# West Derbyshire (UK Parliament constituency)

West Derbyshire was a county constituency represented in the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom. From 1885, until it was replaced by the Derbyshire Dales constituency in the 2010 general election, it elected one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post voting system. It was a safe Conservative seat for most of its existence.

## Boundaries

This was the only really safe Conservative seat in Derbyshire, consisting mostly of rural villages and tourist towns like Bakewell and Matlock; Labour's only strengths were in Wirksworth and Masson, not enough to end the long-standing Conservative representation of this seat.

### Boundary review

Following their review of parliamentary representation in Derbyshire, the Boundary Commission for England created a new constituency of Derbyshire Dales based on the existing West Derbyshire constituency.

## History

Historically associated with the Cavendish family, the seat and its predecessors were usually represented by one of the future Dukes of Devonshire or their relatives from 1580 until the Second World War. When the Cavendish family left the Liberals over Irish Home Rule the seat stayed loyal to them as they sat first as Liberal Unionists then as Conservatives. In 1918 the hold on the constituency was briefly broken by Charles Frederick White standing for the Liberals, but the seat was regained in 1923. In a by-election in 1944, White's son, also called Charles Frederick White resigned as the official Labour nominee in order to stand against the wartime party truce. He defeated the Conservative candidate, William Cavendish, Marquess of Hartington, and subsequently took the Labour whip in the Commons, holding the seat in the 1945 general election for Labour. The Conservatives regained the seat in the 1950 general election and have held it ever since. The closest they have come to losing was in the 1986 by-election when they held it by only 100 votes in a period of heavy unpopularity for the government of Margaret Thatcher.

## Members of Parliament

| Year | Member | Whip |
| 1885 | Lord Edward Cavendish | Liberal |
| 1886 | Lord Edward Cavendish | Liberal Unionist |
| 1891 | Victor Cavendish | Liberal Unionist |
| 1908 | Earl of Kerry | Liberal Unionist |
| 1918 | Charles White | Liberal |
| 1923 | Marquess of Hartington | Unionist |
| 1938 | Henry Hunloke | Conservative |
| 1944 | Charles White Jr. | Independent Labour |
| 1945 | Charles White Jr. | Labour |
| 1950 | Edward Wakefield | Conservative |
| 1962 | Aidan Crawley | Conservative |
| 1967 | James Scott-Hopkins | Conservative |
| 1979 | Matthew Parris | Conservative |
| 1986 | Patrick McLoughlin | Conservative |
| 2010 | constituency abolished | constituency abolished |

## Elections
### Elections in the 1880s

General election 1885: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Edward Cavendish | 5,020 | 54.8 | |
| | Conservative | Frederic Charles Arkwright | 4,138 | 45.2 | |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 882 | 9.6 | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 9,158 | 88.8 | |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 10,310 | | |
| | Liberal win (new seat) | Liberal win (new seat) | Liberal win (new seat) | Liberal win (new seat) | Liberal win (new seat) |
General election 1886: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Edward Cavendish | Unopposed | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| | Liberal Unionist gain from Liberal | Liberal Unionist gain from Liberal | Liberal Unionist gain from Liberal | Liberal Unionist gain from Liberal | Liberal Unionist gain from Liberal |

### Elections in the 1890s

1891 West Derbyshire by-election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Victor Cavendish | Unopposed | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold |
General election 1892: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Victor Cavendish | 5,961 | 68.3 | N/A |
| | Liberal | Hugh MacDermot | 2,768 | 31.7 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 3,193 | 36.6 | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 8,729 | 73.0 | N/A |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 11,956 | | |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Swing | N/A | |
General election 1895: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Victor Cavendish | Unopposed | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold |

### Elections in the 1900s

General election 1900: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Victor Cavendish | Unopposed | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold |
1900 West Derbyshire by-election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Victor Cavendish | Unopposed | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold |
General election 1906: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Victor Cavendish | 5,283 | 52.8 | N/A |
| | Liberal | Edward Hinmers | 4,724 | 47.2 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 559 | 5.6 | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 10,007 | 87.5 | N/A |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 11,443 | | |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Swing | N/A | |
1908 West Derbyshire by-election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Henry Petty-Fitzmaurice | Unopposed | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold |

### Elections in the 1910s

General election January 1910: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Henry Petty-Fitzmaurice | 5,974 | 54.8 | +2.0 |
| | Liberal | Edward Hinmers | 4,925 | 45.2 | −2.0 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 1,049 | 9.6 | +4.0 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 10,899 | 91.1 | +3.6 |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 11,962 | | |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Swing | +2.0 | |
General election December 1910: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Unionist | Henry Petty-Fitzmaurice | 5,624 | 55.2 | +0.4 |
| | Liberal | Charles White | 4,564 | 44.8 | −0.4 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 1,060 | 10.4 | +0.8 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 10,188 | 85.2 | −5.9 |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 11,962 | | |
| | Liberal Unionist hold | Liberal Unionist hold | Swing | +0.4 | |
General Election 1914–15:
Another General Election was required to take place before the end of 1915. The political parties had been making preparations for an election to take place and by July 1914, the following candidates had been selected;
* Unionist:Henry Petty-Fitzmaurice
* Liberal: Charles White
General election 1918: Derbyshire West :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Charles White | 10,752 | 55.6 | +10.8 |
| C | Unionist | Henry Petty-Fitzmaurice | 8,592 | 44.4 | −10.8 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 2,160 | 11.2 | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 19,344 | 66.0 | −19.2 |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 29,323 | | |
| | Liberal gain from Unionist | Liberal gain from Unionist | Swing | +10.8 | |
| C indicates candidate endorsed by the coalition government. ||||||

### Elections in the 1920s

General election 1922: Derbyshire West :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Charles White | 13,060 | 50.2 | −5.4 |
| | Unionist | Edward Cavendish | 12,973 | 49.8 | +5.4 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 87 | 0.4 | −10.8 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 26,033 | 86.1 | +20.1 |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 30,231 | | |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | −5.4 | |
General election 1923: Derbyshire West :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Unionist | Edward Cavendish | 13,419 | 50.9 | +1.1 |
| | Liberal | William Christopher Mallison | 12,966 | 49.1 | −1.1 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 453 | 1.8 | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 26,385 | 84.9 | −1.2 |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 31,067 | | |
| | Unionist gain from Liberal | Unionist gain from Liberal | Swing | +1.1 | |
General election 1924: Derbyshire West :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Unionist | Edward Cavendish | 15,324 | 56.9 | +6.0 |
| | Liberal | William Christopher Mallison | 11,612 | 43.1 | −6.0 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 3,712 | 13.8 | +12.0 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 26,936 | 84.8 | −0.1 |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 31,757 | | |
| | Unionist hold | Unionist hold | Swing | +6.0 | |
General election 1929: Derbyshire West :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Unionist | Edward Cavendish | 16,760 | 49.7 | −7.2 |
| | Liberal | William Christopher Mallison | 13,277 | 39.4 | −3.7 |
| | Labour | William Wilkinson | 3,660 | 10.9 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 3,483 | 10.3 | −3.5 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 33,697 | 83.2 | −1.6 |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 40,487 | | |
| | Unionist hold | Unionist hold | Swing | −1.8 | |

### Elections in the 1930s

General election 1931: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Edward Cavendish | Unopposed | N/A | N/A |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Conservative hold |
General election 1935: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Edward Cavendish | Unopposed | N/A | N/A |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Conservative hold |
1938 West Derbyshire by-election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Henry Hunloke | 16,740 | 48.6 | N/A |
| | Labour | Charles White | 11,216 | 32.5 | New |
| | Liberal | Milner Gray | 6,515 | 18.9 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 5,524 | 16.1 | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 34,471 | 79.4 | N/A |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | N/A | |
General Election 1939–40
Another General Election was required to take place before the end of 1940. The political parties had been making preparations for an election to take place from 1939 and by the end of this year, the following candidates had been selected;
* Conservative: Henry Hunloke
* Labour: Charles White
* Liberal: James Ivor Waddington

