# Opinion polling for the 2025 Australian federal election

In the lead-up to the 2025 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred lead.

## Voting intention
### 2025

| Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | TOP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP |
| * Mar 2025 | Redbridge/Accent | Online | 2007 | 37% | 32% | 12% | — | — | 19% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 12–16 Mar 2025 | Essential | Online | 2,256 | 35% | 29% | 12% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 47% |
| 10–16 Mar 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 2,097 | 34% | 32.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 15% | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 13–15 Mar 2025 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,051 | 39% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 7–13 Mar 2025 | YouGov | Online | 1,526 | 36% | 31% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 1% | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 3–9 Mar 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,719 | 37% | 30% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14.5% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 3–7 Mar 2025 | Newspoll | Online | 1,255 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025 | YouGov | Online | 1,504 | 36% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 12% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 26 Feb – 2 Mar 2025 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | 35% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 47% | 48% |
| 24 Feb – 2 Mar 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,673 | 40% | 28.5% | 13.5% | 4% | — | 14% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 21–27 Feb 2025 | YouGov | Online | 1,501 | 37% | 28% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 12% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 20–25 Feb 2025 | RedBridge/Accent | Online | 1,002 | 41% | 34% | 12% | — | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 21–23 Feb 2025 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,038 | 41% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 15% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 18–23 Feb 2025 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,506 | 39% | 25% | 13% | 9% | — | 13% | — | 45% | 55% |
| 17–23 Feb 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,666 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 12–16 Feb 2025 | Essential | Online | 1,146 | 35% | 30% | 12% | 9% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 48% | 48% |
| 10–16 Feb 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,666 | 39.5% | 28% | 12.5% | 5.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 10–14 Feb 2025 | Newspoll | Online | 1,244 | 38% | 31% | 12% | 7% | — | 12% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025 | YouGov MRP | Online | 40,689 | 37.4% | 29.1% | 12.7% | 9.1% | — | 11.7% | — | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| 4–11 Feb 2025 | RedBridge/Accent | Online | 1,002 | 43% | 33% | 12% | — | — | 12% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 3–9 Feb 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,688 | 40.5% | 29% | 11% | 4% | — | 15.5% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 3–7 Feb 2025 | RedBridge Group | Online | 1,013 | 40% | 31% | 11% | — | — | 18% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 29 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | 36% | 30% | 12% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 47% | 49% |
| 27 Jan – 2 Feb 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,694 | 38.5% | 30% | 11.5% | 5.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 28 Jan – 1 Feb 2025 | DemosAU | Online | 1,238 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 10% | 5% | 50% | 50% |
| 20–26 Jan 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,567 | 40.5% | 29.5% | 11.5% | 6% | — | 12.5% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 20–24 Jan 2025 | Newspoll | Online | 1,259 | 39% | 31% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 15–21 Jan 2025 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,616 | 38% | 27% | 13% | 7% | — | 16% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 17–19 Jan 2025 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,063 | 40% | 32% | 13% | — | — | 15% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 15–19 Jan 2025 | Essential | Online | 1,132 | 37% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 47% | 48% |
| 13–19 Jan 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,564 | 42% | 28.5% | 13% | 4% | — | 12.5% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 9–15 Jan 2025 | YouGov | Online | 1,504 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 6–12 Jan 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,721 | 40.5% | 30% | 12.5% | 4.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 30 Dec – 5 Jan 2025 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,446 | 40.5% | 31% | 12% | 3.5% | — | 13% | — | 47% | 53% |

