Toolserver is useless and the last dump hasn't even finished yet, so probably two weeks until another one.  It is a pretty simple query though, make a table or a list of all fair use cats (well, most.. the category system is fucked up) and then do categorylinks -> page > imagelinks -> page on namespace 0 group by page_id/title (I think it is on the scratch page... somewhere, if it isn't I'll throw something up).  I might be able to pull a set of image links from query.php and either compare them versus categories from query.php (but they are also being thrown around so I would have to manually make a new list) or versus a list of fair use images that existed a month ago.