### Elections in the 1940s

1944 West Derbyshire by-election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Independent Labour | Charles White | 16,336 | 57.7 | N/A |
| | Conservative | Marquess of Hartington | 11,775 | 41.5 | N/A |
| | Agriculturalist | Robert Goodall | 233 | 0.8 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 4,561 | 16.2 | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 28,344 | 65.4 | N/A |
| | Independent Labour gain from Conservative | Independent Labour gain from Conservative | Swing | | |
General election 1945: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Labour | Charles White | 18,331 | 48.8 | +16.3 |
| | Conservative | William Aitken | 18,175 | 48.4 | −0.2 |
| | Agriculturalist | Robert Goodall | 1,068 | 2.8 | N/A |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 156 | 0.4 | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 37,574 | 81.7 | +2.3 |
| | Labour gain from Conservative | Labour gain from Conservative | Swing | | |

### Elections in the 1950s

General election 1950: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Edward Wakefield | 20,015 | 51.9 | +3.5 |
| | Labour | N. Gratton | 13,478 | 35.0 | −13.8 |
| | Liberal | George Frederick Strange | 5,070 | 13.2 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 6,537 | 16.9 | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 33,563 | 87.5 | +5.8 |
| | Conservative gain from Labour | Conservative gain from Labour | Swing | | |
General election 1951: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Edward Wakefield | 22,223 | 58.8 | +6.9 |
| | Labour | Ronald Lewis | 15,578 | 41.2 | +6.2 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 6,645 | 17.6 | +0.7 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 37,801 | 84.4 | −3.1 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election 1955: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Edward Wakefield | 21,052 | 59.6 | +0.8 |
| | Labour | Robert B. Stirling | 14,296 | 40.4 | −0.8 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 6,756 | 19.2 | +1.6 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 35,348 | 80.0 | −4.4 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election 1959: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Edward Wakefield | 22,034 | 61.3 | +1.7 |
| | Labour | Albert E. Kitts | 13,925 | 38.7 | −1.7 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 8,109 | 22.6 | +3.4 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 35,959 | 82.0 | +2.0 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |

### Elections in the 1960s

1962 West Derbyshire by-election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Aidan Crawley | 12,455 | 36.0 | −25.3 |
| | Liberal | Ronald Gardner-Thorpe | 11,235 | 32.5 | New |
| | Labour | John Dilks | 9,431 | 27.2 | −11.5 |
| | Independent | Raymond Gregory | 1,433 | 4.1 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 1,220 | 3.5 | −19.1 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 34,554 | | |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election 1964: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Aidan Crawley | 16,825 | 44.2 | −18.1 |
| | Liberal | Ronald Gardner-Thorpe | 11,559 | 30.4 | N/A |
| | Labour | John Dilks | 9,669 | 25.4 | −13.3 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 5,266 | 13.8 | −8.8 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 38,053 | 85.8 | +3.8 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election 1966: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Aidan Crawley | 18,383 | 49.6 | +5.4 |
| | Labour | Phillip Whitehead | 13,791 | 37.2 | +11.8 |
| | Liberal | Peggy Edwards | 4,874 | 13.2 | −17.2 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 4,592 | 12.4 | −1.4 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 37,048 | 83.4 | −2.4 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
1967 West Derbyshire by-election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | James Scott-Hopkins | 16,319 | 56.7 | +7.1 |
| | Liberal | Michael Aza Pinney | 5,696 | 19.8 | +6.6 |
| | Labour | Robin Corbett | 5,284 | 18.3 | −18.9 |
| | Independent | Robert Goodall | 1,496 | 5.2 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 10,623 | 36.9 | +24.5 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 28,795 | 64.5 | −18.9 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | +13.0 | |

### Elections in the 1970s

General election 1970: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | James Scott-Hopkins | 22,692 | 61.9 | +12.3 |
| | Labour | Fred Inglis | 13,976 | 38.1 | +0.9 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 8,716 | 23.8 | +11.4 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 36,668 | 76.7 | −6.7 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election February 1974: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | James Scott-Hopkins | 19,941 | 48.7 | −13.2 |
| | Liberal | Peter Worboys | 11,481 | 28.0 | New |
| | Labour | Fred Inglis | 9,529 | 23.3 | −14.8 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 8,460 | 20.7 | −3.1 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 40,951 | 61.8 | −14.9 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election October 1974: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | James Scott-Hopkins | 18,468 | 47.9 | −0.8 |
| | Liberal | Peter Worboys | 10,622 | 27.6 | −0.4 |
| | Labour | David Townsend | 9,456 | 24.5 | +1.2 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 7,846 | 20.3 | −0.4 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 38,546 | 57.6 | −4.2 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election 1979: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Matthew Parris | 21,478 | 52.6 | +4.7 |
| | Liberal | Peter Worboys | 11,261 | 27.6 | 0.0 |
| | Labour | William Moore | 8,134 | 19.9 | −4.6 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 10,217 | 25.0 | +4.7 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 40,873 | 80.7 | +23.1 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |

### Elections in the 1980s

General election 1983: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Matthew Parris | 29,695 | 55.9 | +3.3 |
| | Liberal | Viv Bingham | 14,370 | 27.0 | −0.6 |
| | Labour | John March | 9,060 | 17.1 | −2.8 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 15,325 | 28.9 | +3.9 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 53,125 | 77.4 | −3.3 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
1986 West Derbyshire by-election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Patrick McLoughlin | 19,896 | 39.5 | −16.4 |
| | Liberal | Christopher Walmsley | 19,796 | 39.4 | +12.4 |
| | Labour | William Moore | 9,952 | 19.8 | +2.7 |
| | Rainbow Dream Ticket | R. C. Sidwell | 348 | 0.7 | New |
| | Independent | Robert Goodall | 289 | 0.6 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 100 | 0.1 | −28.8 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 50,281 | 71.9 | −5.5 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election 1987: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Patrick McLoughlin | 31,224 | 53.1 | −2.8 |
| | Liberal | Christopher Walmsley | 20,697 | 35.2 | +8.2 |
| | Labour | William Moore | 6,875 | 11.7 | −5.4 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 10,527 | 17.9 | −11.0 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 58,796 | 83.1 | +5.7 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |

### Elections in the 1990s

General election 1992: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Patrick McLoughlin | 32,879 | 54.3 | +1.2 |
| | Liberal Democrats | RD Fearn | 14,110 | 23.3 | −11.9 |
| | Labour | Stephen J Clamp | 13,528 | 22.4 | +10.7 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 18,769 | 31.0 | +13.1 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 60,517 | 85.0 | +1.9 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | +6.6 | |
General election 1997: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Patrick McLoughlin | 23,945 | 42.1 | |
| | Labour | Stephen J Clamp | 19,060 | 33.5 | |
| | Liberal Democrats | Christopher Seeley | 9,940 | 17.5 | |
| | Referendum | John Gouriet | 2,499 | 4.4 | New |
| | Independent Green | Godfrey Meynell | 593 | 1.0 | New |
| | UKIP | Hugh Price | 484 | 0.9 | New |
| | Monster Raving Loony | "The Flying Brick" Delves | 281 | 0.5 | New |
| | Independent Back to Basics | Martin Kyslun | 81 | 0.1 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 4,885 | 8.6 | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 56,883 | 78.2 | |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |

### Elections in the 2000s

General election 2001: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Patrick McLoughlin | 24,280 | 48.0 | +5.9 |
| | Labour | Stephen J Clamp | 16,910 | 33.4 | −0.1 |
| | Liberal Democrats | Jeremy Beckett | 7,922 | 15.7 | −1.8 |
| | UKIP | Stuart Bavester | 672 | 1.3 | +0.4 |
| | Monster Raving Loony | "The Flying Brick" Delves | 472 | 0.9 | +0.4 |
| | Independent | Robert Goodall | 333 | 0.7 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 7,370 | 14.6 | +6.0 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 50,589 | 67.8 | −10.4 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | | |
General election 2005: West Derbyshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Patrick McLoughlin | 24,378 | 47.7 | −0.3 |
| | Labour | David Menon | 13,625 | 26.6 | −6.8 |
| | Liberal Democrats | Ray Dring | 11,408 | 22.3 | +6.6 |
| | UKIP | Michael Cruddas | 1,322 | 2.6 | +1.3 |
| | Monster Raving Loony | "The Flying Brick" Delves | 405 | 0.8 | −0.1 |
| | Independent | Martin Kyslun | 5 | 0.0 | New |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 10,753 | 21.0 | +6.4 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 51,143 | 69.2 | +1.4 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | +3.2 | |