# 2023 Cantabrian regional election

The 2023 Cantabrian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the autonomous community of Cantabria. All 35 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

## Overview
### Electoral system

The Parliament of Cantabria was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Cantabria, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Cantabrian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Cantabria and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote. The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.
The 35 members of the Parliament of Cantabria were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.

### Election date

The term of the Parliament of Cantabria expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 28 May 2023.
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Cantabria and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.
The election to the Parliament of Cantabria was officially triggered on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Gazette of Cantabria (BOC), scheduling for the chamber to convene on 22 June.

## Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.
Parliamentary composition in April 2023 :
| Groups | Groups | Parties | Parties | Legislators | Legislators |
| Groups | Groups | Parties | Parties | Seats | Total |
| | Regionalist Parliamentary Group | | PRC | 14 | 14 |
| | People's Parliamentary Group | | PP | 9 | 9 |
| | Socialist Parliamentary Group | | PSOE | 7 | 7 |
| | Citizens Parliamentary Group | | CS | 3 | 3 |
| | Mixed Parliamentary Group | | Vox | 2 | 2 |

## Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Cantabria, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Candidate | Candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. |
| Candidacy | Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Candidate | Candidate | Ideology | Votes (%) | Seats | Gov. | Ref. |
| | PRC | List Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) | | Miguel Ángel Revilla | Regionalism Centrism | 37.64% | 14 | Y | |
| | PP | List People's Party (PP) | | María José Sáenz de Buruaga | Conservatism Christian democracy | 24.04% | 9 | N | |
| | PSOE | List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | | Pablo Zuloaga | Social democracy | 17.61% | 7 | Y | |
| | CS | List Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | | Félix Álvarez | Liberalism | 7.94% | 3 | N | |
| | Vox | List Vox (Vox) | | Leticia Díaz | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 5.06% | 2 | N | |
| | Podemos–IU | List We Can (Podemos) United Left (IU) – Communist Party of Cantabria (PCC) – The Dawn. Marxist Organization OM (La Aurora (om)) – Republican Left (IR) | | Mónica Rodero | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 5.04% | 0 | N | [13] [14] |
On 19 December 2019, Félix Álvarez resigned as leader of Citizens (CS) in Cantabria, citing "disagreements" with the party's leadership after a scandal broke out over the one-day hiring of Cs former leading candidate for the Congress of Deputies in the region, Rubén Gómez, a contract which Álvarez had publicly denied from having taken place.

## Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

### Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 18 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PRC | | | | | | | | | Lead |
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 65.3 | 20.8 8 | 35.8 15 | 20.6 8 | 2.3 0 | 11.1 4 | | | 4.1 0 | – | 15.0 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 25.8 9/10 | 34.8 13/14 | 19.9 7/8 | – | 9.8 3/4 | | | 4.8 1/2 | – | 9.0 |
| KeyData/Público | 17 May 2023 | ? | 70.0 | 24.1 9 | 34.6 13 | 20.6 7 | 1.3 0 | 11.1 4 | | | 5.5 2 | – | 10.5 |
| Easiest | 15–17 May 2023 | 400 | ? | 26.1 9/10 | 33.6 12/13 | 22.9 9 | 1.2 0 | 11.1 4 | | | <5.0 0 | – | 7.5 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 11–17 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 25.8 10 | 33.5 12 | 19.6 7 | 1.4 0 | 10.4 4 | | | 7.1 2 | – | 7.7 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 4–10 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.3 10 | 32.5 12 | 19.6 7 | 1.4 0 | 10.1 4 | | | 7.0 2 | – | 5.2 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.8 11 | 32.4 12 | 19.7 7 | 1.4 0 | 9.9 3 | | | 6.6 2 | – | 4.6 |
| GAD3/ABC | 26–27 Apr 2023 | 805 | ? | 21.9 8/9 | 33.3 12/13 | 20.9 8 | 1.0 0 | 14.3 5 | | | 5.2 0/2 | – | 11.4 |
| Metroscopia | 25–27 Apr 2023 | 1,000 | 64.0 | 22.5 8/9 | 37.1 14/15 | 19.8 7/8 | – | 9.4 3/4 | | | 5.5 2 | – | 14.6 |
| CIS | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 471 | ? | 19.2 6/7 | 31.8 12/13 | 22.2 8/9 | 2.3 0 | 11.9 4/5 | | | 8.6 2/3 | – | 9.6 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.3 10 | 32.6 13 | 19.6 7 | 1.4 0 | 10.0 3 | | | 6.9 2 | – | 5.3 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 26.8 10 | 31.5 12 | 19.0 7 | 1.4 0 | 10.0 4 | | | 7.1 2 | – | 4.7 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es | 11–18 Apr 2023 | 451 | ? | 23.7 9 | 34.0 12/13 | 20.2 7/8 | 2.4 0 | 11.2 4 | | | 5.8 2 | – | 10.3 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 26.9 10 | 30.5 12 | 19.1 7 | 1.6 0 | 10.4 4 | | | 7.5 2 | – | 3.6 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 26.9 10 | 31.5 12 | 18.8 7 | 1.6 0 | 10.2 4 | | | 7.0 2 | – | 4.6 |
| KeyData/Público | 15 Mar 2023 | ? | 70.0 | 29.0 11 | 34.2 13 | 18.3 7 | 1.5 0 | 8.4 3 | | | 5.4 1 | – | 5.2 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 27 Feb–3 Mar 2023 | ? | 65.2 | 32.4 13 | 36.0 14 | 15.8 6 | 1.5 0 | 6.9 2 | | | 4.7 0 | – | 3.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 15 Jan–26 Feb 2023 | 243 | ? | 27.3 10 | 30.1 12 | 18.9 7 | 1.9 0 | 10.9 4 | | | 6.8 2 | – | 2.8 |
| Metroscopia | 9–14 Feb 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 23.4 9 | 34.9 13/14 | 20.6 8 | 1.2 0 | 9.5 3/4 | | | 5.6 0/2 | – | 11.5 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 3–9 Feb 2023 | 870 | ? | 31.8 12 | 33.4 12 | 18.1 6/7 | 1.8 0 | 7.9 2/3 | | | 5.4 2 | – | 1.6 |
| CIS | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 196 | ? | 14.7 5/7 | 28.8 10/14 | 28.6 10/13 | 2.6 0/1 | 11.0 3/5 | | | 7.0 0/3 | – | 0.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 30 Jun–13 Aug 2022 | 101 | ? | 28.9 11 | 28.9 11 | 18.3 7 | 2.0 0 | 11.4 4 | | | 7.5 2 | 0.5 0 | Tie |
| Logos Lab/PRC | 6 Mar 2022 | 800 | ? | 31.5 12 | 26.1 10 | 19.5 7 | 3.9 0 | 10.0 4 | | | 5.0 2 | – | 5.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 15 Jan–27 Feb 2022 | ? | ? | 29.9 11 | 27.6 11 | 20.0 7 | 2.3 0 | 10.3 4 | | | 7.1 2 | 0.7 0 | 2.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 1 Dec 2021 | ? | ? | 30.0 12 | 27.5 11 | 20.0 7 | 2.0 0 | 10.0 3 | | | 7.0 2 | – | 2.5 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 31 May 2021 | 800 | ? | 28.2 12 | 28.1 11 | 20.7 8 | 2.5 0 | 10.5 4 | 4.2 0 | 1.8 0 | – | – | 0.1 |
| Metroscopia/PP | 21–28 Apr 2021 | 1,500 | 60 | 26.1 10 | 28.9 12 | 21.7 9 | 2.9 0 | 9.8 4 | 4.6 0 | 1.5 0 | – | – | 2.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 28 Feb 2021 | ? | ? | 32.5 13 | 24.8 10 | 20.0 8 | 4.8 0 | 10.2 4 | 4.4 0 | 1.4 0 | – | – | 7.7 |
| SyM Consulting | 23–25 Oct 2020 | 916 | 68.7 | 31.0 12/13 | 22.4 9 | 16.6 6/7 | 3.9 0 | 17.9 7 | 3.8 0 | 1.8 0 | – | – | 8.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 32.5 12 | 30.0 12 | 18.6 7 | 5.0 2 | 5.9 2 | 3.5 0 | 1.4 0 | – | – | 2.5 |
| SyM Consulting | 6–8 May 2020 | 807 | 67.6 | 37.9 14/15 | 21.2 8 | 20.4 8 | 4.3 0 | 6.8 2/3 | 5.5 2 | 1.5 0 | – | – | 16.7 |
| SW Demoscopia | 30 Jan–7 Feb 2020 | 800 | ? | 32.5 13 | 22.4 8 | 22.5 9 | 3.9 0 | 8.6 3 | | | 7.1 2 | – | 10.0 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 65.7 | 21.0 (8) | 25.9 (10) | 23.2 (9) | 4.8 (0) | 14.9 (5) | | | 8.7 (3) | – | 2.7 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 65.7 | 37.6 14 | 24.0 9 | 17.6 7 | 7.9 3 | 5.1 2 | 3.1 0 | 1.9 0 | – | – | 13.6 |

### Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PRC | | | | | | | | ? | N | Lead |
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 14.4 | 24.7 | 14.2 | 1.6 | 7.7 | | | 2.8 | — | 29.5 | 10.3 |
| CIS | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 471 | 13.2 | 23.1 | 16.5 | 1.2 | 9.9 | | | 5.8 | 24.4 | 1.9 | 6.6 |
| CIS | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 196 | 9.1 | 19.9 | 18.9 | 1.3 | 7.3 | | | 4.5 | 29.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 14.8 | 18.2 | 16.3 | 3.3 | 10.5 | | | 6.1 | — | 29.2 | 1.9 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 26.5 | 16.9 | 12.3 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | – | — | 29.0 | 9.6 |

## Results

← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Parliament of Cantabria election results :
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Popular vote | Popular vote | Seats | Seats |
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− |
| | People's Party (PP) | 116,198 | 35.78 | +11.74 | 15 | +6 |
| | Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) | 67,523 | 20.79 | –16.85 | 8 | –6 |
| | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 66,917 | 20.61 | +3.00 | 8 | +1 |
| | Vox (Vox) | 35,982 | 11.08 | +6.02 | 4 | +2 |
| | We Can–United Left (Podemos–IU)$^1$ | 13,395 | 4.12 | –0.92 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 7,527 | 2.32 | –5.62 | 0 | –3 |
| | Cantabrists (Cantabristas) | 5,522 | 1.70 | +1.21 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)$^2$ | 1,837 | 0.57 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Greens Equo (Equo) | 1,548 | 0.48 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | WaveCantabria (OlaCantabria) | 1,125 | 0.35 | +0.01 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) | 757 | 0.23 | –0.01 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Different Cantabria (Cantabria Distinta) | 588 | 0.18 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | Blank ballots | 5,809 | 1.75 | +0.77 | | |
| Total | Total | 324,728 | | | 35 | ±0 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 324,728 | 97.98 | –1.04 | | |
| Invalid votes | Invalid votes | 6,685 | 2.02 | +1.04 | | |
| Votes cast / turnout | Votes cast / turnout | 331,413 | 65.31 | –0.40 | | |
| Abstentions | Abstentions | 176,025 | 34.69 | +0.40 | | |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | 507,438 | | | | |
| Sources |||||||
| Footnotes: $^1$ We Can–United Left results are compared to the combined totals of We Can and United Left+Equo (Cantabrian Tide) in the 2019 election.$^2$ Animalist Party with the Environment results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2019 election. |||||||
Popular vote
PP
35.78%
PRC
20.79%
PSOE
20.61%
Vox
11.08%
Podemos–IU
4.12%
CS
2.32%
Cantabristas
1.70%
Others
1.81%
Blank ballots
1.75% :
Seats
PP
42.86%
PRC
22.86%
PSOE
22.86%
Vox
11.43% :

## Aftermath

Investiture María José Sáenz de Buruaga (PP) :
| Ballot → | Ballot → | 30 June 2023 | 3 July 2023 |
| Required majority → | Required majority → | 18 out of 35 N | Simple Y |
| | Yes • PP (15) | 15 / 35 | 15 / 35 |
| | No • PSOE (8) • Vox (4) | 12 / 35 | 12 / 35 |
| | Abstentions • PRC (8) | 8 / 35 | 8 / 35 |
| | Absentees | 0 / 35 | 0 / 35 |
| Sources ||||