### 2024

| Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP |
| 13–15 Dec 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,051 | 40% | 30% | 14% | — | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 12–15 Dec 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,151 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 5% | 47% | 48% |
| 9–15 Dec 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,672 | 41% | 27.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 4–8 Dec 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 38% | 27% | 12% | 7% | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 2–8 Dec 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,653 | 38% | 28% | 13% | 6.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 2–6 Dec 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,258 | 39% | 33% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 27 Nov – 1 Dec 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,123 | 35% | 32% | 11% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 47% | 48% |
| 25 Nov – 1 Dec 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,666 | 38.5% | 30% | 12.5% | 6.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 18–24 Nov 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,663 | 37% | 31.5% | 12.5% | 6.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 19–21 Nov 2024 | DemosAU | Online | 1,038 | 38% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 15–21 Nov 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,515 | 38% | 30% | 13% | 9% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024 | Accent Research/ RedBridge Group | Online | 4,909 | 39% | 31% | 11% | — | — | 19% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 13–18 Nov 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,206 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 48% | 47% |
| 15–17 Nov 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,046 | 40% | 30% | 14% | — | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 11–17 Nov 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,675 | 39% | 29% | 13.5% | 6.5% | — | 12% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 6–13 Nov 2024 | RedBridge Group | Online | 2,011 | 39% | 34% | 11% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 5–10 Nov 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,621 | 39% | 30% | 11% | 5% | — | 15% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 4–10 Nov 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,665 | 37.5% | 30.5% | 12.5% | 6.5% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 4–8 Nov 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,261 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 5% | — | 11% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,131 | 34% | 31% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 47% | 49% |
| 28 Oct – 3 Nov 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,651 | 38% | 30.5% | 14% | 6% | — | 11.5% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 21–27 Oct 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,687 | 37.5% | 30% | 14% | 5.5% | — | 13% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 14–25 Oct 2024 | ANU | Online | 3,622 | 38.2% | 31.8% | 11.8% | — | — | — | 9.5% | 50% | 50% |
| 18–20 Oct 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,034 | 41% | 30% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 16–20 Oct 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,140 | 35% | 28% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 46% | 48% |
| 14–20 Oct 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,687 | 36.5% | 32% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 7–13 Oct 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,697 | 37.5% | 30% | 14% | 6% | — | 12.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 7–11 Oct 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,258 | 38% | 31% | 12% | 7% | — | 12% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 2–6 Oct 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,139 | 34% | 32% | 12% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 49% | 47% |
| 30 Sep – 6 Oct 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,697 | 37.5% | 31.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | — | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 1–5 Oct 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,606 | 38% | 30% | 12% | 5% | — | 15% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 23–29 Sep 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,668 | 38% | 30% | 13.5% | 4.5% | — | 14% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 18–22 Sep 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,117 | 35% | 29% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 47% | 48% |
| 16–22 Sep 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,662 | 37.5% | 32% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 16–20 Sep 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,249 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 6% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 13–19 Sep 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,619 | 39% | 30% | 14% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 13–15 Sep 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,057 | 42% | 30% | 13% | — | — | 15% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 9–15 Sep 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,634 | 37.5% | 30.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | — | 14% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 2–8 Sep 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,703 | 36.5% | 30% | 14.5% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 3–7 Sep 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,132 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 48% | 48% |
| 3–7 Sep 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,614 | 37% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 15% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 26 Aug – 1 Sep 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,697 | 36% | 30.5% | 13% | 6% | — | 14.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 26–30 Aug 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,263 | 38% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 6–29 Aug 2024 | Wolf & Smith | Online | 10,239 | 36% | 29% | 13% | 6% | — | 15% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 23–28 Aug 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,543 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 20–27 Aug 2024 | RedBridge Group | Online | 2,017 | 38% | 33% | 12% | — | — | 17% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024 | Accent Research/ RedBridge Group | Online | 5,976 | 38% | 32% | 12% | — | — | 18% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 19–25 Aug 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,701 | 39.5% | 29.5% | 13% | 4% | — | 14% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 20–24 Aug 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,129 | 33% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
| 16–18 Aug 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,061 | 41% | 32% | 12% | — | — | 15% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 12–18 Aug 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,698 | 38.5% | 30.5% | 13.5% | 4% | — | 13.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 8–11 Aug 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,132 | 34% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 47% |
| 7–11 Aug 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,607 | 37% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 5–11 Aug 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,671 | 38% | 29.5% | 14% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 5–9 Aug 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,266 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 29 Jul – 4 Aug 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,655 | 37% | 30.5% | 12% | 5.5% | — | 15% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 24–28 Jul 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,137 | 34% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 46% |
| 22–28 Jul 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,652 | 37.5% | 30.5% | 13% | 6.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 19–21 Jul 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,060 | 40% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 15–21 Jul 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,752 | 39.5% | 31.5% | 13% | 5% | — | 11% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 15–19 Jul 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,258 | 38% | 33% | 13% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 10–19 Jul 2024 | RedBridge Group | Online | 1,505 | 41% | 32% | 11% | — | — | 16% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 12–17 Jul 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,528 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 10–14 Jul 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,122 | 33% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 46% | 48% |
| 8–14 Jul 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,758 | 37.5% | 31% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 10–13 Jul 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,603 | 38% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 1–7 Jul 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,723 | 39.5% | 28.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 48% | 52% |
| 26–30 Jun 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,141 | 33% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
| 24–30 Jun 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,708 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 13% | 4.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 24–28 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,260 | 36% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 12% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 17–23 Jun 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,696 | 37% | 31.5% | 13% | 6% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 14–16 Jun 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,060 | 40% | 32% | 13% | — | — | 15% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 12–16 Jun 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,181 | 32% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
| 10–16 Jun 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,724 | 38% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 11–15 Jun 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,607 | 36% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 15% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 3–9 Jun 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,687 | 35% | 30.5% | 15.5% | 5.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| 3–7 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,232 | 39% | 33% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 31 May – 4 Jun 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,500 | 38% | 30% | 14% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 29 May – 2 Jun 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,160 | 36% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 48% | 48% |
| 27 May – 2 Jun 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,579 | 36% | 31% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 20–26 May 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,488 | 37% | 28.5% | 15% | 6% | — | 13.5% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 17–19 May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,056 | 40% | 32% | 14% | — | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 16–19 May 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,149 | 34% | 31% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 46% | 47% |
| 15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,602 | 36% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 13–19 May 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,674 | 37% | 30.5% | 14.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 16–18 May 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,280 | 37% | 34% | 13% | 7% | — | 9% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 10–14 May 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,506 | 38% | 30% | 13% | 8% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 6–12 May 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,654 | 37% | 32% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 1–5 May 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
| 29 Apr – 5 May 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,666 | 37% | 30% | 13% | 6% | — | 14% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 22–28 Apr 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,719 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 14% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 19–23 Apr 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,514 | 36% | 33% | 13% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 17–21 Apr 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,145 | 35% | 31% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 47% | 49% |
| 17–21 Apr 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,610 | 36% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 15–21 Apr 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,617 | 35.5% | 30.5% | 16% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 12–21 Apr 2024 | RedBridge Group | Online | 1,529 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 15–18 Apr 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,236 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 12–14 Apr 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,055 | 40% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 8–14 Apr 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,706 | 38.5% | 30% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 13 Apr 2024 | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election |
| 3–7 Apr 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,165 | 34% | 29% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
| 1–7 Apr 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,731 | 38% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 25–31 Mar 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,677 | 37.5% | 30% | 15.5% | 3.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 22–27 Mar 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,513 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 21–24 Mar 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,610 | 35% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 20–24 Mar 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | 36% | 29% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 44% | 50% |
| 18–24 Mar 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,633 | 38% | 31.5% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 18–22 Mar 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,223 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 11–17 Mar 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,710 | 37% | 31.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 8–10 Mar 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,051 | 39% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 16% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 4–10 Mar 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,714 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 4% | — | 13% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 5–9 Mar 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,126 | 35% | 32% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 48% | 47% |
| 24 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,539 | 37% | 32% | 15% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 26 Feb – 3 Mar 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,679 | 36.5% | 34% | 13.5% | 3.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election |
| 21–25 Feb 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,145 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 47% | 48% |
| 19–25 Feb 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,682 | 38% | 31.5% | 12% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 21–24 Feb 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,603 | 37% | 34% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 19–23 Feb 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,245 | 36% | 33% | 12% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 16–18 Feb 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,049 | 38% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 17% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 12–18 Feb 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,706 | 37% | 34% | 13% | 4% | — | 12% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 7–11 Feb 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,148 | 34% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 50% | 46% |
| 5–11 Feb 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,699 | 37% | 34.5% | 12% | 4.5% | — | 12% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 2–7 Feb 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,502 | 36% | 32% | 14% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 30 Jan – 7 Feb 2024 | RedBridge Group | Online | 2,040 | 38% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| 29 Jan – 4 Feb 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,709 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 31 Jan – 3 Feb 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,245 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 24–28 Jan 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,201 | 34% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 48% | 46% |
| 22–28 Jan 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,688 | 37.5% | 31% | 13% | 5.5% | — | 13% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 15–21 Jan 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,675 | 36% | 32.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 12–17 Jan 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,532 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 8–14 Jan 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,727 | 37% | 31.5% | 12% | 4.5% | — | 15% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 10–11 Jan 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,007 | 39% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 2–7 Jan 2024 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,716 | 39% | 29% | 13% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 49% | 51% |

