# 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada

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The 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Majority Leader Harry Reid won re-election to a fifth and final term.

## Democratic primary

The Democratic primary took place on June 8, 2010. Reid won by a large margin over a field of political unknowns.

### Candidates

* Harry Reid, incumbent U.S. Senator
* Alex Miller
* Eduardo Hamilton
* Carlo Poliak

### Polling

| Poll source | Dates administered | Harry Reid | Barbara Buckley |
| Mellman Group | June 17–29, 2008 | 51% | 20% |

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Harry Reid (incumbent) | 87,401 | 75.3% |
| | Democratic | None of these | 12,341 | 10.6% |
| | Democratic | Alex Miller | 9,717 | 8.4% |
| | Democratic | Eduardo Hamilton | 4,645 | 4.0% |
| | Democratic | Carlo Poliak | 1,938 | 1.7% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 116,042 | 100.00% |

## Republican primary

The Republican primary also took place on Tuesday, June 8, 2010.

### Candidates

* Sharron Angle, former state assemblywoman and candidate for NV-02 in 2006
* John Chachas, businessman
* Chad Christensen, state assemblyman
* Greg Dagani, former member of the Nevada Board of Education
* Chuck Flume, businessman
* Sue Lowden, former state senator
* Mark Noonan, Navy veteran
* Bill Parson, Marine veteran and businessman
* Danny Tarkanian, real estate owner

### Endorsements
#### Lowden

* Jon Kyl, Senate Minority Whip
* Fred Thompson, former U.S. Senator
* Jeri Thompson
* Susan B. Anthony List, pro-life organization
* Robert List, former Governor of Nevada
* University of Nevada, Las Vegas College Republicans

#### Tarkanian

* Armenian National Committee Political Action Committee
* Armenian Council of America Political Action Committee
* George Deukmejian, former governor of California
* Jim Gilchrist, co-founder of the Minuteman Project
* Kim Rhode, two-time Olympic gold medal winner

#### Angle

* Club for Growth
* Tea Party Express
* Family-Pac Federal
* Minuteman PAC (Chris Simcox)
* Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund
* Sarah Palin
* Joe the Plumber
* Pat Boone
* Mark Levin
* Life & Liberty PAC
* Citizens United Political Victory Fund
* Nevada Concerned Citizens
* Nevada Homeschool Network
* Nevada Republican Assembly
* Declaration Alliance PAC
* Veterans in Politics
* Government is not God PAC
* Phyllis Schlafly, Eagle Forum
* Las Vegas talk show host Leon Catlett
* Change the Congress in 2010 PAC
* Western Representation PAC
* Can-Do Conservatives of America (disabled advocacy group)
* Republican Liberty Caucus

### Polling

Includes current candidates who have polled at least 2% in at least one poll.
| Dates administered | Poll source | Tarkanian | Lowden | Angle |
| August 21, 2009 | Mason Dixon/LVRJ | 33% | 14% | 5% |
| October 8, 2009 | Poll | 21% | 23% | 9% |
| December 2009 | Mason Dixon/LVRJ | 24% | 25% | 13% |
| January 7, 2010 | | 28% | 26% | 13% |
| February 24, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVRJ | 29% | 47% | 8% |
| April 11, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVRJ | 27% | 45% | 5% |
| April 26–28, 2010 | Research 2000 | 28% | 38% | 13% |
| May 13, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVRJ | 22% | 30% | 25% |
| May 28, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVRJ | 23% | 30% | 29% |
| May 31 – June 2, 2010 | Research 2000 | 24% | 25% | 34% |
| June 2, 2010 | Suffolk University | 26% | 24% | 33% |
| June 1–3, 2010 | | 24% | 23% | 32% |

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Sharron Angle | 70,452 | 40.1% |
| | Republican | Sue Lowden | 45,890 | 26.1% |
| | Republican | Danny Tarkanian | 40,936 | 23.3% |
| | Republican | John Chachas | 6,926 | 3.9% |
| | Republican | Chad Christensen | 4,806 | 2.7% |
| | Republican | None of these | 3,091 | 1.8% |
| | Republican | Bill Parson | 1,484 | 0.8% |
| | Republican | Gary Bernstein | 698 | 0.4% |
| | Republican | Garn Mabey | 462 | 0.3% |
| | Republican | Cecilia Stern | 355 | 0.2% |
| | Republican | Brian Nadell | 235 | 0.1% |
| | Republican | Terry Suominen | 224 | 0.1% |
| | Republican | Gary Marinch | 179 | 0.1% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 175,738 | 100.00% |

