# Opinion polling for the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election held on 3 March. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

## Poll trackers

Trackers of voting intentions and other election-related polling:
* Europe Elects
* Politico
* Politpro
* ERR (in Estonian)
* Reitingud (in Estonian)

## Polling results
### 2023

| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | Isamaa | SDE | E200 | EER | Parem | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
| Election Results | 5 Mar | N/A | 31.2 | 15.3 | 16.1 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 13.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 15.1 | 48.7 | 51.3 |
| Election Results | 5 Mar | N/A | 37 | 16 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | 8.0 | 54 | 47 |
| Norstat | 28 Feb-3 Mar | 1,000 | 33.1 | 14.9 | 15.6 | 7.3 | 7.7 | 15.4 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 17.5 | 48.1 | 52.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 28 Feb-2 Mar | 1,613 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 14.3 | 7.2 | 11.5 | 15.3 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 13.0 | 47.7 | 52.3 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 20-28 Feb | 600–700 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 51 |
| Norstat | 21-27 Feb | 1,000 | 24.8 | 19.0 | 25.2 | 8.8 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 42.2 | 57.8 |
| Faktum & Ariko | 20-27 Feb | 959 | 24 | 17 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 60 |
| Kantar Emor | 20-22 Feb | 1,577 | 28.2 | 13.9 | 18.1 | 9.1 | 10.4 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 10.1 | 48.7 | 50.5 |
| Norstat | 14-20 Feb | 1,000 | 29.0 | 17.9 | 21.7 | 10.3 | 6.6 | 9.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 45.9 | 52.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 13-16 Feb | 1,595 | 31.0 | 16.2 | 17.2 | 7.3 | 8.6 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 46.9 | 51.4 |
| Norstat | 7-13 Feb | 1,000 | 27.5 | 20.6 | 21.1 | 8.4 | 7.1 | 10.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 6.4 | 43 | 55.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 6-9 Feb | 1,493 | 31.8 | 15.8 | 18.6 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 12.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 13.2 | 48.6 | 51.0 |
| Norstat | 31 Jan - 6 Feb | 1,000 | 31.9 | 18.1 | 22.8 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 46 | 53 |
| Kantar Emor | 30 Jan - 2 Feb | 1,554 | 30.3 | 16.4 | 19.3 | 7.0 | 8.3 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 11.0 | 45.6 | 52.8 |
| Norstat | 24-30 Jan | 1,000 | 27.7 | 19.5 | 21.5 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 13.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 42.2 | 56.8 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 27 Jan | 600–700 | 26 | 16 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 57 |
| Kantar Emor | 19-26 Jan | 1,639 | 31.5 | 16.0 | 19.1 | 5.6 | 7.6 | 12.4 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 12.4 | 44.7 | 52.4 |
| Norstat | 17-23 Jan | 1,000 | 31.7 | 21.3 | 18.4 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 12.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 10.4 | 44.8 | 54.7 |
| Norstat | 10-16 Jan | 1,000 | 30.4 | 17.8 | 20.0 | 8.3 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 10.4 | 48.2 | 51.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 5-11 Jan | 1,639 | 28 | 18 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 55 |
| Norstat | 2-9 Jan | 1,000 | 34.2 | 16.9 | 23.3 | 4.8 | 8.4 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 8.9 | 47.4 | 52.1 |

### 2022

| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | Isamaa | SDE | E200 | EER | Parem | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
| Norstat | 20-27 Dec | 1,000 | 31.0 | 16.5 | 22.8 | 9.1 | 5.6 | 10.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 45.7 | 54.3 |
| Norstat | 13-19 Dec | 1,000 | 31.5 | 15.2 | 24.6 | 6.5 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 45.7 | 54.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 8-16 Dec | 1,510 | 30 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 52 |
| Norstat | 6-12 Dec | 1,000 | 31.3 | 15.1 | 27.1 | 8.3 | 6.0 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 45.6 | 54.4 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6 Dec | 600–700 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 51 |
| Norstat | 29 Nov-5 Dec | 1,000 | 34.0 | 15.5 | 24.0 | 5.4 | 7.5 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10.0 | 46.9 | 53.1 |
| Norstat | 22-28 Nov | 1,000 | 33.6 | 17.0 | 23.7 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 10.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 9.9 | 46.0 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 15-21 Nov | 1,000 | 32.5 | 18.1 | 24.3 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 8.2 | 47.1 | 52.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 10-17 Nov | 1,512 | 31 | 15 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 55 |
| Norstat | 8-14 Nov | 1,000 | 33.7 | 16.8 | 23.6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 10.1 | 47.5 | 52.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 9 Nov | 600–700 | 32 | 11 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 53 |
| Norstat | 1-6 Nov | 1,000 | 33.5 | 15.1 | 25.7 | 8.9 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 47.6 | 52.4 |
| Norstat | 26-31 Oct | 1,000 | 31.0 | 14.9 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 44.9 | 55.1 |