### 2023

| Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP |
| 15–17 Dec 2023 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,109 | 39% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 11–17 Dec 2023 | Roy Morgan | Online | 1,109 | 38% | 32% | 11.5% | 4.5% | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 11–15 Dec 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,219 | 36% | 33% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 6–11 Dec 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,102 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 49% | 46% |
| 6–11 Dec 2023 | RedBridge Group | Online | 2,010 | 35% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 19% | — | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| 1–5 Dec 2023 | YouGov | Online | 1,555 | 36% | 29% | 15% | 7% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,605 | 34% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 12% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 27 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,730 | 37.5% | 32.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 22–26 Nov 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,151 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 48% | 47% |
| 20–26 Nov 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,379 | 35% | 32% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14.5% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 20–24 Nov 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,216 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 6% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 13–19 Nov 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,401 | 37.5% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 6.5% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 10–14 Nov 2023 | YouGov | Online | 1,582 | 36% | 31% | 13% | 7% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 8–12 Nov 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | 34% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 49% | 47% |
| 6–12 Nov 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,397 | 36.5% | 30% | 13% | 6% | — | 14.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 1–5 Nov 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,602 | 30% | 35% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 13% | — | 57% | 43% |
| 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,220 | 37% | 35% | 12% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 27 Oct – 2 Nov 2023 | RedBridge Group | Online | 1,205 | 35% | 34% | 14% | — | — | 17% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| 25–29 Oct 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,149 | 34% | 32% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
| 23–29 Oct 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,375 | 35% | 32.5% | 15% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 16–22 Oct 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,383 | 36% | 32% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 14 Oct 2023 | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated |
| 4–12 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 2,638 | 35% | 36% | 12% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 6–10 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Online | 1,519 | 36% | 33% | 14% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 3–6 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,225 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 4,728 | 31% | 37% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 11% | — | 57% | 43% |
| 27 Sept – 1 Oct 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,125 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 50% | 45% |
| 25–29 Sep 2023 | YouGov | Online | 1,563 | 35% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 19% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 22–24 Sep 2023 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,003 | 37% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 17% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 18–22 Sep 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,239 | 36% | 36% | 11% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 13–17 Sep 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,135 | 32% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 49% | 45% |
| 4–10 Sep 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,382 | 37% | 32% | 13.5% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 6–9 Sep 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 34% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 11% | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| 30 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 | RedBridge Group | Online | 1,001 | 36% | 37% | 13% | — | — | 14% | — | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| 30 Aug – 3 Sep 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,151 | 32% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
| 28 Aug – 3 Sep 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,404 | 37.5% | 33.5% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 28 Aug– 1 Sep 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,200 | 37% | 35% | 13% | 7% | — | 8% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 16–20 Aug 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,151 | 33% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
| 10–14 Aug 2023 | RedBridge Group | Online | 1,010 | 32% | 38% | 10% | — | — | 21% | — | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| 9–13 Aug 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,603 | 33% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 12% | — | 56% | 44% |
| 2–6 Aug 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | 30% | 33% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 52% | 42% |
| 19–23 Jul 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | 32% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 50% | 45% |
| 15 Jul 2023 | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election |
| 12–15 Jul 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,610 | 30% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 11% | — | 59% | 41% |
| 12–15 Jul 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,570 | 34% | 36% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 5–9 Jul 2023 | Essential | Online | 2,248 | 32% | 32% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 44% |
| 21–25 Jun 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,148 | 30% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 52% | 42% |
| 16–24 Jun 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 2,303 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 7–11 Jun 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,123 | 32% | 32% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 52% | 42% |
| 6–11 Jun 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,606 | 30% | 40% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | — | 60% | 40% |
| 31 May – 3 Jun 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,549 | 34% | 38% | 12% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 24–28 May 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,138 | 31% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 52% | 43% |
| 15–17 May 2023 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,005 | 37% | 34% | 12% | — | — | 17% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 10–14 May 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,080 | 31% | 35% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
| 11–13 May 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,516 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 10–13 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,610 | 30% | 42% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 61% | 39% |
| 26–30 Apr 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,130 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 41% |
| 19–22 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,514 | 33% | 38% | 11% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 56% | 44% |
| 12–16 Apr 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,136 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 52% | 43% |
| 12–16 Apr 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,609 | 28% | 42% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 11% | — | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| 29 Mar – 2 Apr 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,133 | 30% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
| 29 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,500 | 33% | 38% | 10% | 8% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election |
| 15–20 Mar 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,124 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 52% | 43% |
| 12–16 Mar 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,600 | 30% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 11% | — | 60% | 40% |
| 1–5 Mar 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,141 | 32% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 49% | 44% |
| 27 Feb – 5 Mar 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 33.5% | 38% | 11.5% | — | — | 17% | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 1–4 Mar 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,530 | 35% | 37% | 10% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 20–26 Feb 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 34.5% | 37% | 13.5% | — | — | 15% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| 15–19 Feb 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,044 | 30% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 51% | 42% |
| 15–19 Feb 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 31% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 11% | — | 58% | 42% |
| 13–19 Feb 2023 | Roy Morgan | Online/ Telephone | — | 33% | 37% | 13% | — | — | 17% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| 1–6 Feb 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,000 | 30% | 33% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 5% | 55% | 40% |
| 1–4 Feb 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,512 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 23–29 Jan 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 33.5% | 37.5% | 11.5% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 57% | 43% |
| 18–22 Jan 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,050 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
| 17–22 Jan 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,606 | 29% | 42% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 11% | — | 60% | 40% |

### 2022

| Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP |
| 23 Dec 2022 | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent |
| 16–18 Dec 2022 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,209 | 37% | 37% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 9% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 7–11 Dec 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,042 | 30% | 35% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 44% |
| 30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,611 | 30% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 8% | — | 60% | 40% |
| 30 Nov – 3 Dec 2022 | Newspoll | Online | 1,508 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 9% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 23–27 Nov 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,042 | 31% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 17% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
| 27–30 Oct 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov | Online | 1,500 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 9% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 26–30 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,611 | 32% | 39% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 11% | — | 58% | 42% |
| 5–9 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 30% | 39% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 11% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| 14–18 Sep 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,607 | 32% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 11% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| 31 Aug – 3 Sep 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov | Online | 1,505 | 31% | 37% | 13.5% | 7% | 2% | 10% | — | 57% | 43% |
| 17–21 Aug 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 2,011 | 28% | 42% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 11% | — | 61% | 39% |
| 27–30 Jul 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov | Online | 1,508 | 33% | 37% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | — | 56% | 44% |
| 14–17 Jun 2022 | Dynata | Online | 1,001 | 31% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| 13–19 Jun 2022 | Roy Morgan | Online/ telephone | 1,401 | 37% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 0.5% | 11.5% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 29 May 2022 | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | Election | Election | 35.7% | 32.6% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 10.4% | — | 52.1% | 47.9% |
* 1 2 3 4 Resolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger and Kevin Bonham.
* ↑ In February 2025, the High Court ruled that the United Australia Party (UAP) could not be re-registered for the 2025 federal election. UAP founder Clive Palmer subsequently joined another political party, Trumpet of Patriots (TOP). The final poll to feature the UAP was from Roy Morgan and released on 17 February 2025, with the first poll to feature TOP from YouGov on 28 February 2025.
* 1 2 3 4 5 Poll shows the United Australia Party (UAP) prior to Clive Palmer joining Trumpet of Patriots (TOP).
* ↑ Polling of 20 marginal seats
* ↑ Including projected vote patterns from independent voters and voters for other parties. Independents under this projection would receive 8.9% of the first-preference vote while other parties would receive 2.8% of the first-preference vote.
* ↑ Polling of 20 marginal seats

## Preferred prime minister and leadership polling
### Graphical summary

The following graphical summaries illustrate results from opinion polling for preferred Prime Minister and their respective approval ratings based on data below that is documented in the tables.

