# 2024 United States presidential election in California

"none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
Elections in California :
Federal governmentU.S. President
1852
1856
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Dem
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2024
Dem
Rep
U.S. Senate
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U.S. House of Representatives
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5th sp
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22nd sp
2024
16th
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30th
45th
47th
2026 :
State governmentExecutive Governor
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2026
Lieutenant governor
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2026
Attorney general
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2026
Secretary of state
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1982
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2010
2014
2018
2022
Treasurer
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1998
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2010
2014
2018
2022
2026
Controller
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1998
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2010
2014
2018
2022
Insurance commissioner
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
2022
Superintendent
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1998
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2006
2010
2014
2018
2022
Board of equalization
2018
2022
Legislature Senate
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2024
Special
Assembly
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2021 (79th sp)
2022 (17th sp)
2024
Special
Judiciary Court of appeals
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2006
Elections by year
1992
1994
1996
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2005
2006
2008
Feb
Jun
Nov
2009
2010
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Nov
2012
Jun
Nov
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024 :
State propositions1910–1919
1911
4
7
8
1960–1969
1964
14
1970–1979
1978
6
8
13
1980–1989
1982
8
1986
64
65
1988
98
99
1990–1999
1994
187
1996
196
209
215
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1998
6
10
227
2000–2009
2000
21
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36
39
2003
53
54
2004
1A
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60A
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94, 95, 96, and 97
98 and 99
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2009
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1B
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1D
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2010–2019
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2016
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2020–2029
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Full list :
Los Angeles CountyLos Angeles County Board of supervisors
1980
1996
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
Ballot measures
1980
A
2008
R
2012
B
J
2016
M
2024
G
Elections
2020
2022
2024
Los Angeles Mayor
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1900
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1909 (sp)
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1911
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1981
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2013
2017
2022
2026
City attorney
2009
Ballot measures
1986
U
2017
S
Elections
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019 (sp)
2020
2022
2023 (sp)
2024
Long Beach Mayor
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
2022 :
Orange CountyOrange County Board of supervisors
2018
2020
2022
2024
District attorney
2018
Anaheim Mayor
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
2022
Irvine Mayor
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
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2002
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Costa Mesa Municipal
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2024 :
SacramentoMayor
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024 :
San Diego CountySan Diego County Board of supervisors
2020
San Diego Mayor
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2013–14 (sp)
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2028
City attorney
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City council
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Special :
San FranciscoMayor
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District attorney
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2022 (recall)
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2024
Board of supervisors
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Board of education
2018
2022 (recall)
Ballot measures
2024
G
Elections
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Mar
Nov
2005
2006
Jun
Nov
2007
2008
Feb
Jun
Nov
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Feb :
San JoseMayor
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1986
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2024 :
Other localities
Bakersfield
Mayoral elections:
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Fresno
Mayoral elections:
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Oakland
Mayoral elections:
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
2022
2024
2025
Riverside
Mayoral elections:
1997
2001
2005
2009
2012
2016
2020
2024
San Bernardino
Mayoral elections:
2005
2009
2014
2018
2022
Stockton
Mayoral elections:
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024 :
vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.
The most populous state in the union, California is considered a strong blue state, having voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. In these contests, it has supported Democratic candidates by double digits in each of them except for 2004, when John Kerry won it by 9.95 percentage points. It was widely expected that California voters would maintain this trend, particularly with Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. Harris, a native of California, served as the state's Attorney General from 2011 to 2017 and later represented California in the U.S. Senate from 2017 to 2021 before assuming the vice presidency. She is the first Californian to be featured on a major party presidential ticket since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
Although Kamala Harris won in California by a margin of 20 percentage points, it represented a significant decrease compared to Joe Biden's 29-point victory in the state in 2020. This trend of diminished Democratic voter turnout was also evident in other traditionally Democratic strongholds, including Massachusetts, New York and Illinois. Harris's performance in California was the worst for a Democratic candidate since 2004, failing to receive at least 60% of the vote in the state for the first time since then.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The California Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won all 424 pledged delegates with nearly 90% of the vote, the largest share of delegates awarded by any contest in the 2024 primaries.
California Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 3,207,687 | 89.1% | 424 | | 424 |
| Marianne Williamson | 146,356 | 4.1% | | | |
| Dean Phillips | 100,284 | 2.8% | | | |
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 43,105 | 1.2% | | | |
| Gabriel Cornejo | 41,390 | 1.2% | | | |
| "President" R. Boddie | 25,455 | 0.7% | | | |
| Stephen P. Lyons | 21,062 | 0.6% | | | |
| Eban Cambridge | 12,758 | 0.3% | | | |
| Total (including write-ins): | 3,598,126 | 100.00% | 424 | 73 | 497 |
The electors of the Democratic Party are chosen by the candidates who received the most votes in the primary election in their respective congressional district.