| Norstat | 18-25 Oct | 1,000 | 34.2 | 15.3 | 26.3 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 8.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 47.2 | 52.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 13-19 Oct | 1,469 | 28 | 14 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 56 |
| Norstat | 11-17 Oct | 1,000 | 32.2 | 11.6 | 28.8 | 8.9 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 47.5 | 52.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 12 Oct | 600–700 | 29 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 56 |
| Norstat | 4-10 Oct | 1,000 | 32.2 | 13.9 | 27.0 | 6.2 | 7.7 | 9.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 46.1 | 51.7 |
| Norstat | 27 Sep-3 Oct | 1,000 | 33.5 | 11.9 | 27.8 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 47.3 | 51.2 |
| Norstat | 20–26 Sep | 1,000 | 28.3 | 19.6 | 27.4 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 8.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 40.5 | 57.8 |
| Norstat | 13–19 Sep | 1,000 | 30.5 | 16.7 | 27.7 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 43.0 | 56.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 16 Sep | 500–700 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 15 | 49 | 47.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 8-14 Sep | 1,431 | 29 | 14 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 48 | 52 |
| Norstat | 6-12 Sep | 1,000 | 30.4 | 15.4 | 24.7 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 1.7 | — | 3.1 | 5.7 | 47.1 | 40.1 |
| Norstat | 27 Aug-5 Sep | 1,000 | 31.1 | 13.6 | 22.9 | 8.1 | 9.3 | 11.1 | 2.1 | — | 1.8 | 8.2 | 48.5 | 36.5 |
| Norstat | 23-29 Aug | 1,000 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 24.9 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 46 | 54 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 25 Aug | 600–700 | 28 | 15 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 2 | — | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 |
| Norstat | 16-22 Aug | 1,000 | 35.1 | 15.2 | 20.1 | 9.9 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 2.2 | — | 1.1 | 8.6 | 52.4 | 47.6 |
| Kantar Emor | 11-22 Aug | 1,514 | 31 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 2 | — | 1 | 12 | 49 | 51 |
| | 18 Aug | | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | Isamaa | SDE | E200 | EER | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
| Norstat | 9-15 Aug | 1,000 | 31.8 | 19.2 | 23.2 | 7.2 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 47 | 53 |
| Norstat | 2-8 Aug | 1,000 | 35.5 | 14.5 | 19.1 | 7.6 | 11 | 9.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 16.4 | 54.1 | 45.9 |
| Norstat | 25 Jul-1 Aug | 1,000 | 35.5 | 16.6 | 21.8 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 13.7 | 53 | 47 |
| Norstat | 19-25 Jul | 1,000 | 32.8 | 16.3 | 21.0 | 8.1 | 9.2 | 10.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 11.8 | 50.1 | 49.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–20 Jul | 1,501 | 30 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 49 |
| | 18 Jul | | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE |
| Norstat | 12–18 Jul | 1,000 | 33.9 | 18.0 | 16.8 | 10.7 | 8.8 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 15.9 | 33.9 | 66.1 |
| Norstat | 5–11 Jul | 1,000 | 32.4 | 16.9 | 18.5 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 13.9 | 32.4 | 67.6 |
| Norstat | 27 Jun – 4 Jul | 1,000 | 32.5 | 17.9 | 21.1 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 11.4 | 32.5 | 67.5 |
| Norstat | 14–20 Jun | 1,000 | 34.1 | 16.0 | 22.6 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 34.1 | 65.9 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 17 Jun | 600–700 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 55 |
| Kantar Emor | 9–14 Jun | 1,537 | 32 | 15 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 32 | 68 |
| Norstat | 7–13 Jun | 1,000 | 35.0 | 16.6 | 21.3 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 13.7 | 35.0 | 65.0 |
| Norstat | 1–6 Jun | 1,000 | 33.5 | 20.5 | 20.8 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 10.4 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 12.7 | 33.5 | 66.5 |
| | 2 Jun | | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | The ministers of Kesk were dismissed |
| Norstat | 24–30 May | 1,000 | 34.7 | 16.7 | 19.4 | 6.4 | 7.0 | 13.7 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 15.3 | 52.4 | 47.6 |
| Norstat | 16–23 May | 1,000 | 35.4 | 17.2 | 18.5 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 12.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 16.9 | 52.6 | 47.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–20 May | 1,461 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 49 | 51 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 19 May | 600–700 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 45 | 55 |
| Norstat | 10–16 May | 1,000 | 33.3 | 14.7 | 20.6 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 12.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 12.7 | 48.0 | 52.0 |
| Norstat | 4–9 May | 1,000 | 35.9 | 16.5 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 13.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 16.9 | 52.4 | 47.6 |
| Norstat | 26 Apr – 2 May | 1,000 | 30.6 | 19.4 | 23.3 | 4.7 | 7.1 | 12.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Norstat | 19–25 Apr | 1,000 | 34.0 | 16.7 | 21.0 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 14.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 13.0 | 50.7 | 49.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–20 Apr | 1,495 | 25 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 59 |
| Norstat | 12–18 Apr | 1,000 | 30.9 | 18.5 | 22.5 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 8.4 | 49.4 | 50.6 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 18 Apr | 600–700 | 30 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 56 |
