# 2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi

Elections in Mississippi :
Federal government
U.S. President
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U.S. Senate
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U.S. House
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2010
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1st sp
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2024 :
State government
State elections
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
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Gubernatorial elections
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2023
Attorney General elections
2003
2007
2011
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2023 :
Ballot measures
2001
Flag referendum
2004
Amendment 1
2020
Initiative 65
Measure 3 :
City of Jackson
Mayoral elections
2005
2009
2013
2014
2017
2021
2025 :
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Mayoral elections
2005
2009
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2017
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Mayoral elections
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Biloxi
Mayoral elections
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Hattiesburg
Mayoral elections
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Meridian
Mayoral elections
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Olive Branch
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Tupelo
Mayoral elections
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Madison
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Philadelphia
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vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Mississippi voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Mississippi's six votes in the Electoral College were unaffected by reapportionment after the 2020 United States census.
Donald Trump ran on the Republican ballot for a third consecutive time, winning the state by a margin of 22.86%. He easily handled Mississippi in the past two election cycles, winning the state by 17.8% in 2016 and again by 16.5% four years later. Trump was the first Republican to receive 60% of the vote in a presidential election in Mississippi since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Before the election, most news organizations considered Mississippi a safe win for Trump.

## Primary elections
### Republican primary

The Mississippi Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Missouri, and Washington. 40 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.
Mississippi Republican primary, March 12, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 229,198 | 92.50% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 13,437 | 5.42% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 4,042 | 1.63% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,096 | 0.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 247,773 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |

### Democratic primary

The 2024 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside the Democrats Abroad, Georgia, Mississippi, and Washington primaries, and Northern Mariana Islands caucuses. 40 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.
In Mississippi, candidates have to pay a filing fee of $2,500 and gather at least 500 signatures to make the primary ballot. Incumbent President Joe Biden won the primary, being the only candidate that met these requirements.

#### Winner

* Joe Biden
Results
Mississippi Democratic primary, March 12, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 87,922 | 98.7% | 35 | | |
| Write-in votes | 1,187 | 1.3% | | | |
| Total: | 89,109 | 100.00% | 35 | | 35 |

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid R | September 20, 2024 |
| RCP | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
| YouGov | Likely R | November 1, 2024 |
| Split Ticket | Safe R | November 1, 2024 |

### Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |

### Early voting

A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that Mississippi is one of only three remaining states (along with Alabama and New Hampshire) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 747,744 | 60.89% | +3.29% |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 466,668 | 38.00% | −3.06% |
| | Independent | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) | 5,387 | 0.44% | N/A |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 2,536 | 0.21% | −0.40% |
| | Green | Jill SteinButch Ware | 1,873 | 0.15% | +0.04% |
| | Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la CruzKarina Garcia | 1,075 | 0.09% | N/A |
| | Constitution | Randall TerryStephen Broden | 1,030 | 0.08% | N/A |
| | American Solidarity | Peter SonskiLauren Onak | 1,007 | 0.08% | −0.01% |
| | Independent | Shiva AyyaduraiCrystal Ellis | 688 | 0.06% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,228,008 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Adams | 5,081 | 42.60% | 6,743 | 56.53% | 104 | 0.87% | -1,662 | -13.93% | 11,928 |
| Alcorn | 12,657 | 83.75% | 2,328 | 15.40% | 127 | 0.85% | 10,329 | 68.35% | 15,112 |
| Amite | 4,484 | 65.80% | 2,246 | 32.96% | 85 | 1.24% | 2,238 | 32.84% | 6,815 |
| Attala | 4,723 | 61.31% | 2,930 | 38.04% | 50 | 0.65% | 1,793 | 23.27% | 7,703 |
| Benton | 2,535 | 65.27% | 1,318 | 33.93% | 31 | 0.80% | 1,217 | 31.34% | 3,884 |
| Bolivar | 3,943 | 37.79% | 6,419 | 61.51% | 73 | 0.70% | -2,476 | -23.72% | 10,435 |
| Calhoun | 4,443 | 73.63% | 1,547 | 25.64% | 44 | 0.73% | 2,896 | 47.99% | 6,034 |
| Carroll | 3,730 | 71.81% | 1,431 | 27.55% | 33 | 0.64% | 2,299 | 44.26% | 5,194 |
| Chickasaw | 4,079 | 56.39% | 3,090 | 42.71% | 65 | 0.90% | 989 | 13.68% | 7,234 |
| Choctaw | 2,881 | 74.06% | 965 | 24.81% | 44 | 1.13% | 1,916 | 49.25% | 3,890 |
| Claiborne | 558 | 15.76% | 2,950 | 83.31% | 33 | 0.93% | -2,392 | -67.55% | 3,541 |
| Clarke | 5,093 | 67.27% | 2,430 | 32.10% | 48 | 0.63% | 2,663 | 35.17% | 7,571 |
| Clay | 4,017 | 44.35% | 4,960 | 54.76% | 80 | 0.89% | -943 | -10.41% | 9,057 |
| Coahoma | 2,008 | 29.57% | 4,711 | 69.38% | 71 | 1.05% | -2,703 | -39.81% | 6,790 |
| Copiah | 6,134 | 52.58% | 5,426 | 46.52% | 105 | 0.90% | 708 | 6.06% | 11,665 |
| Covington | 5,869 | 66.23% | 2,921 | 32.96% | 71 | 0.81% | 2,948 | 33.27% | 8,861 |
| DeSoto | 48,064 | 60.65% | 29,023 | 36.62% | 2,167 | 2.73% | 19,041 | 24.03% | 79,254 |
| Forrest | 16,579 | 58.24% | 11,475 | 40.31% | 412 | 1.45% | 5,104 | 17.93% | 28,466 |
| Franklin | 2,831 | 69.63% | 1,213 | 29.83% | 22 | 0.54% | 1,618 | 39.80% | 4,066 |
| George | 9,858 | 89.06% | 1,138 | 10.28% | 73 | 0.66% | 8,720 | 78.78% | 11,069 |
| Greene | 4,776 | 84.55% | 835 | 14.78% | 38 | 0.67% | 3,941 | 69.77% | 5,649 |
| Grenada | 5,651 | 57.86% | 4,060 | 41.57% | 55 | 0.57% | 1,591 | 16.29% | 9,766 |
| Hancock | 16,684 | 78.79% | 4,262 | 20.13% | 229 | 1.08% | 12,422 | 58.66% | 21,175 |
| Harrison | 48,497 | 63.88% | 26,555 | 34.98% | 871 | 1.14% | 21,942 | 28.90% | 75,923 |
