# 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

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Government :
vte :
The 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania. Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano to win his first term in office. Shapiro succeeded Democratic incumbent Tom Wolf, who was term limited.
In the primaries on May 17, 2022, Shapiro was unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Mastriano, who was endorsed by Donald Trump (between presidencies), won the Republican nomination with 44% of the vote over former congressman Lou Barletta and former U.S. attorney William McSwain. Although the election was expected to be competitive due to Pennsylvania's reputation as a swing state, Mastriano had trouble fundraising, made few media appearances, committed multiple gaffes, was accused of antisemitism against Shapiro, and generated controversy from his far-right positions. Mastriano's struggles helped Shapiro take a strong polling lead that continued up to the election.
Shapiro defeated Mastriano by almost 15 points, the largest margin for a non-incumbent candidate for Pennsylvania governor since 1946, and earned the most votes of a Pennsylvania gubernatorial candidate at just over three million. His large margin of victory was credited with helping down-ballot Democrats in concurrent elections. The victory also marked the first time since 1844 that the Democratic Party won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania, and the first since 1950 that any party had done so. According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Shapiro won independent voters by 31 percentage points, which contributed to Mastriano's defeat.

## Democratic primary
### Governor
#### Campaign

Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro ran unopposed and was described as the Democratic Party's presumptive nominee by The Philadelphia Inquirer and the Pennsylvania Capital-Star early in the campaign, with the Capital-Star reporting that efforts to recruit a primary challenger to the left of Shapiro had failed.

#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania Attorney General (2017–2023), former member of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners (2012–2017), former state representative for PA-153 (2005–2012)

##### Failed to qualify for ballot access

* Tega Swann, Christian minister

##### Declined

* Brendan Boyle, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district (2019–present) and former U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2015–2019) (ran for re-election)
* John Fetterman, lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023), candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 (ran for the U.S. Senate)
* Sara Innamorato, state representative for the 21st legislative district (2019–2023)
* Jim Kenney, mayor of Philadelphia (2016–2024)
* Joe Torsella, former Pennsylvania state treasurer (2017–2021)

#### Endorsements

U.S. senators
* Bob Casey Jr., U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (2007–2025)
State executives
* Ed Rendell, former governor of Pennsylvania (2003–2011), chair of the National Governors Association (2008–2009)
* Tom Wolf, governor of Pennsylvania (2015–2023)
U.S. representatives
* Matt Cartwright, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (2019–present) and 17th district (2013–2019)
* Madeleine Dean, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district (2019–present)
* Dwight Evans, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district (2019–present) and 2nd district (2016–2019)
* Susan Wild, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district (2019–present) and 15th district (2018–2019)
State legislators
* Jessica Benham, state representative from the 36th district (2021–present)
* Danilo Burgos, state representative from the 197th district (2019–present)
* Michael B. Carroll, state representative from the 118th district (2007–2022)
* Jay Costa, minority leader of the Pennsylvania Senate (2011–present), state senator from the 43rd district (1996–present)
* Austin Davis, state representative from the 35th district (2018–2023) and candidate for lieutenant governor
* Dave Delloso, state representative from the 162nd district (2019–present)
* Marty Flynn, state senator from the 22nd District (2021–present)
* Dan Frankel, state representative from the 23rd district (1999–present)
* Pat Harkins, state representative from the 1st district (2007–present)
* Vincent Hughes, state senator from the 7th district (1994–present)
* Tim Kearney, state senator from the 26th district (2019–present)
* Malcolm Kenyatta, state representative from the 181st district (2019–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate
* Patty Kim, state representative from the 103rd district (2013–present)
* Emily Kinkead, state representative from the 20th district (2020–present)
* Joanna McClinton, state representative from the 191st district (2015–present), minority leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2020–2023)
* Robert Merski, state representative from the 2nd district (2019–present)
* Gerald Mullery, state representative from the 119th district (2011–present)
* Eddie Day Pashinski, state representative from the 121st district (2007–present)
* Brian Sims, state representative from the 182nd district (2013–2022)
* Sharif Street, state senator from the 3rd district (2017–present)
* Anthony H. Williams, state senator from the 8th District (1999–present), minority whip of the Pennsylvania Senate (2011–present)
* Mike Zabel, state representative from the 163rd district (2019–present)
Local officials
* George Brown, mayor of Wilkes-Barre (2020–present)
* Darrell L. Clarke, president of the Philadelphia City Council (2012–present), member of the Philadelphia City Council from the 5th district (1999–present)
* Paige Gebhardt Cognetti, Mayor of Scranton (2020–present)
* Kathy Dahlkemper, Erie County executive (2014–2022) and former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district (2009–2011)
* Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County executive (2012–present)
* Larry Krasner, District Attorney of Philadelphia (2018–present)
Party officials
* Marcel Groen, former chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party (2015–2018)
Labor unions
* AFL–CIO
* Allegheny County Labor Council
* Amalgamated Transit Union
* American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
* Eastern Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters
* Greater Pennsylvania Regional Council of Carpenters
* International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Local #154
* International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
* International Brotherhood of Teamsters
* International Union of Operating Engineers
* Laborers' International Union of North America
* SEIU
* Sheet Metal Workers' International Association
* UFCW Local #1776 Keystone State
Organizations
* Democratic Governors Association
* Democratic Jewish Outreach PA
* Giffords
* Jewish Democratic Council of America
* MeidasTouch
* NARAL Pro-Choice America
* Penn State College Democrats
* Pennsylvania Democratic Party
* Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Individuals
* Mark Kelly Tyler, pastor of Mother Bethel A.M.E. Church
* Marc Zumoff, former play-by-play announcer for the Philadelphia 76ers

#### Results

Democratic primary (governor) :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Josh Shapiro | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,227,151 | 100.0% |

### Lieutenant governor
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Austin Davis, state representative from the 35th district (2018–2022)

##### Eliminated in primary

* Brian Sims, state representative from the 182nd district (2012–2022)
* Ray Sosa, candidate for lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania in 2018

##### Declined

* Elizabeth Fiedler, state representative for the 184th legislative district (2019–present)
* Steve Irwin, banking commissioner of Pennsylvania (2006–2014) (ran unsuccessfully for Congress)
* Michelle Kenney, activist for Black Lives Matter and mother of Antwon Rose
* Malcolm Kenyatta, state representative for the 181st legislative district (2019–present) (ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. Senate, endorsed Shapiro)
* Joe Torsella, former Pennsylvania state treasurer (2017–2021)

##### Withdrew

* Patty Kim, state representative for the 103rd legislative district (2013–present), Harrisburg City Council member (2006–2012) (running for re-election)
* Mark Pinsley, Lehigh County controller (2019–present) (running for State Senate)

#### Endorsements

State executives
* Ed Rendell, former governor of Pennsylvania (2003–2011) and chair of the National Governors Association (2008–2009)
* Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania attorney general (2017–2023)
* Tom Wolf, Governor of Pennsylvania (2015–2023)
State legislators
* Jay Costa, minority leader of the Pennsylvania Senate (2011–present), state senator from the 43rd district (1996–present)
State representatives
* Joanna McClinton, minority leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2020–2023)
Local officials
* Darrell L. Clarke, president of the Philadelphia City Council (2012–present), Philadelphia City Councillor from the 5th district (1999–present)
* Ed Gainey, Mayor of Pittsburgh (2022–present)
Labor unions
* SEIU
Newspapers and other media
* The Philadelphia Tribune
Organizations
* Pennsylvania Democratic Party
Organizations
* LGBTQ Victory Fund

