# 2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey

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vte :
The 2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Democratic nominee John Kerry defeated Republican incumbent President George W. Bush by a 6.68% margin of victory in New Jersey. However, Bush was re-elected to the presidency.
Prior to the election, most news organizations considered New Jersey a blue state that Kerry would win. Due to the impact of the September 11, 2001 attacks and Democratic Governor Jim McGreevey's resignation following threats of a sexual harassment lawsuit, political observers believed that the presidential contest in New Jersey would be closer than usual. Polls showed Senator John F. Kerry with a slim lead throughout the campaign, and the Republicans invested some campaign funds in the state.

## Primaries

* 2004 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary

## Campaign
### Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. The table below shows their final predictions before Election Day.
| Source | Ranking |
| D.C. Political Report | Lean D |
| Cook Political Report | Likely D |
| Research 2000 | Solid D |
| Zogby International | Likely D |
| Washington Post | Likely D |
| Washington Dispatch | Likely D |
| Washington Times | Solid D |
| The New York Times | Lean D |
| CNN | Likely D |
| Newsweek | Lean D |
| Associated Press | Solid D |
| Rasmussen Reports | Likely D |

### Polling

Kerry led by small margins in most pre-election polls taken in New Jersey. A final three-poll rolling average showed Kerry leading Bush, 49% to 42%.

### Fundraising

Bush raised $5,934,011 from New Jersey donors, while Kerry raised $6,513,274.

## Results

2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes |
| | Democratic | John Kerry | 1,911,430 | 52.92% | 15 |
| | Republican | George W. Bush (Inc.) | 1,670,003 | 46.24% | 0 |
| | Independent | Ralph Nader | 19,418 | 0.54% | 0 |
| | Libertarian | Michael Badnarik | 4,514 | 0.12% | 0 |
| | Constitution | Michael Peroutka | 2,750 | 0.08% | 0 |
| | Green | David Cobb | 1,807 | 0.05% | 0 |
| | Socialist | Walt Brown | 664 | 0.02% | 0 |
| | Socialist Equality | Bill Van Auken | 575 | 0.02% | 0 |
| | Socialist Workers | Roger Calero | 530 | 0.01% | 0 |
| Totals | Totals | Totals | 3,611,691 | 100.00% | 15 |
| Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) | Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) | Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) | Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) | Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) | 56%/72% |

### By county

| County | John Kerry Democratic | John Kerry Democratic | George W. Bush Republican | George W. Bush Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Atlantic | 55,746 | 52.54% | 49,487 | 46.64% | 864 | 0.81% | 6,259 | 5.90% | 106,097 |
| Bergen | 207,666 | 51.88% | 189,833 | 47.43% | 2,745 | 0.69% | 17,833 | 4.45% | 400,244 |
| Burlington | 110,411 | 53.09% | 95,936 | 46.13% | 1,609 | 0.77% | 14,475 | 6.96% | 207,956 |
| Camden | 137,765 | 62.36% | 81,427 | 36.86% | 1,741 | 0.79% | 56,338 | 25.50% | 220,933 |
| Cape May | 21,475 | 42.31% | 28,832 | 56.80% | 455 | 0.90% | −7,357 | −14.49% | 50,762 |
| Cumberland | 27,875 | 52.41% | 24,362 | 45.81% | 948 | 1.78% | 3,513 | 6.60% | 53,185 |
| Essex | 203,681 | 70.39% | 83,374 | 28.81% | 2,293 | 0.79% | 120,307 | 41.58% | 289,348 |
| Gloucester | 66,835 | 52.23% | 60,033 | 46.91% | 1,096 | 0.86% | 6,802 | 5.32% | 127,964 |
| Hudson | 127,447 | 67.24% | 60,646 | 31.99% | 1,461 | 0.77% | 66,801 | 35.25% | 189,554 |
| Hunterdon | 26,050 | 39.07% | 39,888 | 59.82% | 742 | 1.11% | −13,838 | −20.75% | 66,680 |
| Mercer | 91,580 | 61.25% | 56,604 | 37.86% | 1,326 | 0.89% | 34,976 | 23.39% | 149,510 |
| Middlesex | 166,628 | 56.33% | 126,492 | 42.76% | 2,685 | 0.91% | 40,136 | 13.57% | 295,805 |
| Monmouth | 133,773 | 44.60% | 163,650 | 54.56% | 2,516 | 0.84% | −29,877 | −9.96% | 299,939 |
| Morris | 98,066 | 41.70% | 135,241 | 57.51% | 1,847 | 0.79% | −37,175 | −15.81% | 235,154 |
| Ocean | 99,839 | 38.93% | 154,204 | 60.13% | 2,424 | 0.95% | −54,365 | −21.20% | 256,467 |
| Passaic | 94,962 | 55.43% | 75,200 | 43.90% | 1,149 | 0.67% | 19,762 | 11.53% | 171,311 |
| Salem | 13,749 | 46.17% | 15,721 | 52.79% | 311 | 1.04% | −1,972 | −6.62% | 29,781 |
| Somerset | 66,476 | 47.39% | 72,508 | 51.69% | 1,295 | 0.92% | −6,032 | −4.30% | 140,279 |
| Sussex | 23,990 | 34.54% | 44,506 | 64.08% | 962 | 1.38% | −20,516 | −29.54% | 69,458 |
| Union | 119,372 | 58.66% | 82,517 | 40.55% | 1,613 | 0.79% | 36,855 | 18.11% | 203,502 |
| Warren | 18,044 | 37.43% | 29,542 | 61.28% | 622 | 1.29% | −11,498 | −23.85% | 48,208 |
| Totals | 1,911,430 | 52.92% | 1,670,003 | 46.23% | 30,704 | 0.85% | 241,427 | 6.69% | 3,612,137 |

### By congressional district

Kerry won 7 of 13 congressional districts.
| District | Kerry | Bush | Representative |
| 1st | 61% | 39% | Rob Andrews |
| 2nd | 49% | 50% | Frank LoBiondo |
| 3rd | 49% | 51% | Jim Saxton |
| 4th | 44% | 56% | Chris Smith |
| 5th | 43% | 57% | Scott Garrett |
| 6th | 57% | 43% | Frank Pallone Jr. |
| 7th | 47% | 53% | Mike Ferguson |
| 8th | 59% | 41% | Bill Pascrell |
| 9th | 59% | 41% | Steve Rothman |
| 10th | 82% | 18% | Donald Payne |
| 11th | 42% | 58% | Rodney Frelinghuysen |
| 12th | 54% | 46% | Rush Holt Jr. |
| 13th | 69% | 31% | Bob Menendez |

## Electors

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state of New Jersey in 2004. All 15 were pledged to support the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards.
* Warren Wallace
* Wilfredo Caraballo
* Tom Canzanella
* Carolyn Walch
* Peggy Anastos
* Bernard Kenny
* Ronald Rice
* Abed Awad
* Jack McGreevey – (Father of former Gov. James McGreevey)
* Wendy Benchle
* Loni Kaplan
* Carolyn Wade
* Riletta L. Cream
* Bernadette McPherson
* Upendra Chivukula