# Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election

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2025 German federal election :
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In the run-up to the 2025 German federal election, which took place as a snap election on 23 February 2025, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed below.

## Electoral threshold of 5%

In the runup to the 2025 snap election, four of the eight main parties represented in the Bundestag were at risk of failing to pass the 5% electoral threshold, thus placing the actual outcome in significant uncertainty. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) led by challenger Friedrich Merz, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) led by challenger Alice Weidel, and the Alliance 90/The Greens led by candidate Robert Habeck are all expected to obtain a voting volume that is significantly higher than the qualifying 5% threshold.
Seats in the Bundestag are allocated to party lists that either pass the "five percent hurdle" of federally valid second votes, or win at least three constituencies. In the 2021 German federal election, this granted Die Linke (The Left) full proportional representation as it won three constituencies despite receiving 4.9% of second-ballot votes. In 2022, this three-constituency rule was abolished, but was reinstated by the Federal Constitutional Court. In addition to Die Linke, this also benefits the Christian Social Union (CSU) which competes only in Bavaria and, in the 2021 German federal elections, only passed the threshold with 5.2% of second-ballot votes nationwide but won 45 out of 46 constituencies in Bavaria. As the CDU/CSU "Union" don't compete against each other and form one faction in the parliament, both "sister parties" are combined in most polls, but some show separate numbers.
Polling around 5% are the Free Democratic Party (FDP) that was part of the "Traffic Light Coalition" whose collapse led to the snap election, Die Linke, and the new Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) which split off from The Left in 2023.
Also shown in the polls are the Free Voters (FW) which are present in three state parliaments (Bavaria, Rhineland-Palatinate and Saxony) and one state government coalition (Bavaria). Only three other parties have managed to get approved in all states, and several others run in selected states. They are all summed up as "others".

## Reliability of pollsters

The poll aggregator Europe Elects provides a list of past pollster accuracy and conflict of interest on its website. The organization includes Allensbach, Forsa, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, GMS, Infratest dimap, INSA, Ipsos, Verian, YouGov, pollytix, Trend research, and pmg - policy matters in its databases and highlights their reliability and transparency. All of them are part of professional pollster associations. Civey is excluded and their lack of methodological rigour referenced. Below-listed Wahlkreisprognose and American-based Democracy Institute are excluded from Europe Elects's coverage. The poll aggregator points out that they have no membership in a professional association.

## Poll results
### 2025

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 17.5 | 16.4 | 28.5 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 20.8 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 7.7 |
| INSA | 21–22 Feb 2025 | 2,005 | – | 15 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 21 | 7.5 | – | 5 | 5 | 8.5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 20–21 Feb 2025 | 1,536 | – | 14.5 | 29.5 | 12 | 4.5 | 20.5 | 8 | 2 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 9 |
| Ipsos | 19–21 Feb 2025 | 1,000 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 4.5 | 21 | 7 | – | 4.5 | 5 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–20 Feb 2025 | 1,349 | – | 16 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 8 | – | 4.5 | 4 | 7 |
| Forsa | 17–20 Feb 2025 | 2,002 | – | 15 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 21 | 8 | – | 3 | 6 | 8 |
| YouGov | 17–20 Feb 2025 | 1,681 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 8 | – | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| Allensbach | 9–20 Feb 2025 | 1,064 | – | 14.5 | 32 | 12 | 4.5 | 20 | 7.5 | – | 4.5 | 6 | 12 |
| INSA | 18–19 Feb 2025 | 2,086 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 21 | 7 | – | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| GMS | 16–19 Feb 2025 | 1,016 | – | 15 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| Ipsos | 12–19 Feb 2025 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 31 | 13 | 4.5 | 20 | 7 | – | 4.5 | 5 | 11 |
| YouGov (MRP) | 7–19 Feb 2025 | 9,281 | – | 15.6 | 29.9 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 19.7 | 7.5 | – | 4.6 | 5.6 | 10.2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 17–18 Feb 2025 | 1,000 | – | 14.5 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5.5 | 10 |
| Cluster 17 | 16–18 Feb 2025 | 1,457 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 21 | 7 | – | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Feb 2025 | 2,501 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 7 | – | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| YouGov | 14–17 Feb 2025 | 2,131 | – | 17 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 9 | – | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| INSA | 14–17 Feb 2025 | 2,010 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4.5 | 22 | 6.5 | – | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| INSA | 10–14 Feb 2025 | 1,205 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 21 | 6 | – | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Feb 2025 | 1,348 | 14 | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 7 | – | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–13 Feb 2025 | 1,700 | – | 12.5 | 32 | 12.5 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 10–12 Feb 2025 | 1,579 | – | 14 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 6 | – | 4.5 | 4.5 | 11 |
| Allensbach | 31 Jan – 12 Feb 2025 | 1,021 | – | 15 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 6 | – | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| Pollytix | 11–12 Feb 2025 | 1,501 | – | 17 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 6 | – | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| YouGov | 7–10 Feb 2025 | 2,083 | – | 16 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 21 | 6 | – | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| INSA | 7–10 Feb 2025 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 6 | – | 5.5 | 4 | 8 |
| Forsa | 4–10 Feb 2025 | 2,502 | 23 | 16 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 6 | – | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| GMS | 4–7 Feb 2025 | 1,011 | – | 15 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| INSA | 3–7 Feb 2025 | 1,204 | – | 16 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 21 | 5 | – | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Pollytix | 5–6 Feb 2025 | 1,529 | – | 17 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 6 | – | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4–6 Feb 2025 | 1,341 | 20 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 20 | 6 | – | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–5 Feb 2025 | 1,302 | – | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 5 | – | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| YouGov (MRP) | 17 Jan – 5 Feb 2025 | 9,322 | – | 15.3 | 29.0 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 19.9 | 5.2 | – | 5.4 | 7.9 | 9.1 |
| YouGov | 31 Jan – 4 Feb 2025 | 2,181 | – | 18 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 6 | – | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–3 Feb 2025 | 1,900 | – | 16.5 | 28 | 12 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| INSA | 31 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 | 2,004 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 4.5 | 22 | 5 | – | 5.5 | 4 | 8 |
| INSA | 30–31 Jan 2025 | 1,203 | – | 17 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 4 | – | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| Ipsos | 30–31 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 21 | 4 | – | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| INSA | 30 Jan 2025 | 1,001 | – | 17 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 4 | – | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 28 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 | 2,503 | – | 16 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 20 | 5 | – | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| Democracy Institute | 28–30 Jan 2025 | 2,430 | – | 15 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 25 | 5 | – | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap | 27–29 Jan 2025 | 1,336 | – | 15 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 20 | 5 | – | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Jan 2025 | 1,428 | 17 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 5 | – | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| Verian | 22–28 Jan 2025 | 1,461 | – | 15 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 4 | – | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| YouGov | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 1,781 | – | 15 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 23 | 5 | – | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| INSA | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 30 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 22 | 4.5 | – | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Jan 2025 | 2,504 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 4 | – | 3 | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 20–24 Jan 2025 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 21 | 4 | – | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,345 | 18 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 5 | – | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | – | 17 | 28.5 | 14 | 3.5 | 21.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 6 | 7 |
| YouGov | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 1,858 | – | 19 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 4 | – | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| INSA | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 2,008 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 21.5 | 4 | – | 7 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Jan 2025 | 2,502 | – | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 4 | 10 | 12 |
| Allensbach | 7–19 Jan 2025 | 1,015 | – | 17 | 34 | 13.5 | 4 | 20 | – | – | 5 | 6.5 | 14 |
| Ipsos | 16–18 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
| INSA | 13–17 Jan 2025 | 1,206 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 21 | 4 | – | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | – | 16.5 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 2.5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| YouGov (MRP) | 3 Dec – 15 Jan 2025 | 10,411 | – | 15.6 | 29.8 | 13.6 | 4.5 | 19.7 | 2.9 | – | 6.0 | 7.8 | 10.1 |
| YouGov | 10–14 Jan 2025 | 1,771 | – | 18 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 4 | – | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| INSA | 10–13 Jan 2025 | 2,005 | – | 15 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 3.5 | – | 6.5 | 5 | 9 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Jan 2025 | 2,504 | 28 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 3 | – | 4 | 9 | 11 |
| INSA | 6–10 Jan 2025 | 1,205 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 3 | – | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Jan 2025 | 1,433 | 18 | 14 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 4 | – | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 6–8 Jan 2025 | 1,323 | – | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 4 | – | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| YouGov | 3–6 Jan 2025 | 1,908 | – | 16 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 3 | – | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| INSA | 3–6 Jan 2025 | 2,001 | – | 15.5 | 31 | 13.5 | 4 | 21.5 | 3 | – | 6.5 | 5 | 9.5 |
| Forsa | 2–6 Jan 2025 | 1,501 | 27 | 17 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 3 | – | 4 | 10 | 13 |
| Ipsos | 2–4 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| INSA | 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2025 | 1,201 | – | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 3 | – | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| GMS | 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2025 | 1,010 | – | 16 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | – | 6.3 | 1.5 |

### 2024

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
| INSA | 27–30 Dec 2024 | 2,004 | – | 16.5 | 31 | 12 | 3.5 | 20.5 | 4 | – | 7 | 5.5 | 10.5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–28 Dec 2024 | 2,000 | – | 18 | 28 | 15.5 | 4 | 18 | 2.5 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| INSA | 23–27 Dec 2024 | 1,002 | – | 17 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 3 | – | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| INSA | 20–23 Dec 2024 | 2,010 | – | 16 | 31 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 3 | – | 8 | 5 | 11.5 |
| Forsa | 17–20 Dec 2024 | 2,008 | 25 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 19 | 4 | – | 4 | 10 | 12 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 Dec 2024 | 1,362 | 16 | 15 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 19 | 4 | – | 5 | 9 | 12 |
| INSA | 16–19 Dec 2024 | 1,205 | – | 16 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 20 | 3 | – | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 16–18 Dec 2024 | 1,336 | – | 14 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 19 | 3 | – | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| Verian | 11–17 Dec 2024 | 1,452 | – | 17 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 14–16 Dec 2024 | 1,500 | – | 20 | 29 | 15 | 4.5 | 17 | 2.5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| INSA | 13–16 Dec 2024 | 2,002 | – | 16.5 | 31.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 2.5 | – | 8 | 5.5 | 12 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Dec 2024 | 2,501 | 23 | 17 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 4 | 10 | 11 |
| INSA | 9–13 Dec 2024 | 1,203 | – | 17 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 3 | – | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| Allensbach | 30 Nov – 12 Dec 2024 | 1,006 | – | 16 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 18 | – | – | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| INSA | 6–9 Dec 2024 | 2,004 | – | 17 | 31.5 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 3 | – | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Dec 2024 | 2,501 | 22 | 17 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 4 | 10 | 13 |
| INSA | 2–6 Dec 2024 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 4 | – | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Dec 2024 | 1,433 | 17 | 15 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 5 | 9 | 16 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–5 Dec 2024 | 2,000 | – | 18.5 | 31 | 11.5 | 3 | 20.5 | 3 | 3 | 3.5 | 6 | 10.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–4 Dec 2024 | 1,307 | – | 16 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| YouGov | 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2024 | 1,879 | – | 18 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| INSA | 29 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 | 2,003 | – | 16 | 31.5 | 13 | 4.5 | 18.5 | 3.5 | – | 7.5 | 5.5 | 13 |
| GMS | 27 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 | 1,005 | – | 15 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| Forsa | 26 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 | 2,502 | – | 16 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 4 | – | 4 | 11 | 14 |
| Ipsos | 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | – | 16 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| INSA | 25–29 Nov 2024 | 1,201 | – | 15 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Verian | 20–26 Nov 2024 | 1,432 | – | 15 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| INSA | 22–25 Nov 2024 | 2,003 | – | 15 | 32.5 | 11 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | – | 7.5 | 6.5 | 13 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Nov 2024 | 2,500 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 4 | – | 4 | 11 | 14 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–21 Nov 2024 | 1,399 | 15 | 16 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 4 | – | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| INSA | 18–21 Nov 2024 | 1,203 | – | 14 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 4 | – | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| Infratest dimap | 18–20 Nov 2024 | 1,318 | – | 14 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 14–20 Nov 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 18.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5 | 7.5 | 15.5 |
| INSA | 15–18 Nov 2024 | 2,008 | – | 16 | 32 | 11 | 4.5 | 19 | 3.5 | – | 7.5 | 6.5 | 13 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Nov 2024 | 2,500 | – | 15 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 4 | – | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| INSA | 11–15 Nov 2024 | 1,204 | – | 16 | 32 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 4 | – | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| Allensbach | 2–14 Nov 2024 | 1,049 | – | 15 | 37 | 10 | 4 | 17 | – | – | 7.5 | 9.5 | 20 |
| YouGov | 8–12 Nov 2024 | 1,805 | – | 15 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| INSA | 8–11 Nov 2024 | 3,009 | – | 15.5 | 32.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | – | 7 | 5.5 | 13 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Nov 2024 | 2,501 | – | 16 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| INSA | 7–8 Nov 2024 | 1,065 | – | 15 | 32 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 4 | – | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 Nov 2024 | 1,065 | – | 16 | 34 | 12 | 5 | 18 | – | – | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| Forsa | 7 Nov 2024 | 1,181 | – | 17 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 3 | – | 6 | 11 | 15 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Nov 2024 | 1,231 | 15 | 16 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 4 | – | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| INSA | 1–4 Nov 2024 | 2,005 | – | 15.5 | 32 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 18 | 3.5 | – | 8 | 8 | 14 |
| Forsa | 29 Oct – 4 Nov 2024 | 2,500 | – | 16 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 3 | – | 6 | 13 | 17 |
| Ipsos | 1–2 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | – | 15 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| INSA | 28 Oct – 1 Nov 2024 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 | 14 |
| Infratest dimap | 28–30 Oct 2024 | 1,333 | – | 16 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 17 | – | – | 6 | 12 | 17 |
| Verian | 23–29 Oct 2024 | 1,443 | – | 16 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 3 | – | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| INSA | 25–28 Oct 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 2.5 | – | 9 | 8.5 | 12 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Oct 2024 | 2,503 | 23 | 16 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| INSA | 21–25 Oct 2024 | 1,204 | – | 15 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| INSA | 18–21 Oct 2024 | 2,006 | – | 16.5 | 30.5 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 2.5 | – | 9 | 8.5 | 11.5 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Oct 2024 | 2,500 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 14 |
| INSA | 14–18 Oct 2024 | 1,201 | – | 16 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15–17 Oct 2024 | 1,249 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 4 | – | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| INSA | 11–14 Oct 2024 | 2,002 | – | 16 | 31.5 | 10 | 4 | 18.5 | 3.5 | – | 9 | 7.5 | 13 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Oct 2024 | 2,501 | – | 16 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 14 |
| INSA | 7–11 Oct 2024 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| Allensbach | 28 Sep – 11 Oct 2024 | 1,041 | – | 16 | 36 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 16 | – | – | 9 | 9 | 20 |
| Infratest dimap | 7–9 Oct 2024 | 1,321 | – | 16 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| YouGov | 4–8 Oct 2024 | 1,773 | – | 16 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| INSA | 4–7 Oct 2024 | 2,010 | – | 16 | 31.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 20 | 2.5 | – | 8 | 7.5 | 11.5 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Oct 2024 | 2,001 | – | 17 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 3 | – | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| Ipsos | 2–4 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| INSA | 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2024 | 1,237 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 3 | – | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| Verian | 25 Sep – 1 Oct 2024 | 1,452 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| INSA | 27–30 Sep 2024 | 2,002 | – | 15 | 31.5 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 2.5 | – | 9.5 | 7.5 | 12.5 |
| Forsa | 24–30 Sep 2024 | 2,501 | – | 17 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| INSA | 23–27 Sep 2024 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24–26 Sep 2024 | 1,348 | 16 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 | 14 |
| INSA | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 2,002 | – | 15.5 | 32 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 20 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| Forsa | 17–23 Sep 2024 | 2,500 | 21 | 15 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | – | – | 7 | 14 | 15 |
| INSA | 16–19 Sep 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 32 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 2 | – | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| INSA | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,008 | – | 14 | 33 | 10 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 6.5 | 13.5 |
| GMS | 11–16 Sep 2024 | 1,006 | – | 14 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Sep 2024 | 2,501 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 6 | 13 | 14 |
| INSA | 9–13 Sep 2024 | 1,206 | – | 14 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| Allensbach | 29 Aug – 11 Sep 2024 | 1,017 | – | 16 | 35.5 | 10 | 4 | 17 | – | – | 9 | 8.5 | 18.5 |
| YouGov | 6–10 Sep 2024 | 1,752 | – | 14 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| INSA | 6–9 Sep 2024 | 2,010 | – | 14 | 32.5 | 10 | 4 | 19.5 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 7.5 | 13 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Sep 2024 | 2,500 | – | 14 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 16 |
| Ipsos | 6–7 Sep 2024 | 1,000 | – | 13 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| INSA | 2–6 Sep 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Sep 2024 | 1,328 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 4 | – | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–4 Sep 2024 | 1,309 | – | 15 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| Verian | 28 Aug – 3 Sep 2024 | 1,427 | – | 15 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| INSA | 30 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 | 2,002 | – | 15 | 31.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 19 | 2.5 | – | 9.5 | 7.5 | 12.5 |
| Forsa | 27 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 | 2,508 | – | 14 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 11 | 15 |
| INSA | 26–30 Aug 2024 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| INSA | 23–26 Aug 2024 | 2,004 | – | 15 | 31.5 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 3 | – | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Aug 2024 | 2,501 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 11 | 14 |
| INSA | 19–23 Aug 2024 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 9 | 7 | 13 |
| INSA | 16–19 Aug 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 19 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 7 | 11.5 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Aug 2024 | 2,503 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 11 | 14 |
| INSA | 12–16 Aug 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 3 | – | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| Allensbach | 3–15 Aug 2024 | 1,051 | – | 16 | 34 | 11.5 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 7.5 | 18 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Aug 2024 | 1,334 | 14 | 14 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 3 | – | 8 | 10 | 16 |
| YouGov | 9–13 Aug 2024 | 1,998 | – | 15 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| INSA | 9–12 Aug 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | 12.5 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Aug 2024 | 2,502 | 22 | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 13 |
| GMS | 6–12 Aug 2024 | 1,006 | – | 14 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| INSA | 5–9 Aug 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 9 | 8 | 13 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–7 Aug 2024 | 1,311 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 16 | – | – | 9 | 11 | 16 |
| Verian | 31 Jul – 6 Aug 2024 | 1,449 | – | 16 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 9 | 15 |
| INSA | 2–5 Aug 2024 | 2,002 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 9.5 | 13.5 |
| Forsa | 30 Jul – 5 Aug 2024 | 2,500 | 20 | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| Ipsos | 2–4 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | – | 14 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14 |
| INSA | 29 Jul – 2 Aug 2024 | 1,199 | – | 15 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| INSA | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 3.5 | – | 9.5 | 9 | 12 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Jul 2024 | 2,501 | 21 | 15 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 13 | 13 |
| INSA | 22–26 Jul 2024 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| INSA | 19–22 Jul 2024 | 2,010 | – | 15 | 31 | 10.5 | 5 | 17 | 3.5 | – | 9 | 9 | 14 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Jul 2024 | 2,504 | 18 | 14 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 4 | – | 7 | 11 | 14 |
| INSA | 15–19 Jul 2024 | 1,207 | – | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| Allensbach | 5–19 Jul 2024 | 1,003 | – | 16.5 | 32 | 11.5 | 6 | 17 | – | – | 8 | 9 | 15 |
| INSA | 12–15 Jul 2024 | 2,500 | – | 15 | 31 | 11.5 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 8.5 | 8 | 13 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Jul 2024 | 2,503 | 18 | 14 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 12 | 16 |
| INSA | 8–12 Jul 2024 | 1,449 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 2 | – | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Jul 2024 | 1,341 | 15 | 14 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 10 | 15 |
| Verian | 3–9 Jul 2024 | 1,486 | – | 15 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 10 | 15 |
| INSA | 5–8 Jul 2024 | 2,007 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 13 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Jul 2024 | 2,504 | 19 | 14 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 17 | – | – | 8 | 15 | 13 |
| Ipsos | 5–7 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | – | 14 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| INSA | 1–5 Jul 2024 | 1,204 | – | 15 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 2 | – | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,294 | – | 14 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3 | – | 8 | 9 | 14 |
| YouGov | 28 Jun – 3 Jul 2024 | 1,711 | – | 14 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| INSA | 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15 | 29.5 | 12 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 12 |
| Forsa | 25 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | 2,506 | 18 | 15 | 31 | 11 | 6 | 16 | – | – | 7 | 14 | 15 |
| INSA | 24–28 Jun 2024 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 Jun 2024 | 1,186 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 7 | 11 | 14 |
| INSA | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 2,008 | – | 14.5 | 30.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 17.5 | 3 | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 13 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jun 2024 | 2,505 | 19 | 15 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 16 | – | 3 | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| INSA | 17–21 Jun 2024 | 1,204 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| INSA | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 2,010 | – | 15 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jun 2024 | 2,504 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | – | 2 | 7 | 12 | 14 |
| GMS | 11–17 Jun 2024 | 1,007 | – | 14 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| INSA | 10–15 Jun 2024 | 1,205 | – | 16 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| Allensbach | 1–13 Jun 2024 | 1,084 | – | 16 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 3 | – | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–12 Jun 2024 | 1,334 | 15 | 14 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 16 | – | – | 7 | 14 | 14 |
| Verian | 5–11 Jun 2024 | 1,425 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jun 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15.5 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 14 |
| Forsa | 4–10 Jun 2024 | 2,505 | 22 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 16 | – | – | 6 | 13 | 14 |
| 2024 EU Parliament Election | 9 Jun 2024 | – | – | 13.9 | 30.0 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 15.9 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 14.1 |
| INSA | 3–7 Jun 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| YouGov | 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 1,894 | – | 14 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| Ipsos | 29 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 957 | – | 15 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
| INSA | 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 | 2,002 | – | 16 | 30.5 | 12 | 5 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 14.5 |
| Forsa | 28 May – 3 Jun 2024 | 2,506 | 22 | 17 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 15 | – | – | 6 | 13 | 13 |
| INSA | 27–31 May 2024 | 1,205 | – | 16 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| Infratest dimap | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,479 | – | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| INSA | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,004 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2.5 | 7 | 8 | 13.5 |
| Forsa | 21–27 May 2024 | 2,503 | 22 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 15 | – | – | 6 | 14 | 14 |
| INSA | 21–24 May 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| INSA | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,010 | – | 16 | 30 | 12.5 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6.5 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–19 May 2024 | 2,500 | 24 | 16.5 | 31 | 13.5 | 6 | 15 | 3 | – | 6 | 9 | 14.5 |
| Forsa | 14–17 May 2024 | 2,001 | – | 16 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 15 | – | – | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| INSA | 13–17 May 2024 | 1,206 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,247 | 18 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 4 | – | 5 | 11 | 15 |
| Allensbach | 4–16 May 2024 | 1,093 | – | 17.5 | 32.5 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 3 | – | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| Verian | 7–14 May 2024 | 1,506 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| INSA | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,087 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 6 | 13.5 |
| Forsa | 7–13 May 2024 | 2,006 | 23 | 16 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 3 | – | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| INSA | 6–10 May 2024 | 1,247 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| YouGov | 3–8 May 2024 | 1,749 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| INSA | 3–6 May 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 12.5 |
| Forsa | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 2,000 | – | 16 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 3 | – | 4 | 13 | 15 |
| GMS | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 1,005 | – | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Ipsos | 2–5 May 2024 | 2,000 | – | 16 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| INSA | 29 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1.203 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,280 | – | 15 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 18 | – | – | 5 | 11 | 13 |
| INSA | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 2.004 | – | 16.5 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 23 | 17 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 4 | 13 | 13 |
| INSA | 22–26 Apr 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 18 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 17 | 4 | – | 5 | 10 | 13 |
| INSA | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 4 | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Apr 2024 | 2,501 | 25 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 16 | – | – | 5 | 15 | 15 |
| INSA | 15–19 Apr 2024 | 1,204 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| Allensbach | 5–18 Apr 2024 | 1,041 | – | 16 | 32.5 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 4.5 | 16.5 |
| Verian | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 1,445 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| INSA | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,006 | – | 16 | 29.5 | 13 | 6 | 18.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 11 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 23 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 17 | – | – | 5 | 14 | 14 |
| INSA | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 20 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 6 | 10 | 13 |
| YouGov | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,588 | – | 14 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,084 | – | 15 | 30.5 | 13 | 5 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 12 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Apr 2024 | 2,506 | 24 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 17 | – | – | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| Ipsos | 5–7 Apr 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| INSA | 2–5 Apr 2024 | 1,243 | – | 15 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–3 Apr 2024 | 1,304 | – | 15 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| INSA | 28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | 2,004 | – | 15 | 30 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 |
| Forsa | 26–28 Mar 2024 | 1,508 | 24 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 17 | – | – | 5 | 14 | 14 |
| INSA | 25–28 Mar 2024 | 1,210 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| INSA | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 2,008 | – | 15.5 | 30 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 10.5 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Mar 2024 | 2,503 | 24 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| INSA | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 1,204 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–21 Mar 2024 | 1,296 | 19 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 6 | 9 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2024 | 1,300 | 25 | 19.5 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 3.5 | – | 6.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| Verian | 13–19 Mar 2024 | 1,480 | – | 17 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| INSA | 15–18 Mar 2024 | 2,002 | – | 16 | 29.5 | 12 | 5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 10 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Mar 2024 | 2,500 | 24 | 16 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| INSA | 11–15 Mar 2024 | 1,199 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
| Allensbach | 1–14 Mar 2024 | 1,027 | – | 15 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 3 | – | 7 | 6 | 18 |
| INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,079 | – | 14.5 | 31 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 12.5 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Mar 2024 | 2,502 | 26 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| INSA | 4–8 Mar 2024 | 1,249 | – | 15 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,260 | 19 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 4–6 Mar 2024 | 1,288 | – | 16 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 3 | – | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| YouGov | 1–5 Mar 2024 | 1,762 | – | 15 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| INSA | 1–4 Mar 2024 | 2,024 | – | 14.5 | 30.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 19.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 11 |
| Forsa | 27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 | 2,506 | – | 15 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
| Ipsos | 1–3 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| INSA | 26 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| Verian | 21–27 Feb 2024 | 1,392 | – | 16 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 3 | – | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| INSA | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 13 | 4.5 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7.5 | 4 | 11.5 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | – | 14 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| INSA | 19–23 Feb 2024 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,300 | – | 14 | 28.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 8.5 | 8 | 9.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20–22 Feb 2024 | 1,294 | 18 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 4 | – | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| Verian | 14–20 Feb 2024 | 1,505 | – | 16 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 5 | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 16–19 Feb 2024 | 2,007 | – | 14.5 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 11 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Feb 2024 | 2,504 | 24 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| INSA | 12–16 Feb 2024 | 1,203 | – | 14 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| Allensbach | 3–15 Feb 2024 | 1,053 | – | 15 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 3 | – | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| INSA | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,083 | – | 15 | 30 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 20.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 9.5 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,502 | 25 | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 3 | – | 5 | 10 | 13 |
| INSA | 5–8 Feb 2024 | 1,276 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| YouGov | 2–6 Feb 2024 | 2,018 | – | 14 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| INSA | 2–5 Feb 2024 | 2,004 | – | 15 | 30 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 20.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 9.5 |
| GMS | 31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 1,012 | – | 16 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| Forsa | 30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 25 | 15 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| Ipsos | 2–4 Feb 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| INSA | 29 Jan – 2 Feb 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1,217 | 20 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 29–31 Jan 2024 | 1,303 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 3 | – | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| INSA | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 2,002 | – | 14.5 | 30 | 12.5 | 5 | 21 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Jan 2024 | 2,506 | 27 | 15 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
| INSA | 22–26 Jan 2024 | 1,201 | – | 14 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,366 | 26 | 17.5 | 30.5 | 11 | 4.5 | 22 | 2.5 | 4 | – | 8 | 8.5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,366 | 26 | 15.5 | 27.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | 19 | 2.5 | 2 | 9 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
| Verian | 16–23 Jan 2024 | 1,922 | – | 16 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 19 | 4 | – | 3 | 9 | 10 |
| Pollytix | 19–22 Jan 2024 | 1,530 | – | 15 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 22 | 4 | – | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| INSA | 19–22 Jan 2024 | 2,006 | – | 13.5 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 21.5 | 3 | 2.5 | – | 11.5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Jan 2024 | 2,503 | – | 14 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 |
| INSA | 15–19 Jan 2024 | 1,203 | – | 13 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| Allensbach | 5–18 Jan 2024 | 1,018 | – | 15 | 34 | 13.5 | 6 | 19.5 | 4 | 3 | – | 5 | 14.5 |
| INSA | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 2,004 | – | 14 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 2,504 | – | 13 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 11–12 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | – | 14 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| INSA | 8–12 Jan 2024 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 9 | 8 |
| Verian | 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,359 | – | 14 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,337 | 21 | 13 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| INSA | 5–8 Jan 2024 | 2,008 | – | 16 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | – | 5 | 9 |
| YouGov | 3–8 Jan 2024 | 1,614 | – | 15 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 2 | – | 7 | 5 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Jan 2024 | 2,502 | – | 15 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Ipsos | 5–7 Jan 2024 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 22 | 5 | – | – | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 2–5 Jan 2024 | 1,204 | – | 16 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 24 | 12 | 34 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 24.5 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.5 | 9.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–3 Jan 2024 | 1,321 | – | 14 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 9 |
| INSA | 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 | 2,002 | – | 15 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 22.5 | 4 | 3 | – | 5.5 | 9.5 |
| GMS | 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | – | 14 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 3 | – | 5 | 10 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | – | 6.3 | 1.6 |