| Norstat | 6–11 Apr | 1,000 | 32.1 | 16.0 | 20.8 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 16.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 11.3 | 48.1 | 51.9 |
| Norstat | 28 Mar – 4 Apr | 1,000 | 29.3 | 16.6 | 21.4 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 19.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 7.9 | 45.9 | 54.1 |
| Norstat | 21–28 Mar | 1,000 | 31.7 | 16.2 | 22.0 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 17.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 47.9 | 52.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 19 Mar | 600–700 | 23 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 37 | 63 |
| Norstat | 14–18 Mar | ≥1,000 | 28.0 | 17.6 | 20.6 | 5.1 | 9.3 | 16.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 7.4 | 45.6 | 54.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–16 Mar | 1274 | 26 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 44 | 56 |
| Norstat | 8–14 Mar | ≥1,000 | 24.5 | 18.9 | 24.3 | 6.6 | 7.3 | 18.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 43.4 | 56.6 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Mar | ≥1,000 | 31.2 | 13.7 | 18.9 | 5.8 | 8.1 | 19.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 44.9 | 55.1 |
| | 24 Feb 2022 | | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine |
| Norstat | 22–28 Feb | ≥1,000 | 26.5 | 14.9 | 22.6 | 6.3 | 7.7 | 20.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 41.4 | 58.6 |
| Norstat | 15–21 Feb | ≥1,000 | 23.3 | 18.2 | 21.8 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 17.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 41.5 | 58.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–18 Feb | 1503 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 61 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 18 Feb | 600–700 | 18 | 15 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 23 | – | 6 | 1 | 33 | 67 |
| Norstat | 8–14 Feb | ≥1,000 | 23.1 | 18.6 | 19.5 | 7.2 | 8.1 | 20.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 41.7 | 58.3 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Feb | ≥1,000 | 23.5 | 19.6 | 21.0 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 18.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 43.1 | 56.9 |
| Norstat | 25–31 Jan | ≥1,000 | 18.2 | 23.1 | 27.7 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 16.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 41.3 | 58.7 |
| Norstat | 18–24 Jan | ≥1,000 | 21.9 | 21.8 | 20.3 | 7.3 | 9.0 | 18.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 43.7 | 56.7 |
| Kantar Emor | 13–21 Jan | 1220 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 61 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 12–17 Jan | 873 | 18 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 20 | – | 3 | 4 | 38 | 62 |
| Norstat | 11–17 Jan | ≥1,000 | 22.0 | 20.6 | 24.9 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 17.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 42.6 | 57.4 |
| Norstat | 5–10 Jan | ≥1,000 | 24.4 | 18.6 | 23.9 | 5.9 | 8.7 | 15.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 43.0 | 57.0 |
| Norstat | 27 Dec – 4 Jan | ≥1,000 | 27.4 | 21.2 | 20.5 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 15.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 48.6 | 51.4 |

### 2021

| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | Isamaa | SDE | E200 | EER | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
| Norstat | 14-20 Dec | ≥1,000 | 24.2 | 22.1 | 19.9 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 16.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 46.3 | 53.7 |
| Kantar Emor | 9-15 Dec | 1220 | 19 | 17 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 64 |
| Norstat | 7–13 Dec | ≥1,000 | 27.1 | 18.7 | 22.4 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 14.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 45.8 | 54.2 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Dec | ≥1,000 | 22.3 | 19.2 | 19.5 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 16.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 41.5 | 57.4 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 30 Nov-7 Dec | 1,009 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 59 |
| Norstat | 23–29 Nov | ≥1,000 | 19.8 | 22.3 | 21.3 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 16.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 42.1 | 56.1 |
| Norstat | 16–22 Nov | ≥1,000 | 20.0 | 20.8 | 24.4 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 40.8 | 58.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 11–17 Nov | 1,045 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 1 | Tie | 36 | 63 |
| Norstat | 9–15 Nov | ≥1,000 | 22.0 | 23.6 | 23.0 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 12.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 45.6 | 54.8 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 4–9 Nov | 1,000 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 59 |
| Norstat | 2–8 Nov | ≥1,000 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 25.5 | 8.0 | 9.4 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 41.0 | 58.2 |
| Norstat | 26 Oct–2 Nov | ≥1,000 | 20.8 | 22.8 | 21.9 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 16.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 43.6 | 56.0 |
| Norstat | 20–25 Oct | ≥1,000 | 22.8 | 20.3 | 24.0 | 8.3 | 7.3 | 14.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 43.1 | 55.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–20 Oct | 1,218 | 23 | 18 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 58 |
