# 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election

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vte :
The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer ran for re-election to a second term and faced former political commentator Tudor Dixon in the general election. Whitmer defeated Dixon by a margin of nearly 11 percentage points, a wider margin than polls indicated as well as a wider margin than Whitmer's first victory four years prior. Whitmer won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Dixon's defeat.
This was the first gubernatorial election in Michigan history in which both major party candidates for governor were women, and the first since 1990 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president.

## Process for ballot appearance and fraud allegations

In order to appear on a primary ballot for the August 2 Democratic and Republican primaries, candidates must submit between 15,000 and 30,000 signatures in addition to their filing paperwork. These signatures are submitted to the Board of State Canvassers, a bipartisan and independent board that verifies petition signatures. Within seven days of the filing deadline, citizens and organizations can challenge nomination signatures submitted by candidates. Voters are only allowed to sign one nomination petition.
After the filing deadline, the Board of State Canvassers received nearly 30 challenges to nomination petitions. Among them, the Michigan Democratic Party alleged that several Republican candidates engaged in signature fraud with their petitions. This was followed by a report by the Michigan Bureau of Elections which alleged that 36 paid signature circulators faked signatures and engaged in practices that added fraudulent signatures to other candidates petitions.
An eight-hour meeting of the Board of State Canvassers reached a deadlock on whether to allow the candidates in question to stay on the ballot. Due to the deadlock, the candidates in question were not allowed to appear on the primary ballot. The rushed pace of the proceedings and the decision were criticized by Common Cause of Michigan, whose policy director suggested that the candidates in question had to plead their cases to the Board of Canvassers days after finding out about the alleged fraud themselves.
Several candidates filed lawsuits appealing the decision. These suits were rejected in the Michigan Court of Appeals. Three candidates appealed to the Michigan Supreme Court, but these appeals were denied.

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Gretchen Whitmer, incumbent governor (2019–present) and vice chair of the Democratic National Committee (2021–present)
** Running mate: Garlin Gilchrist, incumbent lieutenant governor (2019–present)

### Endorsements

Organizations
* 314 Action
* American Federation of Teachers
* EMILY's List
* Giffords
* Jewish Democratic Council of America
* United Auto Workers

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer (incumbent) | 938,382 | 100.0% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 938,382 | 100.0% |

## Republican primary

Fourteen people declared their candidacy for the Republican gubernatorial nomination. At the filing deadline, 10 candidates submitted enough signatures to appear on the ballot, a state record. However, following challenges by the state Democratic party and other organizations, five candidates were deemed ineligible to appear on the ballot due to alleged fraudulent signatures. Several of these candidates, including former Detroit police chief James Craig and Michael Markey, pledged to appeal the decision to the State Supreme Court. Craig also mentioned that, should the appeal fail, he would still plan to run as a write-in candidate for both the primary and the general election. On June 15, 2022, Craig announced he was launching a write-in campaign for the nomination.
On June 9, 2022, candidate Ryan Kelley was arrested by the FBI following numerous tips that he had participated in the January 6 United States Capitol attack. The criminal complaint alleges that Kelley engaged in disorderly conduct on restricted grounds and engaged in acts of violence against a person or property. He agreed in June 2023 to plead guilty on a lesser charge in relation to his participation in the insurrection.
On August 19, 2022, Dixon announced former state representative Shane Hernandez as her running mate. However, shortly after, former gubernatorial candidates Ralph Rebandt and Garrett Soldano both announced that they were exploring the possibility of launching their own campaigns for lieutenant governor to contest Hernandez at the August 27 state GOP convention for not being conservative enough. On August 22, 2022, Soldano announced that he would not seek the position of lieutenant governor at the convention. Later that same day, Rebandt announced that he would seek the nomination at the convention. Hernandez secured his party's nomination at the convention, despite heated opposition from supporters of Rebandt.
On June 22, 2023, charges were filed against three individuals regarding the fraudulent signatures that disqualified five of the candidates in the Republican primary.

### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Tudor Dixon, conservative media personality
** Running mate: Shane Hernandez, former state representative from the 83rd district (2017–2021) and candidate for Michigan's 10th congressional district in 2020

#### Eliminated in primary

* Ryan Kelley, Allendale Township Planning commissioner
** Running mate: Jamie Swafford, Ethnic Vice-chair of the Michigan Republican Party
* Ralph Rebandt, Farmington Hills pastor
* Kevin Rinke, businessman
* Garrett Soldano, chiropractor, businessman and former co-chairman of Unlock Michigan

#### Disqualified, write-in campaign

* James Craig, former chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013–2021)

#### Failed to qualify

* Donna Brandenburg, businesswoman (became U.S. Taxpayers Party nominee after disqualification)
* Mike Brown, captain in the Michigan State Police(endorsed Kevin Rinke)
* Perry Johnson, businessman
* Michael Jay Markey Jr., businessman and media personality
* Bob Scott, jelly maker and Vice President of the Evangelical Alliance Ministerial Association
* Evan Space, Michigan Army National Guard veteran and candidate for governor in 2018

#### Withdrawn

* Articia Bomer, Detroit document specialist (ran unsuccessfully for Michigan's 13th congressional district)
* Austin Chenge, businessman and U.S. Army veteran

#### Declined

* Tom Barrett, state senator from the 24th district (2019–2023) (running for Michigan's 7th congressional district)
* Jack Bergman, U.S. representative for Michigan's 1st congressional district (2017–present) (running for re-election) (endorsed James Craig, later switched to Perry Johnson)
* Betsy DeVos, former U.S. Secretary of Education (2017–2021) and former chair of the Michigan Republican Party (1996–2000, 2003–2005)
* Bill Huizenga, U.S. representative for Michigan's 2nd congressional district (2011–present) (running for re-election) (endorsed Tudor Dixon)
* John James, businessman, former U.S. Army Captain and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020 (running for Michigan's 10th congressional district)
* Tom Leonard, former speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives (2017–2019) and nominee for attorney general in 2018 (ran unsuccessfully for attorney general)
* Lisa McClain, U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2021–present) (running for re-election) (endorsed Tudor Dixon)
* Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner (2017–present), former U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2016), and former Michigan Secretary of State (1995–2003)
* Mike Shirkey, Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate (2019–present) and former state representative from the 65th district (2010–2014) (endorsed Tudor Dixon)

### Endorsements

State representatives
* Beth Griffin, state representative from Michigan's 66th district (2017–present)
* Pauline Wendzel, state representative from Michigan's 79th district (2019–present)
Local officials
* Mac Elliot, Berrien County commissioner
* Scott Hodshire, Hillsdale County sheriff
* Mark Lillywhite, St. Joseph County sheriff
* Steve Pierangeli, Berrien County prosecutor
Individuals
* Ted Nugent, singer-songwriter and conservative political activist (switched endorsement to Rinke)
U.S. representatives
* Jack Bergman, U.S. representative for Michigan's 1st congressional district (2017–present) (switched endorsement to Johnson)
State officials
* John Engler, former governor of Michigan (1991–2003) (switched endorsement to Dixon)
Mayors
* Adam Stockford, Mayor of Hillsdale, Michigan (2017–present)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
* Betsy DeVos, 11th Secretary of Education
* Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
State officials
* John Engler, former governor of Michigan (1991–2003) (previously endorsed Craig)
U.S. representatives
* Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021)
* Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (1995–1999) and former U.S. representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (1979–1999)
* Bill Huizenga, U.S. representative for Michigan's 2nd congressional district (2011–2023)
* Lisa McClain, U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2021–2023)
State senators
* Mike Shirkey, Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate (2019–2023)
Individuals
* Dick DeVos, businessman and nominee for Governor of Michigan in 2006
Organizations
* American Conservative Union
* Veterans for Trump, aka Veterans for America First
Newspapers
* The Detroit News (Republican primary only)
U.S. representatives
* Jack Bergman, U.S. representative for Michigan's 1st congressional district (2017–present)

#### State Senators

* Tom George, former state senator for Michigan's 20th district (2003–2010)
Individuals
* Ted Nugent, singer-songwriter and conservative political activist (previously endorsed Brown)
Newspapers
* Detroit Free Press (Republican primary only)