### Republican primary

The California Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump was challenged by Nikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 60 points and earning all 169 delegates.
The state was the site of the second Republican primary debate, held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library on September 27, 2023.
California Republican primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 1,962,905 | 79.25% | 169 | 0 | 169 |
| Nikki Haley | 431,876 | 17.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 35,717 | 1.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 20,210 | 0.82% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 11,113 | 0.45% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rachel Swift | 4,253 | 0.17% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 3,909 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 3,577 | 0.14% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 3,336 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 2,476,896 | 100.00% | 169 | 0 | 169 |
The electors of the Republican Party are their nominees for the main offices of the State of California and for Senator at the last two elections as well as their leaders in the state legislature and party committee.

### Libertarian primary

Charles Ballay was the only candidate to qualify for the Libertarian Party primary ballot. Chase Oliver later qualified as a write-in candidate.
2024 California Libertarian primary :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Charles Ballay | 21,906 | 98.6% |
| Chase Oliver (write-in) | 313 | 1.4% |
| Total: | 22,219 | 100.0% |
The electors for the Libertarian Party were elected by the state party convention.

### Green primary

Jill Stein, the Green Party's nominee for president in 2012 and 2016, was the only candidate on the California primary ballot, although she was followed by three write-in candidates. Stein won the primary and earned all 59 of the state's delegates.
2024 California Green primary :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates |
| Jill Stein | 15,801 | 99.96% | 59 |
| Matthew Pruden (write-in) | 3 | 0.02% | |
| Jorge Zavala (write-in) | 3 | 0.02% | |
| Davi (write-in) | 1 | 0.00% | |
| Total: | 15,808 | 100.0% | 59 |

### Peace and Freedom primary

Three candidates successfully achieved ballot access in the Peace and Freedom Party non-binding presidential primary: Claudia de la Cruz, the nominee for the Party for Socialism and Liberation; Cornel West, who is running an independent campaign after withdrawing from the Green nomination; and Jasmine Sherman. The party's presidential nominee was chosen by the state central committee in August.
2024 California Peace and Freedom primary :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Claudia de la Cruz | 6,430 | 47.0% |
| Cornel West | 5,455 | 39.9% |
| Jasmine Sherman | 1,795 | 13.1% |
| Total: | 13,680 | 100.0% |

### American Independent Party

The sole candidate of the American Independent Party primary was James Bradley, who was simultaneously running for the U.S. Senate as a Republican in the blanket primary held on the same day. Andrew George Rummel also qualified as an official write-in candidate.
2024 California American Independent primary :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | James Bradley | 45,565 | 99.96% |
| Andrew George Rummel (write-in) | 16 | 0.04% |
| Total: | 45,581 | 100.0% |

## General election
### Candidates

In California, six political parties have qualified for ballot access in the 2024 election. On August 29, 2024, California secretary of state Shirley Weber published the certified list of candidates for the general election:
* Kamala Harris / Tim Walz — Democratic
* Donald Trump / JD Vance — Republican
* Robert F. Kennedy Jr. / Nicole Shanahan — American Independent
* Jill Stein / Butch Ware — Green
* Chase Oliver / Mike ter Maat — Libertarian
* Claudia De la Cruz / Karina Garcia — Peace and Freedom
Weber's office published the list of write-in candidates on October 25, in which Peter Sonski was the only certified candidate listed, alongside his running mate Lauren Onak.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid D | June 11, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |

### Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 64% | 32% | 4% |
| Competitive Edge Research | October 28–30, 2024 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 53% | 38% | 8% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | October 22–28, 2024 | 4,341 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
| ActiVote | October 7–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – |
| Rose Institute/YouGov | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 60% | 33% | 7% |
| Rose Institute/YouGov | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 63% | 34% | 3% |
| Rose Institute/YouGov | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,139 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 63% | 34% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 12–14, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 35% | 6% |
| Emerson College | October 12–14, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 61% | 37% | 2% |
| ActiVote | September 22 – October 10, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63.5% | 36.5% | – |
| ActiVote | August 22 – September 21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 64% | 36% | – |
| Emerson College | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 60% | 36% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 61% | 38% | 1% |
| ActiVote | August 2–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 65% | 35% | – |
| UC Berkeley IGS | July 31 – August 11, 2024 | 3,765 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 34% | 7% |
| | July 21, 2024 | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| Cygnal (R) | October 27–30, 2024 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 31% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | October 7–15, 2024 | 1,137 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 59% | 33% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | September 25 – October 1, 2024 | 3,045 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 57% | 35% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| University of Southern California/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona | September 12–25, 2024 | 1,685 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 58% | 36% | 2% | – | 2% | 0% | 2% |
| Capitol Weekly | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,054 (LV) | – | 59% | 34% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 2% |
| Capitol Weekly | August 23–26, 2024 | 3,154 (LV) | – | 58% | 36% | 4% | 0% | 2% | – | – |
| | August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. |
| Capitol Weekly | August 13–15, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | – | 57% | 37% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | – |
| Capitol Weekly | July 25–27, 2024 | 1,904 (LV) | – | 59% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 2% | – | – |
| | July 21, 2024 | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. |
| Capitol Weekly | July 19–22, 2024 | 2,121 (LV) | – | 54% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 4% | – | 2% |
| Capitol Weekly | July 12–14, 2024 | 1,044 (LV) | – | 54% | 35% | 7% | 0% | 3% | – | 2% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. |
| Public Policy Institute of California | June 24 – July 2, 2024 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 30% | 15% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | May 23 – June 2, 2024 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 31% | 14% |
| The Bullfinch Group | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 59% | 34% | 7% |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 740 (LV) | – | 56% | 38% | 6% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | March 19–25, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 31% | 14% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 740 (RV) | – | 54% | 36% | 10% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 692 (LV) | – | 56% | 37% | 7% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | February 6–13, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 37% | 19% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | November 9–16, 2023 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | October 3–19, 2023 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 29% | 12% |
| Data Viewpoint | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 33% | – |
| Public Policy Institute of California | August 25 – September 5, 2023 | 1,146 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | August 24–29, 2023 | 6,030 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | June 7–29, 2023 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | June 4–7, 2023 | 1,056 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | May 17–24, 2023 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times | February 14–20, 2023 | 7,512 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 57% | 27% | 16% |
| UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Capitol Weekly | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,054 (LV) | – | 51% | 34% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 8% |
| Capitol Weekly | August 23–26, 2024 | 3,154 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 5% |
| Capitol Weekly | August 13–15, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | – | 51% | 36% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. |
| Capitol Weekly | July 19–22, 2024 | 2,121 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 3% |
| Capitol Weekly | July 12–14, 2024 | 1,044 (LV) | – | 51% | 33% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 48% | 28% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 40% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| USC Dornsife/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona | January 21–29, 2024 | 1,416 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 53% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
| UC Berkeley IGS | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 29% | 9% | 4% | – | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 740 (LV) | – | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 740 (LV) | – | 47% | 35% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | June 4–7, 2023 | 1,056 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times | February 14–20, 2023 | 7,512 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 54% | 31% | 15% |
| UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Data Viewpoint | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 58% | 42% | – |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 35% | 13% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Probolsky Research | August 4–9, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 38% | 7% |

