td><td>278,688</td><td>2161,862</td><td>174,601</td><td>418,537</td><td>271,761</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL2</td><td></td><td>-605,127</td><td>-3330,68</td><td>-5295,10</td><td>-1090,618</td><td>-506,816</td><td>-889,660</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL3</td><td></td><td>2125,058</td><td>-1774,30</td><td>-2765,28</td><td>-1882,96</td><td>282,119</td><td>-256,889</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL4</td><td></td><td>5794,245</td><td>2440,995</td><td>4522,261</td><td>-2397,557</td><td>1871,807</td><td>3471,543</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL5</td><td></td><td>-487,580</td><td>-1077,81</td><td>-2353,00</td><td>-1786,300</td><td>804,236</td><td>-432,231</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL6</td><td></td><td>1840,351</td><td>-788,241</td><td>-2507,76</td><td>-1762,401</td><td>735,544</td><td>-1058,412</td></tr><tr><td>CAN</td><td></td><td>0,255</td><td>-0,051</td><td>0,060</td><td>0,615</td><td>0,476</td><td>0,451</td></tr><tr><td>RC2</td><td></td><td>-0,003</td><td>0,038</td><td>0,170</td><td>-0,028</td><td>0,124</td><td>-0,006</td></tr><tr><td>RC3</td><td></td><td>-0,013</td><td>0,070</td><td>-0,025</td><td>-0,019</td><td>0,003</td><td>-0,319</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_200</td><td></td><td>7126,20</td><td>3356,35</td><td>16029,73</td><td>1356,157</td><td>1812,117</td><td>4290,896</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_300</td><td></td><td>5074,975</td><td>13356,31</td><td>19781,56</td><td>4534,52</td><td>9099,05</td><td>11303,49</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_50</td><td></td><td>-10081,8</td><td>5693,19</td><td>-10782,9</td><td>-3596,610</td><td>-11867,11</td><td>-7652,29</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PPsup90</td><td></td><td>-315,701</td><td>2496,569</td><td>-11236,0</td><td>-14,578</td><td>801,865</td><td>-47,276</td></tr><tr><td>POP</td><td></td><td>3,322</td><td>2,263</td><td>3,043</td><td>0,937</td><td>0,155</td><td>-0,199</td></tr><tr><td>POPCAN</td><td></td><td>-59587,2</td><td>-17404,6</td><td>-45825,0</td><td>-3793,792</td><td>-23465,14</td><td>698,708</td></tr><tr><td>SU</td><td></td><td>-1,28E-06</td><td>0,0038</td><td>0,0038</td><td>0,0021</td><td>0,0017</td><td>0,0025</td></tr><tr><td>GS</td><td></td><td>-0,00012</td><td>-8,50E-05</td><td>2,66E-05</td><td>-2,10E-05</td><td>-9,85E-05</td><td>9,33E-05</td></tr><tr><td>BS</td><td></td><td>-0,0015</td><td>0,0030</td><td>-0,0374</td><td>-0,0110</td><td>0,0236</td><td>0,0272</td></tr><tr><td>TXSC1</td><td></td><td>10985,53</td><td>-1050,74</td><td>-7094,61</td><td>-4559,16</td><td>8944,21</td><td>-16271,75</td></tr><tr><td>TXSC2</td><td></td><td>5209,13</td><td>-449,98</td><td>-25226,5</td><td>-1049,59</td><td>-2621,91</td><td>-14252,27</td></tr></tbody></table>

Résultats Monte-Carlo : Ecarts entre linéaire constaté et prédit Fonte sur le linéaire constaté Fonte

<figure><img src="image_74.png" /></figure>
Estimation de la classe de matériau FD (fonte ductile)

