# Next Bulgarian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria by 11 January 2029 following a succession of snap elections beginning amidst a political crisis that began in 2021.

## Background

After several snap elections, the National Assembly failed to form a long-term government as 'anti-corruption' parties made a breakthrough in the April 2021 elections. The 2023 elections saw little change from 2022, with Boyko Borisov's GERB–SDS of the centre-right narrowly coming in first place, ahead of the centrist PP–DB alliance. The far-right Preporod (VAZ) and the populist There Is Such a People (ITN) made gains, with the latter re-entering the Assembly after failing to pass the 2022 electoral threshold.
On 22 May 2023, the PP- and GERB-led alliances agreed to form a government with a rotating prime minister. Nikolay Denkov, the PP candidate, would be prime minister for the first nine months of the government, and Mariya Gabriel, the GERB candidate, would be deputy prime minister and minister of foreign affairs. After nine months, the two would swap positions. After nine months, the change failed to materialize with negotiations failing, and no government could be formed. Dimitar Glachev was appointed interim prime minister, and elections were scheduled for 9 June 2024.

### New crisis

As a result of a ruling by the Bulgarian Supreme Court in March, the Veliche party also gained seats. This came at a difficult time for the coalition, as it fell to exactly the minimum 121 seats compared to the 120 seats held by the opposition.

## Opinion polls

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data by excluding undecided and non-voters.
121 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority and all parties need to pass a 4% threshold (calculated excluding 'none of the above' votes) to win seats in the National Assembly.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB–SDS | PP–DB | Vaz. | DPS–NN | BSP–OL | APS | ITN | MECh | Veli. | Others | NOTA | Lead |
| MarketLinks | 22 Feb–2 Mar 2025 | 1025 | 25.7 68 | 16 42 | 13 34 | 13.4 35 | 6.8 18 | 7.5 19 | 4.3 11 | 4.9 13 | – | 8.3 | 2.7 | 9.7 |
| Galup | 13–20 Feb 2025 | 841 | 26.5 74 | 11.8 32 | 12.6 35 | 12.5 34 | 8.2 22 | 5.9 16 | 5.2 14 | 4.7 13 | 3.8 0 | 5.0 | – | 13.9 |
| Myara | 6–16 Feb 2025 | 803 | 28.2 68 | 14.8 36 | 14.4 34 | 10.8 26 | 7.2 17 | 7.4 18 | 6.8 16 | 6.3 15 | 4.0 10 | 5.9 | – | 13.4 |
| Market Links | 25 Jan–3 Feb 2025 | 1008 | 27.5 73 | 15.5 41 | 13.1 35 | 11 29 | 6.6 17 | 8.4 22 | 4.9 13 | 4.1 10 | – | 8.9 | 2.7 | 12.3 |
| Trend | 24–30 Jan 2025 | 1003 | 26.6 73 | 13.2 36 | 13.0 35 | 10.3 28 | 6.9 18 | 7.1 19 | 5.9 16 | 5.6 15 | 3.8 0 | 7.6 | – | 13.4 |
| Alpha Research | 15–20 Jan 2025 | 1000 | 27.3 71 | 14.1 36 | 13.8 36 | 11.4 29 | 8.4 21 | 7.9 20 | 6.5 17 | 4.2 10 | – | 4.9 | – | 13.2 |
| 16 January 2025 | 16 January 2025 | 16 January 2025 | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in |
| Gallup International | 8–12 Jan 2025 | 800 | 26.6 69 | 13.6 35 | 14.2 36 | 14.1 36 | 8.4 22 | 6.8 17 | 5.3 13 | 4.9 12 | 3.6 0 | 2.5 | – | 12.4 |
| Market Links | 12–20 Dec 2024 | 1,007 | 27.5 74 | 15.4 42 | 14.1 38 | 12.5 34 | 7.7 21 | 6.8 18 | 4.8 13 | 3.6 0 | – | 7.6 | 2.4 | 12.1 |
| October 2024 election results | 27 Oct 2024 | — | 26.4 69 | 14.2 37 | 13.4 35 | 11.6 30 | 7.6 20 | 7.5 19 | 6.8 18 | 4.6 12 | 4.0 0 | 8.1 | – | 12.2 |
* 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 This poll reported the percentage respondents that do not support any party, or are undecided however the data was recalculated to exclude these percentages.
* ↑ Including Blue Bulgaria with 1.2%.
* ↑ The electoral commission excludes none of the above votes when calculating the percentages received by parties for the purpose of seat allocation.