| Norstat | 13–18 Oct | ≥1,000 | 23.5 | 18.1 | 26.4 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 41.6 | 57.0 |
| Norstat | 5–12 Oct | ≥1,000 | 26.7 | 19.7 | 22.0 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 11.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 46.4 | 51.3 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 4–8 Oct | 1,000 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 53 |
| Norstat | 28 Sep–5 Oct | ≥1,000 | 22.8 | 19.8 | 26.3 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 12.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 42.6 | 56.0 |
| Norstat | 22–27 Sep | ≥1,000 | 22.9 | 22.3 | 24.6 | 7.9 | 9.0 | 11.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 45.2 | 54.1 |
| Kantar Emor | 16–21 Sep | 1,060 | 27 | 16 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 56 |
| Norstat | 14–20 Sep | ≥1,000 | 24.1 | 15.4 | 26.1 | 5.9 | 10.1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 39.5 | 58.1 |
| Norstat | 8–13 Sep | ≥1,000 | 25.6 | 21.3 | 23.6 | 6.2 | 9.8 | 10.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 46.9 | 52.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–15 Sep | 1,003 | 24 | 17 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 56 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Sep | ≥1,000 | 24.7 | 19.2 | 24.6 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 12.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 43.9 | 55.0 |
| Norstat | 25–31 Aug | ≥1,000 | 28.2 | 17.7 | 22.0 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 13.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 45.9 | 53.1 |
| Norstat | 17–24 Aug | ≥1,000 | 30.0 | 18.1 | 23.1 | 5.8 | 9.2 | 11.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 6.9 | 48.1 | 51.6 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–17 Aug | 1,058 | 25 | 16 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 58 |
| Norstat | 9–16 Aug | ≥1,000 | 32.1 | 17.3 | 18.3 | 5.0 | 8.5 | 14.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 13.8 | 49.4 | 49.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 5–13 Aug | 1,000 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 55 |
| Norstat | 3–7 Aug | ≥1,000 | 29.9 | 18.8 | 23.5 | 5.9 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 48.7 | 50.3 |
| Norstat | 27 Jul–2 Aug | ≥1,000 | 28.8 | 17.8 | 24.8 | 5.8 | 7.6 | 12.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 46.6 | 52.6 |
| Norstat | 20–27 Jul | ≥1,000 | 33.9 | 15.0 | 23.2 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 13.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 10.7 | 48.9 | 51.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–22 Jul | 1,001 | 23 | 20 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 56 |
| Norstat | 13–19 Jul | ≥1,000 | 29.5 | 16.3 | 26.3 | 6.2 | 6.9 | 12.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 45.8 | 53.5 |
| Norstat | 6–12 Jul | ≥1,000 | 28.8 | 17.7 | 24.4 | 6.3 | 7.0 | 12.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 46.5 | 51.2 |
| Norstat | 28 Jun–4 Jul | ≥1,000 | 30.0 | 20.4 | 21.0 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 11.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 9.0 | 50.4 | 48.0 |
| Norstat | 15–21 Jun | ≥1,000 | 28.7 | 18.9 | 21.1 | 4.7 | 9.2 | 13.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 47.6 | 50.6 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–16 Jun | 997 | 25 | 18 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5.0 | 43 | 55 |
| Norstat | 8–14 Jun | ≥1,000 | 26.6 | 18.8 | 25.5 | 5.6 | 8.5 | 10.9 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 45.4 | 52.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 3–10 Jun | 1,000 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 55 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Jun | ≥1,000 | 29.6 | 20.5 | 21.1 | 5.2 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8.5 | 50.1 | 48.8 |
| Norstat | 26–31 May | ≥1,000 | 29.3 | 21.0 | 19.9 | 5.9 | 8.2 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 8.3 | 50.3 | 48.0 |
| Norstat | 19–25 May | ≥1,000 | 31.8 | 17.9 | 20.6 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 13.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 11.2 | 49.7 | 49.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–18 May | 1,050 | 28 | 16 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 56 |
| Norstat | 12–17 May | ≥1,000 | 32.5 | 18.1 | 21.2 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 13.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 11.3 | 50.6 | 48.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–11 May | 1,002 | 26 | 20 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 46 | 51 |
| Norstat | 4–10 May | ≥1,000 | 30.4 | 18.7 | 20.5 | 4.4 | 8.4 | 15.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 9.9 | 49.1 | 49.9 |
| Norstat | 27 Apr–3 May | ≥1,000 | 29.1 | 20.7 | 23.9 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 11.9 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5.2 | 49.8 | 48.5 |
| Norstat | 20–26 Apr | ≥1,000 | 33.4 | 22.3 | 15.6 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 12.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 11.1 | 55.7 | 42.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 15–21 Apr | 1,110 | 27 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 46 | 51 |
| Norstat | 13–19 Apr | ≥1,000 | 29.7 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 16.9 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 10.4 | 49.0 | 49.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 8–14 Apr | 1,010 | 27 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 51 |