Coefficients du modèle

<table><thead><tr><th>Fonte ductile</th><th></th><th>AEAG</th><th>AEAP</th><th>ELB</th><th>AERM</th><th>AERMC</th><th>AESN</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>R<sup>2</sup></td><td>0,8745</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Intercept</td><td>-2190,03</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>DBN</td><td></td><td>-34,0640</td><td>-2,5311</td><td>-18,9821</td><td>9,7766</td><td>6,0926</td><td>-5,2441</td></tr><tr><td>DBSC1</td><td></td><td>-10098,5</td><td>8923,47</td><td>-1910,76</td><td>6383,4826</td><td>-20145,99</td><td>-10768,53</td></tr><tr><td>DBSC2</td><td></td><td>-94835,5</td><td>72260,94</td><td>-26860,1</td><td>27988,44</td><td>-88590,93</td><td>1904,5412</td></tr><tr><td>DPOP</td><td></td><td>21,2983</td><td>-4,7898</td><td>5,5952</td><td>-1,8478</td><td>8,6491</td><td>1,1959</td></tr><tr><td>HPBC3</td><td></td><td>-31,4404</td><td>376,9165</td><td>1222,270</td><td>260,1399</td><td>266,6542</td><td>296,5674</td></tr><tr><td>CAN</td><td></td><td>0,1312</td><td>0,0885</td><td>0,0020</td><td>0,3177</td><td>0,2716</td><td>0,0800</td></tr><tr><td>RC2</td><td></td><td>0,3564</td><td>0,1594</td><td>0,2801</td><td>0,2310</td><td>0,2790</td><td>0,1563</td></tr><tr><td>RC3</td><td></td><td>-0,1015</td><td>0,1026</td><td>0,0087</td><td>0,1050</td><td>0,0164</td><td>-0,0561</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_125</td><td></td><td>3663,701</td><td>4305,31</td><td>3082,384</td><td>1420,4545</td><td>2856,7718</td><td>2944,6252</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_200</td><td></td><td>5268,437</td><td>3494,193</td><td>11090,53</td><td>2951,8250</td><td>6322,4294</td><td>4307,5168</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_300</td><td></td><td>8256,633</td><td>8131,072</td><td>14491,80</td><td>9044,1497</td><td>5700,7668</td><td>20434,1429</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP45</td><td></td><td>-7437,50</td><td>-979,44</td><td>409,7486</td><td>-2115,7996</td><td>-10450,67</td><td>-4029,7665</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP65</td><td></td><td>-2101,91</td><td>-3956,30</td><td>-1696,31</td><td>-1737,4461</td><td>-4314,53</td><td>-1567,212</td></tr><tr><td>POP</td><td></td><td>-0,8150</td><td>2,6573</td><td>1,7087</td><td>1,4634</td><td>-1,3854</td><td>-0,6015</td></tr><tr><td>DBSCAR5</td><td></td><td>-94505,8</td><td>23465,22</td><td>35070,55</td><td>9141,5651</td><td>-38530,41</td><td>-22853,37</td></tr><tr><td>SU</td><td></td><td>-0,0010</td><td>0,0015</td><td>-0,0004</td><td>-0,0003</td><td>0,0025</td><td>-0,0005</td></tr><tr><td>BS</td><td></td><td>0,0434</td><td>-0,0490</td><td>-0,0007</td><td>-0,0431</td><td>0,0376</td><td>0,0591</td></tr><tr><td>TXSC1</td><td></td><td>10485,40</td><td>16670,89</td><td>6448,41</td><td>5766,3032</td><td>-9133,75</td><td>15189,0617</td></tr><tr><td>TXSC3</td><td></td><td>3147,666</td><td>-1032,08</td><td>-4168,64</td><td>-727,5621</td><td>2472,2327</td><td>-4,3507</td></tr></tbody></table>

Résultats Monte-Carlo : Ecarts entre linéaire constaté et prédit Fonte ductile sur le linéaire constaté Fonte ductile

<figure><img src="image_75.png" /></figure>
Estimation de la classe de matériau FG (fonte grise)