### Polling

Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Tudor Dixon | Ryan Kelley | Kevin Rinke | Garrett Soldano | Other | Margin |
| Real Clear Politics | July 28 – August 1, 2022 | August 1, 2022 | 40.7% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 12.6% | Dixon +20.4 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Brown | James Craig | Tudor Dixon | Perry Johnson | Ryan Kelley | Kevin Rinke | Garrett Soldano | Other | Undecided |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | July 31 – August 1, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | 41% | – | 10% | 19% | 18% | 2% | 11% |
| Mitchell Research (R) | July 31, 2022 | 443 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 37% | – | 12% | 23% | 12% | 2% | 15% |
| Emerson College | July 28–30, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | – | 41% | – | 12% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 9% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | July 26–28, 2022 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | 28% | – | 14% | 17% | 19% | 3% | 19% |
| co/efficient (R) | July 24–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | – | 21% | – | – | 22% | – | – | – |
| Mitchell Research (R) | July 24–25, 2022 | 436 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 28% | – | 14% | 22% | 11% | 1% | 25% |
| Mitchell Research (R) | July 17–18, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 28% | – | 15% | 20% | 10% | 1% | 26% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | July 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 19% | – | 13% | 15% | 12% | 2% | 38% |
| Mitchell Research (R) | July 7–8, 2022 | 683 (LV) | ± 3.8% | – | – | 26% | – | 15% | 13% | 13% | 1% | 33% |
| Mitchell Research (R) | June 21–22, 2022 | 588 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 15% | – | 13% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 46% |
| EPIC-MRA | June 10–13, 2022 | 398 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 5% | – | 17% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 45% |
| Target Insyght | May 26–27, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 9% | – | 19% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 49% |
| | May 23, 2022 | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | April 29 – May 1, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 44% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | March 29–31, 2022 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 2% | 34% | 3% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 15% | 8% | 12% |
| | March 3, 2022 | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race | Chenge withdraws from the race |
| Mitchell Research (R) | February 17–19, 2022 | 539 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 3% | 32% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 37% |
| Strategic National (R) | September 18–19, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 38% | 1% | – | 1% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 50% |
| Strategic National (R) | September 18–19, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 40% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 10% | – | 49% |
John James vs. James Craig
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John James | James Craig | Undecided |
| Target Insyght | May 9–11, 2021 | 304 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 21% | 42% |

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Tudor Dixon | 436,350 | 39.69% |
| | Republican | Kevin Rinke | 236,306 | 21.50% |
| | Republican | Garrett Soldano | 192,442 | 17.51% |
| | Republican | Ryan Kelley | 165,587 | 15.06% |
| | Republican | Ralph Rebandt | 45,046 | 4.10% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 23,542 | 2.14% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,099,273 | 100.0% |

## Libertarian convention
### Candidates
#### Nominated

* Mary Buzuma, nominee for governor in 2014
** Running mate: Brian Ellison, nominee for Michigan's 8th congressional district in 2018

## Constitution convention
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Donna Brandenburg, businesswoman (Nominated following disqualification from GOP ballot)
** Running mate: Mellissa Carone, 2020 election hearing witness for Rudy Giuliani

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D | October 28, 2022 |
| Inside Elections | Tilt D | March 4, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico | Lean D | May 23, 2022 |
| RCP | Tossup | October 21, 2022 |
| Fox News | Lean D | August 22, 2022 |
| 538 | Likely D | November 8, 2022 |
| Elections Daily | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |

### Endorsements

U.S. Executive Branch officials
* Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–2025), 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Delaware (1973–2009)
* Pete Buttigieg, 19th United States Secretary of Transportation (2021–2025), and Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020)
* Kamala Harris, 49th vice president of the United States (2021–2025), U.S. senator from California (2017–2021)
* Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
U.S. senators
* Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present)
* Gary Peters, U.S. senator from Michigan (2015–present)
* Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont (2007–present) (Independent)
* Debbie Stabenow, U.S. senator from Michigan (2001–2025)
U.S. representatives
* Joe Schwarz, U.S. representative for Michigan's 7th congressional district (2005–2007) (Independent, former Republican)
State officials
* Richard H. Bernstein, Associate Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court (2015–present)
* J. B. Pritzker, Governor of Illinois (2019–present)
State senators
* Melvin L. Larsen, former state senator (Republican)
* Tory Rocca, former state senator for Michigan's 10th district (Republican)
State representatives
* Kyra Harris Bolden, state representative from Michigan's 35th district
* Doug Hart, former state representative from Michigan's 73rd district (Republican)
* Mike Pumford, former state representative from Michigan's 100th district (Republican)
Local officials
* Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit (2014–present)
Individuals
* Magic Johnson, former professional basketball player
* William U. Parfet, businessman and philanthropist (Republican)
* Kerry Washington, actress
Newspapers
* Detroit Free Press
* The Michigan Daily
Organizations
* AFSCME Council 25
* Detroit Regional Chamber of Commerce
* End Citizens United
* Human Rights Campaign
* League of Conservation Voters
* Let America Vote
* Michigan AFL-CIO
* Michigan Association of Police Organizations
* Michigan Education Association
* NARAL Pro-Choice America
* National Wildlife Federation
* Sierra Club of Michigan
U.S. Executive Branch officials
* Kellyanne Conway, Senior Counselor to the President (2017–2020)
* Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States (2017–2021)
State officials
* Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona (2015–2023)
* Kristi Noem, Governor of South Dakota (2019–present)
* Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia (2022–present)
U.S. representatives
* Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)
Individuals
* Mellissa Carone, nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Michigan in 2022 and 2020 election hearing witness for Rudy Giuliani (Constitution Party)
* Brian Kilmeade, conservative political commentator
* Kari Lake, former news anchor and nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2022
* Donald Trump Jr., businessman and former television personality
Newspapers
* The Detroit News
Organizations
* Michigan Farm Bureau
* National Federation of Independent Business – Michigan
* Right to Life of Michigan
State officials
* Brian Calley, former lieutenant governor of Michigan (2011–2019) (Republican)
Local officials
* James Craig, former chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013–2021), former chief of the Cincinnati Police Department (2011–2013), former chief of the Portland Police Department (2009–2011), candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2022 (Republican)
Organizations
* Michigan Chamber of Commerce (withdrew endorsement of Dixon from the primary)
* Small Business Association of Michigan