#### Results

Democratic primary (lieutenant governor) :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Austin Davis | 768,141 | 63.00% |
| | Democratic | Brian Sims | 305,959 | 25.09% |
| | Democratic | Ray Sosa | 145,228 | 11.91% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,219,328 | 100.0% |

## Republican primary

In the Republican primary, leading candidates included former congressman Lou Barletta, Montgomery County commissioner Joe Gale, political strategist Charlie Gerow, former U.S. Attorney William McSwain, state Senator Doug Mastriano, and former Delaware County councilmember Dave White.
Several key issues, such as school choice, natural gas exploration in PA, and tax reform, were early themes in the Pennsylvania GOP debates before the primary election, while voting laws in the Commonwealth were a later topic of debate.
Due to his support for overturning the results of the 2020 presidential election and his role in the January 6 U.S. Capitol attack, many Republicans expressed concern about Mastriano's ability to win the general election. As a result, the party encouraged other candidates to drop out to allow for an alternative to Mastriano to gain traction.
On May 12, president pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate Jake Corman dropped out and endorsed Barletta. On May 14, former president Donald Trump endorsed Mastriano. On May 12, The Philadelphia Inquirer reported that former U.S. Representative Melissa Hart would also drop out and endorse Barletta. Mastriano won the primary with almost 44% of the vote, defeating his nearest competitor, Barletta, by over 23 points.
The New York Times reported in mid-June that Mastriano had been aided in the primary by the Pennsylvania Democratic Party and Shapiro's campaign with an ad equating him to Trump. Shapiro defended the move, saying the ad demonstrated the contrast between him and Mastriano as part of the general election campaign. The Times saw it as part of a nationwide strategy to gain easier opponents in November.

### Governor
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Doug Mastriano, state senator from SD-33 (2019–present) and candidate for PA-13 in 2018

##### Eliminated in primary

* Lou Barletta, U.S. representative from PA-11 (2011–2019), Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018
* Joe Gale, member of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners (2016–present), candidate for lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania in 2018
* Charlie Gerow, vice-chair of the American Conservative Union
* William McSwain, U.S. attorney for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania (2018–2021)
* Dave White, member of the Delaware County Council (2012–2017)
* Nche Zama, cardiothoracic surgeon

##### Withdrew

* Shawn Berger, restaurant owner
* Guy Ciarrocchi, CEO of the Chester County Chamber of Business & Industry (2014–present), Chief of staff to Lieutenant Governor Jim Cawley (2011–2014) (ran unsuccessfully for U.S. House)
* Jake Corman, state senator from District 34 (1999–2022), President pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate (2020–2022) (endorsed Barletta)
* Melissa Hart, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district (2001–2007), state senator from District 40 (1991–2001) (endorsed Barletta)
* Scott Martin, state senator from District 13 (2017–present)
* Jason Monn, former mayor of Corry (2015–2016) (ran for State Representative)
* Jason Richey, attorney at K&L Gates (endorsed McSwain)
* Mike Turzai, speaker of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2015–2020), state representative from HD-28 (2001–2020), candidate for Governor of Pennsylvania in 2018
* John Ventre, Westmoreland County Republican Committeeman

##### Declined

* Ryan Aument, state senator for the 36th senatorial district (2015–present)
* Jeff Bartos, businessman and nominee for lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania in 2018 (ran unsuccessfully for U.S. Senate)
* Jim Cawley, former lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania (2011–2015) (endorsed Barletta)
* Laureen Cummings, former Lackawanna County commissioner and Republican nominee for Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district in 2012
* Brian Fitzpatrick, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election)
* Daniel J. Hilferty, former CEO of Independence Blue Cross
* Mike Kelly, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2011–present) (ran for re-election)
* Dan Laughlin, state senator for the 49th senatorial district (2017–present)
* Paul Mango, businessman and candidate for governor of Pennsylvania in 2018
* Dan Meuser, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district (2019–present) (running for re-election, endorsed Barletta)
* Jason Ortitay, state representative for the 46th legislative district (2015–present) (ran for re-election)
* Pat Toomey, U.S. senator

#### Debates and forums

2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election Republican primary debates :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | Participants | Participants | Participants | Participants | Participants | Participants | Participants |
| Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | | | | | | | | |
| Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Key: P Participant  N Non-invitee | Lou Barletta | Jake Corman | Joe Gale | Charlie Gerow | Melissa Hart | Doug Mastriano | William McSwain | Dave White |
| 1 | Apr 27, 2022 | ABC 27/WPXI | Dennis Owens Lisa Sylvester | | P | N | N | N | N | P | P | P |

#### Endorsements

Executive branch officials
* Steve Bannon, former White House Chief Strategist and Senior Counselor to the President (2017)
* Bill Stepien, former White House Director of Political Affairs (2017–2018)
U.S. senators
* Rick Santorum, U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (1995–2007) and candidate for president in 2012 and 2016 (previously endorsed Corman)
U.S. representatives
* Melissa Hart, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district (2001–2007)
* Ronny Jackson, U.S. representative from Texas's 13th congressional district (2021–present) and former Physician to the President (2013–2018)
* Fred Keller, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2019–2023)
* Tom Marino, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2019) and 10th district (2011–2019)
* Dan Meuser, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district (2019–present)
* Keith Rothfus, former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2013–2019)
State officials
* Jim Cawley, former lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania (2011–2015)
* Mark Schweiker, former governor of Pennsylvania (2001–2003)
State legislators
* Lisa Baker, state senator from SD-20 (2007–present)
* Karen Boback, state representative from 117th district (2007–present)
* Jake Corman, President pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate (2020–2022), state senator from SD-34 (1999–2022)
* Doyle Heffley, state representative from the 122nd district (2011–present)
* Aaron Kaufer, state representative from 120th district (2015–present)
* Kurt Masser, state representative from the 107th district (2011–present)
Organizations
* Oil and Gas Workers Association
Executive branch officials
* Kellyanne Conway, former senior counselor to the president (2017–2020)
U.S. senators
* Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (1995–2007) and candidate for President in 2012 and 2016 (switched endorsement to Barletta after Corman withdrew)
U.S. representatives
* Newt Gingrich, former U.S. representative from Georgia's 6th congressional district (1979–1999), former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (1995–1999)
* G.T. Thompson, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district (2019–present) and 5th district (2009–2019)
* Robert Smith Walker, former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (1977–1997)
Organizations
* American Conservative Union
U.S. presidents
* Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
Executive branch officials
* Michael Flynn, former National Security Advisor (2017)
Local officials
* Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City (1994–2001)
Organizations
* Gab, alt-tech social media service
Individuals
* Jenna Ellis, legal advisor to former President Donald Trump
* Mike Lindell, founder and CEO of MyPillow
U.S. senators
* Pat Toomey, U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (2011–2023)
Party officials
* Robert Gleason, former chair of the Pennsylvania Republican Party (2006–2017)
Individuals
* Mike Ditka, former head coach of the Chicago Bears (1982–1992)
Executive branch officials
* Richard Grenell, former special presidential envoy for Serbia and Kosovo Peace Negotiations (2019–2021), former U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020), and former acting Director of National Intelligence (2020)
State legislators
* Dan Laughlin, state senator from the 49th district (2017–present)
* Kim Ward, state senator from the 39th district (2009–present), Majority Leader of the Pennsylvania Senate (2020–present)
Organizations
* Pennsylvania Republican Party
Newspapers and other media
* The Philadelphia Inquirer

