# 44th Quebec general election

The 44th Quebec general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 5, 2026, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec. Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature", setting the date for October 5, 2026. However, the act does not fetter the discretion of the lieutenant governor of Quebec to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

## Background

In the 2022 general election, the Coalition Avenir Québec increased its parliamentary majority, winning 90 seats. The Liberals, despite finishing fourth in the popular vote behind Québec solidaire and the Parti Québécois, remained the official opposition winning 21 seats. The Parti Québecois lost most of its remaining seats but managed to elect its previously seatless leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon to a seat. The Conservatives increased their share of the vote to 13%; however, as their support was more spread out throughout Quebec, they did not gain any seats.

### Political parties and standings

The table below lists parties represented and seats held in the National Assembly after the 2022 provincial election.
| Name | Name | Ideology | Position | Leader | 2022 result | 2022 result | Current standing |
| Name | Name | Ideology | Position | Leader | Votes (%) | Seats | Current standing |
| | Coalition Avenir Québec | Quebec nationalism Quebec autonomism Conservatism | Centre-right | François Legault | 40.98% | 90 / 125 | 86 / 125 |
| | Liberal | Quebec federalism Economic liberalism Liberalism | Centre to centre-right | Dominique Anglade | 14.37% | 21 / 125 | 19 / 125 |
| | Québec solidaire | Quebec sovereigntism Democratic socialism Environmentalism | Left-wing | Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois | 15.43% | 11 / 125 | 12 / 125 |
| | Parti Québécois | Quebec sovereigntism Quebec nationalism Social democracy Economic nationalism | Centre-left | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 14.61% | 3 / 125 | 5 / 125 |
| | Conservative Party of Quebec | Quebec federalism Economic liberalism Conservatism | Right-wing | Éric Duhaime | 12.91% | 0 / 125 | 0 / 125 |
| | Independents | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.05% | 0 / 125 | 3 / 125 |
| | Vacant | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 / 125 |

## Timeline
### 2022

* October 3: The Coalition Avenir Québec led by François Legault wins a second majority government in the 43rd Quebec general election.
* October 27: Liberal MNA for Vaudreuil Marie Claude Nichols was expelled from caucus after declining the Transport Critic role. She will sit as an independent.
* November 7: Dominique Anglade resigns as the leader of the Quebec Liberal Party, triggering a leadership election to determine her successor.
* November 10: LaFontaine MNA Marc Tanguay is named interim leader of the Quebec Liberal Party.
* December 1: Former Liberal leader Dominique Anglade resigns as MNA for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne.

### 2023

* March 7: CAQ MNA for Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Marie-Louise Tardif temporarily quits her party after an investigation by the Sûreté du Québec over alleged threats against a former employee.
* March 13: The Saint-Henri—Sainte-Anne provincial by-election is held, with Québec solidaire's Guillaume Cliche-Rivard being elected MNA.
* March 28: Tardif rejoins the CAQ after the announcement that she won't face an accusation over her alleged threats.
* May 16: Manon Massé announced that she will not seek re-election as female spokesperson at Québec Solidaire's next convention held from November 24 to 26, 2023, in Gatineau.
* July 19: CAQ MNA for Jean-Talon Joëlle Boutin announced that she will resign from her seat on July 31, 2023.
* October 2: The Jean-Talon provincial by-election is held, with Parti Québécois' Pascal Paradis being elected MNA.
* October 7: Liberal MNA for Marguerite-Bourgeoys Frédéric Beauchemin is excluded from his party after he received a complaint for psychological harassment by Élyse Moisan, the president of the Liberal Party Youth Commission.
* November 26: Émilise Lessard-Therrien is elected as Québec Solidaire's female spokesperson.
* December 15: Beauchemin rejoins the Liberals after a mediation process led to the abandonment of the complaint for psychological harassment.

### 2024

* April 16: CAQ MNA for Arthabaska and government whip Eric Lefebvre quits the party and his position of whip to run in the next Canadian federal election for the Conservative Party of Canada.
* April 29: Lessard-Therrien resigns as Québec Solidaire's female spokesperson.
* May 2: Sherbrooke MNA Christine Labrie becomes Québec Solidaire's interim female spokesperson.
* September 3: CAQ MNA for Terrebonne and Minister of Economy, Innovation and Energy Pierre Fitzgibbon announced that he will resign from his office that week.
* September 12: CAQ MNA for Saint-Jérôme Youri Chassin quits his party to sit as an independent.
* November 16: Mercier MNA Ruba Ghazal is elected female spokesperson of Québec Solidaire.

### 2025

* March 17: The Terrebonne provincial by-election is held, with the Parti Québécois' Catherine Gentilcore being elected MNA.

