# 2022 United States Senate election in New York

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vte :
The 2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York.
Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer, who had served as Senate Majority Leader since 2021, was first elected in 1998, defeating Republican incumbent Al D'Amato. Schumer ran for a fifth term. Republican Joe Pinion is the first black Senate nominee of any major party in New York history. The filing deadline for the June primary was April 7, 2022. Schumer became the longest-serving U.S. senator in the state's history once his fifth term began in the 118th Congress.
Though Schumer was comfortably re-elected by a margin of 14.02%, he lost significant support on Long Island and Upstate New York compared to his last election in 2016. Pinion flipped the more conservative counties that Schumer had won in his previous runs, as well as some Democratic-leaning counties such as Nassau, Saratoga, Broome, Clinton, and Essex. However, Schumer's lead was large enough in New York City that it was called by most media outlets the moment the polls closed.
Despite Democrats overperforming expectations on a national level during this cycle, this race was the most competitive in Schumer's Senate career since his first election in 1998, when he won by 10.5%, along with being the closest U.S. Senate election from New York since Hillary Clinton won by about 12.3 percentage points in 2000. This was due to a Democratic underperformance in New York state despite their overperformance nationally, and Schumer's performance was still the highest margin (aside from Thomas DiNapoli in the concurrent comptroller election) on the statewide ballot.

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Leader

#### Disqualified

* Moses Mugulusi, regulator
* Khaled Salem, activist

#### Declined

* Alessandra Biaggi, state senator from the 34th district (ran for U.S. House)
* Jamaal Bowman, U.S. Representative for New York's 16th congressional district (ran for re-election)
* Andrew Cuomo, former governor of New York, former attorney general of New York, and former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development
* Mondaire Jones, U.S. Representative for New York's 17th congressional district (ran for re-election)
* Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative for New York's 14th congressional district (ran for re-election)
* Jumaane Williams, New York City Public Advocate and former New York City Councilor for the 45th district (ran for governor)

### Endorsements
#### Statewide officials

* Letitia James, Attorney General of New York (2019–present)

#### Organizations

* Civil Service Employees Association
* Feminist Majority PAC
* Jewish Dems
* NRDC Action Fund
* Population Connection Action Fund
* Public Employees Federation
* Pro-Israel America

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chuck Schumer | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Undecided |
| Zogby Analytics | May 7–9, 2020 | 328 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 54% | 21% | 25% |

## Republican primary

At the 2022 New York State Republican Convention, Joe Pinion was designated as the New York State Republican Party's preferred candidate for U.S. Senate. Pinion became the first Black individual to be backed by a major party in a U.S. Senate election in New York.

### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Joe Pinion, entrepreneur, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly in 2018

#### Disqualified

* Aleksander Mici, lawyer and candidate for New York City Council in 2021

#### Declined

* Andrew Giuliani, former Trump administration official, son of Rudy Giuliani and Newsmax TV contributor (ran for governor)
* John Katko, U.S. Representative for New York's 24th congressional district
* Tom Reed, former U.S. Representative for New York's 23rd congressional district
* Lee Zeldin, U.S. Representative for New York's 1st congressional district and former state senator from the 3rd district (ran for governor)

### Endorsements
#### U.S. representatives

* Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present) and Chair of the House Republican Conference (2021–2025)

#### Organizations

* New York Young Republican Club

## Conservative primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Joe Pinion, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly in 2018

## Working Families primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. senator

## Other candidates

Diane Sare ran on an Independent ballot line labeled "LaRouche."

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid D | November 19, 2021 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | January 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 3, 2021 |
| Politico | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP | Likely D | October 18, 2022 |
| Fox News | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538 | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist | Solid D | September 7, 2022 |

### Endorsements
#### Federal officials

* Joe Biden, president of the United States (2021–2025)

#### Statewide officials

* Letitia James, Attorney General of New York (2019–present)

#### Individuals

* Lin-Manuel Miranda, actor and lyricist

#### Organizations

* American Israel PAC
* Citizen Action of New York
* Civil Service Employees Association
* Feminist Majority PAC
* Humane Society Legislative Fund
* Jewish Dems
* NARAL Pro-Choice America
* National Association of Social Workers
* National Education Association
* Natural Resources Defense Council
* New York AFL–CIO
* New York State Nurses Association
* New York State Public Employees Federation
* New York State United Teachers
* Newtown Action Alliance
* Planned Parenthood
* Population Connection Action Fund
* Pro-Israel America
* Public Employees Federation
* Sierra Club
* Stonewall Democrats
* United Federation of Teachers

#### Newspapers

* The Buffalo News
* The Post-Standard
* Times Union

#### U.S. representatives

* Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present) and Chair of the House Republican Conference (2021–present)

#### Organizations

* New York Federation of College Republicans
* New York State Troopers Police Benevolent Association
* New York Young Republican Club

### Polling

Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Chuck Schumer (D) | Joe Pinion (R) | Undecided | Margin |
| Real Clear Politics | October 26–31, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.7% | 39.3% | 6.0% | Schumer +15.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight | October 12 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 55.7% | 38.0% | 6.3% | Schumer +17.7 |
| 270towin | October 26 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.6% | 38.6% | 6.8% | Schumer +16.0 |
| Average | Average | Average | 55.0% | 38.6% | 6.4% | Schumer +16.4 |
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chuck Schumer (D) | Joe Pinion (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 37% | 2% | 6% |
| ActiVote (D) | August 8 – November 6, 2022 | 279 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 36% | 3% | 6% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 39% | 4% | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 40% | 5% | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R) | October 27–29, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 38% | – | 7% |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 26–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 39% | – | 5% |
| Long Island University | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,001 (A) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 27% | 9% | 10% |
| Civiqs | October 22–25, 2022 | 593 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 56% | 41% | 1% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 36% | 6% | 8% |
| Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 8% | – |
| SurveyUSA | October 14–18, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 52% | 38% | 4% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 12–16, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 54% | 42% | 1% | 3% |
| Siena College | October 12–14, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 57% | 37% | 1% | 5% |
| Marist College | October 3–6, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 1% | 8% |
| Marist College | October 3–6, 2022 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 34% | 1% | 11% |
| Siena College | September 16–25, 2022 | 655 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 36% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 31% | 5% | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% |
| Emerson College | July 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 31% | 7% | 8% |
| Siena College | July 24–28, 2022 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 0% | 8% |
Chuck Schumer vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chuck Schumer (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |

### Results

2022 United States Senate election in New York :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Chuck Schumer | 3,022,822 | 51.69% | −13.03% |
| | Working Families | Chuck Schumer | 297,739 | 5.09% | +1.82% |
| | Total | Chuck Schumer (incumbent) | 3,320,561 | 56.78% | −13.86% |
| | Republican | Joe Pinion | 2,204,499 | 37.69% | +14.37% |
| | Conservative | Joe Pinion | 296,652 | 5.07% | +1.45% |
| | Total | Joe Pinion | 2,501,151 | 42.76% | +15.58% |
| | LaRouche | Diane Sare | 26,844 | 0.46% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 5,848,556 | 100.0% | N/A |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Broome (largest municipality: Binghamton)
* Cattaraugus (largest municipality: Olean)
* Cayuga (largest municipality: Auburn)
* Chautauqua (largest municipality: Jamestown)
* Chemung (largest municipality: Elmira)
* Chenango (largest municipality: Norwich)
* Clinton (largest municipality: Plattsburgh)
* Cortland (largest municipality: Cortland)
* Delaware (largest municipality: Sidney)
* Essex (largest municipality: Ticonderoga)
* Franklin (largest municipality: Malone)
* Fulton (largest municipality: Gloversville)
* Genesee (largest municipality: Batavia)
* Greene (largest municipality: Catskill)
* Herkimer (largest municipality: German Flatts)
* Jefferson (largest municipality: Le Ray)
* Lewis (largest municipality: Lowville)
* Livingston (largest municipality: Geneseo)
* Madison (largest municipality: Oneida)
* Montgomery (largest municipality: Amsterdam)
* Nassau (largest municipality: Hempstead)
* Niagara (largest municipality: Niagara Falls)
* Oneida (largest municipality: Utica)
* Ontario (largest municipality: Geneva)
* Orange (largest municipality: Kiryas Joel)
* Oswego (largest municipality: Oswego)
* Otsego (largest municipality: Oneonta)
* Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel)
* Richmond (Staten Island, borough of New York City)
* St. Lawrence (largest municipality: Massena)
* Saratoga (largest municipality: Saratoga Springs)
* Schoharie (largest municipality: Cobleskill)
* Schuyler (largest municipality: Watkins Glen)
* Seneca (largest municipality: Seneca Falls)
* Suffolk (largest municipality: Brookhaven)
* Sullivan (largest municipality: Monticello)
* Tioga (largest municipality: Waverly)
* Warren (largest municipality: Glens Falls)
* Washington (largest municipality: Hudson Falls)
* Wayne (largest municipality: Newark)
* Yates (largest municipality: Penn Yan)

#### By congressional district

Schumer won 19 of 26 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.
| District | Schumer | Pinion | Representative |
| 1st | 45% | 54% | Lee Zeldin (117th Congress) |
| 1st | 45% | 54% | Nick LaLota (118th Congress) |
| 2nd | 42% | 58% | Andrew Garbarino |
| 3rd | 48% | 52% | Tom Suozzi (117th Congress) |
| 3rd | 48% | 52% | George Santos (118th Congress) |
| 4th | 50% | 49% | Kathleen Rice (117th Congress) |
| 4th | 50% | 49% | Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress) |
| 5th | 76% | 23% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 60% | 39% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 81% | 18% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 73% | 27% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 74% | 25% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 85% | 15% | Jerry Nadler (117th Congress) |
| 10th | 85% | 15% | Dan Goldman (118th Congress) |
| 11th | 40% | 60% | Nicole Malliotakis |
| 12th | 83% | 16% | Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress) |
| 12th | 83% | 16% | Jerry Nadler (118th Congress) |
| 13th | 89% | 11% | Adriano Espaillat |
| 14th | 74% | 26% | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
| 15th | 83% | 17% | Ritchie Torres |
| 16th | 66% | 33% | Jamaal Bowman |
| 17th | 52% | 48% | Mondaire Jones (117th Congress) |
| 17th | 52% | 48% | Mike Lawler (118th Congress) |
| 18th | 51% | 48% | Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress) |
| 18th | 51% | 48% | Pat Ryan (118th Congress) |
| 19th | 50% | 49% | Pat Ryan (117th Congress) |
| 19th | 50% | 49% | Marc Molinaro (118th Congress) |
| 20th | 56% | 43% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 41% | 58% | Elise Stefanik |
| 22nd | 52% | 48% | Claudia Tenney (117th Congress) |
| 22nd | 52% | 48% | Brandon Williams (118th Congress) |
| 23rd | 39% | 60% | Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress) |
| 23rd | 39% | 60% | Nick Langworthy (118th Congress) |
| 24th | 38% | 61% | John Katko (117th Congress) |
| 24th | 38% | 61% | Claudia Tenney (118th Congress) |
| 25th | 56% | 43% | Joseph Morelle |
| 26th | 60% | 39% | Brian Higgins |