# 2023 Valencian regional election

The 2023 Valencian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 99 seats in the Corts were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The ruling "Botànic Agreement" of left-of-centre parties was re-elected in the 2019 election for a second term in office, albeit with a diminished majority of 52 to 47. Opinion polls held in the ensuing years saw a collapse of the vote for Citizens (Cs), particularly following the 2021 Madrilenian election, and its capitalization by both the People's Party (PP) and the far-right Vox party, to the point of putting at risk a new Botànic majority. The coalition government was further weakened by the resignation in June 2022 of Compromís figurehead Mónica Oltra as both cabinet member and deputy, following her being accused of negligence and concealment in an alleged case of sexual abuse of a minor under the protection of her ministry by her ex-husband. On the other hand, Ximo Puig's government was generally well-valued in opinion polls for its management of the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy and the political situation in the Valencian Community, which during this period saw the organization of the Benidorm Fest, the signing of a collaboration agreement with the Volkswagen Group for the development of a battery gigafactory in Sagunt and Ford's decision to equip its plant in Almussafes with the manufacture of electric cars.
The election saw a victory for the PP which, together with Vox, was able to command a majority of seats in the Corts. Puig's Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV) increased its vote share and seat count, but this was not enough to compensate for the loss of support of both Compromís and Unidas Podem, the latter of which failed to reach the minimum threshold. The collapse of Citizens (CS) helped fuel the PP's recovery. At 67.0%, turnout was the lowest ever for a Valencian regional election. As a result, PP's Carlos Mazón was able to get elected as new president of the Valencian Government through a coalition with Vox. This coalition government would last until July 2024, when Vox leader Santiago Abascal forced the break up of all PP–Vox governments at the regional level over a national controversy regarding the distribution of unaccompanied migrant minors among the autonomous communities, after which the PP was left in minority.

## Overview
### Electoral system

The Corts Valencianes were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Valencian autonomous community, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Valencian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. Voting for the Corts was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote. The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.
The 99 members of the Corts Valencianes were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other).
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Corts constituency was entitled the following seats:
| Seats | Constituencies |
| 40 | Valencia |
| 35 | Alicante |
| 24 | Castellón |

### Election date

The term of the Corts Valencianes expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of the Valencian Government (DOGV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 28 April 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 28 April 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the DOGV no later than 4 April 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Corts on Sunday, 28 May 2023.
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Corts Valencianes and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.
By late 2021, speculation emerged on possible snap elections in Andalusia and Castile and León to be held at some point during the spring of 2022, with it transpiring that President Ximo Puig was evaluating the opportunity of an early election in the Valencian Community to be held simultaneously with those. However, Puig publicly and repeatedly rejected the idea of a snap election being held, an opinion he reiterated following the announcement of an election in Castile and León for 13 February 2022, and after the calling of the 2022 Andalusian election for 19 June. On 25 December 2022, Puig confirmed the election would be held in May together with the scheduled local and regional elections.
The Corts Valencianes were officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOGV, setting the election date for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to convene on 26 June.

## Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Corts at the time of dissolution.
Parliamentary composition in April 2023 :
| Groups | Groups | Parties | Parties | Legislators | Legislators |
| Groups | Groups | Parties | Parties | Seats | Total |
| | Socialist Parliamentary Group | | PSPV–PSOE | 27 | 27 |
| | People's Parliamentary Group | | PP | 19 | 19 |
| | Commitment Parliamentary Group | | Compromís | 17 | 17 |
| | Citizens Parliamentary Group | | CS | 12 | 12 |
| | Vox Valencian Community Parliamentary Group | | Vox | 9 | 9 |
| | United We Can Parliamentary Group | | Podemos | 6 | 8 |
| | United We Can Parliamentary Group | | EUPV | 2 | 8 |
| | Non-Inscrits | | PP | 5 | 7 |
| | Non-Inscrits | | INDEP | 2 | 7 |

## Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. |
| Candidacy | Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Leading candidate | Ideology | Votes (%) | Seats | Gov. | Ref. |
| | PSPV–PSOE | List Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) | | Ximo Puig | Social democracy | 24.21% | 27 | Y | |
| | PP | List People's Party (PP) | | Carlos Mazón | Conservatism Christian democracy | 19.12% | 19 | N | |
| | CS | List Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | | Mamen Peris | Liberalism | 17.70% | 18 | N | [31] [32] |
| | Compromís | List Més–Compromís (Més) Valencian People's Initiative (IdPV) Greens Equo of the Valencian Country (VerdsEquo) | | Joan Baldoví | Valencian nationalism Eco-socialism Green politics | 16.68% | 17 | Y | [33] [34] [35] |
| | Vox | List Vox (Vox) | | Carlos Flores | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 10.59% | 10 | N | |
| | Unides Podem–EUPV | List We Can (Podemos/Podem) United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) – Communist Party of the Valencian Country (PCPV) – The Dawn. Marxist Organization OM (La Aurora (om)) – Republican Left (IR) | | Héctor Illueca | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 8.10% | 8 | Y | [37] [38] |

## Campaign
### Election debates

2023 Valencian regional election debates :
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present  S Surrogate  A Absent invitee | P Present  S Surrogate  A Absent invitee | P Present  S Surrogate  A Absent invitee | P Present  S Surrogate  A Absent invitee | P Present  S Surrogate  A Absent invitee | P Present  S Surrogate  A Absent invitee | P Present  S Surrogate  A Absent invitee | P Present  S Surrogate  A Absent invitee |
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | PSOE | PP | CS | Comp. | Vox | UP | Audience | Ref. |
| 12 May | Cadena SER | Bernardo Guzmán | P Puig | P Mazón | P Peris | P Baldoví | P Flores | P Illueca | — | |
| 18 May | COPE–Las Provincias | Vicente Ordaz | A | P Mazón | P Peris | A | P Flores | P Illueca | — | |
| 25 May | À Punt | Marta Ventura Mathies Muñoz | P Puig | P Mazón | P Peris | P Baldoví | P Flores | P Illueca | TBD | |

## Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

### Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.

