# 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut

"none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
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vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Like most of New England, Connecticut is considered solidly Democratic, having voted for Joe Biden in 2020 by more than 20%. The state last voted for a Republican presidential candidate in George H. W. Bush's landslide victory in the 1988 election.
Harris comfortably won the state by 14.5 points as overall turnout decreased by 10.1 points, performing worse than Biden in 2020, but slightly better than Clinton in 2016. Meanwhile, Trump secured 41.9% of the vote to record the best Republican performance in Connecticut since 2004. With this election being the first under the state's new Council of Government system, Harris won 6 and Trump won 3 of the 9 county-equivalents.

## Primary elections
### Republican primary

The Connecticut Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the New York primary.
Connecticut Republican primary, April 2, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 34,750 | 77.88% | 28 | 0 | 28 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 6,229 | 13.96% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 2,166 | 4.85% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 1,289 | 2.89% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 184 | 0.41% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 44,618 | 100.00% | 28 | 0 | 28 |

### Democratic primary

The Connecticut Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024.
Connecticut Democratic primary, April 2, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 55,533 | 84.8% | 60 | | 60 |
| Uncommitted | 7,619 | 11.6% | | | |
| Marianne Williamson | 1,490 | 2.3% | | | |
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 577 | 0.9% | | | |
| Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 310 | 0.5% | | | |
| Total: | 65,529 | 100.0% | 60 | 14 | 79 |

### Libertarian primary

The Libertarian Party of Connecticut held a ranked-choice straw poll on April 2, 2024.
2024 Connecticut Libertarian straw poll :
| Candidate | Round 1 | Round 1 | T. | Round 2 | Round 2 | T. | Round 3 | Round 3 | T. | Round 4 | Round 4 | T. | Round 5 | Round 5 | T. | Round 6 | Round 6 | T. | Round 7 | Round 7 |
| Candidate | Votes | % | T. | Votes | % | T. | Votes | % | T. | Votes | % | T. | Votes | % | T. | Votes | % | T. | Votes | % |
| Chase Oliver | 37 | 34.9% | +1 | 38 | 35.8% | | 38 | 37.6% | +3 | 41 | 41.0% | +1 | 42 | 42.4% | +2 | 44 | 44.4% | +5 | 49 | 51.0% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 12 | 11.3% | | 12 | 11.3% | +1 | 13 | 12.9% | +1 | 14 | 14.0% | +2 | 16 | 16.2% | +4 | 20 | 20.2% | +4 | 24 | 25.0% |
| Michael Rectenwald | 14 | 14.6% | | 14 | 13.2% | | 14 | 13.9% | | 14 | 14.0% | +2 | 16 | 16.2% | +2 | 18 | 18.2% | +5 | 23 | 24.0% |
| Joshua Smith | 10 | 9.4% | +1 | 11 | 10.4% | | 11 | 10.9% | | 11 | 11.0% | +2 | 13 | 13.1% | +4 | 17 | 17.2% | –17 | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Mike ter Maat | 9 | 8.5% | | 9 | 8.5% | | 9 | 8.9% | +1 | 10 | 10.0% | +2 | 12 | 12.1% | –12 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Lars Mapstead | 7 | 6.6% | +1 | 8 | 7.5% | | 8 | 7.9% | +2 | 10 | 10.0% | –10 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Charles Ballay | 7 | 6.6% | +1 | 8 | 7.5% | | 8 | 7.9% | –8 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| None of the above | 6 | 5.7% | | 6 | 5.7% | –6 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Joseph Collins Jr. | 4 | 3.8% | –4 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Active ballots | 106 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 106 | –5 | 101 | 101 | –1 | 100 | 100 | –1 | 99 | 99 | 99 | 99 | 99 | –3 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 |

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe D | August 28, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid D | August 23, 2024 |
| RCP | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |

### Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| MassINC Polling Group | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 37% | 3% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | Joe Biden withdraws from the race. |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 55% | 38% | 7% |
| Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Emerson College | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 50% | 33% | 17% |