### Polling

Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Tudor Dixon (R) | Other | Margin |
| Real Clear Politics | October 30 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 4.4% | Whitmer +1.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight | January 3 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 49.9% | 45.1% | 5.0% | Whitmer +4.8 |
| 270toWin | November 3–7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 50.4% | 46.4% | 3.2% | Whitmer +4.0 |
| Average | Average | Average | 49.5% | 46.3% | 4.2% | Whitmer +3.2 |
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Tudor Dixon (R) | Other | Undecided |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 5–7, 2022 | 1,097 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R) | November 1–4, 2022 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 47% | 2% | 1% |
| Mitchell Research | November 3, 2022 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,754 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 2% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 28 – November 1, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 43% | 1% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,584 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 45% | 3% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,584 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 46% | 3% | – |
| Cygnal (R) | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,584 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 45% | 2% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 30, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| Wick Insights | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,137 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 2% | 2% |
| KAConsulting (R) | October 27–29, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 5% | 7% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 25–29, 2022 | 1,543 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 44% | 2% | 3% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | October 26–28, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 43% | 3% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 23–27, 2022 | 1,822 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 51% | 44% | 3% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 21–25, 2022 | 1,378 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 45% | 3% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,459 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 3% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 18–21, 2022 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 17–21, 2022 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research | October 19, 2022 | 541 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 15–19, 2022 | 1,793 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 44% | 3% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 13–18, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 55% | 41% | 4% | 1% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 13–18, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 46% | 2% | – |
| Emerson College | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 44% | 3% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 12–14, 2022 | 640 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 44% | 4% | 4% |
| Wick Insights (R) | October 8–14, 2022 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 48% | 2% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 12, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 6% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 6–12, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | 4% | 9% |
| YouGov/CBS News | October 3–6, 2022 | 1,285 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | September 26–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 32% | 9% | 9% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 24–28, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 45% | 4% | 1% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | – | 6% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 7–13, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 7% | 2% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | August 29 – September 1, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 35% | 4% | 13% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 22–25, 2022 | 1,080 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 2% |
| EPIC-MRA | August 18–23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 39% | – | 11% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 3% | 8% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | August 8–14, 2022 | 1,365 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 46% | – | 3% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | July 5–8, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | – | 9% |
| Target Insyght | May 26–27, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 21% | – | 21% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | January 3–7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 31% | – | 19% |
| Strategic National (R) | September 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 41% | – | 13% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ryan Kelley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Ryan Kelley (R) | Undecided |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | July 5–8, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Target Insyght | May 26–27, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 23% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ralph Rebandt
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Ralph Rebandt (R) | Undecided |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | July 5–8, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 37% | 10% |
| Target Insyght | May 26–27, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 19% | 23% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Kevin Rinke
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Kevin Rinke (R) | Undecided |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | July 5–8, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Target Insyght | May 26–27, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | January 3–7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 33% | 17% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Garrett Soldano
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Garrett Soldano (R) | Undecided |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | July 5–8, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
| Target Insyght | May 26–27, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | January 3–7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 33% | 17% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. James Craig
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | James Craig (R) | Undecided |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA | January 15–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | January 3–7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| ARW Strategies (R) | January 4–6, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Strategic National (R) | September 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 13–15, 2021 | 1,097 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 50% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA | August 9–15, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R) | May 26 – June 4, 2021 | 809 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 45% | 17% |
| Target Insyght | May 9–11, 2021 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. John James
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
| Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R) | May 26 – June 4, 2021 | 809 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Target Insyght | May 9–11, 2021 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Candice Miller
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Candice Miller (R) | Other | Undecided |
| EPIC-MRA | February 19–25, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | – | 9% |
| Denno Research | December 14–15, 2020 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 13% | – |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
| EPIC-MRA | May 11–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| ARW Strategies (R) | April 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 2–6, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 52% | 7% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | February 3–6, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 20% |

