# Post-election pendulum for the 2012 Queensland state election

The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 2012 Queensland state election.
"Very safe" seats require a swing of more than 20 points to change, "safe" seats10–20 points to change, "fairly safe" seats 6–10 points, and "marginal" seats less than 6 points.
* Liberal National seats
* Marginal
* Bulimba
* Aaron Dillaway
* LNP
* 0.1 points
* Maryborough
* Anne Maddern
* LNP v IND
* 0.3 points
* Waterford
* Mike Latter
* LNP
* 1.0 points
* Thuringowa
* Sam Cox
* LNP v KAP
* 1.4 points
* Yeerongpilly
* Carl Judge
* LNP
* 1.4 points
* Lytton
* Neil Symes
* LNP
* 1.6 points
* Greenslopes
* Ian Kaye
* LNP
* 2.5 points
* Sandgate
* Kerry Millard
* LNP
* 2.9 points
* Nudgee
* Jason Woodforth
* LNP
* 3.1 points
* Cook
* David Kempton
* LNP
* 3.4 points
* Hinchinbrook
* Andrew Cripps
* LNP v KAP
* 3.6 points
* Capalaba
* Steve Davies
* LNP
* 3.7 points
* Ipswich
* Ian Berry
* LNP
* 4.2 points
* Logan
* Michael Pucci
* LNP
* 4.8 points
* Townsville
* John Hathaway
* LNP
* 4.8 points
* Brisbane Central
* Robert Cavallucci
* LNP
* 4.9 points
* Mount Coot-tha
* Saxon Rice
* LNP
* 5.4 points
* Morayfield
* Darren Grimwade
* LNP
* 5.6 points
* Ashgrove
* Campbell Newman
* LNP
* 5.7 points
* Fairly safe
* Keppel
* Bruce Young
* LNP
* 6.4 points
* Stafford
* Chris Davis
* LNP
* 7.1 points
* Ipswich West
* Sean Choat
* LNP
* 7.2 points
* Burnett
* Stephen Bennett
* LNP v IND
* 8.5 points
* Cairns
* Gavin King
* LNP
* 8.9 points
* Nanango
* Deb Frecklington
* LNP v KAP
* 9.0 points
* Algester
* Anthony Shorten
* LNP
* 9.1 points
* Barron River
* Michael Trout
* LNP
* 9.5 points
* Ferny Grove
* Dale Shuttleworth
* LNP
* 9.5 points
* Murrumba
* Reg Gulley
* LNP
* 9.5 points
* Stretton
* Freya Ostapovitch
* LNP
* 9.6 points
* Toowoomba North
* Trevor Watts
* LNP
* 9.6 points
* Safe
* Redcliffe
* Scott Driscoll
* LNP
* 10.1 points
* Mundingburra
* David Crisafulli
* LNP
* 10.2 points
* Sunnybank
* Mark Stewart
* LNP
* 10.2 points
* Beaudesert
* Jon Krause
* LNP v KAP
* 10.6 points
* Whitsunday
* Jason Costigan
* LNP
* 10.7 points
* Burleigh
* Michael Hart
* LNP
* 11.0 points
* Mansfield
* Ian Walker
* LNP
* 11.1 points
* Mirani
* Ted Malone
* LNP
* 11.2 points
* Broadwater
* Verity Barton
* LNP
* 11.3 points
* Albert
* Mark Boothman
* LNP
* 11.9 points
* Pumicestone
* Lisa France
* LNP
* 12.1 points
* Kallangur
* Trevor Ruthenberg
* LNP
* 12.4 points
* Burdekin
* Rosemary Menkens
* LNP v KAP
* 12.5 points
* Everton
* Tim Mander
* LNP
* 13.2 points
* Callide
* Jeff Seeney
* LNP v KAP
* 13.5 points
* Pine Rivers
* Seath Holswich
* LNP
* 13.7 points
* Chatsworth
* Steve Minnikin
* LNP
* 13.9 points
* Southport
* Rob Molhoek
* LNP
* 14.7 points
* Lockyer
* Ian Rickuss
* LNP v KAP
* 14.9 points
* Springwood
* John Grant
* LNP
* 15.4 points
* Mount Ommaney
* Tarnya Smith
* LNP
* 16.5 points
* Gympie
* David Gibson
* LNP v KAP
* 17.3 points
* Cleveland
* Mark Robinson
* LNP
* 18.1 points
* Bundaberg
* Jack Dempsey
* LNP
* 18.2 points
* Gaven
* Alex Douglas
* LNP
* 19.1 points
* Indooroopilly
* Scott Emerson
* LNP
* 19.5 points
* Very safe
* Condamine
* Ray Hopper
* LNP v KAP
* 20.1 points
* Currumbin
* Jann Stuckey
* LNP
* 20.2 points
* Glass House
* Andrew Powell
* LNP
* 20.4 points
* Clayfield
* Tim Nicholls
* LNP
* 20.4 points
* Maroochydore
* Fiona Simpson
* LNP
* 20.6 points
* Redlands
* Peter Dowling
* LNP
* 20.9 points
* Caloundra
* Mark McArdle
* LNP
* 21.2 points
* Toowoomba South
* John McVeigh
* LNP
* 21.6 points
* Aspley
* Tracy Davis
* LNP
* 21.7 points
* Hervey Bay
* Ted Sorensen
* LNP
* 21.7 points
* Coomera
* Michael Crandon
* LNP
* 23.3 points
* Moggill
* Bruce Flegg
* LNP
* 23.9 points
* Warrego
* Howard Hobbs
* LNP v IND
* 25.1 points
* Gregory
* Vaughan Johnson
* LNP
* 25.5 points
* Noosa
* Glen Elmes
* LNP v GRN
* 25.5 points
* Mudgeeraba
* Ros Bates
* LNP
* 25.9 points
* Buderim
* Steve Dickson
* LNP
* 26.0 points
* Mermaid Beach
* Ray Stevens
* LNP
* 26.0 points
* Kawana
* Jarrod Bleijie
* LNP
* 26.3 points
* Surfers Paradise
* John-Paul Langbroek
* LNP
* 29.5 points
* Southern Downs
* Lawrence Springborg
* LNP v KAP
* 29.8 points
* Labor seats
* Marginal
* Mackay
* Tim Mulherin
* ALP
* 0.5 points
* Mulgrave
* Curtis Pitt
* ALP
* 1.1 points
* Bundamba
* Jo-Ann Miller
* ALP
* 1.8 points
* Rockhampton
* Bill Byrne
* ALP
* 3.9 points
* South Brisbane
* Anna Bligh
* ALP
* 4.7 points
* Woodridge
* Desley Scott
* ALP
* 5.8 points
* Fairly safe
* Inala
* Annastacia Palaszczuk
* ALP
* 6.9 points
* Katter's Australian Party
* Mount Isa
* Rob Katter
* KAP v LNP
* 10.0 points
* Dalrymple
* Shane Knuth
* KAP v LNP
* 15.2 points
* Independents
* Nicklin
* Peter Wellington
* IND v LNP
* 4.9 points
* Gladstone
* Liz Cunningham
* IND v ALP
* 14.0 points