#### Preferred prime minister and leadership polling table
##### 2025

| Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Albanese | Albanese | Albanese | Dutton | Dutton | Dutton | Dutton |
| Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net |
| 12–16 Mar 2025 | Essential | Online | 2,256 | — | — | — | — | 45% | 45% | 10% | 0% | 41% | 46% | 13% | −5% |
| 13–15 Mar 2025 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,051 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | 37% | 47% | 16% | −10% | 35% | 46% | 19% | −11% |
| 7–13 Mar 2025 | YouGov | Online | 1,526 | 45% | 39% | 16% | 6% | 43% | 49% | 8% | −6% | 42% | 48% | 10% | −6% |
| 5–7 Mar 2025 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 830 | 39% | 39% | 22% | 0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3–7 Mar 2025 | Newspoll | Online | 1,255 | 47% | 38% | 15% | 9% | 41% | 53% | 6% | −12% | 39% | 53% | 8% | −14% |
| 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025 | YouGov | Online | 1,504 | 45% | 39% | 16% | 6% | 42% | 51% | 7% | −9% | 43% | 47% | 10% | −4% |
| 26 Feb – 2 Mar 2025 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | — | — | — | — | 41% | 49% | 10% | −8% | 41% | 44% | 15% | −3% |
| 21–27 Feb 2025 | YouGov | Online | 1,501 | 42% | 40% | 18% | 2% | 40% | 52% | 8% | −12% | 44% | 46% | 10% | −2% |
| 20–25 Feb 2025 | RedBridge/Accent | Online | 1,002 | — | — | — | — | 30% | 43% | 27% | −13% | 39% | 43% | 18% | −4% |
| 21–23 Feb 2025 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,038 | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% | 35% | 46% | 19% | −11% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
| 18–23 Feb 2025 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,506 | 35% | 39% | 26% | 4% | 34% | 56% | 10% | −22% | 45% | 40% | 15% | +5% |
| 12–16 Feb 2025 | Essential | Online | 1,146 | — | — | — | — | 42% | 48% | 10% | −6% | 41% | 45% | 14% | −4% |
| 10–14 Feb 2025 | Newspoll | Online | 1,244 | 45% | 40% | 15% | 5% | 37% | 58% | 5% | −21% | 41% | 51% | 8% | −10% |
| 4–11 Feb 2025 | RedBridge/Accent | Online | 1,002 | — | — | — | — | 29% | 45% | 26% | −16% | 31% | 42% | 27% | −11% |
| 20–24 Jan 2025 | Newspoll | Online | 1,259 | 44% | 41% | 15% | 3% | 37% | 57% | 6% | −20% | 40% | 51% | 9% | −11% |
| 15–21 Jan 2025 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,616 | 34% | 39% | 27% | 5% | 33% | 55% | 12% | −22% | 44% | 38% | 18% | +6% |
| 17–19 Jan 2025 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,063 | 43% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 32% | 50% | 18% | −18% | 36% | 40% | 24% | −4% |
| 15–19 Jan 2025 | Essential | Online | 1,132 | — | — | — | — | 45% | 45% | 10% | 0% | 42% | 43% | 15% | −1% |
| 9–15 Jan 2025 | YouGov | Online | 1,504 | 44% | 40% | 16% | 4% | 40% | 55% | 5% | −15% | 43% | 49% | 8% | −6% |

##### 2024

| Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Albanese | Albanese | Albanese | Dutton | Dutton | Dutton | Dutton |
| Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net |
| 13–15 Dec 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,051 | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% | 34% | 51% | 15% | −17% | 37% | 40% | 23% | −3% |
| 11–15 Dec 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | — | 39% | 50% | 11% | −11% | 44% | 41% | 15% | +3% |
| 4–8 Dec 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 35% | 35% | 30% | 0% | 31% | 57% | 12% | −26% | 40% | 42% | 18% | −2% |
| 2–6 Dec 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,258 | 45% | 38% | 17% | 7% | 40% | 54% | 6% | −14% | 39% | 51% | 10% | −12% |
| 15–21 Nov 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,515 | 42% | 39% | 19% | 3% | 36% | 56% | 8% | −20% | 40% | 48% | 12% | −8% |
| 13–18 Nov 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,206 | — | — | — | — | 43% | 48% | 10% | −5% | 42% | 41% | 16% | +1% |
| 15–17 Nov 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,046 | 43% | 42% | 15% | 1% | 33% | 50% | 17% | −17% | 37% | 41% | 22% | −4% |
| 5–10 Nov 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,621 | 37% | 37% | 26% | 0% | 37% | 51% | 12% | −14% | 45% | 40% | 15% | +5% |
| 4–8 Nov 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,261 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% | 40% | 55% | 5% | −15% | 40% | 51% | 9% | −11% |
| 18–20 Oct 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,034 | 44% | 43% | 13% | 1% | 35% | 49% | 16% | −14% | 37% | 39% | 24% | −2% |
| 16–20 Oct 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,140 | — | — | — | — | 44% | 48% | 8% | −4% | 45% | 39% | 16% | +6% |
| 4–16 Oct 2024 | RedBridge Group | Online | 2,315 | — | — | — | — | 34% | 53% | 13% | −19% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
| 7–11 Oct 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,258 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 8% | 40% | 54% | 6% | −14% | 38% | 52% | 10% | −14% |
| 1–5 Oct 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,606 | 38% | 35% | 27% | 3% | 35% | 52% | 13% | −17% | 41% | 41% | 18% | 0% |
| 18–22 Sep 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,117 | — | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 11% | −5% | 42% | 42% | 16% | 0% |
| 16–20 Sep 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,249 | 46% | 37% | 17% | 9% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 37% | 52% | 11% | −15% |
| 13–19 Sep 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,619 | 42% | 39% | 19% | 3% | 36% | 58% | 6% | −22% | 40% | 50% | 10% | −10% |
| 13–15 Sep 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,057 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% | 34% | 49% | 17% | −15% | 34% | 38% | 28% | −4% |
| 3–7 Sep 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,614 | 35% | 34% | 31% | 1% | 35% | 53% | 12% | −18% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
| 26–30 Aug 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,263 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 8% | 41% | 54% | 5% | −13% | 39% | 52% | 9% | −13% |
| 23–28 Aug 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,543 | 43% | 38% | 19% | 5% | 41% | 52% | 7% | −11% | 42% | 47% | 11% | −5% |
| 20–24 Aug 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,129 | — | — | — | — | 40% | 50% | 10% | −10% | 42% | 41% | 16% | +1% |
| 16–18 Aug 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,061 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% | 35% | 45% | 20% | −10% | 37% | 40% | 23% | −3% |
| 7–11 Aug 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,607 | 35% | 36% | 29% | 1% | 34% | 51% | 15% | −17% | 41% | 38% | 21% | +3% |
| 5–9 Aug 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,266 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 40% | 50% | 10% | −10% |
| 24–28 Jul 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,137 | — | — | — | — | 43% | 46% | 11% | −3% | 42% | 41% | 17% | +1% |
| 19–21 Jul 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,060 | 45% | 39% | 16% | 6% | 34% | 48% | 18% | −14% | 36% | 39% | 25% | −3% |
| 15–19 Jul 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,258 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 6% | 44% | 51% | 5% | −7% | 41% | 49% | 10% | −8% |
| 12–17 Jul 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,528 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 8% | 42% | 52% | 6% | −10% | 42% | 46% | 12% | −4% |
| 10–13 Jul 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,603 | 34% | 35% | 31% | 1% | 32% | 54% | 14% | −22% | 39% | 40% | 21% | −1% |
| 26–30 Jun 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,141 | — | — | — | — | 40% | 49% | 11% | −9% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
| 24–28 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,260 | 46% | 38% | 16% | 8% | 42% | 53% | 5% | −11% | 38% | 54% | 8% | −16% |
| 14–16 Jun 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,060 | 43% | 41% | 16% | 2% | 34% | 46% | 20% | −12% | 35% | 40% | 25% | −5% |
| 11–15 Jun 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,607 | 35% | 36% | 29% | 1% | 36% | 50% | 14% | −14% | 42% | 40% | 19% | +2% |
| 3–7 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,232 | 46% | 38% | 16% | 8% | 43% | 50% | 7% | −7% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% |
| 31 May – 4 Jun 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,500 | 47% | 36% | 17% | 9% | 41% | 53% | 6% | –12% | 38% | 51% | 11% | −13% |
| 29 May – 2 Jun 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,160 | — | — | — | — | 43% | 47% | 11% | −4% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
| 17–19 May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,056 | 46% | 37% | 16% | 9% | 37% | 46% | 18% | −9% | 31% | 40% | 29% | −9% |
| 15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,602 | 40% | 32% | 28% | 8% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
| 16–18 May 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,280 | 52% | 33% | 15% | 19% | 47% | 47% | 6% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 12% | −12% |
| 10–14 May 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,506 | 44% | 37% | 19% | 7% | 41% | 53% | 6% | −12% | 42% | 48% | 10% | −6% |
| 17–21 Apr 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,145 | — | — | — | — | 43% | 48% | 9% | −5% | 44% | 41% | 15% | +3% |
| 17–21 Apr 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,092 | 37% | 45% | 18% | 8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 17–21 Apr 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,610 | 41% | 32% | 27% | 9% | 43% | 45% | 12% | −2% | 40% | 42% | 17% | −2% |
| 15–18 Apr 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,236 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 13% | 44% | 50% | 6% | −6% | 36% | 51% | 13% | −15% |
| 12–14 Apr 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,055 | 45% | 39% | 16% | 6% | 38% | 45% | 17% | −7% | 32% | 41% | 27% | −9% |
| 22–27 Mar 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,513 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 41% | 52% | 7% | −11% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
| 21–24 Mar 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,610 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 10% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
| 18–22 Mar 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,223 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 14% | 44% | 51% | 5% | −7% | 37% | 52% | 11% | −15% |
| 8–10 Mar 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,051 | 47% | 38% | 15% | 9% | 37% | 45% | 18% | −8% | 30% | 43% | 27% | −13% |
| 24 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,539 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 14% | 44% | 50% | 6% | −6% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% |
| 21–25 Feb 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,145 | — | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 10% | −5% | 40% | 44% | 16% | −4% |
| 21–24 Feb 2024 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,603 | 39% | 32% | 29% | 7% | 41% | 47% | 12% | −6% | 35% | 45% | 20% | −10% |
| 19–23 Feb 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,245 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 12% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 37% | 51% | 12% | −14% |
| 16–18 Feb 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,049 | 42% | 38% | 19% | 4% | 38% | 45% | 18% | −7% | 32% | 41% | 28% | −9% |
| 2–7 Feb 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,502 | 45% | 38% | 17% | 7% | — | — | — | −16% | — | — | — | −8% |
| 31 Jan – 3 Feb 2024 | Newspoll | Online | 1,245 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 42% | 51% | 7% | −9% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
| 24–28 Jan 2024 | Essential | Online | 1,201 | — | — | — | — | 41% | 47% | 12% | −6% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% |
| 12–17 Jan 2024 | YouGov | Online | 1,532 | 45% | 35% | 20% | 10% | — | — | — | −13% | — | — | — | −11% |
| 10–11 Jan 2024 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,007 | 47% | 38% | 15% | 9% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% | 31% | 40% | 30% | −9% |

