# 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election

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vte :
The 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Connecticut. Incumbent Democratic governor Ned Lamont ran for re-election to a second term in office. The race simultaneously took place with the election to the state's Class III Senate seat. This election featured a rematch of the previous 2018 gubernatorial election, pitting Lamont against Republican Bob Stefanowski, whom he previously defeated by 3.2% of the vote. This time Lamont won re-election by a wider margin, becoming the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election by more than 5 points in the state since 1986.
This was the first time that Tolland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election since 1994, Darien since 1912, Wilton since 1884, and New Canaan since 1882.

## Democratic convention
### Governor
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Ned Lamont, incumbent governor

### Lieutenant governor
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor

## Republican convention
### Governor
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Bob Stefanowski, financial executive and nominee for governor in 2018

##### Eliminated at convention

* Susan Patricelli Regan

##### Declined

* Themis Klarides, former Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives (running for U.S. Senate)
* Jayme Stevenson, Darien First Selectman and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2018 (running for U.S. House)
* Erin Stewart, Mayor of New Britain and candidate for governor and lieutenant governor in 2018

### Lieutenant governor
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Laura Devlin, state representative

## Third-party candidates and independent candidates
### Libertarian Party

* Aaron Lewis, founder of The Scribe's Institute
** Running mate: Kevin Skulczyck

### Green Party

* Michelle Louise Bicking, clinical social worker
** Running mate: Cassandra Martineau, social justice activist

### Independent Party of Connecticut

In 2022, the Independent Party nominated its own candidate for governor for the first time ever. In every previous gubernatorial election since its creation, the party had always cross-endorsed the Republican nominee.
* Rob Hotaling, technology and business leader
** Running mate: Dr. Stewart “Chip” Beckett, veterinarian, former chairman Capitol Region Council of Governments, Chairman Glastonbury Town Council

### Working Families Party

The Working Families Party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an additional ballot line. Official designee
* Ned Lamont, incumbent governor
** Running mate: Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor

### Griebel-Frank for CT Party

The Griebel-Frank for CT Party, which secured 54,741 votes in the 2018 election and is now affiliated with the Forward Party, gained a ballot line for 2022. In September 2022, the party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an unprecedented three ballot lines for the election. Official designee
* Ned Lamont, incumbent governor
** Running mate: Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid D | October 28, 2022 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely D | January 26, 2022 |
| Politico | Lean D | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP | Lean D | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News | Likely D | May 12, 2022 |
| 538 | Solid D | September 20, 2022 |
| Elections Daily | Safe D | November 7, 2022 |

### Endorsements

State officials
* Mark Boughton, Commissioner of the Connecticut Department of Revenue Services (2021–present) and former mayor of Danbury (2002–2020) (Republican)
* Mae Flexer, state senator for the 29th district (2015–present)
* Susan Johnson, state senator for the 49th district (2009–present)
Local officials
* Luke Bronin, Mayor of Hartford, Connecticut (2018–present)
Political parties
* Democratic Party of Connecticut
* Griebel-Frank for CT Party (affiliated with the Forward Party)
* Working Families Party
Labor unions
* Connecticut AFL–CIO
* National Education Association
State officials
* Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey (2010–2018)
* Pete Ricketts, Governor of Nebraska (2015–2023)
* Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present)
* Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia (2022–present)
Organizations
* Connecticut Chapter of the Fraternal Order of Police
Political parties
* Connecticut Republican Party
Newspapers
* Republican-American

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of January 10, 2023 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ned Lamont (D) | $25,518,245 | $26,087,401 | $355,916 |
| Bob Stefenowski (R) | $12,902,700 | $14,498,162 | $17,840 |
| Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission ||||

