# 2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota

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The 2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Dakota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
On election night, Trump carried the state with an overwhelming victory margin of 36.45%, the highest out of any Republican presidential victory in the state since 1980. It was Trump's fourth strongest state in margin of victory, behind Idaho, West Virginia and Wyoming.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The North Dakota Democratic primary was held mostly through mail in ballots. Limited in person voting was held, and all ballots were due March 30, 2024.
North Dakota Democratic primary, February 20 – March 30, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 840 | 92.4% | 13 | | 13 |
| Marianne Williamson | 31 | 3.4% | | | |
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 16 | 1.8% | | | |
| Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 13 | 1.4% | | | |
| Eban Cambridge | 4 | 0.4% | | | |
| Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) | 3 | 0.3% | | | |
| Jason Palmer | 2 | 0.2% | | | |
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 0 | 0% | | | |
| Total: | 909 | 100.0% | 13 | 4 | 17 |

### Republican caucuses

The North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 4, 2024, one day before Super Tuesday, where 15 states and 865 total delegates were up for election.
North Dakota Republican caucus, March 4, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 1,632 | 84.43% | 29 | 0 | 29 |
| Nikki Haley | 273 | 14.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 19 | 0.98% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 9 | 0.47% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,933 | 100.00% | 29 | 0 | 29 |

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |

### Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL | Other / Undecided |
| Lake Research Partners (D) | September 23–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| WPA Intelligence (R) | September 28–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 59% | 32% | 1% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic–NPL | Other / Undecided |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 62% | 28% | 10% |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 55% | 37% | 8% |
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 17% | 28% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic–NPL | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 58% | 30% | 12% |

