# 2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky

Elections in Kentucky :
Federal government
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2026 :
State government
State elections
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Gubernatorial elections
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Agriculture Commissioner elections
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Senate elections
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Special
House of Representatives elections
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Special
Supreme Court elections
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2026 :
Ballot measures
2004Amendment 1
2022Amendment 2
2024Amendment 2 :
Lexington
Mayoral elections
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Louisville
Mayoral elections
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Government :
vte :
The 2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kentucky. Incumbent seven-term Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who was first elected in 1984 and most recently re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2020, declined to run for re-election. This decision follows his earlier announcement stepping down as Senate Republican Leader after the 2024 Senate elections.
This will be the first open Senate election in Kentucky since 2010, and the first to this seat since 1972.

## Background

Kentucky, a Southern state in the Bible Belt, is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since 1992. Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all but two statewide offices, supermajorities in both houses of the Kentucky General Assembly, and all but one seat in Kentucky's U.S. House congressional delegation. However, Democrats control the governorship and lieutenant-governorship which flipped from Republican control in 2019.
McConnell was first elected in 1984 and was re-elected in six subsequent elections.

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Daniel Cameron, former Kentucky Attorney General (2020–2024) and nominee for governor in 2023

#### Publicly expressed interest

* Andy Barr, U.S. representative from Kentucky’s 6th congressional district (2013–present)
* Nate Morris, business conglomerate owner

#### Potential

* Kelly Craft, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2019–2021) and candidate for governor in 2023
* Scott Jennings, political strategist
* Ryan Quarles, president of the Kentucky Community and Technical College System (2024–present), former Kentucky Commissioner of Agriculture (2016–2024), and candidate for governor in 2023
* Robert Stivers, president of the Kentucky Senate (2013–present) from the 25th district (1997–present)

#### Declined

* James Comer, U.S. Representative for Kentucky's 1st congressional district (2016–present) (running for re-election)
* Thomas Massie, U.S. Representative for Kentucky's 4th congressional district (2012–present) (running for re-election)
* Mitch McConnell, incumbent U.S. Senator (1985–present)
* David Osborne, speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives (2018–present) from the 59th district (2005–present)
* Damon Thayer, former state senator from the 17th district (2003–2025)

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Barr | Daniel Cameron | Kelly Craft | Thomas Massie | Nate Morris | Other | Undecided |
| co/efficient (R) | February 25–26, 2025 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.05% | 18% | 39% | - | - | 3% | 11% | 31% |
| co/efficient | December 2–3, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.14% | 12% | 37% | 6% | - | 1% | 8% | 36% |
| co/efficient | December 2–3, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.14% | 10% | 32% | 3% | 16% | 0% | - | 39% |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Pamela Stevenson, minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives (2025–present) from the 43rd district (2021–present) and nominee for Attorney General in 2023

#### Potential

* Rocky Adkins, senior advisor to governor Andy Beshear (2019–present), former minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives (2017–2019), and candidate for governor in 2019
* Amy McGrath, member of the U.S. Naval Academy Board of Visitors (2022–present), nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, and nominee for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018

#### Declined

* Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)
* Jacqueline Coleman, Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | January 17, 2025 |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid R | February 11, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | February 13, 2025 |