| Norstat | 7–12 Apr | ≥1,000 | 30.5 | 17.3 | 21.2 | 5.7 | 8.2 | 13.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 47.8 | 50.2 |
| Norstat | 30 Mar–5 Apr | ≥1,000 | 34.4 | 20.1 | 19.6 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 10.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 54.5 | 43.6 |
| Norstat | 23–29 Mar | ≥1,000 | 35.2 | 20.7 | 18.2 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 12.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 55.9 | 43.6 |
| Norstat | 17–22 Mar | ≥1,000 | 33.3 | 19.4 | 17.7 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 12.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 13.9 | 52.7 | 45.6 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 9–15 Mar | 1,005 | 26 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 52 |
| Norstat | 10–15 Mar | ≥1,000 | 31.5 | 23 | 20.5 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 10.1 | 2 | 1.6 | 8.5 | 54.5 | 43.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 11–16 Mar | 1,114 | 28 | 18 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 53 |
| Norstat | 2–8 Mar | ≥1,000 | 36.7 | 17 | 20.3 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 16.4 | 53.7 | 45.2 |
| Norstat | 23 Feb–1 Mar | ≥1,000 | 35.4 | 18.8 | 20.5 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 11.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 14.9 | 54.2 | 44.7 |
| Norstat | 16–22 Feb | ≥1,000 | 35.3 | 19.3 | 18.1 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 16 | 54.6 | 44.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 10–15 Feb | 1,005 | 28 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 51 |
| Kantar Emor | 11–15 Feb | 1,124 | 30 | 17 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 51 |
| Norstat | 9–15 Feb | ≥1,000 | 35.2 | 15.5 | 20.2 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 15 | 50.7 | 48.2 |
| Norstat | 2–8 Feb | ≥1,000 | 34.6 | 20.7 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 5 | 11.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 13.9 | 55.3 | 41.9 |
| Norstat | 26 Jan–1 Feb | ≥1,000 | 32.3 | 18.6 | 17.1 | 5.1 | 7.7 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 13.7 | 50.9 | 47.8 |
| | 26 Jan | | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk |
| Norstat | 18–25 Jan | ≥1,000 | 31.6 | 20.7 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 15.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 10.9 | 45.1 | 54.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 12–21 Jan | 1008 | 27 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 57 |
| Norstat | 12–18 Jan | ≥1,000 | 28.7 | 21.8 | 16.3 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 45.1 | 53.1 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–19 Jan | 1,219 | 27 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 58 |
| | 14 Jan | | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved |
| Norstat | 5–11 Jan | ≥1,000 | 29.5 | 20.9 | 15.1 | 5.2 | 8.7 | 15.2 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 8.6 | 41.2 | 55.3 |
| Norstat | 29 Dec–4 Jan | ≥1,000 | 29.6 | 22.1 | 14.7 | 5.5 | 8.8 | 15.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 7.5 | 42.3 | 55.6 |

### 2020

| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | I | SDE | E200 | Green | TULE | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
| Norstat | 16–21 Dec | ≥1,000 | 28.1 | 20.9 | 15.9 | 7.4 | 6.4 | 17.3 | 2.1 | — | 1.9 | 7.2 | 44.2 | 53.9 |
| Norstat | 9–14 Dec | ≥1,000 | 26.4 | 21.5 | 14.2 | 5.9 | 8.6 | 18.1 | 3.1 | — | 2.2 | 4.9 | 41.6 | 56.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 3–9 Dec | 1,151 | 27 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 1 | — | 9 | 40 | 60 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Dec | ≥1,000 | 31.2 | 21.4 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 8.1 | 15.4 | 1.7 | — | 3.5 | 9.8 | 40.1 | 59.9 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 27 Nov–7 Dec | 881 | 21 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 54 |
| Norstat | 24–30 Nov | ≥1,000 | 28.8 | 22.8 | 14.7 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 15.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 42.4 | 55.4 |
| Norstat | 17–23 Nov | ≥1,000 | 29.6 | 21.0 | 13.1 | 6.5 | 9.4 | 14.8 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 40.6 | 57.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 13–18 Nov | 1,281 | 28 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 3 | 2 | — | 10 | 39 | 61 |
| Norstat | 11–16 Nov | ≥1,000 | 33.7 | 19.6 | 14.6 | 6.0 | 8.3 | 13.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 14.1 | 40.2 | 58.3 |
| Norstat | 3–9 Nov | ≥1,000 | 29.7 | 24.5 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 9.1 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 45.5 | 53.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 30 Oct–9 Nov | 854 | 23 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 51 |
| Norstat | 27 Oct–2 Nov | ≥1,000 | 31.5 | 21.0 | 18.2 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 10.5 | 44.1 | 51.6 |
| Norstat | 22–26 Oct | ≥1,000 | 35.1 | 20.3 | 14.2 | 6.9 | 8.6 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 41.4 | 56.3 |
| Norstat | 14–20 Oct | ≥1,000 | 29.4 | 25.0 | 17.2 | 6.1 | 9.1 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 48.3 | 50.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 1–15 Oct | 873 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 50 | 45 |
| Kantar Emor | 8–14 Oct | 1,268 | 33 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 62 |
| Norstat | 6–13 Oct | ≥1,000 | 32.2 | 22.3 | 18.1 | 4.4 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 9.9 | 44.8 | 53.0 |