Coefficients du modèle

<table><thead><tr><th>Fonte grise</th><th></th><th>AEAG</th><th>AEAP</th><th>ELB</th><th>AERM</th><th>AERMC</th><th>AESN</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>R<sup>2</sup></td><td>0,7243</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Intercept</td><td>-1429,31</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>DBNC1</td><td></td><td>-0,328</td><td>-1,019</td><td>-2,575</td><td>-0,638</td><td>-2,389</td><td>0,989</td></tr><tr><td>DBNC4</td><td></td><td>-2,094</td><td>-0,811</td><td>84,104</td><td>10,695</td><td>-10,602</td><td>4,440</td></tr><tr><td>DBSC2</td><td></td><td>55583,64</td><td>4057,507</td><td>62256,76</td><td>3277,887</td><td>54512,731</td><td>-43235,112</td></tr><tr><td>DBSC4</td><td></td><td>-252525</td><td>33253,86</td><td>-1024949</td><td>-166592,7</td><td>57116,752</td><td>-131050,0</td></tr><tr><td>DPOP</td><td></td><td>-9,471</td><td>-0,693</td><td>0,246</td><td>-0,859</td><td>-0,366</td><td>-0,480</td></tr><tr><td>HPBC1</td><td></td><td>77,169</td><td>142,634</td><td>627,989</td><td>98,571</td><td>462,033</td><td>-130,462</td></tr><tr><td>HPBC3</td><td></td><td>356,382</td><td>53,181</td><td>628,523</td><td>81,557</td><td>331,622</td><td>-152,620</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL2</td><td></td><td>34,819</td><td>-3726,92</td><td>-361,868</td><td>-290,865</td><td>394,278</td><td>834,779</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL3</td><td></td><td>1111,906</td><td>-160,435</td><td>-40,518</td><td>-353,296</td><td>673,721</td><td>1541,367</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL4</td><td></td><td>13413,07</td><td>2305,578</td><td>7447,626</td><td>-516,915</td><td>-971,577</td><td>1058,967</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL5</td><td></td><td>-367,137</td><td>-251,305</td><td>-236,485</td><td>-609,510</td><td>851,291</td><td>2514,040</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL6</td><td></td><td>784,955</td><td>398,005</td><td>149,735</td><td>-350,579</td><td>475,544</td><td>2003,213</td></tr><tr><td>CAN</td><td></td><td>0,024</td><td>0,227</td><td>0,038</td><td>0,442</td><td>0,045</td><td>0,379</td></tr><tr><td>RC2</td><td></td><td>-0,131</td><td>-0,003</td><td>0,133</td><td>-0,035</td><td>-0,240</td><td>-0,021</td></tr><tr><td>RC3</td><td></td><td>-0,010</td><td>-0,147</td><td>-0,013</td><td>-0,058</td><td>0,036</td><td>-0,200</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_50</td><td></td><td>-2596,66</td><td>2153,325</td><td>-6106,58</td><td>-703,141</td><td>-4960,344</td><td>-4693,228</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP45</td><td></td><td>17785,39</td><td>7610,635</td><td>15353,78</td><td>3547,427</td><td>10531,741</td><td>7822,461</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP65</td><td></td><td>2813,197</td><td>2650,704</td><td>3230,660</td><td>3214,906</td><td>2112,764</td><td>4134,206</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PPsup90</td><td></td><td>-1622,74</td><td>372,348</td><td>-3763,40</td><td>-1027,838</td><td>-2660,921</td><td>-69,126</td></tr><tr><td>POP</td><td></td><td>2,669</td><td>0,400</td><td>0,264</td><td>0,094</td><td>1,201</td><td>0,244</td></tr><tr><td>TXSC2</td><td></td><td>-32815,1</td><td>-2673,44</td><td>-13965,0</td><td>-15381,755</td><td>5423,690</td><td>-5798,700</td></tr></tbody></table>

Résultats Monte-Carlo : Ecarts entre linéaire constaté et prédit Fonte grise sur le linéaire constaté Fonte grise

<figure><img src="image_76.png" /></figure>
Estimation de la classe de matériau PVC