## General election
### Candidates

* Harry Reid (D), incumbent U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Leader
* Sharron Angle (R), former member of the Nevada Assembly
* Scott Ashjian (Tea Party) (campaign site, PVS)
* Tim Fasano (Independent American) (campaign site, PVS)
* Michael Haines (Independent) (campaign site, PVS)
* Jesse Holland (Independent) (campaign site, PVS)
* Jeffrey Reeves (Independent) (campaign site Archived July 31, 2010, at the Wayback Machine, PVS)
* Wil Stand (Independent) (PVS)

### Campaign

In January 2009, the GOP began running an advertisement attacking President Barack Obama's proposed stimulus plan and Reid for his support of the legislation. Since becoming Minority Leader (in 2004), his approval ratings had dropped below 50%. A November 2007 poll showed Reid's approval rating at 39%, with 49% of voters disapproving.
After the primaries, the first poll showed Angle leading by a double-digit margin. CQ Politics changed their analysis of the race from leaning Republican to a toss-up because of Angle's sharply conservative views and tendency to commit verbal gaffes; however, CQ added that if the voters treat the election as a referendum on Reid, then Angle will likely win.
In 2009, Reid had been endorsed by some prominent Nevada Republicans. Immediately after the primary, the Republican mayor of Reno, Bob Cashell, who had backed Lowden in the Republican primary, endorsed Reid for the general election, calling Angle an "ultra-right winger." Other Republicans expressed doubt about supporting Angle, citing her reputation for ideological rigidity from her years in the state legislature.
One of the first general election ads attacked Angle for her stance on Social Security and Medicare. In response, Angle explained that "the government must continue to keep its contract with seniors, who entered into the system on good faith and now are depending on that contract." In response to accusations that she was not mainstream enough for Nevada voters, Angle explained on a KXNT radio show that she was "more mainstream than the fellow that said tourists stink, this war is lost, and light-skinned no-Negro dialect", in reference to comments that had been made by Senator Reid.
In September, Tibi Ellis, the chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Hispanic Caucus, who had been a spokesperson for Angle, criticized an Angle ad related to immigration. Ellis said, "I condemned this type of propaganda, no matter who is running them, where they blame Mexicans as the only problem and where they attack them as the only source of illegal immigration."
Angle was endorsed by Nevada's largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Review-Journal. Reid had the endorsement from Nevada's second largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Sun. and the largest newspaper outside of Las Vegas, the Reno Gazette-Journal.
On October 7, 2010, Republican State Senator and Minority Leader William Raggio endorsed Reid. Dema Guinn, the widow of the late Republican Nevada Governor Kenny Guinn, endorsed Reid on October 8.

### Debate

Angle and Reid only agreed to one debate, in which no other candidate would participate. It was held on October 14. Junior Senator John Ensign played Reid during one day of debate preparation at the Trump Plaza in Las Vegas for Angle.

### Predictions

Reid was initially considered vulnerable, with the non-partisan Cook Political Report rating the election as a tossup and the Rothenberg Political Report rating the state as tossup. A June 9, 2010, Rasmussen Reports post-primary poll showed Angle leading incumbent Senator Harry Reid by a margin of 50% to 39%. However, a July 2010 poll showed Senator Reid leading Angle by 7 points, following nationwide attention to some of Angle's positions, as well as the endorsement of Reid by prominent Republicans. The change of margin, 18% in less than a month, is the largest in Senate elections history. On July 28, 2010, Rasmussen Reports moved the race from tossup to leans Democratic. Later, it moved back to tossup. Polls generally had Angle up, and thus Reid seemed like the underdog. Journalist Jon Ralston correctly predicted Reid would win based on early voting numbers and Reid running a strong campaign.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Tossup | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |

### Polling
#### Graphical summary

| Dates administered | Poll source | Sharron Angle (R) | Harry Reid (D) |
| December 9, 2009 | Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 43% |
| January 7, 2010 | | 45% | 40% |
| January 11, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 40% |
| February 3, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 40% |
| March 3, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 43% |
| March 31, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 51% | 40% |
| April 27, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 40% |
| April 26–28, 2010 | Research 2000 | 44% | 41% |
| May 28, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVRJ | 39% | 42% |
| May 31 – June 2, 2010 | Research 2000 | 37% | 42% |
| June 1–3, 2010 | | 44% | 41% |
| June 9, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 39% |
| June 22, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 41% |
| July 12, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 46% | 43% |
| July 12–14, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 37% | 44% |
| July 16–18, 2010 | Public Policy Polling | 46% | 48% |
| July 27, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 43% | 45% |
| July 28–30, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 42% | 43% |
| August 3, 2010 | Reuters/Iposos | 44% | 48% |
| August 9–11, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 44% | 46% |
| August 16, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 47% |
| August 23–25, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 44% | 45% |
| September 1, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 45% |
| September 7–9, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 44% | 46% |
| September 11, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research | 45% | 44% |
| September 13, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 48% |
| September 10–14, 2010 | CNN/Time Magazine | 42% | 41% |
| September 18, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research | 46% | 45% |
| September 20–22, 2010 | LVRJ/Mason-Dixon | 43% | 43% |
| September 21–23, 2010 | Public Opinion Strategies | 40% | 45% |
| September 28, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 48% |
| October 2, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research | 49% | 46% |
| October 4, 2010 | Magellan Strategies | 48% | 43% |
| October 5, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 46% |
| October 7–9, 2010 | Public Policy Polling | 45% | 47% |
| October 9, 2010 | Fox News/POR-Rasmussen | 49% | 47% |
| October 11, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 48% |
| October 14, 2010 | Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon | 47% | 45% |
| October 17, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 47% |
| October 25, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 45% |
| October 20–26, 2010 | CNN/Time/Opinion Research | 49% | 45% |
| October 25–27, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 49% | 45% |
| October 30, 2010 | Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research | 48% | 45% |
| October 31, 2010 | Public Policy Polling | 47% | 46% |

### Fundraising

| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
| Sharron Angle (R) | $27,797,915 | $27,505,917 | $291,999 | $635,737 |
| Harry Reid (D) | $19,185,317 | $22,325,360 | $176,309 | $419,093 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission |||||

### Results

Despite Angle leading by three points in the polls the days leading up to the election, Reid defeated Angle by 5.74%, even defeating Angle in her own county, Washoe County. Reid also secured huge numbers out of the Democratic stronghold of Clark County, which covers the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area.
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Harry Reid (incumbent) | 362,785 | 50.29% | −10.84% |
| | Republican | Sharron Angle | 321,361 | 44.55% | +9.45% |
| | n/a | None of These Candidates | 16,174 | 2.25% | +0.65% |
| | Tea Party of Nevada | Scott Ashjian | 5,811 | 0.81% | N/A |
| | Independent | Michael L. Haines | 4,261 | 0.59% | N/A |
| | Independent American | Timothy Fasano | 3,185 | 0.44% | N/A |
| | Independent | Jesse Holland | 3,175 | 0.44% | N/A |
| | Independent | Jeffery C. Reeves | 2,510 | 0.35% | N/A |
| | Independent | Wil Stand | 2,119 | 0.29% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 721,381 | 100.0% | |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

#### By county

| County | Reid | % | Angle | % | Others/None of These | % |
| Carson City | 8,714 | 44.64% | 9,362 | 47.96% | 1,443 | 7.39% |
| Churchill | 2,473 | 27.80% | 5,639 | 63.40% | 783 | 8.80% |
| Clark | 253,617 | 54.41% | 192,516 | 41.30% | 20,030 | 4.30% |
| Douglas | 7,530 | 34.57% | 12,858 | 59.04% | 1,392 | 6.39% |
| Elko | 3,246 | 25.24% | 8,173 | 63.56% | 1,440 | 11.20% |
| Esmeralda | 80 | 20.15% | 268 | 67.51% | 49 | 12.34% |
| Eureka | 137 | 18.05% | 524 | 69.04% | 98 | 12.91% |
| Humboldt | 1,600 | 32.12% | 2,836 | 56.92% | 546 | 10.96% |
| Lander | 487 | 25.60% | 1,201 | 63.14% | 214 | 11.25% |
| Lincoln | 442 | 22.68% | 1,311 | 67.27% | 196 | 10.06% |
| Lyon | 5,659 | 32.39% | 10,473 | 59.95% | 1,339 | 7.66% |
| Mineral | 855 | 44.93% | 822 | 43.19% | 226 | 11.88% |
| Nye | 5,279 | 36.66% | 7,822 | 54.32% | 1,298 | 9.01% |
| Pershing | 597 | 34.39% | 915 | 52.71% | 224 | 12.90% |
| Storey | 843 | 39.50% | 1,124 | 52.67% | 167 | 7.83% |
| Washoe | 70,523 | 49.91% | 63,316 | 44.81% | 7,448 | 5.27% |
| White Pine | 703 | 21.51% | 2,201 | 67.33% | 365 | 11.17% |

##### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Carson City
* Humboldt (largest municipality: Winnemucca)
* Nye (largest municipality: Pahrump)
* Pershing (largest municipality: Lovelock)
* Storey (largest municipality: Virginia City)
* White Pine (largest municipality: Ely)