#### Color key

Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | | Lead |
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 67.0 | 28.7 31 | 35.7 40 | 1.5 0 | 14.5 15 | 12.6 13 | 3.6 0 | 7.0 |
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA | 12–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | 30.0 31/33 | 34.3 37/38 | 2.0 0 | 13.4 12/14 | 12.7 13/14 | 5.0 3 | 4.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 27.8 28/29 | 34.3 37/38 | – | 13.5 15/16 | 12.5 14/15 | 5.3 0/5 | 6.5 |
| KeyData/Público | 19 May 2023 | ? | ? | 26.0 29 | 31.8 35 | 2.7 0 | 15.9 16 | 15.1 14 | 5.6 5 | 5.8 |
| Data10/OKDiario | 17–19 May 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 27.9 31 | 32.7 35 | 2.3 0 | 13.9 13 | 14.4 15 | 5.9 5 | 4.8 |
| Target Point/El Debate | 15–19 May 2023 | 902 | ? | 25.9 26/28 | 32.0 34/35 | 2.2 0 | 17.1 16/18 | 14.8 15/16 | 5.5 3/5 | 6.1 |
| IMOP/El Confidencial | 15–19 May 2023 | 1,403 | ? | 25.5 28/29 | 32.8 37/38 | 1.2 0 | 18.3 18 | 14.1 15 | 4.6 0 | 7.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 15–18 May 2023 | 1,600 | ? | 24.7 27/28 | 31.5 33/35 | 2.1 0 | 19.1 17 | 15.6 16 | 5.2 3/5 | 6.8 |
| 40dB/Prisa | 12–17 May 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 25.6 27/28 | 31.7 34/36 | 3.7 0 | 17.4 17/18 | 13.3 14/15 | 5.2 0/5 | 6.1 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 11–17 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.6 30 | 32.3 35 | 2.8 0 | 15.6 14 | 15.5 15 | 5.8 5 | 4.7 |
| Sigma Dos/Las Provincias | 8–16 May 2023 | 1,648 | ? | 24.5 27/28 | 31.4 34/35 | 2.7 0 | 18.6 16/19 | 15.8 15/16 | 5.1 4/5 | 6.9 |
| DYM/Henneo | 10–15 May 2023 | 2,028 | ? | 26.5 28/29 | 32.0 34/35 | 3.0 0 | 16.6 16/18 | 14.2 14/15 | 6.5 3/6 | 5.5 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 8–14 May 2023 | ? | ? | 25.2 27/28 | 31.5 35/36 | 3.0 0 | 15.8 14/16 | 15.4 15/16 | 5.9 5 | 6.3 |
| Invest Group/Levante-EMV | 2–11 May 2023 | 1,500 | 71.5 | 27.3 29/31 | 33.9 36 | 2.1 0 | 12.2 13/14 | 12.5 13/14 | 7.0 6/7 | 6.6 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 4–10 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.9 30 | 32.5 35 | 2.9 0 | 15.2 14 | 15.5 15 | 5.7 5 | 4.6 |
| GAD3/ABC | 27 Apr–8 May 2023 | 1,203 | ? | 29.5 31/33 | 32.6 35/36 | 2.1 0 | 13.2 12/13 | 14.4 14/15 | 5.2 4/5 | 3.1 |
| SocioMétrica | 5 May 2023 | ? | ? | 25.3 28/30 | 31.6 34/36 | 3.2 0 | 15.2 15 | 16.0 16/17 | 5.7 0/5 | 6.3 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 2–5 May 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 27.5 30 | 33.2 36 | 2.6 0 | 13.8 13 | 14.7 15 | 5.6 5 | 4.7 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es | 24 Apr–4 May 2023 | 900 | ? | 25.3 28/29 | 28.6 32/33 | 3.6 0 | 18.3 17/18 | 14.5 15/16 | 6.7 5 | 3.3 |
| 40dB/Prisa | 28 Apr–3 May 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 25.9 30/31 | 31.1 33/35 | 3.3 0 | 15.5 16/17 | 14.9 13/14 | 5.3 5 | 5.2 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.9 30 | 32.5 35 | 2.8 0 | 15.3 14 | 15.4 15 | 5.7 5 | 4.6 |
| Sigma Dos/Antena 3 | 26 Apr 2023 | ? | ? | 27.1 28/30 | 31.9 36/38 | 3.1 0 | 15.9 16 | 14.9 13/14 | 5.0 4 | 4.8 |
| CIS | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 2,630 | ? | 29.0 30/34 | 30.7 31/36 | 2.1 0 | 18.5 15/19 | 10.2 8/12 | 6.0 2/5 | 1.7 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | ? 30 | ? 35 | ? 0 | ? 14 | ? 15 | ? 5 | ? |
| Sonmerca/PSPV | 21 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 31.5 33/36 | 32.5 35/37 | 2.0 0 | 14.5 13/14 | 10.0 9/10 | 6.0 5/6 | 1.0 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 26.9 29 | 32.2 35 | 2.7 0 | 14.5 14 | 15.7 16 | 6.7 5 | 5.3 |
| Data10/OKDiario | 11–14 Apr 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 28.8 31 | 32.7 37 | 2.4 0 | 12.9 12 | 14.4 14 | 5.9 5 | 3.9 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 7–14 Apr 2023 | ? | 70.1 | 23.6 27 | 33.6 37 | 3.4 0 | 15.2 15 | 15.1 15 | 6.1 5 | 10.0 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.0 29 | 31.9 34 | 2.5 0 | 14.0 13 | 16.4 17 | 7.0 6 | 4.9 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 24.9 26/27 | 31.6 35/37 | 3.3 0 | 15.2 15 | 15.4 16/17 | 6.3 5 | 6.7 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 2,349 | ? | 25.1 25/28 | 31.5 32/35 | 2.3 0 | 19.2 17/20 | 15.0 13/16 | 5.5 4 | 6.4 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 26.6 28 | 32.4 35 | 2.5 0 | 13.8 13 | 16.5 17 | 7.1 6 | 5.8 |
| KeyData/Público | 15 Mar 2023 | ? | 71.3 | 26.4 30 | 31.4 35 | 2.2 0 | 15.9 15 | 14.9 15 | 5.1 4 | 5.0 |
| PP | 13 Mar 2023 | ? | ? | ? 29 | ? 35 | ? 0 | ? 14 | ? 16 | ? 5 | ? |
| GfK/Compromís | 23 Feb–7 Mar 2023 | 1,361 | ? | 25.0– 26.0 | 31.0– 32.0 | 3.0– 4.0 | 18.0– 20.0 | 12.0– 14.0 | 4.0– 5.0 | 6.0 |
| Sigma Dos/Todo Alicante | 20–28 Feb 2023 | 1,103 | ? | 25.6 28/29 | 31.9 34/36 | 3.1 0 | 15.9 14/16 | 16.3 15 | 5.6 5 | 6.3 |
| Data10/OKDiario | 15–17 Feb 2023 | 1,500 | 69 | 29.7 33 | 32.6 35 | 2.4 0 | 11.6 11 | 13.7 14 | 6.4 6 | 2.9 |
| Target Point/El Debate | 12–15 Feb 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 24.2 26/27 | 30.9 34/35 | 2.3 0 | 17.4 16/18 | 16.5 15/17 | 6.0 5 | 6.7 |
| PSPV | 7 Feb 2023 | ? | ? | ? 34/37 | ? 34/37 | ? 0 | ? 14/16 | ? 10/12 | ? 0/6 | Tie |
| CIS | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 994 | ? | 31.0 32/45 | 29.2 31/43 | 3.2 0/5 | 11.9 6/12 | 9.5 4/11 | 7.2 2/6 | 1.8 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 13 Nov 2022 | ? | ? | 26.4 28 | 29.2 31 | 3.1 0 | 15.9 17 | 16.2 17 | 6.2 6 | 2.8 |