Coefficients du modèle

<table><thead><tr><th>PVC</th><th></th><th>AEAG</th><th>AEAP</th><th> AELB</th><th>AERM</th><th>AERMC</th><th>AESN</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>R<sup>2</sup></td><td>0,8815</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Intercept</td><td>-1745,60</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>HPBC3</td><td></td><td>-581,699</td><td>115,138</td><td>-1959,99</td><td>-119,447</td><td>-191,774</td><td>-102,311</td></tr><tr><td>CAN</td><td></td><td>0,696</td><td>0,155</td><td>0,863</td><td>0,270</td><td>0,355</td><td>0,261</td></tr><tr><td>RC2</td><td></td><td>-0,015</td><td>-0,097</td><td>-0,128</td><td>0,051</td><td>0,013</td><td>-0,041</td></tr><tr><td>RC3</td><td></td><td>0,037</td><td>-0,040</td><td>0,029</td><td>0,030</td><td>0,070</td><td>0,370</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_200</td><td></td><td>-8185,59</td><td>-363,734</td><td>-17548,1</td><td>-953,408</td><td>-938,843</td><td>-2519,789</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_300</td><td></td><td>-12249,3</td><td>-3804,99</td><td>-27284,8</td><td>-3269,066</td><td>-10055,10</td><td>-11212,102</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_50</td><td></td><td>14184,93</td><td>7835,562</td><td>12541,04</td><td>3268,796</td><td>14370,957</td><td>7459,040</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP80</td><td></td><td>1091,608</td><td>221,548</td><td>5876,533</td><td>3087,789</td><td>-431,238</td><td>764,233</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP90</td><td></td><td>1389,000</td><td>-465,486</td><td>5688,711</td><td>2007,550</td><td>2713,639</td><td>3522,909</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PPsup90</td><td></td><td>2460,973</td><td>1897,069</td><td>11484,80</td><td>745,658</td><td>-660,763</td><td>566,021</td></tr><tr><td>POP</td><td></td><td>-2,808</td><td>-1,184</td><td>-2,325</td><td>-0,800</td><td>-0,444</td><td>-0,098</td></tr><tr><td>POPCAN</td><td></td><td>80538,08</td><td>2808,710</td><td>62926,92</td><td>12332,373</td><td>20573,193</td><td>2371,964</td></tr><tr><td>DBSCAR2</td><td></td><td>-124,132</td><td>853,636</td><td>2490,991</td><td>414,889</td><td>-3861,337</td><td>3957,234</td></tr><tr><td>SU</td><td></td><td>-0,0005</td><td>-0,0006</td><td>-0,0026</td><td>-0,0021</td><td>-0,0021</td><td>-0,0016</td></tr><tr><td>BS</td><td></td><td>-0,0011</td><td>0,0289</td><td>0,0031</td><td>0,0129</td><td>-0,0067</td><td>-0,0087</td></tr><tr><td>TXSC3</td><td></td><td>-5346,33</td><td>-483,64</td><td>-1949,52</td><td>1541,06</td><td>876,65</td><td>-3295,34</td></tr></tbody></table>

Résultats Monte-Carlo : Ecarts entre linéaire constaté et prédit PVC sur le linéaire constaté PVC

<figure><img src="image_77.png" /></figure>
# Estimation de la classe de matériau PVCR

## Coefficients du modèle

<table><thead><tr><th>PVCR</th><th></th><th>AEAG</th><th>AEAP</th><th>ELB</th><th>AERM</th><th>AERMC</th><th>AESN</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>R<sup>2</sup></td><td>0,7827</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Intercept</td><td>-1393,73</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>BSC1</td><td></td><td>-0,0231</td><td>0,0003</td><td>0,0065</td><td>0,0245</td><td>0,0278</td><td>-0,0125</td></tr><tr><td>BSC2</td><td></td><td>-0,0882</td><td>-0,0178</td><td>-0,0173</td><td>0,0208</td><td>-0,0097</td><td>-0,0107</td></tr><tr><td>HPBC1</td><td></td><td>-64,7895</td><td>18,9651</td><td>-455,367</td><td>-43,4001</td><td>-118,0422</td><td>42,1298</td></tr><tr><td>HPBC3</td><td></td><td>-620,999</td><td>-33,3279</td><td>-188,516</td><td>21,0417</td><td>-124,4839</td><td>-41,1673</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL2</td><td></td><td>1105,304</td><td>94,9877</td><td>-4221,43</td><td>42,9507</td><td>718,0203</td><td>336,2236</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL3</td><td></td><td>1381,639</td><td>1000,489</td><td>-7694,79</td><td>1050,0298</td><td>-120,1666</td><td>545,4215</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL4</td><td></td><td>1482,880</td><td>1556,594</td><td>-9685,86</td><td>1898,2428</td><td>1026,9733</td><td>-311,8934</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL5</td><td></td><td>796,2188</td><td>804,9919</td><td>-5560,62</td><td>837,6261</td><td>-82,9389</td><td>316,1911</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL6</td><td></td><td>1215,20</td><td>1285,268</td><td>-6594,25</td><td>1048,8924</td><td>243,3106</td><td>667,8996</td></tr><tr><td>CAN</td><td></td><td>0,1180</td><td>0,0508</td><td>0,2607</td><td>0,1271</td><td>0,1584</td><td>0,0778</td></tr><tr><td>RC3</td><td></td><td>-0,0133</td><td>-0,0216</td><td>0,0661</td><td>-0,0350</td><td>0,0443</td><td>0,0436</td></tr><tr><td>RC4</td><td></td><td>-0,0135</td><td>-0,0580</td><td>-0,2665</td><td>0,0733</td><td>-0,0166</td><td>-0,0283</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_200</td><td></td><td>-5081,80</td><td>-938,688</td><td>-9420,12</td><td>-819,676</td><td>-1534,455</td><td>-1837,0148</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_300</td><td></td><td>-6321,87</td><td>-2439,57</td><td>-14608,6</td><td>-2635,438</td><td>-3003,958</td><td>-6819,4187</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP90</td><td></td><td>18842,89</td><td>321,3174</td><td>31334,71</td><td>3108,5668</td><td>6040,490</td><td>7120,5394</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PPsup90</td><td></td><td>14904,05</td><td>3012,91</td><td>25585,88</td><td>2182,0449</td><td>3674,6452</td><td>3002,4775</td></tr><tr><td>POP</td><td></td><td>-0,4491</td><td>-0,5934</td><td>-1,6096</td><td>-0,8684</td><td>-0,2626</td><td>-0,0134</td></tr><tr><td>SU</td><td></td><td>0,0014</td><td>-0,0004</td><td>-0,0017</td><td>-0,0010</td><td>-0,0017</td><td>-0,0001</td></tr><tr><td>GSC4</td><td></td><td>0,00020</td><td>0,00011</td><td>-8,77E-05</td><td>-8,89E-06</td><td>9,30E-06</td><td>-2,64E-05</td></tr><tr><td>BS</td><td></td><td>0,0212</td><td>0,0175</td><td>0,0397</td><td>0,0023</td><td>-0,0149</td><td>0,0062</td></tr></tbody></table>