### 2023

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
| INSA | 28–29 Dec 2023 | 1,001 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| INSA | 22–27 Dec 2023 | 2,000 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Forsa | 19–22 Dec 2023 | – | – | 14 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 3 | – | 11 | 9 |
| INSA | 18–22 Dec 2023 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 18–20 Dec 2023 | 1,210 | – | 14 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Verian | 13–19 Dec 2023 | 1,421 | – | 15 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
| INSA | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 2,002 | – | 15.5 | 31.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 2.5 | 6 | 8.5 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 26 | 14 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 23 | 3 | – | 11 | 8 |
| INSA | 11–15 Dec 2023 | 1,202 | – | 15 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Dec 2023 | 1,146 | 21 | 14 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| Allensbach | 1–14 Dec 2023 | 1,013 | – | 17 | 34 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 3.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Verian | 6–12 Dec 2023 | 1,515 | – | 15 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
| INSA | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,008 | – | 16 | 30 | 12.5 | 6 | 22.5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7.5 |
| GMS | 6–11 Dec 2023 | 1,001 | – | 14 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 27 | 14 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 22 | 4 | – | 11 | 9 |
| INSA | 4–8 Dec 2023 | 1,203 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 4–6 Dec 2023 | 1,364 | – | 14 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| YouGov | 1–6 Dec 2023 | 1,669 | – | 14 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Verian | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2023 | 1,402 | – | 14 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 20 | 4 | – | 11 | 10 |
| INSA | 1–4 Dec 2023 | 2,006 | – | 15.5 | 29.5 | 13 | 6 | 22.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Forsa | 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | – | 14 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 4 | – | 11 | 8 |
| Ipsos | 1–3 Dec 2023 | 2,000 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 5 | – | 10 | 8 |
| INSA | 27 Nov – 1 Dec 2023 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Verian | 20–28 Nov 2023 | 1,806 | – | 17 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 19 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 25 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 26 | 3.5 | – | 6.5 | 5 |
| INSA | 24–27 Nov 2023 | 2,007 | – | 15.5 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Nov 2023 | 2,500 | 25 | 14 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 9 |
| INSA | 20–24 Nov 2023 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Nov 2023 | 1,242 | 22 | 15 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 4 | – | 8 | 9 |
| Verian | 14–21 Nov 2023 | 1,452 | – | 16 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 20 | 4 | – | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 17–20 Nov 2023 | 2,003 | – | 16.5 | 30 | 13 | 5.5 | 21 | 4.5 | 3 | 6.5 | 9 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Nov 2023 | 2,501 | 26 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 13–17 Nov 2023 | 1,201 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| Allensbach | 1–16 Nov 2023 | 1,047 | – | 17 | 32 | 13.5 | 6 | 19 | 3.5 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| Verian | 8–14 Nov 2023 | 1,421 | – | 16 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
| INSA | 10–13 Nov 2023 | 2,008 | – | 16.5 | 30.5 | 13.5 | 5 | 21.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 5.5 | 9 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Nov 2023 | 2,504 | – | 14 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 6–10 Nov 2023 | 1,204 | – | 17 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Nov 2023 | 1,234 | 21 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 7–8 Nov 2023 | 1,195 | – | 15 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| YouGov | 3–7 Nov 2023 | 1,732 | – | 15 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Kantar | 1–7 Nov 2023 | 1,443 | – | 16 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
| INSA | 3–6 Nov 2023 | 2,006 | – | 16.5 | 29.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
| Forsa | 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 | 2,502 | – | 15 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Ipsos | 3–5 Nov 2023 | 2,000 | – | 17 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 | 1,204 | – | 16 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Oct – 1 Nov 2023 | 1,314 | – | 16 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Kantar | 25–31 Oct 2023 | 1,418 | – | 17 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 21 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
| INSA | 27–30 Oct 2023 | 2,010 | – | 16.5 | 30.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 21 | 4 | 3.5 | 6 | 9.5 |
| Forsa | 24–30 Oct 2023 | 2,501 | 26 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 23–27 Oct 2023 | 1,216 | – | 16 | 31 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–25 Oct 2023 | 1,300 | 24 | 14.5 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 4 | – | 9.5 | 8 |
| Kantar | 18–24 Oct 2023 | 1,422 | – | 16 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 5 | – | 10 | 8 |
| INSA | 20–23 Oct 2023 | 2,004 | – | 16.5 | 28.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 22 | 5 | 3.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 17–23 Oct 2023 | 2,504 | – | 14 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 |
| INSA | 16–20 Oct 2023 | 1,202 | – | 16 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 Oct 2023 | 1,252 | 21 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| Allensbach | 6–19 Oct 2023 | 1,010 | – | 17 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 |
| Kantar | 11–17 Oct 2023 | 1,388 | – | 14 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| INSA | 13–16 Oct 2023 | 2,006 | – | 16.5 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 4.5 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Oct 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 14 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| INSA | 9–13 Oct 2023 | 1,202 | – | 17 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 10–11 Oct 2023 | 1,203 | – | 15 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| YouGov | 6–10 Oct 2023 | 1,842 | – | 16 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| Kantar | 4–10 Oct 2023 | 1,386 | – | 16 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| INSA | 6–9 Oct 2023 | 2,001 | – | 17 | 27 | 13.5 | 6 | 22.5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4.5 |
| Forsa | 4–9 Oct 2023 | 2,003 | – | 18 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
| Ipsos | 6–8 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | – | 17 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 2–6 Oct 2023 | 1,201 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| INSA | 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 | 2,010 | – | 18 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| Forsa | 26–29 Sep 2023 | 2,004 | 25 | 18 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 20 | 4 | – | 11 | 8 |
| INSA | 25–29 Sep 2023 | 1,206 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Kantar | 26–28 Sep 2023 | 1,391 | – | 16 | 26 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 9 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 25–27 Sep 2023 | 1,302 | – | 16 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Kantar | 20–26 Sep 2023 | 1,356 | – | 16 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 9 | 6 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24–25 Sep 2023 | 1,200 | 24 | 18.5 | 24 | 15 | 6.5 | 23 | 3.5 | – | 9.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 22–25 Sep 2023 | 2,003 | – | 17.5 | 27 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 21.5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5.5 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Sep 2023 | 2,503 | 27 | 17 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 6 |
| INSA | 18–22 Sep 2023 | 1,203 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Kantar | 13–19 Sep 2023 | 1,370 | – | 17 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 15–18 Sep 2023 | 2,008 | – | 17 | 26.5 | 14.5 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| GMS | 13–18 Sep 2023 | 1,002 | – | 16 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 4 | – | 9 | 4 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 27 | 17 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 4 | – | 10 | 5 |
| INSA | 11–15 Sep 2023 | 1,204 | – | 17 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Allensbach | 4–15 Sep 2023 | 1,030 | – | 18 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 7 | 11 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Sep 2023 | 1,201 | 21 | 17 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 12–13 Sep 2023 | 1,222 | – | 16 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Kantar | 6–12 Sep 2023 | 1,442 | – | 16 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 8–11 Sep 2023 | 2,002 | – | 18 | 26.5 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 4.5 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Sep 2023 | 2,505 | 28 | 17 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 6 |
| INSA | 4–8 Sep 2023 | 1,201 | – | 18 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| YouGov | 1–6 Sep 2023 | 1,833 | – | 16 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 6 |
| Kantar | 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2023 | 1,441 | – | 17 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 5 | – | 10 | 5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Sep 2023 | 2,010 | – | 17.5 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 4.5 | – | 9 | 5 |
| Forsa | 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 | 2,506 | – | 16 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 6 |
| Ipsos | 1–3 Sep 2023 | 2,000 | – | 17 | 26 | 14 | 8 | 21 | 6 | – | 8 | 5 |
| INSA | 28 Aug – 1 Sep 2023 | 1,195 | – | 18 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 9 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 28–30 Aug 2023 | 1,310 | – | 16 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 4 | – | 9 | 7 |
| Kantar | 23–29 Aug 2023 | 1,330 | – | 18 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 10 | 5 |
| INSA | 25–28 Aug 2023 | 2,006 | – | 18 | 26.5 | 14.5 | 7 | 21 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 5.5 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Aug 2023 | 2,504 | 29 | 17 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–27 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | 26 | 20.5 | 25 | 13 | 7.5 | 22 | 4 | – | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 21–25 Aug 2023 | 1,285 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Kantar | 16–22 Aug 2023 | 1,426 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 10 | 6 |
| INSA | 18–21 Aug 2023 | 2,008 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 14 | 8 | 20.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Aug 2023 | 2,506 | 29 | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 11 | 6 |
| INSA | 14–18 Aug 2023 | 1,203 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 21 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15–17 Aug 2023 | 1,288 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 15–16 Aug 2023 | 1,216 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
| Allensbach | 4–16 Aug 2023 | 1,026 | – | 19 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 7 | 10 |
| Kantar | 9–15 Aug 2023 | 1,426 | – | 18 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 10 | 7 |
| INSA | 11–14 Aug 2023 | 2,002 | – | 19.5 | 26 | 13.5 | 7 | 21 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 5 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Aug 2023 | 2,501 | 28 | 17 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 4 |
| INSA | 7–11 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | – | 20 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| GMS | 2–9 Aug 2023 | 1,004 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
| Kantar | 2–8 Aug 2023 | 1,330 | – | 19 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 18 | 6 | – | 8 | 8 |
| INSA | 4–7 Aug 2023 | 2,004 | – | 19 | 27 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 20.5 | 4.5 | – | 7 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Aug 2023 | 2,502 | 28 | 17 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 11 | 4 |
| Ipsos | 4–6 Aug 2023 | 1,000 | – | 17 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 5 | – | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 31 Jul – 4 Aug 2023 | 1,203 | – | 19 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 | 1,297 | – | 17 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 4 | – | 9 | 6 |
| Kantar | 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2023 | 1,310 | – | 19 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
| YouGov | 25 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 | 1,756 | – | 17 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 14 | 6.5 | 21.5 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Jul 2023 | 2,500 | 28 | 17 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 5 | – | 11 | 4 |
| INSA | 24–28 Jul 2023 | 1,200 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 23 | 20.5 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 20.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 6.5 | 4.5 |
| Kantar | 19–25 Jul 2023 | 1,402 | – | 18 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 21–24 Jul 2023 | 2,006 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 14 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 4.5 | – | 7.5 | 5 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jul 2023 | 2,504 | 28 | 18 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 11 | 8 |
| INSA | 17–21 Jul 2023 | 1,266 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 18–19 Jul 2023 | 1,235 | – | 18 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
| Allensbach | 7–19 Jul 2023 | 1,011 | – | 19 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 4 | – | 7 | 10 |
| Kantar | 12–18 Jul 2023 | 1,403 | – | 18 | 26 | 16 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| INSA | 14–17 Jul 2023 | 2,004 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 20.5 | 5 | – | 8.5 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jul 2023 | 2,502 | 26 | 18 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
| INSA | 10–14 Jul 2023 | 1,184 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jul 2023 | 1,347 | 27 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 9 | 7 |
| Kantar | 5–11 Jul 2023 | 1,393 | – | 19 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jul 2023 | 2,008 | – | 19 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 20.5 | 5 | – | 8.5 | 5.5 |
| Ipsos | 7–9 Jul 2023 | 1,000 | – | 18 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Forsa | 4–7 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 10 | 8 |
| INSA | 3–7 Jul 2023 | 1,204 | – | 19 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–5 Jul 2023 | 1,305 | – | 18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 9 | 8 |
| YouGov | 30 Jun – 4 Jul 2023 | 1,694 | – | 18 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Kantar | 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2023 | 1,403 | – | 18 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,897 | – | 19 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 21 | 5 | – | 8.5 | 4.5 |
| GMS | 28 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 1,005 | – | 17 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
| Forsa | 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,501 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 10 | 8 |
| INSA | 26–30 Jun 2023 | 1,401 | – | 19 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 9 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Jun 2023 | 1,379 | 24 | 18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
| Kantar | 20–27 Jun 2023 | 1,408 | – | 18 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 5 | – | 10 | 7 |
| INSA | 23–26 Jun 2023 | 2,004 | – | 19.5 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 20.5 | 4.5 | – | 9 | 6 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2,506 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–25 Jun 2023 | 1,399 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 14.5 | 6 | 21 | 4.5 | – | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 19–23 Jun 2023 | 1,203 | – | 20 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 10 | 6 |
| Allensbach | 9–22 Jun 2023 | 1,039 | – | 19 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 4 | – | 6 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 20–21 Jun 2023 | 1,191 | – | 17 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Kantar | 14–20 Jun 2023 | 1,406 | – | 19 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 4 | – | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 16–19 Jun 2023 | 2,006 | – | 20 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 20 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Jun 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 |
| INSA | 12–16 Jun 2023 | 1,203 | – | 20 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 4 | – | 9 | 7 |
| Civey | 9–16 Jun 2023 | 10,031 | – | 19 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 Jun 2023 | 1,224 | 21 | 19 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 18 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
| Kantar | 6–13 Jun 2023 | 1,387 | – | 20 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 9–12 Jun 2023 | 2,003 | – | 20 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 19.5 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Jun 2023 | 2,504 | 24 | 18 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 5–9 Jun 2023 | 1,201 | – | 20 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| YouGov | 2–7 Jun 2023 | 1,628 | – | 19 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Kantar | 31 May – 6 Jun 2023 | 1,402 | – | 20 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 2–5 Jun 2023 | 2,009 | – | 19 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 9 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 7.5 |
| GMS | 31 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 1,001 | – | 18 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 4 | – | 8 | 10 |
| Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 | 23 | 18 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 4 | – | 10 | 12 |
| Ipsos | 2–4 Jun 2023 | 1,000 | – | 20 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 6 | – | 6 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–2 Jun 2023 | 1,100 | 24 | 21 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 |
| INSA | 30 May – 2 Jun 2023 | 1,205 | – | 19 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 30–31 May 2023 | 1,302 | – | 18 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 4 | – | 9 | 11 |
| INSA | 26–30 May 2023 | 2,004 | – | 20.5 | 28 | 13 | 8.5 | 18 | 4.5 | – | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Kantar | 23–30 May 2023 | 1,379 | – | 20 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Forsa | 23–26 May 2023 | 2,001 | 23 | 18 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 5 | – | 10 | 11 |
| INSA | 22–26 May 2023 | 1,207 | – | 20 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 May 2023 | 1,257 | 24 | 20 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Kantar | 16–23 May 2023 | 1,321 | – | 18 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 9 | 11 |
| INSA | 19–22 May 2023 | 2,004 | – | 20.5 | 27.5 | 14 | 8.5 | 17 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 16–22 May 2023 | 2,003 | – | 18 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 5 | – | 10 | 12 |
| INSA | 15–19 May 2023 | 1,195 | – | 21 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Kantar | 9–16 May 2023 | 1,401 | – | 18 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 12–15 May 2023 | 2,010 | – | 20 | 28 | 14.5 | 8.5 | 16.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 9–15 May 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 17 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 4 | – | 10 | 13 |
| INSA | 8–12 May 2023 | 1,205 | – | 20 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 9–10 May 2023 | 1,220 | – | 18 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
| Allensbach | 28 Apr – 10 May 2023 | 1,001 | – | 18 | 32 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 5 | – | 6 | 14 |
| YouGov | 5–9 May 2023 | 1,700 | – | 16 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| Kantar | 3–9 May 2023 | 1,405 | – | 18 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 7 | 11 |
| INSA | 5–8 May 2023 | 2,008 | – | 20 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 16.5 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Forsa | 2–8 May 2023 | 2,505 | – | 18 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 4 | – | 10 | 11 |
| Ipsos | 5–7 May 2023 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 10 |
| INSA | 2–5 May 2023 | 1,204 | – | 20 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 4 | – | 9 | 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 2–4 May 2023 | 1,225 | 28 | 19 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 11 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–3 May 2023 | 1,360 | – | 17 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 5 | – | 9 | 13 |
| INSA | 28 Apr – 2 May 2023 | 2,006 | – | 21 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 16.5 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Kantar | 26 Apr – 2 May 2023 | 1,394 | – | 17 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 14 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 24 | 21 | 27.5 | 14 | 10.5 | 15 | 3.5 | – | 8.5 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 25–28 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | – | 17 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 4 | – | 10 | 13 |
| INSA | 24–28 Apr 2023 | 1,202 | – | 21 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Kantar | 18–25 Apr 2023 | 1,426 | – | 18 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 12 |
| INSA | 21–24 Apr 2023 | 2,004 | – | 20 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 9 | 16 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Apr 2023 | 2,506 | 23 | 18 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 10 | 12 |
| INSA | 17–21 Apr 2023 | 1,202 | – | 20 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18–20 Apr 2023 | 1,266 | 24 | 18 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 13 |
| Kantar | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 1,407 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
| Allensbach | 3–18 Apr 2023 | 1,007 | – | 20 | 31 | 15 | 7.5 | 16 | 5 | – | 5.5 | 11 |
| INSA | 14–17 Apr 2023 | 2,008 | – | 21 | 27.5 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Apr 2023 | 2,508 | 24 | 18 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 10 | 11 |
| INSA | 11–14 Apr 2023 | 1,204 | – | 21 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 11–12 Apr 2023 | 1,204 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 6–11 Apr 2023 | 2,005 | – | 20 | 27.5 | 15.5 | 8 | 16 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Kantar | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 1,367 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Forsa | 4–6 Apr 2023 | 1,501 | 25 | 18 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | – | 10 | 12 |
| INSA | 3–6 Apr 2023 | 1,204 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,304 | – | 18 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 12 |
| Ipsos | 3–4 Apr 2023 | 1,000 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 |
| YouGov | 30 Mar – 4 Apr 2023 | 1,522 | – | 20 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| Kantar | 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2023 | 1,269 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | – | 20 | 28 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 16 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 8 |
| GMS | 29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 1,007 | – | 19 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 12 |
| Forsa | 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,502 | 25 | 18 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | – | 10 | 11 |
| INSA | 27–31 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | – | 21 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Mar 2023 | 1,379 | 25 | 19 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 11 |
| Kantar | 21–28 Mar 2023 | 1,387 | – | 18 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 24–27 Mar 2023 | 2,004 | – | 20.5 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 15.5 | 4 | – | 8 | 7.5 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Mar 2023 | 2,506 | 24 | 19 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 23 | 23 | 26.5 | 15 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 4 | – | 10.5 | 3.5 |
| INSA | 20–24 Mar 2023 | 1,203 | – | 21 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Kantar | 14–21 Mar 2023 | 1,504 | – | 18 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 17–20 Mar 2023 | 2,006 | – | 21.5 | 28 | 15 | 7.5 | 16 | 5 | – | 7 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Mar 2023 | 2,503 | 23 | 19 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 13–17 Mar 2023 | 1,202 | – | 21 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 Mar 2023 | 1,146 | 24 | 21 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 14–15 Mar 2023 | 1,215 | – | 18 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 12 |
| Allensbach | 2–15 Mar 2023 | 1,101 | – | 21 | 31 | 16 | 6.5 | 15 | 4.5 | – | 6 | 10 |
| Kantar | 8–14 Mar 2023 | 1,432 | – | 19 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
| INSA | 10–13 Mar 2023 | 2,002 | – | 21.5 | 28.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 16 | 4 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Mar 2023 | 2,505 | 22 | 20 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 5 | – | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 6–10 Mar 2023 | 1,268 | – | 21 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 8 |
| YouGov | 3–7 Mar 2023 | 1,649 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 |
| Kantar | 1–7 Mar 2023 | 1,504 | – | 19 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 8 | 10 |
| INSA | 3–6 Mar 2023 | 2,007 | – | 20 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 5 | – | 7 | 9.5 |
| Forsa | 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 | 2,504 | – | 20 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 11 |
| Ipsos | 3–4 Mar 2023 | 1,000 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 27 Feb – 3 Mar 2023 | 1,203 | – | 20 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 10 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023 | 1,165 | 24 | 21 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,311 | – | 18 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 5 | – | 9 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 25 | 23.5 | 32 | 15.5 | 5 | 14 | 3 | – | 7 | 8.5 |
| Kantar | 21–28 Feb 2023 | 1,722 | – | 20 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 6 | – | 8 | 8 |
| INSA | 24–27 Feb 2023 | 2,010 | – | 20.5 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 4.5 | – | 7 | 9 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Feb 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 20 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 11 |
| INSA | 20–24 Feb 2023 | 1,200 | – | 21 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
| Kantar | 14–21 Feb 2023 | 1,373 | – | 21 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
| INSA | 17–20 Feb 2023 | 2,006 | – | 21.5 | 29 | 15.5 | 7 | 15.5 | 5 | – | 6.5 | 7.5 |
| GMS | 15–20 Feb 2023 | 1,004 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 10 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Feb 2023 | 2,510 | – | 19 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 12 |
| INSA | 13–17 Feb 2023 | 1,207 | – | 21 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 5 | – | 6 | 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 Feb 2023 | 1,361 | 25 | 20 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 5 | – | 7 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 14–15 Feb 2023 | 1,216 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
| Kantar | 8–14 Feb 2023 | 1,386 | – | 21 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| INSA | 10–13 Feb 2023 | 2,005 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 7.5 | 16 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Feb 2023 | 2,505 | 23 | 21 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 6–10 Feb 2023 | 1,457 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
| YouGov | 3–9 Feb 2023 | 1,736 | – | 19 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Allensbach | 27 Jan – 9 Feb 2023 | 1,088 | – | 22.5 | 30 | 16 | 7.5 | 14 | 4 | – | 6 | 7.5 |
| Kantar | 31 Jan – 7 Feb 2023 | 1,410 | – | 21 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 3–6 Feb 2023 | 2,008 | – | 21 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 15.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 | 2,502 | 24 | 21 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Ipsos | 3 Feb 2023 | 1,000 | – | 20 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| INSA | 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2023 | 1,462 | – | 21 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2023 | 1,328 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | – | 9 | 7 |
| Kantar | 25–31 Jan 2023 | 1,405 | – | 21 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,007 | – | 20.5 | 28.5 | 16 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 24–30 Jan 2023 | 2,503 | – | 20 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 6.5 | 14.5 | 3.5 | – | 9.5 | Tie |
| INSA | 24–27 Jan 2023 | 1,506 | – | 20 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24–26 Jan 2023 | 1,345 | 26 | 21 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 6 | – | 6 | 6 |
| Kantar | 18–24 Jan 2023 | 1,392 | – | 21 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
| INSA | 20–23 Jan 2023 | 2,009 | – | 20.5 | 28 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 7.5 |
| Forsa | 17–23 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 5 | – | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 16–21 Jan 2023 | 1,504 | – | 20 | 28 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 9 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 17–18 Jan 2023 | 1,211 | – | 19 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 4 | – | 9 | 10 |
| Allensbach | 5–18 Jan 2023 | 1,023 | – | 21 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4.5 | – | 6.5 | 10 |
| Kantar | 11–17 Jan 2023 | 1,418 | – | 20 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | – | 21.5 | 24.5 | 17 | 8 | 16.5 | 3.5 | – | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 13–16 Jan 2023 | 2,006 | – | 21 | 28 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Jan 2023 | 2,500 | 24 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 9–13 Jan 2023 | 1,202 | – | 20 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–12 Jan 2023 | 1,259 | 26 | 20 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 6 | – | 6 | 6 |
| Civey | 5–12 Jan 2023 | 10,065 | – | 18 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Ipsos | 9–10 Jan 2023 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 6 | – | 8 | 8 |
| YouGov | 6–10 Jan 2023 | 1,561 | – | 18 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 9 |
| Kantar | 4–10 Jan 2023 | 1,398 | – | 19 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | – | 10 | 9 |
| INSA | 6–9 Jan 2023 | 2,006 | – | 20 | 27 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 18 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | 8 | 9 |
| INSA | 2–6 Jan 2023 | 1,465 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–4 Jan 2023 | 1,314 | – | 18 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 5 | – | 8 | 10 |
| GMS | 28 Dec – 3 Jan 2023 | 1,002 | – | 19 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 5 | – | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023 | 2,010 | – | 20 | 27 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 4.5 | – | 8.5 | 7 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 1.6 |