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 992,053 | 56.40% | 2.84% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 736,918 | 41.89% | 2.68% |
| | Green | Jill SteinButch Ware | 14,281 | 0.81% | 0.40% |
| | Independent | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) | 8,448 | 0.48% | N/A |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 6,729 | 0.38% | 0.73% |
| | Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la Cruz (write-in)Karina Garcia (write-in) | 264 | 0.02% | N/A |
| | American Solidarity | Peter Sonski (write-in)Lauren Onak (write-in) | 162 | 0.01% | N/A |
| | Independent | Cornel West (write-in)Melina Abdullah (write-in) | 128 | 0.01% | N/A |
| | Independent | Shiva Ayyadurai (write-in)Crystal Ellis (write-in) | 21 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 6 | 0.00% | 0.03% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,759,010 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Fairfield | 267,019 | 59.04% | 178,263 | 39.41% | 7,021 | 1.55% | 88,756 | 19.63% | 452,303 |
| Hartford | 259,366 | 60.41% | 162,572 | 37.87% | 7,387 | 1.72% | 96,794 | 22.54% | 429,325 |
| Litchfield | 47,940 | 45.24% | 56,452 | 53.27% | 1,577 | 1.49% | -8,512 | -8.03% | 105,969 |
| Middlesex | 54,173 | 55.55% | 41,654 | 42.71% | 1,692 | 1.74% | 12,519 | 12.84% | 97,519 |
| New Haven | 218,981 | 55.02% | 171,435 | 43.08% | 7,571 | 1.90% | 47,546 | 11.94% | 397,987 |
| New London | 76,190 | 55.41% | 58,858 | 42.81% | 2,452 | 1.78% | 17,332 | 12.60% | 137,500 |
| Tolland | 43,311 | 53.13% | 36,773 | 45.11% | 1,436 | 1.76% | 6,538 | 8.02% | 81,520 |
| Windham | 25,073 | 44.08% | 30,911 | 54.34% | 903 | 1.59% | -5,838 | -10.26% | 56,887 |
| Totals | 992,053 | 56.40% | 736,918 | 41.89% | 30,039 | 1.71% | 255,135 | 14.51% | 1,759,010 |

#### By Council of Government

| Council of Government | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| Council of Government | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Capitol Planning Region | 285,105 | 60.09% | 181,038 | 38.16% | 8,302 | 1.75% | 104,067 | 21.93% | 474,445 |
| Greater Bridgeport | 83,461 | 60.90% | 51,519 | 37.59% | 2,068 | 1.51% | 31,942 | 23.31% | 137,048 |
| Lower Connecticut River Valley | 58,360 | 55.84% | 44,318 | 42.41% | 1,826 | 1.75% | 14,042 | 13.44% | 104,504 |
| Naugatuck Valley | 99,237 | 45.61% | 115,290 | 52.99% | 3,060 | 1.41% | -16,053 | -7.38% | 217,587 |
| Northeastern Connecticut | 21,165 | 41.52% | 29,028 | 56.95% | 777 | 1.52% | -7,863 | -15.43% | 50,970 |
| Northwest Hills | 31,137 | 48.58% | 31,944 | 49.84% | 1,009 | 1.57% | -807 | -1.26% | 64,090 |
| South Central Connecticut | 156,248 | 58.96% | 103,087 | 38.90% | 5,673 | 2.14% | 53,161 | 20.06% | 265,008 |
| Southeastern Connecticut | 76,146 | 55.58% | 58,392 | 42.62% | 2,456 | 1.79% | 17,754 | 12.96% | 136,994 |
| Western Connecticut | 181,194 | 58.76% | 122,302 | 39.66% | 4,868 | 1.58% | 58,892 | 19.10% | 308,364 |
| Totals | 992,053 | 56.40% | 736,918 | 41.89% | 30,039 | 1.71% | 255,135 | 14.51% | 1,759,010 |
* Republican — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +2.5–5%
* Republican — +5–7.5%
* Republican — +7.5–10%

#### By congressional district

Harris won all five congressional districts.
| District | Harris | Trump | Harris vs House | Harris vs 2020 | Trump vs House | Trump vs 2020 | Representative |
| 1st | 60.59% | 37.71% | −2.54% | −2.71% | +2.89% | +2.49% | John B. Larson |
| 2nd | 53.01% | 45.29% | −5.00% | −1.71% | +3.31% | +2.01% | Joe Courtney |
| 3rd | 56.05% | 41.99% | −2.83% | −3.18% | +0.91% | +2.48% | Rosa DeLauro |
| 4th | 60.89% | 37.53% | −0.17% | −3.93% | +0.19% | +3.71% | Jim Himes |
| 5th | 51.99% | 46.41% | −1.41% | −2.64% | −0.17% | +2.53% | Jahana Hayes |

## Analysis

Harris won all five congressional districts, performing the best in the fourth district to match Biden's strongest result there in 2020. However, she ceded ground by 1.71% to 3.93% across districts compared to 2020 despite a uniform victory. Such a result was also consistent with her underperformance in comparison to Democratic nominees for the election to the House of Representatives.
Conversely, Trump outran Republican nominees in four out of five districts, earning a poorer result in the fifth district. He still improved on his 2020 performance in all five districts, gaining 2.01% to 3.71% more votes.