#### Polling

Graphical summary
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Lou Barletta | Jake Corman | Doug Mastriano | William McSwain | Dave White | Other | Margin |
| Real Clear Politics | May 3–16, 2022 | May 17, 2022 | 20.3% | 2.7% | 34.3% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 17.6% | Mastriano +14.0 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Lou Barletta | Jake Corman | Scott Martin | Doug Mastriano | William McSwain | Dave White | Other | Undecided |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | May 14–16, 2022 | 1,195 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 25% | – | – | 37% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 5% |
| Emerson College | May 14–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 2% | – | 34% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 15% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 12–15, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 15% | 1% | – | 29% | 18% | 8% | 6% | 24% |
| | May 13, 2022 | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race | Hart withdraws from the race |
| | May 12, 2022 | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race | Corman withdraws from the race |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | May 6–8, 2022 | 1,080 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 18% | 5% | – | 28% | 14% | 15% | 9% | 11% |
| Fox News | May 3–7, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 17% | 5% | – | 29% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 15% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | April 20 – May 1, 2022 | 325 (RV) | ± 6.9% | 11% | 1% | – | 20% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 34% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | April 11–13, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 19% | 3% | – | 22% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 19% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | March 30 – April 10, 2022 | 317 (RV) | ± 6.6% | 10% | 2% | – | 15% | 12% | 5% | 14% | 40% |
| Eagle Consulting Group (R) | April 7–9, 2022 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | – | – | 19% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 44% |
| Emerson College | April 3–4, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 20% | 4% | – | 19% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 27% |
| Emerson College | March 26–28, 2022 | 372 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 2% | – | 16% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 49% |
| Fox News | March 2–6, 2022 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 11% | 14% | 2% | 25% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | February 1–4, 2022 | 1,070 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 20% | 4% | – | 14% | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | November 9–10, 2021 | 648 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 56% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | September 24–30, 2021 | 313 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 27% | – | 6% | – | 0% | – | 6% | 60% |
| WPA Intelligence (R) | May 10–12, 2021 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 16% | – | – | 19% | – | – | 17% | 49% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | February 16–24, 2021 | 272 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 20% | – | – | 11% | 3% | – | 8% | 60% |

#### Results

Republican primary (governor) :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Doug Mastriano | 591,240 | 43.81% |
| | Republican | Lou Barletta | 273,252 | 20.25% |
| | Republican | William McSwain | 212,886 | 15.78% |
| | Republican | Dave White | 129,058 | 9.56% |
| | Republican | Melissa Hart (withdrawn) | 54,752 | 4.06% |
| | Republican | Joe Gale | 27,920 | 2.07% |
| | Republican | Jake Corman (withdrawn) | 26,091 | 1.93% |
| | Republican | Charlie Gerow | 17,922 | 1.33% |
| | Republican | Nche Zama | 16,238 | 1.20% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,349,359 | 100.00% |

### Lieutenant governor
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Carrie DelRosso, state representative for HD-33 (2021–2022), Member of Oakmont Borough Council (2018–2021)

##### Eliminated in primary

* Jerry Carnicella, candidate for state representative for HD-72 in 2018 and 2020 and for state senator in SD-35 in 2016
* Jeff Coleman, state representative for HD-60 (2001–2004), founder of Churchill Strategies
* Teddy Daniels, candidate for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district in 2020
* Russ Diamond, state representative for HD-102 (2015–present)
* Chris Frye, Mayor of New Castle, Pennsylvania (2019–present)
* Angela Grant, school director for the Jersey Shore Area School District (2019–present)
* Rick Saccone, state representative for HD-39 (2011–2019), nominee for Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district in 2018
* Clarice Schillinger, executive director of Back to School PA PAC

#### Declined

* Brandon Flood, former secretary of the Pennsylvania Board of Pardons (2019–2021) (endorsed Coleman)

#### Endorsements

State legislators
* Doug Mastriano, state senator from the 33rd district (2019–present)
U.S. senators
* Pat Toomey, U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (2011–present)
Individuals
* Brandon Flood, former secretary of the Pennsylvania Board of Pardons (2019–2021)
Organizations
* Stand for Health Freedom

#### Results

Republican primary (lieutenant governor) :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Carrie DelRosso | 318,970 | 25.59% |
| | Republican | Rick Saccone | 195,774 | 15.71% |
| | Republican | Teddy Daniels | 150,935 | 12.11% |
| | Republican | Clarice Schillinger | 148,442 | 11.91% |
| | Republican | Jeff Coleman | 126,072 | 10.11% |
| | Republican | James Jones | 113,966 | 9.14% |
| | Republican | Russ Diamond | 74,265 | 5.96% |
| | Republican | John Brown | 59,267 | 4.75% |
| | Republican | Chris Frye | 58,752 | 4.71% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,246,443 | 100.00% |

## Libertarian nomination

The Libertarian Party nominees qualified for the general election ballot on August 1.

### Governor
#### Nominee

* Matt Hackenburg, aerospace computer engineer

#### Eliminated in board vote

* Nicole Shultz, auditor of Windsor Township, York County (2022–present) and treasurer of the Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania (2021–2022) (originally ran for Lieutenant Governor; running as the Keystone nominee for Lieutenant Governor)

#### Withdrew

* Joe Soloski, public accountant and nominee for state representative from the 81st district in 2018 and state treasurer in 2020 (running as the Keystone nominee)

### Lieutenant governor
#### Nominee

* Tim McMaster, IT analyst, farmer, and nominee for state senator from the 48th district in 2021

#### Withdrew

* Nicole Shultz, auditor of Windsor Township, York County (2022–present) and treasurer of the Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania (2021–2022) (ran for Governor)

## Green convention

The Green Party nominees qualified for the general election ballot on August 1.

### Governor
#### Nominee

* Christina DiGiulio, environmental activist and former analytical chemist

#### Withdrew

* Christina Olson, small business owner and co-chair of the Green Party of Pennsylvania

### Lieutenant governor
#### Nominee

* Michael Bagdes-Canning, mayor of Cherry Valley (2022–present), former member of the Cherry Valley Borough Council (1989–2022), and nominee for state representative from the 64th district in 2016 and 2020

## Keystone nomination
### Governor
#### Nominee

* Joe Soloski (Keystone nominee), public accountant and Libertarian nominee for state representative from the 81st district in 2018 and state treasurer in 2020 (originally ran as a Libertarian)

#### Withdrew

* Eddie Wenrich (independent), store manager (ran for state representative)

### Lieutenant governor
#### Nominee

* Nicole Shultz (Keystone nominee), auditor of Windsor Township, York County (2022–present) and treasurer of the Keystone Party of Pennsylvania (2022–present) (originally ran as a Libertarian for lieutenant governor and later governor)

## General election
### Campaign

Attorney General Josh Shapiro ran a progressive campaign emphasizing protecting abortion rights, voter rights, and raising the state's minimum wage to $15 an hour. On criminal justice issues, Shapiro promised to sign a bill abolishing the death penalty having previously supported it, but also faced criticism from some left-wing voters for adopting a "tough on crime" image. In addition, he has openly feuded with Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner.
State Senator Doug Mastriano positioned himself as a staunch ally of former president Donald Trump, promoting conspiracy theories about the 2020 election, defense of Confederate monuments, arming school teachers with firearms, and disobeying COVID-19 safety protocols. Mastriano also drew accusations of antisemitism for using anti-semitic dogwhistles against Shapiro. One of Mastriano's most vocal supporters was Andrew Torba, the CEO of far-right social media website Gab, a website on which the perpetrator of the Tree of Life Synagogue shooting posted before committing the massacre. Torba donated $500 to the Mastriano campaign, and Mastriano himself told the Gab founder in an interview, "Thank God for what you've done."
No debate was held during the general election, as Shapiro and Mastriano were unable to come to an agreement on how to debate. In addition, Mastriano did not release his first general election ads until October, while the more well-funded Shapiro had already spent $18.6 million in television broadcasting by that time. These factors, combined with Mastriano's refusal to talk to major media outlets and decision to ban journalists from campaign rallies, severely limited his voter outreach.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Likely D | September 29, 2022 |
| Inside Elections | Lean D | October 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
| Politico | Likely D | October 25, 2022 |
| RCP | Lean D | November 2, 2022 |
| Fox News | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
| 538 | Solid D | October 28, 2022 |
| Elections Daily | Likely D | November 7, 2022 |