### 2022

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
| INSA | 27–29 Dec 2022 | 1,205 | – | 20 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 19–22 Dec 2022 | 1,203 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 5 | − | 8 | 6 |
| YouGov | 16–21 Dec 2022 | 1,608 | – | 19 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 11 |
| INSA | 16–19 Dec 2022 | 2,005 | – | 21 | 27.5 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 14.5 | 4.5 | − | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Dec 2022 | 2,503 | 24 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 12–16 Dec 2022 | 1,501 | – | 21 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
| Kantar | 13–15 Dec 2022 | 1,717 | – | 19 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 8 | 10 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–15 Dec 2022 | 1,365 | 22 | 20 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 6 | 8 |
| Allensbach | 2–15 Dec 2022 | 1,035 | – | 22 | 30 | 18 | 7.5 | 12 | 4.5 | − | 6 | 8 |
| INSA | 9–12 Dec 2022 | 2,007 | – | 20 | 28.5 | 18 | 7 | 15.5 | 4.5 | − | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| Kantar | 7–12 Dec 2022 | 1,429 | – | 18 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Dec 2022 | 2,506 | 24 | 19 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 10 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | – | 22.5 | 25 | 16.5 | 7 | 14.5 | 4 | − | 10.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 2–9 Dec 2022 | 1,502 | – | 20 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | − | 8 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 6–7 Dec 2022 | 1,259 | – | 18 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 11 |
| Kantar | 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2022 | 1,443 | – | 19 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 3–5 Dec 2022 | 2,008 | – | 20.5 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 14.5 | 5 | − | 8 | 7.5 |
| Forsa | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | 2,500 | 25 | 19 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 10 |
| Ipsos | 2–3 Dec 2022 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 6 | − | 8 | 8 |
| INSA | 28 Nov – 2 Dec 2022 | 1,502 | – | 20 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 8 | 8 |
| Civey | 25 Nov – 2 Dec 2022 | 10,016 | – | 19 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 4 | − | 8 | 7 |
| GMS | 28 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 | 1,005 | – | 18 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 10 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 28–30 Nov 2022 | 1,318 | – | 18 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 12 |
| Kantar | 22–29 Nov 2022 | 1,414 | – | 18 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 25–28 Nov 2022 | 2,006 | – | 21 | 27 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 7.5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Nov 2022 | 2,505 | 24 | 19 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 21–25 Nov 2022 | 1,501 | – | 21 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 22–24 Nov 2022 | 1,273 | 26 | 19 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 6 | − | 6 | 6 |
| Kantar | 15–22 Nov 2022 | 1,430 | – | 19 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 4 | − | 9 | 10 |
| INSA | 18–21 Nov 2022 | 2,004 | – | 20 | 28 | 17 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | − | 7.5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 14–18 Nov 2022 | 1,314 | – | 20 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 8 | 8 |
| Allensbach | 5–17 Nov 2022 | 1,042 | – | 20 | 29.5 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 4 | − | 5.5 | 9.5 |
| Kantar | 9–15 Nov 2022 | 1,443 | – | 20 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 11–14 Nov 2022 | 2,010 | – | 20.5 | 27.5 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 4.5 | − | 8 | 7 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Nov 2022 | 2,503 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 8–11 Nov 2022 | 1,255 | – | 21 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | − | 7 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Nov 2022 | 1,310 | 23 | 19 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 15 | 5 | − | 6 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 8–9 Nov 2022 | 1,225 | – | 18 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 4 | − | 10 | 9 |
| YouGov | 4–9 Nov 2022 | 1,608 | – | 18 | 29 | 20 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | – | 24.5 | 25.5 | 16 | 8.5 | 14 | 3.5 | − | 8 | 1 |
| Kantar | 2–8 Nov 2022 | 1,442 | – | 21 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
| Ipsos | 4–7 Nov 2022 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 6 | − | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 4–7 Nov 2022 | 2,007 | – | 21 | 27 | 17.5 | 8 | 14.5 | 4.5 | − | 7.5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 24 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 1–4 Nov 2022 | 1,286 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Oct – 2 Nov 2022 | 1,307 | – | 19 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
| Kantar | 25 Oct – 2 Nov 2022 | 1,516 | – | 21 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
| INSA | 28–31 Oct 2022 | 2,009 | – | 20.5 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 4.5 | − | 7 | 5.5 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Oct 2022 | 2,503 | 23 | 20 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 4 | − | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 24–28 Oct 2022 | 1,230 | – | 20 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
| Kantar | 19–25 Oct 2022 | 1,406 | – | 21 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 4 |
| GMS | 19–25 Oct 2022 | 1,002 | – | 18 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 21–24 Oct 2022 | 2,007 | – | 20.5 | 26.5 | 17.5 | 8.5 | 15 | 4.5 | − | 7.5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Oct 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–21 Oct 2022 | 1,910 | – | 22 | 25 | 17.5 | 8 | 16 | 3.5 | − | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 17–21 Oct 2022 | 1,503 | – | 20 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18–20 Oct 2022 | 1,389 | 22 | 19 | 28 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 6 | 7 |
| Kantar | 12–18 Oct 2022 | 1,435 | – | 22 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 14–17 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | – | 19.5 | 27.5 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 4.5 | − | 7 | 8 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Oct 2022 | 2,505 | – | 20 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 4 | − | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 10–14 Oct 2022 | 1,327 | – | 19 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 9 |
| Allensbach | 1–13 Oct 2022 | 1,021 | – | 19 | 30.5 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 5.5 | 11.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 11–12 Oct 2022 | 1,225 | – | 19 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 6 |
| YouGov | 7–12 Oct 2022 | 1,617 | – | 16 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| Kantar | 5–11 Oct 2022 | 1,433 | – | 20 | 25 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| Forsa | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 2,501 | 24 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 2,005 | – | 19.5 | 27.5 | 19 | 7.5 | 15 | 5 | − | 6.5 | 8 |
| Ipsos | 7–9 Oct 2022 | 1,000 | – | 18 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 6 | − | 8 | 6 |
| INSA | 4–7 Oct 2022 | 1,315 | – | 19 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 5 | − | 7 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–6 Oct 2022 | 1,923 | – | 21 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 4.5 | − | 8.5 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 1,307 | – | 17 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
| Kantar | 28 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | 1,864 | – | 18 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 6 | − | 7 | 7 |
| INSA | 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022 | 2,008 | – | 19 | 27.5 | 18.5 | 8 | 15 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| Forsa | 27–30 Sep 2022 | 2,001 | 25 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 26–30 Sep 2022 | 1,210 | – | 19 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 6 | − | 6 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 1,355 | 27 | 18 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
| Kantar | 22–27 Sep 2022 | 1,381 | – | 19 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
| INSA | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 2,102 | – | 18 | 27.5 | 19.5 | 8 | 15 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Sep 2022 | 2,505 | 23 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 19–23 Sep 2022 | 1,255 | – | 19 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 5 | − | 7 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | – | 22 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 13.5 | 4 | − | 8.5 | 4 |
| Kantar | 14–20 Sep 2022 | 1,444 | – | 19 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 8 | 7 |
| GMS | 14–20 Sep 2022 | 1,003 | – | 18 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 4 | − | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 16–19 Sep 2022 | 2,080 | – | 18.5 | 28.5 | 19 | 7.5 | 14 | 5.5 | − | 7 | 9.5 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Sep 2022 | 2,506 | 23 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 12–16 Sep 2022 | 1,476 | – | 19 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 6 | − | 8 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–14 Sep 2022 | 1,224 | – | 17 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 5 | − | 8 | 7 |
| Allensbach | 1–14 Sep 2022 | 1,030 | – | 20 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 5.5 | − | 5.5 | 10 |
| YouGov | 9–13 Sep 2022 | 1,635 | – | 16 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| Kantar | 7–13 Sep 2022 | 1,443 | – | 20 | 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 5 | − | 8 | 5 |
| Forsa | 6–13 Sep 2022 | 2,501 | – | 19 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 5 | − | 9 | 8 |
| INSA | 9–12 Sep 2022 | 2,039 | – | 18 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 13.5 | 5.5 | − | 7 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 9–11 Sep 2022 | 1,300 | – | 20 | 25.5 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 5.5 | − | 9 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 5–9 Sep 2022 | 1,443 | – | 19 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 5 | − | 8 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6–8 Sep 2022 | 1,299 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 5 | − | 6 | 5 |
| Kantar | 31 Aug – 6 Sep 2022 | 1,416 | – | 20 | 25 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2,004 | – | 18 | 28 | 20.5 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | − | 7 | 7.5 |
| Forsa | 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 | 2,500 | 25 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
| Ipsos | 2–4 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 6 | − | 8 | 5 |
| INSA | 29 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 | 1,203 | – | 19 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 5 | − | 7 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 29–31 Aug 2022 | 1,324 | – | 17 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 5 | − | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 24–30 Aug 2022 | 1,411 | – | 21 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 8 | 2 |
| INSA | 26–29 Aug 2022 | 2,138 | – | 19 | 27.5 | 20.5 | 8 | 13 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Aug 2022 | 2,503 | 25 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 1 |
| INSA | 22–26 Aug 2022 | 1,204 | – | 20 | 28 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 6 | 7 |
| Civey | 18–25 Aug 2022 | 10,014 | – | 19 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 5 |
| Kantar | 17–23 Aug 2022 | 1,431 | – | 19 | 26 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 5 | − | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 19–22 Aug 2022 | 2,091 | – | 18.5 | 28 | 21 | 7.5 | 13 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Aug 2022 | 2,505 | 25 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 4 | − | 9 | 1 |
| INSA | 15–19 Aug 2022 | 1,427 | – | 19 | 28 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 7 | 7 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | – | 18 | 25 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 3 | − | 8 | 1 |
| Allensbach | 5–18 Aug 2022 | 1,038 | – | 19.5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 5.5 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 16–17 Aug 2022 | 1,273 | – | 18 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 10–16 Aug 2022 | 1,429 | – | 20 | 28 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 4 | − | 7 | 5 |
| INSA | 12–15 Aug 2022 | 2,146 | – | 19 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 6 | 6 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Aug 2022 | 2,500 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 4 | − | 10 | 1 |
| INSA | 8–12 Aug 2022 | 1,502 | – | 19 | 27 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 5 | − | 6 | 5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | – | 16 | 24 | 25.5 | 8 | 14.5 | 3.5 | − | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Aug 2022 | 1,389 | 25 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 6 | Tie |
| YouGov | 5–10 Aug 2022 | 1,595 | – | 19 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Kantar | 3–9 Aug 2022 | 1,422 | – | 21 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
| Ipsos | 5–8 Aug 2022 | 1,000 | – | 19 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 5 | − | 8 | 5 |
| INSA | 5–8 Aug 2022 | 2,099 | – | 18 | 27 | 21.5 | 8 | 12.5 | 5.5 | − | 7.5 | 5.5 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Aug 2022 | 2,504 | 26 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 5 | − | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 1–5 Aug 2022 | 1,701 | – | 19 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 5 | − | 7 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 1–3 Aug 2022 | 1,313 | – | 17 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 4 | − | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 26 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 | 1,426 | – | 21 | 25 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
| INSA | 29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 | 2,144 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 8 | 4.5 |
| Forsa | 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 | 2,504 | – | 18 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 5 | − | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 25–29 Jul 2022 | 1,202 | – | 19 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 5 | − | 7 | 4 |
| Kantar | 19–26 Jul 2022 | 1,413 | – | 21 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 22–25 Jul 2022 | 2,043 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 8 | 4.5 |
| GMS | 20–25 Jul 2022 | 1,005 | – | 18 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Jul 2022 | 2,510 | 22 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 5 | − | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 18–22 Jul 2022 | 1,501 | – | 18 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 5 | − | 7 | 4 |
| Allensbach | 8–21 Jul 2022 | 1,006 | – | 22 | 27.5 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 5 | − | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 19–20 Jul 2022 | 1,210 | – | 19 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 19–20 Jul 2022 | 1,400 | − | 22 | 24 | 24 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | − | 7.5 | Tie |
| Kantar | 13–19 Jul 2022 | 1,392 | – | 19 | 25 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
| INSA | 15–18 Jul 2022 | 2,062 | – | 18.5 | 26.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 4.5 | − | 8.5 | 4.5 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Jul 2022 | 2,501 | – | 20 | 26 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 5 | − | 10 | 2 |
| Civey | 11–18 Jul 2022 | 10,018 | – | 20 | 27 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 11–15 Jul 2022 | 1,277 | – | 19 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 5 | − | 9 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Jul 2022 | 1,167 | 25 | 21 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 5 | − | 6 | 1 |
| Kantar | 6–12 Jul 2022 | 1,433 | – | 20 | 25 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 8–11 Jul 2022 | 2,044 | – | 20 | 27 | 21 | 8.5 | 11 | 4.5 | − | 8 | 6 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Jul 2022 | 2,503 | 22 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 5 | − | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 4–8 Jul 2022 | 1,202 | – | 19 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 6 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 5–6 Jul 2022 | 1,700 | − | 22 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 4–6 Jul 2022 | 1,327 | – | 19 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 4 |
| YouGov | 1–5 Jul 2022 | 1,655 | – | 19 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Kantar | 28 Jun – 5 Jul 2022 | 1,426 | – | 20 | 25 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 5 | − | 9 | 1 |
| INSA | 1–4 Jul 2022 | 2,066 | – | 19 | 28 | 21 | 9.5 | 11 | 4 | − | 7.5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 | 2,502 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 2 |
| Ipsos | 1–2 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | – | 22 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 27 Jun – 2 Jul 2022 | 1,253 | – | 20 | 27 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | 5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Jun 2022 | 1,186 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 5 | − | 6 | 2 |
| Kantar | 21–28 Jun 2022 | 1,410 | – | 20 | 26 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 7 | 1 |
| INSA | 24–27 Jun 2022 | 2,101 | – | 20 | 27 | 21.5 | 9 | 10.5 | 4 | − | 8 | 5.5 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Jun 2022 | 2,500 | 22 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Jun 2022 | 2,430 | − | 22 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 20–24 Jun 2022 | 1,414 | – | 20 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 21–22 Jun 2022 | 1,248 | – | 20 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 4 | − | 7 | 3 |
| Kantar | 14–21 Jun 2022 | 1,769 | – | 20 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 2 |
| INSA | 17–20 Jun 2022 | 2,063 | – | 19.5 | 28 | 21 | 9.5 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 7 |
| GMS | 15–20 Jun 2022 | 1,003 | – | 21 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Jun 2022 | 2,504 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
| INSA | 13–17 Jun 2022 | 1,501 | – | 20 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 6 |
| Allensbach | 3–17 Jun 2022 | 1,046 | – | 23 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4.5 | − | 5.5 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 Jun 2022 | 1,133 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 5 | − | 6 | 1 |
| Kantar | 8–14 Jun 2022 | 1,895 | – | 20 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 10–13 Jun 2022 | 2,082 | – | 20 | 27.5 | 21 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | − | 8 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Jun 2022 | 2,511 | 20 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jun 2022 | 1,203 | – | 21 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 6 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Jun 2022 | 1,603 | − | 22 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 6 | − | 8 | 2 |
| Ipsos | 3–7 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 4 |
| YouGov | 3–7 Jun 2022 | 1,633 | – | 18 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 9 |
| INSA | 3–7 Jun 2022 | 2,055 | – | 20 | 27 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | − | 8 | 5.5 |
| Kantar | 1–7 Jun 2022 | 1,428 | – | 22 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 4 | − | 8 | 3 |
| Forsa | 31 May – 3 Jun 2022 | 2,002 | 20 | 19 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 30 May – 3 Jun 2022 | 1,501 | – | 22 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,226 | – | 21 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 6 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | − | 18 | 27 | 25.5 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| Kantar | 24–31 May 2022 | 1,428 | – | 20 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
| INSA | 27–30 May 2022 | 2,056 | – | 22 | 27 | 20.5 | 8.5 | 10 | 3.5 | − | 8.5 | 5 |
| GMS | 25–30 May 2022 | 1,005 | – | 22 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 4 | − | 9 | 8 |
| Forsa | 24–30 May 2022 | 2,004 | 21 | 19 | 29 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 4 | − | 8 | 5 |
| INSA | 23–27 May 2022 | 1,337 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 4 |
| Kantar | 17–24 May 2022 | 1,422 | – | 21 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 5 | − | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 20–23 May 2022 | 2,100 | – | 22 | 28.5 | 20 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 3 | − | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 17–23 May 2022 | 2,505 | 22 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 4 | − | 8 | 5 |
| Civey | 16–23 May 2022 | 10,050 | – | 22 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 5 | − | 7 | 5 |
| INSA | 16–20 May 2022 | 1,214 | – | 21 | 28 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 3 | − | 9 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 May 2022 | 1,162 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 4 | − | 7 | 2 |
| Allensbach | 6–18 May 2022 | 1,118 | – | 24 | 29 | 20.5 | 8 | 9 | 4.5 | − | 5 | 5 |
| Kantar | 11–17 May 2022 | 1,425 | – | 22 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 May 2022 | 1,302 | − | 23.5 | 29 | 23 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | − | 9 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 13–16 May 2022 | 2,147 | – | 21.5 | 28 | 20.5 | 9 | 11 | 3 | − | 7 | 6.5 |
| Forsa | 10–16 May 2022 | 2,502 | 23 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
