# 2024 United States Senate election in Texas

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Government :
vte :
The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican incumbent Ted Cruz won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic challenger and U.S. Representative Colin Allred. The primary election took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday.
Original polling showed Cruz as a clear favorite, but polls closer to the election showed a closer race. Cruz ultimately outperformed polling and expectations and won re-election by 8.49 points, improving on his 2018 margin by six points and flipping thirteen counties. Allred did outperform Kamala Harris in the concurrent 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas by 5 points. With slightly over 53% of the vote, Cruz received the lowest vote share for any incumbent Republican senator in the 2024 election cycle. Likewise, Allred received the highest vote share for a Democratic candidate in a seat occupied by a Republican (only Dan Osborn, an Independent running in Nebraska, received a larger vote share for a challenger in a Republican held seat).
Cruz won Hispanic and Latino voters, particularly those living on the border with Mexico who had traditionally supported Democratic candidates; exit polls showed 52% of Latinos supported Cruz, a 17-point increase from 2018. Cruz received the most raw votes for a U.S. Senate candidate in Texas history, a record previously achieved by John Cornyn in 2020.

## Background

Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994. Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas's U.S. House congressional delegation. Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 15.84 points and was reelected in 2018 by only 2.56 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke. The close elections in 2018 prompted many electoral analysts to speculate that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans increased their margins of victory. This race was considered to generally favor Cruz, but some considered the race to have the potential to become competitive.

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Ted Cruz, incumbent U.S. senator (2013–present)

#### Eliminated in primary

* Holland Gibson, retiree
* Rufus Lopez, attorney

#### Declined

* Dan Crenshaw, U.S. representative from Texas's 2nd congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election)
* Adam Kinzinger, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 16th congressional district (2011–2023)

### Endorsements

U.S. senators
* Norm Coleman, Minnesota (2003–2009)
Labor unions
* Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Texas
Organizations
* American Israel Public Affairs Committee
* Club for Growth
* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund
* Republican Jewish Coalition
* Senate Conservatives Fund
* Texas Alliance for Life
* Turning Point Action
* Young Conservatives of Texas

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ted Cruz (R) | $59,159,421 | $46,606,430 | $12,710,949 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ted Cruz | Holland Gibson | Rufus Lopez | Other | Undecided |
| YouGov | February 2–12, 2024 | 492 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 82% | 7% | 3% | 9% | – |

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Ted Cruz (incumbent) | 1,977,961 | 88.30% |
| | Republican | Holland Gibson | 134,011 | 5.98% |
| | Republican | Rufus Lopez | 127,986 | 5.71% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 2,239,958 | 100.00% |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Colin Allred, U.S. representative from Texas's 32nd congressional district (2019–2025)

#### Eliminated in primary

* Meri Gomez, tax consultant
* Mark Gonzalez, former Nueces County District Attorney (2017–2023)
* Roland Gutierrez, state senator from the 19th district (2021–present)
* Robert Hassan, businessman
* Steven Keough, law professor
* Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, tech entrepreneur
* Carl Sherman, state representative from the 109th district (2019–present)
* Thierry Tchenko, home repair nonprofit executive and former associate director of the District of Columbia Office of Policy

#### Disqualified

* Aaron Arguijo, coffee shop owner

#### Withdrew

* John Love III, former Midland city councilor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 (ran for U.S. House)
* Zachariah Manning, businessman (ran for U.S. House)

#### Declined

* Julián Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2014–2017), former mayor of San Antonio (2009–2014), and candidate for President of the United States in 2020
* Veronica Escobar, U.S. representative for Texas's 16th congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election, endorsed Allred)
* Scott Kelly, retired NASA astronaut and brother of Arizona Senator Mark Kelly