### Results

* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic  Hold Republican  Hold  Gain from Democratic
2024 United States presidential election in California :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 9,276,179 | 58.47% | 5.01% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 6,081,697 | 38.33% | 4.01% |
| | American Independent | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) | 197,645 | 1.25% | 0.91% |
| | Green | Jill SteinButch Ware | 167,814 | 1.06% | 0.60% |
| | Peace and Freedom | Claudia De la CruzKarina Garcia | 72,539 | 0.46% | 0.17% |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 66,662 | 0.42% | 0.65% |
| | American Solidarity | Peter Sonski (write-in)Lauren Onak (write-in) | 2,939 | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 15,865,475 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Alameda | 499,551 | 74.57% | 140,789 | 21.02% | 29,567 | 4.41% | 358,762 | 53.55% | 669,907 |
| Alpine | 479 | 64.38% | 243 | 32.66% | 22 | 2.96% | 236 | 31.72% | 744 |
| Amador | 7,783 | 34.55% | 14,018 | 62.22% | 727 | 3.23% | -6,235 | -27.67% | 22,528 |
| Butte | 44,228 | 46.77% | 47,179 | 49.90% | 3,149 | 3.33% | -2,951 | -3.13% | 94,556 |
| Calaveras | 9,181 | 34.67% | 16,625 | 62.78% | 674 | 2.55% | -7,444 | -28.11% | 26,480 |
| Colusa | 2,431 | 34.62% | 4,414 | 62.87% | 176 | 2.51% | -1,983 | -28.25% | 7,021 |
| Contra Costa | 356,008 | 67.30% | 155,308 | 29.36% | 17,671 | 3.34% | 200,700 | 37.94% | 528,987 |
| Del Norte | 4,266 | 40.38% | 5,999 | 56.78% | 300 | 2.84% | -1,733 | -16.40% | 10,565 |
| El Dorado | 47,703 | 42.63% | 61,109 | 54.61% | 3,096 | 2.76% | -13,406 | -11.98% | 111,908 |
| Fresno | 151,628 | 46.50% | 165,924 | 50.89% | 8,497 | 2.61% | -14,296 | -4.39% | 326,049 |
| Glenn | 3,260 | 31.22% | 6,904 | 66.12% | 278 | 2.66% | -3,644 | -34.90% | 10,442 |
| Humboldt | 39,800 | 61.57% | 21,559 | 33.35% | 3,284 | 5.08% | 18,241 | 28.22% | 64,643 |
| Imperial | 26,083 | 48.27% | 26,546 | 49.12% | 1,409 | 2.61% | -463 | -0.85% | 54,038 |
| Inyo | 4,201 | 46.92% | 4,468 | 49.91% | 284 | 3.17% | -267 | -2.99% | 8,953 |
| Kern | 108,241 | 38.21% | 167,879 | 59.26% | 7,164 | 2.53% | -59,638 | -21.05% | 283,284 |
| Kings | 15,519 | 37.39% | 25,074 | 60.41% | 915 | 2.20% | -9,555 | -23.02% | 41,508 |
| Lake | 12,794 | 47.57% | 13,161 | 48.93% | 941 | 3.50% | -367 | -1.36% | 26,896 |
| Lassen | 2,478 | 21.71% | 8,619 | 75.51% | 318 | 2.78% | -6,141 | -53.80% | 11,415 |
| Los Angeles | 2,417,109 | 64.82% | 1,189,862 | 31.91% | 122,118 | 3.27% | 1,227,247 | 32.91% | 3,729,089 |
| Madera | 20,981 | 38.40% | 32,344 | 59.20% | 1,307 | 2.40% | -11,363 | -20.80% | 54,632 |
| Marin | 116,152 | 80.59% | 24,054 | 16.69% | 3,923 | 2.72% | 92,098 | 63.90% | 144,129 |
| Mariposa | 3,622 | 38.09% | 5,625 | 59.15% | 262 | 2.76% | -2,003 | -21.06% | 9,509 |
| Mendocino | 24,049 | 61.32% | 13,528 | 34.49% | 1,642 | 4.19% | 10,521 | 26.83% | 39,219 |
| Merced | 40,190 | 46.35% | 43,955 | 50.70% | 2,558 | 2.95% | -3,765 | -4.35% | 86,703 |
| Modoc | 1,008 | 25.03% | 2,884 | 71.62% | 135 | 3.35% | -1,876 | -46.59% | 4,027 |