| INSA | 9–13 May 2022 | 1,501 | – | 22 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 4 | − | 9 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 10–11 May 2022 | 1,226 | – | 22 | 26 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 9 | 4 |
| YouGov | 6–10 May 2022 | 1,659 | – | 20 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Kantar | 4–10 May 2022 | 1,426 | – | 22 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 8–9 May 2022 | 1,610 | − | 24 | 23.5 | 22.5 | 10.5 | 9 | 3 | − | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 6–9 May 2022 | 2,086 | – | 22.5 | 27.5 | 19 | 10 | 10.5 | 3.5 | − | 7 | 5 |
| Forsa | 3–9 May 2022 | 2,501 | – | 23 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 8 | 3 |
| Ipsos | 6 May 2022 | 906 | – | 24 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 5 | − | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 2–6 May 2022 | 1,501 | – | 23 | 27 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 3 | − | 8 | 4 |
| pollytix | 29 Apr – 4 May 2022 | 1,303 | – | 22 | 26 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 5 | − | 6 | 4 |
| Kantar | 26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | 1,570 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,146 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | − | 6.5 | 4 |
| Forsa | 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,508 | – | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 25–29 Apr 2022 | 1,202 | – | 23 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Apr 2022 | 1,170 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap | 25–27 Apr 2022 | 1,314 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 3 | − | 9 | 2 |
| Kantar | 19–26 Apr 2022 | 1,431 | – | 23 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
| INSA | 22–25 Apr 2022 | 2,056 | – | 24 | 26.5 | 18 | 9 | 11.5 | 4.5 | − | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| GMS | 20–25 Apr 2022 | 1,003 | – | 26 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | Tie |
| Forsa | 19–25 Apr 2022 | 2,507 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 1 |
| Civey | 8–25 Apr 2022 | 10,011 | – | 24 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | − | 24.5 | 22.5 | 22 | 11 | 8.5 | 3 | − | 8.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 19–22 Apr 2022 | 1,296 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 5 | − | 7 | 2 |
| Kantar | 12–19 Apr 2022 | 1,715 | – | 25 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | Tie |
| INSA | 15–18 Apr 2022 | 2,073 | – | 23.5 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 4.5 | − | 7 | 2.5 |
| Forsa | 12–14 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | Tie |
| INSA | 11–14 Apr 2022 | 1,402 | – | 25 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 5 | − | 7 | 1 |
| Infratest dimap | 11–12 Apr 2022 | 1,226 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 9 | 2 |
| YouGov | 8–12 Apr 2022 | 1,643 | – | 21 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 5 |
| Kantar | 6–12 Apr 2022 | 1,960 | – | 26 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 8–11 Apr 2022 | 2,061 | – | 25 | 27 | 17.5 | 9 | 11 | 4.5 | − | 6 | 2 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Apr 2022 | 2,500 | 25 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 4–8 Apr 2022 | 1,503 | – | 25 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Apr 2022 | 1,230 | 21 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 4–6 Apr 2022 | 1,325 | – | 24 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
| Allensbach | 25 Mar – 6 Apr 2022 | 1,075 | – | 28 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 6 | − | 7 | 4 |
| Kantar | 30 Mar – 5 Apr 2022 | 1,437 | – | 27 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 4 | − | 7 | 2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 2,450 | − | 27 | 25.5 | 19 | 8.5 | 9 | 3 | − | 8 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Apr 2022 | 2,063 | – | 25 | 26 | 17.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | − | 6 | 1 |
| Ipsos | 1 Apr 2022 | 912 | – | 25 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 6 | − | 7 | 2 |
| Forsa | 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 | 2,508 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 4 | − | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 25 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 4 | − | 7 | Tie |
| Kantar | 23–29 Mar 2022 | 1,428 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 25–28 Mar 2022 | 2,070 | – | 25 | 26 | 16.5 | 10 | 10.5 | 5.5 | − | 6.5 | 1 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Mar 2022 | 2,507 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
| INSA | 21–25 Mar 2022 | 1,205 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 5 | − | 6 | Tie |
| Kantar | 16–22 Mar 2022 | 1,429 | – | 26 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 6 | − | 7 | 1 |
| INSA | 18–21 Mar 2022 | 2,122 | – | 24.5 | 26.5 | 16.5 | 11 | 11 | 4.5 | − | 6 | 2 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 5 | − | 8 | 4 |
| Allensbach | 9–21 Mar 2022 | 1,041 | – | 25 | 25 | 17 | 10.5 | 10 | 5 | − | 7.5 | Tie |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2022 | 1,923 | − | 26.5 | 25.5 | 18.5 | 10 | 8.5 | 3 | − | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 14–18 Mar 2022 | 1,198 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 5 | − | 7 | Tie |
| Infratest dimap | 15–16 Mar 2022 | 1,254 | – | 25 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 4 | − | 8 | 1 |
| Kantar | 9–15 Mar 2022 | 1,416 | – | 26 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 5 | − | 7 | Tie |
| INSA | 11–14 Mar 2022 | 2,073 | – | 25 | 25.5 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 5 | − | 8 | 0.5 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Mar 2022 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | − | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 7–11 Mar 2022 | 1,201 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 6 | − | 8 | 2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Mar 2022 | 1,345 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 5 | − | 7 | 3 |
| YouGov | 4–8 Mar 2022 | 1,629 | – | 23 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Kantar | 2–8 Mar 2022 | 1,426 | – | 25 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 5 | − | 7 | 1 |
| INSA | 4–7 Mar 2022 | 2,103 | – | 25 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 6 | − | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| Ipsos | 4 Mar 2022 | 935 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | − | 7 | 1 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 6 | − | 9 | 1 |
| INSA | 28 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 | 1,185 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 6 | − | 7 | Tie |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2022 | 1,320 | – | 25 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 5 | − | 8 | 1 |
| Kantar | 23 Feb – 1 Mar 2022 | 1,405 | – | 26 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 6 | − | 7 | Tie |
| INSA | 25–28 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | – | 23 | 27 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 6.5 | − | 6.5 | 4 |
| Forsa | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,500 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 6 | − | 9 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24–27 Feb 2022 | 2,030 | − | 26 | 23.5 | 17.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 4 | − | 7 | 2.5 |
| GMS | 23–26 Feb 2022 | 1,005 | – | 24 | 27 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 6 | − | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 21–25 Feb 2022 | 1,405 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 7 | − | 6 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Feb 2022 | 1,103 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 6 | − | 7 | 2 |
| Kantar | 16–22 Feb 2022 | 1,432 | – | 26 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 7 | − | 6 | 1 |
| INSA | 18–21 Feb 2022 | 1,539 | – | 23 | 27 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 11 | 6 | − | 6 | 4 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Feb 2022 | 2,500 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 6 | − | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 14–18 Feb 2022 | 1,303 | – | 22 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 7 | − | 6 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 15–16 Feb 2022 | 1,202 | – | 24 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 5 | − | 9 | 2 |
| Allensbach | 3–16 Feb 2022 | 1,033 | – | 23 | 27 | 15 | 10.5 | 10 | 6 | − | 6.5 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–15 Feb 2022 | 1,200 | − | 25 | 24.5 | 17 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 6 | − | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| YouGov | 10–15 Feb 2022 | 1,659 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Kantar | 8–15 Feb 2022 | 1,434 | – | 24 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 6 | − | 8 | Tie |
| INSA | 11–14 Feb 2022 | 2,141 | – | 22.5 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 6 | − | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Feb 2022 | 2,504 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 6 | − | 10 | 4 |
| INSA | 7–11 Feb 2022 | 1,504 | – | 22 | 26 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 6 | − | 7 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Feb 2022 | 1,224 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 6 | − | 8 | Tie |
| pollytix | 4–8 Feb 2022 | 1,547 | – | 23 | 27 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 8 | − | 6 | 4 |
| Kantar | 1–8 Feb 2022 | 1,287 | – | 22 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 6 | − | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 4–7 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 7 | − | 6 | 3 |
| Ipsos | 4 Feb 2022 | 910 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 8 | − | 7 | 1 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Feb 2022 | 2,502 | 23 | 22 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 6 | − | 10 | 5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Feb 2022 | 1,202 | – | 22 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | − | 7 | 5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–3 Feb 2022 | 2,330 | − | 21 | 28 | 19 | 8.5 | 10 | 5.5 | − | 8 | 7 |
| Civey | 22 Jan – 3 Feb 2022 | 10,070 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | Tie |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 | 1,339 | – | 22 | 27 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 26 Jan – 1 Feb 2022 | 1,410 | – | 24 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 6 | − | 9 | Tie |
| INSA | 28–31 Jan 2022 | 2,247 | – | 24 | 25 | 15 | 12.5 | 10 | 6.5 | – | 7 | 1 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Jan 2022 | 2,501 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 6 | – | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 24–28 Jan 2022 | 1,383 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | – | 6 | 2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 Jan 2022 | 1,249 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 7 | – | 8 | 1 |
| YouGov | 21–25 Jan 2022 | 1,602 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Kantar | 19–25 Jan 2022 | 1,415 | – | 24 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 6 | – | 8 | Tie |
| INSA | 21–24 Jan 2022 | 2,146 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 11.5 | 11 | 6 | – | 6.5 | 2 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jan 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 6 | – | 9 | 1 |
| INSA | 17–21 Jan 2022 | 1,204 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 6 | – | 5 | 3 |
| Allensbach | 6–20 Jan 2022 | 1,090 | – | 27.5 | 23 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 10 | 5.5 | – | 7 | 4.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 18–19 Jan 2022 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–18 Jan 2022 | 1,920 | − | 27.5 | 22.5 | 17 | 10.5 | 10 | 4.5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 12–18 Jan 2022 | 1,441 | – | 26 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 6 | – | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 14–17 Jan 2022 | 2,130 | – | 26 | 22.5 | 15.5 | 12 | 12 | 6 | – | 6 | 3.5 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jan 2022 | 2,504 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 5 | – | 9 | Tie |
| INSA | 10–14 Jan 2022 | 1,504 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 5 | – | 6 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jan 2022 | 1,128 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 6 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 5–11 Jan 2022 | 1,426 | – | 26 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 6 | – | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jan 2022 | 2,107 | – | 26.5 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | – | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| Forsa | 3–10 Jan 2022 | 3,003 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 5 | – | 9 | Tie |
| Ipsos | 6–9 Jan 2022 | 929 | – | 25 | 21 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 6 | – | 10 | 4 |
| INSA | 3–7 Jan 2022 | 1,504 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 5 | – | 6 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–5 Jan 2022 | 1,325 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 2,060 | – | 26.5 | 23 | 15.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 6 | – | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| GMS | 29 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 1,003 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 4 | – | 7 | 2 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 1.5 |

### 2021

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
| INSA | 27–30 Dec 2021 | 1,201 | – | 27 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 3 |
| INSA | 20–23 Dec 2021 | 1,195 | – | 28 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Dec 2021 | 2,075 | – | 27.5 | 21.5 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | – | 6.5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Dec 2021 | 2,501 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 5 | – | 10 | 2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | − | 30 | 21.5 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 10 | 4 | – | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| INSA | 13–18 Dec 2021 | 1,501 | – | 27 | 23 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 5 | – | 7 | 4 |
| Kantar | 14–16 Dec 2021 | 1,436 | – | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Allensbach | 1–15 Dec 2021 | 1,069 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 13 | 10.5 | 5 | – | 6.5 | 2 |
| YouGov | 10–14 Dec 2021 | 1,715 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Kantar | 8–14 Dec 2021 | 1,440 | – | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 5 | – | 9 | 5 |
| INSA | 10–13 Dec 2021 | 2,221 | – | 27 | 22 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | – | 6.5 | 5 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Dec 2021 | 2,509 | – | 26 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 3 |
| INSA | 6–10 Dec 2021 | 1,480 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Dec 2021 | 1,303 | 21 | 28 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 7–8 Dec 2021 | 1,266 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 3 |
| Civey | 1–8 Dec 2021 | 10,043 | – | 27 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 1–7 Dec 2021 | 1,439 | – | 28 | 21 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| INSA | 3–6 Dec 2021 | 2,119 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5.5 | – | 6.5 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–6 Dec 2021 | 1,002 | − | 29 | 18 | 16.5 | 13.5 | 11 | 4 | – | 8 | 11 |
| Forsa | 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2021 | 2,503 | – | 25 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 3 |
| INSA | 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2021 | 1,348 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 | 1,316 | – | 25 | 23 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 2 |
| Civey | 24 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 | 10,078 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 2 |
| Kantar | 24–30 Nov 2021 | 1,425 | – | 27 | 20 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 26–29 Nov 2021 | 2,129 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5.5 | – | 7.5 | 4 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | – | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 22–26 Nov 2021 | 1,403 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 6 | – | 7 | 5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Nov 2021 | 1,344 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 23–24 Nov 2021 | 1,239 | – | 25 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Nov 2021 | 1,002 | – | 27 | 22.5 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 10 | 5 | – | 8.5 | 4.5 |
| Civey | 17–24 Nov 2021 | 10,064 | – | 25 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | – | 9 | 1 |
| YouGov | 19–23 Nov 2021 | 1,797 | – | 25 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Kantar | 17–23 Nov 2021 | 1,424 | – | 24 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 2 |
| INSA | 19–22 Nov 2021 | 2,096 | – | 26 | 22 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 5.5 | – | 7.5 | 4 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 15–19 Nov 2021 | 1,501 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Civey | 10–17 Nov 2021 | 10,077 | – | 26 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 3 |
| Kantar | 10–16 Nov 2021 | 1,433 | – | 24 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 12–15 Nov 2021 | 2,091 | – | 27 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | – | 7 | 6 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 8–12 Nov 2021 | 1,202 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Nov 2021 | 1,257 | 16 | 28 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 |
| Allensbach | 29 Oct – 11 Nov 2021 | 1,016 | – | 27 | 23 | 15 | 14 | 9.5 | 5.5 | – | 6 | 4 |
| Civey | 3–10 Nov 2021 | 9,999 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 3–9 Nov 2021 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 6 | – | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 5–8 Nov 2021 | 2,112 | – | 26.5 | 20.5 | 16 | 13.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | – | 7.7 | 6 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 22 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | – | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 1–5 Nov 2021 | 1,212 | – | 27 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Oct – 5 Nov 2021 | 1,200 | – | 28 | 20.5 | 15.5 | 14 | 10.5 | 4 | – | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| GMS | 1–4 Nov 2021 | 1,005 | – | 26 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 4 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–3 Nov 2021 | 1,329 | – | 27 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Civey | 27 Oct – 3 Nov 2021 | 10,069 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 27 Oct – 2 Nov 2021 | 1,417 | – | 25 | 22 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA | 29 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,140 | – | 27 | 20 | 16 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Forsa | 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 5 | – | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 25–29 Oct 2021 | 1,503 | – | 27 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Oct 2021 | 1,208 | 15 | 27 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 26–27 Oct 2021 | 1,239 | – | 26 | 22 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 4 | – | 9 | 4 |
| Civey | 20–27 Oct 2021 | 10,050 | – | 25 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 5 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 19–26 Oct 2021 | 1,422 | – | 25 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 22–25 Oct 2021 | 2,105 | – | 28 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5 | – | 6 | 8 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Oct 2021 | 2,510 | – | 25 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 5 | – | 8 | 5 |
| INSA | 18–22 Oct 2021 | 1,205 | – | 27 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 4 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Civey | 13–20 Oct 2021 | 10,028 | – | 25 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 13–19 Oct 2021 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 15–18 Oct 2021 | 2,140 | – | 28 | 18.5 | 16 | 15 | 11.5 | 5 | – | 6 | 9.5 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Oct 2021 | 2,502 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 5 | – | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 11–15 Oct 2021 | 1,195 | – | 28 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 4 | – | 9 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Oct 2021 | 1,329 | 14 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | – | 7 | 9 |
| Allensbach | 1–14 Oct 2021 | 1,045 | – | 28 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 9.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 7 |
| Civey | 6–13 Oct 2021 | 9,999 | – | 26 | 20 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 6 |
| Kantar | 6–12 Oct 2021 | 1,410 | – | 26 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,101 | – | 28.5 | 19.5 | 16 | 14.5 | 11 | 4 | – | 6.5 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–10 Oct 2021 | 1,210 | – | 27 | 19 | 17.5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | – | 8.5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | – | 10 | 6 |
| INSA | 4–8 Oct 2021 | 1,509 | – | 28 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
| Civey | 29 Sep – 6 Oct 2021 | 10,009 | – | 28 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 6 | – | 7 | 9 |
| Kantar | 28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021 | 1,985 | – | 26 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| INSA | 1–4 Oct 2021 | 2,000 | – | 28 | 21 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 10 | 4.5 | – | 7.5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 | 3,004 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | – | 10 | 6 |
| INSA | 27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021 | 1,254 | – | 28 | 21 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 5 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,249 | 15 | 28 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | – | 8 | 8 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 1.5 |