### Polling

Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Ned Lamont (D) | Bob Stefanowski (R) | Other | Margin |
| Real Clear Politics | September 7–21, 2022 | September 28, 2022 | 53.7% | 39.3% | 7.0% | Lamont +14.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight | May 11 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.9% | 38.5% | 8.6% | Lamont +14.4 |
| 270ToWin | October 16–25, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.5% | 39.0% | 9.5% | Lamont +12.5 |
| Average | Average | Average | 52.7% | 38.9% | 8.4% | Lamont +13.8 |
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ned Lamont (D) | Bob Stefanowski (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Long Island University | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 24% | 8% | 13% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 23–24, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 43% | 4% | 4% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 23–24, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 46% | – | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,879 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 56% | 41% | 2% | 1% |
| Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 41% | 2% | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 43% | 4% | – |
| SurveyUSA | October 15–18, 2022 | 718 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 4% | 10% |
| Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 40% | 5% | 10% |
| Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | – | 7% |
| Western New England University | September 15–21, 2022 | 766 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 38% | 2% | 8% |
| Western New England University | September 15–21, 2022 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 40% | 2% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 15–19, 2022 | 1,911 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 57% | 40% | 1% | 2% |
| Emerson College | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 38% | 4% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University | May 19–23, 2022 | 1,660 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 51% | 43% | <1% | 6% |
| Emerson College | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | – | 12% |
| Sacred Heart University | March 24 – April 11, 2022 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 30% | 0% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 36% | – | 12% |
Ned Lamont vs. Themis Klarides
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ned Lamont (D) | Themis Klarides (R) | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 32% | 16% |
Ned Lamont vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ned Lamont (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
| Fabrizo Lee (R) | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 1% | 11% |

### Results

2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Ned Lamont | 691,146 | 54.47% | +6.37% |
| | Working Families | Ned Lamont | 16,175 | 1.27% | +0.00% |
| | Griebel-Frank for CT Party | Ned Lamont | 2,865 | 0.23% | −3.66% |
| | Total | Ned Lamont (incumbent) | 710,186 | 55.97% | +6.60% |
| | Republican | Bob Stefanowski | 546,209 | 43.05% | −3.16% |
| | Independent Party | Robert Hotaling | 12,400 | 0.98% | −0.82% |
| | Green | Michelle Louise Bicking (write-in) | 98 | 0.00% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,268,893 | 100.0% | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 1,292,847 | 57.57% | |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 2,245,844 | | |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

#### By county

Lamont won six out of all eight counties, while Stefenowski only won two.
| County | Ned Lamont Democratic | Ned Lamont Democratic | Bob Stefenowski Republican | Bob Stefenowski Republican | Other parties Independent | Other parties Independent | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Fairfield | 185,900 | 58.8% | 128,434 | 40.6% | 2,056 | 0.6% | 316,390 |
| Hartford | 185,124 | 59.6% | 121,948 | 39.3% | 3,313 | 1.1% | 310,385 |
| Litchfield | 36,591 | 44.8% | 44,282 | 54.2% | 858 | 1.0% | 81,731 |
| Middlesex | 41,052 | 54.9% | 32,940 | 44.0% | 830 | 1.1% | 74,822 |
| New Haven | 157,023 | 54.9% | 126,124 | 44.1% | 2,723 | 1.0% | 285,870 |
| New London | 55,174 | 54.9% | 43,902 | 43.7% | 1,353 | 1.3% | 100,429 |
| Tolland | 31,348 | 52.4% | 27,748 | 46.4% | 753 | 1.3% | 59,849 |
| Windham | 18,264 | 46.3% | 20,688 | 52.5% | 474 | 1.2% | 39,426 |
| Totals | 710,476 | 55.97% | 546,066 | 43.05% | 12,360 | 0.98% | 1,268,902 |

#### Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

* Middlesex (largest town: Middletown)
* Tolland (largest town: Vernon)

#### By congressional district

Lamont won all 5 congressional districts.
| District | Ned Lamont Democratic | Ned Lamont Democratic | Bob Stefenowski Republican | Bob Stefenowski Republican | Other parties Independent | Other parties Independent | Total votes cast | Representative |
| District | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast | Representative |
| 1st | 103,281 | 60.83% | 64,555 | 38.02% | 1,960 | 1.15% | 169,796 | John B. Larson |
| 2nd | 104,030 | 53.02% | 89,650 | 45.69% | 2,517 | 1.29% | 196,197 | Joe Courtney |
| 3rd | 108,548 | 56.42% | 82,101 | 42.66% | 1,772 | 0.92% | 192,421 | Rosa DeLauro |
| 4th | 96,180 | 60.29% | 62,389 | 39.10% | 979 | 0.61% | 159,548 | Jim Himes |
| 5th | 78,655 | 50.17% | 76,554 | 48.84% | 1,550 | 0.99% | 156,759 | Jahana Hayes |
| Totals | 710,186 | 55.97% | 546,209 | 43.05% | 12,498 | 0.98% | 1,268,893 | |