### Results

* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 246,505 | 66.96% | 1.85% |
| | Democratic–NPL | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 112,327 | 30.51% | 1.27% |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 6,227 | 1.69% | 0.91% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 3,096 | 0.84% | 0.31% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 368,155 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic-NPL | Kamala Harris Democratic-NPL | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Adams | 962 | 80.10% | 215 | 17.90% | 24 | 2.00% | 747 | 62.20% | 1,201 |
| Barnes | 3,531 | 66.14% | 1,661 | 31.11% | 147 | 2.75% | 1,870 | 35.03% | 5,339 |
| Benson | 1,163 | 58.09% | 795 | 39.71% | 44 | 2.20% | 368 | 18.38% | 2,002 |
| Billings | 543 | 83.93% | 93 | 14.37% | 11 | 1.70% | 450 | 69.56% | 647 |
| Bottineau | 2,628 | 76.24% | 735 | 21.32% | 84 | 2.44% | 1,893 | 54.92% | 3,447 |
| Bowman | 1,384 | 85.54% | 207 | 12.79% | 27 | 1.67% | 1,177 | 72.75% | 1,618 |
| Burke | 909 | 86.08% | 130 | 12.31% | 17 | 1.61% | 779 | 73.77% | 1,056 |
| Burleigh | 36,595 | 70.02% | 14,215 | 27.20% | 1,453 | 2.78% | 22,380 | 42.82% | 52,263 |
| Cass | 47,873 | 52.69% | 40,304 | 44.36% | 2,674 | 2.94% | 7,569 | 8.33% | 90,851 |
| Cavalier | 1,461 | 73.53% | 491 | 24.71% | 35 | 1.76% | 970 | 48.82% | 1,987 |
| Dickey | 1,829 | 74.56% | 557 | 22.71% | 67 | 2.73% | 1,272 | 51.85% | 2,453 |
| Divide | 914 | 76.10% | 253 | 21.07% | 34 | 2.83% | 661 | 55.03% | 1,201 |
| Dunn | 1,877 | 83.72% | 332 | 14.81% | 33 | 1.47% | 1,545 | 68.91% | 2,242 |
| Eddy | 862 | 71.54% | 316 | 26.22% | 27 | 2.24% | 546 | 45.32% | 1,205 |
| Emmons | 1,697 | 87.93% | 205 | 10.62% | 28 | 1.45% | 1,492 | 77.31% | 1,930 |
| Foster | 1,326 | 77.86% | 335 | 19.67% | 42 | 2.47% | 991 | 58.19% | 1,703 |
| Golden Valley | 847 | 85.47% | 122 | 12.31% | 22 | 2.22% | 725 | 73.16% | 991 |
| Grand Forks | 18,123 | 57.70% | 12,469 | 39.70% | 819 | 2.61% | 5,654 | 18.00% | 30,970 |
| Grant | 1,076 | 82.39% | 205 | 15.70% | 25 | 1.91% | 871 | 66.69% | 1,306 |
| Griggs | 963 | 74.71% | 301 | 23.35% | 25 | 1.94% | 662 | 51.36% | 1,289 |
| Hettinger | 1,089 | 83.38% | 192 | 14.70% | 25 | 1.92% | 897 | 68.68% | 1,306 |
| Kidder | 1,137 | 81.33% | 238 | 17.02% | 23 | 1.64% | 899 | 64.31% | 1,398 |
| LaMoure | 1,614 | 76.02% | 453 | 21.34% | 56 | 2.64% | 1,161 | 54.68% | 2,123 |
| Logan | 898 | 86.93% | 117 | 11.33% | 18 | 1.74% | 781 | 75.60% | 1,033 |
| McHenry | 2,223 | 80.78% | 479 | 17.41% | 50 | 1.82% | 1,744 | 63.37% | 2,752 |
| McIntosh | 1,132 | 81.44% | 229 | 16.47% | 29 | 2.09% | 903 | 64.97% | 1,390 |
| McKenzie | 4,627 | 83.81% | 809 | 14.65% | 85 | 1.54% | 3,818 | 69.16% | 5,521 |
| McLean | 4,231 | 78.05% | 1,093 | 20.16% | 97 | 1.79% | 3,138 | 57.89% | 5,421 |
| Mercer | 3,798 | 83.38% | 672 | 14.75% | 85 | 1.87% | 3,126 | 68.63% | 4,555 |
| Morton | 12,839 | 75.36% | 3,748 | 22.00% | 449 | 2.63% | 9,091 | 53.36% | 17,036 |
| Mountrail | 2,877 | 70.64% | 1,125 | 27.62% | 71 | 1.74% | 1,752 | 43.02% | 4,073 |
| Nelson | 1,141 | 64.79% | 580 | 32.94% | 40 | 2.27% | 561 | 31.85% | 1,761 |
| Oliver | 909 | 83.62% | 156 | 14.35% | 22 | 2.03% | 753 | 69.27% | 1,087 |
| Pembina | 2,350 | 75.51% | 704 | 22.62% | 58 | 1.86% | 1,646 | 52.89% | 3,112 |
| Pierce | 1,493 | 75.79% | 439 | 22.28% | 38 | 1.93% | 1,054 | 53.51% | 1,970 |
| Ramsey | 3,609 | 68.89% | 1,513 | 28.88% | 117 | 2.24% | 2,096 | 40.01% | 5,239 |
| Ransom | 1,661 | 62.70% | 920 | 34.73% | 68 | 2.57% | 740 | 27.97% | 2,649 |
| Renville | 993 | 82.20% | 179 | 14.82% | 36 | 2.98% | 814 | 67.38% | 1,208 |
| Richland | 5,576 | 67.50% | 2,473 | 29.94% | 212 | 2.57% | 3,103 | 37.56% | 8,261 |
| Rolette | 1,427 | 35.02% | 2,567 | 62.99% | 81 | 1.99% | -1,140 | -27.97% | 4,075 |
| Sargent | 1,325 | 64.86% | 663 | 32.45% | 55 | 2.69% | 662 | 32.41% | 2,043 |
| Sheridan | 644 | 85.07% | 101 | 13.34% | 12 | 1.59% | 543 | 71.73% | 757 |
| Sioux | 285 | 29.91% | 654 | 68.63% | 14 | 1.46% | -369 | -38.72% | 953 |
| Slope | 351 | 90.23% | 33 | 8.48% | 5 | 1.28% | 318 | 81.75% | 389 |
| Stark | 12,323 | 81.61% | 2,473 | 16.38% | 304 | 2.01% | 9,850 | 65.23% | 15,100 |
| Steele | 622 | 61.28% | 367 | 36.16% | 26 | 2.57% | 255 | 25.12% | 1,015 |
| Stutsman | 7,185 | 70.90% | 2,692 | 26.56% | 257 | 2.53% | 4,493 | 44.34% | 10,134 |
| Towner | 796 | 71.45% | 289 | 25.94% | 29 | 2.60% | 507 | 45.51% | 1,114 |
| Traill | 2,650 | 64.40% | 1,359 | 33.03% | 106 | 2.58% | 1,291 | 31.37% | 4,115 |
| Walsh | 3,186 | 70.86% | 1,173 | 26.09% | 137 | 3.05% | 2,013 | 44.77% | 4,496 |
| Ward | 20,635 | 72.27% | 7,215 | 25.27% | 702 | 2.46% | 13,420 | 47.00% | 28,552 |
| Wells | 1,815 | 80.56% | 405 | 17.98% | 33 | 1.47% | 1,410 | 62.58% | 2,253 |
| Williams | 12,501 | 82.67% | 2,276 | 15.05% | 345 | 2.28% | 10,225 | 67.62% | 15,122 |
| Totals | 246,505 | 66.96% | 112,327 | 30.51% | 9,323 | 2.53% | 134,178 | 36.45% | 368,155 |

#### By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is an at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
| At-large | 66.96% | 30.61% | Julie Fedorchak |

## Analysis

A sparsely-populated Great Plains state with a predominantly White populace and electorate, North Dakota has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson won it in his nationwide 1964 landslide. Furthermore, it has only been decided by single digits in three presidential elections since 1964: 1976, 1996, and 2008. Agribusiness and the recent oil boom have played a key role in cementing the GOP's overwhelming dominance in the state.
North Dakota has one of the highest percentage of Native Americans in the country, a constituency that has been relatively solidly Democratic in the past. In 2024, however, Native Americans shifted heavily to the right, with North Dakota's Native population following that trend. Sioux County, North Dakota's most Native American county, shifted harder to the right than any county in the state.
North Dakota is considered a deeply red state, and Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump won it by over 30 percentage points in both 2016 and 2020. In terms of popular vote percentage, North Dakota was Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver's strongest state, with 1.7 percent.