# 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

"none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
Elections in Massachusetts :
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Federal government
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State government
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Ballot measures
1980: Proposition 2½
2002: English Language Education in Public Schools
2006: 2008
Greyhound Protection
Sensible Marijuana Policy
State Income Tax Repeal
2010: No Sales Tax for Alcohol
Sales Tax Relief
Comprehensive Permits and Regional Planning
2012: Right to Repair
Death with Dignity
Medical Marijuana
2014: Automatic Gas Tax Increase Repeal
Expansion of Bottle Deposits
Casino Repeal
Paid Sick Days
2016: Expand Slot Machine Gaming
Charter School Expansion
Farm Animal Confinement
Legalization, Regulation and Taxation of Marijuana
2018: Gender Identity Anti-Discrimination
2020: pending :
Boston
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Springfield
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Worcester
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Massachusetts portal :
vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
A New England state, Massachusetts had been a Democratic leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and is still considered a deeply blue state today. Democrats have consistently defeated Republicans by large margins in Massachusetts since 1996. In 2020, Joe Biden won the state by more than 33%, the largest margin since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.
Harris won Massachusetts with a sizable margin as expected, winning it by just under 20 points. However, this was an 13-point smaller margin than Biden, following a trend of blue states, such as New York, California and Illinois, shifting significantly red.This was the first time since Clinton in 1992 that a Democratic nominee won the state by less than 20 points. Trump's share of the vote was the highest for a republican since Bush in 1988, he also flipped Bristol County.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Massachusetts Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 533,096 | 80.5% | 91 | | 91 |
| No Preference | 60,236 | 9.1% | 1 | | 1 |
| Dean Phillips | 29,728 | 4.5% | | | |
| Marianne Williamson | 20,402 | 3.1% | | | |
| Other candidates | 10,135 | 1.5% | | | |
| Cenk Uygur (write-in) | 82 | <0.1% | | | |
| Blank ballots | 8,930 | 1.3% | | | |
| Total: | 662,609 | 100% | 92 | | 92 |

### Republican primary

The Massachusetts Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Massachusetts Republican primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 343,189 | 59.56% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Nikki Haley | 211,440 | 36.69% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| No Preference | 5,717 | 0.99% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 5,217 | 0.91% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,981 | 0.69% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,738 | 0.30% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other candidates | 1,674 | 0.29% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 619 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 527 | 0.09% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blank ballots | 2,148 | 0.37% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 576,250 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |

### Libertarian primary

The Massachusetts Libertarian primary was held on March 5, 2024.
Massachusetts Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
| No Preference | 3,982 | 36.45% |
| Chase Oliver | 1,453 | 13.30% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 1,089 | 9.97% |
| Michael Rectenwald | 546 | 5.00% |
| Lars Mapstead | 399 | 3.65% |
| Mike ter Maat | 314 | 2.87% |
| All Others | 2,161 | 19.78% |
| Blank ballots | 980 | 8.97% |
| Total: | 10,924 | 100.00% |
| Source: |||

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid D | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |

### Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| ActiVote | October 2–30, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 66% | 34% | – |
| Emerson College | October 24–26, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 36% | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 24–26, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 60% | 37% | 3% |
| ActiVote | September 6 – October 16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 67% | 33% | – |
| MassINC Polling Group | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 63% | 35% | 2% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| University of New Hampshire | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 744 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 60% | 34% | – | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| YouGov | October 3–10, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.8% | 56% | 30% | – | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Suffolk University | October 1–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 61% | 32% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire | September 12–16, 2024 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 62% | 31% | – | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| MassINC Polling Group | October 29 – November 1, 2024 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | 31% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| MassINC Polling Group | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 60% | 32% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Suffolk University | July 16–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| University of New Hampshire | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 68% | 32% | – |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 55% | 36% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 271 (RV) | – | 58% | 34% | 8% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 263 (LV) | – | 59% | 34% | 7% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
| Emerson College | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| University of New Hampshire | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 26% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| MassINC Polling Group | March 21–29, 2024 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 26% | 7% | 2% | – | 21% |
| MassINC Polling Group | March 21–29, 2024 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 28% | 9% | 2% | – | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| YouGov | May 17–30, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 27% | 9% | 16% |
| Suffolk University | April 16–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% |
| Suffolk University | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
| YouGov | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 46% | 33% | 21% |