### Debates

2022 Michigan gubernatorial general election debates :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
| Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | | |
| Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W Withdrawn | Whitmer | Dixon |
| 1 | Oct. 13, 2022 | WOOD-TV | Rick Albin | WOOD-TV | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 25, 2022 | | | WXYZ-TV | P | P |
The first debate was held on Thursday, October 13 in Grand Rapids hosted by local TV station WOOD-TV. The two clashed on various issues such as abortion, the economy and COVID-19. Analysts determined this debate to be a draw.
The second debate was held on Tuesday, October 25 on the campus of Oakland University in Rochester. The debate was co-sponsored by Oakland University's Center for Civic Engagement and E.W. Scripps owned TV stations WXYZ-TV in Detroit, WXMI-TV in Grand Rapids and WSYM-TV in Lansing. News stories about the debate specifically noted a question Whitmer gave Dixon when they argued on school safety and library books: "Do you really think books are more dangerous than guns?"

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 23, 2022 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Gretchen Whitmer (D) | $36,375,114 | $30,507,077 | $4,017,640 |
| Tudor Dixon (R) | $6,764,321 | $3,799,440 | $2,964,881 |
| Source: Michigan Department of State ||||

### Results

* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer (incumbent)Garlin Gilchrist (incumbent) | 2,430,505 | 54.47% | +1.16% |
| | Republican | Tudor DixonShane Hernandez | 1,960,635 | 43.94% | +0.19% |
| | Libertarian | Mary BuzumaBrian Ellison | 38,800 | 0.87% | −0.46% |
| | Constitution | Donna BrandenburgMellissa Carone | 16,246 | 0.36% | −0.33% |
| | Green | Kevin HoganDestiny Clayton | 10,766 | 0.24% | −0.44% |
| | Natural Law | Daryl M. SimpsonDoug Dern | 4,973 | 0.11% | −0.13% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 47 | 0.00% | ±0.0% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 4,461,972 | 100.0% | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 4,500,400 | 55.19% | |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 8,154,832 | | |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

