# 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election

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2026 :
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vte :
The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Arizona. Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs is eligible to seek re-election to a second term, but has not yet stated whether she will do so.
Following the passage of proposition 131 in the 2022 elections, this will be the first gubernatorial election in Arizona in which candidates will be required to nominate a running mate for the newly-established position of Lieutenant Governor.
This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election.

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Publicly expressed interest

* Katie Hobbs, incumbent governor (2023–present)

#### Declined

* Adrian Fontes, Arizona Secretary of State (2023–present) (running for re-election)
* Kris Mayes, Arizona Attorney General (2023–present) (running for re-election)

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)
* Karrin Taylor Robson, former member of the Arizona Board of Regents (2017–2021) and candidate for governor in 2022

#### Filed paperwork

* Christopher Ames
* Christian Grey
* Scott Neely, concrete pumping contractor and candidate for governor in 2022
* George Nicholson

#### Publicly expressed interest

* Tom Hatten, gym chain founder
* Kimberly Yee, Arizona State Treasurer (2019–present) and candidate for governor in 2022

#### Potential

* Charlie Kirk, CEO of Turning Point USA

#### Declined

* Juan Ciscomani, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 6th congressional district (2023–present) (running for re-election)
* Jake Hoffman, state senator from the 15th district (2023–present) and 2020 fake elector for Donald Trump (endorsed Biggs)
* Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor, nominee for governor in 2022, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024

#### Endorsements
##### U.S. Representatives

* Lauren Boebert, U.S. Representative from CO-4 (2021–present)
* Eli Crane, U.S. Representative from AZ-2 (2023–present)
* Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative from AZ-9 (2011–present)

##### State legislators

* Jake Hoffman, state senator from the 15th district (2023–present)

##### Local officials

* Debbie Lesko, Maricopa County supervisor (2025–present) and former U.S. Representative from AZ-8 (2018–2025)

##### Federal officials

* Donald Trump, 45th and 47th President of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Biggs | Karrin Taylor Robson | Other | Undecided |
| NicoPAC (R) | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 71% | 14% | – | 15% |

#### Andy Biggs vs. Charlie Kirk vs. Jake McCain vs. Jake Hoffman vs. Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Biggs | Jake Hoffman | Charlie Kirk | Jake McCain | Karrin Taylor Robson | Kimberly Yee | Other | Undecided |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 11–13, 2025 | 374 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 14% | 1% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 5% | – | 47% |

#### Andy Biggs vs. Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Biggs | Karrin Taylor Robson | Kimberly Yee | Other | Undecided |
| NicoPAC (R) | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 59% | 9% | 11% | 3% | 19% |
| Data Orbital | January 18–20, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 45% |

#### Andy Biggs vs. Kimberly Yee

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Biggs | Kimberly Yee | Other | Undecided |
| NicoPAC (R) | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 19% | – | 14% |

#### Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Karrin Taylor Robson | Kimberly Yee | Other | Undecided |
| NicoPAC (R) | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 15% | 41% | – | 43% |

## Libertarian primary
### Candidates
#### Filed paperwork

* Barry Hess, businessman and perennial candidate

## Green primary
### Candidates
#### Filed paperwork

* William Pounds, streamer/recording artist and candidate for governor in 2022

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | January 23, 2025 |
| Inside Elections | Battleground | February 6, 2025 |

### Polling

Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Katie Hobbs (D) | Andy Biggs (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 38% | 5% | 17% |
| Kreate Strategies (R) | February 5–7, 2025 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | – | 13% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Karrin Taylor Robson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Katie Hobbs (D) | Karrin Taylor Robson (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 35% | 4% | 18% |
| Kreate Strategies (R) | February 5–7, 2025 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 38% | – | 22% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Charlie Kirk
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Katie Hobbs (D) | Charlie Kirk (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 36% | 7% | 18% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Jake Hoffman
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Katie Hobbs (D) | Jake Hoffman (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 35% | 5% | 20% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Jake McCain
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Katie Hobbs (D) | Jake McCain (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 36% | 6% | 21% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Katie Hobbs (D) | Kimberly Yee (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 34% | 6% | 20% |