| Hinds | 22,816 | 26.19% | 62,840 | 72.12% | 1,472 | 1.69% | -40,024 | -45.93% | 87,128 |
| Holmes | 1,243 | 18.47% | 5,420 | 80.53% | 67 | 1.00% | -4,177 | -62.06% | 6,730 |
| Humphreys | 990 | 28.55% | 2,443 | 70.44% | 35 | 1.01% | -1,453 | -41.89% | 3,468 |
| Issaquena | 296 | 47.59% | 287 | 46.14% | 39 | 6.27% | 9 | 1.45% | 622 |
| Itawamba | 9,523 | 89.66% | 1,027 | 9.67% | 71 | 0.67% | 8,496 | 79.99% | 10,621 |
| Jackson | 36,376 | 69.29% | 15,469 | 29.47% | 652 | 1.24% | 20,907 | 39.82% | 52,497 |
| Jasper | 4,118 | 52.19% | 3,722 | 47.17% | 50 | 0.64% | 396 | 5.02% | 7,890 |
| Jefferson | 541 | 16.40% | 2,727 | 82.66% | 31 | 0.94% | -2,186 | -66.26% | 3,299 |
| Jefferson Davis | 2,302 | 42.80% | 3,041 | 56.55% | 35 | 0.65% | -739 | -13.75% | 5,378 |
| Jones | 20,265 | 73.01% | 7,272 | 26.20% | 218 | 0.79% | 12,993 | 46.81% | 27,755 |
| Kemper | 1,691 | 41.39% | 2,381 | 58.27% | 14 | 0.34% | -690 | -16.88% | 4,086 |
| Lafayette | 14,050 | 60.02% | 8,956 | 38.26% | 403 | 1.72% | 5,094 | 21.76% | 23,409 |
| Lamar | 20,775 | 73.51% | 7,038 | 24.90% | 449 | 1.59% | 13,737 | 48.61% | 28,262 |
| Lauderdale | 16,487 | 60.16% | 10,677 | 38.96% | 243 | 0.88% | 5,810 | 21.20% | 27,407 |
| Lawrence | 4,113 | 67.95% | 1,899 | 31.37% | 41 | 0.68% | 2,214 | 36.58% | 6,053 |
| Leake | 5,143 | 61.37% | 3,182 | 37.97% | 55 | 0.66% | 1,961 | 23.40% | 8,380 |
| Lee | 24,339 | 68.87% | 10,616 | 30.04% | 383 | 1.09% | 13,723 | 38.83% | 35,338 |
| Leflore | 2,854 | 30.29% | 6,476 | 68.74% | 91 | 0.97% | -3,622 | -38.45% | 9,421 |
| Lincoln | 11,432 | 72.35% | 4,262 | 26.97% | 108 | 0.68% | 7,170 | 45.38% | 15,802 |
| Lowndes | 13,087 | 53.58% | 11,096 | 45.43% | 243 | 0.99% | 1,991 | 8.15% | 24,426 |
| Madison | 32,333 | 57.80% | 22,700 | 40.58% | 902 | 1.62% | 9,633 | 17.22% | 55,935 |
| Marion | 7,874 | 70.25% | 3,215 | 28.68% | 119 | 1.07% | 4,659 | 41.57% | 11,208 |
| Marshall | 7,977 | 53.24% | 6,888 | 45.97% | 118 | 0.79% | 1,089 | 7.27% | 14,983 |
| Monroe | 10,861 | 67.59% | 5,090 | 31.68% | 118 | 0.73% | 5,771 | 35.91% | 16,069 |
| Montgomery | 2,658 | 60.08% | 1,737 | 39.26% | 29 | 0.66% | 921 | 20.82% | 4,424 |
| Neshoba | 8,154 | 74.99% | 2,622 | 24.11% | 97 | 0.90% | 5,532 | 50.88% | 10,873 |
| Newton | 6,641 | 71.23% | 2,603 | 27.92% | 79 | 0.85% | 4,038 | 43.31% | 9,323 |
| Noxubee | 1,151 | 25.87% | 3,269 | 73.48% | 29 | 0.65% | -2,118 | -47.61% | 4,449 |
| Oktibbeha | 8,901 | 49.13% | 8,851 | 48.86% | 364 | 2.01% | 50 | 0.27% | 18,116 |
| Panola | 8,202 | 56.87% | 6,061 | 42.03% | 159 | 1.10% | 2,141 | 14.84% | 14,422 |
| Pearl River | 20,438 | 82.74% | 3,982 | 16.12% | 281 | 1.14% | 16,456 | 66.62% | 24,701 |
| Perry | 4,425 | 79.89% | 1,078 | 19.46% | 36 | 0.65% | 3,347 | 60.43% | 5,539 |
| Pike | 7,943 | 51.18% | 7,402 | 47.70% | 174 | 1.12% | 541 | 3.48% | 15,519 |
| Pontotoc | 11,740 | 83.45% | 2,214 | 15.74% | 114 | 0.81% | 9,526 | 67.71% | 14,068 |
| Prentiss | 8,581 | 82.66% | 1,727 | 16.64% | 73 | 0.70% | 6,854 | 66.02% | 10,381 |
| Quitman | 902 | 33.69% | 1,725 | 64.44% | 50 | 1.87% | -823 | -30.75% | 2,677 |