### Endorsements

US executive branch officials
* Kamala Harris, Vice President of the United States (2021–2025)
U.S. senators
* Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada (2017–present)
* Al Franken, Minnesota (2009–2018)
* Jon Tester, Montana (2007–2025)
* Tina Smith, Minnesota (2018–present)
U.S. representatives
* Veronica Escobar, TX-16 (2019–present)
* Lizzie Fletcher, TX-07 (2019–present)
* Seth Moulton, MA-06 (2015–present)
* Marc Veasey, TX-33 (2013–present)
State legislators
* Cesar Blanco, state senator from the 29th district (2021–present)
* Chris Turner, former Minority Leader of the Texas House of Representatives (2017–2023) from the 101st district (2013–present)
Local officials
* Rodney Ellis, Harris County Commissioner for Precinct 1 (2017–present)
* Clay Jenkins, Dallas County Judge (2011–present)
* John Wiley Price, Dallas County Commissioner for District 3 (1985–present)
* Sylvester Turner, former Mayor of Houston (2016–2024)
Individuals
* Olivia Julianna, activist
* Kelley Robinson, president of Human Rights Campaign
Organizations
* College Democrats of America
* Congressional Black Caucus PAC
* Council for a Livable World
* End Citizens United
* Harvard College Democrats
* Human Rights Campaign
* Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
* J Street PAC
* League of Conservation Voters
* National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
* Peace Action
Labor unions
* American Federation of Government Employees
* Association of Flight Attendants
* Texas AFL-CIO
* United Auto Workers
Newspapers and other media
* The Dallas Morning News
* Fort Worth Star-Telegram
* Houston Chronicle
* San Antonio Express-News
U.S. representatives
* Filemon Vela Jr., TX-34 (2013–2022)
* Sylvia Garcia, TX-29 (2019–present)
State legislators
* Art Fierro, former state representative from the 79th district (2019–2023)
* Penny Morales Shaw, state representative from the 148th district (2021–present)
* Claudia Ordaz, state representative from the 79th district (2023–present)
* José Rodríguez, former Texas Senate Minority Leader (2015–2020) from the 29th district (2011–2021)
Individuals
* Ramón Ayala, musician
Organizations
* Austin Young Democrats
* Eastside Democrats of El Paso
* Emgage PAC
* Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus
* Latino Victory Fund
* Our Revolution Montgomery County
* Stonewall Democrats of San Antonio, Dallas, and El Paso
* Texas Progressive Caucus
* University of Texas at Austin College Democrats (University Democrats)
Newspapers
* The Austin Chronicle

#### Organizations

* Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC
* Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
* Stonewall Democrats of Austin

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Colin Allred (D) | $38,433,747 | $27,983,265 | $10,450,482 |
| Mark Gonzalez (D) | $14,967 | $11,659 | $3,307 |
| Roland Gutierrez (D) | $1,301,543 | $1,146,487 | $155,055 |
| Steven Keough (D) | $27,357 | $27,730 | $0 |
| Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman (D) | $30,458 | $29,440 | $1,017 |
| Carl Sherman (D) | $173,565 | $150,616 | $22,949 |
| Thierry Tchenko (D) | $117,067 | $106,606 | $10,461 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Colin Allred | Meri Gomez | Mark Gonzalez | Roland Gutierrez | Carl Sherman | Other | Undecided |
| UT Tyler | February 18–26, 2024 | 441 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 37% | – | – | 22% | 6% | 2% | 32% |
| YouGov | February 2–12, 2024 | 354 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 52% | 3% | 5% | 14% | 2% | 5% | 18% |
| YouGov | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 4% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 3% | 38% |
| Emerson College | January 13–15, 2024 | 460 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 29% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 15% | 37% |
| YouGov | December 1–10, 2023 | 415 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 28% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 48% |
| YouGov | October 5–17, 2023 | 409 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 15% | 46% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 33% | – | – | 22% | – | 4% | 41% |

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Colin Allred | 569,585 | 58.87% |
| | Democratic | Roland Gutierrez | 160,978 | 16.64% |
| | Democratic | Mark Gonzalez | 85,228 | 8.81% |
| | Democratic | Meri Gomez | 44,166 | 4.56% |
| | Democratic | Carl Sherman | 31,694 | 3.28% |
| | Democratic | Robert Hassan | 21,855 | 2.26% |
| | Democratic | Steven Keough | 21,801 | 2.25% |
| | Democratic | Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman | 18,801 | 1.94% |
| | Democratic | Thierry Tchenko | 13,395 | 1.38% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 967,503 | 100.00% |