##### 2023

| Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Albanese | Albanese | Albanese | Dutton | Dutton | Dutton | Dutton |
| Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net |
| 15–17 Dec 2023 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,109 | 43% | 39% | 18% | 37% | 42% | 20% | −5% | 34% | 36% | 30% | −2% |
| 11–15 Dec 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,219 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 42% | 50% | 8% | −8% | 39% | 48% | 13% | −9% |
| 1–5 Dec 2023 | YouGov | Online | 1,555 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 39% | 55% | 6% | −16% | 39% | 48% | 13% | −9% |
| 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,605 | 42% | 28% | 30% | 37% | 48% | 15% | −11% | 34% | 42% | 24% | −8% |
| 22–26 Nov 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 12% | −5% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
| 20–24 Nov 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,216 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 40% | 53% | 7% | −13% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
| 10–14 Nov 2023 | YouGov | Online | 1,582 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 43% | 50% | 7% | −7% | 40% | 47% | 13% | −7% |
| 1–5 Nov 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,602 | 40% | 27% | 33% | 39% | 46% | 15% | −7% | 36% | 40% | 25% | −4% |
| 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,220 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 42% | 52% | 6% | −10% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
| 11–14 Oct 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,125 | — | — | — | 46% | 43% | 11% | +3% | 36% | 43% | 21% | −7% |
| 4–12 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 2,638 | 51% | 31% | 18% | 46% | 46% | 8% | 0% | 35% | 53% | 12% | −18% |
| 6–10 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Online | 1,519 | 50% | 34% | 16% | 45% | 48% | 7% | −3% | 38% | 50% | 12% | −12% |
| 3–6 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,225 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 45% | 46% | 9% | −1% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
| 22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 47% | 25% | 28% | 43% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 30% | 45% | 25% | −15% |
| 25–29 Sep 2023 | YouGov | Online | 1,563 | 50% | 33% | 17% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22–24 Sep 2023 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,003 | 46% | 37% | 17% | 38% | 41% | 21% | −3% | 30% | 40% | 30% | −10% |
| 18–22 Sep 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,239 | 50% | 30% | 20% | 47% | 44% | 9% | +3% | 32% | 52% | 16% | −20% |
| 6–9 Sep 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 43% | 28% | 29% | 40% | 47% | 13% | −7% | 35% | 43% | 22% | −8% |
| 30 Aug – 3 Sep 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | 46% | 43% | 10% | +3% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% |
| 28 Aug – 1 Sep 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,200 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 46% | 47% | 7% | −1% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
| 9–13 Aug 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,603 | 46% | 25% | 29% | 44% | 42% | 14% | +2% | 31% | 44% | 24% | −13% |
| 19–23 Jul 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,150 | — | — | — | 48% | 41% | 11% | +7% | 37% | 43% | 20% | −6% |
| 12–15 Jul 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,610 | 51% | 21% | 28% | 51% | 34% | 15% | +17% | 31% | 47% | 23% | −16% |
| 12–15 Jul 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,570 | 54% | 29% | 17% | 52% | 41% | 7% | +11% | 36% | 49% | 15% | −13% |
| 16–24 Jun 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 2,303 | 52% | 32% | 16% | 52% | 42% | 6% | +10% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
| 29 May – 12 Jun 2023 | CT Group | Online | 3,000 | — | — | — | 42% | 36% | 22% | +6% | — | — | — | — |
| 6–11 Jun 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,606 | 53% | 22% | 25% | 53% | 35% | 13% | +18% | 28% | 48% | 24% | −20% |
| 31 May – 3 Jun 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,549 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 55% | 37% | 8% | +18% | 36% | 50% | 14% | −14% |
| 15–17 May 2023 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,005 | 51% | 33% | 16% | 42% | 37% | 21% | +5% | 30% | 42% | 28% | −12% |
| 10–14 May 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,125 | — | — | — | 54% | 35% | 11% | +19% | 36% | 45% | 19% | −9% |
| 11–13 May 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,516 | 56% | 29% | 15% | 57% | 38% | 5% | +19% | 36% | 51% | 13% | −15% |
| 10–13 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,610 | 53% | 20% | 27% | 56% | 29% | 14% | +27% | 28% | 49% | 23% | −21% |
| 19–22 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,514 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 53% | 37% | 10% | +16% | 33% | 52% | 15% | −19% |
| 12–16 Apr 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,136 | — | — | — | 51% | 36% | 12% | +15% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
| 12–16 Apr 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,609 | 55% | 21% | 24% | 56% | 29% | 14% | +27% | 26% | 54% | 19% | −28% |
| 29 Mar – 2 Apr 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,133 | — | — | — | 52% | 35% | 13% | +17% | — | — | — | — |
| 29 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,500 | 58% | 26% | 16% | 56% | 35% | 9% | +21% | 35% | 48% | 21% | −13% |
| 12–16 Mar 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,600 | 51% | 22% | 27% | 55% | 31% | 13% | +24% | 32% | 44% | 25% | −12% |
| 1–4 Mar 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,530 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 38% | 7% | +17% | 37% | 48% | 15% | −11% |
| 15–21 Feb 2023 | Morning Consult | — | — | — | — | — | 57% | 31% | 12% | +26% | — | — | — | — |
| 15–19 Feb 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,044 | — | — | — | 53% | 34% | 13% | +19% | — | — | — | — |
| 15–19 Feb 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 55% | 23% | 22% | 56% | 30% | 13% | +26% | 29% | 45% | 26% | −16% |
| 1–4 Feb 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,512 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 33% | 10% | +24% | 36% | 46% | 18% | −10% |
| 18–22 Jan 2023 | Essential | Online | 1,050 | — | — | — | 55% | 31% | 13% | +24% | — | — | — | — |
| 17–22 Jan 2023 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,606 | 55% | 20% | 25% | 60% | 25% | 15% | +35% | 28% | 46% | 26% | −18% |