| Data10/OKDiario | 2–4 Nov 2022 | 1,000 | ? | 28.5 30 | 32.4 36 | 1.9 0 | 10.8 12 | 15.2 15 | 7.4 6 | 3.9 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,200 | ? | 26.7 29/30 | 29.9 33/34 | 2.9 0 | 13.9 12/13 | 17.4 17/18 | 6.7 5/6 | 3.2 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 1,800 | 67.3 | 28.8 31 | 31.9 35 | 2.1 0 | 10.3 10 | 15.5 16 | 7.3 7 | 3.1 |
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica | 20 Sep–1 Oct 2022 | 1,510 | ? | 28.3 31/32 | 30.2 33/35 | 2.9 0 | 15.3 14/16 | 11.9 13 | 6.1 5 | 1.9 |
| PP | 29 Sep 2022 | ? | ? | 27.0 28/29 | 32.0 33/34 | 3.0 0 | 12.0 13/14 | 16.0 17/18 | 6.0 5/6 | 5.0 |
| SyM Consulting/EPDA | 24 Apr–14 Sep 2022 | 2,447 | 67.3 | 23.9 25/26 | 29.4 30/32 | 1.3 0 | 17.7 17/18 | 14.7 15/16 | 9.4 9/10 | 5.5 |
| PSPV | 31 Jun–15 Jul 2022 | 706 | ? | 31.2 34/36 | 25.9 32/34 | 2.6 0 | 12.8 14/16 | 10.6 10/12 | 3.8 0/5 | 5.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 26 Jun–5 Jul 2022 | 1,243 | ? | 24.8 27 | 29.4 32 | 2.4 0 | 14.5 14 | 18.6 20 | 7.2 6 | 4.6 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 22–25 Jun 2022 | 900 | ? | 25.0 27 | 31.4 35 | 2.7 0 | 11.9 10 | 17.9 19 | 7.8 8 | 6.4 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 22–23 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | 67.3 | 29.0 31 | 31.9 35 | 2.3 0 | 9.6 9 | 15.8 17 | 7.2 7 | 2.9 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 23–25 May 2022 | 1,800 | 74.0 | 27.7 31 | 27.5 29 | 3.2 0 | 14.1 14 | 18.7 20 | 5.7 5 | 0.2 |
| Sigma Dos/Las Provincias | 9–17 May 2022 | 1,200 | ? | 27.2 29/30 | 26.5 27/30 | 5.0 4/5 | 16.5 15/17 | 15.2 16 | 6.4 5 | 0.7 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 14–28 Dec 2021 | 1,700 | ? | 28.3 30/32 | 27.6 30/31 | 4.5 0/2 | 14.7 14 | 14.9 15/16 | 7.5 6/7 | 0.7 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 15 Dec 2021 | ? | ? | 25.0 28 | 28.5 32 | 3.0 0 | 16.0 15 | 16.3 17 | 7.5 7 | 3.5 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 2–12 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 67.6 | 24.1 26/27 | 29.3 30/31 | 5.2 4 | 15.0 15/16 | 15.9 15/16 | 7.2 7 | 5.2 |
| GAD3/Cs | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2021 | 2,404 | ? | 29.2 31/32 | 28.1 30/31 | 5.9 5 | 13.1 12/13 | 14.8 15 | 5.3 4/5 | 1.1 |
| Electocracia | 21–26 Oct 2021 | 1,000 | ? | 25.8 27/28 | 28.6 31/32 | 3.1 0 | 15.9 16/17 | 16.5 18/19 | 6.6 5/6 | 2.8 |
| PP | 3 Oct 2021 | ? | ? | ? 27/30 | ? 27/30 | ? 0 | ? 14/15 | ? 20/21 | ? 7 | Tie |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 28 Sep–1 Oct 2021 | 1,800 | ? | 26.7 30 | 27.8 31 | 3.0 0 | 15.7 14 | 18.2 19 | 5.9 5 | 1.1 |
| SyM Consulting/EPDA | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,565 | 70.4 | 24.5 26/28 | 29.5 30/33 | 2.0 0 | 17.1 17 | 15.9 17 | 6.5 7/8 | 5.0 |
| Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica | 20–29 Sep 2021 | 750 | ? | 31.3 36 | 21.6 24 | 3.4 0 | 15.4 16 | 12.8 13 | 9.2 10 | 9.7 |
| Terreta Radio | 14 Sep 2021 | ? | ? | ? 28 | ? 28 | ? 2 | ? 15 | ? 22 | ? 4 | Tie |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 31 Jul 2021 | ? | ? | 27.1 30 | 26.9 30 | 3.3 0 | 15.9 16 | 15.9 16 | 7.8 7 | 0.9 |
| SyM Consulting/EPDA | 14–18 Jul 2021 | 1,066 | 71.3 | 24.4 26/27 | 26.3 28/29 | 5.2 3 | 17.0 17 | 15.7 15/18 | 8.0 7/8 | 1.9 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 21–30 Jun 2021 | 1,800 | ? | 26.6 29 | 27.0 30 | 3.4 0 | 16.1 16 | 17.6 19 | 6.1 5 | 0.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 30 Apr 2021 | 850 | ? | 28.1 32 | 25.6 30 | 4.5 0 | 16.6 16 | 13.5 13 | 8.1 8 | 2.5 |
| Sigma Dos/Las Provincias | 12–17 Apr 2021 | 1,200 | ? | 29.7 31/33 | 24.9 27 | 6.0 5 | 16.4 15/17 | 13.6 13/14 | 6.3 5/6 | 4.8 |
| Metroscopia/PP | 8–13 Apr 2021 | 1,500 | ? | 28.0 29/31 | 28.2 30/31 | 2.3 0 | 13.3 12/14 | 17.8 18/19 | 7.5 7/8 | 0.2 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 1–5 Mar 2021 | 1,800 | ? | 28.4 31 | 22.2 23 | 7.0 6 | 15.5 15 | 17.6 19 | 6.9 5 | 6.2 |
| GAD3/Cs | 14–20 Oct 2020 | 1,002 | ? | 31.3 33/34 | 24.2 25/27 | 11.8 12 | 11.2 10 | 12.0 12/13 | 6.1 5 | 7.1 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 1–7 Oct 2020 | 1,800 | ? | 27.4 29 | 24.7 26 | 7.9 8 | 17.3 17 | 13.4 14 | 7.0 5 | 2.7 |
| Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica | 28 Sep–5 Oct 2020 | 750 | ? | 32.7 36 | 19.6 21 | 7.5 7 | 14.8 15 | 11.1 11 | 9.9 9 | 13.1 |
| SyM Consulting/EPDA | 24–27 Sep 2020 | 1,706 | 73.2 | 23.6 25/26 | 18.4 19/20 | 9.5 7/8 | 16.8 17/18 | 16.8 18 | 11.8 10/12 | 5.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 31 Jul 2020 | 850 | ? | 25.8 27 | 23.9 26 | 9.0 9 | 16.6 16 | 12.8 13 | 7.8 8 | 1.9 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario | 17–20 Jun 2020 | 1,000 | 65.7 | 27.3 28 | 25.6 27 | 6.8 8 | 16.7 15 | 12.8 13 | 8.3 8 | 1.7 |
| SyM Consulting | 19–21 May 2020 | 1,695 | 72.6 | 24.6 25/26 | 23.4 25/26 | 12.0 11 | 15.1 14/15 | 13.9 14/16 | 7.4 7/8 | 1.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 26.2 27 | 23.6 25 | 8.8 9 | 16.3 16 | 12.6 13 | 8.4 9 | 2.6 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 69.8 | 27.6 (31) | 23.0 (24) | 7.7 (7) | 7.0 (5) | 18.5 (19) | 13.4 (13) | 4.6 |
| Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica | 23 Sep–1 Oct 2019 | 900 | ? | 32.6 35 | 21.8 22 | 10.0 10 | 16.5 18 | 8.7 8 | 7.4 6 | 10.8 |
| 2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 62.5 | 33.0 (36) | 22.6 (25) | 14.3 (15) | 8.4 (7) | 7.2 (7) | 9.7 (9) | 10.4 |
| 2019 regional election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 73.7 | 24.2 27 | 19.1 19 | 17.7 18 | 16.7 17 | 10.6 10 | 8.1 8 | 5.1 |

### Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | ? | N | Lead |
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 19.3 | 24.1 | 1.0 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 2.4 | — | 30.6 | 4.8 |
| 40dB/Prisa | 12–17 May 2023 | 1,200 | 19.7 | 21.3 | 3.2 | 13.8 | 12.1 | 4.2 | 14.7 | 5.8 | 1.6 |
| 40dB/Prisa | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 1,200 | 22.5 | 17.9 | 2.8 | 11.8 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 17.1 | 5.4 | 4.6 |
| CIS | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 2,630 | 20.9 | 21.9 | 0.9 | 13.6 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 25.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Sonmerca/PSPV | 21 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 31.3 | 27.7 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 16.2 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| 40dB/UP | 23–28 Mar 2023 | 1,500 | 19.3 | 17.8 | – | 10.9 | 12.6 | 6.8 | – | – | 1.5 |
| CIS | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 994 | 20.7 | 19.5 | 1.3 | 8.1 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 31.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica | 20 Sep–1 Oct 2022 | 1,510 | 16.8 | 13.2 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 43.0 | 7.2 | 3.6 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 19.6 | 16.4 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 13.1 | 9.5 | — | 28.3 | 3.2 |
| 2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 21.2 | 14.5 | 9.2 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 6.2 | — | 35.2 | 6.7 |
| 2019 regional election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 18.1 | 14.3 | 13.2 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 6.0 | — | 24.2 | 3.8 |

### Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | Other/ None | ? | Lead |
| Invest Group/Levante-EMV | 2–11 May 2023 | 1,500 | 24.4 | 28.2 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 3.8 |
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica | 20 Sep–1 Oct 2022 | 1,510 | 32.0 | 30.9 | – | – | – | – | 4.1 | 33.0 | 1.1 |
| Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica | 20–29 Sep 2021 | 750 | 25.7 | 14.5 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 28.4 | 11.2 |
| Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica | 28 Sep–5 Oct 2020 | 750 | 22.3 | 13.1 | 5.5 | 10.4 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 9.2 |

### Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | Other/ None | ? | Lead |
| Invest Group/Levante-EMV | 2–11 May 2023 | 1,500 | 32.2 | 38.0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 5.8 |
| Sonmerca/PSPV | 21 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 44.4 | 32.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 19.9 | 12.0 |

### Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Valencian Government.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | | | | | | Other/ None/ Not care | ? | Lead |
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Puig PSPV | Mazón PP | Merino CS | Peris CS | Oltra Compromís | Baldoví Compromís | Llanos Vox | Vega Vox | Flores Vox | Lima UP | Illueca UP | Other/ None/ Not care | ? | Lead |
| 40dB/Prisa | 12–17 May 2023 | 1,200 | 24.8 | 21.3 | – | 3.4 | – | 15.6 | – | – | 12.0 | – | 2.8 | 8.8 | 11.3 | 3.5 |
| 40dB/Prisa | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 1,200 | 26.5 | 19.0 | – | 3.3 | – | 15.6 | – | – | 11.5 | – | 2.2 | 11.8 | 10.0 | 7.5 |
| Sonmerca/PSPV | 21 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 39.0 | 19.4 | – | 0.7 | – | 9.1 | – | – | 2.7 | – | 2.5 | – | 26.4 | 19.6 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 31.0 | 29.6 | – | 4.1 | – | 15.5 | – | – | 12.1 | – | 7.7 | – | – | 1.4 |
| PSPV | 16 Mar 2023 | ? | 40.0 | 20.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.0 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,200 | 30.9 | 28.7 | – | 5.4 | – | 14.1 | 14.3 | – | – | 6.6 | – | – | – | 2.2 |
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica | 20 Sep–1 Oct 2022 | 1,510 | 46.1 | 15.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38.0 | 38.0 | 30.2 |
| SyM Consulting/EPDA | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,565 | 25.3 | 27.6 | 3.5 | – | 19.2 | – | – | 14.4 | – | 4.3 | – | – | 5.7 | 2.3 |
| SyM Consulting/EPDA | 14–18 Jul 2021 | 1,066 | 25.7 | 25.2 | 3.8 | – | 18.8 | – | – | 10.4 | – | 9.0 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.5 |

### Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | Other/ None/ Not care | ? | Lead |
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Puig PSPV | Mazón PP | Merino CS | Oltra Compromís | Vega Vox | Lima UP | Other/ None/ Not care | ? | Lead |
| SyM Consulting/EPDA | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,565 | 42.6 | 35.4 | 0.1 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 0.1 | – | 11.6 | 7.2 |
| SyM Consulting/EPDA | 14–18 Jul 2021 | 1,066 | 46.7 | 30.3 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.6 | – | 7.3 | 16.4 |

## Results
### Overall

← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Corts Valencianes election results :
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Popular vote | Popular vote | Seats | Seats |
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− |
| | People's Party (PP) | 881,893 | 35.75 | +16.63 | 40 | +21 |
| | Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) | 708,142 | 28.70 | +4.49 | 31 | +4 |
| | Commitment: Més–Initiative–Greens Equo (Compromís) | 357,989 | 14.51 | –2.17 | 15 | –2 |
| | Vox (Vox) | 310,184 | 12.57 | +1.98 | 13 | +3 |
| | United We Can–United Left (Unides Podem–EUPV) | 88,152 | 3.57 | –4.53 | 0 | –8 |
| | Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 37,095 | 1.50 | –16.20 | 0 | –18 |
| | Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)$^1$ | 20,836 | 0.84 | –0.61 | 0 | ±0 |
| | The Eco-pacifist Greens (Centro Moderado)$^2$ | 4,846 | 0.20 | –0.12 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV) | 4,570 | 0.19 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 |
| | United Coalition (Units) | 4,266 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 3,815 | 0.15 | –0.02 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) | 2,926 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Decide (Decidix) | 2,373 | 0.10 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB) | 2,090 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Valencian Republic–European Valencianist Party (RV–PVE) | 1,745 | 0.07 | –0.01 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Alliance for the Commerce and Housing (AlianzaCV) | 1,689 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 1,373 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Centered in Our Land (Centrats) | 1,326 | 0.05 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Regionalist Alicantine Party–Citizen Hope (PAR–EsC) | 641 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | Blank ballots | 31,035 | 1.26 | +0.50 | | |
| Total | Total | 2,466,986 | | | 99 | ±0 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 2,466,986 | 98.75 | +0.17 | | |
| Invalid votes | Invalid votes | 31,104 | 1.25 | –0.17 | | |
| Votes cast / turnout | Votes cast / turnout | 2,498,090 | 66.96 | –6.76 | | |
| Abstentions | Abstentions | 1,232,569 | 33.04 | +6.76 | | |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | 3,730,659 | | | | |
| Sources |||||||
| Footnotes: $^1$ Animalist Party with the Environment results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2019 election.$^2$ The Eco-pacifist Greens results are compared to Forward–The Eco-pacifist Greens totals in the 2019 election. |||||||
Popular vote
PP
35.75%
PSPV–PSOE
28.70%
Compromís
14.51%
Vox
12.57%
U. Podem–EUPV
3.57%
CS
1.50%
Others
2.13%
Blank ballots
1.26% :
Seats
PP
40.40%
PSPV–PSOE
31.31%
Compromís
15.15%
Vox
13.13% :

### Distribution by constituency

| Constituency | PP | PP | PSPV | PSPV | Compr. | Compr. | Vox | Vox |
| Constituency | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S |
| Alicante | 39.3 | 15 | 29.5 | 11 | 10.2 | 4 | 12.3 | 5 |
| Castellón | 36.0 | 10 | 30.2 | 8 | 13.1 | 3 | 13.1 | 3 |
| Valencia | 33.6 | 15 | 27.9 | 12 | 17.4 | 8 | 12.6 | 5 |
| Total | 35.7 | 40 | 28.7 | 31 | 14.5 | 15 | 12.6 | 13 |
| Sources |||||||||

## Aftermath

Investiture Carlos Mazón (PP) :
| Ballot → | Ballot → | 13 July 2023 |
| Required majority → | Required majority → | 50 out of 99 Y |
| | Yes • PP (40) • Vox (13) | 53 / 99 |
| | No • PSPV (31) • Compromís (15) | 46 / 99 |
| | Abstentions | 0 / 99 |
| | Absentees | 0 / 99 |
| Sources |||