| Norstat | 28 Sep–5 Oct | ≥1,000 | 35.1 | 21.2 | 15.7 | 5.7 | 9.6 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 13.9 | 42.6 | 56.4 |
| Norstat | 23–28 Sep | ≥1,000 | 31.4 | 22.8 | 17.0 | 4.2 | 12.1 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 8.6 | 44 | 52.7 |
| Kantar Emor | 17–23 Sep | 1,089 | 32 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 62 |
| Norstat | 15–21 Sep | ≥1,000 | 34.7 | 21.6 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 13.1 | 40.7 | 55.6 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 07–17 Sep | 1,010 | 27 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 45 | 55 |
| Norstat | 9–15 Sep | ≥1,000 | 32.5 | 22.5 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 10.0 | 42.1 | 55.2 |
| Norstat | 2–9 Sep | ≥1,000 | 33.3 | 26.2 | 15.5 | 4.6 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7.1 | 46.3 | 52.8 |
| Norstat | 25–31 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.0 | 24.5 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 44.7 | 53.9 |
| | 20 Aug | | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | I | SDE | E200 | Green | EVA | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
| Norstat | 17–25 Aug | ≥1,000 | 35.5 | 20.9 | 16.1 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 9.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 14.6 | 42.8 | 54.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 12–24 Aug | 1,003 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 48 |
| Kantar Emor | 13–19 Aug | 1,268 | 30 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 58 |
| Norstat | 10–17 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.0 | 22.9 | 15.4 | 6.1 | 9.8 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 44.4 | 53.6 |
| Norstat | 4–10 Aug | ≥1,000 | 32.1 | 19.4 | 19.0 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 9.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 12.7 | 44.6 | 52.2 |
| Norstat | 27 Jul–3 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.0 | 22.5 | 18.4 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 10.5 | 46.8 | 52.1 |
| Norstat | 21–28 Jul | ≥1,000 | 31.2 | 24.1 | 18.6 | 6.4 | 8.7 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 49.1 | 49.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 16–22 Jul | 1,125 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 57 |
| Norstat | 14–20 Jul | ≥1,000 | 34.0 | 23.5 | 16.8 | 5.6 | 8.7 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.5 | 45.9 | 52.2 |
| Norstat | 7–13 Jul | ≥1,000 | 32.3 | 23.2 | 15.8 | 4.4 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 9.1 | 43.4 | 52.6 |
| Norstat | 29 Jun–6 Jul | ≥1,000 | 32.1 | 22.9 | 14.8 | 6.1 | 9.2 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 43.8 | 54 |
| Norstat | 16–22 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30.3 | 26.1 | 16.0 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 9.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 48 | 51 |
| Norstat | 9–16 Jun | ≥1,000 | 31.7 | 27.0 | 16.3 | 5.9 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 49.2 | 49.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 9–15 Jun | 1,004 | 33 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 46 | 55 |
| Kantar Emor | Jun | 1,268 | 28 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 54 |
| Norstat | 1–8 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30.3 | 22.8 | 20.3 | 4.7 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 47.8 | 48.9 |
| Norstat | 25 May–1 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30.8 | 24.5 | 16.7 | 5.6 | 9.3 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 46.8 | 49.5 |
| Norstat | 18–25 May | ≥1,000 | 32.4 | 27.1 | 12.4 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 5.3 | 45.8 | 51.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–20 May | 1,268 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 52 |
| Norstat | 12–18 May | ≥1,000 | 30.8 | 26.0 | 16.7 | 4.6 | 7.3 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 47.3 | 49.7 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 7–15 May | 1,004 | 30 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 51 |
| Norstat | 06–12 May | ≥1,000 | 29.1 | 25.0 | 18.0 | 5.9 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 48.9 | 48.3 |
| Norstat | 24 Apr–5 May | ≥1,000 | 29.8 | 23.8 | 19.2 | 4.6 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 47.6 | 51.2 |
| Norstat | 21–27 Apr | ≥1,000 | 29.3 | 27.8 | 18.1 | 5.3 | 8.1 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 51.2 | 45.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 20–22 Apr | 1,280 | 30 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 55 |
| Norstat | 15–20 Apr | ≥1,000 | 34.6 | 22.3 | 18.1 | 5.2 | 8.2 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 12.3 | 45.6 | 52.0 |
| Norstat | 7–14 Apr | ≥1,000 | 32.9 | 23.5 | 16.3 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 9.4 | 46.1 | 51.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–7 Apr | 1,000 | 27 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 49 |
| Norstat | 31 Mar–6 Apr | ≥1,000 | 33.5 | 25.7 | 14.1 | 5.1 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 7.8 | 44.9 | 51.9 |
| Norstat | 24–30 Mar | ≥1,000 | 29.7 | 30.4 | 15.9 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 50.4 | 46.9 |
| Norstat | 18–23 Mar | ≥1,000 | 29.6 | 26.1 | 16.9 | 5.4 | 8.6 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 48.4 | 48.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–18 Mar | 1,118 | 29 | 17 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 3 | − | 2 | 8 | 42 | 56 |