##### 2022

| Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Albanese | Albanese | Albanese | Dutton | Dutton | Dutton | Dutton |
| Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net |
| 16–18 Dec 2022 | Freshwater Strategy | Online | 1,209 | 55% | 29% | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 7–11 Dec 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,042 | – | – | – | 60% | 27% | 13% | +33% | – | – | – | – |
| 30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,611 | 54% | 19% | 27% | 60% | 24% | 16% | +36% | 28% | 43% | 29% | –15% |
| 30 Nov – 3 Dec 2022 | Newspoll | Online | 1,508 | 59% | 24% | 17% | 62% | 29% | 9% | +33% | 36% | 45% | 19% | –9% |
| 16–22 Nov 2022 | Morning Consult | Online | — | – | – | – | 56% | 31% | 25% | +25% | – | – | – | – |
| 9–14 Nov 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,035 | – | – | – | 60% | 27% | 13% | +33% | – | – | – | – |
| 27–30 Oct 2022 | Newspoll | Online | 1,500 | 54% | 27% | 19% | 59% | 33% | 8% | +26% | 39% | 46% | 15% | –7% |
| 26–30 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,611 | 53% | 19% | 28% | 57% | 28% | 16% | +29% | 29% | 41% | 30% | –12% |
| 13–16 Oct 2022 | Freshwater Strategic | Online | 1,042 | – | – | – | 50% | 26% | 24% | +24% | 33% | 34% | 33% | –1% |
| 11–16 Oct 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,122 | – | – | – | 58% | 26% | 15% | +32% | – | – | – | – |
| 5–9 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,604 | 53% | 18% | 29% | 60% | 25% | 15% | +35% | 30% | 41% | 28% | –11% |
| 14–18 Sep 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1,607 | 53% | 19% | 28% | 60% | 24% | 16% | +36% | 28% | 40% | 32% | –12% |
| 31 Aug – 4 Sep 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,070 | — | — | — | 59% | 25% | 15% | +34% | — | — | — | — |
| 31 Aug – 3 Sep 2022 | Newspoll | Online | 1,505 | 61% | 22% | 17% | 61% | 29% | 10% | +32% | 35% | 43% | 22% | –8% |
| 17–21 Aug 2022 | Resolve Strategic | Online | 2,011 | 55% | 17% | 28% | 61% | 22% | 17% | +39% | 30% | 37% | 32% | –7% |
| 3–7 Aug 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,075 | — | — | — | 55% | 28% | 18% | +27% | — | — | — | — |
| 27–30 Jul 2022 | [Newspoll] | Online | 1,508 | 59% | 25% | 16% | 61% | 26% | 13% | +35% | 37% | 41% | 22% | –4% |
| 7–11 Jul 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,097 | — | — | — | 56% | 24% | 20% | +32% | — | — | — | — |
| 8–12 Jun 2022 | Essential | Online | 1,087 | — | — | — | 59% | 18% | 23% | +41% | — | — | — | — |
| 23–31 May 2022 | Morning Consult | Online | 3,770 | — | — | — | 51% | 24% | 25% | +27% | — | — | — | — |
* ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
* ↑ Polling conducted in Queensland.
* ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 16% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 13% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 14% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
* ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
* ↑ Polling conducted in NSW.

## Sub-national polling
### New South Wales
#### Graphical summary
##### Polling

| Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP |
| 7–13 Mar 2025 | YouGov | 482 | 36% | 28% | 15.5% | 7% | — | — | 13.5% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025 | YouGov | 475 | 35% | 29% | 15% | 7% | — | — | 14% | 50% | 50% |
| 21–27 Feb 2025 | YouGov | 506 | 35% | 26% | 15% | 12% | — | — | 12% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 18–23 Feb 2025 | Resolve Strategic | 478 | 38% | 24% | 13% | 11% | — | 10% | 3% | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| 4–11 Feb 2025 | RedBridge/Accent | 305 | 43% | 33% | 10% | — | — | — | 14% | 47% | 53% |
| 15–21 Jan 2025 | Resolve Strategic | 513 | 39% | 27% | 13% | 5% | — | 10% | 5% | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| 4–8 Dec 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 509 | 38% | 27% | 13% | 9% | — | 11% | 2% | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| 7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024 | Newspoll | 1,193 | 40% | 32% | 10% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 50% | 50% |
| 5–10 Nov 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 515 | 38% | 30% | 10% | 6% | — | 13% | 3% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 1–5 Oct 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 510 | 39% | 31% | 10% | 5% | — | 11% | 4% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024 | Newspoll | 1,592 | 38% | 30% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 13% | 49% | 51% |
| 3–7 Sep 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 513 | 37% | 30% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 7–11 Aug 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 510 | 39% | 29% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 49% | 51% |
| 10–13 Jul 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 509 | 39% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 2% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | 1,567 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 49% | 51% |
| 11–16 Jun 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 510 | 37% | 29% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 50% | 50% |
| 15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 511 | 35% | 31% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 51% | 49% |
| 17–21 Apr 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 511 | 35% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 21–24 Mar 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 511 | 35% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024 | Newspoll | 1,152 | 38% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 50% | 50% |
| 21–24 Feb 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 509 | 37% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 52% | 48% |
| 31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023 | Newspoll | 1,139 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 51% | 49% |
| 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 510 | 35% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 1–5 Nov 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 509 | 31% | 37% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 58% | 42% |
| 28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | 1,565 | 34% | 38% | 13% | 5% | — | — | 10% | 56% | 44% |
| 22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 1,502 | 32% | 34% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 55% | 45% |
| 6–9 Sep 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 509 | 36% | 39% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 54% | 46% |
| 9–12 Aug 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 509 | 34% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 58% | 42% |
| 12–15 Jul 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 511 | 32% | 39% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| 6–11 Jun 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 510 | 33% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| 14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 511 | 30% | 46% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 61% | 39% |
| 21 Apr 2023 | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party |
| 12–16 Apr 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 511 | 30% | 43% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| 1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | 1,414 | 35% | 38% | 10% | 7% | — | — | 10% | 55% | 45% |
| 25 Mar 2023 | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | Labor wins a minority government at the state election |
| 12–16 Mar 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 508 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| 15–19 Feb 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 509 | 31% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| 17–22 Jan 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 512 | 31% | 40% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| 30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 512 | 33% | 38% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| 27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022 | Newspoll | 1,817 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 55% | 45% |
| 26–30 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 512 | 32% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| 5–9 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 509 | 32% | 39% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 57% | 43% |
| 14–18 Sep 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 510 | 29% | 41% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| 17–21 Aug 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 639 | 29% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| 21 Jun 2022 | Roy Morgan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | Election | 36.5% | 33.4% | 10% | 4.8% | 4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 51.4% | 48.6% |
* ↑ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales.