### Results

* Republican — +2.5–5%
* Republican — +5–7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 2,126,518 | 61.22% | 4.38 |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 1,251,303 | 36.02% | 3.88 |
| | Green-Rainbow | Jill SteinGloria Caballero-Roca | 26,545 | 0.76% | 0.25 |
| | Independent | Shiva AyyaduraiCrystal Ellis | 18,418 | 0.53% | N/A |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 17,735 | 0.51% | 0.78 |
| | Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la CruzKarina Garcia | 12,889 | 0.37% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 20,260 | 0.58% | 0.13 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,473,668 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Barnstable | 88,129 | 59.23% | 57,451 | 38.61% | 3,205 | 2.15% | 30,678 | 20.62% | 148,785 |
| Berkshire | 47,094 | 68.58% | 19,805 | 28.84% | 1,775 | 2.58% | 27,289 | 39.74% | 68,674 |
| Bristol | 137,786 | 49.56% | 134,196 | 48.27% | 6,035 | 2.17% | 3,590 | 1.29% | 278,017 |
| Dukes | 9,137 | 74.84% | 2,745 | 22.48% | 327 | 2.68% | 6,392 | 52.36% | 12,209 |
| Essex | 236,624 | 58.88% | 155,336 | 38.66% | 9,891 | 2.46% | 81,288 | 20.22% | 401,851 |
| Franklin | 28,305 | 67.00% | 12,428 | 29.42% | 1,515 | 3.59% | 15,877 | 37.58% | 42,248 |
| Hampden | 110,937 | 53.18% | 92,474 | 44.33% | 5,193 | 2.49% | 18,463 | 8.85% | 208,604 |
| Hampshire | 58,617 | 69.19% | 23,256 | 27.45% | 2,847 | 3.36% | 35,361 | 41.74% | 84,720 |
| Middlesex | 554,471 | 68.05% | 235,118 | 28.85% | 25,243 | 3.10% | 319,353 | 39.20% | 814,832 |
| Nantucket | 4,784 | 67.21% | 2,171 | 30.50% | 163 | 2.29% | 2,613 | 36.71% | 7,118 |
| Norfolk | 242,712 | 62.81% | 132,497 | 34.29% | 11,238 | 2.91% | 110,215 | 28.52% | 386,447 |
| Plymouth | 159,962 | 53.30% | 133,544 | 44.50% | 6,623 | 2.21% | 26,418 | 8.80% | 300,129 |
| Suffolk | 222,280 | 74.29% | 66,480 | 22.22% | 10,433 | 3.49% | 155,800 | 52.07% | 299,193 |
| Worcester | 225,680 | 53.63% | 183,802 | 43.67% | 11,359 | 2.70% | 41,878 | 9.96% | 420,841 |
| Totals | 2,126,518 | 61.22% | 1,251,303 | 36.02% | 95,847 | 2.76% | 875,215 | 25.20% | 3,473,668 |

#### By congressional district

Harris won all nine congressional districts.
| District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
| 1st | 55% | 42% | Richard Neal |
| 2nd | 60% | 36% | Jim McGovern |
| 3rd | 58% | 39% | Lori Trahan |
| 4th | 58% | 38% | Jake Auchincloss |
| 5th | 70% | 26% | Katherine Clark |
| 6th | 58% | 38% | Seth Moulton |
| 7th | 79% | 17% | Ayanna Pressley |
| 8th | 61% | 35% | Stephen Lynch |
| 9th | 54% | 43% | Bill Keating |

## Analysis

This was the first time that a Democrat won less than 50% of the vote in Bristol County since 1992, the closest a Republican had come to winning a single Massachusetts county since 1988, and the first time a Republican candidate won Fall River since 1924. In fact, Bristol County was originally called for Trump before additional vote counts swung it back into the Democratic margin. In addition, it was the first time a Republican candidate won Somerset since 1956, and the first time a Republican candidate won Westport and Seekonk (all in Bristol County) since 1984. Of the 351 municipalities in Massachusetts, Trump flipped 26, while Harris flipped none. Of the 351 municipalities in Massachusetts, 339 shifted towards Trump, while a mere 12 shifted towards Harris. Harris's largest gain was in Gosnold, where she improved the margin of victory by 12.2%, while Trump's largest gain was in Lawrence, where he cut his margin of defeat by 31%.
Trump's gains were powered significantly by Hispanic Americans, who make up a significant percentage of Massachusetts and shifted heavily to the right in 2024. Lawrence, a heavily Dominican American city in northern Massachusetts, gave Trump 43% of the vote - over a 30% margin drop from 2020. The six most Hispanic cities in Massachusetts (namely Lawrence, Lynn, Everett, Chelsea, Holyoke, and Springfield) saw Harris' margin of victory drop a combined 18% from 2020.