### Post-primary endorsements

Executive branch officials
* Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–2025), 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Delaware (1973–2009)
* Michael Chertoff, United States Secretary of Homeland Security (2005–2009) (Republican)
* Kamala Harris, 49th vice president of the United States (2021–2025) and former U.S. senator from California (2017–2021)
* Bill Kristol, Chief of Staff to the Vice President (1989–1993) (former Republican)
* Patrick Murphy, acting U.S. Secretary of the Army (2016), U.S. Under Secretary of the Army (2016–2017), former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (2007–2011)
* Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
* Jim Schultz, Associate White House Counsel (2017) (Republican)
* Alan Steinberg, Region 2 EPA Administrator (2005–2009), executive director of the New Jersey Meadowlands Commission (1998–2002) (Republican)
U.S. senators
* Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present), mayor of Newark (2006–2013)
State officials
* Walter W. Cohen, acting Pennsylvania Attorney General (1995)
* Joe Conti, Chief Executive Officer of the Pennsylvania Liquor Control Board (2006–2013), state senator from the 10th district (1997–2006), state representative from the 143rd district (1993–1996) (Republican)
* Roy Cooper, Governor of North Carolina (2017–present), Attorney General of North Carolina (2001–2017)
* John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023), and nominee for U.S. Senate
* Robert Jubelirer, former lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania (2001–2003) (Republican)
* Beverly D. Mackereth, Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Public Welfare (2013–2015) (Republican)
* Brad Mallory, Pennsylvania Secretary of Transportation (1995–2002) (Republican)
* Phil Murphy, Governor of New Jersey (2018–present), Chair of the National Governors Association (2022–present), U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2009–2013)
* Sandra Schultz Newman, Justice of the Pennsylvania Supreme Court (1996–2006) (Republican)
* J. B. Pritzker, Governor of Illinois (2019–present)
U.S. representatives
* Bob Brady, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district (1998–2019), chair of the Democratic Party of Philadelphia (1986–present)
* Liz Cheney, U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2017–2023), Chair of the House Republican Conference (2019–2021) (Republican)
* Charlie Dent, former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district (2005–2018) (Republican) (previously declined to endorse)
* Mike Doyle, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (2019–2023, 1995–2003) and 14th district (2003–2019)
* Jim Greenwood, former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (1993–2005) (Republican)
* Chrissy Houlahan, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district (2016–present)
* Adam Kinzinger, U.S. representative from Illinois's 16th congressional district (2013–2023) and Illinois's 17th congressional district (2011–2013) (Republican)
* Conor Lamb, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district (2019–2023) and Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (2018–2019)
* Mary Gay Scanlon, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district (2019–present) and 7th district (2018–2019)
State legislators
* Aerion Abney, state representative from the 19th district (2022–present)
* Jane S. Baker, state representative from the 134th district (2001–2002) (Republican)
* Ryan Bizzarro, state representative from the 3rd district (2013–present)
* Donna Bullock, state representative from the 195th district (2015–present)
* Raymond Bunt, state representative from the 147th district (1983–2006) (Republican)
* J. Scot Chadwick, state representative from the 110th district (1985–2000) (Republican)
* Mario Civera, state representative from the 164th district (1980–2010) (Republican)
* Lita Indzel Cohen, former state representative from the 148th district (1993–2002) (Republican)
* Maria Collett, state senator from the 12th district (2019–present)
* H. Scott Conklin, state representative from the 77th district (2007–present)
* Elizabeth Fiedler, state representative from the 184th district (2019–present)
* Mike Hanna, state representative from the 76th district (1991–2019), Democratic Whip of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2011–2019)
* Jordan A. Harris, state representative from the 186th district (2013–present), Democratic Whip of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2019–present)
* David Heckler, state senator from the 10th district, state representative from the 143rd district (1987–1993)
* Mary Isaacson, state representative from the 175th district (2019–present)
* James B. Kelly III, state representative from the 28th district (1971–1976) (Republican)
* Rick Krajewski, state representative from the 188th district (2021–present)
* Summer Lee, state representative from the 34th district (2019–2023) and 2022 Democratic nominee for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district
* Robert Matzie, state representative from the 16th district (2009–present)
* Jennifer O'Mara, state representative from the 165th district (2019–present)
* Darisha Parker, state representative from the 198th district (2020–present)
* Marguerite Quinn, state representative from the 143rd district (2007–2019) (Republican)
* Nikil Saval, state senator from the 1st district (2020–present)
* Melissa Shusterman, state representative from the 157th district (2019–present)
* Jared Solomon, state representative from the 202nd district (2017–present)
* Dave Steil, former state representative from the 31st district (1993–2008) (Republican)
Local officials
* Michael Bloomberg, mayor of New York City (2002–2013) and co-founder and CEO of Bloomberg L.P.
* Morgan Boyd, Lawrence County Commissioner Chairman (2020–present) (Republican)
* Kendra Brooks, member of the Philadelphia City Council from the at-large district (2020–present) (Working Families)
* Allan Domb, member of the Philadelphia City Council (2016–2022)
* Steven Fulop, mayor of Jersey City (2013–present)
* Ed Gainey, mayor of Pittsburgh (2022–present)
* Jamie Gauthier, member of the Philadelphia City Council from the 3rd District (2020–2022)
* Derek S. Green, member of the Philadelphia City Council from the at-large district (2016–present)
* Helen Gym, member of the Philadelphia City Council from the at-large district (2016–present)
* Jim Kenney, mayor of Philadelphia (2016–present), member of the Philadelphia City Council from the at-large district (1992–2015)
* Michael Nutter, mayor of Philadelphia (2008–2016), member of the Philadelphia City Council from the 4th district (1992–2006)
* Dennis M. O'Brien, former member of the Philadelphia City Council (2012–2016), former state representative from the 169th district (1977–1980; 1983–2012), former speaker of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2007–2008) (Republican)
* Maria Quiñones-Sánchez, member of the Philadelphia City Council (2008–2022)
* Rebecca Rhynhart, Philadelphia City Controller (2018–present)
* Katherine Gilmore Richardson, at-large member of the Philadelphia City Council (2020–present)
* Danene Sorace, mayor of Lancaster (2018–present)
* Isiah Thomas, member of the Philadelphia City Council At-Large (2020–present)
Labor unions
* Association of Pennsylvania State College and University Faculties
* Fraternal Order of Police
* Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals
* Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association
* Pennsylvania State Education Association
* Pennsylvania State Troopers Association
* Philadelphia Federation of Teachers
* United Mine Workers
* United Steelworkers
Organizations
* AAPI Victory Fund
* Bend the Arc
* Black Economic Alliance
* CeaseFirePA
* Clean Water Action
* Conservation Voters of Pennsylvania
* Democrats Abroad
* Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
* Emgage
* Everytown for Gun Safety
* Gen-Z for Change
* Human Rights Campaign
* The Lincoln Project
* MoveOn
* National Democratic Redistricting Committee
* National Wildlife Federation
* PennEnvironment
* Republican Accountability Project
* Ricky’s Pride PAC
* Sierra Club
* Stonewall Democrats-Pittsburgh chapter
Newspapers and other media
* The Daily Item
* The Patriot-News
* The Philadelphia Inquirer
* The Philadelphia Tribune
* Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
* The Tribune-Democrat
* The York Dispatch
* USA Today
Individuals
* Nina Ahmad, 2020 Democratic nominee for Pennsylvania Auditor General
* Jackson Browne, musician and activist
* Larry Ceisler, political strategist
* Peter Coyote, actor, screenwriter and narrator
* Franco Harris, former professional football player for the Pittsburgh Steelers and collegiate football player for the Penn State Nittany Lions
* Reid Hoffman, co-founder of LinkedIn
* Karla Jurvetson, physician and philanthropist
* Sam Katz, Republican nominee for mayor of Philadelphia in 1999 and 2003 (Independent)
* Sarah Longwell, conservative political strategist and publisher of The Bullwark (Republican)
* Mary L. Trump, psychologist, author and niece of former president Donald Trump
* Shannon Watts, founder of Moms Demand Action
* Robert Wilburn, former CEO of the Gettysburg National Battlefield Museum Foundation and former president of Indiana University of Pennsylvania
Executive branch officials
* Ben Carson, former HUD secretary (2017–2021)
State officials
* Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida (2019–present) and former U.S. Representative from Florida's 6th congressional district (2013–2018)
* Stacy Garrity, treasurer of Pennsylvania (2021–present)
U.S. senators
* Rick Santorum, U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (1995–2007), U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district (1991–1995)
U.S. representatives
* Lou Barletta, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district (2011–2019)
* John Joyce, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2019–present)
* Fred Keller, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2019–2023), former state representative from the 85th district (2011–2019)
* Mike Kelly, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district (2011–2019)
* Dan Meuser, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district (2019–present), former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue (2011–2015)
* Scott Perry, chair of the House Freedom Caucus (2022–2024), U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district (2013–2019)
* Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2019–present), former state senator from the 37th district (2015–2019)
* Lloyd Smucker, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2017–2019), member of the Pennsylvania State Senate from the 13th district (2009–2016)
* Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. representative from Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)
* G.T. Thompson, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district (2009–2019), ranking member of the House Agriculture Committee (2021–present)
State legislators
* Stephanie Borowicz, Pennsylvania state representative from the 76th district (2019–present)
* Kim Ward, Pennsylvania state senator from the 39th district (2009–present) and majority leader of the Pennsylvania Senate (2020–present)
Local officials
* Bernard Kerik, former Police Commissioner of New York City (2000–2001) and pardoned felon
Individuals
* Kathy Barnette, political commentator and candidate for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania in 2022
* Joe D'Orsie, candidate for Pennsylvania state representative from the 47th district in 2022
* Sean Feucht, Christian gospel singer and former worship leader at Bethel Church
* Kari Lake, former television news anchor and Republican nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2022 election
* Mehmet Oz, television personality and 2022 Republican senate nominee
* Jack Posobiec, alt-right political activist, conspiracy theorist and provocateur
* Andrew Torba, white supremacist and CEO of Gab
* Donald Trump Jr., businessman and former television personality
Organizations
* America First Secretary of State Coalition
* Gun Owners of America
* National Right to Life Committee
* NRA Political Victory Fund
* Pennsylvania Republican Party
Executive branch officials
* Tom Ridge, U.S. secretary of Homeland Security (2003–2005), Homeland Security advisor (2001–2003), governor of Pennsylvania (1995–2001), U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 21st congressional district (1983–1995) (Republican)
U.S. senators
* Mitt Romney, U.S. senator from Utah (2019–present), former governor of Massachusetts (2003–2007) and nominee for President in 2012 (Republican)
* Pat Toomey, U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (2011–2023) and former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district (1999–2005) (Republican)
U.S. representatives
* Charlie Dent, former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district (2005–2018) (Republican) (previously declined to endorse, then endorsed Shapiro)
* Phil English, former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district (2003–2009) and Pennsylvania's 21st congressional district (1995–2003) (Republican)
* Brian Fitzpatrick, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (2017–2019) (Republican)
* Tom Marino, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2019) and 10th district (2011–2019) (Republican)
State officials
* Tom Corbett, governor of Pennsylvania (2011–2015), attorney general of Pennsylvania (2005–2011, 1995–1997), U.S. attorney for the Western District of Pennsylvania (1989–1993) (Republican)
* Doug Ducey, governor of Arizona (2015–2023) and chair of the Republican Governors Association (2020–2022) (Republican)
* Larry Hogan, governor of Maryland (2015–2023) (Republican)
* Chris Sununu, governor of New Hampshire (2017–present) (Republican)
State legislators
* Todd Stephens, state representative from the 151st district (2011–2023) (Republican)
Organizations
* Republican Jewish Coalition
Individuals
* Jeff Bartos, 2018 Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (Republican)
* George Will, libertarian-conservative political commentator and author (Independent, former Republican)

