# Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke (provincial electoral district)

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke is a provincial electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario since 1999.
It is represented by Billy Denault of the Progressive Conservative Party.
The population of the riding in 2006 was 98,803.
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke includes all of Renfrew County and a small section of Nipissing District around Algonquin Provincial Park.
The largest community in the riding is the city of Pembroke; other communities include Arnprior, Barry's Bay, Chalk River, Cobden, Deep River, Eganville, Killaloe, Petawawa and Renfrew.
Until recently, the riding was a Liberal stronghold both federally and provincially; however, a growing agricultural and religious base has turned this into one of the most conservative areas in Ontario. It was the only riding the Liberals had and lost in the 2003 provincial election.

## Geography

The riding consists of
* the County of Renfrew; and
* the part of the Territorial District of Nipissing lying south and east of and including the townships of Deacon, Lister, Anglin, Dickson, Preston and Airy.

## History

The provincial electoral district was created in 1999 when provincial ridings were defined to have the same borders as federal ridings.

## Members of Provincial Parliament

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke :
| Assembly | Years | Member | Party |
| Riding created |||||
| 37th | 1999–2003 | Sean Conway | Liberal |
| 38th | 2003–2007 | John Yakabuski | Progressive Conservative |
| 39th | 2007–2011 | John Yakabuski | Progressive Conservative |
| 40th | 2011–2014 | John Yakabuski | Progressive Conservative |
| 41st | 2014–2018 | John Yakabuski | Progressive Conservative |
| 42nd | 2018–2022 | John Yakabuski | Progressive Conservative |
| 43rd | 2022–2025 | John Yakabuski | Progressive Conservative |
| 44th | 2025–present | Billy Denault | Progressive Conservative |

## Election results

2025 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Billy Denault | 24,297 | 53.79 | -7.33 |
| | Liberal | Oliver Jacob | 9,804 | 22.64 | +12.87 |
| | New Democratic | Marshall Buchanan | 6,607 | 15.25 | -1.85 |
| | Ontario Party | Kevin Holm | 1,587 | 3.66 | +0.77 |
| | Green | Anna Dolan | 1,123 | 2.59 | -1.07 |
| | New Blue | Mark Dickson | 893 | 2.06 | -2.59 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 43,311 | 99.23 | –0.18 |
| Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | 336 | 0.77 | +0.18 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 43,647 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | –10.10 |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
vte2022 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Progressive Conservative | John Yakabuski | 24,563 | 61.12 | −8.07 | $37,426 |
| | New Democratic | Kurt Stoll | 6,872 | 17.10 | +0.36 | $29,868 |
| | Liberal | Oliver A. Jacob | 3,928 | 9.77 | +0.02 | $1,685 |
| | New Blue | Thomas O'Connor | 1,868 | 4.65 | | $8,416 |
| | Green | Anna Dolan | 1,470 | 3.66 | +0.68 | $455 |
| | Ontario Party | Kade MacWilliams | 1,162 | 2.89 | | $2,875 |
| | Confederation of Regions | Murray Reid | 325 | 0.81 | +0.03 | $642 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 40,188 | 99.41 | +0.47 | $122,280 |
| Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | 239 | 0.59 | -0.47 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 40,427 | 46.29 | -13.45 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 85,768 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | −4.22 |
| Source(s) "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18."Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21. |||||||
vte2018 Ontario general election: Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | John Yakabuski | 33,350 | 69.19 | +8.13 |
| | New Democratic | Ethel Lavalley | 8,066 | 16.73 | +2.27 |
| | Liberal | Jackie Agnew | 4,701 | 9.75 | -9.35 |
| | Green | Anna Dolan | 1,436 | 2.98 | -0.25 |
| | Confederation of Regions | Murray Reid | 373 | 0.77 | -0.42 |
| | Libertarian | Jesse Wood | 273 | 0.57 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 48,199 | 100.00 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | | 61.99 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 77,758 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
vte2014 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | John Yakabuski | 25,241 | 61.06 | -9.72 |
| | Liberal | Rod Boileau | 7,897 | 19.10 | +3.12 |
| | New Democratic | Brian Dougherty | 5,978 | 14.46 | +3.49 |
| | Green | Benjamin Wright | 1,337 | 3.23 | +1.76 |
| | Confederation of Regions | Murray Reid | 489 | 1.19 | +0.40 |
| | Independent | Chad Beckwith-Smith | 392 | 0.95 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 41,334 | 100.00 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | -6.42 |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
2011 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | John Yakabuski | 27,594 | 70.78 | +8.43 |
| | Liberal | John O'Leary | 6,231 | 15.98 | –8.73 |
| | New Democratic | Brian Dougherty | 4,277 | 10.97 | +3.38 |
| | Green | Kyle Jones | 574 | 1.47 | –2.96 |
| | Confederation of Regions | Murray Reid | 309 | 0.79 | +0.59 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 38,985 | 100.0 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 107 | 0.27 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 39,092 | 52.69 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 74,191 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +8.58 |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
2007 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | John Yakabuski | 24,975 | 62.35 | +18.21 |
| | Liberal | Sean Kelly | 9,905 | 24.71 | -17.95 |
| | New Democratic | Felicite Stairs | 3,038 | 7.59 | -4.07 |
| | Green | Mark MacKenzie | 1,777 | 4.43 | +2.89 |
| | Family Coalition | Bruce Dean | 292 | 0.72 | |
| | Confederation of Regions | Tilton Beaumont | 76 | 0.20 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 40,063 | 100.0 |
2003 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | John Yakabuski | 19,274 | 44.14 | +3.76 |
| | Liberal | Derek Nighbor | 18,629 | 42.66 | -10.69 |
| | New Democratic | Felicite Stairs | 5,092 | 11.66 | +6.44 |
| | Green | Chris Walker | 671 | 1.54 | +0.89 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 43,666 | 100.0 |
1999 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Liberal | Sean Conway | 23,435 | 53.35 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Leo Jordan | 17,738 | 40.38 |
| | New Democratic | Gerry Boyer | 2,295 | 5.22 |
| | Green | Thane C. Heins | 287 | 0.65 |
| | Natural Law | Andr Giordano | 172 | 0.39 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 43,927 | 100.0 |

## 2007 Electoral Reform Referendum

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum :
| Side | Votes | % |
| First Past the Post | 28,818 | 74.5 |
| Mixed member proportional | 9,859 | 25.5 |
| Total valid votes | 38,677 | 100.0 |

## Sources

* ↑ "Vote Totals From Official Tabulation" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 3 March 2025. Retrieved 4 March 2025.
* ↑ "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. p. 9. Retrieved 20 January 2019.
* ↑ Elections Ontario (2014). "General Election Results by District, 074 Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke". Retrieved 13 June 2014.
* ↑ Elections Ontario (2011). "Official return from the records / Rapport des registres officiels - Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke" (PDF). Retrieved 2 June 2014.
* Elections Ontario Past Election Results
* Map of riding for 2018 election
45°38′N 77°25′W﻿ / ﻿45.63°N 77.41°W﻿ / 45.63; -77.41