## Candidates
### Incumbents not running for reelection

| Electoral district | Date announced | Incumbent MNA | Incumbent MNA |
| Saint-Laurent | October 1, 2024 | | Marwah Rizqy |

## Opinion polls
### Polling aggregators

| Polling aggregator | Date updated | MoE | CAQ | QS | PQ | PLQ | PCQ | Other | Lead |
| 338Canada | February 6, 2025 | | 22.1 | 11.4 | 31.5 | 19.8 | 13.1 | 2.1 | 9.4 |
| Polling Canada | February 2, 2025 | — | 21.0 | 10.1 | 30.1 | 20.9 | 14.0 | 3.9 | 9.1 |
| 2022 election | October 3, 2022 | | 41.0 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.9 | 1.7 | 25.6 |
| Polling organisation | Last date of polling | Source | Sample size | MoE | CAQ | QS | PQ | PLQ | PCQ | Other | Lead |
| PQ wins the by-election in Terrebonne on March 17, 2025. ||||||||||||
| Leger | March 10, 2025 | PDF | 1,007 | ±3.09% | 24 | 12 | 30 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 6 |
| Pallas Data | March 1, 2025 | PDF | 1,120 | ±2.9% | 19.5 | 10.1 | 31.6 | 21.6 | 15 | 2.2 | 10 |
| Leger | February 2, 2025 | PDF | 1,017 | ±3.07% | 21 | 10 | 30 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 9 |
| Leger | January 19, 2025 | HTML | 1,003 | ±3.09% | 25 | 12 | 34 | 15 | 11 | | 9 |
| Leger | December 2, 2024 | PDF | 1,002 | ±3.1% | 24 | 13 | 31 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 7 |
| Pallas Data | November 26, 2024 | PDF | 1,093 | ±3.0% | 20.4 | 11.9 | 35.0 | 18.3 | 12.8 | 1.6 | 14.6 |
| Leger | November 11, 2024 | PDF | 1,010 | ±3.08% | 21 | 13 | 35 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| Leger | October 6, 2024 | PDF | 1,036 | ±3.04% | 24 | 14 | 32 | 17 | 12 | 1 | 8 |
| Pallas Data | September 26, 2024 | PDF | 1,111 | ±2.9% | 21.6 | 11.7 | 33.9 | 17.6 | 14.0 | 1.2 | 12.3 |
| Pallas Data | September 3, 2024 | HTML | 1,191 | ±3.0% | 23 | 13 | 31 | 17 | 14 | — | 8 |
| Leger | August 25, 2024 | PDF | 1,041 | ±3.04% | 24 | 15 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 |
| Pallas Data | June 22, 2024 | PDF | 1,445 | ±2.6% | 21.7 | 13.2 | 35.0 | 16.7 | 12.2 | 1.2 | 13.3 |
| Pallas Data | June 8, 2024 | PDF | 1,339 | ±2.7% | 21.5 | 15.9 | 33.1 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 1.8 | 11.6 |
| Leger | June 3, 2024 | PDF | 1,015 | ±3.08% | 25 | 14 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Leger | May 13, 2024 | PDF | 1,031 | ±3.05% | 22 | 12 | 32 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| Leger | April 21, 2024 | PDF | 1,026 | ±3.06% | 24 | 14 | 34 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
| Pallas Data | April 21, 2024 | PDF | 1,256 | ±2.8% | 19.5 | 12.9 | 32.9 | 22.8 | 10.7 | 1.2 | 10.1 |
| Leger | March 18, 2024 | PDF | 1,033 | ±3.05% | 22 | 18 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| Pallas Data | February 24, 2024 | PDF | 1,122 | ±2.9% | 23.1 | 16.5 | 31.4 | 14.5 | 12.8 | 1.7 | 8.3 |
| Leger | February 5, 2024 | PDF | 1,032 | ±3.05% | 25 | 16 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 7 |
| Pallas Data | January 24, 2024 | PDF | 1,175 | ±2.9% | 21.1 | 17.0 | 31.7 | 15.4 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 10.6 |
| Leger | December 4, 2023 | PDF | 1,040 | ±3.04% | 25 | 17 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 6 |
| Pallas Data | November 18, 2023 | PDF | 1,178 | ±2.86% | 24.1 | 16.1 | 30.4 | 15.5 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 6.3 |
| Leger | October 30, 2023 | PDF | 1,026 | ±3.06% | 30 | 15 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 |
| PQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon on October 2, 2023. ||||||||||||
| Pallas Data | September 27, 2023 | PDF | 1,095 | ±3.0% | 34.5 | 15.4 | 19.0 | 14.7 | 14.6 | 1.9 | 15.5 |
| Leger | September 25, 2023 | PDF | 1,028 | ±3.06% | 34 | 17 | 22 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| Leger | August 21, 2023 | PDF | 1,036 | ±3.0% | 37 | 15 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| Leger | June 12, 2023 | PDF | 1,042 | ±3.0% | 37 | 16 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| Angus Reid | June 3, 2023 | PDF | 506 | — | 33 | 17 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 11 |
| Leger | May 1, 2023 | PDF | 1,201 | ±3.0% | 36 | 16 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| QS wins the by-election in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne on March 13, 2023. ||||||||||||
| Leger | February 26, 2023 | PDF | 1,044 | ±3.0% | 40 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 22 |
| Leger | December 10, 2022 | PDF | 1,002 | ±3.1% | 41 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 23 |
| Leger | November 6, 2022 | PDF | 1,028 | ±3.1% | 36 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 2022 election | October 3, 2022 | | 4,169,137 | | 41.0 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.9 | 1.7 | 25.6 |