#### By county

| County | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Tudor Dixon Republican | Tudor Dixon Republican | Other Votes | Other Votes | Margin | Margin | Total votes |
| County | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | Total votes |
| Alcona | 34.71% | 2,076 | 63.57% | 3,802 | 1.72% | 103 | −28.86% | −1,726 | 5,981 |
| Alger | 45.86% | 1,984 | 52.20% | 2,258 | 1.94% | 84 | −6.34% | −274 | 4,326 |
| Allegan | 39.76% | 22,802 | 58.58% | 33,590 | 1.66% | 950 | −18.82% | −10,788 | 57,342 |
| Alpena | 41.34% | 5,779 | 56.65% | 7,920 | 2.01% | 281 | −15.31% | −2,141 | 13,980 |
| Antrim | 42.36% | 5,937 | 55.85% | 7,827 | 1.78% | 250 | −13.49% | −1,890 | 14,014 |
| Arenac | 37.78% | 2,709 | 60.17% | 4,314 | 2.05% | 147 | −22.39% | −1,605 | 7,170 |
| Baraga | 38.59% | 1,329 | 59.70% | 2,056 | 1.71% | 59 | −21.11% | −727 | 3,444 |
| Barry | 37.63% | 11,552 | 60.42% | 18,547 | 1.95% | 598 | −22.79% | −6,995 | 30,697 |
| Bay | 50.36% | 24,783 | 47.65% | 23,448 | 1.99% | 978 | 2.71% | 1,335 | 49,209 |
| Benzie | 50.95% | 5,446 | 47.38% | 5,064 | 1.67% | 179 | 3.57% | 382 | 10,689 |
| Berrien | 46.55% | 29,803 | 51.79% | 33,157 | 1.66% | 1064 | −5.24% | −3,354 | 64,024 |
| Branch | 35.19% | 5,676 | 62.81% | 10,132 | 2.00% | 322 | −27.62% | −4,456 | 16,130 |
| Calhoun | 48.31% | 24,916 | 49.82% | 25,694 | 1.87% | 966 | −1.51% | −778 | 51,576 |
| Cass | 36.11% | 7,350 | 62.23% | 12,666 | 1.66% | 337 | −26.12% | −5,316 | 20,353 |
| Charlevoix | 45.87% | 6,728 | 52.27% | 7,667 | 1.87% | 274 | −6.40% | −939 | 14,669 |
| Cheboygan | 40.18% | 5,357 | 57.80% | 7,707 | 2.02% | 270 | −17.62% | −2,350 | 13,334 |
| Chippewa | 43.36% | 6,303 | 54.36% | 7,902 | 2.28% | 332 | −11.00% | −1,599 | 14,537 |
| Clare | 38.32% | 5,057 | 59.48% | 7,850 | 2.20% | 291 | −21.16% | −2,793 | 13,198 |
| Clinton | 50.15% | 20,664 | 48.31% | 19,904 | 1.54% | 636 | 1.84% | 760 | 41,204 |
| Crawford | 40.65% | 2,655 | 57.08% | 3,728 | 2.27% | 148 | −16.43% | −1,073 | 6,531 |
| Delta | 39.73% | 6,890 | 58.23% | 10,097 | 2.04% | 354 | −18.50% | −3,207 | 17,341 |
| Dickinson | 35.96% | 4,310 | 62.12% | 7,446 | 1.92% | 230 | −26.16% | −3,136 | 11,986 |
| Eaton | 53.78% | 28,806 | 44.49% | 23,828 | 1.73% | 924 | 9.29% | 4,978 | 53,558 |
| Emmet | 48.37% | 9,285 | 49.96% | 9,590 | 1.67% | 320 | −1.59% | −305 | 19,195 |
| Genesee | 58.47% | 100,325 | 39.79% | 68,282 | 1.74% | 2,987 | 18.68% | 32,043 | 171,594 |
| Gladwin | 36.77% | 4,422 | 61.18% | 7,357 | 2.05% | 246 | −24.41% | −2,935 | 12,025 |
| Gogebic | 45.47% | 2,940 | 52.78% | 3,413 | 1.75% | 113 | −7.31% | −473 | 6,466 |
| Grand Traverse | 52.38% | 27,396 | 45.90% | 24,005 | 1.72% | 901 | 6.48% | 3,391 | 52,302 |
| Gratiot | 41.01% | 6,285 | 56.51% | 8,659 | 2.48% | 380 | −15.50% | −2,374 | 15,324 |
| Hillsdale | 29.89% | 5,575 | 67.80% | 12,644 | 2.31% | 431 | −37.91% | −7,069 | 18,650 |
| Houghton | 45.41% | 7,030 | 52.51% | 8,128 | 2.08% | 322 | −7.10% | −1,098 | 15,480 |
| Huron | 35.39% | 5,310 | 62.61% | 9,395 | 2.01% | 301 | −27.22% | −4,085 | 15,006 |
| Ingham | 69.23% | 82,408 | 29.29% | 34,869 | 1.48% | 1,765 | 39.94% | 47,539 | 119,042 |
| Ionia | 39.86% | 10,845 | 58.02% | 15,786 | 2.12% | 577 | −18.16% | −4,941 | 27,208 |
| Iosco | 41.69% | 5,266 | 56.30% | 7,111 | 2.01% | 254 | −14.61% | −1,845 | 12,631 |
| Iron | 39.79% | 2,236 | 58.40% | 3,282 | 1.81% | 102 | −18.61% | −1,046 | 5,620 |
| Isabella | 52.51% | 12,581 | 45.61% | 10,927 | 1.87% | 449 | 6.90% | 1,654 | 23,957 |
| Jackson | 44.84% | 29,011 | 53.22% | 34,439 | 1.94% | 1,255 | −8.38% | −5,428 | 64,705 |
| Kalamazoo | 62.10% | 72,516 | 36.34% | 42,436 | 1.56% | 1,824 | 25.76% | 30,080 | 116,776 |
| Kalkaska | 33.98% | 3,009 | 63.43% | 5,616 | 2.59% | 229 | −29.45% | −2,607 | 8,854 |
| Kent | 54.32% | 162,899 | 44.08% | 132,172 | 1.60% | 4,801 | 10.24% | 30,727 | 299,872 |
| Keweenaw | 47.91% | 666 | 50.43% | 701 | 1.65% | 23 | −2.52% | −35 | 1,390 |