| Mono | 3,522 | 58.08% | 2,294 | 37.83% | 248 | 4.09% | 1,228 | 20.25% | 6,064 |
| Monterey | 93,060 | 63.41% | 49,226 | 33.54% | 4,468 | 3.05% | 43,834 | 29.87% | 146,754 |
| Napa | 43,212 | 65.91% | 20,357 | 31.05% | 1,992 | 3.04% | 22,855 | 34.86% | 65,561 |
| Nevada | 33,784 | 54.36% | 26,177 | 42.12% | 2,183 | 3.52% | 7,607 | 12.24% | 62,144 |
| Orange | 691,731 | 49.72% | 654,815 | 47.06% | 44,761 | 3.22% | 36,916 | 2.66% | 1,391,307 |
| Placer | 103,958 | 44.25% | 123,941 | 52.76% | 7,034 | 2.99% | -19,983 | -8.51% | 234,933 |
| Plumas | 4,020 | 39.92% | 5,725 | 56.85% | 325 | 3.23% | -1,705 | -16.93% | 10,070 |
| Riverside | 451,782 | 48.04% | 463,677 | 49.30% | 25,051 | 2.66% | -11,895 | -1.26% | 940,510 |
| Sacramento | 381,564 | 58.10% | 252,140 | 38.39% | 23,043 | 3.51% | 129,424 | 19.71% | 656,747 |
| San Benito | 15,179 | 54.89% | 11,702 | 42.32% | 771 | 2.79% | 3,477 | 12.57% | 27,652 |
| San Bernardino | 362,114 | 47.53% | 378,416 | 49.67% | 21,316 | 2.80% | -16,302 | -2.14% | 761,846 |
| San Diego | 841,372 | 56.93% | 593,270 | 40.14% | 43,386 | 2.93% | 248,102 | 16.79% | 1,478,028 |
| San Francisco | 323,719 | 80.33% | 62,594 | 15.53% | 16,684 | 4.14% | 261,125 | 64.80% | 402,997 |
| San Joaquin | 126,647 | 47.81% | 128,996 | 48.69% | 9,273 | 3.50% | -2,349 | -0.88% | 264,916 |
| San Luis Obispo | 81,314 | 53.92% | 64,932 | 43.05% | 4,566 | 3.03% | 16,382 | 10.87% | 150,812 |
| San Mateo | 242,957 | 73.50% | 76,616 | 23.18% | 10,992 | 3.32% | 166,341 | 50.32% | 330,565 |
| Santa Barbara | 114,149 | 61.47% | 64,870 | 34.93% | 6,670 | 3.60% | 49,279 | 26.54% | 185,689 |
| Santa Clara | 510,744 | 68.04% | 210,924 | 28.10% | 28,938 | 3.86% | 299,820 | 39.94% | 750,606 |
| Santa Cruz | 100,998 | 74.82% | 27,978 | 20.73% | 6,005 | 4.45% | 73,020 | 54.09% | 134,981 |
| Shasta | 27,130 | 30.51% | 59,539 | 66.96% | 2,250 | 2.53% | -32,409 | -36.45% | 88,919 |
| Sierra | 641 | 36.52% | 1,066 | 60.74% | 48 | 2.74% | -425 | -24.22% | 1,755 |
| Siskiyou | 8,329 | 38.74% | 12,461 | 57.96% | 708 | 3.30% | -4,132 | -19.22% | 21,498 |
| Solano | 113,997 | 59.82% | 70,345 | 36.91% | 6,231 | 3.27% | 43,652 | 22.91% | 190,573 |
| Sonoma | 179,600 | 71.42% | 63,426 | 25.22% | 8,439 | 3.36% | 116,174 | 46.20% | 251,465 |
| Stanislaus | 85,347 | 42.98% | 106,986 | 53.88% | 6,225 | 3.14% | -21,639 | -10.90% | 198,558 |
| Sutter | 13,016 | 33.09% | 25,372 | 64.50% | 951 | 2.41% | -12,356 | -31.41% | 39,339 |
| Tehama | 7,415 | 27.94% | 18,503 | 69.72% | 622 | 2.34% | -11,088 | -41.78% | 26,540 |
| Trinity | 2,449 | 43.14% | 2,979 | 52.47% | 249 | 4.39% | -530 | -9.33% | 5,677 |
| Tulare | 53,221 | 38.48% | 81,854 | 59.18% | 3,234 | 2.34% | -28,633 | -20.70% | 138,309 |
| Tuolumne | 10,909 | 37.86% | 17,210 | 59.72% | 697 | 2.42% | -6,301 | -21.86% | 28,816 |
| Ventura | 217,424 | 56.08% | 158,901 | 40.99% | 11,379 | 2.93% | 58,523 | 15.09% | 387,704 |
| Yolo | 61,405 | 66.30% | 27,844 | 30.06% | 3,372 | 3.64% | 33,561 | 36.24% | 92,621 |
| Yuba | 10,725 | 35.66% | 18,491 | 61.49% | 856 | 2.85% | -7,766 | -25.83% | 30,072 |
| Totals | 9,276,179 | 58.45% | 6,081,697 | 38.32% | 513,384 | 3.23% | 3,194,482 | 20.13% | 15,871,260 |

##### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Butte (largest municipality: Chico)
* Fresno (largest municipality: Fresno)
* Imperial (largest municipality: El Centro)
* Inyo (largest municipality: Bishop)
* Lake (largest municipality: Clearlake)
* Merced (largest municipality: Merced)
* Riverside (largest municipality: Riverside)
* San Bernardino (largest municipality: San Bernardino)
* San Joaquin (largest municipality: Stockton)
* Stanislaus (largest municipality: Modesto)

#### By congressional district

Harris won 41 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 11 going to Trump, including two that elected Democrats.
| District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
| 1st | 36% | 61% | Doug LaMalfa |
| 2nd | 71% | 26% | Jared Huffman |
| 3rd | 47% | 50% | Kevin Kiley |
| 4th | 64% | 33% | Mike Thompson |
| 5th | 40% | 58% | Tom McClintock |
| 6th | 55% | 41% | Ami Bera |
| 7th | 63% | 33% | Doris Matsui |
| 8th | 70% | 27% | John Garamendi |
| 9th | 48% | 49% | Josh Harder |
| 10th | 65% | 31% | Mark DeSaulnier |
| 11th | 82% | 14% | Nancy Pelosi |
| 12th | 85% | 11% | Barbara Lee (118th Congress) |
| 12th | 85% | 11% | Lateefah Simon (119th Congress) |
| 13th | 46% | 51% | John Duarte (118th Congress) |
| 13th | 46% | 51% | Adam Gray (119th Congress) |
| 14th | 66% | 30% | Eric Swalwell |
| 15th | 72% | 24% | Kevin Mullin |
| 16th | 72% | 24% | Anna Eshoo (118th Congress) |
| 16th | 72% | 24% | Sam Liccardo (119th Congress) |
| 17th | 67% | 29% | Ro Khanna |
| 18th | 63% | 34% | Zoe Lofgren |
| 19th | 65% | 31% | Jimmy Panetta |
| 20th | 34% | 64% | Vince Fong |
| 21st | 51% | 47% | Jim Costa |
| 22nd | 46% | 52% | David Valadao |
| 23rd | 40% | 57% | Jay Obernolte |
| 24th | 61% | 36% | Salud Carbajal |
| 25th | 50% | 48% | Raul Ruiz |
| 26th | 55% | 42% | Julia Brownley |
| 27th | 50% | 47% | Mike Garcia (118th Congress) |
| 27th | 50% | 47% | George Whitesides (119th Congress) |
| 28th | 62% | 35% | Judy Chu |
| 29th | 66% | 31% | Tony Cárdenas (118th Congress) |
| 29th | 66% | 31% | Luz Rivas (119th Congress) |
| 30th | 69% | 28% | Adam Schiff (118th Congress) |
| 30th | 69% | 28% | Laura Friedman (119th Congress) |
| 31st | 57% | 40% | Grace Napolitano (118th Congress) |
| 31st | 57% | 40% | Gil Cisneros (119th Congress) |
| 32nd | 64% | 33% | Brad Sherman |
| 33rd | 53% | 44% | Pete Aguilar |
| 34th | 73% | 22% | Jimmy Gomez |
| 35th | 54% | 43% | Norma Torres |
| 36th | 68% | 29% | Ted Lieu |
| 37th | 79% | 18% | Sydney Kamlager-Dove |
| 38th | 56% | 40% | Linda Sánchez |
| 39th | 53% | 44% | Mark Takano |
| 40th | 47% | 49% | Young Kim |
| 41st | 46% | 52% | Ken Calvert |
| 42nd | 64% | 32% | Robert Garcia |
| 43rd | 73% | 24% | Maxine Waters |
| 44th | 65% | 32% | Nanette Barragán |
| 45th | 49% | 48% | Michelle Steel (118th Congress) |
| 45th | 49% | 48% | Derek Tran (119th Congress) |
| 46th | 57% | 40% | Lou Correa |
| 47th | 50% | 46% | Katie Porter (118th Congress) |
| 47th | 50% | 46% | Dave Min (119th Congress) |
| 48th | 41% | 56% | Darrell Issa |
| 49th | 52% | 45% | Mike Levin |
| 50th | 63% | 34% | Scott Peters |
| 51st | 60% | 37% | Sara Jacobs |
| 52nd | 59% | 38% | Juan Vargas |