## Libertarian convention
### Nominee

* Ted Brown, insurance adjuster and nominee for Texas's 17th congressional district in 2020

## Write-in candidates
### Declared

* Tracy Andrus, director of the Lee P. Brown Criminal Justice Institute at Wiley University
* Analisa Roche, math tutor

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R | October 1, 2024 |
| Inside Elections | Tilt R | October 31, 2024 |
| Fox News | Likely R | October 1, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Lean R | August 26, 2024 |
| Elections Daily | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis | Tilt R | October 23, 2024 |
| RealClearPolitics | Tossup | October 30, 2024 |
| Split Ticket | Lean R | October 23, 2024 |
| 538 | Likely R | October 23, 2024 |

### Post-primary endorsements

U.S. executive branch officials
* John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)
* Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)
U.S. senators
* John Thune, Senate Minority Whip (2021–2025) and, Senate Majority Leader (2025-present) from South Dakota (2005-present)
State legislators
* Eddie Lucio Jr., Texas Senator (1991–2023) (Democratic)
Local officials
* Kim Ogg, Harris County District Attorney (2017–present) (Democratic)
Organizations
* U.S. Chamber of Commerce
U.S. executive branch officials
* Kamala Harris, 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present), 2024 nominee for President of the United States
* Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)
* Robert Reich, former U.S. Secretary of Labor (1993–1997)
U.S. senators
* Gary Peters, Michigan (2015–present)
U.S. representatives
* Liz Cheney, U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2017–2023) (Republican)
* Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)
* Adam Kinzinger, U.S. representative from Illinois (2011–2023) (Republican)
* Alan Steelman, U.S. representative from Texas's 5th congressional district (1973–1977) (Republican)
Statewide officials
* Tim Walz, Governor of Minnesota (2019–present), 2024 nominee for Vice President of the United States
* Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)
State legislators
* Adrian Boafo, Maryland state delegate from the 23rd district (2023–present)
* James Talarico, Texas State Representative from the 50th district (2019–present)
* Bennett Ratliff, Texas State Representative (2013–2015) (Republican)
* Todd Smith, Texas State Representative (1997–2013) (Republican)
* Jason Villalba, Texas State Representative (2013–2019) (Republican)
Local officials
* Steve Bartlett, Mayor of Dallas (1991–1995) (Republican)
* Ron Nirenberg, Mayor of San Antonio (2017–present) (Independent)
* Glen Whitley, Tarrant County Judge (2007–2022) (Republican)
Individuals
* Mark Cuban, businessperson, television personality and minority owner of Dallas Mavericks (Independent)
* Harry Dunn, former U.S. Capitol Police officer
* Willie Nelson, country singer
Newspapers
* Austin American-Statesman
* The Austin Chronicle
* The Dallas Morning News
* Houston Chronicle
* Fort Worth Star-Telegram
* San Antonio Express-News
Organizations
* Alliance for Retired Americans
* Black Economic Alliance PAC
* Giffords
* People for the American Way

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ted Cruz (R) | $86,316,192 | $76,908,816 | $9,565,334 |
| Colin Allred (D) | $80,059,292 | $77,557,763 | $2,501,528 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

### Debates

2024 Texas U.S. Senate election debate :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Republican | Democratic |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | | |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Cruz | Allred |
| 1 | October 15, 2024 | WFAA | | YouTube | P | P |