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2022 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Josh Shapiro (D) | $67,981,264 | $54,967,428 | $403,274 |
| Doug Mastriano (R) | $7,055,316 | $7,081,556 | $1,018,238 |
| Source: Commonwealth of Pennsylvania ||||

### Polling

Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Josh Shapiro (D) | Doug Mastriano (R) | Other | Margin |
| Real Clear Politics | October 24–31, 2022 | October 31, 2022 | 52.6% | 40.6% | 6.8% | Shapiro +12.0% |
| FiveThirtyEight | June 10 – October 31, 2022 | October 28, 2022 | 51.5% | 40.9% | 7.6% | Shapiro +10.7% |
| Average | Average | Average | 52.1% | 40.8% | 7.2% | Shapiro +11.4% |
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Shapiro (D) | Doug Mastriano (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 53% | 41% | 2% | 4% |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 46% | 3% | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 3, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 43% | 3% | 4% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 1–3, 2022 | 1,097 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 3% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 1,180 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 40% | 3% | 4% |
| Marist College | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,152 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 39% | 1% | 7% |
| Marist College | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 40% | – | 5% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | October 28 – November 1, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 38% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 5% | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 43% | 5% | – |
| Suffolk University | October 27–30, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 40% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 4% | 6% |
| Big Data Poll | October 27–28, 2022 | 1,005 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | 4% | 4% |
| co/efficient (R) | October 26–28, 2022 | 1,716 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 41% | 4% | 4% |
| Muhlenberg College | October 24–28, 2022 | 460 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 54% | 40% | 2% | 4% |
| Wick Insights (R) | October 26–27, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 43% | 2% | 6% |
| Siena Research/NYT | October 24–26, 2022 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | <1% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 25, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 42% | 4% | 4% |
| YouGov/CBS News | October 21–24, 2022 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 45% | – | – |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 14–23, 2022 | 620 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 54% | 32% | 6% | 10% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 14–23, 2022 | 384 (LV) | ± 6.8% | 58% | 36% | – | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 19–20, 2022 | 972 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 40% | 6% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights | October 18–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 38% | 3% | 8% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 19, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 6% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 13–17, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 39% | 5% | – |
| CNN/SSRS | October 13–17, 2022 | 703 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | 2% | – |
| Wick Insights | October 8–14, 2022 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 46% | 2% | 3% |
| Patriot Polling | October 10–12, 2022 | 857 (RV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | October 4–12, 2022 | 1,400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 42% | 1% | 4% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 8–11, 2022 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 53% | 44% | 1% | 2% |
| Monmouth University | September 29 – October 3, 2022 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 38% | – | 8% |
| Suffolk University | September 27–30, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 37% | 2% | 13% |
| Emerson College | September 23–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 41% | 2% | 7% |
| Fox News | September 19–25, 2022 | 1,008 (RV) | ± 3% | 51% | 40% | – | 9% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | September 19–25, 2022 | 517 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 51% | 37% | – | 12% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 23–24, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 37% | 4% | 7% |
| Marist College | September 19–22, 2022 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 40% | <1% | 6% |
| Marist College | September 19–22, 2022 | 1,043 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 42% | – | 4% |
| The Phillips Academy Poll | September 16–19, 2022 | 759 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 43% | | 12% |
| Muhlenberg College | September 13–16, 2022 | 420 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 53% | 42% | 1% | 3% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 13–15, 2022 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 45% | 4% | 3% |
| Monmouth University | September 8–12, 2022 | 605 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 36% | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS News | September 6–12, 2022 | 1,188 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 55% | 44% | – | 1% |
| RABA Research | August 31 – September 3, 2022 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 41% | 4% | 9% |
| Survey Monkey (D) | August 31 – September 1, 2022 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 32% | – | 15% |
| Survey Monkey (D) | August 31 – September 1, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 35% | – | 9% |
| Emerson College | August 22–23, 2022 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 6% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | August 15–21, 2022 | 522 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 48% | 36% | 4% | 12% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 15–18, 2022 | 1,096 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 45% | 2% | 5% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | August 7–10, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 37% | – | 11% |
| Fox News | July 22–26, 2022 | 908 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 1% | 8% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | July 19–21, 2022 | 712 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
| Beacon Research (D) | July 5–20, 2022 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 35% | 1% | 12% |
| Beacon Research (D) | July 5–20, 2022 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | 1% | 7% |
| Global Strategy Group (D) | July 14–19, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 42% | – | 7% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | June 12–19, 2022 | 1,382 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 16–17, 2022 | 535 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Suffolk University | June 10–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 40% | 3% | 13% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 12–18, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 45% | 8% |

### Results

* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Josh ShapiroAustin Davis | 3,031,137 | 56.49% | −1.28% |
| | Republican | Doug MastrianoCarrie DelRosso | 2,238,477 | 41.71% | +1.01% |
| | Libertarian | Matt HackenburgTim McMaster | 51,611 | 0.96% | −0.02% |
| | Green | Christina DiGiulioMichael Bagdes-Canning | 24,436 | 0.46% | −0.09% |
| | Keystone | Joe SoloskiNicole Shultz | 20,518 | 0.38% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 5,366,179 | 100.0% | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | | 60.53% | |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 8,864,831 | | |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

### By county

| County | Josh Shapiro Democratic Party | Josh Shapiro Democratic Party | Doug Mastriano Republican Party | Doug Mastriano Republican Party | Jonathan Hackenburg Libertarian Party | Jonathan Hackenburg Libertarian Party | Christina Digiulio Green Party | Christina Digiulio Green Party | Joseph Soloski Keystone Party | Joseph Soloski Keystone Party | Margin | Margin | Total votes |
| # | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes |
| Adams | 18,821 | 40.51% | 26,819 | 57.73% | 467 | 1.01% | 160 | 0.34% | 192 | 0.41% | -7,998 | -17.22% | 46,459 |
| Allegheny | 393,386 | 68.68% | 169,913 | 29.66% | 5,354 | 0.93% | 2,319 | 0.40% | 1,841 | 0.32% | 223,473 | 39.02% | 572,813 |
| Armstrong | 9,523 | 33.46% | 18,419 | 64.73% | 265 | 0.93% | 88 | 0.31% | 162 | 0.57% | -8,896 | -31.27% | 28,457 |
| Beaver | 36,917 | 50.39% | 34,777 | 47.47% | 811 | 1.11% | 386 | 0.53% | 371 | 0.51% | 2,140 | 2.92% | 73,262 |
| Bedford | 4,721 | 21.25% | 17,198 | 77.40% | 167 | 0.75% | 56 | 0.25% | 78 | 0.35% | -12,477 | -56.15% | 22,220 |
| Berks | 78,757 | 50.87% | 72,185 | 46.63% | 1,936 | 1.25% | 1,096 | 0.71% | 844 | 0.55% | 6,572 | 4.24% | 154,818 |
| Blair | 17,716 | 35.20% | 31,823 | 63.22% | 412 | 0.82% | 199 | 0.40% | 184 | 0.37% | -14,107 | -28.02% | 50,334 |
| Bradford | 7,389 | 31.47% | 15,529 | 66.14% | 279 | 1.19% | 164 | 0.70% | 118 | 0.50% | -8,140 | -34.67% | 23,479 |
| Bucks | 185,339 | 59.02% | 122,982 | 39.16% | 2,935 | 0.93% | 1,694 | 0.54% | 1,091 | 0.35% | 62,357 | 19.86% | 314,041 |
| Butler | 40,065 | 42.87% | 51,546 | 55.15% | 1,101 | 1.18% | 367 | 0.39% | 382 | 0.41% | -11,481 | -12.28% | 93,461 |
| Cambria | 22,885 | 40.66% | 32,381 | 57.53% | 489 | 0.87% | 291 | 0.52% | 235 | 0.42% | -9,496 | -16.87% | 56,281 |
| Cameron | 639 | 33.81% | 1,200 | 63.49% | 26 | 1.38% | 3 | 0.16% | 22 | 1.16% | -561 | -29.68% | 1,890 |
| Carbon | 10,743 | 40.90% | 14,943 | 56.90% | 326 | 1.24% | 151 | 0.57% | 101 | 0.38% | -4,200 | -16.00% | 26,264 |
| Centre | 35,653 | 57.49% | 25,201 | 40.64% | 654 | 1.05% | 209 | 0.34% | 300 | 0.48% | 10,452 | 16.85% | 62,017 |
| Chester | 160,796 | 62.32% | 92,585 | 35.88% | 2,713 | 1.05% | 1,093 | 0.42% | 838 | 0.32% | 68,211 | 26.44% | 258,025 |
| Clarion | 5,114 | 33.19% | 10,019 | 65.03% | 154 | 1% | 57 | 0.37% | 63 | 0.41% | -4,905 | -31.84% | 15,407 |
| Clearfield | 10,326 | 32.87% | 20,525 | 65.34% | 316 | 1.01% | 125 | 0.40% | 119 | 0.38% | -10,199 | -32.47% | 31,411 |
| Clinton | 5,293 | 37.61% | 8,512 | 60.48% | 134 | 0.95% | 59 | 0.42% | 75 | 0.53% | -3,219 | -22.87% | 14,073 |
| Columbia | 10,148 | 41.08% | 13,959 | 56.51% | 372 | 1.51% | 109 | 0.44% | 115 | 0.47% | -3,811 | -15.43% | 24,703 |
| Crawford | 12,609 | 38.41% | 19,541 | 59.52% | 338 | 1.03% | 166 | 0.51% | 175 | 0.53% | -6,932 | -21.11% | 32,829 |
| Cumberland | 61,319 | 52.86% | 52,280 | 45.07% | 1,342 | 1.16% | 513 | 0.44% | 548 | 0.47% | 9,039 | 7.79% | 116,002 |
| Dauphin | 68,585 | 59.95% | 43,580 | 38.10% | 1,162 | 1.02% | 604 | 0.53% | 467 | 0.41% | 25,005 | 21.85% | 114,398 |
| Delaware | 170,162 | 67.83% | 76,880 | 30.65% | 2,102 | 0.84% | 1,126 | 0.45% | 585 | 0.23% | 93,282 | 37.18% | 250,855 |
| Elk | 4,843 | 35.41% | 8,597 | 62.85% | 121 | 0.88% | 61 | 0.45% | 56 | 0.41% | -3,754 | -27.44% | 13,678 |
| Erie | 63,081 | 59.74% | 40,433 | 38.29% | 1,037 | 0.98% | 569 | 0.54% | 479 | 0.45% | 22,648 | 21.45% | 105,599 |
| Fayette | 20,120 | 42.92% | 26,165 | 55.82% | 322 | 0.69% | 137 | 0.29% | 133 | 0.28% | -6,045 | -12.90% | 56,877 |
| Forest | 825 | 37.64% | 1,340 | 61.13% | 12 | 0.55% | 6 | 0.27% | 9 | 0.41% | -515 | -23.49% | 2,192 |
| Franklin | 21,612 | 33.07% | 42,731 | 65.39% | 571 | 0.87% | 210 | 0.32% | 226 | 0.35% | -21,119 | -32.32% | 65,350 |
| Fulton | 1,128 | 17.94% | 5,092 | 80.99% | 39 | 0.62% | 13 | 0.21% | 15 | 0.24% | -3,964 | -63.05% | 6,287 |