### CDU and CSU

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | CSU | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 16.4 | 22.6 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 20.8 | 6.0 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 4.98 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| INSA | 20–21 Feb 2025 | 2,005 | 15 | 23 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 21 | 6.5 | 7.5 | – | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| INSA | 14–17 Feb 2025 | 2,010 | 15 | 24 | 13 | 4.5 | 22 | 6 | 6.5 | – | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| INSA | 7–10 Feb 2025 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 23.5 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 6.5 | 6 | – | 5.5 | 4 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 31 Jan – 03 Feb 2025 | 2,004 | 16 | 24.5 | 13 | 4.5 | 22 | 5.5 | 5 | – | 5.5 | 4 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 22 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | 6 | 5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 2,008 | 16 | 23.5 | 13 | 5 | 21.5 | 5.5 | 4 | – | 7 | 4.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 10–13 Jan 2025 | 2,005 | 15 | 24.5 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 6.5 | 3.5 | – | 6.5 | 5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 3–6 Jan 2025 | 2,001 | 15.5 | 24.5 | 13.5 | 4 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 6.5 | 5 | 3 |
| INSA | 27–30 Dec 2024 | 2,004 | 16.5 | 24.5 | 12 | 3.5 | 20.5 | 6.5 | 4 | – | 7 | 5.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 20–23 Dec 2024 | 2,010 | 16 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 7.5 | 3 | – | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| INSA | 13–16 Dec 2024 | 2,002 | 16.5 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 8 | 5.5 | 5 |
| INSA | 6–9 Dec 2024 | 2,004 | 17 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 6 | 3 | – | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| INSA | 29 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 | 2,003 | 16 | 25.5 | 13 | 4.5 | 18.5 | 6 | 3.5 | – | 7.5 | 5.5 | 7 |
| INSA | 22–25 Nov 2024 | 2,003 | 15 | 25.5 | 11 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 7 | 3.5 | – | 7.5 | 6.5 | 6 |
| INSA | 15–18 Nov 2024 | 2,008 | 16 | 24.5 | 11 | 4.5 | 19 | 7.5 | 3.5 | – | 7.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 8–11 Nov 2024 | 3,009 | 15.5 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 7 | 3.5 | – | 7 | 5.5 | 6 |
| INSA | 1–4 Nov 2024 | 2,005 | 15.5 | 24 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 18 | 8 | 3.5 | – | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| INSA | 25–28 Oct 2024 | 2,008 | 15 | 24.5 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 6.5 | 2.5 | – | 9 | 8.5 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 18–21 Oct 2024 | 2,006 | 16,5 | 23.5 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 9 | 8.5 | 4.5 |
| INSA | 11–14 Oct 2024 | 2,002 | 16 | 24.5 | 10 | 4 | 18.5 | 7 | 3.5 | – | 9 | 7.5 | 6 |
| INSA | 4–7 Oct 2024 | 2,010 | 16 | 24 | 10.5 | 4 | 20 | 7.5 | 2.5 | – | 8 | 7.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 27–30 Sep 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 24.5 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 9.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 2,002 | 15.5 | 25.5 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 20 | 6.5 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 7 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,008 | 14 | 26 | 10 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 6–9 Sep 2024 | 2,010 | 14 | 25.5 | 10 | 4 | 19.5 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 7.5 | 6 |
| INSA | 30 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 | 2,002 | 15 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 19 | 7 | 2.5 | – | 9.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 23–26 Aug 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 7 | 3 | – | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| INSA | 16–19 Aug 2024 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 24 | 10.5 | 5 | 19 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 7 | 5 |
| INSA | 9–12 Aug 2024 | 2,008 | 15 | 23.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 2–5 Aug 2024 | 2,002 | 15 | 24 | 10.5 | 5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 9.5 | 7 |
| INSA | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 2,006 | 15 | 24.5 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 5.5 | 3.5 | – | 9.5 | 9 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 19–22 Jul 2024 | 2,010 | 15 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3.5 | – | 9 | 9 | 7.5 |
| INSA | 12–15 Jul 2024 | 2,500 | 15 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 18 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 8.5 | 8 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 5–8 Jul 2024 | 2,007 | 15 | 24 | 11 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | 2,006 | 15 | 24 | 12 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 2,008 | 14.5 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 17.5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 7 |
| INSA | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 2,010 | 15 | 24.5 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7.5 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jun 2024 | 2,008 | 15.5 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 7 |
| INSA | 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 | 2,002 | 16 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8 |
| INSA | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 5.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| INSA | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,010 | 16 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,087 | 15.5 | 24.5 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 6 | 7.5 |
| INSA | 3–6 May 2024 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 23.5 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Forsa | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 2,000 | 16 | 24.5 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 6.5 | 3 | – | 4 | 13 | 8.5 |
| INSA | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 2,004 | 16.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 2,008 | 15 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 7 | 4 | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,006 | 16 | 23.5 | 13 | 6 | 18.5 | 6 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,084 | 15 | 23.5 | 13 | 5 | 18.5 | 7 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5 |
| INSA | 28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 2,008 | 15.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 4 |
| INSA | 15–18 Mar 2024 | 2,002 | 16 | 23.5 | 12 | 5 | 19.5 | 6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,079 | 14.5 | 25.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 7 |
| INSA | 1–4 Mar 2024 | 2,007 | 14.5 | 24.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 19.5 | 6 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 24 | 13 | 4.5 | 19 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | 7.5 | 4 | 5 |
| INSA | 16–19 Feb 2024 | 2,007 | 14.5 | 24 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| INSA | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,083 | 15 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 20.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3 |
| INSA | 2–5 Feb 2024 | 2,004 | 15 | 24 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 20.5 | 6 | 3.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| INSA | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 2,002 | 14.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 21 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 4 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 19–22 Jan 2024 | 2,006 | 13.5 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 21.5 | 7 | 3 | 2.5 | – | 11.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 2,004 | 14 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 5–8 Jan 2024 | 2,008 | 16 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | 5 | 2 |
| INSA | 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 | 2,002 | 15 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 22.5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 22–27 Dec 2023 | 2,000 | 15 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | 2 |
| INSA | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 2,002 | 15,5 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 2.5 | – | 6 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,008 | 16 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 6 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | 1 |
| INSA | 1–4 Dec 2023 | 2,006 | 15.5 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3 | – | 7 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 24–27 Nov 2023 | 2,007 | 15.5 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 3 | – | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Nov 2023 | 2,008 | 16.5 | 25.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 21 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 3 | – | 6.5 | 4.5 |
| INSA | 10–13 Nov 2023 | 2,008 | 16.5 | 24.5 | 13.5 | 5 | 21.5 | 6 | 4.5 | 3 | – | 5.5 | 3 |
| INSA | 3–6 Nov 2023 | 2,006 | 16.5 | 23 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 22 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 3 | – | 5.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 27–30 Oct 2023 | 2,010 | 16.5 | 23.5 | 13 | 5.5 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 3.5 | – | 6 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 20–23 Oct 2023 | 2,004 | 16.5 | 22 | 13 | 5.5 | 22 | 6.5 | 5 | 3.5 | – | 6 | Tie |
| INSA | 13–16 Oct 2023 | 2,006 | 16.5 | 21.5 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 4 | – | 5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 6–9 Oct 2023 | 2,001 | 17 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 6 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 3 | – | 6 | 2 |
| INSA | 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 | 2,010 | 18 | 21 | 13.5 | 7 | 22 | 5.5 | 5 | 2.5 | – | 5.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 22–25 Sep 2023 | 2,003 | 17.5 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 3 | – | 6 | 1 |
| INSA | 15–18 Sep 2023 | 2,008 | 17 | 21 | 14.5 | 6 | 21 | 5.5 | 5 | 3.5 | – | 6.5 | Tie |
| INSA | 8–11 Sep 2023 | 2,002 | 18 | 19.5 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Sep 2023 | 2,010 | 17.5 | 20 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 9 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 25–28 Aug 2023 | 2,006 | 18 | 20.5 | 14.5 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 18–21 Aug 2023 | 2,008 | 18.5 | 19.5 | 14 | 8 | 20.5 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 11–14 Aug 2023 | 2,002 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 13.5 | 7 | 21 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 4–7 Aug 2023 | 2,004 | 19 | 22 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 20.5 | 5 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 18.5 | 20 | 14 | 6.5 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 21–24 Jul 2023 | 2,006 | 18.5 | 20.5 | 14 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 14–17 Jul 2023 | 2,004 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 20.5 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jul 2023 | 2,008 | 19 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 20.5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,897 | 19 | 20.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 21 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 23–26 Jun 2023 | 2,004 | 19.5 | 20 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 20.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 9 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 16–19 Jun 2023 | 2,006 | 20 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 20 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 9–12 Jun 2023 | 2,003 | 20 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 2–5 Jun 2023 | 2,009 | 19 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 26–30 May 2023 | 2,004 | 20.5 | 23 | 13 | 8.5 | 18 | 5 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 19–22 May 2023 | 2,004 | 20.5 | 21 | 14 | 8.5 | 17 | 6.5 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 12–15 May 2023 | 2,010 | 20 | 22 | 14.5 | 8.5 | 16.5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 5–8 May 2023 | 2,008 | 20 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 16.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 2 |
| INSA | 28 Apr – 2 May 2023 | 2,006 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 16.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | Tie |
| INSA | 21–24 Apr 2023 | 2,004 | 20 | 21 | 14.5 | 9 | 16 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 14–17 Apr 2023 | 2,008 | 21 | 20.5 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 6–11 Apr 2023 | 2,005 | 20 | 22 | 15.5 | 8 | 16 | 5.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | 20 | 22 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 16 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 24–27 Mar 2023 | 2,004 | 20.5 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 15.5 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Mar 2023 | 2,006 | 21.5 | 22 | 15 | 7.5 | 16 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 10–13 Mar 2023 | 2,002 | 21.5 | 22 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 16 | 6.5 | 4 | – | – | 7 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 3–6 Mar 2023 | 2,007 | 20 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7 | 3.5 |
| INSA | 24–27 Feb 2023 | 2,010 | 20.5 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 3 |
| INSA | 17–20 Feb 2023 | 2,006 | 21.5 | 24 | 15.5 | 7 | 15.5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 10–13 Feb 2023 | 2,005 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 7.5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 3–6 Feb 2023 | 2,008 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 15.5 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,007 | 20.5 | 21 | 16 | 7.5 | 15 | 7.5 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 20–23 Jan 2023 | 2,009 | 20.5 | 22 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 13–16 Jan 2023 | 2,006 | 21 | 21 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7 | Tie |
| INSA | 6–9 Jan 2023 | 2,006 | 20 | 21 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023 | 2,010 | 20 | 21 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 16–19 Dec 2022 | 2,005 | 21 | 22 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 9–12 Dec 2022 | 2,007 | 20 | 21.5 | 18 | 7 | 15.5 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 3–5 Dec 2022 | 2,008 | 20.5 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 14.5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 25–28 Nov 2022 | 2,006 | 21 | 21 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | Tie |
| INSA | 18–21 Nov 2022 | 2,004 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 7.5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 7.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 11–14 Nov 2022 | 2,010 | 20.5 | 21 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 4–7 Nov 2022 | 2,007 | 21 | 21 | 17.5 | 8 | 14.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | Tie |
| INSA | 28–31 Oct 2022 | 2,009 | 20.5 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 21–24 Oct 2022 | 2,007 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 17.5 | 8.5 | 15 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | Tie |
| INSA | 14–17 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 19.5 | 20.5 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 1 |
| INSA | 7–10 Oct 2022 | 2,005 | 19.5 | 20.5 | 19 | 7.5 | 15 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 6.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022 | 2,008 | 19 | 21.5 | 18.5 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 2,102 | 18 | 21.5 | 19.5 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 16–19 Sep 2022 | 2,080 | 18.5 | 22 | 19 | 7.5 | 14 | 6.5 | 5.5 | – | – | 7 | 3 |
| INSA | 9–12 Sep 2022 | 2,039 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 13.5 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 7 | 2 |
| INSA | 2–5 Sep 2022 | 2,004 | 18 | 22 | 20.5 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 7 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 26–29 Aug 2022 | 2,138 | 19 | 22.5 | 20.5 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 19–22 Aug 2022 | 2,091 | 18.5 | 22 | 21 | 7.5 | 13 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 12–15 Aug 2022 | 2,146 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 6 | Tie |
| INSA | 5–8 Aug 2022 | 2,099 | 18 | 21 | 21.5 | 8 | 12.5 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 | 2,144 | 18.5 | 20.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 22–25 Jul 2022 | 2,043 | 18.5 | 21.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 15–18 Jul 2022 | 2,062 | 18.5 | 21.5 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 8–11 Jul 2022 | 2,044 | 20 | 21.5 | 21 | 8.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Jul 2022 | 2,066 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 9.5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 7.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 24–27 Jun 2022 | 2,101 | 20 | 22 | 21.5 | 9 | 10.5 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Jun 2022 | 2,063 | 19.5 | 21 | 21 | 9.5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – | – | 8 | Tie |
| INSA | 10–13 Jun 2022 | 2,082 | 20 | 21.5 | 21 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 6 | 3.5 | – | – | 8 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 3–7 Jun 2022 | 2,055 | 20 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 8 | Tie |
| INSA | 27–30 May 2022 | 2,056 | 22 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 8.5 | 10 | 6.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 20–23 May 2022 | 2,100 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 3 | – | – | 7.5 | Tie |
| INSA | 13–16 May 2022 | 2,147 | 21.5 | 23 | 20.5 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 3 | – | – | 7 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 6–9 May 2022 | 2,086 | 22.5 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 7 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,146 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 22–25 Apr 2022 | 2,056 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 15–18 Apr 2022 | 2,073 | 23.5 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7 | 3.5 |
| INSA | 8–11 Apr 2022 | 2,061 | 25 | 20 | 17.5 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 4.5 | – | – | 6 | 5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Apr 2022 | 2,063 | 25 | 21 | 17.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 4.5 | – | – | 6 | 4 |
| INSA | 25–28 Mar 2022 | 2,070 | 25 | 21 | 16.5 | 10 | 10.5 | 5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 18–21 Mar 2022 | 2,122 | 24.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 6 | 4 |
| INSA | 11–14 Mar 2022 | 2,073 | 25 | 19.5 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 6 | 5 | – | – | 8 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 4–7 Mar 2022 | 2,103 | 25 | 19 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 6 | – | – | 7.5 | 6 |
| INSA | 18–21 Feb 2022 | 1,539 | 23 | 22 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | – | – | 6 | 1 |
| INSA | 11–14 Feb 2022 | 2,141 | 22.5 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 6 | – | – | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 4–7 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | 23 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 7 | – | – | 6 | 3 |
| INSA | 28–31 Jan 2022 | 2,147 | 24 | 20 | 15 | 12.5 | 10 | 5 | 6.5 | – | – | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 21–24 Jan 2022 | 2,146 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 11.5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | – | – | 6.5 | 7 |
| INSA | 14–17 Jan 2022 | 2,130 | 26 | 17 | 15.5 | 12 | 12 | 5.5 | 6 | – | – | 6.5 | 9 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jan 2022 | 2,107 | 26.5 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| INSA | 31 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 2,060 | 26.5 | 17 | 15.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 6 | 6 | – | – | 6.5 | 9.5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Dec 2021 | 2,075 | 27.5 | 17 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 10.5 |
| INSA | 10–13 Dec 2021 | 2,221 | 27 | 17 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 10 |
| INSA | 3–6 Dec 2021 | 2,119 | 26 | 17 | 15 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 5.5 | – | – | 6.5 | 9 |
| INSA | 26–29 Nov 2021 | 2,129 | 25 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 8 |
| INSA | 19–22 Nov 2021 | 2,096 | 26 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 8 |
| INSA | 12–15 Nov 2021 | 2,091 | 27 | 16.5 | 15 | 13 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | – | – | 7 | 10.5 |
| INSA | 5–8 Nov 2021 | 2,112 | 26.5 | 16.5 | 16 | 13.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 5.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 10 |
| INSA | 22–25 Oct 2021 | 2,105 | 28 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 6 | 12 |
| INSA | 15–18 Oct 2021 | 2,140 | 28 | 13.5 | 16 | 15 | 11.5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | 6 | 12 |
| INSA | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,101 | 28.5 | 14 | 16 | 14.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 4 | – | – | 6.5 | 12.5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Oct 2021 | 2,000 | 28 | 15 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 10 | 6 | 4.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 12.5 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 25.7 | 19.0 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 2.4 | – | 6.3 | 6.8 |

### Scenario polls
#### New party scenarios
##### Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Don't Know | Lead |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 24 | 13 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 6 | 23.5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6.5 | – | 5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 25 | 14.5 | 28 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 23.5 | 3 | – | 6 | 7 | – | 4.5 |
| INSA | 9–10 Nov 2023 | 1,004 | – | 17 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 5 | – | 7 |
| INSA | 26–27 Oct 2023 | 1,005 | – | 15 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 4 | – | 14 | 2 | – | 12 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–25 Oct 2023 | 1,300 | 24 | 15.5 | 26.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 18 | 3 | – | 13 | 6 | – | 8.5 |
| INSA | 20–23 Oct 2023 | 2,004 | – | 15.5 | 26.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 18 | 4 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 8.5 |
| INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | – | 17 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 3 | – | 15 | 6 | – | 6 |
| YouGov | 14–19 Jul 2023 | 2,317 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 5 | – | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 2 | – | 14 | 5 | – | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | – | 20 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 3 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 4 |

##### Boris Palmer list

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Liste Palmer | Others | Don't Know | Lead |
| INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | – | 19 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 2 |

#### Leadership scenarios
##### Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
| Forsa | 19–25 Nov 2024 | 2,500 | 21 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 4 | 10 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 14–20 Nov 2024 | 2,000 | 27.5 | 27.5 | 10.5 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 5.5 | 5 | Tie |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 24 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 2 | – | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 27.5 | 17 | 13.5 | 6 | 20 | 3.5 | 3 | – | 9.5 | 7.5 |

##### Olaf Scholz as SPD chancellor candidate

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 14–20 Nov 2024 | 2,000 | 17.5 | 31 | 12 | 2.5 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 13 |

##### Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 15.5 | 26.5 | 10 | 5 | 24.5 | 3 | – | 6.5 | 9 | 2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 22.5 | 20 | 14 | 6.5 | 20 | 4 | 5 | – | 8 | 2.5 |

##### Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 21.5 | 23 | 13.5 | 5 | 22 | 4.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 1.5 |

##### Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 21 | 28 | 15 | 6.5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 1 | 5.5 | 7 |

##### Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 6 | Tie |

#### Other scenarios
##### National-wide CSU

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | CSU | Linke | Others | Lead |
| INSA | 28–31 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 17 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 8 | Tie |

##### CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | Others | Lead |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 25 | 16.5 | 14.5 | 9 | 19 | 3.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 6 |

## By state
### Baden-Württemberg

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 31.6 | 14.2 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 19.8 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 11.8 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–10 Feb 2025 | 1,160 | 33 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–10 Dec 2024 | 1,156 | 34 | 15 | 18 | 5 | 16 | – | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| INSA | 25 Nov–2 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 33 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.8 | 21.6 | 17.2 | 15.3 | 9.6 | 3.3 | – | 8.2 | 3.2 |

### Bavaria

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CSU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Free Voters | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 37.2 | 11.6 | 12.0 | 4.2 | 19.0 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 18.2 |
| GMS | 16–19 Feb 2025 | 1,026 | 42 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| GMS | 4–7 Feb 2025 | 1,017 | 42 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| Infratest dimap | 9–13 Jan 2025 | 1,179 | 42 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 5 | – | – | 9 | 26 |
| GMS | 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2025 | 1,025 | 44 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 27 |
| GMS | 27 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 | 1,043 | 45 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 29 |
| Infratest dimap | 20–25 Nov 2024 | 1,156 | 45 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 4 | – | 3 | 6 | 28 |
| GMS | 7–11 Nov 2024 | 1,035 | 43 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 27 |
| GMS | 11–16 Sep 2024 | 1,048 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 27 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–5 Dec 2022 | 1,944 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 2 | – | 6 | 15 |
| Forsa | 23 May – 3 Jun 2022 | 1,049 | 36 | 12 | 22 | 8 | 8 | – | 2 | – | 12 | 14 |
| Forsa | 27 Apr – 13 May 2022 | 1,235 | 34 | 14 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | – | 6 | 13 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 31.7 | 18.0 | 14.1 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 2.8 | – | 6.4 | 13.7 |

### Berlin

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Grüne | CDU | Linke | AfD | FDP | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 15.1 | 16.8 | 18.3 | 19.9 | 15.2 | 3.8 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
| Infratest dimap | 14–18 Nov 2024 | 1,179 | 13 | 22 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 2 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 22.2 | 22.0 | 17.2 | 11.5 | 9.4 | 8.1 | – | 9.6 | 0.2 |

### Brandenburg

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | AfD | CDU | FDP | Grüne | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 14.8 | 32.5 | 18.1 | 3.2 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 14.4 |
| INSA | 20–27 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | 20 | 28 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 4–7 Dec 2024 | 1,183 | 19 | 30 | 21 | – | 7 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| Forsa | 6–10 Jan 2024 | 1,007 | 17 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 4–11 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 12.5 | 9 | – | 9.5 | Tie |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 9–17 May 2022 | 1,001 | 35.5 | 16.5 | 15.5 | 4 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 9 | 19 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.5 | 18.1 | 15.3 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 8.5 | – | 10.3 | 11.4 |

### Hamburg

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Grüne | CDU | FDP | Linke | AfD | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 22.7 | 19.3 | 20.7 | 4.5 | 14.4 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 5 |
| Trend Research | 16–20 Jan 2025 | 874 | 27 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Trend Research | 5–10 Dec 2024 | 880 | 28 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| Forsa | 24–28 Oct 2024 | 1,017 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.7 | 24.9 | 15.4 | 11.4 | 6.7 | 5.0 | – | 6.8 | 4.8 |

### Hesse

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 18.4 | 28.9 | 12.6 | 5.0 | 17.8 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 10.5 |
| Forsa | 22 Nov – 11 Dec 2024 | 1,033 | 17 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 27.6 | 22.8 | 15.8 | 12.8 | 8.8 | 4.3 | – | 7.9 | 4.8 |

### Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 12.4 | 35.0 | 17.8 | 12.0 | 3.2 | 5.4 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 17.2 |
| Forsa | 28 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 | 1,004 | 15 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 20–25 Jan 2025 | 1,185 | 15 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 23–28 Oct 2024 | 1,153 | 16 | 26 | 25 | 4 | – | 5 | 15 | 9 | 1 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–7 May 2024 | 1,177 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 6 | – | 8 | 12 | 9 | Tie |
| Forsa | 25 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,005 | 15 | 27 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 15 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–16 Sep 2023 | 1,182 | 21 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 8 | – | 7 | 11 |
| Forsa | 18–23 Jan 2023 | 1,004 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 10 | – | 10 | 1 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–18 Oct 2022 | 1,168 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 9 | – | 8 | 1 |
| Infratest dimap | 1–4 Jun 2022 | 1,183 | 25 | 18 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 12 | – | 8 | 2 |
| Forsa | 14–18 Mar 2022 | 1,001 | 29 | 16 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 9 | – | 9 | 8 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.1 | 18.0 | 17.4 | 11.1 | 8.2 | 7.8 | – | 8.4 | 11.1 |

### North Rhine-Westphalia

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 20.0 | 30.1 | 12.4 | 4.4 | 16.8 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 11.1 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 1,150 | 18 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 15 | – | – | 11 | 16 |
| Forsa | 26 Nov – 4 Dec 2024 | 1,508 | 18 | 36 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 |
| Forsa | 23 Jul – 1 Aug 2024 | 1,060 | 18 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
| Forsa | 5–14 Mar 2024 | 1,502 | 18 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
| Forsa | 29 May – 7 Jun 2023 | 1,506 | 23 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 3 | – | 7 | 7 |
| Forsa | 27–28 Mar 2023 | 1,005 | 22 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 4 | – | 8 | 10 |
| Forsa | 21–26 Sep 2022 | 1,511 | 21 | 30 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 4 | – | 7 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27–30 Jun 2022 | 1,040 | 25.5 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 8.5 | 3 | – | 8 | 0.5 |
| Forsa | 16 Feb 2022 | 1,008 | 25 | 30 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 2 | – | 6 | 5 |
| Forsa | 26 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 | 2,006 | 28 | 25 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 4 | – | 7 | 3 |
| Forsa | 26 Nov – 7 Dec 2021 | 2,009 | 29 | 23 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 4 | – | 7 | 6 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.1 | 26.0 | 16.1 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | – | 6.5 | 3.1 |

### Rhineland-Palatinate

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | FW | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 18.6 | 30.6 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 20.1 | – | 6.5 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 10.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–10 Feb 2025 | 1,155 | 19 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 18 | – | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–10 Dec 2024 | 1,175 | 19 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 3 | – | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–18 May 2022 | 1,042 | 30 | 30.5 | 19 | 5 | 5 | – | 1.5 | – | 9 | 0.5 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.4 | 24.7 | 12.6 | 11.7 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 | – | 8.8 | 4.7 |

### Saxony

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | AfD | SPD | CDU | FDP | Linke | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 37.3 | 8.5 | 19.7 | 3.2 | 11.3 | 6.5 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 17.6 |
| Forsa | 7–10 Jan 2024 | 1,507 | 36 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.6 | 19.3 | 17.2 | 11.0 | 9.3 | 8.6 | – | 9.9 | 5.3 |

### Saxony-Anhalt

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | CDU | AfD | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 11.0 | 19.2 | 37.1 | 10.8 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 17.9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–29 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 12 | 20 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–21 Feb 2022 | 1,005 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 19.5 | 13 | 7.5 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | Tie |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 25.4 | 21.0 | 19.6 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 6.5 | – | 8.4 | 4.4 |

### Schleswig-Holstein

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 18.8 | 27.6 | 14.9 | 4.7 | 16.3 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 8.8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 10–19 Feb 2022 | 2,000 | 28 | 22.5 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 4.5 | – | 7 | 5.5 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 28.0 | 22.0 | 18.3 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 3.6 | – | 8.7 | 6.0 |

### Thuringia

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | AfD | SPD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 38.6 | 8.8 | 18.6 | 15.2 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 20.0 |
| Forsa | 6–10 Jan 2024 | 1,253 | 36 | 12 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 5–11 Dec 2022 | 1,016 | 32 | 19.5 | 18.5 | 8.5 | 5 | 7.5 | – | 9 | 12.5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 994 | 22.5 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 4.5 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.0 | 23.4 | 16.9 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 6.5 | – | 8.7 | 0.6 |

## By Western and Eastern Germany
### Western Germany

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 17.6 | 30.6 | 12.7 | 4.6 | 17.9 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 12.7 |
| YouGov | 14–17 Feb 2025 | 1655 in West Germany | 18 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 8 | – | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| YouGov | 7–10 Feb 2025 | 1,642 in West Germany | 17 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 6 | – | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| INSA | 7–10 Feb 2025 | 2,006 in all of Germany | 17 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 5 | – | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| YouGov | 31 Jan – 4 Feb 2025 | 1,720 in West Germany | 19 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 5 | – | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| YouGov | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 1,397 in West Germany | 16 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 20 | 4 | – | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| YouGov | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 1,464 in West Germany | 20 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 17 | 3 | – | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| YouGov | 10–14 Jan 2025 | 1,389 in West Germany | 20 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 20 | 3 | – | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| YouGov | 3–6 Jan 2025 | 1,528 in West Germany | 18 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 2 | – | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| YouGov | 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2024 | 1,493 in West Germany | 19 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| YouGov | 8–12 Nov 2024 | 1,442 in West Germany | 15 | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 |
| INSA | 9–12 Aug 2024 | 2,008 in all of Germany | 16 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 2 | – | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| YouGov | 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 1,492 in West Germany | 15 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| INSA | 22–27 Dec 2023 | 2,000 in all of Germany | 16 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 3 | – | – | 9 | 14 |
| Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 in all of Germany | 19 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 5 | – | – | 10 | 11 |
| INSA | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 2,102 in all of Germany | 19 | 28 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | – | – | 7 | 9 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 26.1 | 25.6 | 16.0 | 11.9 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 2.5 | – | 6.0 | 0.5 |

### Eastern Germany

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Sep 2025 | – | 10.9 | 34.5 | 18.4 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 6.6 | 9.9 | 3.7 | 16.1 |
| YouGov | 14–17 Feb 2025 | 476 in East Germany | 12 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| YouGov | 7–10 Feb 2025 | 441 in East Germany | 14 | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| INSA | 7–10 Feb 2025 | 2,006 in all of Germany | 11 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 10 |
| YouGov | 31 Jan – 4 Feb 2025 | 461 in East Germany | 13 | 32 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| YouGov | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 384 in East Germany | 11 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| YouGov | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 413 in East Germany | 15 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| YouGov | 10–14 Jan 2025 | 345 in East Germany | 10 | 26 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 6 | Tie |
| YouGov | 3–6 Jan 2025 | 380 in East Germany | 10 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| YouGov | 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2024 | 386 in East Germany | 13 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 8 |
| YouGov | 8–12 Nov 2024 | 363 in East Germany | 11 | 31 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 5 |
| INSA | 9–12 Aug 2024 | 2,008 in all of Germany | 11 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 6 |
| YouGov | 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 402 in East Germany | 10 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 22–27 Dec 2023 | 2,000 in all of Germany | 12 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 8 | – | 9 | 12 |
| Verian | 24 Oct – 15 Nov 2023 | 830 in East Germany | 12 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 9 | – | 10 | 8 |
| Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 in all of Germany | 16 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 6 | – | 9 | 9 |
| INSA | 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 | 7,618 in all of Germany | 20 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 10 | – | 4 | 3 |
| INSA | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 2,102 in all of Germany | 15 | 27 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 14 | – | 3 | 1 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.1 | 20.5 | 16.8 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 9.2 | – | 9.5 | 3.6 |

## Chancellor polling
### Chancellor candidates and lead candidates

These following polls gauge voters' opinions on the parties' Chancellor candidates: Olaf Scholz for the Social Democratic Party, Friedrich Merz for CDU/CSU (Union), Robert Habeck for Alliance 90/The Greens, Alice Weidel for the Alternative for Germany and Sahra Wagenknecht for the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance as well as the lead candidate of the Free Democratic Party, Christian Lindner. Before their nominations they were also compared with each other as possible candidates in previous polls.

#### Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Habeck Grüne | Weidel AfD | None |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 19 | 34 | 17 | 19 | 11 |
| INSA | 20–21 Feb 2025 | 2,005 | 15 | 25 | 16 | 22 | 22 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–20 Feb 2025 | 1,349 | 18 | 32 | 21 | 14 | 15 |
| Forsa | 17–20 Feb 2025 | 2,002 | 16 | 26 | 21 | 15 | 22 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Feb 2025 | 2,501 | 17 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 21 |
| INSA | 13–14 Feb 2025 | 1,005 | 15 | 24 | 15 | 21 | 25 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Feb 2025 | 1,348 | 17 | 33 | 24 | 14 | 12 |
| Forsa | 4–10 Feb 2025 | 2,502 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 21 |
| INSA | 6–7 Feb 2025 | 1,003 | 16 | 24 | 14 | 20 | 26 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4–6 Feb 2025 | 1,341 | 18 | 32 | 24 | 13 | 13 |
| INSA | 31 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 | 2,004 | 16 | 21 | 14 | 21 | 28 |
| Forsa | 28 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 | 2,503 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 24 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Jan 2025 | 1,428 | 20 | 30 | 24 | 13 | 13 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Jan 2025 | 2,504 | 16 | 25 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,345 | 16 | 31 | 25 | 15 | 13 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Jan 2025 | 2,502 | 16 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 22 |
| INSA | 16–17 Jan 2025 | 1,004 | 16 | 23 | 15 | 22 | 24 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Jan 2025 | 2,502 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 21 |
| INSA | 9–10 Jan 2025 | 1,002 | 14 | 21 | 14 | 21 | 30 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Jan 2025 | 1,433 | 14 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 17 |
| INSA | 23–27 Dec 2024 | 1,002 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 21 | 29 |
| INSA | 18–19 Dec 2024 | 1,005 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 24 | 27 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 Dec 2024 | 1,362 | 16 | 29 | 25 | 16 | 14 |
| INSA | 12–13 Dec 2024 | 1,001 | 16 | 21 | 13 | 21 | 29 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Dec 2024 | 2,501 | 17 | 25 | 20 | 16 | 22 |
| INSA | 5–6 Dec 2024 | 1,002 | 15 | 21 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| INSA | 8–11 Nov 2024 | 3,009 | 13 | 20 | 13 | 17 | 37 |
| INSA | 11–14 Oct 2024 | 2,002 | 23 | 23 | 12 | 19 | 23 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2,506 | 27 | 24 | 17 | 10 | 22 |

#### Scholz vs. Merz

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Neither |
| INSA | 18–19 Feb 2025 | 2,503 | 28 | 36 | 36 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Feb 2025 | 1,348 | 45 | 46 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–13 Feb 2025 | 1,700 | 22 | 36 | 42 |
| INSA | 6–7 Feb 2025 | 1,003 | 31 | 41 | 28 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4–6 Feb 2025 | 1,341 | 43 | 48 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–3 Feb 2025 | 1,900 | 25 | 28 | 47 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Jan 2025 | 1,428 | 45 | 45 | 10 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,345 | 42 | 46 | 12 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | 27 | 31 | 42 |
| YouGov | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 2,194 | 34 | 36 | 30 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Jan 2025 | 2,502 | 23 | 26 | 51 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | 30 | 30 | 40 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Jan 2025 | 1,433 | 41 | 44 | 15 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–28 Dec 2024 | 2,000 | 27 | 27 | 46 |
| Forsa | 17–20 Dec 2024 | 2,008 | 24 | 28 | 48 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 Dec 2024 | 1,362 | 43 | 44 | 13 |
| Infratest dimap | 16–18 Dec 2024 | 1,336 | 31 | 43 | 26 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Dec 2024 | 2,501 | 26 | 26 | 48 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Dec 2024 | 2,501 | 27 | 27 | 46 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Dec 2024 | 1,433 | 43 | 45 | 12 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–5 Dec 2024 | 2,000 | 26 | 27 | 47 |
| INSA | 28–29 Nov 2024 | 1,001 | 33 | 35 | 32 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–21 Nov 2024 | 1,399 | 39 | 44 | 17 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 14–20 Nov 2024 | 2,000 | 20 | 27 | 53 |
| Forsa | 29 Oct – 4 Nov 2024 | 2,500 | 23 | 29 | 48 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Oct 2024 | 2,503 | 24 | 29 | 47 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Oct 2024 | 2,500 | 24 | 28 | 48 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15–17 Oct 2024 | 1,249 | 37 | 48 | 15 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Oct 2024 | 2,501 | 24 | 28 | 48 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Oct 2024 | 2,001 | 25 | 27 | 48 |
| Forsa | 24–30 Sep 2024 | 2,501 | 26 | 27 | 47 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24–26 Sep 2024 | 1.348 | 37 | 43 | 20 |
| INSA | 19–23 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | 27 | 34 | 39 |
| Forsa | 17–23 Sep 2024 | 2,500 | 24 | 28 | 48 |
| INSA | 18–19 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | 30 | 30 | 40 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Sep 2024 | 2,501 | 26 | 26 | 48 |
| INSA | 12–13 Sep 2024 | 1,004 | 21 | 25 | 54 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Sep 2024 | 2,500 | 24 | 28 | 48 |
| Forsa | 27 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 | 2,508 | 23 | 27 | 50 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Aug 2024 | 2,501 | 25 | 25 | 50 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Aug 2024 | 2,503 | 26 | 26 | 48 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Aug 2024 | 2,502 | 27 | 27 | 46 |
| INSA | 8–9 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | 23 | 35 | 42 |
| Forsa | 30 Jul – 5 Aug 2024 | 2,500 | 28 | 28 | 44 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Jul 2024 | 2,501 | 27 | 27 | 46 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Jul 2024 | 2,504 | 26 | 29 | 45 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Jul 2024 | 2,503 | 26 | 29 | 45 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Jul 2024 | 2,504 | 25 | 28 | 47 |
| Forsa | 25 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | 2,506 | 27 | 28 | 45 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jun 2024 | 2,505 | 27 | 29 | 44 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jun 2024 | 2,504 | 28 | 30 | 42 |
| Forsa | 4–10 Jun 2024 | 2,505 | 30 | 28 | 42 |
| Forsa | 28 May – 3 Jun 2024 | 2,506 | 31 | 28 | 41 |
| Forsa | 21–27 May 2024 | 2,503 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–19 May 2024 | 2,500 | 26 | 31 | 43 |
| Forsa | 8–13 May 2024 | 1,503 | 32 | 29 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2024 | 1,300 | 26 | 26 | 48 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,300 | 23 | 25 | 52 |
| INSA | 25–26 Jan 2024 | 1,001 | 21 | 28 | 51 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,366 | 21 | 32 | 47 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 1,502 | 27 | 28 | 45 |
| INSA | 4–5 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 23 | 26 | 51 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 17 | 34 | 49 |
| INSA | 14–15 Dec 2023 | 1,001 | 17 | 18 | 65 |
| Forsa | 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 36 | 32 | 32 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 19 | 29 | 52 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–25 Oct 2023 | 1,300 | 25 | 24 | 51 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24–25 Sep 2023 | 1,200 | 27 | 24 | 49 |
| INSA | 7–8 Sep 2023 | 1,001 | 23 | 15 | 62 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–27 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–25 Jun 2023 | 1,399 | 31 | 21 | 48 |
| INSA | 15–16 Jun 2023 | 1,003 | 25 | 16 | 59 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–2 Jun 2023 | 1,100 | 28 | 27 | 45 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 33 | 21 | 46 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 33 | 20 | 47 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 33 | 19 | 48 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | 29 | 25 | 46 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | 38 | 21 | 41 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | 37 | 21 | 42 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–21 Oct 2022 | 1,910 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–6 Oct 2022 | 1,923 | 36 | 29 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | 40 | 13 | 47 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | 42 | 13 | 45 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 19–20 Jul 2022 | 1,400 | 46 | 16 | 38 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Jul 2022 | 2,501 | 40 | 18 | 42 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Jul 2022 | 2,503 | 43 | 17 | 40 |
| Forsa | 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 | 2,502 | 43 | 17 | 40 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Jun 2022 | 2,500 | 42 | 19 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Jun 2022 | 2,430 | 46 | 15 | 39 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Jun 2022 | 2,504 | 39 | 20 | 41 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Jun 2022 | 2,511 | 38 | 21 | 41 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Jun 2022 | 1,603 | 46 | 16 | 38 |
| Forsa | 31 May – 3 Jun 2022 | 2,002 | 41 | 20 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | 45 | 18 | 37 |
| Forsa | 24–30 May 2022 | 2,004 | 39 | 20 | 41 |
| Forsa | 17–23 May 2022 | 2,505 | 41 | 19 | 40 |
| INSA | 20 May 2022 | 1,003 | 26 | 15 | 59 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 May 2022 | 1,302 | 42 | 26 | 32 |
| Forsa | 10–16 May 2022 | 2,502 | 42 | 19 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 8–9 May 2022 | 1,610 | 46 | 26 | 28 |
| Forsa | 3–9 May 2022 | 2,501 | 42 | 18 | 40 |
| Forsa | 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,508 | 43 | 19 | 38 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Apr 2022 | 2,507 | 42 | 18 | 40 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | 45 | 16 | 39 |
| Forsa | 12–14 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | 43 | 18 | 39 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Apr 2022 | 2,500 | 42 | 18 | 40 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 2,450 | 51 | 17 | 32 |
| Forsa | 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 | 2,508 | 43 | 18 | 39 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Mar 2022 | 2,507 | 42 | 20 | 38 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 44 | 20 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2022 | 3,923 | 51.5 | 21.5 | 27 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Mar 2022 | 2,502 | 46 | 19 | 35 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 48 | 19 | 33 |
| Forsa | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,500 | 45 | 20 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24–27 Feb 2022 | 2,030 | 49 | 19 | 32 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Feb 2022 | 2,500 | 42 | 20 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–15 Feb 2022 | 1,220 | 43 | 25 | 32 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Feb 2022 | 2,504 | 40 | 21 | 39 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Feb 2022 | 2,502 | 40 | 22 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–3 Feb 2022 | 2,330 | 42 | 31 | 27 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Jan 2022 | 2,501 | 43 | 21 | 36 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jan 2022 | 2,502 | 48 | 19 | 33 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jan 2022 | 2,504 | 48 | 17 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Jan 2022 | 1,030 | 54 | 19 | 27 |
| Forsa | 3–10 Jan 2022 | 3,003 | 49 | 18 | 33 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Dec 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 18 | 32 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | 55 | 20 | 25 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 45 | 18 | 37 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 46 | 19 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 44 | 21 | 35 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 52 | 17 | 31 |

#### Merz vs. Habeck

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Merz Union | Habeck Grüne | Neither |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Feb 2025 | 1,348 | 51 | 40 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4–6 Feb 2025 | 1,341 | 49 | 40 | 11 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Jan 2025 | 1,428 | 47 | 41 | 12 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,345 | 50 | 37 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | 34 | 23 | 43 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Jan 2025 | 2,502 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | 38 | 28 | 34 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Jan 2025 | 1,433 | 44 | 41 | 15 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 Dec 2024 | 1,362 | 48 | 39 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | 19 | 30 | 51 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | 18 | 32 | 50 |

#### Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Habeck Grüne | Weidel AfD | Wagenknecht BSW | None |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–13 Feb 2025 | 1,700 | 9 | 22 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 27 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–3 Feb 2025 | 1,900 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 31 |
| Democracy Institute | 28–30 Jan 2025 | 2,430 | 15 | 26 | 11 | 35 | 13 | – |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 23 | 5 | 23 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 6 | 16 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–28 Dec 2024 | 2,000 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 10 | 18 |
| INSA | 6–9 Dec 2024 | 2,004 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–5 Dec 2024 | 2,000 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 14–20 Nov 2024 | 2,000 | 15 | 22 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 28 |

#### Scholz vs. Weidel

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Weidel AfD | Neither |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–3 Feb 2025 | 1,900 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | 33 | 27 | 40 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | 27 | 21 | 52 |

#### Merz vs. Weidel

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Merz Union | Weidel AfD | Neither |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–3 Feb 2025 | 1,900 | 25 | 33 | 42 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | 31 | 34 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | 29 | 21 | 50 |

#### Scholz vs. Habeck

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Habeck Grüne | Neither |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | 27 | 13 | 60 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | 26 | 19 | 55 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | 36 | 32 | 32 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | 38 | 33 | 29 |

#### Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Weidel AfD | Wagenknecht BSW | Neither |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | 32 | 20 | 48 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | 28 | 21 | 51 |

#### Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht vs. Lindner

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Habeck Grüne | Weidel AfD | Wagenknecht BSW | Lindner FDP | None |
| YouGov | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 2,194 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 26 |

#### Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Habeck Grüne | None |
| Forsa | 2–6 Jan 2025 | 1,501 | 16 | 26 | 22 | 36 |
| Forsa | 17–20 Dec 2024 | 2,008 | 16 | 27 | 23 | 34 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Dec 2024 | 2,501 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 34 |
| Allensbach | 30 Nov – 12 Dec 2024 | 1,362 | 14 | 28 | 13 | 45 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Dec 2024 | 2,501 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 31 |
| Forsa | 26 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 | 2,502 | 16 | 28 | 24 | 32 |
| INSA | 28–29 Nov 2024 | 1,001 | 22 | 30 | 16 | 32 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Nov 2024 | 2,500 | 13 | 30 | 22 | 35 |
| INSA | 21–22 Nov 2024 | 1,001 | 15 | 31 | 18 | 36 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Nov 2024 | 2,500 | 13 | 34 | 21 | 32 |
| INSA | 14–15 Nov 2024 | 1,004 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 36 |
| Forsa | 8–11 Nov 2024 | 1,004 | 16 | 32 | 20 | 32 |
| INSA | 3–4 Oct 2024 | 1,001 | 23 | 31 | 13 | 33 |
| INSA | 26–27 Sep 2024 | 1,002 | 19 | 35 | 16 | 30 |
| INSA | 11–12 Jul 2024 | 1,250 | 17 | 31 | 16 | 36 |
| Forsa | 14–17 May 2024 | 2,001 | 17 | 26 | 18 | 39 |
| Forsa | 7–13 May 2024 | 2,006 | 17 | 25 | 17 | 41 |
| Forsa | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 2,000 | 18 | 23 | 17 | 42 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 17 | 23 | 17 | 43 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Apr 2024 | 2,501 | 17 | 22 | 16 | 45 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 17 | 22 | 16 | 45 |
| INSA | 11–12 Apr 2024 | 1,003 | 20 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Apr 2024 | 2,506 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 44 |
| Forsa | 26–28 Mar 2024 | 1,508 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 42 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Mar 2024 | 2,503 | 18 | 22 | 17 | 43 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Mar 2024 | 2,500 | 16 | 21 | 18 | 45 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Mar 2024 | 2,502 | 15 | 21 | 19 | 45 |
| Forsa | 27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 | 2,506 | 15 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 15 | 25 | 18 | 42 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Feb 2024 | 2,504 | 14 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,502 | 15 | 23 | 19 | 43 |
| Forsa | 30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 12 | 25 | 19 | 44 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Jan 2024 | 2,506 | 12 | 24 | 19 | 45 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Jan 2024 | 2,503 | 13 | 25 | 17 | 45 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 2,504 | 15 | 24 | 15 | 46 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Jan 2024 | 2,502 | 15 | 24 | 15 | 46 |
| Forsa | 19–22 Dec 2023 | – | 15 | 25 | 17 | 43 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 15 | 24 | 18 | 43 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 15 | 24 | 18 | 43 |
| Forsa | 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 16 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Nov 2023 | 2,500 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 42 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Nov 2023 | 2,501 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 42 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Nov 2023 | 2,504 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 41 |
| Forsa | 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 | 2,502 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
| Forsa | 24–30 Sep 2023 | 2,501 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
| Forsa | 17–23 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 44 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Sep 2023 | 2,501 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 44 |
| Forsa | 4–9 Sep 2023 | 2,003 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| Forsa | 26–29 Sep 2023 | 2,004 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Sep 2023 | 2,503 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 44 |
| Forsa | 4–11 Sep 2023 | 2,505 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 44 |
| Forsa | 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 | 2,506 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 43 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Aug 2023 | 2,504 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 45 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Aug 2023 | 2,506 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 45 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Aug 2023 | 2,501 | 21 | 18 | 15 | 46 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Aug 2023 | 2,502 | 21 | 17 | 16 | 46 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Jul 2023 | 2,500 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 43 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jul 2023 | 2,504 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 41 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jul 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| Forsa | 4–7 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| Forsa | 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,501 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 43 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2,506 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 41 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Jun 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 20 | 15 | 40 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Jun 2023 | 2,504 | 25 | 21 | 15 | 39 |
| Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 38 |
| Forsa | 23–26 May 2023 | 2,001 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 38 |
| Forsa | 16–22 May 2023 | 2,003 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 39 |
| Forsa | 9–15 May 2023 | 2,503 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 39 |
| Forsa | 2–8 May 2023 | 2,505 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 31 | 26 | 8 | 35 |
| Forsa | 25–28 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | 23 | 22 | 16 | 39 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Apr 2023 | 2,506 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 38 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Apr 2023 | 2,508 | 23 | 25 | 17 | 35 |
| Forsa | 4–6 Apr 2023 | 1,501 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
| Forsa | 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 39 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Mar 2023 | 2,506 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 29 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Mar 2023 | 2,503 | 26 | 21 | 17 | 36 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Mar 2023 | 2,505 | 27 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
| Forsa | 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 | 2,504 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 27 | 17 | 11 | 45 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Feb 2023 | 2,501 | 27 | 19 | 19 | 35 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Feb 2023 | 2,510 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Feb 2023 | 2,505 | 27 | 20 | 20 | 33 |
| Forsa | 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 | 2,502 | 26 | 20 | 20 | 34 |
| Forsa | 24–30 Jan 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 34 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 26 | 16 | 12 | 46 |
| Forsa | 17–23 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | 22 | 21 | 15 | 42 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Jan 2023 | 2,500 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Dec 2022 | 2,503 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Dec 2022 | 2,506 | 24 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 41 |
| Forsa | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | 2,500 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Nov 2022 | 2,505 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 37 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Nov 2022 | 2,503 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 40 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 40 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Oct 2022 | 2,503 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 39 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Oct 2022 | 2,502 | 24 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–21 Oct 2022 | 1,910 | 28 | 19 | 15 | 38 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Oct 2022 | 2,505 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 39 |
| Forsa | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 2,501 | 24 | 18 | 17 | 41 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–6 Oct 2022 | 1,923 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 33 |
| Forsa | 27–30 Sep 2022 | 2,001 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 41 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Sep 2022 | 2,505 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | 29 | 25 | 15 | 31 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Sep 2022 | 2,506 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 37 |
| Forsa | 6–13 Sep 2022 | 2,501 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 9–11 Sep 2022 | 1,300 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 31 |
| INSA | 9 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 34 |
| Forsa | 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 | 2,500 | 21 | 18 | 25 | 36 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Aug 2022 | 2,503 | 20 | 16 | 27 | 37 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Aug 2022 | 2,505 | 20 | 16 | 25 | 39 |
| INSA | 19 Aug 2022 | 1,002 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 1,433 | 36 | 13 | 30 | 21 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Aug 2022 | 2,500 | 22 | 16 | 26 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6–12 Aug 2022 | 2,920 | 32 | 15 | 28 | 25 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Aug 2022 | 2,504 | 24 | 16 | 27 | 33 |
| Forsa | 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 | 2,504 | 23 | 18 | 28 | 31 |
| INSA | 29 Jul 2022 | 1,002 | 24 | 18 | 21 | 37 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Jul 2022 | 2,510 | 25 | 17 | 30 | 28 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 19–20 Jul 2022 | 1,400 | 39 | 11 | 32 | 18 |
| Forsa | 15–18 Jul 2022 | 2,002 | 26 | 17 | 31 | 26 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Jun 2022 | 2,430 | 40 | 13 | 31 | 16 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Jun 2022 | 1,603 | 38 | 13 | 27 | 22 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | 35 | 14 | 29 | 21 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 May 2022 | 1,302 | 37 | 21 | 25 | 17 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 8–9 May 2022 | 1,610 | 38 | 21 | 24 | 17 |

#### Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Weidel AfD | None |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–27 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 47 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jul 2023 | 1,525 | 24 | 18 | 16 | 42 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–25 Jun 2023 | 1,399 | 27 | 15 | 15 | 43 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–2 Jun 2023 | 1,100 | 25 | 22 | 16 | 37 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 34 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 33 | 18 | 13 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 41 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 42 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | 24 | 17 | 16 | 43 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | 26 | 18 | 17 | 39 |

### Speculative Chancellor candidates

These following speculative polls were conducted before or shortly after the announcement of each party's Chancellor candidate, and gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

#### Pistorius vs. Merz

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pistorius SPD | Merz Union | Neither |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–23 Jan 2025 | 1,500 | 43 | 24 | 33 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–16 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | 36 | 21 | 43 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–21 Nov 2024 | 1,399 | 59 | 28 | 13 |
| Forsa | 7 Nov 2024 | 1,181 | 39 | 25 | 36 |
| INSA | 19–23 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | 33 | 29 | 38 |
| INSA | 4–5 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 32 | 28 | 40 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 30 | 29 | 41 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–27 Aug 2023 | 1,200 | 41 | 18 | 41 |

#### Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Habeck

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pistorius SPD | Merz Union | Habeck Grüne | None |
| INSA | 21–22 Nov 2024 | 1,001 | 33 | 24 | 14 | 29 |
| INSA | 14–15 Nov 2024 | 1,004 | 27 | 30 | 13 | 30 |

#### Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pistorius SPD | Merz Union | Habeck Grüne | Weidel AfD | None |
| INSA | 11–14 Oct 2024 | 2,002 | 27 | 19 | 13 | 20 | 21 |

#### Scholz vs. Söder

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Söder Union | Neither |
| INSA | 8–9 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | 23 | 41 | 36 |
| Forsa | 8–13 May 2024 | 1,503 | 30 | 36 | 34 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 1,502 | 27 | 40 | 33 |
| INSA | 4–5 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 20 | 36 | 44 |
| INSA | 7–8 Sep 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 32 | 42 |
| INSA | 15–16 Jun 2023 | 1,003 | 30 | 31 | 39 |
| INSA | 20 May 2022 | 1,003 | 32 | 29 | 39 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | 49 | 28 | 23 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 39 | 33 | 28 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | 37 | 33 | 30 |

#### Scholz vs. Wüst

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Wüst Union | Neither |
| INSA | 8–9 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | 23 | 26 | 51 |
| Forsa | 8–13 May 2024 | 1,503 | 28 | 28 | 44 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 1,502 | 25 | 36 | 39 |
| INSA | 15–16 Jun 2023 | 1,003 | 29 | 18 | 53 |
| INSA | 20 May 2022 | 1,003 | 32 | 14 | 54 |

#### Scholz vs. Söder vs. Habeck

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Söder Union | Habeck Grüne | None |
| INSA | 11–12 Jul 2024 | 1,250 | 17 | 37 | 16 | 30 |

#### Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Baerbock Grüne | Weidel AfD | Wagenknecht BSW | None |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–19 May 2024 | 2,500 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 37 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2024 | 1,300 | 15 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 34 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,300 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 37 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,366 | 11 | 19 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,500 | 10 | 22 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 31 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 16 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–25 Oct 2023 | 1,300 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 30 |

#### Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Baerbock Grüne | None |
| Forsa | 14–17 May 2024 | 2,001 | 20 | 29 | 17 | 34 |
| Forsa | 7–13 May 2024 | 2,006 | 20 | 28 | 15 | 37 |
| Forsa | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 2,000 | 21 | 26 | 16 | 37 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 21 | 26 | 16 | 37 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Apr 2024 | 2,501 | 20 | 25 | 16 | 39 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Apr 2024 | 2,505 | 20 | 25 | 17 | 38 |
| INSA | 11–12 Apr 2024 | 1,003 | 18 | 32 | 17 | 33 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Apr 2024 | 1,506 | 21 | 24 | 16 | 39 |
| Forsa | 26–28 Mar 2024 | 1,508 | 22 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Mar 2024 | 2,503 | 21 | 25 | 16 | 38 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Mar 2024 | 2,500 | 19 | 24 | 17 | 40 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Mar 2024 | 2,502 | 18 | 24 | 19 | 39 |
| Forsa | 27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 | 2,506 | 18 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 18 | 27 | 18 | 37 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Feb 2024 | 2,504 | 17 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,502 | 18 | 26 | 18 | 38 |
| Forsa | 30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 2,503 | 16 | 28 | 18 | 38 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Jan 2024 | 2,506 | 15 | 28 | 17 | 40 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Jan 2024 | 2,503 | 16 | 28 | 16 | 40 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Jan 2024 | 2,504 | 17 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Jan 2024 | 2,502 | 17 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
| Forsa | 19–22 Dec 2023 | – | 18 | 28 | 17 | 37 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 19 | 27 | 17 | 37 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 18 | 28 | 17 | 37 |
| Forsa | 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 | 2,501 | 19 | 27 | 17 | 37 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Nov 2023 | 2,500 | 19 | 25 | 17 | 39 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Nov 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 38 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Nov 2023 | 2,504 | 22 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| Forsa | 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 | 2,502 | 23 | 24 | 16 | 37 |
| Forsa | 24–30 Sep 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 38 |
| Forsa | 17–23 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Sep 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 38 |
| Forsa | 4–9 Sep 2023 | 2,003 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 37 |
| Forsa | 26–29 Sep 2023 | 2,004 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 37 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Sep 2023 | 2,503 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 36 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Sep 2023 | 2,504 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 39 |
| Forsa | 4–11 Sep 2023 | 2,505 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 38 |
| Forsa | 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 | 2,506 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 39 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Aug 2023 | 2,504 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Aug 2023 | 2,506 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Aug 2023 | 2,501 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Aug 2023 | 2,502 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Jul 2023 | 2,500 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 37 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jul 2023 | 2,504 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jul 2023 | 2,502 | 25 | 22 | 18 | 35 |
| Forsa | 4–7 Jul 2023 | 2,003 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 36 |
| Forsa | 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 | 2,501 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 35 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2,506 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 34 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Jun 2023 | 2,503 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 32 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Jun 2023 | 2,504 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 32 |
| Forsa | 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 | 2,505 | 26 | 25 | 19 | 30 |
| Forsa | 23–26 May 2023 | 2,001 | 27 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| Forsa | 16–22 May 2023 | 2,003 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 31 |
| Forsa | 9–15 May 2023 | 2,503 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 32 |
| Forsa | 2–8 May 2023 | 2,505 | 26 | 24 | 18 | 32 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–30 Apr 2023 | 1,400 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 32 |
| Forsa | 25–28 Apr 2023 | 2,007 | 25 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Apr 2023 | 2,506 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 31 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Apr 2023 | 2,508 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 30 |
| Forsa | 4–6 Apr 2023 | 1,501 | 24 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
| Forsa | 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 2,502 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 33 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Mar 2023 | 2,506 | 26 | 24 | 20 | 30 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23–26 Mar 2023 | 1,200 | 28 | 18 | 14 | 40 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Mar 2023 | 2,503 | 28 | 24 | 19 | 29 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Mar 2023 | 2,505 | 28 | 23 | 18 | 31 |
| Forsa | 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 | 2,504 | 28 | 23 | 19 | 30 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 | 1,419 | 26 | 17 | 14 | 43 |
| Forsa | 21–27 Feb 2023 | 2,501 | 30 | 22 | 18 | 30 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Feb 2023 | 2,510 | 28 | 22 | 19 | 31 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Feb 2023 | 2,505 | 30 | 22 | 19 | 29 |
| Forsa | 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 | 2,502 | 30 | 22 | 18 | 30 |
| Forsa | 24–30 Jan 2023 | 2,503 | 27 | 23 | 19 | 31 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,421 | 26 | 15 | 15 | 44 |
| Forsa | 17–23 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Jan 2023 | 1,500 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 34 |
| Forsa | 10–16 Jan 2023 | 2,500 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| Forsa | 3–9 Jan 2023 | 2,502 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 31 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Dec 2022 | 2,503 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 33 |
| Forsa | 6–12 Dec 2022 | 2,506 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 32 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–9 Dec 2022 | 1,500 | 26 | 18 | 15 | 41 |
| Forsa | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | 2,500 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 32 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Nov 2022 | 2,505 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 32 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 31 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Nov 2022 | 2,503 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 32 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–8 Nov 2022 | 1,300 | 27 | 17 | 14 | 42 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Nov 2022 | 2,502 | 24 | 21 | 20 | 35 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Oct 2022 | 2,503 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 35 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Oct 2022 | 2,502 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–21 Oct 2022 | 1,910 | 29 | 21 | 16 | 34 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Oct 2022 | 2,505 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 34 |
| Forsa | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 2,501 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–6 Oct 2022 | 1,923 | 28 | 24 | 16 | 32 |
| Forsa | 27–30 Sep 2022 | 2,001 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 36 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Sep 2022 | 2,505 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 1,700 | 28 | 24 | 17 | 31 |
| Forsa | 13–19 Sep 2022 | 2,506 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 34 |
| Forsa | 6–13 Sep 2022 | 2,501 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 34 |
| Forsa | 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 | 2,500 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 33 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Aug 2022 | 2,503 | 23 | 19 | 24 | 34 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Aug 2022 | 2,505 | 26 | 17 | 23 | 34 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Aug 2022 | 2,500 | 29 | 17 | 22 | 32 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 8–9 May 2022 | 1,610 | 38 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 26 |

#### Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pistorius SPD | Merz Union | Baerbock Grüne | Weidel AfD | Wagenknecht BSW | None |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2024 | 1,300 | 27 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 21 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25–27 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 21 |

#### Pistorius vs. Söder

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pistorius SPD | Söder Union | Neither |
| INSA | 4–5 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 25 | 34 | 41 |

#### Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Merz Union | Baerbock Grüne | Weidel AfD | None |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24–25 Sep 2023 | 1.200 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 31 |
| Forsa | 20–26 Jun 2023 | 2.506 | 25 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 24 |

#### Scholz vs. Günther

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Günther Union | Neither |
| INSA | 20 May 2022 | 1,003 | 32 | 12 | 56 |

#### Scholz vs. Röttgen

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Röttgen Union | Neither |
| Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 45 | 20 | 35 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 45 | 21 | 34 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 41 | 20 | 39 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 51 | 20 | 29 |

#### Scholz vs. Braun

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Braun Union | Neither |
| Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 50 | 11 | 39 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 12 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 42 | 22 | 36 |

#### Scholz vs. Laschet

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Laschet Union | Neither |
| YouGov | 19–23 Nov 2021 | 2,167 | 46 | 6 | 48 |
| Forsa | 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 8 | 42 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Oct 2021 | 2,510 | 52 | 8 | 40 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Oct 2021 | 2,502 | 53 | 8 | 39 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | 52 | 8 | 40 |
| Forsa | 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 | 3,004 | 52 | 9 | 39 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,249 | 76 | 13 | 11 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Sep 2021 | 1,084 | 62 | 16 | 22 |
| Forsa | 27 Sep 2021 | 1,006 | 56 | 11 | 33 |
| YouGov | 26 Sep 2021 | 1,596 | 43 | 13 | 43 |

#### Scholz vs. Kretschmer

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Scholz SPD | Kretschmer Union | Neither |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 41 | 19.5 | 39.5 |

## Preferred coalition

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD Grüne | SPD Grüne | Union FDP | Union FDP | SPD Grüne FDP | SPD Grüne FDP | SPD Grüne FDP | Union SPD | Union SPD | Union Grüne | Union Grüne | Union Grüne FDP | Union Grüne FDP | Union Grüne FDP | Union SPD Grüne | Union SPD Grüne | Union SPD Grüne | Union SPD FDP | Union SPD FDP | Union SPD FDP | SPD Grüne Linke | SPD Grüne Linke | SPD Grüne Linke | SPD FDP | SPD FDP | Union AfD | Union AfD |
| Infratest dimap | 10–12 Feb 2025 | 1,579 | – | – | 11 | 11 | – | – | – | 32 | 32 | 16 | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17 | 17 |
| Forsa | 6–7 Feb 2025 | 1,001 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43 | 43 | 33 | 33 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17 | 17 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–5 Feb 2025 | 1,302 | – | – | 13 | 13 | – | – | – | 31 | 31 | 14 | 14 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19 | 19 |
| INSA | 31 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 | 2,004 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27 | 27 | 13 | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24 | 24 |
| Ipsos | 30–31 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 23 | 23 |
| Infratest dimap | 27–29 Jan 2025 | 1,336 | – | – | 12 | 12 | – | – | – | 32 | 32 | 16 | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18 | 18 |
| INSA | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 2,006 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 29 | 29 | 13 | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25 | 25 |
| INSA | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 2,008 | – | – | 12 | 12 | – | – | – | 24 | 24 | 12 | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25 | 25 |
| INSA | 10–13 Jan 2025 | 2,005 | – | – | 12 | 12 | – | – | – | 24 | 24 | 11 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 | 20 |
| Infratest dimap | 16–18 Dec 2024 | 1,336 | – | – | 12 | 12 | – | – | – | 29 | 29 | 19 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15 | 15 |
| Ipsos | 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 18 | 18 |
| INSA | 22–25 Nov 2024 | 1,002 | – | – | 13 | 13 | – | – | – | 29 | 29 | 13 | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24 | 24 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–21 Nov 2024 | 1,399 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | – | – |
| Infratest dimap | 18–20 Nov 2024 | 1,318 | – | – | 12 | 12 | – | – | – | 31 | 31 | 15 | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16 | 16 |
| Forsa | 7–8 Nov 2024 | 1,008 | – | – | 15 | 15 | – | – | – | 34 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Nov 2024 | 1,231 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15–17 Oct 2024 | 1,249 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24–26 Sep 2024 | 1,348 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | 4 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Sep 2024 | 1,328 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Aug 2024 | 1,334 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Jul 2024 | 1,341 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 May 2024 | 1,186 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–12 May 2024 | 1,334 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,247 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forsa | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,007 | – | – | – | – | 10 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | – | – | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–21 Mar 2024 | 1,296 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,260 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20–22 Feb 2024 | 1,294 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1,217 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 23 | 8 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,337 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Dec 2023 | 1,146 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Nov 2023 | 1,242 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Nov 2023 | 1,234 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 Oct 2023 | 1,252 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Sep 2023 | 1,201 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15–17 Aug 2023 | 1,288 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jul 2023 | 1,346 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Jun 2023 | 1,379 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 Jun 2023 | 1,224 | 19 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 May 2023 | 1,257 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 2–4 May 2023 | 1,225 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18–20 Apr 2023 | 1,266 | 19 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Mar 2023 | 1,379 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 Mar 2023 | 1,146 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023 | 1,165 | 19 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 Feb 2023 | 1,361 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24–26 Jan 2023 | 1,345 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10–12 Jan 2023 | 1,259 | 19 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–15 Dec 2022 | 1,365 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 22–24 Nov 2022 | 1,273 | 21 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Nov 2022 | 1,310 | 24 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18–20 Oct 2022 | 1,389 | 23 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 1,355 | 20 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6–8 Sep 2022 | 1,299 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Aug 2022 | 1,389 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Jul 2022 | 1,167 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 14 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Jun 2022 | 1,186 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 Jun 2022 | 1,133 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17–19 May 2022 | 1,162 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Apr 2022 | 1,170 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Apr 2022 | 1,230 | 23 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Mar 2022 | 1,345 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Feb 2022 | 1,103 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Feb 2022 | 1,224 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 Jan 2022 | 1,249 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jan 2022 | 1,128 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Dec 2021 | 1,303 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | – | – |

## Constituency projections

With the new electoral reform, constituency seats are only awarded if covered by the votes cast for the party in that state. As such, the number of constituency seats won by a party may be lower than that party's number of constituency pluralities.