### Polling

Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Ted Cruz (R) | Colin Allred (D) | Undecided | Margin |
| FiveThirtyEight | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.4% | 45.4% | 5.2% | Cruz +4.0% |
| RCP | October 22 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.2% | 44.8% | 6.0% | Cruz +4.4% |
| 270toWin | October 18 - November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 49.0% | 45.2% | 5.8% | Cruz +3.8% |
| TheHill/DDHQ | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.8% | 46.0% | 4.2% | Cruz +3.8% |
| Average | Average | Average | 49.4% | 45.4% | 5.2% | Cruz +4.0% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ted Cruz (R) | Colin Allred (D) | Other | Undecided |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–4, 2024 | 2,434 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 53% | 46% | 1% | – |
| Morning Consult | October 22–31, 2024 | 2,120 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 3% |
| ActiVote | October 21–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| NYT/Siena College | October 23–26, 2024 | 1,180 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 46% | – | 4% |
| NYT/Siena College | October 23–26, 2024 | 1,180 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| GBAO (D) | October 18–23, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
| Emerson College | October 18–21, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | – | 5% |
| UT Tyler | October 14–21, 2024 | 956 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 6% |
| YouGov | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,108 (RV) | ± 3.49% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| ActiVote | October 1–16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| Morning Consult | October 6–15, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | – | 46% | 45% | – | 9% |
| YouGov | October 2–10, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 51% | 44% | 4% | – |
| University of Houston | September 26 – October 10, 2024 | 1,329 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 46% | 1% | 3% |
| Marist College | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,186 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 46% | – | 3% |
| Marist College | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,365 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% |
| FAU/Mainstreet Research | October 2–6, 2024 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| FAU/Mainstreet Research | October 2–6, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| NYT/Siena College | September 29 – October 4, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| NYT/Siena College | September 29 – October 4, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 43% | – | 12% |
| GBAO (D) | Early October 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 6% | 4% |
| ActiVote | September 5–30, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| RMG Research | September 25–27, 2024 | 779 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 4% | – |
| Public Policy Polling | September 25–26, 2024 | 759 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 25–26, 2024 | 759 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 9% |
| Emerson College | September 22–24, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | September 13–18, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Morning Consult | September 9–18, 2024 | 2,716 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 44% | 45% | – | 11% |
| CWS Research (R) | September 4–9, 2024 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.365% | 46% | 40% | 3% | 11% |
| Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 2,940 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
| Emerson College | September 3–5, 2024 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| GBAO (D) | September 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 4% | 5% |
| YouGov | August 23–31, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 36% | 6% | 14% |
| Quantus Polls and News | August 29–30, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 43% | 3% | 4% |
| Texas Public Opinion Research/ Lake Research Partners | August 24–29, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 43% | 7% | 3% |
| ActiVote | August 13–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 21–22, 2024 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 21–22, 2024 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 40% | 4% | 12% |
| YouGov | August 5–16, 2024 | 1,365 (LV) | ± 2.65% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 6% |
| ActiVote | June 25 – July 18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – | – |
| Remington Research Group (R) | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 43% | – | 4% |
| YouGov | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,484 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 6% |
| Manhattan Institute | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 3% | 8% |
| UT Tyler | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 10% |
| UT Tyler | June 11–20, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 42% | 7% | 7% |
| YouGov | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 34% | 6% | 15% |
| GBAO (D) | May 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 40% | 8% | 5% |
| YouGov | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.83% | 46% | 33% | 7% | 22% |
| Texas Lyceum | April 12–21, 2024 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 31% | 13% | 15% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 46% | 41% | 4% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R) | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 36% | 5% | 14% |
| Marist College | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 3% |
| UT Tyler | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 41% | 7% | 12% |
| YouGov | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.49% | 46% | 32% | 9% | 13% |
| National Public Affairs | February 6–8, 2024 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | – | 12% |
| YouGov | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 39% | 4% | 9% |
| Emerson College | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 40% | 8% | 11% |
| YouGov | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 27% | 15% | 15% |
| University of Texas at Tyler | May 10–21, 2023 | 1,413 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 8% | 14% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 40% | 4% | 9% |
Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ted Cruz (R) | Roland Gutierrez (D) | Other | Undecided |
| YouGov | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.49% | 45% | 31% | 9% | 14% |
| YouGov | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 38% | 4% | 10% |
| Emerson College | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 40% | 8% | 11% |
| YouGov | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 26% | 16% | 17% |