| Greene | 5,142 | 39.14% | 7,706 | 58.65% | 108 | 0.82% | 93 | 0.71% | 90 | 0.68% | -2,564 | -19.51% | 13,139 |
| Huntingdon | 5,597 | 30.34% | 12,579 | 68.19% | 145 | 0.79% | 60 | 0.33% | 67 | 0.36% | -6,982 | -37.85% | 18,448 |
| Indiana | 13,032 | 39.80% | 19,179 | 58.58% | 248 | 0.76% | 148 | 0.45% | 135 | 0.41% | -6,147 | -18.78% | 32,742 |
| Jefferson | 5,038 | 28.27% | 12,433 | 69.77% | 218 | 1.22% | 68 | 0.38% | 63 | 0.35% | -7,395 | -41.5% | 17,820 |
| Juniata | 2,761 | 28.27% | 6,851 | 70.14% | 94 | 0.96% | 41 | 0.42% | 21 | 0.21% | -4,090 | -41.87% | 9,768 |
| Lackawanna | 54,442 | 61.28% | 32,697 | 36.80% | 774 | 0.87% | 583 | 0.66% | 347 | 0.39% | 21,745 | 24.48% | 88,843 |
| Lancaster | 108,233 | 48.26% | 112,040 | 49.96% | 2,530 | 1.13% | 740 | 0.33% | 725 | 0.32% | -3,807 | -1.70% | 224,268 |
| Lawrence | 16,023 | 44.15% | 19,611 | 54.03% | 323 | 0.89% | 180 | 0.50% | 157 | 0.43% | -3,588 | -9.88% | 36,294 |
| Lebanon | 23,646 | 41.88% | 31,731 | 56.19% | 601 | 1.06% | 257 | 0.46% | 231 | 0.41% | -8,085 | -14.31% | 56,466 |
| Lehigh | 79,991 | 58.67% | 53,468 | 39.22% | 1,591 | 1.17% | 734 | 0.54% | 550 | 0.40% | 26,523 | 19.45% | 136,334 |
| Luzerne | 57,598 | 49.63% | 56,326 | 48.53% | 1,100 | 0.95% | 605 | 0.52% | 435 | 0.37% | 1,272 | 1.10% | 116,064 |
| Lycoming | 15,643 | 33.80% | 29,755 | 64.29% | 523 | 1.13% | 180 | 0.39% | 184 | 0.40% | -14,112 | -30.49% | 46,285 |
| McKean | 4,392 | 29.85% | 10,082 | 68.53% | 119 | 0.81% | 55 | 0.37% | 64 | 0.44% | -5,690 | -38.68% | 14,712 |
| Mercer | 18,282 | 40.33% | 26,273 | 57.96% | 408 | 0.90% | 216 | 0.48% | 152 | 0.34% | -7,991 | -17.63% | 45,331 |
| Mifflin | 5,119 | 30.39% | 11,460 | 68.02% | 150 | 0.89% | 50 | 0.30% | 68 | 0.40% | -6,341 | -37.63% | 16,847 |
| Monroe | 32,009 | 54.41% | 25,604 | 43.52% | 650 | 1.10% | 378 | 0.64% | 186 | 0.32% | 6,405 | 10.89% | 58,827 |
| Montgomery | 285,712 | 69.18% | 121,289 | 29.37% | 3,463 | 0.84% | 1,384 | 0.34% | 1,168 | 0.28% | 163,883 | 39.81% | 413,016 |
| Montour | 3,640 | 46.33% | 4,037 | 51.38% | 106 | 1.35% | 43 | 0.55% | 31 | 0.39% | -397 | -5.05% | 7,857 |
| Northampton | 72,269 | 55.63% | 54,928 | 42.28% | 1,466 | 1.13% | 711 | 0.55% | 527 | 0.41% | 17,341 | 13.35% | 129,901 |
| Northumberland | 12,052 | 36.58% | 19,094 | 57.95% | 466 | 1.41% | 282 | 0.86% | 1,057 | 3.21% | -7,042 | -21.37% | 32,951 |
| Perry | 6,912 | 34.15% | 12,928 | 63.87% | 234 | 1.16% | 84 | 0.42% | 82 | 0.41% | -6,016 | -29.72% | 20,240 |
| Philadelphia | 426,885 | 85.68% | 65,293 | 13.10% | 2,492 | 0.50% | 2,372 | 0.48% | 1,218 | 0.24% | 361,592 | 72.58% | 498,260 |
| Pike | 10,339 | 41.14% | 14,371 | 57.18% | 210 | 0.84% | 128 | 0.51% | 85 | 0.34% | -4,032 | -16.04% | 25,133 |
| Potter | 1,513 | 21.29% | 5,235 | 73.68% | 77 | 1.08% | 112 | 1.58% | 168 | 2.36% | -3,722 | -52.39% | 7,105 |
| Schuylkill | 21,203 | 38.25% | 33,008 | 59.54% | 674 | 1.22% | 288 | 0.52% | 262 | 0.47% | -11,805 | -21.29% | 55,435 |
| Snyder | 4,867 | 31.69% | 10,215 | 66.50% | 166 | 1.08% | 57 | 0.37% | 55 | 0.36% | -5,348 | -34.81% | 15,360 |
| Somerset | 9,473 | 29.08% | 22,559 | 69.25% | 274 | 0.84% | 139 | 0.43% | 131 | 0.40% | -13,086 | -40.17% | 32,576 |
| Sullivan | 1,024 | 33.87% | 1,923 | 63.61% | 33 | 1.09% | 27 | 0.89% | 16 | 0.53% | -899 | -29.74% | 3,023 |
| Susquehanna | 5,768 | 33.31% | 11,153 | 64.41% | 180 | 1.04% | 110 | 0.64% | 105 | 0.61% | -5,385 | -31.10% | 17,316 |
| Tioga | 4,494 | 26.98% | 11,840 | 71.08% | 170 | 1.02% | 84 | 0.50% | 70 | 0.42% | -7,346 | -44.10% | 16,658 |
| Union | 6,898 | 42.81% | 8,897 | 55.22% | 179 | 1.11% | 75 | 0.47% | 64 | 0.40% | -1,999 | -12.41% | 16,113 |
| Venango | 7,777 | 37.18% | 12,741 | 60.91% | 220 | 1.05% | 81 | 0.39% | 100 | 0.48% | -4,964 | -23.73% | 20,919 |
| Warren | 6,032 | 37.55% | 9,704 | 60.40% | 164 | 1.02% | 77 | 0.48% | 88 | 0.55% | -3,672 | -22.85% | 16,065 |
| Washington | 45,030 | 48.10% | 47,052 | 50.26% | 906 | 0.97% | 271 | 0.29% | 358 | 0.38% | -2,022 | -2.16% | 93,617 |
| Wayne | 8,466 | 37.22% | 13,868 | 60.98% | 211 | 0.93% | 115 | 0.51% | 83 | 0.36% | -5,402 | -23.76% | 22,743 |
| Westmoreland | 77,152 | 45.93% | 87,804 | 52.27% | 1,613 | 0.96% | 677 | 0.40% | 722 | 0.43% | -10,652 | -6.34% | 167,968 |
| Wyoming | 4,519 | 38.37% | 6,966 | 59.15% | 140 | 1.19% | 91 | 0.77% | 61 | 0.52% | -2,447 | -20.78% | 11,777 |
| York | 83,649 | 44.86% | 98,622 | 52.89% | 2,628 | 1.41% | 809 | 0.43% | 768 | 0.41% | -14,973 | -8.03% | 186,476 |