| Norstat | 10–16 Mar | ≥1,000 | 30.7 | 26.2 | 16.5 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 49.0 | 49.7 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–16 Mar | 1,056 | 26 | 22 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 51 |
| Norstat | 04–9 Mar | ≥1,000 | 29.5 | 21.6 | 16.9 | 6.1 | 10.5 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 7.9 | 44.6 | 52.2 |
| Norstat | 26 Feb–2 Mar | ≥1,000 | 33.2 | 24.2 | 16.3 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 9.0 | 46.3 | 50.4 |
| Norstat | 19–26 Feb | ≥1,000 | 33.2 | 19.3 | 18.4 | 6.9 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 13.9 | 44.6 | 53.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 1–22 Feb | — | 31 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 3 | − | 1 | 13 | 39 | 60 |
| Norstat | 13–18 Feb | ≥1,000 | 30.9 | 22.4 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 7.9 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 46.4 | 52.3 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–17 Feb | 808 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 2 | − | 1 | 1 | 45 | 54 |
| Norstat | 04–11 Feb | ≥1,000 | 33.8 | 20.0 | 17.5 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 44.8 | 53.4 |
| Norstat | 28 Jan–3 Feb | ≥1,000 | 35.1 | 20.8 | 15.6 | 5.9 | 10.2 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 14.3 | 42.3 | 56.7 |
| Norstat | 23–27 Jan | ≥1,000 | 35.9 | 19.3 | 12.7 | 6.0 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 16.6 | 38.0 | 59.6 |
| Kantar Emor | 1–31 Jan | — | 30 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 57 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 17–27 Jan | 808 | 25 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 50 |
| Norstat | 16–24 Jan | ≥1,000 | 35.0 | 22.8 | 14.6 | 5.6 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 12.2 | 43.0 | 55.6 |
| Norstat | 8–14 Jan | ≥1,000 | 32.2 | 24.3 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 7.9 | 45.6 | 52.2 |
| Norstat | 3–7 Jan | ≥1,000 | 34.1 | 23.6 | 15.8 | 6.3 | 8.2 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 45.7 | 52.8 |

### 2019

| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | I | SDE | E200 | Green | EVA | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
| Norstat | 18–23 Dec | ≥1,000 | 30.3 | 22.0 | 16.1 | 5.9 | 11.9 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 44.0 | 53.6 |
| Norstat | 11–17 Dec | ≥1,000 | 34.3 | 22.5 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 11.8 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.8 | 41.4 | 56.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 5–12 Dec | 1,407 | 34.8 | 17.9 | 15.6 | 6.3 | 13.7 | 7.7 | 2 | — | 2 | 9.2 | 39.8 | 58.2 |
| Norstat | 2–9 Dec | ≥1,000 | 35.4 | 21.1 | 16.3 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 43.4 | 54.7 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 28 Nov–9 Dec | 1,014 | 29 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 48 |
| Norstat | 25–29 Nov | ≥1,000 | 36.4 | 23.5 | 11.9 | 8.1 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 12.9 | 43.5 | 53.6 |
| Norstat | 18–25 Nov | ≥1,000 | 36.1 | 24.0 | 12.2 | 6.8 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 43.0 | 54.9 |
| Norstat | 11–15 Nov | ≥1,000 | 35.4 | 26.1 | 12.6 | 7.2 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 9.3 | 45.9 | 50.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 7–13 Nov | 1,407 | 27.7 | 16.2 | 18.5 | 6.2 | 16.2 | 9.5 | 4 | 1 | 1.7 | 9.2 | 40.9 | 57.4 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 31 Oct–12 Nov | 1,019 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 45.0 | 54 |
| Norstat | 5–11 Nov | ≥1,000 | 32.6 | 24.3 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 10.9 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 48.3 | 50.7 |
| Norstat | 28 Oct–5 Nov | ≥1,000 | 36.2 | 22.9 | 15.8 | 5.8 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 13.3 | 44.5 | 53.7 |
| Norstat | 22–28 Oct | ≥1,000 | 36.1 | 23.4 | 17.7 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 12.7 | 46.6 | 51.4 |
| Norstat | 15–21 Oct | ≥1,000 | 36.3 | 23.4 | 15.6 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 14.9 | 45.6 | 51.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–16 Oct | 1,182 | 32.5 | 17.6 | 16.6 | 6.2 | 12.4 | 9.4 | 2.9 | — | 1.7 | 14.9 | 40.4 | 57.9 |
| Norstat | 9–14 Oct | ≥1,000 | 30.7 | 25.8 | 17.6 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 50.5 | 48.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 3–13 Oct | 1,040 | 32 | 22 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | 10 | 45.0 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 1–8 Oct | ≥1,000 | 35.6 | 22.2 | 15.2 | 6.5 | 9.2 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 13.4 | 43.9 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 25–30 Sep | ≥1,000 | 32.7 | 24.3 | 15.6 | 7.4 | 8.3 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 8.4 | 47.3 | 50.6 |
| Norstat | 18–23 Sep | ≥1,000 | 37.1 | 20.7 | 18.3 | 5.4 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 17.0 | 44.4 | 53.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 11–19 Sep | 1,161 | 32.8 | 16.5 | 18.4 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 7.5 | 5 | — | 1 | 14.4 | 41.9 | 57.5 |
| Norstat | 10–17 Sep | ≥1,000 | 33.5 | 24.0 | 17.0 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 13.5 | 48.2 | 49.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 5–16 Sep | 1,040 | 32 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 45.0 | 53.0 |
| Norstat | 3–9 Sep | ≥1,000 | 33.9 | 23.7 | 15.1 | 7.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 10.2 | 46.6 | 50.8 |
| Norstat | 27 Aug–2 Sep | ≥1,000 | 35.9 | 24.6 | 14.8 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 11.3 | 45.9 | 51.5 |
