# 2024 Vermont gubernatorial election

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2024 :
State government
General elections
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Gubernatorial elections
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2024 :
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Proposal 2
Proposal 5 :
Burlington
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2024 :
vte :
The 2024 Vermont gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Vermont, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fifth term, defeating the Democratic nominee, Vermont Commission on Women co-chair Esther Charlestin. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.
Being frequently ranked as the nation's most popular governor, Scott has won re-election by continually increasing margins since taking office. Despite Vermont's partisan lean toward the Democratic Party, Scott was expected to easily win.
Along with New Hampshire, this race was one of two Republican-held governorships up for election in 2024 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. This was the best Republican performance in a Vermont gubernatorial election since 1946, with Scott winning every municipality (as he did in 2022) and Scott's coattails allowed Republicans to break Democratic supermajorities in the state legislature.

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Phil Scott, incumbent governor (2017–present)

#### Withdrawn

* Peter Duval, former Underhill selectman and independent candidate for governor in 2022 (ran as a Democrat)

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 23,173 | 92.75% |
| | Republican | Undervotes | 1,357 | 5.43% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 448 | 1.79% |
| | Republican | Overvotes | 7 | 0.03% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 23,565 | 100.00% |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Esther Charlestin, co-chair of the Vermont Commission on Women and former Middlebury selectman

#### Eliminated in primary

* Peter Duval, former Underhill selectman and independent candidate for governor in 2022

#### Declined

* Howard Dean, former governor (1991–2003) and former chair of the Democratic National Committee (2005–2009)
* Caleb Elder, state representative (2018–present) (running for state senate)
* Miro Weinberger, former mayor of Burlington (2012–2024)
* David Zuckerman, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (2017–2021, 2023–present) and nominee for governor in 2020 (running for re-election)

### Endorsements

Political parties
* Vermont Democratic Party

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Esther Charlestin | 24,007 | 46.19% |
| | Democratic | Undervotes | 13,404 | 25.79% |
| | Democratic | Peter Duval | 9,377 | 18.04% |
| | Republican | Phil Scott (write-in) | 4,558 | 8.77% |
| | Write-in | Misc. Write-ins | 601 | 1.56% |
| | Democratic | Overvotes | 22 | 0.04% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 51,969 | 100% |

## Progressive primary
### Candidates
#### Withdrew after nomination

* Marielle Blais, speech-language pathologist and nominee for state auditor in 2022

#### Results

Progressive primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Progressive | Marielle Blais | 268 | 64.73% |
| | Progressive | Undervotes | 71 | 17.11% |
| | Republican | Phil Scott (write-in) | 35 | 8.45% |
| | Democratic | Esther Charlestin (write-in) | 21 | 5.07% |
| | Write-in | Misc. Write-ins | 19 | 4.59% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 414 | 100% |

## Independent and third party candidates
### Declared

* June Goodband (Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party), counselor
* Kevin Hoyt (Independent), videographer and perennial candidate
* Poa Mutino (Independent), program manager

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid R | June 13, 2024 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | July 14, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | June 4, 2024 |
| RCP | Solid R | July 13, 2024 |
| Elections Daily | Safe R | July 12, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | August 17, 2024 |

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Phil Scott (R) | Esther Charlestin (D) | Kevin Hoyt (I) | Other | Undecided |
| University of New Hampshire | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 1,167 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 65% | 26% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire | August 15–19, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 56% | 28% | 5% | 2% | 10% |

### Results

* Republican — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +2.5–5%
* Republican — +7.5–10%
2024 Vermont gubernatorial election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 266,439 | 73.43% | +2.52% |
| | Democratic/Progressive | Esther Charlestin | 79,217 | 21.83% | −2.11% |
| | Independent | Kevin Hoyt | 9,368 | 2.58% | +0.52% |
| | Green Mountain Peace and Justice | June Goodband | 4,512 | 1.24% | N/A |
| | Independent | Eli "Poa" Mutino | 2,414 | 0.67% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 891 | 0.25% | −0.21 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 362,841 | 100.0% | |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |