# 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky

Elections in Kentucky :
Federal government
Presidential elections
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U.S. House of Representatives elections
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2024
2026 :
State government
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Gubernatorial elections
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Agriculture Commissioner elections
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Senate elections
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Special
House of Representatives elections
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2026 :
Ballot measures
2004Amendment 1
2022Amendment 2
2024Amendment 2 :
Lexington
Mayoral elections
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vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Prior to the election, all major news organizations once again considered Kentucky a safe red state; the state has voted Republican and by double-digit margins in every presidential election since 2000.
On election night, Kentucky voted Republican for former president Donald Trump by a wide margin for the third time in a row, with him winning the state by 30.53%, a considerable increase from his 25.94% victory in 2020 and to a lesser extent his 29.84% victory in 2016. He received about 1.34 million Kentucky votes which was a record for votes cast for any candidate in state history. This is the best performance by a Republican presidential candidate in the state's history.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The Kentucky Democratic presidential primary was held on May 21, 2024, alongside the Oregon primary.
Kentucky Democratic primary, May 21, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 131,449 | 71.33% | 43 | | 43 |
| Uncommitted | 32,908 | 17.86% | 8 | | 8 |
| Marianne Williamson | 11,190 | 6.07% | 0 | | |
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 8,744 | 4.74% | 0 | | |
| Total: | 184,291 | 100.00% | 53 | 6 | 59 |

### Republican primary

The Kentucky Republican caucuses were held on May 21, 2024, alongside the Oregon primary.
Kentucky Republican primary, May 21, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 215,044 | 85.0% | 46 | | 46 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 16,232 | 6.4% | | | |
| Uncommitted | 8,984 | 3.5% | | | |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,803 | 3.1% | | | |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 2,461 | 1.0% | | | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,640 | 0.7% | | | |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 900 | 0.4% | | | |
| Total: | 253,064 | 100.0% | 46 | | 46 |

## General election
### Candidates

The following candidates qualified for the general election ballot:
* Donald Trump — Republican
* Kamala Harris — Democratic
* Jill Stein — Kentucky Party (national Green nominee)
* Shiva Ayyadurai — Independent
* Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — Independent
* Chase Oliver — Libertarian
Additionally, Kentucky voters had the option to write-in a name for president as long as said candidate filed for office before October 25. Eleven such candidates filed, although only nine received at least one vote.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |

### Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 402 (LV) | – | 60% | 35% | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 55% | 34% | 11% |
| co/efficient (R) | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | 33% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 402 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 402 (LV) | – | 61% | 29% | 10% |

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 1,337,494 | 64.47% | +2.38% |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 704,043 | 33.94% | –2.21% |
| | Independent | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) | 16,769 | 0.81% | N/A |
| | Kentucky | Jill SteinSamson Kpadenou | 7,566 | 0.36% | +0.33% |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 6,422 | 0.31% | –0.92% |
| | Independent | Shiva AyyaduraiCrystal Ellis | 1,015 | 0.05% | N/A |
| | American Solidarity | Peter Sonski (write-in)Lauren Onak (write-in) | 611 | 0.03% | +0.01% |
| | Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la Cruz (write-in)Karina Garcia (write-in) | 391 | 0.02% | +0.02% |
| | Independent | Cornel West (write-in)Melina Abdullah (write-in) | 177 | 0.01% | N/A |
| | Independent | James Soderna (write-in)Matthew Trewhella (write-in) | 14 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Independent | Jay Bowman (write-in)De Bowman (write-in) | 10 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Socialist Equality | Joseph Kishore (write-in)Jerry White (write-in) | 8 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Independent | John Cheng (write-in)Wayne Waligorski (write-in) | 5 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Independent | Billy Kelly (write-in)Jason Holderman (write-in) | 4 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Independent | Cherunda Fox (write-in)Harlan McVay (write-in) | 1 | 0.00% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 2,074,530 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Adair | 7,643 | 85.17% | 1,257 | 14.01% | 74 | 0.82% | 6,386 | 71.16% | 8,974 |
| Allen | 7,824 | 83.07% | 1,505 | 15.98% | 89 | 0.95% | 6,319 | 67.09% | 9,418 |
| Anderson | 9,650 | 73.69% | 3,226 | 24.64% | 219 | 1.67% | 6,424 | 49.05% | 13,095 |
| Ballard | 3,331 | 81.48% | 697 | 17.05% | 60 | 1.47% | 2,634 | 64.43% | 4,088 |
| Barren | 15,019 | 75.85% | 4,565 | 23.05% | 218 | 1.10% | 10,454 | 52.80% | 19,802 |
| Bath | 4,041 | 74.99% | 1,278 | 23.71% | 70 | 1.30% | 2,763 | 51.28% | 5,389 |
| Bell | 7,831 | 83.84% | 1,419 | 15.19% | 90 | 0.97% | 6,412 | 68.65% | 9,340 |
| Boone | 45,650 | 67.71% | 20,601 | 30.56% | 1,170 | 1.73% | 25,049 | 37.15% | 67,421 |
| Bourbon | 6,284 | 65.89% | 3,088 | 32.38% | 165 | 1.73% | 3,196 | 33.51% | 9,537 |
| Boyd | 14,363 | 68.56% | 6,291 | 30.03% | 297 | 1.41% | 8,072 | 38.53% | 20,951 |
| Boyle | 9,159 | 63.72% | 4,990 | 34.72% | 224 | 1.56% | 4,169 | 29.00% | 14,373 |
| Bracken | 3,399 | 81.84% | 702 | 16.90% | 52 | 1.26% | 2,697 | 64.94% | 4,153 |
| Breathitt | 4,036 | 78.86% | 1,002 | 19.58% | 80 | 1.56% | 3,034 | 59.28% | 5,118 |
| Breckinridge | 7,882 | 78.44% | 2,038 | 20.28% | 128 | 1.28% | 5,844 | 58.16% | 10,048 |
| Bullitt | 32,299 | 74.75% | 10,280 | 23.79% | 630 | 1.46% | 22,019 | 50.96% | 43,209 |
| Butler | 4,905 | 82.53% | 965 | 16.24% | 73 | 1.23% | 3,940 | 66.29% | 5,943 |
| Caldwell | 4,860 | 78.54% | 1,256 | 20.30% | 72 | 1.16% | 3,604 | 58.24% | 6,188 |
| Calloway | 11,539 | 68.10% | 5,111 | 30.16% | 295 | 1.74% | 6,428 | 37.94% | 16,945 |
| Campbell | 28,450 | 58.86% | 18,952 | 39.21% | 932 | 1.93% | 9,498 | 19.65% | 48,334 |
| Carlisle | 2,182 | 83.60% | 408 | 15.63% | 20 | 0.77% | 1,774 | 67.97% | 2,610 |
| Carroll | 3,014 | 74.88% | 963 | 23.93% | 48 | 1.19% | 2,051 | 50.95% | 4,025 |
| Carter | 8,981 | 78.63% | 2,305 | 20.18% | 136 | 1.19% | 6,676 | 58.45% | 11,422 |
| Casey | 6,216 | 87.80% | 804 | 11.36% | 60 | 0.84% | 5,412 | 76.44% | 7,080 |
| Christian | 14,332 | 66.13% | 7,055 | 32.56% | 284 | 1.31% | 7,277 | 33.57% | 21,671 |
| Clark | 11,950 | 66.82% | 5,639 | 31.53% | 296 | 1.65% | 6,311 | 35.29% | 17,885 |
| Clay | 6,729 | 89.41% | 692 | 9.19% | 105 | 1.40% | 6,037 | 80.22% | 7,526 |
| Clinton | 4,276 | 87.43% | 549 | 11.22% | 66 | 1.35% | 3,727 | 76.21% | 4,891 |
| Crittenden | 3,349 | 83.52% | 608 | 15.16% | 53 | 1.32% | 2,741 | 68.36% | 4,010 |
| Cumberland | 2,922 | 84.89% | 483 | 14.03% | 37 | 1.08% | 2,439 | 70.86% | 3,442 |
| Daviess | 30,705 | 65.20% | 15,673 | 33.28% | 719 | 1.52% | 15,032 | 31.92% | 47,097 |
| Edmonson | 5,048 | 80.81% | 1,118 | 17.90% | 81 | 1.29% | 3,930 | 62.91% | 6,247 |
| Elliott | 2,335 | 80.13% | 532 | 18.26% | 47 | 1.61% | 1,803 | 61.87% | 2,914 |
| Estill | 5,091 | 80.94% | 1,114 | 17.71% | 85 | 1.35% | 3,977 | 63.23% | 6,290 |
| Fayette | 57,347 | 39.84% | 83,387 | 57.93% | 3,201 | 2.22% | -26,040 | -18.09% | 143,935 |
| Fleming | 5,578 | 79.69% | 1,334 | 19.06% | 88 | 1.25% | 4,244 | 60.63% | 7,000 |
| Floyd | 12,326 | 78.64% | 3,061 | 19.53% | 286 | 1.83% | 9,265 | 59.11% | 15,673 |
| Franklin | 13,246 | 51.41% | 11,996 | 46.56% | 521 | 2.03% | 1,250 | 4.85% | 25,763 |
| Fulton | 1,491 | 69.51% | 636 | 29.65% | 18 | 0.84% | 855 | 39.86% | 2,145 |
| Gallatin | 3,109 | 79.37% | 761 | 19.43% | 47 | 1.20% | 2,348 | 59.94% | 3,917 |
| Garrard | 7,086 | 79.47% | 1,719 | 19.28% | 112 | 1.25% | 5,367 | 60.19% | 8,917 |
| Grant | 9,372 | 81.72% | 1,944 | 16.95% | 153 | 1.33% | 7,428 | 64.77% | 11,469 |
| Graves | 13,378 | 80.21% | 3,105 | 18.62% | 195 | 1.17% | 10,273 | 61.59% | 16,678 |
| Grayson | 9,710 | 80.28% | 2,235 | 18.48% | 150 | 1.24% | 7,475 | 61.80% | 12,095 |
| Green | 5,033 | 85.93% | 782 | 13.35% | 42 | 0.72% | 4,251 | 72.58% | 5,857 |
| Greenup | 12,961 | 74.60% | 4,181 | 24.06% | 232 | 1.34% | 8,780 | 50.54% | 17,374 |
| Hancock | 3,375 | 72.85% | 1,173 | 25.32% | 85 | 1.83% | 2,202 | 47.53% | 4,633 |
| Hardin | 30,672 | 63.79% | 16,572 | 34.47% | 838 | 1.74% | 14,100 | 29.32% | 48,082 |
| Harlan | 9,109 | 87.69% | 1,199 | 11.54% | 80 | 0.77% | 7,910 | 76.15% | 10,388 |
| Harrison | 6,639 | 73.62% | 2,265 | 25.12% | 114 | 1.26% | 4,374 | 48.50% | 9,018 |
| Hart | 6,691 | 79.57% | 1,642 | 19.53% | 76 | 0.90% | 5,049 | 60.04% | 8,409 |
| Henderson | 12,592 | 63.96% | 6,837 | 34.73% | 259 | 1.31% | 5,755 | 29.23% | 19,688 |
| Henry | 6,093 | 75.46% | 1,857 | 23.00% | 124 | 1.54% | 4,236 | 52.46% | 8,074 |
| Hickman | 1,656 | 80.04% | 394 | 19.04% | 19 | 0.92% | 1,262 | 61.00% | 2,069 |
| Hopkins | 15,361 | 74.80% | 4,916 | 23.94% | 260 | 1.27% | 10,445 | 50.86% | 20,537 |
| Jackson | 5,358 | 90.14% | 506 | 8.51% | 80 | 1.35% | 4,852 | 81.63% | 5,944 |
| Jefferson | 144,553 | 40.64% | 203,070 | 57.09% | 8,099 | 2.27% | -58,517 | -16.45% | 355,722 |
| Jessamine | 17,854 | 66.91% | 8,303 | 31.11% | 528 | 1.98% | 9,551 | 35.80% | 26,685 |
| Johnson | 8,150 | 84.57% | 1,350 | 14.01% | 137 | 1.42% | 6,800 | 70.56% | 9,637 |
| Kenton | 48,444 | 59.63% | 30,859 | 37.98% | 1,938 | 2.39% | 17,585 | 21.65% | 81,241 |
| Knott | 4,732 | 78.67% | 1,181 | 19.63% | 102 | 1.70% | 3,551 | 59.04% | 6,015 |
| Knox | 11,178 | 84.82% | 1,821 | 13.82% | 180 | 1.36% | 9,357 | 71.00% | 13,179 |
| LaRue | 5,773 | 79.53% | 1,389 | 19.13% | 97 | 1.34% | 4,384 | 60.40% | 7,259 |
| Laurel | 23,516 | 84.17% | 4,037 | 14.45% | 385 | 1.38% | 19,479 | 69.72% | 27,938 |
| Lawrence | 5,464 | 83.12% | 1,044 | 15.88% | 66 | 1.00% | 4,420 | 67.24% | 6,574 |
| Lee | 2,227 | 82.63% | 406 | 15.06% | 62 | 2.31% | 1,821 | 67.57% | 2,695 |
| Leslie | 3,908 | 89.67% | 382 | 8.77% | 68 | 1.56% | 3,526 | 80.90% | 4,358 |
| Letcher | 6,848 | 81.22% | 1,457 | 17.28% | 126 | 1.49% | 5,391 | 63.94% | 8,431 |
| Lewis | 4,997 | 87.34% | 666 | 11.64% | 58 | 1.02% | 4,331 | 75.70% | 5,721 |
| Lincoln | 8,833 | 80.05% | 2,080 | 18.85% | 121 | 1.10% | 6,753 | 61.20% | 11,034 |
| Livingston | 4,021 | 80.87% | 886 | 17.82% | 65 | 1.31% | 3,135 | 63.05% | 4,972 |
| Logan | 9,620 | 76.89% | 2,734 | 21.85% | 157 | 1.26% | 6,886 | 55.04% | 12,511 |
| Lyon | 3,187 | 76.12% | 950 | 22.69% | 50 | 1.19% | 2,237 | 53.43% | 4,187 |
| McCracken | 21,349 | 66.83% | 10,191 | 31.90% | 407 | 1.27% | 11,158 | 34.93% | 31,947 |
| McCreary | 5,531 | 89.04% | 641 | 10.32% | 40 | 0.64% | 4,890 | 78.72% | 6,212 |
| McLean | 3,578 | 77.21% | 989 | 21.34% | 67 | 1.45% | 2,589 | 55.87% | 4,634 |
| Madison | 29,130 | 64.26% | 15,180 | 33.49% | 1,019 | 2.25% | 13,950 | 30.77% | 45,329 |
| Magoffin | 4,288 | 81.18% | 909 | 17.21% | 85 | 1.61% | 3,379 | 63.97% | 5,282 |
| Marion | 6,473 | 71.12% | 2,513 | 27.61% | 116 | 1.27% | 3,960 | 43.51% | 9,102 |
| Marshall | 13,677 | 77.70% | 3,700 | 21.02% | 225 | 1.28% | 9,977 | 56.68% | 17,602 |
| Martin | 3,343 | 91.39% | 287 | 7.85% | 28 | 0.76% | 3,056 | 83.54% | 3,658 |
| Mason | 5,621 | 71.14% | 2,170 | 27.46% | 110 | 1.40% | 3,451 | 43.68% | 7,901 |
| Meade | 10,630 | 75.27% | 3,279 | 23.22% | 214 | 1.51% | 7,351 | 52.05% | 14,123 |
| Menifee | 2,563 | 77.67% | 664 | 20.12% | 73 | 2.21% | 1,899 | 57.55% | 3,300 |
| Mercer | 8,826 | 74.47% | 2,838 | 23.95% | 187 | 1.58% | 5,988 | 50.52% | 11,851 |
| Metcalfe | 4,197 | 81.86% | 884 | 17.24% | 46 | 0.90% | 3,313 | 64.62% | 5,127 |
| Monroe | 4,679 | 88.15% | 576 | 10.85% | 53 | 1.00% | 4,103 | 77.30% | 5,308 |
| Montgomery | 9,302 | 72.55% | 3,329 | 25.97% | 190 | 1.48% | 5,973 | 46.58% | 12,821 |
| Morgan | 4,353 | 80.94% | 939 | 17.46% | 86 | 1.60% | 3,414 | 63.48% | 5,378 |
| Muhlenberg | 10,491 | 76.62% | 3,048 | 22.26% | 153 | 1.12% | 7,443 | 54.36% | 13,692 |
| Nelson | 16,052 | 70.24% | 6,515 | 28.51% | 285 | 1.25% | 9,537 | 41.73% | 22,852 |
| Nicholas | 2,451 | 73.85% | 824 | 24.83% | 44 | 1.32% | 1,627 | 49.02% | 3,319 |
| Ohio | 8,679 | 79.35% | 2,094 | 19.15% | 164 | 1.50% | 6,585 | 60.20% | 10,937 |
| Oldham | 23,025 | 60.26% | 14,402 | 37.69% | 783 | 2.05% | 8,623 | 22.57% | 38,210 |
| Owen | 4,434 | 80.62% | 988 | 17.96% | 78 | 1.42% | 3,446 | 62.66% | 5,500 |
| Owsley | 1,625 | 88.36% | 203 | 11.04% | 11 | 0.60% | 1,422 | 77.32% | 1,839 |
| Pendleton | 5,593 | 81.06% | 1,210 | 17.54% | 97 | 1.40% | 4,383 | 63.52% | 6,900 |
| Perry | 7,913 | 79.19% | 1,966 | 19.68% | 113 | 1.13% | 5,947 | 59.51% | 9,992 |
| Pike | 19,684 | 82.19% | 4,025 | 16.81% | 241 | 1.00% | 15,659 | 65.38% | 23,950 |
| Powell | 4,092 | 76.22% | 1,174 | 21.87% | 103 | 1.91% | 2,918 | 54.35% | 5,369 |
| Pulaski | 26,051 | 82.09% | 5,351 | 16.86% | 333 | 1.05% | 20,700 | 65.23% | 31,735 |
| Robertson | 915 | 79.98% | 215 | 18.79% | 14 | 1.23% | 700 | 61.19% | 1,144 |
| Rockcastle | 6,635 | 85.76% | 986 | 12.74% | 116 | 1.50% | 5,649 | 73.02% | 7,737 |
| Rowan | 6,224 | 63.04% | 3,484 | 35.29% | 165 | 1.67% | 2,740 | 27.75% | 9,873 |
| Russell | 7,622 | 85.71% | 1,200 | 13.49% | 71 | 0.80% | 6,422 | 72.22% | 8,893 |
| Scott | 18,747 | 62.97% | 10,501 | 35.27% | 521 | 1.76% | 8,246 | 27.70% | 29,769 |
| Shelby | 16,356 | 66.43% | 7,822 | 31.77% | 442 | 1.80% | 8,534 | 34.66% | 24,620 |
| Simpson | 6,253 | 71.25% | 2,403 | 27.38% | 120 | 1.37% | 3,850 | 43.87% | 8,776 |
| Spencer | 8,927 | 77.76% | 2,415 | 21.04% | 138 | 1.20% | 6,512 | 56.72% | 11,480 |
| Taylor | 9,523 | 77.67% | 2,576 | 21.01% | 162 | 1.32% | 6,947 | 56.66% | 12,261 |
| Todd | 4,009 | 78.42% | 1,051 | 20.56% | 52 | 1.02% | 2,958 | 57.86% | 5,112 |
| Trigg | 5,436 | 75.54% | 1,667 | 23.17% | 93 | 1.29% | 3,769 | 52.37% | 7,196 |
| Trimble | 3,283 | 77.27% | 923 | 21.72% | 43 | 1.01% | 2,360 | 55.55% | 4,249 |
| Union | 4,758 | 78.54% | 1,225 | 20.22% | 75 | 1.24% | 3,533 | 58.32% | 6,058 |
| Warren | 34,862 | 61.28% | 21,065 | 37.03% | 964 | 1.69% | 13,797 | 24.25% | 56,891 |
| Washington | 4,720 | 74.44% | 1,533 | 24.18% | 88 | 1.38% | 3,187 | 50.26% | 6,341 |
| Wayne | 7,203 | 82.48% | 1,444 | 16.53% | 86 | 0.99% | 5,759 | 65.95% | 8,733 |
| Webster | 4,339 | 78.10% | 1,153 | 20.75% | 64 | 1.15% | 3,186 | 57.35% | 5,556 |
| Whitley | 12,687 | 84.16% | 2,237 | 14.84% | 151 | 1.00% | 10,450 | 69.32% | 15,075 |
| Wolfe | 2,163 | 74.10% | 689 | 23.60% | 67 | 2.30% | 1,474 | 50.50% | 2,919 |
| Woodford | 8,419 | 56.15% | 6,282 | 41.90% | 292 | 1.95% | 2,137 | 14.25% | 14,993 |
| Totals | 1,337,494 | 64.47% | 704,043 | 33.94% | 32,993 | 1.59% | 633,451 | 30.53% | 2,074,530 |

#### By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
| 1st | 73% | 26% | James Comer |
| 2nd | 70% | 29% | Brett Guthrie |
| 3rd | 40% | 59% | Morgan McGarvey |
| 4th | 67% | 31% | Thomas Massie |
| 5th | 81% | 17% | Hal Rogers |
| 6th | 57% | 42% | Andy Barr |

## Analysis

A Southern state completely in the Bible Belt, Republicans have won Kentucky by double digits since 2000. The state last voted Democratic for fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in 1996.
Kentucky handed Republican Donald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 633,451 votes. This election marks the fourth consecutive cycle in which a presidential candidate secured over 60% of the Kentuckian vote. Notably, Trump improved his margins in every county and gained significant support across all demographics, performing better in suburban, rural, and urban areas.
Trump notably expanded his support in Kentucky's Cumberland Plateau region, the Frankfort micropolitan area, and Warren County, home to Bowling Green. In Warren County, Trump received 61.3% of the vote, marking the strongest Republican performance in a presidential election since George W. Bush in 2004. Additionally, Trump regained some ground in the Democratic strongholds of Jefferson and Fayette counties.