### Constituency pluralities

| Polling firm | Release date | Union | SPD | Grüne | AfD | Linke | FDP | BSW |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | 190 | 45 | 12 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| BUNKER | 21 Feb 2025 | 231 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| zweitstimme.org | 21 Feb 2025 | 202 | 40 | 10 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 21 Feb 2025 | 204 | 34 | 11 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| YouGov (MRP) | 20 Feb 2025 | 197 | 44 | 7 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 17 Feb 2025 | 245 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 14 Feb 2025 | 203 | 35 | 12 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 10 Feb 2025 | 235 | 6 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 7 Feb 2025 | 204 | 35 | 11 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| YouGov (MRP) | 6 Feb 2025 | 222 | 25 | 3 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 5 Feb 2025 | 223 | 19 | 8 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 3 Feb 2025 | 239 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 31 Jan 2025 | 203 | 35 | 12 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 27 Jan 2025 | 235 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25 Jan 2025 | 231 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 24 Jan 2025 | 209 | 33 | 10 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 20 Jan 2025 | 229 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 17 Jan 2025 | 212 | 30 | 10 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| YouGov (MRP) | 16 Jan 2025 | 208 | 35 | 5 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 13 Jan 2025 | 246 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 10 Jan 2025 | 211 | 31 | 10 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 6 Jan 2025 | 244 | 7 | 13 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 3 Jan 2025 | 214 | 30 | 9 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 30 Dec 2024 | 249 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 27 Dec 2024 | 219 | 26 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 23 Dec 2024 | 246 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 16 Dec 2024 | 244 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 13 Dec 2024 | 223 | 26 | 9 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 9 Dec 2024 | 265 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Dec 2024 | 231 | 16 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 2 Dec 2024 | 247 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 29 Nov 2024 | 228 | 17 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 25 Nov 2024 | 272 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Nov 2024 | 244 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 18 Nov 2024 | 263 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Nov 2024 | 236 | 17 | 6 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 11 Nov 2024 | 267 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Nov 2024 | 258 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 28 Oct 2024 | 269 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 21 Oct 2024 | 264 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Oct 2024 | 226 | 23 | 9 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 14 Oct 2024 | 253 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 7 Oct 2024 | 243 | 7 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 30 Sep 2024 | 250 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 23 Sep 2024 | 241 | 6 | 1 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 16 Sep 2024 | 274 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Sep 2024 | 236 | 17 | 7 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 9 Sep 2024 | 241 | 2 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 2 Sep 2024 | 247 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 26 Aug 2024 | 265 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 19 Aug 2024 | 257 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Aug 2024 | 227 | 22 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 12 Aug 2024 | 250 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 5 Aug 2024 | 254 | 8 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 29 Jul 2024 | 271 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 22 Jul 2024 | 256 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2024 | 222 | 21 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 15 Jul 2024 | 258 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 8 Jul 2024 | 255 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 1 Jul 2024 | 258 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 24 Jun 2024 | 278 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 17 Jun 2024 | 258 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jun 2024 | 218 | 30 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 10 Jun 2024 | 267 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 3 Jun 2024 | 261 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 27 May 2024 | 271 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 21 May 2024 | 261 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 20 May 2024 | 246 | 23 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 May 2024 | 217 | 28 | 14 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 13 May 2024 | 258 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 6 May 2024 | 250 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 29 Apr 2024 | 231 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 22 Apr 2024 | 243 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Apr 2024 | 213 | 30 | 12 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 15 Apr 2024 | 255 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 8 Apr 2024 | 259 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 2 Apr 2024 | 260 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 25 Mar 2024 | 240 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Mar 2024 | 212 | 43 | 7 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 18 Mar 2024 | 257 | 10 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Mar 2024 | 210 | 29 | 14 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 11 Mar 2024 | 250 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Mar 2024 | 262 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 26 Feb 2024 | 261 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Feb 2024 | 235 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| INSA | 19 Feb 2024 | 245 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Feb 2024 | 214 | 27 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 12 Feb 2024 | 242 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 5 Feb 2024 | 240 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 29 Jan 2024 | 243 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Jan 2024 | 219 | 23 | 6 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| INSA | 22 Jan 2024 | 252 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jan 2024 | 217 | 20 | 13 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 15 Jan 2024 | 243 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 8 Jan 2024 | 253 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 4 Jan 2024 | 230 | 4 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 2 Jan 2024 | 244 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 27 Dec 2023 | 242 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 18 Dec 2023 | 244 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Dec 2023 | 217 | 20 | 13 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 11 Dec 2023 | 230 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Dec 2023 | 225 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Nov 2023 | 221 | 14 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 27 Nov 2023 | 243 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 20 Nov 2023 | 237 | 12 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Nov 2023 | 203 | 31 | 16 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 13 Nov 2023 | 233 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 6 Nov 2023 | 231 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 30 Oct 2023 | 242 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25 Oct 2023 | 220 | 23 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| INSA | 23 Oct 2023 | 230 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 16 Oct 2023 | 210 | 24 | 11 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Oct 2023 | 190 | 43 | 17 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 9 Oct 2023 | 202 | 23 | 17 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 2 Oct 2023 | 200 | 40 | 16 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25 Sep 2023 | 153 | 62 | 21 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 25 Sep 2023 | 199 | 32 | 15 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 18 Sep 2023 | 198 | 31 | 20 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 11 Sep 2023 | 194 | 30 | 18 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Sep 2023 | 198 | 33 | 17 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 1 Sep 2023 | 185 | 49 | 16 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 28 Aug 2023 | 194 | 30 | 23 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 28 Aug 2023 | 151 | 78 | 12 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 21 Aug 2023 | 194 | 35 | 19 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 18 Aug 2023 | 181 | 51 | 18 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 14 Aug 2023 | 189 | 49 | 16 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 7 Aug 2023 | 200 | 53 | 17 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 4 Aug 2023 | 183 | 48 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 198 | 41 | 17 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Jul 2023 | 154 | 79 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 24 Jul 2023 | 201 | 44 | 18 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 21 Jul 2023 | 188 | 46 | 16 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 17 Jul 2023 | 208 | 30 | 19 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 10 Jul 2023 | 210 | 41 | 19 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 7 Jul 2023 | 184 | 49 | 17 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 3 Jul 2023 | 190 | 46 | 23 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 26 Jun 2023 | 197 | 43 | 16 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Jun 2023 | 139 | 82 | 19 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 23 Jun 2023 | 189 | 48 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 19 Jun 2023 | 194 | 47 | 15 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 12 Jun 2023 | 215 | 47 | 15 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 9 Jun 2023 | 190 | 48 | 16 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 5 Jun 2023 | 214 | 47 | 17 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2 Jun 2023 | 168 | 85 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 30 May 2023 | 227 | 48 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 26 May 2023 | 196 | 49 | 16 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 22 May 2023 | 217 | 51 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 15 May 2023 | 229 | 41 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 12 May 2023 | 196 | 49 | 16 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 8 May 2023 | 225 | 42 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 2 May 2023 | 207 | 51 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 30 Apr 2023 | 182 | 75 | 10 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 28 Apr 2023 | 196 | 49 | 18 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 24 Apr 2023 | 218 | 44 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 17 Apr 2023 | 216 | 48 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 16 Apr 2023 | 191 | 54 | 19 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 11 Apr 2023 | 212 | 46 | 23 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 3 Apr 2023 | 221 | 48 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 2 Apr 2023 | 191 | 54 | 19 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 27 Mar 2023 | 214 | 49 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Mar 2023 | 159 | 99 | 14 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 20 Mar 2023 | 224 | 54 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 19 Mar 2023 | 185 | 60 | 19 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 13 Mar 2023 | 217 | 51 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 10 Mar 2023 | 193 | 56 | 18 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 6 Mar 2023 | 233 | 37 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1 Mar 2023 | 192 | 73 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 27 Feb 2023 | 243 | 36 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 24 Feb 2023 | 191 | 57 | 19 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 20 Feb 2023 | 223 | 51 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 13 Feb 2023 | 228 | 45 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 10 Feb 2023 | 178 | 61 | 25 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 6 Feb 2023 | 203 | 50 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 30 Jan 2023 | 216 | 39 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 27 Jan 2023 | 181 | 59 | 27 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Jan 2023 | 134 | 109 | 23 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 23 Jan 2023 | 211 | 49 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 16 Jan 2023 | 149 | 93 | 22 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 16 Jan 2023 | 223 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 13 Jan 2023 | 181 | 57 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 9 Jan 2023 | 212 | 45 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 2 Jan 2023 | 216 | 48 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 30 Dec 2022 | 179 | 61 | 29 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 19 Dec 2022 | 214 | 50 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 16 Dec 2022 | 182 | 54 | 31 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 12 Dec 2022 | 214 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 9 Dec 2022 | 146 | 100 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 5 Dec 2022 | 219 | 50 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 2 Dec 2022 | 180 | 55 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 28 Nov 2022 | 212 | 52 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 21 Nov 2022 | 210 | 44 | 28 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 18 Nov 2022 | 177 | 55 | 32 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 14 Nov 2022 | 215 | 49 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 8 Nov 2022 | 141 | 113 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 7 Nov 2022 | 205 | 50 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 4 Nov 2022 | 174 | 57 | 33 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 31 Oct 2022 | 203 | 51 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 21 Oct 2022 | 174 | 57 | 33 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Oct 2022 | 145 | 96 | 24 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 17 Oct 2022 | 219 | 40 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 10 Oct 2022 | 212 | 38 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 7 Oct 2022 | 177 | 54 | 33 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Oct 2022 | 149 | 99 | 17 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Oct 2022 | 219 | 35 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 26 Sep 2022 | 209 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 23 Sep 2022 | 180 | 55 | 33 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Sep 2022 | 150 | 102 | 19 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 19 Sep 2022 | 211 | 28 | 37 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 12 Sep 2022 | 218 | 35 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11 Sep 2022 | 154 | 90 | 22 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 9 Sep 2022 | 177 | 59 | 38 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 5 Sep 2022 | 209 | 24 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 29 Aug 2022 | 206 | 37 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 26 Aug 2022 | 177 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 22 Aug 2022 | 214 | 28 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 19 Aug 2022 | 140 | 73 | 55 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 15 Aug 2022 | 203 | 33 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 12 Aug 2022 | 174 | 61 | 43 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 12 Aug 2022 | 146 | 49 | 69 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 8 Aug 2022 | 215 | 29 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 1 Aug 2022 | 196 | 32 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 29 Jul 2022 | 171 | 66 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 25 Jul 2022 | 196 | 32 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 20 Jul 2022 | 136 | 89 | 52 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 18 Jul 2022 | 197 | 34 | 51 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2022 | 174 | 69 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 11 Jul 2022 | 205 | 43 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Jul 2022 | 145 | 94 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Jul 2022 | 216 | 37 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 1 Jul 2022 | 175 | 70 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 27 Jun 2022 | 212 | 42 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Jun 2022 | 144 | 98 | 37 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 20 Jun 2022 | 216 | 32 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 17 Jun 2022 | 177 | 70 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 13 Jun 2022 | 194 | 44 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 8 Jun 2022 | 144 | 94 | 33 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 7 Jun 2022 | 203 | 43 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 3 Jun 2022 | 178 | 71 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1 Jun 2022 | 168 | 62 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 30 May 2022 | 204 | 49 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 23 May 2022 | 213 | 48 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 20 May 2022 | 157 | 97 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 16 May 2022 | 162 | 89 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 16 May 2022 | 202 | 46 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 9 May 2022 | 138 | 100 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 9 May 2022 | 209 | 52 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 6 May 2022 | 145 | 110 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 2 May 2022 | 199 | 62 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 25 Apr 2022 | 182 | 77 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Apr 2022 | 121 | 128 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 144 | 115 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 19 Apr 2022 | 182 | 74 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 11 Apr 2022 | 179 | 83 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 144 | 116 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 5 Apr 2022 | 128 | 134 | 25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Apr 2022 | 184 | 86 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 28 Mar 2022 | 165 | 93 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 161 | 104 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 21 Mar 2022 | 192 | 74 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Mar 2022 | 132 | 133 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 150 | 115 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb 2022 | 128 | 131 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 159 | 103 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 21 Feb 2022 | 213 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15 Feb 2022 | 143 | 117 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 14 Feb 2022 | 203 | 71 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 158 | 103 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 7 Feb 2022 | 196 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3 Feb 2022 | 195 | 63 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 31 Jan 2022 | 178 | 100 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 133 | 121 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 24 Jan 2022 | 146 | 129 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18 Jan 2022 | 124 | 139 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 17 Jan 2022 | 125 | 140 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 129 | 129 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 10 Jan 2022 | 128 | 142 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 3 Jan 2022 | 118 | 137 | 19 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 111 | 148 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 20 Dec 2021 | 108 | 160 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 19 Dec 2021 | 102 | 167 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 109 | 149 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 13 Dec 2021 | 114 | 153 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Dec 2021 | 75 | 176 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 6 Dec 2021 | 118 | 145 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 111 | 143 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 29 Nov 2021 | 112 | 140 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Nov 2021 | 123 | 140 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 22 Nov 2021 | 122 | 147 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 103 | 153 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 15 Nov 2021 | 99 | 160 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 8 Nov 2021 | 110 | 158 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7 Nov 2021 | 125 | 137 | 16 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 101 | 156 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 25 Oct 2021 | 84 | 176 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 101 | 154 | 20 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Oct 2021 | 113 | 145 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 108 | 148 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Oct 2021 | 94 | 163 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 143 | 121 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |

### By probability

| Polling firm | Release date | Union | Union | Union | SPD | SPD | SPD | Grüne | Grüne | Grüne | AfD | AfD | AfD | Linke | Linke | Linke |
| Polling firm | Release date | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | 190 | 190 | 190 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 46 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| election.de | 21 Feb 2025 | 91 | 75 | 38 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| election.de | 14 Feb 2025 | 91 | 77 | 35 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 7 Feb 2025 | 95 | 75 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 31 Jan 2025 | 95 | 74 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 24 Jan 2025 | 101 | 71 | 37 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 17 Jan 2025 | 111 | 67 | 34 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 10 Jan 2025 | 111 | 67 | 33 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 3 Jan 2025 | 117 | 64 | 33 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 27 Dec 2024 | 121 | 63 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 13 Dec 2024 | 124 | 61 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 29 Nov 2024 | 137 | 56 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Nov 2024 | 138 | 56 | 42 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Oct 2024 | 126 | 57 | 43 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Sep 2024 | 137 | 56 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Aug 2024 | 125 | 58 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2024 | 122 | 58 | 42 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Jun 2024 | 113 | 61 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 May 2024 | 118 | 55 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Apr 2024 | 114 | 62 | 37 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Mar 2024 | 111 | 61 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Feb 2024 | 113 | 62 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Jan 2024 | 106 | 71 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Dec 2023 | 107 | 68 | 42 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Nov 2023 | 94 | 72 | 37 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Oct 2023 | 69 | 83 | 38 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 1 Sep 2023 | 65 | 78 | 42 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 18 Aug 2023 | 63 | 74 | 44 | 2 | 23 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 4 Aug 2023 | 66 | 74 | 43 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 21 Jul 2023 | 73 | 74 | 41 | 1 | 18 | 27 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 7 Jul 2023 | 71 | 73 | 40 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 23 Jun 2023 | 78 | 71 | 40 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| election.de | 9 Jun 2023 | 85 | 70 | 35 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| election.de | 26 May 2023 | 88 | 63 | 45 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 12 May 2023 | 89 | 62 | 45 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 28 Apr 2023 | 91 | 62 | 43 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 16 Apr 2023 | 85 | 64 | 42 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 2 Apr 2023 | 82 | 63 | 46 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 19 Mar 2023 | 77 | 65 | 43 | 2 | 26 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 10 Mar 2023 | 83 | 62 | 48 | 2 | 23 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 24 Feb 2023 | 80 | 63 | 48 | 2 | 25 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 10 Feb 2023 | 66 | 66 | 46 | 5 | 26 | 30 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 27 Jan 2023 | 69 | 70 | 42 | 3 | 25 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 13 Jan 2023 | 67 | 70 | 44 | 3 | 25 | 29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 30 Dec 2022 | 67 | 68 | 44 | 4 | 24 | 33 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 16 Dec 2022 | 71 | 67 | 44 | 2 | 26 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 2 Dec 2022 | 66 | 71 | 43 | 3 | 24 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 18 Nov 2022 | 67 | 70 | 40 | 2 | 25 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 4 Nov 2022 | 61 | 71 | 42 | 4 | 24 | 29 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 21 Oct 2022 | 61 | 70 | 43 | 3 | 24 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 7 Oct 2022 | 67 | 69 | 41 | 2 | 25 | 27 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 23 Sep 2022 | 66 | 70 | 44 | 2 | 25 | 28 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 9 Sep 2022 | 58 | 71 | 48 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 26 Aug 2022 | 57 | 67 | 53 | 4 | 21 | 35 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 12 Aug 2022 | 53 | 69 | 52 | 4 | 22 | 35 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 29 Jul 2022 | 52 | 64 | 55 | 4 | 28 | 34 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2022 | 52 | 64 | 58 | 4 | 33 | 32 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| election.de | 1 Jul 2022 | 51 | 66 | 58 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| election.de | 17 Jun 2022 | 54 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| election.de | 3 Jun 2022 | 53 | 67 | 58 | 5 | 36 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| election.de | 20 May 2022 | 47 | 51 | 59 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| election.de | 6 May 2022 | 44 | 52 | 49 | 15 | 44 | 51 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 46 | 51 | 47 | 15 | 46 | 54 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 46 | 51 | 47 | 16 | 43 | 57 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 51 | 51 | 59 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 48 | 51 | 51 | 15 | 44 | 56 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 53 | 50 | 56 | 12 | 42 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 49 | 51 | 58 | 12 | 44 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 41 | 50 | 42 | 22 | 42 | 57 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 37 | 50 | 42 | 27 | 44 | 58 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 30 | 41 | 40 | 31 | 57 | 60 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 30 | 41 | 38 | 33 | 58 | 58 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 27 | 42 | 42 | 28 | 55 | 60 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 26 | 39 | 38 | 35 | 55 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 25 | 35 | 41 | 40 | 57 | 59 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 26 | 35 | 40 | 39 | 54 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 28 | 42 | 38 | 30 | 59 | 59 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 143 | 143 | 143 | 121 | 121 | 121 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3 |

### Second place

| Polling firm | Release date | SPD | Union | Grüne | AfD | Linke | FDP | FW |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | 112 | 83 | 22 | 78 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 21 Feb 2025 | 115 | 72 | 36 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 14 Feb 2025 | 114 | 74 | 35 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 7 Feb 2025 | 117 | 73 | 36 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 31 Jan 2025 | 117 | 74 | 35 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 24 Jan 2025 | 116 | 71 | 37 | 72 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 17 Jan 2025 | 115 | 72 | 36 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 10 Jan 2025 | 116 | 72 | 36 | 72 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 3 Jan 2025 | 118 | 73 | 38 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 27 Dec 2024 | 121 | 71 | 39 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 13 Dec 2024 | 128 | 70 | 35 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 29 Nov 2024 | 122 | 65 | 35 | 74 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Nov 2024 | 128 | 58 | 37 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Oct 2024 | 127 | 68 | 33 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Sep 2024 | 127 | 58 | 37 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Aug 2024 | 126 | 67 | 38 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2024 | 122 | 71 | 38 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jun 2024 | 123 | 74 | 41 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 May 2024 | 117 | 74 | 48 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Apr 2024 | 118 | 79 | 39 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Mar 2024 | 113 | 80 | 39 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Feb 2024 | 111 | 75 | 36 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jan 2024 | 102 | 72 | 34 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Dec 2023 | 105 | 72 | 37 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Nov 2023 | 105 | 81 | 32 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Oct 2023 | 106 | 84 | 29 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 1 Sep 2023 | 108 | 89 | 30 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 18 Aug 2023 | 112 | 91 | 30 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 4 Aug 2023 | 111 | 90 | 32 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 21 Jul 2023 | 116 | 86 | 34 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 7 Jul 2023 | 118 | 89 | 34 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 23 Jun 2023 | 120 | 85 | 37 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 9 Jun 2023 | 123 | 87 | 38 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 26 May 2023 | 130 | 82 | 44 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 12 May 2023 | 132 | 82 | 45 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 28 Apr 2023 | 135 | 83 | 43 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 16 Apr 2023 | 132 | 87 | 44 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 2 Apr 2023 | 132 | 87 | 44 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 19 Mar 2023 | 133 | 92 | 45 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 10 Mar 2023 | 136 | 86 | 47 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 24 Feb 2023 | 137 | 87 | 45 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 10 Feb 2023 | 137 | 92 | 44 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 27 Jan 2023 | 128 | 92 | 52 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 13 Jan 2023 | 127 | 91 | 55 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 30 Dec 2022 | 126 | 92 | 54 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 16 Dec 2022 | 125 | 91 | 57 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 2 Dec 2022 | 123 | 92 | 58 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 18 Nov 2022 | 121 | 95 | 59 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 4 Nov 2022 | 123 | 95 | 57 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 21 Oct 2022 | 122 | 94 | 59 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 7 Oct 2022 | 119 | 95 | 62 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 23 Sep 2022 | 118 | 92 | 64 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 9 Sep 2022 | 117 | 90 | 72 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 26 Aug 2022 | 116 | 88 | 74 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 12 Aug 2022 | 117 | 90 | 73 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 29 Jul 2022 | 122 | 89 | 71 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2022 | 124 | 87 | 70 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 1 Jul 2022 | 124 | 88 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 17 Jun 2022 | 129 | 88 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 3 Jun 2022 | 132 | 87 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 20 May 2022 | 128 | 99 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 6 May 2022 | 127 | 114 | 43 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 127 | 113 | 42 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 127 | 114 | 42 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 135 | 102 | 42 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 130 | 112 | 41 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 135 | 109 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 137 | 103 | 38 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 122 | 120 | 40 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 120 | 125 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 111 | 135 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 110 | 135 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 104 | 126 | 46 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 104 | 133 | 41 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 108 | 128 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 103 | 130 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 107 | 129 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 129 | 115 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 |

## Bundestag projections

Thanks to direct votes in the 299 electoral districts and second votes or party lists, the Bundestag is formed, which from 2025 will now have 630 seats.

### Bundestag projections

| Polling firm | Release date | Union | SPD | Grüne | AfD | Linke | FDP | SSW | BSW |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | 208 | 120 | 85 | 152 | 64 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| BUNKER | 21 Feb 2025 | 223 | 119 | 97 | 149 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| YouGov (MRP) | 20 Feb 2025 | 220 | 115 | 94 | 145 | 55 | 0 | 1 | 0 |