# Lack of temporal correlations between COVID pandemic waves and the occurrence of malignant ventricular arrhythmias

Deborah Foltran, Céline Guilbeau-Frugier, Nathan Marimpouy, Maxime Beneyto, Miloud Cherbi, Vanina Bongard, Philippe Maury

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## ► To cite this version:

Deborah Foltran, Céline Guilbeau-Frugier, Nathan Marimpouy, Maxime Beneyto, Miloud Cherbi, et al.. Lack of temporal correlations between COVID pandemic waves and the occurrence of malignant ventricular arrhythmias. EP-Europace, 2023, 25 (12), pp.euad357. 10.1093/europace/euad357. hal-04492107

HAL Id: hal-04492107

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# Lack of temporal correlations between COVID pandemic waves and the occurrence of malignant ventricular arrhythmias

Deborah Foltran ID, Céline Guilbeau-Frugier ID, Nathan Marimpouy, Maxime Beneyto ID, Miloud Cherbi, Vanina Bongard ID, and Philippe Maury ID*

Cardiology, University Hospital Toulouse, 1, avenue du Pr Jean Poulhès - TSA 50032- 31059 Toulouse cedex 9, France

Received 8 October 2023; accepted after revision 14 November 2023; online publish-ahead-of-print 5 December 2023

**Aims**

Correlations between malignant ventricular arrhythmias and the COVID waves have never been investigated.

**Methods and results**

Prevalence of malignant ventricular arrhythmias/sudden cardiac death has been correlated to the four COVID waves between the onset of pandemic and end 2021. No significant correlation was present in the temporal evolution of both COVID patients/positive tests and incidence of malignant ventricular arrhythmias, which tended to decrease after vaccination onset.

**Conclusion**

We present evidence of complex higher-order periodicities and the co-existence of such regions with stable non-chaotic areas in ex vivo human hearts. We infer that the oscillation of the calcium cycling machinery is the primary mechanism of higher-order dynamics. These higher-order regions may act as niduses of instability and may provide targets for substrate-based ablation of VF.

**Keywords**

COVID • Ventricular arrhythmias • Pandemic • Sudden death

Association between COVID-19 and sudden death (SD) has been repetitively underlined at the very onset of the pandemic. However, causal relationship between SD and COVID-19 remained sometimes elusive, whereas evolution of the incidence of malignant ventricular arrhythmias (VA) regarding the succession of pandemic waves has never been investigated.

Number of hospitalizations for COVID and number of COVID positive tests (pharyngeal swab) for the whole Midi-Pyrénées area (retrieved from the Agence Regionale de Santé) were used as a surrogate of regional pandemic and grouped according to the four successive pandemic waves observed in this area between March 2020 and end 2021.

Number of electrical storm (ES), ablations for ventricular tachycardia (VT) (outside ES), and number of cardiac SD at the Toulouse University Hospital were grouped according to the same four pandemic waves. Cardiac SD was defined at necropsy by the lack of any extra cardiac cause in patients deceased from SD. Since pandemic waves were not equal in duration, the number of COVID patients, COVID positive tests, ES, SD, and VT ablations for each wave were then divided by the duration of the considered wave and expressed per month. Monthly number of STEMI referred at our institution was also collected. Monthly number of COVID-vaccinations for the whole area was also available

since onset of vaccination in 2021. COVID and vaccination status were available for each living patient.

Temporal evolution of all these parameters was then compared. Relationships between two time series were evaluated by the cross-correlation function (R Studio®) and correlation coefficients were assessed by multiple correlation testing (Excell tool pack®). No approval for ethical committee was sought (epidemiological anonymous data).

There was no significant correlation between the temporal evolutions of hospitalizations for COVID or COVID positive tests and the number of ES, VT ablations, cardiac SD, or total VA according to the four COVID waves experienced in our area ($P$ = ns for each, $r < 0.7$). Lack of significant association between COVID patients or tests and STEMI was also noted. A decrease in VA seems to occur concomitantly to the vaccination (see Figure 1). Only four hospitalized patients for VT ablation or ES were diagnosed with COVID infection (two with ongoing, two with remote infections), and 45% of them were vaccinated after onset 2021.

Our data tends to demonstrate that COVID pandemic waves were not temporally correlated to cardiac SD and VA in patients free from COVID infection, while VA incidence rather decreased after the onset

<footnote>* Corresponding author. Tel: +33 (0) 5 61 32 30 54; fax: +33 (0) 5 61 32 22 46. E-mail address: mauryjphil@hotmail.com</footnote>

<footnote>© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.</footnote>

<footnote>This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.</footnote>
<figure><img src="image_3.png" /><figcaption>**Figure 1** Temporal evolution of monthly number of COVID patients/tests, vaccinations, and malignant ventricular arrhythmias grouped according to the four main COVID pandemic waves. The number of vaccinated subjects or COVID tests were divided by 20 and 100 for graphical grounds. SD, sudden death; ES, electrical storm; VT, ventricular tachycardia; total VA, total ventricular arrhythmias.</figcaption></figure>

of vaccination. To the best of our knowledge, there is no previous report of temporal relationship between COVID and VA. Most previous studies had shown some relationship between COVID pandemic and out of hospital cardiac arrest (CA), but all these were performed at the very onset of pandemic and no longer association all along the course of the pandemic had been reported to date. Second, most did not either investigate the precise aetiology of SD (which could have been related to respiratory causes in a relevant part), while causal relationship with COVID infection was either not investigated or considered minor. Significant increase in CA and VA in early pandemic was noted in initial reports and significantly correlated to the incidence of COVID in the general population¹⁻³ with only a limited number with proved or suspected COVID infection.¹,²,⁴ In opposition, a significant 32% reduction in VA in ICD patients was noted in a large US population during the initial pandemic, potentially explained by the lockdown and its multiple and sometimes opposite consequences⁵ together with substantial reductions in the number of cardiac interventions undertaken.⁶ No further association over the following COVID waves has been reported however. Hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin, drugs sometimes used in some countries at the onset of the pandemic, have little impact on

QT duration and do not induce any substrate prone to arrhythmia in COVID-19 patients with normal cardiac repolarization reserve⁷ and were not used anyway in our area.

## Conclusion

COVID pandemic waves were not related to the incidence of VA in the absence of acute or remote COVID infection. This means that the multiple consequences of social distancing (i.e. delayed medical management) did not have led to an increase in the occurrence of VA. Finally, there was no increase in VA after vaccination.

**Conflict of interest:** None declared.

## Data availability

Data available on demand.

## References

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