# 2016 Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick leadership election

The Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick held a leadership election on October 22, 2016, as a result of the resignation of David Alward on September 23, 2014, following his government's defeat in the 2014 provincial election. The Conservatives last had a leadership election in 2008.

## Background

On September 23, 2014, then-Progressive Conservative leader David Alward announced his resignation after his party's government was defeated by the Liberal Party led by Brian Gallant in the 2014 provincial election, which had been held the previous day.
Interest in leadership came almost immediately after Alward's announcement. The following day, Brian Macdonald, the legislative member for Fredericton West-Hanwell made a proposal to serve as interim leader, though he was disinterested in seeking leadership. Don Desserud, a political scientist at the University of Prince Edward Island, considered Trevor Holder as being a strong leadership candidate. It was scheduled for an interim leader to be appointed within weeks, with a leadership convention being held at an unspecified date in the future.

## Declared candidates

* Brian Macdonald - MLA for Fredericton West-Hanwell
    Candidacy declared: January 21, 2016.
    Endorsements: Peter MacKay, Noël Kinsella, Jody Carr, Jeff Carr, Jack Carr, Carl Urquhart
* Blaine Higgs - MLA for Quispamsis (2010–present), Minister of Finance (2010–2014)
    Candidacy declared: March 17, 2016.
    Endorsements: Bill Oliver, Sherry Wilson, Brian Keirstead, Rob Moore, Ernie Steeves
* Monica Barley - Moncton lawyer
    Candidacy declared: April 15, 2016.
    Endorsements: Claude Williams, Ted Flemming
* Mike Allen - MP for Tobique—Mactaquac (2006–2015)
    Candidacy declared: April 21, 2016.
    Endorsements: Kirk MacDonald, Richard Bragdon, Pam Lynch
* Mel Norton - Mayor of Saint John, New Brunswick (2012–2016)
    Candidacy declared: May 4, 2016.
    Endorsements: Gary Crossman, Dorothy Shephard, Trevor Holder, Glen Savoie, Ross Wetmore, Rodney Weston.
* Jake Stewart, MLA for Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin (2010–present)
    Candidacy declared: May 26, 2016.
    Endorsements: Jim Parrott
* Jean Dubé, MLA for Campbellton (2001–2003), MP for Madawaska—Restigouche (1997–2000)
    Candidacy declared: June 27, 2016.
Chose not to endorse: Bruce Fitch, Madeleine Dubé, Bruce Northrup, Stewart Fairgrieve

### Declined candidates

* Madeleine Dubé, MLA for Edmundston-Saint Basile, former Health Minister, Education Minister, and Social Development Minister
* Ted Flemming, MLA for Rothesay, former Health Minister (2012–2014)

## Process

All members who have paid the $40 membership fee were eligible to vote on October 22 at the Aitken Centre or at one of several satellite locations around the province. The election used a one member, one vote process. Balloting continued until one candidate received 50% + 1 of ballots cast. A maximum of four candidates were allowed to proceed to the second ballot. As there was no victor on the second ballot, the lowest placed candidate was dropped from the third and subsequent ballots until one candidate received the required level of support.

## Election results

Up to four candidates with more than 15% is required to move to the second ballot; more than 50% of the vote is required to win the election.

   ### Legend

    = Eliminated from next round
    = Winner
2016 PCNB leadership ballot :
| Candidate | Candidate | First ballot | First ballot | Second ballot | Second ballot | Second ballot | Third ballot | Third ballot | Third ballot |
| Candidate | Candidate | Votes | % | Votes | % | +/- | Votes | % | +/- |
| | Blaine Higgs | 1,228 | 22.37 | 1,417 | 34.56 | +12.19 | 1,563 | 57.21 | +22.65 |
| | Mel Norton | 1,078 | 19.64 | 993 | 24.22 | +4.58 | 1,169 | 42.79 | +18.57 |
| | Monica Barley | 948 | 17.27 | 861 | 21.00 | +3.73 | Endorsed Norton | Endorsed Norton | Endorsed Norton |
| | Mike Allen | 892 | 16.25 | 829 | 20.22 | +3.97 | Endorsed Higgs | Endorsed Higgs | Endorsed Higgs |
| | Jake Stewart | 700 | 12.75 | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley |
| | Brian Macdonald | 605 | 11.02 | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley | Endorsed Barley |
| | Jean F. Dubé | 39 | 0.71 | Endorsed Higgs | Endorsed Higgs | Endorsed Higgs | Endorsed Higgs | Endorsed Higgs | Endorsed Higgs |

## Timeline

* September 22, 2014 - Provincial election results in the defeat of Premier David Alward's Progressive Conservative government after a single term.
* September 23, 2014 - Alward announces his resignation as party leader.
* October 18, 2014 - Bruce Fitch is chosen by the party caucus to serve as interim leader.
* January 21, 2016 - Brian Macdonald announces his candidacy for leader.
* January 30, 2016 - Party executive meets and sets October 22, 2016 as the date for the leadership convention and announces that the convention will be held at the Aitken Centre in Fredericton.
* March 17, 2016 - Blaine Higgs announces his candidacy for leader.
* April 15, 2016 - Monica Barley announces her candidacy for leader.
* April 21, 2016 - Mike Allen announces his candidacy for leader.
* May 4, 2016 - Mel Norton announces his candidacy for leader.
* May 26, 2016 - Jake Stewart, MLA for Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin announces his candidacy for leader.
* July 27, 2016 - Jean F. Dubé announces his candidacy for leader.
* August 26, 2016 - Due to the large number of candidates the party executive modifies the rules so that only a maximum of four candidates will be permitted to proceed to the second ballot, if one is required.
* October 22, 2016 - Leadership convention is held, Blaine Higgs is elected leader after three ballots.