### Victoria
#### Graphical summary
##### Polling

| Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | UAP | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP |
| 7–13 Mar 2025 | YouGov | 384 | 41.5% | 28.5% | 13% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025 | YouGov | 379 | 39% | 30% | 9% | — | 6% | — | 16% | 48% | 52% |
| 21–27 Feb 2025 | YouGov | 352 | 37% | 31% | 14% | — | 5% | — | 13% | 50% | 50% |
| 20–25 Feb 2025 | RedBridge/Accent | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% | 57% |
| 18–23 Feb 2025 | Resolve Strategic | 380 | 38% | 24% | 15% | — | 6% | 11% | 6% | 48% | 52% |
| 4–11 Feb 2025 | RedBridge/Accent | 261 | 51% | 31% | 8% | — | — | — | 10% | 42% | 58% |
| 15–21 Jan 2025 | Resolve Strategic | 407 | 38% | 25% | 13% | — | 6% | 12% | 6% | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| 4–8 Dec 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 404 | 38% | 26% | 12% | — | 5% | 12% | 7% | 48% | 52% |
| 7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024 | Newspoll | 947 | 39% | 30% | 14% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 50% | 50% |
| 5–10 Nov 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 409 | 38% | 31% | 14% | — | 4% | 10% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 1–5 Oct 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 405 | 37% | 29% | 14% | — | 5% | 9% | 5% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024 | Newspoll | 1,263 | 38% | 31% | 13% | — | 6% | — | 12% | 52% | 48% |
| 3–7 Sep 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 407 | 36% | 29% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 4% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 7–11 Aug 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 405 | 33% | 30% | 13% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| 10–13 Jul 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 404 | 36% | 30% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | 393 | 36% | 33% | 15% | — | 6% | — | 10% | 54% | 46% |
| 11–16 Jun 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 405 | 32% | 29% | 15% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 54% | 46% |
| 15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 34% | 29% | 14% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 17–21 Apr 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 34% | 32% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 21–24 Mar 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 35% | 35% | 13% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024 | Newspoll | 926 | 34% | 33% | 16% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 55% | 45% |
| 21–24 Feb 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 404 | 34% | 32% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 54% | 46% |
| 31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023 | Newspoll | 917 | 34% | 34% | 15% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 55% | 45% |
| 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 405 | 34% | 37% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| 1–5 Nov 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 404 | 25% | 37% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| 28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | 887 | 35% | 36% | 13% | — | 4% | — | 12% | 54% | 46% |
| Daniel Andrews resigns as Premier of Victoria, replaced by Jacinta Allan ||||||||||||
| 22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 1,192 | 30% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 58% | 42% |
| 6–9 Sep 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 404 | 32% | 40% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| 9–12 Aug 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 404 | 30% | 38% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| 12–15 Jul 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 26% | 42% | 13% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 42% |
| 6–11 Jun 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 405 | 25% | 40% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| 14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 25% | 48% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 66% | 34% |
| 12–16 Apr 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 32% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| 1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | 1,193 | 33% | 41% | 11% | — | 4% | — | 11% | 58% | 42% |
| 12–16 Mar 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 403 | 29% | 43% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 60% | 40% |
| 15–19 Feb 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 404 | 27% | 40% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 62% | 38% |
| 17–22 Jan 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 31% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| 30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 27% | 46% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| 26 Nov 2022 | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election | Labor wins a third term at the state election |
| 27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022 | Newspoll | 1,448 | 33% | 37% | 13% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 57% | 43% |
| 26–30 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 406 | 32% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 58% | 42% |
| 5–9 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 404 | 30% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 42% |
| 14–18 Sep 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 405 | 30% | 38% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| 17–21 Aug 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 507 | 24% | 42% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 63% | 37% |
| 21 Jun 2022 | Roy Morgan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | Election | 33.1% | 32.9% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 54.8% | 45.2% |
* ↑ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria.

### Queensland
#### Graphical summary
##### Polling

| Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | LNP | ALP |
| 7–13 Mar 2025 | YouGov | 312 | 34% | 29.5% | 15.5% | 10.5% | — | — | 10.5% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 21–27 Feb 2025 | YouGov | 302 | 47% | 23% | 8% | 10% | — | — | 12% | 62% | 38% |
| 18–23 Feb 2025 | Resolve Strategic | 306 | 41% | 25% | 12% | 8% | — | 9% | 4% | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| 10–14 Feb 2025 | DemosAU | 1,004 | 39% | 31% | 12% | 10% | — | — | 8% | 53% | 47% |
| 4–11 Feb 2025 | RedBridge/Accent | 190 | 42% | 29% | 16% | — | — | — | 13% | 51% | 49% |
| 15–21 Jan 2025 | Resolve Strategic | 329 | 42% | 26% | 11% | 7% | — | 7% | 6% | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| 4–8 Dec 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 38% | 25% | 13% | 9% | — | 8% | 7% | 55% | 45% |
| 7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024 | Newspoll | 790 | 41% | 29% | 12% | 8% | — | — | 10% | 53% | 47% |
| 5–10 Nov 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 330 | 43% | 29% | 8% | 6% | — | 8% | 6% | 56% | 44% |
| 26 Oct 2024 | State Election | State Election | 41.5% | 32.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | — | 1.7% | 6.3% | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| 26 Oct 2024 | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election | LNP wins a majority government at the state election |
| 4–16 Oct 2024 | RedBridge Group | 2,315 | 41% | 28% | 13% | 10% | — | — | 8% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 1–5 Oct 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 6% | — | 13% | 2% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| 15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024 | Newspoll | 1,053 | 43% | 30% | 12% | 8% | — | — | 7% | 54% | 46% |
| 3–7 Sep 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 328 | 40% | 27% | 13% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 1% | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| 7–11 Aug 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 41% | 24% | 11% | 10% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 56% | 44% |
| 10–13 Jul 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 44% | 23% | 10% | 7% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| 15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | 328 | 40% | 27% | 13% | 10% | — | — | 10% | 54% | 46% |
| 11–16 Jun 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 40% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 3% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 43% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| 17–21 Apr 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 40% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 54% | 46% |
| 21–24 Mar 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 36% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 49% | 51% |
| 31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024 | Newspoll | 772 | 41% | 29% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 53% | 47% |
| 21–24 Feb 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 44% | 32% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns as Premier of Queensland, replaced by Steven Miles ||||||||||||
| 31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023 | Newspoll | 764 | 41% | 27% | 12% | 8% | — | — | 12% | 54% | 46% |
| 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 0% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 1–5 Nov 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 36% | 31% | 12% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 50% | 50% |
| 28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | 887 | 39% | 30% | 11% | 9% | — | — | 11% | 52% | 48% |
| 22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 961 | 34% | 33% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 48% | 52% |
| 6–9 Sep 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 35% | 29% | 16% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 49% | 51% |
| 9–12 Aug 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 40% | 28% | 9% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 54% | 46% |
| 12–15 Jul 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 36% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 48% | 52% |
| 6–11 Jun 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 31% | 38% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 45% | 55% |
| 14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 39% | 27% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 12–16 Apr 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 29% | 37% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| 1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | 995 | 39% | 33% | 10% | 8% | — | — | 10% | 50% | 50% |
| 12–16 Mar 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 325 | 24% | 39% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 14% | 2% | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| 15–19 Feb 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 35% | 39% | 10% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 46% | 54% |
| 17–22 Jan 2023 | Resolve Strategic | 328 | 30% | 38% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| 30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 328 | 34% | 43% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 44% | 56% |
| 27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022 | Newspoll | 1,207 | 40% | 33% | 12% | 6% | — | — | 9% | 51% | 49% |
| 26–30 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 328 | 32% | 36% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 43% | 57% |
| 5–9 Oct 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 326 | 38% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 50% | 50% |
| 14–18 Sep 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 327 | 31% | 42% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 44% | 56% |
| 17–21 Aug 2022 | Resolve Strategic | 409 | 31% | 37% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| 21 Jun 2022 | Roy Morgan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50% | 50% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | Election | 39.6% | 27.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 54% | 46% |
* ↑ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland.