| Norstat | 21–26 Aug | ≥1,000 | 34.3 | 23.7 | 15.2 | 6.2 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 10.6 | 45.1 | 51.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 15–21 Aug | 1,161 | 36.8 | 16.0 | 17.6 | 4.8 | 13.0 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 19.2 | 43.3 | 56.7 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 9–20 Aug | 1,000 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 45.0 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 13–19 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.9 | 23.0 | 16.9 | 7.1 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 10.9 | 47.0 | 51.7 |
| Norstat | 5–12 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.5 | 22.0 | 16.4 | 9.1 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 11.5 | 47.5 | 51.2 |
| Norstat | 30 Jul–5 Aug | ≥1,000 | 41.0 | 18.9 | 12.7 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 22.1 | 40.1 | 56.9 |
| Norstat | 22–30 Jul | ≥1,000 | 36.2 | 17.8 | 17.7 | 7.1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 18.4 | 42.6 | 54.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 18–24 Jul | 1,305 | 34.5 | 15.3 | 19.4 | 6.8 | 10.8 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 15.1 | 41.5 | 53.2 |
| Norstat | 15–22 Jul | ≥1,000 | 39.1 | 18.3 | 16.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 20.8 | 42.6 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 8–15 Jul | ≥1,000 | 37.7 | 16.4 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 21.3 | 43.2 | 54.2 |
| Norstat | 2–8 Jul | ≥1,000 | 31.9 | 22.3 | 18.0 | 8.2 | 11.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 9.6 | 48.5 | 50.6 |
| Norstat | 26 Jun–1 Jul | ≥1,000 | 34.3 | 20.8 | 17.5 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 13.5 | 47.5 | 51.7 |
| Norstat | 11–19 Jun | ≥1,000 | 37.7 | 20.2 | 15.2 | 5.6 | 13.6 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 17.5 | 41.0 | 57.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 6–13 Jun | 1,129 | 36.0 | 14.7 | 16.7 | 6.9 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 19.3 | 38.3 | 60.1 |
| Norstat | 4–11 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30.3 | 21.4 | 19.1 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 8.9 | 49.2 | 49.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 28 May–10 Jun | 1,000 | 32 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 49 |
| Norstat | 27 May–3 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 48 |
| Norstat | 20–27 May | ≥1,000 | 33.0 | 19.5 | 16.8 | 10.4 | 11.7 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 13.5 | 46.7 | 52.1 |
| | 26 May | | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia |
| Kantar Emor | 20–23 May | 1,390 | 30.6 | 14.7 | 15.0 | 7.9 | 12.1 | 11.8 | — | — | — | 15.6 | 37.6 | 54.4 |
| Norstat | 14–20 May | ≥1,000 | 28.6 | 21.5 | 22.0 | 8.8 | 9.4 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 6.6 | 52.3 | 46.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 2–15 May | 2,037 | 27 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 49 |
| Norstat | 6–13 May | ≥1,000 | 31.8 | 19.4 | 16.2 | 8.0 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 12.4 | 43.6 | 53.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 7–9 May | 1,271 | 33.5 | 15.3 | 16.9 | 6.1 | 12.9 | 11.5 | - | | 3.8 | 16.6 | 38.3 | 57.9 |
| Norstat | 29 Apr–7 May | ≥1,000 | 35.6 | 19.9 | 15.0 | 8.3 | 10.8 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 15.7 | 43.2 | 55.4 |
| Norstat | 22–29 Apr | ≥1,000 | 33.6 | 18.5 | 19.1 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 14.5 | 45.2 | 53.0 |
| | 24 Apr | | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. |
| Norstat | 15–22 Apr | ≥1,000 | 32 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 11.9 | 49.4 | 49.1 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–15 Apr | 1,000 | 32.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 8.5 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | - | 15.3 | 40.9 | 57.8 |
| Norstat | 8–15 Apr | 1,000 | 34.6 | 19.4 | 18 | 7.3 | 10.1 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 16 | 44.7 | 53.4 |
| Norstat | 18 Mar–15 Apr | 4,014 | 33.0 | 20.6 | 17.9 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 2.3 | – | 1.8 | 12.4 | 47.9 | 50.3 |
| Norstat | 1–8 Apr | 1,000 | 33.4 | 22.5 | 14.8 | 11.6 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 10.9 | 48.9 | 49.7 |
| Norstat | 25–29 Mar | 1,000 | 32.5 | 20.5 | 19.1 | 9.0 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 48.6 | 50.4 |
| Norstat | 18–24 Mar | 1,000 | 31.9 | 19.5 | 18.8 | 8.9 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 12.4 | 47.2 | 51.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–21 Mar | 1,214 | 32 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 56.3 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 5–18 Mar | 1,004 | 27 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3.0 | 56.0 | 43.0 |
| Norstat | 11–15 Mar | 1,000 | 36.9 | 19.4 | 12.6 | 11.2 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 17.5 | 43.2 | 54.7 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–13 Mar | 752 | 30 | 19.4 | 18.1 | 7.3 | 12.5 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 10.6 | 44.8 | 53.3 |
| Norstat | 5–11 Mar | 1,000 | 31.9 | 21.2 | 18.1 | 11.4 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 10.7 | 50.7 | 48.2 |
| Election Results | 3 Mar | N/A | 28.9 | 23.1 | 17.8 | 11.4 | 9.8 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 52.3 | 46.1 |
| Election Results | 3 Mar | N/A | 34 | 26 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 8.0 | 57 | 44 |