## Résultats Monte-Carlo : Ecarts entre linéaire constaté et prédit PVCR sur le linéaire constaté PVCR

<figure><img src="image_78.png" /></figure>
Estimation de la classe de matériau PVCV
Coefficients du modèle

<table><thead><tr><th>PVCV</th><th></th><th>AEAG</th><th>AEAP</th><th> AELB</th><th> AERM</th><th> AERMC</th><th> AESN</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>R<sup>2</sup></td><td>0,8213</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Intercept</td><td>-1523,37</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>DBSC1</td><td></td><td>3892,955</td><td>-3218,21</td><td>14802,43</td><td>4626,112</td><td>12157,248</td><td>2478,658</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL2</td><td></td><td>564,094</td><td>851,266</td><td>-744,581</td><td>642,444</td><td>311,693</td><td>-1520,660</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL3</td><td></td><td>-1872,23</td><td>1175,797</td><td>472,304</td><td>1149,757</td><td>148,413</td><td>-2505,469</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL4</td><td></td><td>-1852,99</td><td>1209,911</td><td>-1485,58</td><td>1413,573</td><td>406,921</td><td>-637,848</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL5</td><td></td><td>-60,679</td><td>745,552</td><td>-716,174</td><td>1153,319</td><td>-101,365</td><td>-2904,193</td></tr><tr><td>LABEL6</td><td></td><td>-1459,00</td><td>876,570</td><td>765,435</td><td>1107,544</td><td>274,312</td><td>-1879,186</td></tr><tr><td>CAN</td><td></td><td>0,525</td><td>0,078</td><td>0,586</td><td>0,151</td><td>0,162</td><td>0,262</td></tr><tr><td>RC1</td><td></td><td>-0,227</td><td>-0,024</td><td>-0,208</td><td>-0,094</td><td>-0,004</td><td>-0,237</td></tr><tr><td>RC2</td><td></td><td>-0,033</td><td>-0,035</td><td>-0,070</td><td>-0,034</td><td>-0,018</td><td>-0,084</td></tr><tr><td>RC3</td><td></td><td>0,011</td><td>0,009</td><td>-0,025</td><td>0,022</td><td>0,067</td><td>0,244</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_300</td><td></td><td>-5524,12</td><td>-1204,15</td><td>-14074,4</td><td>-2937,233</td><td>-5079,350</td><td>-8176,676</td></tr><tr><td>Part_DIA_50</td><td></td><td>10837,18</td><td>8486,756</td><td>11688,93</td><td>2495,967</td><td>11413,083</td><td>7738,814</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP80</td><td></td><td>1863,037</td><td>130,066</td><td>7252,534</td><td>2631,045</td><td>-592,667</td><td>2244,834</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PP90</td><td></td><td>-17735,8</td><td>-2315,60</td><td>-23414,6</td><td>-1433,437</td><td>-4771,723</td><td>-3693,583</td></tr><tr><td>Part_PPsup90</td><td></td><td>-13876,4</td><td>-1180,62</td><td>-12799,5</td><td>-1192,669</td><td>-3417,459</td><td>-2432,201</td></tr><tr><td>POP</td><td></td><td>-1,609</td><td>-0,235</td><td>-0,606</td><td>-0,223</td><td>0,009</td><td>-0,085</td></tr><tr><td>POPCAN</td><td></td><td>66292,49</td><td>1765,893</td><td>53835,71</td><td>479,614</td><td>4138,512</td><td>4275,065</td></tr><tr><td>SBCar2</td><td></td><td>-906,085</td><td>-40,093</td><td>-1831,38</td><td>390,114</td><td>-184,580</td><td>2556,893</td></tr><tr><td>BS</td><td></td><td>0,0009</td><td>0,0030</td><td>-0,0244</td><td>0,0019</td><td>-0,0170</td><td>0,0013</td></tr></tbody></table>