### Western Australia
#### Graphical summary
##### Polling

| Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP |
| 7–13 Mar 2025 | YouGov | 155 | 42.5% | 34.5% | 8% | 9% | — | 6% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 8 Mar 2025 | State Election | State Election | 41.7% | 33.8% | 10.5% | 3.8% | — | 10.2% | — | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| 1 Oct – 8 Dec 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 460 | 30% | 37% | 12% | 5% | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
| 7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024 | Newspoll | 376 | 38% | 37% | 11% | 5% | — | 9% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 30 Oct – 4 Nov 2024 | DemosAU | 948 | 34% | 38% | 14% | 6% | — | 8% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 1–10 Oct 2024 | Redbridge | 1,514 | 35% | 34% | — | — | — | — | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024 | Newspoll | 562 | 36% | 39% | 11% | 4% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | 156 | 34% | 37% | 11% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
| 31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024 | Newspoll | 368 | 34% | 39% | 8% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 49% | 51% |
| 31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023 | Newspoll | 364 | 37% | 37% | 11% | 5% | — | 10% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 6–13 Dec 2023 | RedBridge | 1,203 | 39% | 37% | 12% | 5% | — | 7% | — | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| 28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | 620 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 6% | — | 8% | — | 53% | 47% |
| Mark McGowan resigns as Premier of Western Australia, replaced by Roger Cook ||||||||||||
| 1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | 474 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 57% | 43% |
| Libby Mettam replaces David Honey as the WA Liberal leader ||||||||||||
| 27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022 | Newspoll | 575 | 39% | 34% | 9% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 21 Jun 2022 | Roy Morgan | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | Election | 36.8% | 34.8% | 12.5% | 4% | 2.3% | 9.6% | — | 55% | 45% |

### South Australia
#### Graphical summary
##### Polling

| Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP |
| 7–13 Mar 2025 | YouGov | 113 | 33.5% | 33% | 9.5% | 8% | — | 16% | — | 51% | 49% |
| 18–23 Feb 2025 | DemosAU | 440 | 35% | 34% | 11% | 6% | — | 14% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 1 Oct – 8 Dec 2024 | Resolve Strategic | 359 | 34% | 27% | 12% | 8% | — | 19% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024 | Newspoll | 280 | 37% | 35% | 9% | 7% | — | 12% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024 | Newspoll | 374 | 35% | 36% | 9% | 10% | — | 10% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024 | Newspoll | 368 | 34% | 34% | 11% | 12% | — | 9% | — | 53% | 47% |
| 31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024 | Newspoll | 278 | 33% | 35% | 11% | 10% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
| 31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023 | Newspoll | 277 | 35% | 38% | 10% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
| 28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | 362 | 30% | 40% | 10% | 11% | — | 9% | — | 57% | 43% |
| 1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023 | Newspoll | 362 | 35% | 38% | 12% | 5% | — | 10% | — | 56% | 44% |
| 27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022 | Newspoll | 449 | 35% | 40% | 12% | 6% | — | 7% | — | 57% | 43% |
| 21 Jun 2022 | Roy Morgan | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | Election | 35.54% | 34.46% | 12.77% | 4.83% | 3.89% | 8.51% | — | 53.97% | 46.03% |

### Tasmania
#### Graphical summary
##### Polling

| Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | JLN | UAP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP |
| 10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024 | Accent/RedBridge | 107 | 35% | 25% | 12% | — | — | — | 28% | 48% | 52% |
| 1 Feb – 26 May 2024 | Accent/RedBridge | 107 | 30% | 29% | 15% | — | — | — | 26% | 54% | 46% |
| 23 Mar 2024 | State Election | State Election | 36.7% | 29% | 13.9% | 6.7% | — | 8% | 5.7% | | |
| 28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023 | Newspoll | 366 | 25% | 30% | 13% | | — | — | 27% | 57% | 43% |
| 21 Jun 2022 | Roy Morgan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 63% | 37% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | Election | 32.9% | 27.3% | 12% | 6.8% | - | 11.2% | 10.8% | 54.3% | 45.7% |

### Northern Territory
#### Polling

| Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | Primary vote | 2pp vote | 2pp vote |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | CLP | ALP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | CLP |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Territory Election | Territory Election | 48.9% | 28.8% | 8.1% | — | 14.2% | — | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| 16–18 Nov 2023 | Redbridge Group | 601 | 40.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| 21 May 2022 | Election | Election | 29.4% | 38.2% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 12.7% | 55.5% | 44.5% |

## Individual seat polling

Occasionally, opinion polling is conducted in individual electoral divisions.

## Electorate projections

| Date | Brand | Sample Size | Seat Tally | Seat Tally | Seat Tally | Seat Tally | Most Likely Outcome |
| Date | Brand | Sample Size | L/NP | ALP | GRN | OTH | Most Likely Outcome |
| 22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025 | YouGov MRP | 40,689 | 73 | 66 | 1 | 10 | Coalition Minority |
| 29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group | 4,909 | 71 | 65 | 4 | 10 | Coalition Minority |
| 10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group | 5,976 | 68 | 69 | 3 | 10 | Labor Minority |
| Feb – May 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group | 4,040 | 60 | 77 | 3 | 11 | Labor Majority |
| 21 May 2022 | 2022 Federal Election | 2022 Federal Election | 58 | 77 | 4 | 12 | Labor Majority |