| Lake | 39.56% | 2,081 | 58.08% | 3,055 | 2.36% | 124 | −18.52% | −974 | 5,260 |
| Lapeer | 36.49% | 15,983 | 61.50% | 26,940 | 2.01% | 879 | −25.01% | −10,957 | 43,802 |
| Leelanau | 55.19% | 8,540 | 43.63% | 6,752 | 1.18% | 182 | 11.56% | 1,788 | 15,474 |
| Lenawee | 42.58% | 18,248 | 55.52% | 23,796 | 1.90% | 813 | −12.94% | −5,548 | 42,857 |
| Livingston | 42.75% | 46,524 | 55.58% | 60,494 | 1.67% | 1,821 | −12.83% | −13,970 | 108,839 |
| Luce | 33.22% | 786 | 64.24% | 1,520 | 2.54% | 60 | −31.02% | −734 | 2,366 |
| Mackinac | 42.79% | 2,567 | 55.43% | 3,325 | 1.78% | 107 | −12.64% | −758 | 5,999 |
| Macomb | 51.82% | 199,277 | 46.62% | 179,258 | 1.56% | 6,009 | 5.20% | 20,019 | 384,544 |
| Manistee | 47.65% | 6,026 | 50.32% | 6,364 | 2.02% | 256 | −2.67% | −338 | 12,646 |
| Marquette | 60.19% | 18,880 | 38.15% | 11,967 | 1.66% | 522 | 22.04% | 6,913 | 31,369 |
| Mason | 43.49% | 6,419 | 54.32% | 8,018 | 2.19% | 324 | −10.83% | −1,599 | 14,761 |
| Mecosta | 39.22% | 6,867 | 58.61% | 10,262 | 2.18% | 381 | −19.39% | −3,395 | 17,510 |
| Menominee | 34.59% | 3,347 | 63.34% | 6,129 | 2.07% | 200 | −28.75% | −2,782 | 9,676 |
| Midland | 47.30% | 19,497 | 50.85% | 20,964 | 1.85% | 763 | −3.55% | −1,467 | 41,224 |
| Missaukee | 26.79% | 1,995 | 71.24% | 5,306 | 1.97% | 147 | −44.45% | −3,311 | 7,448 |
| Monroe | 42.73% | 29,482 | 55.53% | 38,312 | 1.74% | 1,203 | −12.80% | −8,830 | 68,997 |
| Montcalm | 36.45% | 9,622 | 61.24% | 16,165 | 2.30% | 608 | −24.79% | −6,543 | 26,395 |
| Montmorency | 33.23% | 1,701 | 64.49% | 3,301 | 2.29% | 117 | −31.26% | −1,600 | 5,119 |
| Muskegon | 53.19% | 39,269 | 44.86% | 33,121 | 1.95% | 1,443 | 8.33% | 6,148 | 73,833 |
| Newaygo | 32.59% | 7,417 | 65.37% | 14,879 | 2.04% | 465 | −32.78% | −7,462 | 22,761 |
| Oakland | 60.92% | 383,895 | 37.84% | 238,448 | 1.25% | 7,862 | 23.08% | 145,447 | 630,205 |
| Oceana | 39.88% | 4,820 | 58.02% | 7,012 | 2.10% | 254 | −18.14% | −2,192 | 12,086 |
| Ogemaw | 35.71% | 3,532 | 62.18% | 6,151 | 2.11% | 209 | −26.47% | −2,619 | 9,892 |
| Ontonagon | 40.47% | 1,319 | 57.13% | 1,862 | 2.39% | 78 | −16.66% | −543 | 3,259 |
| Osceola | 30.58% | 3,174 | 67.00% | 6,954 | 2.43% | 251 | −36.42% | −3,780 | 10,379 |
| Oscoda | 33.77% | 1,355 | 63.63% | 2,553 | 2.59% | 104 | −29.86% | −1,198 | 4,012 |
| Otsego | 38.53% | 4,818 | 59.35% | 7,422 | 2.12% | 265 | −20.82% | −2,604 | 12,505 |
| Ottawa | 40.26% | 58,952 | 58.29% | 85,361 | 1.45% | 2,119 | −18.03% | −26,409 | 146,432 |
| Presque Isle | 40.85% | 2,981 | 57.07% | 4,165 | 2.08% | 152 | −16.22% | −1,184 | 7,298 |
| Roscommon | 40.80% | 5,284 | 57.07% | 7,391 | 2.13% | 276 | −16.27% | −2,107 | 12,951 |
| Saginaw | 53.00% | 43,219 | 45.37% | 37,002 | 1.63% | 1,329 | 7.63% | 6,217 | 81,550 |
| Sanilac | 31.73% | 5,967 | 66.33% | 12,473 | 1.94% | 364 | −34.60% | −6,506 | 18,804 |
| Schoolcraft | 39.27% | 1,527 | 58.23% | 2,264 | 2.49% | 97 | −18.96% | −737 | 3,888 |
| Shiawassee | 45.46% | 14,730 | 52.37% | 16,969 | 2.17% | 703 | −6.91% | −2,239 | 32,402 |
| St. Clair | 40.49% | 30,170 | 57.35% | 42,731 | 2.15% | 1,604 | −16.86% | −12,561 | 74,505 |
| St. Joseph | 38.35% | 8,402 | 59.60% | 13,059 | 2.05% | 449 | −21.25% | −4,657 | 21,910 |
| Tuscola | 35.06% | 8,418 | 62.81% | 15,078 | 2.13% | 511 | −27.75% | −6,660 | 24,007 |
| Van Buren | 48.08% | 15,347 | 50.04% | 15,974 | 1.88% | 601 | −1.96% | −627 | 31,922 |
| Washtenaw | 75.15% | 135,904 | 23.67% | 42,804 | 1.18% | 2,140 | 51.48% | 93,100 | 180,848 |
| Wayne | 70.86% | 457,601 | 27.95% | 180,487 | 1.18% | 7,651 | 42.91% | 277,114 | 645,739 |
| Wexford | 37.37% | 5,645 | 60.45% | 9,131 | 2.18% | 329 | −23.08% | −3,486 | 15,105 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
* Gogebic (Largest city: Ironwood)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
* Benzie (Largest city: Frankfort)
* Grand Traverse (Largest city: Traverse City)