### Results

2024 United States Senate election in Texas :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Ted Cruz (incumbent) | 5,990,741 | 53.05% | +2.18% |
| | Democratic | Colin Allred | 5,031,249 | 44.56% | −3.76% |
| | Libertarian | Ted Brown | 267,039 | 2.36% | +1.59% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 2,825 | 0.03% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 11,291,854 | 100.00% | |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |
* Republican — >15%
* Republican — +12.5−15%
* Republican — +10−12.5%
* Republican — +7.5−10%
* Republican — +5−7.5%
* Republican — +2.5−5%
* Republican — +0−2.5%
* Democratic — +0−2.5%
* Democratic — +2.5−5%
* Democratic — +5−7.5%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +10−12.5%
* Democratic — +12.5−15%
* Democratic — >15%
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
* Brewster (largest municipality: Alpine)
* Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
* Frio (largest municipality: Pearsall)
* Jefferson (largest municipality: Beaumont)
* Jim Wells (largest municipality: Alice)
* Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
* La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
* Maverick (largest municipality: Eagle Pass)
* Nueces (largest municipality: Corpus Christi)
* Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
* Starr (largest municipality: Rio Grande City)
* Val Verde (largest municipality: Del Rio)
* Zapata (largest municipality: Zapata)

#### By congressional district

Cruz won 25 of 38 congressional districts.
| District | Cruz | Allred | Representative |
| 1st | 73% | 25% | Nathaniel Moran |
| 2nd | 58% | 39% | Dan Crenshaw |
| 3rd | 56% | 42% | Keith Self |
| 4th | 63% | 35% | Pat Fallon |
| 5th | 60% | 38% | Lance Gooden |
| 6th | 60% | 37% | Jake Ellzey |
| 7th | 35% | 62% | Lizzie Fletcher |
| 8th | 63% | 35% | Morgan Luttrell |
| 9th | 24% | 73% | Al Green |
| 10th | 59% | 38% | Michael McCaul |
| 11th | 70% | 28% | August Pfluger |
| 12th | 57% | 40% | Kay Granger (118th Congress) |
| 12th | 57% | 40% | Craig Goldman (119th Congress) |
| 13th | 71% | 27% | Ronny Jackson |
| 14th | 64% | 34% | Randy Weber |
| 15th | 54% | 44% | Monica De La Cruz |
| 16th | 38% | 58% | Veronica Escobar |
| 17th | 62% | 36% | Pete Sessions |
| 18th | 26% | 71% | Erica Lee Carter (118th Congress) |
| 18th | 26% | 71% | Sylvester Turner (119th Congress) |
| 19th | 73% | 25% | Jodey Arrington |
| 20th | 34% | 63% | Joaquín Castro |
| 21st | 59% | 39% | Chip Roy |
| 22nd | 56% | 42% | Troy Nehls |
| 23rd | 53% | 44% | Tony Gonzales |
| 24th | 54% | 43% | Beth Van Duyne |
| 25th | 64% | 33% | Roger Williams |
| 26th | 58% | 40% | Michael Burgess (118th Congress) |
| 26th | 58% | 40% | Brandon Gill (119th Congress) |
| 27th | 61% | 37% | Michael Cloud |
| 28th | 48% | 49% | Henry Cuellar |
| 29th | 33% | 64% | Sylvia Garcia |
| 30th | 23% | 75% | Jasmine Crockett |
| 31st | 58% | 39% | John Carter |
| 32nd | 34% | 64% | Colin Allred (118th Congress) |
| 32nd | 34% | 64% | Julie Johnson (119th Congress) |
| 33rd | 28% | 69% | Marc Veasey |
| 34th | 46% | 52% | Vicente Gonzalez |
| 35th | 29% | 68% | Greg Casar |
| 36th | 65% | 33% | Brian Babin |
| 37th | 22% | 75% | Lloyd Doggett |
| 38th | 57% | 41% | Wesley Hunt |

### Analysis

Exit Polls from Fox News Voter Analysis showed Cruz winning Anglos (62%-36%) and other minorities (52%-44%) while Allred won African Americans (79%-18%) and Latinos (51%-46%).