## Analysis

Trump flipped 10 counties that were won by Biden in 2020: Butte, Fresno, Imperial, Inyo, Lake, Merced, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus. Of these 10, all except Butte and Inyo were also won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Trump’s wins in Fresno, Merced, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus marked the first time they voted for a Republican since George W. Bush in 2004, although all are fairly consistently Republican at the state level. Trump's win in Imperial (which is over 80% Hispanic) marked the first time it voted Republican since George H.W. Bush in 1988, while his win in Lake marked the first time it voted Republican since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Trump was also the first Republican since George W. Bush in 2004 to win at least 30% in Los Angeles County. Trump managed to flip four congressional districts, two of which split tickets and elected Democrats. Trump's gains with Hispanics allowed him to cross 40% in Southern California for the first time since 2004 as well as trended the region to the right of the state. Trump’s gains among Hispanics in California also helped improve his margins in the state, also allowing him to carry 9 of the state's 11 Hispanic majority counties. Trump also gained ground with Asian American voters in California, with Asian Americans being almost entirely responsible for the rightward shift in areas lacking significant Hispanic populations, such as San Francisco. In majority-Chinese Arcadia and Temple City, both communities in the San Gabriel Valley, Harris's margin dropped by 10% and 13% respectively. Trump also gained in mostly Filipino Daly City by 15%. Trump became the first Republican since 2004 to win the Inland Empire, California's third largest metropolitan area and a blue collar majority-Hispanic region that had been economically struggling.
Trump achieved significant gains in Los Angeles, receiving 27% of the vote, the highest for a Republican candidate in the city since 1988. This was a marked improvement from 2020, when Trump garnered only 21%, and 2016, when he received just 16% of the vote in the city. According to the New York Times 2024 precinct map, Trump's substantial gains in Los Angeles were largely attributed to increased support in Hispanic and Asian neighborhoods, although he made gains in nearly every single precinct in the city regardless. These communities, which have traditionally leaned Democratic, showed growing support for Trump, especially in areas where economic concerns, cultural values, and opposition to some policies of the Democratic Party resonated with voters. Donald Trump also saw an increase in Latino support in California, garnering 38% of the Latino vote, compared to 29% in the 2020 election, according to Fox News voter analysis. Trump won 42% of Latino Males compared to Harris's 54% and Trump received 34% of Latina Females compared to Harris's 63%—both major improvements from 2020.
Despite these results, Harris was able to hold onto historically Republican Orange County by a narrow margin. Harris also won every California county on the West Coast except for Del Norte County. She is also the first Democrat since John Kerry to win California despite carrying a minority of counties, winning 25 out of 58. Whereas Harris underperformed Biden's 2020 total by nearly 2 million, Trump narrowly surpassed his vote total from 2020, solidifying his base of support in the state at just over 6 million votes; this marked his third-highest vote total from any state in the country in 2024, only behind 6.4 million in Texas and 6.1 million in Florida. The swing in the presidential contest to Republicans in California was accompanied by a rejection of progressive ballot measures and a near-universal swing against progressive local candidates. Republican Senate candidate Steve Garvey was one of the few Republican senate candidates that outran Donald Trump, possibly owing to his large celebrity status within the state.