Résultats Monte-Carlo : Ecarts entre linéaire constaté et prédit PVCV sur le linéaire constaté PVCV

<figure><img src="image_79.png" /></figure>
Ecart au niveau national entre valeur constatée et estimée pour chaque matériau sur la longueur totale constatée.

<figure><img src="image_80.png" /><figcaption>France</figcaption></figure>
Ecart pour chaque Agence entre valeur constatée et estimée pour chaque matériau, ramené à la longueur totale constatée

<figure><img src="image_81.png" /></figure>

<figure><img src="image_82.png" /></figure>

<figure><img src="image_83.png" /></figure>

<figure><img src="image_84.png" /></figure>

<figure><img src="image_85.png" /></figure>

<figure><img src="image_86.png" /></figure>
## 21. Annexe 11 : Caractéristiques du réseau dans les DROM (15 765 km)

<table><caption>Répartition des longueurs de canalisation par DROM et par diamètre (en km)</caption><thead><tr><th></th><th>Guadeloupe</th><th>Guyane</th><th>Réunion</th><th>Mayotte</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th>&lt;=50 mm</th><td>198</td><td>40</td><td>884</td><td>43</td></tr><tr><th>60-80 mm</th><td>379</td><td>207</td><td>426</td><td>178</td></tr><tr><th>100 mm</th><td>1 024</td><td>505</td><td>1 081</td><td>223</td></tr><tr><th>125-150 mm</th><td>762</td><td>218</td><td>643</td><td>168</td></tr><tr><th>200-250 mm</th><td>345</td><td>214</td><td>470</td><td>104</td></tr><tr><th>&gt;=300 mm</th><td>269</td><td>226</td><td>273</td><td>98</td></tr><tr><th>Inconnu</th><td>144</td><td>35</td><td>3 127</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><th>Total</th><td>3 119</td><td>1 444</td><td>6 904</td><td>818</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><caption>Répartition des longueurs de canalisation par DROM et par matériau (en km)</caption><thead><tr><th></th><th>Martinique</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th>&lt;50 mm</th><td>14</td></tr><tr><th>50 - 99 mm</th><td>665</td></tr><tr><th>100 - 199 mm</th><td>1 465</td></tr><tr><th>200 - 299 mm</th><td>180</td></tr><tr><th>&gt; 300 mm</th><td>158</td></tr><tr><th>Inconnu</th><td>996</td></tr><tr><th>TOTAL</th><td>3 479</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th></th><th>Guadeloupe</th><th>Martinique</th><th>Guyane</th><th>Réunion</th><th>Mayotte</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th>F</th><td>2 009</td><td>1 117</td><td>305</td><td>2 274</td><td>690</td></tr><tr><th>PVC</th><td>531</td><td>2 071</td><td>1 089</td><td>991</td><td>112</td></tr><tr><th>A</th><td>21</td><td>2</td><td>0</td><td>28</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><th>AC</th><td>193</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>59</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><th>DIVERS</th><td>23</td><td>234</td><td>15</td><td>491</td><td>15</td></tr><tr><th>Inconnu</th><td>343</td><td>55</td><td>34</td><td>3 061</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><th>Total</th><td>3 119</td><td>3 479</td><td>1 444</td><td>6 904</td><td>818</td></tr></tbody></table>
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