| Rankin | 50,896 | 72.83% | 18,060 | 25.84% | 931 | 1.33% | 32,836 | 46.99% | 69,887 |
| Scott | 6,098 | 61.65% | 3,729 | 37.70% | 64 | 0.65% | 2,369 | 23.95% | 9,891 |
| Sharkey | 551 | 31.20% | 1,201 | 68.01% | 14 | 0.79% | -650 | -36.81% | 1,766 |
| Simpson | 7,552 | 68.07% | 3,479 | 31.36% | 63 | 0.57% | 4,073 | 36.71% | 11,094 |
| Smith | 6,146 | 80.07% | 1,486 | 19.36% | 44 | 0.57% | 4,660 | 60.71% | 7,676 |
| Stone | 6,214 | 78.47% | 1,620 | 20.46% | 85 | 1.07% | 4,594 | 58.01% | 7,919 |
| Sunflower | 2,515 | 31.93% | 5,312 | 67.45% | 49 | 0.62% | -2,797 | -35.52% | 7,876 |
| Tallahatchie | 2,333 | 46.55% | 2,630 | 52.47% | 49 | 0.98% | -297 | -5.92% | 5,012 |
| Tate | 9,185 | 71.42% | 3,555 | 27.64% | 121 | 0.94% | 5,630 | 43.78% | 12,861 |
| Tippah | 7,984 | 83.24% | 1,547 | 16.13% | 60 | 0.63% | 6,437 | 67.11% | 9,591 |
| Tishomingo | 8,064 | 89.10% | 921 | 10.18% | 65 | 0.72% | 7,143 | 78.92% | 9,050 |
| Tunica | 799 | 29.95% | 1,837 | 68.85% | 32 | 1.20% | -1,038 | -38.90% | 2,668 |
| Union | 10,559 | 84.62% | 1,807 | 14.48% | 112 | 0.90% | 8,752 | 70.14% | 12,478 |
| Walthall | 4,114 | 63.01% | 2,355 | 36.07% | 60 | 0.92% | 1,759 | 26.94% | 6,529 |
| Warren | 9,407 | 51.41% | 8,683 | 47.45% | 208 | 1.14% | 724 | 3.96% | 18,298 |
| Washington | 4,649 | 31.97% | 9,735 | 66.95% | 156 | 1.08% | -5,086 | -34.98% | 14,540 |
| Wayne | 6,013 | 65.94% | 3,028 | 33.21% | 78 | 0.85% | 2,985 | 32.73% | 9,119 |
| Webster | 4,195 | 82.34% | 872 | 17.11% | 28 | 0.55% | 3,323 | 65.23% | 5,095 |
| Wilkinson | 1,075 | 36.68% | 1,817 | 61.99% | 39 | 1.33% | -742 | -25.31% | 2,931 |
| Winston | 4,922 | 58.71% | 3,392 | 40.46% | 70 | 0.83% | 1,530 | 18.25% | 8,384 |
| Yalobusha | 3,518 | 59.85% | 2,289 | 38.94% | 71 | 1.21% | 1,229 | 20.91% | 5,878 |
| Yazoo | 4,558 | 50.81% | 4,342 | 48.40% | 71 | 0.79% | 216 | 2.41% | 8,971 |
| Totals | 747,744 | 60.83% | 466,668 | 37.96% | 14,843 | 1.21% | 281,076 | 22.87% | 1,229,255 |

#### By congressional district

Trump won 3 of 4 congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
| 1st | 67.85% | 30.82% | Trent Kelly |
| 2nd | 39.30% | 59.68% | Bennie Thompson |
| 3rd | 64.12% | 34.90% | Michael Guest |
| 4th | 70.72% | 28.19% | Mike Ezell |

## Analysis

Though Mississippi has voted to the left of its bordering states in recent presidential elections, owing mainly to its large African-American minority, the state is located in the Deep South and therefore the Bible Belt. One of the most socially conservative states in the nation, it has not been won by a Democratic presidential candidate since Southerner Jimmy Carter's narrow statewide victory in 1976, nor has it been competitive at this level since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas fell five points short of carrying the state in 1996.
Trump received 60.9% of the vote in Mississippi, winning the state by a 22.9% margin. Harris received 15% less total votes than Biden did, in large part with a decline in turnout from black majority counties on the Mississippi Delta. Collectively, these counties saw a 8% drop in turnout compared to 2020.