#### By congressional district

Whitmer won 9 of 13 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.
| District | Whitmer | Dixon | Representative |
| 1st | 44% | 54% | Jack Bergman |
| 2nd | 40% | 58% | John Moolenaar |
| 3rd | 55% | 43% | Peter Meijer (117th Congress) |
| 3rd | 55% | 43% | Hillary Scholten (118th Congress) |
| 4th | 50% | 49% | Bill Huizenga |
| 5th | 41% | 57% | Tim Walberg |
| 6th | 66% | 32% | Debbie Dingell |
| 7th | 54% | 44% | Elissa Slotkin |
| 8th | 55% | 43% | Dan Kildee |
| 9th | 41% | 57% | Lisa McClain |
| 10th | 55% | 43% | John James |
| 11th | 64% | 35% | Haley Stevens |
| 12th | 76% | 23% | Rashida Tlaib |
| 13th | 77% | 22% | Shri Thanedar |

## Analysis

Whitmer led Dixon in most of the polls. Most Republican donors chose not to fund campaign ads for Dixon, causing the TV airwaves to be dominated by ads for Whitmer, which included negative ads against Dixon. Whitmer also spent a lot more in digital advertising compared to Dixon. Abortion rights, which were on the ballot in the same election, were the subject of negative ads against Dixon, who opposed abortion rights. Although aggregate polling had Whitmer up by about 3%, and a last-minute poll by Trafalgar Group had Dixon ahead by 1%, the election was not close. Whitmer defeated Dixon at the same time Michigan voters approved a ballot measure that would guarantee abortion rights in the Michigan constitution. Democrats swept the other statewide partisan races and won control of both the state House and state Senate. This marked the first time Democrats took control of both houses of the Michigan legislature since 1984. Exit polls found that Whitmer won nearly 70% of college-educated White women.
Despite Dixon's loss, she managed to flip Gogebic County in the Upper Peninsula (which had voted for Whitmer in 2018), making this the first election since 1932 where a Democrat won the Michigan governor's mansion without carrying Gogebic County. Conversely, Whitmer flipped the counties of Benzie and Grand Traverse; the last time the Democratic candidate won these counties were 2006 and 1986, respectively.