#### By congressional district

Shapiro won 11 of 17 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.
| District | Shapiro | Mastriano | Representative |
| 1st | 59% | 39% | Brian Fitzpatrick |
| 2nd | 76% | 22% | Brendan Boyle |
| 3rd | 92% | 6% | Dwight Evans |
| 4th | 66% | 32% | Madeleine Dean |
| 5th | 70% | 28% | Mary Gay Scanlon |
| 6th | 61% | 37% | Chrissy Houlahan |
| 7th | 55% | 43% | Susan Wild |
| 8th | 54% | 44% | Matt Cartwright |
| 9th | 38% | 59% | Dan Meuser |
| 10th | 55% | 43% | Scott Perry |
| 11th | 46% | 52% | Lloyd Smucker |
| 12th | 68% | 30% | Mike Doyle (117th Congress) |
| 12th | 68% | 30% | Summer Lee (118th Congress) |
| 13th | 34% | 64% | John Joyce |
| 14th | 44% | 55% | Guy Reschenthaler |
| 15th | 38% | 60% | Glenn Thompson |
| 16th | 48% | 50% | Mike Kelly |
| 17th | 62% | 36% | Conor Lamb (117th Congress) |
| 17th | 62% | 36% | Chris Deluzio (118th Congress) |

## Analysis

Josh Shapiro defeated Doug Mastriano by 14.8%. While this marked a 2.73% Republican swing from 2018, it was still 13.18% larger than Joe Biden's win in the presidential race in Pennsylvania two years earlier in 2020, and 9.86% larger than Shapiro's reelection for Attorney General that same year. All counties in the Keystone State voted the exact same way they did in 2018, with Shapiro doing best in heavily populated Southeastern Pennsylvania, which is made up of Philadelphia and its suburbs, Berks County (Reading), the Lehigh Valley (Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton), the Wyoming Valley (Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, and Hazleton), the Susquehanna Valley (Harrisburg and Carlisle), Erie County in the northwest corner, and finally, Greater Pittsburgh in the southwest.
Doug Mastriano, meanwhile, piled up large margins in Pennsylvania's rural counties, but also won some populous places located in the western part of the state, like Butler, Washington, and Westmoreland counties near Pittsburgh. However, Mastriano significantly underperformed President Donald Trump's margins in the 2020 Presidential election in some of those counties; Westmoreland County, for example, voted for Trump by 28 points in 2020, but only backed Mastriano by 6 points in 2022. A similar leftward shift happened in neighboring Washington County, with Shapiro only losing the county by 2 points despite Joe Biden losing the county by over 20 points 2 years earlier. Mastriano also carried Lancaster, including the counties contained either fully or partially within his State Senate district, namely Adams, Franklin and York. Except for Adams and Franklin counties, Lancaster and York were once again carried by single digits by the Republican gubernatorial candidate just like 2018, as Mastriano's extremist views likely turned off moderate independents and Republicans in these areas.
Southeastern Pennsylvania, a strong Democratic area during elections, shifted more Democratic. This region, with strongly Democratic Philadelphia, anchored by its suburbs, has become a Democratic stronghold in elections, winning all Delaware Valley counties. Southeastern Pennsylvania piled up large margins in its suburbs. Its electorate is highly educated, affluent, and diverse. In addition to the region's strong Democratic tilt, abortion rights were a significant campaign issue among voters. According to CNN polling data, 62% of Pennsylvania voters believed abortion should be legal, and those voters broke for Shapiro by a landslide margin of 81%–18%. College-educated voters, who made up 41% of the electorate, also voted heavily for Shapiro by a 64%–35% margin. Shapiro won 92% of Black voters, 72% of Latino voters, and 50% of White voters. According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Shapiro won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Mastriano's defeat.

### Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 2,657 voters in person as well as by phone.
2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election voter demographics (CNN) :
| Demographic subgroup | Shapiro | Mastriano | % of total vote |
| Ideology ||||
| Liberals | 94 | 4 | 25 |
| Moderates | 71 | 28 | 41 |
| Conservatives | 13 | 86 | 34 |
| Party ||||
| Democrats | 96 | 3 | 37 |
| Republicans | 16 | 83 | 40 |
| Independents | 64 | 33 | 24 |
| Gender ||||
| Men | 48 | 50 | 49 |
| Women | 63 | 37 | 51 |
| Marital status ||||
| Married | 52 | 47 | 64 |
| Unmarried | 65 | 33 | 36 |
| Gender by marital status ||||
| Married men | 49 | 50 | 36 |
| Married women | 55 | 44 | 29 |
| Unmarried men | 53 | 43 | 14 |
| Unmarried women | 73 | 27 | 21 |
| Race/ethnicity ||||
| White | 50 | 48 | 81 |
| Black | 92 | 8 | 8 |
| Latino | 72 | 25 | 8 |
| White voters by gender ||||
| White men | 43 | 55 | 41 |
| White women | 58 | 42 | 41 |
| Age ||||
| 18–24 years old | 72 | 25 | 7 |
| 25–29 years old | 69 | 31 | 5 |
| 30–39 years old | 64 | 34 | 13 |
| 40–49 years old | 55 | 44 | 11 |
| 50–64 years old | 51 | 49 | 29 |
| 65 and older | 51 | 47 | 34 |
| 2020 presidential vote ||||
| Biden | 96 | 3 | 48 |
| Trump | 15 | 84 | 45 |
| First time midterm election voter ||||
| Yes | 66 | 30 | 12 |
| No | 54 | 45 | 88 |
| Education ||||
| Never attended college | 41 | 59 | 24 |
| Some college education | 59 | 38 | 21 |
| Associate degree | 54 | 44 | 14 |
| Bachelor's degree | 58 | 41 | 23 |
| Advanced degree | 72 | 27 | 18 |
| Education by race ||||
| White college graduates | 62 | 37 | 35 |
| White no college degree | 43 | 56 | 47 |
| Non-white college graduates | 76 | 23 | 6 |
| Non-white no college degree | 82 | 17 | 12 |
| Education by gender/race ||||
| White women with college degrees | 69 | 30 | 17 |
| White women without college degrees | 50 | 49 | 24 |
| White men with college degrees | 55 | 44 | 18 |
| White men without college degrees | 35 | 63 | 23 |
| Non-white | 80 | 19 | 19 |
| Issue regarded as most important ||||
| Crime | 55 | 42 | 11 |
| Abortion | 80 | 19 | 37 |
| Inflation | 33 | 66 | 28 |
| Feelings about Roe v. Wade being overturned ||||
| Enthusiastic/satisfied | 14 | 84 | 38 |
| Dissatisfied/angry | 84 | 15 | 59 |
| Abortion should be ||||
| Legal | 81 | 18 | 62 |
| Illegal | 16 | 83 | 34 |